The Lame Duck Government

At time of writing, it appears that Theresa May has seen off an attempt by the “Brexiteers” under Jacob Rees-Mogg to unseat her as Leader of the Conservative Party. The 48 letters necessary (15% of Conservative MPs) have as yet not been received by the Chairman of the 1922 Committee. The present number received is unknown but thought to be somewhere around 30. To my mind, that establishes that

  • most Conservative MPs have the backbone of a jellyfish;
  • some Conservative MPs are afraid of doing anything that might precipitate a general election in which many would or might lose their seats;
  • some Conservative MPs are afraid that, in the absence of any credible challenger to Mrs. May, she would get over 50% of votes straight off and so not only beat off the challenge but (under applicable rules) be safe from challenge until late 2019 or early 2020 (depending on when the MPs were polled).

So we now look at the likely continuation of the Theresa May government at least into mid-2019; but will such a government be able to govern except in the formal sense?

Already (as I predicted), the Democratic Unionists [DUP] have fired warning shots by abstaining from votes and even voting against the Government. They, unsurprisingly, think that Theresa May is going to break —indeed, has already broken— the limited support agreement between the two parties. It seems clear that that inter-party agreement is running out of road. If the DUP does not support the Government, no matter that the DUP commands only 10 MPs, the Government’s legislative programme will be crippled (I am glad to note…). If, in addition to that, Conservative Brexiteers also fail to support the Government, then the Government is helpless.

Now we read that Amber Rudd, a dangerous and stupid woman just brought back into Cabinet by her friend Mrs. May, has said that, if the “deal” agreed between the EU and Mrs. May is not confirmed by the Commons, there might “have to be” a so-called “Final Referendum” on whether the UK remains in or leaves the EU.

So there we have it. It has happened before in other EU states: the people vote unexpectedly against the wishes of the EU, so the EU makes sure that there is another vote which changes the popular vote result. In the UK, there has been nonstop fear propaganda for two and a half years. Of course there may now be a popular majority for Remain! Vast sums have been spent frightening the life out of the British people and thousands of Remain whiners have spent their lives on social media backing that fear campaign.

What I take away from the above is that, for social nationalists, we are pretty close to having to say goodbye to the politics of constitutional democracy. Even when a limited measure of national sovereignty is clawed back, “they” make sure, by money, by msm and social media propaganda and by manipulation of the news agenda etc, that the popular will is over-ridden. Combine that with the high birth rate of the non-whites in the cities and you can see that traditional politics is largely a waste of time for us.

As for the present government, the chances are that, in the absence of a majority, it will soon cease to function as a legislating entity and will live out its remaining time as a purely executive one. That makes a Labour government even more likely at some point in the next few years. Apres? Le deluge…

Update, 15 December 2018

It’s over. If Brexit happens at all – and for the first time I’m beginning to think it won’t – it will be on terms that keep the worst aspects of EU membership. Britain will be humbled in the eyes of the world, having tried to recover its independence and been faced down. The largest popular vote in our history will be disregarded, and the nation that exported representative government exposed as an oligarchy. Plus – and I know this sounds almost trivial next to those calamities, but it matters to me – the Conservative Party might never recover.” [Daniel Hannan MEP, writing in the Daily Telegraph]

Update, 22 December 2018

On 12 December 2018, the requisite number of letters having been received by the Secretary of the 1922 Committee, a No-Confidence vote was held. Theresa May was backed by 200 Conservative Party MPs; 117 voted against her. This equates to a split of 63%-37%. Theresa May is now safe from challenge until December 2019 (but may resign before that date).

6 thoughts on “The Lame Duck Government”

  1. It makes me wonder if the whole Brexit negotiations under Theresa May stewardship are designed to fail in order to force a “second”referendum?

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    1. I think that the international conspiracy is content either way: either this Brexit in name only “deal” (God, the vulgarity!) is passed by the Commons, in which case the UK “leaves” in name but “remains” in reality (at least 95% remains), *or* the “deal” fails to pass the Commons and another referendum is held, in which the scared, stampeded “people” of the UK “decide” to remain in the EU.

      NWO win-win…

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  2. I’m not convinced a second referendum would assuredly yield a vote of support for cancelling the UK’s departure. I think quite a few Remainers have come round to the Brexiteer mindset having witnessed the EU’s shenanigans, bloody-mindedness and demands for money with menaces and the Government’s perfidy (plainly a collaborative effort). Example: the London Evening Standard’s comments sections have actually seen Brexit support whereas a year back it was wall to wall Remainiacs.
    Viscerally they can tell “summat’s up” in their Paradise.
    Plus why would a no-deal exit be more painful to us than it would be for the other members of the EU?

    Farage @25m2s: “Ninety per cent of our economy does not export to the EU and yet Mrs May’s Agreement will continue to tie that ninety per cent that have never traded with Europe with rules designed for European trade.”

    Isn’t Italy starting to look itchy? And there’s the Eastern Europeans.
    Also as a backdrop we’ve got that infernal Marrakesh UNO Global Migration Pact being signed up. Bad timing.

    O/T: here’s one home industry that’s growing – also in Arabic and Farsi:

    https://archive.org/details/grenfell-support-news-issue-49/page/n1

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    1. You may be right. The fact is that the EU Referendum resulted in Leave 51.89%, Remain 48.11%, hardly a landslide, though clear enough if you are a democrat in the usual sense.

      My point is that the result was close and requires fewer than 2 people in every 100 to change their mind to change the outcome (just as UK general elections are farcically out of sync with mass opinion, because the only voters that matter, usually, are the relatively few floating voters in the 50-100 “marginal” seats. 90% of seats are effectively not in contest.

      Returning to your point, I think that the fear campaign has had an effect, though, as you say, counterbalanced to some degree by those awoken by the EU’s plain tyranny.

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