I have already given a preliminary opinion piece about the upcoming general election:
https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/10/30/a-preliminary-look-at-the-2019-general-election/
and in other blog posts have examined Boris Johnson and his Cabinet, Corbyn, the various political parties contending, and some of the main issues in considerable detail.
I am now inclined to blog daily with any significant news. I start with the Daily Mail report below.
The essence of the report is that Nigel Farage tried to form an electoral pact with the Conservatives, which has now been rejected by “leading Conservatives”. Farage has left the offer open until 14 November, like the businessman he is. The reason for the rejection seems to be that the Conservatives are unwilling to accede to Farage’s demands. Another connected reason would be that the Cons would have to give the Brexit Party a free run in at least some seats.
Since the 19th Century, the Conservative (and Unionist) Party has made it a point of honour to stand a candidate in every Westminster constituency. Another point is that, if Brexit Party were to end up with even a small bloc of seats, BP might later strike out from that citadel and be a far greater danger to the Conservatives. Once a party has more than a tiny number of Westminster seats, it’s launched, it’s a player.
Most Brexit Party members and candidates are far closer to Conservative Party ideology than that of the Labour Party. To some extent, that is true of BP voters too, at least in the South of England.
The Brexit Party has lost its mojo recently. By-election misses, poll doldrums (as Boris-Idiot tried to capture the Leave/Brexit vote). Brexit Party a few days ago was at its lowest in the polls since the Spring: only 7%.
However, one can never quite write off egregious Farage. His bold gambit in demanding that the Cons comply with conditions such as effectively gifting him a bloc of seats may energize Brexit Party now that the Conservatives have so contemptuously refused the proposal.
Boris Johnson is no “One Nation” Prime Minister. He was jeered and booed when leaving Addenbrooke’s Hospital, Cambridge, yesterday. The Conservatives may have been at 42% in the polls a few days ago (published yesterday but work done a week ago) but I doubt that that can be maintained.
Brexit Party has the power to hit Labour, but it has the ability to hit the Conservatives worse. There are large numbers of seats where a Brexit Party candidate can mean a Conservative candidate losing to a LibDem, or to Labour, or even, who knows, even to…a Brexit Party candidate.
If (at present, a big if) Farage and Brexit Party can pick up speed, increasing support from the recent 7% to 15% or more, Boris-Idiot is toast, along with the Conservative Party. The Conservatives may then find themselves, not with the solid majority they want but worse off than they are now.
The BBC’s outline:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49826655
Update, 2 November 2019
(Mike Ashley is a barrow-boy “entrepreneur” who makes Alan Sugar look like Andrew Carnegie).
(might mean a Con majority of 90+, if accurate…)
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/nov/02/boris-johnson-brexit-populism-tories-lifeline
“The polling website Britain Elects has interpreted these as showing a current Tory vote share of about 35%, roughly 10 points ahead of Labour; and the analytical website Electoral Calculus has extrapolated a Tory majority on 12 December of about 70. That would be by far the party’s largest since Margaret Thatcher’s third election victory in 1987. There are obvious flaws to this suggestion that Johnson will win decisively. In 2017, May had an even bigger initial poll lead, but it shrank to almost nothing by election day. And this year’s contest is potentially more volatile still.” [The Guardian]
“The fanfare at the launch of a general election tends to obscure the reality that Britain’s voting system involves hundreds of very particular local elections. That constituency variation, combined with unusual volatility in party identification, makes the poll due on 12 December highly unpredictable. Brexit has shuffled conventional loyalties, forcing the Conservatives in particular to seek support on unfamiliar terms.” [The Guardian]
Update, 3 November 2019
In a sign of the increasing volatility and unpredictability of the UK electorate, the latest opinion poll now places Conservative Party on 36%, Labour Party 28%, LibDems 14%, Brexit Party 12%.
By Electoral Calculus calculation, that could still give the Conservatives a Commons majority of 40+, but is a long way below other recent estimates. In 2017, the Conservatives started the General Election campaign very far ahead of Labour, but the advantage had almost disappeared by polling day. Another few days and Labour would have overtaken.
“Jewish families will leave the UK if Jeremy Corbyn wins general election, Tory chair James Cleverly says” [Daily Telegraph]. Yay!
Update, 3 November 2019
These connected tweets made me laugh. Ghastly old Jewish “ho” Edwina Currie got a shock while canvassing for the “Conservative” candidate in the High Peak constituency of Derbyshire:
Surprisingly (perhaps not very), she ignores the occupier’s plea that he is very busy and engaged on a conference call; she just ploughs on regardless.
Jesus! If that ghastly apparition appeared outside my home on Halloween, after dark, I would arm myself with a mallet and a wooden stake!
Meanwhile, on the national stage, Nigel Farage has announced that he himself will not be contesting any seat, but that Brexit Party will now be contesting at least 600 seats.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7644269/Nigel-Farage-says-WONT-stand-MP-snap-election.html
This will obviously have an effect on Conservative vote-shares in those constituencies and on the number of Conservative MPs returned. To what extent that is so depends on how high the support for Brexit Party goes. If only 5%-10%, maybe not so serious. If 10%-15%, possibly enough to prevent a Conservative majority in the Commons. If anything like 20%+, it is Goodnight Vienna for the Conservatives, especially if Labour and the LibDems also increase their shares.
The Conservatives are taking the Brexit Party effect seriously, which is why they just offered the Brexit Party chairman, Richard Tice MEP, a safe rural Conservative seat if he would defect (he has, it seems, refused).
Update, 4 November 2019
Conservative Party candidate for Gower, one Francesca O’Brien, wrote that those living on State benefits should be “put down”:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-50283520
and now it seems that Ross Thomson [Con, Aberdeen South] will not be standing for re-election after having been caught engaging in gay sex assaults.
I have only one regret about this nasty little shit leaving the Commons: I was going to include him in my “Deadhead MPs— An Occasional Series”. Plenty of fish, though.
In a way, the Ross Thomson story is the tale of how the Conservative Party has become something totally alien. A few extracts from his Wikipedia entry:
“Prior to entering politics, Thomson worked as a store trainer for department store Debenhams“;
“On 5 October 2016, Thomson repaid expenses relating to a night’s stay in an Edinburgh hotel with a male friend whom he subsequently hired.[16]“;
[“hired” the “male friend” on his MP’s expenses, of course…was he giving the “male friend” a test drive?]
“On 3 November 2019 MP Paul Sweeney accused Thomson of sexual assault in the Strangers’ Bar in October 2018.[22] Denying wrongdoing, later the same day Thomson announced that he would not stand for re-election as the Member of Parliament for Aberdeen South, saying that allegations of groping had made his life ‘a living hell’. [23] However, this was later contradicted when it emerged that he only stood down when the chairman of his local Conservative Association refused to sign his nomination papers to allow him to stand as a Conservative candidate.“;
“On 6 February 2019, various newspapers reported unsubstantiated claims that Thomson had been escorted by police from the Strangers’ Bar of the House of Commons the previous evening. Initial reports indicated that police had attended following reports of “sexual touching” of patrons by the MP. Eyewitnesses claimed that Thomson had repeatedly groped several young men also present in the bar, grabbing their bottoms and genitals. No prosecutions followed and a Conservative Party investigation is yet to conclude, but the Parliamentary Commissioner on Standards dismissed the complaint.[28][29][30][31] Thomson has repeatedly denied any wrongdoing, citing the allegations as politically motivated.[32]“
The damn cheek of the bastard! He has the gall (re. the above) to say that he is a victim! (because he has been “trolled” online about his degenerate behaviour).
Here he is, a couple of years ago, weaselling about the Bedroom Tax:
All that, and now I read that the bastard is in favour of mass immigration and wanted to make the UK a friendlier place for “refugees” and other migrant-invaders! This creature was (is still, for the next few days) a Conservative Party MP!
Breathing cleaner air, the latest news about Brexit Party seems to be that BP is going to put up 600+ candidates unless Boris-Idiot complies with several demands. Looks as though Brexit Party is going to rain on the “Conservative” parade (if Brexit Party can climb higher in the polls, at least)…
Back in the (((swamp))), I see that “they” have arranged a suitably well-paid safety net for sex-pest depressive and Israel mouthpiece, John Woodcock, who had to resign the Labour whip when he was exposed, so ending his political career(ism). He is going to be engaged in spying on social nationalists and trying to close down free speech. I blogged about this unpleasant individual a couple of years ago:
The comments (hundreds of them) under that tweet are very amusing…(click on the tweet to read the thread).
Update, 5 November 2019
I just noticed the date. How will history remember these years of our lives in England’s long history?
Remember remember
The 5th of November
Gunpowder, treason and plot,
Life is short and memory long
And traitors deserve to be shot
[I suppose that, in these febrile and unfree times, I should add that the poetic whimsy above does not constitute any injunction or incitement to anyone to be beastly to MPs, or indeed to anyone, whether mentioned in this blog post or not…]
Back to boring old General Election news, and it seems to me that today marks the start of the real campaign. Corbyn is at least vocalizing the reality, that the Boris-Idiot Cabinet of Israeli agents and doormats for the Jewish lobby plans to impose a “free market” dystopia on the British people. When/if enough people realize that, the Conservative Party lead will evaporate.
The government of David Cameron-Levita promised to build 200,000 new affordable houses. Not one was built. If the UK stopped importing unwanted blacks, browns etc, new houses would be unnecessary anyway, but that is another issue. The point is that promises are cheap and, in the mouth of Boris-Idiot, easily made.
I saw cocaine-abusing Israel doormat Michael Gove today on Sky News. One of the (in the end) five tweets by reason of which I was wrongfully disbarred in 2016 was that describing Michael Gove, entirely accurately, as a “pro-Israel, pro-Jew expenses cheat”. At that time, the public was unaware that Gove was also a cocaine-snorter. He looked drugged or drunk in the Chamber of the House of Commons recently. When will the British people wake up to the corrupt political/msm milieux, aka “the (((swamp)))”?
Seems that Robert Largan, “Conservative” candidate for High Peak (Derbyshire) is tweeting mostly about Alison Chabloz, with the odd negative attack on the Labour candidate and present MP, Ruth George. Largan seems obsessed with “anti-Semitism”, but then he is an accountant working for Marks & Spencer in London.
All Mr. Largan has to do now is learn to regularly shove cocaine up his nose (I shall be polite and assume that he does not already do so…) and he will be welcome at Gove’s degenerate parties…
Largan has tweeted or retweeted nine or ten times about Alison Chabloz in the past few days. His other tweets mostly try to attack the Labour candidate, Ruth George, using “guilt-by-association”. It is clear that Largan has nothing much useful to say to the voters of High Peak. He seems mostly interested in keeping in with a certain (((lobby))).
Here is what Largan and all “Conservative” MPs and candidates now support (click to listen):
High Peak’s “Conservative” candidate (who lives in a chi-chi part of London) is in fact a member of Conservative Friends of Israel. Quelle surprise…In fact, he went on a (subsidized?) trip to Israel only a few months ago. The cheek of the bastard! Surely he could wait until becoming an MP before freeloading?! I wonder whether he will be elected. I hope not. There are enough Israel-doormats in the Commons already.
https://cfoi.co.uk/cfi-coordinates-delegation-to-israel-with-conservative-parliamentary-candidates/
Some people are taking things into their own hands:
Meanwhile, there is movement in the opinion polls. While all polling shows that the Conservative Party is well ahead, a minority of polls are now showing a diminution in that lead.
That polling would result in a Conservative Party majority of about 16 seats, according to Electoral Calculus. Boris-Idiot would welcome that, though it is far from the recent predictions of 100-seat majorities. I sense a slight change in the air. Corbyn and Labour are never going to be flavour of the month with most voters, but I sense a new determination on the part of many to try to stop Boris-Idiot and his satraps from becoming an elected ZOG/NWO tyranny, as they assuredly would be, had they a majority in the Commons.
Another poll:
Brexit Party will have to get a long way up from 11% to make a really big impact. That YouGov poll would still give Boris-Idiot a Commons majority of as much as 126 seats; but things are now starting to move. The ice is beginning to melt.
Below: desperate…
This, below, from the Daily Mail Comments section, made me laugh! (capital letters in original)
“LABOUR ARE NO LONGER THE PARTY OF THE WORKER……..PREFERRING THE PROFESSIONAL SHIRKER….THE INCOMING(Postal vote) B>U>R>K>A …AND THE PIE MUNCHING BACK STREET LURKER!”
Latest: Phillip Hammond not seeking re-election.
Update, 6 November 2019
Yet another Conservative Party MP has decided to give up politics. Lazy half-Jew chancer and general waste of space Ed Vaizey will not be again contesting Wantage, a safe Conservative seat. He would undoubtedly have been re-elected, but his chance of further ministerial preferment (he was Secretary of State for Culture for several years, absurdly) would have been minimal, at least in the short term. He was obviously unwilling to stay on as a backbench MP for years, or indefinitely, and unlike many MPs, does not need the money.
Alison Chabloz has commented on the attack both on her and on Labour candidate Ruth George by prp-Israel Marks & Spencer accountant and “Conservative” candidate for High Peak, Robert Largan:
https://alisonchabloz.com/2019/11/06/why-the-entire-system-is-unfit-for-office/
Ian Robert Millard 