Diary Blog, 14 March 2022

Afternoon music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viktor_Kosenko]
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mykola_Lysenko]
[panorama of Kiev and the river Dnieper]

On this day a year ago

Tweets seen

As blogged previously, do you still think that the lockdown shutdown(s), fraudulent “loans”, “test and trace” nonsense, “furlough” baksheesh etc, all came at no cost? Think again…

Thank God for that, at least! I myself am not against a modest number of (real) Ukrainians, especially if genuine refugees, coming to the UK, because they are European, and because some at least are quite cultured. However, I am talking about hundreds, not hundreds of thousands.

Blog post about Ukraine, by Gilad Atzmon

https://gilad.online/writings/2022/3/13/putins-war

Worth reading.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gilad_Atzmon.

More music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimir_Vysotsky]
[Kazan, Tatarstan]

More tweets

Ukraine

As some commentators have noted, there actually is scarcely any conventional Ukrainian Army worth talking about, at least not on any large scale. The corruption and chaotic misrule emanating from Kiev for the past 30+ years has stripped the Ukrainian armed forces of most of their past (Soviet) effectiveness.

We have already seen, in the past couple of weeks since the invasion began, that the Kiev-regime air force has been either destroyed on the ground or shot down. In fact, the most noteworthy fighter pilot on the Kiev-regime side, the so-called “Ghost of Kiev”, turned out to be just an Internet “meme” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghost_of_Kyiv].

The Kiev regime has effectively no navy.

The Ukrainian Army has in fact been conspicuous by its absence, but that is probably because, as previously blogged, the decision has been made that it would be suicidal for the forces of the Kiev regime to confront the Russian Army in battles reminiscent of the Battle of Kursk in 1943 [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Kursk].

It seems that the strategy of the Ukrainian/Kiev-regime side mimics that of the Russians during Napoleon’s disastrous 1812 invasion of Russia, occupation of Moscow, and eventual retreat from Russia.

Incidentally, Tolstoy’s famous War and Peace starts with the words “On the twelfth of June, 1812, the forces of Western Europe crossed the Russian frontier and war began, that is, an event took place opposed to human reason and to human nature.” Note that: not “French forces” but “the forces of Western Europe“, which was in fact the case. See the overall order of battle in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_invasion_of_Russia.

The tactics of the Russians in 1812, at least during Napoleon’s retreat from Moscow, might be called “shoot and scoot” or hit-and-run.

Those tactics of 1812 are now being used by the forces of the Kiev regime.

There have now begun to appear, in some American publications, comments to the effect that the tactics that Zelensky’s forces are using may be effective, but lack any real strategy.

The overall Ukrainian/Zelensky regime plan seems to be to barricade, fortify and defend cities, particularly Kiev, while using those shoot and scoot tactics to wear down the Russian forces by attrition: shooting down helicopters and planes, ambushing tank columns, launching only skirmish raids on the ground.

On the other hand, after a more than sluggish start, the Russian forces are now beginning to take the smaller cities such as Kherson (290,000 inhabitants, and only 17th in terms of population, if Crimean cities are included: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cities_in_Ukraine).

Kiev is being encircled steadily now, and food as well as ammunition is in short supply (the Zelensky regime claims that Kiev has food for two weeks).

The Russians are bringing up more troops now. Also supplies. As Gilad Atzmon notes in his blog (see above), the now-famous 40-mile-long Russian column north of Kiev seems not to have been subject to any, or any significant attack.

The Kiev-regime side is weak, despite the huge amounts of advanced infantry-use weaponry now being funnelled into Ukraine by NATO (weaponry which will in part no doubt find its way into the hands of terrorist groups hostile to the West in due course, as happened after Afghanistan, Iraq etc).

The Russians obviously intend to take smallest population centres first, before working their way up to the largest cities.

I am presuming that the assault on Kiev will not start in earnest until the food and ammunition available to the defenders has been reduced more. After that, air power and artillery (the latter of which Russians refer to as “our mother guns“, a Russian speciality since the 19th Century) will reduce the city. Then infantry will storm whatever is left, supported by armour.

Russian infantry (and perhaps Syrian mercenaries, hardened and experienced in the terrible conflict in that country) will then fight their way into the very centre of Kiev.

In the 1945 Battle of Berlin, the Soviet forces are said to have used no less than 41,600 artillery pieces! See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Berlin. Such numbers are certainly not available to the Russians now, but of course the artillery pieces they do have are even more destructive.

There is no way for the forces under Zelensky’s generals to win this war (as it now has become), unless they can wear down the Russians by huge losses of men and materiel. At present, unless the peace talks achieve success, Kiev may soon suffer the fate of other cities that have historically been almost destroyed: Warsaw, Berlin etc.

The Ukrainian or Kiev-regime side will probably (as I blogged weeks ago) soon or quite soon be confined militarily to the western side of Ukraine; west of the Dnieper, north of the Black Sea littoral.

Photographs seen yesterday indicate that there are still huge numbers of civilians fleeing Kiev. The city may soon be a battlefield, but one in which the poor, sick, infirm (and many animals) will be trapped as the war rages around them.

This is a terrible situation, and one which need not have been anything like as bad as it has become. Having said that, it is hard to see what the West, or NATO, or the NWO, is trying to achieve by supplying weapons to Zelensky’s regime. The armaments will not be enough to defeat the Russians, but they will be enough to prolong and intensify the agony.

Zelensky’s regime’s forces have no prospect of defeating Russia in the field. If need be, Russia can flatten every Ukrainian city, destroy every railway, and every hub or concentration of Ukrainian forces, using air power (including missiles fired from Russia itself). That would be a terrible thing to happen, but my assessment is that Putin would do it if he had no other option but abandon his plans.

As to the peace talks, hard to say how they can succeed but, as Churchill said, “jaw jaw is better than war war” (a prescription he himself rarely followed). The talks seem not to be affecting the fighting, though.

Looking about two months down the road, I imagine that the Russian invasion will see those eastern and southern areas occupied, but at a terrible price. As to western areas, and as I predicted weeks ago, there will be a rump Zelensky regime in Lvov (unless he is killed or captured), but its ability to do more than launch guerrilla attacks outside the region must be seen to be very limited.

Effects of the conflict

The Russian economy as it now is will collapse under the weight of Western sanctions. When that will happen is uncertain. However, a basic Russian economy will keep going. As noted in previous blog posts, Russia can survive and perhaps quite well under autarky, a form of economy favoured by Putin’s main philosophic influence (it is said), Alexander Dugin [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aleksandr_Dugin]. See also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurasianism.

What about the Western economies? Perhaps they will also collapse. If Putin shuts off gas to Germany, for example, “collapse of stout party”…

We are seeing, I think, what is just the start of a complete redrawing of the boundaries, and perhaps the meaning, of Europe.

More tweets

Of course, when the msm says “Russian”, what they should be saying is “Jewish”…

In fact this is ironic, in that those squatters are doing to the Jew’s London residence exactly the same as the Jewish “oligarchs” did to the entire Russian economy in the 1990s, i.e. squat on the industrial, commercial and logistical assets of the Russian people, live off them like leeches, and effectively steal them. How else do you think “Russian” Jews like Abramovitch “made their money”?

Late tweets

Hitler was right. The USA is indeed “half-judaized and half-negrified“, and that becomes more obvious daily.

Ditto (see my last comment…).

Exactly. If you are British, you will get no help, nor even a Twitter or YouTube virtue-signal, from the likes of Sandi Toksvig, Jo Brand, various Jewish comics etc. You can go whistle for help (or “raise the banners!” and take what you need…).

Jess Phillips is “expert” only in self-promotion and in freeloading.

Some replies on that thread make the point that Priti Patel makes £82K salary (as an MP). In fact, as Home Secretary she gets about as much again…MP salary and Home Secretary salary. To think that, under other circumstances, she would just have been another fat baba behind the counter of a Kampala grocery store…

Late music

[central Tirana, 1990]

8 thoughts on “Diary Blog, 14 March 2022”

  1. Hello Ian: I am wondering why the hell Putin does not cut off the gas supply to those despicable lackeys of the USA (I mean the Germans) who are blatantly sending weapons to Zelensky? What do you think?

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    1. Claudius:
      Putin needs foreign currency, and the rouble is spiralling towards worthlessness. Gas to Germany is a major, perhaps *the* major foreign currency earner. Without foreign currency, all imports will become unobtainable. The Soviet Union imported little, but that was then. Russia imports a huge amount of consumer goods now, including some basic items.

      Putin can punish Germany and the rest of Western and Central Europe by cutting off gas, but only at the cost of hitting the Russian people’s living standards, and the functions of government.

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      1. Good morning! I understand what you said, but, as far as I know, Russia holds huge reserves of gold, which surely must mean something to backup their currency, furthermore, the Russians are fairly tough and not wimps like most Westerners who “could nor live” without a lot of useless products that the system tells us are “vital”. Also, Russia could be trading with China who manufactures almost 90% of the world’s products. Anyway, I hope this hateful and unnecessary war end as soon as possible. Regards

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      2. Claudius:
        I agree with what you say, and Russia could certainly not be conquered from without, but (as in the 1980s/1990s) could be conquered, in effect, by being subverted from within. There is, as in the past, a ferment under the surface. How much of a ferment, I cannot say.

        ps. The West has just confiscated about half of Russia’s gold already in existence and stored.

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  2. Why would the Russians do something as stupid as to attack Kiev, ending up bogged in bloody house-to-house fighting? It would be far better to force them to surrender by starving them. Otherwise, they will repeat the idiotic and colossal mistake the Germans did in Stalingrad.

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    1. Claudius:
      A siege can take months, maybe even years. The encirclement of Kiev is as yet not complete, and will probably always have holes and gaps. Russia does not have time to wait for months or years.

      The food supply in Kiev may be such that food will run out in 2-4 weeks, but that is uncertain.

      Also, Putin needs a result, even if a bloody and horrible one, for domestic reasons, so that he can say to his people and armed forces, “the war [or whatever] is over, Zelensky is toppled, Kiev is ours, and we are now rebuilding Ukraine” or at least much of Ukraine.

      Like

      1. Well, I based my comment, and question, on the information that says that Zelensky has food, and perhaps ammunition, for 2-4 weeks, which sound pretty reasonable to me. Also, it goes against any sound military strategy to attack a well-defended city where your superiority in armour and artillery becomes useless. The Russians could afford that in Berlin in 1945 because there was a race against the Allies and Stalin couldn’t give a damn about 1 or 2 million more dead…

        As I said, I wish this awful war ends soon; my thoughts are with the poor civilians and their pets trapped in that hell…

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      2. Claudius:
        Again I agree with what you say, both in general and about the unfortunate animals and civilians trapped in a war they did not want or procure. However, I do not think that Putin will want to stay encamped around Kiev for months.

        Civilians are still flooding out of Kiev, heading west, which means that, as the population size falls, Kiev’s food supplies *may* last for far longer than presently thought.

        Like

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