I see that the LibDems have elected a new leader. Not hard to find one better than Jo Swinson was, even in the LibDems’ restricted gene pool. Ed Davey is part of the old LibLabCon Westminster stitch-up, tied-in with finance-capitalism and political lobbying, but is and is perceived as more solid than crazed lesbian (she prefers “pansexual”) Layla Moran [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Liberal_Democrats_leadership_election]. [Note: some unflattering facts seem to have been expunged from Layla Moran’s Wikipedia entry].
Ed Davey got about two-thirds of the leadership vote.
Davey [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed_Davey] will not rock the LibDem boat much; neither will he get more people to join or vote for the LibDems.
The scamming of, and later betrayal of, the voters in 2010 led to the debacle of 2015, when the LibDems went from having 57 MPs to having 8. In fact, the high point of LibDemmery in terms of MP numbers was under the egregious drunk, multikulti fanatic and Jewish lobby tool, Charles Kennedy, who increased the LibDem MP contingent from 52 to 62 in 2005.
Charles Kennedy’s predecessor, Paddy Ashdown, was rather liked by the public, I think, despite the farce of the “Paddy Pantsdown” episode. Ashdown, a former Royal Marine and SBS officer, had increased the LibDem bloc of MPs from 20 (1992) to 46 (1997).
Kennedy was replaced by Nick Clegg in 2005, lost his seat in 2015 and finally drank himself to death a few weeks later. Nihil nisi bonum mortuis, but I never liked him. The sort of person who is all in favour of the UK being invaded by black and brown hordes and “I’m all right, Jack” because sitting comfortably in the more affluent parts of London, the suburbs, the country or, in Kennedy’s case, Fort William, in the Highlands of Scotland. I also disliked the fact that Kennedy was so firmly in the pocket of the Jewish lobby. Having said that, Kennedy did oppose the NWO invasion of Iraq in 2003; credit where due.
I think that the LibDem party and also msm commentators have underestimated the sense of betrayal among voters in respect of what happened 2010-2015. It still resonates. It resonates even with me, and I have never been a LibDem member, supporter, or voter! The sheer conscienceless lying cheek of it! The broken LibDem promises, the selling-out of the voters just so that LibDem careerists like Nick Clegg, little Danny Alexander [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danny_Alexander] etc could get ministerial portfolios in the Con Coalition.
Both Jo Swinson and Ed Davey were given government preferment during the Con Coalition, Davey at Cabinet level (Jo Swinson was merely a PUS).
During the Con Coalition of 2010-2015, the Conservative Party leaders played the LibDem leadership like a balalaika. Example: the LibDems withdrew opposition to the Bedroom Tax after being offered a law (now in place) prohibiting free plastic bags in supermarkets.
Now, Clegg is the main European gopher for the Facebook Jew, Zuckerberg, while Alexander now works for something called AIIB [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asian_Infrastructure_Investment_Bank] and lives in Beijing (or, as I stubbornly call it, Peking). Both received knighthoods, for what that is now worth.
What now for the LibDems?
The LibDem representation in the Scottish Parliament has more than halved since 1999 (when that parliament was established). Now only 5 MSPs out of 129, a situation unchanged since 2011. A similar position to the LibDems in the National Assembly for Wales (1 AM out of 40, again unchanged since 2011). The next elections will be in 2021.
In the London Assembly, the LibDems have 1 member out of 25, while in the Lords, they have 89 peers out of (soon) over 800.
At Westminster, the LibDems now have 11 seats out of a potential 650. That is one down from 2017 but four up compared to 2015. The British electoral system is of course bizarre. In 2019, the LibDems got 11.6% of the national vote, but in 2017 had only 7.4% (yet one more MP!).
I have said since 2010 that the LibDems are living on borrowed time. I still think that, though the “cockroach” quality of the LibDems has just managed to keep them in play. There are several reasons for that. First, the LibDem support for the EU. That may not be hugely popular nationally, but is not hugely unpopular either. Then there is the fact that LibDem voters tend to be concentrated in particular constituencies. Most of the “Celtic Fringe” LibDem areas of Scotland, Wales and Cornwall may be lost, probably forever, but there are leafy suburban seats in England that will be forever LibDem…or will they?
LibDem MPs tend to represent, in England, affluent suburban/rural seats: Twickenham, Richmond Park, Bath, St. Albans, Oxford West and Abingdon (Layla Moran), Kingston and Surbiton (Ed Davey), Westmorland. The other four are in Scottish seats, all but one rural and rather remote.
The 2019 LibDem vote-share of 11.6% was below that of UKIP in 2015 (when UKIP, with 12.6%, got only 1 MP elected). The difference lies in the Schwerpunkt or concentration of forces in those particular constituencies. Several are marginal seats. UKIP failed in 2015 because its 12.6% was only half of what would have been required to win at least some seats. Had UKIP got a national vote of 25% in 2015, it would have got, undoubtedly, 30% or 40% in a few seats and so won those seats. 12.6% is not enough; neither is 11.6%, but though the LibDems get 2%, 5%, 7% in most seats, they achieve higher votes in the favoured few constituencies. For example, Ed Davey’s vote in 2019 was over 51%; Layla Moran’s was over 53%.
One unexpected (to me) fact is that the actual membership of the LibDems is now around 120,000, its highest ever as “Liberal Democrat Party”, though the old Liberal Party had a membership, albeit very long ago (pre-WW1), in the hundreds of thousands, as well as hundreds of MPs, peaking in 1906 with 398 MPs out of 670.
Membership is a secondary factor. Labour had nearly 600,000 members last year (2019) when it lost to the Conservative Party, which had only 140,000. The Labour pressure group, Momentum, has about 40,000; UKIP still has 26,000 (supposedly), despite being a “dead parrot”.
The LibDems will probably limp on, eventually to die “not with a bang but a whimper” in the words of Nevile Shute in On the Beach.
In a binary system, the in-out of the two parties contending tends to alternate,on the national level. The LibDems have MPs because, in their now-few core areas of the country, the LibDems are the alternative to the Conservatives. However, the Con Coalition of 2010-2015 destroyed the (if never credible to me personally) LibDem trump cards, supposed integrity, honesty, idealism etc. I really do not think that the LibDems can climb out of the hole, but they may just gently decline to a few MPs before actually expiring.
I blogged about “antifa” cheerleader Mike Stuchbery last year: https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/10/23/a-few-words-about-mike-stuchbery/.
He has now (again) tweeted about me. In fact, he (or someone using his name, and an email account obviously set up for the purpose) sent my blog a silly and hostile message fairly recently. I suppose that it might have been someone else using his name, but the message was tracked to an ISP number in the Stuttgart area (Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany), which is where Stuchbery now lives.
Obviously, I did not approve (what I take to be) his comment for publication, but the details are still on file. I do not threaten people. Not threaten.
When I started blogging, nearly 4 years ago, I thought that I would almost inevitably get hostile messages, but in fact have so far only had about half a dozen or so, over the 4 years. I suppose that most people who might send such messages cannot be bothered to set up email accounts just for that purpose, when all that happens is that the messages are seen only by me, not my readers; also, the senders are usually blocked.
Alternatively, maybe most people who read my blog posts enjoy them, support what I say, support me. Now there’s a thought…
Stuchbery’s outbursts today:
I suppose that I should thank Stuchbery for publicizing my blog. After all, I myself cannot do so via Twitter; the Jew-Zionist lobby had me expelled in 2018, and I am not on the other well-known platforms (Facebook, Telegram, YouTube etc).
I noticed that a few people replied to Stuchbery’s post(s). Here’s one:
The tweeter @RedFiddler is an Australian, a Ph.D.-holder using the actual title “Dr”…I have blogged before about this quite recent affectation (recent in the Anglophone countries; it is more accepted in, particularly, Germanophone lands, where at one time not many people had higher degrees), though I suppose that it is just about possible that the tweeter is in an academic teaching post.
Reverting to the main topic, you see the problem. These people hate Europeans and European culture to such an extent that they actually question whether European race and culture even exists! If anyone said the like about, say, African race and culture, or Chinese race and culture, the mob would either laugh or, more likely, lay down the “racist!” card immediately. Sick world.
This appalling government is totally beyond the pale. Migration-invasion continuing, no serious attempt to make Brexit work, ridiculous impositions such as the facemask nonsense, HS2 continuing…it just goes on. It is a “government of clowns”; there again, clowns are or can be rather sinister.
Unexpected, but welcome if it really reflects what was said…
Well, there it is. Owen Jones, the standard-bearer for the fake or pseudo-socialists completely in the pocket of the Jew-Zionist lobby, wants to censor and ban free speech. Quelle surprise…Here is my assessment of Jones, written 18 months or so ago: https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/04/a-brief-word-about-owen-jones/
Final word today
BBC Radio 4 News at 1900 hrs (paraphased): “there has been a big increase in persons testing positive for Coronavirus. However, hospital admissions in respect of the virus continue to fall.” No mention at all of deaths from (or with) “the virus”. Because there are none now, or virtually none.
How long do you think that it will be before the BBC and the Government (and the pathetic scared rabbits all wearing their facemask muzzles) put two and two together? Perhaps they need a famous TV face to say to them: “yes, many many people are still getting Coronavirus. Few have symptoms. A few have sore throats etc. Almost none need any medical attention, let alone hospital admission. None are dying.”
Followed by “Citizens! It is safe to walk, talk, shop, drink and even return to work or school. Burn your facemasks!” (well, one can dream, but a proclamation like that would be too honest).
Goodnight, world, until tomorrow