Tag Archives: Liberal Democrats

Diary Blog, 27 August 2020, including thoughts about the Liberal Democrat Party

LibDems

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Liberal_Democrats_leadership_election

I see that the LibDems have elected a new leader. Not hard to find one better than Jo Swinson was, even in the LibDems’ restricted gene pool. Ed Davey is part of the old LibLabCon Westminster stitch-up, tied-in with finance-capitalism and political lobbying, but is and is perceived as more solid than crazed lesbian (she prefers “pansexual”) Layla Moran [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Liberal_Democrats_leadership_election]. [Note: some unflattering facts seem to have been expunged from Layla Moran’s Wikipedia entry].

Ed Davey got about two-thirds of the leadership vote.

Davey [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed_Davey] will not rock the LibDem boat much; neither will he get more people to join or vote for the LibDems.

The scamming of, and later betrayal of, the voters in 2010 led to the debacle of 2015, when the LibDems went from having 57 MPs to having 8. In fact, the high point of LibDemmery in terms of MP numbers was under the egregious drunk, multikulti fanatic and Jewish lobby tool, Charles Kennedy, who increased the LibDem MP contingent from 52 to 62 in 2005.

Charles Kennedy’s predecessor, Paddy Ashdown, was rather liked by the public, I think, despite the farce of the “Paddy Pantsdown” episode. Ashdown, a former Royal Marine and SBS officer, had increased the LibDem bloc of MPs from 20 (1992) to 46 (1997).

Kennedy was replaced by Nick Clegg in 2005, lost his seat in 2015 and finally drank himself to death a few weeks later. Nihil nisi bonum mortuis, but I never liked him. The sort of person who is all in favour of the UK being invaded by black and brown hordes and “I’m all right, Jack” because sitting comfortably in the more affluent parts of London, the suburbs, the country or, in Kennedy’s case, Fort William, in the Highlands of Scotland. I also disliked the fact that Kennedy was so firmly in the pocket of the Jewish lobby. Having said that, Kennedy did oppose the NWO invasion of Iraq in 2003; credit where due.

I think that the LibDem party and also msm commentators have underestimated the sense of betrayal among voters in respect of what happened 2010-2015. It still resonates. It resonates even with me, and I have never been a LibDem member, supporter, or voter! The sheer conscienceless lying cheek of it! The broken LibDem promises, the selling-out of the voters just so that LibDem careerists like Nick Clegg, little Danny Alexander [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danny_Alexander] etc could get ministerial portfolios in the Con Coalition.

Both Jo Swinson and Ed Davey were given government preferment during the Con Coalition, Davey at Cabinet level (Jo Swinson was merely a PUS).

During the Con Coalition of 2010-2015, the Conservative Party leaders played the LibDem leadership like a balalaika. Example: the LibDems withdrew opposition to the Bedroom Tax after being offered a law (now in place) prohibiting free plastic bags in supermarkets.

Now, Clegg is the main European gopher for the Facebook Jew, Zuckerberg, while Alexander now works for something called AIIB [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asian_Infrastructure_Investment_Bank] and lives in Beijing (or, as I stubbornly call it, Peking). Both received knighthoods, for what that is now worth.

What now for the LibDems?

The LibDem representation in the Scottish Parliament has more than halved since 1999 (when that parliament was established). Now only 5 MSPs out of 129, a situation unchanged since 2011. A similar position to the LibDems in the National Assembly for Wales (1 AM out of 40, again unchanged since 2011). The next elections will be in 2021.

In the London Assembly, the LibDems have 1 member out of 25, while in the Lords, they have 89 peers out of (soon) over 800.

At Westminster, the LibDems now have 11 seats out of a potential 650. That is one down from 2017 but four up compared to 2015. The British electoral system is of course bizarre. In 2019, the LibDems got 11.6% of the national vote, but in 2017 had only 7.4% (yet one more MP!).

I have said since 2010 that the LibDems are living on borrowed time. I still think that, though the “cockroach” quality of the LibDems has just managed to keep them in play. There are several reasons for that. First, the LibDem support for the EU. That may not be hugely popular nationally, but is not hugely unpopular either. Then there is the fact that LibDem voters tend to be concentrated in particular constituencies. Most of the “Celtic Fringe” LibDem areas of Scotland, Wales and Cornwall may be lost, probably forever, but there are leafy suburban seats in England that will be forever LibDem…or will they?

LibDem MPs tend to represent, in England, affluent suburban/rural seats: Twickenham, Richmond Park, Bath, St. Albans, Oxford West and Abingdon (Layla Moran), Kingston and Surbiton (Ed Davey), Westmorland. The other four are in Scottish seats, all but one rural and rather remote.

The 2019 LibDem vote-share of 11.6% was below that of UKIP in 2015 (when UKIP, with 12.6%, got only 1 MP elected). The difference lies in the Schwerpunkt or concentration of forces in those particular constituencies. Several are marginal seats. UKIP failed in 2015 because its 12.6% was only half of what would have been required to win at least some seats. Had UKIP got a national vote of 25% in 2015, it would have got, undoubtedly, 30% or 40% in a few seats and so won those seats. 12.6% is not enough; neither is 11.6%, but though the LibDems get 2%, 5%, 7% in most seats, they achieve higher votes in the favoured few constituencies. For example, Ed Davey’s vote in 2019 was over 51%; Layla Moran’s was over 53%.

One unexpected (to me) fact is that the actual membership of the LibDems is now around 120,000, its highest ever as “Liberal Democrat Party”, though the old Liberal Party had a membership, albeit very long ago (pre-WW1), in the hundreds of thousands, as well as hundreds of MPs, peaking in 1906 with 398 MPs out of 670.

Membership is a secondary factor. Labour had nearly 600,000 members last year (2019) when it lost to the Conservative Party, which had only 140,000. The Labour pressure group, Momentum, has about 40,000; UKIP still has 26,000 (supposedly), despite being a “dead parrot”.

The LibDems will probably limp on, eventually to die “not with a bang but a whimper” in the words of Nevile Shute in On the Beach.

In a binary system, the in-out of the two parties contending tends to alternate,on the national level. The LibDems have MPs because, in their now-few core areas of the country, the LibDems are the alternative to the Conservatives. However, the Con Coalition of 2010-2015 destroyed the (if never credible to me personally) LibDem trump cards, supposed integrity, honesty, idealism etc. I really do not think that the LibDems can climb out of the hole, but they may just gently decline to a few MPs before actually expiring.

Mike Stuchbery

I blogged about “antifa” cheerleader Mike Stuchbery last year: https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/10/23/a-few-words-about-mike-stuchbery/.

He has now (again) tweeted about me. In fact, he (or someone using his name, and an email account obviously set up for the purpose) sent my blog a silly and hostile message fairly recently. I suppose that it might have been someone else using his name, but the message was tracked to an ISP number in the Stuttgart area (Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany), which is where Stuchbery now lives.

Obviously, I did not approve (what I take to be) his comment for publication, but the details are still on file. I do not threaten people. Not threaten.

When I started blogging, nearly 4 years ago, I thought that I would almost inevitably get hostile messages, but in fact have so far only had about half a dozen or so, over the 4 years. I suppose that most people who might send such messages cannot be bothered to set up email accounts just for that purpose, when all that happens is that the messages are seen only by me, not my readers; also, the senders are usually blocked.

Alternatively, maybe most people who read my blog posts enjoy them, support what I say, support me. Now there’s a thought…

Stuchbery’s outbursts today:

I suppose that I should thank Stuchbery for publicizing my blog. After all, I myself cannot do so via Twitter; the Jew-Zionist lobby had me expelled in 2018, and I am not on the other well-known platforms (Facebook, Telegram, YouTube etc).

I noticed that a few people replied to Stuchbery’s post(s). Here’s one:

The tweeter @RedFiddler is an Australian, a Ph.D.-holder using the actual title “Dr”…I have blogged before about this quite recent affectation (recent in the Anglophone countries; it is more accepted in, particularly, Germanophone lands, where at one time not many people had higher degrees), though I suppose that it is just about possible that the tweeter is in an academic teaching post.

Reverting to the main topic, you see the problem. These people hate Europeans and European culture to such an extent that they actually question whether European race and culture even exists! If anyone said the like about, say, African race and culture, or Chinese race and culture, the mob would either laugh or, more likely, lay down the “racist!” card immediately. Sick world.

Musical interlude

Tweets seen

This appalling government is totally beyond the pale. Migration-invasion continuing, no serious attempt to make Brexit work, ridiculous impositions such as the facemask nonsense, HS2 continuing…it just goes on. It is a “government of clowns”; there again, clowns are or can be rather sinister.

Unexpected, but welcome if it really reflects what was said…

Well, there it is. Owen Jones, the standard-bearer for the fake or pseudo-socialists completely in the pocket of the Jew-Zionist lobby, wants to censor and ban free speech. Quelle surprise…Here is my assessment of Jones, written 18 months or so ago: https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/04/a-brief-word-about-owen-jones/

Final word today

BBC Radio 4 News at 1900 hrs (paraphased): “there has been a big increase in persons testing positive for Coronavirus. However, hospital admissions in respect of the virus continue to fall.” No mention at all of deaths from (or with) “the virus”. Because there are none now, or virtually none.

How long do you think that it will be before the BBC and the Government (and the pathetic scared rabbits all wearing their facemask muzzles) put two and two together? Perhaps they need a famous TV face to say to them: “yes, many many people are still getting Coronavirus. Few have symptoms. A few have sore throats etc. Almost none need any medical attention, let alone hospital admission. None are dying.”

Followed by “Citizens! It is safe to walk, talk, shop, drink and even return to work or school. Burn your facemasks!” (well, one can dream, but a proclamation like that would be too honest).

Goodnight, world, until tomorrow

Diary Blog, 21 May 2020

A few tweets seen

An interesting tweet by one Ed West, but why am I still surprised that a “deputy editor” and published author is apparently unaware that “motherlode” (also “mother lode”) is not spelled “motherload”? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mother_lode

I suppose that I should now be used to the ever-sliding standards in this country…

Looked the tweeter up on Wikipedia out of mere vulgar curiosity: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed_West_(journalist) and it turns out that he is the son of the once well-known foreign correspondent Richard West https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_West_(journalist) and the Irish columnist Mary Kenny https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mary_Kenny.

I always wondered where Private Eye magazine got that term, “discussing Uganda“… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mary_Kenny#%22Ugandan_discussions%22

If there ever was a pointless contest!…

True, I have been writing off the LibDems since the betrayals of 2010, but the trajectory remains downward.

Humpty-Dumpty LibDem was broken in 2010. Votes and seats slid in 2015 and then 2017 (though number of seats increased from 8 to 12 in 2017), though there was an upturn in 2019: over 3.5 million votes (an upturn of over 50%) but a decline in number of seats (from 12 to 11) thanks to the way the FPTP system and the boundaries of seats work in Britain (cf. 2017).

Looking into it a little more, it can be seen that the LibDems benefited a little from being the only 100% Remain party. Next time? I still think that the LibDems will be wiped out. Few of their MPs have a strong local following to set against the party-label vote swings. Also, what is the standout profile of the LibDems now? They have no real identity, it seems to me.

Surprisingly, the LibDem membership numbers are not unhealthy: over 120,000, it seems, which is in the same ballpark as the Conservative Party. However, that alone does not bring electoral success (cf. Labour, with perhaps 600,000 members).

I should expect the LibDems to decline further and perhaps to disappear, at least as an independent party.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_Democrats_(UK)#General_elections

Well, there it is. The print newspapers are mortally ill and maybe on their last legs. These screeds of rubbish have been declining in quality as long as I can remember. In the 1970s, the quality level was better by far. The old Daily Telegraph magazine, published on Fridays, contained serious reportage and interesting feature journalism: see

https://www.littlereddog.info/vintage-1970s-daily-telegraph-magazines-for-sale.html

Look at the Telegraph itself now! Uncritical Boris Johnson “Conservative” propaganda, and at an excruciatingly low intellectual level. Ironically, though, it was the Telegraph, in the 2005-2010 Parliament, that broke the MP expenses scandal, one of the most serious stories of the past half-century. It does say something about the UK’s “free Press”, though, that MP expenses were an open secret for years, certainly since 1997 and the corruption Blair brought into UK politics, yet were not investigated until the Telegraph decided to take it all seriously and to print.

In the 1970s, even some of the less-serious or less intellectual newspapers, such as the Sunday Express, sometimes contained interesting first-person accounts and so on.

Look at, say, The Times now! Pathetic and shallow “Conservative” and Zionist propaganda. As for the Sunday Times magazine, more or less what used to be called a “woman’s magazine“, full of ads and with little substance in its content.

I welcome the demise of the print newspapers and their fundamentally Zionist-contaminated agenda.

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Completely infested.

They even decided to print one-sided stories about me back in late 2016! (Google “Ian Millard barrister” to see some).

True, those newspapers all have an online presence now, but the Times and most of the Telegraph are behind a paywall and, like the others, have to compete for public attention with other sources of news, some of which are, mirabile dictu, not so (((infested and contaminated))).

Where I deviate from Hitchens in respect of the above is that the number of “lives blighted” should be at least 36,000, maybe as high as 90,000. Why? Most employees laid off have wives (or husbands), children too. Then there is the knock-on effect on the local retail sector as local purchasing power diminishes. Also, redundancies in the supply chain.

Not exactly surprising. There has been a Jewish coup in Labour, one over 4-5 years. Starmer is its figurehead. He is not a Jew, but is married to a Jewish woman (a lawyer) and their children are being brought up as Jewish…

I thought that the Jewish Chronicle had gone up the chimney. Seems not.

Alison Chabloz

I happened to see this rather inaccurate report about the Alison Chabloz case, which was heard two years ago:

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0022018318792937?journalCode=clja

Despite being in the august pages of the Criminal Law Journal, the report, penned by one Laura Bliss of Edge Hill University in Lancashire [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edge_Hill_University] misdescribes (?) Alison Chabloz as “a holocaust revolutionist“! Well, if the cap fits, though “revisionist” was probably the term used in court. Ms. Bliss also mispells Elie Wiesel’s name as “Wiezel”. How about “weasel”?

Sadly, most of the report is behind a paywall.

More tweets seen

Below: looks as though someone has woken up, at least…

My feelings exactly: Boris Johnson, Boris-idiot, completely out of his depth as Prime Minister, a part-Jew public entertainer, is turning the UK into a banana republic. It was already on the way there, but that idiot has made it official

Still, so what if he bunged one of his not-very-interesting-looking girlfriends a hundred grand or so out of public funds? Worse things happen in black Africa…oh, wait…

Seems that only 12% of people have really thought this through, while 47% are a panic-stricken mob.

Look at the graph below. Look at “actual impact”…

Image

Nigel Farage

A complete busted flush. The man has the gall to continue whining about illegal migration (migration-invasion) to the UK, while having stabbed in the back his own party (parties, really, meaning both UKIP and Brexit Party) because he wanted to enable the victory of the misnamed “Conservative” Party, and (of as much importance for someone who is plainly another doormat for the Jewish lobby) the defeat of Corbyn’s Labour Party.

Of course, what he says about the invasion is true, but he carries no weight. It is partly because of his electoral manipulation that the present government has a large majority; thus a thick-as-two-short planks Ugandan Indian, Priti Patel, now sits, uselessly, as Home Secretary, doing nothing to stem the invasion (of which she herself and her parents were part, albeit in the wider sense).

and see here (below) a metropolis-based newspaper drone (columnist, deputy editor), one Sarah Baxter, laughing at concerns around the migration-invasion. Well, why should she worry? £500,000 a year (at a guess)? Large house or penthouse? Good neighbourhood(s)? Second home in the country?

Yes, he is right. Trust in the mass media, especially the BBC, is at rockbottom:

Image

DNe0-uXXcAAlTCh

This is an organized and/or facilitated invasion of this country, an invasion by persons who have no connection with Britain, and who will be millstones round the neck of the people.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_von_Coudenhove-Kalergi

Anyone who supports the invasion in any way is treacherous.

This is, to be rather topical, like a foreign element entering an organism, breeding fast, and eventually killing the host.

https://www.westernspring.co.uk/the-coudenhove-kalergi-plan-the-genocide-of-the-peoples-of-europe/

Lord Sumption writes…

Image

Freedom? What’s that?

Hitchens should look to the source…

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…while not forgetting the “useful idiots”…

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More tweets

Foray

Had to emerge from my cave to complete my appointed rounds. On the return journey, my less than contented mood was made worse as I went through a more or less suburban area, only to see some rabbits waiting at the end of their short drives or standing in gardens, about to participate in the State-promoted and socially-mandated “clapathon”. Not many, about one house out of about 20, I would say. Mostly very elderly, though there were a few odd children too. The sight of all the rabbits standing waiting, like robots, or serfs populating Potemkin villages, irritated me even more than it usually would.

Tweets seen

Some music to soothe the cares of the day

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Further Thoughts About The Recent General Election

I am just putting down stray thoughts. I shall update this during the day and thereafter.

I have already blogged about the General Election result:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/12/13/reflections-on-the-2019-general-election/

It may be that the most significant fact about the General Election result is that the Conservative Party vote increased by only 1.2 points vis a vis 2017, from 42.4% to 43.6%.

The Labour vote decreased from about 40% to 32.2%. So about 8 points.

It follows that this was not some kind of “Conservative” surge, but a function of the relative collapse of the Labour vote. It also means that Boris-idiot in 2019 is scarcely more popular than was Theresa May in 2017.

Logically, it is unlikely that the economic and social situation in the UK will improve much, if at all, between now and 2022, let alone December 2024, the maximum term of this Boris-idiot government.

We know that, as far as members go, the Con Party has, or had earlier this year, 140,000 members, a quarter of the size of Labour; of which 90,000+ voted for Boris Johnson to lead them. Members, though, are less important than voters.

The membership of the Conservative Party increased greatly in late-2018 to early-2019. 36,000 new members. There were speculations about “entryism”, maybe by former UKIP members:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/21/more-than-half-of-tory-members-would-ruin-party-over-brexit

It is a fair inference that those new 36,000+ members were almost all Boris partisans. Without them, he might even not have been elected leader.

The Conservative Party is now in charge of a government built on shifting sands.

The average Conservative member is over 60 now (though all major System parties now have averages over 50). About half are over 70 years of age.

The typical Conservative voter is at least middleaged, and in fact usually an elderly person. Only in those over about 60 years of age is there a majority in favour of the Conservative Party.

The above-cited Guardian article now adds this rider:

“• This article was amended on 24 June 2019 because an earlier version referred to a supposed “geriatric membership”. Geriatric refers to a branch of medicine; octogenarian was meant. This has been corrected.”

An “octogenarian” membership?!

The obvious if ghoulish corollary to the above is that very many Conservative Party members and many Con voters will not see the next general election (assuming that there is one…).

Shifting sands

The new Conservative MPs from the North and Midlands represent areas traditionally not Conservative. The roots are shallow.

One sees that the constituencies where the Labour Party was not so much affected by the mainly white voter-defection to the Conservative Party were those areas largely inhabited by non-whites. See, for example, Liz Kendall’s seat at Leicester West:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leicester_West_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

  • Liz Kendall got just under 50% of the vote, compared to about 60% in 2017 and about 47% in 2015.
  • David Lammy’s seat at Tottenham:  76% in 2019, as against 82% in 2017 and 67% in 2015

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leicester_West_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

The msm-applauded “surge” to the Conservatives (in fact only 1.2 points) nationally, which was really an 8-point withdrawal from Labour, has scarcely touched those and similar seats. That supports my view that Labour, in terms of votes, is now largely (not entirely) the party of the “blacks and browns”.

It also supports my view that what the people really want, subconsciously, is a less militarized, less German, more “British” form of National Socialism, but brought into the contemporary arena as social-nationalism or the like.

If the economy tanks for whatever reason (mishandled Brexit, a continuation of the “austerity” nonsense of Osborne and Cameron-Levita, world events), then the brief “popularity” of Boris-idiot and the misnamed “Conservatives” (which in any case is not so: Con Party up only 1.2 points; though Labour is unpopular) will soak away into the desert sand. Will the people then look to “Labour”? Or elsewhere?

One thing is sure: the people cannot vote for a party that does not exist.

So far, since the demise of the BNP, the only alternatives —indeed one alternative under two successive names— to System parties have been UKIP and Brexit Party, effectively the same or under the same control when significant. Controlled opposition. Fakes. Parties posing as conservative “nationalist” while having candidates who were black, brown, Jew, you name it. Even a couple of ex-Marxist “revolutionary” lesbians. And the rabbits all accepted it. Even the “antifa” idiot-mob made those parties a major target of their bile, taking them as they assumed that those parties were, not as they really were.

A few quite random tweets I saw today, which seem to be symptomatic of the craziness of the general election farce that the UK’s degenerate political milieu has just held:

People in Scunthorpe (!) so desperate for a better life and a better UK that they will vote Conservative! My take? “Labour is mostly trash, the Conservative Party is 99% trash, and so people clutch at straws as they drown.”

And what about this one (below)? Jew ex-Labour Party types happy that (of all “people”…I call the bastard “devil”) Iain Duncan Smith kept his seat! For the Jews, it really is always “all about them”, whether it be the 2019 General Election, the evil Con regimes of 2010-2019, or the Second World War.

Below: Jews crying with happiness that a finance-capitalist government has been “elected” by lies and big money advertising…

Who is “gnasher jew”? Appropriately enough, they are not one Jew but legion, but here is one, anyway:

“Gnasher Jew” (one of that cabal of several Jews…) tweeted a semi-literate tweet a few months ago to the effect that I am “a convicted anti-Semite”. No, not convicted of “antisemitism” (which would in fact be impossible anyway, because “antisemitism” is not a criminal offence in the UK) or anything else.

Labour news

I see that Laura Pidcock, now 32, lost her seat at North West Durham. She is all too typical of young Labour MPs (many of whom are now ex-MPs): sole non-political job a few weeks or months as a “mental health support worker” (in her case): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laura_Pidcock

Laura Pidcock is so very typical: “anti-racist” “activist”, a kind of post-Marxist; probably solid on grass-roots problems such as poverty, but I doubt that I am guessing too wildly if I say that she probably thinks that mass immigration is great for the people of the UK. And so on. Well, that’s her binned politically.

Now we move on to a Labour MP who, unfortunately, is still in place: Jess Phillips. This ignorant horrible woman was the subject of one of my “Deadhead MPs” blog articles:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/05/07/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-jess-phillips-story/

There is now a push from the Jewish lobby and msm to make this ignorant creature Labour leader! Labour, the party of Attlee, Wilson, Blair (whatever their flaws and whatever my own criticism of their policies and direction)…

Jess Phillips is pushing herself forward, despite her lack of culture and education:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/14/working-class-voters-didnt-trust-labour-jess-phillips

Her article, in that stronghold of “working-class” life, The Observer, says that “disappointed” ex-Labour voters voted Conservative; but we have seen that the Conservative vote only went up, nationally, by 1.2 points, so not many former Labour voters did vote Con. Probably more in the North. Generally, they may well have stayed home and not voted, though.

There is also the point that only two-thirds (67.3%) of those eligible turned out to vote.

As one might expect, Jess Phillips’s article does not identify what Labour might do to regain its position, just says that the swing would have to be on the scale of 1997. I am scarcely a fan of Blair, Brown etc, but we have descended into farce if their positions or roles will be taken by Jess Phillips and…who? Yvette Cooper? (shudders…)

The accompanying photograph certainly makes my point about Labour being now largely the party of the “blacks and browns”! Hardly a white face…

Here (below) we see someone who is evidently not one of the world’s great thinkers:

Ever heard of mass immigration? Also known as “migration-invasion”. 13 million since 1997, plus births, plus illegals. Those eligible to vote and who do vote, all vote Labour.

…and look at this arrogance!

Oh, right….”serious current affairs shows” (there are few, if any, anyway) should not give time to “extremists“….Of course, giving time to Indian “Scottish” women who apparently do stand-up comedy and a bit of msm talking-head droning about politics (mainly about how there is supposedly too much “antisemitism”) is OK… of course….oh, no, wait…

Update, 15 December 2019

As expected, the msm are going mad about the “crushing victory” of Boris-idiot and the Con Party, despite the fact that the Conservative vote-share only increased by 1.2 points over what it was in 2017.

I missed this:

In Hartlepool, where Labour has always won, usually with over 50% of the vote and sometimes with over 60%, Labour won again, but on its lowest vote-share ever, only 37.7%. The stunning fact is that the Conservative candidate, in second place, got 28.9% and the Brexit Party candidate (Tice, Farage’s 2-i-c), got 25.8%. In other words, had either the Conservative Party or Brexit Party not stood, Labour would have lost that once very safe Labour seat, and by some margin.

Back on the Jewish front…

The Jewish actress and anti-Corbyn tweeter, Frances Barber (who was rather rude about me a few times when I had a Twitter account), now suggests (see below) that some Corbyn supporters be shot! Will the police be interested? No. However, were anyone to suggest that Con-supporting or Jewish-lobby-supporting persons should be shot, M. le Commissaire Plod would be on the case immediately.

Image

and note how totally irrelevant New York-based loonie and former/one-time/briefly/disgraced ex-MP Louse —I mean Louise— Mensch, tries to seem relevant to British political life, even now!

LouiseMenschDrugging

[above, Louise Mensch, who admitted that hard drugs “messed with” her brain…]

The febrile atmosphere today

Perhaps some people take some things too seriously; others just laugh:

Speaking for myself, I’m laughing, or at least smiling, already!

BqhtYX6IcAA_3Lk.jpg large

 

Labour’s slow decline

I usually make fun of Ash Sarkar e.g.https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/01/disordered-and-infantile-people/ , but she makes good (if to me obvious) points here:

The Jews are crowing

Partly because they now have a low-tax government packed with Jews, pro-Jews, pro-Israel Zionists, even Israeli agents. Mainly, though, because they have got rid of Corbyn. He and his people may still be there, but they are there in the manner of El Cid in the film with Charlton Heston. The Cid is dead, but is put back on his horse and rides out. In the case of the Cid, to victory, but in the case of Corbyn, over the field of defeat. The Jews have “won”, but only over Corbyn-Labour. “Their” victory may prove to be Pyrrhic and/or short-lived.

Of course, I should have preferred to see a weak, minority government headed by Corbyn, but for me the General Election result also has its good aspects (already blogged about), such as the “Labour Friends of Israel” MPs getting the order of the boot: Ruth Smeeth, Anna Turley, Mary Creagh, Emma Reynolds etc. Luciana Berger also failed. Others too. Parliament has been purged, albeit in limited fashion. John Woodcock, John Mann, Ian Austin— all gone. Jo Swinson too, who was almost creepily pro-Zionist.

ds3

[Get down there, you devil, where you wanted me to go!]

Now?

Despite the election result being very much not to my taste, I scent prey here. Now that Labour has been badly wounded, the present evil ZOG regime does not have any real Opposition in Parliament or outside Parliament. The few hundred protesters in Whitehall were easily contained and were little more than an almost-peaceful sideshow.

This should be the moment when a social-national party or movement should arise, with the horns of a lamb and the words of a dragon.

More from Labour

Interesting:

We are witnessing the beginnings of a fundamental realignment in British politics. The old tribalisms are crashing down around us. How Labour responds to this will determine whether it remains a serious political force or is instead destined to become a party of permanent protest.” [Unherd/Blue Labour]

Also:

We’re back! (see below). “Economically-radical” —and national— “socialism”… 

Quite a lot of sense in there, but you cannot put new wine in old bottles. Both Labour and Conservative parties are dying. The election hullabaloo should not disguise that. Labour is going straight down now.

“Centrism”, i.e. returning to Blair-Brown times, the Zionist-Labour controllers monitoring the British people and destroying their race and culture (as well as their rights) will not wash now.

Likewise, multikulti Corbyn-Labourism, with its “anti-racism” and “antifascism”, and its tired, hackneyed references to “No Pasaran!”, “Cable Street”, “kick racism out of…blah blah blah”, and the lip-service paid to (dear God…) WW2 “holocaust” fakery and hoaxes, not to mention support for Cuban “socialism”, 1980s Nicaragua or the disastrous Venezuelan regime, is a very dead duck.

McDonnell, the worst thug “antifascist” (and IRA acolyte) of the lot at senior level in Labour (and who played a double game, sucking up to the Jews at every opportunity), was pictured on TV, in his garden, looking like a bemused “grandad” who has just been tipped out of his wheelchair and mugged. He’s gone, finished.

The “parties” of con-man Farage (UKIP, Brexit Party, any new one he may start) are dead too, as are the LibDems.

Only a new social-national party and movement can save the people of Britain.

Even elements of Labour, as seen above, are starting to recognize the correct direction of travel. What matters are the fundamentals:

  • the elements of a “threefold social order” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_threefolding
  • the foundation for a better society and a better world can only now be that of European race, nation and culture;
  • there must be a cultural revolution to “drain” (or drown) the swamp(s): msm, politics, law, academia.

Westminstermonkeyhouse

Britain’s mass media 2019:

Unsuccessful Parliamentary candidate Fazia Shaheen (Labour), who came fairly close to beating evil Iain Dunce Duncan Smith at Chingford, questioned by presenter Emma Barnett (who describes herself as “a Jew in disguise“) and part-Jew ex-MP Jack Straw.

I was sent interesting information this evening, a map showing what the Parliamentary map of the UK would look like had only those aged 18-24 voted last Thursday (ignore the comment appended by the named “alt-Right/alt-Lite” British-resident ex-Muslim. That comment is absurdly simplistic, ignoring the real reasons why the young favour Labour, i.e. student debt, degrees that are often worthless in all ways, high rent, impossibility of buying a house or even getting a mortgage, low pay, exploitation etc). The map itself is stunning.

118to24voting

You see the result, above. All seats Labour, except for about (?) 20 SNP, about 20 LibDem, and 1 Plaid Cymru. No Conservative Party seats at all, not even in the most affluent parts of the South of England.

That is the train the Conservative Party has coming down the track at it. It may well be that the 18-24 y o voters of today may be less “anti-Conservative”, less pro-Labour in say 2024, when they are 23-29, but even if that map only shows a 75% picture, indeed if it displays even a 50% picture, the future for the Conservative Party is bleak. That bleakness can be intensified by looking at the present Conservative voters aged 65+. That is the hard core of the Conservative vote, and much of it will not exist in 2024.

So, demographically, the Conservative Party vote will have (literally) died by 2024. Not entirely, but to a great extent. The non-Conservative vote will have greatly increased. The only question is, will that new vote be for Labour, or something else, something completely new?

Update, 16 December 2019

Interesting fact. Had Labour received a total of only 2,227 more votes over 7 constituencies in 2017, i.e. about 320 votes extra, averaged, in each of those 7 constituencies, it could then have formed a minority/coalition government with smaller parties:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/corbyn-election-results-votes-away-prime-minister-theresa-may-hung-parliament-a7782581.html

Corbyn would then have been Prime Minister and Boris-idiot would probably never even have become Conservative leader; at any rate, Labour might have ruled until 2022. Another example of the madness of Britain’s electoral system, whichever way you look at it.

LibDems

Seems that Jo Swinson is likely to get a fake “peerage” soon. A reward for failure? A reward for doormatting for the Jewish lobby, for sure.

Meanwhile, the 11 remaining LibDem MPs will be voting for a leader. Seems that a woman just elected as MP may get the job.

Boundary changes soon to be implemented will probably reduce the LibDem MP cadre to about 3, assuming that any survive the next general election anyway. Is there really any purpose to the LibDems now? The Con Coalition of 2010-2019 destroyed LibDem credibility, then since 2017 Jo Swinson’s behaviour killed any remaining respect that the voters may have retained for this joke party.

The House of Lords is a bad joke too. There are “peers” such as (soon) Jo Swinson, i.e. failed, old or mediocre ex-MPs. There are peers who were “ennobled” because they were cronies of Prime Ministers or other party leaders.

One woman (Michelle Mone) is there because she posed for a while as a successful “entrepreneuse” flogging lingerie. What a farce! [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michelle_Mone,_Baroness_Mone#Politics][https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultimo_(brand)#History].

That particular one picked up a very wealthy boyfriend later, and is actually at the Lords rarely if at all. At least that saves the State and people the taxfree £310+ per day “peers” are paid if they sign in for 10 minutes! Her company ceased trading in 2018.

Then we have the odds and sods in the Lords, elevated to make a good headline, such as the instant West Indian “baroness” who is in the Lords because her son was killed by white youths in a bus shelter in the 1990s. You really could not make it up!

Jew wants Labour to die

He also wants his pound of flesh…

[by the way, that photo is not him but an actor; the Jew looks very different and not at all “heroic”!][Update, 23 August 2020: the “avatar” photo has gone, replaced by that cartoon. I believe that I once saw “Nuddering”, then on Twitter as “The Nuddering Nudnik” (it means something in Yiddish), on TV: a thin bearded Jew, and possibly with mental problems, in my opinion].

Labour leadership contest (not yet —officially— going)

The System is pushing for Lisa Nandy to replace Corbyn. Below, Kay Burley, Sky News talking head:

Kay Burley is very much of the System msm. Paid hundreds of thousands a year, and her ex-husband (and father of her child) is a Jew:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kay_Burley#Personal_life

I sympathize with Labour members and supporters if the choice is going to be between Lisa Nandy and Jess Phillips. Good grief!

Lisa Nandy is the kind of person the System would love to have as “Labour” leader: half-Indian, grandfather a Liberal Party MP and, in later life, a Liberal peer, and (despite her rhetoric about getting close to “our communities”) has never worked outside politics, unless you include some politicized charity work (researcher etc). Pro-migration-invasion. Anti-Corbyn so probably pro-Jew. Has a child but is not married to the father, who is a “public relations consultant”. She even has a link to one of the renamed and all-but-toothless (and politically-correct) trade unions:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lisa_Nandy

http://acolliscommunications.com/

As to Jess Phillips, I blogged about her a while ago:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/05/07/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-jess-phillips-story/

While Lisa Nandy is not my idea of a politician for Britain, and for several reasons, she is a serious figure, whereas Jess Phillips is just a vulgar bad joke.

Jews try to repress free speech in the UK even more now

The “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [CAA] is raising money in order to wage “lawfare” against anyone they label “antisemitic”. In a day or so, the “CAA” has already raised nearly £70,000 from about 30 Jews. About £2,500 average apiece. Of course, to suggest that Jews are more affluent than native/real British people would be “antisemitic”, so they would say…

Meanwhile, the Boris-idiot ZOG (Zionist Occupation Government) and the Zionists “behind the arras” are quickening plans to destroy free speech and dissent:

The Boris Johnson/”Conservative” Party ZOG victory in the general election was procured via Jewish money and mass media influence. “It was the Jews wot won it”, to adapt the famous Sun headline of 1992. See below:

Note the “fellow British citizens” weaselling.

The Golan Heights Chardonnay must have flowed like water.

Now the Zionists are, as noted already, preparing to attack free speech in even more ambitious and evil ways, by using large amounts of Jewish money to misuse the British legal system:

Emily Thornberry threatens to sue ex-MP Caroline Flint! “I’m lovin’ it…”!

Caroline Flint says that Emily Thornberry (aka Lady Nugee— her husband is a half-Jewish High Court judge; see photograph below) said that those in the North etc who voted Conservative instead of voting Labour in their “ancestral”/traditional habit, are or were “stupid”. Well, motivations for voting are complex sometimes, but if Emily Thornberry said that, I can see her point!

EmilyThornberryIsraelLobby

[above, Emily Thornberry, her husband (on right of picture) and the Israeli Ambassador, Mark Regev, at a Zionist banquet in London]

Boris Johnson could ditch promise to guarantee workers’ rights and environmental protections after Brexit, No10 suggests

[headline, The Independent]

Well, that did not take long. 3-4 days into the Boris-idiot ZOG regime and the lying “promises” are already being broken…

Anything is now justifiable to remove “Boris”, his ZOG Cabinet and this whole (misnamed) “Conservative” regime procured by lies and huge amounts of money.

Remember the poll tax?

BBC and other msm bias?

Which is why non-msm news and comment websites have become so popular. Popular with the public, though not with the System.

Now I read that The Canary [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Canary_(website)] is going to be “investigated” by ex-Labour ex-MP and doormat for Zionist Jewry, John Mann. The political and social milieu  in the UK is now almost Stalinist, albeit well-disguised. People, whole parties (Labour now) and news outlets placed “under investigation” by pro-Jew, pro-Israel apostates like Mann and John Woodcock. Ironically, the editor of The Canary is herself a Jewish lesbian.

I suppose that “lord” Mann would approve of the incitement to violence by an ersatz “Jewess” called Charlotte Nichols, who (just) managed to get elected at Warrington North:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warrington_North_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

https://jewishnews.timesofisrael.com/charlotte-nichols-nazis/

https://www.thejc.com/news/uk-news/jewish-labour-candidate-antisemitism-something-i-really-want-resolved-general-election-1.494150

In fact this woman, about whom there is not a great deal of information in the public domain, is a convert to Judaism, apparently. The traditional Jews do not even allow that. She made an amusingly bullshit statement to the TV to the effect that “as a Jewish woman” (which she is not, really) “whose grandfather fought in WW2” (so what? So did mine— BEF France, Dunkirk, later Burma— it’s usually Jews who make a big thing of that now, 75-80 years later, to try to sound somehow “credible” on such topics…she has learned from them, it seems…).

Is Charlotte Nichols aware of the terrorism that Jew-Zionist extremists unleashed against British soldiers (soldiers just like her grandfather) in Palestine after (and indeed before) 1945 (and against civilians too)? Bombs, bullets, the Jews even hanged some British soldiers.

“What goes around comes around”… [an American saying]

In fact, I feel that the country is turning away from civilities. The Zionist Jews are intensifying their well-funded abuse of the legal system for political purposes, and here is a “Jewish” woman (ersatz or “self-identifying”, so be it) saying that “Nazis” “should get their heads kicked in“.

In fact this Charlotte Nichols is not a known political quantity. “Brought up in the North West” but “living in London”, according to Wikipedia, which contains little else about her, not even her age or parentage. She has apparently been a trade union office-bod for several years.

This is what she says about herself:

https://www.thejc.com/comment/comment/jewish-convert-kaddish-gaza-charlotte-nichols-1.464705

Here is what the Daily Mail had to say about her prior to her election:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7724983/Labour-election-candidate-probed-police-shes-accused-giving-false-address.html

and the Telegraph:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/11/16/labour-candidatehas-repeatedly-attacked-critics-jeremy-corbyns/

In her TV interview, she mentioned that her opponents “made use of” her “medical history” or some such. Are we talking mental health “issues”? I wonder…

She says that she was born in Romford, East London, but brought up in Reading:

https://tribunemag.co.uk/2019/11/why-im-standing-for-warrington-north

She sounds like a loonie, in fact.

Update, 17 December 2019

Having woken up unwillingly, thanks to a gardener using a very noisy leafblower, my thoughts about what is left of the Labour Party are not very kind, especially having yesterday also noticed the comments of that Warrington North loonie (see above).

The prevailing wind at present comes from the wishful thinking direction. Labour is not the only example. However, it is a good example.

I saw it during the internal election that brought Corbyn to power. One instance was a Labour rally/meeting in York, which was in all the newspapers. Labour sources were ecstatic. Corbyn attracted about 2,000 or more listeners, maybe it was even 5,000. Yet the York area, as I tweeted at the time (the Jews, those benefactors of humanity, had not yet managed to have me expelled from Twitter), has about 210,000 people. You see my point. The crowd may have looked huge but was only 1%-2% of the population.

Nigel Farage was getting crowds of 2,000 recently, but in the end, the net result was almost zero.

Wishful thinking…Yes, Boris-idiot has plenty too, and his supporters more, but I am talking about Labour now.

When I used to hear Corbyn talking about politics, it was often like wandering into the Collet’s London Bookshop in Charing Cross Road c.1976. Militant, Tribune, the Morning Star, posters about anti-apartheid rallies, the socialist struggle in Latin America, Fascism, “No Pasaran!“, Cable Street etc.

Many many years ago, maybe 35-40 years ago, when I was learning Russian, I was always struck by the masthead of the newspaper Izvestia, which showed, inter alia, a picture of the cruiser Aurora, whose single (and blank) shot was a key event in the Bolshevik takeover of late 1917.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_cruiser_Aurora#October_Revolution_mutiny. It always seemed to me a symptom of a state political system preserved in jelly, or ossified. A state stuck in the battles of 60 years before.

The self-described “Left” in Britain is also like that (though I myself always avoid the use of “Right”, “Left” etc as unhelpful and undescriptive). So we get Labour MPs still, in 2019, talking about “Cable Street” (which they evidently do not know much about anyway), and which took place 83 years ago, as if it means something today. No. It does not. https://www.oswaldmosley.com/battle-of-cable-street/

Another myth is that trade unions still mean something. They don’t. Anyone listening to the last few Secretaries-General of the TUC could understand easily that the old powerful (sometimes too powerful) British trade unions of the 1970s and 1980s, destroyed by the outcome of a few large strikes (notably the Miners’ Strike) and by other factors (Conservative government legislation, but more importantly the gradual closure of heavy industry and then almost all manufacturing and extractive industry, and above all by immigration on a vast scale), have become toothless, politically-correct bodies not even much good as “workers’ advice” centres.

Mass immigration has destroyed much in the UK. One victim has been effective trade unions. Big business loves mass immigration: more consumers, lower unit wage costs etc.

For the typical Labour MP, member, supporter, what I have just written is unacceptable. For those people, “Cable Street” still means something, trade unions are still a major fact, mass immigration is something not only not bad but very good, something to be (in their sickening bastard language) “celebrated”.

House of “Lords”

The tweet below does not say everything that could and should be said about the House of Lords, but it does say a lot.

The tweeter was kind enough not to overload his tweet with “inherited £300 million, or £500 million, pounds“.

In a way, though, that tweet, by that tweeter, is symptomatic of the whole of the self-describing “Left” or “socialist” side of UK politics generally (and indeed of most of what the System and “antifascists” call “the far Right”, too). The response to manifest injustice and to political chicanery is not the “aux armes, citoyens!” of French history, not the Germanenorden of German history, neither the disciplined ranks of SS and SA nor even the barricades of 1968 Paris. It is the bleat of the tweet, the bleat of people whose idea of being radical, and even edgily so, is to post a comment (being careful not to infringe the ever-more-repressive laws around what is lawful to say or not, as free speech is eroded).

This made me laugh:

The subject itself is not funny, of course:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7803721/One-200-Britons-homeless-figure-jumps-9-2016.html

Proportional Representation

Interesting to see that three-quarters of Labour supporters now back PR. The “Conservatives” see no need now that they have a large majority in the Commons, but their spell as top dogs may be both short and lead to a different outcome. Still, I detect seismic movement at last, deep under the surface. This may happen, at last, but not for the life of this Parliament.

Valete

Time to say goodbye (from this blog post). I think that I shall start a daily comments blog soon.

ds5

Update, 23 August 2020

Since I wrote the blog post above, a very good explanatory graphic was created to show where 2017 voters went in 2019:

Note that almost as many previous Labour voters failed to vote (at all) as went to all other parties combined.

General Election 2019 Daily Updated Blog (no.9)

I now have to again restart my 2019 General Election blog.

Update, 1830, 9 December 2019

Latest opinion poll

The above poll is the second in the past day or so  to show an upward movement in the Labour vote: this poll would leave the Conservatives 6 short of a majority. Only two opinion polls, so far, but together with the poll about preference for Prime Minister (Johnson on 39%, Corbyn on 32%, the latter very good compared to previous ratings), it may just be that we are seeing a swing to Labour, albeit modest.

Update, 10 December 2019

Only ONE clear day now before Polling Day

Well, as I thought would happen, and have recently blogged about, there is at last—at least some— movement toward Labour, or rather away from the Conservatives. The disgraceful and all-too-typical treatment of the little boy sleeping on a hospital floor may be Boris-idiot’s “Mrs Duffy” moment:

[Gordon Brown and Mrs Duffy in the 2010 General Election campaign]

I hated most of Gordon Brown’s policies and views (System ZOG/Bilderberg) and did not think much of him personally (judging admittedly mainly from what I saw in msm sources), but fair’s fair: Gordon Brown, as Prime Minister, was still head and shoulders above Cameron-Levita, May and now this total idiot, “Boris”. We have gone rather rapidly into politics as farce, or maybe tragi-comedy.

I was watching a few minutes of All Out Politics on Sky News. LibDems. People in woollen bobble hats in some fairly leafy area. Whenever you see the LibDems, you just know that those people have no serious financial or other problems, and that they (or their husbands, wives, parents) either have private incomes or (and/or) professional occupations. You may say that there is nothing wrong with that, but it does tend to lead to a rather unfocussed bien-pensant attitude or mindset.

I have met many many English people like that. They are those whose counterparts, in the Germany of the 1920s and early 1930s, could not imagine Hitler and the National Socialists coming to power on the back of popular need, and anger and disgust with the System; they are those who, in the Russia of early 1917, supported the Cadet Party and the liberals around Prince Lvov, and laughed at Lenin and his angry Bolsheviki who were, the well-meaning, comfortably-off folk thought, never going to get into power.

When I look at Liberal Democrats (I mean the rank and file, not the Con-lite careerists at the top of the party), I see people who basically are not angry enough. Not angry enough about little boys having to sleep and be treated on hospital floors, not angry enough about the UK swamped and flooded by immigrants and their (pop! pop! pop!) offspring, THIRTEEN MILLION since 1997! Not angry enough that British young people are not being trained in sufficient numbers as doctors and nurses. Not angry enough at Jew-Zionist speculators in the City of London (or the USA, or in Tel Aviv), refusing to be taxed for the benefit of the British people. Not angry enough at cultural degeneracy. And so on.

The LibDems have no bite.

Had Jo Swinson and her stupid little group of MPs not supported the Con attempt to force this election (thus shaming Labour into backing it), we would not be where we are, within sight of a possible alien ZOG regime holding real power. The only justification for voting LibDem is where the only likely alternative winner is Con.

Boris-idiot is getting worried

Boris-idiot and his cabal are getting worried that the Cons might not get a majority. I pray not. That little bastard, with his rote-learned bits of Greek and Latin, and his “look at me, I’m terribly clever and want to be World King” long and unusual words trawled from the Oxford English Dictionary, must not have power. At present, he has only the semblance of power.

Boris-idiot has for 20+ years acted out the part of someone hugely intelligent who almost “must” become Prime Minister. He has sold that persona to gullible people in the msm and public. Look at his record of both dishonesty and incompetence. He has never done a job properly, whether it be journalist, editor, MP, junior minister, Mayor of London , Cabinet minister and now Prime Minister.

We have been told for many years, in effect, “Boris has the ability to be PM, but does he have the integrity and character?” to which I have always replied, “Boris does not have the integrity and character, but he also does not have the ability”. In fact, where is his supposed intelligence proven? By getting a fairly mediocre Oxford degree? By failing at every job he has ever had? By scribbling a couple of derivative and all-but-plagiarized books about Churchill etc? By scribbling a brainless newspaper column?

People may wake up to the inadequacy of Boris-idiot as PM only when a real crisis happens and he is unable to deal with it. Look at the 2011 (mainly) black riots in London. Boris had no idea what to do. He made a gesture by turning up with a few people and brooms (and Press photographers) at Clapham; later buying (unusable) water cannon, weeks after the riots had stopped. He tried the old broom nonsense again in the recent floods. As (briefly, disastrously) Foreign Secretary, he mishandled the Iranian hostage matter so badly that the unfortunate lady in question was put in a yet worse position and even now remains in prison there.

More Boris (and Mail on Sunday) lies:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/10/break-embargo-expose-press-lies-labour

Latest polling:

Once again, the likely result is a hung Parliament, with Cons the largest party in the Commons but 6 MPs short of a majority. Good news.

I wonder whether the LibDems would prop up a Con regime? Maybe they would, maybe only if Brexit were either not implemented or the transition “extended” yet again, maybe for years. I am in any event expecting the LibDems to end up with only 5-10 seats.

The DUP have seen what a liar and horrible bastard Boris-idiot is. They will never support him again and may even vote his non-Brexit measures down. Happy day…

Ah! I nearly forgot to blog about the egregious Farage and his imploding “Brexit Party…

I heard Farage on Radio 4 Today Programme this morning. As ever, talking a good game. He either does not realize —or does realize but cannot redo it now— that standing down his candidates in Con-held seats only has simply destroyed Brexit Party as a credible party. Farage seems to look on his move as simple a clever manoeuvre to facilitate Brexit by supporting Boris-idiot and the Cons, despite the fact that

  • Boris Johnson’s Brexit is really BRINO, Brexit In Name Only;
  • Many Con MPs were (and as 2019 candidates are) Remainers or at best BRINO-ers.

The apparent fact (from listening to the radio interview) that Farage cannot understand why his candidates think that he has betrayed them says everything about this little man talking big (albeit that he is a good public speaker).

In fact, Farage and his top cabal not only let down the stood-down candidates but also all the other Brexit Party candidates, who now have no credibility whatever. Brexit Party is now on 2%-3% in all polls, but Farage still talks about how he hopes to get “a few…half a dozen” MPs! Cloud-cuckoo land.

Oh no…! It gets worse! Farage has now expelled two Brexit Party councillors, in Hartlepool, for being “racist”…

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50722346

and Richard Tice, the business bod who is Farage’s 2-i-c and candidate for the Hartlepool constituency, has joined in, insulting those councillors. Bye-eee, Tice! Not much chance now!

So the sacked councillor (sacked from failed and fake “Brexit Party”, but Farage has not the power to sack the man as a councillor) apparently said that “Muslims” “are outbreeding us”. Well, that is no more than the plain truth. In fact, it is true of not only the (99.9% non-white) Muslims in the UK, but really all of the blacks and browns. They usually have 3+, even 5+ children, whereas white British people often have no children, or merely 1 or 2. We are being outbred. It’s a fact.

Google “the Great Replacement”, or “the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan”.

Migration invasion is not merely a matter of rubber boats landing on the pebble beaches of Kent and Sussex, not merely the hordes arriving on ferries or at the major airports. It includes the offspring of those non-Brits already here.

Political imbeciles like Farage have had their day. His candidates only have one use now as far as I am concerned: to take away votes from the misnamed Conservatives. They will not take away many, unfortunately. Brexit Party is on only about 2% or so in the polls. In the average constituency, that means about 1,200 votes. Enough, hopefully, to block a few Conservative wins, anyway.

A reader of my blog (not someone I know personally) just sent me this, which I think is the sort of account of NHS care etc that the System politicians ignore:

“Just got home after 4 hours at Hosp’ amazing that our treatment is free on the NHS and thank God.
[medical and identifying details blanked out]

Impossible not to notice that the various nurses, doctors and radiographers with the exception of one (from New Zealand) were either Indian, Iranian, Chinese, or one from Zaire and they seemed to all have accents, so not educated here. The Tory’s were stupid to stop the bursary for nurses and to make it a degree course, now we have to import fully trained NHS staff from elsewhere because Brit girls can’t afford to do the degree. On the other hand, apart from myself, the only other white lady in the waiting room was an Irish lady.

The question is if we didn’t have so many immigrants as patients, we wouldn’t need so many staff, so how would [name and location of hospital blanked out] hospital have looked this a.m. if we had no immigrants on either side? I am always told that we HAVE TO bring in immigrants to pay the taxes needed to cover the cost/care of our elderly, which makes it sound like some dodgy pyramid scheme. Surely every immigrant also becomes a user of health care, of our education system for their children, policing etc. Does the average tax and National Insurance contribution cover what we take out? Someone must know. I remember one (Arab) family who came here as refugees a long time ago. They had 10 children and the father was a Doctor. So far so good. Then the Mum bolted, eventually the younger children got taken into care, the older children were given council flats, then eventually the younger ones grew up, left care and got into council flats too. Before the children were ultimately taken into care the Dad had to give up working to care for them, so how much did that one family cost us so far? As far as I hear, none of the children have gone on to be high earners.

Why is Britain so stupid as to give refugees Nationality? We can shelter people until whatever disaster made them flee, then send them home with a few thousand pounds to help them on their way. We can offer fixed term contracts for those whom we need to work here.”

Why indeed?…

I thought that worth posting. The account of someone who is, according to the viewpoint of System drones, far less ideological and far less “extreme” than I am supposed to be…

“Against stupidity, the Gods themselves struggle in vain” [Schiller, Die Jungfrau von Orleans]

An example of the application of that quotation:

Well, no-one should ever underestimate the stupidity of the mob: they know that their candidate has no chance, but instead of voting tactically, or just staying at home, they will go out and proudly exercise their pseudo-democratic right! Idiots.

Vote for animal welfare

One clear day to go before Polling Day and most opinion polls still have the Conservatives between 5 and 15 points ahead of Labour. LibDems are not going to do well and Brexit Party is “a dead man walking”.

Yet it need not be that the Cons get a majority. If, in the 50-100 most marginal constituencies, the under-45 voters turn out, the voters who do not usually vote turn out, the renters and students and poorly paid and unemployed etc turn out, and vote Labour or (tactically) for LibDem, SNP etc, it need not happen.

You are not voting for a Labour government, you are voting to stop an “elected” tyranny being imposed on the British people.

As things stand, Labour cannot get a majority, so all the scare stories about how East Germany circa 1970 is about to take over the UK are nonsense.

More polling news

YouGov predicting Con majority of 28 but “cannot rule out a hung Parliament”. In other words, there is still all to play for in those marginal seats.

The msm are now desperate to raise non-issues to damage Labour. The latest has been a series of comments (possibly in jest) by dimwit Jonathan Ashworth:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50726592

Anyone who votes Conservative, knowing what has been done since 2010, knowing what a nasty, squalid little liar and pipsqueak would-be tyrant Boris-idiot is, is an enemy of the British people.

A vote for the Conservatives is also not a “vote for Brexit”, because Boris-idiot wants a “Brexit In Name Only” and only pretends to want that much because he thinks that it will boost his MP numbers in this election. Wake up— he’s just a pathological liar.

Meanwhile, treacherous pro-Israel Jew and pro-Zionist ex-Labour MPs have stabbed Labour in the back at the crucial moment, taking out large Press advertisements (must have cost plenty…):

https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/dont-vote-labour-warn-former-17397217

If Boris Johnson and his alien ZOG Cabinet end Polling Day with a Commons majority, a majority procured entirely by lies and by dark manipulation of the corrupted msm, it could objectively be said that “normal” politics has been suspended and that a low-intensity civil war has begun.

Oh, before the witching hour, I must not forget to (as people say today) “shout out” to the voters of Lincoln: don’t be silly enough to vote for Israel doormat Karl McCartney, the “Conservative” expenses-blodger, who was cast out in 2017. Read my piece about him:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/04/26/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-karl-mccartney-story/

In other news, the Labour candidate in Chingford is polling only one or two points behind Dunce Duncan Smith:

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/my-mum-humiliated-iain-duncan-21066902

Normally, I would never “endorse” a non-English candidate, but in this case I hope that she wins, beating that evil cheating bastard Dunce (who is part-Jap anyway…).

Update, 11 December 2019

Polling Day is tomorrow!

So it has come down to the wire. Four years of (mainly) Jew-Zionist propaganda in the msm has obviously damaged Corbyn and so Labour. Having said that, when people forget Corbyn and think of parties and policies and general outlook, in my opinion Labour is probably doing better than many expected, at least.

The “Conservatives” are appalling and Boris-idiot is arguably the most appalling of the lot. I myself find it hard to imagine any reason why a voter would vote Conservative in this election, unless he or she is in the top 5% for income and/or capital and is voting purely on the basis of personal self-interest re. taxation .

“Boris” will not “deliver Brexit”; he will deliver a BRINO that is similar to those offered by Mrs May. He has an appalling record of incompetence and dishonesty (as have many Con ministers). What else is there? Empty promises from a man whose every word is a lie.

Still, the polls all show a national lead for Con over Lab, albeit far less of a lead with every day. How that translates into marginal seats, no-one really knows for sure. The election came two or three weeks late for the Cons, but it may have come several weeks too early for Labour to do really well.

On a wider view…

I hope so! Please God YES! (see conclusion of tweet by pro-Israel faux-proletarian scribbler Dan Hodges, below)

Labour, of course, is good only for stopping Boris Johnson and his alien ZOG Cabinet, stopping them from having a majority and then imposing a New World Order tyranny on the UK. Down the line, a new movement must arise, a social national party and movement to create a new and better society in the UK and across Europe.

Latest opinion polling (from Opinium):

That would give Boris-idiot a huge majority, if accurate. majority of 90+ MPs…

However, one of the more informed System commentators in the msm, John Rentoul, agrees with me, even using the same phrase!

From only an hour ago:

“Conservative” Britain 2019: not working for British people…

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/dad-forced-onto-universal-credit-21071794

In High Peak, Derbyshire, the “Conservative” candidate, Robert Largan (whose main interest seems to be Jews and Israel), is exposed here below:

“Boris Johnson wants to destroy the Britain I love. I cannot vote Conservative” [Peter Oborne]

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/11/boris-johnson-destroy-britain-conservative-revolutionary-sect

They also don’t ask how Boris Johnson meets his notoriously expensive private financial commitments on his meagre prime ministerial salary, now that he no longer enjoys his reported £250,000 a year from The Daily Telegraph. His hero Winston Churchill was helped out by lavish private subventions from business tycoons. Is history repeating itself?” [Peter Oborne]

https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/opendemocracyuk/as-a-lifelong-conservative-heres-why-i-cant-vote-for-boris-johnson/

Peter Oborne, sometimes eccentric, sometimes mistaken, but never without courage, has got this absolutely right.

Look at the “Cabinet” of Boris-idiot:

  • Boris Johnson, part-Jew, part-Turk, part-whatever, born in New York City, brought up largely in USA and Belgium; held US passport until recently. Went to Eton and Oxford, where he was a member of the young thug and vandal club, the Bullingdon. In order to join, he had to burn a £50 note in front of a homeless person…A former (earlier) member of the Bullingdon, David Dimbleby, has said that, until David Cameron-Levita and Boris Johnson joined, the Bullingdon was a club for young gentlemen.
  • Dominic Raab, part-Jew. Wants a completely soulless free market system. Very unpleasant. May be facing “certain allegations” from his staff…
  • Grant Shapps, Jew, best known for dodgy business dealings, such as masquerading, even in the Palace of Westminster, under other names, and trying to sell get-rich-quick scams to mugs; was head of the youth wing of the Jew-Zionist Bnai Brith organization;
  • Liz Truss, only became an MP on her back. Incredibly dim.
  • Sajid Javid, Pakistani born in UK. Ex-Muslim. Devotee of the crazed Jewish writer Ayn Rand. Fanatically pro-Jew and pro-Israel.
  • Rishi Sunak, wealthy Indian. Ex-Goldman Sachs. Another rootless cosmopolitan.
  • Priti Patel, Indian whose parents arrived from East Africa in the 1970s. Effectively an Israeli agent. Was sacked by Mrs May after having been exposed, but later taken on by Boris-idiot. Calls British workers “lazy”. Pro-Jew slavedriver.
  • Robert Buckland, thick Welsh barrister.
  • Brandon Lewis, thick barrow-boy barrister.
  • Andrea Leadsom, complete nonentity in the Theresa May mould.
  • Matt Hancock, once little more than a teaboy (with a degree) at Bank of England. Suited thug.
  • Therese Coffey, unpleasant moneygrubber. Tank-like, Guinness-drinking, cigar-smoking, but supposedly not a lesbian…
  • Gavin Williamson, former fireplace salesman. Deadhead. Idiot. Has pet spider and thinks that the UK can challenge China (which can put 850 large naval ships on the sea, as against UK’s 20) in the Far East, or Russia (which can if necessary field 4 million troops, as against UK’s 50,000-150,000) in the Baltic region. Idiot.
  • Amusingly misnamed James Cleverly, a “half-caste” (mother West African) who has a “degree” in “Hospitality Management” from a “McUniversity”. Thick. Atheist. Tried to get out of responsibility after having caused a car crash recently.
  • Michael Gove, cocaine-abusing pro-Jew, pro-Israel expenses cheat.
  • Robert Jenrick, entitled little pissant.

And there are more where they came from. As far as I know, all the Cabinet members around Boris-idiot are Friends of Israel members.

Latest opinion polling

The final polls for the main polling organizations have come out. The Cons are scoring in the range 41% to 45%, Lab from 32% to 36%.

On those strict figures, the 2019 General Election result could be anything from a Conservative majority of 100+ to a Conservative majority of about 10.

Bearing in mind that the polls can be out by several points either way, that means that the election result could be anything from an almost off-the-scale Con majority of somewhere between 100-150 and a hung Parliament with the Cons as many as 40 short of a Commons majority.

If the Cons really were hugely short of a majority, they would find it hard even to form a minority government, because the LibDems will probably get fewer than 20 seats (I am predicting maybe 10), and the SNP and others will not support the Cons. In that event, Labour, perhaps 50 short, will have the unexpected possibility to form a minority government with the SNP and others. If SNP get 50 seats, they alone could partner Labour. If not, others will have to come aboard. The LibDems are craven, so they might, whatever they now say.

A last word for voters in Lincoln

“The Lincolnite” does not seem to understand the meaning of “successive”! Never mind.

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/04/26/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-karl-mccartney-story/

For God’s sake, don’t vote in that freeloading chancer and pro-Israel Freemason, Karl McCartney, Lincoln voters!

It is now 2340. There is still all to play for. In the most marginal constituencies, voters can stop this slide into ZOG tyranny by denying Boris-idiot and his evil alien Cabinet a majority. Vote tactically contra the Cons.

I shall be starting a separate blog article for Polling Day.

My final word today:

General Election 2019 Daily Updated Blog (no.7)

Time for a new blog thread covering the upcoming General Election set down for 12 December 2019. As with the previous six, it will be updated many times daily.

Only 9 clear days left before Polling Day.

Boris-idiot must be stopped. It is not a matter of being “pro-Corbyn” or “pro-Labour” (which I am not, as such) but of stopping a superficially constitutional coup d’etat.

Johnson’s Cabinet is a pack of pro-Israel, pro-Zionist, pro-Jew traitors. Few are even British except in terms of their passports. In fact, Boris-idiot himself actually had a U.S. passport until 2017! He is part-Jew, part-Turk, part-God-knows-what, born in New York City, brought up in the USA and Belgium. His fake “English upper class” persona is a theatrical act on which he has worked all his miserable life.

Cartoons often explain political and social realities very clearly. Here is Boris-idiot misusing the recent terror attack for immediate political purposes:

boris

Below, David Davis making a fool of himself:

Pity. In some respects David Davis would have made a far better PM than Boris (well, almost anyone would, of course) but, at the same time, Davis is as thick as two short planks.

This morning, I heard some thick-sounding Welshman on Radio 4. Turned out that the weaselling idiot was the Secretary of State for Justice, Robert Buckland, no less!…

One of the most notorious Jewish Zionist fanatics takes yet again to Twitter to rail at a Corbyn supporter, in this case the singer Ed Sheeran.

 

So “50%” of Jews are “planning” to leave the UK if Labour “win” the election? Ha ha! I doubt it. Most of them, adopting the famous phrase of Macmillan, have never had it so good! We recall only too well Maureen Lipman‘s whining along the same or similar lines, starting in 2014. She’s still here, unfortunately.

Another example: former supposed “top defamation lawyer” Mark Lewis, the “top lawyer” whose only assets, according to the Solicitors’ Disciplinary Tribunal [SDT] under the auspices of the Solicitors’ Regulation Authority [SRA] at his 2018 “trial” —at which he was found guilty and fined—, were his own clothes, a mobility scooter and a pension worth £70 a week! “They” can certainly talk a good game! Lewis and his girlfriend/carer, Mandy Blumenthal, did go to Israel, i.e. emigrated, after Lewis was found guilty, but both have since returned on several occasions, and their emigration had nothing to do with Labour or Corbyn.

Mark Lewis was thoroughly exposed at his “trial” (disciplinary tribunal) as an offensively-ranting, medically slowly degenerating troll and fake, whose prescription drugs meant that (as he himself testified) he “did not know what he was doing” at times. He was also being jettisoned by his employers (in fact already had been, at time of trial) and had debts. He jumped ship, in effect.

[anyone wishing to read about Mark Lewis and his behaviour can do so here

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/11/update-re-mark-lewis-lawyer-questions-are-raised/

Below, Lewis once again giving flawed legal advice, this time about Israeli law!

Israel, despite being a liberal democratic country, is not an immigration country. Therefore, Israel does not have laws and regulations enabling foreigners who wish to come and settle Israel the opportunity to do so.”

https://www.visa-law.co.il/immigration-to-israel-and-israeli-citizenship/

“Both Zimmermann and Amar-Dahl describe a country that has historically welcomed, indeed, continued to actively seek Jewish immigrants from other countries. Yet, Israel shuns other refugees and immigrants. “They set a clear limit: admission for Jews only,”

https://www.dw.com/en/immigration-to-israel-one-mans-joy-is-another-mans-suffering/a-43769839

https://www.timesofisrael.com/most-israelis-dont-want-non-jewish-migrants-even-if-they-are-highly-skilled/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aliyah#Paternity_testing

As I have blogged in the past, I am very glad that “Mark Lewis Lawyer” is not my lawyer!

I had never heard of Ed Sheeran until about a year ago, and I would certainly not recognise any of his music, but I understand that he is quite popular. As to Silverman, whose sinister title at the Israel-lobby “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or CAA is “Head of Investigations and Enforcement”, you can read about him readily enough on the Internet. I myself  wrote this in 2017:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2017/07/13/when-i-was-a-victim-of-a-malicious-zionist-complaint/

The Jews (at least the Zionist, pro-Israel ones) seem to want to make this election, and British politics generally, all about them. An old saw says “be careful what you wish for”.

Leaving aside these nuisances, what about the real election news?

The news that struck me this morning is that the rail union, RMT, is planning to hold strikes, starting very soon. Well, recalling idiotic thickhead Bob Crow, the one-time (now deceased) leader of the RMT, I do not expect great intelligence from them, but it is hard to imagine anything more damaging to Corbyn and Labour than a strike on the railways just before a General Election!

It conjures up images of “the winter of discontent” in 1978-79. That actually affected relatively few people and did not last all winter either, but people who were not around then —and incredibly a few who were!— often tend to think of it as much more than it was; some think that the whole of the 1970s were either like that or “3 day weeks” because of power cuts (that was just a few weeks, and affected people only peripherally, as I recall, in 1974!). The RMT leadership are idiots. They want a Labour government, or at least for Labour not to be trashed, but then they do this!

And now for something completely different…

Politics should be an outcome of our adherence to our European race and culture, with roots going back into prehistory, but reaching out to a higher future evolution of society:

Just an antidote to the пошлость (“poshlost”) [Russian: tawdriness etc] of the present time…

I also wanted to honour that great conductor, Mariss Jansons (a half-Jew, in fact, as well as half-Latvian), who has died. His interpretations of Shostakovitch and some of the Scandinavian composers were very good.

This is not the place in which I should blog at length about the connection between race, culture and society, but let us at least keep that in mind during the hullabaloo of the election noise.

UKIP

It is a matter of mild amusement but no great surprise to me that UKIP is still around, though only as a shell. It failed to go social-national in 2014, and so failed to break through the FPTP voting scam-barrier in 2015. It slid lower and lower, until Farage found an excuse to desert. He then founded another waste-of-space party, which he has again stabbed in the back and deserted.

Meanwhile, the shell of UKIP is, incredibly, trying to pretend that it can win a seat or seats at this election! Here below is the “interim leader”, some silly old bag called Pat Mountain. I have searched online for information about Ms. Mountain but without much result.

I have blogged before about people who indulge in “hobby politics”, and this lady seems to be a prime example. While I do not disagree with her opposition to migration-invasion, she really should be knitting shawls, volunteering at the local cat rescue or just enjoying coffee with friends (all worthy pursuits, btw; I do not denigrate them) rather than pretending to lead a political party. Also, who are the other UKIP people, who are not ashamed to be led by someone like this?! Words fail…Take a look at the Sky News All Out Politics interview! (below)

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/patricia-mountain-ukip-tommy-robinson-general-election-1-6404488

 

 

She really thought that her time was too precious to waste finding out basic statistics like how many asylum applications were granted in the last year on record.

The problem is always “where do political parties go to die?”. When a party collapses, there is always a rump of it left for a while, like a piece of ocean flotsam. BNP, NF, UKIP, Communists (of various kinds) are still around. In this election, UKIP is actually fielding either 43 or 44 candidates (another fact of which its “interim leader” seems unsure). I do not know why UKIP is fielding candidates or why the individual candidates are bothering to stand. I am not a psychiatrist or religious counsellor.

As to the UKIP manifesto, released today, there is little wrong with the actual policies, in fact I agree with most of them, but UKIP people should stop hobby politicking and join a real social-national party— when one exists!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50628082

Latest poll:

 

 

 

As I was was blogging weeks ago, the polls are now narrowing. People who oppose Boris-idiot and his ZOG Cabinet are realizing that, to stop Boris-idiot, they need to vote Labour where Labour has a real chance and, where Labour has no chance, vote tactically for, in most cases, the LibDems (despite the flaws of the LibDems and Jo Swinson).

The ICM poll above indicates Conservatives as largest party but 16 MPs short of a Commons majority. That would be OK.

Update, 3 December 2019

So much for “the Conservative Party is the party of law and order”! I was just reading about a small, wealthy town in the South of England, which has one of the highest concentrations of millionaires etc outside parts of London and only small pockets of social housing and/or deprivation. Many houses are in the million-pound-plus bracket and few are worth less than half a million.

Apparently, 4 “yoots” in “hoodies” went around that wealthy quiet town for four hours on one recent night, attacking cars (18 cars in 13 quiet roads). They used crowbars, hammers and a rock so large that it had to be carried by two of the vandals together.

Residents of the town saw some of the vandalism but the vandals ran off when challenged, then carried on nearby. Some residents confronted the criminals but were threatened with a knife. The criminals were obviously unafraid. A number of residents not only saw or heard the crimes taking place but also called 999, only to be told to call 101, at which they were given a crime number and told that the crimes had been “registered”. Others were told that the police were “too busy” to attend.

The crimes noted above affected at least 18 people directly, possibly a hundred indirectly. According to the local newspaper, no-one has been arrested for the tens of thousands of pounds worth of damage: cars with windshields and windows put out, dents, holes etc.

The crime spree apparently went on for over 4 hours, until after 0200.

That town had its police station all but closed a few years ago (it is open for enquiries 9-5 but has few if any police, not even PCSO play police, stationed there). The town has a Conservative MP whom even local Conservatives agree is completely lazy and useless. The constituency is the 5th safest Con seat in the UK. The local council is all or almost all Conservative.

One has to ask: if the Conservatives cannot even keep safe an area like that, what chance London, Birmingham, Manchester? The citizens, unlike those of the USA, are forbidden from keeping, let alone using, firearms. Lawlessness triumphs. Would it have been so bad if the “youths” had been just shot? I don’t think so…

Voting Labour, at least where Labour have a reasonable chance of winning, will not bring about a Corbyn-Labour “Marxist” dictatorship, as his detractors (and even some of his supporters!) believe or pretend to believe. Labour, in this election, has little chance of getting even a small Commons majority. A minority Labour government (propped up by SNP etc) would never have the votes to push through some latter-day policy of, so to speak, “all power to the soviets!” or the like.

No. What you are doing, if you vote Labour (or, where Labour has no real chance, at least LibDem, SNP, or even Brexit Party), is preventing Boris-idiot from imposing a Jewish-lobby ZOG tyranny on the UK, a situation which could lead, eventually, to actual civil war.

On the other hand…

 

Tactical voting is not ideal, but in a situation where FPTP voting makes the election a rigged joke, may be the only option for many.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Meanwhile, Philip Schofield, who has been “doing very well” financially out of “Conservative” tax policies etc, nakedly partisan on TV (despite the General Election). He must have earned some brownie points with the Jewish lobby for this! Piers Morgan also bats for the Jew lobby… The msm is just infested…

 

 

I rarely agree with A.C. Grayling but I do now:

 

Latest opinion poll:

 

 

According to my calculations (using Electoral Calculus, including its Scotland prediction and tactical voting prediction), that would give the Con Party a Commons majority of 8. It is an open question whether the polls will continue to narrow. Maybe so, but the election is still very open either way.

8 clear days left until Polling Day.

This is the sort of evil which the Conservative Party has facilitated:

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/my-friend-died-after-being-21017627

“The Brexit Party has betrayed us”. Yes.

https://www.spiked-online.com/2019/12/03/the-brexit-party-has-betrayed-us/

Update, 4 December 2019

7 clear days left until Polling Day.

The tweet below makes a good point:

 

Not sure about exactly what “monthly tickets” are referred to, but the underlying meaning is sound: it costs far more in the UK to travel by train vis a vis most countries.

Here’s a tweet about the NHS, which the Boris-idiot Jewish-lobby ZOG Cabinet is planning to “sell off”, i.e. make into a market where (((American))) interests can make more money:

 

 

 

Johnny Mercer, former Army officer and Con candidate for Plymouth Moor View (MP 2015-2019) is getting into more trouble.

I had thought (initially, when Mercer became an MP) that he was better than the Conservative MP average. Wrong. Turned out to be a moneygrubber as well as being an incompetent. Credit where due, though: he did, with reason, call Theresa May’s government “a shitshow”. Rough tough soldier language.

 

 

 

I cannot comment on his military record, but I have to admit that in other ways Johnny Mercer is starting to annoy me. His outside “earnings”, for one thing; also, the fact that he “employs” his wife part-time (on MP expenses). Such family members can make anything up to £50,000, all paid out of Parliamentary expenses. The family income must have flourished since Mercer (who left the Army in 2013 with the modest rank of Captain) became an MP. I wonder what, if anything, his wife does for that money. A “nice little (extra) earner”, anyway.

Mercer is also pro-Jew, pro-Israel. Well, if he were not, I suppose making those extra pennies might be more difficult. He would probably be blacklisted.

In the tweet below, Mercer bats once again for the Jewish lobby, this time against a Jewish woman who opposes the established Jewish-Zionist lobby. Seems that, for Mercer, she is “the wrong kind of Jew”…

 

 

I missed this (below) yesterday, probably because Newsnight became so bloody boring as to be almost unwatchable years ago (I never see it now):

 

As for the NHS under a Boris-idiot government…

 

 

LibDems

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/jo-swinson-conservatives-majority-general-election-progressive-a9232361.html

I do not agree with the writer of that Independent piece that the election is cut and dried. True, the Conservatives are still ahead. True, Boris-idiot is still, incredibly, preferred as PM by 40% of voters (Corbyn is on 22%). True, bad weather is forecast for 12 December, which helps the Cons (because many of their habitual voters are elderly and vote by post).

As against that, the level of the “youth vote” (meaning the under-35s) is hard to quantify but, in marginal constituencies, could change everything….if they vote…

Likewise, it may be that, as the LibDems slide to near-irrelevance in most constituencies, Labour will benefit from the LibDem failure (or will those LibDem voters just stay home?).

At any rate, for me the election is not cut and dried. The writer in the Independent thinks that it is, that Boris-idiot will get a majority and will then impose an elected dictatorship. I do not rule that out and, if it happens, there may only be one way to remove Boris and his MPs (and I think that my readers will be able to guess my meaning), but he has to get a majority first, and that may not happen.

As for Jo Swinson, I agree there with the Independent. There was no need to agree to this election. Jo Swinson did that, and so “shamed” Labour into joining in (but where was their steel?). Boris-idiot and his “advisers” (controllers?) got what they wanted.

Jo Swinson has spent much of the election campaign doormatting for the Jewish lobby. What a total waste of space she is! Most of her main policies are identical to “Conservative” ones anyway.

There is a rumour that she might resign even before the election! I doubt that, but it would be a boost for Labour, mainly, if she did. It seems that there is a 50-50 chance that she will lose her own Scottish seat. She’s washed up now, whatever. Stupid woman.

Update, 5 December 2019

6 clear days until Polling Day.

Latest opinion poll:

 

Hard to say what that poll means. According to Electoral Calculus, depending on Scottish and tactical factors, it could mean a Commons majority for the Cons of between 16 and 32.

The polls have narrowed, but still not enough, so far, to deny the Cons a majority. A couple of points more or less, and the Cons might be left 16 short of a majority. This election cannot be easily forecast.

BBC bias

I used to defend Laura Kuenssberg against accusations of bias and accusations of being part-Jew. I was wrong. She is part-Jew and she is biased. Re. the latter, have a look at Peter Oborne in The Guardian:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/03/election-coverage-bbc-tories

This (see below) is so true!

 

 

I was talking with a lady a while ago about the Conservative Party MP in her area. The MP, an unmeritorious beneficiary of one of the safest Conservative seats in the country, this slug, a former schoolmaster, is so lazy that when said lady wrote to him on a matter of great personal importance to her, the letter actually went unanswered. Not even fobbed-off, but unanswered. The slug has been photographed sleeping in the Chamber of the House of Commons and is despised both in his own constituency and the Commons itself. The said lady now lives in a neighbouring constituency.

I asked “Will you vote?” “Oh, yes!” (people of that age, about 90, feel that it is a civic duty). “Which party?” “Oh, Conservative! I would not want Corbyn getting in!” (there followed a few minutes of the result of Daily Mail and Daily Telegraph brainwashing…).

The absurd fact underpinning the above exchange is that, in both constituencies mentioned, a vote is a waste of time, because in both seats, the Conservative candidate has been elected easily since both seats were formed. In one seat with 40%-65% of the vote; in the other with 50%-60%. So whichever way someone votes it is a waste of time. If Conservative, 1 vote added to 40,000+ others, the majorities in recent elections being over 20,000. On the other hand, a vote even for the LibDem second-placed is also wasted, because so far behind, and one for Labour even more so (in 2015, Labour came 4th in one seat!).

Thus many, in a very rigged and unfair voting system, are now thinking of voting tactically in order to at least exclude the candidate least wanted.

NHS

Brave young doctor makes her points on a London Underground train. Striking. Equally striking, though, is the blase attitude of the other passengers, engrossed in their bloody telephones, apparently.

 

I was thinking about what a disappointment Johnny Mercer has been as an MP, overall. In fact, that is true of most officers who become MPs. Usually nbg (no bloody good), often moneygrubbers too. Dan Somebody or Other, paratroop officer, who was a Labour MP in recent years, and even talked of as leadership material. Turned out to be just another pro-Jew, pro-Israel nonentity. Then there’s Colonel Bob Stewart. And others.

 

 

I certainly agree with the tweet below!

By my calculation, that could still give a Con majority of 14 MPs. This election is getting close-run. It’s going to the wire.

Jews

The Jews, at least the supposed leading ones, have come out against Labour, and for ZOG elected tyranny. They have chosen their side. No mistakes. They have put tribal interests before the welfare of the British people. Fact.

Could the LibDems Win A General Election in 2019-2020?

Background

Nearly eight years ago, when I still had a Twitter account (read “before the Jew-Zionists prevailed upon Twitter to expel me”), I tweeted that the LibDems were finished. At that time, around 2011, the height of the Con Coalition, the LibDem careerists were signing up to pretty much everything required of them by the misnamed “Conservatives”. In fact, even now in 2019, new tales come to light about how totally supine the LibDems in coalition were: recently, for example, it was revealed that the LibDems agreed to screw down harder on the sick and disabled in return for a 5p tax on plastic shopping bags.

The public were so disgusted by the LibDems 2010-2015 that the LibDem support and vote in the country hit almost rock-bottom in 2015. The 2010 general election had seen so-called “Cleggmania” and a popular vote of 23%, resulting in 57 House of Commons seats. In fact, that 23% was only 1 point above the level achieved in 2005 under the LibDems’ former (1999-2006) leader, Charles Kennedy; the LibDems in 2010 had 5 fewer seats than they had in 2005.

Naturally, the UK’s unfair First Past The Post [FPTP] political system left the LibDems with far fewer Commons seats than they “deserved” by reference to their popular vote. 23% of the 2010 popular vote “should” have given the LibDems about 150 MPs, not 57.

The 2010 hung Parliament result gave the LibDems their chance to demand proportional representation, instead of which their leadership (Nick Clegg, Danny Alexander and David Laws, mainly) accepted from the Conservative Party leader, David Cameron-Levita, the mere promise of a referendum on Alternative Vote [AV], a halfway house between FPTP voting and proportional representation [PR].

Gordon Brown, on behalf of Labour, the then Prime Minister, was willing to offer the LibDems immediate AV, via a new law to be passed by Labour and LibDem MPs, but the LibDems instead (and to my mind inexplicably) chose the Conservative offer of a mere referendum on AV over the Labour offer of immediate AV. When they did that, it was already clear that the LibDems (so called “Orange Book” LibDems, meaning pro-finance capitalist LibDems) much preferred to make common cause with the Conservatives.

This “Orange Book” “liberalism” underpinned what the LibDems did in coalition with the Conservatives from 2010 to 2015. The “Orange Book” itself took the LibDems far from the positions of the old Liberal Party and even from those of the LibDem party itself during the time when it was in the hands of Paddy Ashdown and Charles Kennedy.

The authors of the Orange Book favoured socio-political positions not far from those of leading members of the Conservative Party post-2000: effectively anti-Welfare State, pro-business, socially-judgmental, favouring so-called “choice” etc.

It is striking how many of the Orange Book authors have, in the years since its publication, been hit by scandal:

  • David Laws: found to have cheated on his Parliamentary expenses to the tune of about £40,000; many thought him fortunate not to have been prosecuted for fraud;
  • Chris Huhne: prosecuted and imprisoned for the very silly crime of perversion of the course of justice relating to a speeding offence [cf. Fiona Onasanya];
  • Mark Oaten, exposed as a coprophiliac and user of “rent boys”; since when Oaten has represented the International Fur Trade Federation, a largely Jewish body despised by animal-lovers worldwide. Oaten was also a supporter of fox-hunting.

“Only” three, but three out of only nine LibDems who wrote the Orange Book (Oaten admitted that in fact his research assistant had written his, Oaten’s, designated chapter, and that he, Oaten, had not even read that chapter, let alone the rest of the book). Of the other LibDems involved, Danny Alexander and Nick Clegg both lost their Commons seats in 2015 and 2017 respectively, gratefully then accepting lucrative directorships from transnational finance-capitalist companies.

The LibDem fortunes since the days of the Con Coalition

The LibDem popular vote crashed in 2015, sliding from its 2010 level of 23% to only 7.9%. MP numbers were slashed from 57 to 8.

In 2017, the LibDem popular vote slumped further, to 7.4%, though by the quirk of the FPTP voting system combined with the way boundaries are drawn, the LibDems actually managed to increase the number of LibDem MPs from 8 in 2015 to 12 in 2017.

The present situation

Nick Clegg took the Zuckerberg shilling (or should that be million?) and became an apologist for Facebook. He was replaced by Tim Farron, someone who was from an earlier, Nonconformist tradition within the LibDems and their ancestor-party, the Liberals. For example, “Farron was one of only two Liberal Democrat MPs to vote against the under-occupancy penalty (also known as the bedroom tax) in 2012.” [Wikipedia]. Farron was in the anti-Orange Book Beveridge Group [see Notes, below].

In 2017, Farron in turn was replaced by another Orange Book author, Vince Cable. Then, in 2019, Jo Swinson took the reins. She, though very much of the Orange Book persuasion, is more identified publicly with “socially liberal” than with “fiscally conservative” positions. Jo Swinson held the positions of PPS, and then Business Minister, during the Con Coalition period, but has managed to escape too great an identification with the social policies of the Coalition. Surprising, really, in that she

  • “Almost always voted for reducing housing benefit for social tenants deemed to have excess bedrooms (which Labour describe as the “bedroom tax”)”;
  • “Consistently voted against raising welfare benefits at least in line with prices”;
  • “Consistently voted against paying higher benefits over longer periods for those unable to work due to illness or disability”;
  • “Consistently voted for making local councils responsible for helping those in financial need afford their council tax and reducing the amount spent on such support”;
  • “Almost always voted for a reduction in spending on welfare benefits“;
  • “Almost always voted for reducing the rate of corporation tax

[see: https://www.theyworkforyou.com/mp/11971/jo_swinson/east_dunbartonshire/votes]

I have to say that I have always seen Jo Swinson as a ghastly bitch, who, like her husband (Duncan Hames, also a LibDem MP from, in his case only, 2010 to 2015) has been mainly a careerist type in politics; in Jo Swinson’s case, her brief period in provincial commerce before 2005 can only be seen as underwhelming, at best.

My view of Jo Swinson is, admittedly, mainly a personal impression based on what I have seen on TV etc. Her voting record on domestic UK issues must give pause, though, to those who see her as enlightened, socially compassionate etc.

Jo Swinson is a LibDem leader who does not frighten the Conservative horses. That could be key. In 2017, there were, if memory serves, 35 seats where the LibDems were in close 2nd place; there were many others where the LibDem was in close 3rd place. Most of those are Conservative-held seats. The implication is clear: if Brexit Party weakens an already-flagging Conservative vote, scores of (mainly) Conservative seats could fall, many to the LibDems. The Brexit Party is a major factor here.

Then we have the Remain vote. About 48% of the UK, famously, voted Remain. All three System parties were split in the 2016 Referendum, but the LibDems less so than the other two. As a party, the Conservative Party is now seen as basically Leave; the Labour Party is seen as sitting on the fence. That leaves the LibDems as the sole unalloyed Remain party. How that translates into votes and then into seats is another question. For one thing, people are likely to vote in any 2019/2020 general election on various issues, not only Brexit. However, Brexit is probably the one leading issue at time of writing.

The British electoral system is a bad joke. We know that a simple matter such as how the boundaries are drawn can alter everything:

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In 2022, new boundaries will come into effect, along with the reduction of MP numbers to 600 (from the present 650). The Conservatives will be far less affected than Labour and the LibDems. It has been suggested that the LibDems will be all but wiped out by those changes. Perhaps, but any 2022 or later general election is still at least 2-3 years away. We are looking at the very strong likelihood of a general election within maybe only 2-3 months or so. The Conservatives would like to wait longer, but how can they, when they have a majority of one or none?

Boundaries and other factors make the popular vote indeterminative. In 2005, Labour’s popular vote was 35.2%, and the Conservative vote was not far behind (32.4%), yet Labour ended up with 355 MPs, while the Conservatives won only 198!

If the LibDems can gather to their banner the bulk of the votes of those for whom the number one issue is Brexit and for whom Remain is the only way to go, and then add those votes to the LibDem core support (which may be as low as 7%), then it is not impossible to conceive of the idea of the LibDems under Jo Swinson getting a vote at least as high as Charles Kennedy’s 22% or Nick Clegg’s 23%, and possibly even higher. As against that, many voters will not support the LibDems under any circumstances, either because the party is pro-EU Remain, or because it is seen as weak on immigration (but are the other two System parties any better?) or because most voters remember the LibDems as doormats for the Conservatives during 2010-2015.

In order to form the largest bloc in the House of Commons, the LibDems would have to get a popular vote in the region of 35% or 34%, both Lab and Con getting below 30%. Even then, the LibDems would be or might be at least 100 seats short of a majority.

As I have blogged previously, I do not think in terms of a LibDem surge, but more a concatenation of circumstances —LibDems as sole Remain party, weakening of Conservative vote because of Brexit Party, disenchantment with Labour— drawing votes away from the other parties and so to the LibDems. LibDems as largest Commons bloc? Unlikely but, now, not totally impossible.

Notes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_United_Kingdom_general_election

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_United_Kingdom_general_election

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Orange_Book:_Reclaiming_Liberalism

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Oaten#Scandal_and_resignation

https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Susan_Kramer

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/telegraph-view/8508098/David-Laws-broke-the-rules-and-must-pay-a-price.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Laws

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Huhne#Expenses_claims

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Huhne#Criminal_conviction

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tim_Farron

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beveridge_Group

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vince_Cable

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jo_Swinson

http://www.thetruthseeker.co.uk/?p=195941

Update, 13 September 2019

Well…

So there it is: Jo Swinson could never work with (be in coalition with? proffer “confidence and supply” to?) Jeremy Corbyn and Labour under Jeremy Corbyn.

It’s against her “principles” to support any criticism of Jews or Israel, it seems. Pity that her principles did not extend to refusing to work with evil part-Jew manipulators such as George Osborne and David Cameron-Levita. She and most of the LibDem MPs voted for all or most of the measures which for a decade have demonized, impoverished and actually killed sick, disabled and poor people in the UK via the “welfare” “reforms” of evil part-Jap Iain Dunce Duncan Smith and the Jew “lord” Freud (etc).

I was right about Jo Swinson. My instinct told me that she is an evil bitch. I was right.

Update, 17 September 2019

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/09/16/lib-dems-would-need-gargantuan-swing-hit-200-seat-target/?li_source=LI&li_medium=li-recommendation-widget

Some LibDems are actually saying that the LDs could get hundreds of MPs in the upcoming general election! Proof positive of their disconnection from reality. People are mostly going to vote LibDem (if at all) only as a way of hitting out at the more major parties. There is no “LibDem surge” as such, but (as I have repeatedly blogged) there is a desire on the part of many Remain partisans to vote against the Conservative Party (mainly).

We have been here before, as when pathetic David Steel urged his rank and file to “prepare for government” (in 1981): http://www.britishpoliticalspeech.org/speech-archive.htm?speech=42

I imagine that the LibDems will pick up some seats, maybe even 50, but what will prevent Jo Swinson getting 200 or becoming PM is that no-one really wants a LibDem government (well, about a tenth of the voters might…), but many more will vote LibDem negatively, to block other parties or to signal pro-EU Remain support.

Update, 8 October 2019

http://www.thetruthseeker.co.uk/?p=195941

Update, 24 October 2019

Update, 27 October 2019

Well, my prediction that the LibDems want another “Con Coalition” becomes firmer daily; the Labour reaction is scalding (or should that be “scalded?):

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/10/27/bid-libdems-snp-december-9-election-rejected-stunt-tories-labour/

Update, 20 March 2020

Well, my analysis in the above article was right, but the basic facts changed in that Brexit Party candidates standing in Conservative Party-held seats were ordered by their duplicitous leader, Farage, to stand down. That order applied to all Conservative-held seats, even those held by the most committed pro-EU MPs!

That decision by Farage, which betrayed his own candidates and supporters, meant that dozens of pre-election Conservative Party MPs kept their seats when, had Brexit Party stood candidates, they would have lost them to the LibDems.

The LibDems were on track to win several dozen MPs until Brexit Party self-destructed.

Jo Swinson’s decision to push for a General Election, and Corbyn’s silly willingness to be shamed into going along with that, led directly to the victory of the Conservative Party at the 2019 General Election. It led directly to Boris Johnson, a part-Jew, part-Turk public entertainer, as Prime Minister. Disastrous.

My more recent pre-General Election blogging guessed the LibDem result almost exactly. I predicted that the LibDems would get fewer than 10 seats. They got 11. So nearly right, anyway.

As for Jo Swinson, her doormatting for the Jewish lobby paid off, in that she was made a fake “baroness” and elevated to the House of Lords once she lost her Commons seat.

The LibDems Elect A Leader

Introduction

I suppose that I should write a brief piece about the LibDems, now that they have elected a new leader. Somehow an underwhelming topic. First of all, the new leader.

Background

Jo Swinson MP was born in Scotland in 1980, went to a local state school and then to the LSE, graduating, it seems, aged only 20, and with a degree in management. She then worked briefly for a small enterprise in Yorkshire before becoming marketing manager with public relations duties for a local radio station in Hull, called Viking Radio.

Elected as MP in 2005 [LibDem, East Dunbartonshire], she was PPS to Nick Clegg, then a PUS, then a junior minister, all during the time of the “Con Coalition” of 2010-2015.

Jo Swinson voted for all or almost all of the Con Coalition policies, and has endorsed both zero hours contracts and “flexible working”. I am not a LibDem, but I have to say that Jo Swinson is really rather far from the LibDem traditional stance on such matters. She comes across as almost “libertarian” as far as worker rights are concerned.

The other candidate, Ed Davey, is not far from Jo Swinson, ideologically, though I should say that Davey was the more intelligent candidate of the two, so it makes sense for the LibDems to go for the less-intelligent and less-educated Jo Swinson…Davey was also the more experienced candidate, being about 15 years older and having been in Parliament for longer (since 1997, compared to Swinson’s 2005); Davey was also the only one to have served in the Cabinet.

Both Swinson and Davey lost their seats in 2015 (Davey to a Conservative, Swinson to the SNP), but were re-elected in the same constituencies in 2017. Both are “doing rather well” financially outside politics too: Davey is director or consultant to a number of companies, while Jo Swinson’s husband, Duncan Hames, an accountant (and also a LibDem MP from 2010 until 2015), now works for Transparency International, a well-funded NGO.

The LibDems’ situation and chances

2010 was surely the high point of LibDemmery. 57 MPs (out of 650) and a share in government: the Con Coalition. In 2005, under the egregious Charles Kennedy, the LibDems had won 62 seats out of 646, but were not in government.

The LibDems got 23% of the popular vote in 2010, but only about 9% of the MPs.

I believe that the LibDems could have demanded electoral reform from the Conservatives. They did not. They sold their chance for a few ministerial places, for official cars, red boxes, rank and flummery. In return they (Ed Davey and Jo Swinson among them) voted for every misconceived “Conservative” measure: the appalling regime of hounding of and cruelty to the poor disabled, sick and unemployed; the whole nonsense of “austerity”, which left the UK economy almost alone in advanced states in being mired in recession and/or low growth for years; the near-destruction of the armed services as an active and effective global force. For all that and more, for being doormats for the Conservatives, the LibDems were punished by the electorate.

In 2015, the LibDem vote slumped to 7.9% (8 MPs), then slumped again in 2017, to 7.4% (but, by the vagaries of the British electoral system, the LibDems ended up with 12 MPs).

In the 2019 UK European elections, the LibDems came second. I blogged about them then:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/05/29/eu-elections-2019-in-review-the-libdems/

but they failed fairly miserably at the Peterborough by-election a week or so later:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/06/07/peterborough-by-election-post-poll-analysis-and-thoughts/

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/06/08/a-few-peterborough-afterthoughts-about-the-libdems/

I do not think that I have a lot to add to what I then wrote. My view is that there is and will be no “LibDem surge”, but what there might be is a LibDem gain from the decline of both of the other main System parties, as well as an electoral benefit arising from the Brexit Party surge —if it happens— in the South of England, mainly, where the LibDems are not infrequently in 2nd or close 3rd place.

If the Conservative Party is hit badly in the South, its voters split between Con and BP, the main beneficiary is likely to be not the Brexit Party, and not Labour (in most cases) but the LibDems. In those circumstances (and “Change UK” having died shortly after birth), it is not now impossible to imagine the LibDems again having a bloc of 50 MPs, something that I admit I thought, until very recently, would be impossible. The LibDems may not deserve it, but might in any event get it. In fact, thinking of —inter alia— Boris Johnson, that might just be the epitaph of our present age.

Notes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jo_Swinson

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed_Davey

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_Democrats_(UK)#General_elections

A Few Peterborough Afterthoughts About The LibDems

I blogged about the LibDems and the EU elections only a week ago:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/05/29/eu-elections-2019-in-review-the-libdems/

After their overall 2nd place in the EU elections, there was much talk about (another) LibDem revival, which echoed the chatter of 2010 and (as Liberal Party) right back to Orpington in 1961.

I was unconvinced by the talk of LibDem “revival” or “surge”, despite the post-EU elections polling which (in one case) made the LibDems the most popular party re. the next general election.

I also covered the LibDems, inter alia, in a piece about the Peterborough by-election, written a few weeks before polling day:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/05/09/notes-from-the-peterborough-by-election/

As I predicted, the LibDems came 4th there.

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/06/07/peterborough-by-election-post-poll-analysis-and-thoughts/

So what now? Well, I still think that there is not and will not be any LibDem surge or revival, as such. What I do think will or may boost the LibDems is the Brexit Party surge, if it happens.

In the 2017 General Election, the LibDems won in 12 constituencies and came second in 37. If the Brexit Party continues to grow stronger and if it gets at least 15% nationwide at the next general election, many of those seats will see a significant fall in the Conservative vote-share by reason only of the existence of the Brexit Party, in addition to any fall for other reasons. In many, perhaps most cases, the beneficiaries will be the LibDems. It is not unreasonable to suppose that the LibDems will win seats. They might win 20 or 30, they might win 50. They might even win many more. However, this will mostly not if at all be a surge in enthusiasm for the LibDems as much as a victory by default, the result of Brexit Party taking Conservative votes, together with a more general fall in support for the Conservative Party.

Having said the above, if the LibDems win seats, they win seats, whatever the reason.

Notes

EU Elections 2019 in Review: the LibDems

The Liberal Democrats had a good election. Everyone says so. From having 1 MEP to now having 16 MEPs. 3,367,284 votes. A vote-share of 19.58% (second only to Brexit Party, which scored 30.22%).

In London the LibDems came 1st, with a 27.2% share. London was the only EU constituency of England and Wales where Brexit Party did not top the poll (it came 3rd, behind the LibDems and Labour).

The only constituencies where the LibDems failed to get at least one MEP were Wales and North East England.

It seems clear that the LibDem surge and vote was, more than the vote for any other party in these elections, purely an outcome of the Remain/Leave binary. The LibDems are the party of Remain, Remain at all costs, Remain no matter what.

Not that the LibDem vote in these elections was solely a Remain vote, a Remain vote and nothing else, but 90% probably was. The two major System parties were both ambiguous in terms of statements, policies and, especially, their MPs. Brexit Party and UKIP were of course both unambiguously Leave. The Greens and the new joke party, Change UK, were also Remain. The LibDems got about 70% more votes than the Greens, who came 4th overall.

At an educated guess, the Remain votes that went Green rather than LibDem were from people who remember the way in which the LibDems (arguably the least honest party in the UK) enabled the dreadful and cruel policies of the Conservatives, of David Cameron-Levita-Schlumberger and his 2010-2015 “Con Coalition”, while still spouting the language of “social justice”. Nick Clegg, Danny Alexander etc. Remember them?

The above being so, the support that the LibDems received in the EU elections will almost certainly not follow them into the Westminster arena. A good test will be the result of the Peterborough by-election scheduled for 6 June 2019. In 2010, the LibDem vote in Peterborough peaked at just under 20% (3rd place), which was a few points up on previous general elections. The LibDem vote fell back to 3.8% in 2015, then fell back again to only 3.3% in 2017 (as it did in most constituencies, though the LibDem MP cadre actually increased from 8 to 12 thanks to the UK’s mad electoral system).

Now, in Peterborough, the LibDems, with the same candidate they stood in 2017, look like losing, possibly badly, at the by-election. Their odds re. winning are at time of writing 25/1, joint 3rd place with the Conservatives (Labour 4/1, Brexit Party 1/5  odds-on favourite).

Brexit is not the only issue in a Westminster election. Yes, the LibDems are still the go-to “dustbin” vote out of the System parties, and there may be many (especially in the Southern parts of the UK) who will vote LibDem as a tactical measure in the next general election, but in the most heavily Conservative-voting areas that will not much dent massive Con majorities, whereas in more marginal areas it will (with Brexit Party) help to sink the Conservatives, but only in a few areas will the ultimate beneficiaries be the LibDems themselves.

In any case, by 2022, boundary changes and the reduction of MP numbers to 600 will have culled almost all LibDem MPs.

I have considered the LibDems to be effectively dead since the days of the Con Coalition. The EU elections will have cheered them, but their fires will soon be but glowing embers.

Update, 31 May 2019

If that poll were to be given effect in a general election, the result would be about (depending on various factors): Brexit Party 188 MPs (and largest party in Commons), Labour 186 MPs, LibDems 114 MPs, Conservatives 83. Hung Parliament (Brexit Party 138 short of majority). Popular vote does not exactly equal number of MPs.

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

Also, if that general election were held in or after 2022, remove about 10 from LibDems and about 30 from Labour; and maybe 5-10 from Conservatives.

I still cannot see that the LibDems will be able to replicate 2010 Cleggmania even if it seems that many are able to forgive and forget the “Con Coalition” of 2010-2015 (I cannot. I will not). I still see the LibDem vote next time as amounting to no more than about 10% and the LibDems as coming away with fewer than 20 MPs. I concede that I may be wrong on this if hard-core Remain voters continue to flock to LibDems and away from Conservatives (as they did in the EU Elections 2019). Everything is uncertain in that no-one knows who will be Conservative leader, how long he (or she) will last as PM (not long, I think) and whether he or she will be basically Remain or Leave.

Update, 1 June 2019

The betting on the Peterborough by-election, scheduled for 6 June, five days from now, continues to shift. At present, the LibDems, who were at 70/1 and in 4th place just a week ago, are now, as of 1 June, on 12/1 and in firm 3rd place (Conservatives 25/1 and in 4th place, and already looking well-beaten). Brexit Party 1/5, Labour 4/1. It still seems unlikely that the LibDems can win:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/05/09/notes-from-the-peterborough-by-election/

but it is just possible if and only if pro-Remain and/or anti-Brexit Party voters abandon both the Conservative candidate and Labour, and go LibDem. Tactical voting to block the Brexit Party candidate.

If the LibDems can pull off the coup of getting their candidate elected at Peterborough (in the 2017 General Election, her vote share was only 3.3%), it will rank, arguably, above the other LibDem and Liberal Party revivals in the post-1945 era, such as the 2010 “Cleggmania” and the 1961 Orpington by-election

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1962_Orpington_by-election

In that event, the Brexit Party juggernaut would be halted in its tracks, quite possibly.

The UK Local Elections Have Been Held: My View

Introduction

The 2019 local elections are at an end and the results collated and endlessly analyzed in the msm. I had predicted a seat loss for the Conservatives of well beyond 1,000 seats, somewhere between there and 1,500. In that, my prediction was correct. Where I went wrong was in thinking that Labour would do well.

What I got right was the disgust and despair voters generally now feel in respect of the Conservative Party. What I got wrong, mainly, was in assuming that voters in the North and Midlands would vote Labour to spite the Conservatives, even if only as a choice between evils and not much supporting Labour as such.

The facts

The system of voting for local councillors etc in the UK is as antiquated and convoluted as one might resignedly expect: not all councils are elected in the same year, and some councils only elect a third of their councillors in any one election. Absurd.

The actual result of the election nationwide, where 8,798 seats (between a third and a half of all the 20,712 local government seats in the UK) were being contested was:

  • Con 3,562 (loss of 1,334) seats;
  • Lab 2,023 (loss of 82) seats;
  • LibDems 1,350 (gain of 703) seats;
  • Others 1,310 (mostly Independents). The Greens did well and now have 265 councillors (a gain of 194). UKIP did badly, and now have only 31 councillors (a loss of 145).

Analysis

The two major System parties are now widely despised. More than that, the political/electoral system is now despised; people have little or no trust in it or in those who are making their living from it. Those facts are reflected not only in the votes cast, but in those not cast. Turnout varies depending on the type of body being elected, but seems overall to have been only about 30%, if that. In addition, unprecedentedly huge numbers of ballot papers were spoiled, some being endorsed with the words “Brexit” or “Brexit Party” or a drawn Swastika. Unsurprising, when one considers that, in many local council seats, there was no real choice.

In many areas of Southern England, the Conservatives were not opposed by even System party opponents from Labour or the LibDems. That explains the way in which disgusted voters voted for anyone not tainted by System connections: Independents (despite most being completely unknown to most of those who voted for them; complete wild cards); Residents’ Association candidates, Greens. How though to explain the relative success of the LibDems (a System party)? How to explain the collapse of UKIP (a non-System party)? In fact, there is no difficulty in understanding those apparent anomalies.

The LibDems were obviously voted for by voters who liked the LibDems’ focus on local affairs, those who are Remain supporters voting for the LibDems as an anti-Brexit protest vote, and by those former Conservative voters who wanted to punish the Conservatives generally, but who were unwilling to vote for Labour, Greens or for complete wild cards. For those people, I suspect mainly in the South of England, the LibDems were an acceptable compromise “dustbin” vote.

The Greens were probably mostly voted for as a pure protest vote, as well as an environmentally-oriented protest vote.

UKIP lost out badly and now, out of a possible nearly 21,000 councillors, has only 31. I think that one can see why that has happened. I have been tweeting/blogging for years that UKIP peaked in 2014. Since then, UKIP has been sliding. The good, but not good enough, 2015 General Election result led to a precipitous plunge in UKIP’s fortunes. Its new leader, Batten, has slowed the plunge, but not stopped it.

UKIP had insufficient troops and funds to fight these local elections hard. It did not contest the vast majority of seats anyway. Apart from that, it is clear that the connection with the “alt-Right” wastes of space (“Sargon of Akkad” Benjamin, “Prison Planet” Watson, “Count Dankula” Meechan) has damaged UKIP badly. Benjamin’s spat with ghastly “Labour” (Labour label) MP Jess Phillips was probably a huge turn-off for many voters. This is the end of the road for UKIP, even re. the EU elections (if any are held in the UK), because defections to Brexit Party have already left UKIP with only 3 MEPs, and BP is running at 30% or more in the opinion polls, while UKIP is now down to about 3%.

Conclusion

These were elections in which voters clutched at straws, weakly trying to damage the main parties of the System. In most seats, there was no non-System candidate standing. The aftermath has been that Con and Lab are now trying to cobble together a faked-up “deal” (“Brexit In Name Only”) so that both parties can avoid having to hold EU elections at all on the 23rd of this month..

We are coming to the end of even the pretence of representative democracy in the UK. Any means will soon be entirely justified in replacing the present corrupt, decadent and totally incompetent system with a better one. The present political system is just not working.

Notes

https://www.itv.com/news/2019-05-03/why-tories-and-labour-should-be-petrified-by-local-elections/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_local_elections

http://www.heritageanddestiny.com/early-ukip-gains-as-voters-turn-against-main-parties/

Update and afterthoughts, 4 May 2019

There were almost no candidates ostensibly “nationalist”, still less social-national. A few did well where they stood, here and there. The standouts were Karen King and Julian Leppert, both of whom were For Britain Movement candidates..

Julian Leppert was elected for the “For Britain” party in Waltham Abbey, Paternoster ward, in Epping Forest, Essex. The one-time BNP councillor received 40.7% of the vote, 321 votes; the Con in second place got 227. Turnout was only 23%. About 808 votes were cast in toto.

Karen King, in Hartlepool, de Bruce ward, won with an even more striking 49.5% vote. “The turnout for the elections was 27.18% with 19,284 verified votes from an electorate of 70,943” [Northern Echo]. That of course relates to all Hartlepool and not simply the ward picked out, where Karen King/For Britain Movement got 694 votes, Labour 527, Con 180.

Hartlepool Borough Council councillors now consist of 13 Labour, 8 Independent Union, 5 Independent, 3 Conservatives, 1 UKIP, 1 Veterans’ and People’s Party, 1 For Britain Movement and 1 Socialist Labour Party. Such fragmentation is interesting. The old “three party” or “two party” System stitch-up is just not working any more.

Of course, readers of this blog will know that I have little time for “For Britain Movement”, and 2 councillors is a very small contingent out of the nearly 21,000 in the UK, but looking at those results in isolation, one can only congratulate the candidates.

I shall blog separately about the prospects for the main System parties.