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Talking point
[“Professor Jiang — the man nicknamed “The Professor” because he is truly one of the most dangerous geopolitical minds in the world — revealed to Tucker Carlson words you will not hear anywhere else:
Iran’s war is an American quagmire with no bottom… China is the biggest long-term loser… and the UAE will be affected in a way no one expected.
This man is not an ordinary analyst. He predicted Trump’s victory years ago — and he won. He predicted America entering a war with Iran — and it did. And today, he speaks about the future with the same confidence.
- Iran War = Second Ukraine
The war will be long and exhausting. No side will admit defeat.
America is stuck between two bad options: withdrawal = collapse of prestige… continuation = endless bleeding.
My view: this is exactly what happened in Ukraine. Americans have no exit strategy, only an entry strategy. - Why can’t America exit?
Iran will demand $1 trillion in compensation + complete US withdrawal from the region.
If America withdraws:
Gulf states will become clients of Iran.
Petrodollar will collapse.
America — with $39 trillion in debt — will face a real economic collapse.
The point no one talks about: America is not fighting for Iran… it is fighting so it does not collapse itself.
- Iran’s smart plan — $800 billion per year
Iran plans to impose a 10% passage fee on every ship crossing the Strait of Hormuz.
Expected revenue: $800 billion per year.
This amount will rebuild Iran stronger than before.
If this is correct — and I see it as not far-fetched — Iran will emerge from the war richer than it entered. - The biggest loser is not America — but China
China imports 40% of its energy from the Gulf.
Its economy is entirely built on cheap energy.
Even artificial intelligence — which everyone talks about — requires cheap energy.
Any disruption in energy supplies will hit China more than any other country.
And what no one notices: the war in Iran is not just an American war — it is a war on China’s future as a great power. - The real beneficiaries? Israel and Russia
Israel:
Wants “Greater Israel” from the Nile to the Euphrates.
Draining America in a long war = pushing it out of the region.
Weakening the Gulf = removing any competitor.
Russia:
America lifted sanctions on Russian oil (130 million barrels).
Russia sells its oil at record prices.
And finances its war in Ukraine from America’s pocket.
In short: America is paying for others’ wars while thinking it is winning.
- The religious factor — the hidden power no one talks about
There are religious factions in Israel and America that genuinely believe this war is a prelude to the return of Christ.
Blowing up Al-Aqsa Mosque and building the Third Temple is part of the plan.
Netanyahu and Trump — according to Professor Jiang — are just tools in a project far older than them.
This is one of the most dangerous statements in the episode, because when political decisions are driven by end-of-the-world ideology — there is no room for rationality. - The ground invasion is coming — a new Vietnam
America is considering sending 2,000 Marines to control Kharg Island (90% of Iranian oil exports).
But Professor Jiang said clearly: “You can take it, but you cannot hold it.”
What begins with 2,000 soldiers could end with half a million — just like in Vietnam. - Weakening the UAE — the bubble is about to burst
Dubai was built on the illusion of security.
Simple Iranian strikes revealed the model’s fragility entirely.
What was a “safe haven” became a target. And the confidence upon which all those towers were built is eroding.
The UAE will not “end” — but its economic model will be severely shaken, because everything is based on the assumption of regional security — and that assumption has collapsed. - Japan will recover — and China will decline
Professor Jiang literally said: “If I had a billion dollars — I would put it all in Japan.”
Japan has historically risen from anything: the Mongols, World War II, nuclear bombs.
China, however: agricultural, closed, and unable to adapt to the new era. - The West is collapsing from within
Europe, Canada, and Australia are experiencing deliberate demographic change.
The “democracy” that emerges looks more like the “organized demolition” of Western civilization.
And the question: who is driving this? No one has a clear answer.
Conclusion
What Professor Jiang said tonight:
America is stuck in a quagmire it cannot escape.
Iran will return stronger after the war.
Israel achieves its expansionist dream.
China will be the biggest loser.
And the West destroys itself.
The remaining question:
If Professor Jiang predicted Trump’s victory and the start of the war — and he was correct…
Will his predictions today come true?“]
Worth thinking about.
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See also:
Written and published on the blog 8 years ago, in 2018. I think that it still stands up pretty well.
On the face of it, though what Trump may say on day 1 may be the opposite of what he says on day 2, and both may be different than what he does on day 3 [etc].
For once, I agree with Hodges.
[“Ritter: The new US and Israel stance towards Iran could trigger a global catastrophe:
“Israel and the US have now realized that regime change in Iran is not possible, the Iranian government will survive this conflict. Therefore, they are now trying to impoverish the Iranian authorities and everything they control. They aim to inflict long-term damage on Iran’s ability to produce gas, oil, and energy and to generate revenue from it. Iran has stated that it will not be the only country to go down this path. Therefore, I believe this is the beginning of one of the greatest mistakes. Conditions are being created for a global catastrophe,” emphasized military analyst and former US Marine Corps intelligence officer Scott Ritter.”]
Ian Robert Millard 