Morning music
Tweets seen
“In 2019, Antifa beat me on the head and face, causing a traumatic brain injury as I suffered bleeding on my brain. As I struggled to get away, they threw drinks in my eyes to blind me so I couldn’t get help. I remember their laughter as I was bleeding from my ear and eyes. I was lucky to survive and recover.
Many leftists on social media are celebrating that someone hurled a drink in the face of @Nigel_Farage today as he was campaigning in Clacton, Essex. They’re reveling in the fear that a victim feels when being hit in the eyes with an unknown liquidâin a country that suffers acid attacks. The celebrations are emblematic of a level of political violence that the left tolerates and desires on their political opponents.“
Perpetrators of violent attacks, such as that in Clacton yesterday, must be punished properly. I doubt whether the present minor judiciary has the will to do that.
I blogged about these issues several years ago:
Farage has been attacked before, as was Nick Griffin (in 2010, I think).
Very true. If only, though, the British and French had retained control of the Middle East and North Africa after WW2. No crazy demagogues, no “Israel”, no war…
See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/03/07/when-i-was-not-arrested-in-egypt/.
Manchester, apparently. Here, though, on the Hampshire coast, it is 16C and partly cloudy, partly sunny.
By my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], a similar result: Labour 488 MPs (majority 326), Con 82, LibDems 43, Greens 1, Reform UK 0, Plaid 3, SNP 14 (and Northern Irish 18).
Almost but not quite a Con wipeout.
I myself still think that <50 is a possibility for the Cons. I concede that the many experts and specialists are against me, but my reasons are as previously blogged:
- the fact that few 2019 and earlier Con voters now think of the Con Party and Government as anything other than completely useless;
- that there are many (or are there?) “secret” Reform UK intending or possible voters; and
- that there are many voters who will vote tactically to sink the Cons, even if many of the same voters hate, despise or fear Starmer-Labour.
A point or so fewer for the Cons, a point extra for Labour, a point extra for the LibDems, and a point or so more for Reform UK, and the Con cadre of MPs would reduce to only 30.
This is no exact science.
“This is a guest post from an anonymous 25-year-old member of Gen-Z. They live in London. They work in Westminster. And they are utterly fed-up with the dire state of the country.
If you believe the polls then the Tory party is about to be completely rejected by my generation, Gen-Z, the members of which were born in the late 1990s and early 2000s.
Remarkably, just 5% of us are planning to vote Tory next month while a staggering 83% are planning to either vote Labour, Lib Dem, Green, or SNP.
But as one of those few right-leaning Zoomers, let me tell you âeven that 5% figure is deeply misleading. Why?
Because, as Matt pointed out on Twitter/X, one enormous problem facing the Tories today is not just the remarkably low number of Zoomers who are planning to vote Conservative; itâs that the few Zoomer conservatives who do exist are also utterly fed-up and frustrated with the party and want to see it completely obliterated.
And why do they feel like this, exactly?
Well, consider my own story.
I’m writing this at 3am in the morning and I have less than four hours before I need to get up and start my morning routine for work.
But, once again, the neighbours who live downstairs, below my flat, have decided to have another all-night party. And unlike me, they donât have to wake up for work.
Because, unlike me, they donât have to work.
They qualify for social housing; their rent is subsidised by the large and rising amount of council tax I am forced to pay each month âon top of ruinous income taxes, national insurance contributions and student loan repayments.
The majority of the tenants in my housing block are unemployed; I see few of them leaving the house for work in the morning.
My interactions with them are limited to hostile glaring mixed in with the occasional attempted mugging. On the rare occasion I have female company I have to escort my dates to and from the bus stop to stop them being sexually harassed.
What scraps of my salary the State allows me to keep are eaten up immediately by rent. I pay almost half my post-tax income to live on an ex-council estate in Zone 3, London, with the smell of weed continually hanging in the air.
Unless I achieve an income of more than ÂŁ200,000 it will simply be impossible to secure a mortgage on a house the same size as the one my parents bought in 1989.
My friends work in high-powered finance and legal careers but, like me, struggle on with flatshares well into their late 20s, if not their early 30s.
They are spending the best decade of their life working until midnight seven days a week for the chance to attain the same middle-class lifestyle their parents achieved much earlier in life.
The reward for being wildly successful financially in 2024? To live in a semi-detached house that was built for unskilled professionals in inner London a century ago.
And thatâs not all âŚ
If I decide to have children, which you might think ought to be encouraged given the demographic crisis facing Western nations like Britain, I will have to contend with extortionate childcare costs, or deprive my household of a second income.
Renting a three-bedroom flat in a safe part of London will cost in excess of ÂŁ3,000 a month; my children will have to grow up in far more cramped conditions than I did, most likely having to share a room and perhaps dodging stray bullets.
The only feasible route out of this incredibly depressing situation is to leave the city I grew up in and commute two hours both ways from a town I have no local connection to âwhere I have no friends or family living nearby.
Even with cheaper housing, I will still have to send my kids to local schools where they will be bombarded with relentless propaganda about how to âchange their genderâ, acknowledge their âwhitenessâ, and apologise for the British Empire.
It is certainly true that previous generations of young people faced more challenging circumstances. I am not (yet) being asked to walk across No Mans Land and into a sea of barbed wire and machine guns.
But it is one thing being asked to suffer for a cause like liberty in Europe, or to grimace through destitution because of seemingly uncontrollable events like the Wall Street Crash. It is quite another to be economically enslaved to the point of infertility to sustain a growing population of resentful dependents.
And I am one of the lucky ones...”
[from the Matt Goodwin blog on Substack].
A long piece to paste on the blog, but worth reading, I think, despite the several obvious gaps in the author’s reasoning.
More tweets
Some mugs are still sending fraudster “Jack Monroe” (Melissa Hadjicostas) money every month via Patreon! Utter utter mugs.
“A certain” ethno-religion…
Barwell is a silly little guy. A joke. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Barwell.
As for Goodwin’s rhetorical questions…https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.
Barwell seems to imagine that, as the (white/Brit) workforce ages, it can simply be replaced by black, brown (etc) imported equivalents. Not so. A high proportion of the imports (and offspring thereof) are parasitic and/or useless, with a smaller proportion actively criminal or terroristic.
Barwell’s thesis (to thus dignify it) seems to be that, as —say— 1M Brits age, retire, or die, the thing to do is to import 10M unwanted non-European immigrants in the hope that 10% of them can replace the 1M Brits who have checked out of the labour market (or life). What about the notional 9M other imports? They may be (and most are) useless, or near-useless, but all need/want/demand housing, food, water, shelter, NHS services, money…
Not sure whether that is Krakow or the rebuilt (post-WW2) old central part of Warsaw. Maybe the latter. I saw both on several trips to Poland in 1988 and 1989, but I should probably not recognize much of the newer areas now, judging by photos I have seen. The changes, esp. in Warsaw, have been immense.
Late tweets
Exactly what this blog has been saying for quite a while.
The 2024 General Election result, using Electoral Calculus, and based on the latest YouGov polling: Cons with only 55 MPs; LibDems on 63, and they are the official Opposition; Reform UK, significantly, with 3 MPs (presumably including Farage), and Greens on 2. Also important, the SNP with only 14 MPs.
| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Tactical Fraction | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 44.7% | 376 | 19.0% | 0 | 321 | -321 | 0% | 55 |
| LAB | 33.0% | 197 | 40.0% | 297 | 3 | +294 | 5% | 491 |
| LIB | 11.8% | 8 | 10.0% | 55 | 0 | +55 | 5% | 63 |
| Reform | 2.1% | 0 | 17.0% | 3 | 0 | +3 | 0% | 3 |
| Green | 2.8% | 1 | 7.0% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0% | 2 |
| SNP | 4.0% | 48 | 3.1% | 2 | 36 | -34 | 0% | 14 |
| PlaidC | 0.5% | 2 | 0.7% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0% | 4 |
| Other | 1.1% | 0 | 3.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0% | 0 |
| N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0% | 18 |
Worth reading in full.
Late music
Ian Robert Millard 