The liberation of the village of Tsvetkovoye by the Battlegroup East forces created a bridgehead for the further liberation of territory in the Zaporozhye region, the Defense Ministry announced:https://t.co/UauB1jZU1fpic.twitter.com/dzm88vd7Y8
The Political Affairs Assistant in the Navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Brigadier General Mohammad Akbarzadeh: The presence of foreign warships in the region is under full intelligence surveillance and within the range of Iran’s defensive capabilities. He noted that… pic.twitter.com/8EoL7TJph1
When one sees what China has accomplished in the past 35-40 years, nothing can be discounted.
Fishing festival in Argungu, Nigeria: thousands of hunters on the shore, a signal shot, and one hour to catch the biggest fish. pic.twitter.com/Fb1ewmYNqp
That idiot is the sort of person who gets his country punished for his own personal acts.
“Tsahkna was born in Tartu, Estonia. In 1995, he graduated from a secondary school. From 1996 to 2002, he studied theology and law at the University of Tartu, without graduating. Between 1999 and 2000 he also studied international law at the University of Toronto, without graduating.”
He reminds me of that Scottish Labour idiot, Jim Murphy, now one of Blair’s gophers, who was a perennial student, spending 12 years at university without graduation before dropping out to become an MP, and who ran Labour in Scotland into the ground: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Murphy#Early_life_and_career.
I have no objection to Estonian autonomy or independence, but this endless goading of Russia —which after all is not the old Soviet Union, with its aggressive and ideological foreign policy—by the NWO/ZOG puppets now ruling Estonia may lead to disaster for the Estonian people.
According to Ukrainian intelligence, Russia is preparing for a new massive strike on Ukraine's energy sector, – Zelensky. pic.twitter.com/XxFiH8SwFV
The U.S. Department of Homeland Security has sent legal requests to Google, Reddit, Meta, and Discord for user data.
These requests include names, email addresses, phone numbers, and other identifying information of people who follow and criticize U.S. Immigration and Customs… pic.twitter.com/xrXOF13Nn6
The supposed “land of freedom”… (I have to say that that was never my impression when I was there, especially when living there on and off 1989-1993 and working there on a few trips in the years 1999-2002).
Less than three hours ago, Sir Keir Starmer promised no more U-turns.
Vine: "Can we be sure you'll stick to your course now after those U-turns?"
The PM: "Absolutely. I know exactly why I was elected in with a five-year mandate to change this country for the better, and that's… https://t.co/scB2UxsVte
🚨 BREAKING: The Government has dropped its plans to delay some local elections after receiving legal advice about Reform UK's court case pic.twitter.com/nrphuTAmF0
Jewish/Israeli money corrupts politics across the Western world. In the UK, all major parties are contaminated.
One does not have to be a Corbyn “supporter” —and no-one has ever accused me of that!— to see that the Jewish/Israeli lobby conspired against him, and finally had him toppled so that another (as it turned out, Starmer-stein) could pose as Labour leader. Thus, of the 2 main System parties of a few years ago, both were now back under (((control))), one having briefly escaped.
Reform UK, as I predicted, has now, now that it looks like being a, possibly the, major party, fallen almost totally under that very same influence and control…
“You can’t have your country back because of a man 80 years ago who was lied about by the jews anyway, whitey” https://t.co/cpgtZFkUz2
Setting aside the basic governance issues, Starmer has squandered taxpayer's money on handing Reform a massive PR boost less than two weeks out from the Gorton by-election. He is a one man recruiting Sergeant for Nigel Farage. https://t.co/TGaqnVYGt9
Celtic tribes honoured animals in art and legend. Horses symbolised power and prestige, hounds were loyal companions, and ravens and stags appeared in myth and metalwork.
Life was lived alongside animals. Sheep shaped the wool trade and countryside. Horses worked the fields and carried knights. Cats guarded granaries; dogs lay faithfully by the hearth. pic.twitter.com/E8to6dQZcl
Well, this week brings another victory over political journalist John Rentoul, who scored a very modest 3/10; I trumped that with 5/10. I knew the answers to questions 2, 4, 6, and 9; I literally guessed no. 3 (I think it was in the back of my mind, though; I may have seen it somewhere, somewhen).
“16th century possible murder victim laid to rest at St Mary the Virgin, in South Baddesley, after remains found on Sowley Beach in the New Forest.
A suspected New Forest murder victim was this week buried in a “once-in-a-lifetime” service, some 500 years after he met his end.
The remains of the unknown man were laid to rest about five centuries after he was initially disposed of in a “clandestine” fashion, as revealed by the A&T.
The 25-minute ceremony took place two years after his medieval-era skeleton was found in mysterious circumstances on a beach near South Baddesley.
[Steve West/A&T]
As reported in the A&T, after a lengthy investigation, archaeologists have since concluded that “foul play” may explain how he came to be there.
Tuesday’s special funeral took place at St Mary the Virgin, in South Baddesley. Around 50 attendees – comprising nearby residents, those who had been involved in research and local historians – came to pay their respects.
Mourners were greeted and handed a leaflet titled ‘The Funeral and Burial of the 16th Century Man Known only to God’.
The Very Rev Gordon Wynne conducted the service, which included a medieval hymn before the handmade wooden casket was buried in the church graveyard.
The funeral comes after police were alerted in May 2022 by local resident Graham Coulter who helped excavate the human remains after half a skull became exposed in the mud near the mouth of Lymington River.
Speaking after the ceremony, the chartered surveyor, who lives in Lymington, said: “I think it’s a nice reflection on Christianity and mankind.“It’s very moving. It’s nice people turned up to give him a proper send-off.”
The rare remains – of which 80% of the body was still present – were recovered from Sowley Beach. They were given a radiocarbon dating estimating them to have been buried in AD1450-1650.
An osteoarchaeologist who studied the 5ft 4in (1.63m) skeleton concluded it was likely to have been a 20 to 25-year-old adult male.“
[Graham Coulter, finder of the skeleton (picture: Steve West)]
[skull at time of discovery]
[New Milton Advertiser & Lymington Times; n.b. I have corrected a few errors of spelling etc]
The full report is a good read, though it is disappointing to see that the senior archaeologist at the local council thinks that 1450-1650 comes within the “mediaeval” period. Either the Renaissance or, just about, the early Enlightenment.
It was amusing somehow to read that a person holidaying in the area, and who attended that religious service, was one Kathryn Tudor! Like something from The Morning of the Magicians [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Morning_of_the_Magicians].
Mrs. Tudor, however, is another who seems to imagine that the period in question was “mediaeval” (as does the local newspaper). Our English education must be to blame. G.K. Chesterton expressed a similar irritation to mine via his fictional Father Brown detective-priest, and that was a century ago.
Have I identified an historical gap in the market for detectives in literature? 1450 to 1650. I have never heard of a fictional detective operating in those centuries.
Well, that story is a delightful English vignette. Somehow charming, intriguing, and unsullied by contact with too much of England in 2024. More like something out of M.R. James [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M._R._James].
“A second haul of alcohol has been stolen from a Lymington store, which has now seen more than £1,000 worth taken over the two incidents.
As reported by the A&T yesterday (Thursday) 21 bottles of champagne valued at £717 were taken from Marks & Spencer on St Thomas Street on Tuesday 30th April, and CCTV pictures were released of a pair wanted by police.
Now officers have made a second appeal over an incident at the same store between 1.10pm and 1.40pm on Wednesday 15th May, when the eight bottles of champagne and spirits valued at £326 were taken.“
How time flies. When I first heard of Rupert Sheldrake, in the early 1980s, he was a still-youthful 39 or 40, and I was in my mid-twenties. Now he is 81, nearly 82, incredibly, and I myself am no longer young (67).
“I think it’s dangerous that people should be allowed by our liberal societies to put that kind of nonsense into currency” [John Maddox].
You can see the kind of thinking that leads to those people who doubt orthodox views, whether re. “climate change” aka “global warming”, or re. the “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic, or other matters, being pilloried, while others (msm talking heads, scribblers etc) parrot System orthodoxy, and say that the dissidents or freethinkers should be incarcerated, deprived of medical services, bankrupted etc.
Who has contributed more to science and to this country, Sheldrake, or Maddox? I say Sheldrake.
Incidentally, I see that Sheldrake’s wife, Jill Purce, is also an interesting personality (I had not known of her until today): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jill_Purce.
“The NHS has today been accused of providing ‘inadequate’ pain relief to women who have suffered agonising childbirths.
Under health service guidance, new mums can be discharged just a day after undergoing a C-section or vaginal birth.
But they are advised to take just paracetamol or ibuprofen to manage symptoms.
Campaigners and doctors slammed the move, claiming it was yet another example of women’s pain issues in healthcare being ignored or underplayed.“
[Daily Mail]
Still clapping?
The fact is that we now have health rationing in the UK. There has always been an element of that but it is now becoming impossible to ignore. It is not OK to simply repeat the old slogans of “our NHS” etc and how the rest of the world supposedly envies it (which is not true in respect of most advanced countries).
I am totally in favour of “free at point of use”, but the existing NHS model is just not working. Resourcing is one factor, but attitude and ethos is another one, and one that must be addressed. Also, pervasive maladministration.
The elephant in the room, though, is mass immigration. A population of 56 million when I was growing up has become one, officially, of 65 million, and probably 70 million in reality, with about a million more coming in every single year. Something has to give. Various things are giving, are cracking. Health provision is one of those.
Tweets seen
After condition of my cat, Sugar, stabilized during recent exodus to KhanYunis, she accompanied me to Hamad Town, which was subjected to an indescribable siege/hardship, to check on other cats, giving them as much food as possible. Thanks for keeping us in your thoughts/prayers🙏🏻 pic.twitter.com/x70J5fxVMY
What the “Israelis” are doing in Gaza, what they have been doing for the past nearly 8 months, is a form of controlled sadism exercized mainly upon a helpless civilian population, and upon their even more helpless companion animals. This is not war but a kind of cruel and deliberate torture. Gott straf ihnen.
The average age of an American TV viewer has exceeded 60 years
Thus, the average age of a MSNBC viewer is 70 years old, Fox News is 69, and the “youth” MTV is 51 years old. pic.twitter.com/xNm5Rg5lUK
I was told a few years ago that, in the USA, hardly anyone not over 60 watched TV any more. I found it hard to believe, though even when I lived there (1989-1993, on-and-off), and on later visits (1999-2002), it was true that the people I knew watched very little TV, but at that time I think it was more of a class/education/cultural level thing, in those pre-mass Internet days).
Labour have chosen a private healthcare boss to run against Jeremy Corbyn in Islington North in the incoming general election. It's like they want to lose. Even Jacob Rees Mogg would stand a better chance than Praful Nargund.
— Mannie Quinn & The Mighty Hornets🐝 (@MannieMighty1) May 25, 2024
When Labour's candidate to take on @jeremycorbyn was yesterday exposed as a private healthcare fraud, Starmer's stooges claimed the businesses Praful Nargund ran were 'not for profit'. However, Nargund and his family made millions from vulnerable families, whilst rinsing the NHS. pic.twitter.com/u6Hbcjyc3e
Do you see the way things are going? Labour, once a “socialist”/social democratic party, is now completely signed-up to the transnational finance-capitalist agenda, and to the “great replacement” of Europeans by non-Europeans in Europe, including the UK and Ireland: the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.
Look at Islington North. Symbolic. The very constituency represented for 41 years by a white man who is also a socialist (like Jack London, though Jack London said “I am a socialist, but a white man first“, unlike Corbyn…) and who was Leader of the Labour Party.
Corbyn’s replacement as Labour candidate— a non-European who is a health profiteer, along with his parents. I bet he is pro-Israel, too.
Now do you see it?
More music
These people should be on our side. Or vice-versa…
More tweets seen
SUNAK WARNS LABOUR'S IMMIGRATION POLICIES COULD HARM ECONOMY
In his inaugural campaign speech leading up to the British general election on July 4th, Prime Minister Sunak asserted that only his party could be trusted to manage the economy and secure borders effectively.
Ha ha! Has the little Indian money-juggler somehow failed to understand that, under “Conservative” misgovernment, immigration is running at about a million a year now, out of which “only” about 50,000 are coming here on small boats (in reality, often ferried in by UK Border Force, RNLI, and Royal Navy)?
Has Sunak not understood that 80% of “asylum-seekers”, even those entering in backs of trucks or on rubber boats, are eventually given “Leave to Remain” under a system and legal framework which came from the 1950s and is now totally ridiculous and out of date ?
No, Sunak knows all that. He just hopes that the British people do not.
Labour, of course, will just do the same but in a different way, by allowing almost all to enter the UK “legally”. Reality? No difference in terms of end-result.
Labour confirms it will give 16 yr olds the vote. Here's Labour's plan to rewire Britain's democracy 👇👇https://t.co/UA2ukmAI16
Persons aged 16 are far more likely to vote Labour, at present (about 90%); thus Labour hopes to entrench its likely large majority of 2024 in 2029.
“Man proposes, God disposes“, though. Those 16-18 y-o voters of 2024, and their successors, might go another way completely after 5 years of (as I firmly expect) useless and yet repressive Starmer-Labour government.
On the wider point, if Goodwin is correct and Starmer intends to prevent any real democratic revolt against his planned “woke” tyranny, then he must expect the consequences. As John F. Kennedy said, “those who make peaceful revolution impossible make violent revolution inevitable“.
Imagine, if you will, Britain in 2034, after 10 years of Starmer-Labour.
A population of about 80 million or more, more non-European than white, at least in the main cities and towns; the country in an irreversible economic slide, with pay very low, and with State benefits equally low and restricted to ever-smaller groups; pensions not keeping pace with inflation; the roads scarcely repaired; the NHS even worse than under the “Conservatives”, and become a world leader in…waiting lists, poor treatment, and negligence; ever-greater numbers of blacks and browns (etc) flooding in, but the numbers officially concealed; Jewish-Zionist supremacism ever-more evident, but any criticism muzzled by even more restrictive and repressive “hate speech” laws.
Needless to say, by 2034, let alone 2044, the central areas of the cities will have become almost no-go areas for real Brits, as crime and disorder take hold. London is already halfway there.
In those circumstances, any measures taken by the British people themselves would be justified.
Starmer and Sunak’s Israeli friends— a history
2/15 After WWII a paramilitary group of 50 Jews nicknamed "the avengers" had a failed plot to kill 6 million German civilians by poisoning the German water supplies
The leader of the plot, Abba Kovner, was awarded the Israel Prize in 1970, the country's highest cultural honour pic.twitter.com/VCjlw2zAAy
4/15 In 1940, Haganah bombed the SS Patria, a ship being used by the British to deport 1,800 Jews who had tried to enter Palestine illegally
Haganah intended to cripple the ship, but ended up sinking it and killing 267 people, including 50 crew members and British servicemen pic.twitter.com/67cBXZRKiC
8/15 1947 brought the so-called "Sergeants Affair"
Irgun kidnapped two British Army Intelligence Corps NCOs, and in response to the death sentences passed on three Irgun fighters, they hanged them and booby trapped their bodies
10/15 In April 1948, Irgun and Lehi militants jointly committed the Deir Yassin massacre of at least 107 Palestinian villagers, including women and children. Deir Yassin was a Palestinian village of around 600 people near Jerusalem pic.twitter.com/VLa4v8nWgH
12/15 Many perpetrators of the Deir Yassin massacre were later absorbed into the IDF
Menachim Begin later stated in his book "Without what was done at Deir Yassin, there would not have been a state of Israel." pic.twitter.com/PicA9FRFGC
14/15 In total in 1948, 700,000 Palestinians — half the Arab population of Palestine — either fled their homes or were expelled by Zionist paramilitary organisations with the support of the Israeli military
The royal Swedish Bernadotte family has a result of Folke's murder still to this day never made any state visits to Israel. The reel is from Israeli TV where the ex Lehi members had no problem rejoicing in the assassination. pic.twitter.com/O4jSDeajtN
Swedish Prosecutor General Maths Heuman's statement about the "quality" of the Israeli police investigation of Folke Bernadotte's assassination. pic.twitter.com/iR4Aol2q7j
Skellefteå is in the far north. Two days ago, three Syrians attacked a man in Kalmar in the Southeast, kicked his head, set his hair on fire and tortured him by drilling his leg with an electric drill.
So that writes off the votes of the tiny minority of the young who might have voted Con. Beyond that, this is not a serious policy idea, more an attempt to shore up the collapsing Con vote among those 70+.
National Service ended over 60 years ago (gradually from 1957, though anyone born after 30 September 1939 was exempted). The last call-up was at the end of 1960; the last conscriptee was discharged in 1963.
In other words, only those (some) people of 85+, and who served under legal compulsion, would still be alive today.
Incidentally, who do you think will be taking all available jobs while the UK-born 18-21 y-o contingent are polishing boots, being beasted on assault courses, or being taught how to shoot hostile targets and not the local farmworkers? That’s right— the recent immigrants.
Just the way to achieve “community cohesion”…
This is some kind of pathetic appeal to misplaced nostalgia, designed (perhaps stupidly) to appeal to the very elderly (most of whom still vote Con anyway).
A few years ago, I would have supported this, but with all of the Ukraine/Israel war etc and my eyes open to government propaganda, I'm not sure if I'd support my son signing up to be exploited as propaganda government fodder. https://t.co/VKDyNVcr3P
You will not get much of interest from the likes of that “Akunjee” character.
Only the most awake (not “woke”) people understand that the NWO/ZOG System has chosen Starmer as its puppet to become an “elected” (via rigged selection and election procedures, FPTP voting etc) dictator, casting Britain into the pit of migration invasion, mass race-mixing and mixed breeding, and gigantic repression on free speech, dwarfing anything yet seen.
From the man who couldn't even plan for the weather on the day he calls a general election.#ToriesAreDone
I still cannot understand why Sunak went out in the pouring rain to announce GE 2024. Was he trying to show the population that he is stoic, or a tough guy of some kind? What it said to me is that he is an absolute idiot, for all his paper qualifications; someone who does not know enough to put on a raincoat when it is raining hard, or at least have someone hold an umbrella over him. Someone such as that has not the basic nous to be Prime Minister.
Actually, what is the point of “National Service” even if the scheme could be enforced? In any serious war with Russia (the scenario constantly being pushed; no other exists), there will probably be a nuclear exchange before very long. The UK would be a, perhaps the, prime target for Russian attack. The “National Service” “chocolate soldiers” would be but pillars of ash long before being deployed anywhere outside the UK.
Come to think of it, how exactly would UK troops on any large scale be deployed? Both the air force and navy are now very small, and the air lift capacity very limited as well. As for the Royal Navy, its new aircraft carrier could carry a large number of troops, but it is not even defended by many naval fighter aircraft. It would probably be sunk long before it got to the Black Sea or Baltic.
I was out early today, before 0700 hrs, and the English countryside was arguably at its best in the fresh breeze and sun of the early summer (though I also very much love the autumn). How terrible if those green trees and sculptured ranks of hedges and topiary were to become a charred and irradiated wasteland, all because of a completely unnecessary and contrived war with Russia…
These children were among the targets of Israeli airstrikes in Gaza last night. pic.twitter.com/jBrYZVZ9Sw
Antonov hits the nail on the head. Washington's reckless actions are only pushing us closer to conflict. Instead of prolonging this proxy war, it's time to think about real diplomacy and the future of US-Russia relations. Peace should be the priority, not endless military aid.
“Antonov: No one in Washington is thinking about the future of relations between the US and Russia “The American authorities do not think about the future of Russian-American relations and are engaged in destroying them”, said the Russian ambassador to the USA, Anatoly Antonov, commenting on the new American package of military aid to Kiev.“
Just because the only way a white dude can take part in the oppression olympics is by putting on woman face, lobbing on a wig and calling himself Bertha, doesn’t mean that you have to play along. https://t.co/ML32N39G1R
We shall soon be in a world in which a man may be howled down for saying that two and two make four, in which people will persecute the heresy of calling a triangle a three-sided figure, and hang a man for maddening a mob with the news that grass is green.
Sage. That quotation could be a commentary on my own recent prosecution and conviction (I may appeal) for (allegedly) posting on the blog, and telling society a few socio-political and historical truths, mainly truths about “them” (((them))).
2/2 What’s the msg? Only celebrate the achievements of men when similar numbers of women are celebrated?
We are ignoring relevant contextual factors
And they say we live in a patriarchal society. Rubbish!
Read that. Turns out that, as so often, the Chief Constable in question is a woman, and moreover one who, after a business studies degree at what was then Sheffield Polytechnic, joined the police in Cambridgeshire. Her Wikipedia entry contains no detail of any interesting cases or arrests, just a careerist plod (no pun intended) upwards on the bureaucratic ladder: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jo_Farrell.
A few more of those G.K. Chesterton quotations:
The thing that really contradicts Communism is not Capitalism, but a small property as it exists for a small farmer or a small shop-keeper.
Were Chesterton to live in our own times, he would have been “cancelled” by intellectual pygmies, would probably never have been published, and would quite likely find himself having to defend nonsensical and/or malicious allegations in the criminal courts.
My own political philosophy is very plain and humble; I can trust the uneducated, but not the badly educated.
Incidentally, Wikipedia’s piece on G.K. Chesterton contains the caveat “not to be confused with A.K. Chesterton“.
A.K. Chesterton [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A._K._Chesterton] was a remote relative of G.K. and perhaps, possibly, probably (I do not know) named “A.K.” deliberately because of the connection, G.K. Chesterton then being a very famous figure indeed (who was even cited and quoted in novels such as Brideshead Revisited, published much later— 1945, in that case; Brideshead contains a scene involving a reading aloud of Chesterton’s Father Brown story, The Queer Feet [https://www3.nd.edu/~afreddos/courses/43811/queerfeet.htm]).
When, from about 1975, and at age 17 or 18, I became actively interested in contemporary British politics (in addition to my earlier and continuing interest in the Germany and Russia of the 1910s, 1920s, and 1930s), I heard tell about A.K. Chesterton at or around the League of St. George, in a couple of cases from people who had known him personally (he died in 1973).
I read a couple of copies of “A.K.’s” magazine, Candour, and carried on a brief political correspondence in 1976-1977 with some (?) Irish and certainly Roman Catholic lady who had continued the publication after the death of “A.K.”. Frankly, I did not think much of either. The young can be censorious, often too censorious.
Below, another gem very fitting for 2023 rather than 1923:
A society is in decay, final or transitional, when common sense has really become very uncommon. Straightforward ideas appear strange or unfamiliar, and any thought that does not follow the conventional curve or twist, is supposed to be a sort of joke.
The economy, NHS, border control, housing supply, and police, ambulance, GP, railway, court and prison services are all crocked. It's clear that Britain is an undeveloping country. My latest⬇️ https://t.co/bnFFAFYHxq
True, but the diagnosis is very clear to many. I have been blogging and, before that, tweeting etc about it for many many years. What also matters is the prognosis, and then the treatment necessary.
Paul Embery is one of the most consistent advocates for freedom of expression on this platform. Many others who talk about freedom of expression really only support it for those they agree with. https://t.co/AKOTpqwqdx
I await the tweeter Embery’s defence of my rights to freedom of expression, recently violated by a Kafkaesque prosecution and conviction procured from behind the scenes by the malicious Jew-Zionist org “Campaign Against Antisemitism”, who admit in tweets and on their website that they not only had “lord” Ian Austin write to the DPP about me, but also admit that they have been targeting me for 7 years (I myself think — or know— rather longer).
“Ukrainian intelligence today revealed chilling images from the scene of the assassination of Ilya Kyva, a ‘traitor’ and former Kyiv MP turned Putin puppet.
Kyva, 46, was gunned down last week as he went for a walk in a supposedly safe location at a country club near Moscow – the latest of several collaborators to have been assassinated in recent months.
Images from the scene show his body lying in the snow – and the weapons supposedly used to ‘liquidate’ him were discovered hanging on a tree nearby. Video was also released apparently showing the assassin lying in wait in the snow and watching passers-by.
The SBU secret service made clear the images and footage were deliberately released as a warning to other Ukrainians collaborating with Vladimir Putin’s invading forces.
‘This is a signal to all traitors and war criminals who have gone over to the enemy’s side,’ a Ukrainian source told media.“
[Daily Mail]
Ukraine— a failed state, non-state, ruled by gangsters and Jewish “business” exploiters.
Late tweets
Reform party is now up to 11% with two pollsters this week. YouGov and now Redfield & Wilton. And this is BEFORE Farage shows his cards. If I was a Tory I'd be very very anxious …
Yes. If Farage and Tice actually fight the 2024 GE, unlike their behaviour in 2019, when they stabbed their own followers in the back and enabled “Boris”-idiot to lead the Con Party to an unmerited victory, Reform UK might manage between 15%-20%. Even 15% would sink the Con Party, leaving Con Party with about 53 seats, depending on the Lab and LibDem showing. If Reform UK can get to 20%, and if most of the extra votes come from Con Party, the latter might be left with as few as 14 MPs.
My own guess, on present showing, is that the nationwide vote for Reform UK might exceed 15%; not sure.
My other guess is that the Con Party will be left with between 50 and 100 MPs.
That, of course, will mean a Labour Party elected dictatorship.
Late music
Update, 7 December 2024
Well, as far as GE 2024 is concerned, I got it right, or almost right: Reform UK did fight the General Election and, despite the unfair/illogical FPTP voting system, got 14.29%, which gave them 5 MPs (under a pure proportional-voting system, it would have been 92 or 93 MPs).
The Con Party did get hammered, ending up with a few more MPs —121— than the 50-100 I predicted.
As for the Labour “elected” dictatorship, yes, that also happened. Despite only getting 33.7% of the voted vote, Labour now has 411 MPs (out of 650).