Diary Blog, 16 March 2022, with latest analysis of Russian strategy in Ukraine

Morning music

On this day a year ago

As noted previously, interesting to see how many people, tweeting a year ago, are now “cancelled”, along with their tweets.

Ukraine

[state of play as of yesterday, 15 March 2022]

The above map from Sky News shows the position fairly clearly.

Russian forces are dominant in the south, both on, and inland from, the Black Sea. The same is true in much of the east and northeast but, apart from the southeastern city of Donetsk, which was already under Russian control, no major or even medium-size cities have been taken in the regions beyond the Black Sea.

Donetsk is the fifth-most-populous city in Ukraine, with over a million inhabitants [all population figures as of pre-invasion], Mykolaiv [former Nikolayev], 9th-largest city, has or had over half a million, Mariupol, 10th-largest (exc. Crimean cities), has or had over 400,000 people, Kherson has or had over 280,000, Melitopol about 150,000.

See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cities_in_Ukraine

There seems to be a split in the Russian strategy: in the south, by the Black Sea and Sea of Azov, brutal and desperate fighting for the urban areas as well as the areas around and beyond the cities and towns; in the north and northeast, cities attacked by missiles and artillery, and encircled or being encircled, but not yet taken.

In the northeastern and northern areas, the Russians are encircling cities or skirting them, but in the south trying to take them, because in the south, what is important for the Russians is to control the entire Black Sea coast and littoral zone inland for some distance.

I still think that Kiev will be prioritized ahead of Odessa, but if there is a week or two of standoff in and around Kiev before the main bombardment and then assault starts, the Russians may try to retain the initiative by pushing to and possibly into Odessa. Odessa is the third-largest city in Ukraine, with a (pre-invasion) population of well over a million.

As I write, there is news of Ukrainian counter-attacks “in several areas“, but as yet no detail. Whether the Ukrainians can sustain any counter-offensive is doubtful, in view of their resupply problems.

Looking again at the map, the areas of focus for the Russians seem to be Kiev and the Black Sea/Sea of Azov coasts. Other areas are not prioritized at present. For example, there has been no push to take or even encircle Dnipro [former Dnepropetrovsk], the 4th-largest city (a million inhabitants before the invasion).

As for the inland areas west of the river Dnieper, and as far west as the borders with Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, and Moldova, though the Russians have attacked some key targets, using missiles, there has been no attempt to gain ground there, so far.

The slightly conciliatory tone of Zelensky yesterday, admitting that Ukraine cannot join NATO, could be read as desperation. NATO has supplied anti-tank and portable ground-to-air missiles to the Kiev regime, but no planes, and no tanks or other large armour (it seems), and will not be imposing a no-fly zone.

The upshot of all that is that the forces of the present Ukrainian government are reduced to fighting a guerrilla war. In that, they may have considerable success against the unwieldy Russian forces, but in the end the superior Russian strength must begin to tell. The fact is that, unless Russian forces are very much reduced in numbers, equipment and resupply, they must surely prevail, taking the major cities (or whatever is left of them).

More music

Tweets seen

…and, most importantly, a fraction of those arriving “legally”…

The “refugees welcome” dimwits and virtue-signallers then start howling about how pay and State benefits are too low, and about how there are not enough houses, trains, roads, schools, NHS hospitals, doctors and nurses, and the rest.

Cue jokes from some people about “stupid Irish” etc, perhaps, but who are we to talk, when you see the state of the UK now? And yet more flood in, daily.

It is hilarious, though, albeit bitterly so, to reflect that the Irish have fought, literally, for centuries, to resist occupation by the English (and, in Northern Ireland, the Scots), only to allow themselves to be occupied without a struggle and without a fight, by the sweepings of Africa and Asia…

Sinn Fein has become one of the most pathetic examples of all that.

As Hitler said about the USA, “half-judaized and half-negrified“. Hitler was right…

That is of a piece with the rest of the “cancelling”, virtue-signalling etc around today. A kind of “iron fist in velvet glove” sub-Stalinism. The hypocrisy is everywhere, as well. You have fake outfits and people such as the “Free Speech Union”, GB News, Toby Young, James Delingpole, Julia Hartley-Brewer, and the rest.

When did you hear or see any of those parasites stand up for my free speech? What’s that? I am not prominent enough? Well, I was prominent enough in late 2016, after my wrongful (and in fact now admitted to be unlawful) disbarment. Google “Ian Millard, barrister” and you will see that there was plenty of coverage of me in the national press, including the Daily Mail and Independent. Nothing defending me, though, by the usual “free speech” controlled opposition types.

The same goes for others of a broadly social-national type, such as satirist Alison Chabloz. Not a word in support of her free speech from Toby Young and his type.

More tweets

Well, since almost everything of any use, discovered or invented or developed in our world over the past two or three thousand years, was discovered etc thanks to white European or at least post-Aryan people, that’s our whole culture and civilization “cancelled”.

The blacks cannot create such a civilization; in fact, they cannot even maintain it when it has been given to them, as can be seen in Africa, Haiti, and elsewhere. They can only exist in it (when white Europeans and/or some others exercise control), or destroy it (if left in charge).

Andrew Neil seems to think that Ukraine in the winter/spring of 2022 is akin to Stalingrad in the winter of 1942-43, i.e. heavily sub-zero. Not so.

There may have been some defective tyres, I suppose, but it seems more likely that that convoy was “stuck” where it was because the entire invasion was sluggish.

Open-source intelligence.

It merely prolongs and intensifies the agony of Ukraine.

Afternoon music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newgrange]

More tweets

https://www.rt.com/russia/552079-putin-west-domination-ends/

Some people have still not woken up to the fact that the migration-invasion is not somehow accidental, or the result of negligence of some sort, but a transnational conspiracy that reaches up to the highest levels of Western society. Google “Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan” or, indeed, “White Genocide“.

Ukraine update

The main news seems to be a Russian approach from the Kherson area towards the considerable city of Kryvyi Rih [former Krivoy Rog, “Curved Horn”], the 8th-largest city in Ukraine, with a pre-invasion population of about 612,000. This is the only city of any real size barring the way to Kiev from the south, to the west of the river Dnieper.

Late tweets seen

Here we go, and we are only just into 2022, the most significant year since 1989…

and again:

…and so Jess Phillips, Yvette Cooper etc can continue to virtue-signal without any danger of having to walk the walk…

That’s why BBC Crimewatch was done away with, too.

… and that degenerate, Israel-Firster, and Common Purpose drone, actually pontificates on the ethics of others! What a Pharisee!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Bryant;

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Bryant#Expenses_claims_scandal;

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Bryant#Personal_life

Late music

[Vltava (former Moldau) river in Prague]

7 thoughts on “Diary Blog, 16 March 2022, with latest analysis of Russian strategy in Ukraine”

    1. Watcher:
      In retrospect, inevitable. I was unaware that so many non-whites were in Jew-ruled Ukraine. Apart from that, the EU now has almost no borders when it comes to non-white parasites passing through.

      Like

  1. Dear Ian: The Irish are not the only spineless cowards without national or, more importantly, racial consciousness and pride. The majority of Whites worldwide are like that. Why do you think they behave in the same disgusting manner? Your people are some of the worst, I can believe NOBODY has tried to attack those bastards landing on your shores courtesy of the f… traitors of the RN and the RNLI

    OK, rant over! Time for lunch! (LOL)

    Like

    1. Claudius:
      To do that would be like trying to treat a symptom, while leaving the cause or causation untouched. I hear what you say, though.

      The ultimate problem is that the population is saturated with multikulti, race-mixing propaganda, none more so than those who are now still children. TV ads, TV series etc. The schools reinforce the messaging. The children and young grow up now surrounded by a cocoon of illusion.

      Like

      1. You are right, of course! Is just me, the Latin hothead talking! LOL
        I tend to tell myself, that I should not get so angry about current affairs because there is nothing I can do about them, but sometimes (fairly often according to my wife) I blow my top.

        Sadly there are no “smileys” or “emojis” to add, sometimes they are better than words! LOL

        Like

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