On this day a year ago
From the newspapers
“Vladimir Putin‘s ‘martyr complex’ is so out of control there is a risk he will embolden Russia to use nuclear and chemical weapons, a think tank has warned – amid rising concerns over the Kremlin’s ‘hysteric rhetoric’.
A new report published by the US think tank Heritage Foundation has highlighted a growing risk the Russian president will ‘make one of the most fateful decisions of the century’ in the face of his faltering invasion of Ukraine.
The study, named The US and Its Allies Must Understand and Respond to Russia’s Nuclear Threats, explores the actual likelihood that Putin will turn to using weapons of mass destruction.
Russian generals are understood to have discussed the use of tactical nuclear weapons in November, but is said to be cautious about the use of long-range weapons.
However, Russia has ‘increasingly portrayed the West as an enemy and appears to now accept tactical strategic nuclear weapons as an option for deterring further escalation of combat.
The country is understood to have between 1,000 and 2,000 nuclear weapons of varying sizes.
The use of such weapons is seen by Western nations as a last resort, but the report states Russia may turn to tactical nuclear weapons ‘early in the exercise or at mid-point’.
The report outlines four situations in which Putin would turn to nuclear weapons; pre-empting an attack on Russia; use against Russia; a threat, such as a cyberattack on Russia’s command-and-control systems; and an existential threat to Russia from conventional or nuclear weapons.
It says: ‘Russia has failed to defeat the Ukrainian military and is now focusing on forcing the capitulation of the civilian population by attacking electricity and water supplies.
‘It is therefore plausible that Russia will not only threaten to use, but actually use, a weapon of mass destruction to target civilian resistance in Ukraine.
‘Russia is focusing on destroying Ukraine’s power infrastructure, and with the nuclear industry now producing around 60 percent of pre-war power, a Russian attack on nuclear power stations to cut off electricity and create an improvised nuclear incident is a real prospect.’
It has also warned that the use of chemical weapons against metro stations in eastern Ukraine would be ‘devastating’.
The report cites the use of chemical weapons in Syria as evidence of Russia’s willingness.
It has also highlighted Russia’s efforts to ‘weaponise refugees’ and create mass flows of people into Western countries to the point they become ‘overwhelmed’.”
The growing escalation by the NWO (NATO etc) is concerning; the flow of advanced weapons to the Kiev regime, together with ammunition, non-military aid, and cash.
If I had to guess, I should put the chance of the use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine by the Russian side at about 30%, depending on how the war goes in the next few months. Any chance of Crimea being lost would make their use almost inevitable, but that raises the question of where such weapons might be used— on the battlefield, or against cities? Could Kiev be completely flattened? If so, what would be the NATO (US) response? All-out strategic response? Unlikely but not impossible. Limited but major conventional response? Maybe, but probably not. Nothing much? Possibly.
Russia would not hold back if subjected to serious or sustained Kiev-regime attack on its own unquestioned territory, eg in Central Russia.
As to a full strategic nuclear exchange between NATO and Russia in general, my view would be that that is at present no more than a 5% chance, but that is a very pessimistic assessment. Horses win at 20/1 all the time.
“‘I know I’m being sent to my death’: Ukrainian soldiers admit ‘we are just getting killed’ as they defend Bakhmut…and say Russia can already ‘taste victory’.
Ukrainian soldiers have painted a bleak picture of their on-going defence of Bakhmut, the small eastern city that has become the target of Europe’s bloodiest infantry battle since the Second World War.
Kyiv‘s soldiers have said they knew they were being sent to their deaths when they were given the orders to go to the city, and admitted they are ‘just getting killed’.
The Jews usually degrade, or even destroy, other societies over time. Now it seems that they are quite close to breaking up their own, Israeli, society, only 75 years after its foundation.
Would that, and the whole situation around that, have been seen or even conceivable in the 1980s, 1990s, even a decade ago? I think not. The West is not, mainly, being pressured by outside forces, but is falling apart internally. Maybe that is often the way of things, thinking of the Roman Empire, the gradual collapse of Sovietism etc.
Like a scene from Stalingrad in 1942/1943. War is hell.
It has been clear from the start, over a year ago, that the Americans have been feeding a large amount of direct battlefield intelligence from satellites etc to the forces of the Kiev regime. Had that not been so, the Russian forces would have had greater success in the field.
This comes close to the USA being a direct participant in the war. Madness.
The finance-capitalist system is inherently unstable, and linked in such a way that (as with an uncontrolled reaction in a nuclear power station) panic a fear creates an unstoppable or almost unstoppable momentum.
Imagine though, if a banking sector collapse internationally co-incided with a European war beyond the Ukraine borders. That could be the trigger for a social-national and pan-European upsurge across the continent, enabling the extermination of evil powers and person, and also the foundation of a new and better society in the long term.
More thoughts around Russia and Ukraine
The missing factor on the Russian side, domestically, is real determination on the part of the ordinary population. That would change if any one of two things were to happen: a direct conventional-arms attack (by Ukraine or its Western quasi-allies and backers) on any major Russian city, or a large incursion onto unambiguously Russian territory by forces of the Kiev regime (or foreign forces).
Either of those two events would probably trigger a large scale and probably (tactical-) nuclear response by the Russian leadership.
Russia values Kiev as one of the birthplaces of the Russian state [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kievan_Rus%27], and I think that the leadership will try to capture the city intact, if possible, but if the Russian leadership felt that the Russian state itself were in existential peril, their response might be to destroy Kiev rather than face extinction as a state, as a people (a collection of peoples, but Russified and Russophone), and as a distinct European/Eurasian culture.
Ha ha! I can vaguely remember David Icke reading out the football results on — was it Southern TV? Wikipedia says BBC, so maybe BBC South— sometime around 1980 or so. Not that I would have been interested anyway.
I did not hear of David Icke again until 1990 or 1991 (looking at his Wikipedia entry, maybe the latter year), when I returned one time from the USA, and a friend mentioned as an example of something or other “David Icke“, and I replied “who?” (I had forgotten the name of the young man reading out the sports news a decade before). My friend laughed and said “you must be the only person in England who has not heard of David Icke!“. At that time, he was completely unknown in America.
A few years later, September 1994, I was invited as a birthday surprise by another friend to what turned out to be David Icke speaking at the Wigmore Hall in Marylebone, London, only a short taxi ride from where I then lived in Little Venice.
A quite good and very impassioned speaker, and dressed —if I recall aright— in his famous purple tracksuit, Icke was introduced by a remarkably attractive woman (about 35-40) who said that he was something like “the greatest thinker of our time“. I found that his speech did not quite live up to that billing, but was all the same interesting. My friend also bought me, as a birthday present, a signed copy of The Robot’s Rebellion from the stall in the foyer.
Icke used to follow my Twitter account (and I think that he was only following about 100-200 other people and organizations, so he must be rather perceptive!…). That ended when a pack of Jews had me expelled from Twitter in 2018. Icke himself was (as I had predicted would happen) expelled from Twitter later (by the same or similar Jews), but is now back: https://twitter.com/davidicke.
I would not endorse everything that Icke says or has said, but much of what he says is correct, and has been proven to be, e.g. the following:
“Why do we play a part in suppressing alternative information to the official line of the Second World War? How is it right that while this fierce suppression goes on, free copies of the Spielberg film, Schindler’s List, are given to schools to indoctrinate children with the unchallenged version of events. And why do we, who say we oppose tyranny and demand freedom of speech, allow people to go to prison and be vilified, and magazines to be closed down on the spot, for suggesting another version of history.
— And the Truth Shall Set You Free (1995)“
Of course the “usual” (((usual))) influence has contaminated Wikipedia, so its “facts” in respect of anything such as Jews, the “holocaust” farrago, and the Second World War, Hitler etc, are often not true facts at all.
Icke’s son, Gareth Icke, is now following somewhat in his father’s footsteps: see https://twitter.com/garethicke.
Some recent tweets by David Icke:
The apparently intermittent dementia of the US President at such a time is more than concerning. Stupidity played a large part in the unwanted (by most people) start of the two really major wars of the 20thC; will actual dementia play a part in the start of the next such war?
Ironic. The same sort of people who are forever tweeting (or spouting on (((TV))) and in the (((Press))) about how Britain fought off German invasion in the early 1940s —and leaving the argument about that aside— are usually “refugees welcome” dimwits who want the UK to be a dustbin for the whole world. At present, they are certainly succeeding. I wonder whether they will like the eventual results (to them personally, as well) of their virtue-signalling “activism”?
I have seen tweets from the usual self-describing “Left” suspects saying that even a critical interview like that should not be allowed on TV, because Patriotic Alternative (etc) are “fascists“. It just confirms the total irrelevance of Corbyn-style pseudo-socialists in the post-1989, post-socialist political space.
The British people, especially the poorer ones, are just ignored by the System, and nowhere is that more obvious than when it comes to mass immigration and migration-invasion.
…preferably with a good kicking as a not-golden farewell!
Join with Russia if the EU turns even more against Russia.
Join in amity with Russia, cut ties with the EU completely if necessary, leave NATO, chuck out US spy bases and air bases.
The EU is not, on the whole, a Europe worth saving anyway. With Russia on one side and the UK on the other, the EU states will have to come to heel eventually, and give us what we want and need.
Pensions cap removal etc
If the aim is mainly to stop doctors taking early retirement, then why not restrict the recently-announced policy to doctors?
In fact, Plymouth has a minority Conservative Party-ruled council. 25 Labour, 23 Conservative, 9 others.
The tree vandalism is appalling. I know Armada Way, which is a long and mainly traffic-free avenue connecting the central part of Plymouth to the famous Plymouth Hoe where Drake played bowls before defeating the Spanish Armada in the late 16thC.
The bit of Armada Way where I often was has thankfully been spared the axe, and is closer to the centre of the city. I often appeared at the County Court there (the building also contains the rather busy Plymouth Crown Court).
Plymouth could be a fantastic city, with its water frontage, and its rural hinterland, but somehow isn’t. It has problems of crime, drugs, drunkenness etc, and the local council is completely incompetent. I used to park at the very top of a multistorey car park quite near the court building. The Plymouth Council owned that car park. In about 6 years of parking there (about once every couple of weeks), the lift worked once, I think. Once out of 100-200 times. A small example but, I think, telling.
Plymouth Council is riddled with both freemasonry and Common Purpose, so often the nests of the mediocre. As with other councils with those characteristics, such as Birmingham, Plymouth Council is both incompetent and corrupt.
Incidentally, if anyone wonders why I always parked on the open top floor of that car park (about 10 storeys high) despite knowing that the lift would almost certainly be inoperative, well, there are a number of reasons. I like being able to park where there is always a spot, in a space almost always free of any other cars, not having to bother with other cars’ owners, people parking or leaving etc. In fact, about the only time I ever saw another car up there, it turned out to be that of a rather attractive lady barrister I knew slightly from court, Rebecca something-or-other. Secondly, I enjoyed the view. Thirdly, it is my long-held habit— I always park at the top of multi-storey car parks.
Macron the NWO/ZOG dictator
See also my assessment of Macron from a few years ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/09/on-recent-events-in-france/.
Rental property in England
Disgraceful. Government, central and local, must step in, but it abdicated its responsibilities years ago. Buy to let and other similar forms of exploitation have to be stopped.
Sweden should have the sense to stay neutral. Such support comes close to abandoning neutrality.
As for Poland and its leadership, I can only think of Hegel, who wrote that “the lesson of history is that people do not learn the lessons of history” (may not be exact quotation, but near enough).
So the “Conservative” Party panel of Uxbridge and South Ruislip have reselected a part-Jew who was born in New York City, brought up in the USA and Belgium mainly (except when at Eton and Oxford), who did time (a few weeks) on a kibbutz in Israel, who describes himself as “Zionist“, and who has a long history of disgraceful and dishonest conduct in his personal life, as a journalist of sorts, as MP, as Cabinet minister, and finally as Prime Minister?
What am I missing? Not that he is some kind of great brain, as once was thought by easily-fooled people. As for real intellect and culture, forget it.
Still, at least it looks as if his time as MP is very limited, if the opinion polls can be believed:
Unfortunately, instead of being put up against a wall and shot, the bastard is going to make millions out of memoirs, speeches, after-dinner ramblings etc.
Interesting to see. One of the worst aspects (culturally) of the Ukraine conflict is the ghastly music (I do not know what it is called), a kind of (?) Slavonic “rap”, and played constantly by both sides. At least the “turbofolk” played during the Yugoslav/Balkan war(s) was not completely offensive to the ear.
Well, not quite as bad, anyway…
The Russian equivalent of turbofolk (I think it can be called…apologies to any musical experts reading), which I well remember from when I was in Kazakhstan (1996-1997):
More late tweets seen
The Guardian that became a cheerleader for the 2020-2021 police-state “Covid” measures: “lockdowns”, facemask nonsense, and Boris-idiot’s own contribution, the ridiculous “Rule of Six”.
Well-meaning silliness. Mikolaiv, or Nikolayev, will probably fall back under Russian control before very long; after that, I expect that Russian authorities will rebuild the city.
Incidentally, the Danish Ambassador and his government might be better advised to use their time, money, and power to prevent Denmark being further swamped by non-European savages.
I am willing to accept that the Ambassador’s own motives are probably reasonably good or charitable, but this is wrongheaded. Better to stop funnelling arms to the corrupt and vicious Jewish regime in Kiev, which merely prolongs a war Russia cannot lose.