Morning music
Tweets seen
Grotesque.
I never see boring Newsnight now, so had missed that.
More grotesquerie.
Talking point
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_Panzram
I had not previously heard of this person or of his crimes. It does beg the questions around Nature v. Nurture, in that the subject had been brutalized from an early age, firstly by his own parents, then by the juvenile “reform” system, then by other experiences, and finally by the state and Federal adult prison systems.
In other words, someone evidently monstrous, but at the same time someone made monstrous, arguably. It would be interesting to compare the life-stories of his several siblings.
From the newspapers
Still clapping?
Having said that, there are, I think, still many good people in the NHS, but the structure and management of the Service is obviously unwieldy and inefficient.
More tweets
If a black hits a white, especially a white woman, the penalty should be… [COMMENT REDACTED BECAUSE THERE IS NO LONGER ANY FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION IN THE UK]…
I have a shrewd idea (or maybe not so shrewd— we shall see…) that “30p Lee” Anderson may have jettisoned the Conservative Party rather than the other way around. After all, the Con Party is staring down the barrel of an electoral meltdown which may finish off arguably the longest-surviving political party in the world.
The Conservative Party was looking at quite likely defeat in Anderson’s constituency, but now maybe not (if Anderson is reinstated). If Anderson is not reinstated, he may well be able to stay on as MP either as an Independent or, more likely, after having stood as Reform Party candidate. He now has real national profile.
I blogged about this a few days ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2024/02/24/diary-blog-24-february-2024-2/: see below…
“Lee Anderson, and Ashfield (Derbyshire)
The maverick MP has been suspended from being under the Conservative Party whip.
Naturally, I do not agree with his statement that London is “run by Muslims”. Sadiq Khan is from a Muslim background, but has been pretty much in the Jew-Zionist pocket for many years.
It would be more accurate to characterize Sadiq Khan as “anti-white”.
As to Anderson himself, I suggest that he is trying to bolster his position vis a vis the General Election expected later this year.
Until 2019, Ashfield had always been won by Labour since its inception in 1955, with one closely-run by-electoral exception in 1977. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashfield_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s. “New Labour” and Gloria de Piero changed all that.
David Marquand, a former MP for Ashfield (1966-1977; he is still alive, at 89): “Originally a tentative supporter of Blair’s New Labour, he has since become a trenchant critic, arguing that “New Labour has ‘modernised’ the social-democratic tradition out of all recognition”, even while retaining the over-centralisation and disdain for the radical intelligentsia of the old “Labourite” tradition.” [Wikipedia]. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Marquand.
Marquand defected to the SDP and then was honourable enough to step down as MP, not contesting the by-election.
In fact, Marquand was himself rather intellectual:
“Marquand addressed Britain’s relative economic decline in The Unprincipled Society (1988) and The New Reckoning (1997). He argued that this decline was caused by Britain’s failure to become a developmental state like France, Germany and Japan. In those countries state intervention had encouraged industrial development and had facilitated the necessary adjustments to competition. Britain, however, was wedded to an economic liberalism which prevented the state from undertaking the necessary measures to meet the country’s developmental needs.[7] In The New Reckoning Marquand claimed: “The economies that have succeeded more spectacularly have been those fostered by developmental states, where public power, acting in concert with private interest, has induced market forces to flow in the desired direction”.[8]” [Wikipedia].
In fact, Ashfield is not quite as “safe Labour” as the history might suggest superficially. Gloria de Piero won in 2010 by a majority of under half a point (0.4%, 192 votes) from a LibDem.
While de Piero’s majority increased in 2015 (as the LibDems imploded), in 2017 she beat the Conservative candidate by less than one point (0.9%, 441 votes). An Ashfield Independent came third with over 9% of the vote.
In 2019, Lee Anderson won convincingly: 39.3% of the vote, followed in second (27.6%) by another “Ashfield Independent”, Jason Zadrozny [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jason_Zadrozny], who has had a chequered political and personal history. In third place came Labour, with only 24.4%.
Zadrozny is going to contest the seat at GE 2024.
So far, apart from Anderson (who may or may not be standing as Conservative Party candidate, depending on whether he gets back the Conservative whip), only the Ashfield Independent and Reform UK are presently known to be likely to stand at GE 2024, but a full field is almost guaranteed. There may be a dozen or more candidates.
At first, I thought that Anderson could probably be written off as post-GE 2024 MP, but now am not so sure. He has now (whether by design or not) distanced himself from the unpopular Conservative leadership —and possibly from the equally-unpopular Conservative Party— is anti-EU, anti-migration invasion etc, and is now known nationwide. He must have at least a chance of retaining his seat. If he does, and if he also retains it as a “Conservative” MP, he might be one of 100 or even as few as 50 such MPs. Who knows what might then happen?“
[from this blog on a previous day].
It may be that Anderson would be better off electorally standing either for Reform UK or as Independent than he would be as a Conservative Party candidate. Voters like “celebrity”; look at how Caroline Lucas has built up her constituency vote at Brighton Pavilion over the years, and that despite Green Party candidates elsewhere generally losing their deposits with votes under 5%.
More tweets seen
How ironic it would be if, one fine day, a kind of “Nuremberg” trial were to take place, with Netanyahu and others tried, convicted, and even hanged.
Take away his rice bowl. The Kiev regime has scarcely even the facade of a genuine state. Everything is being propped-up by aid monies from the USA, UK, EU etc.
Sam Melia
I happened to see the communique below from Laura Towler of Patriotic Alternative:
“Morning all. Bit of an update about Sam as he’s still under direction not to talk about his trial on social media.
He is being sentenced on Friday. There is a chance he will get a custodial sentence, but there is also the possibility he won’t. We are preparing for the worst but hoping for the best. It’s a weird feeling right now because we don’t know whether this will be our last week together for a while, but despite this Sam is in a good place. When you can hold your head up high and honestly say your intentions were good, and when you have the truth on your side, you can take whatever is thrown at you.
Sam has recorded a video that will be uploaded after Friday, sharing his thoughts and a message for you all. If he gets a custodial sentence, that will be how he speaks. If he walks away a free man, he will be able to post again.
Pictures are from last week when we went away for a few nights as a family and it was really lovely to spend that time together.“
[Laura Towler]
Good luck to Sam Melia and Laura Towler.
See also: https://www.spiked-online.com/2024/01/29/even-the-far-right-must-have-the-right-to-free-speech/.
“Even the far right must have the right to free speech...”
[Spiked magazine].
I recall having met Professor Tettenborn in 2002, when we were both “Lords Justices of Appeal” for a day, judging a moot for his students from Exeter University at the Guildhall (in the High Street at Exeter). My one and only appearance as a Lord Justice of Appeal.
More from the newspapers
“The strategically important Baltic Sea is being dubbed NATO’s lake after Sweden was cleared to join the military alliance – strengthening its power in the region in a nightmare development for Vladimir Putin.“
[Daily Mail].
The Scandinavian states and Finland must be mad. They have just made themselves targets for possible nuclear attack.
Worth hearing.
I imagine that, in the medium term, before 2035, the Jews will be driven out of “Israel”/Palestine, and will flee to the USA and Europe etc. The destruction of the Israeli state will weaken the power of the Jewish lobby worldwide.
Ian Robert Millard 
Good morning Ian! Did I enjoy the punch from that savage to the pathetic (and I am sure liberal and pro-immigration) white female employee or what? 😁😁😁 And, what did her cowardly and despicable male jobmates do? NOTHING! 😁😁😁 As I always say, most White folks deserve EVERYTHING they get! Most Whites seemed to have been lobotomised (LOL) What a blessing is to live in a country without savages “Made in Africa”! 😁😁😁
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Claudius:
For once I cannot *completely* echo your sentiments, though I agree that liberalistic people tend to bring such consequences upon themselves as well as upon the rest of us.
The untermenschen have to be controlled and kept down until they can be deported or otherwise removed.
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Hello Ian! Yes, I understand, you are a better person than me. (not very difficult!😁😁😁) I do not know the meaning of compassion when applied to my enemies and I am convinced is the right attitude. If it was up to me we would not take any prisoners. Look at what (((they))) did since 1945.
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Claudius:
I do not say that I am “better”, just —perhaps— more likely to pay lip-service to traditional norms!
I agree with your final comment.
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I am in favour of sending some money to Zelensky! Why only 60 billion dollars? Let´s not be stingy and make it 100!😁😁😁
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Claudius:
Send Zelensky a ship-load of 2024 Milei pesos. He can burn them for fuel next winter if the Kiev regime has any power stations left.
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Ashfield’s previous Labour then SDP MP, David Marquand, had a few braincells to rub together economically-speaking then and could show some original thinking.
You would be very hardpressed to see any of that in New Labour Mark 2 with added Zionist extremist Likud Party today under dull as ditchwater, uninspirational, Mr Flip Flopper extraordinare, Keir Starmer.
Our profoundly undemocratic electoral system and legacy mass media help to squash any kind of original thinking in our politics so it is no wonder this country keeps on going round and round in circles and doesn’t get anywhere.
I have a hunch that when the election comes many will regard it as a huge borefest, irrelevant to the country’s future and abstain from voting. We could be on track for a worse turnout than post 1918 record low 2001.
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Yes, unelected and illegitimate imposter, Rishi, continues to throw away our hard earnt tax monies to Ukraine when there is really no realistic chance they will win against Russia and where we may see the election of Donald Trump who will almost certainly cut off the Yankee funds within just a few months.
Britain has huge problems everywhere you look and many of these need considerable funds from government to begin to solve yet he being the severely out of touch elitist that he is ignores them.
No wonder the Conservative Party is heading for a massive landslide defeat which could be on the scale of their worst one in 1906 or even more disastrous.
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John:
I cannot see Labour “losing” GE 2024, i.e. not getting a majority, but how great a majority is still uncertain.
Usually, the opinion polls narrow as an election approaches, but I feel that it might just go the other way. I cannot see that the bunch of clowns presently forming the Government can ever be taken seriously by the electorate, even bearing in mind that many do not follow events closely.
The factors are, of course, the % taken by Con Party, the % taken by Labour, and then, of course, the % of any protest votes.
The Government has totally run out of road: there is no respect for them, it has no policies that are worth a plugged nickel, and everything in the UK is just getting worse, from the roads to the schools, the NHS, the legal system, to the migration invasion etc. Above all, perhaps, average living standards.
I can see the Con Party sinking to as low as 15% nationwide; or, at best, 20%. Labour could be anywhere from 35% to 55%. Maybe 45% in the end. Cannot see LibDems going beyond 10%. Reform UK? Maybe, possibly, with a following wind, 15%. Greens? About 5%.
Acc. to Electoral Calculus (inc Scottish and tactical-voting factors, and Cons at 15%), that comes out at Lab 544 MPs (!), Cons 15 MPs, LibDems 50 MPs, Greens 2 MPs (oddly) and Reform UK…zero…
If the Con vote were 20%, Lab 45%, and all others as above, Lab 523 MPs, Cons 36, LibDems 50, Greens 2, Reform UK still zero.
Even if Lab sinks to about 40%, that still leaves the *Cons* well short of 100 MPs; maybe a level of about 78.
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Changing the electoral system to the German/New Zealand system of Proportional Representation called Mixed-Member PR:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_system_ of Germany
https:/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_system_of_New_Zea land
is about the only thing that can save the Tory Party now but, of course they won’t do it being fanatical opponents of real electoral reform.
They would rather go down to a historic landslide defeat and help to to give this country a dangerous elected dictatorship which will be virtually impossible to remove with its imported block vote.
A Canadian 1993 election result appears to be on its way otherwise.
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk
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Their poll ratings are within the range of 20 to 29%. That latter figure was becoming more common a few months ago but since Suella was sacked and replaced by that useless, globalist nonentity, James Cleverly (Thickerly), and the recent rise of Reform UK about the highest they get is 27-28%.
I think the rock solid Tory ‘core vote’ is around 18-20%. Their support is very unlikely to fall below that on a sustained basis. There was one opinion poll when Liz Truss was PM that had them on 14% but it must have been a rogue poll.
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John:
If opinion polls asked an extra question, “Are you definitely going to vote?” the result, in past years, would be favourable to the Con Party, but in 2024 it might go the other way.
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Doesn’t that electoral calculus website show the utter absurdity of stand alone FPTP? The Lib Dems FALL in their support levels from last time yet GAIN seats, the Greens get two MPs on a single figure percentage share of the vote because of decent support in just two constituencies whilst Reform UK get ZERO MPs on a predicted share of 10% plus!
And the biggest utter FARCE of the lot is that Labour get to form an effective elected dictatorship when they still can’t get 50% or more of the national vote.
Stand alone FPTP is more of a lottery than a rational and democratic means of expressing the will of the people!
http://www.makevotesmatter.org.uk
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John:
Indeed, but the System parties love FPTP voting because it excludes smaller parties, honest parties, while ensuring that the System parties win, whether under Con or Lab label.The whole thing is a con-trick.
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Yes, there is usually some kind of ‘swingback’ in the polls to the governing party especially when the next election is perceived to be close. We are NOT in the ‘mid term’ now where bad by-election results can be so easily dismissed as irrelevant.
I don’t think there will be much improvement in the polls for them particularly when they have a ‘leader’ who is about as electorally popular as Adolf Hitler turning-up at your average Bar Mitzvah party or someone passing wind in a crowded lift. Unwanted Rishi grates with the vast majority of ordinary people, has no real sense of political direction (what the hell is ‘Sunakism’?) and insists upon annoying people most liable to vote Tory. He done this yet again today with his claim the Tories, “represent Modern Britain” A debatable point at the best of times but his underlying intention was to belittle the concerns of anyone remotely concerned about mass immigration and its effects using devious globalist PC politician code.
The problem for little, arrogant Rishi is that those kind of voters who celebrate so-called ‘modern’ Britain vote Labour, Lib Dem, Green, SNP, Plaid Cymru or abstain from voting and would rather slit their own throats than vote Conservative.
No wonder the Tory vote is collapsing on his watch.
Time to get rid! He has had more than enough time to turn the polls around and has no clue as to how to do it.
A good illustration as to how unpopular he is was a poll done a few weeks ago asking people who would make for the best PM, who is in touch with ordinary people ect. Rishi was beaten by Starmer in virtually every constituency even in places where you might think he would be quite popular and would have increased Tory standing such as wealthy, cosmopolitan Tory seats such as the Cities of London and Westminster and Chelsea and Fulham but no even those constituencies preferred Starmer.
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If they go below 120 seats and especially if the total is less than one hundred many voters will cease to think of them as a credible alternative government even if they get themselves a decent, inspirational leader. Many of the ‘crud’ element of their MPs hold very safe seats and will throw their hats into the ring!
Playing ‘Russian Roulette’ with our crap electoral system and banking on it to give them a decent number of MPs still after the cull is not wise.
Even the most well-established of parties can die. The old Liberal Party never recovered from its electoral hammerings in the 1920’s. The Tory Party might well be about to follow that scenario in 2024 and afterwards.
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John:
Yes. I blogged about the similarity with the Liberal Party collapse in the 1920s a year or two ago.
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What is your guess for the Tory share of the vote tomorrow in Rochdale? Mine is anywhere between 5 and 15% with my central guess being 8 to 12%. Incidentally, 8% was their share in the seat at the disastrous election of 1997.
I wouldn’t be too surprised if such a score was replicated.
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John:
My initial thought was around 15%, but I think that your guess might be closer. This government is so unpopular, I cannot see more than a small number of previous Con voters voting Con today (I am writing about the by-election at 0400, which is almost sad…).
There is the point that while the Cons won twice in the early 1950s, and had modest votes after that, the boundaries changed in 2010, giving a slight boost to the Con vote. In the last two general elections (2019; 2017), the Con vote was almost a third of the whole vote on the day. Placed second, though a poor second, in both years. In 2015, too, the Cons only just failed to come second (though also on a low level of support).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rochdale_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s
I imagine that the 2017/2019 Con vote (between 25% and 35%), which is mainly a white/English vote, will now be split between Reform UK and the LibDems.
At a guess, I am thinking that the Con vote might actually collapse to a 5%/lost deposit level. Many will fail to vote. I notice that the Con candidate has apparently not even been bothering to campaign, and went on holiday last week…
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With this seat having no recent history of having a Tory MP and the present government being wildly unpopular there must be the potential for a huge collapse in the Conservative Party’s vote share. I think one of the independent candidates who is campaigning on the Rochdale child grooming scandal may pick-up some support from ex Tory voters.
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Hang Netanhayu? Ha, ha, capital punishment is in opposition to the central tenets of Judaism (Sidney Silverman MP was Jewish and he was the leading figure in the political movement to abolish it here) yet oppressing and persecuting entire peoples such as the Palestinians and stealing their land and building settlements all over it is ALSO supposed to be not supported by Judaism.
Of course, Zionists like Bibi Netanhayu ever so conveniently are very selective as to which parts of the Jewish faith they are willing to follow or not.
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Frederick Schomberg, the fake Conservative Party won’t do what you want. They import these people because they genuinely believe they are going to be the staunch Tory voters of the future!
There is a reason, you see, why the Conservative Party is called ‘Britain’s Stupid Party’.
Plenty of Tory MPs must imbibe serious quantities of mind altering drugs if they think those immigrants are going to vote Conservative! They would rather slit their own throats than put an X next to a Conservative candidate.
Crime is becoming ever worse in this country. Only today, someone was murdered in Harold Wood Station which is just one stop away from me in Brentwood.
Stab City Upon The Thames and its national disgrace of a crime level is becoming worryingly close to this ultra-Tory stronghold.
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Yes, standing now as an official Conservative Party candidate is putting a giant electoral millstone around your neck in anywhere but the most ultra-safe Tory strongholds and Ashfield has never been that kind of constituency/council area.
Lee Anderson would have more of a chance at being re-elected as an independent or Reform UK party representative.
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