Chesham and Amersham
I looked at the runners and riders a while ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/06/diary-blog-6-june-2021-including-the-upcoming-by-elections-chesham-and-amersham-and-batley-and-spen/; and https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/16/diary-blog-16-june-2021-including-final-look-at-tomorrows-chesham-and-amersham-by-election/.
I concluded that the most likely result would be a Conservative win, though probably with a greatly-reduced vote-share. Now, however, it seems that there is a serious possibility of one of those unexpected LibDem (and, in the further past, Liberal Party) by-election upsets: Eastbourne, Orpington etc.
Well, I still think that a Con victory is more likely than not, but if the 2019 Con vote halved, and if the LibDem 2019 vote were to double, then…
My main interest in the by-election will be the Labour result. 12% or so in 2019, but Labour has come close to losing its deposit in the past, most closely in 2010. If I had to bet, I should say that Labour may lose its deposit today.
Yes. I keep seeing crazy “rabbits”, mostly at or beyond retirement age, walking around on clifftops or alone on empty pavements, masked. Idiots. Complete idiots.
…and the prize for Hypocrite of the Day goes to Mark Lewis, the Jewish solicitor who moved to Israel in 2018 after having been found guilty on several charges by the Solicitors’ Regulation Authority.
“The main thing in life is to treat others as you wish to be treated”, says he!
BBC Radio 4 PM
Just listening to the PM radio show. Pretty pathetic (as usual). Most of the time taken up with the “panicdemic”: virus variants, measures taken across Europe, blah blah…
More tweets about today’s by-election
Well, 2010 is a long time ago now, but do those people really not remember that, when the LibDems were offered ministerial pay and privileges for propping up the regime of David Cameron-Levita, they almost bit his hand off in their eagerness to cash in?
In reality, we have only a facade of democracy.
Labour in particular wants desperately to hold on to the fiction that it is a “national” party, fighting every seat, when the reality is that it is dead in much of the south of England outside London, dead in Scotland, and dying in the north of England and Midlands. A niche party for some ethnic minorities, some public service workers and a few other smallish groups.
Alternative view: a persistent expenses-blodger and thief.
Alternative view: Britain has imported millions of unwanted immigrants in the past 50 years. They have been breeding prolifically. That is the main reason that housing is in short supply and/or priced at ludicrously high levels.