Afternoon music
Saturday quiz
Well, this week I scraped another narrow victory over political journalist John Rentoul, with 5/10 as compared to his 4/10.
I knew the answers to questions 1, 2, 5, 6, and 10.
Tweets seen
I feel that, with the passing into history of the late Queen, the Monarchy in Britain has ceased to be of any real relevance.
Charles has become a total —and very obvious— mouthpiece for the international conspiracy.
Please refer to previous comment…
That would result, using Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html] in a massive Labour majority of (about) 352: Labour 501 MPs, Conservatives 74, LibDems 35. The only thing keeping the Con Party going would be its history (now trashed anyway), its assets (if any) and its name-recognition among the public.
I notice that it might also mean an undeserved boost to the LibDems, tripling their number of MPs.
Despite that polling, indicating that Reform UK might still win no seats (despite polling nationwide a point higher than the LibDems; more proof that FPTP voting is not working now in the UK), this may not be the end of the show. I think that political academic Matt Goodwin might be right in predicting a surge in support for the rather pathetic latest Farage vehicle (now notionally led by Richard Tice).
If, as Goodwin predicts might happen, Reform UK does surge to, say, 15%, and if the extra 5 points come from Con Party former voters, then the number of Con Party seats reduces to about 30, but Labour would gain, and not Reform UK, which would still be left without any MPs despite, in that scenario, scoring one and a half times the votes of the LibDems, who would end up with about 43 MPs. The voting system is broken.
The reason of course, is that (as with UKIP in 2015) Reform UK has a fairly even level of support nationwide, without the concentrations of votes in some constituencies that the LibDems have.
In fact, to start getting MPs, Reform UK will have to achieve about 18% across the board. If those votes all came from former Con voters, the Con Party vote would have to decline to 14%. In that unlikely (?) scenario, the Conservatives would be left with about 10 MPs and might fairly be said to have been wiped out.
Incidentally, on 18%, Reform UK would still only get about 1 MP.
If Reform UK can take Labour votes as well, a very different picture. Still a huge Labour majority, but the Conservatives left with a rather more respectable 80-90 seats (and LibDems with about 50). Reform UK would still only get one or two MPs, however. Very unjust (not that I have much time for Reform UK, especially after Farage and Tice recently doormatting for Israel and the Jewish lobby).
I take Goodwin’s point though (I should do— after all, I have been making it for years myself): in a situation where both main System parties are determined to do pretty much the opposite of what most voters want, even sheep-like voters start to think how to protest, in the absence of a credible social-national party. Former Con voters may abstain, or may vote (mainly) for Reform UK, maybe LibDem, or other parties; Labour dissenters who dislike Starmer and his Labour Party may protest by (mainly) voting LibDem or Green.
Both main System parties are signed up to the transnational conspiratorial agenda— funnelling blacks and browns into Europe and other formerly almost-entirely white European societies (Australia, New Zealand etc). Also, signed up to the whole globalization project, to the biosecurity pseudo-health state idea, and to the cashless society idea (thus allowing the “central power” to de-bank people, cut off funds etc at will, eventually, e.g. to punish those who say or write the “wrong” things).
At present, GE 2024 is still a year ahead, probably. The only fairly certain fact is that this Government has run out of road, and is hanging on because it cannot think of anything else to do. Indian money-juggler Sunak is as misplaced in his office as were “Boris”-idiot, Theresa May, and David Cameron-Levita; ah, I actually forgot that ridiculous “ho”, Liz Truss. She too.
Sunak will probably decamp to California by 2025 at latest. Remember that nasty little bastard Nick Clegg? He is now living in an affluent suburb near San Francisco.
We are “ruled” by cosmopolitan poseurs of that sort, totally corrupt, and their venality equalled by their incompetence.
More tweets
Yes, but at present there are nearly a million unwanted migrant-invaders coming to live in the UK every year, even after emigrants are taken into account. That makes a continuing and worsening housing situation inevitable.
In a word, yes…
“Ukraine” (Kiev regime)— a failed state, a non-state.
A considerable part of the Ukrainian population might be fairly described as “blockheads” (even before they get drunk).
Please refer to previous comment.
I do not know the politics of Highgate, particularly, so cannot really comment.
Incidentally, that tweeter, John Edwards, a retired fire chief, at one time quite a few years ago would chat to me on Twitter (a pack of Jews had me expelled in 2018), but later had his ear bent to the extent that he tweeted to people that I was “a dreadful fascist“; yet here I am supporting his right to freedom of expression. #MoralHighGround…
Anyone who votes Labour in 2024 expecting any kind of positive change in the UK from that would have to be a total idiot. However, the present Sunak Government is just so hated and despised by almost everyone (my guess, around 85%+) that, in a basically binary electoral/political system, Labour, despite the fact that it offers —realistically— nothing, is almost certain to win big next year.
Britain is now so screwed, and in almost every way, that only a total change to a social-national rulership, combined with a massive cultural and other purge, will save it, if it can be saved.
Hancock should have been tarred and feathered, along with all those in and around government promulgating the absurd “lockdowns” and other “Covid”-related nonsense.
Instead, he is given hundreds of thousands of pounds to eat snails and witchetty grubs in that ridiculous “Jungle” TV show.
My assessment of Hancock from 2019: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/09/09/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-matt-hancock-story/.
Well, dear readers, was I right or wrong?
“Israeli-born geneticist believes the Turkish villages of Iskenaz, Eskenaz and Ashanaz were part of the original homeland for Ashkenazic Jews.
New research suggests that the majority of the world’s modern Jewish population is descended mainly from people from ancient Turkey, rather than predominantly from elsewhere in the Middle East.
The new research suggests that most of the Jewish population of northern and eastern Europe – normally known as Ashkenazic Jews – are the descendants of Greeks, Iranians and others who colonized what is now northern Turkey more than 2000 years ago and were then converted to Judaism, probably in the first few centuries AD by Jews from Persia. At that stage, the Persian Empire was home to the world’s largest Jewish communities.
According to research carried out by the geneticist, Dr Eran Elhaik of the University of Sheffield, over 90 per cent of Ashkenazic ancestors come from that converted partially Greek-originating ancient community in north-east Turkey.“
[The Independent]
In other words, they have no right (based on claims of ancient settlement) to the lands now known as Israel and Palestine.
There should be an institute somewhat similar to SS-Ahnenerbe which could take DNA and other evidence, in order to investigate such theories and claims.
Should not be too difficult. After all, Zelensky has ripped off tens of millions, maybe hundreds of millions, of US dollars, has a $50M villa in Florida, another luxury villa in Italy, probably others as well.
Late music
Ian Robert Millard 
Hello! I am sorry but, what is the problem with Charlie III wearing a tie with Greek flags? Does he expect to become King of Greece?
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Claudius:
This is all to do with the Elgin Marbles (the Greeks refer to them as the Parthenon Marbles:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elgin_Marbles
They were taken by Lord Elgin in the 19thC. You could call it “looting” or “cultural appropriation” but at the same time it is clear that they would have been damaged by events and pollution had they stayed in situ.
The Greeks mostly want them repatriated; many in the UK and elsewhere prefer that they stay at the British Museum, where they are beautifully displayed.
In the 1980s, I was often at the Museum and at the British Library Reading Room within the building (now open to the public, but the actual Library has had a new building for 25 years now).
The implication of Charles wearing that tie is that he sympathises with the Greek Government. Controversial in itself, this also implies the Monarch taking one side in a purely *political* argument, which in the British set-up is unconstitutional.
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He might be doing it to purely annoy Sunak which is OK by me and, I suspect, many others. Apparently, Charles doesn’t get on with the wholly unelected, diminutive Extra From It Ain’t Half Hot Mum and the reason for that is the King thinks Sunak is an uneducated environmental vandal.
It is a pretty mild rebuke on the Monarch’s part compared to some instances in British history with the most notorious being the occasion in 1938 when King George VI and Queen Elizabeth blatantly made known their support for appeasement and their personal warmth and approval of Neville Chamberlain as PM by inviting him to join them on the balcony of Buckingham Palace after he signed the Munich Agreement with Adolf Hitler.
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King Charles III is better than the late Queen was in some respects in that not only is he a committed environmentalist and therefore is said to get regularly annoyed with the wholly unelected environmental vandal in No.10 he is also reputed to be a supporter of Proportional Representation which Queen Elizabeth opposed.
It is a shame King Charles can’t knock self-serving politicians’ heads together and get them to introduce the PR electoral system this country is long overdue.
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WHO are you, Professor Sikora? A conspiracy theorist posing as a Professor by any chance?
Idiot. Hancock is right. This country could have had less deaths AND less damage to the economy if this cretinous Tory government led by a circus clown had taken more stringent measures earlier and not released the country from its delayed lockdown too early as was its obvious mistake at the time.
We could and should have emulated well-governed countries with fewer, idiotic libertarians in them like Singapore and South Korea. Both of those countries had a superb response to the crisis.
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Hancock should have been PM in 2020. That he attracts the ire of immoral libertarian extremists who don’t have the courage to just come out and admit they would have been prepared to see 300,000 plus Brits die just so they could have a bit more personal freedom is proof he was on the right track.
In Singapore, people who willingly disobeyed their stringent public health measures were not just given heavy fines but given short prison terms for a few weeks. No wonder they had one of the lowest fatality rates of the Covid-19 pandemic.
Sadly, Hancock wasn’t PM and we had a fat, useless, lazy, idiotic clown and libertarian chancer and grifter as PM instead with the inevitable results of having such a moron at the helm during a worldwide viral pandemic.
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John:
Without repeating previous conversations, we do not agree on this topic; neither do I agree that someone as lacking in principle (and culture) as Hancock should ever be thought worthy to take on either the Prime Ministership or any other senior political role.
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Believe it or not, King Charles III is not an ordinary pleb but a Monarch so he will travel by a private jet.
The people who should be condemned for hypocrisy is not a Monarch who has to travel by private jet for security reasons but ‘ordinary’ very wealthy people who can use more environmentally friendly First Class or Business Class flights but who choose to go by private jet instead.
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There IS a climate crisis. This has been comprehensively proved by the majority of the world’s most eminent scientists working in this field.
Yes, the climate has always been subject to some variation but it is now of a dangerous form and mostly caused by the burning of fossil fuels. The Industrial Revolution was a great boon to the world but it also had an environmental cost to it which is now becoming steadily more apparent. At one time, only we were industrialised but now many countries are and the environmental cost has built-up over the last one hundred years plus.
The planet can only deal with a certain amount of abuse before it starts to fight back which it is now doing. We have no alternative other than to find new ways to run our economies in a cleaner and more environmentally friendly way than we have been doing up to now.
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John:
The Earth’s climate has at times been far warmer than it now is, and without any industry (or even any human beings). Even in the last few thousand years, history shows that the climate has had warm and cool periods, eg warmer in the middle/late Mediaeval period, but then colder (as in the “LIttle Ice Age” which lasted from the end of the Mediaeval period until the mid-19thC):
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age
Unfortunately, the usual “experts” (all of whom are using data gleaned from only the last 200/250 years, a tiny part of even the recorded history of the Earth) have proven to have no integrity at all: the IPCC, the University of East Anglia, that little Indian who was the head of the IPCC and who claimed (in 2009 or before) that the Ganges and Brahmaputra would run dry within a few years. Falsified data, cover-ups etc. Look at Al Gore’s infamous lying film.
I agree that there *are* too many people (mostly in Asia) on Earth now; that may be having some secondary effect.
Whatever the UK does is de minimis anyway, even if you accept the “global warming” narrative. Not even 1% of global “emissions”. As to the idea that the UK can “set an example” that will then be followed by the Chinese and Indians…ha ha!
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• Changing History to Control You – Aletho News – Climate Realism by Paul Burgess | November 28, 2023
• Changing History to Control You – Climate Realism by Paul Burgess
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Global warming is a FACT proven by numerous very educated scientists who have been studying this for many years. The only people who dispute the evidence that the earth is warming to a significant and dangerous extent are the usual suspects ie libertarian cranks such as the Reform Party cretins and their fellow travellers in the fake Conservative Party such as that weird, diminutive, utterly disreputable Covid-19 mass murderer Rishi Sunak, moronic idiots like Iain Dumbo-Smith. You get the drift here!
You don’t even have to rely upon the words of scientists. Those who aren’t ignorant can see with their own eyes all the extreme weather events occurring all over the world such as polar ice caps melting, 100 degree Farenheit temperatures in Britain, extra hot heatwaves in Australia and Europe, sea levels rising to such an extent some countries in the Pacific such as Tuvalu could disappear ect, ect.
If global warming wasn’t happening would companies like Volkswagen and Toyota to name just two really be spending billions on electric battery research? No, they wouldn’t because it would be a waste of their profits they could do without.
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https://en.wikipedia.org/en/Effects_of_climate_change
https://en.wikipedia.org/en/Climate_change_denial
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Selected Articles: The Climate Change Mental Asylum – CO2 Fanatics Suffering from Ideological Insanity
https://www.globalresearch.ca/selected-articles-climate-change-mental-asylum-co2-fanatics-suffering-ideological-insanity/5841133
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Tony Heller
https://www.youtube.com/c/TonyHeller/videos
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John – quoting wikipaedophilia?
Beam Me Up Scotty
[REDACTED]
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The fake Conservative Party is going to be smashed next year. That would be the result of not just their utterly abysmal record of the last thirteen years but also a long term trend of ignoring completely or failing to take sufficient heed of the concerns of those most liable to vote Tory on matters such as immigration control, law and order ect and electing the wrong leaders. They might have been able to stem some losses next year if Penny Mordaunt had become leader as some opinion polls did indicate she was the the most well liked of the candidates in 2022 with 2019 Tory voters in the ‘Red Wall’ seats.
Their dimwit MPs rejected her and went for Liz Truss and now the diminutive Extra from The Jewel In The Crown. Labour MPs must have thought all their Christmases had come at once when he or Liz Truss entered No.10.
Yes, as you point out well above, our electoral system is a totally out of date, profoundly undemocratic FRAUD which is unfit for purpose and the Conservative Party’s fanatical support of it looks likely to cost them very dearly at the rapidly approaching general election.
https://www.makevotesmatter.org.uk
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And on the second row on PM Netanhayu’s side is the Zionist state’s national security minister who could be described as a Jewish Nazi in that he expressed his approval of the idea of nuking the Gaza Strip and is a member of an extreme-right party.
The Zionist entity’s present government is the most ‘far right’ government it has ever had. Where is Hope Not Hate and Searchlight magazine when they are really needed?
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That site called Electoral Calculus updates its prediction every month. In November it forecast the CONS getting 135 MPs and now, in December, it reckons only 120 Tory MPs will survive the cull next year.
Also, it predicts a sub 30% national vote share. That would be lower than the level of support John Major had in 1997 of 31% which was the lowest since the Great Reform Act of 1832 and a new lowest ever Tory national vote share.
John Major ended-up with 165 MPs in 1997 which wasn’t far off the lowest Tory MP haul in 1906 of 157 MPs.
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John:
I do not think that any pre-WW1 or even pre-WW2 election results have much relevance (boundary changes, eligibility to vote, parties changing internally etc).
Electoral Calculus is quite interesting but there are too many random factors to make election forecasting a true science or an accurate one. One of course is that each seat has its own factors, inc. demographics.
The basic trend is clear, though. Even quite firm Con voters from 2019, 2017 and earlier are now damned angry at Sunak and the rest of the present clowns.
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According to its page on Wikipedia, Electoral Calculus has an exemplary record of forecasting general election results in the UK with the only inaccurate prediction bring that famous unexpected victory by John Major in 1992 which many opinion pollsters got disastrously wrong.
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Yes, the trend is undoubtedly clear. As can be seen by poor by-election results. The Lib Dems have been able to achieve 30% plus and the high 20% plus range swings against the Tories in this parliamentary term.
If you look at the page detailing by election records on Wikipedia you will see that a government having plus 30% swings against it at by-elections has gone on to being defeated at the subsequent general election. Somehow, I doubt this lot will buck that historical record.
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