Tag Archives: Green Party

General Election 2019 Daily Updated Blog (no.8)

Time to again restart my election blog.

6 December 2019

Boris Johnson, Boris-idiot, continues to duck the Andrew Neil interview, which is obviously not now going to happen. Andrew Neil has now attacked:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7761245/Andrew-Neil-urges-Boris-Johnson-submit-interview-prime-time-BBC-challenge.html

As Neil says, Boris-idiot may soon be confronting Putin. Not only David and Goliath, but David who is running scared and without a sling.

The Prime Minister has imposed a blanket ban on discussing his private life and has been forced to swat away questions about his past relationships – even flatly refusing to answer how many children he has.” [Daily Mail]

That is or is partly because there is a persistent rumour that Boris-idiot is the father of Jennifer Arcuri’s 3-y-o child. It will be recalled that Boris gave her £126,000 of taxpayer monies as well as taking her on official trips, when he was briefly and disastrously Foreign Secretary.

There is only one objective now for anyone who is not a “Conservative” supporter (and even for real Conservatives)— stop Boris any way you can.

The election is about marginal constituencies. Most seats will not change hands. It is vital that, in the ~100 most marginal seats, every voter stands against the planned elected dictatorship (ZOG tyranny) by assessing how to stop the Conservative candidate. Tactical voting. Whatever.

If the young get out and vote, if those who do not usually vote get out and vote, this nonsense and evil can be stopped. It is not a matter of voting for a Labour majority government but of stopping Boris Johnson, and his alien “Conservatives” (few of whom are even really British) from getting a majority. You do not have to be a Labour supporter to vote Labour, in this just cause.

Meanwhile, an example of “the unacceptable face of capitalism”:

Eddie Stobart group about to fall. Some idiot, one Andrew Tinkler, somehow wormed his way into the family business, bought himself a private jet, racehorses etc, sold off the original business to a Jew-operated “private equity” vulture operation (making said Jew and his business partner £150 million) etc…Now the whole bloody lot may collapse, and the “private equity” vultures are willing to give the corporate equivalent of a “payday loan”, for only 25% interest!

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/12/06/eddie-stobart-teeters-brink-crunch-vote-rescue-deal/

and 6,500 workers may lose their jobs, pension monies etc. This is Boris Johnson “Conservative” finance-capitalism.

Daily Telegraph and other msm outlets continue to drone on about Labour and “anti-Semitism”. I wish that Corbyn would stop meeting this Zionist propaganda halfway and just say something like:

“we are addressing the real issues: homelessness, buy to let parasitism, stresses on schools, NHS, transport, pay, benefits. We are not going to prioritize Jew-Zionist whining about potential loss of some of their customary tribal privileges.”

If Corbyn and his people did that, Labour would not face any more criticism from the Zionist Jew lobby than is already the case, but it would wake up the millions of sleepyheads in the UK and take the fight to the enemy.

Sadly, I doubt that Corbyn or most of his top people have the guts or the gumption…they want to say “we oppose Israel” while at the same time saying that “we do not oppose Israel-by-any-other-name in the UK”. Cognitive dissonance.

Schadenfreude Corner… https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7758987/Russian-billionaire-tycoon-49-living-Britain-mysteriously-killed-crash.html

The Daily Mail incites readers to email Brexit Party candidates to get them to withdraw their candidatures. I am surprised that this is lawful (if indeed it is). Direct interference (and intimidation?)…

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7762417/How-stop-Brexit-Party-killing-Brexit.html

In other Brexit Party news…https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7762285/Brexit-Party-candidate-received-death-threats-run-road-campaigning.html

I have to admit that I wonder who would bother to run a Brexit Party candidate off the road? The Brexit Party is on 2% in some polls, and has no chance of anything except abject failure.

The BBC is not only completely biased in favour of the party of the government in office, but is determined to destroy European race and culture: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7761019/BBC-unveils-plan-promote-black-ethnic-minority-staff-senior-leaders.html

Meanwhile, in other Jewish news

and…

I have still not worked out whether Nigel Farage thought that he was being a Poundland Macchiavelli in standing down his Brexit Party candidates in (and I think only in) Conservative-held seats, or whether he just reached the outer limits of his (imo) limited real political ability. Either way, as I blogged on the day, Farage has committed political suicide, or rather murder and suicide: he has killed Brexit Party and also killed his own political career.

look at the (now ex-) Brexit Party MEPs who have defected to (or soon to) the Conservatives: among them, the smoked salmon Jew, Forman, and the sister of living Lord Charles dummy, Jacob Rees-Mogg.

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/humiliated-nigel-farage-drops-out-of-brexit-party-rally-after-meps-resign-1-6412686

“General election news – live: Labour cut Tory poll lead, as Boris Johnson dodges BBC and ITV interviewers amid ‘cold, hard evidence’ he lied about Brexit deal”

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/general-election-new-live-boris-johnson-andrew-neil-interview-itv-corbyn-a9235241.html

https://www.independent.co.uk/independentpremium/politics-explained/general-election-boris-johnson-conservatives-labour-a9234411.html

The Jews (no, not the 250,000 Jews in the UK, but the few hundred, maybe few thousand most hardened Zionists and their non-Jew doormats) are going to protest by the Palace of Westminster on Sunday. They thus insist on making this General Election all about them, their obsessions, their own selfish, self-centred tribal interests. As I have blogged before, an old saying says “be careful what you wish for”.

Peter Oborne:

If the polls are right, and I guess they are, Johnson is set to move back into Downing Street with the most commanding Conservative victory since Maggie Thatcher secured a majority of 102 in 1987. 

As a lifelong Conservative, I should be delighted. Instead, I feel despair. To secure his victory, Johnson has sunk lower than any prime minister in modern times. Far lower.

[Peter Oborne]

Just saw this!

It would appear Johnson is looking for a mandate to put himself above the law. Fairness and decency have been abandoned by people who ought to know better. 

Johnson and his Tories may well win next week. But they will have won through deceit and bullying. In the long term, they will pay a price. So – sadly – will the rest of us.”

[Peter Oborne]

John Major and Tony Blair both saying that voters should vote tactically against Boris-idiot and the Conservative Party. Neither, however, is saying that what needs to happen is for the UK to bin the outdated FPTP electoral system and bring in a proportional system. It has to come, sooner or later.

I like this tweet:

Debate:

The Corbyn/Johnson debate seems to have been a draw (I did not see it). Boris-idiot is said to have done better on security, on Brexit and (oddly, to my mind) on looking “prime ministerial”; Corbyn scored on “being more in touch” with the average Joe, on the NHS, on being more trustworthy. On government spending, Boris just beat Corbyn but not by much, a few points only. Boris is still seen as “more likeable”, which I find puzzling, possibly because I would like to stamp on, and jump up and down on, his head, but “that’s just me”…

Update, 7 December 2019

“Conservative” rule for a decade. Trashing of the social fabric:

The next opinion polls may not emerge until tonight (for the Sunday msm). It will be interesting to see whether Labour has gained ground (or slipped, but I think more likely to have improved its position). Not that polls are always right: think 2016 Referendum, the Trump/Hillary election in the USA, the 2017 General Election, the Peterborough by-election. To name only a few polling disasters.

This election is still open, at least in the sense that Boris-idiot and his pack of alien, non-Brit, ZOG conspirators can be prevented from getting a Commons majority and so real power.

https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/marginal-seats-most-uk-general-election-2019-list-target-candidates-824817

Those, above, are the 30 most marginal seats.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50349111

Tactical voting is key, as John Major noted in his appeal to voters not to vote Conservative.

4 clear days left.

Labour on renationalization of utilities etc:

Not bad, but for two aspects of the short film:

  • Why a black? (they are, after all, still a minority in the UK: 3% only according to Wikipedia; in fact all non-whites in UK total “only” about 13%, it is claimed; at any rate, well under 20%);
  • Why a black man with a white woman? “Rassenschande“…

Those errors, no doubt the result of all-too-typical Labour multikulti obsession, weaken the ad. They make it less of an appeal to the (still) white English mainstream and vast majority. The ad tends to show or put people with concerns about privatized industries into a minority box. It tends to say that “Labour is the party for the blacks, browns and mixed-race elements of society”, which weakens Labour’s appeal to the majority.

Royal Family

Apropos of nothing much, I just saw a news story from a few days ago, with film (and still) showing Princess Anne aside from the greeting line for President Trump, and then gesturing at the Queen (in apparent but —we are told— not in fact in breach of protocol). The still photo was striking: like a scene from a Marx Brothers film, with Princess Anne as Harpo. Good grief. The Jewish element in that family is strong and very obvious in several of its members. Now there is, of course, “the Royal Mulatta” as well…

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/12/04/uk/princess-anne-donald-trump-nato-intl-gbr-scli/index.html

Another Anne.

Anne Widdecombe in Plymouth:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7766105/ROBERT-HARDMAN-one-ex-Tory-MPs-Brexit-Party-campaign-set-steal-vital-votes.html

Latest opinion poll:

Little Miss Gracious! Great balls of fire! The misnamed “Conservatives” will be ******** themselves about this! If that were the result next Thursday, the Conservatives would have a majority, but only one of about 6. Bearing in mind error margins, this might give the Cons a larger majority than 6 or might leave them where they were a month or two ago, or worse yet.

There is still all to play for in this election (except a Labour majority, which I would not want anyway).

News about Iain Dunce Duncan Smith

Apparently, someone sent Smith (his real surname) a dead rat in the post. If that is all that happens to the bastard, after every evil thing that he has done, frankly I think that he is winning…

Update, 8 December 2019

So there are only 3 clear days left.

It seems that the poll yesterday which gave the Cons only a 6-point lead over Labour may have been an outlier, in that other polls released today show a wider gap, 10+ points (Opinium even has 15 points). That does not mean that the outlier was wrong, the consensus right.

In the very important 2019 Peterborough by-election, Brexit Party looked like romping home. The bookmakers also thought so, as did the betting exchanges, which had Brexit Party heavily odds-on. In the end, Labour, aided by the local Muslim vote, won by a few hundred votes. I blogged about the result:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/06/07/peterborough-by-election-post-poll-analysis-and-thoughts/

We all know that the opinion polls got other important elections etc wrong in recent years, not least the 2016 EU Referendum.

I watched the first 10 minutes of the Andrew Marr Show, until barrow-boy barrister and now Security Minister Brandon Lewis came on. There are some things too greasy for a Sunday morning after an evening of blini, caviar and vodka!

One thing that surprised me is that Sarah Vine, Daily Mail columnist, was allowed on Marr during the last phase of the election campaign, bearing in mind that she is married to Michael Gove, the pro-Jew expenses cheat and Cabinet minister. She was neutral, or at least seeming to be, in her comments, however. The “Labour” commentator was anti-Corbyn ex-MP Gloria del Piero.

This election is not yet over.

It may be that the consensus is right, the “smart money” right, the talking heads right, and that Boris-idiot and his ZOG Cabinet of Israeli agents, Jewish-lobby drones and careerists will have the victory they have cheated and lied to get. It may be…but it need not be!

I saw the tweet below. A cri de coeur, but one which, though I sympathize with it, fails to note that Labour is not doing what it can to win, because

  • Corbyn insists on “defending” the indefensible, meaning, inter alia, Gypsy and “traveller” thieves and scavengers, and the migration-invasion of Britain generally;
  • Labour is not hitting out hard enough at the Jew-Zionist element which has been undermining Corbyn and Labour for 4 years now!

Also, many voters look at, most obviously, Diane Abbott, and think… “that, as Home Secretary?…” and either stay at home or vote anywhere but Labour!

The fact is that those of any age who do not normally vote, as well as the under-35s and especially under-25s who notoriously fail to vote, and especially those in the 100 most marginal constituencies, could change everything if they got out and voted any way but Conservative.

Seems that the Marr interview with Boris-idiot (last week) left many tweeters unenamoured with Boris…

“Wolfie” is a good tweeter, after all he used to retweet me occasionally! (before the Jew-Zionists had me expelled from Twitter).

The fact is, that if you vote Conservative, in this election particularly, you are “enabling” the sort of wickedness that has gone on since 2010 (yes, Labour started it all, in the Blair-Brown years, but it has become just evil since then); see below:

I was interested to see the dry-as-dust-mannered (but always worth listening to) Professor Sir John Curtice on Marr. When asked as to whether the (forecast) awful weather might impact the Labour vote, he replied in the negative, but added that the forecast weather was anyway just normal horrible December weather! He might have added that he lives in Glasgow!

Gloria del Piero has spent much of the past 4 years undermining Corbyn (and so Labour)! An Italian by origin, proud possessor of a sociology degree from “the University of Central England”, and someone whom even her own party turned down for SpAd and other positions, she somehow managed to become, in time, “Political Editor” of breakfast TV bore GMTV. GMTV staff seem to be or have been pretty poor: I once (at least 20 years ago) met a fat blonde young woman (twenty-something) in a 1st Class compartment of a train from Southampton to Waterloo. She informed me that she was a producer for GMTV, but was miffed when I said that I had never seen it, never getting up that early! She then spoke on her mobile telephone all the way to Waterloo. Very rude. What can one do? I could hardly smash her face in, after all (I suppose).

Returning to the del Piero woman:

At the 2015 general election, De Piero held Ashfield with an increased majority of 8,820.[16][17] However her majority fell to 441 in the 2017 general election.[18] She is a member of Labour Friends of Israel… De Piero married James Robinson in 2012. Robinson was a media correspondent at The Guardian, media editor at The Observer and an employee at PR firm Powerscourt. He is the director of communications for deputy leader of the Labour Party Tom Watson.[35][36][37][38]

[Wikipedia]

Gloria del Piero on Marr talked about how the “Red Wall” of solid Labour seats was ceasing to be solid, or even Labour. I wonder why? Could it be because, under Blair and Brown, MPs with little knowledge of the world or of real work or a profession were drafted in as lobby-fodder MPs? Could it be because many of those MPs were not even really British in terms of origins? Could it be because many of those MPs turned out to be “beggars on horseback”, who despite (in del Piero’s case) having only survived as a child because of State benefits paid to her family, yet turned against the British people and supported cuts to benefits and the Welfare State when in Parliament (as did del Piero in TV interviews around 2010)? Could it be that the voters are angry at MPs who are “Friends of Israel” members?

Del Piero was hated by many of her former constituents. Her majority in 2017 was only 441 (Ashfield in 2005 had a Labour majority of over 10,000 and, several times previously, of over 20,000). She saw the writing on the wall and is not standing for re-election.

On the wider point, I have blogged many times previously about how politics is changing, becoming more nuanced.

I am generally pro-environment (though not pro those idiots in Extinction Rebellion, or that horrible little creature Greta Thunberg), pro-animal welfare etc. Many who oppose me on other matters also care for animals, birds. environment generally. There are new bonds and fissures in the body politic. Many are waking up to the disproportionate money, power and influence of the Jew-Zionist lobby in the UK, which politically is particularly powerful in the “Conservative” Party. Not all are social nationalists, or even in favour of European race and culture. There is a whole range of British and other European people standing contra this malicious tribe.

UK politics has already changed in some ways from what it was even a quarter of a century ago. Look at Scotland and Wales. The heavy industry that characterized those countries or regions has gone, pretty much. The industrial proletariat has gone with it. Labour was set up to represent the “workers”, mostly in industry. That role expanded to include shop workers and others. The trade unions likewise. Now, while post-Marxists [Owen Jones etc] can try to find a “proletariat” in what is either the “lumpenproletariat” or the new (?) “precariat”, these seething masses of scarcely-politically-aware persons are not loyal to any party or ideology.

Communism or radical socialism never caught on in the UK, least of all in England. Social-democracy did. Labour espoused it, but so did the Conservative Party of the 1950s to 1980s, so did the Liberal Party that became the LibDems. The first two at least were mass organizations, with members in the millions. The Conservative Party, at peak in the 1950s, had maybe 5 million members! Now?

The recent “Conservative” Party leadership election showed that the Cons have about 140,000 members. Most are well over retirement age. The Conservative Party is dying just as it looks about to deliver its final sting by winning the 2019 General Election.

When I say “winning”, I mean by getting the largest bloc in the Commons, with or without an actual majority. Further down the line, in perhaps 2022 or 2025, the Conservative moment will have gone. Most of its present members will be deceased, for one thing, and there is no chance that they can be replaced. This is the last hurrah for the Con Party, a fact emphasised also by other indications: former Conservative Party prime ministers urging a vote for Labour or LibDems! Then look at the Cabinet! A ragbag of Jews, Pakistanis, Indians, Israeli agents, all headed by the least plausible Prime Minister for, arguably, a hundred and fifty years, perhaps ever.

Jews

The Jew-Zionists are holding a protest against Labour right now in Parliament Square. Their last one attracted only about 100 (but they now claim thousands even for that pathetic little rabble! cf. “holocaust” etc!).

I expect that, however many turn up, they will be photographed as if a sea of angry squawking birds.

Ah, here we are!

Looks like dozens, not hundreds, not thousands. Lots of placards (professionally printed) and flags, but not so many Israeli ones (their true allegiance). Mostly Union Jacks, Saltires etc, to seem more “British”.

[addendum, inserted on 9 December: turns out that the Jews that turned up had been asked specifically not to wave Israeli flags; a few who did had arguments with Zionist security operatives; so I was right…]

See below: Stephen Silverman of South Essex, one of the worst Zionist extremists in the UK, who makes false allegations to the police (and trolled several women on Twitter sadistically; interviewed by police but never charged); see also https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2017/07/13/when-i-was-a-victim-of-a-malicious-zionist-complaint/

  • The idea that 40% of Jews will leave the UK if Labour is “elected” (as majority government, which is not going to happen anyway) is ludicrous, even if a pleasant idea an sich;
  • Who is supposed to want to attack “Jewish communal buildings”? Not me or anyone I know politically. Stray “Islamists”? Stray debtors? God knows. I suspect that there are few, if any, “attackers” around.

Another notorious Zionist, David Collier, is there, claiming a crowd of “thousands”…but credit where due: at least Collier does not claim that many if any non-Jews are there, “supporting” this nuisance, but just “British Jews”…

Here’s the funny thing: the Zionist Jews claim that Labour MPs, members, supporters and voters are willing to “throw the Jews under a bus” in order to get a Labour government or at least deny the Conservatives a Commons majority.

In reality, it is the other way around: the Jews are willing to throw the British people under a bus, in order to spite Corbyn.They” are putting their tribal interests ahead of those of the British people, who would suffer terribly under a Boris-idiot majority government.

What do most Jews care? Only 5% of them vote Labour anyway, and if a Boris-idiot “Conservative” government is terrible (it would/will be), well… most Jews are fairly affluent; not a few are rich or even uber-rich. Even if Corbyn were to take power (he cannot) and is another Lenin, Trotsky, or Hitler (and two of that troika were Jew/part-Jew anyway), and even if Corbyn does all that they (claim to) fear, well… most Jews could emigrate to Israel or the USA. They have the means. They have “community” systems in place to facilitate that.

Here’s another one. He does not claim “thousands”. His video shows, imo, about 300 or maybe 400:

Still, no doubt the infested BBC and Sky News etc will present it as huge on the evening broadcasts, and the “British” Press likewise, tomorrow. Another stone cast at Labour’s election campaign by those “without sin”…

Final thought on the Jewish (Zionist) protest in Parliament Square: it is obviously hundreds not thousands, but to be extra fair, let us pretend that 1,000 Jews are there. The Jewish population in the UK is supposedly 250,000-300,000. Even if only those over 18 are included, that means that only 1 out of every 200-250 attended. In reality, only 1 out of about every 700 bothered to attend. Seems that most Jews, even in the London area, are not so desperately fearful —or even angry…

Back to bigger or wider issues…

Polls

It is worth remembering that not only do the main opinion polls have a poor record in spotting political winners (ditto, bookmakers etc) but that several important elections, referenda etc were called wrongly by the polls even on the very day! The Con Party started off as much as 20 points ahead in this election, but as predicted (by me, by some others, by electoral history, by far the better option) narrowed. The Cons may be and indeed are ahead, but by what margin is in fact uncertain. Maybe 10 points, maybe 5. A couple of percent makes the difference between a Con Party Zionist Occupation Government tyranny [ZOG] and a hung Parliament, a better result.

All that matters is that voters in marginal seats especially vote against the Conservative Party. Tactical voting. This is one election where the marginalized, the usual non-voters, the tactical voters, the under 25s, can decide a general election.

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/general-election-news-latest-tactical-voting-could-prevent-boris-johnson-winning-a-majority-a4307886.html

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/uk-election-polls-labour-sees-big-surge-of-support-as-tory-advantage-shrinks-a4307776.html

“Conservative” candidate?

Here is the “Conservative” candidate for Broxtowe:

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/tory-candidate-darren-henry-heckled-after-saying-food-bank-users-struggle-managing-their-budget-a4307871.html

So the “Conservative” Party thinks that it is OK to put up candidates who are black, called “Darren”, and who tell (real) British people that, if they and their children are poor and hungry, that they are “unable to budget”, should not even be able to use a foodbank (because they cannot “budget” apparently; the scheiss state of the UK’s economy is all their fault!) and should rely on payday loans? —AKA payday (((loans)))—

The “Conservative” Party is just doomed after this election, whatever happens.

As for Broxtowe, the former seat of “the Member for Plymouth and Angostura”, Anna Soubry, I fully expect it to go Labour on 12 December. Fortunately, the Con vote is weakened (despite also being helped by Farage’s stupid withdrawal of the Brexit Party candidate) by Anna Soubry fighting as “TIG–Change UK”, she helped by withdrawal of the LibDems. Labour came close to winning last time and should be able to get over the line this time: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broxtowe_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

Jews are squabbling

The Jews are squabbling about the Parliament Square protest. I still think, looking at the photos on Twitter, that about 500 were there, but liars like Silverman are claiming that 3,000 were there! Nonsense. The photographs show that there were hundreds, not thousands. However, even on their own figures, the “Campaign Against Antisemitism” Jews are only claiming that 1 out of every 100 Jews in the UK attended.

The more established Jewish lobby, such as the Board of Deputies, did not support that pathetic CAA gathering. The different cabals are evidently disunited.

The fundamental immediate issues in this election are mass immigration, Brexit, NHS, transport, pay, benefits, housing, law and order (in no particular order).

I have no confidence in Boris-idiot and his alien ZOG Cabinet. They cannot rule properly or effectively.

Only 10 minutes to the end of the day. Is Britain also coming to the end, as a decent country?

Update, 9 December 2019

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/dec/08/corbyn-launches-final-election-push-to-deny-tories-a-majority

Two clear days left

Brexit Party still pretending to be part of the election. I have already blogged at length about how Farage’s poor strategy, and in particular his senseless decision to stand down all 317 Brexit Party candidates in Con-held seats, has killed his party and probably his own political career. Seems that the Guardian agrees with me:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/dec/08/brexit-party-nigel-farage-life-support-general-election-campaign

Farage now plans a new party, but who would trust him after his recent actions?

BBC overview of election

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50704546

This is Conservative Party Britain…

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7769875/Couple-seven-young-children-open-GoFundMe-having-benefits-slashed.html

LibDems

Jo Swinson hinted that the Lib Dems could enter into coalition with Labour if Jeremy Corbyn ceases to be the party’s leader” [Evening Standard]

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/general-election-jo-swinson-coalition-labour-liberal-democrats-a4308031.html

Turn that around. If Jo Swinson were no longer LibDem leader, the LibDems might be free to enter a pact with Labour. Jo Swinson is unlikely to survive (politically) the election. She will almost certainly be replaced. Corbyn? I think that he is there unless  Labour goes down far worse than I, anyway, think will happen.

A Jew tweets

The tweet below from the Zionist liar Silverman made me laugh.

Well, I can answer that one!

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AAxAlnt

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autobahn

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grand-review-everett

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[immediately above, Ursula Haverbeck, when a beautiful girl in the early 1940s; now an old lady of 91, she has been imprisoned for speaking the truth in Merkel’s Germany, a state taken over and ruled by ZOG (Zionist Occupation Government)]

Ah, well, back to the mediocrity (and worse) of today…

LibDems: Jo Swinson says that she will not resign as LibDem leader even if the LibDems lose seats. Well, I am expecting the LibDems to end up with fewer than 10 MPs. I may be out by a few; we shall see. In any event, it does highlight Jo Swinson’s careerism. She will do anything for a ministerial portolio, even a junior one (like the one she accepted from the Conservative 2010-2015 regime, the “Con Coalition”).

This, from Corbyn/Labour activist Louise Raw (who is in fact not so friendly to me), made me laugh:

There you have it: Jo Swinson “puts no limits on her ambitions”. From the horse’s mouth (or the horsey mouth, if you prefer). Jo Swinson will do anything to “get ahead”, including doormatting for the Conservatives. She says that she will not cooperate with Corbyn, though. I suppose that she wants to keep in with the Jewish lobby.

As for “Chukup”, he and Swinson battling for “leadership” of the pathetic LibDem rabble might be called “the clash of the careerists”, but it is farcical: they will probably both lose their seats anyway, Chukup having had to abandon his Streatham seat and now trying to get elected for the Cities of Westminster and London constituency. Unlikely. The Con candidate last time (Mark Field, not standing this time) won with about 46% of the vote, four times and more that of the LibDem.

Labour: a journalist assesses Corbyn’s persona and personal appeal

A reminder that this General Election is not a game, to be played for and points scored before the players return to Eton for tea and cake (or, if Guards officers, to the Mess for port and plum cake); this election affects real people, enduring, suffering, wanting a better life:

This could be big:

Many voters vote according to their perception of the leaders of the main parties. Corbyn‘s rating has, until now, been far below that of Boris Johnson, at one point Johnson 45% and Corbyn about 15%. Now there is little to choose between them, if this poll is accurate. It could be the breakthrough that Labour has been trying to find. A straw in the wind, to be sure, but it could be very significant, though Labour as a party was still (as of yesterday or Saturday) still several/many points behind the Conservatives.

Surely, even in a country as politically-illiterate as the UK, the people do not want to be ruled by this pipsqueak little would-be tyrant?

Now, Arlene Foster of the DUP brands Boris-idiot a liar…

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/dec/09/arlene-foster-accuses-pm-of-breaking-his-word-over-brexit-deal

If Boris-idiot and his people cannot get a majority this time, they will whistle without result for DUP help! People have long memories over there…

General Election 2019 Daily Updated Blog (no.5)

19 November 2019

Once again, I restart my General Election 2019 blog. Previous blogs are here:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/11/01/general-election-2019-daily-updated-blog/

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/11/06/general-election-2019-daily-updated-blog-no-2/

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/11/11/general-election-2019-daily-updated-blog-no-3/

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/11/16/general-election-2019-daily-updated-blog-no-4/

The “Leaders’ Debate” has just been held. I only saw extracts on the TV news, but based on that, I should say that Corbyn came over better; my subjective view, of course. Twitter reaction (for what it is worth) seems mixed, as does instant polling: Corbyn “more trustworthy” and “in touch with ordinary people”, Boris-idiot more “Prime Ministerial” (that Old Etonian gloss again?) and (it surprises me that the punters think so, though) more “likeable”

The Conservative Party leadership cadre is now infused with the deep dishonesty typical and characteristic of Boris Johnson, Dominic Cummings and the present Cabinet (eg the Jew Shapps, who sold members of the public dodgy business schemes and get-rich-quick plans, while posing under other names and even entering the Palace of Westminster using faked ID):

TV talking head Robert Peston saying that Corbyn “won”:

Journalist Isabel Oakeshott seems to be, reading between the lines, doing damage control for Boris-idiot, in effect.

Isabel Oakeshott, now the girlfriend of Brexit Party second in command Richard Tice, and like so many Brexit “Party” supporters (I am presuming, perhaps, that she is a supporter), seems to have one foot in Brexit Party and another in the Conservative Party. There is now little difference between the two, which is why Brexit Party is being washed down the plughole.

Retired fire chief and pro-Labour tweeter John Edwards blocked me on Twitter (before the Jews had me expelled in 2018). He said that I am “a dreadful fascist”! Yet here I am, reposting his tweet of this evening…

and from Alastair Campbell, one-time Blair spinmeister:

While only a LibDem like Tim Farron could imagine that Jo Swinson “won the debate” by virtue of not actually being there!

Update, 20 November 2019

I was reading some of what I wrote about Brexit Party earlier in the year. Well, much water under the bridge since then!

Brexit Party was polling around 12% when Farage decided to pull 317 Brexit Party candidates only 4 weeks before the election. That was followed by another 38. That, in return for a worthless promise from Boris Johnson, a man of no credibility, no integrity, a useless beneficiary of the UK’s sick political system.

Farage‘s ridiculous decision (taken unilaterally and without consultation with the candidates themselves, who had all paid to be considered as candidates) collapsed Brexit Party overnight. Farage killed his party as surely as if he had shot it in the neck.

Now, at time of writing, Brexit Party is in the polls at around 4% and, with 3 weeks to go, is not a serious contender in the General Election. Brexit Party might have won a number of seats while depriving the Conservatives (mainly) of a number of others, but now will be lucky to win even in those constituencies where it had a chance (e.g. Hartlepool).

Why did Farage destroy his own party? I am not the conspiracy theorist some imagine but I do speculate whether this is some kind of Russian operation.

Russia, we are told, wants the UK out of the EU (and, in Putin’s wildest dreams, NATO). Taking that as correct, it may be that Russian strategists were (are?) hoping for “hard Brexit” or “no deal Brexit” (real Brexit), because it weakens the EU (as part of the New World Order or “NWO”) and because a real Brexit might both cause economic/political discontent in the UK down the line and also stimulate Scottish nationalism, with the possibility that Scotland might break off from the UK, and then possibly (probably) decommission the nuclear missile submarine and air bases there. A break-up of the UK would be a stunning coup for the Russian state in terms of Atlantic geopolitics.

Still speculating, if an immediate “hard Brexit” seemed likely to be blocked by Parliament’s Remain majority in the event of another hung Parliament, then Russian strategists might have decided to strengthen Conservative Party chances by taking out Brexit Party.

Brexit Party is a dictatorship of one man, Farage. To take Brexit Party out of the General Election, Farage alone had to make that decision. He did. So the question is why did Farage take that decision? To my mind, there is no logical reason based on ordinary politics why Farage should take the word of a proven and continual liar such as Boris Johnson. On the other hand, if Farage is or has become an agent under control, then it makes perfect sense.

How do we know that Farage has not been promised (or even paid already) a large sum (£20M is good, £50M is even better) offshore? It makes sense in baldly venal terms but it also makes sense for Farage politically, if Farage has become convinced that a Boris prime ministership with a large majority would result, in a year or two, in a “hard” or even “no deal” Brexit. That way, Farage gets a secret fortune and the political result he has wanted to see since the early 1990s.

True, Farage is wealthy anyway (is supposed to be), but so what? As to whether the Russians would pay really large sums for such purposes…well, the wife of an “oligarch” paid the Conservative Party £160,000 just to have a tennis game with Boris Johnson and David Cameron-Levita. On that basis, £50M to change the whole course of British policy and strategy seems cheap at the price.

There is no direct evidence that Farage is an agent of the Russian state, but he has been shown to have close links with some leading “oligarchs” etc. The Russia of Putin is not the Soviet Union. It operates partly via the uber-wealthy who are beholden to Putin; the Soviet Union operated in this sense in a different way, bureaucratically, via the KGB and its predecessor agencies (NKVD etc), GRU and, pre-WW2, the Comintern.

As we have seen (google, or see my earlier blogs), Boris Johnson, like Farage, is or has been close to some Russian or Russian-Jew “oligarchs”. Then there is the role of Dominic Cummings, Johnson’s “adviser” (who however has been reported as having actually overruled Johnson on some occasions!). I blogged about Cummings a few months ago: https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/08/10/les-eminences-grises-of-dystopia/

There have been those who have implied that Cummings is a kind of Russian agent. My previous assumption was that he might have been an agent of SIS (British agent rather than salaried officer, perhaps, but who knows?) for a while (when he was in Russia for about 3 years after having graduated from university) but again that was just my speculative thought. Still, one would not necessarily preclude the other, especially over time. Allegiances change, people change, or are suborned, or bought, or get angry and turn coat. These things happen.

I have no evidence that Farage has been paid a huge bribe by Russia; I have no evidence that Cummings has, either. Still, I do wonder. “Thoughts are duty free”, even in the EU…

There is, of course, also the fact that the British Intelligence assessment of some connected matters is not going to be released until after the General Election. It has been held up by Johnson and Cummings. Why?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/oct/31/boris-johnson-accused-report-russia-dominic-grieve

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-48874147

https://www.politics.co.uk/news/2016/07/19/boris-johnson-once-outed-mi6-spy-for-a-laugh

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/boris-johnson-brexit-jeremy-corbyn-conservative-labour-1-6374964

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/dominic-cummings-links-to-russia-1-6355329

https://dominiccummings.com/about/

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/2019/09/12/dominic-cummings-playing-dangerous-game-relying-heavily-data/

Here’s something interesting! In 1993, Corbyn was in favour of paying blacks to clear out of the UK! Well, why not? Cheap at the price, really…

A few thoughts

I was listening in the car to the BBC Radio 4 Today Programme, broadcast in part from somewhere called Sheffield College. I have now looked it up: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sheffield_College

To say that I was appalled by the quality of the three students called upon to discuss the election etc would be an understatement. All were studying Journalism, apparently. They had all been asked to listen to the Corbyn/Johnson debate.

The least impressive of the three was a young woman whose every fourth or fifth word was “like”. She had previously favoured “Jeremy” but thought that Johnson was clearer on what he wanted. I think that she may have just meant “more emphatic”. The others at least used “like” more sparingly. The sole young man was even able to string a sentence together, though not to much effect. All three were concerned about what the first young woman called “climate” [change] but one got the impression that all three knew as much about the issues as my cat’s left ear. The young man referred to the need to do something so that “we don’t have to wade through three feet of water”, though that would be unlikely except in a flood of Biblical proportions, Sheffield itself being situated at a height above sea level of between 95 feet and 1,798 feet:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sheffield#Geography

Perhaps the reference was meant to be humorous.

Overall, I found the three students disturbing not because they seemed in any way rebellious or radical, but because they seemed to be such bland creatures. That, and the (apparent) palpable ignorance and inability to comprehend, think, or express themselves cogently. I was interested to hear that all three wanted to leave Sheffield (one said it is “boring”), though the “like…like…like” girl wanted to move to “London, Manchester or Salford”, a strange mixture. “How will you keep them down on the farm, once they’ve seen…Salford?”…Unlikely.

Politically, all were registered to vote, but none mentioned any issues that concerned them except “climate” and none had any ideas, it seemed, about that, just that it was of concern. All thought that life and career was and would be harder for them than it had been for their parents (in that I am inclined to agree, in general) but again none had any ideas about how to change that. Not one seemed to espouse any political ideology or philosophy. These were potential journalists, we were asked to believe. Depressing.

A further thought comes to mind, not for the first time. We are always being told by polling organizations and Remain whiners themselves that Remain partisans tend to be “better educated”, by which is meant “have degrees” etc. The trouble with that contention is that about half of all 18+ y o persons now go to some kind of college or “uni”. These degree mills pump out “graduates”, many of whom are in reality completely uneducated and uncultured, and in not a few cases plainly as thick as two short planks. In other words, this whole “Remain voters/supporters are better educated than people who want out of the EU” is a conclusion based on false premises.

For once I agree with faux-proletarian scribbler Dan Hodges (re. Corbyn in that debate; see below):

For my money (having seen only extracts, admittedly), Corbyn “won” because he did seem fairly ordinary, which must have been a shock to many who half-believed the fantasies of the popular Press and Boris Johnson to the effect that Corbyn is akin to Stalin, Trotsky, Lenin etc. I daresay that some viewers were surprised that Corbyn had only one head, and that it was not that of a demonic goat, complete with horns.

The laughter when Boris-idiot talked about trust and honesty said it all: Boris is not trusted, and actually not respected. He is not really treated by the public as a real Prime Minister. That means that he gets away with more, though. It works both ways.

Conservative Party lead is more apparent than real:

Update, 21 November 2019

https://news.sky.com/story/jo-swinson-risks-becoming-the-handmaiden-of-boris-johnsons-brexit-11866014

The LibDems released their manifesto to some msm publicity a day or so ago, but the interest was rather muted. It seems to me that the LibDems are becoming almost an irrelevance in this election. The retreat of Brexit Party has closed off quite a few LibDem possibilities in Con-held seats in the South of England (mainly), because the Conservative vote in those seats will have been shored up.

At the same time, the stance of the Liberal Democrats is “socially liberal, fiscally conservative”, following the lead of Jo Swinson herself, who after all held junior office during the 2010-2015 Con Coalition. That is not only the reverse of my own position, but also will not play in much of England, Wales or Scotland. I doubt that the LibDems will take many —if any— seats presently held by Labour.

In fact, under the pressure of the big-spend pledges of Lab and Con, the LibDems have loosened the reins of spending too, in their manifesto.

The LibDems have “bet the farm” on being the only significant party in the General Election to be clearly and firmly Remain (in England, that is; in Scotland, the SNP position is effectively the same).

Only about half of the voters favour Remain. Only about a third of those consider Brexit to be the most important issue in the election. So 15%-20% both favour Remain and think it the most important issue. It is noteworthy that the LibDems are currently running at between 12% and 18% in the various opinion polls. Admittedly, that is well above their polling of past months (and years).

There are seats in London and the South East where the LibDems may take a few seats, but in the big picture the LibDems are an irrelevance. I think that Leave supporters might vote either Con or Lab, whereas there are, no doubt, Remain supporters who think that Labour is sufficiently Remain to be supported, or alternatively that while the Conservatives are not Remain, they all the same are effectively so, via Boris Johnson’s BRINO (“Brexit In Name Only”) “deal”.

I wrote off the LibDems after 2011, but was only (?) 90% right. The LibDems survived like political cockroaches. I am tempted to write them off again, but they do have that ability to hang on somehow. FPTP voting is both their bane and their lifeline (as the “third choice” party).

An interesting psephological analysis about potential Conservative Party majorities, published 2 days ago:

https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/general-election-polls-2019-the-big-conservative-poll-lead-isnt-nearly-as-big-as-it-looks-1303606

The Jews on Twitter have been going mad for the past day, merely because Jeremy Corbyn, at the TV debate, pronounced the name of the Jew paedophile, rapist etc, Jeffrey Epstein, correctly. He pronounced it as “Epshtine” (“tine” like River Tyne), which is correct in normal German (and so Yiddish) usage. The Jews of Twitter are claiming that the name should be pronounced in the incorrect American manner, i.e. “Epsteen”. The Beatles had a manager called Brian Epstein, and I only ever heard of him referred to as “Epshtine” or “Epstine”, never “Epsteen”. The funny thing is that broadcast msm drones in the UK, at least on the BBC, are running so scared of the Jews that today every last one of them, e.g. on the Radio 4 Today Programme, was using “steen” and not “shtine” or even “stine”.

Labour’s manifesto has been released, promising a building programme: 100,000 council houses per year for years. Well, there is a housing shortage of very serious proportions, and there is also a serious problem of abuse of the lives of tenants by landlords. However, much of the problem in this sector is caused by the migration-invasion, i.e. mass immigration, combined with births to immigrants.

Labour wants more immigration, even though immigration is running at something like 500,000 a year. Net? Officially 258,000 in 2018, but that leaves out illegals, and even the government estimates that there are 1.5 MILLION of those pests alone in the UK now! Also, “net immigration” conceals the fact that virtually all “permanent” immigrants are non-white, whereas many leaving the UK are white English, Scottish, Welsh people fleeing to Australia and elsewhere, as well as EU nationals returning home.

There is almost no point in building hundreds of thousands of houses if most will go to migrant-invaders (and so encourage even more to try to move here). Britain cannot absorb (net) a quarter of a million or more new “inhabitants” every single year, meaning a population the size of a city such as Southampton, and remain a decent or even half-decent country.

Film has emerged of aggressive “security” staff attacking a Brexit Party leafletter at a Morrison’s supermarket:

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10391593/bully-morrisons-security-guard-throws-brexit-party-candidate/

Britain 2019. I suppose that the thing that surprises me most, looking at the report, is that there are still people prepared to waste their time (let alone get assaulted) canvassing or leafletting for Brexit Party.

Now that I have seen more of the Labour manifesto,

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50511003

I am thinking (leaving substance aside and considering it from the electoral point of view) “why not”? Labour is in a bit of a hole in the opinion polls; it cannot do much worse (because around 25% would vote Labour even if it proposed copying the policies of Pol Pot or of Trotsky’s War Communism). Labour’s struggle is to persuade another 10% to 15% to put their crosses by Labour on the ballot paper.

On the above premise, Labour may as well be radical and own it. It just might work.

Meanwhile, “Mainstream”, the new Jewish-funded anti-Corbyn organization, has come out with a spoof ad featuring the Jewish actress Maureen Lipman. She “threatened” to leave the UK and go to Israel or the USA if Corbyn became Labour leader. Oddly enough, she is still here…still “threatening” to emigrate.

John Woodcock, the disgraced sex pest former MP, who has mental problems, is going to be, or already is, the Con-appointed “special envoy” on “countering violent extremism”, despite his completely partisan, biased ideological position. In other words, someone who is as good as an agent of influence for Israel is going to be snooping on and working against those British people struggling in the front ranks of the socio-political battle of our time. Woodcock is a leading member or supporter of “Mainstream”, which in this election is trying to weaken Labour’s chances.

Update, 22 November 2019

The Daily Mail examines the effect of Brexit Party on Labour-held seats in the North of England:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7711253/Will-Brexit-Party-help-Boris-win-Shock-poll-finds-Tories-13-points-ahead-ultra-Leave-seat.html

I have to say that, after the Brexit Party shambles during this election campaign, I struggle to see why anyone would still vote Brexit Party, but there it is. I suppose that the same mugs voted LibLabCon all their lives, so why not?

A second “Leaders’ Debate” will not now be held, because Boris Johnson has cried off. He failed to win the last one and has now blinked.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/channel-4-cancels-general-election-20931983

As I have repeatedly blogged, Labour is now the party of the non-Europeans (meaning mainly the “blacks and browns”), public service workers and those dependent on State benefits:

Naturally, it is trite to say “Mrs May and the Conservatives were ahead at this point during the 2017 General Election campaign [and therefore the Boris Johnson Con lead in this election campaign will have gone by Polling Day].” Why? Because Mrs May had built up or rather puffed up a brittle bubble around the “strong and stable” mantra. When she made a U-turn on elderly social care and seemed unable to do more than shriek “Nothing has changed! Nothing has changed!”, the whole Theresa May, Conservative Party “strong and stable” bubble just burst. Not even overnight. At once.

This time round? So far, no one defining moment of that sort. One may happen between now and Polling Day (3 weeks minus 1 day from today; 20 days), but part of Boris Johnson’s strength is that no-one actually expects Boris-idiot to be consistent, or honest, or even particularly —or at all— competent. Everyone knows that he is a liar, an incompetent, a philanderer, a money-grasper etc. It is therefore hard to see what event or behaviour would be so calamitous as to actually surprise the public. Johnson has actually weaponized his own inability to be a proper Prime Minister.

Having said the above, the Conservatives (like Labour) are piling up extra votes in seats which they were going to hold anyway. It is not impossible to see floating voters in marginal English and Welsh constituencies being interested by Labour’s policy offer. Add that to likely Con losses in Scotland and London and it is possible to think that a hung Parliament is as possible as a Con majority.

Labour cannot get a majority, in my view, but it can still prevent Boris-idiot from getting one.

Seems that Labour’s tax plans etc mean that people in the top 5% of earners will have to pay a small amount more in tax (supposedly £10 per month, which seems very modest). There has been argument over whether people earning £80,000 pa really are in the top 5%, following a Question Time spat. There has also been confusion over whether the tranche of taxpayers affected will be those only in the top 5% or in the top 50%.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/bbc-question-time-man-who-20935155https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/bbc-question-time-man-who-20935155

Twitter exploded.

If ever there is an area where the devil is in the detail it is that of taxation.

Of course, it is all too easy to feel that “I make x-amount per year and I’m certainly not rich/wealthy/affluent.” As long as ago as 2001, I myself made well over £80,000 gross (but that was that year; my income was always either “feast or famine”, the latter almost literally at times), so in today’s 2019-money-value maybe £140,000 gross (educated guess) yet I did not feel wealthy, though certainly not poor either. Today? I am genuinely near-broke! The point is that whether you feel “well-off” is very subjective (in my own case, a fairly large chunk of my earnings in late 2001-early 2002 went on just renting a quite modest detached house in the London area).

I may have been in the top couple of percent in terms of income, but did not feel wealthy or particularly privileged (and my assets were few, another important point: I had little beyond a 2,000-book library, a Rolex watch and a —rather modest— car).

But leading lawyer Jolyon Maugham tweeted: “Fact. Earning £80,000 a year puts you well into the top *3%* of adult earners.”

He added: “£80,000 – what an MP earns – puts you into the top 3% but it doesn’t give you the lifestyle the English middle class once had.

“No private school, no comfortable house (certainly not in London), and so on. What we used to call a middle class existence is increasingly unobtainable.

“I’m not playing a violin for him – about 97% have it worse – but it does tell a story about how all the gains are going to an infinitesimally small number of people and how (in a way) everyone else can be cross with justification.” [from the Daily Mirror report]

How true. What matters is the lifestyle that comes out at the other end. The (?) relatively modest school which I (and my brothers) attended in the early 1970s now costs about £18,000 per pupil per year! (they do have bursaries etc)

https://www.rbcs.org.uk/admissions/fees-scholarships-and-bursaries/

Likewise, the semi-detached Victorian villa in the Little Venice section of Maida Vale, West London, where I spent many years (on and off) from age 19 to age 40, and which was valued at £100,000 in 1980, is now “worth” about £4 million! A 40x increase in “value” in 40 years! Hugely more than general inflation, let alone average pay, over those 40 years.

The fact is that in the UK, a tiny tiny number of incredibly rich people own almost everything and have incomes (and capital gains) in the millions and tens of millions, as well as assets in the tens of millions, hundreds of millions and thousands of millions (billions). They are a legitimate target for taxation and for at least partial expropriation.

However, it is clear that, in order to achieve social goals, any radical government will have to tax the ordinary Joe too. Ideas such as raising tax and NI thresholds are crude and help the “better-off” as much or more than the low earners. A far better way is to have no thresholds at all, and to give necessary help to the poor via other means (benefits such as child benefit, Basic Income etc). It is better to get £1 a head from a million people than £1,000 a head from a relative few. Why not both?

Recommended reading: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Spirit_Level_(book)

It may be that indirect taxation is better, but that has to be carefully handled if it is not to be retrogressive.

The present General Election exposes the rot in our society and political system. Few real ideas (that are any good) about how to deal with what must be dealt with: health, social care, alienation, funding for government, social problems generally, mass immigration. Labour’s ideas are the best of those on offer, but still either inadequate or half-baked.

General Election analysis:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/nov/22/labour-majority-corbyn-downing-street

Update, 23 November 2019

The latest opinion poll (via Panelbase) gives intentions as Con 42%, Lab 32%, LibDem 14%, Brexit Party 3%, Greens 3%. Electoral Calculus makes that a Con gain of 4 seats overall, but still resulting in the Cons being 4 short of a majority.

The previous poll I saw, from another organization, and a day ahead of the above poll, gave the Cons a majority of 36! Yet the figures for that one were not far different: Cons 42%, Lab 30%, LibDems 15%, Brexit Party 4%. A few percent higher or lower, especially for Labour vis a vis Conservative, makes a very big difference.

The huge recent Con lead in the polls has narrowed (in both of those above polls) but the Cons are still well ahead in percentage terms, obviously. They do seem to be feeling the pace now, though: Boris refusing to debate on TV again. The previous debate might have destroyed Corbyn and so Labour. It did not do that.

It is very clear that Brexit Party is finished. I think that we have seen the end, not only of Brexit Party, but also of Nigel Farage. I am now expecting the effect of Brexit Party on the overall General Election results to be minimal. Opinion polling in a few Northern English seats seems to indicate that Brexit Party may take enough votes from Labour to let the Conservatives in here and there (eg Great Grimsby). Maybe, maybe not.

As to the LibDems, I think that they will end up on 12-13 December with fewer than 20 seats and possibly fewer than 10. Some commentators are predicting 30+ and one bold fellow has said 100! My own sense is that the LibDems will win a few seats but lose more, including those contested by most of the ex-Change UK defectors.

In the absence of a truly social-national party, the choice offered to the voters is dire, and the only parties really contesting the election in England and Wales are Lab and Con (I fully expect the SNP to win the vast majority of seats north of the Border).

Update, 24 November 2019

Ha ha! Farage says that “Labour is bombing all over the country” and that Corbyn is a poor leader. Well, there is some truth in both statements, but what strikes me forcefully is how lacking in self-awareness Farage is!

Labour may be (to some extent) “bombing”, but Brexit Party (or should that be “Party”) has already bombed all over the country. It started off at 15% in some opinion polls, but is now at either 4% or 3% in all the ones I have seen. It does not have far to go to reach the 1%-vote depths of the joke “parties” such as the Monster Raving Loonies and the Christian-This-Or-Thats (not to mention the fake “nationalist” joke-parties such as “For Britain”, “Britain First” etc, though they struggle to get even 1% of any vote).

[I should add that, the last I saw, “Britain First” had been deregistered as a party by the Electoral Commission anyway, so would be unable to stand candidates under a party name]

As for “leadership”, Corbyn may be no Adolf Hitler, but Farage has just betrayed his most loyal followers by standing down about 360 of them so that Conservative Party candidates (including Remainers!) have a better chance of winning the seats that they are contesting! Is that “leadership”?

Now Farage is talking about forming yet another “party”! He says that it will be a reform party to “drain the Westminster swamp” and may be called Reform Party. Now, if only he had done that 6 months ago and joined it with Brexit Party…Had he done that then, he might have been in a different and better place now.

One can never easily write off Farage, and he sees the way the wind is blowing, but who would trust him now?

First-time voters hold key in 56 marginals, analysis shows”

“Intergenerational Foundation report comes as 670,000 young people registered to vote in seven days” [The Guardian]

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/24/first-time-voters-hold-key-in-56-marginals-analysis-intergenerational-foundation

An interesting report. Hundreds of thousands of young people (defined as the under-35s) have registered to vote (670,000 in the past week alone) under the new stricter criteria. About half are under-25. Virtually none support the Conservative Party: fairly recent polling indicated that as few as 4% of the under-25s support the Conservative Party, and only about 15% of under-35s.

As I blogged recently, if those of all ages who do not vote, about a third of all those eligible, found a reason to vote, that might well change politics in the UK in a radical and even revolutionary way.

Under Britain’s first-past-the-post electoral system some votes really are much more important than others; in any given election only a small minority of the most marginal constituencies actually change hands,” said Angus Hanton, the co-founder of the IF. “Winning British elections is about winning marginals.” [The Guardian]

Of course, only the marginal constituencies really count, but if all the unregistered people (often discontented, or malcontents) were involved, many more seats would be marginal, though I understand perfectly well why many do not bother to vote.

First-time voters could unseat their MP in 56 marginal seats across the country, according to an exclusive analysis of the 1.2m new electors who have come of age in England and Wales since the 2017 general election. Thirty of these seats are held by the Conservative party, 20 are held by Labour, four by the Liberal Democrats (almost a quarter of their seats) and two by Plaid Cymru.” [The Guardian]

As stated, 670,000 new voters have recently registered, many in the past few days alone. The deadline for registration is at midday on Tuesday 26 November:

https://www.gov.uk/register-to-vote

Anyone 16+ can register, but only those 18+ can vote. There is therefore an uncertainty over the effect of those recent registrations, though it seems sensible to assume that most recent registrations are from intending 12 December voters.

There will be a scramble to register (which can take only 5 minutes if done online). Labour will be desperate to get as many as possible under-35s registered. The Conservatives must be hoping that few will bother. Conservative Party support is mainly from those over 65 and almost entirely from those over 45. I notice that Boris-idiot is now promising to keep the “Triple Lock” on pensions, something Philip Hammond wanted to scrap.

The 2016 Referendum had a large age division. This has now been imported into politics generally.

Those (so far) 670,000 new voters are split, very roughly, into a thousand voters per constituency. The fact that they registered recently suggests that they are intending to vote. Most (in England and Wales) will vote Labour. Few will vote Conservative.

As far as persons are concerned who have turned 18 since the last general election in 2017, they number about 1.2M people. There must be a few, perhaps several, hundred thousand still unregistered. There is a lot to play for here, in the next day and a half.

There are dozens of Westminster seats which were won in 2017 with majorities under 400: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/insights/ge2017-marginal-seats-and-turnout/

It can be seen that the effect of 1,000 or 1,500 new voters per constituency may be very significant, especially if most are going to vote Labour. It could change everything.

Not that I favour further reduction of the voting age. Switzerland began to decline once it

  1. allowed women the vote; but more importantly
  2. allowed people younger than 28 (the age is now 18) to vote.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_in_Switzerland#Voting_qualifications

I believe that the age rubric (maybe the sex bar too) was changed in the 1990s, maybe late 1980s.

I see tweets from (mainly Labour) ladies saying such things as “my son of 12 (this was a real tweet, btw) is very political and loves Jeremy Corbyn; the age threshold should be 16.” What can one say? I was quite political and also quite intelligent at 12, but people are generally immature until they are 28. I myself was. It is not so much a question of intellect or knowledge as of commonsense and a greater or higher level of wisdom than the vast majority have at 16, 18, or 21.

However, it is interesting, though disturbing, from the sociological point of view, that there is a growing infantilization of politics. Even more disturbing is that it affects the old as well as the young.

On the “Conservative” side, one sees responses on Twitter and in newspaper comments columns to the effect that, for example, if there is poverty, “they should get a job“, when in fact much UK poverty is in-work poverty (and not everyone can get work, let alone reasonably well-paid work).

On the more “Labour” side, we see remarks, for example, to the effect that mass immigration makes no difference to pay, benefits, services etc (except to improve them!), rail, road congestion etc. There is a wilful refusal to see the truth and a wish to believe that, with one wave of his wand, Magic Grandfather and/or the State can just “magic” high pay and benefits for all. “Luxury Communism”…

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See below:

The “brown” (presumably a Pakistani of some type) knows more than many (typically) weak and brainwashed pro-multikulti white British people: he obviously feels that the UK belongs to the migrant-invaders like him (whether arriving in rubber boats in Kent and Sussex, arriving as “family members” at airports, as “asylum seekers”, or just born to black/brown mothers here in the UK). The w** assumes that the white man is the unwanted minority person. Soon he will be. Wake up, British people! It is nearly too late.

That charming scene from a “British” street also tends to make my point about Labour being now largely the party of the “blacks and browns”…

Update, November 25 2019

Fed into Electoral Calculus (with SNP assumed to get 50% in Scotland), that most recent poll would give a Conservative majority in the Commons of 28 (with 21 more Con MPs, 45 fewer Labour MPs). Boris-idiot would be well pleased with a majority of 28. Having said that, most polls until now have forecast larger majorities. The forecast majorities are ever-smaller (with a few exceptions).

There is one day left (exactly 24 hours at time of writing) in which Labour might encourage students and others to register to vote; the cutoff point is 1200 hrs tomorrow (Tuesday).

As for Polling Day, 12 December, there are now 16 clear days left before the polls open. Does Labour still have a chance of heading off a Conservative majority?

The minor parties (apart from the SNP) are now where they will be. Brexit “Party” is washed up completely and is very likely either to win any seats or even to be very important either way to whether the Conservatives or Labour win here or there. The best chance is probably in Hartlepool, being contested by Richard Tice, Farage’s 2-i-c. Even there, Labour probably has a better chance.

The LibDems are stuck on or below 15%. In their case, what matters is whether they can create a Schwerpunkt (concentration of forces) in any one constituency. They have a few good chances, but I still think that they will end up with fewer than 20 seats, quite possibly fewer than 10.

Labour’s chances rely on appealing to floating or new voters in marginal seats. I would not write Labour off just yet despite the dawning realization of its supporters and the public that the traditional raisons d’etre of Labour are fast disappearing, indeed have disappeared, and with them the traditional dyed-in-the-wool loyalty of the previously monolithic Labour vote in the North and elsewhere.

Labour’s policy offers are in essence attractive to many, but Labour is held back, first by its recent (past 20 years) black/brown emphasis (personified of course by Diane Abbott), secondly by uncertainty over whether Labour can deliver. Part of that is the surely correct assumption of most voters that Labour is not going to win a Commons majority (as a bet, it now stands at 40/1 on Betfair betting exchange).

It remains possible for Labour to deny the Conservatives a majority if it can get its vote out, and if the “young” (under-35s) vote in greater percentages than heretofore. If, if, if. Even here, in terms of “getting the vote out”, the Conservatives have a built-in advantage, in that a high proportion of their vote will be postal, Conservative voters tending to be elderly or at least in late middle age.

Despite everything saying “the Conservatives will get a solid majority”, I am still not sure. The “glorious uncertainty” of Britain’s electoral system, the fact that a small number of voters in a relatively small number of constituencies will decide the matter, make this still an open contest in terms of whether Boris-idiot, surely the most egregiously ill-suited Prime Minister in modern times (since the 19thC at least), will get the real power he so richly fails to merit.

It is now after 2200 hrs, so Labour has only 14 hours in which to persuade those who support Labour, but are not yet registered to vote, to register. The election result may hang on that alone.

Update, 26 November 2019

Correction: the deadline for voter registration is midnight tonight, not midday as previously thought. This could be crucial in stopping the Conservatives from getting a majority. A million new voters have registered recently.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50544602

The main news on Zionist-controlled msm (BBC, Sky etc) is that the Chief Rabbi has (not for the first time) declared not only himself and his immediate cabal but the “Jewish community” as a whole to be hostile to Labour. All news outlets are carrying this as the main news item.

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The Chief Pharisee had the damned cheek to refer to “our country“, and even “the soul of our nation” (“our”?!), meaning the UK, despite the fact that he was born in South Africa and lived only in Israel and Ireland before coming to the UK in the 1990s: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ephraim_Mirvis#Early_life_and_education

Hopefully, this nasty individual’s intervention will merely increase the Labour vote and will in any case awaken many naive people to the important issue of Zionist interference in our political and social life.

Not that my opinion of Labour is very high, au contraire, but in this election, looking at the possibility of a Conservative majority and an elected Con dictatorship under Jewish and Israeli control (Boris-idiot, Sajid Javid, Priti Patel, the Jew Shapps and all other Cabinet members are Zionists; some are actual agents of Israel), Labour’s vote in this General Election must be maximized.

Historical note:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_VI_of_France#Expulsion_of_the_Jews,_1394

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edict_of_Expulsion

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edict_of_Expulsion#Expulsionhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edict_of_Expulsion#Expulsion

EU Elections 2019 in Review: Green Party

So now I move to consider the Green Party for England and Wales, which did well in the EU Elections. 2,023,380 votes and a vote share of 11.76%, resulting in 7 MEPs (up from 3).

Green Party, which came 4th in the UK, beat the Conservative Party easily and ran the Labour Party pretty close for 3rd place. In three of the constituencies (East of England, South East and South West) the Greens came in 3rd-placed.

The Green Party, despite its pitiful disorganization, had a fairly clear message: pro-EU, pro-mass immigration (in effect), and of course known for its championing of animal welfare and environmentalism. One should not assume that all Green Party voters are voting primarily for the EU and/or mass immigration. The core Green Party support is for animal welfare and/pr animal rights, and for environmental protection. In my opinion, in these recent elections the Green Party tripled and possibly quadrupled its core vote as noted in Westminster elections.

I have blogged previously about how there has always been a link between Green issues and social nationalism:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2016/11/17/social-nationalism-and-green-politics/

The surge in Green Party support in the recent EU elections can be put down mainly to former Labour voters who are also Remain partisans voting Green partly because of dissatisfaction with Labour’s Brexit stance (trying to ride two horses at once) and partly as a tactical vote in places where Labour has little chance anyway, as in much of the South of England. The increase may also in part have been due to increased public concern over “climate change”, species depletion and pollution of the oceans.

Most of the support for Green Party displayed in the EU elections will disappear in the next general election, but there may be a tactical or other carryover. In 2017, the Green Party received votes amounting to 1.6% of the national vote, though that underestimates Green Party support because Green Party does not contest all seats; also, there is a separate Green Party for Scotland. Having said that, the Greens did better in 2015, with a vote share of 3.6%.

The Green Party has one MP, Caroline Lucas, who may or may not retain her seat in future general elections. It also has 1 House of Lords member, 2 London Assembly members (out of 25) and 363 local councillors (out of 19,023 in England and Wales). Its membership is said to top 43,000.

There is no evidence that Green Party is about to become a major player.

Notes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Party_of_England_and_Wales

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2016/11/17/social-nationalism-and-green-politics/

A Look at Some UK Political and Social Realities

Illusion is something that many prefer to reality, as this cartoon indicates:

CeZuS7OUsAEF2Lj

They want not only their daily bread but also their daily illusion.” [Adolf Hitler, talking about many Germans during the decadent Weimar Republic of 1918-1933]

The Green Party

This blog article was prompted by a tweet that I happened to see, tweeted by one Jonathan Bartley, the “co-leader” of the Green Party.

The Green Party is so large and important now that it has to have not one but two “co-leaders”. Well, jesting aside, there must be some other reason (almost certainly something very very silly) that necessitates two leaders, the other “co-leader” being one Sian Berry.

Bartley seems to have come from an affluent background. He graduated from the LSE aged 23, thereafter floating around Westminster as researcher etc until he founded the think-tank, Ekklesia. He does not seem to have done (or have needed to do) any other work of much substance between the founding of Ekklesia in 2002 and being elected as Green Party co-leader in 2016.

Deputy Leader is 34-year-old Amelia Womack, who was elected to her party position aged 29, having never been elected to any public position (not even as local councillor); neither has she ever had a paid job of any kind, it seems. She is a candidate in the upcoming Newport West by-election:

see https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/02/28/the-newport-west-by-election/

Now the facts are (i.e. the reality is) that the Green Party of England and Wales, founded 1990, has 1 MP (out of 650), 1 member of the House of Lords (out of 781), 3 MEPs (out of 64 English/Welsh seats), 2 London Assembly members (out of 25), and 178 local councillors (out of 19,023).

The Green Party is polling at somewhere around 5% nationally (it has been as low as 2% in recent years), and only has its one MP by reason of the unusual demographics and the (in 2010, when Caroline Lucas was first elected) 4-way voting split in the constituency of Brighton Pavilion:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brighton_Pavilion_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

In other words, the Green Party is like a tame rat on a wheel. Lots of activity and noise, but nothing really achieved. It’s not that I am opposed to all Green Party policies. I like some of its environmental policies, its support for Basic Income, its concern for animal welfare etc. There has, after all, always been connection between what are now called “green” ideals and social-nationalism. I have even blogged about it:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2016/11/17/social-nationalism-and-green-politics/

Where I cannot accompany the Green Party is in its apparent belief that open borders are good, mass immigration of inferior peoples into Europe is good, or that the EU is mostly very good for the UK.

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I agree with the Greens when they say that FPTP voting is unfair on them (as on, in the past, UKIP, the BNP and the National Front, among others). Even 5% of votes should give the Greens around 30 MPs, whereas they may soon struggle to retain their one (though Caroline Lucas is a known TV face and probably will stay for a while). However, to say that UK political life is unfair is really just a pathetic bleat even if true (which it is).

At some point, reality will have to dawn on the Green Party members (surprisingly, nearly 40,000 of them). Or maybe not. I think that many Green Party members probably like their nursery politics game, which they must know in their hearts can never lead to serious results; but it makes them feel good and virtuous.

The Green Party is not about to get MPs elected or sweep the country in any way. The Green Party will simply continue as it is, a virtue-signalling pressure group pretending to be a political party. However, relatively few British people will vote for a party that supports both mass immigration and UK membership of the EU; neither will voters give credence to a party which has no one clear leader and which seems to be a refuge (even in its top-most ranks) for perpetual students and/or virtue-signalling and hugely self-deluded persons.

The Nationalist Milieu

It is often said that the plethora of food programmes on TV are a kind of “food porn” for people who rarely if ever cook. Well, the so-called “far right” (I myself never use terms such as “Left”, “Right” etc) or nationalist political tendency is rather like that: the Zionists, their “useful idiot” “antifa” offshoots, the msm too, and of course the System apparatchiki such as police, all like to say that there is a huge “danger” from “far right extremism” etc. If only! In reality, what exists at present is a mixture of hobby politics, “I’m the leader!” (of 2.5 people) parties, and politically-tinged 1970s football hooligan groups, together with System politics under nationalist camouflage (as with UKIP).

People of my vintage (b.1956), will recall (the now notorious) Gary Glitter singing “I’m the leader!” in 1973, a psychology characteristic of both “I’m the Leader!” parties and, usually, “hobby parties” (though every successful political party has to have a credible leader).

The English Democrats

I am starting with the English Democrats because they seem to me to epitomize the “hobby politics” sort of party. They claim(ed) to have over 2,000 members (2015), though I daresay that even that was a gross overestimation. I personally only ever heard of one member by name (my mother-in-law’s former neighbour), and he was a very strange man, a retired pilot aged about 70 (c.80, now). I would not be surprised if that man were fairly typical of the English Democrats’ members.

The English Democrats were founded in 2002. Their best electoral result was in the Mayoral race at Doncaster in 2009, which they won. They would also have won in 2013, had the Mayor not resigned from the English Democrats not long before the election. He still stood but as Independent and lost to Labour by only 590 votes, the EDs having put up their own candidate, who received 4,615 votes.

Police and Crime Commissioner elections have been their second best (highest vote-share just over 15%). In local elections, they have reached over 10% here and there, with their leader, Robin Tilbrook, receiving 18.2% of the vote in an election for the Epping Forest District Council. In Westminster elections, all results have been below —far below— 1% (in 2017, about a tenth of 1% in each of the seven seats contested).

The English Democrats have few policies, and those so bland that they could be espoused by several other parties, including System ones. Even the “English Parliament” idea has been mooted by System MPs occasionally.

“[Robin Tilbrook’s] party agitates for anyone living in England. His notion of Englishness is akin to American notions of “Americanness” – that you can be from any ethnic background and still wrap yourself in the flag.” [from an American newspaper interview]. So someone straight off the boat from God knows where is “English”, so long as living in England, according to that idiot! Even his professed “Euroscepticism” is very muted (and is based on the disproportionate amount of EU funding going to non-English parts of the UK).

The English Democrats are the “hobby politics” party par excellence. Mr. Tilbrook will never be blacklisted by the msm, nor targeted seriously by “antifa” or the Jewish lobby. He will never be interrogated by the police. He has in fact been invited onto TV occasionally and given a polite hearing, e.g. on BBC Daily Politics. He is even a Freeman of the City of London (awarded 2011)! Members of the EDs can write letters to the Daily Telegraph and talk at the bar of their golf clubs without let or hindrance. A waste of time worthy of P.G. Wodehouse.

For Britain Movement

I have blogged about “For Britain” previously. This party, though partly on the right track in terms of policy, is basically a one-trick pony. “You can have any colour so long as it is black!” [Henry Ford, re. the Model T car]; with “For Britain”, you can have any policy so long as it is anti-Islamism. Not that I oppose that view, but it is not enough.

For Britain is not exactly a “hobby politics” party, but it is really just a one-man or one-woman band, closely aligned with the policy-free beer-bottle throwers of the English Defence League and their one-time leader, the person usually known as Tommy Robinson.

The leader of For Britain, Irish lesbian former secretary Anne-Marie Waters (“Maria” originally), certainly has some followers, and For Britain has some members, as witness the local election campaign poster linked below, but how many is unclear. Probably fewer than 100. Quite possibly only about 50.

https://gab.com/forBritainMovement/posts/cmZhcTB0NWp1VnlVdlF1SUhEdE4yUT09

The party fielded fifteen candidates in the 2018 local elections, none being elected.[11] The party came last in almost all the seats it contested.[12] In June 2018, the party expelled one of its local election candidates after Hope Not Hate linked him to the proscribed neo-Nazi group National Action and the white nationalist group Generation Identity

[Wikipedia]

So “For Britain” (which says, pathetically, to the Jew-Zionist lobby, “look, we’re pro-Israel!” in the forlorn hope that the Jews will not hate it), sacked someone at least active enough to get up from his chair and stand as a candidate, simply because the unpleasant “Hope Not Hate” crowd fingered him!

As for Anne-Marie Waters, she herself stood in the Lewisham East by-election of 2018, receiving 266 votes (1.2% of votes cast; 7th place, behind Labour, LibDem, Con, Green, Women’s Equality and UKIP, but just ahead of Christian People, Monster Raving Loony, and 5 other minor candidates). “For Britain” is no good even as a protest vote in a by-election!

Sometimes, I wonder whether this or that group, party or movement or “leader” is not a put-up-job by the enemy, but in reality the likelihood is that these people are just deluded, indulging in near-pointless political activity. Having said that, it suits “Hope Not Hate” and the other manipulators of “antifa” idiots to have something to point at and say, “Look! Nazis/neo-Nazis/Fascists!” (etc).

Who, who would join something as one-dimensional, as limited, as “For Britain”? God knows. Not many have joined, anyway.

UKIP

Well, here we are at last out of the “hobby politics” and “I’m the Leader” areas, though plenty of UKIP members are hobby politicos. UKIP, though, is the real thing: a functioning political party, conservative-nationalist, and which at one time had two or three MPs (albeit temporary cast-offs), still has 7 MEPs (out of a possible 73), as well as 1 member of the House of Lords, 3 Welsh Assembly members (out of a possible 60) and 101 local councillors (out of a possible 20,712).

UKIP might have broken through to a measure of power in 2015 but did not, and now never will. It peaked in 2014. A succession of poor leaders (the present one is slightly better than those that followed Farage) crippled already-failing UKIP, whose membership, at one time reaching 50,000, is now somewhere below 23,000. UKIP has always been semi-tolerated by the System (inc. the Jew-Zionist lobby) and has now gone over to a basically one-trick-pony policy position which is not far from the offerings of Tommy Robinson, Anne-Marie Waters and the whole effectively pro-Jew and pro-Israel “alt-Right”/”alt-Lite” crowd (the British ones of prominence have in fact recently joined UKIP: “Prison Planet” Watson, “Count Dankula” Meechan, “Sargon of Akkad” Benjamin. All wastes of space).

To join or support UKIP now, except perhaps as a way of protesting pointlessly in an election, is just silly. It could not get one MP in 27 years (leaving aside the Conservative few who defected briefly), not even in 2015 when it was voted for by 1 out of every 8 voters! The voting system is rigged and flawed, and that suits the System parties very well.

UKIP’s vote in 2015 (nearly 4 million votes) fell to less than a seventh of that in 2017.

UKIP too is in the realm of political unreality, at least as far as elections are concerned.

How to go toward a realistic political viewpoint

The short to medium term future is uncertain and likely to bring revolutionary change to the world. I recently blogged about this:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/26/the-tide-is-coming-in-reflections-on-the-possible-end-of-our-present-civilization-and-what-might-follow/

As far as UK politics is concerned, it is clear that the major urban areas are no-go zones for nationalist parties, at least in respect of getting MPs elected. They can only be viewed as recruitment pools at present.

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/02/04/white-flight-in-a-small-country/

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2018/12/27/what-can-be-done-to-create-a-social-national-movement-in-the-uk/

To pretend that a movement or party can be founded, then play the game of System politics, is otiose. UKIP tried that —and was semi-System anyway— yet failed utterly in any attempt to gain power (though I concede that UKIP did obliquely achieve the holding of and result of the 2016 EU Referendum, which result however is now being cynically betrayed by cosmopolitan conspirators such as the Jew Letwin and the virtue-signalling hypocrite Yvette Cooper… even as I write).

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/15/has-parliamentary-democracy-as-we-have-known-it-until-now-had-its-day-in-the-uk/

The fast-breeding ethnic minorities, including mixed-race elements, are collectively only a few decades away from becoming the majority in the UK. In some cities and towns, they are already the majority. That fact alone makes ordinary democratic politics a no-win situation for social-nationalism.

A social-national movement must be built from the ground up, and on a basis of reality, even if that reality looks, at present, like the sheerest fantasy.

Notes

https://www.greenparty.org.uk/people/deputy-leader-amelia-womack.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amelia_Womack

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/02/28/the-newport-west-by-election/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Party_of_England_and_Wales

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ekklesia_(think_tank)

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/02/28/the-newport-west-by-election/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brighton_Pavilion_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2016/11/17/social-nationalism-and-green-politics/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/English_Democrats

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robin_Tilbrook

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayor_of_Doncaster#2013

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/For_Britain_Movement

https://www.hopenothate.org.uk/2018/09/19/britain-magnet-racists-nazis/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lewisham_East_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/03/06/what-about-the-ukip-revival/

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/15/has-parliamentary-democracy-as-we-have-known-it-until-now-had-its-day-in-the-uk/

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-39257452

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2014/05/whatever-happened-english-democrats

Update, 5 April 2019

Foolish people are now saying that the result of the Newport by-election (held yesterday, 4 April 2019) was a “very good result” for UKIP

In fact, UKIP came third, exactly where it was in the previous two general election contests at Newport West, and while its 8.6% of votes looks good vis-a-vis 2017 (2.5%), UKIP got 15.2% in 2015:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newport_West_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

This was just a by-election protest vote and a pretty muted one.

The Greens came 6th, with 924 votes (3.9%).

As for “For Britain Movement”, its candidate came last out of the 11 candidates, getting 159 votes (0.7%). This party is wasting the time of its few members.

Update, 9 April 2019

The EDs are claiming that the UK is already out of the EU and have launched a judicial review application to “prove” the same. Rarely has wish so directly confronted political reality.

Update, 12 April 2019; a few thoughts about the near-future EU and local elections

The Brexit mess, so spectacularly mishandled by Theresa May and the idiotic careerists around her, may save UKIP from immediate collapse as a party, inasmuch as many British voters will want to punish the Conservative Party one way or the other. There may be a “perfect storm” for the Conservative Party, pressured on two fronts by both the Leave and Remain sides.

There will soon be elections for the European Parliament, on 23 May 2019. Recent opinion polling seems to be saying that Labour will have a landslide: initial voting intentions show Labour on 37.8% (up from 24.4% in 2016); Conservatives at 23.1% (unchanged), Brexit Party (Nigel Farage’s new party) 10%, LibDem 8%, UKIP 7.5%, Change UK (the recent Lab/Con defector MPs’ vehicle) around 4%, among others.

One has to be cautious in assuming that the above opinion poll reflects the likely outcome. The same poll seems to indicate that, after discussion, many pro-EU voters prefer Change UK (which would hit Labour and LibDem levels), while anti-EU voters may prefer either UKIP or Brexit Party.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_European_Parliament_election_in_the_United_Kingdom

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1112942/european-elections-voting-intentions-uk-conservative-labour-brexit-party

Before the EU elections (in which the UK may not participate at all if the UK leaves the UK before 23 May), there will be local elections, on 2 May 2019. The indications are that, in those elections, Labour may also sweep the poll, with Labour benefiting not only from the “pendulum” or “see-saw” effect of elections in a system using FPTP voting, but also from abstentions by usual Con voters (or by their voting for Brexit Party or UKIP).

As far as the local elections are concerned, Labour starts the campaign with several advantages. The decade of spending cuts has finally impacted even the most true-blue Conservative areas. Labour has a army of local activists, thanks to its membership surge under Corbyn. It also has funds from the same source.

The Conservatives have few local activists now and most are beyond retirement age. The party looks tired. The Brexit mess can only be laid at the door of Theresa May and her Cabinet. The Cons will be lucky to avoid a wipeout in the areas voting on 2 May.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/11/conservative-mps-may-boycott-european-election-campaign

There are also strategic factors. The Conservative Party claims 124,000 members, which seems high (average 200 members per constituency). Most are elderly. Few are active. The median age for Conservative voters has also risen, to 52. Recent polling has shown that only 16% of voters under 35 support the Cons, and only 4% of those under 25 do so.

Returning to UKIP etc, the Brexit Party will obviously have the effect of splitting the Leave/Brexit hard core.

Update, 17 April 2019

The “For Britain” “Movement” (can 50 people be a “movement”?) has posted on GAB that they are not “far right” (whatever that means) and in some ways are no more “extreme” than Margaret Thatcher and not even really “socially conservative”. Oh dear…pretty pathetic.

https://gab.com/forBritainMovement/posts/NUk1Q1haVXY3RVRCcFV2ZzZPbTR4UT09

I don’t know why I am even wasting 10 minutes of my ever-shorter lifespan examining this fake “movement” with its 50 members, especially after its recent (latest) electoral debacle at the Newport West by-election (last-placed out of 11 candidates; 159 votes, which represented 0.7% of votes cast).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Newport_West_by-election#Result

Still, it confirms what I wrote in the original blog post, I suppose…

Update, 10 May 2019

Harold Wilson was right: “a week is a long time in British politics”. In the five weeks since the above article was written, at least two matters of importance have occurred

  • the local elections trashed the Conservatives (who lost over 1,300 seats), but Labour more or less stood still (losing 82 councillors), which was interpreted as failure by many;
  • Brexit Party burst into life and now has 100,000 members (by any other name).