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Latest voting intention. Very small changes indeed as Reform lead goes to 6 over the Tories.

➡️ REF UK 27% (nc)
🌳 CON 21% (-1)
🌹 LAB 20% (nc)
🌍 GREEN 13% (+1)
🔶 LIB DEM 11% (nc)
❓OTH 3% (-2)
🟡 SNP 3% (nc)

N = 2,041 | Fieldwork 24-27/4 | Changes w/ 20/4 pic.twitter.com/myAsAnlsRC

— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) April 29, 2026

Translates to a Commons with about 310 Reform MPs (16 short of overall majority), 96 Cons (weak official Opposition), 61 Lab, 60 LibDems, 52 Greens, 42 SNP [etc].

As in most recent polls, Starmer-stein would lose his own seat on those figures.

Most voters are unconvinced by Reform and, especially, Tice and Farage (hundreds of non-white candidates, and too tied-in to the Jewish lobby, Israel and, also, Trump’s idiocies), but are desperate to stamp on both Lab and Con.

Labour will probably be utterly trashed in the local elections, and I doubt that Cons will do much better. Only 8 days to go.