Tag Archives: BRINO

Diary Blog, Christmas Day 2020

Greetings on Christmas Day to all Christendom and to the wider world.

Historical note

An historical note from Christmas 1939:

https://research.calvin.edu/german-propaganda-archive/christmas1939.htm

From 1942:

Brexit

It might be said that I should not write about ordinary political matters on Christmas Day, but the news having just been announced yesterday about Brexit, a few more words are needed.

As I said yesterday, “Boris” has decided to put on the mask of a tragi-comic Chamberlain rather than a tragi-comic Churchill. He says now that he has, belatedly, delivered Brexit. Of sorts, arguably. It is all rather underwhelming.

From what I have seen so far, it seems that the agreement made is all right in many respects, not very satisfactory in others (continuing security and intelligence co-operation, for example). https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/dec/24/from-tariffs-to-visas-heres-whats-in-the-brexit-deal

This goes beyond BRINO (Brexit In Name Only) but not very far beyond.

Having said that, the agreement has pretty much shot Farage’s fox as far as the EU is concerned. I think that, though opposition to EU norms will continue on the fringes, this means the end of Brexit and EU matters as central in UK political discourse. Effectively the end of 20 years of Brexit/EU being political drivers in the UK.

To a large extent, the agreement has also shot Labour’s fox re. the EU, too. Labour under Keir Starmer has become almost invisible. Unsurprising. Starmer-Labour has, with minor carping, supported the “Conservative” Government on almost every issue in the past year, from the “virus” messaging and the facemask nonsense to Brexit. It seems that that support will now continue in the Commons vote on this agreement (next week, unless delayed). The agreement will thus be approved, with minor rebellions on the fringes.

As far as the general public is concerned, this agreement will draw a line under Brexit, politically.

The agreement seems to cover most of the factors important in the public mind, such as (by implication) the Roma gypsy element looting the UK from foreign bases, and also the low-paid foreign workers, Poles etc, coming to the UK as of right; the food standards now staying where they are (because the UK will not drop below EU norms, so no American chlorinated chicken etc).

It looks as though animal welfare in farming etc is covered (the UK is ahead of most of the EU states in that respect anyway).

Yes, there are sacrifices made: the fishing part is not very good for the UK, though at least there will not be the first Anglo-French naval engagements, in the Channel, since Napoleonic times. Britain’s fishermen have been, to some extent, sacrificed for the wider good. That means that the head has ruled the heart, fishing being only 1% of the UK’s GDP.

Also, British people will (or may) find it less convenient to live or work in EU states, though most live rather than work (retired people etc) and that happened even before the UK joined the original EEC in 1973, though on a smaller scale. People just had to apply for a carte de sejour in France, and the equivalent elsewhere.

There will be some grumbling about this from both “Brexiteers” and Remainers but, as a major political issue, Brexit has been finally put to bed.

Tweets seen today

The above Twitter accounts are always worth looking at.

Afternoon music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geirr_Tveitt]

Interesting tweet thread

More music

M.R. James

A Pleasant Terror… Well worth watching…

Goodnight, and wishing well all who wish me well. Meine Ehre heisst Treue…

[Unity Mitford]

God bless blessed memory…

Diary Blog, 1 November 2020, including thoughts about the latest “lockdown” (shutdown) craziness

More System censorship

OFCOM has taken on greater powers, purporting to censor video clips shown online in the UK.

I wonder what lobby is behind that…

After the destruction of free speech generally, in broadcasting, on social media, on YouTube, on other video sites, what’s next? Blogging sites such as WordPress, unless they fight back.

Once all free speech is destroyed, there will be only one way to fight back…

Transformation of the land

The Bealtaine Cottage project, like the much earlier, larger and very different one at Findhorn [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Findhorn_Foundation] and others elsewhere, can be very instructive.

The website of Bealtaine Cottage shows what a transformation is possible in a fairly dull and almost derelict area: https://bealtainecottage.com/before-permaculture/. That link is well worth clicking on, to see the “before and after” photographs.

The same could be said of Findhorn.

When I had a Twitter account, I occasionally interacted with the Bealtaine Cottage account, until a couple of malicious Jews trolled that other account, saying that the lady operating it should not be talking to a “neonazi” (after which she, rather foolishly, blocked me). “They” ruin everything; it is what they do…

The Internet holds out the promise of connection for isolated communities and individuals, commercial possibilities, help and advice etc. In a general societal collapse, such communities and individals could be the key to recovery, especially if the Internet continues. It was originally developed with that in mind: survival (after a nuclear war). What would happen now, I do not know.

Child benefit

I was interested to see a Wikipedia article about child benefit in other countries: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Child_benefit#Comparison_in_Europe

Seems the UK is one of the least generous states in Western Europe. What a surprise…

Tweets seen

Yet that talking head presenter and others (eg Peter Hitchens) are unwilling to make the leap from thinking that this whole “virus” disaster is a result of governmental incompetence, to thinking that there is a supranational agenda behind it.

Google these: The Great Reset, The Great Replacement, the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan, NWO, ZOG etc.

Incidentally, Brexit, as I suspected would happen, is going to be, at least mainly, Brexit In Name Only [“BRINO”]. Maybe 90% EU nonsense continuing, but under UK rather than EU banners.

Lockdown (shutdown)

Image
[Boris-idiot, not very long ago…]

I suppose that, when we hear or read about historical events such as the 1930s and 1940s Soviet purges, or the hunt for heretics by the Roman Catholic Church in the late Middle Ages and Renaissance, we wonder “whatever can have possessed them?“, and perhaps we smugly conclude that it was a form of mass hysteria that could never afflict us. Well, think again…

Here we are in the UK, keeping (most people) to a ridiculous “Rule of Six”, something which has really no scientific basis, and was laid down (and the term itself coined) by the part-Jew public entertainer turned ridiculous “Prime Minister”; Boris-idiot.

“We” (most of the public) have been frightened out of “our” collective skin by a virus not infecting most people, and which kills about 1% of those who are infected in the UK. It has killed one individual person out of every 8,000 (!) on the Earth. Not one in eight, not one in 800, but one in 8,000!

“We” (most of the public) are wearing (being forced to wear) facemasks in shops, supermarkets, on trains (where a study has shown the chance of being infected without a facemask is only 11,000:1 (and so the chance of being infected on a train and then dying is about one in a million…). It’s mad.

Why are “we” complying with the above and other crazy “measures”? Well, partly because “we” (most people?) believe that “we” are both in danger of infection, and also that facemasks etc help to prevent that infection (which they do not, or only peripherally).

Then there is the fact that the “rules” are at least notionally “the law”, and most British people are still law-abiding most of the time. In fact, those “rules” may be legally invalid, but that is above most people’s heads, and so “caviar to the general”). Most of the public just take them as being prima facie valid.

For those not sufficiently intimidated, there is the toytown police with which to contend, brandishing their now-huge fines.

Finally, there is the combined effect of social pressure from the brainwashed many, and the guilt propaganda (“if you fail to wear a mask, you are careless about the lives and health of others, and are a kind of murderer or terrorist“).

The result of all that is huge pressure to conform, which is what this is all about, behind the scenes. Part of The Great Reset (openly admitted by the World Economic Forum etc).

Tweets seen

The next step? Probably, long-term or permanent “isolation” (incarceration) of, not only “the sick” (including the vast majority of infectees who are asymptomatic), but also the dissidents, those opposed to migration-invasion, those opposed to the Jew-Zionist lobby etc…

Idiot deadhead MP thinks (as many do) that Sweden is a strange land where people live isolated lives, probably in remote log cabins. In fact, most Swedes live in cities, towns, suburbs. Just like the UK…

Exactly.

What is the plan of the international conspiracy (or “consensus”)?

First of all, the destruction of Europe as the leading population in the world. There are several ways in which the international conspiracy is plotting that.

First of all, by encouraging migration-invasion by blacks, browns and “yellows” (mainly Chinese).

Secondly, by making Europeans a minority in their own lands. This has several aspects. Firstly, as above: migration-invasion. Secondly, by births to non-Europeans but in Europe; thirdly, the propaganda which puts white Northern Europeans down in terms of history, culture, ability etc. You name it. The “Black Lives Matter” nonsense, the attack on our history (statues, heroic tales, great personalities etc).

It would also include the fact that the actual “black” population of the UK is only about 3% or 4%, and the whole black/brown/other non-European population no more than 20%, yet pretty much every TV ad now has blacks and/or mixed race individuals in it, not infrequently a white/black couple (usually a white woman with a black “husband” or “boyfriend”). That also applies to the popular “soaps” such as Emmerdale, and even the period dramas set in the almost entirely white England of 1940, 1950 or 1960 or so: Inspector George Gently, Grantchester etc. “...and is there still honey for tea?

Propaganda. It is noticed by many, though I think more by those who are older, maybe wiser and/or who actually remember what England/UK used to be like before the System “agenda” picked up the pace (to pick a year, before 1989, which was the last 33-year-cycle year. The next one is 2022…).

2022, the next really significant agenda-setting year.

Thirdly, the international conspiracy wants to marginalize Europe by the above methods, and then by reducing Europe to a vassal of NWO/ZOG, placing North America and China/Far East in the forefront.

My solution to that attack of Evil is, firstly, for the UK and all Europe to join forces with Russia and the Russian people; secondly, to remove non-Europeans (as large populations) from Europe; three, remove those who constitute a Trojan Horse in the UK and Europe; four, eliminate the decadence in culture and the msm.

BBC Radio 4 PM

Happened to hear the System current affairs show, PM, yesterday. They had on Professor Ferguson, he of the “800,000 will die in the UK by the Summer“, he of or formerly of “SAGE” (i.e. DUMB— Department Under Matt and Boris), he who broke his own “rule” when he allowed his married “ho” visit him three times during “lockdown” in the Spring.

Incredibly, PM did not tax him on his hypocrisy, neither, moe importantly, did the interviewer question Ferguson about his many disastrous mis-predictions, going back years, to the foot-and-mouth disaster of 2001. He was treated very respectfully, as an “expert”…It’s sick. Pure propaganda.

More tweets seen

There was once a famous Chinese executioner so skilful with his razor-edged sword that crowds would pay to watch him behead criminals. 

One day he came to a small provincial town where the authorities had given him a large fee to do away with a notorious killer.

He entered the arena and made several elegant and delicate passes with his weapon. 

The condemned man sat gloomily before him, looking unimpressed with all this fuss. ‘Just get on with it!’ he growled.

The executioner bowed politely, smiled and said softly: ‘Kindly nod, please.’ The murderer did so and his head, already parted from his body by a stroke of incredible swiftness, tumbled from his shoulders.

I think we in this country are like that condemned man. A terrible thing has been done to us but we have not yet realised it.” [Peter Hitchens, in the Mail on Sunday].

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-8901637/PETER-HITCHENS-dictators-taken-didnt-notice.html?ito=native_share_article-masthead

In a lecture of astonishing power and force last week, the former Supreme Court judge, Lord Sumption, revealed in sad detail what has happened to our country in the name of Covid. 

I have placed a copy of it and a recording on the Peter Hitchens blog and I strongly advise you to read and watch it.

It says that Parliament has been elbowed aside by Ministers who rule by decree.

Now, Jonathan Sumption is not just a brilliant lawyer. He is also a distinguished historian. 

Last year he gave the BBC’s Reith Lectures, and they were the best for many years. If he has any politics I have no idea what they are, but he uses language with immense care.

If he says this ‘has been the most significant interference with personal freedom in the history of our country. We have never sought to do such a thing before, even in wartime and even when faced with health crises far more serious than this one’, then you may be sure that this is so.

When he says ‘Ministers are accountable to no one, except once in five years at General Elections’, you may be sure that this is true. This a complete breach with centuries of law and tradition, and who can say where it might end?

When he points out that laws, backed by tyrannical, ruinous fines, are now made at televised press conferences and enforced by bluff by police forces operating far beyond their authority, then it is happening. 

He accuses the Government of showing ‘a cavalier disregard for the limits of their legal powers’. This, he says, is how freedom dies.

And behind it lies an astonishing, previously unnoticed seizure of economic power, which has made the entire Covid panic possible.

I cannot say where or how this will end. It is my own growing belief that Johnson and Hancock do not understand what they are doing.” [Peter Hitchens, in The Mail on Sunday].

Peter Hitchens does not specifically implicate Common Purpose [motto: Leading Beyond Authority]. Those termites must eventually be dealt with.

Also, just because part-Jew public entertainer Johnson and Indian “clever boy” Sunak do not understand what is happening, it does not mean that others, pulling the strings, do not understand…

The oddest thing about the Panicdemic is that nobody would know it existed if the Government and its mouthpiece the BBC did not constantly seek to terrify us into a state of servile fear.”

Very true.

If you read Hitchens’ article extracted above, do not fail to notice that the Mail refuses to allow readers’ comments. Obviously afraid that “Coudenhove-Kalergi”, “The Great Reset”, “NWO/ZOG” etc will be mentioned.

Afternoon music

“England’s month-long lockdown could be extended beyond 2 December if necessary, cabinet minister Michael Gove has told Sky News”

At the whim of Israel-First ZOG/NWO puppets such as Gove, Boris-idiot etc. Now do you see the tyranny? Surely now it is in plain sight, nicht wahr?

More tweets

I do not say that a “Second Wave” is faked, not faked, or even exists. I have no idea from my own knowledge. I (just like Boris-idiot, cokehead drunk Gove, Rishi Sunak and little Matt Hancock) am not a scientist and know of it only what I have read or been told.

From where did this “Second Wave” arise? Not China. “The virus” is in abeyance there. If it exists at all, it has come from the British population that has been “locked down” for half a year. Or has the “new” wave been released deliberately? We do not know.

The tweet below by “@TimWardCam” shows how many people have no self-awareness…

The smug certainty and judgmental little-mindedness oozes out of the tweet. Remain, climate change zealot, etc etc. No doubt believes that “gas chambers” existed. He lives in Cambridge. Oh, and he’s LibDem. He ticks all the boxes…

That is more or less my view. To me, “Tommy Robinson”, pro-Israel etc, is “controlled opposition”, just like Breitbart, Katie Hopkins, UKIP, Brexit Party etc, Prison Planet Watson, all the “alt-Right” wastes of space. However, what happened today was a manifestation of the toytown police state that is slowly becoming a real police state.

Police cite Coronavirus restrictions“… Well, there we are. There it is. People who said, 7 months ago, that the “virus” “rules” would be misused for political purposes have been proven completely right…

The tweet below made me laugh:

For a second, I thought that that tweet was genuine and that the tweeter had confused Stanley Baxter with Stanley Baker, but my second thought and present thought is that the tweet is just a joke.

Blasts from the past

I happened to see the Twitter account of airhead ex-Labour MP and (incredibly) minister, Caroline Flint. “Shallow” would be too kind a judgment. That led me to the tweets of another Blairite “Labour” ex-MP, Gloria del Piero. She managed to fall below even the Caroline Flint standard. Incredible. Both “Labour Friends of Israel” members.

Flint was also a noted expenses cheat and freeloader. She made millions out of being an MP for 22 years, not least by having the taxpayers buy her a second home (a flat in Victoria, Central London) via the MP expenses system. She also “employed” (also via expenses) her own husband, and claimed for anything and everything.

Corbyn was not the one who —mainly— destroyed Labour, but harpies of the above sort (Jacqui Smith, expenses fraudster, was another).

Actually, I had forgotten that the above two even existed. Happy days.

Diary Blog, 17 October 2020

Paris atrocity

I was made aware of the latest Islamist atrocity in Paris only late yesterday, and blogged briefly about it to the effect that it was a terrible crime; it is not an excuse, nor any mitigation, that the murdered schoolteacher seems to have shown his pupils caricatures of the Prophet Mohammed.

I have no doubt that, had he shown the children some cartoons about the “holocaust” or some of the proven fakery thereof, he would have been dismissed, and quite likely also prosecuted (though the Jews would probably not have actually killed him).

The cartoons below make the point:

Today, Rothschilds NWO/ZOG puppet Macron was on TV talking about the atrocity, and paying lip service to “free speech”, which he claimed as one of the foundation stones of the French republic. Oh really? When “holocaust” “denial” (historical revision or revisionism) is actually a crime in France?

Tell that (about free speech) to the “antisemitic” African entertainer, Dieudonne [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dieudonn%C3%A9_M%27bala_M%27bala ; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dieudonn%C3%A9_M%27bala_M%27bala#Court_actions], imprisoned for poking fun at “holocaust” lies and fakes; or Alison Chabloz, currently banned from entering France for 40 years(!) for having sung satirical songs exposing Jew-Zionist behaviour and “holocaust” fakes.

[Alison Chabloz]

Hypocrisy rules…Likewise Charlie Hebdo magazine rarely satirizes the powerful Jew-Zionist lobby in France, but only the Muslims.

Note: my analysis of Macron, written in January 2019: https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/09/on-recent-events-in-france/

Tweets seen

“...and the good folk never see when the Devil is sitting on their shoulder…” [Goethe, Faust].

Well, looks as though Griffin can cook…something to stand him in good stead should society collapse (so long as he can also source the ingredients). He even has razor clams in there (which are sourced from the Humber Estuary but mostly exported to France and Spain).

Biden and Trump…what a pair of clowns! Quite likely the only two people of prominence in world politics who can make Boris-idiot and Keir Starmer-Shabbatgoy look good!

“White genocide”. There is more than one way of killing a race and people. One way is to breed only black, brown, Oriental, or mixed-race children…

I do not suppose that you have to be Jewish or part-Jew to get a big job at the BBC, but it often seems to help…

Turkey has, since the 1920s, stabilized the geopolitical situation on the southern flank of Eurasia. If Turkey is no longer stable (as started to be the case several years ago), then the powerful forces around it (Russia, NATO, Islamism, Israel, mainly) come into direct conflict. It may be that NATO is trying to keep Erdogan at least partly onside, by appeasing him.

Meanwhile, Jewish lobby puppet and —no doubt very temporary— Labour Party leader, Keir Starmer, is reduced to screeching “make it more severe! Lockdown now, nationwide! Collapse the economy now!

This whole “lockdown”/facemasks/etc thing becomes more ludicrous day by day, with the government of clowns saying that it may be necessary to place even different streets in the same area under different “lockdown” or “tier” conditions. I wonder at what point people generally will wake up and just say “screw this“…

If the WW2 “gas chambers” were “the hoax of the 20th Century”, then it is beginning to look as though “Covid-19” Coronavirus is becoming the hoax of the 21st. Not that I “deny” the existence of “Covid-19”. It exists all right, which is more than can be said of the fabled “gas chambers”; where I depart from the official narrative is when it is said that whole countries have to shut down, their populations forced into muzzles and/or house arrest, all because of a virus which so far has killed (even on official figures) only 1 person in every 8,000 people in the world.

That is true, but a climbdown by the UK now would mean that “Brexit” becomes “BRINO”, “Brexit In Name Only”. Ah…

Once again, the Twitterati, the Labour Party, the biens-pensants, have nothing to say except (in effect) “support the Conservative Party government” and (metaphorically) “clap for the public services”…

On the other hand, if huge numbers of businesses and individuals continue to get survival payouts from State funds, will the rest of the economy be vibrant enough to support that for long? I doubt it.

Yes. When the “virus” fear propaganda started, I too was taken in, for a week or so. I’m not that easily taken in (and am aware re. the Great Reset, the Great Replacement, NWO, ZOG etc), so cannot blame the mass of people for having believed the nonsense (but please wake up now, people…)

The “majority”, if it exists, will quickly become a despised minority once millions start to lose jobs, homes, futures…

Stalin would have had Whitty, Ferguson etc shot by now.

Not entirely convinced by this. I myself oppose the international conspiracy, yet my own full name (Ian Robert Millard), according to one of the several systems of occult numerology, adds up to 666. Grey area.

Ha. A “Scotsman” by invasion. Typical of the fake “nationalist” SNP. I can see the problem the (real) Scots have, though. The only other parties are also System parties, and utterly discredited.

One could compare “the virus” panicdemic to the “reds under the beds” hysteria of the early 1950s. There was a real threat in some limited areas of society (in the USA, the danger was largely centred on Hollywood) but hugely overblown.

I think that the above is substantially correct.

When I travelled widely as a practising barrister (mainly by car when in the UK), before 2009, I noticed how some areas were being given new roads (with very little traffic), even new rail lines. There were also being renewed some of the rail lines closed down in the 1960s, such as the “Varsity line” between Oxford and Cambridge: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Varsity_Line.

In 1987, the section between Oxford and Bicester was reopened, followed in 2015 by a connection to the Chiltern Main Line at Bicester, enabling Chiltern Railways to operate an Oxford to London passenger service. There are funded plans for the entire line to be re-established by the “mid 2020s” (partly on a new route) under a new name – East West Rail.” [Wikipedia]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_West_Rail

In my view, there is some kind of long term plan to abandon London if necessary, and make the centre of administration and government somewhere in the central/Eastern part of England, maybe in that Bucks/Beds/Cambs area.

“Lockdowns” and other nonsense

British voters do not trust Boris Johnson and his health secretary Matt Hancock to beat coronavirus, according to a new survey – and less than a quarter (22 per cent) think it would be reasonable for ministers to expect them to keep obeying restrictions on their social and economic lives beyond the spring.” [The Independent]

The whole thing has become ludicrous. There again, if your government is just a pack of clowns headed by a part-Jew public entertainer, this is the chaos and nonsense you should expect…

and…

If Food Supplies Are Held Up Because of Brexit, The Conservatives Are Toast

The failure of the so-called “political class”, aka Westminster Bubblers, is manifest more clearly every day. We now know, if we did not already know, that the government of this country is in the hands of incompetent chancers, that the Opposition is in the hands of bad jokes, that the British Constitution is not a finely-tuned machine but a broken bit of clockwork, and that the Queen is about as much use as a human rubber stamp.

Brexit looms, but the fact is that now it either will not happen at all or will happen only in some very vague way (Brexit In Name Only). The only way that it can now happen as a real thing is if Boris Johnson, for reasons of blatant self-interest, manages to get it over the line, and that is looking increasingly unlikely.

In the law, a saying was always “justice delayed is justice denied”. Apply that to the 2016 Referendum.

 

Now no-one expected that the UK would leave the EU the very next day. There are processes, procedures, timetables etc. However, the British Government, or what passes for it, should have within a short space of time triggered the Article 50 process, which (under the Lisbon Treaty) gives a state wishing to exit the EU two years in which to complete the leave process. In fact, Theresa May did not even send the triggering letter for nearly a year after the 2016 Referendum; she then asked for extension of time when the process should already have been completed.

Had the 2-year process (it can be less— 1 year, 18 months, whatever) been started soon after the Referendum result, the whole Brexit process would have been finished by the Autumn of 2018 at the latest. Now here we are, more than a year later, and with no obvious closure in sight.

I always said, right from the start, that a huge campaign would be waged by the international conspiracy to keep the UK in or tied to the EU. The EU is a major building-block of the New World Order strategy. The UK is a major building-block of the EU. You get my meaning.

I favour the UK getting out of the EU, I favour Brexit, but the Brexit process has been so criminally mishandled that it is hard to avoid the conclusion that that mishandling was done deliberately.

Whatever the truth of all that, the fact is that the sheer duration of this whole process, which has now gone on for over three years, has not only delayed democratic decision from being implemented, but has denied democracy itself. Now it is said by the Remain partisans that it is so long since the 2016 Referendum that huge numbers of people have changed their minds or even just died, and so it is bizarre to implement the Referendum decision.

That view is not without force: the process has dragged on. People may well have a different view now, but that is in part why the process should have been expedited and handled properly. If a general election were called and held and if then the results were delayed in being implemented for 3 or 4 years, I daresay that many people would start to say “I have changed my mind!”…

So here we are, still in a state of uncertainty. I cannot say whether the UK will leave or (in the Remainers’ propagandistic “transformational vocabulary”) “crash out” of the EU “without a deal”, i.e. on basic WTO terms, or whether some “deal” not very dissimilar to Theresa May’s one(s) will be accepted both by the person presently posing as Prime Minister and by the UK Parliament. It is an open question as I write.

What about the next election?

It now appears that any general election will not be called until October (assuming that Parliament is not recalled until October) and so may not happen until November, or even later.

Boris Johnson wanted to make the next general election all about Brexit. That way, fervent pro-Brexit voters would join with those who would vote Conservative-label whatever, giving the Conservative Party a Commons majority fuelled by Brexit anger. That has now been denied to him.

As time goes by, the inadequacies so obvious in Boris-Idiot will become ever more apparent. That is a major reason why Boris needs a swift election. Time is not on his side, in my opinion.

At present, most of the opinion polls put the Conservatives well in the lead, by 3, 5, 10, even 14 points over Labour. Neither the LibDems nor Brexit Party are at 25% in the polls, though a recent outlying poll had the LibDems close to 20%. A national average below 25% will not change political history.

In 2005, the LibDems got 22%, then increased that to 23% in 2010. In 2015, the LibDem vote declined to 7.9%, and in 2017 to 7.4%, but the LibDems’ propensity to embed themselves in particular seats meant that they retained 8 seats in 2015 and (by reason of Britain’s mad and unfair FPTP voting system) won a total of 12 seats in 2017.

At present, the Conservatives are polling generally above 30%, in one outlier at 35%. Labour is in the doldrums, somewhere in the 23%-29% range. That is very poor, bearing in mind the overall situation.

Present polling would place the Conservatives in Commons-majority territory, though the size of that majority could be anywhere from single figures to triple figures.

The Jews have been on Corbyn’s back for years, and he has (perhaps typically) chosen to ignore the threat from them rather than take the war to them. So he has chosen (along with John McDonnell) to parrot “holocaust” nonsense and the like (eg on officially-marked “holocaust” days), rather than fight the lies and fakery of the whole “holocaust” scenario and mega-scam. Meanwhile, Tom Watson, Corbyn’s supposed deputy, someone completely in the pocket of the Jewish lobby, has chosen this crucial time, of all times, to highlight yet more “Labour antisemitism” propaganda!

In other words, Labour remains a house divided and in fact divided in more ways than one. That does not attract voters. Also unattractive to much of the electorate is the fact that so many Labour MPs now are blacks and browns. The Labour core vote now is really the black-brown part of the population, together with public service workers (notably NHS) and others paid or supported via State monies of one kind or another.

The white British voters are mostly not voting Labour now: the Scottish ones mostly vote SNP and Conservative (about 70% in all), whereas the English are voting primarily Conservative (42.4% in UK in 2017, but that figure disguises a higher percentage in England itself). It is not that voters generally like or respect the Conservatives, but that Labour is a complete turn-off for many. A vote not for, but against

Labour however has some good cards to play in terms of policy: rail nationalization, utilities regulation, rights of tenants and employees. It is just that it is not being allowed by the pro-Conservative/pro-Israel msm from putting that message effectively to most voters. There is also the point that, despite the complete unfitness of Boris Johnson for public office, his age and vigour (albeit misdirected vigour) helps him vis-a-vis Corbyn, who is presented in the msm as old and (by implication) useless.

I do not see Labour as coming back, in electoral terms, in most of England and Wales outside London and the West Midlands/Northern rustbelts. Could anything change that? There is one thing. Breakdown of public order and/or resupply of basic goods.

The Yellowhammer report, if accurate, indicates the possibility of shortages of fuel, medicines, even fresh food, if the UK leaves the UK without a “deal” of some kind. If that were to happen, then people would rapidly turn, not to Labour, as such, but against the Conservative government.

There are other nuances: Brexit Party has deflated from its stellar start, and the Conservatives have rejected an electoral pact, but if the UK does not fully leave the EU in reality, Brexit Party, like Antaeus, would contact its native earth and be reinvigorated. That would cut into the Conservative vote. On 15%, Brexit Party weakens, but not mortally, the Conservatives’ chances; on anything over 20%, Brexit Party would cull dozens if not hundreds of Conservative MPs even if Brexit Party itself were to win few seats.

Another Con Coalition?

Jo Swinson, entirely in the pocket of the Jewish lobby, has now said that she would never “work with” Corbyn (because of “anti-Semitism”, she says; but she is completely pro-finance capitalism anyway). That would seem to rule out a coalition or arrangement with Labour (so long as Corbyn heads it); it does not rule out a coalition with the Conservatives.

Conclusion

I should say that, at this stage, despite most polls showing the Conservatives many points ahead of Labour, the next general election is quite open. It is unlikely that Labour can win a Commons majority, but it is just about possible that, if chaos or the appearance of chaos soon rules, Labour could, if largest party, come to an arrangement with the SNP and smaller parties (Plaid, Greens, some Northern Irish) to form a minority government.

A Boris Johnson government with a real majority would be a catastrophe. You might as well relocate the UK government to Tel Aviv.

Much depends on whether Boris Johnson makes major mistakes between now and then. Apart from that, the election may well be dependent more than usually upon…events.

Notes

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/eu_referendum/results

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7458401/Labour-Leave-voters-switch-Nigel-Farages-Brexit-Party-vote-Tories.html

 

Update, 14 September 2019

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/sep/13/criminal-gangs-will-cash-in-on-no-deal-brexit-police-warn

Update, 15 September 2019

The opinion polls are all over the place: Opinium just published this poll:

which would give the “Conservatives” a Commons majority of as much as 92.

On the other hand, ComRes has published this (see below), which might see Labour as the largest party in the Commons (265 seats as against the Conservatives’ 261) but about 61 seats short of a majority, in which case the only way in which Corbyn could rule would be via an arrangement with the SNP (Jo Swinson having already ruled out the LibDems, who on this showing might have 45 MPs), with Plaid Cymru, Green and Irish MPs in the mix. What would the SNP want as an inducement? Probably more funding for Scotland, and the right to call another Independence referendum whenever they like. I imagine that the Kremlin will be taking a keen interest, in view of, inter alia, the nuclear submarine bases in Scotland.

Update, 22 September 2019

The two latest polls indicate the political uncertainty about: the YouGov poll might mean a Conservative plurality in the Commons, but no majority (perhaps about 6 short of a majority, so not so different to the present situation); the Opinium poll, in a general election, would give the Conservatives a Commons majority of around 156!

Enthusiasm lacking at the 2019 Conservative Party Conference!