Afternoon music
Runcorn and Helsby by-election
Well, the by-election is to be held the day after tomorrow, Thursday 1 May 2025. The chance for the voters of that area to make British political history. At present, Reform and Labour are neck-and-neck, according to the opinion polls. I have already blogged that I think that Reform can smash it, but that depends on all Reform-leaning voters getting out and voting, if they have not already done so by postal ballot. As for 2024 General Election Con voters, the Conservative Party candidate has no chance at all at the by-election (and got only 16% last year); so to stick it to Labour, vote Reform.
Any 2024 Labour voters wanting to send a message to Starmer-stein can either vote Reform (or, failing that, at least for some other party that is standing a candidate) or simply abstain.
If Reform can win the by-election, then both Labour and Con are doomed; if Labour manage to hang on, that too says that Labour is doomed, because Runcorn and Helsby was the 16th most-Labour seat as recently as July last year. A mere Labour win, unconvincing, would say that most of the country hates Starmer-stein and his fake Labour-label.
Tweets seen
I agree with tweeter “@CambrayXX”. Who are the Labour Party supporters in these polls? I think that the answer is that the UK is now about 20% non-white. Labour Party support is running at about 25%. Most blacks and browns (and other non-Brits) vote Labour.
By my reckoning, and using Electoral Calculus, those figures would give Reform 271 MPs, Labour 176, LibDems 69, Cons 68. Enough of the surviving Con MPs would defect to Reform, or make an accommodation, to give Reform a working majority.
Hard to understand why any white English/Welsh/Scottish person would vote Labour-label now. The policies are indistinguishable from those pursued by “Conservatives” David Cameron-Levita and George Osborne from 2010-2015.
I think that, especially in the North of England, there are still people around who support Labour in the same manner as they do their local football team— unthinkingly, and because their grandparents did; and maybe they have not noticed that Starmer-stein’s Labour-label of 2025 is just not the same party Labour was in 1975, or 1965, or 1945. It has become a different party with a similar label.
The same or similar is true of many unthinking “Conservative” voters in the more southerly parts of the UK.
Who would vote for that Labour-label drone? Dishonest and useless. A local council “grifter”.
Seems that the Labour brand, so to speak, is being trashed not mainly by the drunken behaviour of thuggish ex-MP, Mike Amesbury, but more by Starmer-stein and his rabble of a fake Labour Cabinet. That woman in the doorway is going to vote not for Reform but for the Greens, as she finally said.
What a disappointment Dan Jarvis has been. I had thought that, as an ex-officer, and with a varied life-background, he would be better as an MP than he has been. Seems to be very pro the Jewish/Israel lobby, for one thing.
Actually, ex-officers usually are disappointing, not infrequently useless, both as MPs and, especially, as ministers (cf. Johnny Mercer, Iain Dunce Duncan Smith, Ben Wallace etc).
[“Two 13 year old girls were plied with alcohol and raped by three Syrian men outside a school in the west of Norway. The men posted the rapes to Snapchat before they left the girls to suffocate on their own vomit (luckily no lives were lost). One of the rapist says his life is difficult now because everyone calls him a rapist….”]
Wall. Squad. End.
The Vikings regarded rape as a far worse crime than murder, and punished it accordingly.
The reporter was notably scruffy and impudent, but his questions were very relevant. Britain has paid out for over 500 surveillance flights in order to help the military efforts and war crimes of the Israeli Jews. That is, apart from anything else, money we need here.
Three useless pointless System parties, and Reform UK, which is semi-System (at the top) but not perceived by people as being as weak and useless as the others. Hitler and Lenin made sure that their parties projected strength. Amid weak large parties, a coherent and disciplined small party can achieve victory. Reform is not that, but might pave the way.
That slug wants to put migrant-invaders into council and private rentals, when British people should have those.
Quite, except that it is “by-election”, not “bi election“, or is that a deliberate and subtle (?) poke at Starmer-stein?
Good. Then Russia can seize all Ukraine east of the Dnieper. That is what should happen, and probably will happen.
The USA should become at least semi-isolationist.
Is the chicken called Starmer-stein?
The Kiev regime is pulling back; Russian forces are advancing.
Late music
Ian Robert Millard 