Talking point
To my mind, two aspects stand out: firstly, the fact that Reform UK has been attracting voters from all System parties, leaving the Greens aside. Former Conservative Party voters, but also former Labour Party voters; even some former LibDem voters (presumably, people who previously voted LibDem as being “the least bad of a bad bunch”). Secondly, the fact that Reform UK seems to be able to pull out of their self-imposed (?) exile people who in recent times have preferred not to vote (presumably in disgust at the choice or, rather, lack of choice, offered.
I have said many times on this blog that, with (in 2024) just on 40% of the entire eligible electorate preferring not to vote, any party that could energize even a substantial fraction of those voters, might sweep to power. It is not clear what proportion of 2024 non-voters are now willing to vote Reform, but it seems to be a substantial proportion, anyway (and no other party is managing to do the same).
A further point of interest is how many 2024 Lab and Con voters are now intending to abstain. Quite a few, but more from the Labour camp. I am guessing that the one-time Corbyn supporters are either going Green or abstaining, while others are going LibDem or to Reform, but it may not be so clear-cut.
What the picture will be by 2029, I cannot say, but somehow I doubt that most of those dissatisfied voters will be flocking back like homing pigeons to Lab or Con. Indeed, it may well be that both main System parties will experience further drift away from their control and influence.
Gaza
Whoever in the UK —whether Jew or non-Jew— supports what the Israeli Government is doing in Gaza is complicit in war crimes of a deeply sadistic and brutal kind.
Jewish orgs in the UK, such as the malicious “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [“CAA”], maintain that only 6% of Jews in the UK say that they are not “Zionists”, and that the vast majority of the remaining 94% support what the Israeli Government is doing. From the horse’s mouth.
Starmer-stein has vowed to maintain arms sales to Israel. He is therefore and thereby aiding and abetting the worst kind of state terrorism, indeed terrorism bullying a civilian population (a high proportion of which consists of non-combatant women and children) which has no means at all of protecting or defending itself, let alone of fighting the Israeli Jews with their jet aircraft, missiles, tanks etc.
It becomes ever more obvious that the establishment of the State of Israel was a terrible mistake. Still, perhaps it will be possible to correct that, together with other, connected, mistakes.
More tweets seen
You only have to look at the schools, particularly at primary educational level, particularly in the cities, towns, and suburbs. There are few white children (“formerly known as English or British”) at all.
Electoral Calculus translates that result to Reform 376 MPs, Lab 129, LibDem 65, SNP 39, Cons 11. Once again, if replicated at the 2029 (?) General Election, terminal for the Conservative Party.
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html
That kind of special forces type of operation is in a grey area alongside “terrorism”. The Kiev regime is doing it not from a position of strength but from one of military weakness, weakness on the battlefield. The Kiev regime’s forces are depleted, at little more than skeleton strength now. Russian Federation forces are steadily if slowly advancing across the major sections of the front, and are not retreating on any sector of the front.
I expect a Russian move shortly that will be both payback for the recent drone attacks on airfields as far away as Western Siberia, and an escalation which may create a breakthrough for the Russian side.
Late music
Ian Robert Millard 