Tag Archives: voter migration

Diary Blog, 5 June 2025, including a few thoughts on voter migration 2024-2025, and about Israel’s deliberate starvation of children in Gaza

[Stirling Castle, Scotland]

Talking point

[from Electoral Calculus]

To my mind, two aspects stand out: firstly, the fact that Reform UK has been attracting voters from all System parties, leaving the Greens aside. Former Conservative Party voters, but also former Labour Party voters; even some former LibDem voters (presumably, people who previously voted LibDem as being “the least bad of a bad bunch”). Secondly, the fact that Reform UK seems to be able to pull out of their self-imposed (?) exile people who in recent times have preferred not to vote (presumably in disgust at the choice or, rather, lack of choice, offered.

I have said many times on this blog that, with (in 2024) just on 40% of the entire eligible electorate preferring not to vote, any party that could energize even a substantial fraction of those voters, might sweep to power. It is not clear what proportion of 2024 non-voters are now willing to vote Reform, but it seems to be a substantial proportion, anyway (and no other party is managing to do the same).

A further point of interest is how many 2024 Lab and Con voters are now intending to abstain. Quite a few, but more from the Labour camp. I am guessing that the one-time Corbyn supporters are either going Green or abstaining, while others are going LibDem or to Reform, but it may not be so clear-cut.

What the picture will be by 2029, I cannot say, but somehow I doubt that most of those dissatisfied voters will be flocking back like homing pigeons to Lab or Con. Indeed, it may well be that both main System parties will experience further drift away from their control and influence.

Gaza

Whoever in the UK —whether Jew or non-Jew— supports what the Israeli Government is doing in Gaza is complicit in war crimes of a deeply sadistic and brutal kind.

Jewish orgs in the UK, such as the malicious “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [“CAA”], maintain that only 6% of Jews in the UK say that they are not “Zionists”, and that the vast majority of the remaining 94% support what the Israeli Government is doing. From the horse’s mouth.

Starmer-stein has vowed to maintain arms sales to Israel. He is therefore and thereby aiding and abetting the worst kind of state terrorism, indeed terrorism bullying a civilian population (a high proportion of which consists of non-combatant women and children) which has no means at all of protecting or defending itself, let alone of fighting the Israeli Jews with their jet aircraft, missiles, tanks etc.

It becomes ever more obvious that the establishment of the State of Israel was a terrible mistake. Still, perhaps it will be possible to correct that, together with other, connected, mistakes.

More tweets seen

You only have to look at the schools, particularly at primary educational level, particularly in the cities, towns, and suburbs. There are few white children (“formerly known as English or British”) at all.

Electoral Calculus translates that result to Reform 376 MPs, Lab 129, LibDem 65, SNP 39, Cons 11. Once again, if replicated at the 2029 (?) General Election, terminal for the Conservative Party.

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

That kind of special forces type of operation is in a grey area alongside “terrorism”. The Kiev regime is doing it not from a position of strength but from one of military weakness, weakness on the battlefield. The Kiev regime’s forces are depleted, at little more than skeleton strength now. Russian Federation forces are steadily if slowly advancing across the major sections of the front, and are not retreating on any sector of the front.

I expect a Russian move shortly that will be both payback for the recent drone attacks on airfields as far away as Western Siberia, and an escalation which may create a breakthrough for the Russian side.

Late music

[view from Corcovado]

Diary Blog, 26 June 2021, including more thoughts about Labour Party chances

Batley and Spen by-election

I continue to update my by-election blog post daily: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/. 5 days left before polling.

Tweets seen

“What is Starmer hoping for?” asks tweeter “@Stephen46723144”. Nothing. He is a puppet of the Jew-Zionist lobby. He was inserted into the Labour Party leadership in order to return Labour to the NWO/ZOG fold. He would of course like to be Prime MInister, as a dyed-in-the-wool System careerist, but everything he does reflects his basic allegiance to Jews and Israel. Labour Party interests or prospects come second or third.

Exactly what I have been saying in my blog for a quite long time now— Labour was once the party of both the British “working classes” and of the “progressive” somewhat more affluent. I suppose that both the 1945-51 Attlee governments and the 1960s Wilson governments exemplified that “alliance”.

The Blair-Brown governments of 1997-2010 were a kind of parody of the foregoing. The “workers” were there notionally, but actually without power or influence. The affluent middle classes and many of the Jews both supported and influenced “Blairism”, of which mentally-disturbed Brown’s government was a fag-end.

Over the years from 1945, and especially from the 1980s, the demographic changes in the UK altered the picture, in that mass immigration brought in at first hundreds (1950s), then thousands, then (from the 1980s) millions of immigrants, who started to breed. Most voted Labour.

Other social changes occurred. The industrial “proletariat” disappeared, along with most heavy industry. Their descendants became a latter-day “lumpenproletariat” of (sometimes) drug-abusing “chavscums” etc, or the abused insecure workers or “precariat” of the “gig economy” and the “click economy”.

Traditional ideas did not fit. “Socialist” (supposedly socialist) scribbblers and approved “talking heads” on TV, such as Owen Jones, the part-Jewish faux-revolutionary, tried to write about the “working class” but ended up conflating that old designation with the new “precariat”: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chavs:_The_Demonization_of_the_Working_Class

The occasional clips of real people, concerned that Labour was not listening, especially but not exclusively about mass immigration, have become, as people now say, “iconic”:

Telling…as were the remarks Brown later made.

…and look at his later television comment. Questions about immigration from Mrs. Duffy were “irritating“. Yes, it all looks very different at Bilderberg, or at the meetings of Labour Friends of Israel…

Then we have the complete or almost complete takeover of national (i.e. London-centric) Labour by the wealthy (mainly Jew) element. Blair and Brown were both Labour Friends of Israel members, as were and are so many now again at the top of Labour. Rachel Reeves, many others, including of course Keir Starmer.

Labour became, slowly, the party of mainly, those paid from public funds one way or another, and the party of the ethnic minorities generally. After Corbyn came to prominence, Jews mostly left Labour, but the blacks and browns remained and became Labour’s new core vote.

In Scotland, the former Labour voters went mostly to the faux-nationalist SNP. In England, real social nationalism was all but banned, and now even more so. Labour voters began simply not voting. The graphic below shows that, in the 2017 and 2019 general elections:

The white English have largely abandoned Labour. The 2021 Hartlepool by-election showed that. Far more abstained than changed allegiance from Labour to Conservative, taking the whole eligible electorate into account.

Look at the 2021 Chesham and Amersham by-election: Labour 1.6%. Yes, former Labour voters voted tactically, to deny the Conservatives a win, but still very telling, in my view.

Now we see that, at Batley, the Muslim brown voters will not, most of them, vote for the Labour candidate, because she is white, lesbian, and Labour, which is now led by a puppet of the Jewish/Israel lobby. Also, they have an alternative for whom to vote: Galloway.

However, the white English former Labour voters are also jumping ship, because the Labour candidate is just someone pushed in to try to get a “sympathy vote”, her sister having been assassinated by a socio-political dissident in 2016.

The English voters at Batley think that a Conservative MP might get more help from a Conservative central government. As well as that, the local council has ignored white English people for years.

The Labour candidate has not defended the English schoolteacher driven from his job and home by Muslim crazies.

The by-election at Batley has brought into focus the sheer uselessness of Labour. It has not opposed the Government on so many recent issues: the facemask nonsense, “lockdowns”, social security etc. Without most English and without most Muslim/brown people supporting it, where does Labour go? The Twitterati twits, NHS zealots and West Indians only add up to about 15% of the population…

Saturday quiz

Image

Once again, I beat John Rentoul. He scored 5/10, whereas I scored 6/10. I did not know the answers to questions 1, 2, 4, and 10.

Tweets seen

Birmingham

Interesting short (3 mins) video:

Not a city I know. I got lost in its outer suburbs once in the car, at about 2am, but have never seen it apart from that, and also from a train once or twice, and another time when my Flybe plane made an unscheduled landing, halfway through the flight, at Birmingham Airport. Sounds like the city is a bit of a zoo now. I understand that the shambolic local government there is infested by Common Purpose termites.

More tweets

Can you imagine a creature like Dawn Butler as Leader of the Labour Party? Ha ha! “I’m lovin’ it”…In fact, now that Labour is (in terms of voters at least) largely black and brown, she might fit well, though of course that will be the end of Labour as a major force nationally.

The Whigs disappeared, the Liberal Party declined and disappeared, the LibDems are disappearing; Labour is sliding now. “Conservatives”? Like the Bar, the Conservatives have kept the names and titles, but not the content…

Labour Party supporters. Take a look at their Twitter profiles. Ha ha! Also, note that they almost excuse the fact that they are white…

They are also not young.

The second one realizes that Labour is falling to pieces, though.

Whether the Hancock scandal will have much effect on the upcoming by-election is doubtful. It may have, it may not have. My instinct says no.

Exactly what I said yesterday in answer to a commentator on my blog. Hancock will be kept alive like the wrapped-up fly in a spider’s web, until the spider decides to utilize him. Then— gone. That might be tomorrow, it might be in 6 months or more. The only thing that might expedite it is if Boris-idiot think that Hancock remaining in post will lose the by-election at Batley and Spen.

[Update, a day later: well, Boris-idiot did not sack him, but Hancock did not want to be a fly wrapped up for later use, so resigned. That’s him binned…]

Ha ha! Ecce the white “me too”, pro-BLM Labour Party supporter! These idiots must have a death wish! At first I thought that that comment was parody, but no!

All very well, but what is the point of this? It is akin to a letter to a newspaper, or a blog, posing as a by-election candidature. As I say, I have no quarrel with what is said, but this person and her party are a one-issue party, pretty much.

I have to admit that Ms. Waters seems more personable than I had thought, with a pleasant Irish manner.

Late music