The by-election is being held tomorrow. I thought to add my last-minute thoughts.
As I blogged previously, I see no prospect of any upset to the expected Conservative victory in that constituency. Even in 1997, the Conservative Party vote topped 50%, and has exceeded 63%. 55.4% in 2019.
Incumbency is usually helpful to a candidate, so it is an open question as to whether the new Conservative candidate will get a very high vote-share in what is, after all, a by-election.
It may be that there will be a protest vote favouring the LibDems, but I doubt that it will be anything like enough to dislodge the Conservatives. The LibDem vote in 2019 was 26.3%.
The Green Party scored 5.5% in 2019, and it may be that that will increase at the expense of Labour. At any rate, it is hard to see many people bothering to vote Labour after Starmer’s lacklustre and indifferent attitude at Prime Minister’s Questions today.
Well, you would think so, were you not aware how (to coin a phrase) “totally fucking hopeless” the Crown Prosecution Service is. The CPS is run by the Director of Public Prosecutions. Starmer was DPP. His predecessor was Alison Saunders. Both “totally fucking hopeless”, of course.
Time after time, since it started but especially in the past decade, the CPS has proven itself all but useless, stuffed as it is with mediocre (or worse) Common Purpose types.
For example, the CPS recently tried to pursue a case against persecuted singer-songwriter Alison Chabloz, based on a provision under the Public Order Act 1986. Such a prosecution requires the assent of the Attorney-General. When the matter came before the Westminster Magistrates’ Court on first appearance not long ago, it transpired that not only had the CPS not received the said assent, but that the CPS had not even requested it, being unaware of the necessity!
Alison Chabloz is now being prosecuted on the same alleged facts, but under anotherAct with a far less severe maximum penalty on conviction (her trial is set down for one day on 1 September 2021).
On the above premises, why would Starmer be any good in his present role? He’s only there because the Jewish lobby wanted Corbyn binned. Who better to “regain the confidence of Jewish people” (which the msm, quelle surprise, thinks is all-important) than someone who is completely in the pocket of that Jewish lobby, and who is married to a Jewish woman lawyer, their children being brought up as if fully-Jewish (celebrating all the Jewish supremacist holidays etc)?
Starmer is about 5 years too late. If he thinks that bringing up the Jo Cox stuff now will help Labour either at Chesham and Amersham, or at Batley and Spen, he is very much mistaken, in my view.
I was looking at tweets by such as political journalist John Rentoul. For people like that, Prime Minister’s Questions is meat and drink, but for most people, PMQs is scarcely even noticed. System Clown A scores point off System Clown B.
The real purpose of the facemask nonsense is quite other…
Late tweets seen
Another cliche “mad psychiatrist”. A complete mask zealot too. It is more than worrying that idiots of this sort exercise influence in the UK. I feel sorry for her children though.
I am no medic but, looking at her tweets, she gives the impression of being rather unbalanced. Says that she works and has worked (at her campaigning organization) 80 hours per week, without days off. Since 2018. As a psychiatrist, she should know that that sort of schedule has deleterious mental health results.
True, the shouting mob scene was not very nice, but in the UK, opinion that does not fit the System narrative (pro-lockdown, pro-facemask nonsense, pro “Black Lives Matter” nonsense, pro-migration invasion etc) is now suppressed, and people are repressed if they voice dissident views on social media or even in blogs. On those premises, shouting crowds may, before long, be the least of the forms of resistance.
The mainstream media are now more or less the megaphones of the System. Those who work for msm outlets are more or less System propagandists.
Just one incident in the UK’s slow (?) descent into multikulti barbarism.
Well, though I do not disagree with everything he has said, Swayne is a complete waste of space as an MP.
Voting could change everything, if there were a real and credible alternative party for which to vote. There is no alternative party, just 2.5 System parties all under the same secret flag.
Boris-idiot is an appalling Prime Minister, but the masses seem to give him what the mediaeval revels called “the Fool’s Freedom”. That says more about the British masses than about “Boris”. As I wrote a couple of years ago, the British people have already discounted the many flaws and weaknesses of “Boris”, with the result that no scandal can touch him. He has, in the contemporary expression, “weaponized” his own deficiencies.
That leaves Starmer and Labour with yet another problem to add to their main ones— for what does Labour stand? What is Labour for? Effectively the same problem.
The Jew-Zionist lobby managed to get Corbyn binned. Starmer was put in Corbyn’s place, and all, or almost all, the Shadow Cabinet are now Labour Friends of Israel members. For the Zionist lobby, it really does not matter whether Labour fails to recover (entirely likely) or not. For the lobby, all that matters is that both System political parties of importance are under the Jewish/Israeli thumb (or heel).
It will be interesting to see what happens to Labour’s candidates in the two upcoming by-elections. In the first, at Chesham and Amersham, this coming Thursday (17 June 2021), Labour may struggle to retain its deposit. In the second by-election, at Batley and Spen (1 July 2021), Labour will be fighting to retain the seat.
Labour’s problem in directly electoral terms is not that its former voters might vote Conservative, Green, or whatever else, but that many will simply stay at home, whether literally or, in the case of postal voters, metaphorically.
I missed the tweet below (from weeks ago). I endorse the sentiments:
Many will recall Joan Ryan, the Israel-lobby one-time Labour MP, who was caught conspiring with Israeli intelligence officer Shai Masot a few years ago (Masot had a million-pound slush fund from Israel, with which to buy MPs, in effect).
Look at the last bit of that video, when the Jew, Masot, says that he has received a million pounds from Israel. The look of pleasure on the faces of Joan Ryan and her little sidekick!
Europe needs a Hercules, to cleanse the Augean Stables…
15 June 2021
Take away the unsustainable “furlough” payments, and take away the governmental support payments for small business and self-employed people, then ask the same or similar question again…and then ask a similar question a couple of months later. The “public opinion” will have shifted. Much.
The police have largely given up trying to police ordinary crime, and have shifted personnel and resources to trying to police socio-political expression, which is not their job (or their business). Much (not all but most) of it is driven (from behind the scenes) by the Jew-Zionist element aiming at the censoring of any criticism of the behaviour of Jews and/or Israel, as evidence my experience of some 4 years ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2017/07/13/when-i-was-a-victim-of-a-malicious-zionist-complaint/.
More tweets seen
In some ways, Cornwall is very different from England proper. I lived for a couple of years at Polapit Tamar manor house, about 4 miles north of Launceston, and only a short distance from the River Tamar itself (Tala Water, a stream that runs through the property, is a tributary of the Tamar).
Exactly. “Controlled opposition”, which was engendered, arguably, by the Okhrana in the early 20thC (Father Gapon etc), is now seen everywhere. Julia Hartley-Brewer cited in the tweet above, but also think Delingpole, anyone in the Spectator, pretty much; also Breitbart, Tommy Robinson, Katie Hopkins, “Prison Planet” Watson, the pseudo-dissident bits of the Daily Mail and other msm outlets, as well as snake-oil salesmen like Farage (and pretty much anyone part of the whole UKIP/Brexit Party/Reform Party circus); others too.
How do you tell who or what is “controlled opposition”? The rule of thumb is, if they support —or are not hostile to— Israel and/or the Jewish lobby, then bin them. Controlled opposition.
Migration invasion. Santitized. Soon not reported on. All part of the “Great Reset”, Great Replacement, Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan or, putting it more honestly, down the line, White Genocide. The reality is behind the names.
Yes, David Icke and many others broadly aware of the above (and willing to oppose it openly) have been removed from social media platforms over the past few years. As always, the organized Zionist-Jew lobby is behind much of the “deplatforming”. I was expelled from Twitter in 2018. Icke followed a couple of years later. Many others have trodden the same “Sibirsky Trakt“.
In fact, unlike the dissidents of Imperial Russia and their even less fortunate Soviet successors, most of today’s dissident thinkers and activists do not end up doing time (though some do). It is far more subtle than that.
People lose jobs or professions (as I would have done —disbarred in 2016— had I myself not already binned mainstream life), are subject to occasional harassment by authorities, are bit by bit removed from social media and so from influencing online opinion, are prevented anyway from publishing offline via mainstream publishers (one of the first to fall victim was the historian, David Irving: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Irving).
In my own case, from about 2009 to about 2015, Jews managed to get my book reviews (I was a “top 50” reviewer, one of the top 50 reviewers out of millions, as voted for by Amazon users) taken off both UK Amazon and US Amazon (so much for “the land of freedom”…because where “they” exist in large numbers, there never is any freedom).
I was then pursued via my then professional regulator, the Bar Standards Board, which eventually led to my disbarment (in England) in 2016 (in fact unlawfully, but that is not worth detailing right now).
Later, in 2018, I was removed from Twitter (I was never on Facebook).
You see the pattern. So far, American platforms such as WordPress have resisted (95% resisted) calls to “deplatform” me and others. How long a blog such as this will be available for the people to read is an open question.
The “panicdemic”, the “climate change” narrative, nonsense such as “Black Lives Matter” etc (all supported, you will have noticed by the big battalions of the msm such as Sky and the BBC, CNN, Hollywood etc), are but notes or Leitmotive in a symphony of socio-political “change” being played according to an agreed “composition”…
“Definition by decades”
The definition(s) below made me laugh; largely true…
“I expected that I was paying this fortune, all this time and energy, to learn how to think. But they are forcing you to think the way they want you to think,” Park said in an interview with Fox News. “I realized, wow, this is insane. I thought America was different but I saw so many similarities to what I saw in North Korea that I started worrying.“
“Those similarities include anti-Western sentiment, collective guilt and suffocating political correctness.” [Yeonmi Park, on Fox News]
Well worth listening to what she has to say. In the end, this can only end one way…
I dislike mobs and mob rule, but it is clear that the unfortunate journalist, Nick Watt, was catching the flak that should have been fired at those nearer the top of the BBC, which has become, over the past couple of decades, a biased State broadcaster, with no more credibility than had the Soviet news media of the pre-1989 period.
Well, I once again triumphed over John Rentoul, who only scored 3/10 this week. I always commend his honesty, though. I myself scored 6/10 this week. I did not know the answers to questions 1, 2, 6, and 9.
Ha ha! “Unusually“?! What about, just off the top of my head, “Boris”, Theresa May, David Cameron-Levita, Trump, George W. Bush, James Callaghan, Sarkozy, Yeltsin, Gorbachev, Honecker? Etc… The list is long.
Labour is going nowhere. The next two by-elections (Chesham and Amersham on 17 June 2021, and Batley and Spen on 1 July 2021), should give an idea of the state of play. At present, I am inclined to think that Batley will fall to the Conservatives, and that Chesham and Amersham will result in a Conservative win, and with a Labour lost deposit (maybe).
Quelle surprise: the opinion of the CIA carries more weight than the opinion of the American people with the US Government…
Load up! Load up!…
About one and a quarter million acres of private gardens exist in the UK. A crucial reservoir and sanctuary for animals, birds, insects, trees and bushes. These often-modest private spaces are a very important environmental element.
That Harwood person seems to be a component of the fake political-cultural debate, there to give the illusion of pseudo-national “takeback”. If you like, the mirror image of Owen Jones (as fake “revolutionary” scribbler), or a more mainstream “Prison Planet” Watson.
Exactly. The “cases” are almost all a mirage. No symptoms at all, or in some cases mild flu-like symptoms (though influenza can of course be fatal).
Many people are still fooled by the “panicdemic”, which is in a way unsurprising, after nearly a year and a half of truly relentless msm propaganda across the world. All the same, there are many people who can see that the virus scare has been weaponized for other purposes.
Kirklees Council is within the Batley and Spen constituency area: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirklees_Council. Labour has a plurality though not a majority of councillors (32 out of 69). The Mayor? One “Mumtaz Hussein”. Leader of the Council? “Shabir Pandor”. The Deputy Leader is Peter McBride.
“Shortly after the 2016 local elections, Labour councillors initially decided to replace incumbent council leader David Sheard with Shabir Pandor…Pandor eventually resigned as Labour group leader. Sheard was re-elected as leader of the council and appointed Pandor as his deputy. Pandor was subsequently elected leader of the council in 2018.” [Wikipedia]
You can see that Labour monopolizes the positions of importance at that council and that, over recent years, the non-whites have taken over from the former sort of Labour councillors, who were English, or at least ethnically British.
“In June 2016 the Huddersfield Daily Examiner exposed several councillors who had failed to pay their Council Tax. Five serving councillors, four Labour and one Conservative, had been issued with court claims after previously receiving reminder letters.
Two councillors who had denied the allegations, Deputy Leader Jean Calvert and Amanda Pinnock, were suspended by the Labour Party. It was the second time in as many years that Calvert had failed to pay her Council Tax when it was due, and Pinnock had accused the Examiner of racism.” [Wikipedia] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirklees_Council#’Ratesgate’_scandal
Looks like Labour (especially) needs a big and damaging kick at the by-election. Looks as though the voting will be split mainly on racial/ethnic lines.
Be a psychopath and burn down buildings (etc) and you are “spared jail”, but sing a few songs about Jewish behaviour (Alison Chabloz), or make a short political speech in Whitehall (Jez Turner) and you are sentenced to imprisonment (despite, inter alia, being of good character, i.e. no previous convictions). Justice? Or an unjust and biased farce?
Though superficially seeming impossible, is it impossible?
I see Blair as just as much a puppet of NWO/ZOG as, say, Boris-idiot, but one with more ability.
Jeremy Corbyn, anti-Zionist though not really “anti-Semitic” (regrettably), was removed by what amounted to a Jewish and Israeli covert operation, and was replaced by Keir Starmer, who has a Jewish wife (a lawyer), and children who are being brought up as if fully-Jewish. However, it is clear that, while the pro-Israel lobby on Twitter and in the msm likes Starmer, the voting public is unconvinced. Twice as many people prefer (even?) “Boris” to Starmer as future Prime Minister. Bearing in mind how incredibly poor “Boris” has proven to be, that is really something.
If Starmer were to be jettisoned, and with no obvious way forward for Labour, I can imagine that Blair might just be reinstalled, though most Labour members and (voting) supporters seem to be hostile. In one sense, almost impossible; in another, almost inevitable (?).
As to the voters generally, given a choice of “Boris” or Blair, more of them might say “Blair” than would say either “Boris” or “Starmer”… Never say never, I suppose.
“Rahul Kohli”…an “Englishman”?! Ha ha! I looked him up on Wikipedia; TV and film actor, apparently.
People now, many of them, cannot see that an historical figure can do “good things” while also doing things now (100-200 years later) thought of as “not good”….There is no nuance in 2021. It’s all black and white, good v. evil…[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egerton_Ryerson], and adjudged as such by, usually, those ill-equipped to make such determinations.
Below, that same statue before it was vandalized:
More tweets seen
The (relative) few can see what is happening, but the majority either cannot see or can see but still go along with the conspiratorial agenda because they think that nails that stick out get hammered down.
It is ever thus: only the few are the leaders, or in the vanguard. Only the few are the dissidents. There are innumerable historical examples, perhaps the most obvious being the dissidents of various kinds in the Soviet Union. Others would include the early scientists who stood up against, inter alia, heresy laws from the late mediaeval period still extant in the Renaissance. Or again, those in the present age who stand up against quasi-mediaeval “holocaust” “denial” laws and repressions.
At first, both as MP at Westminster and later as PM, especially when meeting the American President at Camp David, Blair was quite naive-looking, or as Mephistopheles puts it in Faust, “an intelligent youth, easy to instruct”. Later, he took on a “devilish” look, and now, at times, looks quite mad as he evidently sees himself as a prime mover and shaker of the Western NWO/ZOG conspiracy/consensus.
Listened to fairly pathetic BBC Radio 4 PM. Talk about the migration invasion, and in particular the cross-Channel traffic of illegals in small boats. Guest interviewee was one “Nick Thomas”, whom I now see was Nick Thomas-Symonds [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nick_Thomas-Symonds], the Shadow Home Secretary.
So irrelevant has the Labour Party now become that I (someone who takes a fairly close interest in political and Parliamentary affairs) was actually unaware that Nick Thomas was in that post. In fact, I had never heard of him.
Turns out that, on paper, this is a well-educated person, and a barrister who belongs to Lincoln’s Inn, as did I until the Jew-Zionist lobby procured my disbarment in 2016 (thus triggering my expulsion from my Inn).
Sadly, but not at all surprisingly, in answering questions about the migration invasion, Nick Thomas showed himself to be yet another Welsh windbag, taking a great deal of time to say absolutely nothing. Incapable of criticizing mass immigration as such. No real “solution” except to demand that more money be spent in the migrants’ home countries, thus magically stopping the waves of migration. Yeah, right…
That interview was telling, for me. Labour has absolutely nothing to say. Labour has nothing to offer the British people. Even less than has the chaotic government of “Boris”. Labour is washed-up.
It will be interesting to see how far Labour will fall in the two presently-upcoming by-elections.
I forgot about the i paper quiz yesterday. So here it is:
Only 5/10 this week, though I still beat John Rentoul (again); he only scored 4/10. I did not know the answers to questions 4, 6, 8, 9, and 10 (could not remember what LED —exactly— means, and I hit the post on the Battle of Bannockburn, knowing that it was Edward I’s successor but not knowing who the hell that was).
It seems that the said Halloran has now joined the no-chance Reclaim Party set up by the actor Laurence Fox, who now stands for free speech (except, it seems, where Jews disapprove or are mentioned). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurence_Fox.
It is clear that Reclaim Party will never amount to anything. As far as the Batley and Spen by-election in July is concerned, the stand-aside will obviously help the Conservative candidate, but what is unknown is by how many votes. Halloran received 12.2% of the vote in 2019, true, but Fox, in the recent London Mayoral Election, only 1.9%.
I suppose that it might be surmised that Halloran, had he stood at Batley, might have garnered 5% of the by-election vote, possibly 10%, and maybe even 15%+, but the fact is that that is pure speculation. We do not know.
What we do know is that the above news is probably a blow for Labour. A few percent might decide this contest.
I usually abide by the maxim de mortuis nihil nisi bonum (“[say] nothing but good of the [recent] dead”) but the fact is that the recently-deceased MP was little better than a persistent and outright thief [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cheryl_Gillan#Expenses] who defrauded the taxpayer out of far more than was explicitly exposed during the 2009 expenses scandal.
As to the constituency, this is rock-solid Conservative Party territory, situated at the suburban and semi-rural Northern joint termini of the Metropolitan Line.
The lowest ebb of Conservative Party fortunes at Chesham and Amersham was 1997, but even in that year of “Labour landslide” the Conservative vote held up at 50.4%. The high-water mark was the 1992 General Election (63.3%). Even the expenses scandal did not dent Cheryl Gillan’s vote (60.4% in 2010).
Second place in elections at Chesham and Amersham has usually gone to the Liberal Democrats, but UKIP (2015, 13.7%) and Labour (2017, 20.6%) have also featured.
The LibDem vote-share fell to only 9% (and a fourth-place) in the debacle of 2015, but recovered to 13% in 2017, and to 26.3% in 2019.
As for Labour, its low point was 2010 (5.6%), and its high point 2017 (20.6%).
Eight candidates contest the by-election, the other five being Green Party, Reform Party UK, Freedom Alliance, Breakthrough Party, and Rejoin EU.
Green Party got 5.5% at Chesham and Amersham in 2019.
Reform Party UK is the rump of Brexit Party, and scored 1% in the most recent London Assembly elections.
NWO. ZOG. The Great Reset. It’s happening right in front of our eyes, yet the majority, perhaps the vast majority, are unaware, or think it is just something to do with a virus that has killed about one in a thousand British people (and even fewer worldwide)…
Fabricant, of course, is a Jew, and was at one time an employee or agent of SIS.
British foreign aid cuts
There is a case for foreign aid. It rests, in its purest form, on charity or compassion, just like social welfare, free medical care etc in the UK domestic context. In less obviously pure form, foreign aid can be regarded as an incident of “soft power” and diplomacy.
Having said that, much foreign aid is misapplied, wasted, or stolen. I could give examples from my own overseas experience.
On BBC TV News, I saw today some woman talking (from her own rather comfortable-looking home) about the recent decision to further cut foreign aid. She was one of the directors of the long-established charity, Save the Children, which —subject to correction— I think was founded in or at the end of the First World War.
Some reading this may recall that, after the Jo Cox assassination in 2016, it came to light that the husband of that MP, the (I always thought, seeing him on TV etc) rather thuggish Brendan Cox, was exposed as a sex pest and quasi-rapist. Well, what interested me more was the fact that (if I recall aright), as something like third in command of Save the Children, Brendan Cox was being paid something like £200,000 pa. Not bad for someone with a very underwhelming academic and other background. Worse, the actual head of Save the Children was getting over £300,000 (in fact, from memory, it was nearly £400,000).
Not that I think that the head of a large organization, even a charitable one, should not be paid decently or even well, bearing in mind the skills required and responsibility held, but all the same it sits unpleasantly to see people donating pennies, or hard-scrabbled pounds, while the fat cats at the top of the tree get hundreds of thousands of pounds (and expenses) every year.
The world of international aid charities is a rotten borough. I once met a woman who was getting very well paid indeed (the equivalent of maybe £100,000 a year in today’s money), for about 2-3 days a week working for DFID as a “consultant”; she had some academic job as well. She told me that she had even been offered more money, about double, working for the UN Food and Agriculture Organization [FAO] in Rome. Her job title? [would be] “expert in food poverty”!
There’s something unclean about all that. Carpetbagging hypocrisy.
The latest news (as yet unconfirmed) about the persecuted satirist and singer is that her appeal against conviction and sentence will take place on 13 August 2021. As said, this is as yet unconfirmed. The appeal had been set down for the two days of 3-4 June 2021, but was adjourned at the request of the Crown. It may be that the appeal will now be more narrowly focussed, i.e. focussed on strictly legal arguments, and that that is why it seems now to be set down for only one day.
In the past, little happened in the courts in August, but that was then.
“Channel migrants have been secretly picked up in French waters by the UK Border Force and taken to Dover, the Mail can reveal.
The controversial action on the French side of the Channel was orchestrated between senior crew members of HMC Valiant and French patrol ship Athos last Saturday.
On Friday night, a Home Office source said the Government’s own border agency appeared to have helped migrants enter the country illegally, adding: ‘The job of Border Force is to secure the UK’s border, not facilitate illegal entry across it.’” [Daily Mail].
When are the British people going to wake up? This is a transnational conspiracy. The Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan. The Great Replacement. White Genocide.
In the past 4 days, 600 illegal migrants (migrant invaders) have crossed the Channel. 600 in a few days…
Take a look at the comments at the foot of that newspaper article.
Both leeches and scythes still work. The former are still used in the NHS, or were until very recently. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-54553442. As Francis Bacon (the philosopher not the painter) wrote, just because something is superseded does not mean that the newer item or method is better than the older, even when the newer item or method entirely replaces the older. There are many examples.
[This article will be updated as necessary, with updates posted at the foot of the main article]
The Batley and Spen by-election is set down for 1 July 2021. Nominations are open until the late afternoon of 7 June 2021, three days from time of writing, but the main parties and some others have already declared. It is likely that any further candidatures will either be crank or joke.
Batley and Spen was created in 1983. There have been several boundary changes over the years. One particular Conservative Party MP held the seat until 1997, succeeded by a Labour Party MP who held the seat until he retired in 2015.
Batley and Spen area voted about 60% for Brexit.
The constituency remained Labour, with Jo Cox as MP from 2015 to 2016 when she was assassinated. The subsequent by-election was rigged, in that the System parties agreed that Labour should put up a candidate unopposed by the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties. Pathetic UKIP followed suit.
The percentage of the vote won by Tracy Brabin, the TV actress selected by Labour in 2016, declined steadily from that 86% high: 55.5% in 2017, and 42.7% in 2019. Now, in true Blairite fashion, Tracy Brabin has jumped ship in order to become Mayor of West Yorkshire, a newly-created and rather powerful role which also pays rather more than an MP’s salary— £105,000 plus expenses [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayor_of_West_Yorkshire].
It must be a possibility that Tracy Brabin could see support for Labour sliding, and weighed up the odds.
Parts of the constituency have high non-white populations (mainly Indians and Pakistanis), while others are still largely English. I have been unable to discover exact proportions for the constituency as a whole.
Labour is represented by Kim Leadbetter, the sister of assassinated MP Jo Cox. She was not even a member of the Labour Party until fairly recently, and the usual rule (that members of the Labour Party have to have been members for a year until they can be selected as candidates) was waived in her case.
Ms. Leadbetter is apparently a former lecturer in physical health, who also works as a personal trainer, but spends much of her time working for the Jo Cox Foundation.
When I had a Twitter account (a pack of Jews had me expelled in 2018), I tweeted rather extensively about the Jo Cox Foundation. My conclusions were unfavourable. I now notice that there were, in 2019 (when accounts were last published), six paid employees, and the salary cost of those six was around a quarter of a million pounds altogether.
The candidature of Ms. Leadbetter smacks of desperation on the part of Labour. They seem to be aiming, five years after the assassination of Jo Cox, for a sympathy vote.
Ms. Leadbetter, like most of the other candidates, is local or at least from a nearby area, which is perceived to be important.
The LibDems have chosen as candidate a LibDem councillor, Tom Gordon, whose council seat is in Knottingley, 20 miles east of Batley.
A relatively new entrant to politics is the Yorkshire Party [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yorkshire_Party], which came third (behind Lab and Con) in the 2021 West Yorkshire Mayoral Election. Its vote share was 9.7%, though, only narrowly defeating the Green Party (9.2%); there were 7 candidates in toto.
Yorkshire Party has a number of councillors in Yorkshire.
Batley and Spen by-election: analysis and provisional prediction
This is probably going to be between the two main System parties, but there are complications.
In 2019, Labour won on 42.7% of the vote, with the Conservative Party second on 36%. The LibDems, on 4.7%, were beaten into fourth by a new entrant, Heavy Woollen District Independents [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heavy_Woollen_District_Independents], which scored 12.2%. The candidate for HWDI was not the leader, who is or was an ex-UKIP member called Lukic, who himself had scored 2% as Independent in the 2017 election at Batley and Spen.
It seems that HWDI is standing no candidate this time, but there is still time to declare, so that is not certain. I cannot say whether those who voted HWDI might now transfer their vote to Yorkshire Party. Perhaps.
I give little credence to the two minor British nationalist candidates, whose votes would probably have been tiny anyway, even had they not split whatever vote each might have had without close competition. Both are anti-Islam (or anti-Islamist), both are pro-Israel to some degree, neither has achieved much politically, though I commend anyone who keeps trying in the conditions of State repression, Jew-Zionist conspiracy and migration-invasion prevalent in the UK today.
I am not expecting either of those two ladies to score as high as 5% in Batley and Spen, or to get 5% even between the two of them. If either does retain her deposit, then she will have done well, indeed very well.
George Galloway? I hope that my bias against him does not prevent objectivity (he tweeted negative comments about me on Twitter, years ago, and also blocked my then Twitter account). He does not accept that old-style socialism died in and after 1989, and he is as outdated as the Battleship Potemkin.
I am unsure as to what level of support Galloway has among Muslims in Batley and Spen. Some, probably. All the same, if he scores 5%+ and retains his deposit, that would count as a major victory for him.
The LibDems likewise. They will be hoping, at best, for retention of their deposit, but I would expect them to end up with less than 5%.
Yorkshire Party? Perhaps the joker in this pack. I have no way of assessing their chances, except by reference to that mayoral election recently. 9.7% was a good result for a relatively new party (founded 2014 as “Yorkshire First”). They are very unlikely to win this by-election; the question is, if they do get a high-ish vote (over 5%), which of the two main System parties will be most damaged?
The Labour candidate is a mark of Labour desperation. Someone only there because her sister was assassinated (and later canonized, or at least beatified, by the System and msm).
The constituency having a fairly high non-white population (no exact figures found, but around a third), Labour’s expectations must be to win between a third and a half of the vote as a whole. Labour is now largely a black/brown party in terms of its voters; public service workers account for much of the remainder.
If the white population of Batley and Spen has turned away from Labour, even if not voting Conservative, then Labour has a problem.
My present feeling is that the Conservative Party candidate might win this. Labour is just not what most people want at present. The recent YouGov poll suggesting that about 37% to 23% think that Boris-idiot would make a better PM than Keir Starmer is stunning, even though I myself despise “Boris”. Likewise, latest polling on “Westminster voting intention” puts the Cons around 40% and Labour around 30%.
Ironically, the fact that the Labour candidate at Batley and Spen has not been a member of the Labour Party for very long might actually help her with the voters! On the other hand, voters may feel that, if Labour nationally is sliding, and unlikely to form a government any time soon (if ever), then they may as well vote in as MP someone who might be listened to by Government, and thus help the area more. Just a thought.
Much will depend on turnout; also on whether either or both of Galloway and the Yorkshire Party do well, and on whose votes those two take. Galloway will be aiming largely at the Muslim vote; as to Yorkshire Party, hard to say, but maybe they aim to capture white formerly Labour voters. If that is so, then Labour is again in trouble.
The Labour Party vote in Batley and Spen has been eroding steadily since the rigged 2016 by-election. Tracy Brabin jumped ship because she feared defeat at the next general election.
My feeling at the moment is that the Conservative Party might win this, but that it could either be very close, or it could be a total rout for Labour. My head says the former, but my heart is screaming for the latter.
Update, 6 June 2021
“John Rentoul@JohnRentoulPaul Halloran, the 3rd placed candidate in Batley & Spen in 2019, standing aside in by-election – boost for the Tories“
It seems that the said Halloran has now joined the no-chance Reclaim Party set up by the actor Laurence Fox, who now stands for free speech (except, it seems, where Jews disapprove or are mentioned). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurence_Fox.
It is clear that Reclaim Party will never amount to anything. As far as the Batley and Spen by-election in July is concerned, the stand-aside will obviously help the Conservative candidate, but what is unknown is by how many votes. Halloran received 12.2% of the vote in 2019, true, but Fox, in the recent London Mayoral Election, only 1.9%. I suppose that it might be surmised that Halloran, had he stood, might have garnered 5% of the by-election vote, possibly 10%, and maybe even 15%+, but the fact is that that is pure speculation. We do not know.
What we do know is that the above news is probably a blow for Labour. A few percent might decide this contest.
Update, 7 June 2021
The tweet below gives an idea of the local government situation within the Batley and Spen constituency area:
Some of those candidatures (UKIP, English Democrats, Heritage) will affect the contest between the two major contenders, taking away a few percent from the Conservatives, and the Green non-candidature will probably increase the Labour vote by a similar amount.
In the public mind, the Zeppelin (used as the generic term for lighter-than-air craft) has passed into history. Its heyday is generally thought of as being the First World War, when the airships were used by the Germans in early “terror” raids over English cities. Not only London: my own grandmother (b.1900), who for some reason now unknown had been sent from Berkshire to a boarding school at Ashby-de-la-Zouch, Leicestershire, actually saw a Zeppelin over her school, probably in 1916.
[a Zeppelin over the Palace of Westminster, London, during the First World War]
Incidentally, the safety problems associated, in the public mind, with airships, were never great, in reality:
Hitchens is correct not only in his main point but also in his view of that Dunt person, who seems (from what I have seen) to have an unerring instinct for coming to the wrong socio-political conclusions.
The Jewish terrorist behind the “Black Lives Matter” nonsense
In fact, I do not agree with Hitchens re. Starmer being “deeply revolutionary”. He may well have read and even edited obscure Trotskyist publications when aged 20. Hitchens himself was a Trotskyist at that age, while I, at age 19 and living in a London attic, read, and regularly, everything from the anarchist newspaper Black Flag to the social nationalist magazine, League Review, and many another publication.
You cannot take someone’s views as they were at age 20 as being their settled viewpoints when they are 50, 60, or 70 years old. Keir Starmer may have more radical ideas than Boris Johnson, but for me the difference is that Starmer may actually have a few ideas, however limited, whereas part-Jew chancer, fraud and (ex?) public entertainer “Boris” has no ideas at all, beyond the schoolboy fantasies of bridges over rivers and oceans, artificial islands, tunnels to Ireland etc; the sort of ideas I had when aged about 13.
I wonder why…
Incidentally, that Silverman individual (“Head of Investigations and Enforcement” at the Jew-Zionist Israel-lobby “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA”), was exposed in open court a few years ago as having been behind a number of pseudonymous Twitter and other trolling accounts. Most of the victims were women. He was also behind a malicious complaint made about me to Essex police (he lives in South Essex) in early 2017: see https://ianrobertmillard.org/2017/07/13/when-i-was-a-victim-of-a-malicious-zionist-complaint/.
Their primary, and perhaps only, loyalty is to Israel (whether to the Israeli state as such, or to the Jewish people). At least, that is how it seems to me…”@mlewislawyer” is in fact now resident in Israel.
The monarchy in Britain, like so much else (the System political parties, the Bar, the Church —indeed, churches— etc) is now running on empty.
If you listen to the ahistorical nonsense that, eg, BBC World Service has been retailing about the above, the blacks in America have been prevented from being more affluent and/or powerful because of that one incident in one minor city 100 years ago. Oh, of course…
SPLC— a pack of Jews and/or “antifa” apologists.
Anne-Marie Waters and Tommy Robinson. Both pro-Israel, anti-Islam one-trick-ponies. Not real nationalists. Well, they are operating in tandem, it seems. Maybe they should get a rabbi to bless their unlikely (?) union…
I may not be the typical man-in-the-street voter, but I really cannot see any candidate so far declared at Batley and Spen for whom I would vote. Not one.
I should really blog in detail about the upcoming by-election, set down for 1 July 2021. Maybe this weekend I shall post something.
“In 1915 Feinberg traveled to Egypt and made contact with the British Department of Naval Intelligence. In 1917, he again went to Egypt, on foot. He was apparently killed on his way back by a group of Bedouins near the British front in Sinai, close to Rafah. His fate was unknown until after the 1967 Six-Day War, when his remains were found under a palm tree that had grown from date seeds in his pocket.” [Wikipedia].
How about that?! “…his remains were found under a palm tree that had grown from date seeds in his pocket.“
Well, now that the said Feinberg is apparently an Israeli hero-figure (they even have a stamp with his head on it), the suspicion must be that the bit about the palm tree and the date seeds is some kind of fairy tale. Still, it may well be true. These things happen.
I have not included the above in my blog to make any political or other point; it just struck me as interesting. Still, one could reflect on how one never knows how one’s actions may, long after one’s own death, bear unexpected fruit (in the case of Feinberg, literally, of course).
Readers of my blog will know that I am usually cautious about commenting about the political situation in countries with which I am not directly familiar (even Scotland), but idly browsing Wikipedia while listening to BBC World Service, I heard about the electoral impasse in Israel. I looked up the state of play on Wikipedia:
It seems that there 120 elected members. What is extraordinary is that Israeli politics is so fragmented that the party presently ruling, Likud [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likud], has only 30 members out of that 120. Indeed, the whole minority government coalition headed by Likud only has 54 members.
The second-largest party in the Knesset, Yesh Atid [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yesh_Atid] has only 17 Knesset members. The next-largest party has 9. In fact, there are no less than 23 parties and Independent members represented, grouped into 13 parties and factions.
Compare that to the much larger UK House of Commons, where there are 16 parties and Independents but where, out of 650 MPs, 562 belong to only two of those parties.
Why is the Israeli parliament so fragmented? It may be that there is something in the Jewish psychology that tends to dissension, dissidence etc. That was certainly true of the various Marxist factions that used to exist in the Western world, especially in the realms of Trotskyism.
There again, the Israeli proportional representation system has a low threshold for representation: 3.25% (it was 1% at one time). In fact, there has never been a one-party-majority government in Israel.
Another aspect yet is that most of those parties were started not long ago. The main Opposition party, Yesh Atid, was only formed in 2012. Several others were formed even more recently, in the past two or three years. Likud, the presently largest party, was founded in 1973.
Well, there it is. A peculiar country. Interesting though. I am interested generally in countries which are contrived or artificial, as Israel surely is. Singapore would be another example. They tend to be small geographically; Israel is almost exactly the size of Wales (or New Jersey), while Singapore is not even twice the size of the Isle of Wight. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singapore.
Listening to some typical farm-owner whining on BBC Radio 4 Today Programme. Farmers in the UK always want it both ways, to be treated as independent businessmen and women, but given State subsidy or support at the same time. For me, it just does not wash.
One farmer had the right sort of ideas about small-scale farming, biodiversity, organics etc, yet wanted public money, in effect for not being an environmental vandal. Why should the public subsidize farmers at all? Better to impose environmental and animal welfare regulations, restrict imports, and let the farms be real private “businesses”. Alternatively, to put them largely into State ownership but give environment-friendly farmers or collectives long-term (even lifetime) leases.
Soon, there will be the Batley and Spen by-election. I shall be blogging about it in a week or so. The Labour Party vote has suffered a gradual decline in that constituency since the rigged by-election in 2016. After the assassination of Jo Cox, the System parties conspired to get another Labour Party MP elected, so an ex-soap actress was parachuted in, and the Conservative and LibDem parties did not stand. Pathetically, “controlled opposition” UKIP also failed to put up a candidate. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s.
Now Labour is relying, in the Batley by-election, on a kind of “sympathy vote” by putting up the sister of that assassinated MP. Pretty desperate…
The gradually-emerging UK police state in operation. Quite normal things criminalized, but real criminal acts ignored. Read The Protocols of Zion and you will be on the right track…