On this day a year ago
I have already noted in the blog about how both the current President and Prime Minister of Ukraine are Jews; now I see that the current Ambassador of the UK in Kiev is also Jewish: see https://www.kyivpost.com/business/uk-ambassador-brings-ukrainian-roots-to-the-job.html.
The former U.S. ambassadress in Kiev, 2016-2019, was also Jewish (at present, the US Embassy at Kiev is headed by a Charge d’Affaires).
As to the general situation in the region, events have moved closer to what I was predicting a few weeks ago, i.e. that Russian forces would seize Eastern Ukraine (Ukraine east of the river Dnieper), the Kiev area, and the Black Sea littoral from Trans-Dniestria to the mouth of the Dnieper and further east to the present Russian border.
As previously blogged, such a strategy would leave Russia in control of 6 of the largest 7 cities in Ukraine, Lvov alone remaining in the hands of the present Kiev government, assuming that it still exists by then.
The above strategy would place all seaports, including the largest (Odessa) in Russian hands; also all river ports of significance.
That strategy would also join Crimea to Russia via south-eastern Ukraine.
Most of the important industrial areas would also fall.
As noted in previous blog posts, it is hard to see how the present state of Ukraine, under the present Kiev government, could continue to exist except as a rump state based on Lvov, controlling mostly agricultural areas in Western Ukraine but without the means of easily-exporting its produce.
If Russian forces move to encircle Kiev, the present Kiev government will face the choice either of being captured, or of withdrawing to Lvov, about 40 miles from the Polish border.
Should Russian forces capture Kiev, and with it the present government, I should expect the present Kiev governmental leaders to be allowed to go into exile. The Russians would then find a suitably pro-Russian interim President and Prime Minister.
Should the Russians achieve their immediate objectives, a pro-Russian government in Kiev might face an anti-Russian government based on Lvov, which might in turn lead either to compromise or to a civil war in the (inland) west of the country, as the long-running civil war in the east comes to an end with victory for the Russians and pro-Russians.
Russia would control most of the electrical power output for the whole of Ukraine (and, of course, the supplies of natural gas).
The latest newspaper (Daily Mail) map seems to indicate that most military strategists are now completely in line with my own thinking:
The photograph below shows the motorway between Kharkov and Dnipro (former Dnepropetrovsk). Well up to European standards, and making transportation of tanks etc (either under their own power or on transporters) not difficult.
As noted in past blogs, Russian air power is overwhelming in theatre, the Kiev government controlling fewer than 100 fighters, as against several thousands of Russian fighters, as many as 1,500 of which may be effectively in theatre.
Russia is likely to have almost complete air superiority, thus protecting its ground (and naval) forces, themselves far more numerous and of higher quality than most of those of Ukraine.
The fact is, that the Kiev government has no chance of resisting for longer than a few weeks, at best. The volunteers and others preparing to resist invasion are being set up for defeat by their own government.
One can only hope that civilian casualties, and destruction in residential areas, can be kept to a low level.
Putin and his advisers can now be sure that the USA and allies in NATO will not be fighting in this “short war”. Russia has a clear field. As for the posturing of the likes of “Boris” Johnson and Liz Truss, I doubt whether that weighs even slightly in the Kremlin.
Was it Teddy Roosevelt who described diplomacy as the necessity to “speak softly but carry a big stick“? Whatever. Johnson and Truss have done the opposite, loudly reproving Putin, while very obviously having nothing with which to back up their bellicose words. Absurd. The Royal Navy etc cannot even defend the English Channel coast from non-white migrant-invaders!
Well, we should know within a few days whether any of the last-minute diplomacy and loud criticism of Putin can change anything. I doubt it. Everything (except the relatively mild weather) is in Russia’s favour now; this time next year, things may be far less favourable.
Rarely has an invasion, or incursion, or annexation, been so well signposted. The Russians have all but issued engraved invitations! I suppose that that is part of the psych war, or “hearts and minds”, to spread a feeling that the takeover is inevitable. After all, the Russians have such ground, air, and naval superiority that overall surprise is unnecessary even if it could be achieved.
In principle, there is nothing wrong with “good healthcare, good education, skilled work and reliable transport“, but the devil is in the detail, of course. It is clear that the UK is short of all four at present.
Of course, Boris-idiot is all hot air.
There seem to be a lot of idiots around who imagine that a war with Russia would mean evacuating children, then shouldering a 1913 Lee-Enfield and preparing to repel boarders, or invaders, when not in the public bar of the local pub. A kind of Dad’s Army mentality.
Any war with Russia would devastate large areas of the USA, UK, and other states, as well as Russia. The UK would be hardest-hit, possibly all but annihilated, because of its small size and also because it contains a plethora of high-value targets: airfields, transport hubs, naval installations, early-warning stations etc. Russia is 72x the size of the UK.
Yes, Russian bases and cities would be wiped out, but so would most if not all UK cities. The USA might “only” lose its 100 most-populous cities. Would that be somehow acceptable? I think not. The USA may have greater destructive power than Russia, but you can only destroy a target once. Hitting it ten times over will accomplish nothing more.
The Western powers and Russia must come to the table, but that is only possible when Russia has secured its territorial integrity.
“Against stupidity, the Gods themselves struggle in vain” [Schiller, die Jungfrau von Orleans].
More tweets seen
A pretty typical response from the Jewish-lobby puppet now heading “the party formerly known as Labour”. This is exactly his idea of being an Opposition: “the Government is doing the right thing but should be doing it more“. Pathetic.
The point, though, is that Ukraine is not just “a country once open to Russia” but a country which was, for a thousand years, effectively one country with Russia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine#Golden_Age_of_Kyiv, albeit that the borders of kingdoms, principalities etc changed over the centuries.
That New Statesman article is mendacious. The author is an extreme “Remainer” who wants the UK back in the EU, in the Eurozone, and even in an EU army: see https://order-order.com/people/jeremy-cliffe/.
…and before very long, pointing out the above facts, and others, will actually be a criminal offence…
The British public has, in general, stopped believing in the “Black Death” virus, meaning in the System’s propaganda around “Covid”.
GB News is “controlled opposition”, and the same is true for that little b**-boy.
Jacinda Ardern all but admitting to her “globalist” ideological roots, which are the only reason she is able to pose as PM of New Zealand. She would love to impose a full-on NWO/ZOG dictatorship but cannot easily do that in a country with New Zealand’s democratic tradition, so uses the “panicdemic” as a battering-ram.
Early evening music
I do not like watching or posting the sort of cruelty shown in that clip, but we cannot look the other way. The guilty must be sought out and punished, if not by the police and courts, then by people who care about animal welfare.
Canadians! You know what to do…
I wonder how many are heading for Tel Aviv?
As I suspected (and blogged): the Jewish regime in Kiev will be toppled, and will then relocate to Lvov (“Lviv”) if it can; the US Embassy is already relocating there, and all secret files and devices at the Kiev embassy have been destroyed.
I hope that the conquest of Kiev, Eastern Ukraine, and the Black Sea littoral, can be done as quickly and bloodlessly as possible.
…and take “them” (((them))) with you!