A few more thoughts about the Gorton and Denton by-election
The opinion polls suggest that the contest will be between Reform UK and the Green Party. A few commentators are still saying that Labour might have a residual chance. It seems to me that this by-election is different than most —not all— previous ones, in that there is likely to be a split on racial-cultural lines.
Reports suggest that the Muslim, mainly Pakistani, element of the electorate will vote en bloc, and for the Green Party. They have been turned off Labour by reason of the fact that the present government consists almost entirely of Labour Friends of Israel members. The voters will have noticed Starmer-stein’s slavishly pro-Israel policies, and his many pro-Jewish gestures.
The Green Party is now led by a Jew, but one who is supposedly anti-Zionist and not favourable to the Israeli state. The Greens also favour a near-“open borders” immigration policy.
However, Muslims are less than a third of the entire electorate in that constituency. About 30%. Persons identifying as “Christian”, presumably mostly white British, with some of Irish or other origins, are over 40% of the electorate. Apparently, some 27% do not identify by reference to religion; I am guessing that almost all of those are white English/British too. In other words, it may be that about 68% of the electorate is white English/British or at least European.
So assuming that most of the Muslims are going to vote Green, that still leaves nearly 70% of voters who may also vote Green, but are more likely to back Reform, or go elsewhere (or not bother to vote).
My guess at this stage is that rather few English/British (etc) voters will vote Labour. Only a few per cent of that group, probably; maybe 10% or, at outside, 15%.
So if it is true that Labour has lost most of the Muslim/Pakistani votes, and also most of its former English/British voter support (after Labour’s disastrous first 18 months in office), one has to conclude that Labour is very much on the back foot, despite the fact that, at GE 2024, Labour hoovered up over half the votes: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gorton_and_Denton#Elections_in_the_2020s.
The Conservative and LibDem candidates have no chance in this constituency. A few minor parties are standing, including George Galloway’s Workers’ Party. One can never entirely write off Galloway, but if he stands (or another, on his behalf), that will hit the Green and Labour votes, but not (at all) that of Reform UK.
In the circumstances, it seems to me that Matt Goodwin and Reform have every chance, but it might yet be closer than many think between Reform and the Greens.
Tweets seen
Trump is considering a range of military scenarios against Iran proposed by the Pentagon, including raids and special forces operations, but remains open to diplomatic solutions and negotiations with Tehran, The New York Times reported:https://t.co/feLwB4naQwpic.twitter.com/SxhNSVZsWU
[“Bus Driver Loses Unfair Dismissal Case After Stopping Thief
Last updated 11 minutes ago
On June 25, 2024, 62-year-old driver Mark Hehir pursued the thief on foot from his route 206 bus in north-west London, leaving the vehicle unattended briefly. When the man returned and swung first, Hehir punched back once, an action police called proportionate, but Metroline fired him for breaching safety protocols on assault, vehicle safety, and company reputation. An employment tribunal upheld the dismissal as fair last week, even as MPs and a petition with over 9,000 signatures demand his reinstatement amid public outrage.
This story is a summary of posts on X and may evolve over time. Grok can make mistakes, verify its outputs.“]
– Border force interception: £2,750 – Three months in a hotel: £13,500 – Murder investigation and prosecution: £600,000 – Court proceedings and legal defence: £100,000 – Cost of 29y imprisonment: £1,572,786
Whereas a wall, a squad, and an end would have taken care of the matter for the cost of about 20 rounds of 7.62, plus a Guinness and a bag of chips for each member of the squad.
This is Emma. She spends her days helping people from Gorton and Denton who have fallen into drug and alcohol addiction. I won’t go into details but this work is very close to my heart. People like Emma are the real heroes. She’s voting Reform 👍 pic.twitter.com/q13oII7Kyq
In 2025, Ukrainian armed formations launched more than 130,000 munitions on Russian civilian facilities, an increase of over 40,000 from 2024, Russian Foreign Ministry Ambassador at Large on Kiev’s War Crimes Rodion Miroshnik said at a briefing:https://t.co/VOppBBmVIzpic.twitter.com/wsbSry0j7b
Well, this week 6/10, trumping political journalist John Rentoul’s 4/10. I did not know the answers to questions 8 and 9, and could not think quickly enough to get the right answers to questions 1 and 4 (which I “really knew” somewhere or other). So 6/10…
Russia has a sufficient arsenal of means to convincingly persuade NATO countries to abandon provocations in the Baltic Sea region, Russian Ambassador to Denmark Vladimir Barbin said in an interview with TASS:https://t.co/BfV3lmPONRpic.twitter.com/RYIOZYKG09
The initiative by Clemence Goethe, Deputy Chairman of the French National Assembly, calling for the country to leave NATO could become reality amid disagreements within the alliance, the BZ newspaper reported:https://t.co/CrLou9Gq0fpic.twitter.com/MPVJoOxT8A
The West cannot legally block the Baltic Sea for tankers carrying Russian oil, but it has them "in the crosshairs," Russian Ambassador to Denmark Vladimir Barbin said in an interview with TASS:https://t.co/kpOwiiNk5Ypic.twitter.com/YqfJpLEppM
It is a long time since I studied Public International Law, I think 1985-86, but if I remember aright, seizure of a ship on the high seas (i.e. not in territorial waters) has always been regarded as an act of war. Of course, in many non-oceanic sea-waterways, the waters will be territorial waters, complicating the issue (that’s assuming I remember my studies, of forty years ago, correctly).
Ukrainian cemeteries are filling up with dozens of graves every day, while military hunters hunt for new "volunteers" for the front. A sad picture of today's Ukraine 😞 pic.twitter.com/pOMvDiIVGH
The Kiev regime is losing anything up to 2,000 soldiers a day. Perhaps more commonly, 1,000 per day. Still huge. The press-gangs hunt down suitable “recruits” on the streets of towns and cities, but to be “recruited” means brutal though brief training, then a one-way ride to the crumbling front lines of the regime.
This is important. The Restore Britain team has been doing vast research on the number of arrests by the following nationalities across every police force.
The Government refuses to release the data, so we've found it ourselves.
[“This is important. The Restore Britain team has been doing vast research on the number of arrests by the following nationalities across every police force. The Government refuses to release the data, so we’ve found it ourselves. Afghanistan. Albania. Eritrea. Iran. Iraq. Syria. In Kent for example, Afghan arrests have soared from 35 in 2017 to 174 in 2024. Albanians? In Kent alone, 35 in 2017 to 413 in 2024. Albanians in Norfolk? Up from 9 in 2017 to a staggering 112 in 2024. We have the data from right across Britain, and we are going to release it in full. These numbers, when fully published, will destroy the remaining argument for mass immigration.“]
I wonder whether Rupert Lowe might have been better to have stayed with Reform, whatever its flaws, until after the next General Election, for tactical reasons.
The Times appears to have fully entered Cuckoo Land
It can no longer read the mood of the British people
Instead of acknowledging how the tectonic plates have moved behind Reform and a repudiation of the Westminster-BBC consensus it clings to the fantasy of a Tory/Uniparty…
[“The Times appears to have fully entered Cuckoo Land It can no longer read the mood of the British people Instead of acknowledging how the tectonic plates have moved behind Reform and a repudiation of the Westminster-BBC consensus it clings to the fantasy of a Tory/Uniparty recovery What The Times means when it calls for a return to “solid ground on the pragmatic centre-right” is a place where the British people are not allowed to criticise mass immigration, the collapse of our borders, woke ideology, the ECHR, or a long list of other disasters it’s brand of Boomer Liberal Toryism has inflicted on Britain People are sick of being told to “avoid the culture wars”, “intolerance”, and “populists” by the very people who jammed their failing project down everybody’s throats for years and now have the audacity to criticise those who are actually trying to fix the mess they have created Would like to hear less from the architects of this dismal project and much more from bold new columnists who actually represent the mood of modern Britain …”]
Farage should not welcome Con Party retreads into Reform.
As I have long predicted on the blog, Reform is rapidly becoming part of the System.
NEW in @telegraph: Reform would win local elections set to be cancelled
Local voting intention poll of 5,000 voters in councils facing cancellation (change on 2021/2)
The UK is now a banana republic without bananas (and also stuck with an unwanted and/or pointless monarchy).
"One recent study, the Born in Bradford project, found that nearly half of all mothers from the Pakistani community in three inner-city wards —46%—were married to their first or second cousin, compared to 1% among White British couples."https://t.co/BSmxKfGCii
An orphaned fawn was rescued, and then, out of nowhere, a cat stepped in to “adopt” it—caring for it, licking it, cuddling it just like a real mother! 😻
Cats are usually so aloof, but here love completely breaks through all species barriers—the cat became the perfect foster… pic.twitter.com/BwXxcya09A
The Jews (meaning the extreme Jewish/Zionist lobby, who are effectively —and sometimes literally— agents of Israel) have been cheated of their full pound of flesh. Now, despite the West Midlands Police Chief Constable having been forced to resign, “they” still whine and complain via, inter alia, propaganda sheets such as the Telegraph, in which “their” influence is pervasive.
Matt Goodwin is part of the whole puppet-show of non-Jews (as far as I know) who nonetheless play the part of being puppets for the (((puppetmasters))) pulling the strings. To me, that is the disgrace.
This vindictive intervention by the shadow home secretary underlines why the elimination of Zionist influence on our MPs is urgent. It's not the West Mids Chief Constable who's guilty of gross misconduct, it's MPs like @CPhilpOfficial who put Israel's interests before Britain's. https://t.co/wRNK3RXZd9
Rare that I agree with Dan Hodges, but he surely expresses here what very many are thinking.
As for Jenrick himself, his former actions in government proved that he has no real principles, is corrupt, and (also) tied-in with the Jewish-Zionist Israel-lobby element. He is just not a decent person overall.
Julius Caesar once said, “better to be first man in Gaul than second in Rome“, not a sentiment that I like, and Jenrick obviously also disagrees with Caesar.
Had Jenrick stayed in the Con Party, he might have replaced Carpetbagger Kemi as leader, had he retained his Commons seat, whereas in Reform UK, he may retain his Commons seat as a Reform MP, but will never be leader of Reform.
I suppose he calculates that, if he can stay on as MP after 2029, Farage (as notional PM) will appoint him to Cabinet.
“I have chosen to put personal ambition aside, and put the country first”. Come on man. Stop gaslighting everyone… https://t.co/p5ge6f0G9B
"After thirty years of presiding over managed decline, hollowed-out communities, mass immigration without consent, rising taxes, falling trust and shrinking national confidence, the model has finally exhausted itself."https://t.co/6FkPrmmCkW
I agree, as far as the headline statement is concerned; the devil, though, is in the detail. I have no confidence that Reform, suffused with pro-Israel and Jewish-lobby connections and views (not to mention non-European candidates and officers) and unwilling to do the “full monty” of what might be necessary to save this country and its people, has the ability to rule properly, or to accomplish very much.
[“Walking this ground knowing your family helped build it is your birthright. Being ruled by your own people’s laws, not a distant committee, is your birthright. Seeing your own culture and traditions reflected in your streets is your birthright. Having the final say on who enters your country, just as you do your home, is your birthright. Taking honest pride in the great things your ancestors achieved is your birthright. Leaving a Britain to your children that they can actually recognise is your birthright. We do not hold this land for ourselves alone, we hold it in trust for those who came before us and those who will follow. Never apologise for loving your home. This is our land, our people, and our future“]
Brava!
“Our unconquerable children!“
Listed in Leicester Crown Court on Monday there are:
9 trials; 22 other hearings; and 19 further cases that have to be adjourned, due to a lack of court time.
Don’t expect intelligent policy, or any erudition at all (legal or general), from monkey-on-a-stick Lammy.
Talking about “justice delayed”, I have not heard whether the case of the so-called [redacted words...] accused of criminal damage to the property of Starmer-stein (aka “Tel Aviv Keith”) will come to trial this year or not. Seems to have been well and truly kicked down the road. Very odd. I wonder what the truth might be.
Incidentally, while looking for information on the above, I discovered that not only does Starmer’s Jewish wife belong to the Liberal Jewish Synagogue in St. John’s Road, St. John’s Wood, but Starmer himself also belongs to it. I thought only Jews could actually belong, but maybe I am mistaken.
I often used to pass that quite impressive building, which was only a few minutes’ walk from my then home in Little Venice. That was in the 1980s and early 1990s, mainly.
[Liberal Jewish Synagogue, St. John’s Wood Road, London N.W.8]
As, I think, blogged many years ago, I once knew (from about 1979 to about 25 years ago), a girl who converted to Judaism in that synagogue (that particular sect permits that). She had very belatedly discovered, in the early 1990s, that she was of part-Jewish origin (either a half or, perhaps more likely, a quarter). I had already noted something somehow un-English in her looks and attitudes, and she was then told, still in early adulthood, that her parentage was partly Italian. Maybe she was part Italian-Jew, I do not know.
The young lady, as she then was, was very excitable. On thinking that she was part-Italian, suddenly everything at her home was Italian. Food was pasta, wine was Frascati, and the music was either Italian opera or the theme from The Godfather.
She had then become enamoured of everything Irish, and indeed nationalist/Republican Irish. Now her home contained Irish flags, books of prose or poetry by everyone from Yeats to the latest Irish authors, and the music consisted mainly of rebel songs from the Wolfe Tones and others. She even became seriously interested in Irish Republican politics, to the extent of meeting Gerry Adams in West Belfast at some gathering or other (he apparently said to her that “we don’t think you are a spy“, comfortingly enough). She even ended up having an affair with a leading (and married) Sinn Fein person who had been in the I.R.A. and also been, at one point, imprisoned in the UK for serious terrorist offences.
The Frascati had been replaced by Irish whiskey and Guinness.
The upstairs tenant of her small house in South London, a pleasant but slightly dim fellow who worked at Burton’s clothing store in Oxford Street, expressed his concern that anti-terror police might raid the house and that he “might get shot by mistake“! Thankfully, that never happened.
After that episode of Hibernophilia, or connected with it, that still-youngish woman had become interested in Roman Catholicism. Now the Irish political stuff had to share her domestic space with plaster saints, books about martyrs and religious philosophers, and so on.
It was then that her father dropped the bombshell that she was partly-Jewish. Suddenly, she was taking instruction at “schul” (i.e. the St. John’s Wood synagogue) to convert to Judaism, and the remaining Italian, Irish, and Roman Catholic books and bits and pieces were being nudged out by the new wave of Jewish items: a small Israeli flag, one of those multi-armed candleabra, books about Jew “holocaust” “survivors”, Jew comedians (Ben Elton) and films on video with a Jewish element (I recall watching Leon the Pig Farmer with her [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leon_the_Pig_Farmer].
That woman was not too pleased with me when I joked that the way in which the Jewish/Israeli bits and pieces had taken over most of her space from the previous “owners” reflected what had happened in UK society over the decades.
In fact, her general character deteriorated quite a lot in that period.
Incidentally, not having met her since 2002 or 2003, I do not know whether she ever became officially Jewish, and I have no idea with what or with whom might be her “current infatuation“, as George Smiley puts it (referring to his flighty wife) in Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy.
Life is very strange at times. Perhaps we shall learn how strange it can be when that Starmer-connected trial proceeds, if it ever does.
More tweets
Benefits paid to 'US asylum seeker' despite UK court ruling he is not at riskhttps://t.co/VLruykNnUS
“You are 55.8% good, 18.3% chaotic, making you neutral good.“
Not quite a rousing vote of approbation, but not as harshly marked as my ideological enemies would prefer.
“Neutral Good
People who are Neutral Good are guided by their conscience and typically act altruistically, with only secondary regard for whether their actions are lawful or in line with cultural expectations or traditions. Neutral Good individuals have no problems with what is lawful as such, and nor are they rebels by nature, but they believe in furthering kindness and good deeds through whatever means seem necessary to them. If fostering good means supporting an organized society, then that is what must be done. If good can only come about through the overthrow of the existing social order, then so be it. For many who are Neutral Good, insistence on either lawfulness or rebellion is seen as detriments to or distractions from the greater goal of promoting true kindness in the world.” [https://www.idrlabs.com/moral-alignment/test.php].
Fair enough…
I have seen tests like that before, though not that exact one. I have posted a few on the blog, though a few years ago.
Amusing. I did one years ago comparing the user to characters from Harry Potter, something with which I am only a little familiar. I had to look up the details of the character whom, it transpired, was apparently most similar to me, one “Lucius Malfoy”: “Lucius Malfoy is a Death Eater, head of a wealthy pure-blood wizarding family.” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_Eater].”
[from 2023]
More tweets seen
The Zionists got him. Yet another good man loses his career because he dared to cross the genocide lobby.
When will Brits say enough is enough? When will they say we will not be beholden to the demands of a foreign state? https://t.co/rR1boid3dW
Translates to a Commons with about 356 Reform MPs (solid overall majority), Lab 116 (moderately/very weak official Opposition), LibDems 53, SNP 44, Cons 34, Greens 11 [etc].
Surprisingly, Electoral Calculus seems to think that Kemi Carpetbagger will retain her own seat, which looks doubtful to me; after all, she only scored 35.6% in 2024 (Lab 30.8%, Reform 14.1%). In many places, Reform is currently polling at 4x or more as compared to where it was at GE2024. If Reform were to score even around 30% or so in a tight 3-horse race, it might well unseat her. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_West_Essex#Elections_in_the_2020s.
Surely potentially getting a serious illness that has practically been eradicated here in Britain is enough for everyone to realise that mass immigration is a problem?? https://t.co/fn0HvrGoc8
Western Europe intends to support Ukraine in the conflict with Russia and is preparing for a war that could turn out to be a new world war, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban warned, adding that his government is against these plans:https://t.co/kwExO8FDitpic.twitter.com/BoIdcpAnWw
“Barely literate students with no GCSEs are being accepted onto university courses and being given thousands of pounds in taxpayer cash they will never pay back.
As hundreds of thousands of first-year undergraduates arrive in halls across the country this week, a Mail investigation has uncovered serious abuses of the higher education system.
Whistleblowers have told how courses are accepting students with such poor English that they cannot spell simple words, and who fail to attend classes as soon as they receive their first £4,000 maintenance loan and council tax exemption.
One source at a well-known university said they have seen instances of ‘whole families’ including elderly parents and grandparents enrolling on £9,250-a-year courses after being recruited by staff offering cash bonuses for new students.
FA second academic claimed that one of their students ‘who could barely speak English’ openly discussed how he was using some of his loan to build a home in Romania, while another lecturer in London said there were ‘huge concerns that some people are just scamming the taxpayer.’
‘They take anyone in off the street,’ a separate lecturer warned.“
[Daily Mail]
Tweets seen
The shooter has a “Weapons of Mass Destruction” charge from 2002 and was recruiting mercenaries for NATOs War in Ukraine.
Most obvious federal asset ever. The question is whether he went rogue or if he was on a mission. I think we all know…
Labour’s immigration plan will NOT work. Somebody need to be honest with the British taxpayer about the scale of the crisis & what needs to be done https://t.co/BPSM3xYzUj
Mobilization in Ukraine "is going according to plan," says Oleksandr Zavitnevych, head of the Verkhovna Rada's Defense Committee, in a comment to the Financial Times
According to him, another three months will pass, and trained troops will be able to make an impact on the… pic.twitter.com/GndqTMkYBM
Kyiv is ready for a ceasefire "on certain parts of the front" – Bild
It is expected that Zelenski will present the document at the UN General Assembly at the end of September, but before that he will discuss it with the US administration pic.twitter.com/5uqyLbHIhd
This is Gwen Walz, wife of Tim Walz, who is Kamala Harris's vice president:
– Bye-bye, Donald Trump! We're turning the page! 52 more days and we'll turn the page! 52 more days and bye-bye, Donald Trump! … Let's practice what we're going to do. We're going to turn the page,… pic.twitter.com/RP4Za3gsMs
God. What a lunatic! Completely hysterical. Is she on some drug or other?
“Democracy” in its death throes.
The motorcade of Spanish Prime Minister Sanchez, calling on the population to use bicycles for transportation. "Bicycles are one of the healthiest, most efficient and sustainable modes of transport, supported by 35 percent of Spaniards," Sanchez said. 40 million euros are planned… pic.twitter.com/8bxKKohlVY
“They” were once described as “the simulacrum of the human“, a description which is often recalled by my mind.
Frocky Horror Picture Show exposes Starmer as a grasping greedy hypocrite. The Starmers have a combined annual income of more than £200,000, rent-free lodgings at No10 (many expenses paid for by we taxpayers) & personal net worth estimated at £3million. https://t.co/ycQXYbEdO0
I'm looking forward to hearing what you have to say about Sir Keir Starmers Labour party, the bribes, the corruption and the endless stream of hate against the poorest children and senior citizens of the UK committed by his party.
Starmer-Labour is a pointless and stupid rehash of the Blair-Brown years, combined with Cameron-Levita and George Osborne contrived “austerity” propaganda. It was voted for by only 4 out of every 20 eligible voters. They call this farce and scam both “democracy” and a “landslide”…
Welcome to the UK. Write something offensive on Facebook in your own home and you get 15 months in jail. Make hundreds of indecent images of children and you don't go to jail.
“Exclusive: Officials questioned Jess Phillips & Matthew Rycroft why migrant crime data is not collected but they refused to answer One cited Sweden’s migrant crime epidemic, noting that a “majority of convicted perpetrators [are] born outside Europe.”
In the UK, that would be similar. In fact, if you include non-whites born in the UK, the figure would be somewhere around 90% of crimes.
John Lewis has been taken over by radical trans ideology:
Forcing women to share toilets with men. Donating profits to trans activists. Encouraging employees to transition their children.
“Let’s be honest, the people who buy [conservative brands] will be dead soon anyway.” SHOCKING details uncovered by @JamesEsses in his latest piece on John Lewis.https://t.co/kWVld6ilzd
Who is that ridiculous and ignorant Spanish (?) bimbo? And why is she pontificating, absurdly, on “British” TV?
Talking points
More tweets
Russia is militarily invincible, further escalation in Ukraine will lead to irreparable consequences for the entire humanity, said Kazakh President Kasim-Jomart Tokayev at a meeting with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. pic.twitter.com/U9R38v6Gkk
How has a rioter been given a nine year prison sentence last week and this week peadophile Huw Edwards walks free from court with a six month suspended sentence? Make it make sense for me Piers, pls make it make sense. This is @UKLabour for you!
I should like someone to postulate a doctoral thesis on the subject.
Talking point
More tweets
Starmer caringly rushing through policies to save the NHS money by bumping off the elderly and terminally ill is yet another example of how you can be as sociopathic as you like, policy-wise, as long as you sound a bit cuddly while you do it
I don't understand why more Londoners/ MPs/ journos aren't up in arms about the capital? It's so blatantly dangerous. It's not gangs you have to worry about, it's random men behaving strangely. The police don't come so they have no fear of arrest. Also so many dangerous cyclists.
MPs rarely use public transport; taxis on expenses. Journalists the same. As for the everyday Londoner, the real English/British ones are either downtrodden or are filled with System msm bs about how wonderful and “diverse” multikulti London is.
London is watching the breakdown of Britain in real time. You can't "switch off" or ignore the issues. They will physically hit you if you don't keep your wits about you.
There are weird parallels with the Peasant's Revolt (1381) and now. Post-plague societal fall out. Anger at high taxes, London leadership and a VERY unpopular Archbishop of Canterbury (I won't say what happened to him cause Starmer will probs throw me in jail).
Russian President Vladimir Putin has increased the number of Armed Forces to 2,389,000 people, including 1,500,000 soldiers, according to the decree of the President of Russia pic.twitter.com/qUYFFOdl52
Following the talks between Biden and the British Prime Minister, the United States is not ready to announce the lifting of restrictions on strikes by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on Russian territory using long-range weapons, the State Department said pic.twitter.com/wVJkMqLDQ5
Also, Starmer’s shoes do not look particularly well-made. Maybe “Lord” Alli was willing to buy Starmer’s suits and “Lady” Starmer’s dresses, but unwilling to stump up for a pair of Lobbs as well (about £5,000 a pair; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Lobb_Bootmaker).
I muse as to why Starmer is carrying a ministerial “red box”. I do not think I have seen a Prime Minister do that previously while en route to a foreign destination. I can only presume that it is a pathetic kind of what is now called “cosplay”, i.e. screaming out “look at me, a really serious Prime Minister, on the job even in the air, and carrying onto the plane my important papers...”
#Germany is introducing border controls to stop #migrants, meanwhile, Hungary is punished for defending the external borders of the EU. This is political chaos! pic.twitter.com/ix3ZDZ5H7S
Ian Robert Millard 