Tag Archives: grey vote

Alt-Right, animal welfare, Boris Johnson, Campaign Against AntiSemitism, Conservative Friends of Israel, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, ethnostate, free speech, historical, historical revisionism, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Kemi Badenoch, Labour Friends of Israel, Mark Lewis, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, Rachel Reeves, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized, wildlife, Yvette Cooper

Diary Blog, 17 January 2025

8 Comments

Afternoon music

[Jacques-Louis David, Napoleon]

Tweets seen

Tell me about it…

When I was a victim of a malicious Zionist complaint…
The Slide of the English Bar and UK Society Continues and Accelerates
Diary Blog, 15 January 2022, including an outline of the failure of the latest Jew-Zionist attempt to prosecute me
Diary Blog, 16 March 2024, including an account of my recent free speech trial and sentencing
Diary Blog, 17 March 2024, including the aftermath of my sentencing hearing

….and the above is by no means the whole story…

…and not one of the much-publicized champions of free speech —Matt Goodwin, Toby Young, the “Free Speech Union”, Allison Pearson (all pro-Jew, pro-Jewish lobby, pro-Israel, by the way; so there’s a clue…) said one word in defence of my free speech rights.

As can seen from the above accounts, those seeking to “put the manacles” on me were/are all Jew-Zionist fanatics, all connected with either the dishonest “Campaign Against Antisemitism” (“CAA”) cabal, or “UK Lawyers for Israel” (UKLFI), the memberships and/or support cadres of which overlap to some degree.

More tweets seen

The voters are willing to take any option that seems to have a chance. The System parties have all failed. If only there were a proper social-national party able to take on the challenge. The “Parliamentary road” is not the way forward, as such, but may have a part to play. All roads lead to Rome.

The truth is that, since the 1970s, paid work has become far more stressful in the UK. The “long hours culture”, “present-ism”, no proper lunch hours, the vulgar trend of people eating at their desks, the perceived “need” to be on-call in the evenings or at weekends etc. All for other peoples’ profits and self-aggrandisement.

Still, I would not expect Kate Ferguson, the Political Editor (yes, they really do have one) of the Sun on Sunday, to want to acknowledge any of that.

[Kate Ferguson, Political Editor of the Sun on Sunday, pictured in Washington D.C. by the Tidal Basin, and across from the Jefferson Memorial]

Starmer is evil, as are all the members of his Labour Friends of Israel Cabinet.

[“No, wait! I voted Labour!“]

Behind the System parties, there is the System itself. One party or group, at least at the highest levels.

https://twitter.com/bobbybobbyrees/status/1880250516099461205

“Tel Aviv Keith” Starmer must know that but, like Rachel Reeves, does not care.

https://twitter.com/defossardf/status/1880193362093117850

More cheerful German music

[“Wiens Gruss an den Führer nach der geschichtlichen Grosstat.
Als erste Stadt des Grossdeutschen Reiches war es der Haupstadt der Ostmark, Wien, beschieden, den Führer in ihren Mauern nach seiner geschichtlichen Grosstat zu sehen und ihn in einem unbeschreiblichen Begrüssungsjubel des Dankes der Ostmark zu versichern.
Unser Bild zeigt die Wagenkolonne des Führers bei der Einfahrt in die Wiener Innenstadt. Im Hintergrund links das Tegetthoff-Denkmal.”]

[“Vienna’s greeting to the Führer after the historic feat (the Anschluss of 1938).
As the first city of the Greater German Empire, the capital of the Ostmark, Vienna, was destined to see the Führer within its walls after his historic feat and to assure him of the Ostmark’s thanks in an indescribable welcome celebration.
Our picture shows the Leader’s motorcade entering Vienna’s city centre. In the background on the left is the Tegetthoff monument.”]

More tweets seen

She’s an idiot. Am I the only person in the country not at all surprised, though?

https://twitter.com/DonkeySanctuary/status/1880193439754764579

After cats, donkeys are my favourite animal.

https://twitter.com/tassagency_en/status/1880219882362388931
https://twitter.com/tassagency_en/status/1880166527472689599

I should not like to be in his boots.

https://twitter.com/tassagency_en/status/1880072697557684666

Does Starmer want the UK to become an irradiated wasteland?

Having said that, if it were only one massive warhead, landing on Central London, the centre of most of the socio-political degeneracy and corruption (and “the lobby”, i.e. “them”), it might at least have a silver lining…

It might even give the British people the chance to have a proper social-national government, and thus a new society, once the main enemies are eliminated.

https://twitter.com/per_incuriam2/status/1879907910001872954

Will look forward to reading that, and probably reposting it on the blog.

https://twitter.com/frankflynn20016/status/1880238612484386854

Jesus H. Christ! That tweeter “@frankflynn20016” must be a complete idiot. He thinks that, if millions of Europeans cease to exist, and are then replaced by the same or a greater number of black Africans, Europe will be “saved”, or even that it will be better than it now is! What can you say to a view as totally asinine as that? Totally loonie.

See also:

The Tide is Coming In: Reflections on the Possible End of Our Present Civilization and What Might Follow

Ah…seems that the photo below is that tweeter who believes that black Africans should populate or “repopulate” Europe. A non-European who seems to be a —probably temporary, probably American— resident of Argentina.

Wall. Squad. End.

https://twitter.com/SprinterObserve/status/1880299920277786699

Can you believe that that idiot very nearly became the President of the United States? ? Incredible.

https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1880320127733735668
https://twitter.com/FortifyCulture/status/1880330581587681579

“She was elected to Parliament 7 years before him. She was (inexplicably) a Cabinet Minister now (inexplicably) LOTO. This crap needs to stop – not least because it looks so weak and the greybeards said she’s Boudica. A disgrace a fringe party with 5 MPs is currently out-performing the out-going government party.”

As Fiona Syms (ex-wife of an ex-MP) knows well enough, Reform UK is not really a “fringe party”. It has only 5 MPs because the electoral system in this country is both grotesquely unfair and grotesquely illogical.

At GE 2024 (and in rough terms), out of every 20 eligible voters, 8 did not vote, 4 voted Labour, 3 voted Conservative, 2 voted Reform UK, 2 voted LibDem, and 1 voted Green.

If Reform UK is “a fringe party“, then so is not only the Green Party, but also the LibDems (who got 500,000 fewer votes than Reform UK), and indeed the Conservatives, who received only slightly more than 1.5x the votes cast for Reform UK. Even Labour only received just over 2.3x the Reform UK vote.

In actual numbers: Labour 9,708,716; Conservatives 6,828,925; Reform UK 4,117,620; LibDems 3,519,143; Green Party 1,841,888.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_Kingdom_general_election#Full_results.

If the people keep being ignored, they will eventually turn on the System parties.

I agree with Fiona Syms, though, re. how hopeless Kemi Badenoch is. Well, there you go. If you put people in positions because they are “diversity hires”, they will almost invariably be a waste of space. Look at Lammy…

https://twitter.com/darrengrimes_/status/1879689134345761237
https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1880204669315604655

Late music

Alt-Right, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, free speech, historical, historical revisionism, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Liz Truss, MPs, Party Politics, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, The Great Replacement, the Great Reset, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 29 October 2022, with more thoughts on the State Pension “Triple Lock”

36 Comments

Morning music

On this day a year ago

Diary Blog, 29 October 2021, with a few thoughts on Israel, Iran, and Armistice Day

Saturday quiz

Another week, and another victory over political journalist John Rentoul. He scored 5/10 this week, which I trumped with 7/10, though two of those (questions 2 and 9) were fairly firm educated guesses. I did not know the answers to questions 4, 6, and 7.

Triple Lock

Indeed— paying for cross-Channel migrant-invaders (50,000+ in 2022 alone); useless and often hostile elements, some of which are actively dangerous, such as the 30% to 40% of them who are actually Albanian or Roma Gypsy criminals and not —even on the widest definition— “refugees”.

As for the triple lock on pensions, Indian, and (supposed) “clever boy” and money-juggler, Sunak, seems to believe of the “grey vote” that pensioner voters have no choice but to continue to vote Con as most have done (in overwhelming numbers) up to now. If he and Hunt really think “where can they go?“, they are very mistaken.

As blogged previously, the Conservative total vote is heavily-dependent on the “grey vote”:

The General Election 2019 was unusual inasmuch as the age-weighting was less than has been usual in recent years, mainly because huge numbers of usual Labour voters abstained; some voted Con but more abstained.

In other words, the Con Party is now, in 2022, likely to be even more dependent on those grey votes, meaning the votes of the 60+ age group.

You are talking about 16 million voters, give or take [https://www.statista.com/statistics/281208/population-of-the-england-by-age-group/]. The vast majority of the 60+ age group do vote.

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election#Voter_demographics]

In 2019, over 47 million people were registered to vote. About two-thirds did vote. In other words, about 32 million.

That means that the 60+ age group comprises nearly half of the actual (actually-voting) electorate. If that half either abstains or votes somewhere other than Con, the Con Party is toast.

This is more or less where the opinion polls now are:

According to Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], that would give Labour a stonking overall majority of 404 (527 seats), and leave the Conservative Party with only 30 seats (LibDem 17; SNP ~52). It would be ironic, and yet quite possible, were the 30 Con seats left to include both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss.

The above prediction is based on 23% of the voters (the vast majority aged 60+) staying loyal to the Conservative Party. If only about a quarter of that 23% were to abstain, not even voting elsewhere, the Labour majority would rise to an even more absurd “elected dictatorship” level of 454 (552 seats), and the Conservative Party would be left with a mere 2 seats.

It would be even more deeply ironic were those 2 remaining Con seats to be those of Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss.

Sunak should think carefully before abandoning that Triple Lock. His sword may have two edges.

Tweets seen

Liz Truss is a type of woman found widely not only in UK politics but also in law firms, barristers’ chambers, and commercial companies: someone not hugely intelligent but full of both ambition and unmerited self-confidence, and someone who, while not really any good at her job(s), plays internal or “office” politics to a “T”.

I have met dozens like Liz Truss.

“Conservative” greaseball Fraser Nelson seems to have missed the “elephant in the room”, namely that his wonderful multikulti Britain is also a Britain collapsing culturally, socially, and economically.

https://twitter.com/UkrainianNews24/status/1586003513032978433?s=20&t=lg1xy76ePNgfsQHvek-heg

Not “Italy” but the expansionist NWO, in reality.

More tweets

The armchair “I stand with Ukraine” and “Slava Ukraini” lot, “useful idiots” for the Kiev-based dictatorship of the Jew Zelensky and the New World Order [NWO], are promoting war, and are also being manipulated.

I wonder what their last thoughts would/will be, if/when Russian nuclear weapons incinerate them, their families and homes etc? Maybe “was it worth it?“

“Reassure“? Ha. So making Europe more of a target?

In days of yore, the old Soviet Union would have deployed Spetsnaz commandos to deal with at least some of such weapons on the ground. Whether Russia now even has such capabilities seems an open question.

That refers to Darya Dugina, Dugin’s daughter, killed by Ukrainian and/or Kiev-regime terrorists a few months ago.

[https://www.geopolitika.ru/en/article/three-pillars-eurasianism]

I would term it a “culture“, in the Germanic sense of the word, rather than (as yet) a “civilization“, but in essence that is right.

Worth reading on the subject: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaury_de_Riencourt; and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rudolf_Steiner; and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergei_O._Prokofieff; https://www.amazon.co.uk/Spiritual-Origins-Eastern-Europe-Mysteries/dp/0904693554.

Late tweets

The rhetoric, at least, is hotting up.

As said earlier, I may reinstate my old Twitter account, or get a new one, but only for the purpose of promoting my blog.

Late music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yevgeny_Brusilovsky]
[Almaty, Kazakhstan; I lived somewhere in that view in 1996-97]

animal welfare, Boris Johnson, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, Liz Truss, MPs, Party Politics, society, the Great Reset, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 9 October 2022, with thoughts around Liz Truss possibly freezing the UK State Pension

3 Comments

Morning music

[The Palace of Westminster]

On this day a year ago

Diary Blog, 9 October 2021

5 years ago on the blog

Football Lads’ Alliance March

The “grey vote”: Liz Truss adviser advised “freeze State Pension“

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/oct/08/freeze-pensions-slash-nhs-schools-matthew-sinclair-liz-truss-adviser

Well, there it is. Anyone not wealthy, and over the age of 65, as well as quite a few people of lesser age, who votes for the Conservative Party, is now a turkey voting for Christmas.

During the currency of the 2010-2017 governments, David Cameron-Levita realized that the only reliable demographic voting Conservative was that of “older people” generally— the older the voter, the more likely was he (or she) to vote Con, and also the more likely that that voter was to actually vote at all.

UKIP and, also, Farage’s other and later vehicle, Brexit Party, were mainly made up of fairly grey-haired and mostly ex-Conservative members and voters, people who at least vaguely realized that the Conservative Party was actually helping to destroy Britain, as the young Disraeli once wrote [“the great Conservative Party, that destroys everything“] and wanted a party that reflected their views better.

The trend is more or less the same now, except that UKIP and Brexit Party do not exist in any real sense, though Reform Party has taken up some of that slack.

Cameron-Levita and his cronies knew that fewer and fewer “younger” people, especially voters under the age of 30, were voting Con. That underlined the need to consolidate the Con vote in older age-groups, and especially the group that not only mostly voted Con, but could be relied upon to cast a vote, those in receipt of a State Pension, meaning those over 65 and some over about 62 (the eligibility age being slowly raised over time).

There were other factors: the older sections of the population were also those more likely to own a house or other dwelling outright, having either never had a mortgage or having paid it off while in their fifties, typically. The rise in nominal money-value of residential property therefore benefited that same group of older people.

The older sections of the population, especially the pensioners, were also those who favoured Brexit the most.

It is widely accepted that the general elections of 2015 and 2017 were won by the Conservative Party entirely by reason of the pensioner vote.

“In the 2017 general election age became a clear dividing line in British politics: older voters overwhelmingly voted Conservative and younger voters backed Labour.

The data shows that there are still some clear patterns along these lines, although the waters are somewhat muddied by a move away from two-party politics.”

[YouGov: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/10/31/2019-general-election-demographics-dividing-britai].

“The average age of the Conservative voter is such that the steepness of its “age curve” (the increasing probability of a person at 2017 voting Conservative given their age) is now almost certainly steeper than the natural degree to which people “get” more Conservative as they age. This is important as it suggests that new cohorts of voters cannot replace and replenish the ranks of the Conservatives, even if they do naturally get more Conservative over time.”

[https://wpieconomics.com/insights-archive/newsletter_blogs_polling-and-the-conservative-loss-of-political-ascendancy/]

See also: https://www.varsity.co.uk/opinion/22276.

The Conservative Party induced that reliable pro-Con voting bloc to carry on voting Con by introducing the “Triple Lock”, by which State Pensions would rise by the rate of inflation, or average pay, or 2.5% a year, whichever of the three was the greatest.

That obviously suited most pensioners very well, and secured those two election victories.

Poorer pensioners who received both State Pension and Pension Guarantee Credit were also served not badly, because the State Pension was covered by the Triple Lock, while Pension Guarantee Credit would still increase in amount, though only in line with inflation.

Rishi Sunak suspended the inflation part of the Triple Lock in 2021 (for financial year 2022-2023) [https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-53082530], thus —if you like— cheating pensioners; he also thereby broke the election pledge the Conservative Party made during the 2019 General Election.

Sunak, best known for his “panicdemic” “free money” giveaways, probably has that Triple Lock default, or sleight-of-hand, to thank for his not being ushered in as Conservative Party leader in 2022.

The vast majority of actual Conservative Party members are either pensioners or not far from becoming so. The, so-to-speak, “Indian giver” was basically given a slap by the Conservative Party pensioner membership. Had he not cheated the pensioners, Sunak would almost certainly be Prime Minister by now.

I’m laughing…

Now, it seems that the Liz Truss government may or may not continue with —that is, reinstate— the Triple Lock after 2023 (she still says yes…), but State benefits including Pension Guarantee Credit may or may not be uprated in accord with inflation— they may even be frozen.

“Under the triple lock, pensions increase by the highest of earnings growth, price inflation or 2.5 per cent a year.

The government temporarily suspended the wages element of the pensions triple lock for 2022-23 to avoid a disproportionate rise of the state pension following the pandemic.

…former chancellor Rishi Sunak confirmed the return of the triple lock in May, and prime minister Liz Truss has since said she is “fully committed” to the lock.

…“With inflation into double-digits, average earnings (total pay) of 5.5 per cent isn’t expected to be the deciding factor in next April’s state pension increase. The state pension is likely to increase by around double this at over 10 per cent, confirmed in September’s inflation figure published next month.”

…“While prime minister Truss committed to reinstating the triple lock in the immediate term during her leadership campaign, questions will remain over its affordability and whether the triple lock will survive in its existing form in the manifestos of all parties ahead of the next general election.”

[FT Adviser]

Can Liz Truss be trusted or relied upon? I think not (and her husband knows not!).

One thing is for sure— if Liz Truss or woolly-head Kwarteng short-change the “grey vote” any time between now and the next general election, that “grey vote” will either vote elsewhere or even just abstain, though it is ingrained in most of those of pensionable age that they should at least vote, as a civic duty.

There is also the point that house prices are forecast to fall, perhaps significantly, in 2023.

The Conservative Party is now around 20% in the opinion polls. Most of that hard-core 20% is composed of the “grey vote”. “Mess them about” by interfering with the State Pension and/or Pension Guarantee Credit, and the Con vote nationally, at a general election, might fall to as low as 10%. Then it would be “Goodnight Vienna” for the Conservative Party.

Tweets seen

Quite. Meaningless “exam passes”, “degrees” etc. Is James Cleverly any better or worse a Foreign Secretary for having a “degree” in Hospitality Management? It might even be “worse”…

https://twitter.com/telephonisttm/status/1578674940244504576?s=20&t=or3UHRd2Qau67cH3n5D27A

Subhumans.

https://twitter.com/Harley_Ride/status/1578735479549140993?s=20&t=or3UHRd2Qau67cH3n5D27A

More music

More tweets

Britain needs social nationalism. It alone can give the people what they need now and what they need for the future of their children.

Late tweets seen

I agree with both.

https://twitter.com/BernieSpofforth/status/1579132178461782016?s=20&t=5rcuPBUkxNBtgALcc0q-BQ

Social nationalism’s chance to rise up, and destroy the enemies of Europe’s future, will soon arrive.

Late music

Bob Moran, daily blog, Defence, Jewish lobby in UK, Liz Truss, Party Politics, Reminiscences and Musings, Russia and Russian relations, society, The Great Replacement, the Great Reset, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 5 October 2022

6 Comments

Morning music

[the source of the Danube: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Source_of_the_Danube]

On this day a year ago

Diary Blog, 5 October 2021

Tweets seen

A side-effect of workers moving out of care work to other work would be that care work would then only attract people with no other choices, forced to do care work by being, for example, pressured by the DWP.

Interesting video, rather idealistic. If the British Empire still existed and still ruled, the Arab-Jew problem in Palestine would be contained, and Israel would not be a centre of a manipulative web across the world.

I thought Elon Musk too intelligent to buy into a massive scam such as Twitter.

Making the best of it

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11282329/Cornwall-pub-turns-lights-replaces-CANDLES-reduce-soaring-energy-bills.html

That report reminded me of when I was first in Almaty, Kazakhstan (in 1996 and 1997). I lived on one of the main boulevards, Prospekt Lenina. There were frequent power cuts or, as the Americans say, “outages”.

I bought some candles for my 12th-floor Soviet penthouse apartment, and that was OK, though I nearly got stuck in the lift one day when there was a power cut the moment I stepped out of that lift, having returned from my office. The power did not return until about midday the next day, so that was a lucky miss for me.

In fact, my area of the city was not so badly affected as others, being within the “Presidentsky” district, where the then Presidential Palace and major embassies were located. Usually, the power cuts involved one or two areas at a time, with other areas continuing to receive electrical supply. Where I lived was certainly given preferential treatment, but still lost power fairly often.

I remember well that I was due to dine with three people one evening at a small and little-patronized Georgian restaurant in a quiet lane not too far from my home, a place almost in the countryside.

When the time came to meet those people, I was sitting in the empty restaurant. They arrived together, a young American in the Peace Corps, and two local Russian girls who were employed by an American organization; I had met them previously.

No sooner had they sat down than the electricity was cut off. The owner of the place, a Georgian lady called Bella, hurried to put out quite a few candles.

In the restaurant, with its wooden walls and lack of traffic noise (the lane outside was deserted), this created a kind of 19th century environment. One of the Russian girls started to play the piano which was there. Mainly Chopin.

In the candlelight, it was like being in a scene adapted from Chekhov or some other pre-revolutionary author; perhaps a country estate circa 1860 and in a Russia not yet hit by modern warfare or the shocks of violent revolution. Charmant…

That evening has always stayed with me.

More tweets

NHS… 2022

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-11283465/Grandmother-claims-spent-SIX-DAYS-chair-E.html.

Still clapping?

More tweets

Very clever. Funny, but also sad and also true…

Still slightly favourable on defence and “terrorism”? How? Why? The armed forces seem incapable of stopping migration invasion across the Channel, and are too small to stop any conventional invasion. The present ZOG (Zionist Occupation Government) is pledged to continue to waste billions funnelling money and arms to the Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev.

What about “terrorism”? The Muslims are not taking over the British cities via “terrorism” but via their birth-rate. The Jews continue to send their teenage children to Israel, there to be trained in the use of firearms, as well as in techniques of streetfighting, but are not even monitored (much) by the UK Security Service on their return to the UK.

More tweets

https://twitter.com/GaryHughes2242/status/1577714076075134986?s=20&t=tbjedG6gUxjKPvEZbV2nAA

James Cleverly, proud possessor of a McDegree (in Hospitality Management) from a McUniversity, and who has never done much else (except work his way up in the TA) drones on. That half-caste is Foreign Secretary, believe it or not. This country is so screwed, and in so many ways.

I must do a blog article, in my Deadhead MPs series, about Cleverly.

Thinking about who would vote “Conservative” now.

Some would. People whose income is well above the norm, perhaps; those on £150,000+, and who are also voting out of purely personal self-interest . Then —the largest group— those who want to vote specifically against Labour, and see a Con vote as the only effective way to do it.

Are there any other groups of “Conservative” voters now? I think not. The last 12 years have seen no effective policy or action on the immigration problem, whether in general or specifically re. the cross-Channel migration-invasion. As for that trad Con strongpoint, “law and order”, we have seen police numbers cut, courts (in the hundreds) closed down to save money, a huge backlog of trials, and legal aid cuts which have effectively denied millions the right to access the legal system.

Yes, a lot can happen in the two years before a general election has to be held, but it cannot really be said that Liz Truss has any popular mandate, and things look likely to slide even further from here: utility bills, mortgage payments, whatever may hit the UK by reason of the wrongheaded anti-Russia sanctions and military adventurism.

Even the mainly self-interested “grey vote” of pensioners and those nearing State Pension age might pause before placing their crosses next to the Conservative Party candidate, now that it has emerged that the young Liz Truss actually wanted to abolish the State Pension, and who intends to slash other benefits relied on by pensioners.

I assessed Rory Stewart in 2019, when he was a candidate for the Conservative Party leadership. I also updated it, and continue to do so. A large number of people have read that assessment. See https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/05/03/will-rory-stewart-mp-be-prime-minister/.

This England

Saw an episode covering 2020. Not as good as the previous episode. Too many scenes with patients suffering (supposedly) from “Covid”, not enough scenes about the political infighting. The drama stuck to the official or accepted (?) narrative(s). Not much questioning of that.

Late tweets seen

There is an epidemic of serious heart problems caused by the so-called “vaccine”(s).

Late music

[painting by Konstantin Korovin]
Boris Johnson, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, historical, Jewish lobby in UK, Liz Truss, MPs, Party Politics, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 29 September 2022, including thoughts about the political fallout from the current economic crisis, and about the possibility of Russian nuclear attack

9 Comments


Afternoon music

[Memorial, “The Conquerors of Space”, Moscow]

On this day a year ago

Diary Blog, 29 September 2021

Labour, the Conservatives, the economy, and the political fallout

but

Thus one Marian Kennedy [“writes fiction; international lawyer“] proves that she cannot see the wood from the trees.

The whole point about what seems to have been Delia Smith’s cri de coeur [I did not actually see Peston] is that the present Parliamentary system, the “three main parties” set-up, the voting system, the system for selection of Parliamentary candidates etc, is just not working properly.

It is because of this parallel malfunctioning that, inter alia, we have had as Prime Minister a part-Jew, part-Levantine bad joke, and now we have, in the same high position, a woman who really only became an MP on her back, frankly. The same malfunctioning has resulted in a pretty poor female barrister becoming Home Secretary (not that all of her views are wrong), and a rather thick half-caste with a “degree” in Hospitality Management becoming the new Foreign Secretary; not to mention the woolly-headed African who is now Chancellor of the Exchequer, even if he did attend Eton and Cambridge (both, incidentally, hugely over-rated, as are so many UK institutions: Oxford University, the Church, the Bar, SIS, MI5, the armed forces, the Monarchy etc).

The whole system is broken. Delia Smith may have been unable, on a TV programme, to articulate it in detail, but she got the basics right.

Ironically, “In 2014, [Kwasi Kwarteng’s] book War and Gold: A Five-Hundred-Year History of Empires, Adventures and Debt was published. It is a history of capital and the enduring ability of money, when combined with speculation, to ruin societies.[29] “

Ha.

Another opinion from the same lady as above:

Well, Corbyn actually did better than many believe, electorally, but what sank him and Labour in 2019 was mainly a triad of factors: the relentless, daily, Jew-lobby campaign since 2015, painting him as terrorist-enabler, hopeless etc; the eccentric FPTP voting system, and finally the way in which political snake-oil salesman and “controlled opposition” big cheese, Nigel Farage, stabbed his own party and its candidates in the back, with most Brexit Party votes then falling to Conservative candidates.

Labour under Starmer was also in the doldrums, and deserved to be, but now that the Conservative Party has hit (surely?) rock-bottom in terms of its top leadership, Labour can just sit and rake in its chips.

Not very many people really like, trust, or support Labour or Starmer, but in a basically binary system where one party is sawing off the branch upon which it has been sitting, the other party, Labour, has every chance, simply by default.

Talking about how the Conservative Party is ruining its own electoral chances, I was frankly astounded to read that, by reason of Kwarteng’s unbelievable mismanagement and lack of nous, the present Government may actually fund their tax cuts for the affluent and wealthy by cutting pensions and benefits in real terms. For example, by only uprating State pensions by, say, 5% at a time when inflation is forecast to go to at least 10% and maybe 20%.

Already, we see that most State benefits (including Pension Guarantee Credit) will not be uprated to anything like inflation-level.

Who votes Conservative? Mostly, most obviously, people over 60, and especially people over 80. This is the absolute core of Conservative Party electoral support. If you cheat them (for the second year running) of the promised “triple lock” uprating, then you, the Conservative Party, are going to be well and truly f*****. Not a term I use often on the blog.

The rise of the grey vote

We know how nuanced the FPTP voting system can be. It was said that, in 2017, a few thousand voters in a small number of constituencies (a hundred or two hundred in each) could actually have changed the outcome of the General Election.

In 2019, 67 seats were won by a margin of less than 5% of votes cast. In 2017, 97 seats.

In 2019, 141 seats were won or held by margins of less than 10% of votes cast:

More than a fifth of all constituencies.

Not only are pensioners (of which, incidentally, I am now one) most likely to vote Conservative (not me, of course), but they are most likely, of all age groups, to vote at all, both in general and via postal balloting.

If the pensioners and the “struggling middle”, as well as the low paid and more obviously poor, decide to vote elsewhere than Conservative, or even simply not to vote at all, the Conservative party might lose an incredible number of seats. Maybe a hundred; maybe two hundred.

At present, the Conservative Party has 357 seats in the Commons (out of 650). If that were to be reduced to 257, or 157, the effect would be seismic.

If the Conservative Party leadership think that the English and general UK “grey vote” is guaranteed whatever, and that those votes can be taken for granted, they are very much mistaken. That’s what idiots like Jim Murphy thought about the Scottish Labour vote, once.

More tweets seen

I remember seeing, on American TV, the Poll Tax riots in London about 32 years ago. Could it happen again, or would it this time be a slower burn, via everything from simple poverty-fuelled shoplifting to occasional outbreaks of politically-oriented vandalism, or even “protest” assassination of MPs and/or ministers?

An open question.

See https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11260331/Ministers-slash-BILLIONS-budgets-reassure-markets-finances-control.html.

Over the past decade, I have had the feeling that the succession of poor Prime Ministers were not fatal for the Conservative Party, because all that the Party had to do was to replace the leader, and the voters would give the new leader a chance. At the same time, Labour was falling into a niche composed of public service workers, and some of the non-white “communities”.

Now, there is a change, caused mainly by the sheer ineptitude of the “unelected” (in terms of true mandate) Prime Minister and her Cabinet. There is a feeling that, this time, the Conservatives have really hit rock bottom, and even if people are not going to vote Labour, the Conservatives have definitely lost the votes of the vast majority.

This could be almost existential for the Conservative Party.

More tweets seen

The NWO endgame sees Russia (Russian Federation) as a broken-up series of minor states, all ruled by the money power [ZOG] and completely without military might. However, I think that, before that can come to pass, Russia may be goaded into launching its nuclear arsenal against the West, and particularly the USA.

After WW2, despite the Cold War, the American public and decision-makers thought the USA invulnerable. It could invade other countries, interfere with other countries, even bomb (conventionally) other countries, without any comeback.

The 2001 attack on the World Trade Center changed that. The incredible, totally scalded, American reaction said it all to me— “we can be hit“…

All the same, that was over 20 years ago now, and the Americans still do not really think that their cities might one day be rubble, like those the Americans (and British) reduced to rubble in WW2: Berlin, other German cities, Tokyo, Hiroshima, Nagasaki etc.

Looking at the pronouncements of various American generals, former commanders, think tanks etc, their consensus seems to be that the USA can match the Russian nuclear arsenal, and more, and that even a nuclear exchange could be limited, and then halted. I think not.

If Russia uses tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, and if then “NATO” (USA/NWO) attacks Russia or Russian concentrations or bases, whether or not with nuclear forces, I think that an escalation to a strategic nuclear exchange more than likely.

True, that would probably mean, as well as elimination of Russian air bases, missile centres, ports, destruction of major Russian cities such as Moscow, Petersburg, Novosibirsk and others. However, it would not be a one-sided conflict.

Russia has, it is said, perhaps 6,000 nuclear weapons. Let us say that it managed to land at least one on each of the top 100 American cities.

The top 10? New York, LA, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix, Philadelphia, San Antonio, San Diego, Dallas, San Jose.

So all of those, and maybe the next 90 largest cities…

How long would it be before the USA recovered? 100 years? 200?

What about the UK? London gone. The next half-dozen largest cities gone, so maybe Birmingham, Manchester, Cardiff, Plymouth, Southampton, Bristol. Others, too. All ports of any size. Air bases etc.

There should be serious thought now about how not to get into a nuclear exchange with Russia.

This whole “pro-Ukraine” (anti-Russia) campaign is being spearheaded by the Jew-Zionist element. You only have to look at social media to see it.

More music

[Watts, Ariadne]

Late tweets

Ha. Woolly-head Kwasi— what an Uncle Tom for the milieu of the hedge funds.

Is it inoperative? Why is gas apparently bubbling out of it, then? Puzzling.

“NATO” is just a label. Think “New World Order” [“NWO”].

Quite.

Completely loony.

Some of these “Covid” and “vaccine” fanatics would go along with the sacrifice of all first-born children if some law, confirmed as “necessary” by priests of medicine in white outfits, were laid down by a supposedly “caring sharing” government. Watch this space.

https://twitter.com/JamesMelville/status/1574778851506503682?s=20&t=1LN240WTdhyTWkWMC-uBaQ
https://twitter.com/RealBlackIrish/status/1575522989461966848?s=20&t=1LN240WTdhyTWkWMC-uBaQ
https://twitter.com/RealBlackIrish/status/1575539020192485387?s=20&t=1LN240WTdhyTWkWMC-uBaQ

We now live in an infested slum, nationwide. Indeed —judging by the way (West) Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands have declined since the 1980s— Europe-wide, though there may be exceptions. Paris? Don’t remind me (it’s too sad).

https://twitter.com/Lo1Claudioangel/status/1575583843339628544?s=20&t=1LN240WTdhyTWkWMC-uBaQ
https://twitter.com/RealBlackIrish/status/1575528764980842496?s=20&t=1LN240WTdhyTWkWMC-uBaQ

Ha ha! An obvious fake. Unusual. Kiev-regime propaganda has generally been very skilled since the start of the conflict, easily beating the few Russian attempts to counter it.

https://twitter.com/RealBlackIrish/status/1575540550635507712?s=20&t=1LN240WTdhyTWkWMC-uBaQ

“Now…where is the nuclear football?“

Will we still be here this time next year?

Late music

[Germany 1945: “We are fighting for the future of our children“]