Tag Archives: Tracy Brabin

The Batley and Spen by-election 2021

[This article will be updated as necessary, with updates posted at the foot of the main article]

The Batley and Spen by-election is set down for 1 July 2021. Nominations are open until the late afternoon of 7 June 2021, three days from time of writing, but the main parties and some others have already declared. It is likely that any further candidatures will either be crank or joke.

The constituency

Batley and Spen was created in 1983. There have been several boundary changes over the years. One particular Conservative Party MP held the seat until 1997, succeeded by a Labour Party MP who held the seat until he retired in 2015.

Batley and Spen area voted about 60% for Brexit.

The constituency remained Labour, with Jo Cox as MP from 2015 to 2016 when she was assassinated. The subsequent by-election was rigged, in that the System parties agreed that Labour should put up a candidate unopposed by the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties. Pathetic UKIP followed suit.

The result was that Labour secured nearly 86% of the vote. All other candidates lost their deposits. Turnout was very low, not much more than 25%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Batley_and_Spen_by-election.

The percentage of the vote won by Tracy Brabin, the TV actress selected by Labour in 2016, declined steadily from that 86% high: 55.5% in 2017, and 42.7% in 2019. Now, in true Blairite fashion, Tracy Brabin has jumped ship in order to become Mayor of West Yorkshire, a newly-created and rather powerful role which also pays rather more than an MP’s salary— £105,000 plus expenses [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayor_of_West_Yorkshire].

It must be a possibility that Tracy Brabin could see support for Labour sliding, and weighed up the odds.

Parts of the constituency have high non-white populations (mainly Indians and Pakistanis), while others are still largely English. I have been unable to discover exact proportions for the constituency as a whole.

The candidates

The Conservative Party candidate is one Ryan Stephenson, a councillor in Leeds (10 miles to the northeast); Stephenson is also the Chairman of the West Yorkshire Conservative Party, and a director of an academy trust. https://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/politics/conservatives-choose-leeds-councillor-ryan-stephenson-as-candidate-for-batley-and-spen-by-election-3243396.

Labour is represented by Kim Leadbetter, the sister of assassinated MP Jo Cox. She was not even a member of the Labour Party until fairly recently, and the usual rule (that members of the Labour Party have to have been members for a year until they can be selected as candidates) was waived in her case.

Ms. Leadbetter is apparently a former lecturer in physical health, who also works as a personal trainer, but spends much of her time working for the Jo Cox Foundation.

When I had a Twitter account (a pack of Jews had me expelled in 2018), I tweeted rather extensively about the Jo Cox Foundation. My conclusions were unfavourable. I now notice that there were, in 2019 (when accounts were last published), six paid employees, and the salary cost of those six was around a quarter of a million pounds altogether.

The candidature of Ms. Leadbetter smacks of desperation on the part of Labour. They seem to be aiming, five years after the assassination of Jo Cox, for a sympathy vote.

Ms. Leadbetter, like most of the other candidates, is local or at least from a nearby area, which is perceived to be important.

The LibDems have chosen as candidate a LibDem councillor, Tom Gordon, whose council seat is in Knottingley, 20 miles east of Batley.

The Green Party has selected a rugby player, 29-y-o Ross Peltier [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ross_Peltier], who seems to be the only non-white in the contest.

A relatively new entrant to politics is the Yorkshire Party [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yorkshire_Party], which came third (behind Lab and Con) in the 2021 West Yorkshire Mayoral Election. Its vote share was 9.7%, though, only narrowly defeating the Green Party (9.2%); there were 7 candidates in toto.

Yorkshire Party has a number of councillors in Yorkshire.

The well-known speaker and former MP, George Galloway, is standing, under the aegis of the Workers’ Party: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Galloway; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Workers_Party_of_Britain.

Two “nationalist” candidates, both from tiny parties, and neither with a good track record, are contesting the by-election: Anne Marie Waters [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anne_Marie_Waters] of For Britain, and Jayda Fransen [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jayda_Fransen] of British Freedom Party but standing as Independent because the Electoral Commission has as yet not “approved” BFP to stand in elections (so much for “democracy” etc…).

Neither Fransen nor Waters has much chance of even retaining a deposit. Jayda Fransen has made a short YouTube video about her Batley and Spen campaign:

I have blogged about both Anne Marie Waters and Jayda Fransen in the past: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2020/09/11/diary-blog-11-september-2020-including-a-few-notes-about-jayda-fransen-and-her-new-british-freedom-party/; and see also https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/04/04/a-look-at-some-uk-political-and-social-realities/.

Batley and Spen by-election: analysis and provisional prediction

This is probably going to be between the two main System parties, but there are complications.

In 2019, Labour won on 42.7% of the vote, with the Conservative Party second on 36%. The LibDems, on 4.7%, were beaten into fourth by a new entrant, Heavy Woollen District Independents [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heavy_Woollen_District_Independents], which scored 12.2%. The candidate for HWDI was not the leader, who is or was an ex-UKIP member called Lukic, who himself had scored 2% as Independent in the 2017 election at Batley and Spen.

It seems that HWDI is standing no candidate this time, but there is still time to declare, so that is not certain. I cannot say whether those who voted HWDI might now transfer their vote to Yorkshire Party. Perhaps.

I give little credence to the two minor British nationalist candidates, whose votes would probably have been tiny anyway, even had they not split whatever vote each might have had without close competition. Both are anti-Islam (or anti-Islamist), both are pro-Israel to some degree, neither has achieved much politically, though I commend anyone who keeps trying in the conditions of State repression, Jew-Zionist conspiracy and migration-invasion prevalent in the UK today.

I am not expecting either of those two ladies to score as high as 5% in Batley and Spen, or to get 5% even between the two of them. If either does retain her deposit, then she will have done well, indeed very well.

George Galloway? I hope that my bias against him does not prevent objectivity (he tweeted negative comments about me on Twitter, years ago, and also blocked my then Twitter account). He does not accept that old-style socialism died in and after 1989, and he is as outdated as the Battleship Potemkin.

I am unsure as to what level of support Galloway has among Muslims in Batley and Spen. Some, probably. All the same, if he scores 5%+ and retains his deposit, that would count as a major victory for him.

The LibDems likewise. They will be hoping, at best, for retention of their deposit, but I would expect them to end up with less than 5%.

Yorkshire Party? Perhaps the joker in this pack. I have no way of assessing their chances, except by reference to that mayoral election recently. 9.7% was a good result for a relatively new party (founded 2014 as “Yorkshire First”). They are very unlikely to win this by-election; the question is, if they do get a high-ish vote (over 5%), which of the two main System parties will be most damaged?

The Labour candidate is a mark of Labour desperation. Someone only there because her sister was assassinated (and later canonized, or at least beatified, by the System and msm).

The constituency having a fairly high non-white population (no exact figures found, but around a third), Labour’s expectations must be to win between a third and a half of the vote as a whole. Labour is now largely a black/brown party in terms of its voters; public service workers account for much of the remainder.

If the white population of Batley and Spen has turned away from Labour, even if not voting Conservative, then Labour has a problem.

My present feeling is that the Conservative Party candidate might win this. Labour is just not what most people want at present. The recent YouGov poll suggesting that about 37% to 23% think that Boris-idiot would make a better PM than Keir Starmer is stunning, even though I myself despise “Boris”. Likewise, latest polling on “Westminster voting intention” puts the Cons around 40% and Labour around 30%.

Ironically, the fact that the Labour candidate at Batley and Spen has not been a member of the Labour Party for very long might actually help her with the voters! On the other hand, voters may feel that, if Labour nationally is sliding, and unlikely to form a government any time soon (if ever), then they may as well vote in as MP someone who might be listened to by Government, and thus help the area more. Just a thought.

Much will depend on turnout; also on whether either or both of Galloway and the Yorkshire Party do well, and on whose votes those two take. Galloway will be aiming largely at the Muslim vote; as to Yorkshire Party, hard to say, but maybe they aim to capture white formerly Labour voters. If that is so, then Labour is again in trouble.

The Labour Party vote in Batley and Spen has been eroding steadily since the rigged 2016 by-election. Tracy Brabin jumped ship because she feared defeat at the next general election.

My feeling at the moment is that the Conservative Party might win this, but that it could either be very close, or it could be a total rout for Labour. My head says the former, but my heart is screaming for the latter.

Update, 6 June 2021


“John Rentoul@JohnRentoul
Paul Halloran, the 3rd placed candidate in Batley & Spen in 2019, standing aside in by-election – boost for the Tories

The reference there is to Paul Halloran, the candidate at Batley and Spen of the “Heavy Woollen District Independents” in the 2019 General Election: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s. He scored 12.2%, a very creditable result. I mentioned the fact in my blog post of yesterday about the upcoming Batley and Spen by-election (1 July 2021): https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/.

It seems that the said Halloran has now joined the no-chance Reclaim Party set up by the actor Laurence Fox, who now stands for free speech (except, it seems, where Jews disapprove or are mentioned). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurence_Fox.

Halloran, Fox, and Reclaim Party have issued a statement: https://mailchi.mp/a466726a0fd3/media-statement-the-reclaim-party-and-paul-halloran?e=d4fb63896d.

https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/west-yorkshire-news/paul-halloran-wont-standing-batley-20751008

It is clear that Reclaim Party will never amount to anything. As far as the Batley and Spen by-election in July is concerned, the stand-aside will obviously help the Conservative candidate, but what is unknown is by how many votes. Halloran received 12.2% of the vote in 2019, true, but Fox, in the recent London Mayoral Election, only 1.9%. I suppose that it might be surmised that Halloran, had he stood, might have garnered 5% of the by-election vote, possibly 10%, and maybe even 15%+, but the fact is that that is pure speculation. We do not know.

What we do know is that the above news is probably a blow for Labour. A few percent might decide this contest.

Update, 7 June 2021

The tweet below gives an idea of the local government situation within the Batley and Spen constituency area:

Says it all…

Kirklees Council has a plurality of Labour councillors: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirklees_Council.

Update, 7 June 2021

The Green Party has dumped its candidate at Batley and Spen: https://www.thetelegraphandargus.co.uk/news/19354923.ross-peltier-ex-bulls-star-by-election-candidacy-revoked/. Another candidate will be selected, apparently. I thought that that was impossible after close of nominations (which was late today), but maybe there are exceptions.

Update, 8 June 2021

Seems that I was right, and that Green Party will now not be represented: https://news.sky.com/story/batley-and-spen-sixteen-candidates-to-contest-by-election-on-1-july-12327304.

The non-candidature of the Green Party will probably be a minor help to Labour; however, Green Party only had a 1.3% vote share in 2019.

A host of minor and crank candidates came forward on the last day of the nomination period (7 June 2021):

Some of those candidatures (UKIP, English Democrats, Heritage) will affect the contest between the two major contenders, taking away a few percent from the Conservatives, and the Green non-candidature will probably increase the Labour vote by a similar amount.

The contest has, in my view, just become tighter.

Update, 13 June 2021

A few news reports seen: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leeds-57429588; https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leeds-57282364; https://www.dewsburyreporter.co.uk/news/politics/keir-starmer-batley-and-spen-by-election-is-not-about-me-3268697.

Interesting piece from Spiked: https://www.spiked-online.com/2021/06/10/batley-and-spen-this-is-bigger-than-red-v-blue/.

Update, 14 June 2021

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1448944/Keir-Starmer-news-Labour-George-Galloway-Batley-and-Spen-by-election-Boris-Johnson

Starmer

Update, 16 June 2021

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2021/06/threat-labour-defeat-batley-and-spen-shows-party-facing-perfect-storm

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/16/labour-batley-and-spen-jeremy-corbyn-scottish-voters

Diary Blog, 23-24 January 2020

Already late evening on the 23rd, so this blog post will cover the next day or so as well.

Musical suggestion

Some people think that Havergal Brian was a genius; others say a plodding drudge. I myself am not qualified to judge, not least because I have only heard a few of his works. Here is his Gothic Symphony, of which one commentary says that:

The first symphony of Havergal Brian is a enormous choral-symphonic work that uses immense orchestral resources (200 orchestral performers, adult choir of 500, a children’s choir of 100 and four soloists. Almost 800 musicians).

800 musicians! Here it is:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Symphony_No._1_(Brian)

Latest about the half-Jew “ho” madam, Ghislaine “Maxwell”

Well, there is not much “British” about the aforesaid “ho”: born in France of one Jew and one French parent, though educated in England (Marlborough College and Balliol, Oxford).

The story is interesting, though. I wonder whether this alleged telephone hacking had a connection to the Saudi Crown Prince, like others exposed in recent weeks? I speculated some months ago that she was hiding out in Israel, presumably under MOSSAD or Aman control.

Good points…

That tweeter is worth following for those with a Twitter account (I myself do not now have one: Jews procured my expulsion from Twitter in 2018).

“Terrorism”

Tracy Brabin and others of her ilk should reflect on the fact that “banning”, “no-platforming” and generally labelling those with whom one disagrees as liable to be repressed “for the public good”, leads to general witch-hunting and purging. Tracy Brabin, though, is too thick to understand that…

Davos

badcat

My contribution.

Only joking…

From the 1930s…

A late-night thought…

Bh6UVr_IUAAz00r

BBC World Service and a strange tale from the Second World War

A strange tale on BBC World Service. A Jewish woman, one Dita Kraus, who was born in Prague in 1929. Her parents were “secular” Jews who did not take part in the Jewish religious festivals etc. They were still living in Prague when the Germans arrived in March 1939.

The first oddity heard on the BBC was that the woman (now 90 and living in Israel) said that she did not see the Germans march into Prague [see video below; nb. the 1939 clip is incorrectly dated on YouTube as “1938”] but that her family were evicted by German officers on the same day!

The woman said that on the very same day on which the Germans marched into Prague, two German officers in uniform appeared at their apartment and ordered them to get out. Well, that to me seems implausible.

The Jewish Chronicle has carried a more plausible account:

https://www.thejc.com/news/news-features/dita-kraus-the-librarian-of-auschwitz-1.457402

In 1939, there were over 118,000 Jews registered as living in Bohemia and Moravia, most of which lived in Prague. We are asked to believe that, on the very day of occupation of the city, these two officers in uniform appeared at the door and ordered the Jews out. Well, there it is. That is what she (now 90 and at the time only 9 or 10) says happened.

We then heard that the Jewish family lived in Prague for a further 3 years, in fact longer, some three and a half years, until November 1942. Certain places in the city were forbidden to Jews; Jews were expected to wear a yellow star on their coats or jackets, but many did not. The woman described how she and a cousin went illegally to a certain cinema.

There were no stories of direct German brutality or the like from her, not in those 3-4 years of wartime military occupation. In fact, there were not even any accounts of hardship from her.

After the family was deported from Prague in November 1942, they were sent to what she called Terezin, at the time Theresienstadt (though the BBC failed to clarify this). An 18thC military settlement. Conditions were spartan, from what the woman said, though she noted that there was a hospital and proper care for the sick etc. In fact, Theresienstadt was run internally largely by a Jewish council (again, not explained by the BBC).

Theresienstadt was known for its relatively rich cultural life, including concerts, lectures, and clandestine education for children. The fact that it was governed by a Jewish self-administration as well as the large number of “prominent” Jews imprisoned there facilitated the flourishing of cultural life. This spiritual legacy has attracted the attention of scholars and sparked interest in the ghetto.” [Wikipedia]

There was postal delivery (again not mentioned in the BBC programme…) and even a jazz band (ditto), The Ghetto Swingers: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghetto_Swingers

In time (I think 1944), the family was deported under harsh conditions to Auschwitz (similar to the conditions a friend of mine suffered when sent by Soviet (NKVD) order to Siberia from Poland in 1939). The father became unwell and died. The mother and daughter survived (the mother dying a few months after being freed at the end of the war, in 1945).

The woman narrating told stories about how she was told by other Jews about “gas chambers” at Auschwitz, but she did not say outright that she had seen any. She did see large ash pieces floating about. I suppose that there is no reason to disbelieve that. Of course, every English town has a crematorium (and the technology has improved over time). The account given on the BBC seemed to conflate the two types of installation (that is, “gas chambers” and crematoria).

The woman, at the time about 15, was assigned to a daycare centre for young children of detainees. She is now called the “Librarian of Auschwitz” because she had custody of a small number of books. She claims to have met the notorious Dr. Mengele.

Almost at the end of the war, the woman and her mother were sent to the Bergen-Belsen camp in Germany, where for a short time they endured the terrible conditions there (mainly a result of the chaotic conditions caused by the war, including the Allied bombing which caused shortages of medicine and food). Somehow, the two survived. The mother died 2-3 months after the camp was taken over by Allied (British) forces, but the narrator survived and, in 1949, emigrated to Israel.

What struck me about the account (as on previous occasions) is that the Germans did not seem intent on killing their captives. They are left in Prague for nearly 4 years, moved to Theresienstadt for a year, moved to Auschwitz, finally moved to Bergen-Belsen. It is almost as if the Germans were not trying to kill them at all…

The BBC woman asked the narrator what she thinks of “holocaust” “denial”. She expostulated that she still had her prisoner tattoo on her arm! Well, no-one “denies” that the Germans had camps for their prisoners. They certainly did. As for the “gas chambers” of Auschwitz, well she was actually there for maybe a year and did not see any…(incidentally, at one time, it was claimed that Bergen-Belsen had “gas chambers”, but even extreme Zionist fanatics have now accepted that such was not the case).

The woman seems to have been convinced that she and her mother were scheduled to be killed, but I wonder whether that conviction was based on actuality or simply on unfounded fear.

Take a look at the link below, which has a photo captioned “women survivors in Bergen-Belsen, April 1945“. They at least look not at all famished (though others obviously were). Puzzling.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bergen-Belsen_concentration_camp

Another bit of the narrative interested me: her tattooed prisoner number at Auschwitz was 70,000-something. She said that some men had tattoo numbers over 100,000. This is nearly at the end of the war but there were no numbers in the high hundreds of thousands, let alone in the millions. Why not?

The BBC completely failed to point out that the book, The Librarian of Auschwitz, is a novel, though based on some of the real experiences of Dita Kraus:

https://www.commonsensemedia.org/book-reviews/the-librarian-of-auschwitz

She has featured in books herself. Alberto Manguel mentioned her “clandestine children’s library” in his book about the great libraries of the world. This piqued the interest of Spanish writer Antonio Iturbe who wrote The Librarian of Auschwitz, a semi-fictionalised version of Dita’s story, based on many conversations.” [Jewish Chronicle]

There it is: “semi-fiction”.

The trouble is that sometimes books are written as novels, as fiction, but sometimes also as “faction”. Simple-minded people then think that the books are “true” accounts. One example would be the film Schindler’s List, which was based on a novel [Schindler’s Ark] written by an Australian as late as 1982. Another film which many believe to be “true” is Sophie’s Choice. Pure fiction.

The narrator has her own website: she is a very good artist, specializing in plants:

https://www.ditakraus.com/shop

The BBC World Service is very poor now. This was one example of how it has become a kind of Moscow Radio. It cannot be believed.

Another day starts…

 

Stray tweets

France

NWO/ZOG gopher Macron might just end up getting the chop, literally!

The UK mass media does not report on it much because to do so would be to open up the can of worms marked “ZOG NWO Jewish Lobby” etc. Macron was presented by the UK msm a few years ago as if some great white hope. No Rothschilds, no Israel, no Jew lobby, no New World Order, just this clever young man who had miraculously started “his own” pop-up “party”, En Marche! Another smoke and mirrors ZOG-job. The System wanted to beat Marine le Pen and Front National. Macron was the tool.

This is what I wrote a year ago:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/09/on-recent-events-in-france/

China

Time and again, we see how the socially-backward Chinese are abusing the natural world. In Africa, in Asia, in China itself. The karmic consequences will be devastating for the Chinese.

We hear a lot about how very intelligent the Chinese are as a people. Perhaps. Some individuals certainly are. I myself once met a young Chinese atomic scientist working in the USA for Westinghouse. On the other hand, I have to say that I have also encountered rather many Chinese who are as thick as two short planks. I think that the fault lies in the type of intelligence. Also, the lack of empathy.

When Jews have power over non-Jews…

The tweet and clip below shows Palestine, but in essence it is no different in the UK!

Virtue-signalling nonsense

Take a look at the ridiculous virtue-signaller in the report below. A BBC presenter, of course.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/01/24/michaela-strachan-reveals-saves-dirty-bathwater-flush-lavatory/

I hate that kind of virtue-signalling. Oh yes, let’s all “save the planet” by not flushing loos in the ordinary way, because the UK is increasingly short of water (it is claimed). How about this lady protesting against mass immigration, which is ruining the UK in that and many other ways? Oh no, that would be “racist” (and so wrong, the idiots say). Oh, and of course she would then lose her BBC job that probably pays at least £100,000 p.a. and possibly a great deal more. Silly woman.

Remain whiner bubble

Typical Remain partisan hates Brexit because it might slightly inconvenience her as she goes around Western Europe making money:

I myself have done the same: Brest to Paris to Amsterdam to Hong Kong and —after 5 or 6 days— back again. Brest-Paris-Amsterdam-Dubai-Qatar and back again. Or just France to UK to France (every 2 weeks or so).

I, however, do not prioritize my own convenience and ease of travel over what is best for the UK. Brexit should mean an end to Roma Gypsy thieves and scavengers coming to the UK, a stricter regime for low-pay workers coming from Poland and elsewhere, an end to the tyrannical European Arrest Warrant regime, an end to the EU trying to impose mediaeval heresy laws (in the shape of “holocaust” “denial” laws) on the UK. And so on.

“Millard Radio; with you through the night”…