Both sides in what is now the war in Ukraine are running short of supplies, we read. Perhaps. The Russian forces can be resupplied overall, though there may be greater shortages in some specific geographical areas, but the Ukrainians (civilians and fighters) in the cities surrounded cannot be resupplied. Kiev itself is not completely surrounded, as yet.
Ammunition may be a bigger issue for the Ukrainian side than for the Russians. In any case, the weapons of most importance for the Ukrainian side are not small arms, but those donated free of charge by, mainly, the USA and UK— anti-tank and ground-to-air systems, able to be deployed by individuals or small groups. Without those weapons, Russia would by now be far more ahead in achieving its immediate tactical objectives.
Having said that, the civilians and soldiers in the besieged cities of the south and east cannot survive for long without food. Those cities will probably fall quite soon. When they do, huge Russian forces will move from the south and from the east towards Kiev.
I note that Zelensky is again calling for talks with Russia. He knows that he cannot win, as such, and so wants to stabilize the situation (eg by extended ceasefire, and open corridors) before cities now surrounded and under attack surrender or are destroyed.
Russia is going to win this war, in the short to medium term, even if most of its territorial gains are turned into scorched urban and rural wastelands. What happens further down the line is an open question.
This is not a war between very different nations and peoples. It is somewhere between that kind of war and a civil war. In the past, during the Russian Civil War (1917-1922), Ukraine was a battlefield between several contending forces: Bolsheviks, White Guards (pro-Tsarist anti-Bolsheviks), Ukrainian nationalists, and German forces, among others: see [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukrainian_People%27s_Republic].
A fairly dull Labour Party careerist, and System drone: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barry_Sheerman. Some of these idiots calling for war with Russia seem to forget that a. the UK now has only about 15,000 truly battle-ready soldiers now, b. the RAF’s capabilities (including transport) are now very limited, and c. even one Russian nuclear missile —and they have up to 6,200— landing on London would pretty much destroy the UK as a society, and economy, and state, and for about 50-100 years.
More tweets seen
Preliminary note: good to see that one of the worst Jew-Zionist and/or pro-Israel troll accounts on Twitter, “@GnasherJew”, has been suspended (again). Last time, the usual online “claque” of Jews put up a huge scream, much noisy protest (as usual— absolutely typical), and the account was reinstated. Let us hope that this time the ban will be permanent.
The activities of Jew-Zionists such as “GnasherJew” are the major reason why Twitter, and the comment-Internet generally, has gradually become rather dull; the more interesting Twitter accounts, including my own, and those of David Icke, Katie Hopkins, Alison Chabloz, Patriotic Alternative, and many many others, have been removed. It would be good to see at least some redress, even if not the nemesis that certain malicious Jew-Zionist trolls deserve.
Looks like you really cannot fool all of the people all of the time…
Looks like Indian “clever boy” Sunak’s stock is falling faster than the value of Ukrainian industrial shares…
If Parliament were at least entirely white and British by origin, without blacks, browns, Jews etc, or mixtures thereof, that alone would certainly not solve our national problems, but it would be a start.
Something similar is coming to the UK. Remember wise words from nearly a century ago:
While I am sorry for the civilians caught up in the Ukraine invasion, and also for their companion animals, the Kiev regime, headed by the decadent Jew clown Zelensky, is an integral part of the NWO/ZOG plan, which is why it must be toppled and crushed.
Why is he even in the UK?
Nearest city square. Firing squad. End (in an ideal world, that is…).
I disfavour the judicial death penalty, in fact, but the UK is getting to the point where something will eventually have to be done, not as judicial punishment, but as a public health or social health measure, mandated by the executive.
While I have no personal knowledge of whether the Russian claims are true or not, I did blog quite recently about my own visit to the Porton Down biological research station in Wiltshire, on which visit I was accompanied by the then Ukrainian Ambassador to the UK, Mr. Komissarenko, himself a trained biochemical scientist. He was, more recently, director of exactly such a laboratory in Ukraine. Even Wikipedia notes that fact.
Soon, the Covid police state measures come up for renewal in Parliament. Suddenly, we have these scare stories appearing. “Join the dots”, as they say…
“Journalism” and/or similar occupations used to be, at least reasonably, literate. Look at the above tweets. Four sentences, yet three egregious errors: “Stamer” for “Starmer”, “train” for “trail”, and “deceit” for “deficit”.
Pay peanuts, get “university”-“educated” monkeys, I suppose.
As for the substance, it is clear that relatively few members of the public trust or respect either main System party, yet there exists no real alternative; no social-national party or movement has arisen. I discount ridiculous fringe figures such as Jayda Fransen, Anne-Marie Waters etc. In any case, a social-national leader must at least be a man, as a bare minimum.
Incidentally, she was never really a “refugee“, as claimed. Her father went from Yugoslavia (where he had been a “Czech” diplomat), to the UK in 1939. She was later, after WW2, sent by her father from, again, Belgrade to school in Switzerland; from there, she once more went to the UK, then (in 1948) to the USA. She did not suffer in any way from “Nazis”, or indeed Communists.
Had Russia managed to execute a Blitzkrieg lasting 2-3 days, taking Kiev, killing or capturing Zelensky, or at least driving him and his cabal to Lvov, and then almost simultaneously driving into Ukraine east of the Dnieper and along the Black Sea coast, this terrible humanitarian crisis would not have existed, certainly not on the present scale. There would not be the present war of attrition, would not have been the tragic and unpleasant loss and damage.
By supplying advanced weapons to the Kiev regime, the UK, USA, Poland, Germany, France are all just prolonging and making far worse this war, as it has now become.
Russia now has little choice but to wade through this ghastly mess to the bitter end. Now that the Ukrainian side (or Kiev regime side) has more, and more advanced, firepower, and is to be supplied with yet more, the Russian side will probably use wider, less targeted, and more brutal, weapons and tactics. It may even decide to replace much of the Ukrainian population, later, with Russian “colonists”, if any can be recruited.
If Putin’s forces withdraw from Ukraine, Ukraine will become a heavily-armed country, unsurprisingly also very hostile, whose borders will be (as now) only 300 miles from Moscow at the nearest point. The Kiev regime might even launch a missile attack, once it has the means, on Moscow itself.
That is why Russia will keep fighting.
As I have blogged previously, there is no doubt that, faced with the incredible (and to me, unexpected) incompetence of both the Russian General Staff (Stavka) and Army generally, and quite possibly that of the GRU, Stalin would have been shooting generals and heads of military intelligence by now.
As for “winning hearts and minds” etc, even Stalin’s brutal regime was far better at that than Putin and his supporters.
Because Russian commanders did not plan and execute a swift and relatively merciful seizure of power, a gigantic bloody mess has now been created. We read that as many as five million Ukrainians have left the country, something like 12% of the entire pre-invasion population.
As for Russia’s reputation in the wider world— trashed beyond repair, at least in the short-to-medium term.
It is true to say that, in the 1920s, 1930s, 1940s, Stalin’s brutalities were less on view in the West. There was far less information available, his regime was far more brutal, and rather more efficient, than Putin’s, and there were innumerable Soviet agents, “fellow-travellers”, and (to use Lenin’s phrase) “useful idiots” around in the West.
Most of Stalin’s atrocities (Collectivization, deportations of entire populations, the GULAG system etc) were concealed from view. Russian cultural influence (both Soviet and pre-Soviet) was unaffected in the West, and Sovietism, though far worse in its policies and their implementation than other regimes (notably National Socialist Germany), generally got “a better Press”. The Jew element had much to do with that, of course.
Now, it looks very much as if the Ukrainian cities will be subjected to something not far short of a scorched earth policy.
Fighting in built-up areas requires a greater ratio of attackers vis a vis defenders, as compared to battle in open country. The Russians’ strengths— their armour, their jet fighters, attack helicopters, are all seen at most effective in open country, particularly treeless steppe. In cities, the defenders have the edge.
This is only going to get worse. What might have been an easy, swift, and almost bloodless strategic coup by Russia has become a human and public relations disaster worldwide, and without —so far— a clear military victory upon which a political imposition can be superimposed.
Never heard of him, but obviously yet another “vaccine” or “booster” victim. A wave of previously healthy, fit, people dying suddenly.
About as “true” as the supposed 1940-41 “mobile gas chambers”, which were allegedly deployed in Poland in order to gas individual Jews found wandering around! “Fake news” of an earlier era.
As previously noted, “in war, truth is the first casualty“…
Not that I “deny” that a maternity hospital was hit by a missile. I simply do not know.
“Hope not Hate”
Had a look at the latest ludicrously-named “State of Hate” report by the basically Jewish org called, or misnamed, “Hope not Hate”.
There is so little real social-nationalist activity now in the UK that “Hope not Hate” are reduced to writing about, mostly, marginal and almost pitiful figures such as Jayda Fransen, Anne-Marie Waters, “the little veteran” etc.
It must be hard for “HnH” to attract funding, even from the more paranoid Jew-Zionists, when there is so little around to “oppose”…
The latest news from Kiev (or, as the BBC and Sky now have it, “Keeev“):
“A little less than 2 million people have currently left. However, Kyiv has been transformed into a fortress. Every street, every building, every checkpoint has been fortified.” [the Mayor of Kiev, on Ukrainian TV, reported by AFP].
So about half of the Kiev population has fled.
Reports now seem to indicate that Russian troops are advancing on Kiev proper from the outer suburbs and surrounding areas.
One can only feel sorry for the non-combatants left in Kiev, many of whom may be too elderly, infirm, or poor to leave. Also, for the companion animals they may have.
It may be that Kiev will now be taken by Russian forces. Perhaps within a few days.
I presume that the Jew Zelensky and his close cabal will be extracted by American special forces at some point. One can only hope that Zelensky does not leave Kiev totally in ruins.
If there is as much resistance as the Kiev regime is suggesting, the “Battle for Kiev” may be as historically significant as the battles for Madrid, Moscow, or even Stalingrad.
Now that food has largely run out in Kiev and some other cities, the end-game cannot be far off, surely.
A tragic episode in Europe’s history, but one that cannot now be curtailed before the end is reached.
Every cloud has a silver lining…In fact, it occurs to me that this whole situation may be the chance for Russia to get rid of all the carpetbaggers and exploiters (mostly Jewish) that have been attached to its body for the past 30+ years. Bankers, financiers, loan organizations, lawyers, all sorts.
“Reparations”? That will put the cat among the pigeons.
“Racism” against Russians seems to be OK, just as it is when against any white Europeans. It’s only when it is against Jews or black/brown persons that it becomes “unacceptable”…
What a world…
Well, I know what I would like to do to them, and I daresay many feel the same way, but you cannot write it, or say it, unless you want some boring policeman, playing at being the poundland KGB, at your door.
He can escape back to his native Kenya now. What? Doesn’t want to? Get him OUT!
Their real colours are white and blue (forget the red), with a 6-pointed star in the middle.
Hardly worth blogging about the result of the Southend West result but, for the record, the Conservative Party candidate won as expected, and with 86.1% of the vote, though on a pathetic turnout of 24%, and without the other main System parties standing: Labour, LibDem, and also Greens, absented themselves from the contest.
All other candidates lost their deposits. The second-placed was some character who wants drug decriminalization, and called himself the Psychedelic Party. His vote-share was 3.4%.
As for the “nationalist” candidates, Steve Laws (UKIP)— 2.7%; Catherine Blaiklock (English Democrats)— 2.2%; Jayda Fransen— 2%. Bearing in mind that this was the ideal chance to pick up protest votes, pretty unimpressive.
The real “protest vote” was the fact that 76% of those eligible to vote abstained. In fact, the abstainers together with those who voted for candidates other than the Con candidate comprised over 90% of those eligible to vote in the by-election.
Other thoughts arising: as noted previously, that England does not have any credible social-national or even conservative-nationalist party, and that, that being so, the voters treat the underwhelming candidates that do exist (and stand in elections) with, not even contempt, but indifference.
As I blogged a day or two ago, unlikely but not impossible.
A puzzle. Reach for the sky!
When the present UK government started to throw money at the “panicdemic”, paying millions to stay home, paying businesses which otherwise might go into insolvency, the msm “experts” all applauded Indian “clever boy” Rishi Sunak and, of course, Boris-idiot. A few voices worried about the inflationary effects, but they were treated as near idiots. Peter Hitchens was one of the few inthe ranks of msm scribblers.
Almost everyone seemed to think that the “furlough” holiday season was cost-free. Now look. True, energy prices are from another direction, but the rest can be laid at the door of the effective devaluation of the currency. Now we read that inflation may reach 7%! A couple of years ago it was 2%.
Still think that all those furlough payments, “eat out to help out”, and business support schemes came at no cost? If you do, what can I say or suggest? That you should stand outside your house and clap until told to stop?
Chaos at Downing Street
What interests me about the latest nonsense around Boris-idiot is that, as the “advisers” depart, how few are English, or even really British. Just as in the Cabinet. I note the names: Rosenfield, Narozanski, Mirza…
Clever of the Russian Government to focus on the weakest point of the present UK Govt., i.e. competence or, more pointedly, incompetence.
If so, Moscow must have changed much since I was last there. On my (only two) visits there (1993 and 2007), the same thought occurred to me: Moscow is not a comfortable or convenient city. It is not even a question of money spent; whether you pay out plenty or not, everything conspires to make you feel dissatisfied.
As a matter of fact, I found it easier to get by there, on a daily basis, in 1993, than on a later fairly brief visit in 2007.
The post-1945 order in Europe fell to pieces after 1989. Russia now has the chance to reset the post-1989 agenda, but that means, inter alia, seizing Eastern Ukraine, Kiev, and the Black Sea littoral. So far, the tanks have not started to roll. It is now —within the next weeks— or never, probably.
“There is a tide in the affairs of men. Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune; Omitted, all the voyage of their life Is bound in shallows and in miseries. On such a full sea are we now afloat, And we must take the current when it serves, Or lose our ventures.“
[Shakespeare, Julius Caesar]
“Brutus and Cassius are discussing the final phase of their civil war with the forces of Octavian and Marcus Antonius. Cassius has been urging that they group their forces at Sardis and take advantage of the secure location to catch their breath. Brutus, however, advocates heading off the enemy at Philippi before Octavian can recruit more men. Brutus’s main point is that, since “the enemy increaseth every day” and “We, at the height, are ready to decline” (lines 216–217), he and Cassius must act now while the ratio of forces is most advantageous. “There’s a tide in the affairs of men,” he insists; that is, power is a force that ebbs and flows in time, and one must “go with the flow.” Waiting around only allows your power to pass its crest and begin to ebb; if the opportunity is “omitted” (missed), you’ll find yourself stranded in miserable shallows.” [Shakespeare Quotes]
Russia today is not the old Soviet Union, with its worldwide hegemonic aims, and its Marxist-Leninist ideology; it is basically defensive. However, a basically defensive strategy can include specific offensive capabilities and operations. The point is that the “West”, particularly Western Europe, and Central Europe, has nothing to fear from Russia unless Russia is attacked or provoked too far.
The “panicdemic, together with its absurd “laws”, “rules” and “guidance”, has exposed, brutally, the level of psychopathology in large parts of the population. In various ways. Those who fear, not “the virus”, at root, but everything outside their own circle. The obsessive and pointless mask-wearing is one example. Another is the alacrity seen in those suddenly given petty power to tell others to wear a facemask, wear it differently or better, stay x-feet away from other shoppers (or from the said obsessive), and so on.
“The virus” has also exposed what little real respect most people now have for civil liberties, or even logic. So it was that the people —many, perhaps most, of them— accepted the ludicrous “Rule of Six” made up by the part-Jew, part-Levantine chancer and liar posing as Prime Minister.
Doubt about the official narrative has grown, but only slowly, and it may be that the System overplayed its hand, in that the conspiratorial “SAGE” committee (I used to call it “DUMB”— the “Department Under Matt and Boris”) heralded the “Omicron variant” as something likely to kill hundreds of thousands.
Well, now, only weeks after the latest alarmist predictions of the egregious Professor Ferguson and his cohorts, we see that “Omicron” is killing almost no-one, despite the frenzied testing and consequent announcement of millions of “cases”.
The public is waking up, though seems to have little real anger about having been played for two years. The System has spun it as “the measures taken mean that —if we keep “vaccinating”— we can live with Covid“. That spin or gloss pats on the back SAGE, the No.10 chancer, the government as a whole, and the poor saps otherwise known as The Great British Public…
Thus the Government (weakly opposed by the “we can run workhouses better” fake Opposition) can remove the various restrictions without having to admit to having got it wrong for 2 years, and without having to impliedly admit that the “panicdemic” was also —largely, not entirely— a “scamdemic”, and the measures taken for other reasons.
Seems that the latest news is that canvassers for the Conservative Party have been met with “a wall of disapproval” never previously encountered. That may mean a very low turnout as people “vote with their feet”. They cannot vote for any credible alternative because they have been denied that option.
The System parties have decided that, as with the Jo Cox assassination, the David Amess incident must be marked by the voters being denied a proper choice at the by-election, leaving standing only the “Conservative” Party candidate and a ragbag of small and/or joke parties and independents.
It will be interesting to see what proportion of the vote will go to Steve Laws (UKIP), who is somewhat known, by reason of his monitoring of, and tweeting about, the cross-Channel migration-invasion. He seems to be the front runner after the “Conservative” woman, though Catherine Blaiklock (English Democrats) may get quite a few votes.
I doubt whether Jayda Fransen (standing as Independent) will do well, but perhaps the Southend West voters will confound me.
Southend is not an area I know. I have been there, though only for an hour or so, and long ago, in 1977 or 1978.
I had returned from a youthful misadventure in Rhodesia, aged 20-21, and had signed up for a temporary job doing various kinds of casual work. One such, for a few days, was travelling around London delivering booze to various places as the driver’s mate, hauling crates around.
I remember that one destination was Pentonville Prison (for the guards), a cavalry barracks in Hounslow (the Sergeant’s Mess), and a bingo hall in some concrete town in Essex (Basildon? I forget now). Also, to what was either the Conservative Club, or the Naval and Military Club, Southend-on-Sea.
I remember that the Club to which we delivered was on a kind of bluff or clifftop overlooking the sea. There was a greensward between the Club and the clifftop. A tree growing there too (a monkeypuzzle tree? Or is that my memory inventing something?).
The sun was just setting over the sea, and that, together with the Union Jack on a flagpole, rendered the scene somehow elegiac. The Evening Hymn and Last Post might have been fitting.
I remember the day mentioned partly because, having launched a crate of Scotch down a wooden chute to the cellar from the street, it had unfortunately slid down far too fast, and right into the gammy leg of the steward, who let out a few oaths that were certainly blue, and possibly naval, though not necessarily Conservative.
Thanks to the incredible resources now available via Google, Google Earth etc, I have just tracked down the place: Naval and Military Club, 20 Royal Terrace, Southend-on-Sea.
Still going, it seems.
I have just been looking at some photos of Southend. Not terribly pleasant-looking overall. In a way surprising that it is a Conservative Party stronghold.
In fact, that seems not as clearcut as the election results for Southend West and other other local constituency (Rochford and Southend East) would suggest. Quite a high level of poverty, and the Southend local council is a non-Conservative minority-coalition administration, with little more than a third of all councillors Conservatives (20 out of 51).
I notice that the local newspaper report on the closure of the Conservative Club in 2018 reported that Southend “is not safe at night“…
More tweets seen
An ex-Muslim apostate, and Ayn Rand devotee, who took his honeymoon in Israel. This country really has become a total dustbin.
Get Trudeau, and those behind him, OUT!
Nadhim Zahawi, another enemy of the British people.
…but the death rate will be far higher in the next few years, because the NHS has almost stopped treating people with non-Covid conditions, particularly those whose pathologies are at earlier stages.
This morning, watched, for the first time in a while, a whole half-hour of BBC TV news. Of the 30 minutes, about 20 mins was given over to the idiot posing as Prime Minister, and as to whether he broke his own ludicrous “Covid” “rules” or “laws”. Then we had 5 minutes about Ukraine and the possibility of invasion by Russian forces. A strange disproportion, to my mind: 20 mins about the idiot at Downing Street, and his cake and wine, but only 5 mins about the possibility (I would think probability) of (more) war in Ukraine.
The remaining 5 mins was mostly the weather report and forecast, the most accurate part of the whole broadcast.
The bit about Ukraine was mostly devoted to someone called James Nixey, an expert from the Chatham House think tank formerly (and surely better-) called the Royal Institute of International Affairs [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chatham_House].
I have little quarrel with what the said Nixey had to say, though it did not tell me anything that I did not already know (but then the news broadcasts are supposedly for the population as a whole).
Not that I do not think that there are not many very good people in the NHS, but the whole juggernaut has gone astray.
If true, it is one of the (very few) things “Boris” has done of which I approve wholeheartedly. Why lie about it? I would rather those innocent animals be rescued than many of the Afghans, some of whom hate us or despise us, and none of whom will ever be anything but a nuisance to us (at best). If “Madame Boris” (Carrie Johnson) got him to do it, well, never mind. It is the sort of thing a “first lady” should do— exercise compassionate influence.
Personal sanctions may be inconvenient to Putin (and those close to him) but they will not change his intent for a second. What is happening now around Ukraine is not the impetuous policy-on-the-hoof of the part-Jews David Cameron-Levita and Nicholas Sarkozy, when they stupidly decided to help the Libyan rebels in 2012. This is a long-considered and carefully worked-out plan by Putin, the Russian General Staff or Stavka, and the intelligence services, especially the GRU.
Putin and others see the Ukraine situation in the light of the 1100 years of conjoined close connection between Russia and Ukraine more than the 30 years of shambolic Ukrainian independence. They see it as a matter of territorial integrity (of the Slavonic heartlands), and also as a matter of existential national survival; they want a dead stop to NATO installing advanced weapons in Ukraine (and Poland, and the Baltic states).
What now? I myself would expect, as blogged recently, there to be an invasion at least of the Eastern part of Ukraine, and probably Kiev area too. I would expect the Spetsnaz forces of the Stavka, perhaps partly undercover, to create chaos in Kiev and some other key cities and non-urban locations first, before tanks roll in. and before the skies are full of descending parachutes.
I doubt that Russian forces plan to occupy anywhere much west of the Dnieper. Putin would rather install a pro-Russian Ukrainian government in Kiev, which would at least try to control the western part of Ukraine, while allowing the eastern part to exercise (pro-Russian) near-autonomy.
Russia gains little or nothing by delay. Every day that passes now makes a potential invasion or “incursion” slightly more difficult for Russian forces.
The Soviet Union always had awesome capabilities for swift mass deployment of forces (eg in Afghanistan), especially by air, and Russia’s newly-upgraded forces still have that, as far as I can see. The main reason that Russia did not simply invade a week or more ago was probably that Putin needed to “condition” the European states and the USA to the idea of Russian incursion, so as to obviate a sudden “Cuban Missile Crisis” situation developing.
Now, Putin can be sure that all that the NATO core states (really just USA and UK) will do is to impose blah-blah “sanctions” on Russia and its leaders. No attempt at direct military parrying. Biden has said as much. As for “Boris”, he is just a spectator, really.
Putin would probably prefer to “win without war”, in the famous phrase of Sun-Tzu, but it seems doubtful that the Kiev government will give him what he wants (though the Kiev leaders do seem to be disenchanted with the USA’s lukewarm support, so there is a slight possibility).
As said previously, I doubt that Russian forces would invade, or need to invade, more than a few miles west of Kiev. Mostly in the eastern part of the country, where there are several million ethnic-Russian civilians living.
Also, Russia will try to work psychologically on the Ukrainian population, mainly in Kiev and east of the Dnieper. Anxiety, maybe panic etc. If unexpected sabotage etc takes place, the countdown has begun.
I would expect the storm to break, if it does, within a week or so of today.
This is what Britain has become; it has descended into a place where any nut with a hammer and a narrow view of history can destroy a statue, a painting, a mural, or some other artwork, while the politically-correct and hugely-ignorant police stand around doing nothing, and as other ignorant persons applaud the vandalism online or otherwise.
As for the nut himself in this case, some cigarette-smoking “chav” type, he apparently shouted out to passers-by, including women, who were telling him to stop vandalizing, that they were “paedos”. What can one say?
Eric Gill [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eric_Gill] certainly was perverse, but so have been many other artists of note. Gill’s art is not 100% to my taste either, but that does not necessarily mean that it can just be destroyed by the first idiot that turns up with a hammer and a contrived grievance.
Society is built on order. There are worrying signs in the UK that disorder is slowly taking over, and I am not talking only about idiots vandalizing statues or artworks.
Upcoming Southend West by-election
It is not worthwhile blogging about the upcoming Southend West by-election in any great detail, because the Labour and Liberal Democrat parties are boycotting the event out of “respect” for the assassinated MP whose death triggered the by-election. That means that, as with the by-election at Batley and Spen held some years ago after the Jo Cox assassination, the voters of Southend will be denied the array of choice (however false) that they would usually have.
Not even Green Party and Reform UK (the latest Farage vehicle) will be standing candidates.
As can be seen on Wikipedia, a number of minor candidates are standing. Two of at least passing interest are Steve Laws (UKIP), well-known for his reportage tweeting about the continuing cross-Channel migration-invasion, and Jayda Fransen (standing as Independent, but formerly a member of two or three parties).
Southend West has been held by the Conservative Party since its creation in 1950, the Con vote peaking the following year at 69.1%.
The MP elected in 1950, 1951 and 1955 was the very wealthy Anglo-American, Henry “Chips” Channon, famous for his indiscreet diaries [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Channon]. His rather mediocre son, Paul Channon, “inherited” the seat and was elected in a by-election in 1959, holding the seat thereafter until 1992, when David Amess was elected on a vote-share of 38.8% (LibDems second on 33.1%). In every subsequent election, Amess’s vote never dipped below 46%.
In 2019, Amess was elected with a solid 59.2% of the vote (Labour second on 28.1%; LibDems third with 11.4%).
In the by-election, The Conservative Party candidate, one Anna Firth, a barrister and Sevenoaks District Council councillor [https://www.linkedin.com/in/anna-firth-095271202/], has tried to reach the House of Commons on two previous occasions. Looks like it will be “third time lucky” for her.
There is minor interest around this by-election, in seeing firstly what vote-share Ms. Firth will get, in the absence of any real competition; also, as to the number of protest votes going to UKIP’s Steve Laws and to Jayda Fransen. Steve Laws may do better than Ms. Fransen; we shall see.
Stupid idiotic puppet.
Exactly what I was thinking yesterday when I saw the monkeyhouse on TV, and then Boris-idiot exiting to his car, in the open air, black muzzle-mask in place.
What goes around comes around..
She has a point. I agree with her. The very few MPs I have met in my life have mostly been pretty stupid; in fact they have all been.
Parliament, like the NHS, the Bar, the Church, Oxford and Cambridge universities (in fact, most universities), the trade unions, and much else in Britain, is running on empty.
Someone in public life who seems not to be a complete idiot. There must be some mistake…
It has taken the msm about 20 years to catch up with me, or to where I was.
Latest opinion polling
I recently blogged that “Boris” would not survive beyond the summer of 2022. Looks like I should have written “Spring”…
Exactly. The same phenomenon, or a similar one, seen from 2017 to 2019 continues: many voters with nowhere to go, as shown in the graphic below.
If only there were a credible social-national party. It might have been able to really launch in the past two years of a headless Government and an equally-clueless Labour-label “Opposition”.
Late afternoon music
The German Reich and the Soviet Union fought and died, the Reich quickly in 1945, the Soviet Union slowly over decades. It was a fated and fateful encounter. There is today no reason, good or otherwise, for Europe, including Eastern Europe, to exhaust itself in terror and bloodshed.
Very picturesque, even if the music (by Shostakovitch) added for the amateur YouTube video is anachronistic (I think that the film itself is from the famous 1960s War and Peace).
I prefer the (Khatchaturian) music in the video below:
A concert in Dresden in 2011, 76 years after the devastating Allied air attack. How resilient human beings can be.
On this day a year ago
Obviously meant to be Boris-idiot and Andrew Windsor. Conceptually very good, but as caricature not so good; I would not have recognized them.
It would be a fatal error to imagine that that could not happen. All serious wargames since 1960 that postulated use of tactical nuclear weapons have ended up with strategic nuclear weapons being used.
What would that mean in the UK? First, sudden and deadly Spetsnaz attacks by lethal special forces units on ground targets in this country— early-warning stations, ports, air bases, transport infrastructure, Internet infrastructure, and on heads of state and government. Then nuclear attacks on the same, if still in one piece.
Russia is about 72x the area of the UK. Nuclear attacks on Russia by NATO (mainly USA) would cause undreamt-of destruction, but Russia would survive, and rebuild, even if it took a hundred years. Were the UK to be attacked with nuclear weapons, almost all of the country would be flattened. Britain might not survive in any recognizable form.
The whole idea of Britain joining the Americans in war with Russia is mad. Why do it? So that Jew oligarchs can continue to exploit Ukraine? So that Ukraine, which prior to 1991 was never an independent state, can keep its present borders, which contain —especially in the East— large numbers of Russians and pro-Russians? So that the New World Order can expand its power?
Britain, disastrously, went to war in 1914 and then in 1939, both times for no good reason. Not again, I hope.
Steve Laws is standing in the Southend West by-election on 3 February 2022. I would normally not recommend a vote for UKIP, but in the absence of any real social-national candidate, Laws deserves at least a protest vote, if anyone there is going to vote at all.
My feeling was that Labour would lose, and quite possibly come third. I was not correct. Labour won narrowly or, as they say on the racecourse, “by a neck, cleverly”.
Labour got a vote-share of 35.3%. The Conservative candidate got 34.4%. George Galloway, under the banner of the Workers’ Party, did better than many expected (21.9%); I got that right, at least.
All other candidates, 13 in number, lost their deposits: LibDems 3.3%; Yorkshire Party 2.2%; 10 of the other 11 received vote-shares below half of one percent each. UKIP, on 0.4%, just beat the Monster Raving Loony (0.3%).
The English Democrats, whose candidate, Therese Hirst, wrote to my blog comments page to request a mention on this blog, came 6th, with 0.55%.
The small and supposedly “nationalist” parties were, as expected, an embarrassment.
The For Britain party leader, Anne Marie Waters, got 0.3% (97 votes). Jayda Fransen did even worse, though (like Ms. Waters) on a par with her previous forays into doomed electioneering: 0.1% (50 votes). [nb. percentages approximate].
So where to start? Firstly, by noting that the Labour Party’s winning candidate, on 35.3%, not only did worse than any previous Labour candidate in the constituency but also worse than the winning Conservative Party candidate in the first election held for the seat, in 1983 (39.6%).
Leaving aside the rigged 2016 by-election, Labour has gone down steadily in the constituency since 2017: 55.5%, 42.7%, 35.3%.
This does not somehow “save Labour”. The present Government still has a Commons majority of 80, and could in theory be in place until December 2024. Labour still has very little likelihood of being able to form even a minority government after that time. If Scotland were to pull away from the UK, Labour would be in permanent and declining Opposition; even without that, Labour has no future as a party of government.
Other points: Labour and Kim Leadbeater ran a very dishonest campaign, even delivering contradictory leaflets to different streets (depending on the race/nationality of the inhabitants). She evaded the issue of the schoolteacher driven from his home and job by Islamist zealots, for example.
The new MP is already on BBC Radio 4 Today Programme yapping about “people living side by side“, diversity etc etc. Another puppet MP. Useless for the people who elected her.
As for Batley’s chances of getting central government assistance now, forget it. The locals must be a pretty stupid lot. They have elected a communitarian drone whose economic knowledge stops at spouting nonsense about “magic money trees”…
The Conservatives ran a lily-livered campaign, which seemed cunning but ultimately fell flat. The candidate deliberately shunned publicity (I thought, though I am judging from hundreds of miles away). The noise was all about Kim Leadbeater and George Galloway.
I thought that Galloway might get more than 20%, and I was right in that. 21.9%. He must be pleased with such a result.
As far as social nationalism is concerned, there was no social-national candidate, just absurd one-trick-pony candidates playing at politics. Anne Marie Waters and, even less credible, Jayda Fransen.
Labour continues to be the party of, mainly, the blacks and browns, publicly-paid employees and a few other groups. It is less than ever the party of (most of) the white English.
Other points? Well, the pathetic LibDem result was par for the course. Since the 2010 upsurge, the LibDems have lost their deposits in all Westminster elections contested by them at Batley and Spen.
Turnout, at 47.6%, was not especially low for a by-election.
About 73% of those who voted, voted for a System party. Over half of those eligible to vote abstained from voting. So about two-thirds of the entire eligible electorate either voted non-System, or decided not to vote at all.
Good luck to the residents of #BatleyAndSpen you’re going to need it. The sh!t hole you’ve all been complaining about will unfortunately remain one or become worse. Voting the #labourparty AGAIN!! is a disaster. 🤷🏼♀️
A tweet which shows not only how out of touch many Twitter-twits are (where has she been since 2010? Was she in outer space in 2019?), but how mutually-isolated are different socio-political “tribes” in the UK.
Good point. Until the seat is abolished, the Batley and Spen electorate will be represented at Parliament by a communitarian System drone with not an interesting or original thought in her head, dragging down £200,000 p.a. in pay and expenses, and accomplishing nothing, while the voters of Batley moulder in poverty and despair.
When Starmer, Nandy and Rayner signed the Articles of Surrender to the Murdoch/Tory/Zionists The media lies bombardment ended. They kissed the Chief Rabbi's ring. The Labour Palestine justice resistance fights on. 8,000 of them in Batley. https://t.co/ntOvgh0IRf
Political joke Paul Mason opines…in fact, he is right about the two “leaders” that he mentions in his tweet. Social nationalism in terms of electoral politics is scarcely even a bad joke; The two ladies together got only 147 votes at the Batley and Spen by-election, scarcely 0.3% of the total vote. One vote for about every 300 cast. Embarrassing.
Mason is not right about “terror networks” of what he would call, no doubt, “the far right”. They do not even exist, as far as I know anyway. Young men buying samurai swords, young women having swastika-shaped cookie-cutters, and people talking big in pubs, do not constitute a “terror threat”…
As for Mason’s “danger…online“, what he means is that people might be able to persuade other people to a certain viewpoint online. Mason hates free speech, so calls that a “danger”…
“John Smith” gives an accurate, if ungrammatical, riposte to sex pest communitarian grasper Brendan Cox, who thinks that it is worth trashing the UK if a few blacks become England-team footballers.
More tweets seen
The “panicdemic” is such an exercise in applied psychology that dictators, oppressive political regimes, and academic scribblers will probably be using its lessons for decades, and maybe for hundreds of years, rather like the 20thC Chinese techniques called (I believe) hsi nao, or “wash brain”, taken up by the West since the Korean War as “brainwashing”: see the 1963 book, Techniques of Persuasion, by J.A.C. Brown. I once had a copy, bought by me at my school book fair in, I think, 1971.
Such techniques were intriguing to film-makers, and have continued to be. Early examples would include The Manchurian Candidate and The Ipcress File.
Those films focussed on individual subjects, but there is of course “brainwashing” or, more accurately, “conditioning”, of whole masses of people, whether at schools (Eton might be a good example), or during Army training, to take two obvious situations.
Recent studies have concluded that, if people are exposed to fear propaganda for months, they lose the ability to resist it even if logical, rational and credible counter-messages are then delivered to them. Put simply, emotion trumps thought, usually.
Think back to the initial panic about “the virus”, in early Spring, 2020. TV news showing shuttered towns in Italy and elsewhere, the population only allowed to take walks alone or as couples, not interacting with others at all. Curfews. Harsh methods of enforcement (particularly in the part of China where the virus supposedly just appeared as if out of nowhere).
In the UK, we have seen how even the shambolic government regime presided over by Boris-idiot applied ever-stricter laws, “rules”, “guidance” etc (which the police enforced as if all had the force of law).
Police chiefs wanting to check people’s shopping to see whether the items had been “reasonable” purchases! That caused a kefuffle because the regime had tried to impose such repression too early, before the fear propaganda had fully taken hold.
Other examples included police vandalizing beauty spots in the Peak District lest people walk to them, other police (the hopeless police of Derbyshire were arguably the worst) using drones and loudhailers to bully elderly couples walking on the hills, miles from anywhere; in Wales, some farmer and his wife, hysterical (and again calling police) because two people from elsewhere were camping overnight on a nearby hill! “They might spread Covid!“, the pathetic idiots cried and whined (to the newspaper and TV reporters who were, unmolested, also there!).
Shops and other businesses were closed down for months, the employees’ anger largely forestalled or bought off by “furlough” payments. Result: the UK has spent £300 BILLION.
It is said “no matter, interest rates are almost zero”. In that case, why did the UK governments of the part-Jews David Cameron-Levita, Theresa May, and “Boris” Johnson apply so-called “austerity” for a decade, causing a huge amount of misery, in order to “save” far less than the sums now wasted for no good reason? Why was a huge investment in infrastructure not undertaken? Instead, vast amounts have been spent on paying the population to sit at home eating delivered pizza, watching TV, and drinking.
Then came the facemask nonsense. Large-scale trials which showed that facemasks (except the kind used in laboratories) were of minimal utility (and also caused other health problems) were ignored. The Government mandated facemasks (often little more than cloth muzzles or quasi-scarfs) in shops etc. Mandated them on pain of a heavy fine.
At first, up to mid-2020, both the UK Government and the World Health Organization [WHO] disparaged the use of facemasks, but later came under political pressure to change their advice, which is what happened.
The World Economic Forum [WEF] openly proclaimed how wonderful the “panicdemic” was as a driver to start a “Great Reset” of the world.
Well, now we are 18 months on, and the UK public, at least the majority, have shown themselves to be malleable pawns, without any regard for the freedoms won over centuries. One sees many wearing their facemasks even in their own cars, or while walking on windswept clifftops etc. Do they know that they have been brainwashed? Do they even care?
I think that it was the popular music group, Pink Floyd, in the early 1970s, maybe on Dark Side of the Moon, who had a track in which they sang that “…quiet desperation is the English way“. That might have to be changed, these days, to something like “spineless compliance, and apathy, is the English way”…
Meanwhile, we hear that 50,000 or 60,000 people have died in the UK “within 28 days of a positive test” (until recently, it was “from Covid”…), though (what a shock…) apparently no-one at all has died of flu for 18 months in the UK! Incidentally, if someone “tests positive” (often because the tests are flawed), even if having no symptoms, then weeks later dies in a car crash…yes, that’s right…that person “dies within 28 days of a positive test”!
The brainwashed nature of the population can be seen in the relative lack of anger or even questioning at the incongruity. Suddenly, instead of tens of thousands of deaths from influenza etc, there is substituted “deaths from Covid”, but most people are still, even now, obeying the so-called “laws”, “rules” etc. Even though their rational minds must know that this is a kind of scam on a vast scale.
Again, every day now we are seeing such as “today, 20,000 people tested positive”, followed by “and three people died within 28 days…(etc)”
In the UK, the msm has been totally compliant to the wishes of the State. In the msm and the “corridors of power”, only a few independent minds have stood up against the propaganda lies. Peter Hitchens [on Twitter as @clarkemicah] was one. Former Law Lord, Jonathan Sumption, was another. See https://twitter.com/SumptionUpdates.
About 1 out of 1,000 in the UK has died supposedly “of” or “with” or “within 28 days of a test”. Some people claim, speciously, 1 out of 500. Even so, this was never a nation-breaking pandemic. In the wider world, about 1 person has died out of every 4,000 people.
Inmates at the American concentration camp at Guantanamo were forced to wear facemasks nearly 20 years ago. To break them, not to save them from infection. Think about it.
We are facing an attempt, starting in 2022, to implement a new stage of the New World Order conspiracy. Various campaigns are part of that: Covid-19 “measures”, “Black Lives Matter” nonsense, fake “environmental” measures, “anti-racism” campaigns etc.
[This article will be updated as necessary, with updates posted at the foot of the main article]
The Batley and Spen by-election is set down for 1 July 2021. Nominations are open until the late afternoon of 7 June 2021, three days from time of writing, but the main parties and some others have already declared. It is likely that any further candidatures will either be crank or joke.
Batley and Spen was created in 1983. There have been several boundary changes over the years. One particular Conservative Party MP held the seat until 1997, succeeded by a Labour Party MP who held the seat until he retired in 2015.
Batley and Spen area voted about 60% for Brexit.
The constituency remained Labour, with Jo Cox as MP from 2015 to 2016 when she was assassinated. The subsequent by-election was rigged, in that the System parties agreed that Labour should put up a candidate unopposed by the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties. Pathetic UKIP followed suit.
The percentage of the vote won by Tracy Brabin, the TV actress selected by Labour in 2016, declined steadily from that 86% high: 55.5% in 2017, and 42.7% in 2019. Now, in true Blairite fashion, Tracy Brabin has jumped ship in order to become Mayor of West Yorkshire, a newly-created and rather powerful role which also pays rather more than an MP’s salary— £105,000 plus expenses [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayor_of_West_Yorkshire].
It must be a possibility that Tracy Brabin could see support for Labour sliding, and weighed up the odds.
Parts of the constituency have high non-white populations (mainly Indians and Pakistanis), while others are still largely English. I have been unable to discover exact proportions for the constituency as a whole.
Labour is represented by Kim Leadbeater, the sister of assassinated MP Jo Cox. She was not even a member of the Labour Party until fairly recently, and the usual rule (that members of the Labour Party have to have been members for a year until they can be selected as candidates) was waived in her case.
Ms. Leadbeater is apparently a former lecturer in physical health, who also works as a personal trainer, but spends much of her time working for the Jo Cox Foundation.
When I had a Twitter account (a pack of Jews had me expelled in 2018), I tweeted rather extensively about the Jo Cox Foundation. My conclusions were unfavourable. I now notice that there were, in 2019 (when accounts were last published), six paid employees, and the salary cost of those six was around a quarter of a million pounds altogether.
The candidature of Ms. Leadbeater smacks of desperation on the part of Labour. They seem to be aiming, five years after the assassination of Jo Cox, for a sympathy vote.
Ms. Leadbeater, like most of the other candidates, is local or at least from a nearby area, which is perceived to be important.
The LibDems have chosen as candidate a LibDem councillor, Tom Gordon, whose council seat is in Knottingley, 20 miles east of Batley.
A relatively new entrant to politics is the Yorkshire Party [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yorkshire_Party], which came third (behind Lab and Con) in the 2021 West Yorkshire Mayoral Election. Its vote share was 9.7%, though, only narrowly defeating the Green Party (9.2%); there were 7 candidates in toto.
Yorkshire Party has a number of councillors in Yorkshire.
Batley and Spen by-election: analysis and provisional prediction
This is probably going to be between the two main System parties, but there are complications.
In 2019, Labour won on 42.7% of the vote, with the Conservative Party second on 36%. The LibDems, on 4.7%, were beaten into fourth by a new entrant, Heavy Woollen District Independents [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heavy_Woollen_District_Independents], which scored 12.2%. The candidate for HWDI was not the leader, who is or was an ex-UKIP member called Lukic, who himself had scored 2% as Independent in the 2017 election at Batley and Spen.
It seems that HWDI is standing no candidate this time, but there is still time to declare, so that is not certain. I cannot say whether those who voted HWDI might now transfer their vote to Yorkshire Party. Perhaps.
I give little credence to the two minor British nationalist candidates, whose votes would probably have been tiny anyway, even had they not split whatever vote each might have had without close competition. Both are anti-Islam (or anti-Islamist), both are pro-Israel to some degree, neither has achieved much politically, though I commend anyone who keeps trying in the conditions of State repression, Jew-Zionist conspiracy and migration-invasion prevalent in the UK today.
I am not expecting either of those two ladies to score as high as 5% in Batley and Spen, or to get 5% even between the two of them. If either does retain her deposit, then she will have done well, indeed very well.
George Galloway? I hope that my bias against him does not prevent objectivity (he tweeted negative comments about me on Twitter, years ago, and also blocked my then Twitter account). He does not accept that old-style socialism died in and after 1989, and he is as outdated as the Battleship Potemkin.
I am unsure as to what level of support Galloway has among Muslims in Batley and Spen. Some, probably. All the same, if he scores 5%+ and retains his deposit, that would count as a major victory for him.
The LibDems likewise. They will be hoping, at best, for retention of their deposit, but I would expect them to end up with less than 5%.
Yorkshire Party? Perhaps the joker in this pack. I have no way of assessing their chances, except by reference to that mayoral election recently. 9.7% was a good result for a relatively new party (founded 2014 as “Yorkshire First”). They are very unlikely to win this by-election; the question is, if they do get a high-ish vote (over 5%), which of the two main System parties will be most damaged?
The Labour candidate is a mark of Labour desperation. Someone only there because her sister was assassinated (and later canonized, or at least beatified, by the System and msm).
The constituency having a fairly high non-white population (no exact figures found, but around a third), Labour’s expectations must be to win between a third and a half of the vote as a whole. Labour is now largely a black/brown party in terms of its voters; public service workers account for much of the remainder.
If the white population of Batley and Spen has turned away from Labour, even if not voting Conservative, then Labour has a problem.
My present feeling is that the Conservative Party candidate might win this. Labour is just not what most people want at present. The recent YouGov poll suggesting that about 37% to 23% think that Boris-idiot would make a better PM than Keir Starmer is stunning, even though I myself despise “Boris”. Likewise, latest polling on “Westminster voting intention” puts the Cons around 40% and Labour around 30%.
Ironically, the fact that the Labour candidate at Batley and Spen has not been a member of the Labour Party for very long might actually help her with the voters! On the other hand, voters may feel that, if Labour nationally is sliding, and unlikely to form a government any time soon (if ever), then they may as well vote in as MP someone who might be listened to by Government, and thus help the area more. Just a thought.
Much will depend on turnout; also on whether either or both of Galloway and the Yorkshire Party do well, and on whose votes those two take. Galloway will be aiming largely at the Muslim vote; as to Yorkshire Party, hard to say, but maybe they aim to capture white formerly Labour voters. If that is so, then Labour is again in trouble.
The Labour Party vote in Batley and Spen has been eroding steadily since the rigged 2016 by-election. Tracy Brabin jumped ship because she feared defeat at the next general election.
My feeling at the moment is that the Conservative Party might win this, but that it could either be very close, or it could be a total rout for Labour. My head says the former, but my heart is screaming for the latter.
Update, 6 June 2021
“John Rentoul@JohnRentoulPaul Halloran, the 3rd placed candidate in Batley & Spen in 2019, standing aside in by-election – boost for the Tories“
It seems that the said Halloran has now joined the no-chance Reclaim Party set up by the actor Laurence Fox, who now stands for free speech (except, it seems, where Jews disapprove or are mentioned). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurence_Fox.
It is clear that Reclaim Party will never amount to anything. As far as the Batley and Spen by-election in July is concerned, the stand-aside will obviously help the Conservative candidate, but what is unknown is by how many votes. Halloran received 12.2% of the vote in 2019, true, but Fox, in the recent London Mayoral Election, only 1.9%. I suppose that it might be surmised that Halloran, had he stood, might have garnered 5% of the by-election vote, possibly 10%, and maybe even 15%+, but the fact is that that is pure speculation. We do not know.
What we do know is that the above news is probably a blow for Labour. A few percent might decide this contest.
Update, 7 June 2021
The tweet below gives an idea of the local government situation within the Batley and Spen constituency area:
Some of those candidatures (UKIP, English Democrats, Heritage) will affect the contest between the two major contenders, taking away a few percent from the Conservatives, and the Green non-candidature will probably increase the Labour vote by a similar amount.
That Owen Jones YouTube piece is quite interesting; worth watching.
Looks as though both the white English voters and the brown Muslim voters are abandoning Labour. That may mean that Labour is up that well-known creek without a paddle…
I thought that Galloway might get 5%, then I thought 10%. Now I am wondering if he might not get 20%, or even more, and (as he says he might) beat Labour into third place. If that were to happen, Labour might get a vote around 20% or even below that…
Update, 22 June 2021
“The final fortnight of the Batley and Spen by-election has turned ugly up in West Yorkshire. Yesterday, the Mail on Sunday columnist Dan Hodges quoted an anonymous Labour official claiming that ‘We’re haemorrhaging votes among Muslim voters and the reason for that is what Keir has been doing on antisemitism… he challenged Corbyn on it and there’s been a backlash among certain sections of the community.’
Predictably such an incendiary quote sparked fury among Labour MPs with the hunt now on for the possible culprit. But as tensions rise in the seat and polls show a narrow six point lead, one familiar face seems all too happy to cause as much controversy as possible. Step forward George Galloway, the man who is incidentally polling at six per cent in this seat and who was sacked from TalkRadio in 2019 after claiming Tottenham Hotspur’s Champions League defeat meant there would be ‘no Israel flags on the cup.‘” [The Spectator] https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/galloway-gets-the-gang-back-together-in-batley-and-spen.
The fact is that Labour has been retaken by the Jewish lobby. Corbyn, its recent leader, is suspended and may be expelled. Keir Starmer is a Jewish lobby puppet, married to a Jewish woman lawyer, and they have children being brought up as if fully-Jewish.
Starmer has actually said, outright, that he is “a proud Zionist” who puts Israel first!
Labour has gradually, over a couple of decades, become the party of the blacks and browns, some public service workers, and a few other and smaller groups such as some of the “woke” Twitterati twits etc.
White (i.e. English) people generally have already abandoned Labour to a large extent. If, at Batley and Spen, the brown Muslim people are abandoning Labour, then Labour has no solid bloc supporting it. On the premises just shown, that would leave Labour with only a small minority vote.
It may be that that process of abandonment has not yet gone far enough to collapse Labour’s vote entirely, and it might even happen that Labour can pull the rabbit out of the hat and win, but that does look very unlikely.
What percentage vote-share will Labour get at Batley and Spen? It could be anywhere from 40% right down to 20%. When I first started this blog post, I was thinking that Labour would probably lose, but come a close second, with maybe as much as 40% or more of the vote. Now? Not sure. Again, my head is more cautious, thinking maybe 40%, but my instinct is again screaming out that Labour is going to go down to below 30%.
I thought, a month ago, that Galloway would do well to get 5% of the vote, but having seen some reports, it seems that the Muslims in the constituency are equating a vote for Labour with a vote for Israel. Galloway and his “Workers’ Party” may well end up with 10% or more of the vote. Goodbye Labour, if so.
While the Mark Wallace analysis is (if I say so myself) far less interesting than what I myself have blogged, his article being scarcely riveting, it was not complete rubbish, whereas that New Statesman article is simply substandard. It ties in Conservative Party support to what is happening with the “dreaded” (though actually overblown) “virus”, to the exclusion of all else. Very poor.
Labour is failing because it no longer has an identity, no longer has a purpose, nor any vision of a decent future, especially for white English people. The Conservative Party is “succeeding” at present because it is not Labour. Simple as that, in a more or less rigged, and more or less binary, electoral and political system.
I suppose that the only answer Kim Leadbeater can give is “White English people have pretty much binned Labour; if the blacks and browns abandon Labour, Labour has nothing left…”
Why does it take people who are not themselves British in any real sense to stand up for the values of this country? Where are the English people? Where is puppet-candidate Kim Leadbeater? Where is Labour? Where, indeed, is the misnamed “Conservative” Party?
Strange people, more frightened of Jayda Fransen and her few followers than by a migration invasion by millions of non-Europeans…
Women's sports are now for men who can't compete against other men
I should say that one big difference between the situation at Batley and Spen, as compared to that at Chesham and Amersham is that, at Chesham and Amersham, Labour voters who did not abstain voted LibDem tactically. I very much doubt, though, that many LibDem voters at Batley and Spen will vote Labour tactically, though some may.
Another difference: at Chesham and Amersham, the 2019 Labour vote was 12.9% of votes cast (20.6% in 2017); at Batley and Spen, the LibDem vote in 2019 was only 4.7% (2.3% in 2017).
In other words, tactical voting is of less importance in this particular by-election.
That BBC report gives the Muslim population, as a proportion of the electorate of Batley and Spen, as being around 20%. If most of them abandon Labour, that would halve, more or less, the 2019 Labour vote. Almost halve it, anyway.
If most whites (English) and most browns (Muslims etc) abandon Labour, then what does Labour have left in a place like Batley? 10% of the vote? 20%?
We shall soon see.
Meanwhile, the Jewish/Zionist lobby is desperate to save Keir Starmer, its puppet Labour Party leader, from humiliating defeat (despite the fact that most Jews vote Conservative):
George Galloway seems to be growing in popularity in Batley and Spen:
That piece made me laugh. Galloway really put the silly Channel 4 bimbo in her place. For Channel 4, the main talking point in Batley and Spen is that Galloway’s supporters are allegedly attacking the Labour candidate, Kim Leadbeater, because she is a lesbian.
It really is time for Channel 4 to have its rice bowl taken away.
The report did cover the Conservative and LibDem candidates as well. The Con man was, well, just that, in my opinion. A cautious woodentopped product of a Conservative Party public relations machine. No obvious original thought in his head. As for the LibDem, a pathetic damp squib limp-wrist, to be frank.
The more I see on TV etc about the by-election up there, the more I think it likely that Labour is going to get thrashed, which would mean that the Conservative Party will win, though not on merit.
Batley and Spen Labour Party by-election candidate Kim Leadbeater runs away from Muslims and others who do not want their young children taught about lesbianism etc. She is said to be a lesbian herself, and the “teaching LGBT-etc in schools” thing may damage her campaign with some voters, particularly Muslims.
Update, 26 June 2021
Update, 27 June 2021
The above statement was apparently made a year or two ago, and was posted on Twitter by a dissident Labour Party member in August 2020. I have been so far unable to find out in what year Starmer made that statement (assuming that he did) but he has anyway made plain many times that he fully supports the Jewish lobby and Israel. If he did not support it/them, then he would not have been “put in” as leader! I imagine that his Jewish wife would also have a few words to say to him!
Hardly surprising that many in Batley and Spen are not interested in helping Starmer by voting for Labour and Kim Leadbeater. Not only Muslim voters. Many others are very angry at the Jew-Zionist cabals that infest UK politics.
Exactly. The former Batley and Spen MP was a brainless ex-soap “star” (of whom I had never heard). Now Labour has selected another person with no real political profile.
The organized Israel/Jew lobby naturally want Zionist-controlled Labour and Kim Leadbeater to win. Voters of Batley and Spen take note…
Update, 28 June 2021
Kim Leadbeater, the Labour candidate, is plainly as thick as two short planks, and has quite obviously been drilled to deliver pathetic soundbites such as “there is no magic money tree“. She is one personification of why Labour is going nowhere but down.
If in 2019, Tracy Brabin and Labour only got 42.7%, almost half of that that would have been the Muslim vote. If, in this by-election, most of that Muslim vote disappears to Galloway (or to abstention), that would seem to reduce Labour to a vote-share around 30%. If half of the English former (2019) Labour voters also abstain or vote elsewhere, the Labour vote might reduce to around 20%, or less. That might knock Labour into third place.
Having said that, there is still all to play for at Batley and Spen. The Labour candidate still has as ammunition her local roots, the tradition of Labour voting locally, and the sympathy vote around the assassination of her sister (former MP Jo Cox) by a socio-political dissident. I have to say that I myself am sceptical that that sympathy vote even exists, but there it is.
Incidentally, there has been much msm and Twitter noise around the egg attack on Labour leafletters. Has it not occurred to anyone that that may have been locals expressing their opinion of the last thick-as-two-short-planks MP, Tracy Brabin, who was, it seems, one of those attacked?
Well, polling day is tomorrow. I shall post the result(s) here as well as on my daily blog.
It may be that Labour can still pull the rabbit out of the hat, but to my mind the campaign has sunk Labour, because it has exposed their candidate, Ms. Leadbeater, as a near-idiot who only joined Labour weeks ago, and is very obviously being used as a puppet to get a sympathy vote based on the 2016 Jo Cox assassination. A sympathy vote which I do not believe exists anyway in any strength.
The rigged 2016 by-election was won by Labour with a 85% vote-share only because Conservatives, LibDems and UKIP did not contest the seat, and on a miserable 25% turnout. It might even be argued that, in 2016, 80% or more of the eligible voters at Batley and Spen did not have sympathy…
My guess? 1. Conservative Party; 2. George Galloway (Workers’ Party); 3. Kim Leadbeater (Labour); 4. Yorkshire Party.
My feeling was that Labour would lose, and quite possibly come third. I was not correct. Labour won narrowly or, as they say on the racecourse, “by a neck, cleverly”.
Labour got a vote-share of 35.3%. The Conservative candidate got 34.4%. George Galloway, under the banner of the Workers’ Party, did better than many expected (21.9%); I at least got that right.
All other candidates, 13 in number, lost their deposits; LibDems 3.3%; Yorkshire Party 2.2%. The other 11 received vote-shares below half of one percent each. UKIP, on 0.4%, just beat the Monster Raving Loony (0.3%).
The small and supposedly “nationalist” parties were, as expected, an embarrassment. The English Democrats, whose candidate (Therese Hirst) actually wrote to my blog comments page to request a mention, seem to have withdrawn their candidature.
The For Britain party leader, Anne Marie Waters, got 0.3% (97 votes). Jayda Fransen did even worse, though on a par with her previous forays into doomed electioneering: 0.1% (50 votes). [nb. percentages approximate].
I shall discuss the result further on my blog post for 1 July 2021.
I distinguish between party and movement. Movement is wider. Any party can only be part of that wider movement.
As to party, narrowly, I think that a party is possible, though it would have to be understood from the beginning that it would never be able to “take power” in the usual way, by “getting elected”, simply because the whole system of elections and parties is now rigged.
Parties now have to be registered with the Electoral Commission in order to stand candidates under the party name at elections. Any party unable or unwilling to fit into the criteria of the Electoral Commission will either not be registered or may find itself deregistered, possibly just before an election. You can imagine what kind of (((objector))) might object to such a party, if the latter is social-nationalist.
Then there is the Equalities and Human Rights Commission, which in the past has interfered with the democratic process by fining or otherwise sanctioning parties as different as the Labour Party and the BNP. Guess what (((element))) was behind those interferences too. Yes, “them”…
G.K. Chesterton had a character in one of his Father Brown stories refer to a particular small seaside resort out of season as being as depressing “as a lost railway carriage“. That is exactly the feeling I get when I contemplate the small “nationalist” parties around in the past several years: Britain First, For Britain, the English Democrats etc.
The new organization, Patriotic Alternative [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patriotic_Alternative…note that (((certain enemies))) are trying to have even the Wikipedia entry deleted] is not as yet a political party officially, because its officials await “approval”. Can you imagine Hitler or Lenin applying for “approval”? I think not!
Patriotic Alternative is trying to form a wider social and political movement, and I generally like what little I see of them (online), though naturally the picture is mixed at this stage.
For me, a political party is essential but has to exist on the basis that its aim is not, certainly not primarily, “getting elected”.
How can such a party be formed and funded?
Formation: under one leader, not because I necessarily demand Fuhrerprinzip [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F%C3%BChrerprinzip] but because the Jew-Zionist enemy and the “antifascist” offshoots of the same will otherwise infiltrate any such national party and destroy it from the inside. I myself saw that happen to the National Front [NF] in 1975-1976, and from what I read, and am told, it happened later also to the British National Party [BNP]. Any “democratic” intra-party processes will be subverted by (((the usual suspects))).
Funding: the only way is to do as American churches and others do: “tithing”: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tithe. Via tithing, even a movement or party with 100 people might command funding of around £200,000 a year; one of 1,000 people might have an income of £2 million a year. That is not far short of the major System parties.
The above requires that the members have full confidence in the leaders. As Hamlet says, “aye, there’s the rub“…
Still, as we approach the very significant year 2022, we all must think on the dilemma:
“Whether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer The slings and arrows of outrageous fortune, Or to take Arms against a Sea of troubles, And by opposing end them.” [Shakespeare, Hamlet].
Tweets seen today
The tweeter “@gemmacdoyle” is right, insofar as “Labour” (-lite) under Tony Blair and Gordon Brown certainly did “change people’s lives“! Imported untold millions more black and brown immigrants; introduced the shambolic and dishonest ATOS organization to harass the disabled, unemployed and poor; made the UK into the 51st state of the USA in foreign policy terms; got the UK involved in disastrous wars in Iraq and Afghanistan; devalued exam results and university degrees; pretty much destroyed Parliamentary democracy in the UK; gave in to Sinn Fein/IRA in Northern Ireland; increased the influence of the Jew lobby in the UK; loaded the British population with personal debt. Etc.
Both of those tweeters are of course effectively enemies of the British people, though in slightly different ways, just as Corbyn-Labour and Blair/Brown-Labour are or were.
“The atmosphere has become so febrile that some Haredim, as the ultra-Orthodox are collectively known, have pinned yellow Star of David badges on their jackets and labeled recent police crackdowns in Bnei Brak as “Kristallnacht.” [CNN]
I happened to see the tweet below by Nick Griffin:
I hate to criticize any British nationalists unless they are obviously either controlled opposition or completely degenerate, but what on Earth is Griffin talking about?!
I have never met Jayda Fransen, and have never had any contact with her, but if Griffin is correct that she is “head and shoulders above anyone else on the UK scene“, then I despair…
I am just watching the video in that tweet. Based on that video, Jayda Fransen is no less articulate than many System party MPs, but that is, frankly, not saying much.
I looked up Jayda Fransen on Wikipedia, but the entry about her is not very enlightening: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jayda_Fransen. Wikipedia is (((infested))) and that comes out in its more “political” articles.
Jayda Fransen’s Wikipedia entry contains little about her as a person. No date or place of birth, no educational details, no family details.
I have now attempted to discover a few facts about her. If any readers have any further or better information, preferably verifiable, to add to what I have discovered, it can be left in the Comments section below.
It seems that Jayda Fransen was born in 1986, making her about 34.
In the video which I am now watching, Jayda Fransen refers to a time when she “practised law for many years“, presumably as a solicitor. Certainly I (who was a practising barrister) have never heard of any Jayda Fransen who was a barrister. I have just looked at the Bar Registry: no trace.
There is no trace of Jayda Fransen as a solicitor either, whether on the present roll of solicitors or on the record of struck-off former solicitors (see: Solicitors’ Regulation Authority website).
I did see this, https://www.allinlondon.co.uk/directory/solicitors/67054-martin-wilkinson, which indicates that at some point many years ago, Jayda Fransen was working for a “one-man band” solicitor, based in Forest Hill, South London and/or at Thamesmead in South East London. At that time she was apparently doing a correspondence course for a degree in law (LLB).
It is unarguable that merely working in a solicitor’s office is not “practising law” in normal English usage.
That Martin Wilkinson solicitor’s office is now, it seems, closed.
Conclusion: Jayda Fransen is not and never was a solicitor or barrister. Indeed, it is an open question whether she even has a law degree.
Jayda Fransen herself has only stood for election once, at the 2014 Rochester and Strood by-election, where she represented the Britain First party.
I have not been very impressed by the Jayda Fransen video which I have just seen. Muslims mentioned but no mention at all of the Jew-Zionist influence in the msm, or in politics, legal system, finance etc.
There was no attempt in the video to address the serious problems facing the UK and Europe, whether the problems are economic, racial, or cultural.
I could also do without the references to “Lefties”. That is Daily Mail or Sun-speak from the 1980s, and says nothing, really. I myself never use such meaningless terms as “Right”, “Left” etc. As for the frequent use of “Marxist”, that will convey little to most people, certainly to the bulk of the people.
Trump: why support that idiot? He is a parrot in a gilded cage, guarded by a troop of Jews. Even his son-in-law is a Jew!
She seems to have tattoos on her arms.
Jayda Fransen seems to be a pleasant enough person, not completely unintelligent either. I could agree with some of what she said in her video. However, speaking politically, she is a non-starter in my view, though I am not “opposed” to her as such, and at least she seems to have the energy to get out and do things, which itself distinguishes her.
I have read the “manifesto” of the new party; again, I can agree with much of it.
This is not the new movement that Britain needs.
[Update, same day: I have been sent the video below since I published the above assessment of Jayda Fransen:
Jayda Fransen when she was a leading member of the Britain First party, in Golders Green (North London) with Paul Golding, who is still its leader and, as I understand, Ms. Fransen’s ex-boyfriend.
Spouting nonsense about how wonderful the Jews are…
Absolutely naive, ridiculous and stupid. To choose between Islamists and the Jewish lobby is a false choice, for one thing. Apart from that, Ms. Fransen either is unaware of the effects of the negative influence of the Jew-Zionist element on race and culture in the UK, in Europe, in the world, or thinks it acceptable.
I was willing to be favourable, in principle, to this new British Freedom Party, or at least even-handed, but I have seen and heard enough now. In the formula of Dragons’ Den, “I’m out“!
What on Earth is Nick Griffin playing at?]
[Update, 14 October 2021: since the above was written, Jayda Fransen stood as candidate at the July 2021 by-election at Batley and Spen. The result was that Labour just held on against the Conservative Party, with George Galloway coming in a fairly strong third. As for Jayda Fransen, she came in 15th out of 16 candidates. Her 50 votes (out of 37,695) represented 0.13% of turnout. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Batley_and_Spen_by-election#Result. Point proven, I think…].
I have seen nothing about Katie Hopkins in the msm since she was expelled from Twitter, though she is still on YouTube and Facebook. At present she herself is in the USA.
As I have blogged previously, the “alt-Right” put all its lucrative eggs in one basket— social media. Take that away (at the clamour of “antifa” idiots and the Jews behind them) and they have nothing on which to fall back; no political parties, no street armies, no armed cadres. Without social media, they just fade away.
Look at “Prison Planet” Watson. His quite popular rants against the migration invasion, the “virus” fear propaganda etc, are fine as far as they go, but (like Ms. Hopkins) he puts forward no political programme. A megaphone with little behind it. Also like Ms. Hopkins, he never defended —as far as I have seen— those who have actually been suffering for years in the cause of free speech in the UK, meaning, inter alia, me, Alison Chabloz, Jez Turner etc.
Both Katie Hopkins and Paul Joseph Watson make a big song and dance about being pro-Jew and pro-Israel. That puts them in the “useless” category as far as I am concerned. You can add Breitbart, “Milo”, “Sargon of Akkad”, Tommy Robinson and many others to the same list, then chuck it in the bin.
More tweets seen
"Tradition is not the worship of ashes, but the preservation of fire."
The poster shown above is symptomatic of the “new Britain” which is not worth defending but eminently worth replacing: a mixed-race woman, of child-bearing age, wearing a mask-muzzle, and both propagandizing and socially-intimidating the public, all under the “caring-sharing” NHS banner…
If the UK is now acceptedly not a democracy (even a Parliamentary one), not under valid law, not even under competent administration, then anything is justified by way of resistance.
A cultural revolution, indeed at first a cultural purge, is the most necessary revolutionary action in the UK. The mass media is sick and rotten to the core, the worst of all being the BBC. There has to be a wholesale purge of mass media personnel. Press, online outlets, TV, radio etc. TV is the worst. Harsh measures are necessary.
While I do not accept the mainstream narrative re. the overall causation of climate change, a change is in some form happening. The major problem that the world has is that there are too many people, and that really means too many black, brown and yellow people: persons of African and Asian descent, mainly. Numbers. Percentages too.
Zionist and “Antifa” activities contra free speech
The tweet below shows how the Zionist lobby, via the “antifa” “useful idiots” is engaging in a “deplatforming” strategy.
The above tweet refers to events in the USA, but applies to the UK and mainland Europe to an equal extent.
It is clear that, for social nationalists, online activism, though good and useful, is not enough. Do not be dependent on it, or on funds from it. As for those enemies intent on taking away your rights, you cannot oppose them effectively just by tweeting, leaving messages on Facebook or, for that matter, writing a blog.
The most brilliant staging of it that I have ever seen.