Tag Archives: Kim Leadbeater

Diary Blog, 29 June 2021: mainly about the “panicdemic”, the Labour Party, and the Batley and Spen by-election campaign

Batley and Spen

I continue to update my blog post about the upcoming by-election on a daily basis: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/. 2 days remaining.

Tweets seen

Despite being generally a “good citizen” (most of the time, I think), I have sympathy with that attitude. We have had an entirely faked communitarianism forced upon us since the “panicdemic” started (started to be promoted). All those idiots clapping on command outside their houses, and so on. The entirely pointless facemask nonsense. The hero-worship of the (not always but quite often) rather poor NHS. All of that.

Does that count as “sex work”?

I blogged about Sajid Javid a couple of years ago, when he was first appointed to Cabinet: see https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/07/25/the-boris-johnson-cabinet/. An ex-Muslim pro-Israel fanatic and Ayn Rand devotee.

Yet Starmer says that he will stay on whatever the result. He is not his own man. He is “under orders”…

When I had a Twitter account (the Jew cabal on Twitter had me expelled in 2018), I was occasionally retweeted by that tweeter, “@JohnEdwards33”, a pleasant-seeming old stick who is a former fire chief from the West Midlands (I think). I say that despite his calling me “a dreadful fascist”!

As I have blogged, Labour is a party which started off as a “working class” party for organized industrial workers, miners, shop workers etc. That party then took on a “middle class” and/or intellectual element from the 1930s; that “coalition” was the basis for the Labour governments of 1945-51, 1964-70, and 1974-79.

The migration-invasion of those years, though resented by many white English people (it mainly affected England), was on a relatively-limited scale compared to what came later, particularly from 1997, when the Jews in the Tony Blair government started to import millions of immigrants quite deliberately, in order to destroy British (esp. English) society. About 5 millions were imported in those years (1997-2010). That has contiued unabated, and the immigrants or migrant-invaders have been breeding prolifically.

Labour slowly, since 1997, has become a party largely supported by the “blacks and browns”. It kept its support in the public sector workforce, still largely white and English/Welsh/Scottish, until 2010, but the wider white electorate was starting to abandon Labour, just as Labour had abandoned those people.

In Scotland, Labour collapsed as the SNP rose and then reached the First Past The Post tipping point. The SNP went from 6 Commons seats in 2010 to 50 in 2015. Scottish Labour went in the opposite direction, from 46 to 1. Scottish Labour now has only 16,000 members. Out of 5.4 million inhabitants in Scotland.

In England, under Corbyn, Labour did better than often thought in 2017, but since then its inherent contradictions have created fissures in its structure and its popular support. It still has the support of the blacks, broadly, but they and the mixed-race are only between 5% and 10% of the population.

The traditional white English Labour-voters at first kept with Labour, but the combination of relentless Jewish-produced propaganda against Corbyn, and the perception that Labour was basically for blacks and browns, for mass immigration etc, meant that those white voters just voted with their feet. Almost as many abstained in 2019 as defected to other parties:

There was, under Corbyn, the feeling that Labour at least believed in public services, but since Starmer took over, we have heard time and again the pathetic refrain parrotted by, again, Kim Leadbeater this week, about government having “no magic money tree“. The Rachel Reeves song…

The Muslims were still almost Labour en bloc in 2017, but since Corbyn was replaced by Jewish-lobby puppet Keir Starmer, they have begun to abandon Labour too. At Batley, they have an alternative in Galloway and his Workers’ Party. The Muslims do not all support Galloway, but will vote for him to hit out at Starmer’s Labour Party.

As for white voters at Batley, I suspect that those who would never vote Conservative will either not vote at all, or may vote for Galloway or one of the other small-party candidates, as a protest.

Labour finds itself a nullity: it abandoned actual “socialism”, or social democracy, in the 1990s; it destroyed much of the feeling of Britain as a nation by importing millions of non-Europeans and further millions from other parts of Europe; it follows the “Conservative” line on economics and social welfare (indeed is now more “conservative” than the Conservatives!); and despite its lying by-election leaflets at Batley, it is completely under the control of the Jewish lobby and Israel.

So who would vote Labour now, broadly? The West Indians, most of the Twitterati (twits), some students, remnants of traditional Labour voting. Few others. Maybe 25% or so of the population, if that. Yes, polls still give Labour up to 35%, but that is probably because people do not want to say “don’t know” or the like.

I may be mistaken, but I can see the Conservatives winning fairly clearly at this by-election, followed, quite likely, by Galloway, then Labour. The Labour vote? At a guess, around 25%.

More tweets

Interesting: “…came back with eggs“. Came back from where? Parked cars nearby? Houses nearby? Sounds as if the attackers were locals, and as if Labour is now very very unpopular in the Batley and Spen area. Reminds me of the old joke: Soviet leader— “you can’t make an omelette without breaking eggs.” Soviet citizen— “well, we see the eggshells, but where’s the food?“…Labour Party, take note.

People dislike the present government but, crucially, still prefer it to a Starmer (or any Labour?) one (which in any case cannot exist before 2024).

Afternoon music

Late tweets

So out in 6 years, as against being taken in a helicopter to a point about 20 miles offshore in the Atlantic and dumped.

…and at Wimbledon, a load of over-wealthy idiots were clapping the woman who developed that vaccine.

The facemask nonsense must go. Now.

Has that Tom Peck scribbler yet stopped a milkshake or an egg?

Quite. It seems that millions of people in the UK are in need of a good-quality bullshit detector…

Well, the fact is that the Labour candidate is a former or one-time personal trainer who has no political experience, and indeed who only joined Labour about 6 weeks ago. She seems to get her income out of the Jo Cox Foundation “charity”, if I am not mistaken in what I read. If she were to become the MP, it would be very nice for her but useless for the Batley population; and Boris-idiot would still have a Commons majority of 80.

I also take with a pinch of salt the Con Party candidate, but it surely stands to reason that he might be able to attract investment or assistance from central government. He might not be able to, true, but there is every reason to suppose that Kim Leadbeater would not and could not. In any case, she is a poorly-educated local woman whose ideas about finance and government spending only stretch as far as parrotting rubbish about “magic money trees”. Frankly, she comes across to me as an idiot.

The fear engendered by lying “panicdemic” propaganda has largely though not entirely dissipated, but the stupid “rules” laid down, like the asinine facemask nonsense, have almost taken on a life of their own. Few are really afraid of suddenly being “struck down” by “Covid” (which for most is akin to a mild cold) but many are scared, not of “the virus” but of the social disapprobation if they ditch the facemasks.

This government has spent £300 BILLION (and rising) pointlessly on this farrago of nonsense.

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Diary Blog, 28 June 2021

Batley and Spen

I continue to update my blog post re. the upcoming by-election: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/. 3 days left.

Tweets seen

Let’s hope so. While I do not particularly want the “Conservative” to win at Batley, I do want the “Labour” (Labour-label) candidate to lose!

As for lifting “Covid restrictions”, yes! As soon as possible. There never should have been any “lockdown” shutdown, facemask nonsense etc in the first place.

Ah, one Dan Bloom, who apparently is the “online Political Editor” of the Daily Mirror. The proportion of Jewish individuals involved in political reporting and commentating in the UK is very high. Too high.

Kim Leadbeater may be a “local candidate” but she has been co-opted into fronting a Labour Party campaign at Batley and Spen that is controlled by members of Labour Friends of Israel— Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Lisa Nandy etc.

I blogged about political joke, Paul Mason, yesterday. So what if the Conservatives get another seat? They have a Commons majority of 80 anyway! What matters is to hit Starmer and the Labour Friends of Israel cabal which controls the Labour leadership. Voters of Batley should vote anywhere but Labour.

A new party or movement can only arise when the existing System parties, especially Labour, collapse. Start the avalanche!

Quite, though Kim Leadbeater is not really a politician, of course, but just a convenient “monkey on a stick” for a Labour Friends of Israel cabal. Of course she does not understand monetary (or other) policy! As I understand it, she is a former personal trainer who is paid for doing work for the “charity” set up in her deceased sister’s name. If anyone knows facts to the contrary, comment here and I may print the rebuttal.

Batley and Spen should elect an MP with the ability to help the area.

Interesting map

This map shows the proportion of all white pupils as of January 2020 across England, with blues and purples showing higher numbers and oranges and yellows showing lower numbers. In parts of London, there is a greater proportion of non-white pupils than white pupils. Outside of London, there is a greater proportion of white pupils than non-white pupils

London has fallen! Draw a line from southwest of Bristol to the Isle of Wight. That is the redoubt for English people…

More tweets

https://twitter.com/danielpholt/status/1409410296389812224?s=20

That has been increasingly my feeling over the past weeks. Kim Leadbeater, the Labour candidate, is plainly as thick as two short planks, and has quite obviously been drilled to deliver pathetic soundbites such as “there is no magic money tree“. She is one personification of why Labour is going nowhere but down.

Most of the Muslims in the by-election area seem to have all but given up on Labour now that it is back under Jewish-lobby control.

As for the white English voters, who are at least 75% of the electorate, most of them had already given up on Labour even in 2019: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s.

If in 2019, Tracy Brabin and Labour only got 42.7%, almost half of that that would have been the Muslim vote. If, in this by-election, most of that Muslim vote disappears to Galloway (or to abstention), that would seem to reduce Labour to a vote-share around 30%. If half of the English former (2019) Labour voters abstain or vote elsewhere, the Labour vote might reduce to around 20%, or less. That might knock Labour into third place.

Having said that, there is still all to play for at Batley and Spen. The Labour candidate still has as ammunition her local roots, the tradition of Labour voting locally, and the sympathy vote around the assassination of her sister (former MP Jo Cox) by a socio-political dissident. I have to say that I myself am sceptical that that sympathy vote even exists, but there it is.

Incidentally, there has been much msm and Twitter noise around the egg attack on Labour leafletters. Has it not occurred to anyone that that may have been locals expressing their opinion of the last thick-as-two-short -planks MP, Tracy Brabin, who was (it seems) one of those attacked? She seems to be unpopular up there, perhaps because she stepped down as MP as soon as she got a job with more money…

More tweets seen

Neither of the tweeters above are quite right, as the record shows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s.

Leaving aside the rigged 2016 by-election, in which “Labour” was the only major (i.e. System) party standing, it can be seen that the Labour vote rose in 2017 to 55.5%, compared to only 43.2% when Jo Cox was the candidate in 2015.

In 2019, the Labour vote fell back to 42.7%, but that was still in the same region as the 43.2% Jo Cox managed, or her predecessor, Mike Wood, whose last vote, in 2010, was only 41.5%.

Yes, the betting market only gets election results right about half of the time. Labour is now between 7/2 and 4/1 against, but the Conservatives are 1/4 on…very firm favourites. The result is not completely certain, so I should say that that odds-on offer is not a value bet. I myself would not bet on Labour winning, but 4/1 might yet be a value bet for anyone willing to risk a little money.

[Labour Party sliding to oblivion]

French news

In an interview on CNews, General Dominique Delawarde alluded to a group of people who control the global media.

When the Jewish interviewer asked who he was referring to, General Delawarde said: “This is the community that you know well.”

Although the general did not mention the Jewish community explicitly, the host of the show, Jean-Marc Morandini, abruptly cut him off and ended the interview segment.

The Paris prosecutor’s office has begun an investigation into General Delawarde, stating: “The Paris prosecutor’s office today opened an investigation into the heads of public defamation and incitement to hatred and violence on the grounds of origin or belonging to an ethnic group, nation, race or religion.””

So one brief allusion to Jews controlling the global mass media, not even saying it outright…and a distinguished senior officer has his interview cut short by a Jewish interviewer, and the powerful Jewish/Israel lobby in Paris starts to have the officer persecuted by —and quite likely later prosecuted by— State (((prosecutors))).

Jews in Europe are concentrated in and around a few large cities: Paris (the largest grouping), London and, in Russia, Moscow [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_population_by_country#Jewish_population_by_city].

Notes: https://www.centrafriqueledefi.com/pages/biographies-histoire/un-general-ne-devrait-pas-dire-ca-par-dominique-delawarde.html; https://fr.linkedin.com/in/dominique-delawarde-48503740; https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9514863/Twenty-retired-French-generals-call-MILITARY-RULE-country.html

Why are UK schoolteachers often so ignorant?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9732119/Boy-11-told-class-wanted-alms-needy-reported-PREVENT.html

An 11-year-old Muslim schoolboy who told his class that he wanted to give charity to the needy was referred to controversial anti-terrorism watchdog Prevent after his teacher mistook the word ‘alms’ for ‘arms’.” [Daily Mail].

I have to say that I agree with what the Muslim below says about this:

Attiq Malik, director of Liberty Law Solicitors, told MailOnline: ‘Yet again we see another example of a ‘fail’ by the Government’s Prevent Programme on vulnerable impressionable children, highlighting why the Programme is potentially harmful and needs to be scrapped as it simply does not work.

‘In the current economic climate, teachers are barely equipped properly to carry out their teaching duties, let alone the additional policing duties imposed on them by Prevent. 

Criminal legislation and safeguarding policies have always existed to protect the public and the vulnerable members of our society. There is no need for a policy that is nothing less than the equivalent of using a sledgehammer to crack a nut and thus unnecessary.’ 

Mr Malik insists that the Prevent referral could still cause issues for the family, telling the Guardian: ‘Every time a Prevent referral is made, it generates a record with the Home Office and various other intelligence agencies.” [Daily Mail]

The fact that I would rather that no large Muslim populations existed in the UK is a separate matter.

Imagine a “teacher” so ignorant that he or she has never heard of the word “alms”! Sadly, schoolteaching, especially in the State sector, tends to be something in the UK that people do when they can do little else. The standards are often abysmal (as can be seen on TV quiz shows).

As for the “Prevent” nonsense, I wrote about it a few years ago on this blog: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2018/05/30/one-mans-extremism-is-another-mans-struggle-for-liberty-and-justice/.

Free speech campaigners including Toby Young have raised concerns that invoking the Prevent duty ‘threatens the involvement of the state’s security powers and real and serious interference with freedom of expression‘.” [Daily Mail].

Looking now at the comments of the Daily Mail readers, I see that 95% agree with me…

Afternoon music

Composed by Glazunov at age 16.

London— zoo news

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/nhs-hospital-rape-eric-lakidi-jailed-epsom-security-police-b942920.html; https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/robbery-chelsea-pensioners-home-met-police-release-images-two-men-b942575.html; https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/black-lives-matter-sasha-johnson-shooting-peckham-b942604.html; https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/swiss-cottage-bus-stabbing-schoolboy-b942543.html; https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/sydenham-murder-investigation-teen-stabbing-crime-met-b942770.html

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[Pyongyang, North Korea]

Interesting video

That one province has a population of over 45 million.

More tweets

https://twitter.com/ABexley88/status/1409424681380335620?s=20

Of course, arrival figure are not the whole story. Births to immigrants are as important, if not more so.

https://twitter.com/ABexley88/status/1409517010418085890?s=20

It was not always thus. Below, me, aged just 10, late Summer 1966, with then Labour Party leader and Prime Minister, Harold Wilson. On the quay at Hugh Town, St. Mary’s, Isles of Scilly. I am on (oddly) the extreme left of the photo:

I cannot imagine Harold Wilson (whatever the flaws in his policies may have been) getting down on his knee(s) in sign of fealty to black mobs, as have Keir Starmer and Angela Rayner.

https://twitter.com/Steve_Laws_/status/1409484539123187718?s=20

As the real parasites are allowed to flood by the million into our once “green and pleasant land”…

https://twitter.com/Steve_Laws_/status/1409520861934145545?s=20

https://twitter.com/Steve_Laws_/status/1409521630695636995?s=20

https://twitter.com/Steve_Laws_/status/1409438598378700800?s=20

Where is supposedly hardline anti-invasion Cabinet minister, Priti Patel (who should not be here herself)? Laughing at the British people with her Israeli friends?

Anyway, a few hundred or a thousand invaders a week might be regarded as a bagatelle when Boris-idiot, in his role as NWO/ZOG/Coudenhove-Kalergi part-Jew puppet, has now invited no less than 6 MILLION Hong Kong Chinese to come and live here.

https://twitter.com/Steve_Laws_/status/1409421606376677376?s=20

This is only the start…

I cannot say that I have a huge amount of time for Galloway, but at first I thought that he would do well to get 5% of the vote. As the by-election campaign has progressed, I have realized that that was a gross underestimate. He may well get not only most of the Muslim votes but also a sizeable chunk of disaffected white English former Labour votes. If so, he could be in with a good chance of at least coming in second.

Unlikely that Galloway will win (though I thought that of the LibDems at Chesham and Amersham). If he did, though, that really would be a political earthquake, not because Galloway might go on to form a party of any size, but because it would show that vast numbers of people in the UK are very tired and angry at the way in which this country has been misgoverned for decades.

Hartlepool, Chesham and Amersham, Batley and Spen. Are they listening? How can they be forced to listen?…

Exactly. The simple people think in terms of government having a kind of Mrs. Thatcher’s purse, or a chest with money in it (in gold coins, very likely), and that once that is spent, “there is no money left”. Few, even MPs or candidates, bother to learn even basic macro-economics, and that is why you get stupid people such as Kim Leadbeater, the doomed (?) Labour candidate at Batley and Spen (though she only joined Labour about 6 or 7 weeks ago!) parrotting nonsense about “magic money trees” etc. Pitiful.

https://twitter.com/MatthewPFirth/status/1409529462631243780?s=20

Kim Leadbeater, despite not even having belonged to Labour for more than a month or two, is clearly part of that corrupt, dishonest, PR-spinning, Blairite-Brownite, New Labour ghastliness. After all, her own sister was a Labour-label MP who herself was married to a sex pest quasi-rapist (who made about £200,000 a year from a charity)… The people don’t want that kind of “Labour”.

If I were a voter of Batley and Spen, I would demand full disclosure from Kim Leadbeater about her income, and from where exactly it comes.

The tweet below by one Darren Gray made me laugh. I saw a few today like it.

As if it changes anything at all that Boris-idiot has a majority of 80 or one of 81! Labour would have to win about 80 by-elections to force out the present government.

What if Labour manages to retain Batley an Spen? Unlikely, but what if? Well, Starmer would probably not be forced out. Apart from that, nothing. Either another Jewish-lobby puppet such as Rachel Reeves or Lisa Nandy would take over, or Angela Rayner, who seems as thick as two short planks, and who also bent the knee, alongside Starmer, to both the Jewish lobby and the black mobs; or maybe some creature such as Dawn Butler would become Labour leader, thus accelerating Labour’s demise.

In fact, even if Labour wins at Batley and Spen, the snatched victory would mean nothing. The margin would probably be tiny, and all of Labour’s problems of role, identity, meaning, and purpose, would remain.

At present, I am thinking that the result might be (probably will be) Conservatives to win, followed (possibly) by Galloway, and with Labour in third place.

Late tweets

A few simple designations or acronyms cover this: NWO, ZOG, Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan, Bilderberg, Zionist lobby.

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Diary Blog, 27 June 2021

Batley and Spen by-election

I continue to update daily my blog post on the Batley and Spen by-election, which occurs on Thursday 1 July 2021. 4 days remaining. https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/.

Amusing that the Jewish Chronicle has focussed on the fact that many voters will not vote for Kim Leadbeater (Labour candidate) because she is a lesbian whose party leader, Starmer, is a very obvious puppet of the Jew-Zionist/Israel lobby:

As for “Lord Walney”, that is John Woodcock, the sex pest depressive case who was “Labour”-label MP for Barrow and Furness, and who jumped ship when about to be binned, only to be “elevated” to the House of Lords by “Conservative” Boris-idiot. A complete puppet of the Israel lobby, who has had his reward…. See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2017/05/04/john-woodcock-barrow-and-furness-and-the-general-election-2017/; https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/02/09/diary-blog-9-february-2021-including-further-assessment-of-john-woodcock/; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barrow_and_Furness_(UK_Parliament_constituency); https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Woodcock,_Baron_Walney;

As for Starmer…

…and that was said long ago. Since then, Starmer has proven that that is true time and again. He’s just a puppet, as leader of the dying Labour Party.

Little Matt Hancock

Hancock has resigned. He will find his political career finished now, at least in Government. Boris-idiot will not take him on again, so avoiding msm and public flak, and “Boris” can now blame Hancock for any and all “Covid” lapses since early 2020…

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/09/09/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-matt-hancock-story/

Afternoon music

Tweets seen

I expect that will mean that Galloway gets far more votes as a consequence, from both English and brown Muslim voters. I hope that that will be the case.

This is where the State can perform its proper regulatory function, by laying down maxima.

Conclusion: the System is not working for most people…

#Ahnenerbe

More tweets

The fallout from the Hancock, Cummings and other scandals has impacted public sentiment, but at the end of the day Labour is still 8 points behind arguably the most shambolic government Britain has had for a century or more.

There is also the point that, unless “Boris” decides to chuck in the job at which he is useless, he and his party will be sitting there, immovable until, in theory at least, December 2024.

The Jewish/Israel lobby wants Labour’s Kim Leadbeater to win. What a surprise…

I read a couple (certainly one) of Mason’s books. On economics he is interesting, informed, and sometimes correct. On politics, though, he is a joke, completely hopeless. Somewhere in the middle of a mess of Trotskyist, syndicalist, and “anti-fascist” nonsense. Incongruent, and often ignorant. He is part-Jew, too, a fact not generally known. Like another part-Jewish scribbler, Owen Jones, he likes to talk in terms of “class struggle”, and is as out of date as the Berlin Wall, if not the Front Populaire.

At the end of the day, if Labour wins at Batley and Spen, all that happens is that another member of the same family as Jo Cox gets a “nice little earner”, and Keir Starmer gets a reprieve as Labour leader. The area and its people get absolutely nothing. The Conservatives at Westminster will still have a majority of 80.

If the Conservative Party candidate wins at Batley, the area may get more government assistance, financial or otherwise. The Conservatives at Westminster will have a majority of 81 instead of 80. No real difference to them, but Batley area might benefit.

It is very unlikely that Galloway can win, but at least a vote for him hits the Jewish cabal ruling Labour, and hits them hard.

Late tweets

Presumably not from a candidate in the by-election!

Quite. What does Labour actually stand for? I ask the question often in the blog. “And answer came there none”…

Maybe not quite fair. After all, for any pro-EU, “anti-racist” and probably “LGBT” virtue-signallers, who probably live in certain parts of London, love Jewish things, are probably pro-Israel, and believe any nonsense pumped out about the so-called “holocaust”, and who love “Black Lives Matter” nonsense, and facemask nonsense, Labour probably speaks to you. Sadly for Labour, that is 5%, or at most 10%, of the population. For anyone else, Labour is effectively a nullity now. Zero.

I feel (very slightly) sorry for the Labour candidate, who seems pretty dim, all but uneducated, and is obviously way out of her depth in this by-election.

Late music

Diary Blog, 25 June 2021, including some historical notes on officially-approved “youth movements”

Batley and Spen by-election

I continue to update my assessment of the Batley and Spen by-election, which is to be held next Thursday, 1 July 2021: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/

Afternoon music

Yellow River - panoramio.jpg

Victoria

I have been watching the dramatization of the life of Queen Victoria. Very good, and unlike most such docu-dramas, does not leave out the major political and socio-economic currents flowing at the time. Very intelligently planned, and finely-acted.

As always, there are imperfections. In the double-length episode I saw today, some lady was playing a piece by Rachmaninov on the piano, though the name of the composer was not mentioned. Anachronistic, in that this was set around 1850. Rachmaninov was born in 1873! So the TV people got it wrong by about 50 years!

Dramatized history is ever thus. In fact, other episodes of Victoria were also rather loose with the historical truth, as when Drummond, the secretary of the Prime Minister Sir Robert Peel, is shot in mistake for Peel. That did happen, but not at all as shown.

The series was based on a book by A.N. Wilson, who is a readable writer, but not always a good historian. I once read one of his books which was so replete with historical inaccuracies that I was surprised that no-one at his publishers had corrected them. In fact, I reviewed the book on Amazon UK, where I was a “top 50” reviewer, but the Jew lobby had all my reviews removed from Amazon some years ago.

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Europe is dwarfed by the burgeoning power of China. In every way— population, overall economic strength, military might. Even the USA is now challenged. The response by the USA (as well as Europe and Russia) to that challenge will define what the second half of this century, as well as succeeding centuries, will look like.

Justice?

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/thug-who-dogs-tear-animals-24390497

This was not justice but entirely misplaced mercy. Look at his previous convictions and (again) far too lenient previous sentences.

Tweets seen

So it begins…

Dump them all back in Africa somewhere (anywhere).

I agree. There should have been also, a mass civil disobedience to the facemask nonsense, with businesses openly ignoring the so-called “rules”. Businesses have almost all cravenly submitted to the Government diktats, so screw them.

Answer: bulldoze it with all MPs and their sycophants still inside. Then plant a wood on the hill of rubble.

https://www.iwm.org.uk/collections/item/object/1060047698

In fact, both the German movements for organized youth, and those of the Soviet Union, were inspired by and loosely based on the ideas of Baden-Powell and his Boy Scouts and Girl Guides movement(s): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Baden-Powell,_1st_Baron_Baden-Powell.

In Germany, the NSDAP set up both the Hitlerjugend [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hitler_Youth] and the Bund Deutscher Mädel [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/League_of_German_Girls].

[Hitler with members of the Hitlerjugend]
[girls of the BDM, riding]

What is less-known is that the German Communist Party [KPD] in the 1920s, early 1930s, and 1949-1989 also had such an organization: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Young_Communist_League_of_Germany, members of which included some persons later prominent in the post-WW2 DDR (East Germany), such as Erich Honecker [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erich_Honecker] and Markus Wolf [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markus_Wolf].

Subject to correction, I believe that the (German) Social Democrat Party [SPD] also had its own youth movement in the 1918-33 period.

In the Soviet Union, the equivalent organization would be the Young Pioneers [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimir_Lenin_All-Union_Pioneer_Organization]. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artek_(camp)

[induction of a Young Pioneer]

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These people should be on our side!

More tweets seen

Batley and Spen Labour Party by-election candidate Kim Leadbeater runs away from Muslims (and others?) who do not want their young children taught about lesbianism etc. She is said to be a lesbian.

This must damage her campaign, especially with Muslim voters.

I note that System politics website Politics for All is careful to note that Ms. Leadbeater is “Jo Cox’s sister“. Labour is still hoping that the sympathy vote (if it exists), 5 years on, will win the by-election for Ms. Leadbeater. I have no idea whether or not there actually is, or ever was, a “sympathy vote” for Labour arising out of the assassination of the MP Jo Cox by a dissident in 2016. Now? Doubtful, though Ms. Leadbeater is obviously helped by her local roots.

Labour is totally desperate. I wonder, though, what real impact the Conservatives are making at Batley and Spen. All the noise is about either Kim Leadbeater or George Galloway. Is that the Conservative tactic, to keep quiet, and let Galloway bleed Labour of Muslim votes, rather than the Conservatives making noise and so perhaps triggering at least some white voters to vote Labour? Or is that too Machiavellian?

Looking at the past decade, and leaving out the rigged by-election of 2016, the Conservatives have been between 30% and 40% at Batley and Spen [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s], Labour between 42% and 56%. If most of the Muslim vote abstains or votes for Galloway, that must take Labour down to somewhere around 30%. That gives the prize, probably, to the Conservatives. If most of the Muslim vote abandons Labour, and many 2019 Labour white, i.e. English, voters also abandon Labour, then the Conservatives will win easily.

I cannot see Galloway actually winning. He would have to get almost all of the Muslim vote and quite a lot of English votes to do that. Never say never, of course, but it is very unlikely. Having said that, I started off thinking that he might get 5%, then thought maybe 10%. Now I am wondering whether he might not top 20% or more, but the truth is that I am guessing.

Having now read the above article, I cannot say that I am much impressed. I have (if I say so myself) made the same points previously, and better. The point about whether a Conservative Party MP would be better-placed to attract central government support in a Conservative Party-dominated Parliament is a good one, though again one that I have myself made several times in relation both to this by-election, the recent Hartlepool one, and generally.

I have never been to the Batley area. I have no idea what kind of personal popularity Ms. Leadbeater has. She seems very odd to me, at times leaping in the air as if at one of her gym classes; and despite her entourage, she seemed frightened when being challenged by Muslim anti-LGBT etc people. Of course, she is not a politician, as such, and has been parachuted in (for all that she is local) to try to capitalize on the supposed “sympathy vote” (which I frankly do not believe exists anyway).

I can see that there are logical reasons why voters in the by-election might vote Conservative; I can see that there are ideological reasons why voters, especially Muslim voters, might either vote Galloway or abstain. I can see no reason why many voters, English or Muslim, would vote Labour in the by-election.

A supposed leading political scribbler, but he cannot even spell properly the name of the candidate…

What “debate”? The “rules” are for the mugs and scared rabbits…

Boris-idiot’s charmed life continues. Hancock has been approved by “Boris” despite the scandal. He will now be kept on by “Boris”, like a fly kept alive but doomed in a spider’s web, ready to be utilized. Once the moment comes when “Boris” needs a sacrificial victim, there will be a reshuffle and Hancock will then be finished off (sacked and/or demoted).

Late music

Diary Blog, 23 June 2021

Batley and Spen by-election

I am updating on a more or less daily basis my blog post about the upcoming 1 July 2021 by-election at Batley and Spen: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/.

Tweets seen today

Labour is fading. This is one of the worst governments ever in the UK, led by some of the worst people, yet Labour is flailing and failing. Reason? It has no identity now, no real principles (except those most English people oppose, such as “anti-racism” hysteria), and no vision. Oh, and no real leadership (Keir Starmer is just a Jewish-lobby puppet).

As for opinion polls, they are inherently unreliable because they always add up to between 85% and 100%, as in the poll featured in the tweet above (93%), the remainder presmably being “Don’t Know”, yet in actual elections the turnout is rarely above 80%, typically only around 70%, and sometimes (especially in by-elections) far below that. The rigged 2016 by-election in Batley and Spen had a turnout of only 25%.

Not that that means that, in 2016, the other, non-voting, 75% at Batley and Spen supported the dissident who assassinated the previous MP, Jo Cox, but it may be that those non-voters did not support either Labour or any of the small parties that did stand. Tracy Brabin was voted in by 85% of those who did vote, but that means only by about 21% of the entire eligible electorate.

Voters, particularly though not exclusively white English voters, at present have no party for which to wholeheartedly vote. I accept that elections are a no-win situation for social nationalists now, in the urban areas where white people struggle to be a majority. All the same, if a tightly-controlled party could get a solid 10% or even 5% of the popular vote, a number of avenues might open.

The sort of “nationalist” candidates seen at Batley and Spen, however, are just a kind of not very interesting political bad joke.

More tweets

Poor stupid old guy…no doubt well-meaning, but that is hardly enough…

I wonder whether the families of the thousands of “groomed” (abused) girls agree with him? I doubt it. The same might be said of the schoolteacher recently driven from his home and position by Islamist fanatics.

As to Owen Jones, the faux-radical scribbler, here is my assessment of him from a couple of years ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/04/a-brief-word-about-owen-jones/

Afternoon music

[Paris under German occupation, early 1940s]

News items seen

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/security-guard-accused-killing-9-24377701

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/travel/article/photos-of-abandoned-places-around-the-world

More tweets seen

That “Dr. Julia” pontificates about Coronavirus etc, but apparently neither virology nor epidemiology are her specialist fields. She tweets about how she makes her small children wear facemasks even outdoors. She’s a bit of a crank, in other words.

In any case, never trust a “political doctor”: David Owen, Hastings Banda, Papa Doc Duvalier, Liam Fox, that ghastly woman who was the MP for Totnes for a while (etc)…

I have blogged about Jew-Zionist pest and Twitter/Internet troll Ben Gidley in the past (see, eg, my blog post of yesterday’s date). @bengidley is or was not only @bobfrombrockley but also @inthesoupagain (“suspended”, i.e. expelled) and @antinazisunited (frozen; last tweet was in 2019).

Why Gidley uses the photo of Johnny Cash, God knows. There is no physical resemblance.

It is, I believe, against the rules laid down by Twitter to have multiple and/or trolling accounts in that way, but he has been doing that for at least 9 years if not longer.

Late music

Diary Blog, 20 June 2021

Young white lives don’t matter (at the BBC) https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9704235/BBC-sparks-discrimination-row-banning-white-people-applying-18-000-trainee-job.html

“The BBC has sparked a discrimination row after only allowing people from ethnic minorities to apply for a trainee position.

The broadcaster is advertising a one-year, £17,810 trainee production management assistant role with its Science Unit in Glasgow, but the position is ‘only open to black, Asian and ethnically diverse candidates’.

Positive discrimination is unlawful under the Equality Act 2010, but ‘positive action’ is allowed for trainee and internship roles in areas where there is under-representation.” [Daily Mail].

Under-representation? It was recently exposed that the proportion of blacks working in the UK as TV presenters etc is in fact greater than their proportion in the population. In soaps, TV ads etc, there is huge over-representation of blacks and the mixed-race.

Just another example of the slow but accelerating attempt at the deliberate replacement of white (European) people, who have created almost everything of value in the world for the past millennium, and arguably for several millennia.

Batley and Spen by-election news

Apparently, Kim Leadbeater, the Labour candidate, and sister of Jo Cox, who was MP for a year (2015-2016) did fail to appear. Well, in a sense one could feel sorry for her, parachuted in by Labour to be the candidate, when she is not a politician and indeed only joined Labour very recently so that she could stand at Batley and Spen.

Kim Leadbeater was once, and notionally still is, a physical education teacher, but I read that she has in fact lived in recent years mainly from monies provided by the “charity” set up as “Jo Cox Foundation”. I have investigated that “charity” in the past. Rather doubtful, to say the least.

Labour Party rules require candidates to have been Labour Party members for at least a year, but so desperate were Labour’s leaders to cash in (as they thought) on the “sympathy vote” around Jo Cox (who was assassinated by a dissident, 5 years ago), that the usual rules were bent or broken for Kim Leadbeater.

I am not so sure that the said “sympathy vote” exists, in fact. The 2016 rigged by-election (at which the other major System parties and UKIP declined to stand) gifted Tracy Brabin, the Labour candidate, a vote-share of over 85%, but that was not only in a situation where only minor or crank candidates opposed Labour, but also on a miserable turnout (25%).

As I blogged a few weeks ago, the Labour vote at Batley and Spen declined to 55.5% in 2017, then again to 42.7% in 2019: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s. My blog post: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/.

The latest opinion polling:

As noted previously, George Galloway’s candidature may well sink Labour. There might be nothing between the two major System parties without Galloway in the contest. Even then, though, and even were Labour to win by a handful of votes, that would still signal that Labour is on the way out in strategic terms.

American legalized child abuse

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-57442175

Hard to believe that this is permitted. So much for the so-called “land of freedom”…

More tweets seen

For which the Cabinet of Clowns continues to impose lockdown/shutdown nonsense, facemask nonsense, and other nonsense (eg mass vaccination). As a result, 12.2 MILLION people in the UK await NHS treatment, inflation is taking off, whole industries are ruined, and the self-confidence of the people has never slumped so low.

Oh, “Bob from Brockley”…I had almost forgotten about that irritating and unpleasant Jew. He (real name Ben Gidley, a sociologist at London University: https://www.bbk.ac.uk/our-staff/profile/8746457/ben-gidley) used to troll me daily from his other Twitter accounts (notably “@inthesoupagain”) when I myself still had a Twitter account. His trolling went on for years, and on a daily basis. Some of his troll accounts were closed down by Twitter, though his “@antinazisunited” account is still, I think, there, though frozen for a couple of years now.

“BobfromBrockley” is basically a pro-Israel, pro-Jewish account on Twitter, though posing as “socialist” and pro-Labour Party, specializing in the pathetic and outworn slogans of the “socialist” past: “non pasaran!”, “Never Again!“, “Venceremos!” etc.

Ha…I notice that someone else on Twitter has noticed:

Incidentally, that photo is not “Bob from Brockley”, i.e. Gidley. It is an early mugshot of the singer Johnny Cash.

Groupthink.

George Galloway

I am scarcely a fan or supporter of George Galloway, but it has to be admitted that, without his candidature at Batley and Spen, the by-election would be the usual meaningless (((controlled))) contest between two or three System parties. Now, at least one fake party (Labour) will probably lose a seat it has held for some time (since 1997). Galloway will then have achieved his objective, if only at the cost of giving a boost to the other main System party.

Though I despise the Conservative Party as it now is, I hope that Labour loses at Batley and Spen.

More tweets

Labour is very much now again in the pocket of the Jewish lobby. The Conservative Party has long been so, especially since the 1990s. I suppose that is why George Galloway has a good chance of both retaining his deposit at Batley and Spen and also of denying the seat to Labour. Where will the Muslim vote go? Not to the Conservative Party, and now not much to the Labour Party, so that leaves Galloway as the likely recipient of quite a lot of the Muslim vote. He will probably get at least 5%, and may even get 10%.

35 years later, at the age of 70, Plisetskaya danced for one evening only in Almaty, Kazakhstan. I lived there at the time, and went to the ballet once per week (it was a fairly short walk from my home). My then girlfriend wanted to see Plisetskaya dance, even at such an age. Unfortunately, the tickets were sold out, so we never saw the famous ballerina [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maya_Plisetskaya], whose husband, Shchedrin [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rodion_Shchedrin] is a fine composer (still alive and aged 88), but whose music is not really known in the West, certainly not to the general public.

Late tweets

The Batley and Spen by-election 2021

[This article will be updated as necessary, with updates posted at the foot of the main article]

The Batley and Spen by-election is set down for 1 July 2021. Nominations are open until the late afternoon of 7 June 2021, three days from time of writing, but the main parties and some others have already declared. It is likely that any further candidatures will either be crank or joke.

The constituency

Batley and Spen was created in 1983. There have been several boundary changes over the years. One particular Conservative Party MP held the seat until 1997, succeeded by a Labour Party MP who held the seat until he retired in 2015.

Batley and Spen area voted about 60% for Brexit.

The constituency remained Labour, with Jo Cox as MP from 2015 to 2016 when she was assassinated. The subsequent by-election was rigged, in that the System parties agreed that Labour should put up a candidate unopposed by the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties. Pathetic UKIP followed suit.

The result was that Labour secured nearly 86% of the vote. All other candidates lost their deposits. Turnout was very low, not much more than 25%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Batley_and_Spen_by-election.

The percentage of the vote won by Tracy Brabin, the TV actress selected by Labour in 2016, declined steadily from that 86% high: 55.5% in 2017, and 42.7% in 2019. Now, in true Blairite fashion, Tracy Brabin has jumped ship in order to become Mayor of West Yorkshire, a newly-created and rather powerful role which also pays rather more than an MP’s salary— £105,000 plus expenses [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayor_of_West_Yorkshire].

It must be a possibility that Tracy Brabin could see support for Labour sliding, and weighed up the odds.

Parts of the constituency have high non-white populations (mainly Indians and Pakistanis), while others are still largely English. I have been unable to discover exact proportions for the constituency as a whole.

The candidates

The Conservative Party candidate is one Ryan Stephenson, a councillor in Leeds (10 miles to the northeast); Stephenson is also the Chairman of the West Yorkshire Conservative Party, and a director of an academy trust. https://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/politics/conservatives-choose-leeds-councillor-ryan-stephenson-as-candidate-for-batley-and-spen-by-election-3243396.

Labour is represented by Kim Leadbeater, the sister of assassinated MP Jo Cox. She was not even a member of the Labour Party until fairly recently, and the usual rule (that members of the Labour Party have to have been members for a year until they can be selected as candidates) was waived in her case.

Ms. Leadbeater is apparently a former lecturer in physical health, who also works as a personal trainer, but spends much of her time working for the Jo Cox Foundation.

When I had a Twitter account (a pack of Jews had me expelled in 2018), I tweeted rather extensively about the Jo Cox Foundation. My conclusions were unfavourable. I now notice that there were, in 2019 (when accounts were last published), six paid employees, and the salary cost of those six was around a quarter of a million pounds altogether.

The candidature of Ms. Leadbeater smacks of desperation on the part of Labour. They seem to be aiming, five years after the assassination of Jo Cox, for a sympathy vote.

Ms. Leadbeater, like most of the other candidates, is local or at least from a nearby area, which is perceived to be important.

The LibDems have chosen as candidate a LibDem councillor, Tom Gordon, whose council seat is in Knottingley, 20 miles east of Batley.

The Green Party has selected a rugby player, 29-y-o Ross Peltier [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ross_Peltier], who seems to be the only non-white in the contest.

A relatively new entrant to politics is the Yorkshire Party [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yorkshire_Party], which came third (behind Lab and Con) in the 2021 West Yorkshire Mayoral Election. Its vote share was 9.7%, though, only narrowly defeating the Green Party (9.2%); there were 7 candidates in toto.

Yorkshire Party has a number of councillors in Yorkshire.

The well-known speaker and former MP, George Galloway, is standing, under the aegis of the Workers’ Party: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Galloway; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Workers_Party_of_Britain.

Two “nationalist” candidates, both from tiny parties, and neither with a good track record, are contesting the by-election: Anne Marie Waters [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anne_Marie_Waters] of For Britain, and Jayda Fransen [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jayda_Fransen] of British Freedom Party but standing as Independent because the Electoral Commission has as yet not “approved” BFP to stand in elections (so much for “democracy” etc…).

Neither Fransen nor Waters has much chance of even retaining a deposit. Jayda Fransen has made a short YouTube video about her Batley and Spen campaign:

I have blogged about both Anne Marie Waters and Jayda Fransen in the past: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2020/09/11/diary-blog-11-september-2020-including-a-few-notes-about-jayda-fransen-and-her-new-british-freedom-party/; and see also https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/04/04/a-look-at-some-uk-political-and-social-realities/.

Batley and Spen by-election: analysis and provisional prediction

This is probably going to be between the two main System parties, but there are complications.

In 2019, Labour won on 42.7% of the vote, with the Conservative Party second on 36%. The LibDems, on 4.7%, were beaten into fourth by a new entrant, Heavy Woollen District Independents [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heavy_Woollen_District_Independents], which scored 12.2%. The candidate for HWDI was not the leader, who is or was an ex-UKIP member called Lukic, who himself had scored 2% as Independent in the 2017 election at Batley and Spen.

It seems that HWDI is standing no candidate this time, but there is still time to declare, so that is not certain. I cannot say whether those who voted HWDI might now transfer their vote to Yorkshire Party. Perhaps.

I give little credence to the two minor British nationalist candidates, whose votes would probably have been tiny anyway, even had they not split whatever vote each might have had without close competition. Both are anti-Islam (or anti-Islamist), both are pro-Israel to some degree, neither has achieved much politically, though I commend anyone who keeps trying in the conditions of State repression, Jew-Zionist conspiracy and migration-invasion prevalent in the UK today.

I am not expecting either of those two ladies to score as high as 5% in Batley and Spen, or to get 5% even between the two of them. If either does retain her deposit, then she will have done well, indeed very well.

George Galloway? I hope that my bias against him does not prevent objectivity (he tweeted negative comments about me on Twitter, years ago, and also blocked my then Twitter account). He does not accept that old-style socialism died in and after 1989, and he is as outdated as the Battleship Potemkin.

I am unsure as to what level of support Galloway has among Muslims in Batley and Spen. Some, probably. All the same, if he scores 5%+ and retains his deposit, that would count as a major victory for him.

The LibDems likewise. They will be hoping, at best, for retention of their deposit, but I would expect them to end up with less than 5%.

Yorkshire Party? Perhaps the joker in this pack. I have no way of assessing their chances, except by reference to that mayoral election recently. 9.7% was a good result for a relatively new party (founded 2014 as “Yorkshire First”). They are very unlikely to win this by-election; the question is, if they do get a high-ish vote (over 5%), which of the two main System parties will be most damaged?

The Labour candidate is a mark of Labour desperation. Someone only there because her sister was assassinated (and later canonized, or at least beatified, by the System and msm).

The constituency having a fairly high non-white population (no exact figures found, but around a third), Labour’s expectations must be to win between a third and a half of the vote as a whole. Labour is now largely a black/brown party in terms of its voters; public service workers account for much of the remainder.

If the white population of Batley and Spen has turned away from Labour, even if not voting Conservative, then Labour has a problem.

My present feeling is that the Conservative Party candidate might win this. Labour is just not what most people want at present. The recent YouGov poll suggesting that about 37% to 23% think that Boris-idiot would make a better PM than Keir Starmer is stunning, even though I myself despise “Boris”. Likewise, latest polling on “Westminster voting intention” puts the Cons around 40% and Labour around 30%.

Ironically, the fact that the Labour candidate at Batley and Spen has not been a member of the Labour Party for very long might actually help her with the voters! On the other hand, voters may feel that, if Labour nationally is sliding, and unlikely to form a government any time soon (if ever), then they may as well vote in as MP someone who might be listened to by Government, and thus help the area more. Just a thought.

Much will depend on turnout; also on whether either or both of Galloway and the Yorkshire Party do well, and on whose votes those two take. Galloway will be aiming largely at the Muslim vote; as to Yorkshire Party, hard to say, but maybe they aim to capture white formerly Labour voters. If that is so, then Labour is again in trouble.

The Labour Party vote in Batley and Spen has been eroding steadily since the rigged 2016 by-election. Tracy Brabin jumped ship because she feared defeat at the next general election.

My feeling at the moment is that the Conservative Party might win this, but that it could either be very close, or it could be a total rout for Labour. My head says the former, but my heart is screaming for the latter.

Update, 6 June 2021


“John Rentoul@JohnRentoul
Paul Halloran, the 3rd placed candidate in Batley & Spen in 2019, standing aside in by-election – boost for the Tories

The reference there is to Paul Halloran, the candidate at Batley and Spen of the “Heavy Woollen District Independents” in the 2019 General Election: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s. He scored 12.2%, a very creditable result. I mentioned the fact in my blog post of yesterday about the upcoming Batley and Spen by-election (1 July 2021): https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/04/the-batley-and-spen-by-election-2021/.

It seems that the said Halloran has now joined the no-chance Reclaim Party set up by the actor Laurence Fox, who now stands for free speech (except, it seems, where Jews disapprove or are mentioned). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurence_Fox.

Halloran, Fox, and Reclaim Party have issued a statement: https://mailchi.mp/a466726a0fd3/media-statement-the-reclaim-party-and-paul-halloran?e=d4fb63896d.

https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/west-yorkshire-news/paul-halloran-wont-standing-batley-20751008

It is clear that Reclaim Party will never amount to anything. As far as the Batley and Spen by-election in July is concerned, the stand-aside will obviously help the Conservative candidate, but what is unknown is by how many votes. Halloran received 12.2% of the vote in 2019, true, but Fox, in the recent London Mayoral Election, only 1.9%. I suppose that it might be surmised that Halloran, had he stood, might have garnered 5% of the by-election vote, possibly 10%, and maybe even 15%+, but the fact is that that is pure speculation. We do not know.

What we do know is that the above news is probably a blow for Labour. A few percent might decide this contest.

Update, 7 June 2021

The tweet below gives an idea of the local government situation within the Batley and Spen constituency area:

Says it all…

Kirklees Council has a plurality of Labour councillors: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirklees_Council.

Update, 7 June 2021

The Green Party has dumped its candidate at Batley and Spen: https://www.thetelegraphandargus.co.uk/news/19354923.ross-peltier-ex-bulls-star-by-election-candidacy-revoked/. Another candidate will be selected, apparently. I thought that that was impossible after close of nominations (which was late today), but maybe there are exceptions.

Update, 8 June 2021

Seems that I was right, and that Green Party will now not be represented: https://news.sky.com/story/batley-and-spen-sixteen-candidates-to-contest-by-election-on-1-july-12327304.

The non-candidature of the Green Party will probably be a minor help to Labour; however, Green Party only had a 1.3% vote share in 2019.

A host of minor and crank candidates came forward on the last day of the nomination period (7 June 2021):

Some of those candidatures (UKIP, English Democrats, Heritage) will affect the contest between the two major contenders, taking away a few percent from the Conservatives, and the Green non-candidature will probably increase the Labour vote by a similar amount.

The contest has, in my view, just become tighter.

Update, 13 June 2021

A few news reports seen: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leeds-57429588; https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leeds-57282364; https://www.dewsburyreporter.co.uk/news/politics/keir-starmer-batley-and-spen-by-election-is-not-about-me-3268697.

Interesting piece from Spiked: https://www.spiked-online.com/2021/06/10/batley-and-spen-this-is-bigger-than-red-v-blue/.

Update, 14 June 2021

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1448944/Keir-Starmer-news-Labour-George-Galloway-Batley-and-Spen-by-election-Boris-Johnson

Starmer

Update, 16 June 2021

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2021/06/threat-labour-defeat-batley-and-spen-shows-party-facing-perfect-storm

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/16/labour-batley-and-spen-jeremy-corbyn-scottish-voters

Update, 20 June 2021

Update, 21 June 2021

Interesting indeed

That Owen Jones YouTube piece is quite interesting; worth watching.

Looks as though both the white English voters and the brown Muslim voters are abandoning Labour. That may mean that Labour is up that well-known creek without a paddle…

I thought that Galloway might get 5%, then I thought 10%. Now I am wondering if he might not get 20%, or even more, and (as he says he might) beat Labour into third place. If that were to happen, Labour might get a vote around 20% or even below that…

Update, 22 June 2021

The final fortnight of the Batley and Spen by-election has turned ugly up in West Yorkshire. Yesterday, the Mail on Sunday columnist Dan Hodges quoted an anonymous Labour official claiming that  ‘We’re haemorrhaging votes among Muslim voters and the reason for that is what Keir has been doing on antisemitism… he challenged Corbyn on it and there’s been a backlash among certain sections of the community.’

Predictably such an incendiary quote sparked fury among Labour MPs with the hunt now on for the possible culprit. But as tensions rise in the seat and polls show a narrow six point lead, one familiar face seems all too happy to cause as much controversy as possible. Step forward George Galloway, the man who is incidentally polling at six per cent in this seat and who was sacked from TalkRadio in 2019 after claiming Tottenham Hotspur’s Champions League defeat meant there would be ‘no Israel flags on the cup.‘” [The Spectator] https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/galloway-gets-the-gang-back-together-in-batley-and-spen.

The fact is that Labour has been retaken by the Jewish lobby. Corbyn, its recent leader, is suspended and may be expelled. Keir Starmer is a Jewish lobby puppet, married to a Jewish woman lawyer, and they have children being brought up as if fully-Jewish.

Starmer has actually said, outright, that he is “a proud Zionist” who puts Israel first!

Labour has gradually, over a couple of decades, become the party of the blacks and browns, some public service workers, and a few other and smaller groups such as some of the “woke” Twitterati twits etc.

White (i.e. English) people generally have already abandoned Labour to a large extent. If, at Batley and Spen, the brown Muslim people are abandoning Labour, then Labour has no solid bloc supporting it. On the premises just shown, that would leave Labour with only a small minority vote.

It may be that that process of abandonment has not yet gone far enough to collapse Labour’s vote entirely, and it might even happen that Labour can pull the rabbit out of the hat and win, but that does look very unlikely.

What percentage vote-share will Labour get at Batley and Spen? It could be anywhere from 40% right down to 20%. When I first started this blog post, I was thinking that Labour would probably lose, but come a close second, with maybe as much as 40% or more of the vote. Now? Not sure. Again, my head is more cautious, thinking maybe 40%, but my instinct is again screaming out that Labour is going to go down to below 30%.

I thought, a month ago, that Galloway would do well to get 5% of the vote, but having seen some reports, it seems that the Muslims in the constituency are equating a vote for Labour with a vote for Israel. Galloway and his “Workers’ Party” may well end up with 10% or more of the vote. Goodbye Labour, if so.

We shall soon see.

Update, 23 June 2021

Semi-interesting analysis of recent by-elections by msm/System politics drone, Mark Wallace, who —incidentally— foolishly blocked me on Twitter when I had a Twitter account (a pack of Jews managed, via their usual concerted complaining, to have me expelled in 2018): https://inews.co.uk/opinion/chesham-amersham-by-elections-free-punch-who-want-hit-most-1064686

New Statesman article: https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2021/06/how-conservative-win-over-labour-batley-and-spen-would-set-new-postwar.

While the Mark Wallace analysis is (if I say so myself) far less interesting than what I myself have blogged, his article being scarcely riveting, it was not complete rubbish, whereas that New Statesman article is simply substandard. It ties in Conservative Party support to what is happening with the “dreaded” (though actually overblown) “virus”, to the exclusion of all else. Very poor.

Labour is failing because it no longer has an identity, no longer has a purpose, nor any vision of a decent future, especially for white English people. The Conservative Party is “succeeding” at present because it is not Labour. Simple as that, in a more or less rigged, and more or less binary, electoral and political system.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/george-galloway-is-pulling-no-punches-in-batley-amp-spen-cgr2cldk7

Batley tweets

I suppose that the only answer Kim Leadbeater can give is “White English people have pretty much binned Labour; if the blacks and browns abandon Labour, Labour has nothing left…”

Why does it take people who are not themselves British in any real sense to stand up for the values of this country? Where are the English people? Where is puppet-candidate Kim Leadbeater? Where is Labour? Where, indeed, is the misnamed “Conservative” Party?

Strange people, more frightened of Jayda Fransen and her few followers than by a migration invasion by millions of non-Europeans…

https://twitter.com/Batley_MuslimCo/status/1407653403841413124?s=20

A pretty standard analysis from a professor at Oxford University. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/23/batley-spen-byelection-labour.

I should say that one big difference between the situation at Batley and Spen, as compared to that at Chesham and Amersham is that, at Chesham and Amersham, Labour voters who did not abstain voted LibDem tactically. I very much doubt, though, that many LibDem voters at Batley and Spen will vote Labour tactically, though some may.

Another difference: at Chesham and Amersham, the 2019 Labour vote was 12.9% of votes cast (20.6% in 2017); at Batley and Spen, the LibDem vote in 2019 was only 4.7% (2.3% in 2017).

In other words, tactical voting is of less importance in this particular by-election.

Update, 24 June 2021

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leeds-57551485

That BBC report gives the Muslim population, as a proportion of the electorate of Batley and Spen, as being around 20%. If most of them abandon Labour, that would halve, more or less, the 2019 Labour vote. Almost halve it, anyway.

If most whites (English) and most browns (Muslims etc) abandon Labour, then what does Labour have left in a place like Batley? 10% of the vote? 20%?

We shall soon see.

Meanwhile, the Jewish/Zionist lobby is desperate to save Keir Starmer, its puppet Labour Party leader, from humiliating defeat (despite the fact that most Jews vote Conservative):

George Galloway seems to be growing in popularity in Batley and Spen:

Update, 25 June 2021

https://www.channel4.com/news/batley-and-spen-by-election-labour-fights-to-hold-off-tory-challenge

That piece made me laugh. Galloway really put the silly Channel 4 bimbo in her place. For Channel 4, the main talking point in Batley and Spen is that Galloway’s supporters are allegedly attacking the Labour candidate, Kim Leadbeater, because she is a lesbian.

It really is time for Channel 4 to have its rice bowl taken away.

The report did cover the Conservative and LibDem candidates as well. The Con man was, well, just that, in my opinion. A cautious woodentopped product of a Conservative Party public relations machine. No obvious original thought in his head. As for the LibDem, a pathetic damp squib limp-wrist, to be frank.

The more I see on TV etc about the by-election up there, the more I think it likely that Labour is going to get thrashed, which would mean that the Conservative Party will win, though not on merit.

English Democrats: It has been brought to my attention that Therese Hirst, the candidate for the English Democrats, was profiled in the Yorkshire Post: https://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/politics/english-democrats-announce-candidate-for-batley-and-spen-by-election-as-reform-uk-decide-not-to-stand-3263028

Thérèse Hirst
[Therese Hirst]

Latest:

Batley and Spen Labour Party by-election candidate Kim Leadbeater runs away from Muslims and others who do not want their young children taught about lesbianism etc. She is said to be a lesbian herself, and the “teaching LGBT-etc in schools” thing may damage her campaign with some voters, particularly Muslims.

Update, 26 June 2021

Update, 27 June 2021

The above statement was apparently made a year or two ago, and was posted on Twitter by a dissident Labour Party member in August 2020. I have been so far unable to find out in what year Starmer made that statement (assuming that he did) but he has anyway made plain many times that he fully supports the Jewish lobby and Israel. If he did not support it/them, then he would not have been “put in” as leader! I imagine that his Jewish wife would also have a few words to say to him!

Hardly surprising that many in Batley and Spen are not interested in helping Starmer by voting for Labour and Kim Leadbeater. Not only Muslim voters. Many others are very angry at the Jew-Zionist cabals that infest UK politics.

Exactly. The former Batley and Spen MP was a brainless ex-soap “star” (of whom I had never heard). Now Labour has selected another person with no real political profile.

The organized Israel/Jew lobby naturally want Zionist-controlled Labour and Kim Leadbeater to win. Voters of Batley and Spen take note…

Update, 28 June 2021

Kim Leadbeater, the Labour candidate, is plainly as thick as two short planks, and has quite obviously been drilled to deliver pathetic soundbites such as “there is no magic money tree“. She is one personification of why Labour is going nowhere but down.

As for the white English voters, who are at least 75% of the electorate, most of them had already given up on Labour even in 2019: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s.

If in 2019, Tracy Brabin and Labour only got 42.7%, almost half of that that would have been the Muslim vote. If, in this by-election, most of that Muslim vote disappears to Galloway (or to abstention), that would seem to reduce Labour to a vote-share around 30%. If half of the English former (2019) Labour voters also abstain or vote elsewhere, the Labour vote might reduce to around 20%, or less. That might knock Labour into third place.

Having said that, there is still all to play for at Batley and Spen. The Labour candidate still has as ammunition her local roots, the tradition of Labour voting locally, and the sympathy vote around the assassination of her sister (former MP Jo Cox) by a socio-political dissident. I have to say that I myself am sceptical that that sympathy vote even exists, but there it is.

Incidentally, there has been much msm and Twitter noise around the egg attack on Labour leafletters. Has it not occurred to anyone that that may have been locals expressing their opinion of the last thick-as-two-short-planks MP, Tracy Brabin, who was, it seems, one of those attacked?

Update, 29 June 2021

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2021/06/why-labour-s-muslim-mps-are-losing-patience-keir-starmer

Update, 30 June 2021

Well, polling day is tomorrow. I shall post the result(s) here as well as on my daily blog.

It may be that Labour can still pull the rabbit out of the hat, but to my mind the campaign has sunk Labour, because it has exposed their candidate, Ms. Leadbeater, as a near-idiot who only joined Labour weeks ago, and is very obviously being used as a puppet to get a sympathy vote based on the 2016 Jo Cox assassination. A sympathy vote which I do not believe exists anyway in any strength.

The rigged 2016 by-election was won by Labour with a 85% vote-share only because Conservatives, LibDems and UKIP did not contest the seat, and on a miserable 25% turnout. It might even be argued that, in 2016, 80% or more of the eligible voters at Batley and Spen did not have sympathy…

My guess? 1. Conservative Party; 2. George Galloway (Workers’ Party); 3. Kim Leadbeater (Labour); 4. Yorkshire Party.

Update, 2 July 2021

The result

The result of the by-election: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batley_and_Spen_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

My feeling was that Labour would lose, and quite possibly come third. I was not correct. Labour won narrowly or, as they say on the racecourse, “by a neck, cleverly”.

Labour got a vote-share of 35.3%. The Conservative candidate got 34.4%. George Galloway, under the banner of the Workers’ Party, did better than many expected (21.9%); I at least got that right.

All other candidates, 13 in number, lost their deposits; LibDems 3.3%; Yorkshire Party 2.2%. The other 11 received vote-shares below half of one percent each. UKIP, on 0.4%, just beat the Monster Raving Loony (0.3%).

The small and supposedly “nationalist” parties were, as expected, an embarrassment. The English Democrats, whose candidate (Therese Hirst) actually wrote to my blog comments page to request a mention, seem to have withdrawn their candidature.

The For Britain party leader, Anne Marie Waters, got 0.3% (97 votes). Jayda Fransen did even worse, though on a par with her previous forays into doomed electioneering: 0.1% (50 votes). [nb. percentages approximate].

I shall discuss the result further on my blog post for 1 July 2021.