Tag Archives: Zelensky

Diary Blog, 11 July 2024

Afternoon music

Tweets seen

At present, the forecast for Winchester on St. Swithun’s Day (next Monday) is…wet.

Enemies of the British people.

What an incredible waste of the British people’s tax monies, thrown at the brutal and shambolic regime of the Jewish dictator Zelensky. Meanwhile Britain’s public services are collapsing.

Fake Labour is already a failure as a government.

Ultimately, this means that defending our truth-based order, free speech and national identity is considered undignified while sacrificing these values in the name of ‘equal outcomes’ and ‘emotional safety’ is not.

Of course, Labour is also proposing innocent-sounding legislation on hate speech and racial equality which will further supercharge this woke cultural socialism, shutting down offensive speech while pressuring organizations to discriminate against whites and males to achieve equal outcomes for identity groups.

Will Britain wake up in time to prevent…erosion of our long traditions of free speech, free expression, objective truth, equal treatment and due process? Will future generations be taught to hate the British past and the white men who played an outsized role in creating our national community?

At best, I think we have one or two decades to reverse the march of wokeism before today’s Zoomers and Millennials, who prioritise ‘emotional safety’ over free speech, become the median voter and the country reaches a point of no return.”

[from a guest essay, published on Matt Goodwin’s blog].

There are of course other ways to resist tyranny than via the so-called “Parliamentary road”.

It will be recalled by older British readers that, in the Dikko case of 1984, an Israeli Jew doctor was directly involved in the MOSSAD operation to kidnap a former Nigerian government minister:

The Dikko affair was a joint NigerianIsraeli attempt to kidnap Umaru Dikko, a former Nigerian government minister living in the United Kingdom, in 1984, and secretly transport him back to Nigeria in a diplomatic bag. The kidnapping took place, but the transportation thereof was unsuccessful.

Mossad sources across Europe failed to locate Dikko. However, Mossad Director-General Nahum Admoni decided that Dikko was probably in London, which had become a haven for Nigerian exiles critical of the new regime.

Mossad field officers (katsas), accompanied by Nigerian security service agents led by ex-Nigerian Army Major Mohammed Yusufu, traveled to London. The Nigerian team rented an apartment on Cromwell Road and posed as refugees from the new regime. The Mossad agents rented rooms in hotels catering to tourists from Africa, and posed as anti-apartheid activists.

Working separately, the two teams moved among the Nigerian expat community in London, gradually narrowing their search to West London, to the area around Hyde Park, where many wealthy Nigerian exiles lived. They combed the electoral registers freely available in the area’s town halls, but found no trace of Dikko.

On 30 June 1984, a Mossad agent driving down Queensway, in Bayswater, spotted Dikko. He parked his car and then tailed Dikko on foot to his house in Porchester Terrace. Admoni was immediately informed, and ordered surveillance on the house. From then on, the house was constantly watched, while the Nigerians, using their London high commission as a base, prepared a kidnapping operation.

Meanwhile, Mossad recruited Levi-Arie Shapiro, an Israeli doctor who was a consultant anesthetist and director of the intensive care unit at HaSharon Hospital. He was to fly to London and participate in the operation. Shapiro’s job would be to drug Dikko, and insert an endotracheal tube to keep him from choking on his own vomit while being transported in a crate.”

[Wikipedia]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dikko_affair

Late tweets

Britain 2024, slowly (?) sinking into the darkness.

Water supply is one of the few industries that must be publicly owned, i.e. owned by the State.

The “you know who” factor…

Worth reading in its entirety.

Bravo.

Late music

Diary Blog, 28 June 2024

Morning music

[Neuschwanstein]

Clacton and Reform UK

The System is now getting very worried about the level of support being shown even for Reform UK, a basically small-c conservative-type party. The anti-Reform UK rhetoric is now close to that displayed in the past against more social-national parties such as the BNP and, further back still, the National Front.

The System thinking must be, “if even Reform UK can be so disruptive, how more so would be a credible and genuinely social-national party?

That anti-Reform UK propaganda is broadcast as Reform UK reaches heights of popular support few thought that it would or could reach.

Some polls are putting Reform UK as high as 20%, and all are putting it well above 15%, the average now being around 17%.

Meanwhile, support for the Conservative Party has dropped to as low as 18%, and may go even lower. I have just yesterday heard admittedly anecdotal evidence that, in my own local area (in coastal Hampshire, and one of the most heavily-Con in England), lifelong Con voters are planning to vote anywhere other than Con or Labour. Many, perhaps most (?), are switching to Reform UK, and some to the LibDems.

I was just looking at my blog from about 8 or 9 months ago. I thought then that Reform UK would get a nationwide popular vote of at least 15% and, at the outside, 20%. Seems that I was right (so far).

Estimates of the number of MPs Reform UK might have by 5 July 2024, i.e. once the votes are counted, range from 1 or 2 to as many as 22. A few Reform UK optimists are doubling or even tripling that. It seems very open, with less than a week to go.

I doubt whether the Channel 4 undercover silliness will change the minds of many people planning to vote Reform UK, as witness the tweets below:

In any case, Channel 4 News is only seen by a small minority of people. Only about 4.5% of the viewing public even watch Channel 4 overall, so maybe 1% or 2% (?): https://deadline.com/2023/06/channel-4-woes-deepen-ratings-historic-low-1235417804/; https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-12199071/Panic-Channel-4-viewing-figures-plummet-historic-low.html.

I doubt that more than a few hundred of the voters of Clacton will have even seen the “expose”. In any case, the main person shown was merely a volunteer. It may even be that some people will be more inclined to vote for Reform after having seen the Channel 4 piece. You never know.

There is also the point that postal voting has already taken place. Many of the older and/or disabled British voters, as at Clacton, will by now have voted.

Farage seems nailed-on to win at Clacton, as far as I can see. The Conservative Party candidate has not even been seen (by me anyway) on TV or online, while the young African standing as Labour MP has apparently been redeployed to help another Labour candidate, in the West Midlands, and has thus left the field of battle at Clacton.

I can only suppose that Starmer decided that only the Con candidate had any chance of beating Farage, having scored 72.3% in 2019, so scaled back the Labour effort at Clacton to zero for nakedly tactical reasons.

Also, the fact that Labour deliberately chose an African for its candidate at Clacton, of all places, would be likely to prompt a surge in support for Reform UK. Anyway, he’s gone elsewhere, and will probably not be seen at Clacton until the count on Election Night. I still think that he might lose his deposit.

As blogged previously, while I am not a Reform UK supporter, as such, its existence moves the “Overton Window” a bit, at the very least, and will help to break down the “two main parties” scam.

More tweets seen

The public’s view of the mostly System politicians is not favourable. Even Starmer, on the crest of his “popularity by default”, is only viewed favourably by just over a third of voters.

Look at Sunak. Only 19%, the same as the Conservative Party. I begin to wonder whether previously undecided voters will actually start to pile in against the Conservative Party now, or at the last minute, thus reducing the Conservative vote to somewhere below that 19%, maybe as low as 16%. We shall know in 6 days’ time.

I should say “80% that’s broken“, not “everything“. Otherwise, I agree.

As Hitler said, “dirty democratic politicians“…[Mein Kampf].

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/03/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-esther-mcvey-story/.

The African will probably get about 4% of the vote, and lose his deposit.

This is incredible. It does not necessarily mean that the Channel 4 “expose” was a fix, but it certainly raises questions.

How did Channel 4 News come to fasten upon that particular person for its undercover filming?

My view: both main System parties should be eliminated.

Gavin Barwell really is an utterly stupid person, yet there he sits in the House of Lords, getting nearly £400 a day (taxfree) any (sitting) day on which he chooses to turn up for 30 minutes and have his name ticked off… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Barwell.

Yes. If all Con-leaning or anti-Lab-leaning voters were to vote Reform UK, Reform UK could just about win at Dover; even then it might be very close. One thing is for sure— the Con candidate cannot win.

So Giles Watling is still alive… I had seen and heard nothing from the retired actor since the Clacton campaign started. I assumed that he had fallen into his soup and drowned at the Garrick Club.

Watling has nothing in common with most Clacton voters. Hopeless.

The Jew Zelensky thinks that there can be a “peace summit” without Russia’s participation (unless Russia were to effectively surrender). He’s a con-man who has stolen billions.

Talking point

Should make people think.

More tweets seen

I tend to agree, up to a point, with that last tweeter. Yes, the Cons are doomed, but look at what the Labour Party now is! A mixture of Blair-Brown-style fake communitarian rhetoric, “woke” craziness, “Ukraine” (Kiev regime) partisanship, and pro-Israel-ism, combined with pro-Jewish lobby repression of free speech and, in terms of domestic policy, almost indistinguishable in reality from the policies of the Conservative Party.

Incidentally, it is Bicester and Woodstock, a new constituency, not just Woodstock. That may explain the close polling.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bicester_and_Woodstock_(UK_Parliament_constituency).

Even Reform UK has more support among the under-30s in the UK, especially in England, than many suppose. A real social-national party might be able to capture far more hearts and minds.

This really is stunning. If accurate, it may mean a House of Commons with 483 Labour MPs (overall majority 316), 73 LibDems, 27 Reform UK, and only 22 Con Party MPs (SNP 18, Green 4 etc). https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

It would mean the LibDems as official Opposition, and Reform UK with several more MPs (27 in toto) than the rump of the old Conservative Party (22), which would not be the Opposition, not even third party, but a poor fourth. Finished. Washed-up.

I have yet to meet, in the past month or even longer, even one person who expresses an intention to vote Con. There may be some people I meet who intend to vote Con without my knowing it, of course; I meet relatively few people, and rarely talk directly about politics with most of those that I do meet. All the same…

In fact, and by my use of Electoral Calculus, it may be that, were Reform UK to poll at 24%, only 3 points higher than in this latest poll, Reform could edge the LibDems out of second place, which would mean Reform UK as the official Opposition, and Farage as Leader of the Opposition! Were that to happen, I should have to eat my words of a year or two ago (dismissing him as not such an effective politician despite his oratorical and mass media skills).

We shall soon know.

Brutal” is the word. Whatever one may think of Trump and his overall fitness for office, it is clear that Biden should now go into retirement.

The world has rarely if ever been in such multiform peril. The state with, by far, the greatest military-destructive power on Earth, is a “colossus on legs of straw”, and cannot, at this time, be commanded, even notionally, by someone not in command of his own faculties.

From the newspapers

https://www.bournemouthecho.co.uk/news/24416228.poole-labour-candidate-calls-others-denounce-hate-campaign/

The Labour parliamentary candidate for Poole, Neil Duncan-Jordan, said he and others have been targeted with ’disgusting and disrespectful’ comments.

He said he had been called a ‘white traitor’ and told that ‘Adolf Hitler had the right idea’.

Mr Duncan-Jordan has called on his counterparts in the election to distance themselves from antisemitism, racism and hate crime following a number of incidents he and his supporters have faced.

Mr Duncan-Jordan said: “In the last few days there have been three separate incidents that have caused me concern. I’ve been called a ‘white traitor’, one of my supporters was spat at and I was told that “Adolf Hitler had the right idea.”

“I think it’s important that all candidates in this election come out clearly and say that antisemitism, racism and fascist views have absolutely no place in modern Britain.

Spitting at someone because you don’t like their political views is disgusting and disrespectful. We cannot allow this kind of behaviour to become the acceptable norm.”

The candidate has reported the incidents to the police.

[Bournemouth Echo]

Well, while I would never condone spitting at (or for that matter, throwing milkshakes over) people (as a Labour supporter did to Farage recently), if a candidate wants to knock on people’s doors to engage them in political debate, he must expect some of his “victims” to cut up rough, bearing in mind what the System parties have been doing to this country.

More tweets seen

God knows what, in the course of time, will be the karmic, including group-karmic, consequences of everything that has happened in and around Gaza in the past 9 months, or indeed the past 77 years.

“They” are always the “victims”…

The whole of the System msm is rotten.

Britain 2024

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13579657/sleeping-grandmother-attacked-feral-thugs-scotland-park.html

A grandmother has told of how she was beaten black and blue by a gang of feral yobs, who stamped on her head as she slept at a beauty spot.

[Daily Mail].

More from the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13579539/Now-Rishi-Sunaks-leather-jacket-loving-chief-staff-dubbed-Treasury-Travolta-quizzed-gambling-watchdog-bets-election-timing-placed-senior-Tories.html

[Liam Booth-Smith]

Rishi Sunak‘s chief of staff has been interviewed as a witness by the gambling regulator as part of the row over alleged bets on the timing of the general election, it has emerged.

Liam Booth-Smith is reported to have spoken to the Gambling Commission last week to help the watchdog understand who may have known when polling day would be.

Sources stressed to the BBC that the PM’s top adviser – dubbed the ‘Treasury Travolta’ during Mr Sunak’s time as Chancellor due to his fondness for leather jackets – is not a suspect in the regulator’s investigation and had not placed a bet himself.

[Daily Mail]

Can you believe it, even today, as the UK goes into a tailspin? The Chief of Staff of the UK Prime Minister— and look at the bastard!

Liam Booth-Smith (born 1987) is a British political adviser who has served as the Downing Street Chief of Staff since October 2022. He previously served as de facto chief of staff to then-chancellor Rishi Sunak as head of the Joint Economic Unit.

Booth-Smith was born in 1987[2] in Stoke on Trent and was raised by a single mother.[3] He read politics and social policy at Loughborough University. Booth-Smith was appointed as Downing Street Chief of Staff in October 2022 after Rishi Sunak‘s accession as prime minister. He succeeded Mark Fullbrook.

In 2023 the New Statesman named him as the ninth most powerful figure in British Right-Wing Politics.”

[Wikipedia]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liam_Booth-Smith

I know that I often expostulate in this vein, but this country really is ****** on so many levels…

[Update, 16 January 2026: Liam Booth-Smith must have been born under a lucky star— he was elevated to the House of Lords by Sunak, in his 2024 Resignation Honours List, so now gets about £400 a day taxfree just for rolling up, for as brief a time as half an hour, any sitting day, i.e. about 200 per year. About £80,000 a year taxfree, for not necessarily doing anything at all. He also makes a great deal more via his salary, bonuses etc as executive of an AI company. As a John le Carre character called this country, “the pigs in clover society“…]

More tweets

In the 1970s, Britain still had many avenues open to it. Now, it is as if (?) we are painted into a corner, with almost nowhere to turn.

2024-2029…perhaps in the next few years there will, at long last, emerge the popular social-national movement that can sweep all before it.

When I stayed for three weeks with a French couple, in Paris, in 1971 (at age 14), I was taken once by car through an area my host referred to as the “quartier arabe“. Now it seems that much of Paris is the “quartier africaine“…

What about a population of ~70 million (the UK)?

Late music

Diary Blog, 22 June 2024

Morning music

Saturday quiz

Well, this week brought only 5/10, same as political journalist John Rentoul. I knew the answers to questions 1, 2, 3, 8, and 10; was a few years out on question 7, could not bring to mind the answer to question 4, and had no idea about questions 5, 6, and 9.

Tweets seen

Alpine Switzerland. A rather wet day.

I am a market researcher. I spoke to Sunak about Polls at the leadership hustings. I don’t think he believes them and to some extent he is right to do so. But we’ve been out campaigning in Bexhill and Battle and have yet to meet anyone whose said they’ll vote Tory in a 26k majority seat.”

We read newspapers, watch TV commentary, see opinion polls, look at (often biased) Twitter/X comment. All contribute to our belief as to what might happen on Election Day. Beyond that, there is mere personal experience of one’s own local area; anecdotal, subjective.

I myself live in an area of coastal Hampshire known for being traditionally “safe” Conservative. The local MP is someone with some of whose views (eg on the Covid scamdemic/panicdemic) I can agree, but with whom I would not agree on other topics. He is also a very poor constituency MP— lazy, uncaring, and totally useless in fact, as a few people have told me after not having received help or even a polite acknowledgment from him.

In previous general elections, I have seen almost exclusively Conservative Party posters around, and one huge banner on a house in the nearby small town. This time, I think only one Conservative poster, and three or four LibDem ones. Unscientific, but is that a straw in the wind? Hard to say, but interesting all the same.

The incumbent MP has been there since the constituency was created in 1997. He has never scored below 50%, and received well over 60% in both 2017 and 2019. Labour usually come third (second in 2017) here, and the LibDems (usually second-placed, though fourth behind Con, UKIP and Labour in 2015) had their best result in 1997 (27.8%).

In other words, it would take a political earthquake, maybe a political meteorite strike, to displace the Conservative here…and yet…and yet…

I may be reading too much into the presence or otherwise of political posters put up locally, but it occurred to me that the Conservative Party in the constituency has (perhaps) few volunteers now. The average age of Con Party members in this constituency must be around 80 if not 90. Does the presence of a few LibDem posters indicate a local upsurge, or just a single diligent volunteer?

I cannot see the LibDem candidate displacing the Con candidate this time, even if Reform UK do well, but who knows? Con, Lab and LibDem are all standing for election, but so also is a double-barrelled (in both senses, probably) Reform UK fellow, a Green, an Animal Welfare candidate [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Animal_Welfare_Party], and one for the SDP, which I am surprised to see claims 2,000 members nationally [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Democratic_Party_(UK,_1990%E2%80%93present)].

How big the Reform UK vote here will be on 4 July 2024 is uncertain. UKIP scored 16.9% in 2015, though far less prior to that. Since 2015, there has been no broadly “national” party standing, and no social-national party has ever stood here.

If the staff had been Palestinian Arabs, they would have stood no chance. Having said that, Arabs would probably not have been employed anyway, for reasons of security.

Farage and Reform UK to merge with the Cons within 14 days? That sounds ludicrous. If it were to happen, in the 12 days left, it would just be a replay of 2019, when Farage stabbed his own party in the back; with one big difference, though— in 2019, Farage’s back-stab meant that instead of a likely hung Parliament, “Boris”-idiot was able to get an 80-seat Commons majority. In this General Election, the surrounding situation is very different.

Were the predicted merger to occur, and if Farage then urged voters to vote Con in many constituencies, all that would happen would be that Labour would still win overall, but with a majority of maybe 100+ instead of maybe 300. Of course, that would save perhaps 100 or 150 Con Party seats. It would also destroy whatever credibility Farage still seems to have with many people.

After any such merger, I suppose that the idea would be that Sunak would lose the election, resign, disappear from view, and that a leadership election would then anoint Farage as leader of the Con/Reform party.

Not totally impossible, arguably, but very unlikely. Reform UK is on a roll. Brexit Party had all wind taken out of its sails by Farage’s treachery in 2019. The same would happen today. It might even help Labour more than Reform UK fighting on as at present. After all, all the Reform UK candidates are now on the ballot papers.

The only way the predicted merger would work would be if Sunak and Farage were to announce a list of which seats would be “gifted” to Reform UK, but the candidates would still have to remain nominally in place.

That prediction to me sounds like nonsense. After the election might be a different story, were Reform UK to have 5-10 MPs in the Commons, and the Cons 50-100. However, once Reform UK merged with the Cons, and after (if it were to happen) Farage were elected to lead the merged parties, then what? The surviving Con MPs would be not a good match with the new Reform UK MPs; apple and orange. What could they offer the public? Con Party policies but with more emphasis on immigration? Sounds underwhelming.

Never say never, but I cannot see it as likely. If, however, it were to happen, it might yet open the door, on the flank, to real social-national people. “Always look on the bright side of life“.

As to that Gewolb individual’s views on UK interest rates, I do not have the economic background to assess them.

Incidentally, this is Gewolb: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/my-biggest-mistake-i-was-slow-to-start-a-success-1110542.html;

https://www.gewolb.tv/?page_id=30

American merchant banker, UK resident since 1999, now aged 80.

The Conservative Party is dying on its feet right in front of us. I really cannot see Farage wanting to ally himself with a party that, in another metaphor, is sinking below the waves. Not even after the election.

I notice that the Sky News “Chief Political Correspondent”, one Jon Craig, has been wheeled out to write a piece on the Sky News website about how “vile” Farage was to speak the truth about the Ukraine situation, i.e. that NATO has steadily advanced across Eastern Europe since the 1990s, thus destabilizing the NATO-Russia status quo.

Interesting language…”vile“— reminiscent of the language used by “the usual suspects” (((them)))…

The System may be getting or feeling seriously threatened by Reform UK, and is trying to use attack propaganda to weaken Farage’s appeal.

Craig claims that most “Britons” support “Ukraine” (the Kiev regime). I doubt it. Look at the comments section of the Daily Mail.

There is something going on here, with System scribblers, talking heads, and both “Labour” and “Conservative” Friends of Israel MPs all attacking Farage.

I have just heard the news on my car radio. Farage’s comments about the Ukraine situation were prominently displayed. I wonder, though, whether the Kiev regime is as popular with the people as it is with pseudo-“elite” deadheads such as Ben Wallace (former Con MP) and the Labour Friends of Israel drones. I think not.

In any case, few if any will now decide not to vote for Reform UK just because of a few comments about NATO.

From the newspapers

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/22/election-loss-rout-or-wipeout-three-tory-outcomes-predicted-by-the-polls

Interesting Guardian analysis.

More tweets

Using, as always, Electoral Calculus, I make that a House of Commons with 468 Labour MPs —overall majority of 286, Con 67, LibDem 63, SNP 20, Reform UK 6, Plaid 4, Greens 2 (etc). https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

I agree, in principle, with the vast majority of that, about 90%. Only social nationalism will actually “do de job”, though. Reform UK is too finance-capitalistic, too pro-Israel, not quite what I would ever support as a destination (rather than as a means to an end).

Today is the UK msm “hit Farage” day, it seems. “Ukraine”, NHS etc etc. Anything to get the Reform UK vote down. I doubt that it will work.

Our cat friends…

I have blogged once or twice in the past about how, in the mid-1990s, I visited the biological research base at Porton Down, accompanying the then Ukrainian Ambassador. Those posts can be found via the search box on the blog. Here is one, anyway: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2022/03/06/diary-blog-6-march-2022/

Clacton

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/21/nigel-farage-populist-pitch-gains-traction-clacton

Worth reading.

Late tweets seen

Good grief. He is only 5 years older than me; looks like an extra from Lord of the Rings, perhaps (first picture) someone with an incurable affliction or someone cursed by a wizard, or (second picture) a dishonest peasant or itinerant tinker. Still moneygrasping at age 72. Part-Jew. I never liked what I saw of him. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Geldof.

Left to itself, the world’s only Jewish state would collapse into a kind of civil war, but the money and armament provided by the Jewish “communities” both directly and indirectly (via governments) in the USA, UK, France etc keep the whole project going, so far.

Zelensky is a Jewish tyrant, who has suspended elections, banned most political parties, banned trade unions, and arrested or killed political opponents.

Perhaps a general Russian advance.

Germany is no longer the same” – Orban chastised Berlin for the failure of migration policy.

Before his visit to Berlin, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban criticized modern Germany. He said that the country had even lost its former smell, clearly making fun of its problem with migration, writes The Daily Telegraph. “Germany no longer has the taste it used to have. She doesn’t smell like she used to anymore. This whole Germany is no longer the Germany that our grandparents and parents set as an example for us,” the politician said in an interview before a meeting with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

Orbán also said that Germany was once a country of “order,” “well-organized work” and “hard-working people.” But now, he noted, citing the German newspaper Die Welt, Germany is a “colorful, changed, multicultural world” where migrants are “no longer guests.” “This is a very big change,” summed up the head of the Hungarian government.

Late thoughts about GE 2024

If reports are to be believed, 20% of voters have either not made up their minds as to how they will vote, or have not decided whether they will vote at all.

The 20% equates to thousands of eligible voters in every constituency.

It is also reported that as many as 175 seats are in very close contest now, more than a quarter of all seats.

I have speculated previously whether there is, or is not, a bloc of “secret Reform UK voters”, people who may not admit to leaning towards Reform UK if asked. I do not know the answer to that, and neither do I know its size if it exists, but if that bloc does exist, and if it mostly votes Reform UK on the day, then all bets are off, because there just might be a political meteorite strike on the 4th of July…

Late music

[painting by Michael and Inessa Garmash]

Diary Blog, 21 June 2024

Afternoon music

[William Sergeant Kendall, Psyche]

North Cornwall

I happened to see a Guardian piece about the General Election as it is playing out in North Cornwall: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/19/field-fork-disillusioned-voters-feeling-pinch-north-cornwall.

I lived in that constituency for a couple of years, 20+ years ago, and in 2019 wrote a blog post about the constituency and about Scott Mann, the most recent MP (and GE 2024 candidate): https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/03/14/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-scott-mann-story/

Tweets seen

I am presuming that that is in Clacton.

Even that averaged poll translates, according to my use of Electoral Calculus, into a House of Commons with 476 Labour MPs (overall majority 302), 62 LibDem, 60 Con, 20 SNP, 6 Reform UK, 4 Plaid, and 2 Green (etc).

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

There are still large numbers of (arguably) “well-meaning” pro-mass-immigration idiots around. They are loud on Twitter/X, and on msm shows such as BBC Question Time. In the country as a whole, while I think that they are a minority, and possibly a smaller minority than was the case 5 years ago, there are still far too many of them.

We have to be clear. The level of immigration into the UK, effectively a migration-invasion, that we have been seeing (~1M a year), is not just a debating issue for the TV, radio, or at university moots; it is an existential danger for UK society. UK society stands in peril of complete collapse within a decade because of this.

It seems that one must repeat and repeat the valid points about pressure on every part of society caused by or made much worse by the invasion, because that pro-immigration minority, most MPs, most TV and radio talking heads, and most newspaper scribblers, are NOT LISTENING.

More tweets seen

The “Ukrainian” (Kiev regime) army just gained another recruit…

The sooner the Zionist cabal in Kiev is overthrown, or crushed in battle, the better for all the people of the region.

Yes, but literally millions of idiots and/or quasi-traitors are either unable to see that, or prefer not to see it. However, the real emergency around immigration is the total picture, not just the ~5% invading across the Channel.

Voters are increasingly dissatisfied with the System parties. A large part of that is not purely ideological but actuated by the ever-lower living standards and conditions of employment, housing and general life-expectation.

As the millions of migrant-invaders flow in, the situation can only intensify, along with the frustration and dissatisfaction of the UK masses, leading eventually to an overthrow of the entire system in this country.

What is so disgusting about the “Boris” Johnson pseudo-“upper crust” “cosplay” is that the bastard is not even really British. Part-Jew (one of his ancestors was an Orthodox Jewish rabbi in Lithuania), and brought up mainly in the USA and Belgium, with a gloss of Englishness via Eton and Oxford (where his nationality was recorded as having been “American”). Cameron-Levita is a more-polished version of the same, really.

The last actually/really British Prime Minister was Gordon Brown (if you leave out the moronic 49-day careerist “Prime Minister”, Liz Truss).

The so-called “expert commentators”— the Tim Montgomeries, the Ayesha Hazarikas, the Beth Rigbys… when have they been right about anything?

I saw a few minutes of Montgomerie on Sky News yesterday, all emotional because of the distress being suffered by people who have been Conservative MPs for years and who are now candidates, and the distress and anxiety suffered by their families now that the Cons look set to be all but wiped out. “These are people“, cried Montgomerie.

Ha ha! Watch me laugh as some at least of those System political swine and profiteers suffer a tiny bit of the anxiety and distress suffered over the past 14+ years by the sick, disabled, poor, homeless, unemployed etc, while those bastards voted time and again to bully and oppress —and repress— the real people suffering in this country. I want the “Conservative” careerists to suffer personally. I want them to have to chase jobs with no result. I want them to worry every day about whether they can feed themselves and their families. I want them to lose their homes and status symbols. I want them to suffer.

I think that a very large proportion of the country is with me on this.

…and “they” are still whining, and writing books, and making Hollywood films about Jews detained in Europe more than 80 years ago.

Mariupol on the Sea of Azov, before the present war the 10th largest city of Ukraine, and which was heavily damaged in the fighting a couple of years ago.

Looks like Russia is making a good start, at the very least, in reconstructing the city.

The city is largely and traditionally Russian-speaking, while ethnically the population is divided about evenly between Ukrainians and Russians. There is also a significant ethnic Greek minority in the city.” [Wikipedia]. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol.

Late music

[Arnold Bocklin, Ruins by the Sea]

Diary Blog, 18 June 2024

Afternoon music

[Adzharia, Black Sea coast]

Tweets seen

Made me laugh (all three of those tweets)…

https://twitter.com/joanybaby77/status/1802833711601443145

Just one symptom of a sick society. The sort of people who take Eddie Izzard seriously (politically or otherwise…and probably call him “her”) are the same sort that would love that fake “Labour” unemployed African freeloader to win the election at Clacton.

I am not usually a Champagne drinker but…maybe a half-bottle of vintage on 5 July.

I would not be drinking to Labour’s victory but to the Con Party’s downfall, and especially to the downfall of any of their MPs who will hopefully suffer personally at least slightly as much as those victimized by them over the past 14 years.

Late tweets

Laura Trott. Complete idiot. Idiots like that pretend to know how to rule over us, they pretend to know…things; they also have a completely misconceived sense of entitlement. Kick them into the political gutter.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sevenoaks_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laura_Trott_(politician).

Ha ha! “…I won’t be intimidated…!“, tweets Israel-lobby puppet Largan, as he runs away…

He must be looking for a new job, or getting back his old one at Marks & Spencer. His chance of re-election is very small. Nasty little man.

Another one to be binned politically in 2 weeks’ time.

Laura Farris. Another “Conservative” Party idiot. Sadly, in a (formerly, at least) very safe seat. The only way to get rid of her politically on 4 July will be tactical voting. The only obviously likely party would be the LibDems, though Reform UK is standing in Newbury, and is an unknown quantity.

In 2019, Laura Farris scored 57.4% (LibDems 30.6%).

In 2015, UKIP scored over 10% here.

In my opinion, it is not impossible to see Reform UK getting 15% or even more, and the Con vote reducing to about 40%, maybe even 35%. In those circumstances, it is at least possible to see the LibDems getting 35% (or even more, if aided by tactical voting; they scored 35.5% in 2010) and so pulling off rather a coup.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newbury_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laura_Farris.

According to my use of Electoral Calculus, that would give Labour 512 MPs (overall majority 374), LibDems 58, Cons 31, SNP 20, Reform UK 4, Plaid Cymru 4, Greens 2 (etc).

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

So, on that basis, a Labour “elected” dictatorship, LibDems as official Opposition, Cons facing the end of the road, and the SNP pretty washed-up. Also, Farage with a very small but significant bloc of MPs, likely to punch above their weight in public relations terms.

Incidentally, were the Cons to fall to 17% from 18%, their MP numbers would fall from 31 to only 21. FPTP is a harsh system.

Late music

[painting by Victor Ostrovsky]

Diary Blog, 15 June 2024

Morning music

Saturday quiz

Well, this week I return to winning form: 8/10, compared to the 6/10 scored by political journalist John Rentoul. I did not know the answers to questions 7 and 10.

Tweets seen

Cameron-Levita in his usual bubble of total unreality. The idiot who brought us the war on Gaddafi (result— millions of Africans flooding Europe), fake “austerity” (result— misery for millions, as well as lower economic growth than anywhere in the then EU, USA etc), and other misconceived policy choices, most recently the increased support for the brutal and shambolic dictatorship of Zelensky in Kiev.

Ursula Haverbeck— arguably the bravest person in Europe.

She thinks that she is terribly clever, and making the old lady seem outdated, “bigoted”, “gammon” etc. Ha. Laugh now if you want to…

The pendulum may start to swing back now that pine martens are being reintroduced in several parts of the country; pine martens prey on grey squirrels but not (much) on red squirrels.

The Tories are unlikely to attract many Reform UK voters given…

– Only 36% would vote Tory if a Reform UK candidate wasn’t standing

– 61% are voting Reform despite thinking they won’t win in their seat

– 75% say the Tories and Labour are as bad as each other

– 74-76% dislike Rishi Sunak and the party.

Desperate. I had not heard of that MP. Looks a bit of a careerist; tried to become a Police and Crime Commissioner at one point (came third in the election): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robbie_Moore_(MP).

Keighley has, with 2 exceptions, been a “bellwether” constituency since 1959, so is likely to fall to Labour this time: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keighley_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

I cannot think that those attempts at confusing the voters (of High Peak and also Keighley) will work. After all, most people vote according to party label, so when the voter is faced with a ballot paper, the “X” is placed by the party more than the candidate’s name.

I have to admit that the Italian woman “brushes up well”, as they say…

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Giorgia_Meloni].

Clacton

Had to look that one up: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wakanda.

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul, Labour candidate, seems to come out of a black activist (African; Ghanaian) background in Nottingham: see https://heartofthenation.migrationmuseum.org/stories/sylvia-owusu-nepaul/.

About 25. Never had a non-political job, in fact has never had any job except a couple of p/t “internships”. https://www.linkedin.com/in/jovan-owusu-nepaul-3a95b17b/.

The candidate’s aunt has also been socio-politically active: see https://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/7138/1/Owusu-Kwarteng_Between_Two_Lives_2010.pdf.

This Labour candidate is a kind of less-prominent Femi Oluwole. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Femi_Oluwole

Labour has, since 2010, when the present constituency of Clacton was established, never scored higher than 25.4% of the votes cast there; that was in 2017. The lowest was 11.2%, at the by-election of that year. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clacton_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s.

Labour has no chance at Clacton, a famously “left behind” and white British area. To choose an African “eternal student” as candidate is almost insulting to the voters there. Moreover, one whose social media posts make clear his hostility to the real people of the UK.

Despite Labour’s overall “popularity by default” in the nationwide campaign, I should not be surprised if its vote-share at Clacton were to dip below 10%.

The frightening thing is not that such a candidate is standing in Clacton, where Labour has little or no chance; it is that, across the country, similarly-hostile individuals are likely to be elected next month for Labour. God help the poor English people of these islands.

Late tweets seen

Not quite what I want to see: too many Con MPs. A couple of unexpected wrinkles too, such as Reform UK with 7 seats, and the SNP with 37, more than twice the number predicted elsewhere.

While the Con Party is toast pretty much whatever happens between now and 4 July, in some respects the General Election is quite open. A substantial minority are either undecided as to for which party they might vote, or are undecided as to whether to bother to vote at all.

That may mean a better than expected Con Party performance, a better than expected Labour (or even LibDem) performance but, most intriguingly, perhaps an even better than expected Reform UK vote, either as a targeted anti-Con vote, as a serious “I am dissatisfied” protest vote, or an angry “F.U., System parties!” vote.

The election is shaping up to be both interesting and important, perhaps even historic.

So will you, probably!

As people, from what I have seen online etc, ex-officer Mercer and his lady wife seem like a pleasant couple, but we are talking serious politics here.

Mercer has increased his majority steadily and considerably since first elected in 2015, but the general unpopularity of his party, his poor performance as a minister, and his personal moneygrasping would seem to leave him exposed. Also, Reform UK may well eat into his 2019 vote. Well, we shall soon know.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plymouth_Moor_View_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

Late music

Diary Blog, 29 May 2024, including a look at Natalie Elphicke

Morning music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constant_Lambert]

Tweets seen

I never believe “them” without corroborative evidence.

Exactly. Eternal “victims”, even when they are victimizing others.

A mere caution, for attacking an elderly man in the street.

Natalie Elphicke

Whatever the facts of that, there are facts that are indisputable: Natalie Elphicke could have stood at GE 2024 as Con Party candidate. She received 56.9% of the vote in 2019 under that aegis.

I was puzzled as to why Natalie Elphicke crossed the floor, she after all knowing that a general election had to be called sometime before a date in January 2025. Does she have some better offer from outside Parliament? Seems doubtful to me.

Natalie Elphicke gives me a dual impression: not particularly intelligent, but particularly focussed on her own ambitions.

Incidentally, many may be misled by the academic section of her biographical details: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natalie_Elphicke#Early_life_and_career.

As a former member of Lincoln’s Inn, I have met several people over the years who were (as was Natalie Elphicke— see the Wikipedia entry) beneficiaries of Hardwicke scholarships. None impressed.

I saw this comment:

Hardwicke Scholarships aren’t that prestigious. A mere submission of an application is more than enough to win one. They give about 150 away each year, and not many more people apply to each inn for a scholarship, surprisingly enough.” [online commentator].

I think that the real figure is nearer to 100 than 150.

To intrude a personal comment, I recall a young blonde lady barrister who (unsuccessfully, in all cases) opposed me in court a number of times during 2002-2008 when I was in chambers in Exeter (she was in another set, also in Exeter). She was a former Hardwicke scholar, just like Natalie Elphicke. I used to think of her as “Mrs Malaprop”, because her use of English was so poor. Comically so. A pretty poor barrister in terms of both legal knowledge and presentation, in my view, though wearing a sense of self-importance as thick as a suit of armour.

I had better not name that lady, mainly for reasons of propriety (I am too poor now to be worth suing; and there would be no basis for such a suit anyway). I just looked her up online for the first time, and found that she is still in Exeter, and still in the same chambers as she was 20+ years ago, apparently flourishing like the green bay tree.

I note that, having been Called to the Bar in 1994, only a few years after me, Natalie Elphicke decided to leave the Bar and to convert to be a solicitor (something that, at least then, basically meant filling out a few forms).

Natalie Elphicke only worked as a lawyer for a year or two, as a salaried employee of the Inland Revenue (as was; now HMRC) during 1995-1997. She married her now ex-husband, Charlie Elphicke, in 1995. They have two children. She appears to have returned to legal work for a year or two during the years 2011-2013, before helping to found a company which was dissolved 2-3 years later.

After that, her husband’s connections seem to have got her a couple of brief public appointments in the years 2016-2019, as well as the CEO job at the Housing and Finance Institute: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Housing_and_Finance_Institute. This may not be very lucrative, though, looking at the Institute’s funding. Hard to say.

Ah…[10 mins later…]… seems that my hunch was correct: that HFI CEO position is entirely unpaid: see https://members.parliament.uk/member/4795/registeredinterests.

Many will know that, though having displayed (performative?) “loyalty” to her disgraced MP husband, Charlie Elphicke, during his trial, Natalie Elphicke had by then already taken over as MP for Dover in 2019. She separated from him in 2020, and later divorced him, prior to which she sold her story to the Sun “newspaper” for £25,000. https://www.kentonline.co.uk/deal/news/mp-wife-of-naughty-tory-paid-25k-to-tell-all-234749/.

I have to say that I agreed (and still agree) with Natalie Elphicke’s comment at the time of her husband’s unsuccessful appeal (against sentence only— he had been sentenced to 2 years, plus £35,000 costs, and was released after a year) that the 2-year sentence was harsh. He had really done very little: “During his trial the court heard how Elphicke groped one of his accusers, chased her around his house, and sang “I’m a naughty Tory, I’m a naughty Tory.” [Wikipedia].

I should have thought that a suspended sentence would have been enough. From what I read at the time, his three crimes were all just silly, really; almost identical, too, and surely only just coming within the “sex crime” area. Pathetic more than anything, in my opinion.

To my mind, if crimes and criminals can be divided into “bad, sad, or mad“, Charlie Elphicke’s conduct was surely “sad“, with a dash of “mad“, but nothing seriously “bad“.

Having —whether rightly or wrongly, and I think rightly— identified Natalie Elphicke as a “go for the main chance” opportunist, why on Earth did she defect to Labour? Looking at the electoral statistics for Dover, she had a very good chance of being re-elected. Maybe Starmer offered her a peerage (seems unlikely, though), or some quango chair (more likely), or a safe Labour seat (relatively unlikely, surely?).

I admit, Mrs. Elphicke’s motivation is still puzzling to me.

As to Charlie Elphicke, I had little time for him when he was an MP, but I have to say that his fall from status and relative affluence has the elements of a minor Greek tragedy. Apparently, he now lives in a small rented flat somewhere like Earl’s Court, and may (I do not know) be either unemployed or working in some obscure occupation. I can find no record of him still on the Solicitors’ Register, and the same is true of Natalie Elphicke, but as far as I know both are still able to practise; again, I cannot say.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-61276734

While looking up the above details, I noticed this story from the Daily Mail in 2022: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10367265/Naughty-Tory-Charlie-Elphicke-makes-700-000-profit-selling-cliffside-home-Kent.html.

Turns out that the Elphickes bought a house on the Kent coast for about £800,000 in 2012, and were able to sell it only a decade later for over £1.5M. The house almost doubled in value in 10 years. A commentary upon the house-price madness in this country.

More tweets

There is also no evidence that Reform UK is getting anywhere. Nothing lower than an across-the-board 20% will win any seats; even a few percent more may only win a small handful, maybe 3-5. 11%, 12%, even 15%, is “nowhere” territory in seat-winning terms.

The LibDems and Greens are on a lower nationwide support, yet have seats in the Commons because their vote is concentrated, here and there.

Having said that, I make two points. Firstly, most intending Reform UK voters know perfectly well that RF is not going to win many, if any, seats. Their vote is a protest vote and/or a way of kicking the Sunak government and Conservative Party, by weakening greatly the Con Party vote in almost every constituency, but without voting Labour.

Secondly, as mooted yesterday, there may be a number, perhaps even a large number, of “secret Reform UK voters”, who do not show up in the opinion polls because they say “Don’t Know” or nominate a mainstream party out of embarrassment. Very English, arguably.

I doubt whether the usual general election convergence will happen this time. People hate and despise the useless Conservative Party governments of the past 14 years, and especially the past 5 years. That includes a huge number of 2019 or previous Con voters.

In fact, I should not be surprised were the Lab-Con gap to widen, though more because the Cons may slide again rather than because Labour increase their percentage.

A plurality of voters do not know where Starmer stands. For Starmer, that may be what he wants.

Telling…

That must be “value” olive oil. The last bottle I bought (extra-virgin olive oil, first cold pressing, but not a single-estate or special one) was nearly £13.

Incredible posting by Simon Myerson (1) @JewishMirelle’s statement can be opinion and defamatory. (2) Myerson is re-publishing a likely defamatory statement. (3) He’s a KC suggesting to someone on twitter that their statement might not be defamatory. (4) He’s the KC who acted for Pete Newbon according the Telegraph. #GroundhogDay

Myerson again.

Honest opinion is now a defence [Defamation Act 2013, s.3].

I think that I shall quit now, while I am ahead. I have not been in Bar practice for 16 years, and do not, in general, keep up with changes in the law.

General Election news

According to my use of Electoral Calculus, that might result in a House of Commons with 541 Lab MPs, 46 LibDem, 28 Con, 12 SNP, 3 Plaid Cymru, 2 Green, and 18 various Northern Irish.

On those figures, what Disraeli described as “the great Conservative Party, which destroys everything“, would be itself almost destroyed, reduced to a rump of 20 MPs; not even the official Opposition, which would be the LibDems.

Such a result would be a strategic defeat for the SNP too. 12 MPs, down from 56 (out of 59) at the 2015 peak, and 48 at the 2019 GE.

I get the impression that the SNP’s version of fake “nationalism” (blame England/the UK for everything, keep importing non-whites into Scotland, and think it normal to have a Pakistani as First Minister) has well and truly foundered on the rocks of socio-political reality). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_National_Party#House_of_Commons.

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

Of course, a change in the Labour vote of even one point either way would add several to (or subtract several from) the Conservative total, and even more to or from the Labour total.

More tweets

A twisted and evil woman.

Ukraine knows that it’s all over” While the UK is preoccupied with the general elections, Kyiv “cannot withstand Putin’s brutal attack,” reports the British The Telegraph. Main points:

Kiev was forced to transfer thousands of soldiers to the northeastern part of the front line to try to slow down the advance of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kharkov region.

The war is reaching a critical point as Western interest in helping Ukraine risks weakening again.

Zelensky seems to understand that time is running out for Ukraine: over the weekend he called on Joe Biden and Xi Jinping to take part in the upcoming “peace summit” in Switzerland.

Zelensky’s team is concerned about the shift of attention in the United States to internal elections: Ukraine is receding into the background.

The harsh reality is that Ukraine risks simply running out of people to fight.

Exactly.

I have, on the blog, been saying for 2 years that Russia cannot lose this war, and will not lose it.

Diary Blog, 19 May 2024

Morning music

Tweets seen

https://twitter.com/Mick_O_Keeffe/status/1791979092549480724

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan

The savagery of a bygone age, come to life again in our times. Europe must create a civilization without savagery, and without savages (from either side).

Not something from which I myself suffer, thank God, but such conditions are more widespread than often thought. The social security system as at present constituted is designed (especially since 2010 and the influence of Dunce Duncan Smith, aka “IDS”) to attack the sick and disabled, and to make them jump through hoops, rather than to help them.

God. That stupid woman talking rubbish is actually the Prime Minister of Estonia! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaja_Kallas. Her father was also Prime Minister of Estonia.

Personally, I think that the Baltic states, or pribaltika as the Russians call them, have every right to self-determination, but their leaders have now gone well beyond that, in becoming puppets of NATO, or really of NWO/ZOG.

Zahawi and many like him (not only Kurds like him, but also Pakistanis, Indians, Jews, Arabs etc) have brought the ethos of the Middle Eastern and South Asian bazaars to Westminster. Many English MPs are no better now. Just unclean.

Cleanse the Augean Stables.

Late tweets seen

https://www.thejc.com/life-and-culture/books/the-disaster-that-nearly-lost-the-war-dmikxwie

Interesting, though the headline is a little misleading. Arnhem was, after all, at a time when the main action was not on the admittedly very active Western Front but the ever-rolling-westward Red Army on the Eastern Front.

The amusing aspect is that anyone should be surprised about it all. Give tens of millions or more to a load of black “activists”, and then wonder “where the money went“? Ha ha.

Interesting way of looking at it…

Extradition or continuation of legal battles – Assange faces a decisive trial on May 20.

The “court saga” of journalist Julian Assange, which has been dragging on for more than ten years, could end in the UK as early as Monday. Assange faces a May 20 hearing in London’s High Court that could result in him being sent to the United States to face espionage charges or give him another chance to appeal his extradition, ABC News reports.

The outcome of the case will depend on how much weight the judges place on assurances from US officials that Assange’s rights will not be harmed if he stands trial in the US. As the publication explains, London judges must rule on whether the court has satisfied Washington’s guarantee that Assange will not face the death penalty and that he can rely on the right and freedom of speech provided for by the First Amendment of the US Constitution if he is tried for espionage in United States.

Assange’s lawyers say the journalist could be on a plane across the Atlantic within 24 hours of the decision, or his case could again drag on for months of legal battles.

If Assange is extradited, he may not face the death penalty (for telling the truths the System did not want told) but may face 10, 20, 50, 100 years (sentence) in some American “Supermax” giant tomb.

What a disgrace, that the UK is so craven in respect of the USA these days. Long ago, America was our colony; now we are America’s colony.

The Razumkov Center survey shows that trust in the presidency has fallen from a rating of 71% in 2023 to a rating of 26%,” the article states.

Crowdfunder

https://www.givesendgo.com/GC14J

Late music

Diary Blog, 12 May 2024

Afternoon music

[Johann Messely, The Terrace]

Tweets seen

Looks like a residential building.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/05/12/russia-ukraine-zelensky-putin-war-latest-news-kharkiv/.

Belgorod is in Russia proper, 25 miles from the border with Ukraine: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belgorod.

[Belgorod in 2018]
[Belgorod, western Russia]

Water under the bridge now, of course, but if only Russia had decapitated the Kiev regime at the start, in 2022, eliminated Zelensky and his immediate cabal, and taken Kiev by a mass parachute assault using the VDV and Spetsnaz forces available, followed by a push through using armour and infantry. That would have finished the regime in Kiev within days, and prevented the attritional war we have seen since, with its huge loss of life, misery for both humans and animals, and widespread devastation.

Freeman: As soon as the Ukrainians swing even more strongly on the fronts – a new government may appear in Kyiv.

FORMER AMERICAN DIPLOMAT CONVINCED THAT THE UKRAINIAN ARMY WILL NOT SURVIVE UNTIL NOVEMBER WHEN the Ukrainians are even stronger, definitely swaying on the fronts, a new government could appear in Kyiv, ready to accept the true state of affairs in the conflict with Russia, former American diplomat Ches Freeman said. And immediately additionally concluded: “Mr. Zelensky may become a victim of his own intransigence, and a new government may emerge in Kyiv that will be more willing to acknowledge the true state of affairs instead of denying it.”

Freeman noted that many in Ukraine are aware of the need for negotiations, but the head of the Kyiv regime has banned them from taking place. In his opinion, this should be abandoned. He also added that the Ukrainian armed forces probably won’t last even until November.”

The reality is that Russia should take all Ukraine east of the Dnieper, and the coastal areas of the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea. A viable independent Ukraine can then come into being in the rest of the country, and centred on Lvov. Kiev and its immediate hinterland can become some kind of autonomous city, rather as Danzig (now Gdansk) was in the period 1920-1939.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_City_of_Danzig

Jewish terrorists.

Tell us something we don’t know…

As a matter of fact, even 1997 was not 1997 (as normally and wrongly thought to be, i.e. a popular landslide): in 1997, Blair Labour, thanks to FPTP voting, ended up with about 65% of Commons seats, but its popular vote was only 43.2% (Conservatives 30.7%; LibDems 16.8%; others 9.4%). Far more people, even of those who voted, did not want Labour as compared to those that did.

It is truer to say that, while those that did vote Labour in 1997 were enthusiastic about it, those who now tell pollsters that they intend to vote Starmer-Labour at GE 2024 (about the same percentage, circa 42%-48%) are almost all not enthusiastic about it, but just want rid of the present “Conservative” misgovernment, as do almost all other intending voters (present polling gives Sunak’s party a mere 18%).

I myself was not living the UK in 1997 (I was in Kazakhstan, only returning to the UK in late September 1997, though I had been back in the UK for about 2 weeks during February-March 1997), and so missed the UK election campaign and the election itself.

The unsustainable migration invasion will break British society apart within a few years; not suddenly, not overnight, but steadily and unstoppably, until a complete breakdown occurs. After that, anything is possible.

“Turning and turning in the widening gyre

The falcon cannot hear the falconer;

Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;

Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,

The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere   

The ceremony of innocence is drowned;

The best lack all conviction, while the worst” 

Are full of passionate intensity.

[Yeats] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W._B._Yeats.

Russia chose the most inopportune moment for Kyiv for its offensive in the Kharkov region Russia, by opening another front in the Kharkov region, is creating additional pressure on the forces of Kyiv, which are currently already suffering from a shortage of weapons and people, Sky News reports.

Moscow decided to act, choosing the most inopportune moment for Kyiv for its offensive. Russian troops are already gradually advancing in the Donbass, approaching the city of Chasov Yar. If this Ukrainian stronghold falls, it will give Russian troops the opportunity to more easily strike the rest of the Donbass, putting key cities such as Kramatorsk at risk.

By intensifying attacks in the Kharkov direction, Russia can force the Ukrainian command to transfer reserves from the east to the northeast, thereby weakening its defensive line in the Donbass, which is already under enormous strain.

The situation is further aggravated by delays in the supply of additional weapons and ammunition from Western allies.

The Kiev regime has no “Western allies“, just aid-givers, bribe-givers, bribe-takers, and warmongers.

If Kharkov itself can be taken this year, the war will be close to ending. The whole of Ukraine east of the Dnieper will, in that contingency, be taken by Russian forces pushing from north, east, and south.

Kharkov is Ukraine’s second city, with a (pre-war) population of 1.5M: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kharkiv. How many remain now is uncertain; perhaps 1M.

This is the year when Russia must take Kharkov, advance across the eastern part of Ukraine generally, and destroy not only the electricity infrastructure of the part of Ukraine west of the Dnieper (particularly Kiev itself), but also major rail and road links and bridges linking the east and west parts of the country.

Even by the standards of American Israeli-owned politicians, that cretin pretty much takes the biscuit. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindsey_Graham.

“Russian attacks open a new front in Ukraine”:

Austria is confident that Ukraine will lose most of its army if it decides to hold the region instead of surrendering the Kharkov region.

“Retired Austrian Colonel Mick Ryan believes the coming weeks will be very grim for Ukrainian ground forces in the east. Attempts to hold the area will result in the loss of most of the army. The result could be a serious test and “one of the most difficult moments for Ukraine in the war.

The offensive of the Russian army in the Kharkov direction has become the largest. This could undermine the morale of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. However, Ukraine must be careful in its response given its depleted military. Deliveries of the long-delayed American aid package are just beginning to reach the front lines.”

Late music

Crowdfunder

https://www.givesendgo.com/GC14J

Diary Blog, 25 April 2024, with some analysis of the war in Ukraine in 2024-2025; also the Israel/Palestine situation

Morning music

[Old Orangerie, Lazienki Park, Warsaw]

Tweets seen

No news for some time about the famous Hamas tunnels that were, apparently, in total about the same length altogether as the actually underground parts of the London Underground (over 100 miles in all). At first, the Israelis were full of public relations news/propaganda about how they had taken several miles of this or that tunnel, but since then, nothing. Are the tunnels still being used by the Gazan side of the conflict? We do not know.

If so, most of them will abandon Poland and move to other parts of the EU— Germany, Denmark etc. Only a few will make it easy for the Kiev regime to press-gang them and deploy them to the crumbling front-line. That would be a death sentence for many.

Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, and the war

“Lukashenko proposed to the West to play a draw with Russia, otherwise Ukraine will cease to exist.

More statements of the President of Belarus:

For Americans, China and Russia are not all opponents and enemies. For America, Europe itself, the European Union, is a serious rival. Americans do not need opponents or competitors.

I know the mood of the Ukrainian army. They are already tired of this war. If we do not negotiate now, Ukraine may lose its statehood and cease to exist.

No one wants to fight today. That is why we must move towards peace.

Washington is progressively pushing aggressive narratives against Belarus and the Russian state, increasing the degree of hostility of the NATO bloc in our direction.

The US allocation of 60 billion for the war is the most important factor in the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine.”

Biden’s team doubts US aid will help Ukraine win – Politico.

The immediate goal is to stop Ukrainian losses and help Ukraine regain momentum and turn the tide on the battlefield.” After that, the goal is to help Ukraine start getting its territory back,” said one of the officials. “Will they have what it takes to win?” Ultimately, yes. But that’s no guarantee that they will. Military operations are much more complicated than that.

That report about American “analysis” leaves out several important factors which make any large-scale success by the forces of the Kiev regime very unlikely.

The first is the lack of “boots on the ground”, i.e. numbers of soldiers, particularly well-trained soldiers. 500,000 Ukrainian troops have been killed in the past 2 years, it is said; even if that figure includes the badly-wounded, nothing material is altered.

Ukrainians of all ages and conditions are trying to avoid call-up, as the regime drafts people as old as 65, disabled people, carers for sick and disabled family members, some women etc. Those who live beyond Ukrainian borders (perhaps a quarter of the pre-war population) show no sign of wanting to return and rally to the colours; those within the borders try to buy or acquire medical exemptions, or just try to stay “under the radar”.

So overall, the lack of manpower is key. There is no way for the regime in Kiev to increase the supply of men, while the attrition of the war means that every day brings new losses; Russian forces, at present, fire 10 artillery shells for every 1 coming from the other side.

The low birth-rate in Ukraine (one of the lowest in the world) also impacts this. The Kiev-regime side looks to ever-lower age-groups, even to those aged 16, to perform military tasks.

Realistically, no matter how many advanced weapons are gifted to the Kiev regime by the USA and UK etc, Zelensky’s forces will never be able to “regain” those former Ukrainian provinces now under Russian rule: Lugansk, Donetsk, and of course the Russian peninsula of Crimea.

Even less likely is the prospect of the Kiev-regime forces actually taking over undisputably-Russian border areas, or destroying major Russian towns or cities. Should the first happen (which is not even a war aim of the Kiev-regime side), there would be a swift Russian response and re-occupation. Russia, with its famous prostor (apparently endless space) simply cannot be conquered by merely military means, as indeed Professor Haushofer taught. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karl_Haushofer.

As to possible destruction of large Russian urban centres such as Moscow: even had the Kiev regime side the means, all that would then happen would be the deployment of Russian tactical or even strategic nuclear weapons, particularly to reduce Kiev itself. Were Kiev to be destroyed, the war would end immediately.

It can thus be seen that there are only two possible outcomes (unless is posited a general regional or even world war): either Russia achieves victory over Eastern Ukraine by force of arms, or there are real peace talks soon, leading to a result somewhere between such a victory and the present state of play.

Israel

More Israeli war crimes.

Sooner or later, whether in 5 years, 10 years or whenever, the wheel will turn, and the Israeli population will probably be scurrying through devastated streets, the streets of Tel Aviv and elsewhere. Will the Jews of Israel and beyond then themselves expect or ask for mercy?

Not as unlikely as it seems. Israel’s regional enemies become more powerful every day. Who, a decade or two decades ago, or 50 years ago, would have thought that the Palestinian resistance to the north of Israel/occupied Palestine would have the military power, or the missiles, that it has in 2024? With every passing day, the enemies of Israel acquire more powerful weapons. How long before they have weapons that can overcome the Israeli defences?

The Israeli high command (both military and security/intelligence) seems to be playing a delaying game, trying to prevent major actors from acquiring the most powerful weapons while, when possible, destabilizing surrounding (and some other) states. Iraq, Lebanon, Syria Libya, Egypt have all been weakened. Iran still stands.

There is also the fact that the Arab Palestinians within Israeli borders, and in the West Bank and Gaza, have a higher birth-rate than do most of the Israeli Jews. This will surely have an effect somewhere down the line.

Israel is doomed; the only uncertain fact is the date of that doom.

In the recent Israel-Iran exchange, it was noteworthy that planes and rockets from Saudi Arabia and Jordan flew in defence of Israel. I take that to be an Arab response to the increasing power of Iran, rather than a wish to help Israel as such.

In the 1960s and 1970s, the opposite was the case: the Shah’s government was on quite amicable terms with Israel, unlike all of the Arab states, which then were implacably opposed to Israel. The underlying hostility between the Arabs and the “Persians”, however, was just the same, in essence.

That Jewish Israeli politician seems to be the personification of utter stupidity allied to complete dishonesty. Says that executed/murdered Gazans with hands tied behind their backs may have died in “gun battles” or “throwing grenades“.

She also says that the Gazan resistance are “cowards“, because they (to use the old British phrase) “shoot and scoot” rather than waiting to be mown down by tanks etc. What, I wonder, does that creature say about Jewish (Israeli) pilots and drone operatives who kill women and children from 10,000 feet in the air, or even while sitting in a building in Israel?

It is a disgrace that the suborned UK government is giving aid and comfort (and arms) to that tribe.

Good grief! Just saw this: that creature, of Moroccan and Portuguese Sephardic-Jewish origins, was born in London, became a barrister (Middle Temple) and only moved to Israel in 2001, at the age of 27 or 28: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fleur_Hassan-Nahoum.

She has been tipped as a future mayor of Jerusalem or Israeli foreign minister” [Wikipedia].

Incredibly (listening to that interview), she is apparently regarded as “liberal” in Israel!

Talking point

Britain’s average has already been reduced several points by reason of importation of huge numbers of individuals from the lower-IQ groups over the past 70 years and particularly the past 30 years.

How can we ever create a higher-level society if the human beings in the present society are, as a group, degrading constantly (as at present)?

Late tweets

Cleverly is completely idiotic. Imagine meeting with those lying conspirators and giving (or at least pretending to give) credence to their demands, after what has been discovered in the last several days! Falter has been exposed more than once as a liar, as has the one seated to his left.

Unfortunately, Cleverly has one of the safest seats in the Commons: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braintree_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s. Another brainless MP.

The “Campaign Against Antisemitism” is effectively a volunteer arm of the Israeli Embassy in London.

I cannot see why the Metropolitan Police Commissioner felt obliged —apparently— to actually apologise to Falter, who by then had already been exposed, even by other Jews, even by other Zionists, as a dishonest propagandist whose account of the now-notorious Aldwych incident was plainly contrived and untrue.

Perhaps Russia should create a special class of passports for suitable candidates from certain other countries too: EU nationals, UK and US nationals, some others, and those people could then become dual-passport-holders, with the right of residence, under conditions, in the Russian Federation.

Late music

[painting by Vicente Romero Redondo]