Tag Archives: Uxbridge and South Ruislip

Diary Blog, 21 July 2023, including some analysis of yesterday’s by-elections: Uxbridge and South Ruislip, Selby and Ainsty, Somerton and Frome

Morning music

{Palace of Westminster, with Portcullis House to the right]

Battles past

The three by-elections of 20 July 2023

Uxbridge and South Ruislip

The result: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uxbridge_and_South_Ruislip_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

As I predicted on the blog a couple of days ago, this was a “battle of the apathies”. Complete “Conservative” omnishambles meets Labour mediocrity (both on the national and constituency levels).

The successful Conservative candidate drew a veil over both the non-performance of the Rishi Sunak government and the egregiously poor behaviour (and capabilities) of ex-MP “Boris” Johnson; the candidate just kept hitting at the ridiculous Sadiq Khan ULEZ scheme [“Ultra Low Emission Zone”], and saying very little else about anything.

In a sense that concentration on ULEZ shows how meaningless the supposed “democracy” of the UK now is. The ULEZ idea and policy was first mooted by none other than “Boris”-idiot and the Conservative Party in London. Quite apart from that, the new Con Party MP, one Steve Tuckwell [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Tuckwell] will be able to exercise precisely zero influence over the ULEZ scheme and Sadiq Khan.

The Labour Party candidate, Danny Beales, was arguably not a good candidate in the particular constituency, an outer London suburb. Gay, a former councillor in inner-city Camden, and a graduate of the London School of Economics.

That said, the result was close— 495 votes decided it. Both the LibDem voters (526, fifth place), and/or the Green Party voters (893, third place), had they voted tactically, could have prevented the narrow Con Party victory. Neither Greens nor LibDems had a chance of winning, and both lost their deposits, along with the other 13 candidates, all of whom could be described as either “minor” or “joke” candidates.

The actor Laurence Fox, for Reclaim, did well, in a minor way, to come fourth, not far behind the Green. Still, this was really between Con Party (13,965 votes, 45.2%) and Labour (13,470, 43.6%). The other 15 parties and independents only scored 11.2% between them.

It does puzzle me why LibDem voters in particular did not all vote tactically. Some did, plainly, looking at previous election results where the LibDem vote was higher by far (peaking at 20% in 2010, though only 6.3% in 2019), but not enough.

Why did 526 LibDems bother to trot down to vote, knowing that their candidate had no chance? Even if they hated both Con and Lab, and so were unwilling to vote for either, why bother to vote? As someone said of golf, “a good walk spoiled“.

So a Conservative Party win, though scarcely a ringing endorsement.

Turnout was about 2/3 of that in 2019, and indeed the previous elections. I am assuming from that that many former Conservative voters, in what was since creation in 2010 a fairly safe Conservative seat (a new seat on these boundaries), just threw up their hands in disgust at both main System parties, could find no other home for their votes, and so “voted with their feet”— abstained.

Selby and Ainsty

The result: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selby_and_Ainsty_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

The successful Labour candidate is 25, once again (like the Labour candidate at Uxbridge) gay (seems that it is almost compulsory now in the Labour Party), and has only worked for 18 months since leaving university. Interestingly, those 18 months were spent working at the Confederation of British Industry, a more usual place in which to find young Conservatives, surely?

Also, he spent some months in 2019 and 2020 working with Wes Streeting, the “centrist” (Labour Friends of Israel) MP. So it seems that Keir Mather will fit easily into the Keir Starmer Labour Party. Not much else is yet known about him: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keir_Mather.

Why did Mather win what had previously been regarded as a safe Conservative seat? As at Uxbridge, the implication is surely obvious: former Conservative voters were appalled at both major System parties, and so preferred to stay home rather than vote Labour (or elsewhere).

Mather scored 46% of the overall vote, as against 34.3% scored by his Con Party opponent.

Since the creation of the seat in 2010, the Conservative Party had won easily all elections, scoring between 49.4% (2010) and 60.3% (2019). Labour, however, had scored only around 25% of the vote, except in 2017, under Corbyn, when the Labour Party candidate managed over 34%.

The key here, as with Uxbridge, lies in the turnout. The by-election turnout was only 44.8%, whereas in 2019 it was 71.7% (and in previous elections, not dissimilar).

The implication, again, as at Uxbridge, is that former Conservative Party voters, in a formerly safe Conservative area, simply decided not to vote.

There was obviously a degree of tactical voting at Selby; the LibDem vote went down from 8.6% to 3.3%; without tactical voting, the result would have been much closer but not, in my view, different.

Incidentally, the LibDems only managed sixth place, no doubt because many otherwise LibDems voted Labour. The third place went to the Greens, whose candidate was the only one of the minor candidates to save his deposit (5.1%).

I was interested to see that a “Yorkshire Party” candidate, one Mike Jordan, who failed to fill in his nomination papers properly and so was a blank space (not even “Independent”) on the ballot paper, yet managed to score 4.2%. Not bad in the circumstances, and maybe a sign that localism, or at least regionalism, may be resurgent as central government falters and fails.

The Selby contest had other things in common with that at Uxbridge— contempt for the former MP (at Selby, he had stepped down apparently in order to damage Sunak and his party, and after having been passed over for a peerage); the fact that both seats were 2010 creations on their present boundaries; and of course the fact that the public are both despairing and angry at the overall non-performance by Sunak and his Cabinet. Mass immigration, migration invasion, cost of living increases, inflation, crime, NHS defaults etc.

The result was that Labour won at Selby, and very nearly won at Uxbridge, only by default. There is no enthusiasm at all for the Labour Party and its non-policies (basically the same as the Conservative Party policies), but equally there is no enthusiasm (and no respect) for Sunak and his Cabinet of (mainly) non-Brits (Indians, a black or half-caste or two, the odd Jew). These were by-elections. The ruling party is inevitably on the back foot.

Starmer’s strategy seems to be not to rock the boat now that Labour is ahead in the opinion polls. It is hard for Sunak and Con Party to score a hit on Labour’s battleship simply because Labour policy now so closely mirrors that of the Con Party. Almost indistinguishable. If the Conservative Party attacks Labour policy, it is to a large extent criticizing its own policy. In a sense, brilliant… but also dispiriting and pointless.

Somerton and Frome

The result: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somerton_and_Frome_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

The LibDem candidate, Sarah Dyke [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarah_Dyke] won easily, as predicted. I blogged briefly about her a couple of days ago. Her vote-share of 56.4%, as against the Conservative candidate’s 26.2%, mirrors in reverse almost exactly the result at the 2019 General Election.

Third place went to the Greens, with a fairly sizeable vote (10.2%). Reform UK beat Labour and three minor candidates for fourth place, but still lost the deposit, with 3.4%.

In a mostly affluent and bucolic area of this sort, Labour has little chance, and its vote has dropped below 5% in the past, though it scored 17.2% in 2017 (under Corbyn) and 12.9% in 2019. It is clear that, realising that Labour had no chance, former Labour voters voted tactically at the by-election, and that Labour’s 2.6% vote reflected that.

Turnout was, as at the other by-elections yesterday, pathetic— 44.23%. That compares to 75.6% in 2019, and turnouts in previous election which only once dropped below 70%, and which once exceeded 82%.

The LibDems held Somerton and Frome until 2015, so were always going to have a chance in the seat, once the “Con Coalition” of 2010-2015 faded from immediate memory, though the damage from that was still evident in 2019, at which election the LibDems scored only 26.2% (exactly the same as the Conservative Party vote at yesterday’s by-election).

The conclusion is pretty clear: the Conservative voters of 2019 either stayed home yesterday, or switched to the LibDems, Former Labour voters switched to LibDem to hit out at the Sunak misgovernment.

As at the other two by-elections, the contempt many apparently felt for the ex-MP, Warburton, was certainly another important factor, though perhaps not the most important.

Overall conclusion as to the main System parties in the light of the by-elections

The LibDems only have a chance to gain seats in rural/affluent parts of southern or south-western England. I do not see them recovering in any big way elsewhere.

The Conservative Party government is toast, surely. It will have to fall back on its hard core, mostly fairly comfortably-off homeowners aged 70+.

Electoral Calculus is currently predicting only 100 Con seats at the expected 2024 General Election: see https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html.

475 seats for Labour. That is “elected dictatorship”.

I just tried the “user-defined poll” at Electoral Calculus. My guesses resulted in only 61 seats for the Conservative Party.

What about Labour? Well, I detect no real enthusiasm for Labour, which means that there is every chance that the new MP for Selby may only be an MP for about a year, and will then have to find a less well-paid and less interesting (?) job.

More seriously, the only way that Indian money-juggler Rishi Sunak could claw back some electoral support would be to STOP the boats, CUT BACK the main (i.e. “legal”) mass immigration, DEPORT hundreds of thousands, RENATIONALIZE water, rail and possibly the energy utilities, and start to really bat for Britain.

Those 2019 Conservative Party voters might return to the Con fold, but only if they see some action; words are played-out.

Still, none of the three by-election seats are natural Labour territory.

Pretty hard, though, for an Indian whose Cabinet is mainly non-white, or Jewish, and who worked for the predatory Goldman Sachs bankers (and so is a globalist “libertarian” by instinct).

It seems to me a 50-50 chance that the Conservative Party MPs will ditch Sunak before the next general election, but if they do, who on Earth can they try to present to the public as a credible leader?

As for attacking Starmer, the only things that might work would be to use American-style personal attacks, and to focus on his complete mendacity, his broken promises, on his “taking the knee” to the “Black Lives Matter” thugs, and his being completely in the pocket of the Jew-Zionist/Israel lobby (the only thing is— so are the “Conservatives”…).

Conclusion, then— Labour will probably win in 2024 by default, but if some real movement on the above-designated issues were to happen, it might be a different story…

Tweets seen

Biden: “What was that slogan? Bread, land, and peace? No, my fellow-Americans, it was ice-cream and war!“…

At least the sparrows will be eating.

There are really only two realistic possibilities: either she is Johnson’s secret daughter (one of them) or she was being screwed by him. It now turns out that she was only a kind of temp anyway, covering the job usually done by a recent mother. Maternity cover.

Britain is so screwed, it is hard to believe.

As for “Baroness” Chapman, she was an MP for 9 years (2010-2019), and then (having been voted out as MP) was elevated to the Lords on Starmer’s nomination, having previously done sweet FA by way of work in her life except a short time as the constituency manager for ghastly careerist MP Alan Milburn. So she can shut up. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jenny_Chapman.

She is the mother of children, and that (and presumably being a “home-maker”) is a very honourable estate, but it is not the “real life experience” of work in the outer world, as per that clip.

As for Johnny Mercer MP, I have found him a big disappointment as MP, but I think that he can claim a great deal more “life experience” than “Baroness” Chapman, let alone that epicene little creature who is now the MP for Selby and Ainsty.

Many people on Twitter are incredibly ignorant and at the same time very dogmatic. I just saw a tweet saying that the Selby creature is “2-3 years older than Margaret Roberts [i.e. Margaret Thatcher] when she became an MP...”.

In fact, wrong, and on two counts. First, Margaret Roberts was born in 1925, and became an MP in 1959, shortly before her 34th birthday. She had married in 1951, so fought her first successful first election as Margaret Thatcher and not Margaret Roberts as claimed.

See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margaret_Thatcher.

Well, there it is. Effete, epicene little “Labour MP” is going to support Starmer, Rachel Reeves etc in continuing the policy (policies?) laid down by the Con Coalition of David Cameron-Levita, Theresa May, “Boris”-idiot, Liz Truss, and now the Indian money-juggler, Sunak.

Anyone who thinks that Starmer-Labour will be in any way an improvement on the “Conservative” omnishambles of a Government is sadly mistaken; in fact, deluded.

Actually, listening to Keir Mather there, I think that “Lord Charles” would have sounded more credible.

[Lord Charles, with Ray Alan]

To be honest, my first thought on seeing and hearing Keir Mather is that he seemed to be in need of a good kick.

Diary Blog, 18 July 2023, with thoughts about three upcoming by-elections: Somerton and Frome, Uxbridge and South Ruislip, Selby and Ainsty

Afternoon music

[Lazienki Park, Warsaw]

Battles past

More music

Tweets seen

I am glad that I live nowhere near that factory.

The brutal and corrupt Zelensky regime is having to use press-gangs to enforce conscription, there are no more volunteers, and the Kiev regime is running out of cannon-fodder. The front is almost a death sentence; many are deserting.

More music

Upcoming by-elections

Somerton and Frome

The by-election was triggered by the standing-down of the Conservative Party MP David Warburton, following multiple allegations (some admitted) of misconduct: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Warburton].

In 2019, Warburton received nearly 56% of the vote, with the LibDems in second place on 26%.

Labour has no chance here and, on paper, this would normally be another easy win for the Con Party, but the manner of departure of the last MP, added to the anger across the country aimed at the Con Party government of Sunak, may mean a LibDem by-election upset, particularly as this is merely a by-election.

In 2019, only 4 candidates stood (Con, Lab, LibDem, and Green); at the by-election, there are also Christian People’s Alliance, UKIP, Reform UK, and an Independent.

The bookies’ favourite is the LibDem, a lady from a local farming family who is also a local councillor. She seems to hit all the buttons, even the sex one, being female after the defaults of male MP Warburton (sex pest allegations, and connected cocaine abuse).

The bookmakers have the LibDem, Sarah Dyke, as even-money favourite, with the Con Party candidate on 20-1, and Labour at 250-1. The rest are not even quoted. You could probably get 1000-1 against any of them.

Experience shows that bookmakers are a poor guide to by-election results, but the LibDem looks pretty sure to win this, especially when many Labour supporters will be voting tactically, and many former Con voters displaying apathy and/or unwillingness to vote for the present Government.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/jul/17/lib-dems-favourites-but-not-complacent-in-somerton-frome-byelection.

Uxbridge and South Ruislip

The by-election of course triggered by the standing-down of “Boris” Johnson.

The 2019 election attracted 12 candidates, because the seat of the sitting Prime Minister is always popular. “Boris”-idiot won with 52.6% in 2019, with Labour garnering 37.6%. Only one other candidate had a saved deposit (the LibDem, on 6.3%).

The by-election has 17 candidates, among them the TV actor, Laurence Fox, for Reclaim. The bookmakers only rate two seriously— Con and Labour. The Labour Party candidate is quoted at just better than even-money, with Conservative Party candidate at 9/1. The Labour price has not altered much, but the Conservative has gone out from an opening 3/1 to 9/1, and the LibDems are now at 1000/1. The third-placed runner is now Reform UK (but only on 300/1).

A nurse sitting with her husband drinking coffee said: “The biggest issue is ULEZ. I’ve retired from the NHS after 49 years. What about the carers who can’t make visits any more?”

People in Uxbridge tend not to conform to media stereotypes, for example that the NHS is in an unbearable state of crisis. The nurse said: “If I had my time again I’d do the same job again. I love my job.” As she walks round Uxbridge she is often greeted by her former patients.

How will she vote in the by-election? “Up until Jeremy Corbyn I was a Labour person,” she said. “Labour looked after the schools, the hospitals and the elderly.

“But the party has changed now and I’m afraid I have no confidence in them. Keir Starmer wouldn’t come out and actually go against Sadiq Khan [on ULEZ] in a television interview, when he was asked about him.

[Conservative Home]

https://conservativehome.com/2023/07/18/the-conservatives-might-still-win-thursdays-by-election-in-uxbridge/

“‘It can’t be any worse’: In Boris Johnson’s back yard, Britons are desperate for a change.

Uxbridge, like Britain, is in a rut.

The town is where the capital’s westward sprawl ends. Two Tube lines serving central London finish their journeys here, as picturesque shades of green mingle with the gray and brown hues of suburban developments. But its high streets are shrinking and the local hospital is one of the worst in Britain – rated “inadequate” by the sector’s watchdog.

And nationwide, soaring inflation, public sector strikes and the aftermath of Brexit have left families poorer and services creaking to the point of collapse. Renewing a passport, taking a train, buying groceries, seeing a doctor – virtually everything is more difficult in Britain than it once was.

Change is in the air, and Labour is set to benefit. Opinion polls confidently predict the party, led by Keir Starmer, a former senior prosecutor, will win power in a general election expected next year.

But Uxbridge is a test case for that theory, and tensions are high. “You can see the national polls, just like I can see, but these are real votes,” Steve Reed, the party’s shadow justice secretary tasked with running the local campaign, told CNN on a hot afternoon on the high street. He predicts a “tighter race” than some media have suggested.

A handful of media outlets, including CNN, were denied the chance to interview Labour’s candidate or join a canvassing session, an unusually skittish move from a party tipped to win a by-election.

“People are not stupid. People understand the challenges facing the country,”

Some voters are more blunt. “They’re basically saying we’ll carry on business as normal,” says Mick, 61, who runs a food stall near Uxbridge station and has voted Labour his entire life. “So why are we voting?”

I’d like to think [Labour would] like to do more for the working people,” Tracy Peabody, a dental nurse and mother of three young boys, told CNN on a high street in Ruislip Manor. “But I can’t help thinking it’s two wings from the same bird, all singing from the same song sheet,” she added of Labour and the Conservatives.

Just three-and-a-half years after one of the party’s worst-ever electoral defeats, the outcome of Thursday’s vote in Uxbridge will indicate how far Labour has come.

[CNN]

Maybe not so obvious as at Somerton and Frome, but here too it looks as if the Conservative Party is facing an uphill struggle. Uxbridge is a more typical contest though, maybe, compared to Somerton and Frome, and one in which many voters despise all the System parties, and particularly Con and Lab. A battle of apathies?

Selby and Ainsty

The Selby and Ainsty constituency is unusual in that it has been represented since creation in 2010 by only one MP, a Conservative, who seems to be abandoning ship in the moral certainty that the national unpopularity of the Sunak government will wash him away at the next general election.

I do not know why the departed MP, Nigel Adams, chose to stand down in 2023 rather than wait until 2024 and the next general election. Maybe he did not want the opprobrium of having been voted out. Rumour has it that he wanted a peerage and, when not given one, resigned in order to lash out at his own party. Maybe.

Adams won his four elections convincingly, and increased his vote share steadily from 49.4% in 2010 to 60.3% in 2019.

Labour scored about a quarter of the vote in 2010, 2015, and 2019 but, interesting to see, managed over a third of the vote in 2017, when Corbyn was still Labour leader.

12 candidates are contesting the by-election, but this will be between Con and Lab. The bookmakers have Labour just better than even-money, but Con on about 13/2. A few weeks ago, the result seemed more speculative.

Political websites and newspapers have taken an interest in the Selby contest, perhaps because it may give a clue as to the Northern “Red Wall” seats.

I’d like to think they’d like to do more for the working people,” Tracy Peabody, a dental nurse and mother of three young boys, told CNN on a high street in Ruislip Manor. “But I can’t help thinking it’s two wings from the same bird, all singing from the same song sheet,” she added of Labour and the Conservatives.

Just three-and-a-half years after one of the party’s worst-ever electoral defeats, the outcome of Thursday’s vote in Uxbridge will indicate how far Labour has come.

Labour and the Conservative party may have found a tougher opponent than one another as they prepare to fight a by-election in Selby and Ainsty this week: entrenched despondency among an electorate that’s tired of Westminster drama and the challenges posed by the cost of living crisis.”

Selby local Rachel Young paused while walking around the shops to watch the candidates for Thursday’s poll take part in a televised hustings for the BBC in the town centre last week.

She told PoliticsHome that she still has not decided who to vote for, but thinks that many people she knows will simply not bother at all.”

https://www.politicshome.com/news/article/selby-and-ainsty-by-election-labour-conservatives-left-behind

[Politics Home]

See also: https://unherd.com/2023/07/westminster-has-failed-selby/

For me, what will be most interesting will be to see whether Labour wins because people have voted out of enthusiasm (unlikely) or simply because former Conservative voters have given up bothering to vote (more likely). The numbers will tell the story.

My guess is that the LibDems will win Somerton and Frome; a meaningless protest vote. As to the others, Labour will probably score in both, but by default only, because former Conservative voters will just stay home. Only very silly people believe that Labour-label in government will be much, if at all, better than the present shambles.

More tweets

I agree with the second tweet.

All the stuff in the msm about barges and cruise liners is flim-flam designed to obscure a few basic facts, such as that one barge can “house” 500 migrant-invaders. On many days, twice that number arrive in 24 hours! So you would need about 400-800 or more barges extra even in one year.

Also, the number of migrant-invaders coming “legally” is ten times the number arriving in rubber boats.

The UK was doomed as a decent place to live once the proportion of non-whites went beyond about 5% (and we are already at about 20%). The same goes for much of western and central Europe.

The above two tweeters might like to consider whether or not our advanced world civilization, which is 95% or even 99% based on white European-origined people, “works” (overall) when compared to the sorts of societies ruled by blacks, such as most of Africa, Haiti, Jamaica etc…

“Deluded” hardly covers it, but it seems that many blacks believe the same as those two, and their crazed beliefs are facilitated by anti-white non-blacks, either white European-origined or (usually) Jewish.

The people are right— a majority of them are of the view that a Labour government under Starmer will make their lives no better (or that they do not know).

Meaning— the present Government is trash, and Labour is also trash.

Late tweets

That should read “1 billion” not “1 million“, of course.

Late music

[J.V. Branco, Lisbon]

Diary Blog, 16 March 2023, including news and analysis of the likelihood of Russian nuclear weapons being used; also, some thoughts about David Icke

Morning music

On this day a year ago

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11864625/Putins-martyr-complex-control-unleash-nuclear-weapons-think-tank-warns.html

Vladimir Putin‘s ‘martyr complex’ is so out of control there is a risk he will embolden Russia to use nuclear and chemical weapons, a think tank has warned – amid rising concerns over the Kremlin’s ‘hysteric rhetoric’.

A new report published by the US think tank Heritage Foundation has highlighted a growing risk the Russian president will ‘make one of the most fateful decisions of the century’ in the face of his faltering invasion of Ukraine.

The study, named The US and Its Allies Must Understand and Respond to Russia’s Nuclear Threats, explores the actual likelihood that Putin will turn to using weapons of mass destruction.

Russian generals are understood to have discussed the use of tactical nuclear weapons in November, but is said to be cautious about the use of long-range weapons.

However, Russia has ‘increasingly portrayed the West as an enemy and appears to now accept tactical strategic nuclear weapons as an option for deterring further escalation of combat.

The country is understood to have between 1,000 and 2,000 nuclear weapons of varying sizes.

The use of such weapons is seen by Western nations as a last resort, but the report states Russia may turn to  tactical nuclear weapons ‘early in the exercise or at mid-point’.

The report outlines four situations in which Putin would turn to nuclear weapons; pre-empting an attack on Russia; use against Russia; a threat, such as a cyberattack on Russia’s command-and-control systems; and an existential threat to Russia from conventional or nuclear weapons.

It says: ‘Russia has failed to defeat the Ukrainian military and is now focusing on forcing the capitulation of the civilian population by attacking electricity and water supplies. 

‘It is therefore plausible that Russia will not only threaten to use, but actually use, a weapon of mass destruction to target civilian resistance in Ukraine. 

‘Russia is focusing on destroying Ukraine’s power infrastructure, and with the nuclear industry now producing around 60 percent of pre-war power, a Russian attack on nuclear power stations to cut off electricity and create an improvised nuclear incident is a real prospect.’

It has also warned that the use of chemical weapons against metro stations in eastern Ukraine would be ‘devastating’. 

The report cites the use of chemical weapons in Syria as evidence of Russia’s willingness.

It has also highlighted Russia’s efforts to ‘weaponise refugees’ and create mass flows of people into Western countries to the point they become ‘overwhelmed’.”

[Daily Mail]

The growing escalation by the NWO (NATO etc) is concerning; the flow of advanced weapons to the Kiev regime, together with ammunition, non-military aid, and cash.

If I had to guess, I should put the chance of the use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine by the Russian side at about 30%, depending on how the war goes in the next few months. Any chance of Crimea being lost would make their use almost inevitable, but that raises the question of where such weapons might be used— on the battlefield, or against cities? Could Kiev be completely flattened? If so, what would be the NATO (US) response? All-out strategic response? Unlikely but not impossible. Limited but major conventional response? Maybe, but probably not. Nothing much? Possibly.

Russia would not hold back if subjected to serious or sustained Kiev-regime attack on its own unquestioned territory, eg in Central Russia.

As to a full strategic nuclear exchange between NATO and Russia in general, my view would be that that is at present no more than a 5% chance, but that is a very pessimistic assessment. Horses win at 20/1 all the time.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11862805/Bakhmut-Ukrainian-soldiers-admit-just-getting-killed-defend-city.html

‘I know I’m being sent to my death’: Ukrainian soldiers admit ‘we are just getting killed’ as they defend Bakhmut…and say Russia can already ‘taste victory’.

Ukrainian soldiers have painted a bleak picture of their on-going defence of Bakhmut, the small eastern city that has become the target of Europe’s bloodiest infantry battle since the Second World War.

Kyiv‘s soldiers have said they knew they were being sent to their deaths when they were given the orders to go to the city, and admitted they are ‘just getting killed’.

[Daily Mail]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/mar/15/israeli-president-civil-war-is-within-touching-distance.

[Guardian]

The Jews usually degrade, or even destroy, other societies over time. Now it seems that they are quite close to breaking up their own, Israeli, society, only 75 years after its foundation.

More music

Tweets seen

Would that, and the whole situation around that, have been seen or even conceivable in the 1980s, 1990s, even a decade ago? I think not. The West is not, mainly, being pressured by outside forces, but is falling apart internally. Maybe that is often the way of things, thinking of the Roman Empire, the gradual collapse of Sovietism etc.

Like a scene from Stalingrad in 1942/1943. War is hell.

It has been clear from the start, over a year ago, that the Americans have been feeding a large amount of direct battlefield intelligence from satellites etc to the forces of the Kiev regime. Had that not been so, the Russian forces would have had greater success in the field.

This comes close to the USA being a direct participant in the war. Madness.

The finance-capitalist system is inherently unstable, and linked in such a way that (as with an uncontrolled reaction in a nuclear power station) panic a fear creates an unstoppable or almost unstoppable momentum.

Imagine though, if a banking sector collapse internationally co-incided with a European war beyond the Ukraine borders. That could be the trigger for a social-national and pan-European upsurge across the continent, enabling the extermination of evil powers and person, and also the foundation of a new and better society in the long term.

More thoughts around Russia and Ukraine

The missing factor on the Russian side, domestically, is real determination on the part of the ordinary population. That would change if any one of two things were to happen: a direct conventional-arms attack (by Ukraine or its Western quasi-allies and backers) on any major Russian city, or a large incursion onto unambiguously Russian territory by forces of the Kiev regime (or foreign forces).

Either of those two events would probably trigger a large scale and probably (tactical-) nuclear response by the Russian leadership.

Russia values Kiev as one of the birthplaces of the Russian state [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kievan_Rus%27], and I think that the leadership will try to capture the city intact, if possible, but if the Russian leadership felt that the Russian state itself were in existential peril, their response might be to destroy Kiev rather than face extinction as a state, as a people (a collection of peoples, but Russified and Russophone), and as a distinct European/Eurasian culture.

More tweets

David Icke

Ha ha! I can vaguely remember David Icke reading out the football results on — was it Southern TV? Wikipedia says BBC, so maybe BBC South— sometime around 1980 or so. Not that I would have been interested anyway.

I did not hear of David Icke again until 1990 or 1991 (looking at his Wikipedia entry, maybe the latter year), when I returned one time from the USA, and a friend mentioned as an example of something or other “David Icke“, and I replied “who?” (I had forgotten the name of the young man reading out the sports news a decade before). My friend laughed and said “you must be the only person in England who has not heard of David Icke!“. At that time, he was completely unknown in America.

A few years later, September 1994, I was invited as a birthday surprise by another friend to what turned out to be David Icke speaking at the Wigmore Hall in Marylebone, London, only a short taxi ride from where I then lived in Little Venice.

A quite good and very impassioned speaker, and dressed —if I recall aright— in his famous purple tracksuit, Icke was introduced by a remarkably attractive woman (about 35-40) who said that he was something like “the greatest thinker of our time“. I found that his speech did not quite live up to that billing, but was all the same interesting. My friend also bought me, as a birthday present, a signed copy of The Robot’s Rebellion from the stall in the foyer.

Icke used to follow my Twitter account (and I think that he was only following about 100-200 other people and organizations, so he must be rather perceptive!…). That ended when a pack of Jews had me expelled from Twitter in 2018. Icke himself was (as I had predicted would happen) expelled from Twitter later (by the same or similar Jews), but is now back: https://twitter.com/davidicke.

I would not endorse everything that Icke says or has said, but much of what he says is correct, and has been proven to be, e.g. the following:

Why do we play a part in suppressing alternative information to the official line of the Second World War? How is it right that while this fierce suppression goes on, free copies of the Spielberg film, Schindler’s List, are given to schools to indoctrinate children with the unchallenged version of events. And why do we, who say we oppose tyranny and demand freedom of speech, allow people to go to prison and be vilified, and magazines to be closed down on the spot, for suggesting another version of history.

— And the Truth Shall Set You Free (1995)[9]

[see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Icke].

Of course the “usual” (((usual))) influence has contaminated Wikipedia, so its “facts” in respect of anything such as Jews, the “holocaust” farrago, and the Second World War, Hitler etc, are often not true facts at all.

Icke’s son, Gareth Icke, is now following somewhat in his father’s footsteps: see https://twitter.com/garethicke.

Some recent tweets by David Icke:

The apparently intermittent dementia of the US President at such a time is more than concerning. Stupidity played a large part in the unwanted (by most people) start of the two really major wars of the 20thC; will actual dementia play a part in the start of the next such war?

Ironic. The same sort of people who are forever tweeting (or spouting on (((TV))) and in the (((Press))) about how Britain fought off German invasion in the early 1940s —and leaving the argument about that aside— are usually “refugees welcome” dimwits who want the UK to be a dustbin for the whole world. At present, they are certainly succeeding. I wonder whether they will like the eventual results (to them personally, as well) of their virtue-signalling “activism”?

More tweets

I have seen tweets from the usual self-describing “Left” suspects saying that even a critical interview like that should not be allowed on TV, because Patriotic Alternative (etc) are “fascists“. It just confirms the total irrelevance of Corbyn-style pseudo-socialists in the post-1989, post-socialist political space.

The British people, especially the poorer ones, are just ignored by the System, and nowhere is that more obvious than when it comes to mass immigration and migration-invasion.

…preferably with a good kicking as a not-golden farewell!

Join with Russia if the EU turns even more against Russia.

Join in amity with Russia, cut ties with the EU completely if necessary, leave NATO, chuck out US spy bases and air bases.

The EU is not, on the whole, a Europe worth saving anyway. With Russia on one side and the UK on the other, the EU states will have to come to heel eventually, and give us what we want and need.

Pensions cap removal etc

If the aim is mainly to stop doctors taking early retirement, then why not restrict the recently-announced policy to doctors?

Plymouth

In fact, Plymouth has a minority Conservative Party-ruled council. 25 Labour, 23 Conservative, 9 others.

The tree vandalism is appalling. I know Armada Way, which is a long and mainly traffic-free avenue connecting the central part of Plymouth to the famous Plymouth Hoe where Drake played bowls before defeating the Spanish Armada in the late 16thC.

The bit of Armada Way where I often was has thankfully been spared the axe, and is closer to the centre of the city. I often appeared at the County Court there (the building also contains the rather busy Plymouth Crown Court).

[the very 1950s (though actually built 1963) frontage of Plymouth County Court]

Plymouth could be a fantastic city, with its water frontage, and its rural hinterland, but somehow isn’t. It has problems of crime, drugs, drunkenness etc, and the local council is completely incompetent. I used to park at the very top of a multistorey car park quite near the court building. The Plymouth Council owned that car park. In about 6 years of parking there (about once every couple of weeks), the lift worked once, I think. Once out of 100-200 times. A small example but, I think, telling.

Plymouth Council is riddled with both freemasonry and Common Purpose, so often the nests of the mediocre. As with other councils with those characteristics, such as Birmingham, Plymouth Council is both incompetent and corrupt.

Incidentally, if anyone wonders why I always parked on the open top floor of that car park (about 10 storeys high) despite knowing that the lift would almost certainly be inoperative, well, there are a number of reasons. I like being able to park where there is always a spot, in a space almost always free of any other cars, not having to bother with other cars’ owners, people parking or leaving etc. In fact, about the only time I ever saw another car up there, it turned out to be that of a rather attractive lady barrister I knew slightly from court, Rebecca something-or-other. Secondly, I enjoyed the view. Thirdly, it is my long-held habit— I always park at the top of multi-storey car parks.

Macron the NWO/ZOG dictator

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/mar/16/emmanuel-macron-uses-special-powers-to-force-pension-reform-france.

See also my assessment of Macron from a few years ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/09/on-recent-events-in-france/.

Rental property in England

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/mar/16/uk-renters-mouldy-homes-landlords-tenants-rent-repairs

Disgraceful. Government, central and local, must step in, but it abdicated its responsibilities years ago. Buy to let and other similar forms of exploitation have to be stopped.

More tweets

Escalation.

Sweden should have the sense to stay neutral. Such support comes close to abandoning neutrality.

As for Poland and its leadership, I can only think of Hegel, who wrote that “the lesson of history is that people do not learn the lessons of history” (may not be exact quotation, but near enough).

Late tweets

So the “Conservative” Party panel of Uxbridge and South Ruislip have reselected a part-Jew who was born in New York City, brought up in the USA and Belgium mainly (except when at Eton and Oxford), who did time (a few weeks) on a kibbutz in Israel, who describes himself as “Zionist“, and who has a long history of disgraceful and dishonest conduct in his personal life, as a journalist of sorts, as MP, as Cabinet minister, and finally as Prime Minister?

What am I missing? Not that he is some kind of great brain, as once was thought by easily-fooled people. As for real intellect and culture, forget it.

Still, at least it looks as if his time as MP is very limited, if the opinion polls can be believed:

Unfortunately, instead of being put up against a wall and shot, the bastard is going to make millions out of memoirs, speeches, after-dinner ramblings etc.

Interesting to see. One of the worst aspects (culturally) of the Ukraine conflict is the ghastly music (I do not know what it is called), a kind of (?) Slavonic “rap”, and played constantly by both sides. At least the “turbofolk” played during the Yugoslav/Balkan war(s) was not completely offensive to the ear.

Well, not quite as bad, anyway…

The Russian equivalent of turbofolk (I think it can be called…apologies to any musical experts reading), which I well remember from when I was in Kazakhstan (1996-1997):

More late tweets seen

The Guardian that became a cheerleader for the 2020-2021 police-state “Covid” measures: “lockdowns”, facemask nonsense, and Boris-idiot’s own contribution, the ridiculous “Rule of Six”.

Well-meaning silliness. Mikolaiv, or Nikolayev, will probably fall back under Russian control before very long; after that, I expect that Russian authorities will rebuild the city.

Incidentally, the Danish Ambassador and his government might be better advised to use their time, money, and power to prevent Denmark being further swamped by non-European savages.

I am willing to accept that the Ambassador’s own motives are probably reasonably good or charitable, but this is wrongheaded. Better to stop funnelling arms to the corrupt and vicious Jewish regime in Kiev, which merely prolongs a war Russia cannot lose.

Late music

Diary Blog, 24 October 2022

Morning music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alisa_Sadikova]
[The Firebird, painted on a Palekh box]

On this day a year ago

Conservative Party leadership

Still seems open, though the big guns of the mass media and Con Party are all promoting Sunak. So far, Penny Mordaunt has only 26 public declarations, with a mere 3 hours to go, though her camp claims “many more” private declarations to Sir Graham Brady of the 1922 Committee.

It may be, but time is running very short for her to get the necessary 100 declarations. She may now have anywhere between 50 and 100.

If Mordaunt were able to take the matter to the Conservative Party membership, she might well win; many rank-and-file members hate Sunak (see, e.g. the readers’ comments in the Daily Mail), and I can see the membership of the Con Party dropping to a few tens of thousands (if that) under Sunak’s obviously-intentioned “slash spending” regime.

Looking beyond, to the next general election, if Sunak starts to make everyone (but the already ultra-wealthy) much poorer by 2023 and 2024, then one has to ask where the Conservative votes are going to come from.

Not the young (say, under-30s— very few favour Con Party); not very many of the 30-60 age group either, who will mostly be even poorer than they are now, and struggling with exploitative rents, higher mortgage payments etc, and higher taxes. As for the mainstay of the Conservative vote, the 60+ age group, their allegiance has flagged since Sunak, as Chancellor, suspended the Triple Lock. They suspect that Indian money-juggler Sunak regards them as “useless eaters”.

If Sunak reinstates the Triple Lock, some of the 60+ age group may well continue to vote Con; if not, their votes will either go to the LibDems or Labour, or perhaps to snake-oil Farage’s conservative-nationalist “Reform Party”. Many might simply abstain.

The Conservative Party has let down the overwhelmingly English/British 60+ age group— on pensions, on mass immigration and migration-invasion, and on other issues important to that group, such as law and order.

The only question at present is whether the voters will give Labour —if only by default— a massive majority, or only a small-to-medium one.

Labour, which until very recently looked as if it had little future with white English/British voters, now looks almost unbeatable in the short-term, if only by default.

It cannot help Sunak, as likely Prime Minister, that he is almost forced to delay a general election, despite the perception that he has no real mandate, being the third prime minister since the 2019 General Election.

If Sunak were to call a general election this year or early next year, there would only be 50-100 Conservative MPs likely to survive, so he has no choice but to try to rule without much legitimacy.

The msm are mostly ignoring the fact that Sunak is Indian (yes yes, “born in Southampton, attended Winchester” etc).

Interesting times.

Tweets seen

In the UK, there is an epidemic of such cases, but because many (though far from all) involve individuals who are black or of mixed race (who are far more likely to be schizophrenic anyway), the msm generally ignore the role of marijuana in many of the most horrible violent crimes committed.

Hopefully, useless “Boris” Johnson will now disappear, at least if he loses his Uxbridge seat before too long.

I have to say that I found “Partygate” a storm in a teacup, and the silly “rules” laid down partly by “Boris”-idiot himself were a waste of time anyway, but I know anecdotally, meaning from keeping my ears open, that many people did take “Partygate” seriously.

My criticisms of the buffoon were and are more weightily-founded, I think: shutting down the UK economy for nearly 2 years, imposing restrictions which were both dictatorial and stupid, involving the UK in the Ukrainian war that really has nothing to do with us, and failing to stop or even reduce the migration invasion.

Typical. Dan Hodges takes the pro-multikulti System line. “Diversity” (meaning promotion of non-whites, and subjugation of white people) supposedly “a strength“, when the opposite is the case.

Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan.

Ha ha! So scribbles Jew fraud Grant Shapps, who used aliases even in the Palace of Westminster in order to flog dodgy get-rich-quick schemes to mugs.

Unbelievably, the Jew fraud is now Home Secretary (appointed last week), and privy to all sorts of secret intelligence etc. I suppose that he wrote that article because he wants Sunak to keep him in the job, or at least in Cabinet.

Needless to say, I am not very interested in Penny Mordaunt, but I cannot, and will not, accept an Indian, or any other sort of non-white, as Prime Minister of my country.

I find that I warm to Beth Rigby a little…

So Sunak wants honesty and probity in his government. Will he sack Grant Shapps, then? Or himself?

If Sunak becomes Prime Minister on the nod, you can probably say goodbye to the Conservative Party.

More tweets

Well, I have no faith in Farage-the-snake-oil-man’s “Reform Party”, though if it takes away votes from the fake “Conservative” Party, I wish it well to that extent.

No party that is not explicitly anti- (((you know who))) will ever get my endorsement.

The British people need and (unconsciously) want social nationalism, but are bamboozled 24/7 by a corrupt and Jew-Zionist-influenced msm.

You only have to look at the public attitude to Ukraine. It has gone from a country few had even heard of (up to early 2022, arguably), and that only a tiny handful had either visited and/or knew much about (up to today, really), to a kind of “ally” in a supposed “fight” with Putin and/or Russia. That despite the fact that the UK has never had a shared history with the quite new (1991) state of Ukraine, and never had anything substantial to do with —as it was called in English— the Ukraine (unless you count the Crimean War of 1853-1856, which was between Britain, France, the Ottoman Empire and Piedmont-Sardinia on one side, and the Russian Empire on the other).

At the time of the Crimean War, there was no question of Ukraine existing as an independent state, nor even as a separate country ruled over by Russia or the Russian Empire. It was far less “independent” or separate from Russia than, say, Scotland or Wales were and now are from England. As for Crimea, that had been Ottoman territory, mainly occupied by Crimean Tatars, until the time of Catherine the Great, and was incorporated into Russia in 1783:

See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_War; and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea.

Now, you see silly and ignorant people (eg in newspaper readers’ comment sections) claiming that anyone not supporting “the war” in Ukraine is a “traitor“, etc. They have been fooled by the (((msm))) into thinking that Britain is almost literally at war with Russia over the Ukraine incursion.

People are fairly easily whipped up into a completely fake pseudo-patriotic fervour when the msm and political class all sing the same song.

The mass of the British people are now being invited to blame Putin and Russia for possibly-upcoming blackouts, as well as for shortages in the shops, inflation, the falling pound sterling etc.

In reality, Britain used to get only 4% of its energy from Russia, and any trade problem with Russia was caused when the USA, EU, and UK imposed trade sanctions on (against) Russia.

The real causes of Britain’s economic disaster lie elsewhere: shutting down the economy (and country) for 2 years during the “Covid” “panicdemic”; racing to the bottom on corporate taxation; spraying money around thoughtlessly during the “panicdemic”; the misconceived “austerity” regime of the part-Jews, David Cameron-Levita and George Osborne, which continued under May and “Boris” Johnson until 2020; the sanctions which prevent most trade with Russia; totally-mishandled Brexit; continuing mass immigration; speculator-parasites in the banking and hedge-fund “industry”.

Reverting to the tweet above, I can see that the disillusion of those two women is widespread. They may not be educated people, but they know — too late— that “Boris” Johnson took them for a ride. They no doubt despise Truss (the 5-minutes “Prime Minister”, now already almost forgotten), and will not vote for a party headed by Sunak because he is a. Indian, b. a globalist near-billionaire; c. quite likely to cut their pensions, and certain to make them poorer overall.

They will probably not vote for Labour, either (as they say in the video clip).

[I wish, btw, that Sky News and other msm journalists would not write “disinterest” when they mean “uninterest” or “lack of interest“].

Food poverty

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-11347757/Student-slashes-food-bill-just-5-month-Olio-app.html

Interesting, and may help many people, but such clever ideas are, just like foodbanks, basically sticking plaster on an open wound.

More tweets seen

Picture of the day?

Sunak pointedly ignores Little Matt Hancock, the would-be dictator of the “panicdemic”, as Hancock tries to get a Cabinet job with the Indian money-juggler’s new government.

Sunak did not shake hands with Hancock, nor (it seems) even look at the bastard. Looks like there will be no big new job for Hancock.

Late tweets

It is because Britain is no longer a “folk community” or “Volksgemeinschaft“.

Not so much funny as sinister.

Late music

General Election 2019: Polling Day

So here we are. 12 December 2019. Polling Day in the most significant general election since 1997. I shall be updating this throughout the day.

Weather

Cold, windy, wet. Popular wisdom has it that weather affects voting turnout. Perhaps. Seems commonsense, but about a fifth of people (notably the elderly, though also those with medical conditions) have already voted. The elderly voters are mostly going to vote “Conservative”. How many “Conservative” voters really understand that the Conservative Party, the party of Baldwin, Chamberlain, Churchill, Macmillan, Heath and even Thatcher and John Major, inter alia, has in fact been replaced by a doppelganger, is doubtful. I imagine that many assume that the label is the same, so the contents are the same. Not so, in fact.

We have seen such Conservatives (and small-c conservatives) as John Major and Peter Oborne even telling voters to vote Labour this time. Not because John Major has suddenly become a “socialist”, but because he can see the alien nature of the present Cabinet led by Boris-idiot.

Returning to the effect of the weather, Professor Sir John Curtice, the well-known psephologist, recently dismissed the idea, saying that the weather today, already forecast then, was “just normal horrible December weather”. He lives in Glasgow, though! Well, to me it seems that the weather might have some limited effect, but the people most affected have already voted by post, so Curtice may be right.

The “British” Press, especially the popular Press (Sun, Express, Mail etc) have in their Polling Day editions gone for anti-Corbyn “Project Fear”, with Corbyn cast as a Leninist-Trotskyist cartoon, and his party as something akin to 1970s East Germany, or Chavez-Maduro Venezuela. You would not guess that many Labour policies are actually  the norm in many countries of mainland Europe, including those run by “conservative”-oriented parties.

The Jewish-Zionist attacks on Corbyn and Labour are highlighted. The Daily Mail even has horrible actress Maureen Lipman on the front page, under the title “national treasure”. Oh, yes, the “national treasure” who said that if Corbyn became Labour leader, she would leave the UK and go to live in Israel or the USA. Never happened. In fact, she said something similar even in 2014. She’s still here.

The attacks are an alien interference in this election.

CSrYbsNU8AATLhJ

On the other hand, only a minority of people now read a newspaper, even online.

Back to the postal voting. It probably is mostly Conservative. The typical Conservative Party voter is a fairly comfortably-off or at least not very poor pensioner. The typical Labour voter is probably under-35, probably/maybe not white.

Should I guess at the outcome?

It is probably a fool’s errand to guess the result of the election. Still, as blogger, one has some kind of responsibility not to sit on the fence.

The polls show Conservatives leading Labour by 5-10 points. Bearing in mind the 2-3 point errors inherent in opinion polling, that might result in anything between a Conservative majority of 100 or even 150 to a hung Parliament with the Conservatives only just the largest party and 40 short of a majority. That might lead to a Labour minority government supported by the SNP.

My prediction is: either a hung Parliament or a very small Conservative majority (under 10).

Admittedly, there is subjective bias, inasmuch as my favoured result would be a hung Parliament, possibly with Labour as largest party, but the latter is unlikely. If there is a hung Parliament, it must be heavily odds-on that the Cons will win the most seats.

My impressions of the last week of the campaign:

  • As I had expected from the start, a tightening in the polling.
  • Boris Johnson looking less and less “prime ministerial”. The incidents such as the refusal to look at the picture of the little boy on the hospital floor, the hiding in a fridge to avoid questions, the losing control generally…; for me, those incidents play back to other times (eg the 2011 London riots) when Boris found that there was a crisis or unexpected event happening, and Boris was at a loss as to what to do or even how to react. Boris is no good in a crisis.
  • A gradual dawning on many people (but will it be enough?) that to give the “Conservatives” a majority is to throw away the UK, its remaining rights and decencies —and whatever freedoms still exist— and to become complete slaves of a ZOG [Zionist Occupation Government] regime.

Photos of a few polling stations only (see the report), but an interesting straw in the wind. Young people, so probably mostly voting Labour. If enough young people voting Labour get out in the marginal seats and actually vote, they can swing this whole election.

BBC batting again for Boris-idiot. The Zionist lobby must be behind it. “They” infest the BBC, Sky, ITN, all the msm outlets, whether TV, radio, or Press; book publishing too…

DNe0-uXXcAAlTCh

Below, an amusingly-put and very true piece about the stupidity of the post-2010 “Austerity” policies of David Cameron-Levita, George Osborne and Theresa May (all part-Jew):

Only Greece followed the same policy as the UK. The more successful European and other countries and economies did not, and were better rewarded.

In the future, there must be Basic Income for all citizens (but not for any untermenschen just off the boat)

1225: Polling day continues.

BBC drone Laura Kuenssberg (yet another part-Jew, btw) is under severe criticism for her breach of electoral law in commenting on the outcome of postal ballotting a whole day before the close of polling. In fact, her obvious bias against Labour and Corbyn (well, hardly surprising: BBC, a part-Jew and on £250,000 a year plus expenses!) might actually have helped Labour, in that if Labour-leaning voters think that the postal vote heavily favours the Cons (as it no doubt does) then it might just stimulate others to go and vote despite the cold, despite the wet, despite the wind.

Looks like someone just woke up…

Meanwhile, one major Jew-Zionist troll and schemer is afraid of the people’s wrath:

[for information about Silverman and his cabal, try Google, or read such as, e.g. https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2017/07/13/when-i-was-a-victim-of-a-malicious-zionist-complaint/]

Talking about the extreme Jewish element, I took a look for the first time in months at the Twitter page of “Hope not Hate”, the misnamed and mainly Jewish “antifascist” group. Well, they do not seem to know what to do about this election. Most of their tweets today and for several days past have hit out at, of all contending parties, the Brexit Party! Which is on 2% in the polling and has no chance of getting even 1 MP (a longshot chance might be Hartlepool but I doubt it). I suppose that well-funded HnH, as a basically Jewish-run outfit, wants to depose Corbyn and any “antisemitic” Labour people in office, but does not favour Boris-idiot either. “Result— misery”, as Mr. Pickwick said (“result— irrelevance” too, in the case of HnH).

This, below, made me laugh! True, too.

https://twitter.com/IndyRef4England/status/1204908272660238337?s=20

Chris Patten is a smug bastard, but I cannot disagree with this:

Or this, if true!

“Conservative” Britain, 2019:

Corbyn and el gato awaiting events. His ex-wives claim that he rarely reads a book, but if he really is reading The Grapes of Wrath, how appropriate for someone with his 1930s mindset (“No Pasaran!” Franco, the Spanish Republicans, the Comintern, Cable Street etc).

Very true…

https://twitter.com/sgrbrown/status/1205179150669139968?s=20

I now start to think beyond Polling Day, to the future for the main System parties. Will the Con Party collapse by 2024 merely because by then it will have virtually no members? Its membership is almost all very elderly. They may not be alive by 2024. On the other hand, the younger part of the population is used to “virtual reality” and spends much of its time in “cyberspace”, so a “political party” which is just a facade (MPs, advertising, TV/radio slots) propped up by huge amounts of money from finance-capitalist sources, but with few real members, may not seem so strange. Perhaps.

…and I just saw this (below). Looks as though someone else woke up.

https://twitter.com/Sara_Rose_G/status/1205179695643463691?s=20

1800 hrs.

and this is interesting: could Boris-idiot lose his seat?

At the same time, Boris-idiot could, constitutionally, still be Prime Minister even if neither an MP nor a peer! Fact. I suppose that, were he to be dumped at Uxbridge, a Con MP drone in a safe seat would resign anyway, a by-election would be held in January and Boris-idiot would be back as MP. Hey presto! Long live “democracy”!

On the other hand, if Boris-idiot lost his seat, I should imagine that he would face an immediate leadership challenge.

Why would a Con MP in a safe Con seat resign to make way for Johnson? Let’s say…a peerage, and maybe some back-pocket offshore monies in the BVI or Panama, paid by Johnson’s (((secret backers))). Most Con MPs could be bought for a million (or less).

1930.

Two and a half hours to go.

Saw this:

I was struck also by the statistics in the tweet: “8.8 on the Richter Scale” and “88% of Tory election ads found to contain lies.” 88? HH!…

It recalled to mind the synchronicities of The Morning of the Magicians

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Morning_of_the_Magicians

2200 hrs

BBC election broadcast, Huw Somebody with (as good as, perhaps actual) Israeli agent Priti Patel. Disgusting.

Exit poll of 22,000 voters showing possible Con majority of about 80. Disaster for Labour, if so. The Jew-Zionists have been pulling out all the stops to procure such a result. The “Conservatives” have spent millions more than Labour—acquired from finance-capitalist speculators— to fool the electorate.

John McDonnell on now, with Andrew Neil. He has the chance to put the Zionist lobby in the dock (its influence in and over the mass media etc) but looks like he will —again— fail to really hit hard, or at all, against the Jewish Zionist lobby.

If there is a big majority for the Conservatives, it just reinforces the obvious fact that the supposed “democratic” system is merely a fraud. A Zionist-contaminated fraud.

The Zionist Jews will be celebrating. They think that they have defeated both Labour and “anti-Semitism”. “They think it’s all over”. Au contraire. It has just begun in the wider sense.

2255: Now Farage is on BBC, talking with Andrew Neil. Neil grilling Farage. Farage weaselling. He comes over ever more as a total idiot. Had Farage kept on trucking in this election, had he not stabbed his own party in the back, Brexit Party would probably have won a couple of seats, and, in the circumstances of a hung Parliament, Brexit Party might have morphed into the “Reform Party” Farage has been talking about and from there, who knows? As it is, Brexit Party is finished, Farage is finished. A conman.

2203: Now a Pakistani “Scotsman” from the SNP is on the BBC. Talking about SNP (likely) successes. I predicted 50+ SNP seats. It may happen.

2330: Blyth Valley, Labour since the year dot, has gone Con by about 700 votes. This is the beginning of the end for Labour in the Northern part of England.

2355: Nicholas Soames on BBC. Trying to pretend that he supports Boris-idiot. Trying to project that he is still relevant. He may be little more honest than Boris-idiot, hard to say, but clothes his nonsense in old-school-tie, the-old-regiment camouflage…

The “co-leader” of the Green Party on TV. Silly fellow, though I agree with him that the voting system is both unfair and broken.

0030:

Laura Kuenssberg claiming that voters “cared” about the “antisemitism” allegations re. Corbyn. At the BBC, the (((propaganda))) never stops.

First collected thoughts:

First thought is how easy it is for lying centres of media and political power to fool a basically uneducated, or only superficially educated mass. In view of the amount the UK spends on education, the result is pathetic.

I am going to call it a day for now and resume with a new blog post tomorrow.

 

Boris, A Story for Our Times…

The time has come for me to write about the most incredible charlatan and mountebank the UK has seen since the days of Horatio Bottomley.

The background we all know (though when I say “we”, of course I diplomatically pretend to mean “all British people” but in fact mean “the tiny minority who take a serious interest in how the country and society they themselves live in is run”).

In outline, therefore: the UK has a combined political and electoral system that no longer really works. Part of that is the sclerosis of the major political parties of the System.

The LibDems, heirs to the great late 19th and early 20th Century Liberal Party, failed in 2010 to demand (as they had the power to do) some form of proportional electoral system. They are flagging, though may benefit from not being Conservative or Labour, if Brexit Party grows stronger.

Labour is doing well within its boundaries, as the party of the public services and of the “blacks and browns”. In terms of MP numbers, Labour under Corbyn is doing about as well as it has generally done in the past, if one excludes the Tony Blair years:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labour_Party_(UK)#UK_General_Elections

though it may struggle to get a popular vote much above 30% in future.

Then we have the Conservatives, for long considered “the natural party of government”, but which now struggles to attract votes from anyone much under pensionable age, or from those not in the most affluent 10%-20% strata of the population. Its MPs are mediocre or worse, and its ministers no better. The leading contender to take Theresa May’s purple is now Boris Johnson. He is the leading contender because the Conservative Party is terminally sick. In its healthier days, someone like Boris Johnson would not even be an MP, let alone promoted (briefly, disastrously) to Foreign Secretary; the idea of someone like him becoming Prime Minister would be a joke, rather like that of The Simpsons, c. 1993, casting Donald Trump as a future President of the USA. Jokes are dangerous!

A serious point from Lewis Goodall. It has been a long time since the Conservative Party had anything like a solid majority in the House of Commons (1992; arguably, 1987). 27 or even 32 years:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservative_Party_(UK)#UK_general_elections

So we now consider the candidate considered most likely to lead the Conservative Party after July-August 2019.

I have in fact already blogged about Boris Johnson and some of the other would-be Conservative Party leaders:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/06/09/the-conservative-party-leadership-contenders-in-outline/

Boris Johnson: a few tweets from journalists, commentators etc

https://twitter.com/bexin2d/status/1138401617248698369

[Below, Boris Johnson, the part-Jew public entertainer, clowning and posing as the great patriot…]

https://twitter.com/ajimmydixon/status/1129019292601769984

After the briefest of honeymoons,” he wrote, “the voters would quickly start to wonder how this spectacularly incompetent braggart, with a Churchill complex but no Commons majority, had ended up in Downing Street in the first place.”

There was a Mafia leader in New York once, John Gotti, who at one time enjoyed the newspaper-invented title “The Teflon Don”, because he was always being arrested and even charged with serious crimes, but who always seemed to get away with whatever. No charges stuck. There is something of that in Boris Johnson.

Matthew Engel in The Guardian notes [Bottomley’s] ability to charm the public even while swindling them; one victim, cheated of £40,000, apparently insisted: “I am not sorry I lent him the money, and I would do it again”. If London had had a mayor in those days, says Engel, Bottomley would have won in a landslide.”

A transparent reference to the (one-time) Mayor of London, Boris Johnson. Johnson seems able to shrug off, not so much allegations against him, but allegations proven beyond all doubt and repeatedly, against him.

Boris Johnson, journalist trainee (sacked), journalist (sacked), Spectator editor (hopeless, largely absent), MP twice, Shadow minister (sacked), Foreign Secretary (“resigned”), Mayor of London (useless). That’s before we even look at detail, or about his personal failings (easily available elsewhere, so no need to again detail them here).

One of the most risible aspects of Boris Johnson is his am-dram reprise of Churchill. Johnson affects not only the voice (slightly) at times, but (also occasionally) the solid buffalo-like massed body posture, hunched, looking down etc. I may have my trenchant criticisms of Churchill’s historical role, but the man was a titan compared to Boris Johnson!

There is something sick here about the Conservative Party, the UK, and the UK’s political system. The Conservative Party consists now of between 50,000 and 120,000 mostly elderly, mostly affluent persons, who are going to vote on a leader. The majority will vote and a majority of those will elect the leader. In other words, about 40,000 or so of those elderly people will, in effect, elect the next Prime Minister of the UK, a position which the “elected” candidate may hold for nearly three years, until 2022!

What kind of fake “democracy” is that?!

What will happen if Boris Johnson wins this contest?

Either Boris Johnson will take the UK out of the EU without a trade “deal” with the EU in place (I am sanguine on that score), in which case there is every chance of his losing a House of Commons confidence vote either immediately or not very long afterward, or Johnson will renege on his meaningless “pledge”, in which case he will be giving Brexit Party a gift worth rubies. Either way, the Conservative Party will be toast. Any loss of a confidence vote will result in a general election in which the Conservative Party might well be wiped out.

The Daily Express (meaning the Jew who owns the Daily Express) has been pushing an opinion poll which says that a Boris Johnson Conservative Party might win a landslide 140-seat House of Commons majority. That is very unlikely, for several reasons.

What Britain needs is a powerful social-national movement. So far, there have been mere straws in the wind only. No movement, no party exists, as yet. An inevitably-disastrous Boris Johnson government might create the socio-political conditions for one to emerge.

Notes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boris_Johnson

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horatio_Bottomley

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gotti#%22The_Teflon_Don%22

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/12/boris-johnson-is-every-bit-as-dull-and-evasive-as-his-minders-hoped

(“It’s quite something when Liz Truss, Gavin Williamson and Chris Grayling are three of the brightest people in the room.“)

(“No, he didn’t want to talk about his record at the Foreign Office. Probably because his tenure had been an unmitigated disaster. Rather, he wanted to claim other people’s achievements during his time as London mayor as his own.”)

(“Just as the event threatened to unravel, Johnson remembered his instructions and dashed for the exit. Some journalists shouted that the whole event had been a total disgrace, but for Boris it had done the business. He had got through the day more or less unexamined. Onwards and downwards, further into the cesspit of Tory party politics.”)

https://metro.co.uk/2019/06/16/boris-johnson-said-f-families-7-7-terror-attacks-9970567/?ito=article.desktop.share.top.twitter?ito=cbshare

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/boris-johnson-tory-leadership-contest-brexit-steve-baker-conservatives-a8955631.html

(“This was the Tory party in survival mode, reduced to its basest instinct. Things were serious now. The Tory party had decided it must live, and so everything else must die.”)

(“All dignity dispensed with. All integrity gone. Survival is everything.”)

(“The most telling fact of the speech was how bad it was. Boris Johnson is on his best behaviour, but bad behaviour is all he is.“)

(“What was he offering exactly? There was something or other on “investing in the infrastructure this country so badly needs”. His current record on infrastructure is an utterly pointless cable car in east London that recent TfL research showed is used by precisely six actual commuters. ​It now serves alcohol in the evenings to try and stay afloat.

Then there are the rolling windowless sauna buses, and his decision to make himself chief executive of the London Legacy Development Corporation, and personally see through the execrable Olympic Stadium deal with West Ham United – the only aspect of London 2012 over which he had any executive control, and the only aspect considered to be an utter failure.”)

https://twitter.com/ToryFibs/status/877583434184609796

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2019/06/why-conservatives-deserve-face-extinction-if-they-make-boris-johnson-prime

We keep hearing that “Boris Johnson has the ability to be Prime Minister, but does he have the necessary character?”

My response is “where has Boris Johnson proven that he has the ability?”; on the contrary, he has, if anything, proven that he has not the ability.

Afterthought, 20 June 2019

It occurs to me that some readers, on reading my assertion that Boris Johnson is the most egregious charlatan and mountebank since Horatio Bottomley, may object “what about Robert Maxwell?”, and it is true that Johnson does invite comparison with “Maxwell”.

However, Maxwell was a far more organized and intelligent figure, and in some respects far more sinister (he is supposed to have been Israel’s chief secret operative in Europe). Also, though “Maxwell” was indeed an MP (in the UK) for 6 years (1964-1970), Britain in those days was still decently “anti-Semitic” and (rightly) somewhat “prejudiced” against “Maxwell” (though Britain still allowed him to become an MP, defraud pensioners etc). No-one would ever have even thought of “Maxwell” as a potential Prime Minister.

It is true that Maxwell was every bit as much of a charlatan as Boris Johnson is, but there was an element of seriousness or even tragedy in Maxwell that does not exist in Boris-Idiot. I don’t suppose that anyone would entrust Boris with millions to invest, neither would he know what to do with it, though his incompetence in every sphere would still ensure that every penny was lost! One could ask, “then why is Boris being entrusted with the fate of the whole country?” God knows. I don’t.

Update, 21 June 2019
Seems that Boris-Idiot and his girlfriend/fiancee (?) had what the police used to call “a domestic”, the neighbours then calling the police emergency line 999. “Our” next Prime Minister”… He is as fit for that position as I might be to take Olympic gold (in any sport).
Update, 22 June 2019
Surprise! (not)
Update, 25 June 2019
Update, 30 June 2019
Johnson may never become Prime Minister even if he wins the absurd contest with Jeremy Hunt:
Update, 24 July 2019
Well, the idiot has been appointed Prime Minister, most of the Cabinet of Theresa May has resigned, others have been sacked. I shall blog separately about this disastrous new Cabinet of “kings and queens for a day” when it is complete. I just note now that Boris-Idiot has appointed, as Home Secretary, one of the traditional “Great Offices of State”, Priti Patel, who is non-European, thick as two short planks, and a proven Israeli agent. We no longer have freedom of speech in the UK; otherwise I would express what I think should happen to her. I therefore content myself with observing that, had it not been for Idi Amin, she would now be serving customers from behind the counter of a Kampala grocery shop.
Britain is now officially in big trouble.
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Proposals for a new society…