My own admittedly anecdotal and completely unscientific guess for this area (coastal western Hampshire), is that support for the lazy and useless Conservative Party incumbent has slumped, but that he is so entrenched in this ultra-safe Con heartland that he will survive without too much trouble.
I did see, somewhere or other, one Con Party poster, a while ago, and I have seen one solitary Labour one now; an outlier in a constituency where Labour usually comes in third or even fourth; Labour only managed (a very poor) second once (in 2017, under Corbyn). I have, however, now seen quite a few LibDem posters.
The LibDems usually come second here, and their high point was in 1997, when they still only scored 27.8%.
The only joker in the pack is Reform UK. Their likely vote is unknown in this constituency, but may reach 20%; we shall see.
“Study identifies 16,825 sites around the world where prioritising conservation would prevent extinction of thousands of unique species.
Protecting just 1.2% of the Earth’s surface for nature would be enough to prevent the extinction of the world’s most threatened species, according to a new study.
Analysis published in the journal Frontiers in Science has found that the targeted expansion of protected areas on land would be enough to prevent the loss of thousands of the mammals, birds, amphibians and plants that are closest to disappearing.
From Argentina to Papua New Guinea, the team of researchers identified 16,825 sites that should be prioritised for conservation in the next five years to prevent imminent extinctions of animals and plants found nowhere else.”
[Guardian]
More tweets
Hopefully a very long prison sentence. @JustStop_Oil are a domestic terrorist group who should be proscribed.
As frequently blogged previously, the connected “Just Stop Oil” and “Extinction Rebellion” groups are sub-terrorists. They set out to create chaos, they set out to intimidate, and deserve a good kicking.
‘I would not fight for the country anymore’ | Veteran, Les Underwood ashamed as ‘This is not Great Britain anymore’ and wonders what he and his fellow comrades have ‘sacrificed so much for.’#UK#GreatBritain#Veteran#War#Englandpic.twitter.com/RjvmdWMp0g
🚨 EXCL: A Royal Mail postman has been caught writing 'racists' on Reform UK leaflets
A RM spokesman said: "We are aware of the video and are conducting immediate enquiries. It’s our priority to ensure all candidate mail is delivered with the same, high level of service." pic.twitter.com/QzGHrMF7QV
Liz Kendall, Labour Shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions promises to get tough on benefits. But Since becoming an MP in 2010 she's claimed over £2 Million in taxpayer funded expenses on top of her £86K salary. Now those are the kind of benefits that Liz really likes. pic.twitter.com/y3kc21EruR
— Ragged Trousered Philanderer (@RaggedTP) June 11, 2024
Liz Kendall is like a poor actress trying to portray “genuine emotion” by overdoing the (((typical?))) hand gestures etc. She comes over rather like one of those puppets from 1960s shows like Stingray or Thunderbirds.
Good grief. The more I see of the upcoming fake-Labour “elected” dictatorship, in its germinal form, the more I think that it will have to be overthrown.
NEW POST. Is support for Nigel Farage and Reform SLIDING? What the latest polls suggest after Nigel Farage's Ukraine commentshttps://t.co/L58R1GN7Sd
Most people in the UK are not pro-“Ukraine” in the sense of being pro-Zelensky and his brutal yet shambolic regime. Many are sorry for the ordinary people there, and their companion animals —indeed, that applies to me too, which is why I hoped for a very swift Russian victory in 2022— but few really support the Kiev regime to the point at which it becomes a UK General Election issue.
I do not think that Reform UK is sliding. In any case, many postal votes have already been cast, often by the middleaged and elderly people who are more likely to vote Reform UK.
Only 8 days now separate us from Election Day. Many people are angry, and almost all want to bin the Sunak-led Conservative Party, or even the Con Party under other management. I still think that many of the “undecided 20%”, if they vote, may decide to back Reform UK. We shall see.
I should not be surprised to see Reform get to 20% in the end. At the present, the election remains to that extent open. The Cons are surely doomed, and Labour, without much merit, looks heavily odds-on not only to win but to win at a level which may turn out to be historic. However, the level of Starmer’s victory is still undecided, as is the extent to which the very uninteresting LibDems will, purely as an electoral side-effect, have their MP numbers boosted. Perhaps by as many as 70 in total, almost certainly by 30-40 in total.
The number of Con MPs after 4th of July may be as few as 40 or as many as 140. My guess has always, in the past months, been closer to 40 than 140.
Whoever wins and whatever the detail, the bottom line is that the incoming Labour government will be trying to install a police state. That will have to be fought.
More music
[East Berlin, 1970s]
Look at how free speech, freedom of expression has become largely a thing of the past in the UK. Also, consider how there is a double standard: anyone social-national, or even conservative-national (even someone as basically near-centre-ground as Farage) is under far more scrutiny and restriction than either the hostile Jewish/Zionist Israel-lobby element or the often-connected “antifa” types, let alone the “useful idiots” of the transnational conspiracy, such as the Black Lives Matter nonsense, the Just Stop Oil and Extinction Rebellion pawns etc.
We now project that the Liberal Democrats will be forming the official opposition, pushing the Conservatives into third place in terms of seat tally. pic.twitter.com/2IOPjlw6QE
Johnny Mercer voted to cut veterans benefits. Took £85k from a Veterans Charity. Pays his wife £45k a year. Took an extra £30k a year being a Veterans Minister and did nothing except vote against them.
As previously blogged, I have been disappointed in Mercer. I thought that the ex-officer would be a breath of fresh air and integrity at Westminster. In fact, he has been basically useless and, worse than that, rather a freeloader, even somewhat corrupt (in my opinion).
I rather like the humorous and sometimes combative tweets of his wife, but they cannot save him. Time to bid adieu.
Suella Braverman: antisemitism in Britain has made me ‘ashamed to be British’ https://t.co/3UUd86XgTJ
Quite. Ecce “democracy”— with enough “lobbying“, box-ticking, and “money from central government“, 50 feet of road in Cheshire can finally be patched up. “Pathetic” is indeed the word. The whole system must be changed, not just thick-as-two-short-planks Esther McVey binned.
An idealized but not really untruthful view of how parts of England were in the 1950s, or even early 1960s, if you forget the 1930s-style bus in the background.
Incidentally, I was watching a “true crime” documentary about a series of appalling murders carried out by some crazed half-caste in the mid-1980s, the “Stockwell Strangler” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kenneth_Erskine], who, incidentally, is still detained in a mental hospital.
What struck me as much as anything is how smart the uniformed police still looked back then; one forgets. No beards, no stubble, no tattoos, and wearing shirts and ties and neat uniforms. What a contrast to the often untidy-looking rabble they (especially in London?) are today, with their beards and tattoos.
— Boris D'Burger-Zilla (Vote Count Binface) (@dozecat007) June 24, 2024
A parody very close to the truth.
Sometimes, as I navigate along the potholed and badly-patched highways in the area where I live (supposedly one of the most affluent in England), thinking about things, I think that this country is so ****** that only some kind of very radical, indeed revolutionary, change will be able to give it a decent future.
Labour are haemorrhaging votes as they cannot get enough 'activists' out on the stump.
Slightly more than half the number of Labour activists are on the stump in this election compared to the Corbyn campaigns.
Labour is dying at it's roots, Tories at the head.
💬 “If Keir Starmer said, you know, we’re setting up a cross-party commission on the NHS or on AI, and we want people from different parties … I’d love to do that”@jamesrbuk meets @RoryStewartUK, for @theipaper
Tories might complain about Labour's position on gender transition but it was the Tories who mainstreamed woke gender ideology. We need a politics that actually stands up to this nonsense.https://t.co/eRkEYav5SF
#VoteTactically folks. Braverman works more for Likud than her constituents. Fareham and Waterlooville Labour voters, please lend Lib Dems your vote. https://t.co/bUBqTMjTV1
Needless to say, my views on the current migration-invasion are not unalike to those of Suella Braverman, but I do not need some Mauritian Indian bas-class import to tell me what to think. Anyway, she is married to a Jewish Zionist, and supports Israel to the hilt, so nein, danke!
For Ukrainian troops, a difficult situation has developed on the battlefield, said the head of intelligence of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense Kirill Budanov in an interview with The Philadelphia Inquirer. This is how he answered the journalist’s question whether the Ukrainian… pic.twitter.com/82kpTvdTXE
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
“For Ukrainian troops, a difficult situation has developed on the battlefield, said the head of intelligence of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense Kirill Budanov in an interview with The Philadelphia Inquirer. This is how he answered the journalist’s question whether the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to stop the advance of Russian troops.”
Will truth now start to break out in the newsrooms of the Western msm?
The head of Ukrainian intelligence Budanov* admitted that the situation at the front for the Ukrainian troops is difficult. He also stressed that he opposes peace negotiations with Russia pic.twitter.com/Hs1Bskufun
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Russia cannot lose this war and will not lose it.
A big fire in Odessa after a rocket attack – a storage of Western-made rockets was hit pic.twitter.com/1xr6L3Pwj8
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Ukrainian army will have to get used to it – FAB-3000 has arrived at the front Another video of the use of a FAB-3000 devastating bomb with a universal planning and correction module in the village of Lipci in the Kharkiv region appeared on social networks pic.twitter.com/jLjrxkvNCV
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Ukrainian deputies received 20 thousand dollars for voting in support of the mobilization law. This was stated by ex-Minister of Labor of Poland Piotr Kulpa. pic.twitter.com/2QkyZjLb7q
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Kiev-regime “Ukraine” is not even a “failed state”— it is scarcely a state at all.
More than half a million people left Israel forever during the first six months of the war in the Gaza Strip, from October 7 to April, reports the Israeli television channel Channel 12 pic.twitter.com/7K2VLVH7q9
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Huge numbers of Israeli Jews are dual passport-holders.
“Nigel Farage is on course to win the Clacton seat with a 27 point lead in a devastating blow to the Conservatives.
The Clacton Constituency poll, conducted by JL Partners on behalf of Friderichs Advisory Partners, has Farage polling at 48 per cent while the Tory leader sits back at 21 per cent of the vote share.
Farage is leading in every age group apart from the 18 to 34-year-olds and only one in five 2019 Conservative voters are sticking to the party.“
[GB News]
I presume by “Tory leader“, GB News means “Conservative Party candidate“(?), unless the reference is to Sunak in his Richmond (Yorkshire) constituency.
I predicted previously on the blog that the Labour candidate at Clacton would bomb, maybe even losing his deposit. Let’s see.
Never thought I’d ever say this, but well said, Harry Cole, on gamblegate:
“It looks like the last days of Rome, it’s nicking the candlesticks on the way out. The first instinct the people running your election campaign had as soon as they found out was to fill their boots.” pic.twitter.com/LFC7VrFuXv
Yes, 800 a day crossing the Channel, being ferried most of the way by the bloody “Border Force” farce and others, such as the RNLI, but what about the other invaders, 4,000+ per day, coming in quasi-“legally”?
Starmer-Labour will stop the smaller influx, the “small boats” influx, to a large extent, by simply rubberstamping 90% or more of the applications before they even get here, doing it in France, after which the invaders will simply get onto a ferry in Calais and will be here 2-3 hours later.
Residents of Khan Yunis are returning to life in the ruins of their homes destroyed as a result of the occupation. pic.twitter.com/ycoTGz1bGZ
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
I do not think that I can be accused of being overly pro-Arab, let alone pro-Islamist, and I might be induced to agree that the attack on Israel in October 2023 should not have happened (for the good of all sides), but what Israel has done since then has been utterly abhorrent, and it continues to do the same or similar.
Well, this week I return to winning form: 8/10, compared to the 6/10 scored by political journalist John Rentoul. I did not know the answers to questions 7 and 10.
Tweets seen
Reform UK have proposed requiring businesses to pay a higher rate of NI for foreign workers than British ones. Britons would back such a move by 41% to 30%https://t.co/1cDP3MxAF2pic.twitter.com/HOEh8Y1GDe
Cameron-Levita in his usual bubble of total unreality. The idiot who brought us the war on Gaddafi (result— millions of Africans flooding Europe), fake “austerity” (result— misery for millions, as well as lower economic growth than anywhere in the then EU, USA etc), and other misconceived policy choices, most recently the increased support for the brutal and shambolic dictatorship of Zelensky in Kiev.
Not only is it infuriating that a 95 year-old woman would be in jail for her words, not crimes, but the fact that she is speaking truth makes it even more absurd
Who has the 'whip hand' in this interaction? Or in all such interactions? Who does the state support more? Who would the police interject to defend first? Who does the organisation the interviewer represents themselves represent?
The pendulum may start to swing back now that pine martens are being reintroduced in several parts of the country; pine martens prey on grey squirrels but not (much) on red squirrels.
The Tories are unlikely to attract many Reform UK voters given…
– Only 36% would vote Tory if a Reform UK candidate wasn't standing – 61% are voting Reform despite thinking they won't win in their seat – 75% say the Tories and Labour are as bad as each other – 74-76%… pic.twitter.com/P7UpQvMAfJ
Desperate. I had not heard of that MP. Looks a bit of a careerist; tried to become a Police and Crime Commissioner at one point (came third in the election): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robbie_Moore_(MP).
I cannot think that those attempts at confusing the voters (of High Peak and also Keighley) will work. After all, most people vote according to party label, so when the voter is faced with a ballot paper, the “X” is placed by the party more than the candidate’s name.
Biden wanders offstage or walks like a geriatric robot. Yet we are meant to believe he’s carefully navigating us through the nuclear tripwires of the West’s serial wars.
Meanwhile, back in the real world… There are dozens of similar clips of Biden, far more embarrassing than this one. I included this photo and video because it's the most recent example and because the parachute strings work as a visual metaphor for my argument.
Just because Biden's dementia is obvious why do you assume the person is a Trump supporter? Maybe you should ask the DNC why they are running a dementia patient with an approval rating at an all time low? Biden will not win again. I suggest getting behind Jill Stein 👍🏽
— Casa ChiChi 🆓 🦀 #M4A 🚑 (@CasaChichi) June 15, 2024
Clacton
He’s a racist who said he likes to drink white men’s tears and believe Wakanda to be a real place. He’s a clown and Farage will wipe the floor with him.#votereform@reformparty_ukhttps://t.co/CGTXCU53cr
Labour has no chance at Clacton, a famously “left behind” and white British area. To choose an African “eternal student” as candidate is almost insulting to the voters there. Moreover, one whose social media posts make clear his hostility to the real people of the UK.
Despite Labour’s overall “popularity by default” in the nationwide campaign, I should not be surprised if its vote-share at Clacton were to dip below 10%.
The frightening thing is not that such a candidate is standing in Clacton, where Labour has little or no chance; it is that, across the country, similarly-hostile individuals are likely to be elected next month for Labour. God help the poor English people of these islands.
Labour’s candidate for Clacton, standing against @Nigel_Farage, has said:
White man tears are his “favourite drink”.
The people of Clacton surely won’t vote for someone who clearly has a problem with white men? pic.twitter.com/HbRILpgHaN
Not quite what I want to see: too many Con MPs. A couple of unexpected wrinkles too, such as Reform UK with 7 seats, and the SNP with 37, more than twice the number predicted elsewhere.
While the Con Party is toast pretty much whatever happens between now and 4 July, in some respects the General Election is quite open. A substantial minority are either undecided as to for which party they might vote, or are undecided as to whether to bother to vote at all.
That may mean a better than expected Con Party performance, a better than expected Labour (or even LibDem) performance but, most intriguingly, perhaps an even better than expected Reform UK vote, either as a targeted anti-Con vote, as a serious “I am dissatisfied” protest vote, or an angry “F.U., System parties!” vote.
The election is shaping up to be both interesting and important, perhaps even historic.
Our latest MRP shows the Conservatives are in deep trouble in their heartlands. They are set to hold on to just 13 out of 52 seats in the Blue Wall. Across these seats their vote share is down by an average of 23%. pic.twitter.com/Uog1OsAUko
Been a mad few days in the rain and the sun, but our signs are coming together. Thanks so much if you’ve let us put one on your fence. Any problems please do get in touch. I’m sorry they have my face in them. They’ll all be gone in a couple of weeks! pic.twitter.com/bDmOep9qjR
— Rt Hon Johnny Mercer (@JohnnyMercerUK) June 14, 2024
So will you, probably!
As people, from what I have seen online etc, ex-officer Mercer and his lady wife seem like a pleasant couple, but we are talking serious politics here.
Mercer has increased his majority steadily and considerably since first elected in 2015, but the general unpopularity of his party, his poor performance as a minister, and his personal moneygrasping would seem to leave him exposed. Also, Reform UK may well eat into his 2019 vote. Well, we shall soon know.
— Mad Dogs & Englishmen.MBE. 🏴🇬🇧 (@strum_joe) January 18, 2024
Well worth reposting, even 5+ years on.
Of course the rescue of hostages is good news. However, the calculated slaughter of civilians (who don’t choose to be human shields), by the IDF is an utter disgrace and a war crime.
— Fr Ian Maher SCP🇺🇦🏴🇪🇺🐝#RejoinEU (@IanMaher7) June 8, 2024
On 16 January 2016, Fraser announced his engagement to Lynn Tandler, an Israeli Jew,[23] who is a weaver and academic researcher.[24] They were married on 13 February 2016.[2][non-primary source needed] Their son was born in November of the same year.[25]“
“Both my Jewish children have been circumcised. They are being brought up in a bilingual family – where Hebrew is spoken at home, despite my struggling with it. My two year old chats with his grandmother on the phone most days in broken Hebrew. Both are being regularly taken to Israel. The Rabbi of the schul in Golders Green – where my father’s family (all Jewish) were seat-holders – has been extremely welcoming...”
I recall seeing the Australian TV series Skippy the Bush Kangaroo a few times after my family moved to Sydney in 1967 (I was 10 at the time). The show was on TV from early 1968.
TV shows and films such as Skippy may seem like sentimental rubbish to some people, and to some extent they may be, but there are innumerable examples of the intelligence and capabilities of our animal friends. Some such stories become famous, others are either unknown or are known only to the few people directly involved.
Interesting. I have been to Famagusta (now in Turkish-ruled Northern Cyprus), but some years ago, in fact many years ago— January 2000. I did not see the ruins of the Varosha resort, though. That is a mile south of the main town, I think.
When I drove to Famagusta (from Kyrenia), the ruins of its ancient heritage were deserted. My then girlfriend and I were alone there. There were not even any people selling postcards or the like. Even the more modern parts of the town were far from busy. That was 24 years ago, though. Things change, of course. I think that there has been quite a lot of development in some areas.
I rather liked Northern Cyprus. Relaxed and, in 2000 at least, with relatively few tourists, and really none once you left Kyrenia (officially, now, Girne). A little cold at night (in January) but warm-ish during the day, usually, and with numerous interesting ancient sites (which one shared with no other people at all) set amid orange groves. I even had a rather bracing swim off a deserted beach, but it was no colder in the water than it is in the UK in summer, and the sun was shining.
I drove one day from Kyrenia right the way down the Karpas Peninsula [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karpas_Peninsula] to the eastern end. At that point, you are only 60 miles across the Eastern Mediterranean from Latakia in Syria.
“In a straw poll of veterans, Farage’s campaign message seemed to be getting through.
Jason Stewart was in a green beret and a biker jacket studded with medals; after a long career in the Royal Marines, he “thought it was time to get out after I was blown up twice in one day in Afghanistan”.
He offers a version of an argument heard all day. “The two main parties look both the same to me,” he says. “The Tories don’t care about us. And Labour say they will reopen prosecutions of soldiers who served [in the Troubles] so that’s a no-no. Farage and Reform seem like the only option.”
Up the road, meanwhile, opposite McDonald’s, there was an alternative display of army jeeps and vehicles alongside veterans in fatigues. The display was organised by David Bye and his partner, Linda Hazelton, who run a charity delivering homemade pie and mash to needy veterans around the town. Bye had a one-to-one chat with Farage when he visited and claims he was given certain commitments, which will remain between them.
He grew up here; he remembers earning pocket money as a kid running tourist luggage down busy streets to Butlin’s. It’s been a long decline, he says, since the holiday camp went. “I thought I’d seen it all,” he says. “But the other morning I saw a long queue of blokes on bikes waiting for McDonald’s to open. They were collecting takeaways for people who couldn’t be bothered to make breakfast for their kids.
“I don’t know where you start with some of that,” he suggests. “But I think Nigel gets it.
The place holds symbolic relevance to Farage. Exactly a decade ago, under his Ukip brand, a meeting here paved the way for that party’s only Westminster election success, for Douglas Carswell. If you were to define the moment that Brexit became a possibility, and then a reality, you might begin there. Nine hundred people showed up, many of whom had not previously taken any interest in national politics. In the course of their populist pitch, Carswell and Farage quoted liberally from a Times newspaper column the previous week written by Matthew Parris.
Looking back at that column a decade on, you can see in it all the faultlines that were exposed and exploited so cynically by Farage and Brexit, the roots of the crisis that threatens to destroy the Conservative party in this election (a humiliation from which Farage, inevitably, hopes to benefit).
Parris, in his waspish style, on a visit to Clacton in 2014, had declared its irrelevance to modern Conservatism: “This is tracksuit-and-trainers Britain, tattoo-parlour Britain, all-our-yesterdays Britain,” he wrote. He asked his party a question which would now get a very different answer: “Is this where the Conservative party wants to be? [Or] do we need to be with the Britain that can admire immigrants and want them with us, that doesn’t want to spend its days buying scratchcards?”
Parris insisted that he was not “arguing that we should be careless of the needs of struggling people and places such as Clacton. But I am arguing – if I am honest – that we should be careless of their opinions.
Farage could not have scripted a better scene for himself than the spectacle of a Tory prime minister leaving the D-day celebrations early. Tragically, as this week is proving, the forces that made his bleak and divisive message relevant in 2014 have not gone away, and in the weeks to come you suspect that Westminster political parties will still ignore Clacton at their peril.”
[The Guardian].
Not once does the full article mention the fact that the person presently posing as PM is “unelected” (at least, unvalidated by a General Election) and a little Indian money-juggler; but there you are…”The Guardian”…
Interesting, though, all the same. I think that Farage has every chance of being elected at Clacton. The only reason that the Conservative Party candidate Giles Watling (MP since 2017, a long-retired actor, and a member of the Garrick Club, who lives at Frinton, the more expensive part of the constituency) got over 70% of the vote in 2019 is because his political stance is akin to that of UKIP/Brexit Party/Reform UK anyway.
Watling came second, behind ex-Conservative Douglas Carswell (for UKIP) both at the 2014 by-election and the 2015 General Election, and only won in 2017 because Carswell stood down. Having said that, Watling did get 36.7% in 2015, only about 8 points behind Carswell.
While the election at Clacton might yet be close, Farage has every chance now. Labour and other parties are spectators at Clacton. Labour’s best was 25.4% (in 2017, when the Cons got over 60%).
Interestingly, that 2017 Labour candidate, Natasha Osben, is now, in 2024, the Green Party candidate. Starmer is really not very popular even within the Labour —or recently Labour— ranks.
Will Labour voters vote tactically? If so, for Reform UK or for the Conservative Party? My money is on Reform UK.
“Alarmingly for Conservative HQ, many polling experts believe the conditions are ripe for a repeat of 1997, when tactical voting benefited Labour and the Lib Dems and cost the Tories dozens of seats, most notably the toppling of Michael Portillo in Enfield Southgate. This time, Shapps is among the big beasts who could suffer their own polling night infamy.
Tactical efforts came to little at the last election. Hopes among pro-Remain campaigners of an anti-Brexit tactical vote were dashed as Boris Johnson won an 80-strong majority. But conditions have changed. Peter Kellner, the veteran pollster, wrote in the Observer before the 1997 election that while he detected little “positive enthusiasm” for Labour, an electorate with “a burning desire to end 18 years of Tory rule” made for receptive tactical voting conditions. He believes similar ingredients are present today.
While the net effects of tactical voting are hard to calculate, the Liberal Democrats could gain 10-20 extra seats through anti-Conservative tactical voting, according to an analysis by the Electoral Calculus consultancy. Meanwhile, with the added help of Nigel Farage and Reform UK, the tactical dynamic could push Labour closer in another swathe of previously safe Tory seats.“
“Writing in the Observer, Rob Ford, a leading expert on voting intention and trends, says the evidence from polls shows that “an electoral asteroid is streaking through the atmosphere” and is heading for the Tory heartlands. Ford no longer thinks it impossible that the Conservatives could end up with less than 100 seats, so badly is their campaign misfiring and so much trust have they lost over 14 years and the tenures of five prime ministers.
Other polling experts say that such is the geographical spread of the Tory vote, and the brutal nature of the first past the post system, that once their vote drops into the low 20% region, the number of seats could fall into double digits – and could go as low as 20.“
[Observer/Guardian]
I have speculated for quite a while that the Con vote might go low enough nationwide to leave the Cons with as few as 50 MPs. Perhaps I was right (I sometimes am…).
More tweets
Amber Rudd has some front when she says @Nigel_Farage could not deliver. The Uniparty are experts at not delivering on their promises. Remember immigration down to the 10s of thousands, Brexit means Brexit etc? Labour will just manage the decline even worse #bbclaurak
Entitled self-seeking political hog Emily Thornberry, who only became “Labour” in the first place after her highly-paid UN-working father deserted her and her mother, abandoning his wife and daughter, and resulting in their having to relocate to a council house. She is motivated by malice and early spite and/or envy.
Emily Thornberry and her husband (a retired High Court judge) are buy-to-let parasites, incidentally; I believe that I read that they own, or used to own, at least 8 buy-to-let properties. Pro-Israel, too.
[Emily Thornberry and husband with the then Israeli Ambassador to the UK, Mark Regev, at a Zionist banquet in London]
The Conservative Party now deserves to be not only removed from government, and preferably entirely wiped out, but do not imagine that fake “Labour” will be much if at all better. Look at its leaders and major influencers: Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall. All members of Labour Friends of Israel. All self-seeking moneygrubbers too.
David Lammy, that ignorant creature, as well.
That thick creature might be Foreign Secretary soon. Poor Britain…
Another Labour Friends of Israel member.
Lady Nugee aka Emily Thornberry with a property portfolio in excess of £4million who sent her children to a partially selective school and who is a former human rights lawyer speaks for the people.
I can’t stand Emily Thornberry. She’s Champagne Socialist delusional. She got own four properties how wealthy she is. She lives in an Islington townhouse worth roughly £2.9million and owns a £600,000 flat in Guildford. She also bought a property in Clerkenwell for £572,000.
Emily Thornberry slightly reminds me of Mrs Mossberg, a fat, short and jolly Jewish primary school teacher, usually —in my memory— dressed in a long dark-brown mink coat; I knew her circa 1962, when about 5 or 6 years old and a pupil at Caversham Primary School near Reading. Mrs Mossberg, though, was far more pleasant than Emily Thornberry seems to be.
In retrospect, I wonder why Mrs Mossberg ever bothered to be a teacher, which I doubt paid much. She lived not far from my family, a few roads away, in a large detached house. The main reception room, which I saw at least once, seemed enormous to the 5-y-o me, and it had a large grand piano in it. Maybe she just enjoyed teaching.
The last tweeter says that Emily Thornberry owns 4 properties; I thought I read 8 somewhere.
NEW POST. The Tory elite class is completely lost. What the reaction to Nigel Farage and the rise of Reform tells us about our out-of-touch eliteshttps://t.co/pnbLrAmJvy
“Elite“, though, seems the wrong word to describe that bunch of clowns.
This is a superb piece of analysis – the truth is Tory liberalism both social and economic has failed and failed utterly – what none of the Tory pundit class have confronted is the abject failure of their economic model – from Osborne to Hunt it has been a calamity https://t.co/GE7v1VSbNk
This is what this Israeli soldier wrote in a video of himself breaking plates received from the house he occupied in the Gaza Strip. pic.twitter.com/DmnZKK6z28
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 9, 2024
Well, I cannot read Hebrew, and there is no translation, so I have no idea what the untermensch may have written in relation to his vandalism of that family’s house.
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 9, 2024
From what little one hears or reads, some of the chiefs or former chiefs of Israeli Intelligence (MOSSAD, Shin Beth, Aman etc) are also not optimistic about Israel’s long-term or even medium-term survival.
The Tory elite class should spend less time attacking Nigel Farage and more time reflecting on how they created him by wrecking the country. Now open to all 👇👇 https://t.co/NYMHLINPeW
“Conservatives face election wipeout with Labour set to gain a 416 majority that could see Rishi Sunak LOSING his seat and the Tories being left with just 39 MPs, shock Mail on Sunday poll reveals.”
[Daily Mail]
If that turns out to be correct on 4 July 2024, I will have been proven correct, and the “experts” and “specialists” (who have been saying 100-200 Con MPs left post-GE 2024) would be wrong (again)…
Also true, arguably. About the same, I should say.
Clacton is currently polling Reform at 33%, tories on 30% ans labour 25%. Everywhere else, reform are averaging about 17% with either labour or tories on over 30%
The first tweet confirms what I have been blogging re. Clacton. It is between Reform UK (Farage) and the Cons (Giles Watling). Labour has no chance at all, but Labour voters in Clacton can be the kingmakers. Their votes can swing it, either for Reform or for the Cons.
Even if the second tweet is accurate, and it may not be, voters can still give the Cons a mighty and historic kick by voting Reform UK and thus preventing the Conservative Party from thriving, or even surviving.
The very fact that such a grassroots campaign is even necessary shows how sick society has become.
He was so in denial, so dismissive and unprepared for being challenged on the most basic questions on his behaviour the past 4/5 years. Really depressing , and I feel quite sad for him.
Refers to Robert Largan, the Israel-puppet and Jewish-lobby puppet who is desperately trying to keep his Commons seat at High Peak (Derbyshire), with its good pay and better expenses and perks, but he really has no chance. Make him get a real job.
High Peak voters should vote either Reform UK or Labour to get rid of Largan.
Talking point
Late tweets
Nigel Farage's Reform Party SURGES — Tories in CRISIS. 75K clicks in 8 hours. Subscribe to our YouTube for content throughout election https://t.co/MBJSyft5fl
Richard Holden, who strikes me as a rather unpleasant little opportunist, even by the standards of the Westminster monkeyhouse. Conservative Party candidate at Basildon and Billericay. I hope that the voters there vote Reform or Labour. Keep him out.
[“Billericay Dickie”]
I see Aditya has been unlucky and has come across X’s favourite wing-nut Zionist judge Simon Myerson.
He’s the one who got bollocked by the Lord Chancellor for his tweets and was found by a judge to have shared Nazi-style abuse on twitter.
God. Myerson again. When is the Judicial Standards Investigations Office at least going to stop this obsessive from sitting in judgment over others? The Bar Standards Board might like to take a look too.
As data on public understanding of WWII reveal, large parts of UK public live in an imaginary historical world. Check out Chartbook Top Links for provocative takes on our weird world! https://t.co/HTLH1tGmOcpic.twitter.com/BhDdA6M4wr
…and few indeed of the British public are aware of the fact that the declaration of war by Britain on the German Reich in 1939 was not only totally unnecessary but led to immense unnecessary bloodshed and misery, and to negative consequences from which the world is still suffering.
2.) War with Russia on the Horizon
President Macron has been the most vocal person in Europe about sending NATO troops to Ukraine
He is actively sending weapons to Ukraine, and there are unverified reports of French Foreign Legion troops inside of Ukraine currently
Iran threatens Israel if war starts with Hezbollah
🔻 Iranian Foreign Minister Bagheri Qani, in an interview with CNN Turk, warned Israel against war against Lebanon and said what support Iran would provide in the event of a war in the north.
Invaders enter Tesco and fill bags with hundreds of pounds worth of alcohol, security just stand watching, even moving out the way so they can walk out!
Our government have allowed the scum of the world to enter our country.
— Tommy Robinson 🇬🇧 (@TRobinsonNewEra) June 5, 2024
He has a point, albeit a very obvious point, and that is so even if “Robinson” is basically “controlled opposition”.
In the end, civilization is created and maintained by iron necessities. It rests easy on the bones of the vanquished. If chaos and evil prevail, the opposite happens; in that case, culture and civilization and everything decent disappears, untermenschen scrabble around atop the ruins of once-great cities, and tread on the bones of those who were civilized and cultured, but just too tolerant of decadence and evil.
Hi @Tesco why are you selling carrots grown by settlers on stolen Palestinian land? Do you know how many people will start boycotting you if you don’t stop doing this? pic.twitter.com/upZenZClxf
This is a macroscopic view of Normandy's beach sands.
About 4% of it, is magnetic shrapnel that has been broken down over the decades into sand-sized chunks, coming from the fierce fighting on D-Day, 80 years ago #Today.#DDaypic.twitter.com/dBea8USbie
“Former Tory voters in Clacton have been switching to Reform UK over Nigel Farage’s stance on immigration.
GB News ventured up to the coastal constituency to get a feel on the ground ahead of Farage’s launch near Clacton Pier.
Immigration was the main issue raised by residents, with the cost-of-living crisis and net zero also salient issues.
Speaking hours before Farage’s arrival, Andrew Humphries told GB News: “Immigration is a massive thing, especially how it impacts on the rest of society.
“I’ve been waiting for a couple of years now for housing. My family has been here for 40 years and I’ve seen the decline of the town.
“You’ve got to help your own first before you look out for others.”
Humphries, who described himself as typically a non-voter, claimed there is a “good chance” Farage will win and argued the two-party system is broken.
Steve Schaffer, who moved to Clacton in 1957, explained his support for Farage.
“This is only a small country,” he claimed. “We’re struggling. We can’t build enough homes. The schools and hospitals are full. It’s reaching bursting point. We’ve got to stop it or slow it down somehow.”
Despite witnessing a dip immediately after the 2016 referendum, the salience of immigration has soared in recent years.
Immigration and asylum is the third most important issue in the minds of Britons, analysis by YouGov has shown.
Rozerin Altin, who was just 18, added: “I’m the oldest of six girls. I don’t want little boys going into girls’ changing rooms. I care about women’s rights. If you care about that then you should vote for Reform UK.“
[GB News]
Immigration generally should be the first and most important issue. The other important matters —economy, pay, State benefits, housing, NHS, public services, educational standards etc— are all affected, hugely, by the migration invasion.
People (including some “experts” etc) were saying until very recently that polling numbers for Con and Lab would converge, as they always have done. Mechanistic, formulaic thinking.
I have disagreed. I still disagree. For me, the main thing is that almost everyone, barring about (?) 10%-20%, most of whom are elderly lifelong Con voters now in their 80s and 90s, has realized that the Sunak/Liz Truss/Boris-idiot/Theresa May/Cameron-Levita Con governments have run the UK into the ground, and have been actually totally useless.
It has been clear to me for quite some time that, barring those ingrained and very elderly Con loyalists (or lifelong habit-voters), almost no-one is going to vote “Conservative” in the upcoming election. Maybe 20%, maybe 15%, or even as low as 10% nationwide. My guess would be about 18%.
The polls are still moving: the Cons are still descending. Labour has slid somewhat from its (?) 49% high to around 40%. The uninspiring prospect of Israel-puppets Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall etc fails to excite many voters, but I doubt whether Labour’s overall vote will be below, or much below, 40% in the end. I am thinking 40% or 42%.
The polling statistics seem clear: Labour beats Con on almost all topics, from economy and NHS through to “best PM” and even immigration. That means that, where there is a straight fight between a Labour candidate and a Conservative Party one, Lab will usually beat Con.
The joker in the pack is Reform UK. The difference in 2024 as compared to UKIP in 2015 and Brexit Party in 2019 is not really in the policy “offering”; that is all but identical. So is the leadership (Farage, mainly). The difference lies in the context.
In 2015, UKIP failed only because it was cheated by the rigged FPTP voting system. 12%+ of the popular vote, yet no seats won. That, and because the full horror of the mass migration invasion was still not understood, in its effects, by enough people.
In 2019, Farage stabbed Brexit Party in the back to help the Con Party achieve its faked “landslide” (43.6% popular vote, about one point above Labour’s “landslide of 1997).
Today, in 2024, things have moved on. Brexit was deliberately mishandled and has been negative in its consequences for that reason.
The immigration tsunami has brought in, quite literally, millions (more) of unwanted non-Europeans since 2015.
We see the “unelected” little Indian money-juggler, Sunak, throwing taxpayer money at both Israel and “Ukraine” (the brutal and dictatorial Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev).
Another aspect is the extent to which UK society has fallen apart since 2015, and especially since the 2020-2022 “panicdemic” or “scamdemic”.
Potholed and unrepaired roads have become “totemic” of it. NHS failings. The continuing migration invasion, of which the “small boats” crossing the Channel (in reality, ferried across by Royal Navy, RNLI, Border “Farce” etc) comprise only about 5% of all immigration. The slow collapse of law and order. The increasing overall cost of living.
Reform UK is still a bit of a one-trick-pony, both in policy and personnel, but it has at least a chance now of getting a handful of MPs.
More importantly, a high popular vote for Reform UK will hole this rotten misgovernment below the waterline, and that is exactly why many (including former Con voters) will vote for it.
In fact, were Labour supporters and LibDem supporters, in seats where either Labour or LibDems have no chance, to vote tactically for the party best placed to beat the Con candidate, or for Reform UK, the Cons might be left with an MP cadre in the single figures.
Well, not long to go now. Exactly 4 weeks (28 days) from today.
More tweets
In April, Türkiye became the world's largest buyer of gold with 8 tons of the precious metal purchased
In 2008/2009, I wrote and published a restricted-distribution geopolitical study which, inter alia, featured the very important central position of Turkey.
Turkey has various problems, but it also has several strengths. A huge supply of water, firstly. That is very important now. Another asset is the fact that Turkey is a fairly large net food exporting state. That may sound underwhelming, but it means that, if push comes to shove, Turkey can feed itself. A large and efficient military force, too.
Turkey is now moving towards a neutral position, despite its NATO membership.
A family in Gaza during a farewell to the martyrs of the Nusayrat massacre at Al-Aqsa Hospital in the central Gaza Strip. pic.twitter.com/JkoaQt1CQL
Russian President Vladimir Putin: Israel's response to the Hamas attack does not look like war, but rather the wholesale destruction of the population in Gaza. pic.twitter.com/Y5IxOuaL4j
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir:
We need to completely stop humanitarian aid in Gaza.
There are things that we have not done yet, for example, we turned off the gas and said: “there will be no more humanitarian aid.” Let's wait a month or two and then we'll… pic.twitter.com/TJfHM0iPtn
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
Another “Israeli” war criminal.
This night the intensity of bombing of Lebanon by the Israeli Air Force and IDF artillery increased sharply It is alleged that there has been no shelling of Lebanon of such intensity since the beginning of the war in the Gaza Strip, there are dead and many wounded. pic.twitter.com/WKzXmlMzsy
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
A global rights group has accused Israel of using white phosphorus incendiaries to target homes in at least five towns and villages in conflict-ridden southern Lebanon. pic.twitter.com/o9HNe3d0sT
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
The Israeli state can only do what it does because of its “diaspora” support outside Israel— the Zionist influence in the USA, France, UK etc.
Historical note
Aspects of National Socialist Germany
National Socialist Germany. 1933-1945. 6 years of peace, 6 years of war.
More tweets seen
Yes, the Brexit Party briefly polled above the Tories in 2019. But, remember, the Brexit Party did not stand in every seat at the 2019 election. This time around, Reform will hit the Tories harder & wider than anything they experienced in 2019 https://t.co/liUeIhMQHwhttps://t.co/bSd5L5RfbN
Reform UK is an easy way for people who would never vote Labour to send a message and/or a kick to the Conservative Party.
Talking about giving the Conservative Party a kick…see below
“Was this a stitch up to make sure that you got a safe seat?” “No.”
EXCL: @PGMcNamara presses Chairman of the Conservative party Richard Holden as he tells @Channel4News he’s been agreed as the only Tory candidate for Basildon and Billericay. pic.twitter.com/z3WMQl7Je9
— Wokey McWokeface 🌹💙 (@WokeyMcWokefac3) June 6, 2024
Holden has aged hugely since he (allegedly) groped a woman at a party in 2016; I think that the photo in the report was from 2018, so only 6 years ago. He is still only 39. Hard to believe, looking at him as he now is.
Of course, someone acquitted by a jury supposedly leaves court without a stain on his character…
Holden strikes me (I had not even heard of him until yesterday, despite his being Chairman of the Conservative Party— they have had so many in recent years) as a dishonest type. Just my impression of him now that I have seen him in film clips and heard online from him and about him.
“Put a beggar on horseback and he rides it to death” [German proverb]
Some Tory members in Basildon and Billericay are still fighting to block Richard Holden being imposed as the candidate.
This message is being circulate by local activists to send to the local chairman, calling for an emergency general meeting tonight to elect their own… pic.twitter.com/Nf4QVZSEuC
— Aubrey Allegretti (@breeallegretti) June 6, 2024
One way to cheat Holden out of his prize would be for a few civic-minded people to stand for election as “Independent conservative” or similar. That might weaken the kneejerk Con habit-vote, especially if Reform UK does well.
@PGMcNamara Excellent work holding Holden to account.
As a NW Durham constituent, I'd love to tell you what kind of job Richard has done in the past 18 months, but given he's barely been here in that time, it'd be hard to judge… https://t.co/2cEYIeswp5
The sheer gall and dishonesty of bastards such as Holden exemplifies the Sunak Con government and its several predecessors.
[“Billericay Dickie“]
People of Basildon & Billericay #VoteTactically#GTTO If this is how the Tory party treats you now does he deserve your vote?🤔🗳️
Richard Holden's selection in Basildon and Billericay is branded a "slap in the face" for local Tories. Source: BBC News https://t.co/NIiynFfqOf
— Helen 🇪🇺🇺🇦 #FBPE #RejoinEU 🇪🇺 (@heib20) June 6, 2024
More music
[Irish (IRA) volunteers c.1920]
Late tweets
A Palestinian family in the Jabaliya refugee camp cleans up their home , destroyed by the Zionist regime, to make their home livable again. pic.twitter.com/ueRUPiCiVF
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
On the one hand, heartbreaking, but on the other hand heartening. People can be so resilient.
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
Israel and its Western support network may imagine that their crimes are without punishment, but group-karma will eventually take hold of them, whether in the 21stC, 31stC or later.
France.
Marine Le Pen: “I am for a complete end to the use of renewable energy, because what you call clean, renewable energy is actually not clean and non-renewable” pic.twitter.com/q0pUKE0gV2
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
Another video from the training of Chinese PLA soldiers, and again using robotics pic.twitter.com/ZzoYYw8Dsr
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
Those animal-looking robots give me the creeps, if truth be known…
Largan. A Conservative Friends of Israel puppet. A nasty little man, who used to be an accountant for Marks & Spencer. Also, a dishonest little bastard.
Largan has obviously realized that, as a “Conservative” MP who won his seat narrowly in 2019, with a majority of only 509 votes, he has little chance of beating the Labour candidate this time in the normal way, so has decided to cheat.
Largan is an election cheat. Those fake “Labour” and “Reform UK” posters he has published are an outright attempt to defraud the High Peak electorate.
Despite having been a barrister (in practice or overseas employed practice 1992-2008, and still nominally a barrister until wrongfully and unlawfully disbarred for political reasons in late 2016), I know little about the law pertaining to elections.
The above, however, does not seem to cover the case of a candidate deceptively using the style and colours of his opponents in order to trick voters directly.
Even if Largan is not actually in breach of electoral law (and I cannot say whether that is so or not), in view of his deliberate and dishonest copying of the colour and style of Labour and Reform UK posters, the voters of High Peak must be made aware of how very dishonest and desperate Largan is (desperate not to have to get a real job again, something he has only had for 5 out of his 38 years).
Send Largan back to counting beans for M&S.
🚨 UPDATE: Derbyshire Police said: “We wish to confirm that we have received a number of messages in relation to claims of election fraud, raised due to concerns around marketing material. An incident has been created and will be reviewed.” https://t.co/xNpj0zZ1Br
Actually, when you think how likely (in fact, inevitable) it was that Largan’s deception would be discovered (having after all been publicized on Twitter/X by Largan himself!), it does call into question Largan’s commonsense or lack of the same. His judgment too. He is an idiot.
I don't think anybody has ever been that desperate before.
— Jen Wood – est optimum simpliciter (@unojen_wood) June 1, 2024
Robert Largan—serially dishonest and not even very clever in being so.
Imagine, though, how little confidence Largan must have in the “Conservative” brand to try to camouflage himself on different election posters as Labour, and Reform UK and Green, in other words anything but “Conservative”…and also even printing a fake “newspaper”.
Derbyshire Police are now looking at Robert Largan's campaigning as "Labour forLargan" and "Reform for Largan".https://t.co/j2O1CxrURN
Well, I agree with Hodges on that, at least in terms of the gap between Con and Lab, but then, after all, I did predict on the blog quite some months ago that, contrary to the usual scenario, there would not be a convergence in the polling prior to Election Day. The reason is clear— people have just given up on the “Conservatives”. Labour is disliked but, in the UK’s basically binary system, if people do not vote Con, Lab profit thereby.
Look at how many Con MPs are failing to contest GE 2024, and look at the poor quality of most of those intending to contest it. Robert Largan is but one, and egregious, example of that.
The voters have a choice: Labour, who will probably be both incompetent and repressive, and the “Conservatives”, who have already proven themselves incompetent and repressive. Both parties are as good as controlled by the…”Israel lobby”.
Really? I can think of a number of things of which one could accuse Sunak, but surely not that. Or have I misunderstood the headline?…
Penny Mordaunt got a very high 61.4% vote-share in 2019, and her vote -share has increased every election since she was first elected in 2010, but Portsmouth North has been a “bellwether” seat since 1966, so the chances are that she will lose this time, though she may just be able to buck the trend: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portsmouth_North_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.
Each cup collects a teaspoon of water and is crafted to withstand outdoor conditions, ensuring long-lasting support for our essential pollinator friends. Get it: https://t.co/eW090Vn3l5pic.twitter.com/xhmivNMLTh
In the past, there was clear blue water between Con and Lab, at least on some issues, but the Cons cannot now even compete on issues traditionally (if falsely) their own: immigration, defence, law and order, Treasury competence. Etc. They have failed miserably on all of those and more.
That is the core point, surely. I can think of no issue on which the Cons can credibly make a stand, not even on cultural issues such as the trans nonsense, free speech etc. They are, on those topics, so far as bad as Labour, overall.
We have been using bricks since 7,500 BC and we now produce more than 1 trillion of them every year.
Why? You can build almost anything with bricks, they're cheap, easy to make, and last for ages.
— The Cultural Tutor (@culturaltutor) June 1, 2024
France has banned Israel from participating in the world's largest arms exhibition, Eurosatory 2024, which will be held in Paris from June 17 to 21. pic.twitter.com/tHqaOJnYDB
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) June 2, 2024
I suppose that it might be embarrassing to invite the murderous Israeli regime there; akin to inviting one of the African cannibal dictators of the recent past, such as Bokassa, to a food and drink exhibition.
China is winning the technological revolution – it is already clear that its direction and pace will not be dictated by the West
ONE CAR IS MANUFACTURED EVERY 59 SECONDS, WITH THE AMBITION OF DRIVERS TO BE PASSENGERS TOO pic.twitter.com/3qssBY53eQ
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) June 2, 2024
President Erdogan:
This barbarian, this thug, this bloodthirsty enthusiast called Netanyahu must be stopped now. pic.twitter.com/zDRQ5hqJjQ
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) June 2, 2024
I suppose that Netanyahu is well-guarded, but so far the only Israeli (ex-) PM to be assassinated (Rabin) was hit by Jewish dissidents, not Arab Palestinians.
The amount of Tommy Robinson followers who are not aware that he is funded by Israel is amazing. They think they are patriots but are really serving Israel Zionist agenda. The real right wing in the U.K. are very few.
The label “far right” (like “right and “left“) is meaningless. Policy is key.
The “Tommy Robinson” crowd are sheep, though they cannot see that. What policies does “Tommy” offer? None, except to —somehow— stop the growth of Islamic or Islamist influence in the UK. Gesture politics, and controlled opposition. Meaningless.
What matters is not, did he break the law?, but the fact that he is expanding his #ToryScum tactics to deceive voters he claims to represent and care about. He is also showing great disdain to his constituents by assuming there are enough thick enough to make the scam worthwhile.
I see that the Manchester Evening News has reported Largan's misleading advertising and I have messaged The Glossop Chronical and Thameside radio to ask if they are covering it, too, to inform his constituents of his duplicity.
46 officers and soldiers were killed or wounded across the Gaza Strip in the past 24 hours, the highest number of casualties in a single day since October 7, the IDF says pic.twitter.com/NUU9q9e7ws
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) June 2, 2024
According to Channel 12 in Israel, since the beginning of the war in Gaza, more than 10,000 Israeli soldiers have been injured, both physically and psychologically. pic.twitter.com/rDngjiH9ar
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) June 2, 2024
Israeli media: 10,000 Zionists went to shelter with Hezbollah's rocket attacks on Nahariya. pic.twitter.com/Tc9X1GKmKt
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) June 2, 2024
Showing resilience and humanity, the Palestinian people continue to live, despite the destruction and the Israeli attempt to destroy them pic.twitter.com/o9lPmSKMIv
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) June 2, 2024
Things have changed.
I am 72 and from 1970 to 2017 I voted Tory at every GE. I couldn’t vote for the King of Liars in 2019 so voted LD.
This time I will (tactically) vote Labour for the first time in my life and will never vote Tory again.
There were genuine reasons to favour Con over Lab in, say, 1970, 1974, even 1979 and 1983, though I personally have voted only once, aged —just— 18, in October 1974, and it was not for a System party (my chosen candidate came 4th out of 4 with about 600 votes).
Both major System parties have changed out of all recognition since the 1970s, and are really just corporate facades, indeed to a large extent similar corporate facades, hiding the almost identical core ideologies within.
Do you believe Labour’s shadow home secretary, when she says she’ll stop the boats? pic.twitter.com/60i2f7WItK
Oh, I believe that evil woman all right. She will stop the cross-Channel boats, or most of them. She will do it by setting up places in France where 90%+ of those applying for asylum will simply have their applications rubberstamped. They will then get ferries to the UK.
At present ~1M unwanted immigrants are coming to the UK every year, whether “legally” or not. That is the problem, not the rubber boat mob as such.
The other aspect of the problem we face is that there are large numbers of complete idiots who naively (or actively maliciously) prefer to believe that the UK can absorb millions of mostly uneducated, mostly parasitic, often hostile non-white immigrants without any effect on our way of life, culture, or public services. Some of the idiots even prefer to believe that the influx is something positive…
Incredibly (or maybe not, in view of Britain’s ever-sliding educational standards), no less than 109,000 Twitter twits “follow” Osland’s Twitter/X account.
Your calculations suffer from Hanlon’s Razor.
With 8 million arriving on these shores over the last decade and struggling to build a mere avg 100,000 new homes per year over the same time it’s bloody obvious what the cause is.
There may be a billion or more non-whites in the world who, in principle, might make out a case for UK residence, either on the basis of asylum (under outdated rules) or otherwise. How many houses do Osland and his fellow-idiots think might be required? 500 million? 200 million? (paid for, incidentally, by the British people). That’s before they start to breed, of course. The whole argument these people put forward is a nonsensical one.
Man with cerebal palsy confronts the horrible Jacob Rees-Mogg with his hideous discrimination against disabled people.
In the UK we had Nick Griffin of the BNP. Every time he was on TV his popularity skyrocketed. So they banned him from TV and demonised him in the media and rolled out their controlled opposition / traitor – Nigel Farage. Anyone friendly with him is either a traitor or stupid.
Yep. I refuse to vote Tory on principle. I refuse to be told if I don’t I’m letting labour in. I don’t care. Both labour and Tory are globalist run/uniparty. It’s time to say NO to both and over time, things will change. Voting Tory means that real change, will never be…
Funny how they seem to get an audio call available as soon as the world finds out the truth of their crimes . 🤷♀️ We’re still waiting for the evidence Israel has on the 40 beheaded babies story and the rape accusations, also the story of how the UNRWA workers are Hamas !! Where’s…
The IDF seems able to produce these phone calls on demand. Remember this onehttps://t.co/NFzind4Rh2
— Uncensored 🇬🇧 🇷🇺 🇵🇸 🇾🇪 (@Refusenik19) May 28, 2024
Israeli journalist Gideon Levy: "I don't remember one occupation where the occupier presented himself as the victim." Via @QudsNenpic.twitter.com/nEqfoEhf4Z
— Dr. Mansour Mansour (@DrMansourMansou) May 7, 2024
Exactly. Eternal “victims”, even when they are victimizing others.
Vaccine and martial law, ops sorry lockdown fanatic
A mere caution, for attacking an elderly man in the street.
Natalie Elphicke
This isn't true. All MPs leaving will get nearly £20k as a "winding down payment". Additionally those that fight the GE will get an additional redundancy sum according to their time in parliament. Elphicke has been there 1 term so it would have been be something less than £5K.
Whatever the facts of that, there are facts that are indisputable: Natalie Elphicke could have stood at GE 2024 as Con Party candidate. She received 56.9% of the vote in 2019 under that aegis.
I was puzzled as to why Natalie Elphicke crossed the floor, she after all knowing that a general election had to be called sometime before a date in January 2025. Does she have some better offer from outside Parliament? Seems doubtful to me.
Natalie Elphicke gives me a dual impression: not particularly intelligent, but particularly focussed on her own ambitions.
As a former member of Lincoln’s Inn, I have met several people over the years who were (as was Natalie Elphicke— see the Wikipedia entry) beneficiaries of Hardwicke scholarships. None impressed.
I saw this comment:
“Hardwicke Scholarships aren’t that prestigious. A mere submission of an application is more than enough to win one. They give about 150 away each year, and not many more people apply to each inn for a scholarship, surprisingly enough.” [online commentator].
I think that the real figure is nearer to 100 than 150.
To intrude a personal comment, I recall a young blonde lady barrister who (unsuccessfully, in all cases) opposed me in court a number of times during 2002-2008 when I was in chambers in Exeter (she was in another set, also in Exeter). She was a former Hardwicke scholar, just like Natalie Elphicke. I used to think of her as “Mrs Malaprop”, because her use of English was so poor. Comically so. A pretty poor barrister in terms of both legal knowledge and presentation, in my view, though wearing a sense of self-importance as thick as a suit of armour.
I had better not name that lady, mainly for reasons of propriety (I am too poor now to be worth suing; and there would be no basis for such a suit anyway). I just looked her up online for the first time, and found that she is still in Exeter, and still in the same chambers as she was 20+ years ago, apparently flourishing like the green bay tree.
I note that, having been Called to the Bar in 1994, only a few years after me, Natalie Elphicke decided to leave the Bar and to convert to be a solicitor (something that, at least then, basically meant filling out a few forms).
Natalie Elphicke only worked as a lawyer for a year or two, as a salaried employee of the Inland Revenue (as was; now HMRC) during 1995-1997. She married her now ex-husband, Charlie Elphicke, in 1995. They have two children. She appears to have returned to legal work for a year or two during the years 2011-2013, before helping to found a company which was dissolved 2-3 years later.
After that, her husband’s connections seem to have got her a couple of brief public appointments in the years 2016-2019, as well as the CEO job at the Housing and Finance Institute: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Housing_and_Finance_Institute. This may not be very lucrative, though, looking at the Institute’s funding. Hard to say.
Many will know that, though having displayed (performative?) “loyalty” to her disgraced MP husband, Charlie Elphicke, during his trial, Natalie Elphicke had by then already taken over as MP for Dover in 2019. She separated from him in 2020, and later divorced him, prior to which she sold her story to the Sun “newspaper” for £25,000. https://www.kentonline.co.uk/deal/news/mp-wife-of-naughty-tory-paid-25k-to-tell-all-234749/.
I have to say that I agreed (and still agree) with Natalie Elphicke’s comment at the time of her husband’s unsuccessful appeal (against sentence only— he had been sentenced to 2 years, plus £35,000 costs, and was released after a year) that the 2-year sentence was harsh. He had really done very little: “During his trial the court heard how Elphicke groped one of his accusers, chased her around his house, and sang “I’m a naughty Tory, I’m a naughty Tory.” [Wikipedia].
I should have thought that a suspended sentence would have been enough. From what I read at the time, his three crimes were all just silly, really; almost identical, too, and surely only just coming within the “sex crime” area. Pathetic more than anything, in my opinion.
To my mind, if crimes and criminals can be divided into “bad, sad, or mad“, Charlie Elphicke’s conduct was surely “sad“, with a dash of “mad“, but nothing seriously “bad“.
Having —whether rightly or wrongly, and I think rightly— identified Natalie Elphicke as a “go for the main chance” opportunist, why on Earth did she defect to Labour? Looking at the electoral statistics for Dover, she had a very good chance of being re-elected. Maybe Starmer offered her a peerage (seems unlikely, though), or some quango chair (more likely), or a safe Labour seat (relatively unlikely, surely?).
I admit, Mrs. Elphicke’s motivation is still puzzling to me.
As to Charlie Elphicke, I had little time for him when he was an MP, but I have to say that his fall from status and relative affluence has the elements of a minor Greek tragedy. Apparently, he now lives in a small rented flat somewhere like Earl’s Court, and may (I do not know) be either unemployed or working in some obscure occupation. I can find no record of him still on the Solicitors’ Register, and the same is true of Natalie Elphicke, but as far as I know both are still able to practise; again, I cannot say.
Turns out that the Elphickes bought a house on the Kent coast for about £800,000 in 2012, and were able to sell it only a decade later for over £1.5M. The house almost doubled in value in 10 years. A commentary upon the house-price madness in this country.
More tweets
"In the latest polls, this week, Nigel Farage, Richard Tice, and the Reform Party averaged 11.2%, compared to 11% before Rishi Sunak called the election. There is basically no evidence, yet, that Reform is being squeezed" https://t.co/5t6abIHJtn
There is also no evidence that Reform UK is getting anywhere. Nothing lower than an across-the-board 20% will win any seats; even a few percent more may only win a small handful, maybe 3-5. 11%, 12%, even 15%, is “nowhere” territory in seat-winning terms.
The LibDems and Greens are on a lower nationwide support, yet have seats in the Commons because their vote is concentrated, here and there.
Having said that, I make two points. Firstly, most intending Reform UK voters know perfectly well that RF is not going to win many, if any, seats. Their vote is a protest vote and/or a way of kicking the Sunak government and Conservative Party, by weakening greatly the Con Party vote in almost every constituency, but without voting Labour.
Secondly, as mooted yesterday, there may be a number, perhaps even a large number, of “secret Reform UK voters”, who do not show up in the opinion polls because they say “Don’t Know” or nominate a mainstream party out of embarrassment. Very English, arguably.
"Just before Rishi Sunak called the election Labour averaged 45.5% and the Tories 23.3%. Today? Labour’s averaging 43.8% and the Tories 24.5%. Labour's lead has barely moved at all. There's not much evidence (yet?) disillusioned Tories are returning" https://t.co/5t6abIHJtn
I doubt whether the usual general election convergence will happen this time. People hate and despise the useless Conservative Party governments of the past 14 years, and especially the past 5 years. That includes a huge number of 2019 or previous Con voters.
In fact, I should not be surprised were the Lab-Con gap to widen, though more because the Cons may slide again rather than because Labour increase their percentage.
Keir Starmer has said he is a socialist – do Britons agree, and is it a good thing?
Is a socialist, that's a good thing: 16% Is a socialist, that's a bad thing: 14% Is not a socialist, that's a good thing: 10% It not a socialist, that's a bad thing: 12%https://t.co/8nGGaHkEf6pic.twitter.com/sNgQRLxjCn
Prices have been going up consistently for the past few years but now it seems out of control, regardless of how many #ToryLies we hear. pic.twitter.com/sCBhLtMtrd
— GreensIeeves 🏴 (@Greenfleeves) May 28, 2024
That must be “value” olive oil. The last bottle I bought (extra-virgin olive oil, first cold pressing, but not a single-estate or special one) was nearly £13.
Incredible posting by Simon Myerson (1) @JewishMirelle’s statement can be opinion and defamatory. (2) Myerson is re-publishing a likely defamatory statement. (3) He’s a KC suggesting to someone on twitter that their statement might not be defamatory. (4) He’s the KC who acted for… pic.twitter.com/UQqvBivQR1
“Incredible posting by Simon Myerson (1) @JewishMirelle’s statement can be opinion and defamatory. (2) Myerson is re-publishing a likely defamatory statement. (3) He’s a KC suggesting to someone on twitter that their statement might not be defamatory. (4) He’s the KC who acted for Pete Newbon according the Telegraph. #GroundhogDay“
Myerson again.
Honest opinion is now a defence [Defamation Act 2013, s.3].
I think that I shall quit now, while I am ahead. I have not been in Bar practice for 16 years, and do not, in general, keep up with changes in the law.
Volodin : Zelensky, remaining in power after the expiration of his term, committed a state crime; agreements with him will not have legal force.
He noted that this is contrary to the constitution of Ukraine and is a seizure of power. pic.twitter.com/SZwqpBd6tb
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 29, 2024
General Election news
According to my use of Electoral Calculus, that might result in a House of Commons with 541 Lab MPs, 46 LibDem, 28 Con, 12 SNP, 3 Plaid Cymru, 2 Green, and 18 various Northern Irish.
On those figures, what Disraeli described as “the great Conservative Party, which destroys everything“, would be itself almost destroyed, reduced to a rump of 20 MPs; not even the official Opposition, which would be the LibDems.
Such a result would be a strategic defeat for the SNP too. 12 MPs, down from 56 (out of 59) at the 2015 peak, and 48 at the 2019 GE.
I get the impression that the SNP’s version of fake “nationalism” (blame England/the UK for everything, keep importing non-whites into Scotland, and think it normal to have a Pakistani as First Minister) has well and truly foundered on the rocks of socio-political reality). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_National_Party#House_of_Commons.
Of course, a change in the Labour vote of even one point either way would add several to (or subtract several from) the Conservative total, and even more to or from the Labour total.
More tweets
This morning's YouGov for people under 50 only:
Labour 59% Greens 12% Cons 8% Reform 8% LD 6%
That's the worst result amongst this age group I've see yet. Equal third with Reform.
Video of Ursula Von der Leyen's speech at the democracy summit in Copenhagen, where she promises to “vaccinate” the EU population against “wrong thinking” pic.twitter.com/i5tPb3hPc7
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 29, 2024
A twisted and evil woman.
Ukraine knows that it's all over"
While the UK is preoccupied with the general elections, Kyiv “cannot withstand Putin’s brutal attack,” reports the British The Telegraph. Main points:
▪️Kiev was forced to transfer thousands of soldiers to the northeastern part of the front… pic.twitter.com/tUiK1KTYyw
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 29, 2024
“Ukraine knows that it’s all over” While the UK is preoccupied with the general elections, Kyiv “cannot withstand Putin’s brutal attack,” reports the British The Telegraph. Main points:
Kiev was forced to transfer thousands of soldiers to the northeastern part of the front line to try to slow down the advance of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kharkov region.
The war is reaching a critical point as Western interest in helping Ukraine risks weakening again.
Zelensky seems to understand that time is running out for Ukraine: over the weekend he called on Joe Biden and Xi Jinping to take part in the upcoming “peace summit” in Switzerland.
Zelensky’s team is concerned about the shift of attention in the United States to internal elections: Ukraine is receding into the background.
The harsh reality is that Ukraine risks simply running out of people to fight.“
Exactly.
I have, on the blog, been saying for 2 years that Russia cannot lose this war, and will not lose it.
Trees Are Important – What Makes them Indispensable?https://t.co/eQ12FNzYVj In the quiet majesty of forests, do you grasp why trees guard our world? Fathom their role, where roots intertwine with the essence of life itself. pic.twitter.com/2ZzXsS285e
Now the “blue sky” Hungarian-origined “thinker” —resident in California at last hearing, having left the UK and taken on U.S. citizenship— opines about the 2024 UK General Election.
He writes that “…somehow I don’t think Sunak does accept the inevitability of defeat.
You don’t get to be in his position, with all the success he has achieved in his career and his life, without exceptional drive and determination. I simply cannot believe that someone that impressive – Oxford, Stanford, Goldman Sachs, Prime Minister within seven years of becoming an MP – is content to just drift out of office without a fight.“
[Daily Mail]
Those words alone show how out of touch “Hilton” is, and how easily dazzled. Yes, Sunak got a degree from Oxford University (after having been at Winchester College, where he became Head Boy, it would be almost surprising had Sunak not gone on to Oxford). So what?
Sunak then went on to Stanford University, and graduated with an MBA. OK, but so what, really?
Indeed, and in all fairness, Hilton’s own academic achievement, coming from his level of poverty or near-poverty in childhood, was more creditable than that of Sunak: Christ’s Hospital (school) on a bursary, followed by Oxford University.
“Hilton” then praises Sunak for having worked (for about 2 years or so) at the Goldman Sachs financial outfit. Not everyone thinks that that is a recommendation, but “Hilton” is no doubt dazzled by the money Goldman Sachs pay some of their staff.
“Hilton” himself was brought up in a fair degree of poverty, by a mother abandoned by her husband; she and her son survived only by reason of the State benefits that “Hilton”, as well-overpaid and useless adviser to Cameron-Levita’s “Conservative” government (2010-2015), later did his best to take away from other poor, sick, and disabled people.
As the Germans say, “put a beggar on a horse and he rides it to death“…
As to Sunak’s money, much of it has come, directly or indirectly, from his marriage to a super-wealthy Indian, daughter of an Indian billionaire. Anyway, as far as I am concerned, I do not, without more, respect money-jugglers. Maybe “Hilton” does.
It must have been galling for “Hilton” to forever be around the wealthy and politically-powerful, including his own wife, Rachel Whetstone [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rachel_Whetstone], yet have only the hanger-on’s level of influence, and nowhere near as much wealth, though at Downing Street, “Hilton” was paid or overpaid some £200,000 p.a., (worth maybe £240,000 p.a, in 2024 money). Good pay, yes, but a high salary is not the same as having serious capital.
“Hilton” also forgets to note that Sunak is “in his position” purely because two other idiots, “Boris” Johnson and Liz Truss, had to resign. Sunak (like Truss) has never led his party into an election; the Premiership was simply gifted to him.
“Hilton” goes on to write that ” Now, after years of chaos, Britain seems to be on the right track. But, make no mistake, a Labour government would set things back. What’s needed now from Sunak is energy, aggression and inspiration – and then he could pull off an even greater upset than John Major achieved in 1992.”
Absolutely asinine.
“Hilton”, the not very successful spin-meister, seems to imagine that, if only Sunak and the “Conservatives” were to really attack Starmer and his crew, the electorate will rally round the Cons. A brainless “analysis”, though I agree with Hilton that Starmer really offers nothing but a change of personnel.
As for “Britain seems to be on the right track“, from where does “Hilton” get that idea? It flies in the face of facts flagrantly obvious to anyone with eyes and any perceptiveness at all; Britain is quite obviously not“on the right track“.
A million unwanted non-Europeans, mostly (at best) parasites, entering the UK every year; a health service on its knees; a police service unable or unwilling to do its proper job, but at the same time all too eager to “cosplay” as a poundland Stasi or KGB, snooping on tweets and blogs; poor pay for most, and a continuing squeeze on the State benefits which sustained the young “Hilton” and his mother; a housing crisis caused or made far worse by the all but uncontrolled mass migration invasion; potholed and unrepaired roads and highways; a government throwing money and military support at “Ukraine” (the corrupt, brutal, and shambolic Kiev regime of the Jew Zelensky) and Israel; filthy rivers…it just goes on.
I suppose that the Daily Mail paid “Hilton” well for his little piece of “analysis”, if you can even call it that. Money wasted.
To my mind, whatever Sunak now says will either accomplish nothing to mitigate what must surely be a catastrophic election result for the Con Party, or may well make it all worse for them.
So far, a disastrous General Election announcement, with Sunak all but washed away by heavy rain; a visit to the Titanic museum in Belfast (you couldn’t make it up!); and now the announcement that, if re-elected, the “Conservatives” will reintroduce mandatory 1950s-style conscription (with a few semi-“woke” tweaks) for all (?) 18-y-o young men (and women?).
As I noted on the blog yesterday, the “National Service” idea seems designed to appeal to some kind of “false memory” delusion in some 70-100 year old Con Party voters, rather than being serious policy.
As I noted yesterday, after a date in 1957 no young men born after August 1939 were called-up (drafted), and call-up ceased in 1960 (though a relative few served until 1963).
So someone today would have to be at least 85 to have actually experienced the former “National Service”, which varied much.
For example, one of my uncles served, on an easy and almost 9-5 basis, as a lecturer in the Army Education Corps; his son, my slightly-older cousin, not seen by me since 1970, became a lecturer at Oxford University and then senior lecturer (mainly American Literature, I think) at Edinburgh University; he has apparently also written a number of books on literature, published by Oxford University Press.
Meanwhile, another uncle, circa 1950, was some kind of accountant in the Pay Corps, based in places such as North Wales, as far as I know. Hardly thrilling. Other and less fortunate conscripts, though, found themselves fighting in swamps and mountains against people out to kill them. Korea, Malaya, Cyprus etc.
At any rate, that “National Service” idea alone has probably cost the Con Party a million General Election votes overall.
With everything so wrong in the country, Sunak goes with conscription as his Big Idea?! He really should have stayed in the world of corporate finance, juggling money.
I think that “Hilton” should go home to California, if that is where he now mainly lives, and stop trying to comment on a British society and political landscape which he no longer understands, if he ever did.
Al-Qassam launched about 10-12 long-range rockets, from Rafah, travelling 100-110km to hit Tel Aviv, after a hiatus of 4 months. The Iron dome failed to intercept the rockets, more than 8 direct impacts were made, causing material damage and the ignition of fire. pic.twitter.com/S8plXtmr1B
The importance of that is less in the limited material damage done, and more the fact that, despite the devastation of Gaza, despite the huge number of casualties (mostly civilian), despite the Israeli ground invasion, despite everything, the Hamas organization in Gaza remains able to fire rockets capable of penetrating the defences of Tel Aviv and causing at least some damage.
An Occupation Soldier in Palestinian Family’s Kitchen in Rafah, Joking About Sniffing Cocaine After Destroying their Home.
"The millions who backed Brexit & then Boris wanted a radical break from the status-quo. But what did they get? Two parties that are largely indistinguishable, that are both committed to the same big state, big debt, big tax, and mass immigration dreary consensus" https://t.co/fk0eRYATE2
The Labour Party cannot get through this campaign while remaining so vague and abstract on their plan for public spending cuts. Talking about teeny tiny gains from non-doms and private school fees won't cut it. Everybody knows this.#BBCLauraK
Au contraire, that is exactly what Starmer-Labour can do. Yes, they have no publicly-palatable plan, and secretly are planning to do a Cameron/Osborne Mark 2, but up to the 4th of July they will just rely on the hatred and contempt felt by the voters for Sunak’s hapless bunch of clowns.
Most people want rid of the “Conservatives”; the fact that Labour will also be terrible in government, maybe worse, scarcely impinges. Only 5 and a half weeks left before the General Election. Postal voting will be happening from about 3 weeks from now. Time is not on the side of Sunak and his party.
Goodwin makes the mistake of imagining that the general public is as interested in the minutiae of policy as he himself is.
Russia produces artillery shells about three times faster than Ukraine's western allies and 75% cheaper.
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 26, 2024
Not quite Die Fahne Hoch!, but an interesting straw in the wind, all the same…
Donald Trump:
I am determined to restore peace and stability and stop Joe Biden's march towards World War III. pic.twitter.com/T3ZayGnSgH
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 26, 2024
" Britain is in its worst financial position in 70 years"
Bloomberg quotes the director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) Johnson, who said that the next British government will face problems not seen since the 1950s and that politicians have three ways out of the… pic.twitter.com/5qZKpMAU7x
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 26, 2024
“Britain is in its worst financial position in 70 years” Bloomberg quotes the director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) Johnson, who said that the next British government will face problems not seen since the 1950s and that politicians have three ways out of the crisis: painful spending cuts, tax hikes to 80 maximum or significant increase in debt.”
“Labour”-label will probably continue to degrade public services, social security etc. The spending cuts of 2010-2015 began, or began to be planned, under Labour’s, Gordon Brown’s, government in the years prior to 2010.
Look at Rachel Reeves. Is she someone anyone at all would trust to be decent or “caring”? I think not.
Sky's @TrevorPTweets asks @Nigel_Farage if "the Reform platform for this election is every problem you face is down to immigrants and, in particular, to Muslims".
If the pensioner bloc believes Labour, that further weakens the Conservative Party ahead of the election.
A Termite line (top) and an Ant line (bottom), each protected by its column of soldiers who face each other without attacking.. pic.twitter.com/F8vfyAxNvB
Tory MP Andrew Rosindell on preventing MPs having a second job: “How can we possibly survive on £81,932 a year? What about our lifestyle” Poor little thing voted to remove the £20 UC uplift and to drop the pensioners triple lock.
— Simon Gosden. Esq. #fbpe 3.5% 🇪🇺🐟🇬🇧🏴☠️🦠💙 (@g_gosden) November 17, 2021
Kick away his (financial) stick. (actually, that clip is from 3 years ago).
“At the beginning of the MPs’ expenses scandal, in June 2009, The Daily Telegraph reported that Rosindell “claimed more than £125,000 in second home expenses for a flat in London, while designating his childhood home 17 miles away – where his mother lived – as his main address”, and between “2006 and 2008 claimed the maximum £400 a month for food”.[13] [Wikipedia].
Rosindell also blocked the Parliamentary bill that would have stopped animals being used in circuses. What a horrible person.
Sadly, Rosindell’s seat is Romford, Essex, a safe Con Party constituency.
I’m no card carrying member of the tin foil brigade but he has a point. Tories are blatantly trying to hand over power. Even reform uk seems convenient https://t.co/WmnnqGz35S
“This guy is blatantly trying to lose the election – it all fits: Prime Minister reveals radical plan to force 18-year-olds to serve in the military for 12 months – or give up weekends to carry out civil duties. The authoritarian arrogance of this is breathtaking enough and it’s what the Cult wants to impose eventually in an expanded form. But to announce it now is another ruse designed to open the way for his one-party-state fellow operative Starmer into Downing Street.”
Exactly. The NWO/ZOG wants Starmer-Labour to be “elected” (under a rigged system) and to become, thereby, an “elected” dictatorship: fake communitarian, pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby, pro-NWO/ZOG, pro the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan], pro-mass migration-invasion of the UK and the rest of Europe, pro-repression of free speech.
It's obvious. Even Bridgen said he wants out and doesn't want to be a "war time" PM. pic.twitter.com/lFhPcURZNy
— Decentralise Party (@DecentraliseP) May 26, 2024
Trevor Phillips, "You kicked of the campaign with Rishi Sunak in the rain.. Then you went to a brewery with a prime minister who doesn't drink.. Then a trip to the Titanic, the jokes write themselves.. Then a huddle with reporters when he's standing under an Exit sign"
“Thinking about why the Tories have called the election early despite clearly being in for a drubbing, I agree with @AMercouris of the Duran: the entire establishment is most worried not about Tory v Labour but about the possibility of alternative parties making gains, however small.
The more time that goes by, the more the voters realise how much they hate both the Tories and Labour. If these are the only choices, vast swathes of the people will simply stay away from the polls (as they stayed away from the recent local elections). But if there are alternative candidates from Reform and the Workers party, and those parties have the time to organise their campaigns while the war criminals continue to become ever more unpopular, there’s every chance they could win a few seats.
Even without winning seats, they could prevent Labour from getting its landslide by gaining vote shares in many constituencies that Labour hopes to take from the Tories.
Getting a stable Labour government installed on a low turnout seems to be the main aim of the ruling class right now. It’s been clear they’ve been grooming Starmer as the next PM for a long time. He’s 100% their man – a servile lackey who will commit any crime required and an ultra-zionist. And he has the huge advantage of trade union backing at a time when more and more anti-worker measures are going to be implemented and more aggressive wars launched.
A hung parliament would be a nightmare for this agenda, as would a parliament with anti-EU and/or antiwar troublemakers putting pressure on the ‘uniparty’ loyalists and exacerbating the crisis of legitimacy by making embarrassing demands from the back benches.
Anyone considering whether / how to vote should remember that this election has no ability to solve any of our problems, which stem from the capitalist system itself – from the global capitalist crisis of overproduction (and consequent poverty, unemployment and inflation) and from the desperate imperialist war drive.
The only useful thing you can do with your vote is use it to back Workers Party or independent candidates if they STAND AGAINST NATO, OPPOSE THE LABOUR PARTY, AND OPPOSE THE GENOCIDE IN GAZA.
If we can get a few anti-Nato, anti-genocide MPs in Parliament, it will be a major irritation to the establishment, and a permanent reminder to the British people that their will is ignored by the vast majority of their ‘elected representatives’. If we can help deny Labour the huge majority that the corporate media are confidently predicting, so much the better.”
I agree with the basic premise, but not with the conclusion there. If the Con Party can be all but wiped out this year, left with only a risible rump of deadhead MPs, that may unbalance the whole “2 main parties” System scam, leaving a vacuum that social nationalism may then fill, though not immediately (because no real social-national party exists).
These "people" are depraved. There are 0 redeeming qualities, no hope for reform. https://t.co/pmMBVHrAZw
‹‹ Alors que les avions israéliens bombardaient le centre de déplacement de Rafah, ils ont également commis un autre massacre dans le camp de réfugiés d'Al-Nuseirat, massacrant 9 Palestiniens, tous des femmes et des enfants pendant leur sommeil. ›› https://t.co/DFskAGUOhv
Palestinian Media: More than 50 people, all women and children, were burned to death in Israel's attack on the Rafah region. pic.twitter.com/5060dYLz1g
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 26, 2024
🔴Israel targeted the tent city in the Rafah region with 8 missiles. The area hit is the area where Palestinians were settled, which was previously declared a safe zone by the Israeli army pic.twitter.com/yMm0lsf780
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 26, 2024
“…If such authentic souls, such honest anthroposophists can be found … then an upward movement and dynamic will arise. If such souls do not appear, then decadence will take its inexorable downward course… Today humanity stands before a great crisis: either it will see all civilization collapsing into the abyss, or else spirituality will raise civilization up by the power of the Michael impetus, through which the Christ impetus works, thus continuing, enriching and sustaining it.‘” [Rudolf Steiner 1861-1925].
Five years or so ago, when I wrote the above blog post, I highlighted a number of possible events that might end, or almost end, our present civilization. A possible and possibly contrived pandemic was one, and one of the others was nuclear war.
Since 2019, the push, mainly in the West, for war, especially war with the Russian Federation, has become almost a clamour.
We look at, perhaps particularly, the First World War, and ask “why on Earth did they do it?“, it seems so senseless on looking back. Yet look now: a ridiculous contrived Russian ogre has been conjured into existence, supposedly threatening Central and Western Europe.
The fact that Russian forces have failed even to crush the corrupt and shambolic regime in Kiev seems not to have dented the “Russia threatens us” narrative. The Russians may have been unable to take or destroy Kiev, but they, we are told, now certainly threaten Warsaw, Berlin, Paris, and London.
There again, Russia today is merely and ordinarily nationalist; there is no inherently-expansionist Marxist-Leninist ideology, as there was during the currency of the Soviet Union.
The whole idea is senseless.
More and more powerful missiles and other arms are being given to the “Ukrainians” (the Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev). Only today, a Russian nuclear early-warning station was destroyed.
Be under no illusions: nuclear war on the strategic level might be triggered by only one incident, leading to an intercontinental nuclear exchange within days. Such an event or series of events has been foretold in major staff college war games over the past 60 years.
Were such a catastrophe to happen, the way back for our whole civilization would be long and hard, if it could even take place. Almost everything we know and live among would cease to exist. 99% of the world’s population, certainly Europe’s, would not survive.
Not really. One System party soon to be removed, but another (with basically similar ideology on major issues) replacing it.
Only social-nationalism can save what is left of Britain, but there is no social-national party of the slightest importance in existence.
There is only one good reason for Rishi Sunak to call a general election on July 4: on inflation, interest rates, Rwanda, party unity, the polls, everything, he’s been told now is as good as it ever gets for the Tories. That’s some stark realisation #GE2024
👀 Wow! Extraordinary but true – some furious Conservative MPs are tonight working on a plot to CALL OFF the general election by replacing Rishi Sunak as leader before Parliament is dissolved next Thursday. One rebel Tory MP tells me he believes “several” more letters of no…
— Christopher Hope📝 (@christopherhope) May 22, 2024
one of my greatest joys in life has been witnessing Paul Mason being rejected from the Labour Party’s selection for MP for multiple different constituencies
You are one of the reasons Brexit is such an epic fail. I wouldn’t employ you to clean toilets.
— Daniel Lambert (Wines). 🇪🇺🇫🇷🏴🍇🥂 (@DanielLambert29) May 22, 2024
Talking point
In 1956, as he introduced a CBS radio production of Brave New World, Aldous Huxley declared "The price of liberty, and even of common humanity, is eternal vigilance”
The most important moment of #ge2024 will probably be at 11am this morning; Reform’s press conference. If @Nigel_Farage stands the Tories will probably suffer a potentially existential defeat. If he doesn’t then they live to fight another day… pic.twitter.com/6RaOyGvvSq
Tim Montgomerie over-estimates the importance of Farage, as does Matt Goodwin (see Goodwin’s blog posts).
Farage had the chance to become a leading political figure in or around 2014-2019. His oratorical and mass media skills are considerable, and he also has at least some organizational skills. As a politician, however, he is nowhere as effective as he is usually painted.
Farage has let down too many people too many times. UKIP’s failure in 2015 was not the fault of Farage but of the rigged FPTP system of the UK. 12% of the votes should have meant about 70 Commons seats (under proportional representational voting) but (under FPTP) did not.
Later, Farage stabbed his own supporters in the back when he withdrew Brexit Party, pretty much, from the 2019 General Election, thus allowing a “Boris”-idiot win.
Now, Farage has decided to ignore the 2024 General Election, in order to concentrate on helping Trump in the USA!
Farage is “controlled opposition”, as were UKIP and Brexit Party; Reform UK is no different.
I have always said that Farage is —despite his admitted skills— not a very good politician. He himself has failed to be elected anywhere under FPTP, though he was repeatedly elected as an MEP, under the European Parliament’s proportional system: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_history_of_Nigel_Farage. He also came close to being elected in 2015 at South Thanet, but was beaten, by only a couple of points, by Craig Mackinlay, the pro-Brexit Con Party candidate.
Farage pulled back from the brink just at the moment when Brexit Party might have broken through the “three main parties” scam-bubble, in 2019, because he wanted to make sure that the Conservative Party won the GE. That is no real leader. Likewise, he is now running away to the USA because Reform UK looks like not getting anywhere very much (though Matt Goodwin seems to think otherwise).
Farage is, of course, not social-national. More a kind of pseudo-nationalist pseudo-“libertarian”. It was the failure to go social-national that —along with a grossly-unfair electoral system— sank UKIP, Brexit Party and, now, Reform UK (as seems likely to happen).
Farage, in my opinion, is now by no means as important politically as Montgomerie and Goodwin apparently believe.
Tim Montgomerie also over-estimates the Conservative Party. He says that, without Farage leading Reform UK, the misnamed Conservative Party will live to fight another day. Montgomerie underestimates, in my view, the contempt and hatred felt by very many for the Con Party now.
Yes, Sunak is finished, but where does that leave the Con Party? Led by some other non-European such as Suella Braverman or Kemi Badenoch? Puppets of the Jewish lobby and Israel.
Without a Conservative Party with any hope of getting into government for years, or ever, Farage is finished politically as well. After GE 2024, “Reform UK”, and certainly Farage, will be a sideshow of a sideshow.
I do not think that the presence or absence of Farage during GE 2024 will much affect Reform UK’s performance; maybe by a few points, and, yes, that will help the Con Party, but not much. A few points, a few seats.
Despite the very uninteresting and unwanted offering from fake Starmer-Labour, the primary wish of most people now is to give the “Conservatives” a massive kicking. Voting Labour will be the way to do that for most voters, voting LibDem in southern English constituencies may be another way, and voting Reform UK as a kind of “FU!” (to the Conservative Party) is yet another way to do that, without having to vote Labour.
Well, we shall know soon, by about the 5th of July.
NIGEL FARAGE YOU ARE A DISGRACE TO ENGLAND….YOU ALWAYS RUN WHEN YOU ARE NEEDED….YOU ABSOLUTE COWARD 😡https://t.co/AdVeUbOzIN
— paganheart9 🏴❤️🇬🇧 (@paganheart9) May 23, 2024
I disagree only as to the idea that Farage is “needed“. He is not needed.
These net migration figures are appalling. No doubt we will be lied to by both parties at this election – only @TiceRichard will tell the truth. https://t.co/Kr6woEZPJp
Folks apparently this👇Idiot has quite few followers not talking about Farage; Look give your views fine but shouting vile abuse at people in>streets for clicks? Come on🤷♂️🙄
Plus yesterday playing loud music to drown out a PM announcing a GE IDIOTIC👇🤷♂️pic.twitter.com/f8jyhpjaTI
reminder: Richard Tice & Nigel Farage told Brexit Party voters that Boris Johnson's deal was a betrayal so they were fielding 600 candidates, then U-turned a month before GE2019 to let the Tories run uncontested in 317. Rebranding as Reform UK won't change their lack of integrity pic.twitter.com/wnw4zehczV
One can only despise Reform UK. Controlled opposition. Pro-Israel. Pro-Jewish lobby. Pro-finance capitalism.
Having said that, and paradoxically, I hope that Reform UK does well at the General Election, thus helping to eliminate the treasonous “Conservative” Party, and helping thereby to collapse the present rigged “2-3 main parties” system as a whole, albeit at the cost of a Starmer-Labour “elected” dictatorship for a while.
Susanna Reid, "Darren McCaffery last night, Sky reporter, went to report on Rishi Sunak addressing the party faithful"
*show video of him being removed by security"
Susanna Reid, "Not a good look after Rishi Sunak standing outside Downing street in the pouring rain.. And then… pic.twitter.com/GUJAhtgC6K
— Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️⚧️ (@LeftieStats) May 23, 2024
Sem Moema is the favourite to replace Corbyn as Labour candidate for Islington North. Why are no journalists asking what she knew when about her close friend Tom Dewey, who was elected after being arrested for possessing hundreds of images of child abuse? https://t.co/5HGxcvybfY
Ha. Just read that profile. A typical “diversity hire” parasite.
I don't think there's much enthusiasm for either Labour or the Tories. I think lots of us are just utterly fed up with the state of politics and our country https://t.co/liUeIhMQHwpic.twitter.com/FuhBcV76KQ
Goodwin is, of course, correct here. Look at the “Conservative” dummy listening to him, though. Like a stunned fish.
Inflation might be falling but new net migration figures -just out- remain at historic high. 685,000 in 2023, after 764,000 in 2022. Mass migration continues.https://t.co/9RvL7jQbmt
A million, more or less, into the UK, every year. The “net” 685,000 are almost all non-Europeans. Once you factor in maybe 200,000+ (real) Brits leaving in the hope of a better life in New Zealand, Australia, Canada etc, that means that, more or less, 900,000 more non-whites are entering the UK and staying here, and breeding here, every single year.
What do you think that Britain will be like by 2034? Or 2044?
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) May 23, 2024
Is commonsense breaking out in the Berlin Chancellery? Or Realpolitik, which may in effect be the same, in this case.
US Senator Chris Van Hollen:
" In three weeks, approximately six times more children were killed in the Gaza Strip than the number of children killed in Ukraine during the entire war there " pic.twitter.com/pr8IAOvdbf
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) May 23, 2024
The President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, signed a decree on the procedure for compensating the damage caused to the Russian Federation and the Central Bank by the actions of the United States.
▪️The President authorized the use of US assets in Russia, including securities, for… pic.twitter.com/94fXye6Q5f
Mike Johnson, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, has threatened that the US will punish the Criminal Court in The Hague and its prosecutor if they file a lawsuit against Israel. pic.twitter.com/zqLWHBJurr
The US Government, and American society, were not always occupied and ruled by the Jewish/Israel lobby. It happened gradually, mainly after 1956 and Suez. Even in the 1960s, the (((occupation))) was not complete.
I should say that the level of penetration seen today happened largely just after the Ronald Reagan era. George Bush snr openly proclaimed the New World Order (NWO) in early 1990, signalling an end to the Cold War era as such, and also signalling the beginning of the 33-year (1989-2022) largely unchallenged rule of NWO/ZOG (New World Order/Zionist Occupation Government).
That period is now at an end, and we are in the next 33-year cycle (2022-2055), the last one I shall see in my present incarnation.
Leaving the history behind, it is clear that the US Government (i.e. NWO/ZOG) only accepts international law when it is convenient for the USA (actually, Israel, and the Jewish lobby, not the USA as such) to do so. The USA has been poisoned by the bandit state.
An elderly Palestinian man in Gaza, carrying empty gallons, searches tirelessly for potable water to sustain his displaced family amidst the ongoing Israeli war of starvation. pic.twitter.com/kgs1Pebk9A
It is very strange how the Israeli Jews seem to feel a compulsion to ape, not the Third Reich as such, but their own distorted image of the Third Reich, comprising only the most negative (supposed) parts of those 12 years in greater Germany (1933-1945).
I suppose it all comes from the upbringing and education (brainwashing) most if not all of them receive when young, then continuing throughout their lives.
An Israeli occupation sniper shot and killed 13-year-old Palestinian Malak Essam Al-Awadi as she stood in the courtyard of her home in Gaza. pic.twitter.com/NxJLJ1Yok9
— Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️⚧️ (@LeftieStats) May 23, 2024
I still think that the Con Party will end up with fewer than 50 seats. I originally thought between 50 and 150, but I just wonder what kind of person now thinks seriously of voting Con, as things stand. Labour may well be rubbish, and no doubt will fail dismally in government, but the bar for dismal has been set very low by the past 14 years of nonsense.
🇺🇸 Blinken urges the Biden administration to allow Ukraine to use US weapons for strikes against Russia, the NYT reports.
He proposed the initiative because of the Russian army's successes, particularly in Kharkov, the paper says. pic.twitter.com/II6V1V2fua
— The Great Investor (@TheGreatInvest2) May 23, 2024
Secretive cabals and ruling circles in the West are actively promoting nuclear war with Russia as some kind of acceptable possibility. All that enormous misery, death, and upheaval, which might destroy most life on Earth, all so that an unpleasant Jew-Zionist regime, the brutal, corrupt and shambolic dictatorship in Kiev, can save itself from being justly crushed? Mad, and evil.
A captivating video by @theoldbuilding captures the essence of the Petit Palais, an architectural gem nestled in the heart of Paris.
Originally constructed for the 1900 Exposition Universelle, it now serves as the City of Paris Museum of Fine Arts, housing an exquisite… pic.twitter.com/hT2WYdhv2x
Jew-Zionist hypocrite Myerson, whose recent evidence on oath as a witness on the losing side of a significant legal case [Wilson v. Mendelsohn, Newbon, and Cantor] was given little if any weight by a High Court judge, should be removed in short order as Recorder (p/t judge), and also disbarred, in my opinion.
Incidentally, Myerson belongs to the very organization that complained (via another Jew barrister, of whom I had previously never even heard) about me in 2014— “UK Lawyers for Israel” [“UKLFI”]; he also belongs to the malicious and conspiratorial “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [“CAA”], which was behind other contrived and malicious complaints against me, such as the one that resulted in my being put on trial in November 2023.
Raus!
Agreed. The Lord Chancellor and Lady Chief Justice must act to stop Myerson – who holds judicial office – constantly attacking a political leader who is Jewish because Myerson dislikes his views on Israel.
Myerson is undermining public confidence in judicial independence.
His flats in Southampton were covered again recently in the local press as tenants reported that he had raised their rent more than any of their neighbours’ landlords had raised rent. So he knows very well that rents are rising.
When I look at the MPs in the Westminster monkeyhouse, or at least 80%+ of them, what amazes me is the sheer patience (or is it lazy complacency?) of the British people.
At #PMQs I asked why @RishiSunak is allowing water companies to destroy our waterways & make obscene levels of profit whilst making people ill.
His response shows its not just our rivers, seas, and tap water that's full of 💩 pic.twitter.com/SQIhDNQOkz
Not very Parliamentary language, but truth is its own defence (or used to be…).
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I really am sick to death of all this #GeneralElection rumouring. Just call it. The present dysfunctional, dystopian farce which dares to describe itself as a government needs to be put out of its misery.
…and with all the Jewish persons involved, those students must have imagined themselves as extras in some sort of Hollywood film…
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The zionists will have reported it.
— Mark 🌹 Disabled as defined the Equality Act 2010 (@RacistToriesOUT) May 13, 2024
“They” love to “report” people, but if it happens to them, they recoil in horror, and from that moment become, yet again, “innocent victims”.
As to Mark Lewis, he is an appallingly bad (bad in more than one sense) lawyer. He should be struck off the solicitors’ roll.
Lewis was always a self-publicist first and foremost. The Jewish lobby so embedded in the “British” msm has always given him a free ride, publicizing any legal successes (mostly very easy wins, such as the “Jack Monroe” defamation suit against Katie Hopkins), but keeping silent about the many times when Lewis has failed.
As previously blogged, I (unlike the seemingly well-meaning James Wilson) have no sympathy for the Jew-Zionist defendants. One has committed suicide, the other two are now as good as bankrupt, with one apparently likely to lose his family house, unless (and here’s the rub) he sues Mark Lewis, and possibly/probably the firm of which Lewis is a partner, Patron Law, in professional negligence and/or otherwise.
To recycle Lewis’s own arrogant boast, but with a twist, “someone can be a fanatical Jew-Zionist twister and lawyer, but at least they can be a bankrupt and struck-off one“…
I agree with Goodwin. What Mackinlay is suffering and has suffered, I should not wish on (most of) my worst enemies. However, it is not wrong or in bad taste to note that, throughout his time as MP, Mackinlay has voted, consistently, in Parliament to reduce social security/”welfare” benefits, including those paid to the sick and disabled.
Mackinlay and his wife have high incomes, and many “perks” etc. Many sick and disabled people struggle by without such privilege. I wonder whether his recent experiences have in any way changed his outlook on the life-challenges facing less-affluent people in the UK?
Germany joins France and Norway. Netanyaxi will be arrested if he sets foot on German territory.
Germany “ of course ” will execute a potential ICC arrest warrant for Netanyax, a government spokesman said. pic.twitter.com/ugUPRFpOC9
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 22, 2024
Get him on the train!
Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the US House of Representatives McCaul called on the White House to allow Ukraine to strike with American weapons deep into Russian territory.
McCall brought with him a map of the potential reach of American GMLRS and ATACMS missiles pic.twitter.com/eJWY29PNga
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 22, 2024
Idiots like that may be digging their own irradiated graves.
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 22, 2024
Never give “them” power…
The State of Palestine is recognized by 143 countries around the world , but please note that Canada, Balthur Britain and the United States do not recognize this. pic.twitter.com/PFQoSCgf95
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 22, 2024
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 22, 2024
Russian President Vladimir Putin explained how Russia will fight against sanctions: "We will solve the most ambitious tasks" The effectiveness of Russian solutions and developments in the technological sphere will allow to overcome the restrictions imposed on Russia by hostile… pic.twitter.com/YhsQBz6iJ5
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 22, 2024