Even that averaged poll translates, according to my use of Electoral Calculus, into a House of Commons with 476 Labour MPs (overall majority 302), 62 LibDem, 60 Con, 20 SNP, 6 Reform UK, 4 Plaid, and 2 Green (etc).
One big reason why so many Brits are fed-up, why Nigel Farage is back, is because they know both Left & Right, both Labour & the Tories, are committed to the ongoing failure of mass immigration. My latest in @TheSunhttps://t.co/XFT1hZuj21
There are still large numbers of (arguably) “well-meaning” pro-mass-immigration idiots around. They are loud on Twitter/X, and on msm shows such as BBC Question Time. In the country as a whole, while I think that they are a minority, and possibly a smaller minority than was the case 5 years ago, there are still far too many of them.
We have to be clear. The level of immigration into the UK, effectively a migration-invasion, that we have been seeing (~1M a year), is not just a debating issue for the TV, radio, or at university moots; it is an existential danger for UK society. UK society stands in peril of complete collapse within a decade because of this.
It seems that one must repeat and repeat the valid points about pressure on every part of society caused by or made much worse by the invasion, because that pro-immigration minority, most MPs, most TV and radio talking heads, and most newspaper scribblers, are NOT LISTENING.
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Holy sh*t, Zelensky’s militants just kidnapped a father in broad daylight, leaving his wife and little baby alone in the street..
Yes, but literally millions of idiots and/or quasi-traitors are either unable to see that, or prefer not to see it. However, the real emergency around immigration is the total picture, not just the ~5% invading across the Channel.
Election in Birkenhead set to be closest result in generations
On the doorstep, residents are increasingly saying they will be backing Jo Bird as the candidate who will best represent Birkenhead in parliament. Many are aware that Greens already out score Labour in local… pic.twitter.com/X1a71F3PE2
Voters are increasingly dissatisfied with the System parties. A large part of that is not purely ideological but actuated by the ever-lower living standards and conditions of employment, housing and general life-expectation.
As the millions of migrant-invaders flow in, the situation can only intensify, along with the frustration and dissatisfaction of the UK masses, leading eventually to an overthrow of the entire system in this country.
What is so disgusting about the “Boris” Johnson pseudo-“upper crust” “cosplay” is that the bastard is not even really British. Part-Jew (one of his ancestors was an Orthodox Jewish rabbi in Lithuania), and brought up mainly in the USA and Belgium, with a gloss of Englishness via Eton and Oxford (where his nationality was recorded as having been “American”). Cameron-Levita is a more-polished version of the same, really.
The last actually/really British Prime Minister was Gordon Brown (if you leave out the moronic 49-day careerist “Prime Minister”, Liz Truss).
NEW POST. Something IS happening out there in the country. They laughed at my poll — they're NOT laughing now.https://t.co/qPd1F5CLH9
The so-called “expert commentators”— the Tim Montgomeries, the Ayesha Hazarikas, the Beth Rigbys… when have they been right about anything?
I saw a few minutes of Montgomerie on Sky News yesterday, all emotional because of the distress being suffered by people who have been Conservative MPs for years and who are now candidates, and the distress and anxiety suffered by their families now that the Cons look set to be all but wiped out. “These are people“, cried Montgomerie.
Ha ha! Watch me laugh as some at least of those System political swine and profiteers suffer a tiny bit of the anxiety and distress suffered over the past 14+ years by the sick, disabled, poor, homeless, unemployed etc, while those bastards voted time and again to bully and oppress —and repress— the real people suffering in this country. I want the “Conservative” careerists to suffer personally. I want them to have to chase jobs with no result. I want them to worry every day about whether they can feed themselves and their families. I want them to lose their homes and status symbols. I want them to suffer.
I think that a very large proportion of the country is with me on this.
Here are YOUR PUBLIC SERVICES that 5 Prime Ministers have stolen in the past 14 years
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 21, 2024
Mariupol on the Sea of Azov, before the present war the 10th largest city of Ukraine, and which was heavily damaged in the fighting a couple of years ago.
Looks like Russia is making a good start, at the very least, in reconstructing the city.
I was looking up some TV composers on Wikipedia, IMDB, and YouTube, and happened to see the ad below, a 1982 TV ad for breakfast cereal. People in the UK still remember it, though the music was also used for other ads featuring the same product, Bran Flakes.
I knew the actress featured, a lady called Fran, when I was in my mid-twenties, in the early 1980s. She was South African, 30-35, very lively, and whose father was at the time a director of the South African subsidiary of British Oxygen. I recall being told by a mutual friend that he would complain that he had paid out large amounts to keep Fran at the Royal Academy of Dramatic Art (RADA) in London. Her friends there apparently thought (perhaps not entirely wrongly) that her father was “some kind of millionaire“, when they saw her large rented flat and absence of financial struggle; many of them were in cramped bedsits.
Fran’s father’s complaint was not so much that he had paid out for her to attend RADA as a foreign student for —I think— 4 years, but more that, notwithstanding her desire to become a classical actress appearing in Shakespeare etc, she had had few roles offered to her once she graduated, possibly because she spoke with a mixture of South African, Australian and English accent(s).
The “Tasty Tasty” ad was the only fairly well-paid role —so to speak— she was ever offered, as far as I know, though I believe that she did appear in a couple of plays somewhere or other. The ad paid a flat fee of £5,000 (in 1982; you could probably multiply the value today by 5x if not more, so at least £25,000 in today’s money).
Bran Flakes put out about half a dozen other ads using the same jingle during the 1980s, but Fran was only in that one, which was filmed, if memory serves, in Sydney.
Fran never lost her accent, which was somewhere between her native South African speech and that of her husband, an Australian who had come to London seeking stardom as a singer, but who also fell short, eventually becoming an entertainer on cruise ships (I think P&O, mainly).
I found Fran easy to talk to, her husband less so somehow, though I only encountered them together once, I think. They tended to live rather separate lives much of the time, encountering each other at intervals, in the manner of comets or planets or whatever. He was on the cruise ships much of the time.
I think that they stayed married mainly for two reasons: they had a nice little boy, Sam, about 4 when I knew him. A lady I knew, and who had known the husband when he was a student who rented an attic room from her, sometimes babysat Sam when the parents wanted an evening out. At the time, they rented a flat in Hampstead. Later, I believe, they moved to a cottage in Surrey, or maybe Sussex.
The little boy seemed to like me when I called in at times during the babysitting. He loved the older lady babysitter more, though, because she let him stay up with her as long as he liked, watching TV with her. That older lady often told me about how she had, many times, in years past, had to shield the husband, David, from girls insistently calling and wanting to speak to him.
The other reason the couple stayed married was apparently financial. Both sets of parents had opposed the marriage for religious reasons. One set (I think the Australian) was Roman Catholic, the other some kind of Protestant. Or vice-versa. Both sets were strongly anti-divorce. Both sets were financially loaded and made it clear that “no divorce, or no inheritance“…
On the couple of occasions when our paths crossed, I found the husband of that couple rather melancholic, something not unknown in the world of entertainment, as I understand. As for Fran, I think she found it hard to find a place (in life) in the UK. She said (very truly) “In London, stick your nose out of the door and £15 is gone!” (make that £50 or £75 in the London of 2024). I remember that she enjoyed a day out we had at Ascot, and her humour that day. My parents were there, and liked her.
I heard this and that about the couple over the years (including a couple of amusing but unkind anecdotes better not included here), but the last time I saw Fran was at Raoul’s Cafe in Little Venice, along with the other lady mentioned here. Fran and her husband were now living in the Caribbean, on Grand Cayman. That must have been around 1994.
As I get older (67 now), I find that my inherent tendency to look back is intensified. I have always taken an interest in how people develop and live through their lives, and the relation of that to society and its structure.
I wonder what happened to that couple in the end. The husband must be in his mid-seventies, at least; as for Fran, maybe early to mid-seventies. Even the little boy, Sam, must now be about 44 or 45. Good grief.
Tweets seen
I’m from Clacton. The Reform vote is by no means led by a ‘single generation’. 18-34 yr olds will vote for Reform in the same manner
Your politics does well in the student towns and the metropolitan cities. Outside of that, traditional politics is about to see quite the shake up
— Ben Rockell, ACSI (@BenjaminRockell) June 20, 2024
I see so many tweets from the usual “antifascist, no racism, Ukraine, FBPE, refugees welcome and bring millions of your tribesmen with you” idiots, mostly calling for people in Clacton to vote for anyone but Farage, and for voters all over the UK to not vote Reform UK.
Rarely, in fact never, do I see any of those Twitter/X idiots attempt to square the circle of a million immigrants per year coming in, yet only 200,000 dwelling units completed in 2023. Or how to keep paying liveable pay when the potential labour force pool increases steadily while productivity drops. Or how to maintain State benefits and/or State pensions when a million persons a year, who have never paid in anything, become “entitled” to receive the benefits and pensions. Or how to subsidize that million extra individuals every year, when the vast majority of them are not only not employed but often completely unemployable.
All the aforesaid idiots do is demand by tweet that “the Government” builds more and more houses for the immigrants, pays them more and more from State coffers, and so on. Complete unreality.
In Clacton, Farage is now firm favourite to win. In his place, I should “double and triple the guard“, after what has already happened. He has become such a hate figure for some that I do not rule out some sort of assassination attempt by pro-immigration loonies.
"Born after Tony Blair took power in 1997, most of my right-leaning Zoomer friends and I have simply never lived in a Britain with a social order we think is worth preserving"https://t.co/QgmeqpQirE
— Somebody That Use To Know (@tottenham8429) June 20, 2024
Typical msm “commentator”/”journalist” scribbler and talking head. Clueless.
Yesterday, Sam Coates on Sky News expressed the view that Nigel Farage might be elected in Scotland! Slip of the tongue, yes, but Coates just carried on without having corrected himself.
Absolutely gutted that last night was my first chance to join an official hustings, and I was denied entry by the organisers, the @BoardofDeputies .
Totally deflated by the experience. Attached is a video of the event and what happened at the door when I was denied entrance.… pic.twitter.com/Y66yhz9fby
Take a look at the video clip. Hustings organized by the Jewish lobby establishment, and guarded by Jew-Zionist thugs on the door. The sole anti-Zionist candidate not allowed to enter.
Looks as if my bold —some say rash— prediction of as few as 50 Con MPs after 4 July 2024 might yet come true.
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[East Berlin, 1970s. Looks rather like Victorian parts of London that I recall, such as the area by Ladywell Station in South -East London, especially were you to replace the Volga (car) by something more likely]
Life is more usually grey than black and white and, after all, there were few places more grey than the DDR (East Germany)…
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An…eclectic collection of flags on display in this Chinley home. I assume they wish to display their support for both the Palestinian cause and that of the Houthi. But, being clueless, they’re actually flying the flag of the Yemeni government who are fighting the Houthi… pic.twitter.com/vz00CiD3NL
Jewish-lobby puppet Largan treating one or more of his constituents with contempt. The little bastard has no place as MP anywhere, and least of all for the High Peak constituency. He was born and brought up in the southwest of the Manchester area, and until elected, narrowly, for High Peak, was an accountant working for Marks & Spencer in London.
Whatever one may think of the flags, Largan is supposed to be asking for the votes of all eligible voters, not treating those who are anti-Israel with contempt.
He’s toast. After 4 July, Largan will not even be a footnote, politically. Ordinary employment beckons…
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[“Moscow Windows“]
[Gorky Street, Moscow, 1950s]
Late tweets seen
WOW. Across ALL of the latest polls the average for Nigel Farage & Reform is now 19%
A long-established party gets increasingly out of touch with the population in general, and there is institutional inertia (in the UK, the FPTP voting system, and ingrained popular “small-c conservatism”; in the DDR/East Germany, the repressive organs of the State (the Volkspolizei, the so-called “Stasi”, the “Aufklarung” etc) and absence of any but rigged voting.
However, that inertia is only effective up to a point, the point at which the situation gets to the tipping-point. The established power-party then collapses.
Where is the PM? Why isn’t he on the airwaves, speaking for all of us who couldn’t be angrier at these idiotic, venal punters who’ve disgraced themselves and the party? >>> Me on @TimesRadio earlier >>> https://t.co/hMyLZ9B088
Montgomerie seems surprised that the very centre of Conservative Party misgovernment contains people (“special adviser” “SpAd” idiot-careerists, MPs, even policemen guarding 10 Downing Street) willing to sell their professionalism and even basic integrity and honour for a few hundred quid.
I heard similar stories about Moscow in the 1980s, when I was in a sense on the periphery of events there (though I never actually visited until 1993, after the Soviet Union had collapsed), and heard a lot from people who visited the Soviet Union, or had relocated to the UK. Policemen openly soliciting bribes, diplomats dealing in smuggled Western consumer goods, corruption in marking exams, you name it.
Symptomatic of a corrupt and collapsing system sliding into the mire.
Montgomerie has been pushing out “Conservative” scheiss for (?) 15 years, but he has always been able to at least pose as an upstanding and principled Conservative. Now? He has no choice, psychologically, but to turn against his own party, or lose all ideological integrity.
He seems to have belatedly woken up to the fact that the little Indian money-juggler neither looks like, nor behaves like, nor speaks like, nor thinks like a prime minister, a fact repeatedly noted on this blog.
👀 Unusual burst of bets preceded Rishi Sunak’s election announcement…
Analysis of Betfair Exchange data by @ft shows several thousand pounds wagered on the day before Sunak called snap election on May 22, when the odds implied a less than 25% chance of a July poll… pic.twitter.com/3ngnzUURDS
The Tory party has been a machine for shovelling money, most of it public funds, into the pockets of its mates for years now but well done for noticing that with two weeks to go.
This may be a “conspiracy theory” take, but there is something almost (?) orchestrated about the implosion of the Conservative campaign. Do the ruling circles and secret cabals want as bad a result as possible for the Conservatives, so that Keir Starmer, someone without any real ideology, and who is a puppet for NWO/ZOG, can impose a pseudo-democratic tyranny over the next 5 years and beyond? Open question.
I don’t think “incredibly angry” cuts it. Nor does it need an elaborate investigation. You call the relevant people in. You ask if they betted on the election date as described. If they say yes, the response is simple: you’re fired. End of. https://t.co/QywcJhIIMz
Sunak’s “incredible anger” is about as convincing as the spoiled little girl of literature who threatens to “scream and scream until she is sick”. Entirely unconvincing.
The little Indian money-juggler seems to think that, after 4 July 2024, there will still be a Conservative Party out of which the corrupt defaulters can be “booted”. Sunak should read the (national) room. He’s toast. His party is toast. His candidates are almost all toast. Sunak himself will be “booted” out of both government and party in about 2 weeks.
Russia announced that it will give a reward of 1 million dollars and citizenship to Ukrainian pilots who will bring F-16s to their territory safely. pic.twitter.com/gWxKS3J4zL
Thousands of Israelis are gathering outside Prime Minister Netanyahu's mansion, demanding his resignation for opposing a ceasefire that could allow a swap deal with the Gaza resistance. pic.twitter.com/k8DUNLJmwr
— Tommy Robinson 🇬🇧 (@TRobinsonNewEra) June 18, 2024
600 in a day. Not counting those who sneak in on the backs of lorries etc. Not including the 3,000+ that entered superficially “legally”, on the same day (as “family members”, “students”, “fiances”, “fiancees”, those on fraudulently-obtained work visas etc, or as asylum seekers approved from outside the UK).
You still see pseudo-liberal idiots saying or tweeting that immigration is not a high priority in the UK’s list of problems to be dealt with. Think again. Immigration on this scale impacts everything, either immediately or later, and for endless years to come.
About a million a year, maybe more, and if some say it is “only” half a million “net”, does that really make much difference? So either 10 million in the next 20 years, or 20 million in the same time-period…
Goodbye Britain as anything other than a dystopian hellhole if that happens, i.e. if a real British Government does not stop it.
Over 600 young men have come into Dover already today.
NIGEL EMPHASISING THAT BENEFITS ARE FOR BRITISH PEOPLE WHO HAVE FALLEN ON HARD TIMES. ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS SHOULD GET NOTHING UNTIL THEYVE WORKED AND PAID TAX FOR 5 YEARS!pic.twitter.com/ore2PRurAi
— Vote Reform Party 2024 (@ActionBrexit) June 17, 2024
For better or worse I’ve just used my postal vote to vote reform. No going back now, i hope millions more join me in trying to reform Britains political system. Good look everyone 🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/7PniEVSmla
How many LibLabCon politicians could attract a crowd a twentieth as large? A crowd composed of ordinary local voters, by the way.
If you look at Twitter/X, as always very very unrepresentative, you will see people lauding the unemployed 25-y-o African “eternal student” who is the Labour Party’s bizarre choice of candidate. Frankly, that useless creature will be lucky to save his deposit; he will certainly not get more than 15% of the vote. This is between Reform UK and the Conservative Party whose candidate is invisible.
As a social-national blogger and thinker, I should prefer there to be a social-national party that I could support, even if a party not led by me. However, there is no such party in the UK at present.
In realistic terms, all that can be done at GE 2024 is to destroy one half of the main System binary, i.e. the Conservative Party, and to move the “Overton Window”, so that there is space into which social-national ideas and, then, a movement, can flow.
The best chance at present is that the “controlled opposition” Reform UK does well enough to destroy the Conservative Party, even if at the cost of a Labour “elected” (by default) dictatorship for a while.
Ideologically, I do not always have time for pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby Katie Hopkins, but it has to be admitted that she is something else…Tough does not start to cover it.
Witnessing the collapse of the phoney UKRAINE narrative through popular culture. If you have a frigging Ukraine flag in your profile – for Gods sake change it now. pic.twitter.com/fUJ6jsNHZr
Exactly. The NWO/ZOG System wants Israel-puppet Starmer as “elected” dictator. He will clamp down even more on (real) free speech (as practised on this blog), he will flood the UK with even more non-Europeans, and he will be more finance-capital friendly even than Blair, Brown, Cameron-Levita etc.
Starmer’s expected enormous Commons majority will enable the installation of a kind of “woke” tyranny. It is then that the British people will have to go beyond the usual kinds of “acceptable” opposition.
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Find this attitude enraging.
Here, Sunak equates being rich with hard work. Of COURSE a great work ethic/drive can achieve success. I admire those traits too.
BUT millions of people work their absolute tits off for very little and can’t manage.
Sunak, saying that he “has been fortunate” in his life…Married, of course, to the richest Indian in India.
Sunak always reminds me of some of the contestants on shows such as The Chase, people that make me think, “you are so ******* ignorant; why are you even on a quiz show in the first place? You could not buy a correct answer“…
Sunak is a bit like that when he tries to show that he has what it takes to be Prime Minister of the UK. He plainly does not have what it takes. The little Indian money-juggler neither looks, nor thinks, nor behaves, nor speaks like a prime minister.
🚨NEW POLLING: at least a THIRD of voters in almost every constituency (apart from 11) say they would vote tactically to change the government.
In 234 seats (including in Rishi Sunak's!) this jumps to 40%!
Sunak says he will cut legal migration by Half but parliament will have the final say , so there will be no cuts in legal migration! He's a lying bastard !
I happened to see a Sky News report this morning. 900 migrant-invaders have already been landed at Dover today, ferried in by the “Border Force” (border farce). All in identical orange lifejackets, all on a very large Border Force vessel, delivering them at a fast rate of knots to our shores.
900 in one single day (so far).
This is a conspiracy, the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan, being carried on in plain sight, right under the noses of the public and the msm. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.
Interesting how Sunak is able to amass a fortune for himself but turned the U.K. into the begging bowl of Europe pic.twitter.com/DXjJ9JOUf9
The good people of Clacton could also pop up to Smethwick in 2024, & view the shameful destruction of its communities & subsequent deprivation for themselves.
The Conservative Party candidate in the famous Smethwick by-election had a poster saying “if you want a n****r for a neighbour, vote Labour“. 60 years on, it turns out that the second part of the sentence should have read “…vote Labour, Conservative, LibDem, or Green“.
"Saving Britain, arresting it’s steady decline to a third world country riven with crime, poverty & porous borders will require each & every assumption of the postwar social democratic order to be challenged. Zoomers get this. The Tory elite class do not"https://t.co/QgmeqpQirE
Despite the @RTErdogan rhetoric, #Türkiye remains part of the satanic zionist pedophile cabal.@HakanFidan continues to use zionist locution of "rules based order" wherever he goes.
According to my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], that would mean a House of Commons with 444 Labour MPs (overall majority 238), LibDems 65, Reform UK 50, Cons 45, SNP 20, Plaid Cymru 4, Greens 2 (etc).
If that were to come to pass, absolutely stunning. It would mean pretty much the end of the Conservative Party, certainly the end of it as a (let alone the) natural or default party of government.
For one thing, most of those wanting selection as Conservative candidates, and MPs, are careerists. Few will be attracted by a party that has only 45 MPs.
Donors are already withdrawing from the Conservative Party. Large donors usually want, at very least, influence in return for their money. A party which has only 45 MPs and is not the governing party, not the official Opposition, but only 4th in the Commons, has little to offer, little to sell.
If Reform UK really did break through to the extent indicated, the “Overton Window” will have been not only moved but blasted aside.
Social nationalism might then really start to take off. Exciting.
The Guardian's spinster fetishism, where getting shitfaced on rosé and pumped by a waiter is made to sound as fulfilling as raising children, is communist propaganda designed to weaken the strength of family, community and culture in the West. Judging by the preponderance of… pic.twitter.com/hnKjGN31Ni
— Leo Kearse – on YouTube & Saturday Night Showdown (@LeoKearse) June 11, 2024
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
— Leo Kearse – on YouTube & Saturday Night Showdown (@LeoKearse) June 11, 2024
Just one symptom of a sick society. The sort of people who take Eddie Izzard seriously (politically or otherwise…and probably call him “her”) are the same sort that would love that fake “Labour” unemployed African freeloader to win the election at Clacton.
The 7 seats that Reform UK could win, according to Survation:
🟣 North West Norfolk (34.5%) 🟣 Great Yarmouth (33.8%) 🟣 Mid Leicestershire (31.4%) 🟣 Ashfield (31.1%) 🟣 Clacton (30.7%) 🟣 Exmouth and Exeter East (28.5%) 🟣 South Suffolk (26.2%) pic.twitter.com/jc4OlmZ4a4
'SPEECHLESS': A data reporter at the network explained how he's "never seen anything like this" as Trump's support from Black Americans rises in the polls. https://t.co/Tba1Ru7cgFpic.twitter.com/iI52jvf02V
On the one hand this seems crazy… On the other, you genuinely wonder who in their right mind would vote Tory after what they've done to our country? https://t.co/L315fET5hT
I am not usually a Champagne drinker but…maybe a half-bottle of vintage on 5 July.
I would not be drinking to Labour’s victory but to the Con Party’s downfall, and especially to the downfall of any of their MPs who will hopefully suffer personally at least slightly as much as those victimized by them over the past 14 years.
Vote Tory, save the Dodo from extinction. Nah, only joking – let them pass into the history books where they belong.
The British vote Tory to get taxes down, criminals jailed, immigration cut, and the economy growing. Having failed on all four, I doubt offering “War with China” is going to bring them back around. https://t.co/ClEL7c3229
Why do we have to prop Ukraine up? half of their population went to western countries like America and Canada and receive handouts. If they love Ukraine so much they should be in Ukraine fighting for their country and not sponging off us.
Laura Trott. Complete idiot. Idiots like that pretend to know how to rule over us, they pretend to know…things; they also have a completely misconceived sense of entitlement. Kick them into the political gutter.
Ha ha! “…I won’t be intimidated…!“, tweets Israel-lobby puppet Largan, as he runs away…
He must be looking for a new job, or getting back his old one at Marks & Spencer. His chance of re-election is very small. Nasty little man.
Another one to be binned politically in 2 weeks’ time.
Tomorrow morning I'm pleased to be publishing another column from Anonymous Zoomer on the dire state of Britain (get it https://t.co/liUeIhMiRY) . Here was their first piece which rocketed into our top five of all timehttps://t.co/AKx0za7uEL
Laura Farris. Another “Conservative” Party idiot. Sadly, in a (formerly, at least) very safe seat. The only way to get rid of her politically on 4 July will be tactical voting. The only obviously likely party would be the LibDems, though Reform UK is standing in Newbury, and is an unknown quantity.
In 2019, Laura Farris scored 57.4% (LibDems 30.6%).
In 2015, UKIP scored over 10% here.
In my opinion, it is not impossible to see Reform UK getting 15% or even more, and the Con vote reducing to about 40%, maybe even 35%. In those circumstances, it is at least possible to see the LibDems getting 35% (or even more, if aided by tactical voting; they scored 35.5% in 2010) and so pulling off rather a coup.
According to my use of Electoral Calculus, that would give Labour 512 MPs (overall majority 374), LibDems 58, Cons 31, SNP 20, Reform UK 4, Plaid Cymru 4, Greens 2 (etc).
So, on that basis, a Labour “elected” dictatorship, LibDems as official Opposition, Cons facing the end of the road, and the SNP pretty washed-up. Also, Farage with a very small but significant bloc of MPs, likely to punch above their weight in public relations terms.
Incidentally, were the Cons to fall to 17% from 18%, their MP numbers would fall from 31 to only 21. FPTP is a harsh system.
Well, this week I return to winning form: 8/10, compared to the 6/10 scored by political journalist John Rentoul. I did not know the answers to questions 7 and 10.
Tweets seen
Reform UK have proposed requiring businesses to pay a higher rate of NI for foreign workers than British ones. Britons would back such a move by 41% to 30%https://t.co/1cDP3MxAF2pic.twitter.com/HOEh8Y1GDe
Cameron-Levita in his usual bubble of total unreality. The idiot who brought us the war on Gaddafi (result— millions of Africans flooding Europe), fake “austerity” (result— misery for millions, as well as lower economic growth than anywhere in the then EU, USA etc), and other misconceived policy choices, most recently the increased support for the brutal and shambolic dictatorship of Zelensky in Kiev.
Not only is it infuriating that a 95 year-old woman would be in jail for her words, not crimes, but the fact that she is speaking truth makes it even more absurd
Who has the 'whip hand' in this interaction? Or in all such interactions? Who does the state support more? Who would the police interject to defend first? Who does the organisation the interviewer represents themselves represent?
The pendulum may start to swing back now that pine martens are being reintroduced in several parts of the country; pine martens prey on grey squirrels but not (much) on red squirrels.
The Tories are unlikely to attract many Reform UK voters given…
– Only 36% would vote Tory if a Reform UK candidate wasn't standing – 61% are voting Reform despite thinking they won't win in their seat – 75% say the Tories and Labour are as bad as each other – 74-76%… pic.twitter.com/P7UpQvMAfJ
Desperate. I had not heard of that MP. Looks a bit of a careerist; tried to become a Police and Crime Commissioner at one point (came third in the election): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robbie_Moore_(MP).
I cannot think that those attempts at confusing the voters (of High Peak and also Keighley) will work. After all, most people vote according to party label, so when the voter is faced with a ballot paper, the “X” is placed by the party more than the candidate’s name.
Biden wanders offstage or walks like a geriatric robot. Yet we are meant to believe he’s carefully navigating us through the nuclear tripwires of the West’s serial wars.
Meanwhile, back in the real world… There are dozens of similar clips of Biden, far more embarrassing than this one. I included this photo and video because it's the most recent example and because the parachute strings work as a visual metaphor for my argument.
Just because Biden's dementia is obvious why do you assume the person is a Trump supporter? Maybe you should ask the DNC why they are running a dementia patient with an approval rating at an all time low? Biden will not win again. I suggest getting behind Jill Stein 👍🏽
— Casa ChiChi 🆓 🦀 #M4A 🚑 (@CasaChichi) June 15, 2024
Clacton
He’s a racist who said he likes to drink white men’s tears and believe Wakanda to be a real place. He’s a clown and Farage will wipe the floor with him.#votereform@reformparty_ukhttps://t.co/CGTXCU53cr
Labour has no chance at Clacton, a famously “left behind” and white British area. To choose an African “eternal student” as candidate is almost insulting to the voters there. Moreover, one whose social media posts make clear his hostility to the real people of the UK.
Despite Labour’s overall “popularity by default” in the nationwide campaign, I should not be surprised if its vote-share at Clacton were to dip below 10%.
The frightening thing is not that such a candidate is standing in Clacton, where Labour has little or no chance; it is that, across the country, similarly-hostile individuals are likely to be elected next month for Labour. God help the poor English people of these islands.
Labour’s candidate for Clacton, standing against @Nigel_Farage, has said:
White man tears are his “favourite drink”.
The people of Clacton surely won’t vote for someone who clearly has a problem with white men? pic.twitter.com/HbRILpgHaN
Not quite what I want to see: too many Con MPs. A couple of unexpected wrinkles too, such as Reform UK with 7 seats, and the SNP with 37, more than twice the number predicted elsewhere.
While the Con Party is toast pretty much whatever happens between now and 4 July, in some respects the General Election is quite open. A substantial minority are either undecided as to for which party they might vote, or are undecided as to whether to bother to vote at all.
That may mean a better than expected Con Party performance, a better than expected Labour (or even LibDem) performance but, most intriguingly, perhaps an even better than expected Reform UK vote, either as a targeted anti-Con vote, as a serious “I am dissatisfied” protest vote, or an angry “F.U., System parties!” vote.
The election is shaping up to be both interesting and important, perhaps even historic.
Our latest MRP shows the Conservatives are in deep trouble in their heartlands. They are set to hold on to just 13 out of 52 seats in the Blue Wall. Across these seats their vote share is down by an average of 23%. pic.twitter.com/Uog1OsAUko
Been a mad few days in the rain and the sun, but our signs are coming together. Thanks so much if you’ve let us put one on your fence. Any problems please do get in touch. I’m sorry they have my face in them. They’ll all be gone in a couple of weeks! pic.twitter.com/bDmOep9qjR
— Rt Hon Johnny Mercer (@JohnnyMercerUK) June 14, 2024
So will you, probably!
As people, from what I have seen online etc, ex-officer Mercer and his lady wife seem like a pleasant couple, but we are talking serious politics here.
Mercer has increased his majority steadily and considerably since first elected in 2015, but the general unpopularity of his party, his poor performance as a minister, and his personal moneygrasping would seem to leave him exposed. Also, Reform UK may well eat into his 2019 vote. Well, we shall soon know.
[Hitler enters Vienna in 1938, after the Anschluss, and to general acclamation]
Tweets seen
"Terms like 'far-right' are now being stretched by liberal progressives to try and silence, stigmatise and shut down voters who question the established consensus among elites. Many voters can now see this"https://t.co/dmSQkhk9mG
By my use of Electoral Calculus, that might translate to Lab 476 Commons seats (overall majority 302), Con 68 (official Opposition), LibDems 62, SNP 13, Reform UK 4, Plaid Cymru 4, Greens 2 (Northern Ireland 18, Others 3).
What kind of “democracy” is it, though, when a party (Labour) might get 39% of the popular vote, yet get about 72% of the seats in the House of Commons (476 seats)? A strict 39% of seats would be 253 seats.
Another party (Conservatives) might get 19% of the popular vote, meaning, on strict mathematical equivalence, about 124 seats, not the mere 68 conferred by FPTP voting.
As for Reform UK, its present or forecast 17% should confer (under proportional voting) about 111 seats. The forecast under FPTP voting— a mere 4.
There again, the LibDems, with only 10% of the popular vote, are forecast to have 62 seats, almost the same as under a strict proportional allocation (65).
Can such an electoral system even be called “democratic”? Open question.
The DDR was a strange little country, in which I spent a couple of days in 1988; actually, not quite as small a country as commonly imagined: about 42,000 sq. miles, as against England’s 51,000, but with an overall density of population about a third of England’s (the UK as a whole has about 94,000 sq. miles).
Thérèse Coffey's constituency is on a knife edge. Lib Dems, lend your votes to Labour and a grateful nation will thank you. This needs to be reciprocated by Labour up and down the country. This is a generational opportunity to crush the Tories once and for all.#politicslivepic.twitter.com/yuNfo47v8l
— paulusthewoodgnome 🇺🇦💙 (@woodgnomology) June 12, 2024
Interesting both in itself and re. the tactical voting point.
“Two men have been jailed for a total of 67 years for shooting and stabbing to death an 18-year-old in east London.
Awadh Saleh and Rio Burton-Devine, both aged 25 from east London, were found guilty of the murder of Abubakar ‘Junior’ Jah, 18, at the Old Bailey today.
Judge Mark Dennis KC sentenced the pair to 36 years and 31 years respectively for the ‘brutal and cowardly’ attack in 2021.”
[defendant]
What will London be like in 2034 or 2044?
The System parties have no real answers.
Late tweets
This seems like a bit of a tipping point / watershed moment. My gut tells me that a decent proportion of Tory voters were waiting on this moment – using it as a test to see if Reform really could be considered a legitimate political force.
By my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], that actually puts the Cons in a marginally better position than other recent polls, by reason of the slip in Labour’s position, but it still means Lab 466 (overall majority 282), Con 70, LibDem 70, Reform UK 4, Greens 2.
Were Labour to recover to 40%, the number of Con MPs would reduce to 51; were Labour to rise to 41%, the number of Con MPs would be a mere 42.
https://t.co/ImFdML1ebM Nigel Farage’s Reform party has overtaken Conservatives in a poll for 1st time. Tories were pushed into third in the survey, by pollsters YouGov.The findings will come as a blow to Rishi Sunak after a disastrous election campaign & risks triggering panic
— ML ie @randlight which has been deactivated why ? (@LightfootMarg) June 13, 2024
ITV Debate tonight – When questioned by Reform UK's Nigel Farage on why should the public trust the Conservatives on immigration, Tory Penny Mordaunt calls on the recent Prime minister's record to defend her – the Tories are a joke!#itvdebate#VoteReform#NigelFaragepic.twitter.com/DdEiD5IEPk
Penny Mordaunt is campaigning not so much for the Conservative Party as for her own political career (in fact, her career full stop, for she has no other). It seems 50-50, at best, that she will be re-elected anyway.
Labour is as dull as ditchwater, as witness its pathetic Manifesto for the General Election, but I do not think that it much matters now. The main aim of 80%+, maybe even 90%, of the electorate is to get rid of the Conservative Party not just for the next 5 years but permanently. Starmer and fake Labour will only fail to sweep all before them —by default— if something so devastating happens to their campaign that it is hard to imagine what.
Late music
[a rainy night in Tunis; I last trod that pavement in 1986]
[Wanda Landowska with Tolstoy in 1908 or 1909, possibly at Yasnaya Polyana but more likely at Tolstoy’s house at Kropotkinskaya in central Moscow, which I myself have visited; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wanda_Landowska]
Tweets seen
CASE UPDATE: Patron Law insist I get a costs order against Mr Cantor before I apply for costs against them.
My application for costs against Mr Cantor is delayed because he is seriously unwell.
For the record, can I state what absolutely first rate chaps Patron Law’s partners… pic.twitter.com/7h1EkUq9pd
“CASE UPDATE: Patron Law insist I get a costs order against Mr Cantor before I apply for costs against them. My application for costs against Mr Cantor is delayed because he is seriously unwell. For the record, can I state what absolutely first rate chaps Patron Law’s partners are (Mark Lewis, Benjamin May and Alexander Zivancevic) for putting their former client Mr Cantor through this in his current state of health. This is them.“
"If the polls remain as they are then on July 5 Nigel Farage, not the Tories, will be able to claim that he is now the main opposition across a large swathe of Labour areas. Reform is already polling ahead of the Tories in parts of the Midlands, the North, and Wales" https://t.co/10FbF9mxSA
Most voters, most TV talking heads and newspaper scribblers etc have not yet caught up with me and a few of the more perceptive msm commentators (such as Tim Stanley) in understanding that, in Stanley’s words, “the [Conservative Party] brand is…just gone“, and that means that only a few habit-voters, mostly the very elderly, will be voting Con at GE 2024 or thereafter.
I notice that, in latest polling, the Conservative Party is down to 18% with one pollster.
That has happened before to the Cons, in 2019, and in relation to the brief rise and fall of Brexit Party, but not 3 weeks before a general election. In that year, I think that the Cons were down to 19% at one point.
Wow. Only 22 days to go & in the very latest polls the Conservatives are averaging just 21% of the vote! https://t.co/10FbF9m032
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 12, 2024
On a secondary point, who could have imagined, in the 1980s, that Russian roads, in the provinces at that, would be better in 2024 than any roads in the UK? Shameful.
I’m staggered that the tories are predicted to get over 100 seats in parliament. Who the hell is still voting for these parasites? #panorama
The people still voting en masse for the Conservative Party will be, as previously noted, lifelong Con habit-voters now aged 75+, who are concentrated mainly in the safest seats of southern England. In those constituencies, the not-poor and the elderly are the majority.
Having said that, my prediction, right or wrong, remains closer to 50 than 100 Con seats after 4 July 2024.
Talking point
More tweets
"Since his D-Day disaster Rishi Sunak’s leadership rating has crashed to the lowest level on record–MINUS 21– not far off what I call Prince Andrew territory"https://t.co/cFBOvIBQd9
It’s the insipid smile that gets me. Trott, not gifted in the grey matter department, essentially laughing at a plan that will withdraw funds from the most vulnerable in British society; people made more vulnerable by Tory policy in the first place. #ToryManifesto#eviltorieshttps://t.co/dI9GoEmyYF
A poll conducted by Public First found that 46% of people agreed that the Tories “deserve to lose every seat” , including 24% of those who voted for the party in 2019https://t.co/JOU7uVCRQd
As already blogged, I do not “blame” Sunak for not remaining at the 1944 commemoration. After all, he is not, in any real way, “British” in the first place, despite having been born here and having attended Winchester and Oxford.
As for Sunak’s poll ratings, hard to see how they could go much lower. He’s on the way out. Everyone knows it; he knows it. Within 3 weeks, give or take a day or two, he will no longer be PM. Within a few months, he will have been all but forgotten, like Liz Truss.
You might not want to hear this.
Many people don’t.
I just spent the last week travelling between London, Helsinki and Tallinn.
I lived in London for many years but it has changed out of all recognition.
“You might not want to hear this. Many people don’t.
I just spent the last week travelling between London, Helsinki and Tallinn.
I lived in London for many years but it has changed out of all recognition. Tallinn and Helsinki have a safe feel. Homogeneous. No “diversity barriers”. After London, it was quite a shock. You can argue about whether the changes in London are for the better or not but the kids in both Helsinki and Tallinn are skateboarding and drinking milkshakes. They are not carrying around knives and terrorising or stabbing other kids. There is space and clean streets. People are friendly – even to strangers.
London felt like it was crumbling. Closed roads everywhere. A murder minutes from where I was within 6 hours of my arrival. People seemed miserable. I want the UK to do better. To be better. But they need to change things significantly and stop the transformation of the capital city into a third world city. Anyone else agree?“
Almost all people of sense agree. 90% of white (i.e. real British) people agree, and even very many of the non-whites agree. Just a tendentious 10% of the people disagree, but that includes most of the MPs, most of the fake “Lords”, and most of the treacherous msm talking heads and scribblers. Poisonous. Get rid of them, and the UK will start to improve.
I simply don’t believe voters are inspired by @Keir_Starmer. What an utterly dismal prospect for our country. Grey in every way.
Yes. Starmer is a disaster waiting to happen; not waiting as an actor or a barrister does, prior to striding onto the stage or rising up in court, but waiting like a man in a charity-shop raincoat, waiting for a bus in the drizzle of a London winter.
Laurence Fox is, politically, a sad waste of space. Pro-Israel, basically pro-Conservative but with a few quibbles around flags and monuments and the like.
Reform UK has one main use as far as I am concerned— to help kill off the Conservative Party. A secondary use is to move the “Overton Window” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window].
“The Overton window is the range of policies politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time.[1] It is also known as the window of discourse.” [Wikipedia]
It sounds like "Utopia" compared the the Woke tyranny under which the West lives today — but it also sounded "familiar." Then I had an epiphany. It was familiar –because that's the way society used to be – before the Left destroyed everything it touched.
“We are about to enter the era of the “Far right.” Kids are going to be taught to read rather than imagine they are born in the wrong body. Being white skinned won’t be a mark of the devil. TV and film will be about plot and casting rather than how many non binary lesbian people of colour and girth you can cram into a drama. We will stop worshipping the sun god and perhaps take some time to get to know the actual one. Victimhood will be frowned upon. Health services will be expected to stop dancing for TikTok and do what they are paid to do. The police will be asked to get off their knees and regain public trust again. Fear will be replaced by hope. It’s going to be much nicer than the woke period, where men had periods. The homophobic trans crap will be done. Content of character will matter more than colour of skin. It’s going to be good. And to those of you who don’t like it. Tough. We have had enough.”
For once, I agree with everything Fox has written.
On the left 23 year old healthy aspirational role model Miss Alabama
On the (Far right) is me. Mid 40s UNHEALTHY antivaxxer, granny killer
🤡 🌍. Thank god I won Miss GB in 1998 when Trump owned Miss Universe. I’d have to have a dick or be 3x the size to have half a shot now pic.twitter.com/Phl4ACWS2a
— leilani dowding 🌸🚜 ☮️ (@LeilaniDowding) June 8, 2024
Mr SHAKEY SHAKEY HEAD as seen in the audience of both #bbcqt and #BBCDebate the bbc think us “ Far – Right, Football Hooligan, Racist, bigoted Homophobic and England flag gammons” are stupid to not know you have your regular LEFT WING plants in the audience pic.twitter.com/OLx3BTF9Jp
— WeGotitBack 🏴🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@NotFarLeftAtAll) June 7, 2024
This is a map of the E.U. election results in France tonight.
Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald is now set to come under serious pressure as local election tallies indicated support for her party could be as low as 14%.
Sinn Féin calling their base racist and far right has backfired spectacularly
Whatever one may have thought about Sinn Fein and its military wing (the IRA) in the past, at least it was an honest and clear expression of political will. Now, it has become not dissimilar to the other fake Celtic “national” parties such as the SNP and Plaid Cymru, in other words a farrago of “anti-racism”, “anti-sexism”, pro-mass immigration, hostile to any true expression of European culture. Result? Most Irish people have turned against it, and those who are still voting for Sinn Fein are doing so mostly for reasons of misguided nostalgia, it seems.
Again, for once (?) I agree with what Jayda Fransen says here. Farage is indeed a System stooge, but sometimes things have to work out in particular, and sometimes unexpected, ways.
Yes, Farage and Reform UK are not social-national and, yes, the existence of Reform UK is blocking the emergence of anything new that is social-national.
Reform UK is channelling popular discontent into “safe” “Parliamentary road” diversions, but at the same time the existence of Reform UK —and the hoo-ha around it— is moving the “Overton Window”, changing the public’s idea of what might be possible. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window.
Also, it is to be hoped that Reform UK will help to destroy the now useless and hopeless Conservative Party, and thus destabilize the existing rigged System which depends upon the illusion of a basically binary “choice”.
Faragist diversion (UKIP) did destroy the rise of the BNP under Nick Griffin in and after 2005, and especially after 2009.
2024 is not 2015, when UKIP got 12% of the national vote but no seats. Why? Because the governing party, the Conservatives, were still riding fairly high in 2015. This year, the Conservative Party looks all but washed-up.
That may or may not mean that Reform UK gets Commons seats, but it does mean that a large number of Con seats are going to be lost because 10% or 15% of people, maybe even 20%, are going to vote Reform. That does also mean that Labour will thereby benefit, but most voters for Reform UK will be willing to accept that as the price for both destroying the Conservative Party and making a loud protest.
Not far right just conservative
Who believe in family Strong borders and not thousands of young men from opposing cultures storming our borders Believe in law and order Believe in good education Believe in science No woke Marxist pedophillia normalising agendas Who believe…
Who believe in family Strong borders and not thousands of young men from opposing cultures storming our borders Believe in law and order Believe in good education Believe in science No woke Marxist pedophillia normalising agendas Who believe individual countries should be the only ones to have a say how they are governed Who think it’s good to be patriotic Who believe in western Christian cultures Who think our military should be rewarded and revered Who are against regressive damaging socialism Who are against big brother government Who are against the tentacles of globalists poisoning everything they touch Who believe in small government and low tax And Who know what the hell a woman is!!
Nothing far right
Just decent and strong“
I'm voting Reform because I love my country.
— William on the Level (@William230616) June 9, 2024
I cannot vote for any party bent on the destruction of our country by importing yet more millions of migrants. Enough is enough. Only Reform see the threat.
— William on the Level (@William230616) June 10, 2024
Nigel Farage claims some in the UK polling industry is skewed against Reform & "tipping point" in replacing the Tories is closer than people think. Claims Reform is already ahead of the Tories across northern Englandhttps://t.co/DPf6ds47Ji
I have previously mooted, on the blog, the idea that there may be a bloc of “secret” Reform UK supporters who will not reveal, even to polling staff, their potential General Election voting intention.
I do not know whether such a bloc exists, or how large it is if it exists, but if it does indeed exist in any but marginal size, it could be a gamechanger.
Reform UK has been polling between 13% and around 17% recently. If the “secret” Reform voters exist and number the equivalent of one-tenth of the known Reform voters, then the Reform vote might be anywhere between 14% and 19%. Add on the possibility of polling errors, and that might result in anything from 12% to 21%. We shall only know for sure on and after 4 July. Three weeks and three days from today.
An intention to vote Reform UK perhaps has not the level of what might be called “socio-political embarrassment” (for people living in a conformist situation) that an intention to vote, say, BNP or National Front used to have, but I think that the constant Matthew Parris-style “oh my goodness, look at those hillbillies!” msm propaganda directed against the “left behind” areas (such as Clacton), and against so-called “racism” etc makes some people both reticent in expressing their anger at what has happened and is happening but, at the same time, more determined to do something about the situation, such as voting in a way not approved by the System puppets, the scribblers, the talking heads etc.
Anthony Browne(Tory): It's completely bonkers to expect the PM to resign 2 weeks before an election
Tim Stanley: The Tories could have fewer seats than the LibDems… that's extraordinary… everything you say Labour might do, you have done to historic degrees… #PoliticsLivepic.twitter.com/JQTcj5Wf7K
Browne seems to be saying there that the Conservative Party will do OK in the election because it always did, in elections since 1945. How do people with such limited mentality ever become MPs, well-paid journalists (as he was) etc?
As for his assertion that the present-day Conservative Party embodies “small-c conservative values“, hardy ha ha… Look at what it has done in the past 14 years alone.
Tim Stanley was right to state that “the [Conservative party] brand is…gone” and that no-one even likes the Conservative Party any more. Also, that Starmer is “not socialist” (and, he added, is therefore not the frightening figure the Cons pretend). I tend to think that Starmer is alarming, but not because he is in any way “socialist”. Just that Israel-lobby and Jewish-lobby repression comes naturally to him.
🛑Record backlogs in the Crown Court
🛑Cases collapsing daily for lack of staff and resources
🛑Delays of 5 years for rape cases to come to trial
— The Secret Barrister (@BarristerSecret) June 10, 2024
#rishisunak , the man with a heart of stone, takes to BBC News & pleads for people to find it in their hearts & forgive him for dishonouring D Day Vet's. If re-elected he'll take away benefits from the disabled making them destitute #politicslivepic.twitter.com/1B3YVKVSnN
One Catherine McKinnell, hitherto also unknown to me. A prime candidate for the Diane Abbott Clueless Prize for this year. True Labour-style cluelessness.
As I blogged three days ago, I do not really blame Sunak for not giving a tinker’s cuss about the Normandy Landings commemoration. After all, the bastard is not really British, is only (posing as) Prime Minister until 4 July 2024, about three weeks from now, and is (as I blogged) part of a transilient bloc of cosmopolitan wealthy Indians who are not rooted in the UK, or even in India, and whose natural (temporary) home is in places such as Palo Alto, Silicon Valley, Westchester etc.
Nick Robinson nails it: “you’re like a guy in a pub who borrows money and says he’ll pay it back next week but never does” #panorama
Nick Robinson: You attack Labour for having a secret plan to increase VAT, but which party put VAT up to 15% & then 17.5% & then 20%… every VAT increase, in your lifetime, Thatcher, Major & Cameron, were increased by Tory govts?
The reason is obvious. VAT raises a huge amount of money, and does so from everyone in the country, from the rich, the affluent, the less affluent, and the downright poor. The only way for an individual to avoid paying it is to be gifted the goods or services in question or (in the case of goods) to steal them.
Naturally, the wealthy prefer VAT to income tax, or capital gains tax.
Late tweets
If you're wondering why millions of Brits have left the Tories and Nigel Farage is back then watch this clip
“While they’re losing support to Labour and Reform, they’re also now losing an even larger number of their 2019 voters to something else — apathy.
Many people in Britain are simply giving up on politics, no longer convinced any of the big parties can fix the big problems facing the country. And this is especially true for people who voted Conservative at the last election.
Most of the people who have abandoned the Tories in recent months have not gone to Labour or Reform. Instead, they now say they will not vote at all, do not know who to support, or simply refuse to answer the question from pollsters. And the number who now say this is not small. About one in three of them now say this.“
[Matt Goodwin on Substack].
“One in three” of those who have stopped intending to vote Conservative during 2024 adds up to about, very roughly, a third of a half, i.e. about 1/6th of the whole electorate that voted in 2019 (67.3% turnout), so —again very roughly— about 1/9th of the whole eligible electorate. Call it just over 10%. Of those who would prefer to vote, maybe 15%.
Very speculative, I admit, but there is no doubt that many are anyway in that “politically homeless” position. Anecdotally, I have heard people say it, and heard them say it of others. It is a widespread phenomenon, no matter what may be the exact numbers.
Electoral Calculus may not be infallible, but —by my use of it— those figures give the Cons only 21 seats in the Commons (Lab 538, LibDems 55, Reform 1, Green 1, Plaid Cymru 4, and the SNP a mere 12).
Others calculate a Con bloc of 24 MPs. Whatever.
Effectively the end of the Conservative Party as it now is, if accurate.
Reform is in SECOND place with voters aged 45-54 and 55-64.
The Conservatives are in FIFTH with those aged 18-24
— Redfield & Wilton Strategies (@RedfieldWilton) June 10, 2024
As I guessed some time ago, the Cons are really only supported now by “habit-voters”, those who have all their lives turned out to vote Con, no matter what, no matter even how they themselves benefit or not. They are almost all now aged in their 80s and 90s.
Interesting to see all age groups from 18 to (?) 70 starting to look for radical and maybe (soon) social-national alternatives.
Nick Watt- I was talking to a veteran Lib Dem today and they are now beginning to think of that scenario (Lb Dems as the official opposition), they have visited 5 constituencies that they targeting and have found 3 people willing to vote Conservative 😂#newsnightpic.twitter.com/fkpRl6htwD
— Mad Dogs & Englishmen.MBE. 🏴🇬🇧 (@strum_joe) January 18, 2024
Well worth reposting, even 5+ years on.
Of course the rescue of hostages is good news. However, the calculated slaughter of civilians (who don’t choose to be human shields), by the IDF is an utter disgrace and a war crime.
— Fr Ian Maher SCP🇺🇦🏴🇪🇺🐝#RejoinEU (@IanMaher7) June 8, 2024
On 16 January 2016, Fraser announced his engagement to Lynn Tandler, an Israeli Jew,[23] who is a weaver and academic researcher.[24] They were married on 13 February 2016.[2][non-primary source needed] Their son was born in November of the same year.[25]“
“Both my Jewish children have been circumcised. They are being brought up in a bilingual family – where Hebrew is spoken at home, despite my struggling with it. My two year old chats with his grandmother on the phone most days in broken Hebrew. Both are being regularly taken to Israel. The Rabbi of the schul in Golders Green – where my father’s family (all Jewish) were seat-holders – has been extremely welcoming...”
I recall seeing the Australian TV series Skippy the Bush Kangaroo a few times after my family moved to Sydney in 1967 (I was 10 at the time). The show was on TV from early 1968.
TV shows and films such as Skippy may seem like sentimental rubbish to some people, and to some extent they may be, but there are innumerable examples of the intelligence and capabilities of our animal friends. Some such stories become famous, others are either unknown or are known only to the few people directly involved.
Interesting. I have been to Famagusta (now in Turkish-ruled Northern Cyprus), but some years ago, in fact many years ago— January 2000. I did not see the ruins of the Varosha resort, though. That is a mile south of the main town, I think.
When I drove to Famagusta (from Kyrenia), the ruins of its ancient heritage were deserted. My then girlfriend and I were alone there. There were not even any people selling postcards or the like. Even the more modern parts of the town were far from busy. That was 24 years ago, though. Things change, of course. I think that there has been quite a lot of development in some areas.
I rather liked Northern Cyprus. Relaxed and, in 2000 at least, with relatively few tourists, and really none once you left Kyrenia (officially, now, Girne). A little cold at night (in January) but warm-ish during the day, usually, and with numerous interesting ancient sites (which one shared with no other people at all) set amid orange groves. I even had a rather bracing swim off a deserted beach, but it was no colder in the water than it is in the UK in summer, and the sun was shining.
I drove one day from Kyrenia right the way down the Karpas Peninsula [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karpas_Peninsula] to the eastern end. At that point, you are only 60 miles across the Eastern Mediterranean from Latakia in Syria.
“In a straw poll of veterans, Farage’s campaign message seemed to be getting through.
Jason Stewart was in a green beret and a biker jacket studded with medals; after a long career in the Royal Marines, he “thought it was time to get out after I was blown up twice in one day in Afghanistan”.
He offers a version of an argument heard all day. “The two main parties look both the same to me,” he says. “The Tories don’t care about us. And Labour say they will reopen prosecutions of soldiers who served [in the Troubles] so that’s a no-no. Farage and Reform seem like the only option.”
Up the road, meanwhile, opposite McDonald’s, there was an alternative display of army jeeps and vehicles alongside veterans in fatigues. The display was organised by David Bye and his partner, Linda Hazelton, who run a charity delivering homemade pie and mash to needy veterans around the town. Bye had a one-to-one chat with Farage when he visited and claims he was given certain commitments, which will remain between them.
He grew up here; he remembers earning pocket money as a kid running tourist luggage down busy streets to Butlin’s. It’s been a long decline, he says, since the holiday camp went. “I thought I’d seen it all,” he says. “But the other morning I saw a long queue of blokes on bikes waiting for McDonald’s to open. They were collecting takeaways for people who couldn’t be bothered to make breakfast for their kids.
“I don’t know where you start with some of that,” he suggests. “But I think Nigel gets it.
The place holds symbolic relevance to Farage. Exactly a decade ago, under his Ukip brand, a meeting here paved the way for that party’s only Westminster election success, for Douglas Carswell. If you were to define the moment that Brexit became a possibility, and then a reality, you might begin there. Nine hundred people showed up, many of whom had not previously taken any interest in national politics. In the course of their populist pitch, Carswell and Farage quoted liberally from a Times newspaper column the previous week written by Matthew Parris.
Looking back at that column a decade on, you can see in it all the faultlines that were exposed and exploited so cynically by Farage and Brexit, the roots of the crisis that threatens to destroy the Conservative party in this election (a humiliation from which Farage, inevitably, hopes to benefit).
Parris, in his waspish style, on a visit to Clacton in 2014, had declared its irrelevance to modern Conservatism: “This is tracksuit-and-trainers Britain, tattoo-parlour Britain, all-our-yesterdays Britain,” he wrote. He asked his party a question which would now get a very different answer: “Is this where the Conservative party wants to be? [Or] do we need to be with the Britain that can admire immigrants and want them with us, that doesn’t want to spend its days buying scratchcards?”
Parris insisted that he was not “arguing that we should be careless of the needs of struggling people and places such as Clacton. But I am arguing – if I am honest – that we should be careless of their opinions.
Farage could not have scripted a better scene for himself than the spectacle of a Tory prime minister leaving the D-day celebrations early. Tragically, as this week is proving, the forces that made his bleak and divisive message relevant in 2014 have not gone away, and in the weeks to come you suspect that Westminster political parties will still ignore Clacton at their peril.”
[The Guardian].
Not once does the full article mention the fact that the person presently posing as PM is “unelected” (at least, unvalidated by a General Election) and a little Indian money-juggler; but there you are…”The Guardian”…
Interesting, though, all the same. I think that Farage has every chance of being elected at Clacton. The only reason that the Conservative Party candidate Giles Watling (MP since 2017, a long-retired actor, and a member of the Garrick Club, who lives at Frinton, the more expensive part of the constituency) got over 70% of the vote in 2019 is because his political stance is akin to that of UKIP/Brexit Party/Reform UK anyway.
Watling came second, behind ex-Conservative Douglas Carswell (for UKIP) both at the 2014 by-election and the 2015 General Election, and only won in 2017 because Carswell stood down. Having said that, Watling did get 36.7% in 2015, only about 8 points behind Carswell.
While the election at Clacton might yet be close, Farage has every chance now. Labour and other parties are spectators at Clacton. Labour’s best was 25.4% (in 2017, when the Cons got over 60%).
Interestingly, that 2017 Labour candidate, Natasha Osben, is now, in 2024, the Green Party candidate. Starmer is really not very popular even within the Labour —or recently Labour— ranks.
Will Labour voters vote tactically? If so, for Reform UK or for the Conservative Party? My money is on Reform UK.
“Alarmingly for Conservative HQ, many polling experts believe the conditions are ripe for a repeat of 1997, when tactical voting benefited Labour and the Lib Dems and cost the Tories dozens of seats, most notably the toppling of Michael Portillo in Enfield Southgate. This time, Shapps is among the big beasts who could suffer their own polling night infamy.
Tactical efforts came to little at the last election. Hopes among pro-Remain campaigners of an anti-Brexit tactical vote were dashed as Boris Johnson won an 80-strong majority. But conditions have changed. Peter Kellner, the veteran pollster, wrote in the Observer before the 1997 election that while he detected little “positive enthusiasm” for Labour, an electorate with “a burning desire to end 18 years of Tory rule” made for receptive tactical voting conditions. He believes similar ingredients are present today.
While the net effects of tactical voting are hard to calculate, the Liberal Democrats could gain 10-20 extra seats through anti-Conservative tactical voting, according to an analysis by the Electoral Calculus consultancy. Meanwhile, with the added help of Nigel Farage and Reform UK, the tactical dynamic could push Labour closer in another swathe of previously safe Tory seats.“
“Writing in the Observer, Rob Ford, a leading expert on voting intention and trends, says the evidence from polls shows that “an electoral asteroid is streaking through the atmosphere” and is heading for the Tory heartlands. Ford no longer thinks it impossible that the Conservatives could end up with less than 100 seats, so badly is their campaign misfiring and so much trust have they lost over 14 years and the tenures of five prime ministers.
Other polling experts say that such is the geographical spread of the Tory vote, and the brutal nature of the first past the post system, that once their vote drops into the low 20% region, the number of seats could fall into double digits – and could go as low as 20.“
[Observer/Guardian]
I have speculated for quite a while that the Con vote might go low enough nationwide to leave the Cons with as few as 50 MPs. Perhaps I was right (I sometimes am…).
More tweets
Amber Rudd has some front when she says @Nigel_Farage could not deliver. The Uniparty are experts at not delivering on their promises. Remember immigration down to the 10s of thousands, Brexit means Brexit etc? Labour will just manage the decline even worse #bbclaurak
Entitled self-seeking political hog Emily Thornberry, who only became “Labour” in the first place after her highly-paid UN-working father deserted her and her mother, abandoning his wife and daughter, and resulting in their having to relocate to a council house. She is motivated by malice and early spite and/or envy.
Emily Thornberry and her husband (a retired High Court judge) are buy-to-let parasites, incidentally; I believe that I read that they own, or used to own, at least 8 buy-to-let properties. Pro-Israel, too.
[Emily Thornberry and husband with the then Israeli Ambassador to the UK, Mark Regev, at a Zionist banquet in London]
The Conservative Party now deserves to be not only removed from government, and preferably entirely wiped out, but do not imagine that fake “Labour” will be much if at all better. Look at its leaders and major influencers: Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall. All members of Labour Friends of Israel. All self-seeking moneygrubbers too.
David Lammy, that ignorant creature, as well.
That thick creature might be Foreign Secretary soon. Poor Britain…
Another Labour Friends of Israel member.
Lady Nugee aka Emily Thornberry with a property portfolio in excess of £4million who sent her children to a partially selective school and who is a former human rights lawyer speaks for the people.
I can’t stand Emily Thornberry. She’s Champagne Socialist delusional. She got own four properties how wealthy she is. She lives in an Islington townhouse worth roughly £2.9million and owns a £600,000 flat in Guildford. She also bought a property in Clerkenwell for £572,000.
Emily Thornberry slightly reminds me of Mrs Mossberg, a fat, short and jolly Jewish primary school teacher, usually —in my memory— dressed in a long dark-brown mink coat; I knew her circa 1962, when about 5 or 6 years old and a pupil at Caversham Primary School near Reading. Mrs Mossberg, though, was far more pleasant than Emily Thornberry seems to be.
In retrospect, I wonder why Mrs Mossberg ever bothered to be a teacher, which I doubt paid much. She lived not far from my family, a few roads away, in a large detached house. The main reception room, which I saw at least once, seemed enormous to the 5-y-o me, and it had a large grand piano in it. Maybe she just enjoyed teaching.
The last tweeter says that Emily Thornberry owns 4 properties; I thought I read 8 somewhere.
NEW POST. The Tory elite class is completely lost. What the reaction to Nigel Farage and the rise of Reform tells us about our out-of-touch eliteshttps://t.co/pnbLrAmJvy
“Elite“, though, seems the wrong word to describe that bunch of clowns.
This is a superb piece of analysis – the truth is Tory liberalism both social and economic has failed and failed utterly – what none of the Tory pundit class have confronted is the abject failure of their economic model – from Osborne to Hunt it has been a calamity https://t.co/GE7v1VSbNk
This is what this Israeli soldier wrote in a video of himself breaking plates received from the house he occupied in the Gaza Strip. pic.twitter.com/DmnZKK6z28
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 9, 2024
Well, I cannot read Hebrew, and there is no translation, so I have no idea what the untermensch may have written in relation to his vandalism of that family’s house.
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 9, 2024
From what little one hears or reads, some of the chiefs or former chiefs of Israeli Intelligence (MOSSAD, Shin Beth, Aman etc) are also not optimistic about Israel’s long-term or even medium-term survival.
The Tory elite class should spend less time attacking Nigel Farage and more time reflecting on how they created him by wrecking the country. Now open to all 👇👇 https://t.co/NYMHLINPeW
“Conservatives face election wipeout with Labour set to gain a 416 majority that could see Rishi Sunak LOSING his seat and the Tories being left with just 39 MPs, shock Mail on Sunday poll reveals.”
[Daily Mail]
If that turns out to be correct on 4 July 2024, I will have been proven correct, and the “experts” and “specialists” (who have been saying 100-200 Con MPs left post-GE 2024) would be wrong (again)…
Also true, arguably. About the same, I should say.
Clacton is currently polling Reform at 33%, tories on 30% ans labour 25%. Everywhere else, reform are averaging about 17% with either labour or tories on over 30%
The first tweet confirms what I have been blogging re. Clacton. It is between Reform UK (Farage) and the Cons (Giles Watling). Labour has no chance at all, but Labour voters in Clacton can be the kingmakers. Their votes can swing it, either for Reform or for the Cons.
Even if the second tweet is accurate, and it may not be, voters can still give the Cons a mighty and historic kick by voting Reform UK and thus preventing the Conservative Party from thriving, or even surviving.
The very fact that such a grassroots campaign is even necessary shows how sick society has become.
He was so in denial, so dismissive and unprepared for being challenged on the most basic questions on his behaviour the past 4/5 years. Really depressing , and I feel quite sad for him.
Refers to Robert Largan, the Israel-puppet and Jewish-lobby puppet who is desperately trying to keep his Commons seat at High Peak (Derbyshire), with its good pay and better expenses and perks, but he really has no chance. Make him get a real job.
High Peak voters should vote either Reform UK or Labour to get rid of Largan.
Talking point
Late tweets
Nigel Farage's Reform Party SURGES — Tories in CRISIS. 75K clicks in 8 hours. Subscribe to our YouTube for content throughout election https://t.co/MBJSyft5fl
Richard Holden, who strikes me as a rather unpleasant little opportunist, even by the standards of the Westminster monkeyhouse. Conservative Party candidate at Basildon and Billericay. I hope that the voters there vote Reform or Labour. Keep him out.
[“Billericay Dickie”]
I see Aditya has been unlucky and has come across X’s favourite wing-nut Zionist judge Simon Myerson.
He’s the one who got bollocked by the Lord Chancellor for his tweets and was found by a judge to have shared Nazi-style abuse on twitter.
God. Myerson again. When is the Judicial Standards Investigations Office at least going to stop this obsessive from sitting in judgment over others? The Bar Standards Board might like to take a look too.
As data on public understanding of WWII reveal, large parts of UK public live in an imaginary historical world. Check out Chartbook Top Links for provocative takes on our weird world! https://t.co/HTLH1tGmOcpic.twitter.com/BhDdA6M4wr
…and few indeed of the British public are aware of the fact that the declaration of war by Britain on the German Reich in 1939 was not only totally unnecessary but led to immense unnecessary bloodshed and misery, and to negative consequences from which the world is still suffering.
2.) War with Russia on the Horizon
President Macron has been the most vocal person in Europe about sending NATO troops to Ukraine
He is actively sending weapons to Ukraine, and there are unverified reports of French Foreign Legion troops inside of Ukraine currently
Iran threatens Israel if war starts with Hezbollah
🔻 Iranian Foreign Minister Bagheri Qani, in an interview with CNN Turk, warned Israel against war against Lebanon and said what support Iran would provide in the event of a war in the north.
Well, this week is one of those rare ones when political journalist John Rentoul has managed to beat me. He scored, he says, 6.5/10; I scored a modest 4/10, knowing the answers only to questions 2, 6, 8, and 10. I also came close on questions 5 and 9, but a miss is a miss…
Tweets seen
Rishi Sunak and the Tories are an embarrassment and don’t care about the NHS and/or any other kind of healthcare….we’ve had 14 years of disaster and we need change when it comes to 4th July https://t.co/G14EmorDWH
.@SamCoatesSky: 'I'm not sure Rishi Sunak was that sorry judging by the tone and the person that stood in front of me earlier today and I think that is contributing to the Tory worry about where this goes next'#PoliticsHubhttps://t.co/GlTNastFii
— Politics Hub with Sophy Ridge (@SkyPoliticsHub) June 7, 2024
As I blogged yesterday, the events of 1944 (which really are, in 2024, rather overdone anyway, bearing in mind that only people born before about 1936 or 1937, i.e. those now at least 87-88 years old, would personally remember them) naturally mean nothing to Sunak, who after all is not really British and was only born in 1980.
You had your chance to defect & you chose to stay with the sinking ship
Choices
Tories have broken Britain yet your arrogant sense of entitlement means you think we should stand down for you?
Andrea Jenkyns, with her husband (or ex-husband; it seems unclear), Jack Lopresti [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_Lopresti] are both Con Party MPs, and both are also members of Conservative Friends of Israel. His constituency (also to be fought on new boundaries) may be “safer” than his wife’s or ex-wife’s, but whether safe enough to save Lopresti from also having to stack shelves is an open question: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Filton_and_Bradley_Stoke_(UK_Parliament_constituency). His only real job prior to becoming an MP was in his family’s ice-cream business (he is of Sicilian origin).
Andrea Jenkyns and Jack Lopresti. Both pro-Israel and the UK Jewish lobby? Kick them both into the political gutter, dear voters.
Literally this…short of shitting gold coins for every man & woman in the UK, I don't think there's any chance of @RishiSunak and his sorry band of Conservative Wets getting more than 20 seats.
If it were up to me it would be:@Conservatives = Zero Seats!
Ha. Engaging vision— Sunak in a chariot, throwing gold coins at the plebs and soldiers lining the roads, and shouting “50 gold sesterces for every man!“, as near the end of the 1964 film, The Fall of the Roman Empire:
Boris Johnson today calls Starmer “Sir Keir Schnorrer” (see attached). “Schnorrer” is the Yiddish word for beggar and scrounger. It is pretty offensive. It was part of the lingua franca of my grandparents and of my childhood. I find it unsettling to see Johnson appropriating it… pic.twitter.com/GUBdSUX6fe
“Boris” Johnson channelling his inner Yiddish-speaker, it seems. He is of course, partly Jewish.
[“Boris” Johnson at the Wailing Wall, aka Western Wall or “Kotel” in Jerusalem]
I remember when I first heard the word “Schnorrer“. It was just after a Jew who was Director of Public Prosecutions, one Green, had been caught “kerb-crawling” at King’s Cross in 1991: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Green_(barrister).
That “Jerry” person happened to be at the same large cafe table as me that morning and, he somehow knowing that I was at the Bar (very recently Called, I think), started to talk about Green. His words stuck in my mind. Green, said he, “is what we [Jews] call a Schnorrer“, though his brief explanation of the word was even less polite than that of Robert Peston.
Two Reform UK candidates ditched after accusations of racism and religious hate. @ameliaajenne reports.
Instructive in two senses. First, look at that horrible little “journalist” careerist. Typical. Never give a “journalist” (whether scribbler or TV monkey-on-a-stick) the time of day. They have an agenda, and are enemies subservient to the “usual” lobby.
Secondly, it shows, yet again, that Reform UK is merely “controlled opposition”, and with no loyalty to its own members and candidates. Still, I hope that Reform UK does well enough to help kill off the Conservative Party, as well as moving the “Overton Window” a bit.
Bestiality: Ian Austin: Advocate. 1. …sex between a person and an animal; 2. …behaviour that is very cruel or like that of an animal pic.twitter.com/Ojd2EYcTtw
Just saw the above tweets, posted on Twitter/X in 2023.
Austin, now unmeritoriously in the House of Lords (thanks to “Boris” Johnson), actually wrote at least one letter to the then Director of Public Prosecutions sometime in recent years, and on behalf of the malicious “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [“CAA”], which letter or letters demanded that I be prosecuted for allegedly having posted “antisemitic” tweets and/or blog comments.
Incidentally, the same Jewish girl student who spearheaded Zionist complaints against the later and wrongfully sacked Dr. David Miller at Bristol University, one Sabrina Miller (no relation), actually defended Austin in relation to the pornography matter, and appeared to be, in a post or posts I saw online, not unsympathetic to his views at the time. She is now a scribbler for the Daily Mail.
Strangely, Austin’s Wikipedia entry seems not to mention his views on the rather unpleasant pornographic matter in question.
My legal victory against @BristolUni has set a vital precedent that will help to protect pro-Palestine 🇵🇸 campaigners across Britain.
I still have around £30,000 outstanding of my legal fees. If you would like to share in this victory, please contribute at:… pic.twitter.com/EmVnI3Upmn
“Jack Monroe” (Melissa Hadjicostas) is no more “trans” than I am. A “grifting” cheat, liar, and fraudster, yes.
She is now falling back on previously-deployed (several times; indeed, many times) lies: she is “persecuted“, “having to hide” (“with her son”, who is now about 20 years old and who was mainly taken care of by others in his earlier years) “in safe houses“.
Not forgetting the Press apparently doorstepping her (she’s used that lie several times too) and “stalkers” stalking her in her home area (yawn…another much-trotted-out invention). Oh, and her alleged need for “bodyguards“. Would they be private ones, costing hundreds of pounds per day? Police ones, like some of the royals, and some Cabinet ministers, sometimes have? And does anyone not feeble-minded believe a word of all her nonsense?
“Jack” also claims, yet again, to be under police protection and, yet again, has no idea at all where the last year’s donations from well-meaning but brainless mugs have gone…
Of course she doesn’t…
As for why those utter mugs are still —after years of “Jack” being exposed as a dishonest cheat and fraud— sending her money every month, that is hard to say (beyond simple naivety and/or stupidity). I am not a psychiatrist.
Yes. It has been puzzling to me why the Essex Police, so hot on “racist” teddy bears and “antisemitism”, can find no time to investigate a woman who has ripped off hundreds of thousands of pounds from people, often genuinely poor people, over about 10-12 years. Whether it has anything to do with freemasonry (I think that her father, a former high-ranking fire officer and residential property landlord in Southend, is a freemason, though I am ready to be corrected if that is not so), I have no idea.
The only danger “Jack” is in (excepting possible arrest and/or quite likely civil legal action soon), is that she might be poisoned by the swill she pretends to cook.
Jack Monroe – decent?!
You must be new here.
Her entire back story was revealed to be fabricated nonsense, and she admitted to grifting thousands off donors only to spend it luxury furniture for herself.
Jack Monroe doubling down on the grift. Late delivering on Patreon to just deliberately not doing it & still pocketing cash. Also claiming all her SM accounts were hacked but websites such as Live Follower show that she's been painstakingly deleting over time. Lying? pic.twitter.com/Xn08OXEcSA
As I have blogged in the past, I could imagine “Jack Monroe”, under other circumstances, being a far more serious kind of criminal.
“A complete mental and physical breakdown” that lasted throughout the period from November 2020 to the present day, was it?
That prevented you from fulfilling the >28,000 things that you, Jack Monroe, @JustJackMonroe owed to Patreon subscribers during that time? pic.twitter.com/HzyJAtX0oO
“Jack Monroe” reminds me (her incredible portfolio of lies, and screamingly implausible tales and fantasies, remind me) of the Fawlty Towers episode where, looking at Basil, the psychiatrist says to his wife, “there’s material for an entire conference there“.
You know we’ve got Labour already, all of your inept doing Government. A vote for Reform or anyone else (excluding Labour) is not a vote for Labour, it’s a vote showing their contempt for a Government they had given their trust only to be screwed over in nearly every sense.
Whereas the main System parties have detailed, properly costed, fully or largely worked out policies…most of which are never implemented. Isn’t “democracy” wonderful?…
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) June 8, 2024
When “they” have power and others do not…
The difference is obvious.
On the left is Israeli captive Noah before and after being held in Gaza.
On the right is a Palestinian before and after being held in Israeli prisons. pic.twitter.com/RYpLRaEmts
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 8, 2024
Growing rumors indicate that British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will soon resign. It comes after 78 MPs resigned ahead of the general election. pic.twitter.com/y8OpcZcwSJ
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) June 8, 2024
If that were to occur, it would be absurd. An election for Conservative Party leader could not happen (could it?) until after the General Election. It is uncertain at present even who will or will not retain his/her seat.
In any case, who would want to apply for the job, facing certain defeat in 3.5 weeks’ time? Traditionally, leaders resign after a lost election, so the idea makes no sense.
I suppose that Sunak might resign as Con leader, but retain the Prime Ministership until the General Election on 4 July.
Were Sunak to step down as PM as well, I suppose that the brainless Oliver Dowden might become caretaker Prime Minister. After the inevitable loss of the election, Dowden would then cease to be PM (and, ludicrously, be eligible, as was Liz Truss, for the ex-PM’s £125,000 or £150,000 p.a. for life!).
Re Dowden, I saw this: “Dowden is a former officer of the Conservative Friends of Israel, and has twice chaired the APPG for British Jews. Dowden has said he feels a “cultural affinity” with the Jewish community – his constituency of Hertsmere has the largest Jewish population outside of London.[18]” [Wikipedia]
Nein danke…
Were Sunak to resign as Con Party leader and/or PM prior to 4 July 2024, the Conservative Party might, quite seriously, be left with only a handful of MPs. I think that, for many voters, it would be the last straw.
As it is, we see people at Cabinet level attacking Sunak, the Prime Minister. Con Party discipline is non-existent now as the Titanic prepares to sink beneath the waves.
Ian Robert Millard 