On this day a year ago
Tiverton and Honiton by-election
A stunning reversal for the misnamed Conservative Party. The result: LibDems 53.1%; Conservatives 38.6%, Labour 3.7%, Green 2.5%, Reform UK 1.1%, UKIP 0.6%, Heritage 0.4%, For Britain 0.3%.
The victor, one Richard Foord, is an ex-officer so obscure that, so far, all that Wikipedia can say about him is that he is “a retired Army major who works in a university“.
[Update, same day: Wikipedia has now augmented its profile— https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Foord].
Unpacking the result, this was always, and obviously, going to be between the Conservatives, who had held the seat since it was created in 1997, and the LibDems, with most msm “experts” forecasting, until Election Day itself, a modest Conservative Party win. Even prior to 1997, the area broadly covered by the constituency had been Con since 1923.
The LibDems put out a huge effort on the ground, I have read.
The Conservative vote-share almost halved, from 60.2% in 2019 to 38.6% at the by-election. Still it shows what a deeply pro-Con constituency Tiverton and Honiton still is, that nearly 40% of those who voted were still willing to vote Con despite Boris-idiot and his Cabinet of Clowns, and despite the former MP having stepped down after having been caught viewing porn in the Chamber of the House of Commons during a Commons debate.
“Those who voted“…ay, there’s the rub. Little more than half of eligible voters turned out to vote (or sent in postal votes). The turnout in 2019 was about 80%. Conclusion: a very large number of former Conservative voters abstained, unwilling to vote LibDem but also unwilling to vote Con. 2019— nearly 36,000 Con votes; 2022— approx. 16,000 Con votes. Boris-idiot must be the main reason for the turning-away by former Con voters, though the peccadillo of the smug farmer who was until recently the MP was another factor, almost certainly.
The Conservative candidate (a woman, after the former male MP’s peccadillo; the thinking is so obvious, you can almost see the Con wheels turning) was a poor candidate; indeed, “thick as two short planks”, like so many State schoolteachers today, but that had little to do with the result.
The previous LibDem high point was in 2001 (35.8%).
What we have here is widespread dissatisfaction and indeed disgust at the present Boris-idiot misgovernment, which resulted at the by-election in much voter-abstention, probably much switching from Con to LibDem, and some tactical voting by those who might formerly have voted Labour.
For me, the most interesting aspect has been the collapse of the Labour vote.
The aforementioned tactical voting no doubt had much to do with the fall in Labour support from 19.5% to 3.7%.
The fall in numerical terms was even more stark— 11,654 Labour votes in 2019 compared to a mere 1,562 at the by-election, out of a total eligible electorate of about 76,000. The same candidate, too.
Interestingly, Labour’s highest vote-share in the constituency was not in the peak Blair years of 1997 or 2001 but in 2017, when Corbyn was Labour Party leader. 27.1%.
The lowest Labour share before this by-election came in 2010 (8.9%).
This is not, by any stretch, a good result for Jew-lobby or Israel-lobby puppet Keir Starmer. Even in 2019, the same Labour candidate managed 19.5%, over five times better than at this by-election. Some of the fall was no doubt by reason of (arguably) intelligent tactical voting; not all, though.
The four pseudo-national parties standing only managed 2.3%, taking all four together (Reform UK being top, at 1.1%).
Conclusion? “Conservatives” despised, and fake “Labour” also despised. As to the LibDem victors, as on previous occasions they have managed to present themselves as some kind of alternative, in the absence of a real one.
The Wakefield by-election requires less analysis. The Labour candidate won easily. Factors were the imprisonment of the former (Con) MP for sexual assault on boys, and the general disenchantment with the Boris-idiot government, in a constituency which has returned Labour MPs since 1932, with the exception of 2019.
The high point for Labour was 1966 (65.39%). Sometimes, however, the margin of victory has been narrow. In recent decades, the Labour vote has been in general but slow decline. Even this by-election resulted in only 47.9%, about the same level as in most recent general elections.
It seems clear that, while the Labour vote-share did increase from 2019 (47.9% from 39.8%), that increase is quite modest. The Conservative decrease was rather greater. Seems that abstentions of former Con voters, rather than switches to Lab, were the drivers here.
As for the plethora of other candidates, only a local Pakistani independent saved his deposit (7.6%). The Yorkshire Party managed 4.3%.
The five broadly “nationalist” or pseudo-nationalist candidates got about 5% as a bloc, the top was Reform UK, on 1.9%, the lowest being Jayda Fransen, standing as Independent, with 0.1% (23 actual votes, out of a turnout of 27,466).
Labour will no doubt hail the Wakefield by-election result as “the Red Wall coming home” or some such. I think not. The Labour result was unspectacular in all the circumstances. I note that the Labour candidate was white English (albeit gay, so ticking at least one “woke” box). It may be that many English voters voted for him partly on the basis that he is white (Wakefield is about 90% white).
The two by-election results will be an unwelcome if not unexpected blow to Boris-idiot, who is hiding in Rwanda (presumably unable to find a fridge this time).
All the same, Labour’s performance has been pretty underwhelming; dull in Wakefield, and (despite the tactical voting aspect) disastrous in Tiverton/Honiton.
I should say that, if the Conservative Party can ditch Boris-idiot, and then somehow manage to find a leader at least not completely hopeless, they might well be able to fend off a Labour victory in 2023 or 2024.
Some good news for once
“The world is not without kind people” [Russian proverb].
What a bad joke news such as that displayed above makes of a century of “Irish nationalism”. Sinn Fein members on their knees for “Black Lives Matter” nonsense, masked, muzzled, and pathetic; and Ireland ruled by a gay half-Indian. De Valera must be spinning in his boggy grave.
As already said herein, the idiot posing as Prime Minister was unable to find a fridge in which to hide, so went to Rwanda.
Jesus H. Christ! Are they day-trippers, or did they just land in rubber boats?
…and that includes serving the Jew-Zionist lobby, eg in the UK.
…and all that can be done is to talk about it online…
Russian has taken Severodonetsk. Ukrainian troops still alive and not captured have withdrawn.
We hear less now from msm (and UK military) mediocrities about how Ukraine is winning the war etc. Reality is breaking through, gradually.
Hard to believe the number of “bring it on” idiots in the UK, whose “analysis” seems to consist of “if we get hit, so does Russia“, as if that makes the incineration of their own homes, families and way of life (and themselves) somehow OK, because people in Russia will die too. Of course, they are brainwashed by warmongering propaganda, as were their ancestors in 1939 and 1914 (etc). That, however, was before the nuclear missile had been invented.
Ukraine is not our fight. Ukraine has only been a “state”, a more or less “failed state”, for 30 years. It is shambolic, corrupt, Jew-ridden to the core, and is no “free” “democracy”. The existing “government” of the Jew Zelensky has no legitimacy, and has arrested, and even shot, its most significant opponents. Eleven or more political opposition parties have been closed down by force. Its citizens are among the poorest in Europe, too.
Britain has no historical or other ties to Ukraine, either.
This is a full-on NWO/ZOG strategic and propaganda operation.
When I was in the USA in the early 1990s, I was struck by the fanatical feminism that pervaded the society, and which fanatically supported abortion. Both connected trends were largely if not entirely triggered, from the late 1950s, by Jewish women writers and “activists”. “They” always seem to be at the forefront of the collapse of white Western societies. They try to do the same in Russia but have encountered pushback.
Again, “they” are at the forefront of support for and organization of the migration invasion.
Ha ha! Send those idiots at Glastonbury to the Eastern Front! “Diesen Befehl kommt direkt vom Fuhrer!“…
Well, one can dream…