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From the newspapers
“MATT GOODWIN: Obsessing over illegal migrants in small boats is a bit like worrying about an unlocked first-floor window when the front door is wide open.”
[Daily Mail]
Exactly what I have been saying on the blog for years. The cross-Channel migration-invasion is only a tenth, if that (maybe a twentieth) of all non-European immigration into the UK.
“A toddler has been reunited with his lost toy monkey after it embarked on a 600-mile railway adventure.“
[Daily Mail].
“The world is not without kind people” [Russian proverb].
Mass immigration into the UK
[Daily Mail]
Tweets seen
Sinn Fein is just a bad joke now.
As I have consistently blogged for nearly 2 years, Russia cannot “lose” the Ukrainian war, strategically.
Isabel Oakeshott, once you take away the superficially articulate self-confidence, is an ignorant creature, scribbling and appearing on TV to make money. As for her boyfriend, Tice, the leader of the Farage vehicle “Reform UK”, he too strikes me as little more than mediocre, speaking politically. Also, like Farage, he is a complete puppet of the Israel lobby, so as far as I am concerned, that’s Tice binned…
“Reform UK” is just a pointless thing: a slightly more populist, slightly more anti-immigration version of the Conservative Party. Very much “controlled opposition”.
Still, the one good thing about “Reform UK” is that, out of desperation, many native Brits may vote for it next year, at the 2024 General Election. Matt Goodwin forecasts 10% or even 15%. If so, the Conservative Party, which is surely at the end of the line, will be as good as terminated even if (as is possible and probable) “Reform UK” gets no seats at all.
If “Reform UK” gets a nationwide 15% next year, and if the Conservative Party manages only 20%, the result (using Electoral Calculus) would be that the Conservative Party will be left with only 49 seats: https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.
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Thesis—Antithesis—Synthesis.
More tweets seen
One or two people I knew used to get angry with me when I said that both the white Rhodesians (from 1979) and the white South Africans (from 1994) surrendered power, in effect, “for a swimming pool”, meaning their “way of life”. They were all too ready to accept the global conspiracy’s presentation of Mugabe and Mandela as “educated”, “civilized” leaders who respected the minority of white “settlers” (in the case of South Africa, “settlers” who, in some cases, could trace their ancestors having lived in Africa back to the 17th Century, longer than many of the Africans in that part of the continent).
So it was that that, for a while, the Rhodesians were able to keep living a comfortable life, until, about a decade later, the African mob realized that their lives had, if anything, deteriorated under “African” “majority” rule. Mugabe then appointed Africans to high positions and allowed approved Africans to seize white-owned farms; sometimes the real owners were just killed. All the while, the BBC and msm generally in the UK continued to praise the Mugabe regime. Eventually, of course, the economy, currency, and society generally collapsed.
In South Africa, a more complex society, and one which had at one time about 20% of its population white European, the process has been slower but similar. For quite a while, the white Europeans (English and Afrikaaner “Dutch”) were able to pretend that all was sort-of well: SUVs, rugby shirts, braai (barbecue) gatherings…Sadly, the South African train has pretty much hit the buffers now. The ANC has ruined South Africa, and the African urban and rural masses are angry that their lives have not improved.
As for white South Africans, they have voted with their feet.
The absurd thing is that both white societies could have held out. Once the Soviet Union collapsed (officially, 1991, but really from 1989), the ending of Soviet funding for the ANC and other “liberation” movements shifted the strategic balance. South Africa need never have held the whites-only Referendum which (thanks to propaganda) delivered a vote to bin apartheid by about 69% to 31% of the vote.
Rhodesia was in a more difficult position militarily, admittedly, but probably could have carried on until 1989/1990.
How long before South Africa descends totally into chaos and bloodshed? Maybe another decade.
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Using Electoral Calculus, that would leave the Con Party with 124 seats, far worse than in 1945 (197) or 1997 (165), but not necessarily completely “existential”. https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.
If, however, Reform UK gets a 15% slice next year, rather than 9%, and if that increase comes from former Con and Lab voters equally, the 124 Con MPs reduce to 115. If Reform UK gets 15% and the extra 6 points come exclusively from former Con voters, then the number of Con MPs reduces further, to 47. Big difference.
I should have thought that Reform UK voters are mostly discontented former Con voters.
That Jew, Portes, occasionally used to tweet against me, though years ago. Not that I disagree with all of what he has said over the years. #MoralHighGround…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jonathan_Portes.
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Ian Robert Millard 