The New Testament enjoins us to remember those in prison, and that must be true even more so on Christmas Day, so I recall to mind the case of a lady called Amy Dalla Mura:
The magistrate, Emma Arbuthnot, who sentenced the lady who shouted “traitor” at heavy-drinking MP (now ex-MP) Anna Soubry, is married to a former Conservative Party MP who is now a mediocre “peer” in the House of Lords. He is a member of Conservative Friends of Israel. They have both been on “freebie” trips to Israel.
Emma Arbuthnot was also the magistrate who initially sat on the Alison Chabloz free speech case but then was forced to recuse herself when her links to Israel were discovered by Alison Chabloz and her defence team.
The links above discuss the Amy Dalla Mura case in more detail. For me it is one more example of how fallen are the once-proud free speech rights of people in the UK.
There is also the point that the prison sentence imposed, 28 days (half to be served, minus days of trial, so probably about 10 or 11 days in the event) was not the entire sentence.
“She will serve half the 28 day prison sentence and then be released under a year-long probation review.” [Daily Mail]
This is the “iron fist in the velvet glove” face of political repression today. Alison Chabloz and Jez Turner were also made subject to it. Long periods of “probation” involving what amounts to political monitoring.
Anyway, there it is. Amy Dalla Mura, who (as far as I know) is sitting in prison today and probably tomorrow as well. So much for living in a “free country”.
At least that disgusting drunken creature, Anna Soubry, lost her Broxtowe seat at the recent General Election. Henceforth, she will be a political nullity and can crawl into a vat of gin (and stay there). Merry Christmas!
Anyone who wants to read my reaction to the interference in the General Election by the Chief Rabbi (I prefer “Chief Pharisee”) can see it on my previous General Election 2019 blog (no.5). I made the point that, with (((typical))) damned cheek, the Chief Pharisee talked about “our country” and “the soul of our nation“!
What country or nation would that be? Ephraim Mirvis was born in South Africa, lived most of his life in Israel, finally moved to Ireland, and only in the 1990s washed up on British shores.
What interests me more is that virtually every newspaper has made this its front-page splash. Every radio and TV show leads with it too. I think that we can see where the influence and power (whether political, or the money-power) resides in the UK when it comes to the mass media…
Just saw this. Made me laugh, but it shows what fakery goes on in System politics (that’s right, fakery is not confined to so-called “holocaust” “survivors”! Neither is it confined to Jews, if truth be told…)
One of the most recent opinion polls, below, would seem to suggest that my assessment(s) in my General Election blogs, to the effect that Hung Parliament is as likely as a Con majority, might be right after all:
By my use of Electoral Calculus, that poll works out as suggesting Cons as largest party, but 14 MPs short of a Commons majority. So in other words, the Conservative Party would be worse off than it was before the prorogation. That would probably result in Boris-idiot being dismissed, stabbed in the back and the front by his own surviving MPs. Happy day!
If only Corbyn and Labour would just tell the Zionist Jews to shut up, instead of which Labour weasels, wrings hands, says how terrible “anti-Semitism” is (even when basically defensive in nature), and whines that Labour wants to stamp it out etc. “Stamp out” the freedom of expression of British people? Goodbye Labour…
Chief Rabbi says Corbyn not fit for office eh? Yawn. There is no such thing as antisemitism. It's a myth. The UK's Jews are nobody's victims. No minority identity group has ever had it so good. But Corbyn is the architect of his own downfall. He hasn't the balls to deal with it.
The usual lack of self-awareness from Dunce Duncan Smith. I am against graffiti of every kind, mainly for aesthetic reasons, but if this is all that happens to Dunce and his cohorts, after what he has inflicted on so many, and over so many years, I think that he should offer up a prayer of thanks to the heavens.
While we are on the subject of the unintelligent kind of “Conservative”, take a look at Twitter account @TheaDickinson. “The stupid party” to the very marrow! Example:
Someone on £80,000 is already paying £25,000 a year in tax.
Twitter account @AlexGPorter explains the reality: Labour’s tax plans mean that persons earning £81,000 p.a. or so will pay maybe £10 per month extra in income tax, but of course there are those who earn, or at least receive, pre-tax, literally millions p.a. They might well end up paying hundreds or even thousands of pounds per month extra tax (but they will still be receiving huge amounts; violins not required):
But it’s totally disingenuous to look at the “average” member of the top 5%. Every person earning above £80k won’t be taxed an extra £53,000. Those earning £81k will be taxed a very small amount more, those earning several million a year will be taxed *a lot* more.
Of the £80bn additional revenue, less than £6bn of that is coming from increased income tax. Here is a handy graphic to help … it shows where the rest of it is coming from.
Not that I agree with all of the above plan. Independent schools do not pay tax on fees and donations because most are not profit-making. They are non-profit and for purposes of education and so are treated as charitable in the legal sense. Why do I oppose taxing their fees and donations?
Firstly because education has always been treated as one of the “heads of charity” under the (16thC) Statute of Elizabeth. That merely secularized the ancient privileges of previously-religious institutions which, before Henry VIII, provided almost all education. Of course, even today many schools are run by religious bodies.
Secondly, I favour schools having tax breaks because the UK must improve its educational level generally. You cannot do that by degrading the resources available to the best schools.
Thirdly, independent schools offer numerous scholarships and bursaries, which would be far less common were schools to lose significant funding by reason of having to pay tax or extra tax.
“The polls are tightening” (as I thought that they would):
The opinion polls have narrowed, but not by much: a 14-pt Tory lead last week is 12 pts this week – Corbyn needs to move voters (or hope the polls are as wrong as last time) https://t.co/7OJzEF9OGS
The battle lines are set, barring late events. 15 clear days before Polling Day.
Update, 27 November 2019
Switching on a radio, I hear that Corbyn has had a “car crash” interview with Andrew Neil. A brief extract was played on BBC radio news. A few thoughts on that:
Andrew Neil is the best political interviewer around at present, but
Andrew Neil is almost absurdly pro-Jew, and has repeatedly ranted against those who think that the Jews have disproportionate power, influence and money in the UK. Why Neil is so seemingly philo-Semitic in that sense, I do not know. There may be several reasons.
The BBC seemed to have a biased presentation (on the radio news), in that
In the extract I heard, Neil asked about taxing those earning under £81,000 p.a., and Corbyn tried to answer to the effect that, yes, in strict terms, those earning lower amounts might pay [obviously a small amount] of extra income tax but would get more back in other ways. In relation to that quite reasonable answer,
Andrew Neil wanted to focus only on income tax and
the BBC radio news cut off Corbyn’s reasoned response after seconds.
the BBC is acting like a biased State broadcaster. It has to go.
I am enough of a “democrat”, or at least sufficiently fair, to be at least somewhat shocked (though hardly “surprised”) by the BBC bias, despite my not being “pro-Labour” as such.
My other thought about the supposedly “disastrous” interview is that most people will not have seen or heard it anyway. Of course, the msm will push it on the news.
Labour should have said from the start, “yes, a relative few earning under £81,000 will pay a little more, about £20 a month, by losing one specific tax break, but will receive far more in other ways, so will be better off”. How hard is that?
In other news, low-profile (and thick as two short planks) Labour MP Nia Griffithhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nia_Griffith has said that Labour should “apologize” yet again to the Jews for daring to mildly criticize some of them. My thoughts:
Nia Griffith should be sacked at once, both as Shadow Secretary of State and as MP;
Nia Griffith is a member of Labour Friends of Israel;
Nia Griffith was a proven expenses cheat;
Nia Griffith is a lesbian;
Nia Griffith (previously a schoolteacher) has “done very well” out of being an MP since she was elected in 2005, owning a London flat, a house in Llanelli, Wales, and also a subsidized 10-acre smallholding in Wales (Carmarthenshire) in addition to the Llanelli house.
Why was Nia Griffith ever appointed as Shadow Sec. of State for Defence? She has no military, naval or other defence background, has never shown any knowledge about the issues, in fact has been all but invisible (she was a teacher before latching on to the old MP racket).
Another pro-Israel doormat.
Her outburst about Jews was obviously planned to cause as much damage to Labour’s General Election chances as possible; it’s treachery.
Was she ordered to make this outburst? If so, by whom? Labour Friends of Israel? The Israeli Embassy? Other treacherous “Labour” MPs or persons?
Here’s a strange thing: Ian Austin, ex-Labour MP and one of the worst doormats for the Jewish and Israeli lobby in the UK, as well as one of the most shameless expenses cheats of the 2005-2010 Parliament (he was basically a fraudster) seems to believe that bestiality is not so bad that pornography involving bestiality cannot be decriminalized!
Austin is now a main figurehead for “Mainstream“, a Jewish-funded anti-Corbyn pop-up “organization”, together with another ex-MP, John Woodcock, the sex pest and depressive case (and another doormat for Israel and the Jewish lobby), who has now been appointed by Boris-idiot as a kind of Government snoop and monitor of so called “far right” people (social nationalists). Nice people…(not, obviously). Both of these blots used to block me on Twitter (in Woodcock’s case because faux-“revolutionary” and “licensed Bolshevik” “intellectual” (?) Owen Jones told him to!).
So Ian Austin thinks that bestiality-pornography, and some other types of pornography, should be decriminalized, but that “holocaust” “denial” (historical examination and revision) and anything “anti-Semitic” or critical of Jews should be criminalized?! Strange priorities. Makes one wonder about Austin, who is unmarried.
Breaking news, about a Conservative secret plan to sell off the NHS!
The above news is more confirmation of the basically alien nature of the upper ranks of the Conservative Party: multikulti cosmopolitans, rootless Zionist Jews and pro-Zionists from India, Pakistan, Uganda, New York City etc. Are any of the bastards BRITISH except in terms of their passports?
The NHS has its faults (not all money-related) but overall it is one of Britain’s best aspects, and must not be sold off to alien financial interests.
On the other hand, it may be that the NHS needs radical reform. A reader of my blog asked me today about South Korea’s health service. I knew nothing of it. I do now:
The Labour claim (and documentation) about the NHS “up for sale” to American health finance interests could be a game-changer in this election. The NHS is central to UK society. Its flaws. Its great strengths. Any suggestion that it might be sold off in bits to American finance will be greeted with horror by a huge majority of the voters, even by most Conservative Party voters.
Corbyn reveals 450 pages of uncensored US-UK trade talks over opening the NHS to private healthcare, together with reduced food standards and corporate courts (replacing ECJ with American judges). Bombshell dropped into the campaign. Will be across this as details emerge 💥💥💥
This would produce a result of Conservatives as largest party, but (blessedly) 14 short of a Commons majority. Excellent.
Update, 28 November 2019
I expect that some who read my blog imagine that I am pro-Labour Party because I am 100% anti-Conservative Party. Not so. For me, it is essential that the Boris-idiot Zionist Occupation Cabinet is defeated, but a Labour majority government would also be very bad, though perhaps not quite as bad. The best result in the General Election would be a hung Parliament, leading to a weak minority government, preferably a Corbyn-Labour one. That would be the best seedbed for real social nationalism (rather than the fake Zionist-lobby “nationalism” of UKIP, Brexit Party, the “alt-Right”, Tommy Robinson, Katie Hopkins etc).
Boris-idiot is still avoiding an interview with Andrew Neil. He is afraid:
Joking aside, can you imagine if Corbyn had ducked Andrew Neil? He’d have rightly been slaughtered for it. Boris Johnson is Prime Minister. He has an obligation to subject himself to scrutiny. If he bottles it people will wonder what he’s trying to hide.
Below, a Jewish woman takes what must surely be a commonsense view of the contrived “Corbyn is ‘anti-Semitic‘” noise put out by the Jew-Zionist “claque”:
Things I think more important than low level anti-semitism, in no particular order: the NHS; foodbanks; hungry children; people sleeping on the streets; zero hours contracts; the widening wealth gap; rising infant mortality; essential-drug shortages;
Isn’t it incredible? This storm in a teacup, meaning whipped up fakery of Labour “anti-Semitism”, has had more msm play in the past days and weeks than, eg, those dying after having peanuts benefits removed, millions trying to survive either on low benefits or low pay or both, the continuing invasion of the UK by blacks, browns and others, the NHS being slowly sold out and sold off to American (((financial))) interests, etc etc.
The difference is, if Labour wins, a few people will get a bit annoyed. If the Tories win, a lot of people will get a lot dead.
I wonder why the Zionist Jews and their self-interested whining have all the publicity? Could it be because, as Rupert Murdoch said some years ago, “they” own most of the Press in the UK? You can add to that, that (((they))) also staff most of the newspapers, TV and radio stations and so on. Any journalist not going along with what “they” want is immediately hounded and probably removed from his or her job. “They” have destroyed the independence of the UK msm, and are working on also censoring and “monitoring” social media and the Internet generally.
Freedom of socio-political (and historical) expression is one of the most important battlefields of our time. Perhaps the most important.
From where I am standing, Labour and Corbyn do not seem to be “anti-Semitic” anyway, even in a defensive way. After all, I —of all people— ought to know! (Google “Ian Millard barrister” and you will see what I mean!).
When one thinks of everything the people of England have undergone even in the past 10 years, and that applies especially to the poorer people in this society, and yet the Jews (many of them anyway) do nothing but whine, complain, denounce people (i.e. non-Jews) to police, Twitter, Facebook etc, and make demands regarding their own selfish, self-interested tribal interests.
I should not be surprised if this contrived anti-Labour Party “anti-Semitism” whining and demanding results in an awakening of many formerly asleep people in this country —an awakening for the first time— to the disproportionate power and influence wielded by Jews in the UK, especially by Zionist Jews, and above all by those embedded in the mass media and politics.
Thinking about the General Election in a wider sense, I still think, despite the Conservative lead, that there is all to play for. Yes, the misnamed “Conservatives” are ahead in all the opinion polls, but there are margins of error of as much as 3 points, for a start. I have already blogged about how, a few days ago, two recent polls had almost —but not quite— identical figures, but one had Labour 2 points higher. That alone changed the likely result from Con majority of 48 to Cons being short of a majority by 4 MPs.
If the polls put Cons on 41% and Lab on 30%, it could be that the real figures are as different as Con 38% and Lab 33%. There again, every constituency is different, and national voting intentions do not predict every seat accurately.
The Greens are on 3% nationally and have been around that level for many years, but in 2010 Caroline Lucas was elected at Brighton Pavilion on a vote of about 31%, which became 41% in 2015 and 52% in 2017. Likewise, the LibDems are and have been able to apply a Schwerpunkt (concentration of forces) in particular constituencies, so despite getting under 8% nationally in both 2015 and 2017, were able to get 8, then 12, MPs elected (and the LibDem national vote declined in 2017 vis a vis 2015…).
UKIP scored higher than both the Greens and LibDems in 2015 (12.6% nationally) but nowhere had a constituency vote share big enough to get an MP elected, excepting a previously-elected Conservative defector in one seat.
It is quite possible for Labour to win this election even if it is 5 or maybe even 10 points behind the Conservative Party nationally. The seats that matter are the marginal seats, whether defined as the 50 most marginal, or the 100.
Labour has failed to really hit back at the Jews (meaning the organized pro-Israel msm Jewish/Zionist lobby). Next time, maybe, if Labour loses badly enough this time…
Apart from that, Labour should be hitting harder on NHS, private rent parasites, buy to let parasites, low pay, poor conditions at work, low standards generally. Labour should also try to reach out to the pensioner vote, as well as getting the generally pro-Labour under-35s to actually go out to vote on 12 December.
I like this:
“General election 2019: Labour promises to plant two billion trees by 2040”
Boris Johnson's views of the Working class: "Working class men are likely to be useless, drunk, criminal, aimless, feckless & hopeless" "Cuts in Social security that leave women in destitution on a Victorian scale might act as deterrent to unmarried women having children"
Those quotations from the diseased mind of Boris-idiot are at one with the Oxford University student and Bullingdon Club member (the young Boris Johnson) who burned a £50 note while taunting a homeless man living in the street. He is evil.
I noticed a clip showing Boris-idiot’s motorcade leaving the town of Telford the other day. Four large Range Rovers or similar, with about 6 motorbike cops escorting and all normal traffic blocked off. They must be afraid that someone will do something to him.
[apologies for intruding this all but irrelevant clip from one of my favourite films]
Lewis Goodall of Sky News visits Hampshire:
In all seriousness, in various different ways, Molly speaks for so many I’ve met on my travels. Deeply dissatisfied with the choice in front of her. Unable to vote for her traditional party. Uncertain what to do next. It’s why I think this election is still so unpredictable.
Those responsible for the kind of wickedness shown in that newspaper report have never been punished. Iain Dunce Duncan Smith, the Jew “lord” Freud, David Gauke, Therese Coffey, Esther McVey, David Cameron-Levita, George Osborne etc. Many others, some at the head of affairs, others not so much, right down to the robots at the bottom.
Another reason not to vote Conservative, despite Labour’s partial guilt and the LibDems’ very considerable “enabling” guilt.
Update, 29 November 2019
A couple of tweets I saw, to start today’s update:
As I blogged previously, the LibDems are rapidly becoming an irrelevance in this election, because
though the LibDems have the unique aspect of being the sole Remain party of any importance in England (the SNP in Scotland and Plaid in Wales are also Remain, as are minor parties such as the Green Party), there is enough doubt or wriggle room in Labour for Remain voters to go with Labour;
though the Brexit mess overshadows everything, the agenda of the election has moved on: people need health services, decent pay, decent State help such as benefit payments etc; mass immigration continues; there is a housing crisis. People cannot live (and vote) by Brexit alone;
in the final analysis, there is going to be a harsh, Jewish-Zionist infiltrated Boris-idiot government (ZOG) in the UK unless Labour win enough seats to prevent a “Conservative” (ZOG) Commons majority. Only Labour has the ability to stop Boris; the LibDems do not have the means to win many seats, and if they did, they would just agree to another Con Coalition, as in 2010. They would “enable” the Boris ZOG Cabinet to trample on the British people;
Jo Swinson, it has become clear, has been elevated to a position (LibDem leader) which exceeds the level of her ability. I predicted it. She has been disastrous for the LibDems and has spent much of her time in the election campaign echoing “Conservative” cries about Labour “anti-Semitism”. A doormat for the Jewish lobby and Israel.
Assuming, as I do, that the LibDems will sink below even the 15% national polling they currently enjoy, what then? If the LibDems go down to 10% (which is certainly possible), then 5% of the national vote is going to go elsewhere, probably all or almost all to Labour. In 2017, 32 million votes were cast. That might be exceeded in 2019, but even on the 2017 figures 5% adds up to about 1.5 million votes. Per constituency, maybe 3,000 votes. Enough to upset many an applecart.
The Jews seem to want the UK 2019 General Election to be all about them. Others might say “be careful what you wish for”…
“So spake Israel’s true king, and to the Fiend Made answer meet, that made void all his wiles. So fares it, when with truth falsehood contends.” [Milton, Paradise Regained]
I was pleased to see this latest poll, for two reasons:
it confirms that I was right to say that the earlier polls predicting a huge Boris-idiot/Conservative Commons majority would narrow approaching 12 December (admittedly trite, as such narrowing is commonly the case; and
those percentages suggest that the misnamed “Conservative” Party (aka and more accurately, the Con Party), would be left 11 MPs short of a Commons majority. Excellent. Boris-idiot will then be (politically) assassinated by his own MPs. The Ides of December…
[I should add that the polling company see their poll as suggesting a Con majority of 1].
NHS
Having been a serial hospital visitor (not patient) for the past decade, I agree with the tweets below:
NHS maladministration goes right to the top, and right down to the “trivial” (which is not so trivial when people suffer as a result) such as being unable to park a car at a hospital or only being able to park at considerable expense. It’s just wrong. Another example: Imagine hospitals so badly managed that patients and their families cannot easily find wheelchairs! (used to get immobile or semi-mobile patients around inside hospital buildings). You don’t have to imagine it. Just visit many NHS hospitals.
The same applies to basic cleanliness in hospitals.
The maladministration within the NHS dishonours the often excellent (not always but more often than not) work put in by the clinical staff.
Behind a paywall, but it is clear from the bit I read that LibDem expectations have collapsed and that there is the prospect, not even of the LibDems ending the election campaign with fewer than the 12 MPs the 2017 General Election brought them, not even the below-10 predicted by me a while ago, but possibly of them being reduced to one or two MPs in total. However:
“The election guru John Curtice said national polling might not be the only factor: “We might discover that the Lib Dem vote becomes somewhat more geographically concentrated than it was in 2017, and therefore their ability to convert votes into seats is rather better than you might expect.” [The Guardian]
The all-important Schwerpunkt again. I myself still think that the LibDems are going to end this election in the 5-10 MPs range. The LibDems’ wider, more national appeal is looking very weak. The old Liberal Party had a distinctive, if “Marmite”, appeal. The LibDems carried that on, but it started to lose that after 2010. The LibDems’ biggest problem is irrelevance and their biggest presentational problem is the lack of a distinctive image.
The “British” Press…
John Rentoul, one of the best-informed commentators, yet sees no problem with the Press being in such few hands. He denigrates Corbyn for identifying it as an issue:
The joke “Prime Minister” states that his answer is to make terrorist prisoners serve their full sentences rather than be released early…which would mean in this case that the individual would have had to wait another 2 years or so before launching his knife attack. Such a policy would just delay, not prevent. Boris is an idiot.
Meanwhile, Jennifer Arcuri, one of Johnson’s discarded “hoes”, and to whom Boris-idiot bunged £126,000 of British public money, has given an unintentionally funny interview:
“Jennifer Arcuri claims Boris Johnson was angry when he became foreign secretary because he could no longer visit her home
In a frank interview, the model-turned-entrepreneur says their relationship continued after he stepped down as mayor of London and became a cabinet minister – and that they were in touch as recently as July.
Ms Arcuri also comes closer than before to confirming a sexual relationship, saying it is always the woman who is criticised “when you have an affair with an older man”.
Referring to Mr Johnson’s promotion, in July 2016, she said: “He was pissed [off] when he became foreign secretary.
During their first encounter alone, in a hotel bar, he asked her: “Were you a model? You are absolutely beautiful. I can see you being a model and actress.”
She said: “He had complimented me but it was not sleazy in any way,” adding: “I knew where he was going with wanting to pursue me. I am not stupid.
“People had mentioned he wants to sleep with you and I said, ‘No, he doesn’t. He is just so enthralled with my mind.’
[addendum: Arcuri’s former husband says that, while “Jennifer” —not her real name, apparently— had been a pole dancer, she had never been a working model; the “entrepreneur” or “entrepreneuse” is now being sued for about £70,000 in respect of non-repayment of student loan debt…]
The Conservative Party is losing any semblance of decent behaviour now:
We’re aware of Conservative Party Facebook adverts using edited BBC content. This is a completely unacceptable use of BBC content which distorts our output and which could damage perceptions of our impartiality. We are asking the Conservatives to remove these adverts.
The Ides of December have neither come nor gone. We are (as of tomorrow) in only the Kalends of December, and there remain 11 full days before Polling Day.
Voters in Ashford should remember that Conservative Party candidate Damian Green accesses, or at least accessed until he was caught, horrible porn, including bestiality:
— Tofu-eating Wokerati 🕎🌹#BLM #PeaceAndJustice (@candybrazao) September 10, 2019
Latest poll shows gap Con/Lab narrowing even more:
“The Conservative lead in the general election campaign has been more than halved in just one week, putting the UK in “hung parliament territory”, an exclusive poll for The Independent shows.
Boris Johnson’s party is now only six points ahead of Labour, it has found – matching other surveys suggesting the race is tightening dramatically, amid growing Tory nervousness.
Jeremy Corbyn is successfully winning back the support of voters threatening to defect to other parties, the poll by BMG Research shows, taking his party’s rating up five points to 33 per cent.
The Conservatives, meanwhile, have dipped two points to 39 per cent, six points ahead instead of the 13 points in BMG’s survey a week ago.” [The Independent]
This is the danger which the msm drones are largely ignoring:
Agree. Terrifying. The UK on the edge of an abyss. The responsible, moderate and kind have been purged from the Tory party. What’s left are the careerists, the fanatics and the dimbos. And they could win. https://t.co/J5mkXHRjXa
— Simon Gosden. Esq. #fbpe 3.5% 🇪🇺🐟🇬🇧🏴☠️🦠💙 (@g_gosden) November 30, 2019
Update, 1 December 2019
Boris-idiot was too afraid to be properly interrogated by Andrew Neil, and the BBC was not going to allow the buffoon onto the softer couch of the Andrew Marr Showuntil he did agree to be interviewed by Neil.
Now, however, the craven BBC has caved, so Johnson will be on Marr shortly. The BBC has become, like the EU, unworkable. It has become, over the past 10 years, almost a government mouthpiece. There always were elements of that, starting (arguably) in WW2, but the BBC is now, to use the current phrase, “not fit for purpose”.
Marr show: all three newspaper reviewers women. Co-incidence or policy?
Issues covered in newspaper review: mainly General Election. Is Labour in trouble in its traditional Northern heartlands? According to Helen Pidd, Northern Editor of the Guardian, affirmative. For many voters, the question will be whether they break the local or regional taboo against voting Con, or simply abstain. My guess is abstain, but obviously that is a guess, albeit an educated one. If “abstain” is right, then it will affect only the most marginal seats.
The terror attack. Cons trying to use it politically, but after all there have been Con governments, in effect, in government for nearly 10 years now.
Another issue is rail and especially that of rail fares. Shareholders have just received over a billion pounds in dividends! Now fares are to rise again! This must help Labour, which wants to renationalize most rail.
Chuka Umunna on Marr. Ex-Labour (and ex-Change UK) MP Chukup, now a LibDem, saying that the LibDems were first or second in 134 seats in 2017, if I heard aright. He urges voters to vote LibDem tactically in seats where Labour has no real chance but LibDems do, in order to prevent the Cons from winning and getting a majority. That would be a good argument, had the LibDems any real integrity. Sadly, not. People remember the craven LibDem ministers and MPs in the 2010-2015 Con Coalition. The LibDems would prop up the Conservatives anyway.
Now Labour “baroness” Shami Chakrabarti comes onto Marr. Makes a few sensible points on terrorism, cuts to police and probation etc. She sometimes seems so far up her own **** that she might suddenly go into orbit or, perhaps, turn to stone and become a statue of herself. Her actual points are better than her initial presentation of herself.
My feeling is that Labour would do better not to engage too much with the terror issue. The Conservatives would love to link Corbyn with terrorism. After all, the recent attack was the act of one semi-lunatic, albeit politicized. It was not “terrorism” in the political sense, as was, say, the IRA bombing campaign of 1970-1999.
Boris-idiot now on Marr. Trying to say that Labour’s parole law of 2008 somehow caused the London Bridge attack of last week. Cons retained the “release at half-way” law. Boris tries to say “Not me, guv! I dindu nuttin” (tries to blame May and Cameron, too!).
Of course, even had the attacker been released 2 years or 3 years later, he still would have attacked. Boris is an idiot and his “idea” about amending the parole aspect would simply delay, not prevent.
Boris-idiot floundering under Marr’s not difficult questions. It must have stung Andrew Marr that he is thought less heavyweight than Andrew Neil. He is being a little more assertive than usual.
Boris-idiot is now blustering and talking nonsense (as usual). His metier is as a part-Jew public entertainer. I suppose that being a newspaper columnist, scribbling fact-free rubbish, is also his metier. Same thing, really. Or he could travel around the UK by train, meeting odd or unusual people etc, in the manner of a latter-day Michael Portillo.
Boris-idiot calls the Pakistani terrorist “this gentleman”! Ha ha! Corrects himself and next time calls him “that individual”. Come to think of it, Boris-idiot was not asked (and did not raise) the question of why this Pakistani terrorist, his family, his community, are even in the UK!
Marr’s interview with Boris-idiot is becoming a rout, unexpectedly. Boris-dork is gabbling, trying to soundbite every superficially-popular Con policy in the few minutes left, but Marr making the point that a plan for hospitals is not “36 new hospitals”. Marr also noted that the Conservatives have closed 300 magistrates’ and Crown courts over the past years. The County Courts were not mentioned. I myself used to appear as Counsel not only in the High Court and in the larger county courts, but also (2002-2008) at the small County Courts in, inter alia, Barnstaple, Penzance etc, now closed.
Marr also noted that the Conservatives have closed 500 public libraries.
Marr asks Boris-idiot about EU regulations which will affect Northern Ireland after Boris’s “BRINO” (Brexit In Name Only). Boris showing both ignorance and rudeness as his lying is prodded.
Marr asks Boris-idiot about his spending plans and how they might well be pie in the sky. He then prods Boris about Islamophobia and his own statements in the past.
Marr asks Boris why he has been avoiding Andrew Neil. Idiot refuses to say that he will be interviewed by Andrew Neil. Fact is, he’s scared…
Marr finishes by thanking “…you, Prime Minister”…
What a “car crash” for Boris-idiot! No wonder that he is running scared of Andrew Neil!
Is Boris-idiot really so stupid that he thinks that he can just lift a thread of 16 tweets from a well-known Twitter account, and somehow no-one will notice?! He may be misplaced as “Prime Minister”, but fact he is in that role. He is also in the midst of a bitter election campaign. People will notice; they have noticed.
Boris Johnson has posted a thread. The entire content has been lifted, without attribution from The Secret Barrister, @BarristerSecret. Pretending to sound well informed, stealing the work of others, passing it off as his own. @BorisJohnson, you're a plagiarist. https://t.co/n0gJdSPGNE
Well, after all, Boris-idiot was sacked for dishonesty at least four times...as trainee journalist, as journalist, as junior minister, and the only reason he avoided it when failing to do his job properly as Foreign Secretary was because Mrs May was weak and allowed him to hang on and then resign.
“Secret Barrister”, yesterday:
🛑Usman Khan was released under a sentencing regime which no longer exists
🛑Johnson’s manifesto says not a single word about current Extended Sentences.
🛑The minor changes he has proposed to automatic release would not have applied to Khan.
I think that, for Boris Johnson, the General Election is coming two or three weeks too late. People are waking up on a larger scale now to Boris-idiot’s muddled stupidity, nastiness, dishonesty, incompetence, but most importantly lack of any real idea of how to get Britain from where it is to where it should be and still could be.
Even a week ago, the opinion polls, for what they are worth, were all showing the Conservative Party riding high and likely to get a stonking majority. Now, they begin to show a possible hung Parliament. The election is still very open, in reality, though I doubt that Labour could get a majority in any event.
It had to happen: at last Nicola Sturgeon has expressed a view akin to my own:
How anyone watching this interview can conclude that Johnson has the seriousness, dignity, judgment or sensitivity to be Prime Minister is beyond me. #Marr
10 clear days until Polling Day. There is all to play for as far as the Conservatives and Labour are concerned. For Brexit Party, it’s already all over.
LibDems? Pretty much all over, though tactical voting may help them up to a point. No-one (very few anyway) will vote for Jo Swinson or LibDem policies generally. Even Remain partisans have mostly defected to Lab or even Con (on the basis that Boris-idiot’s “deal” is BRINO and not a full Brexit).
I have to say that, if Jo Swinson loses her own seat, I shall be laughing. Jo Swinson has proven herself not only a bad joke as LibDem leader (I don’t care at all about that, of course) but also a complete doormat for the Jewish lobby. Out with her! Raus!
Looking at the figures for East Dumbartonshire elections, what strikes me most forcibly is the decline of Labour, from nearly 56% in 1964 to just over 12% in 2015 (14.6% in 2017):
In honour of Dumbartonshire, an area which I have never visited:
(in fact the work by Stravinsky is not connected to the original Dumbarton in Scotland, but to the famous estate, in the Georgetown area of Washington D.C., where the world-historic Dumbarton Oaks conference was held in 1944)
The failure of the so-called “political class”, aka Westminster Bubblers, is manifest more clearly every day. We now know, if we did not already know, that the government of this country is in the hands of incompetent chancers, that the Opposition is in the hands of bad jokes, that the British Constitution is not a finely-tuned machine but a broken bit of clockwork, and that the Queen is about as much use as a human rubber stamp.
Brexit looms, but the fact is that now it either will not happen at all or will happen only in some very vague way (Brexit In Name Only). The only way that it can now happen as a real thing is if Boris Johnson, for reasons of blatant self-interest, manages to get it over the line, and that is looking increasingly unlikely.
In the law, a saying was always “justice delayed is justice denied”. Apply that to the 2016 Referendum.
Now no-one expected that the UK would leave the EU the very next day. There are processes, procedures, timetables etc. However, the British Government, or what passes for it, should have within a short space of time triggered the Article 50 process, which (under the Lisbon Treaty) gives a state wishing to exit the EU two years in which to complete the leave process. In fact, Theresa May did not even send the triggering letter for nearly a year after the 2016 Referendum; she then asked for extension of time when the process should already have been completed.
Had the 2-year process (it can be less— 1 year, 18 months, whatever) been started soon after the Referendum result, the whole Brexit process would have been finished by the Autumn of 2018 at the latest. Now here we are, more than a year later, and with no obvious closure in sight.
I always said, right from the start, that a huge campaign would be waged by the international conspiracy to keep the UK in or tied to the EU. The EU is a major building-block of the New World Order strategy. The UK is a major building-block of the EU. You get my meaning.
I favour the UK getting out of the EU, I favour Brexit, but the Brexit process has been so criminally mishandled that it is hard to avoid the conclusion that that mishandling was done deliberately.
Whatever the truth of all that, the fact is that the sheer duration of this whole process, which has now gone on for over three years, has not only delayed democratic decision from being implemented, but has denied democracy itself. Now it is said by the Remain partisans that it is so long since the 2016 Referendum that huge numbers of people have changed their minds or even just died, and so it is bizarre to implement the Referendum decision.
That view is not without force: the process has dragged on. People may well have a different view now, but that is in part why the process should have been expedited and handled properly. If a general election were called and held and if then the results were delayed in being implemented for 3 or 4 years, I daresay that many people would start to say “I have changed my mind!”…
So here we are, still in a state of uncertainty. I cannot say whether the UK will leave or (in the Remainers’ propagandistic “transformational vocabulary”) “crash out” of the EU “without a deal”, i.e. on basic WTO terms, or whether some “deal” not very dissimilar to Theresa May’s one(s) will be accepted both by the person presently posing as Prime Minister and by the UK Parliament. It is an open question as I write.
What about the next election?
It now appears that any general election will not be called until October (assuming that Parliament is not recalled until October) and so may not happen until November, or even later.
Boris Johnson wanted to make the next general election all about Brexit. That way, fervent pro-Brexit voters would join with those who would vote Conservative-label whatever, giving the Conservative Party a Commons majority fuelled by Brexit anger. That has now been denied to him.
As time goes by, the inadequacies so obvious in Boris-Idiot will become ever more apparent. That is a major reason why Boris needs a swift election. Time is not on his side, in my opinion.
At present, most of the opinion polls put the Conservatives well in the lead, by 3, 5, 10, even 14 points over Labour. Neither the LibDems nor Brexit Party are at 25% in the polls, though a recent outlying poll had the LibDems close to 20%. A national average below 25% will not change political history.
In 2005, the LibDems got 22%, then increased that to 23% in 2010. In 2015, the LibDem vote declined to 7.9%, and in 2017 to 7.4%, but the LibDems’ propensity to embed themselves in particular seats meant that they retained 8 seats in 2015 and (by reason of Britain’s mad and unfair FPTP voting system) won a total of 12 seats in 2017.
At present, the Conservatives are polling generally above 30%, in one outlier at 35%. Labour is in the doldrums, somewhere in the 23%-29% range. That is very poor, bearing in mind the overall situation.
Present polling would place the Conservatives in Commons-majority territory, though the size of that majority could be anywhere from single figures to triple figures.
The Jews have been on Corbyn’s back for years, and he has (perhaps typically) chosen to ignore the threat from them rather than take the war to them. So he has chosen (along with John McDonnell) to parrot “holocaust” nonsense and the like (eg on officially-marked “holocaust” days), rather than fight the lies and fakery of the whole “holocaust” scenario and mega-scam. Meanwhile, Tom Watson, Corbyn’s supposed deputy, someone completely in the pocket of the Jewish lobby, has chosen this crucial time, of all times, to highlight yet more “Labour antisemitism” propaganda!
In other words, Labour remains a house divided and in fact divided in more ways than one. That does not attract voters. Also unattractive to much of the electorate is the fact that so many Labour MPs now are blacks and browns. The Labour core vote now is really the black-brown part of the population, together with public service workers (notably NHS) and others paid or supported via State monies of one kind or another.
The white British voters are mostly not voting Labour now: the Scottish ones mostly vote SNP and Conservative (about 70% in all), whereas the English are voting primarily Conservative (42.4% in UK in 2017, but that figure disguises a higher percentage in England itself). It is not that voters generally like or respect the Conservatives, but that Labour is a complete turn-off for many. A vote not for, but against…
Labour however has some good cards to play in terms of policy: rail nationalization, utilities regulation, rights of tenants and employees. It is just that it is not being allowed by the pro-Conservative/pro-Israel msm from putting that message effectively to most voters. There is also the point that, despite the complete unfitness of Boris Johnson for public office, his age and vigour (albeit misdirected vigour) helps him vis-a-vis Corbyn, who is presented in the msm as old and (by implication) useless.
I do not see Labour as coming back, in electoral terms, in most of England and Wales outside London and the West Midlands/Northern rustbelts. Could anything change that? There is one thing. Breakdown of public order and/or resupply of basic goods.
The Yellowhammer report, if accurate, indicates the possibility of shortages of fuel, medicines, even fresh food, if the UK leaves the UK without a “deal” of some kind. If that were to happen, then people would rapidly turn, not to Labour, as such, but against the Conservative government.
There are other nuances: Brexit Party has deflated from its stellar start, and the Conservatives have rejected an electoral pact, but if the UK does not fully leave the EU in reality, Brexit Party, like Antaeus, would contact its native earth and be reinvigorated. That would cut into the Conservative vote. On 15%, Brexit Party weakens, but not mortally, the Conservatives’ chances; on anything over 20%, Brexit Party would cull dozens if not hundreds of Conservative MPs even if Brexit Party itself were to win few seats.
Another Con Coalition?
Jo Swinson, entirely in the pocket of the Jewish lobby, has now said that she would never “work with” Corbyn (because of “anti-Semitism”, she says; but she is completely pro-finance capitalism anyway). That would seem to rule out a coalition or arrangement with Labour (so long as Corbyn heads it); it does not rule out a coalition with the Conservatives.
Conclusion
I should say that, at this stage, despite most polls showing the Conservatives many points ahead of Labour, the next general election is quite open. It is unlikely that Labour can win a Commons majority, but it is just about possible that, if chaos or the appearance of chaos soon rules, Labour could, if largest party, come to an arrangement with the SNP and smaller parties (Plaid, Greens, some Northern Irish) to form a minority government.
A Boris Johnson government with a real majority would be a catastrophe. You might as well relocate the UK government to Tel Aviv.
Much depends on whether Boris Johnson makes major mistakes between now and then. Apart from that, the election may well be dependent more than usually upon…events.
Economists at world’s biggest banks now scoping out fiscal/economic/ sterling/ market response to a snap General election…
eg Citi, a surprise to some, say base case for Johnson win now No Deal, Corbyn now second ref & remain, and have GDP 1.5-2% higher under Corbyn-led Govt: pic.twitter.com/0TKaLFkrAT
…which would give the “Conservatives” a Commons majority of as much as 92.
On the other hand, ComRes has published this (see below), which might see Labour as the largest party in the Commons (265 seats as against the Conservatives’ 261) but about 61 seats short of a majority, in which case the only way in which Corbyn could rule would be via an arrangement with the SNP (Jo Swinson having already ruled out the LibDems, who on this showing might have 45 MPs), with Plaid Cymru, Green and Irish MPs in the mix. What would the SNP want as an inducement? Probably more funding for Scotland, and the right to call another Independence referendum whenever they like. I imagine that the Kremlin will be taking a keen interest, in view of, inter alia, the nuclear submarine bases in Scotland.
The two latest polls indicate the political uncertainty about: the YouGov poll might mean a Conservative plurality in the Commons, but no majority (perhaps about 6 short of a majority, so not so different to the present situation); the Opinium poll, in a general election, would give the Conservatives a Commons majority of around 156!
In the Notes, below this article, is the text of a Guardian piece by the well-known expert on the British Constitution, Vernon Bogdanor. Worth reading, but what struck me apart from its detail was that one possibility mooted as a way out of the Brexit impasse is a so-called “government of national unity headed by someone such as Keir Starmer or Yvette Cooper“. YVETTE COOPER?! You mean (he means) Yvette Cooper the expenses cheat and greedy careerist freeloader? Yvette Cooper the “refugees welcome” hypocrite, who thinks that British people should all have to put up with culturally-backward hordes invading their country, their neighbourhoods, even their own homes? (Needless to say, Yvette Cooper and her equally greedy, cheating, freeloading husband, Ed Balls, have somehow avoided sharing their own comfortable large home(s) with the migrant-invaders). Yvette Cooper, the total doormat for the Jewish-Zionist lobby?
That sounds to me more like a government of national disunity!
In fact, though it may be largely factually correct, the Guardian piece shows to what extent the mainly London-based chattering classes and msm milieux are out of tune and in fact completely out of touch with what I take to be the majority of the population.
A “government of national unity”? In order to deal with a crisis entirely inflicted upon the people by the political class and more particularly the Conservative Party? It is not so much about Brexit itself as about the way in which persons governing despite being unfit to govern have criminally mishandled Brexit. I myself favoured Leave and Brexit in 2016, and still do, but (in the immortal words of Johnny Mercer MP), this is “a shitshow” and most of it has been and is a Conservative Party shitshow.
I expect that many will see my view as unnecessarily apocalyptic. I disagree. Many opinion polls have shown how very disenchanted the voters really are, to the point where many are willing to vote for Brexit Party, a party which, apart from the UK leaving the EU, has no policies at all. That willingness, to vote for a new party without any real policies (even in outline) also supports my view that voters at present are voting against the parties they oppose, rather than for parties they support.
There is no social national party for people to support (obviously I do not bother to examine again the bad-joke “parties” of recent years: Britain First, For Britain, the rumps of the old NF and BNP etc). UKIP too, which —as I predicted since 2015— is now so “yesterday” that I almost forgot to include it. There is a political vacuum.
As it is, the voters are left, at present, with the LibLabCon parties, i.e. the System parties, and the Brexit Party. Anyone (meaning anyone white and English, or Welsh, the Scots having the faux-“nationalist” SNP) and discontented with the way the UK is, can only either refuse to participate or can vote Brexit Party as a protest (or vote of hate against the System parties).
How has it come to this, that instead of the UK leaving the EU in a fairly orderly fashion, the government and msm are now talking in terms of food shortages? This is unbelievable! Those responsible are mainly the ministers and MPs of the Conservative Party, who after all have been in power now for over 9 years, including of course the 3 years since the 2016 Referendum. It is they who have messed up the negotiations, they who have blithely said that everything will be all right, they who have been the Government. Not Labour, not the LibDems, not Brexit Party.
Now we come to Boris-idiot. Boris Johnson as Prime Minister is, to me, no more acceptable or believable than food shortages as a result of Brexit. To me, he is not a legitimate Prime Minister of this country. He is totally unfit to be a prime minister of anywhere. He is only there because of the flaw in the UK’s constitutional arrangements, by which flaw a prime minister can resign without that prime minister’s successor having to call an immediate general election. In the case of Boris Johnson, he is also there because spineless Conservative Party MPs thought (I doubt rightly) that Boris-idiot was or is more “electable” than any of his opponents in the Conservative Party leadership contest, and so would give all Conservative Party MPs a better chance of electoral survival.
When you see Boris-idiot, you have to factor-in to everything that he says or writes that his primary and often only purpose is his own selfish interest.
Now we are told that Johnson is set on either leaving the EU on bare WTO terms or (if he can frighten the EU enough) getting a better “deal” than did the absurd bad-joke PM, Theresa May.
Boris-idiot’s calculation is very very obvious: if the EU makes even a slightly better offer, Boris “Tribune of the People” and “Conquering Hero” presents that to the House of Commons, which then either accepts it (so anointing Idiot as “great statesman” who would probably then win a general election if held fairly soon thereafter), or rejects it (so casting Idiot as “heroic but conspired against”).
On the other hand, if the EU refuses to make a better offer, Boris The Poundland Churchill can shake his fist at Brussels, take or try to take the UK out of the EU on WTO terms, and if that is blocked in the Commons, hold a general election, casting himself again as that “Tribune of the People” against Remainer (especially Labour, LibDem and SNP) MPs and Brussels eurocrats.
Whatever happens, keep eyes focussed on the fact that Boris Johnson is doing whatever he is doing for short-term political advantage. Having supported the fake “austerity” of his fellow part-Jews David Cameron-Levita and George Osborne, Boris Johnson now flashes the cash everywhere: NHS, police, whatever. Shallow 18th Century style largesse-politics.
Is Boris-Idiot correct in his calculations? Will be be borne back to power on a wave of anti-EU anger? I doubt it.
Let us say that there are food shortages (whether caused by Brexit, hold-ups at the ports, miscalculations by the large supermarket chains or panic-buying by the urban masses in the British cities). Who will be blamed? The EU? Perhaps, partly, at first. However, I believe that the people will also and in any event before long start to blame (and with reason) the “Conservative” government.
If the UK does not leave the EU on 31 October, then government remains paralyzed by its lack of a Parliamentary majority. If an election is then held, Brexit Party will stand in 650 constituencies and so enable the slaughter of dozens and even hundreds of Conservative MPs.
Boris Johnson is probably calculating that, if he can take the UK out of the EU on 31 October 2019, the voting public will see him (however ludicrous that may be to you and me) as a strong leader (when he is neither) who has kept to his word. He can then in effect call a general election and hope to win a Commons majority because either Brexit Party will fade away or not stand candidates, or will be sidelined by the electorate.
No doubt Johnson will hope that, like Pacific salmon who die after spawning, Brexit Party will expire, having reached its goal of a UK exit from the EU. Such a calculation may be misplaced. How Brexit Party would present itself if the UK really does leave, at least on paper, on 31 October, I am unsure. Perhaps by saying that the exit is not sure, not definite or that Brexit may possibly be reversed by an incoming government.
One thing is certain: Brexit is about more than Brexit and, that being so, Brexit Party itself, should its leader Farage so decide, could morph into a party of general faux-nationalist discontent. That sounds vague, but what is more vague than a party with neither policies nor ideology?
There is more going on than Brexit, of course. All the problems the UK has will still be there on 1 November: mass immigration (which will not stop after Brexit, far from it!), NHS decline, social security and housing defects and shortages, the increase in violent crime, social decadence and decline; and so on.
The msm and TV talking heads, the metro-“liberal” journalists, lawyers, media folk etc, all insulated by affluence, mostly London-centric, were shocked by the 2016 Referendum result, by the 2017 election results, by the immediate failure of their briefly-cherished “Change UK” pro-Jewish joke party, by Trump’s election too. In a word, these people are out-of-touch. Their experience of the years 2010-2019 is not the same as that of well over half the UK population.
My view is that a coming general election might produce a big shock again. The only thing preventing a landslide for a social-nationalist party is that, quite simply, no social national party exists.
In the no doubt upcoming 2019 or possibly early 2020 General Election, I believe that neither of the main System parties will do well. I believe that both the LibDems and Brexit Party could do well, if only as a reaction against the main two.
The two main System parties have both been losing not only loyal voters but their own raisons d’etre, and their heart.
Labour will keep the votes of the blacks and browns generally, as well as those of the public service workers and those dependent on State benefits. It may not keep the votes of those it has taken for granted for a century: the British (i.e. white) poorer people as such. They are now either voting with their feet (i.e. not voting) or voting desperately elsewhere. In 2005 or so, BNP; 2010-2015, UKIP. Now they vote, some of them, Brexit Party. I put the Labour vote as likely to be around 30%.
The Conservative Party cannot now appeal to Thatcherite-style “aspiration”. That was something real back in the 1980s. I remember sitting in a branch of Wheeler’s (fish restaurant) in Blackheath in 1986 or 1987. At the next table, a young plumber (the tables were not far apart and he was a little loud) and his girlfriend talking about his income, his house-purchase plans etc. Afterwards, my then girlfriend and I mused about the social changes then in train (a young tradesman and girlfriend eating at Wheeler’s and buying a house). Could that happen now? Perhaps, but it would be unusual, I think.
The Conservative vote nationally is now mainly that of the rich and affluent (nothing new there), which would be no more than 5% to (at most) 20% of the population. There are some older but not affluent people who still vote Conservative out of long habit, even against their own interests, but they are a dwindling stock. That is why the Conservative MPs backed Boris-idiot as their leader, because they hoped that this part-Jew public entertainer could jolly along enough unthinking voters to make up the numbers. All the same, I should not put the Conservative vote now much above 30%, and that might fall back to 20% if the UK experiences significant disruption or economic dislocation soon.
The LibDems may soon be able to corner the Remain vote in the South of England.
Brexit Party might just be the recipient of any further or renewed “roar of rage” from an electorate in pain. If that happens (meaning if Brexit Party gets at least 20% of the popular vote), then the Conservatives will soon be “an ex-party”, at least so far as government is concerned.
Many might say, so you get rid of a Conservative MP and put in a small-c conservative Brexit Party MP, what’s the difference? Well, it’s not that simple anyway (because LibDems and Labour might capture more Con seats than does Brexit Party), but the good thing is that many many evil Conservative Party MPs will be out of UK politics, many for good. Connections and career paths will be ruined. I don’t much like Champagne, but if that happened, I might make an exception. If the damage were great, I might even drink Bollinger instead of mere champagne-type such as Sekt.
A similar picture might emerge in the North as regards Labour (if Conservative voters vote Brexit Party to keep Labour out), but one thing at a time! The main thing is to cull the hundreds of Conservative Friends of Israel. And it could soon happen.
The way lies open, not far away, for social nationalism on a scale never before seen in the UK.
My analysis was right, but my prediction not right as far as the chances at an election of the Conservative Party were concerned. I failed to foresee that con-man Nigel Farage would stab his own candidates and Brexit Party members in the back, and stand down virtually all Brexit Party 2019 General Election candidates, thus gifting the Conservative Party and Boris-idiot an 80-seat Commons majority.
I have just now watched a BBC TV show, Putin’s Russia with David Dimbleby. In the programme, Dimbleby goes around Moscow interviewing a variety of people and asking their opinion of V.V. Putin. He started off by interviewing a lady who has had, I think, 10 children, thus ensuring her a medal, significant State financial benefits and a title which is different from but in essence the same as the old Stalin-era one, Mother Heroine of the Soviet Union. Fairly predictable opening gambit.
Dimbleby interviewed a number of dissidents: Yevgenia Albats, a fairly obvious Jewess and anti-Putin journalist; then another woman, who was arrested for 5 minutes, then released without charge, for going to the Duma (Parliament) with a satirical cardboard cutout of a pro-Putin politician accused informally of sexual offences. Hardly Stalinist repression: the same could happen in the UK. Finally, he interviewed an anti-Putin think-tank personage, who says that, while there probably was government interference in the recent Russian Presidential election, Putin would have won anyway. The dissident political figurehead Navalny was mentioned by Dimbleby. Navalny’s poll ratings have usually been well below 20% and his electoral showing as Presidential candidate was about 1%.
On the pro-Putin side, Dimbleby interviewed a smoothly duplicitous Russian Orthodox prelate who would not have been out of place in the Roman Catholic Curia c.1600. It should come as no surprise that the Russian Orthodox Church supports the Russian state. After all, the slogan of late-Tsarist official Pobedonostsev was Orthodoxy, Autocracy, Nationality [Православие, самодержавие, народность]. The Russian Orthodox Church Church (that is, the small part not repressed during the Jewish-dominated years of the Revolution, Civil War, 1920s New Economic Policy and 1930s Stalinism) supported Stalin –or pretended to– during the 1940s, though ignorant peasant Khrushchev again repressed the Church during the late 1950s, the “Thaw”, a period otherwise thought of as “liberal”.
Dimbleby also visited a class of children being taught weapons handling and maintenance, mixed with some patriotism and religion, an ironic twist on non-urban America. Dimbleby went on to talk with others: one ultra-nationalist whose interview was short and not-so-sweet; a group of young people, all Putin supporters. However, his most telling interview was with an Englishman working for RT, who was comfortable with his job and role.
It was pretty irritating to see Dimbleby, mouthpiece of the BBC, which is itself a mouthpiece for the UK Government and (like the UK government) riddled with Jew-Zionists, criticize lack of journalistic and individual liberty in Russia. He himself was party to the planned ambush of (arguably, naive) Nick Griffin on BBC TV Question Time, which (again, arguably) finished off the BNP, until then on a roll. Dimbleby was scathing about what happens in Russia to those who say the “wrong” things. Perhaps he missed the several recent criminal trials in the UK of anti-Zionist dissidents such as Jez Turner of The London Forum (sentenced to 1 year’s imprisonment for making a speech partly about Jews), or Alison Chabloz, convicted of singing satirical songs about the “holocaust” scam and the Jewish fraudsters who make money out of it. Ironically, Alison Chabloz is in court in London tomorrow, for sentence. The last two people named have also had their Youtube channels taken down. Alison Chabloz has also (like me) been expelled from Twitter. “Long live freedom”…
Anyone who was in Russia or the Russophone area in the 1990s (I was: a week in Moscow in 1993, a year in Almaty, Kazakhstan, in 1996-97) knows that, at that time, Russia was a wreck of a state, looted by (mainly) Jews. People starved by the million, especially the elderly. Yeltsin was a corrupt puppet. Putin may not be the perfect philosopher-king, and he does have both personal and ideological flaws, but his rule was and still is necessary.
Postscript
Dimbleby also criticized the lack of an independent judiciary in Russia. I was unable to compare that to the English system, in particular to the Alison Chabloz case, in which the defendant, a satirical singer-songwriter persecuted by the Jewish-Zionist lobby, was in court for –in effect– singing songs, because the matter was still before the court. Now that she has been sentenced, I can mention the fact that, at first, she was before the Chief Magistrate for London, one Emma Arbuthnot. The latter is married to a Conservative Party MP who, like 80% of such, is a member of Conservative Friends of Israel; the couple have been on all-expenses-paid trips to Israel. Alison Chabloz, via her lawyers, objected to Mrs Arbuthnot presiding, and she recused herself (stepped down from the case). Arguably better than Russia, but not much.
The by-elections in Stoke Central and Copeland have been held. The public relations people for Labour (UKIP seems to have no public relations section) are still trying to spin positives out of the Stoke result and even the Copeland defeat. The time has come to look to the future based on what can be taken from these by-elections.
I blogged before the poll that, if UKIP failed to win Stoke Central, that that would surely be the end or at least beginning of the end for it as a serious contender. I have also blogged and tweeted for 18 months my view that UKIP peaked in 2014. I have no reason to change those views now.
As a candidate, Paul Nuttall was fairly poor, not resilient, not intelligent, not really passionate enough politically. The UKIP organization or administration of the campaign also seemed poor. Overall, as in the past, UKIP seemed to be afraid to really set the campaign alight. The law being what it now is, UKIP could hardly have copied the successful 1960s Smethwick Conservative by-election candidate whose posters said “if you want a n****r for a neighbour, vote Labour”, but UKIP seemed to want to bypass the race/culture question entirely. There was no bite to the UKIP campaign.
The Labour candidate at Stoke Central, Gareth Snell, might fairly be described as “a poorly-educated and spotty Twitter troll, living mainly if not entirely off his allowances and expenses as a local council leader, who seems never to have had a non-political job (except a trade union one of some kind)”. In some respects he was a worse candidate than Paul Nuttall.
One has to bear in mind the heavily-industrial, heavily-Labour-voting history of Stoke-on-Trent. Labour has always had a built-in advantage there. The Conservative candidate, Jack Brereton, though looking like a schoolboy, did well to come a close third to Labour and UKIP, though in fact the Conservative vote increased by only a modest 1.8 points over the 2015 result.
Apathy or hostile apathy was the real winner in Stoke Central. 62% of the electorate did not vote. No party energized them to come out to vote for it.
As to Copeland, the main point that leaps out, apart from the obvious Labour car crash, is the poor performance of UKIP.
Future View
UKIP
UKIP surely must be finished now. It started in 1993 and in the nearly 24 years since then has failed to win a single Westminster seat, save for that of former Conservative MP Douglas Carswell, who is really just a Brexit Conservative and “free market” globalist.
UKIP would have been in a far better position had it won even a couple of seats at the 2015 General Election, but, in the irritating phrase, “we are where we are”. Theresa May’s Brexit policy has “shot UKIP’s fox” on the EU.
That leaves immigration, race and culture. UKIP now seems to have many spokesmen who are not of European race, so UKIP is not even offering the UK a white persona, a white country, if you like.
The conclusion is clear: UKIP is pointless, hopeless and must go.
Labour
Labour has been declining for years. Corbyn is both symptom and cause. The disappearance of the industrial proletariat has swept away the bedrock underneath Labour, replacing it by the sand of the “precariat”. Labour imported millions of immigrants, who are now breeding. The social landscape becomes volatile. The political landscape too.
The elimination of “socialism” from Labour led to focus-group rudderlessness, surely personified by Tony Blair, who has no principles, no real ideology, just careerism, self-seeking and politically-correct non-thinking. Labour became a party made in Blair’s image. It has no real ideology any more, not even social-democracy.
By 2020, the House of Commons will consist of 600 MPs, reduced from the current 650. Labour is currently at about 25% in the opinion polls and it is likely that, in 2020, Labour will have between 100 and 200 MPs in the House. Labour cannot now form even a coalition or minority government. It will slowly crumble.
The Future Beyond 2020
A new social nationalist party must be formed. It must be ideologically clear, administratively disciplined, capable of gaining trust and credibility. When a crisis comes, that small party may be able to seize control, as has happened before in history.
Update, 23 April 2019
I am updating because there has been much water under the bridge in the past 2 years and 2 months. Labour did fail to become the largest party in the Commons at the 2017 General Election, held a few months after the above was written. However, the Conservatives lost ground. Labour has trailed in the opinion polls since I wrote the above blog post, but just recently has managed to come back, not really on its own merit but because the Conservatives under Theresa May have had a complete car crash in several respects, especially Brexit. Labour has been sitting on the fence, not exactly a “cunning plan” but effective enough…
As for the planned reduction of MP numbers to 600 (from 650), that will not now occur.
Update, 6 December 2020
I just noticed that my prediction of Labour MP-strength in the House of Commons (100-200 by 2020) was right: the Labour Party now has 200 MPs (201, if presently-suspended Jeremy Corbyn is included).
At date of writing, and despite the appalling incompetence of the Boris Johnson government, Labour under Jewish lobby puppet Keir Starmer is still trailing a few points behind the Conservative Party.
The Reform candidate came second, with 24.2%. The Conservative vote slumped to 17.6%.
It is not unlikely that Reform will triumph next time, looking at the present opinion polling nationwide.
Incidentally, Snell is now married to half-Jewish former MP Ruth Smeeth, the Labour Friends of Israel member and alleged agent for both Israel and USA, who now sits in the degraded House of Lords as “Baroness Anderson”, having been “ennobled” by Conservative Friends of Israel former PM, “Boris”-idiot. What price “democracy”?
Ian Robert Millard 