Tag Archives: General Election

General Election 2019 Daily Updated Blog (no.7)

Time for a new blog thread covering the upcoming General Election set down for 12 December 2019. As with the previous six, it will be updated many times daily.

Only 9 clear days left before Polling Day.

Boris-idiot must be stopped. It is not a matter of being “pro-Corbyn” or “pro-Labour” (which I am not, as such) but of stopping a superficially constitutional coup d’etat.

Johnson’s Cabinet is a pack of pro-Israel, pro-Zionist, pro-Jew traitors. Few are even British except in terms of their passports. In fact, Boris-idiot himself actually had a U.S. passport until 2017! He is part-Jew, part-Turk, part-God-knows-what, born in New York City, brought up in the USA and Belgium. His fake “English upper class” persona is a theatrical act on which he has worked all his miserable life.

Cartoons often explain political and social realities very clearly. Here is Boris-idiot misusing the recent terror attack for immediate political purposes:

boris

Below, David Davis making a fool of himself:

Pity. In some respects David Davis would have made a far better PM than Boris (well, almost anyone would, of course) but, at the same time, Davis is as thick as two short planks.

This morning, I heard some thick-sounding Welshman on Radio 4. Turned out that the weaselling idiot was the Secretary of State for Justice, Robert Buckland, no less!…

One of the most notorious Jewish Zionist fanatics takes yet again to Twitter to rail at a Corbyn supporter, in this case the singer Ed Sheeran.

 

So “50%” of Jews are “planning” to leave the UK if Labour “win” the election? Ha ha! I doubt it. Most of them, adopting the famous phrase of Macmillan, have never had it so good! We recall only too well Maureen Lipman‘s whining along the same or similar lines, starting in 2014. She’s still here, unfortunately.

Another example: former supposed “top defamation lawyer” Mark Lewis, the “top lawyer” whose only assets, according to the Solicitors’ Disciplinary Tribunal [SDT] under the auspices of the Solicitors’ Regulation Authority [SRA] at his 2018 “trial” —at which he was found guilty and fined—, were his own clothes, a mobility scooter and a pension worth £70 a week! “They” can certainly talk a good game! Lewis and his girlfriend/carer, Mandy Blumenthal, did go to Israel, i.e. emigrated, after Lewis was found guilty, but both have since returned on several occasions, and their emigration had nothing to do with Labour or Corbyn.

Mark Lewis was thoroughly exposed at his “trial” (disciplinary tribunal) as an offensively-ranting, medically slowly degenerating troll and fake, whose prescription drugs meant that (as he himself testified) he “did not know what he was doing” at times. He was also being jettisoned by his employers (in fact already had been, at time of trial) and had debts. He jumped ship, in effect.

[anyone wishing to read about Mark Lewis and his behaviour can do so here

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/01/11/update-re-mark-lewis-lawyer-questions-are-raised/

Below, Lewis once again giving flawed legal advice, this time about Israeli law!

Israel, despite being a liberal democratic country, is not an immigration country. Therefore, Israel does not have laws and regulations enabling foreigners who wish to come and settle Israel the opportunity to do so.”

https://www.visa-law.co.il/immigration-to-israel-and-israeli-citizenship/

“Both Zimmermann and Amar-Dahl describe a country that has historically welcomed, indeed, continued to actively seek Jewish immigrants from other countries. Yet, Israel shuns other refugees and immigrants. “They set a clear limit: admission for Jews only,”

https://www.dw.com/en/immigration-to-israel-one-mans-joy-is-another-mans-suffering/a-43769839

https://www.timesofisrael.com/most-israelis-dont-want-non-jewish-migrants-even-if-they-are-highly-skilled/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aliyah#Paternity_testing

As I have blogged in the past, I am very glad that “Mark Lewis Lawyer” is not my lawyer!

I had never heard of Ed Sheeran until about a year ago, and I would certainly not recognise any of his music, but I understand that he is quite popular. As to Silverman, whose sinister title at the Israel-lobby “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or CAA is “Head of Investigations and Enforcement”, you can read about him readily enough on the Internet. I myself  wrote this in 2017:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2017/07/13/when-i-was-a-victim-of-a-malicious-zionist-complaint/

The Jews (at least the Zionist, pro-Israel ones) seem to want to make this election, and British politics generally, all about them. An old saw says “be careful what you wish for”.

Leaving aside these nuisances, what about the real election news?

The news that struck me this morning is that the rail union, RMT, is planning to hold strikes, starting very soon. Well, recalling idiotic thickhead Bob Crow, the one-time (now deceased) leader of the RMT, I do not expect great intelligence from them, but it is hard to imagine anything more damaging to Corbyn and Labour than a strike on the railways just before a General Election!

It conjures up images of “the winter of discontent” in 1978-79. That actually affected relatively few people and did not last all winter either, but people who were not around then —and incredibly a few who were!— often tend to think of it as much more than it was; some think that the whole of the 1970s were either like that or “3 day weeks” because of power cuts (that was just a few weeks, and affected people only peripherally, as I recall, in 1974!). The RMT leadership are idiots. They want a Labour government, or at least for Labour not to be trashed, but then they do this!

And now for something completely different…

Politics should be an outcome of our adherence to our European race and culture, with roots going back into prehistory, but reaching out to a higher future evolution of society:

Just an antidote to the пошлость (“poshlost”) [Russian: tawdriness etc] of the present time…

I also wanted to honour that great conductor, Mariss Jansons (a half-Jew, in fact, as well as half-Latvian), who has died. His interpretations of Shostakovitch and some of the Scandinavian composers were very good.

This is not the place in which I should blog at length about the connection between race, culture and society, but let us at least keep that in mind during the hullabaloo of the election noise.

UKIP

It is a matter of mild amusement but no great surprise to me that UKIP is still around, though only as a shell. It failed to go social-national in 2014, and so failed to break through the FPTP voting scam-barrier in 2015. It slid lower and lower, until Farage found an excuse to desert. He then founded another waste-of-space party, which he has again stabbed in the back and deserted.

Meanwhile, the shell of UKIP is, incredibly, trying to pretend that it can win a seat or seats at this election! Here below is the “interim leader”, some silly old bag called Pat Mountain. I have searched online for information about Ms. Mountain but without much result.

I have blogged before about people who indulge in “hobby politics”, and this lady seems to be a prime example. While I do not disagree with her opposition to migration-invasion, she really should be knitting shawls, volunteering at the local cat rescue or just enjoying coffee with friends (all worthy pursuits, btw; I do not denigrate them) rather than pretending to lead a political party. Also, who are the other UKIP people, who are not ashamed to be led by someone like this?! Words fail…Take a look at the Sky News All Out Politics interview! (below)

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/patricia-mountain-ukip-tommy-robinson-general-election-1-6404488

 

 

She really thought that her time was too precious to waste finding out basic statistics like how many asylum applications were granted in the last year on record.

The problem is always “where do political parties go to die?”. When a party collapses, there is always a rump of it left for a while, like a piece of ocean flotsam. BNP, NF, UKIP, Communists (of various kinds) are still around. In this election, UKIP is actually fielding either 43 or 44 candidates (another fact of which its “interim leader” seems unsure). I do not know why UKIP is fielding candidates or why the individual candidates are bothering to stand. I am not a psychiatrist or religious counsellor.

As to the UKIP manifesto, released today, there is little wrong with the actual policies, in fact I agree with most of them, but UKIP people should stop hobby politicking and join a real social-national party— when one exists!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50628082

Latest poll:

 

 

 

As I was was blogging weeks ago, the polls are now narrowing. People who oppose Boris-idiot and his ZOG Cabinet are realizing that, to stop Boris-idiot, they need to vote Labour where Labour has a real chance and, where Labour has no chance, vote tactically for, in most cases, the LibDems (despite the flaws of the LibDems and Jo Swinson).

The ICM poll above indicates Conservatives as largest party but 16 MPs short of a Commons majority. That would be OK.

Update, 3 December 2019

So much for “the Conservative Party is the party of law and order”! I was just reading about a small, wealthy town in the South of England, which has one of the highest concentrations of millionaires etc outside parts of London and only small pockets of social housing and/or deprivation. Many houses are in the million-pound-plus bracket and few are worth less than half a million.

Apparently, 4 “yoots” in “hoodies” went around that wealthy quiet town for four hours on one recent night, attacking cars (18 cars in 13 quiet roads). They used crowbars, hammers and a rock so large that it had to be carried by two of the vandals together.

Residents of the town saw some of the vandalism but the vandals ran off when challenged, then carried on nearby. Some residents confronted the criminals but were threatened with a knife. The criminals were obviously unafraid. A number of residents not only saw or heard the crimes taking place but also called 999, only to be told to call 101, at which they were given a crime number and told that the crimes had been “registered”. Others were told that the police were “too busy” to attend.

The crimes noted above affected at least 18 people directly, possibly a hundred indirectly. According to the local newspaper, no-one has been arrested for the tens of thousands of pounds worth of damage: cars with windshields and windows put out, dents, holes etc.

The crime spree apparently went on for over 4 hours, until after 0200.

That town had its police station all but closed a few years ago (it is open for enquiries 9-5 but has few if any police, not even PCSO play police, stationed there). The town has a Conservative MP whom even local Conservatives agree is completely lazy and useless. The constituency is the 5th safest Con seat in the UK. The local council is all or almost all Conservative.

One has to ask: if the Conservatives cannot even keep safe an area like that, what chance London, Birmingham, Manchester? The citizens, unlike those of the USA, are forbidden from keeping, let alone using, firearms. Lawlessness triumphs. Would it have been so bad if the “youths” had been just shot? I don’t think so…

Voting Labour, at least where Labour have a reasonable chance of winning, will not bring about a Corbyn-Labour “Marxist” dictatorship, as his detractors (and even some of his supporters!) believe or pretend to believe. Labour, in this election, has little chance of getting even a small Commons majority. A minority Labour government (propped up by SNP etc) would never have the votes to push through some latter-day policy of, so to speak, “all power to the soviets!” or the like.

No. What you are doing, if you vote Labour (or, where Labour has no real chance, at least LibDem, SNP, or even Brexit Party), is preventing Boris-idiot from imposing a Jewish-lobby ZOG tyranny on the UK, a situation which could lead, eventually, to actual civil war.

On the other hand…

 

Tactical voting is not ideal, but in a situation where FPTP voting makes the election a rigged joke, may be the only option for many.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Meanwhile, Philip Schofield, who has been “doing very well” financially out of “Conservative” tax policies etc, nakedly partisan on TV (despite the General Election). He must have earned some brownie points with the Jewish lobby for this! Piers Morgan also bats for the Jew lobby… The msm is just infested…

 

 

I rarely agree with A.C. Grayling but I do now:

 

Latest opinion poll:

 

 

According to my calculations (using Electoral Calculus, including its Scotland prediction and tactical voting prediction), that would give the Con Party a Commons majority of 8. It is an open question whether the polls will continue to narrow. Maybe so, but the election is still very open either way.

8 clear days left until Polling Day.

This is the sort of evil which the Conservative Party has facilitated:

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/my-friend-died-after-being-21017627

“The Brexit Party has betrayed us”. Yes.

https://www.spiked-online.com/2019/12/03/the-brexit-party-has-betrayed-us/

Update, 4 December 2019

7 clear days left until Polling Day.

The tweet below makes a good point:

 

Not sure about exactly what “monthly tickets” are referred to, but the underlying meaning is sound: it costs far more in the UK to travel by train vis a vis most countries.

Here’s a tweet about the NHS, which the Boris-idiot Jewish-lobby ZOG Cabinet is planning to “sell off”, i.e. make into a market where (((American))) interests can make more money:

 

 

 

Johnny Mercer, former Army officer and Con candidate for Plymouth Moor View (MP 2015-2019) is getting into more trouble.

I had thought (initially, when Mercer became an MP) that he was better than the Conservative MP average. Wrong. Turned out to be a moneygrubber as well as being an incompetent. Credit where due, though: he did, with reason, call Theresa May’s government “a shitshow”. Rough tough soldier language.

 

 

 

I cannot comment on his military record, but I have to admit that in other ways Johnny Mercer is starting to annoy me. His outside “earnings”, for one thing; also, the fact that he “employs” his wife part-time (on MP expenses). Such family members can make anything up to £50,000, all paid out of Parliamentary expenses. The family income must have flourished since Mercer (who left the Army in 2013 with the modest rank of Captain) became an MP. I wonder what, if anything, his wife does for that money. A “nice little (extra) earner”, anyway.

Mercer is also pro-Jew, pro-Israel. Well, if he were not, I suppose making those extra pennies might be more difficult. He would probably be blacklisted.

In the tweet below, Mercer bats once again for the Jewish lobby, this time against a Jewish woman who opposes the established Jewish-Zionist lobby. Seems that, for Mercer, she is “the wrong kind of Jew”…

 

 

I missed this (below) yesterday, probably because Newsnight became so bloody boring as to be almost unwatchable years ago (I never see it now):

 

As for the NHS under a Boris-idiot government…

 

 

LibDems

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/jo-swinson-conservatives-majority-general-election-progressive-a9232361.html

I do not agree with the writer of that Independent piece that the election is cut and dried. True, the Conservatives are still ahead. True, Boris-idiot is still, incredibly, preferred as PM by 40% of voters (Corbyn is on 22%). True, bad weather is forecast for 12 December, which helps the Cons (because many of their habitual voters are elderly and vote by post).

As against that, the level of the “youth vote” (meaning the under-35s) is hard to quantify but, in marginal constituencies, could change everything….if they vote…

Likewise, it may be that, as the LibDems slide to near-irrelevance in most constituencies, Labour will benefit from the LibDem failure (or will those LibDem voters just stay home?).

At any rate, for me the election is not cut and dried. The writer in the Independent thinks that it is, that Boris-idiot will get a majority and will then impose an elected dictatorship. I do not rule that out and, if it happens, there may only be one way to remove Boris and his MPs (and I think that my readers will be able to guess my meaning), but he has to get a majority first, and that may not happen.

As for Jo Swinson, I agree there with the Independent. There was no need to agree to this election. Jo Swinson did that, and so “shamed” Labour into joining in (but where was their steel?). Boris-idiot and his “advisers” (controllers?) got what they wanted.

Jo Swinson has spent much of the election campaign doormatting for the Jewish lobby. What a total waste of space she is! Most of her main policies are identical to “Conservative” ones anyway.

There is a rumour that she might resign even before the election! I doubt that, but it would be a boost for Labour, mainly, if she did. It seems that there is a 50-50 chance that she will lose her own Scottish seat. She’s washed up now, whatever. Stupid woman.

Update, 5 December 2019

6 clear days until Polling Day.

Latest opinion poll:

 

Hard to say what that poll means. According to Electoral Calculus, depending on Scottish and tactical factors, it could mean a Commons majority for the Cons of between 16 and 32.

The polls have narrowed, but still not enough, so far, to deny the Cons a majority. A couple of points more or less, and the Cons might be left 16 short of a majority. This election cannot be easily forecast.

BBC bias

I used to defend Laura Kuenssberg against accusations of bias and accusations of being part-Jew. I was wrong. She is part-Jew and she is biased. Re. the latter, have a look at Peter Oborne in The Guardian:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/03/election-coverage-bbc-tories

This (see below) is so true!

 

 

I was talking with a lady a while ago about the Conservative Party MP in her area. The MP, an unmeritorious beneficiary of one of the safest Conservative seats in the country, this slug, a former schoolmaster, is so lazy that when said lady wrote to him on a matter of great personal importance to her, the letter actually went unanswered. Not even fobbed-off, but unanswered. The slug has been photographed sleeping in the Chamber of the House of Commons and is despised both in his own constituency and the Commons itself. The said lady now lives in a neighbouring constituency.

I asked “Will you vote?” “Oh, yes!” (people of that age, about 90, feel that it is a civic duty). “Which party?” “Oh, Conservative! I would not want Corbyn getting in!” (there followed a few minutes of the result of Daily Mail and Daily Telegraph brainwashing…).

The absurd fact underpinning the above exchange is that, in both constituencies mentioned, a vote is a waste of time, because in both seats, the Conservative candidate has been elected easily since both seats were formed. In one seat with 40%-65% of the vote; in the other with 50%-60%. So whichever way someone votes it is a waste of time. If Conservative, 1 vote added to 40,000+ others, the majorities in recent elections being over 20,000. On the other hand, a vote even for the LibDem second-placed is also wasted, because so far behind, and one for Labour even more so (in 2015, Labour came 4th in one seat!).

Thus many, in a very rigged and unfair voting system, are now thinking of voting tactically in order to at least exclude the candidate least wanted.

NHS

Brave young doctor makes her points on a London Underground train. Striking. Equally striking, though, is the blase attitude of the other passengers, engrossed in their bloody telephones, apparently.

 

I was thinking about what a disappointment Johnny Mercer has been as an MP, overall. In fact, that is true of most officers who become MPs. Usually nbg (no bloody good), often moneygrubbers too. Dan Somebody or Other, paratroop officer, who was a Labour MP in recent years, and even talked of as leadership material. Turned out to be just another pro-Jew, pro-Israel nonentity. Then there’s Colonel Bob Stewart. And others.

 

 

I certainly agree with the tweet below!

By my calculation, that could still give a Con majority of 14 MPs. This election is getting close-run. It’s going to the wire.

Jews

The Jews, at least the supposed leading ones, have come out against Labour, and for ZOG elected tyranny. They have chosen their side. No mistakes. They have put tribal interests before the welfare of the British people. Fact.

General Election 2019 Daily Updated Blog (no.6)

I have decided to restart my General Election blog thread, for the usual reasons of convenience.

26 November 2019

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/26/can-labour-bounce-back-in-polls-with-just-16-days-until-election

Anyone who wants to read my reaction to the interference in the General Election by the Chief Rabbi (I prefer “Chief Pharisee”) can see it on my previous General Election 2019 blog (no.5). I made the point that, with (((typical))) damned cheek, the Chief Pharisee talked about “our country” and “the soul of our nation“!

What country or nation would that be? Ephraim Mirvis was born in South Africa, lived most of his life in Israel, finally moved to Ireland, and only in the 1990s washed up on British shores.

What interests me more is that virtually every newspaper has made this its front-page splash. Every radio and TV show leads with it too. I think that we can see where the influence and power (whether political, or the money-power) resides in the UK when it comes to the mass media…

Just saw this. Made me laugh, but it shows what fakery goes on in System politics (that’s right, fakery is not confined to so-called “holocaust” “survivors”! Neither is it confined to Jews, if truth be told…)

One of the most recent opinion polls, below, would seem to suggest that my assessment(s) in my General Election blogs, to the effect that Hung Parliament is as likely as a Con majority, might be right after all:

By my use of Electoral Calculus, that poll works out as suggesting Cons as largest party, but 14 MPs short of a Commons majority. So in other words, the Conservative Party would be worse off than it was before the prorogation. That would probably result in Boris-idiot being dismissed, stabbed in the back and the front by his own surviving MPs. Happy day!

If only Corbyn and Labour would just tell the Zionist Jews to shut up, instead of which Labour weasels, wrings hands, says how terrible “anti-Semitism” is (even when basically defensive in nature), and whines that Labour wants to stamp it out etc. “Stamp out” the freedom of expression of British people? Goodbye Labour…

The usual lack of self-awareness from Dunce Duncan Smith. I am against graffiti of every kind, mainly for aesthetic reasons, but if this is all that happens to Dunce and his cohorts, after what he has inflicted on so many, and over so many years, I think that he should offer up a prayer of thanks to the heavens.

While we are on the subject of the unintelligent kind of “Conservative”, take a look at Twitter account @TheaDickinson. “The stupid party” to the very marrow! Example:

Twitter account @AlexGPorter explains the reality: Labour’s tax plans mean that persons earning £81,000 p.a. or so will pay maybe £10 per month extra in income tax, but of course there are those who earn, or at least receive, pre-tax, literally millions p.a. They might well end up paying hundreds or even thousands of pounds per month extra tax (but they will still be receiving huge amounts; violins not required):

Not that I agree with all of the above plan. Independent schools do not pay tax on fees and donations because most are not profit-making. They are non-profit and for purposes of education and so are treated as charitable in the legal sense. Why do I oppose taxing their fees and donations?

Firstly because education has always been treated as one of the “heads of charity” under the (16thC) Statute of Elizabeth. That merely secularized the ancient privileges of previously-religious institutions which, before Henry VIII, provided almost all education. Of course, even today many schools are run by religious bodies.

Secondly, I favour schools having tax breaks because the UK must improve its educational level generally. You cannot do that by degrading the resources available to the best schools.

Thirdly, independent schools offer numerous scholarships and bursaries, which would be far less common were schools to lose significant funding by reason of having to pay tax or extra tax.

The polls are tightening” (as I thought that they would):

The battle lines are set, barring late events. 15 clear days before Polling Day.

Update, 27 November 2019

Switching on a radio, I hear that Corbyn has had a “car crash” interview with Andrew Neil. A brief extract was played on BBC radio news. A few thoughts on that:

  • Andrew Neil is the best political interviewer around at present, but
  • Andrew Neil is almost absurdly pro-Jew, and has repeatedly ranted against those who think that the Jews have disproportionate power, influence and money in the UK. Why Neil is so seemingly philo-Semitic in that sense, I do not know. There may be several reasons.
  • The BBC seemed to have a biased presentation (on the radio news), in that
  • In the extract I heard, Neil asked about taxing those earning under £81,000 p.a., and Corbyn tried to answer to the effect that, yes, in strict terms, those earning lower amounts might pay [obviously a small amount] of extra income tax but would get more back in other ways. In relation to that quite reasonable answer,
  • Andrew Neil wanted to focus only on income tax and
  • the BBC radio news cut off Corbyn’s reasoned response after seconds.
  • the BBC is acting like a biased State broadcaster. It has to go.

I am enough of a “democrat”, or at least sufficiently fair, to be at least somewhat shocked (though hardly “surprised”) by the BBC bias, despite my not being “pro-Labour” as such.

My other thought about the supposedly “disastrous” interview is that most people will not have seen or heard it anyway. Of course, the msm will push it on the news.

Labour should have said from the start, “yes, a relative few earning under £81,000 will pay a little more, about £20 a month, by losing one specific tax break, but will receive far more in other ways, so will be better off”. How hard is that?

In other news, low-profile (and thick as two short planks) Labour MP Nia Griffith https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nia_Griffith has said that Labour should “apologize” yet again to the Jews for daring to mildly criticize some of them. My thoughts:

  • Nia Griffith should be sacked at once, both as Shadow Secretary of State and as MP;
  • Nia Griffith is a member of Labour Friends of Israel;
  • Nia Griffith was a proven expenses cheat;
  • Nia Griffith is a lesbian;
  • Nia Griffith (previously a schoolteacher) has “done very well” out of being an MP since she was elected in 2005, owning a London flat, a house in Llanelli, Wales, and also a subsidized 10-acre smallholding in Wales (Carmarthenshire) in addition to the Llanelli house.
  • Why was Nia Griffith ever appointed as Shadow Sec. of State for Defence? She has no military, naval or other defence background, has never shown any knowledge about the issues, in fact has been all but invisible (she was a teacher before latching on to the old MP racket).
  • Another pro-Israel doormat.
  • Her outburst about Jews was obviously planned to cause as much damage to Labour’s General Election chances as possible; it’s treachery.
  • Was she ordered to make this outburst? If so, by whom? Labour Friends of Israel? The Israeli Embassy? Other treacherous “Labour” MPs or persons?
  • cf. the Shai Masot case:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=buFz_zkSHqs

Here’s a strange thing: Ian Austin, ex-Labour MP and one of the worst doormats for the Jewish and Israeli lobby in the UK, as well as one of the most shameless expenses cheats of the 2005-2010 Parliament (he was basically a fraudster) seems to believe that bestiality is not so bad that pornography involving bestiality cannot be decriminalized!

Austin is now a main figurehead for “Mainstream“, a Jewish-funded anti-Corbyn pop-up “organization”, together with another ex-MP, John Woodcock, the sex pest and depressive case (and another doormat for Israel and the Jewish lobby), who has now been appointed by Boris-idiot as a kind of Government snoop and monitor of so called “far right” people (social nationalists). Nice people…(not, obviously). Both of these blots used to block me on Twitter (in Woodcock’s case because faux-“revolutionary” and “licensed Bolshevik” “intellectual” (?) Owen Jones told him to!).

So Ian Austin thinks that bestiality-pornography, and some other types of pornography, should be decriminalized, but that “holocaust” “denial” (historical examination and revision) and anything “anti-Semitic” or critical of Jews should be criminalized?! Strange priorities. Makes one wonder about Austin, who is unmarried.

Breaking news, about a Conservative secret plan to sell off the NHS!

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/general-election-news-live-boris-johnson-corbyn-register-vote-labour-brexit-snp-a9219426.html

The above news is more confirmation of the basically alien nature of the upper ranks of the Conservative Party: multikulti cosmopolitans, rootless Zionist Jews and pro-Zionists from India, Pakistan, Uganda, New York City etc. Are any of the bastards BRITISH except in terms of their passports?

The NHS has its faults (not all money-related) but overall it is one of Britain’s best aspects, and must not be sold off to alien financial interests.

On the other hand, it may be that the NHS needs radical reform. A reader of my blog asked me today about South Korea’s health service. I knew nothing of it. I do now:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Healthcare_in_South_Korea

The Labour claim (and documentation) about the NHS “up for sale” to American health finance interests could be a game-changer in this election. The NHS is central to UK society. Its flaws. Its great strengths. Any suggestion that it might be sold off in bits to American finance will be greeted with horror by a huge majority of the voters, even by most Conservative Party voters.

This would produce a result of Conservatives as largest party, but (blessedly) 14 short of a Commons majority. Excellent.

Update, 28 November 2019

I expect that some who read my blog imagine that I am pro-Labour Party because I am 100% anti-Conservative Party. Not so. For me, it is essential that the Boris-idiot Zionist Occupation Cabinet is defeated, but a Labour majority government would also be very bad, though perhaps not quite as bad. The best result in the General Election would be a hung Parliament, leading to a weak minority government, preferably a Corbyn-Labour one. That would be the best seedbed for real social nationalism (rather than the fake Zionist-lobby “nationalism” of UKIP, Brexit Party, the “alt-Right”, Tommy Robinson, Katie Hopkins etc).

Boris-idiot is still avoiding an interview with Andrew Neil. He is afraid:

Below, a Jewish woman takes what must surely be a commonsense view of the contrived “Corbyn is ‘anti-Semitic‘” noise put out by the Jew-Zionist “claque”:

Isn’t it incredible? This storm in a teacup, meaning whipped up fakery of Labour “anti-Semitism”, has had more msm play in the past days and weeks than, eg, those dying after having peanuts benefits removed, millions trying to survive either on low benefits or low pay or both, the continuing invasion of the UK by blacks, browns and others, the NHS being slowly sold out and sold off to American (((financial))) interests, etc etc.

I wonder why the Zionist Jews and their self-interested whining have all the publicity? Could it be because, as Rupert Murdoch said some years ago, “they” own most of the Press in the UK? You can add to that, that (((they))) also staff most of the newspapers, TV and radio stations and so on. Any journalist not going along with what “they” want is immediately hounded and probably removed from his or her job. “They” have destroyed the independence of the UK msm, and are working on also censoring and “monitoring” social media and the Internet generally.

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Freedom of socio-political (and historical) expression is one of the most important battlefields of our time. Perhaps the most important.

From where I am standing, Labour and Corbyn do not seem to be “anti-Semitic” anyway, even in a defensive way. After all, I —of all people— ought to know! (Google “Ian Millard barrister” and you will see what I mean!).

When one thinks of everything the people of England have undergone even in the past 10 years, and that applies especially to the poorer people in this society, and yet the Jews (many of them anyway) do nothing but whine, complain, denounce people (i.e. non-Jews) to police, Twitter, Facebook etc, and make demands regarding their own selfish, self-interested tribal interests.

I should not be surprised if this contrived anti-Labour Party “anti-Semitism” whining and demanding results in an awakening of many formerly asleep people in this country —an awakening for the first time— to the disproportionate power and influence wielded by Jews in the UK, especially by Zionist Jews, and above all by those embedded in the mass media and politics.

Thinking about the General Election in a wider sense, I still think, despite the Conservative lead, that there is all to play for. Yes, the misnamed “Conservatives” are ahead in all the opinion polls, but there are margins of error of as much as 3 points, for a start. I have already blogged about how, a few days ago, two recent polls had almost —but not quite— identical figures, but one had Labour 2 points higher. That alone changed the likely result from Con majority of 48 to Cons being short of a majority by 4 MPs.

If the polls put Cons on 41% and Lab on 30%, it could be that the real figures are as different as Con 38% and Lab 33%. There again, every constituency is different, and national voting intentions do not predict every seat accurately.

The Greens are on 3% nationally and have been around that level for many years, but in 2010 Caroline Lucas was elected at Brighton Pavilion on a vote of about 31%, which became 41% in 2015 and 52% in 2017. Likewise, the LibDems are and have been able to apply a Schwerpunkt (concentration of forces) in particular constituencies, so despite getting under 8% nationally in both 2015 and 2017, were able to get 8, then 12, MPs elected (and the LibDem national vote declined in 2017 vis a vis 2015…).

UKIP scored higher than both the Greens and LibDems in 2015 (12.6% nationally) but nowhere had a constituency vote share big enough to get an MP elected, excepting a previously-elected Conservative defector in one seat.

It is quite possible for Labour to win this election even if it is 5 or maybe even 10 points behind the Conservative Party nationally. The seats that matter are the marginal seats, whether defined as the 50 most marginal, or the 100.

Labour has failed to really hit back at the Jews (meaning the organized pro-Israel msm Jewish/Zionist lobby). Next time, maybe, if Labour loses badly enough this time…

Apart from that, Labour should be hitting harder on NHS, private rent parasites, buy to let parasites, low pay, poor conditions at work, low standards generally. Labour should also try to reach out to the pensioner vote, as well as getting the generally pro-Labour under-35s to actually go out to vote on 12 December.

I like this:

“General election 2019: Labour promises to plant two billion trees by 2040

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50578207

Maybe volunteer tree-planters will have fun…

Swastikatree

This made me laugh:

corbyn

Saw the tweet by one “Jacqueline Mojito”, below:

Those quotations from the diseased mind of Boris-idiot are at one with the Oxford University student and Bullingdon Club member (the young Boris Johnson) who burned a £50 note while taunting a homeless man living in the street. He is evil.

I noticed a clip showing Boris-idiot’s motorcade leaving the town of Telford the other day. Four large Range Rovers or similar, with about 6 motorbike cops escorting and all normal traffic blocked off. They must be afraid that someone will do something to him.

Meanwhile: “Oh, now you’re getting it, old boy!”

[apologies for intruding this all but irrelevant clip from one of my favourite films]

Lewis Goodall of Sky News visits Hampshire:

Very true (and the old lady sounds nice, though sadly brainwashed in respect of the Jews. Typically English, typically naive…).

Read this.

https://metro.co.uk/2019/11/27/boys-benefits-cut-fights-life-dwp-said-fit-boy-age-11224686/

Those responsible for the kind of wickedness shown in that newspaper report have never been punished. Iain Dunce Duncan Smith, the Jew “lord” Freud, David Gauke, Therese Coffey, Esther McVey, David Cameron-Levita, George Osborne etc. Many others, some at the head of affairs, others not so much, right down to the robots at the bottom.

Another reason not to vote Conservative, despite Labour’s partial guilt and the LibDems’ very considerable “enabling” guilt.

Update, 29 November 2019

A couple of tweets I saw, to start today’s update:

LibDems

As I blogged previously, the LibDems are rapidly becoming an irrelevance in this election, because

  • though the LibDems have the unique aspect of being the sole Remain party of any importance in England (the SNP in Scotland and Plaid in Wales are also Remain, as are minor parties such as the Green Party), there is enough doubt or wriggle room in Labour for Remain voters to go with Labour;
  • though the Brexit mess overshadows everything, the agenda of the election has moved on: people need health services, decent pay, decent State help such as benefit payments etc; mass immigration continues; there is a housing crisis. People cannot live (and vote) by Brexit alone;
  • in the final analysis, there is going to be a harsh, Jewish-Zionist infiltrated Boris-idiot government (ZOG) in the UK unless Labour win enough seats to prevent a “Conservative” (ZOG) Commons majority. Only Labour has the ability to stop Boris; the LibDems do not have the means to win many seats, and if they did, they would just agree to another Con Coalition, as in 2010. They would “enable” the Boris ZOG Cabinet to trample on the British people;
  • Jo Swinson, it has become clear, has been elevated to a position (LibDem leader) which exceeds the level of her ability. I predicted it. She has been disastrous for the LibDems and has spent much of her time in the election campaign echoing “Conservative” cries about Labour “anti-Semitism”. A doormat for the Jewish lobby and Israel.

Assuming, as I do, that the LibDems will sink below even the 15% national polling they currently enjoy, what then? If the LibDems go down to 10% (which is certainly possible), then 5% of the national vote is going to go elsewhere, probably all or almost all to Labour. In 2017, 32 million votes were cast. That might be exceeded in 2019, but even on the 2017 figures 5% adds up to about 1.5 million votes. Per constituency, maybe 3,000 votes. Enough to upset many an applecart.

Another reason not to vote “Conservative”…

The Jews seem to want the UK 2019 General Election to be all about them. Others might say “be careful what you wish for”…

So spake Israel’s true king, and to the Fiend
Made answer meet, that made void all his wiles.
So fares it, when with truth falsehood contends.” [Milton, Paradise Regained]

Latest General Election news:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/general-election-news-live-boris-johnson-corbyn-andrew-neil-climate-debate-ice-polls-brexit-a9225591.html

I was pleased to see this latest poll, for two reasons:

  • it confirms that I was right to say that the earlier polls predicting a huge Boris-idiot/Conservative Commons majority would narrow approaching 12 December (admittedly trite, as such narrowing is commonly the case; and
  • those percentages suggest that the misnamed “Conservative” Party (aka and more accurately, the Con Party), would be left 11 MPs short of a Commons majority. Excellent. Boris-idiot will then be (politically) assassinated by his own MPs. The Ides of December…

[I should add that the polling company see their poll as suggesting a Con majority of 1].

NHS

Having been a serial hospital visitor (not patient) for the past decade, I agree with the tweets below:

NHS maladministration goes right to the top, and right down to the “trivial” (which is not so trivial when people suffer as a result) such as being unable to park a car at a hospital or only being able to park at considerable expense. It’s just wrong. Another example: Imagine hospitals so badly managed that patients and their families cannot easily find wheelchairs! (used to get immobile or semi-mobile patients around inside hospital buildings). You don’t have to imagine it. Just visit many NHS hospitals.

The same applies to basic cleanliness in hospitals.

The maladministration within the NHS dishonours the often excellent (not always but more often than not) work put in by the clinical staff.

LibDems again…

Just saw this:

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/who-is-jo-swinson-profile-of-an-unlikely-political-veteran-of-unforced-choices-k35l922sb

Behind a paywall, but it is clear from the bit I read that LibDem expectations have collapsed and that there is the prospect, not even of the LibDems ending the election campaign with fewer than the 12 MPs the 2017 General Election brought them, not even the below-10 predicted by me a while ago, but possibly of them being reduced to one or two MPs in total. However:

The election guru John Curtice said national polling might not be the only factor: “We might discover that the Lib Dem vote becomes somewhat more geographically concentrated than it was in 2017, and therefore their ability to convert votes into seats is rather better than you might expect.” [The Guardian]

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/29/jo-swinson-under-scrutiny-for-election-c”ampaign

The all-important Schwerpunkt again. I myself still think that the LibDems are going to end this election in the 5-10 MPs range. The LibDems’ wider, more national appeal is looking very weak. The old Liberal Party had a distinctive, if “Marmite”, appeal. The LibDems carried that on, but it started to lose that after 2010. The LibDems’ biggest problem is irrelevance and their biggest presentational problem is the lack of a distinctive image.

The “British” Press…

John Rentoul, one of the best-informed commentators, yet sees no problem with the Press being in such few hands. He denigrates Corbyn for identifying it as an issue:

Update, 30 November 2019

“Boris Johnson’s predicted Commons majority slashed from 80 to 12 in a week, poll of polls reveals” [Daily Telegraph]

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/11/29/boris-johnsons-predicted-commons-majority-slashed-80-12-week/?li_source=LI&li_medium=li-recommendation-widget

Boris-idiot responds to London Bridge attack…

The joke “Prime Minister” states that his answer is to make terrorist prisoners serve their full sentences rather than be released early…which would mean in this case that the individual would have had to wait another 2 years or so before launching his knife attack. Such a policy would just delay, not prevent. Boris is an idiot.

Meanwhile, Jennifer Arcuri, one of Johnson’s discarded “hoes”, and to whom Boris-idiot bunged £126,000 of British public money, has given an unintentionally funny interview:

“Jennifer Arcuri claims Boris Johnson was angry when he became foreign secretary because he could no longer visit her home

In a frank interview, the model-turned-entrepreneur says their relationship continued after he stepped down as mayor of London and became a cabinet minister – and that they were in touch as recently as July.

Ms Arcuri also comes closer than before to confirming a sexual relationship, saying it is always the woman who is criticised “when you have an affair with an older man”.

Referring to Mr Johnson’s promotion, in July 2016, she said: “He was pissed [off] when he became foreign secretary.

During their first encounter alone, in a hotel bar, he asked her: “Were you a model? You are absolutely beautiful. I can see you being a model and actress.”

She said: “He had complimented me but it was not sleazy in any way,” adding: “I knew where he was going with wanting to pursue me. I am not stupid.

“People had mentioned he wants to sleep with you and I said, ‘No, he doesn’t. He is just so enthralled with my mind.’

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/boris-johnson-news-latest-jennifer-arcuri-interview-affair-a9227121.html

Comedy gold.

[addendum: Arcuri’s former husband says that, while “Jennifer” —not her real name, apparently— had been a pole dancer, she had never been a working model; the “entrepreneur” or “entrepreneuse” is now being sued for about £70,000 in respect of non-repayment of student loan debt…]

The Conservative Party is losing any semblance of decent behaviour now:

The Ides of December have neither come nor gone. We are (as of tomorrow) in only the Kalends of December, and there remain 11 full days before Polling Day.

Voters in Ashford should remember that Conservative Party candidate Damian Green accesses, or at least accessed until he was caught, horrible porn, including bestiality:

https://skwawkbox.org/2017/11/04/deputy-pm-accused-of-extreme-pornography-screws-up-denial/

Is he friendly with Ian Austin?

Latest poll shows gap Con/Lab narrowing even more:

“The Conservative lead in the general election campaign has been more than halved in just one week, putting the UK in “hung parliament territory”, an exclusive poll for The Independent shows.

Boris Johnson’s party is now only six points ahead of Labour, it has found – matching other surveys suggesting the race is tightening dramatically, amid growing Tory nervousness.

Jeremy Corbyn is successfully winning back the support of voters threatening to defect to other parties, the poll by BMG Research shows, taking his party’s rating up five points to 33 per cent.

The Conservatives, meanwhile, have dipped two points to 39 per cent, six points ahead instead of the 13 points in BMG’s survey a week ago.” [The Independent]

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/general-election-latest-poll-boris-johnson-jeremy-corbyn-bmg-hung-parliament-a9227476.html

This is the danger which the msm drones are largely ignoring:

Maybe suited thug Matt Hancock will have to tell Tsar Boris that “the peasants are revolting!” (“and so are you, Hancock!”)

Update, 1 December 2019

Boris-idiot was too afraid to be properly interrogated by Andrew Neil, and the BBC was not going to allow the buffoon onto the softer couch of the Andrew Marr Show until he did agree to be interviewed by Neil.

Now, however, the craven BBC has caved, so Johnson will be on Marr shortly. The BBC has become, like the EU, unworkable. It has become, over the past 10 years, almost a government mouthpiece. There always were elements of that, starting (arguably) in WW2, but the BBC is now, to use the current phrase, “not fit for purpose”.

Marr show: all three newspaper reviewers women. Co-incidence or policy?

Issues covered in newspaper review: mainly General Election. Is Labour in trouble in its traditional Northern heartlands? According to Helen Pidd, Northern Editor of the Guardian, affirmative. For many voters, the question will be whether they break the local or regional taboo against voting Con, or simply abstain. My guess is abstain, but obviously that is a guess, albeit an educated one. If “abstain” is right, then it will affect only the most marginal seats.

The terror attack. Cons trying to use it politically, but after all there have been Con governments, in effect, in government for nearly 10 years now.

Another issue is rail and especially that of rail fares. Shareholders have just received over a billion pounds in dividends! Now fares are to rise again! This must help Labour, which wants to renationalize most rail.

Chuka Umunna on Marr. Ex-Labour (and ex-Change UK) MP Chukup, now a LibDem, saying that the LibDems were first or second in 134 seats in 2017, if I heard aright. He urges voters to vote LibDem tactically in seats where Labour has no real chance but LibDems do, in order to prevent the Cons from winning and getting a majority. That would be a good argument, had the LibDems any real integrity. Sadly, not. People remember the craven LibDem ministers and MPs in the 2010-2015 Con Coalition. The LibDems would prop up the Conservatives anyway.

Now Labour “baroness” Shami Chakrabarti comes onto Marr. Makes a few sensible points on terrorism, cuts to police and probation etc. She sometimes seems so far up her own **** that she might suddenly go into orbit or, perhaps, turn to stone and become a statue of herself. Her actual points are better than her initial presentation of herself.

My feeling is that Labour would do better not to engage too much with the terror issue. The Conservatives would love to link Corbyn with terrorism. After all, the recent attack was the act of one semi-lunatic, albeit politicized. It was not “terrorism” in the political sense, as was, say, the IRA bombing campaign of 1970-1999.

Boris-idiot now on Marr. Trying to say that Labour’s parole law of 2008 somehow caused the London Bridge attack of last week. Cons retained the “release at half-way” law. Boris tries to say “Not me, guv! I dindu nuttin” (tries to blame May and Cameron, too!).

Of course, even had the attacker been released 2 years or 3 years later, he still would have attacked. Boris is an idiot and his “idea” about amending the parole aspect would simply delay, not prevent.

Boris-idiot floundering under Marr’s not difficult questions. It must have stung Andrew Marr that he is thought less heavyweight than Andrew Neil. He is being a little more assertive than usual.

Boris-idiot is now blustering and talking nonsense (as usual). His metier is as a part-Jew public entertainer. I suppose that being a newspaper columnist, scribbling fact-free rubbish, is also his metier. Same thing, really. Or he could travel around the UK by train, meeting odd or unusual people etc, in the manner of a latter-day Michael Portillo.

Boris-idiot calls the Pakistani terrorist “this gentleman”! Ha ha! Corrects himself and next time calls him “that individual”. Come to think of it, Boris-idiot was not asked (and did not raise) the question of why this Pakistani terrorist, his family, his community, are even in the UK!

Marr’s interview with Boris-idiot is becoming a rout, unexpectedly. Boris-dork is gabbling, trying to soundbite every superficially-popular Con policy in the few minutes left, but Marr making the point that a plan for hospitals is not “36 new hospitals”. Marr also noted that the Conservatives have closed 300 magistrates’ and Crown courts over the past years. The County Courts were not mentioned. I myself used to appear as Counsel not only in the High Court and in the larger county courts, but also (2002-2008) at the small County Courts in, inter alia, Barnstaple, Penzance etc, now closed.

Marr also noted that the Conservatives have closed 500 public libraries.

Marr asks Boris-idiot about EU regulations which will affect Northern Ireland after Boris’s “BRINO” (Brexit In Name Only). Boris showing both ignorance and rudeness as his lying is prodded.

Marr asks Boris-idiot about his spending plans and how they might well be pie in the sky. He then prods Boris about Islamophobia and his own statements in the past.

Marr asks Boris why he has been avoiding Andrew Neil. Idiot refuses to say that he will be interviewed by Andrew Neil. Fact is, he’s scared…

Marr finishes by thanking “…you, Prime Minister”…

What a “car crash” for Boris-idiot! No wonder that he is running scared of Andrew Neil!

Now this!

Is Boris-idiot really so stupid that he thinks that he can just lift a thread of 16 tweets from a well-known Twitter account, and somehow no-one will notice?! He may be misplaced as “Prime Minister”, but fact he is in that role. He is also in the midst of a bitter election campaign. People will notice; they have noticed.

Well, after all, Boris-idiot was sacked for dishonesty at least four times...as trainee journalist, as journalist, as junior minister, and the only reason he avoided it when failing to do his job properly as Foreign Secretary was because Mrs May was weak and allowed him to hang on and then resign.

“Secret Barrister”, yesterday:

“Secret Barrister”, today:

I think that, for Boris Johnson, the General Election is coming two or three weeks too late. People are waking up on a larger scale now to Boris-idiot’s muddled stupidity, nastiness, dishonesty, incompetence, but most importantly lack of any real idea of how to get Britain from where it is to where it should be and still could be.

Even a week ago, the opinion polls, for what they are worth, were all showing the Conservative Party riding high and likely to get a stonking majority. Now, they begin to show a possible hung Parliament. The election is still very open, in reality, though I doubt that Labour could get a majority in any event.

It had to happen: at last Nicola Sturgeon has expressed a view akin to my own:

10 clear days until Polling Day. There is all to play for as far as the Conservatives and Labour are concerned. For Brexit Party, it’s already all over.

LibDems? Pretty much all over, though tactical voting may help them up to a point. No-one (very few anyway) will vote for Jo Swinson or LibDem policies generally. Even Remain partisans have mostly defected to Lab or even Con (on the basis that Boris-idiot’s “deal” is BRINO and not a full Brexit).

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/could-lib-dem-leader-jo-swinson-lose-her-seat_uk_5ddfa6c1e4b0d50f329d26d4

https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/jo-swinson-not-hit-home-20999590

I have to say that, if Jo Swinson loses her own seat, I shall be laughing. Jo Swinson has proven herself not only a bad joke as LibDem leader (I don’t care at all about that, of course) but also a complete doormat for the Jewish lobby. Out with her! Raus!

Looking at the figures for East Dumbartonshire elections, what strikes me most forcibly is the decline of Labour, from nearly 56% in 1964 to just over 12% in 2015 (14.6% in 2017):

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_Dunbartonshire_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Election_results

In honour of Dumbartonshire, an area which I have never visited:

(in fact the work by Stravinsky is not connected to the original Dumbarton in Scotland, but to the famous estate, in the Georgetown area of Washington D.C., where the world-historic Dumbarton Oaks conference was held in 1944)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dumbarton_Oaks

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dumbarton_Oaks#Dumbarton_Oaks_Concerto

General Election 2019 Daily Updated Blog (no.4)

Time to restart the blog thread. Previous ones are here:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/11/11/general-election-2019-daily-updated-blog-no-3/

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/11/06/general-election-2019-daily-updated-blog-no-2/

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/11/01/general-election-2019-daily-updated-blog/

16 November 2019

The Sun “newspaper” report about Farage standing down another 38 candidates:

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10357962/boris-johnson-election-brexit-party-candidates/

Only a few of those 38 constituencies are likely to elect a Conservative MP by reason of Brexit Party‘s withdrawal, but every seat counts at present. The total of seats withdrawn from Brexit “Party” contestation is now 355.

Apart from that, and despite the fact that I do not and never have supported Brexit Party (or its previous incarnation, UKIP), I feel almost infuriated myself that Farage has let down his thousands of troops in this way. God knows how they themselves feel! At least there was some logic, however mistaken, in the decision of Field Marshal Paulus to surrender at Stalingrad. In the case of Farage, his “army” was intact and fairly up for the fight, with at least some prospect of isolated successes here and there.

I discussed these matters in greater detail in my last blog thread about the election.

The polling experts seem agreed that Labour has “close to zero” chance of a Commons majority, a fact obvious to most people, surely, and for months if not years. The well-known Professor Curtice says that any narrowing of the Conservative lead below 8 points will place the result in hung Parliament territory; Kellner of YouGov, however, thinks that the present strong Conservative lead predicts a Con majority.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10358196/jeremy-corbyn-election-defeat/

I always go with the famous remark of Harold Wilson about a week being a long time in British politics. Only 25 clear days (plus Polling Day) now remain, but that is enough, dependent on events, to change the overall picture.

Police now examine whether the Conservative Party has rigged the election:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/16/police-assessing-claims-that-tories-offered-peerages-to-brexit-party

The “Labour Party offers free broadband” story is interesting. The msm have been unsure whether to laugh at it, regard it as a serious policy and/or attack it as almost Leninist.

It seems to me that there is an age differential here. A high proportion of those of pensionable age (and I should add, for those unaware, that I myself am now 63, incredibly) probably regard this Labour policy offering as mad or as irrelevant. Many of that demographic either do not use the Internet (quite a few have never used it) or use it only for reading emails and/or for reading the Daily Mail online. Most people of that age, say 65+, can easily afford a broadband service if they want one. Most people over 65 vote, the vast majority in fact, and most of those who do vote, vote Conservative.

When we move to the under-35s and especially the under-25s, we see that, in the 18-24 age group, only about 4% (acc. to some polls) support the Conservatives, and most do not vote. These are they who have never known a world without the Internet. Many are not affluent. A proportion are downright poor.

You can see from the above that those who disparage the Labour “free broadband” idea are those who have no problem getting good Internet provision anyway, who may or may not use the Internet at all, and for whom the Internet is a add-on to their world, not a sine qua non. Also, they are those who probably vote Conservative.

As to those young or younger people who mostly do not vote Conservative, and who probably like the concept of free Internet service, the big question is whether they like it enough both to register to vote and then actually to vote (Labour).

Will this make any difference? A question which may only be answered on 12 December. Britain Elects has this:

A popular policy, in outline.

In fact, this is one of Labour’s better ideas and I do not say so only because I was tweeting about free universal Internet access years ago (before the Jews had me expelled from the Twitter timewasting echo-chamber in 2018). I was putting the idea out there from about 2012.

If Britain is going to become a high-quality tech state, it needs fast and universal broadband, inter alia. It would enable areas more remote, less wealthy, more rural (in some cases. all three) to foster new service and retail enterprises and industries. It also helps to educate the population, educate in the wide sense.

There are other reasons to support the idea of universally-available free broadband. In the Britain of 2019, Internet access is not available freely to all, yet most freelance or other jobs and even most applications for jobs require Internet access. Many State benefit applications now require Internet access. Also, of course, even things which do not require Internet access (e.g. taxing a road vehicle) are done cheaper and easier online.

Some people say “Internet access is available from libraries”, but

  • not always free of charge;
  • only if there is a local library (many have been closed by reason of “Conservative” cuts since 2010);
  • only during (often very limited) opening hours;
  • often using outdated computers bought or donated years ago to the libraries.

Such limited access cannot be compared to 24/7 access free at home.

Now to the immigration question. Here is a typical tweet from a System/msm journalistic source:

The idea that (recent non-white) “immigration has been good for Australia” is news to anyone who knows the country. I was there as a child for nearly three years (1967 to late 1969), attended school there (Middle Harbour PS and North Sydney Boys’ High School), had and have relatives there etc. The non-white immigration (since the 1980s) has been disastrous, though the “business community” love it (as in the UK). Of course they do! Lower unit labour costs, more consumers, higher rents etc. For most people though, higher costs for everything (food, property prices and rents etc), lower pay, more stress on roads and all services. When I lived in Australia, the population was 12 million, Sydney about 2.5M of that. Now, 5M or more in the Sydney area, and 25 million in the whole of Australia.

Mass immigration is often not at all positive:

I have not revisited Australia since 1969, but relatives are always going backwards and forwards (four were here recently, one is still here), so I do hear impressions of the situation. About the non-economic consequences too…

The truth is that virtually all System msm outlets in the UK push the “immigration is great for the UK” line. The poor British people, who know that that is nonsense (and that knowledge applies even more to those aged over 60) are ignored, laughed at, ranted at and lied to (etc).

“Law and order”. Saw the piece below (first pub. a year ago), which puts “Shadow Home Secretary” and serial ignoramus Diane Abbott in her place.

https://emergency-services.news/?p=5778

Diane Abbott must be worth a million votes…to the Conservatives!

Update, 17 November 2019

Latest polling (Deltapoll) puts Con on 45%, Lab on only 30%; LibDems 11%, Brexit Party 6%.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7693553/Boris-Johnson-surges-ahead-Jeremy-Corbyn-polls.html

YouGov has reported similar results, though BMG Research says Con 37%, Lab 29%, LibDem 16%, Brexit Party 9%:

SavantaComRes polling:

According to my use of Electoral Calculus, the superficially-similar Deltapoll and YouGov polling would lead, in an election, to divergent results (Con majorities of 110 and 152 respectively), though both showing huge Con majorities all the same.

However, the not dissimilar SavantaComRes polling would leave the Conservative Party 14 MPs short of a Commons majority, worse than the 2017 result. In British general elections, the devil really is in the detail.

We see Labour support slowly growing now. In my opinion, this is mainly a “Stop Boris” surge rather than an “Oh, Jeremy Corbyn!” uplift. Those who hate the Conservative Party as it now is are beginning to see that a vote for Labour is their only option in most cases, except in Con/LibDem marginals.

The narrative has moved on from a purely Brexit analysis. Immigration has moved up the agenda. While in theory this plays better for Con than Lab, voters can see that huge numbers have invaded the UK unimpeded even since 2010. Labour cannot be blamed for that.

As cold weather advances, the deficiencies of the NHS come to the fore. That plays better for Labour, overall. The same is true for problems with rail, roads, utility bills etc.

I could hardly believe that, in the past week, Corbyn spoke in support of Gypsies and Irish tinker “travellers”, and against the British Army of the 1950s that fought the evil murderers and torturers of the Mau Mau and its support base, in Kenya. I think that part of Corbyn is not a Labour Party leader trying to speak for the British people (and get elected) but is still a campaigning Islington-residing backbench MP best described as cartoon semi-Marxist. As election speeches, those were a disaster. Fortunately for Corbyn, few voters likely to be swayed even heard or read of them.

Labour’s policy offers of free broadband, more regulation and possible part-nationalization of rail and utilities are meeting with at least some interest from voters, in the teeth of a completely one-sided msm barrage. I think that the days when some semi-literate “newspaper” like the Sun could make or break a campaign are gone. The newspapers are scarcely read anyway, these days, and the outdated “leader” pages and editorials are as out of date and irrelevant as the sermons of John Wesley.

It may be that, except in Con/LibDem marginals, the LibDem vote will mainly migrate to Labour as a way of stopping the Conservatives from winning.

As I see it, there is still a good chance for Labour to hold on to the extent that the Conservatives are denied a majority. If that happens, then the Conservative MPs will have no incentive at all to hang on to this idiotic clown, Boris Johnson, as leader. They only wanted him in the first place because he was supposed to be able to reach out to voters normally resistant to the Conservative Party. If he cannot do that, he is toast.

More from Professor Curtice:

“Ho” news…

Oh dear. Rather awkward…

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/17/arcuri-says-johnson-cast-her-aside-like-one-night-stand

Aforesaid “ho” gets free foreign trips and £126,000 taxfree from the British taxpayer (thanks to Boris-idiot) and she’s a “victim”, it seems!

Arcuri says: “It’s caused nothing but utter chaos, destruction and sheer disappointment on many fronts … and as a result I am the collateral damage that’s left behind. I mean the prime minister hasn’t been affected. He puts his head in the sand and looks the other way.” [Guardian]

Boris-idiot leaves chaos and confusion behind him, always. Well, does one expect anything else? After all…(((you know)))…

Recent tweets of note:

The problem (either way) in talking about Labour policies is that it is all but impossible for Labour to get a self-standing Commons majority, so the best it can hope for is a minority government propped up by SNP, odds and sods and maybe (Jo Swinson notwithstanding) the LibDems. It is very unlikely that Labour’s most controversial policies will ever become law and/or be put into effect.

My feeling is that the main two parties are at last starting to converge in the polls, though at time of writing the Conservative Party is clearly still ahead both in headline poll terms and on the majority of issues. However, with 24 clear days (plus polling day itself) to go, there is yet time for the voters to be less sure that they want Boris Johnson to get a real electoral mandate.

The election is clearly the Conservative Party’s to lose, but it may be that, despite Labour support collapsing all over the country, that is what will happen, resulting in another hung Parliament. If LibDems, whose preferred candidate in a given constituency has no realistic chance, switch tactically to Labour, if Labour supporters whose candidate has no chance switch to LibDem candidates (in Con/LibDem marginals), and if former Brexit Party supporters prefer a Lab vote to a Con one (as may be the case now in the North and elsewhere), then a hung Parliament is once again a not-unlikely outcome.

NHS moving up the political agenda:

Update, 18 November 2019

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7696323/Jeremy-Corbyn-refuses-FIVE-TIMES-say-wants-leave-EU.html

Once again, the msm tries to make out that Corbyn is not far from being a Russian agent (ironic, in view of the storm around Russian money and Boris-idiot…). In fact, getting rid of Trident is a perfectly respectable policy position. Michael Portillo, a former Defence Secretary in the John Major Conservative Party government of the 1990s, has said that Trident is not useful. That is right. Trident is hugely expensive and, equally important, cannot be used independently of the USA. It is not an independent deterrent. It does not do what it says on the tin. Were Trident ever used, it would guarantee the complete or almost-complete destruction of the UK, a geographically-small state  (unlike the USA, Russia and China).

As to mass immigration, yes, there Corbyn is vulnerable (and seems unable to dissemble about it). He actually thinks that mass immigration is good for the UK. In his world, his milieu, people probably agree. His problem is that most British people do not agree.

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Corbyn’s only defence on immigration is that he himself has been so far responsible for none of it. Au contraire, it was the msm-approved, Jewish lobby-approved, “Centrist”, Blair and Brown governments that deliberately imported millions of immigrants (migrant-invaders) with the express though secret intention of destroying the UK’s race and culture. Whistleblowers have since revealed the truth, and that the ones really pushing for mass immigration were Jewish, including Barbara Roche and Phil Woolas (both now disgraced and removed from Parliament): https://www.migrationwatchuk.org/press-article/83/was-mass-immigration-a-conspiracy

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/tony-blair/12175813/Tony-Blair-accused-of-conspiracy-over-mass-immigration.html

In fact, the “Conservatives” have always secretly been pro-immigration too, in government. Look at the years 2010-2019…Big business loves mass immigration: lower unit labour costs, more consumers etc.

Labour tries now to move the news agenda on, away from Brexit and away from Corbyn’s personality and controversial connections:

An example of what “Conservative” misrule has brought to the UK in the past decade:

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/man-collapses-dies-job-centre-20906100

Corbyn cannot be blamed for this:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7697805/Four-boats-carrying-39-migrants-Britain-yesterday.html

Britain is being invaded, by (inter alia) boats crossing the channel. Hundreds daily; and all Priti Patel (posing as Home Secretary) does is to make “tough” statements meaning precisely nothing. She also wants to bring in more Indians “legally”.

More “ho” news:

Below: in the Age of Wokeness, the well-used mis-quotation now reads “Hell hath no fury like a ‘ho’ scorned”…

Interesting piece re. Brexit “Party”:

https://bylinetimes.com/2019/11/15/the-great-brexit-party-swindle/

“The Conservatives might win Bolsover”

https://inews.co.uk/news/general-election-2019-miners-vote-tory-bolsover-derbyshire-shirebrook-brexit-1262531?fbclid=IwAR2tzXu8qo_g787XwZKYzHAwZE7rYo6AX4V6wTtTr-HYbU3lXGvhkwDl5HI

The report is interesting both in itself and in its implications.

Bolsover is or was one of the rock-solid Labour safe seats.

I have never thought much of Dennis Skinner. For me, he personifies a kind of old Labour wilful ignorance that is best buried: in favour of the disastrous 1939-45 war against Germany, wilfully ignorant about Stalin’s Soviet Union etc. A cartoon view of history, especially 20th Century history. No real ideas about how to improve Britain (if Skinner ever had any original or interesting ideas, I never heard them). Just a grouchy surliness and defeatism posing as “socialist” “resistance”. I dislike many of his stances on social policy too:

Skinner has voted for equalisation of the age of consent, civil partnerships, adoption rights for same-sex couples, to outlaw discrimination on the grounds of sexual orientation, and for same sex couples to marry,[15] and has a strongly pro-choice stance on abortion. On 20 January 1989, he talked out a move to reduce the number of weeks at which termination of a pregnancy can be legally performed in Britain by moving a writ for the Richmond by-election.[16]”

[Wikipedia]

Skinner is of course rather old now [b.1932] and is not really au fait with much of contemporary life:

In 2014, he was voted off Labour’s National Executive Committee (NEC).[7] In the same year, he stated that he has never sent an email and does not have a Twitter account.[27]” [Wikipedia]

Having said that, Skinner is said to be a very good constituency MP. He is a rarity in the Commons in coming from a genuine old proletarian background: mother a cleaner, father a coal miner, and he himself a coal miner for 15 years (though he claims 20) before he became the President of the NUM in Derbyshire aged only 32 (he later became a councillor at Clay Cross, Derbyshire and attended Ruskin College, Oxford for a while). He has been MP for Bolsover since 1970.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/30/dennis-skinner-never-done-cross-party-stuff-nature-of-the-beast-documentary

Despite being a bit of a self-caricature, Skinner is —at least mainly— authentic. He is not a careerist, not corrupt, not an expenses cheat, fraud or freeloader, though his personal partner for the past 22 years has been his long term researcher/assistant, an American Jewish woman now 70 called Lois Blasenheim, said in 2012 to be then paid ~£35,000 a year (considerably more now —up to £50,000— if still en poste) via Skinner’s expenses. Crucially though, she was his assistant prior to the personal relationship; i.e, no scandal. In any case, Ms. Blasenheim is said to be wealthy in her own right and, when she met Skinner, had a house in Carlyle Square, London, where houses (now, at time of writing) average £8M in value. I have no idea whether she and Skinner now live there. Probably.

Skinner’s views are genuinely held. On the negative side, he is in a mental-ideological straitjacket, and has no really developed ideas about how to evolve UK society (let alone Europe or the world) to higher levels. He is obviously unable even to comprehend the many bad things that mass immigration has brought to the UK over past decades, and I have never heard anything of his against the Jewish lobby in the UK, though he did vote against the Iraq war.

The importance of Bolsover is, of course, as symbol. Labour has, in the past, scored vote-shares as high as 80% (1950; 1966) and was still getting well over 50% and usually over 60% (even over 70%) until 2010, since when the Labour vote has stuck around 50%.

50% is still very high, but the Conservative vote, before 2017 always below 30% and often below 20%, rose to over 40% that year.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bolsover_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections

Now?

It wasn’t the Conservatives who shut the pits,” he adds. “It was Arthur Scargill who let us down by not having a national ballot. They were tough times for us. We had to come out and couldn’t go back.

“We were Labour people then, but now we are leaning to the Conservatives to get Brexit done and because of immigration.” [inews]

Drive up the hill out of town today and you can see why the site of the old colliery is once again a source of tension.

After the pit closed in 1993, the 930-acre site was turned into a business park and half of it was given over to billionaire Mike Ashley’s Sports Direct. By 2016, figures suggest the firm’s warehouses were employing 3,500 agency workers – mainly from eastern Europe.

Anti-social elements

Hundreds of protesters marched on the site saying it was attracting “anti-social elements” from abroad. There were also claims of a clash of cultures in the town – with a local newspaper reporting that gangs of men were drinking on the streets and leaving women and pensioners feeling intimidated.

“People are annoyed because there has been an influx of people from Europe because of Sports Direct,” says Yvonne Chapman, 74, who is shopping in the market square. “We’ve seen the effects of immigration here. That’s why people want Brexit.”

“I come from a mining family,” she adds. “My dad and my granddad were miners. It goes back centuries. But I think we’re all voting Conservative now. I don’t even know the name of their candidate. I’ve never needed to know until now.”” [inews]

Back in the market square, 76-year-old Douglas Steel has just stepped out of a cafe with his wife Connie. The pair met at a fairground in this square back in 1962. He is hobbling on crutches – a reminder of the back injury that finished his mining career at Shirebrook pit in 1987.

“I was born right there above the bank in 1944,” he says. “We had no electricity and I was born by gaslight. I joined the union when I was 15.

“During the miners’ strike, I had no choice but to go back to work. I needed to for the sake of my family. It was the bully boys from Doncaster who kept us out. They came down here and smashed people’s gates to make bonfires.“It makes you cry what’s happened to this town. It used to be together. But the town is shattered now.” [inews]

https://inews.co.uk/news/general-election-2019-miners-vote-tory-bolsover-derbyshire-shirebrook-brexit-1262531?fbclid=IwAR2tzXu8qo_g787XwZKYzHAwZE7rYo6AX4V6wTtTr-HYbU3lXGvhkwDl5HI

You can see the dilemma the voters of Bolsover have: they want both nation and society. Social nationalism. Labour have ignored them, their MP is a dinosaur living in the 1970s if not 1940s, so they blindly thresh around, even thinking of going against a century of inward-looking Labourite socialism and voting “Conservative”, despite the evidence before them that globalist capitalism is no answer to their problems.

It might still come good for Labour in this election (to the extent of at least not being half wiped out) but Labour remains in deep trouble, with only 22 clear days left. When 40% and maybe even 50% of the voters of Bolsover are thinking of voting Conservative (not even LibDem, Brexit Party, UKIP or whatever), there has been a sea change.

It can be seen that the Bolsover voters are not voting for Conservative Party policies or people but against immigration and stagnation. Dennis Skinner, 87 years old Labour Party machine dinosaur who has never sent a email and who is like a living relic from some bygone era, is a symbol himself, of a Labour Party which ceased to exist at least 22 and probably 27 years ago.

Labour, as I have often said, is no longer the party of the proletariat, because the “proletariat” no longer exists (in significant numbers) even in the once-industrial North of England. Labour’s strength lies now in the blacks, browns, the public services (somewhat), the 20% dependent on State benefits. That strength is concentrated in large cities only, or at least mainly.

The UK is ripe for social nationalism. There needs to be a party. People cannot support or vote for or fight for a party that does not exist.

Good points from Peter Oborne about how Boris-idiot has been given a fair wind and an unfair advantage by the msm for the past 20 years; I have been saying that for years:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/nov/18/boris-johnson-lying-media

https://boris-johnson-lies.com/

Update, 19 November 2019

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1206099/General-election-2019-Nigel-Farage-Brexit-Party-poll-Labour-seat-Boris-Johnson-latest

Brexit Party is still about 5% in the polls. It is an irrelevance and is now becoming an embarrassment. My blogging, for several months at least, about how Nigel Farage —despite his crowdpleasing and oratorical gifts— is a poor politician and strategist, has been proven accurate. As with UKIP, Farage has not set up a decent party administration, has had no Westminster success and has failed to break the “3 main parties” System scam. He could have done it but, as with UKIP, was unwilling to put forward radical social-national policies, and so remained “national-conservative” and far too close to the Conservative Party.

Farage also did something else that he did at UKIP— betrayed his followers.

Brexit Party is a dead duck. Farage’s own actions have killed it stone dead. Idiot.

Brexit is not the only fruit

General Election 2019 in the UK, freedom of historical inquiry is not permitted, and look at who is milking it all— “them”

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7699869/Tory-candidate-suspended-party-online-comments.html

Pity that the “Conservative” candidate in Aberdeen North does not have the steel to tell the Zionists to get lost…he needs more fibre in his diet, or in his character.

Labour is –possibly, maybe…I think— slowly catching up, and Boris-idiot’s lead as “best candidate to be PM” is diminishing fast:

Update, 22 November 2020

Well, as I predicted, Dennis Skinner lost his seat at Bolsover. A remarkable result all the same: Labour and Skinner ended up with just under 36% of the votes cast, the Conservative Party candidate getting well over 47%.

What made the result even more remarkable is that a Brexit Party candidate actually stood, one of the few that did in the end, and moreover got 9% of votes cast. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bolsover_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s.

It is a open question as to the result had a Brexit Party candidate not stood. It may be that the Conservative Party candidate would have attained as much as 56% of the vote.

Even so, this result represented a sea-change. The Conservative was a gay, and also an employee of a private health company! The new MP for Bolsover!

Dennis Skinner’s binning at Bolsover shows that the old Labour type (even where assisted by the Corbyn/Momentum-style “counter-Reformation” “socialists”) will never be popular again. That old-style 1930s-meets-1960s “socialist” type, with its focus on “anti-fascism”, “No Pasaran!”, “the Battle of Cable Street” and “Jarrow Hunger March” banners, is dead and buried in the Britain of 2019 and 2020.

General Election 2019 Daily Updated Blog (no.2)

I am starting my election blog again, because the thread on the original one is now long, making it inconvenient for readers.

The previous post(s) can be read here below:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/11/01/general-election-2019-daily-updated-blog/

The wheels may be starting to come off the “Conservative” machine:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/boris-johnson-news-live-general-election-tory-labour-corbyn-kulak-a9186986.html

The latest YouGov poll:

That would still give the Conservative Party a Commons majority of over 80. The next YouGov (or other) poll, tomorrow or the following day, will be more interesting.

Analysis of the increasing volatility in UK elections:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/general-election-2019-result-prediction-voting-polls-labour-conservatives-brexit-party-a9187246.html

The big news this evening is the departure of Tom Watson [Lab, West Bromwich East 2001-2019], Deputy Leader of Labour. Watson was totally in the pocket of the Jewish lobby, and to leave Labour and Parliament at short notice now, just as Labour is fighting to survive, was surely his last and most desperate act of sabotage. I speak as someone who does not support any of the System parties. In that sense, I am objective.

Watson’s Wikipedia entry:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Watson_(Labour_politician)

Reactions

Surprisingly sharp comment from Andrew Neil:

Here’s one from a Labour activist and retired chief fire brigade officer, actually not a bad old stick, even though, not really alive to the Jewish Question, he eventually blocked me on Twitter (before the Jews had me expelled), calling me “a dreadful fascist”! Ha ha!

Typically perceptive comment from Blair’s former spinmeister:

Yet from a political journalist, this:

and from faux-proletarian scribbler Dan Hodges, this:

and this, from a now-notorious Zionist actress:

and, from “Guido Fawkes”, possibly the bottom line:

What about that last point? It might be what Tom Watson thinks will be the result of this election and, if so, logic at present would seem to support that view, but “a week is a long time [etc]” and there remain just over 5 weeks before Polling Day. The field of battle is still there and the parties still contend. Anything is still possible.

This tweet has it about right! Made me laugh…

On 10 May 2009 it was revealed that since being re-elected to parliament in 2005, Watson had claimed the maximum £4,800 allowance for food in a single year. From 2005 to 2009, Watson and Iain Wright claimed over £100,000 on a central London flat they shared.[30] Watson responded that a “pizza wheel” that appeared on a Marks & Spencer receipt he had submitted was given as a free gift after he spent £150 at the store.” [Wikipedia]

Tom Watson, a man who was entirely happy, despite receiving a salary about 4x the national average and other income streams, to claim on his MP expenses an extra £100 a week for food! Among other claims.

Tom Watson is or was just a typical Labour machine politician, who has never done a real job (oh, wait, he worked as an office bod in an ad agency for a couple of months once) and now stabs his party in the back while pretending to be going to work for its victory! 10/10 for hypocrisy!

Stuff yourself with a family-size pizza and choke on it! (would be my reaction were I a Labour supporter, which I am not; but he has my full permission to choke in any case).

Update, 7 November 2019

Ian Austin, the former “Labour” MP, who is and always has been a total doormat for the Jew-Zionist/Israel lobby, has now thrown away his fake semi-“socialist” camouflage and told TV viewers on Sky, BBC, ITV etc that they should all vote Conservative at the General Election. Not even “vote anywhere but Labour”, but “vote Conservative” specifically. Austin, who was one of the worst expenses cheats of the 2005-2010 Parliament, and who was lucky not to be prosecuted for outright fraud, has now completely unmasked himself as an agent of the organized Jew-Zionist lobby. Boris-Idiot’s Cabinet is packed with Israeli agents and mouthpieces. Austin now supports the worst parts of the Conservative Party.

“[Austin] is a member of Labour Friends of Israel.[14] Jonathan Goldstein of the Jewish Leadership Council has called him a friend and ally.” [Wikipedia]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ian_Austin#Expenses

https://morningstaronline.co.uk/article/ex-labour-mp-ian-austin-becomes-mays-trade-envoy-israel

http://www.bicom.org.uk/news/pm-appoints-ian-austin-as-uk-trade-envoy-to-israel/

The Labour supporters don’t like it:

And now look! The double came up! Expenses cheat fraudster and turncoat Ian Austin holds an anti-Labour press conference with sex pest mental case and turncoat John Woodcock.

They both now have well-paid Government jobs to which Conservative prime ministers appointed them: Austin is a trade envoy to Israel, while Woodcock is going to be an “adviser” on “extremism”, in which position this sex pest and depressive case will spy on British people of social-national views and try to repress them and stamp on their free speech, no doubt while conspiring with the Jewish lobby. Evil little bastard.

On a similar theme, below, the Executive Director of the Israel-lobby “Henry Jackson Society” smirks at Chris Williamson for losing Labour candidature, while implying that all MPs who want to stay MPs must kow-tow to Israel and the Jewish lobby:

Mendoza is a half-Jew and is married to a Jewish woman who is the Head of Policy and Research at the Jewish Leadership Council: https://www.jewishtelegraph.com/prof_369.html

Meanwhile, some of Boris-Idiot’s lies are proving too much even for pro-Conservative commentators. Here, below, Iain Dale:

https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/iain-dale/iain-dale-calls-out-tory-over-boris-johnsons-lie/

John McDonnell, who, like Corbyn, has unwisely paid lip-service to Jew-Zionist “holocaust” fantasy etc in the recent past, seems to be slightly waking up. As I have blogged previously, “they” demand this or that. If the non-Jew or organization gives in and complies with the demand, “they” then say “it is not enough” and/or “it is far too late”. Further demands then follow.

“Give (((them))) an inch and (((they))) take a mile”. Always.

Labour has 5 weeks to go before it either does OK in the General Election (meaning that it comes either first or second, and overall does not lose seats), or is badly damaged (and possibly all but wiped out).

I personally do not support any System party. I am glad that many Labour Party members and supporters are waking up to the menace of Zionist control, ownership and influence in the UK, but their party is sending mixed messages by constantly trying to placate the well-organized and well-funded Jewish and/or Zionist lobby (eg by sacking Chris Williamson, eg by paying lip-service to the “holocaust” fake history etc).

There are too many people at or near the top in Labour who, like Corbyn himself, are ideologically stuck somewhere amid the Tolpuddle Martyrs, Lenin, and the (mainly-fake) diary of Anne Frank.

In North Cornwall, where I once myself lived, it seems that one of my blog’s “Deadhead MPs”, Scott Mann [Con, North Cornwall] is facing a challenge both to his seat and his “deadhead” status from a stupid-seeming LibDem:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7660469/Charities-blast-Lib-Dem-election-candidate-mocking-people-dyslexia.html

My March 2019 blog post about “deadhead” Mann: https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/03/14/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-scott-mann-story/

Poor voters of North Cornwall! Looks as though they will be stuck with an idiot for an MP whoever wins.

The Jewish-Zionist lobby has really gone into overdrive today:

  • Orchestrated and concerted resignations of “Labour” MPs loyal not to the UK and its people but to Israel and (((the Lobby))) as well as their own self-interest;
  • Front page of the Jewish Chronicle echoed by all msm “newspapers” (propaganda outlets), from the Sun to the Daily Telegraph and the Times. Every single one pushing the “Labour anti-Semitism” stuff; when will the British people wake up?
  • TV news, eg Sky, doing the same, while (on Sky) the (Jewish, of course) Political Editor covers the story in the way “expected”;
  • Twitter alive with Jews all tweeting in the same way.

“and they call it Democracy”…

In the constituency of High Peak, Derbyshire, there is at least one stout fellow, and it is not “Conservative” candidate Robert Largan!

England erwache!

In other news…https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/11/07/boris-johnson-condemns-tory-rape-row-candidate-said-women-should/

and it seems that not all pro-Conservative Party scribblers like Tom Watson:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-7662919/RICHARD-LITTLEJOHN-Good-riddance-Nonce-Finder-General-Tom-Watson.html

The truth is [that Tom Watson is] one of the most malevolent, malignant individuals ever to soil British politics, a self-serving, self-pitying, self-righteous enemy of free speech and persecutor of innocent men and their families.”

“...incredibly, you won’t be told any of this in the glowing tributes to Watson on the BBC and elsewhere. 

They are all prepared to overlook, or forget altogether, his past transgressions. As far as they are concerned, he is the greatest Prime Minister We Never Had.

Sorry, but I’m not buying any of it. Public life is well rid of the Nonce Finder General.

I’m sticking with my verdict that Watson — to adapt the outrageous smear he directed at Leon Brittan — is as close to evil as any politician can get.

Or, as a headline on this column put it last year: ‘A muck-slinging zealot utterly unfit for high office.’” [Richard Littlejohn, Daily Mail]

Update, 8 November 2019

So November 7th went past without any reference made on UK TV, radio or in the Press (that I saw anyway) to the October Revolution of 1917 (Bolshevik coup d’etat). The times, they have a’changed. However, I see that, like Corbyn and his cohorts, Putin’s Russia is still in a mental time warp (in Russia’s case 1941-45, whereas Corbyn is more 1936… you know, “No Pasaran!”, Cable Street, the Comintern, the Front Populaire etc. For God’s sake, someone tell him and McDonnell that we are now in 2019!):

https://www.reuters.com/news/picture/russian-army-recreates-historic-1941-par-idUSRTX77QDK

The 1953 parade:

Returning to the General Election, various Lab and Con candidates have “had” to step down for various contrived defaults such as saying that Jews are shylocks or that Israel manifests the more negative traits of the Third Reich.

What struck me most yesterday was the expression on the faces of John Woodcock and Ian Austin as they stood in front of an anti-Labour, anti-Corbyn banner (apparently paid for by an organization I had never seen, called “Mainstream”, presumably funded by Jewish interests). The expression of the faces of the two ex-MPs (the same expression on both) patently said “we know that we are traitors or at best turncoats”…

Another aspect of the campaign— blatant msm bias

  • Yesterday’s UK political news (in part): Labour and Conservative both make big spending pledges;
  • Today’s UK newspaper headlines: “Corbyn’s Spending Spree”…

I think that the Soviet newspapers were more honest: at least most people with any sense knew that they were printing biased articles and reports (or straight lies…). Some people still believe the msm in the UK. 90% “fake news”.

The latest news seems to indicate that support for both main System parties is dropping, but that, while support for the Conservative Party is dropping slightly, and while at the same time Brexit Party is eating into the potential Con vote, Labour support is just collapsing across the country.

https://politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/news/107868/major-new-poll-finds-support-labour-collapsing-brexit-party

This accords with my view, often blogged, that the voters, meaning especially the white English and Welsh voters, have nowhere to go except to a largely pointless Brexit Party vote. There is no social-national party even to the level of the pre-2010 BNP (in ideology or support). Many want a party which emphasises community and identity, citizenship, race and culture. They do not want multikulti madness (Labour) or Jew-Zionist run or influenced finance-capitalist exploitation (Conservative Party). The LibDems sit uneasily between the two. Brexit Party is a more “British” and anti-EU “Conservative Party”, basically. Scarcely national and certainly not social-national.

My feeling at the moment is that Labour is going to do badly in terms of absolute votes and that the Conservative Party will not do well, but that Labour may be saved by the existence of Brexit Party (taking otherwise-“Conservative” votes) and that the Conservatives will lose seats to the LibDems by reason of the Remain vote (especially now that Jo Swinson is leader, her policy views in most areas being close to Conservative ones anyway).

My prediction, with 5 weeks minus a day to go? For once, I am uncertain. Either another hung Parliament or a Conservative majority in double figures. Labour has little chance of a Commons majority unless many many more people turn out to vote than usual and especially many more young people.

There is a chance still, though, that through the unpredictable nature of the FPTP voting system, the way in which boundaries are drawn and the fact that only about 100 constituencies really count, that Labour could end up with enough MPs (even if Labour were not the largest party in the Commons) to be able to cobble together a loose coalition of Labour, SNP, Plaid, Green etc. An outside chance but not completely impossible.

Jo Swinson has said that the LibDems would never join with Labour under Corbyn (because the Jews would not like that) but the LibDem word is about as reliable as the Boris Johnson word. Meaning that the LibDems in fact might join with Labour if offered both proportional representation (which surely must come to the UK sooner or later) and seats in Cabinet. They like those red boxes.

Returning to the constituency of High Peak (Derbyshire), “Conservative” candidate Robert Largan, whose campaign is not going well, is “making reports” about those local voters who make remarks to him that he dislikes (after he has disturbed them by knocking at the door and questioning them)! See:

If I lived in High Peak, I would never vote for a little sneak like Largan. He should go home to Fulham and resume counting beans for Marks and Spencer.

According to the Sun “newspaper”, Boris-Idiot beats Corbyn on “likeability” but not on “authenticity, honesty and being ‘in touch'”, which is good for Corbyn or at least better than before.

Less good for Corbyn, one of his useless and thick-as-two-short-planks black MPs and shadow ministers, Marsha de Cordova [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marsha_de_Cordova], claimed £17 for an Armistice Day wreath…

The poll cited says that the Cons are ahead of Labour by 14 points.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10272085/general-election-uk-latest-news-today-live/

https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/news/alastair-campbell-exclusive-boris-johnson-must-be-stopped/08/11/

Update, 9 November 2019

Britain 2019: babies without food and other supplies at Christmas. The System parties did this, particularly the Conservative Party (enabled by the Liberal Democrats including Jo Swinson from 2010-2015). Are you going to vote for these evil manipulators, now under the banner of Boris-Idiot? Is Britain going to vote Con? Good grief.

Not strictly to do with the upcoming election, but I found a couple of interesting tweets by ex-BNP leader, Nick Griffin:

Update, 10 November 2019

Interesting film by the Guardian, focussing on Stoke-on-Trent:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/video/2019/nov/07/beyond-brexit-corbyn-and-johnson-stokes-politics-of-hope-video

Not too tendentious, though one part of the film showed the presenter going to a pottery factory in Stoke, about 3-4 years ago. By 2019, the factory had closed, and the lady shown in or about 2016 expertly helping to make the product sacked or made redundant after about 43 years…The presenter comments, outside the now permanently closed factory gates, that “it did not shut down because of Brexit…well… it partly did” (or similar words). In fact, Brexit had nothing to do with it. How could it? Even now, in 2019, Brexit has not happened, and the factory shown closed months or years ago. Typical msm spin.

The Guardian also spent time with Ruth Smeeth, the Jewish MP (Stoke-on-Trent has three MPs), who has spent much of her time in Parliament since 2015 (having previously worked for BICOM, the Israeli government propaganda outfit in the UK) complaining about “anti-Semitism” in the UK and trying to undermine her own party leader, Corbyn. Ruth Smeeth also worked for the Jewish Community Security Trust [CST], which is involved with, inter alia, snooping on British people in the Jewish interest.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruth_Smeeth

Prior to the 2015 General Election, Ruth Smeeth was exposed by Wikileaks as being a “confidential contact” of the US Embassy in London, whose identity should be “strictly protected”. In short, she’s a spy. Or was, anyway. I have no idea whether she is now officially “on the books of” MOSSAD or CIA etc (probably not), but she is an alien agent of influence, at the very least. Labour’s problem is individuals such as Ruth Smeeth, at least in part.

In fact, it occurs to me that one of the positive aspects of Labour crashing in flames on 12 December 2019 would be that quite a number of Zionist and pro-Zionist MPs such as Ruth Smeeth would probably be chucked in the bin, and then replaced by candidates of a different type, though to imagine Labour losing in Stoke on Trent North is rather a stretch, unfortunately. [Update, 29 November 2020: Never say never! In fact, Ruth Smeeth did lose to the Conservative candidate at the General Election of 2019, the first time that Labour had failed to win or retain the Stoke-on-Trent North seat since its establishment in 1950:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stoke-on-Trent_North_(UK_Parliament_constituency)].

In Stoke on Trent, the Labour vote declined from 65% in 1997 to 39% in 2015 when Ruth Smeeth was elected (though it rebounded to 50% in 2017, with the Conservatives 5 points behind:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stoke-on-Trent_North_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

The Guardian film-makers tried to find some positives in Stoke-on-Trent, but with difficulty. They did visit one factory making precision engineering products and employing young people (young men mainly, I think), and that is indeed the kind of activity that Britain needs; but that is one factory (no number of employees was given but probably dozens or —maybe– low hundreds rather rather than thousands), in a strung-out “city” (originally six towns) with a population of over 262,000.

Meanwhile, the LibDems and other parties are vying for the marginal swing seat young mother vote, in the case of the LibDems by offering voters 35 hours per week of free childcare. Superficially “socially responsible”, but how much better it would be if young mothers were just given money so that they do not have to work or work full-time. Basic Income, now adopted by Labour, might be part of that (or the whole of it).

I was interested to see, in the TV news report on the LibDem proposal, that at least one young mother, out of a few interviewed, agreed with my point of view: young children are better with their mothers than in State or private play centres or the like.

We hear much about “draining the swamp”. Westminster was once literally a swamp, and now is one metaphorically. Look at them! Including, to mention just a few, Vaz (drugs, “rent boys” etc), Gove (drugs), Boris-Idiot (drugs and the rest…), Charlie Elphicke (up for trial on multiple sex charges soon, stepped down but his wife is now standing!), John Woodcock (sex pest, mental case) etc. There are so many degenerates, drug abusers, thieves, fraudsters and other trash in the Commons now that it comes as a surprise when an MP is not in some way rotten. The LibDems, in 2006, even very nearly elected as their leader a coprophiliac (liked to be shat on), namely Mark Oaten, now the head of a pro-fur public relations outfit. He supported the idea of Jo Swinson taking over the LibDem leadership as long ago as 2013, by the way. Nice supporters she has.

Update, 11 November 2019

Luciana Berger, the notorious Jew-Zionist ex-Labour MP, who joined the doomed “Change UK” joke party (led now, under another new name, by “Hic-Gurgle” Anna Soubry, the “MP for Plymouth and Angostura” [Broxtowe, in fact]), is now LibDem candidate for the heavily-Jewish Finchley and Golders Green seat. Hard to see her winning there despite the Jew vote. The Conservative, Mike Freer, is a complete doormat for Israel as well as being a complete deadhead who will probably eventually feature in my blog under “Deadhead MPs, An Occasional Series“:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Freer#Views

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2010/feb/03/mike-freer-easycouncil-interview

It can be seen from the electoral history below that any LibDem candidate in Finchley and Golders Green has an uphill struggle; even in 2010, pretty much peak LibDem, the party’s candidate only received 17% of the votes (and came third):

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finchley_and_Golders_Green_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

Having said that, in early betting, Luciana Berger is at shorter odds than Mike Freer, for what that is worth.

Brexit Party:

The more important news today is that Nigel Farage has let down those poor saps who thought that Brexit Party would be a real anti-System challenger. He has decided not to fight 317 seats for fear of weakening the Conservatives!

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2019/nov/11/general-election-parties-vie-for-veterans-votes-as-keith-vaz-quits-politics-live

There are 298 official Con seats plus others held by MPs who recently had the whip withdrawn.

Comment:

and Isabel Oakeshott lauds her wealthy boyfriend who is now Chairman of the Brexit Party [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Tice]

Well, when I first heard of Tice (at the time of the 2019 EU elections), the Brexit Party was polling at about 20% for Westminster elections. Now? As low as 6%.

Brexit Party’s near collapse is not the fault of Tice, but Brexit Party will now pretty much disappear. Like UKIP, it was a manipulation (at the top level, not for the poor saps who donated, joined, voted) with the idea of preventing a real social-national party from emerging.

This news is important. The Conservatives will now not lose seats to Labour or LibDems by reason of losing votes to Brexit Party. They may now gain seats from Labour in the North.

I have blogged about how Nigel Farage, despite his amazing ability to attract crowds and speak to them, is not very competent as a politician. UKIP failed to get one non-defector MP in its (so far) 27 years of existence. Brexit Party has likewise failed to get one MP (yes, MEPs…they are just noisy wastes of space, painted ships on the painted ocean of the fake EU “Parliament”).

Brexit Party, like UKIP, does not come across as hugely well-organized, but more importantly, Farage has made a stunningly bad decision: he has given up his one leverage over the Conservatives, his one weapon, in return for some words of comfort from Boris-Idiot, the biggest liar in Parliament since “Robert Maxwell”. In what world of Farage’s imagination is Boris Johnson someone whose word can be trusted?

It just proves the old saying that con-men are easily conned (something I have observed over the years).

The Conservatives are (as far as I can see in the msm so far) not standing down any candidates. So Brexit Party stands down 317 candidates, but the Conservative Party stands down…0. Mad. Unless you look at Farage, Tice etc and see them for what they are— Conservatives with Union Jack tea-towels.

This must surely be the point at which Brexit Party is flushed away. It is no good now even as a protest vote.

End.

Comment about Corbyn’s policies, rarely seen objectively in the msm, busy batting for Boris-Idiot:

My view on today’s main GE 2019 news:

The Brexit Party surrender will quite possibly save dozens of unsafe 2017 Conservative Party seats, but conversely will mean that the Conservatives will have even less chance of success in those (Labour and LibDem) seats where Brexit Party is still intending to stand candidates. There no doubt are seats, in the North especially, where the Conservatives might have got over the line and taken the laurels from Labour had Brexit Party not stood candidates, but now will not, either because Brexit Party will take votes, or because the Labour vote might still stand firm or increase under pressure.

Boris, Angela and Macron Too

Tales of Brexit and Biarritz

We have now seen the political theatre playing what seems to be somewhere between comedy and tragedy, or perhaps an unfunny farce. The talking heads and “experts” of the msm have been scrabbling for meaning amid the obfuscation and posturing. Some “newspapers” have even resorted to “experts” in “body language”:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7380561/Boris-twitchy-anxious-veneer-cordiality-says-body-language-expert-JUDI-JAMES.html

Where does the truth lie? Where does Boris-Idiot lie? Everywhere and non-stop?

I find it infuriating to see, on every news broadcast, that part-Jew public entertainer posing as and (literally) playing the part of Prime Minister of this country. A total charlatan.

We now keep hearing the question, as in the TV game show, “Deal or No Deal?”, and, as in that silly but somehow addictive TV show, there is no skill involved. One just opens all the boxes to see what is inside. No skill, but much calculation as to one’s own best bet. In the case of The Boris-Idiot Show, we should ignore the flim-flam of the “head to heads” with what now are supposed to be “world leaders”. All that Boris-Idiot is considering is his own position and ambition; and was there ever in British politics such an empty ambition?

What After 31 October?

Even more than David Cameron-Levita, this latest ZOG figurehead has no real plans for the people of the UK, no interest in their lives or how to improve Britain’s place in the world. All he wants to do is to be seen as Prime Minister and show off. To that end, his girlfriend has cleaned him up and tidied him up a bit, told him to cut down on the rote-learned classical Greek and Latin and the silly obscure English words from the OED, and tutored him in how to appear, even if briefly, “prime ministerial”.

As noted, Boris-Idiot is the most ZOG [Zionist Occupation Government] Prime Minister ever, and his Cabinet is the most Jewish and Zionist ever, despite the fact that most of them are not Jewish, nor even part-Jew. All (as far as I know) are members of Conservative Friends of Israel. All are also extreme finance-capitalist by ideology, though few if any have ever run a successful private business (unless you include the scams of Grant Shapps etc). They want to destroy the few rights that British citizens have qua employee or otherwise for that matter (eg free speech rights).

Johnson does in fact not much care whether “deal or no deal”, so long as the mass media narrative plays well for him. If “no deal”, then “Boris” plays the Poundland Churchill, standing up for lonely isolated Britain against the EU bullies. If the EU offers enough so that Boris-Idiot can present it as some kind of “breakthrough”, then he can play the role of popular returning Chamberlain, waving his piece of paper and proclaiming “peace in our time with the EU”.

The above two characterizations may seem facile, but that is the level Boris-Idiot is on. He has no serious political or ideological position; it is all showy nothingness, relying on simplistic formulae, 1950s or 1960s boys’ comic-paper cartoons about standing up for Britain etc, and on fooling people too stupid or uninformed to see through what is essentially a con-act. That applies to Brexit too.

I myself favour Brexit, favoured Leave in 2016 and still do, but the Brexit process was criminally mishandled by a load of idiots in the Conservative government(s), possibly deliberately, and so now we career into uncertainty.

At first, Boris was pro-EU, pro-Remain, then “sceptical” (as public opinion moved), then pro-Leave, then voted in Cabinet (during his disastrous months posing as Foreign Secretary) for Theresa May’s “deal”, then he decided that his political future would be better served by acting the part of the “battling Brexiteer”, which meant that, out of 65 million UK inhabitants, the 92,000 Conservative Party members who preferred Leave to Remain (or “Brexit In Name Only” and so Boris-Idiot to Jeremy Hunt) in effect appointed the idiot as Prime Minister, with no popular validation as yet.

If Boris thinks that he can fool people into thinking that he has “achieved” a “better deal” than the Theresa May one, he will take it, knowing that many in the UK are now uneasy at what lies ahead. That also has the advantage for Johnson that he will not have to actually organize the UK and/or try to negotiate trade agreements with other states, something at which he has no experience and probably no aptitude.

If Boris cannot get enough from the EU to fool the public, then the Poundland Churchill will reappear, taking the UK out of the EU on the WTO/No Deal basis. Simple as that. There is no thought either way for what is best for the UK and its people. Everything is “what is best for 1. Boris Johnson and (far behind…) 2. The Conservative Party?”

What will happen if a UK general election happens soon after 31 October 2019? To my mind, Boris-Idiot will have to call one fairly soon, before the economy worsens and before he is fully-exposed as being completely incompetent for his present (or any) office.

Brexit Party is key. If the UK stays formally in the EU, via an extension or otherwise, the Brexit Party will stand 650 candidates, win some seats but more importantly, prevent the Conservative Party from winning dozens and possibly 100+. That would very likely mean that the Con Party will not even be largest party in the Commons.

What if the UK does leave the EU on or before 31 October? If that happens via some stitch-up deal and is in fact Brexit In Name Only (BRINO), Brexit Party will still stand those candidates with hope of a high vote-share.

That only leaves “no deal” or “WTO” Brexit. If that happens, and if it happens without chaos, or before absolute chaos and/or economic recession ensues, then Boris the Poundland Churchill can say to Farage and Brexit Party that they should stand down their troops. Like a Pacific salmon, Farage has spawned and can now die having fulfilled his mission. Will Farage do that? If so, or maybe even if he does not, Brexit Party might have little impact on the Conservative vote, if the UK is seen to have truly left the EU. However, it might still impact the Con vote (if Brexit Party can, ironic as it would be, distance itself from Brexit as sole issue, and seek votes on a wider basis…). It is a gamble. Boris-Idiot is a gambler, a chancer.

Never has the Labour Party been lower in public esteem or public support. Not all Corbyn’s fault. The Jews have mounted an attack on Corbyn for 4 years. Some of the mud has stuck. There are other factors. Corbyn and his allies have not really stood up to the Jew-Zionists. They have continued to parrot support for the “holocaust” fakery etc. There is also the “deadhead” nature of most of the Labour MPs around Corbyn (or not). Blacks and browns prominent, but also some of the English ones. Think Kate Osamor. Think Diane Abbott. The whole package is not electorally appealing beyond the ethnic minorities, beyond some of the public service people, beyond those reliant on State benefits and pensions.

I was until recently convinced that Labour would end up as largest Commons bloc after a 2019/2020 general election. Now? I cannot say with any confidence. That might still happen. Alternatively, the Conservatives might be largest bloc, as now, but with fewer MPs. There is now even a small chance (God forbid) that, in the absence of a popular Opposition, and in the possible absence or effective absence of Brexit Party, the Conservative Party might win a majority in the Commons. Boris Johnson might just survive as Prime Minister against the odds (and against merit), and with real power.

If that were to happen, the future really would be cast into the hazard.

 

The Day The Labour Party Committed Suicide

Introduction and background

Today, the Labour Party committed suicide. It decided both that it is going to back a “second Referendum” or “people’s vote”, and that it will be supporting Remain in that vote. In other words, the 2016 EU Referendum result will be dishonoured and quite possibly overturned if Labour has its way.

I have been predicting this System move for a long time; in fact, my first opinion published after the EU Referendum itself was that the Remain side, which is basically the System’s preferred side, would try every method to overturn the Referendum result. After all, the EU has “form” in this regard, making numerous countries re-take referenda which came up with the “wrong” result, even refusing to deal with governments which contained the “wrong” type of elected politician (in Portugal and Austria etc in the past).

The idea (held by most Remain whiners) that the EU is some kind of “democratic” and “liberal” entity is completely naive. The EU was set up by or under the influence of the sinister Richard von Coudenhove-Kalergi

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_von_Coudenhove-Kalergi

and it forms part of the world conspiracy-domination matrix that also includes the USA-centred “New World Order” or NWO.

BhFozwVCQAAjLNT

http://www.westernspring.co.uk/the-coudenhove-kalergi-plan-the-genocide-of-the-peoples-of-europe/

Part of that is the so-called “Great Replacement”, effectively the replacement of the white Northern European peoples by those of other race (blacks and browns etc) and those, in the future, of mixed-race, the outcome of mass immigration into Europe.

My view, published numerous times in these blog pages, has been that the System in the UK and EU would delay Brexit, try to keep Britain in the EU by means of various strategems, or if necessary, to give the UK a “deal” which would effectively be “Brexit In Name Only” (BRINO). Ideally, remaining or BRINO would then be falsely validated by a “second Referendum” under such name as “People’s Vote” or “confirmatory” referendum. So it seems to be happening. I did wonder how long Corbyn himself could sit on the fence.

The possibly deliberate mishandling of the post-2016 Brexit process by the Conservative Party government has now led to the position in which the pro-Remain majority in the House of Commons is determined that the UK will not leave the EU on a “no-deal” (WTO) basis.

I despise Boris Johnson as a politician: he is a charlatan and mountebank, to use old terms, and I have very little faith that he will honour his “pledge” to take the UK out of the EU on 31 October 2019 “if necessary”. However, it is possible that, to save his own skin, if he cannot persuade the Commons to accept a “deal” similar to that the EU offered Theresa May, that Boris Johnson will either cave in to the demand for a second referendum or will appeal over the heads of the parties to the electorate, and hold a general election in an effort to strengthen his hand. A gambler’s gamble.

Alternatively, Johnson may be sidelined quite soon by a no-confidence vote, which will either mean a general election or even his replacement without general election by someone else, presumably Jeremy Hunt. The British Constitution is so vague, relying as it does on a few sentences in Bagehot etc, that that would not, stricto sensu, be unconstitutional.

Labour in a general election

Labour received nearly 13 million votes at the 2017 General Election, 40% of the votes cast. In terms of percentage, that was Labour’s best since Tony Blair in both 2001 and 1997, and before that, Harold Wilson in 1970 (Labour scored over 40% in every general election from 1945 to 1970).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labour_Party_(UK)#UK_General_Elections

When it comes to House of Commons seats, however, it is a different story. In 2017, Corbyn-Labour won 262 seats with its 40% vote, not much better than the 258 seats won by Gordon Brown’s Labour in 2010, when the Labour vote-share was only 29.1%. In 2001, Tony Blair-Labour won 413 seats on a vote-share of 40.7%.

I think that something more is going on here than just the “glorious uncertainty” and illogicality of the UK First Past The Post and eccentric boundaries electoral system. It is clear that the Labour vote is becoming ever-more concentrated in fewer and fewer constituencies.

Harold Wilson in 1974 (twice), James Callaghan in 1979, and Neil Kinnock in 1987 and 1992, all scored well below 40% in general elections, yet ended up with more seats, considerably more, than Labour won in 2017.

As stated above, it is believed that, out of Labour’s nearly 13M voters in 2017, perhaps 3.5M, though perhaps as high as 4M, had voted Leave in 2016. In other words, about or around 70% of Labour voters voted Remain.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-48039984

However, about 61% of Labour constituencies voted Leave.

https://fullfact.org/europe/did-majority-conservative-and-labour-constituencies-vote-leave-eu-referendum/

The inference is plain: not only are most Labour voters generally clustered in a relatively small number of constituencies, but the number of 2017 majority Labour-voting constituencies that also had a majority for Remain is even smaller, somewhere around 100.

Labour as a party has been growing distant from its roots, from its core vote, for decades. The industrial proletariat is virtually non-existent, replaced by the “precariat”, economically insecure, politically both apathetic and volatile. The trade unions, though often still linked to Labour, are likewise almost without importance now, all but powerless to help employed persons much, and focussed on “diversity”, “equality”, anti-racism” etc and on ever-more convoluted codes of conduct, politically-correct nonsense, and on support for mass immigration.

As I have commented previously, the Labour “core vote” is now not really the English and Welsh (or Scottish) “working classes”, but the post-1945 immigrants and their offspring and, after them, the public service workers generally, as well as most of the unemployed and/or disabled persons reliant on State benefits.

There are many many seats in the North of England particularly which were rock-solid Labour but which are now less-solid Labour, or are marginal. These are areas which voted Leave, where the English majority (in some cases now, minority) are sick of mass immigration, of cultural decay, of crime and lawlessness, of the patronizing callousness of the self-regarding and self-described “elite” in the msm and Westminster and in the City of London.

A recent opinion poll put Labour on only 18%. Critics said that that was an “outlier” and (perfectly true) that another poll the same week put Labour on 25%. My feeling and view is that Labour will struggle to get even 30% in any general election, i.e. where Labour was in 2017. The big question is where that 30% will be.

Labour’s new unambiguous Remain stance will alienate anyone who regards Brexit (not just Brexit, but the bundle of issues around Brexit) as important. That could be a third of 2015/2017 Labour voters, and particularly in the more marginal seats.

Fortunately for Labour, it looks as though Brexit Party will cripple the Conservative vote nationally. However, Labour too is on thin ice. There is every chance that the new Remain policy will rob Labour of the formerly solid seats in the North.

The Conservatives will fight the next general election against three enemies, but Labour will also be fighting against at least two (Brexit Party being one) in formerly safe seats.

Labour may gain votes in its new core areas, among the blacks, browns, public service people and millennials of London and elsewhere, but at the cost of traditional Labour areas of the North etc. They will not vote Conservative, but might vote Brexit Party out of pure anger. Beware.

If Labour’s new voters are fickle or volatile (as I think that many are), Labour will have lost formerly solid support in exchange for what could be fair-weather votes, leaving Labour, somewhere down the line, with next to nothing.

At present, I still think that Labour might be the largest party after a general election, if held this year or next (the Conservatives are all but on their knees) but I have the feeling that, looking at the medium term (from 2022), Labour has just committed suicide.

Update, 21 September 2019

…from the Independent, “reporting” on beach patrols at Dover; all too typical of the sort of persons now prominent in “Labour” and what is left of the trade unions:

Riccardo La Torre, firefighter and Eastern Region Secretary of the Fire Brigade Union, branded the coast patrol “despicable” and said: “These have-a-go, racist vigilantes have no place in any kind of enforcement or emergency activities and will only serve to make conditions and tensions worse.”

“These groups claim to be the voice of the working class, but now they want to act as an arm of the authorities by patrolling beaches to apprehend struggling working-class people desperately trying to get to safety.
[https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/far-right-britain-first-beach-patrols-calais-dover-anti-migrant-a9113471.html]

So “Riccardo La Torre” (que?), a regional secretary of the Fire Brigade Union, thinks that migrant invaders from Africa and the Middle East are “working class people”, who are “trying to get to safety”?!

Safety from, er, France? There you have in a nutshell, the craziness that is much of “Labour” now. Alien migrant-invaders are “working class people”, who should be allowed to occupy the UK at will (and be subsidized too)! Note the fag-end “Marxism”, trying to shoehorn the facts into some 1980s polytechnic back-of-postcard Marxism-Leninism.

 

A Few Peterborough Afterthoughts About The LibDems

I blogged about the LibDems and the EU elections only a week ago:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/05/29/eu-elections-2019-in-review-the-libdems/

After their overall 2nd place in the EU elections, there was much talk about (another) LibDem revival, which echoed the chatter of 2010 and (as Liberal Party) right back to Orpington in 1961.

I was unconvinced by the talk of LibDem “revival” or “surge”, despite the post-EU elections polling which (in one case) made the LibDems the most popular party re. the next general election.

I also covered the LibDems, inter alia, in a piece about the Peterborough by-election, written a few weeks before polling day:

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/05/09/notes-from-the-peterborough-by-election/

As I predicted, the LibDems came 4th there.

https://ianrmillard.wordpress.com/2019/06/07/peterborough-by-election-post-poll-analysis-and-thoughts/

So what now? Well, I still think that there is not and will not be any LibDem surge or revival, as such. What I do think will or may boost the LibDems is the Brexit Party surge, if it happens.

In the 2017 General Election, the LibDems won in 12 constituencies and came second in 37. If the Brexit Party continues to grow stronger and if it gets at least 15% nationwide at the next general election, many of those seats will see a significant fall in the Conservative vote-share by reason only of the existence of the Brexit Party, in addition to any fall for other reasons. In many, perhaps most cases, the beneficiaries will be the LibDems. It is not unreasonable to suppose that the LibDems will win seats. They might win 20 or 30, they might win 50. They might even win many more. However, this will mostly not if at all be a surge in enthusiasm for the LibDems as much as a victory by default, the result of Brexit Party taking Conservative votes, together with a more general fall in support for the Conservative Party.

Having said the above, if the LibDems win seats, they win seats, whatever the reason.

Notes

Some More Thoughts About the Next General Election in the UK

A 2019 General Election?

A recent ComRes poll indicated that only about half of those who voted Conservative in the General Election of 2017 are intending to vote that way in the next general election, which might come any time between Summer 2019 and early June 2022. I have been thinking and blogging etc for a year or so that 2019 might be the year. Mainstream commentators have recently been gravitating to the same view.

The Brexit chaos has highlighted the incompetence of the Theresa May and other Conservative Party governments stretching back to 2010: roads, rail, social security/”welfare”, the migration-invasion (mass immigration), crime etc.

As I have more than once blogged and (before I was banned in our “free” country, tweeted), the choice for many may be between a Labour Party government which may well prove to be incompetent, and a Conservative Party government which has already, time and again, proven its incompetence.

Labour, Conservative, UKIP, Brexit Party

Labour is now slightly ahead of the Conservatives in the opinion polls, probably because

  • UKIP, though effectively washed-up as an electoral force, has managed, under its latest leader, Batten, to halt its downward slide;
  • Brexit Party now exists and is taking votes mainly from the Conservatives;
  • also, Theresa May is now finally seen almost universally as the disaster she is.

No-one expects UKIP to win seats in any general election this year; after all, 1 in 8 voters voted UKIP in 2015, but the rigged/unfair UK electoral system deprived it of its merited success. On strict PR voting, UKIP’s 12.6% popular vote would have given UKIP about 80 MPs. Indeed, had many not seen a vote for UKIP as a wasted vote, that number could have been doubled or even trebled. In Mrs. May’s now-famous screech, “nothing has changed!” as far as that is concerned.

UKIP will probably get a few percentage points of the vote in English and Welsh constituencies, maybe even 5%, but that will not win any seats. What it will do, though, is deprive the Conservatives (mainly) of those votes (nearly 600,000 in 2017). Many constituency seats are won and lost by less than a thousand votes.

Now we have Brexit Party, which I had thought would fight only the EU elections, but which, it seems (see Nigel Farage’s comments in Notes, below), now intends to fight the next UK general election.

My initial skepticism about Brexit Party has been proven wrong, at least in the opinion polls. Brexit Party is now running at anything up to 30% re. the EU elections, and, in initial polling, 14% in respect of Westminster elections. That latter polling may already have been superseded by events, but even 14%, at a general election, is huge, inasmuch as it means that Brexit Party and UKIP in aggregate may take away from (mainly) the Conservatives as much as 20% of the votes in any given English or Welsh constituency. In an average constituency with average GE turnout that works out at about 8,000 votes!

As usual, most of the Twitterati get it wrong. Look at the tweets below by one Tom Clarke, who seems to be a fairly typical Remain and anti-nationalist tweeter. He says, probably correctly, that 27% is not enough to “take power” but fails to see the side-effects in terms of depriving others of power…He also bleats about “mandate”. What about the 52% who voted Leave in 2016?

In fact, Twitter is a poor guide to elections and popular votes. The twitterati voted Remain in 2016 (losing side), thought that Trump had no chance of becoming US President (wrong again), and are (or often seem to be) almost all pro-immigration, virtue-signalling idiots etc…

Core votes

The Labour core vote, though no more than 25% of eligible voters, is solid because it is composed of those unlikely to be enticed by other parties presently around, and particularly by the Conservative Party: almost all “blacks and browns” (and other ethnic minorities, except for Jews); almost all of the poorly-paid, unemployed, and disabled. Others, while not “core vote”, add up to possibly another 10% of the eligible electorate: those 18-24 (only 4% favour Conservative), voters under 35 (only 16% favour Conservative). Increasing numbers of persons in their 30s, 40s and older are victims of buy-to-let parasites and bully landlords, or are not getting much personal or social benefit from their work. Labour’s policies speak to them. The Conservatives have nothing to say to such people except “pay up or get out! And don’t complain about repairs!” and “poor pay? Get a different job!”

When one thinks “who today would vote Conservative?” the answer, in broad brush terms must be

  • the wealthy
  • the affluent
  • buy to let parasites
  • those who own their homes outright and are financially stable
  • those elderly who are stick-in-the-mud creatures of frozen voting habits

That is the 25% or so core vote, to which must be added

  • those who hate Labour or Corbyn enough to vote Conservative simply in order to keep Labour and/or a Labour candidate out.

Here is an important point: the Labour core vote may be and probably is growing; the Conservative core vote is shrinking.

The Brexit Party and UKIP strike both at the Conservative core vote and the potentially-Conservative non-core vote.

Would Boris Johnson make a difference?

Doubtful. I concede that I am as anti-Boris as almost anyone could be, but my antipathy is matched by many voters: Boris is apparently the choice for Con leader (and so, unless there is a general election, Prime Minister by default) of about 70% of Conservative Party members (if one can believe sources such as the Daily Express), but even if correct, that is 70% of (at most) 120,000 Con Party members, i.e. 84,000 voters out of at least 40 million (in 2017, about 32 million voted).

In polls of the wider public, Boris Johnson is only a few percentage points ahead of other possible Con leaders.

Conclusion

Since 2017, I have thought that the most likely result of the next UK general election is Labour to win most seats, but not enough to have an overall majority. Now, for the first time, I am questioning that and wondering whether a strong general election campaign by both Brexit Party and UKIP might weaken the Conservative vote to the point where, nationally, the Conservatives might get as little as 30% (could it drop even to 25%?) as compared to 42.4% in 2017 and 36.9% in 2015.

I am of course no psephologist, but using online tools etc, it seems not unlikely that, if the Conservative vote falls to 30% and Labour is five points ahead, Labour might end up with about 300 seats and the Conservatives about 250. Others, about 100. No overall majority.

If, though, the Con vote were 25% and the Lab vote five points ahead, the Conservatives would end up with perhaps 225 or fewer seats, while Labour might get about 320. Yet again no overall majority for Corbyn, but closer.

However, we are uncharted territory, and in the “glorious uncertainly” of the British electoral system, it is not impossible that, in dozens and perhaps hundreds of constituencies, the Conservatives might come in second rather than first, their vote sapped by voters voting for UKIP, Brexit Party and others.

The ComRes poll cited at the start of this article said that only just over half of 2017 Con voters were planning to vote Con next time. In 2017, about 13,600,000 or so voted Con. If that is reduced to about 7 million, then the Conservative Party is toast.

In that event, the parliamentary Conservative Party would be reduced to a half, even a quarter of its present strength, and Labour under Jeremy Corbyn might actually be elected with a considerable majority. After that, anything might happen.

Notes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_United_Kingdom_general_election

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UK_Independence_Party#House_of_Commons_2

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/nigel-farage-thinks-his-brexit-party-can-win-general-election-1-5998829

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/24/nigel-farage-brexit-party-use-eu-elections-oust-remain-parliament

Afterthoughts, 25 April 2019

In my concluding sentences, above, I explored what might happen if Brexit Party (and/or UKIP, but Brexit Party is plainly taking off in a way that UKIP now is not) were to take away a large number of votes from the Conservatives. I examined what would happen if, nationally, the Conservatives went from 35%-45% down to 30% or 25% (or even lower).

Nigel Farage has made comments indicating that Brexit Party might make inroads into the Labour vote too, especially in the North where Labour was once monolithic in its supremacy in most constituencies.

The polling percentages and national vote percentages can only take you so far. In 2017, Theresa May led the Conservatives to inconclusive victory-defeat and 317 MPs, despite getting 42.4% of the national vote, a level not achieved by any political leader since Mrs Thatcher in 1983. In 2015, David Cameron-Levita’s Conservatives only got 36.9% of the national vote, yet 330 MPs. Only in an electoral system as Alice in Wonderland as that of the UK could that make any sense.

In other words, predictions are tricky when it comes to exact or even inexact numbers.

However, in my view, Brexit Party (and what is left of UKIP support) will hit the Conservatives harder than Labour. Indeed, some voters in seats where Labour never wins may vote tactically to unseat Conservatives, even if the result is that a LibDem or other may get in as a result. One can easily imagine seats fought until now as effectively a two-way split which may now be fought as a three-way or even four-way split.

If Brexit Party can go up from its 14% polling (Westminster voting intention; in EU elections the figure may be as high as 30%) to 25%+, that raises the serious possibility of Brexit Party MPs being elected. If about half the 2017 Conservative voters are not going to vote Conservative (as ComRes reports), are they going to abstain or vote elsewhere? The fact that they bothered to vote before seems to suggest that they will vote again. That means that even in the handful of seats where the Conservatives won in 2017 with over 60% of the vote, the Conservative share of the vote might go from 60% or so to 40%. (the safest Conservative seat is North East Hampshire: 65.5% in 2017).

In the circumstances above, defending a 60% vote share and ending up with perhaps 40%, the Conservatives would still win in most cases, but that would not be the case in more typical constituencies, where the Conservative MP won in 2017 with 50%, 40% or an even lower percentage of the votes cast. A Con MP who got 40% in 2017 might end up getting 30% or even 20% next time.

If Brexit Party can maintain momentum, it (with UKIP’s effect added) will cripple the Conservatives, who will lose swathes of seats. For example, in Uxbridge and South Ruislip, Boris Johnson received about 50% of the vote in 2017. Most of the rest (40%) went to Labour. Were half or even a quarter of the Conservative votes to be cast elsewhere, Labour would win (even if the votes “cast elsewhere” were not cast for Labour). In that example, Boris would end up with less than 40% and (if Labour’s 2017 40% vote were to hold up), the Labour candidate would win. That could be replicated in hundreds of seats, in theory. Most would fall to Labour, a few might go to or revert to LibDem, but it is also possible that some would fall to the Brexit Party. At present, unreal though it feels, it is not totally impossible to foresee Nigel Farage’s Frankenstein coming to life (energized by the Brexit hullabaloo itself) and actually ending up as a bloc of anywhere between a few MPs and as many as 50.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uxbridge_and_South_Ruislip_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/insights/ge2017-marginal-seats-and-turnout/

https://fullfact.org/news/how-many-seats-are-safe-and-how-many-votes-count-under-first-past-post/?gclid=EAIaIQobChMIkaOb1Ivr4QIVDFXTCh3Ing2pEAAYASAAEgK6fvD_BwE

and Farage has now confirmed that Brexit Party will fight the next general election. The Conservatives are toast.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/brexit/8938714/nigel-farage-brexit-party-general-election/

Update, 27 April 2019

Times columnist Iain Martin tweeted on 27 April 2019 that “Disintegrating Tories need a leader who can get the Brexit Party to shut up shop.” It is clear to him, quite evidently, that Brexit Party, even if only as a “super-protest”, has the ability to smash the Conservative Party forever by reducing a typical Conservative vote in a marginal or even hitherto “safe” constituency by anything up to 8,000 votes…

The corollary is —almost— equally true: if Brexit Party (and UKIP) either did not exist or were not popular, the Conservatives would be well ahead of Labour for the next general election.

27 April 2019

Interesting analysis from 2017: had Labour won 7 more seats (requiring only 2,227 votes!), Corbyn might now be Prime Minister!

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/corbyn-election-results-votes-away-prime-minister-theresa-may-hung-parliament-a7782581.html

and here is John Rentoul, writing in The Independent, saying outright part of what I have been saying (I think that he is the first msm commentator of importance to have done so), that is that the Conservative Party is a dead duck (he says “smoking ruin”!) and likely to run only third after Labour and Brexit Party at the next UK general election:

https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/brexit-betrayal-corbyn-pm-farage-european-elections-a8888991.html

Not sure that Rentoul is right about Labour manifesto policy though: Corbyn might just continue to sit on the fence. It is working for him so far…

Meanwhile, Britain Elects tweets thus:

If that polling is right, the combined Brexit Party and UKIP vote at the possible/probable 2019 General Election is now running above 20%. Today 21%, tomorrow 25%, even 30%? Anything above 10% (as in 2015—UKIP got over 12% that year) is pretty bad for the Conservatives; anything above 20% will kill them stone dead. They would lose not even 100, but 200 MPs.

Update, 1 May 2019

With only 1 day to go before the UK local elections, I saw this tweet:

Meanwhile…

This is incredible! I am not a “supporter” of Farage or “Brexit Party”, but this is the sort of reception that few get! Reminiscent of the Fuhrer (though without the depth or substance, of course). Brexit Party is on a roll! Only three weeks to go before the moment of truth (EU elections).

A Few Thoughts About the EU and Local Elections To Be Held in May 2019

The Brexit mess, so spectacularly mishandled by Theresa May and the idiotic careerists around her, may save UKIP from immediate collapse as a party, inasmuch as many British voters will want to punish the Conservative Party one way or the other. There may be in general a “perfect storm” for the Conservative Party, pressured on two fronts by both the Leave and Remain sides.

There will soon be elections for the European Parliament, on 23 May 2019. Recent opinion polling seems to be saying that Labour will have a landslide: initial voting intentions show Labour on 37.8% (up from 24.4% in 2016); Conservatives at 23.1% (unchanged), Brexit Party (Nigel Farage’s new party) 10%, LibDem 8%, UKIP 7.5%, Change UK (the recent Lab/Con defector MPs’ vehicle) around 4%, among others.

One has to be cautious in assuming that the above opinion poll reflects the likely outcome. The same poll seems to indicate that, after discussion, many pro-EU voters prefer Change UK (which would hit Labour and LibDem levels), while anti-EU voters may prefer either UKIP or Brexit Party.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_European_Parliament_election_in_the_United_Kingdom

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1112942/european-elections-voting-intentions-uk-conservative-labour-brexit-party

Before the EU elections (in which the UK may not participate at all if the UK leaves the UK before 23 May), there will be local elections, on 2 May 2019. The indications are that, in those elections, Labour may also sweep the poll, with Labour benefiting not only from the “pendulum” or “see-saw” effect of elections in a system using FPTP voting, but also from abstentions by usual Con voters (or by their voting for Brexit Party or UKIP).

As far as the local elections are concerned, Labour starts the campaign with several advantages. The decade of spending cuts has finally impacted even the most true-blue Conservative areas. Labour has a army of local activists, thanks to its membership surge under Corbyn. It also has funds from the same source.

The Conservatives have few local activists now and most are beyond retirement age. The party looks tired. The Brexit mess can only be laid at the door of Theresa May and her Cabinet. The Cons will be lucky to avoid a wipeout in the areas voting for local councillors on 2 May.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/11/conservative-mps-may-boycott-european-election-campaign

There are also strategic factors. The Conservative Party claims 124,000 members, which seems high (average 200 members per constituency). Most are elderly. Few are active. The median age for Conservative voters has also risen, to 52. Recent polling has shown that only 16% of voters under 35 support the Cons, and only 4% of those under 25 do so.

In respect of the local elections, I see them as a straight fight between Labour and Conservative, overall. Labour is obviously in a good position in every respect.

In respect of the EU elections (in England and Wales), Labour may start in pole position, but there is a long way to go. Pro-EU voters may vote Labour, LibDem, Change UK or even Conservative. Anti-EU voters may vote Brexit Party, UKIP, or possibly either Lab or Con. Hard to say. Many voters may just try to hit out at the Conservatives any way they can. The obvious way to hit at the Conservative Party government is to vote Labour, assuming that hitting out trumps Brexit issues.

I can see that, while the Jewish/Zionist attack on Corbyn-Labour has made a dent in Lab’s popularity over 3-4 years, the voters are now tired of the whole Labour “anti-Semitism” whining, not least because Labour is now suspending members who speak out against the Zionist prominence in the UK. People have real issues with which to contend. It is a mistake to think that Twitter is the same as the UK public, especially now that Twitter has purged so many dissident voices (including mine). Jews and their “useful idiots” have colonized Twitter, to an extent.

The Leave/Brexit vote will be split between UKIP and Brexit Party, weakening both. All the same, these EU elections are all about (in the UK) protest voting.

Whichever way one looks at it, Labour looks like doing very well at the local elections and fairly well at the EU elections.

Update, 14 April 2019

Some msm outlets are now predicting a solid Labour win in the expected General Election too

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6919951/Jeremy-Corbyn-win-general-election-Conservatives-face-losing-60-seats-Brexit.html

Update, April 15 2019

Despite having no policies beyond the UK leaving (really leaving) the EU, Brexit Party is already running at anywhere up to 15% in opinion polling for the EU elections of 23 May 2019.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6921149/Nigel-Farages-Brexit-Party-set-drain-Tory-candidates-EU-elections-month.html

It is reported that up to 56% of those who voted Leave in the 2016 EU Referendum will vote either Brexit Party or UKIP in any General Election held this year. It is unclear whether Brexit Party would contest a general election, but if not, its votes would presumably go to UKIP. So about 50% of about 52% = about 26% of votes. That might not be enough to win any seats (certainly not, if split two ways), but it would cripple the Conservatives.

Update, 17 April 2019

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-deal-theresa-may-european-parliament-elections-a8873056.html

Update, 18 April 2019

Update, 18 April 2019

Brexit Party, thanks to star turn Farage, is now at almost 30% in polling re. the EU elections. UKIP cannot seem to get much beyond 8%-9%. Still, that does mean that the Cons, in particular, will crash. They are polling now below 15% re. EU elections.

As far as the UK local elections are concerned, Brexit Party is taken out of the equation (contesting no seats) and UKIP is not contesting very many seats. That must favour Labour.

Update 21 April 2019

From the Daily Mail:

“If there is any overall winner from the meltdown in British politics, it will be Jeremy Corbyn – leader of what has become by any normal standards an extremist party.

As a historian of political ideas and movements, I have studied the rise and fall of parties and ideologies in Britain and Europe. 

Today we are witnessing a meltdown in British politics with no historical precedent. Both main parties are shedding their traditional supporters at an astonishing rate.

According to a ComRes poll published last week, not much more than half (53 per cent) of 2017 Conservative voters intend to vote Conservative at the next General Election.”

[John Gray, Daily Mail]

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6943195/The-political-centre-disappearing-grave-danger-lies-ahead-says-JOHN-GRAY.html

Update, 24 April 2019

The mad jamboree which passes for UK democracy in 2019 continues apace. Ann Widdecombe, one of the worst Home Secretaries ever, is going to be a Brexit Party candidate (for the EU Parliament seat of South West England). She says that she will still vote Conservative in the local elections. Having just looked up her details, it seems that she is 71. I thought that she was at least 80.

The tweet below captures the mood:

At least Ann Widdecombe is an animal-lover, especially cat-lover…

Update, 27 April 2019

Britain Elects organization has just today tweeted as below:

As can be seen, and with less than 28 days to go before polling (assuming that the UK takes part in the EU elections), Brexit Party is neck and neck with Labour and has the momentum. The Conservatives are rapidly becoming also-rans as far as the EU elections are concerned. It looks as though those voters who want to cast an anti-EU/Leave/Brexit vote are going with Brexit Party, leaving UKIP to flounder around near the bottom of the poll. All or almost all UKIP votes are going to Brexit Party. Most Eurosceptic former Conservative voters are also going to Brexit Party. This is going to be interesting.

Meanwhile, in less than 5 days, there are the local elections. There, the results may also be dramatic, but not to the same extent: Brexit Party not standing, UKIP not standing for most council seats (and at present has only 101 councillors out of a possible 20,712); only about a third of council seats being contested this year. Also, in many parts of the South of England, there is little “democratic choice”, with most candidates posted being Conservative, the Labour and LibDem parties not contesting all seats.

Update, 1 May 2019

8,804 local council and other seats are in contest tomorrow, 2 May 2019. The Conservatives are contesting 96% of those seats. Labour will be contesting the majority of them. The LibDems are contesting some. UKIP have 18 candidates standing. Brexit Party is not contesting these elections:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_local_elections

As far as the EU elections of 23 May are concerned, the latest polls show an irresistible rise for Brexit Party, which is running somewhere around 33% now; the corollary is UKIP on only about 4%, not helped by the bizarre behaviour of UKIP’s MEP candidate “Sargon of Akkad” (Carl Benjamin), the “alt-Right” vlogger standing for the South West England constituency.

Meanwhile…

This is incredible! I am not a “supporter” of Farage or “Brexit Party”, but this is the sort of reception that few get! Reminiscent of the Fuhrer (though without the depth or substance, of course). Brexit Party is on a roll! Only three weeks to go before the moment of truth (EU elections).

Update, 11 May 2019

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/may/11/poll-surge-for-farage-panic-conservatives-and-labour

Is the Theresa May Government About To Crash Out?

This was the Daily Mail report today:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6585357/Bercows-secret-kill-Brexit-plot-Tory-saboteur-No-10-warns-PM-fall-Wednesday.html

Bloomberg analysis of Theresa May’s difficulties:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-11/ministers-tell-may-to-ask-corbyn-for-help-when-brexit-deal-dies

There now seems to be a serious chance that there will be a general election in the first few months of 2019, something I predicted (though not with great confidence) in previous blogs over the past year.

In previous blog posts, even recently, my prediction was that any general election in 2018 or 2019 would result in a hung Parliament but with Labour as largest party. The end result would then probably be a Labour minority government.

The Daily Mail seems to think that an early 2019 General Election, possibly as early as March, would result in a crashing defeat for the Conservative Party.

What has caused this situation is not so much Brexit, or the fear of Brexit, as the sheer incompetence of the present Government. Look at one of the least competent Cabinet Ministers (even in a poor Cabinet), Chris Grayling, who has been a member of this Cabinet and the two previous ones! A typically-psychopathic type, if I may play the armchair psychologist, who has messed-up in every job that he has ever had. Here he is explaining or rather not explaining what the Government will do if (when) Theresa May’s pathetic “deal” is rejected by the Commons:

Incompetence is a killer vote-loser for any government. Taking the years 2010-2019 as effectively one government and not three, we can see incredible incompetence across the board, from social security/”welfare” issues, pensions, HS2, transport (especially rail) generally, nuclear power, the Brexit mess (failure to prepare for a WTO Brexit from the beginning), continuing mass immigration, NHS issues…you name it.

True, many (including me) have little confidence in the competence of any Corbyn-led Labour government, but will the voters prefer to vote for Corbyn-Labour, which might be incompetent, or for a “Conservative” Party which has been proven, in spades, to be incompetent and incapable?

What about Brexit itself? It may be that Brexit, though certainly a major issue for the voters, will not play to the decisive advantage of either party. About half the country favour Remain, about half prefer Leave, with divisions in both main camps. It should be recalled, though, that “Brexit” and “Leave” are to some extent manifestations of dissatisfaction with the general way in which Britain is working, or rather not working for many many people.

My money at this stage is still on a hung Parliament with Labour as largest party, because there are huge numbers of people who will not vote Labour (ever, anyway, whatever), others who will not vote for a Labour Party led by Corbyn, yet others who will not vote for a Labour Party in which deadheads such as Diane Abbott and Dawn Butler might well become Cabinet ministers.

Even psephologists struggle with election predictions. It is the “Glorious Uncertainty” of both the English racecourse and the (mainly) English electoral system. Raw percentages count for only so much, because of First Past The Post voting and the way that boundaries are sliced up.

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In the end, the “True Blue” and “Deepest Red” constituencies are not the deciders. The marginal constituencies decide. How many marginals depends. Some put true marginals at 50 (out of 650), others at 100 or even 150.

One has to make an educated guess. My guess is based on the fact that life has become progressively tougher (financially and in other ways) for most people over the past 8 years; in fact the past 10 years, 2 of which were Labour, but mostly the past 8, which have been years of “Conservative” rule. In those years, only the most wealthy or affluent 10%, maybe even 5%, have really prospered, as seen in the cartoon below from the days of the Con Coalition

b-cisxdiqaa7qj_-jpg-large

The roads are potholed, the railways expensive and chaotic, the social welfare system has become both cruel and shambolic, mass immigration continues all but unabated, education has become a joke, pay in real terms is greatly less than it was in 2010, let alone 2005, crime is often not even investigated by the police, and most local authorities are both cash-starved and incompetent. The Army has shrunk to 78,000 men (and women, now), and the same is true, mutatis mutandis, of Navy and RAF.

Does any of the above encourage people to vote Conservative? I think not. They might not all vote Labour, and there are no other options with much credibility, but it may be that enough people will either vote Labour or stay home to give Corbyn-Labour a majority. I am tempted to predict that. On balance, though, I think that I stick with hung Parliament as my present prediction, always recalling, as Harold Wilson famously said, that “a week is a long time in British politics”.

Below, an amusement: me aged 9 or maybe just turned 10, with then PM Harold Wilson. St. Mary’s, Scilly Isles, September 1966. I am the eldest boy in the photo.

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Proposals for a new society…

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