[please note that the previously-encountered problem, of tweets not embedding properly, is back; to read the tweets, click on the links. I have no idea whether this is merely a technical problem with Twitter/X or WordPress, or whether it is some form of sabotage]
It takes courage —or desperation— to vote for something revolutionary, or even anything really radical. Germany is, even now, not ready for national revolution; neither is Britain.
Germany and Britain are both nearly ready to support something fairly radical— AfD in Germany, Reform UK in Britain (leaving aside the fact that Reform, at least, is basically “controlled opposition”), and we shall see what happens in the next 4 years. After that, social nationalism will be the only way to go. Either that, or complete collapse of the societies, followed by some form of authoritarian multikulti near-Communism.
We have not only to “drain the swamp” but clear the swamp…
Russian forces struck Ukrainian military airfields and UAV depots over the past 24 hours in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/B6ffWGNDyfpic.twitter.com/5goo23mhj3
“Wow, Putin was right. Macron, Starmer, Zelensky, the President of Poland, Duda even waited 1,5hr outside the oval office for a 10min talk with Trump.”]
[“I’m not going to make security guarantees beyond very much. We’re going to have Europe do that,” President Trump says regarding the potential Ukraine deal.“]
I think that we can now take it as read that, barring accidents, Russia and the USA will not be getting into a nuclear war. Whatever one may think of Trump, in that respect God must be with him, to put it in conventional terms.
That leaves the European powers. The only ones of significance are the UK and France (mainly because of their nuclear weapons), Poland, and Germany (Poland because of the size of its army and its probable morale, Germany because of its large amount of up-to-date transport, armament etc).
The UK and France would be mad to try to threaten the use of or, a fortiori, deploy in combat nuclear weapons. Any nuclear response by Russia would destroy Britain utterly. As for France, the same applies, except that France is nearly 2.5x the size of the UK.
I think that what we are looking at (unless there is a real armistice Russia-Ukraine, which is unlikely) is a continuation of the war, with the UK, France, Germany supplying even more arms, armament, and money to the Kiev regime, but probably failing to plug the gap left by withdrawal of most American assistance.
If the Americans also withdraw their intelligence aid to the Kiev regime, Russian forces will find their progress in the war easier.
The Kiev-regime side is now very short of actual “boots on the ground”. It is even thinking of extending the draft to those aged 18-24, so far immune from conscription.
I cannot see the Kiev regime lasting much beyond 2026.
[“British MPs have taken down another picture of Nelson, the greatest naval commander in history, a man who died for his country, and put up a picture of Yvette Cooper who cannot even control our borders. It is a powerful symbol of all that is wrong with Britain.”]
If I were an MP, I should put my boot through Cooper’s portrait.
Well, once again I beat political journalist John Rentoul. He scored 4/10 this week; I scored 6/10, though I nearly got 8/10.
I was unsure about question 7 (what year saw Hawaii attain to statehood; I guessed nine years too early), and about question 9 (i.e. which —of two or three likely counties— of the UK is flattest and most low-lying). I had no idea about question 1 (I, wrongly, guessed Trump), nor about question 8.
“Worryingly for the Prime Minister, two in three people said they do not trust him.” [Daily Mail].
For me, what is more worrying is the implication that a third of the voters actually do still trust part-Jew, part-Levantine liar and chancer “Boris”. Incredible, after two years of entirely shambolic misgovernment, not to mention the clown’s previous activities.
Looking at the poll, it seems that the “sheeple” have still not quite woken up from the “panicdemic” propaganda trance.
Note also rise of Reform to average of 5% where recorded separately
Reform Party or Reform UK, the latest “controlled opposition” safety valve of the System. Just like its lineal predecessors, UKIP and Brexit Party, Reform is designed, or is used, as a way of diverting potential support for a real social-national party (which as yet does not exist).
Other tweets seen
Former MP @lucianaberger has landed a new job with a rapid home delivery company @gopuff, a firm originally founded by two Jewish university students in Philadelphia @YakirGola and @Rafaelilishayev
Laurene Powell has given millions of dollars to certain political candidates, including Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, and Joe Biden.
TheAtlantic has now published a feature or report claiming that child sex trafficking is not such a big problem, which is strange timing, to say the least…
Incidentally, and while the date of the photo is not known to me, it was probably taken in very recent years, and the blonde looks pretty good for someone born in 1963.
Music
News from Britain’s “diverse” multikulti society
[the defendant, Abdul Elahi]
[the second defendant, Kirsty Nicholls]
“Prolific paedophile Abdul Elahi has been jailed for 32 years at Birmingham Crown Court after blackmailing victims into committing ‘sickening’ child sex abuse while targeting almost 2,000 people.” [Daily Mail]
…and thousands more like him are arriving daily into the UK— by sea, air, and land…
More tweets seen
MEANWHILE, 54,000 asylum seeks have been here for years not working, 25,000 AFGHANS, 28,000 Dover invaders all in 4 -star hotels and 4000 a months rent being paid for other large families. 15 billion to foreign aid.. HE HAS A CHEEK.
I suppose that the “refugees welcome” dimwits, such as (to name one of many) Zoe Gardner (“@zoejardiniere” on Twitter), either dismiss the cost to the British people of having these human millstones around our collective neck, or simply do not care.
These are the most vain and self-obsessed people on the planet. Had they feared illness and death in any way, they would have been masked and hiding under the bed at home. https://t.co/8zREg1XH8f
How stupid are the “sheeple” who are now going around masked and muzzled on the say-so of “Boris”, Gove, Sunak etc? I myself saw from the car, only yesterday, some masked lunatic pushing a small child in a pushchair. In the open air, and with no other pedestrians in sight!
How about just saying “yes”, and if questioned further, walking out and later hitting back (admittedly perhaps ineffectually) via sites such as TripAdvisor?
You appear to have reached adulthood without being able to tell if you're unwell without state intervention.
I am starting to greatly dislike this Tom Harwood individual, who is plainly controlled opposition, like most such “conservative” pseudo-nationalist scribblers and talking heads. He sounds like a real limp lettuce, too. [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Harwood].
Genuine question: What proof do we have that the ‘Omicron’ variant actually exists (& is not just a mild cold?) Am not saying it doesn’t but would be good if conclusive evidence of its separate existence could be shown. And how are they testing for it?
…and I have been (it seems, pointlessly) warning about the part-Jew, part-Levantine barrel of lies —presently posing as Prime Minister— for the past decade, not only on this blog but also on Twitter (until a pack of Jews had me expelled in 2018).
More tweets
🥂 Boris Johnson is unlikely to raise a glass of champagne to mark the two-year anniversary of his decisive general election victory tomorrow. https://t.co/IMCGDENFjs
“The ravages of the pandemic“? What ravages? Most if not all of the damage has been done by stupid “Boris” and his fellow-clowns, assisted by the subversives on that ludicrously-misnamed “SAGE” committee. Incredibly, Professor Neil Ferguson, one of the worst, is still being cited as reliable in parts of the msm.
Having said that, the newspaper conclusion must be broadly correct. “Labour” are not, as such, ahead of the “Conservatives” in popular estimation; Labour are ahead of the Conservatives as led by “Boris”.
If “Boris” is jettisoned, then the Labour Party, which has really nothing to offer the British people, will almost certainly drop back down below the Conservative Party again.
Conservative Party MPs are like the citizens of ancient Rome— they worship victory. “Boris” has failed. Caesar must be deposed. Soon may emerge the next caesar, or at least the next “Conservative” clown leader.
Like many of his former employers and colleagues, I opposed the “resistible rise” of “Boris” from the start, but others colluded in it, or were too lazy to really examine “Boris” and his background. The msm must take most of the guilt, together with the Jewish lobby which permeates the msm.
The Conservative Party MPs colluded, thinking “Boris” an election-winner (which turned out to be true, though only because Labour’s vote fell by 8 points in 2019— the Conservative Party vote only increased by about one point).
Finally, the voters of, mainly, England were to blame, for lazily failing to see behind the false image created by the msm: “Boris” as a poundland Churchill, “Boris” as a classical scholar (because of his rote-learned Greek and Latin tags), “Boris” as someone of intelligence and erudition (all very superficial). Most of all, “Boris” as a straight bat, instead of the barrel of lies which he really is.
I think that one can see where this may be going. “Boris” will be sacked by his own MP cadre. A new leader will be installed, maybe even that Indian supposed “clever boy”, Sunak, and then Labour will struggle to maintain its new lead in the polls.
I suppose that the alternative is that “Boris” is not sacked, but blunders on through more unnecessary and crazy “Covid” restrictions etc, or “Boris” fights to stay as leader, leading to a long period of infighting. Were either of those to happen, then the voters, in the rigged UK FPTP binary electoral system, might choose fake Labour in desperation.
Where else can the British voters go? A controlled-opposition joke party, Reform? That will never get enough support. As for a genuine social-national party, it does not exist, and the whole electoral and msm set-up, riddled with Jew-Zionism, would ensure that it could not succeed, not peacefully and “lawfully” anyway.
The same kind of statistical modelling that brought in the first wave of COVID tyranny. And just like that previous modelling, NONE of this will come to pass either. https://t.co/r1gk0xakAc
In fact, behind the self-promoting “mystery artist” stuff, and the gimmickry, Banksy is a genuine artist with a genuine, even if often wrongheaded, world view. He is far above the likes of Tracey Emin and Damien Hirst in artistic terms. Pity about the “wokery”, though.
In the end, another “useful idiot” for a System agenda (the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan) which he may not really understand.
The Colston statue situation was mentioned on BBC Radio News earlier. Colston himself was described as “Bristol slaver“, which he was; he was, however, also a merchant, MP, and a philanthropist on a large scale: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Colston.
That kind of politically-correct “woke” bias and tendentiousness is seen everywhere now, especially in the msm. There are no grey areas, no rounded appraisals, no nuances, just black and white simplistics, and judgmentalism.
“The Germans have a Health Minister who’s only qualification is a Certificate in Business Studies and a so called Covid expert working at the Robert Koch Institute who’s only qualification is having one in Veterinary science.” [the published comment of a Daily Mail reader]. (reader’s spelling, not mine).
People across Europe are starting to fight for freedom. A small minority, yes, but backed by many millions of others. There is always a vanguard ahead of the mob.
In the Netherlands, the Dutch police fired at random into the crowd, killing two protesters. So much for the superficially “caring sharing” Dutch state…oh, and incidentally…the Daily Mail chose not to report that fact.
This is the demo in #Vienna against forced vax in #Austria. Since you didn't see it on the news tonight, are you happy that the #MSM so blatantly refuse to let you see the truth & make up your own mind? pic.twitter.com/NeOSU8f02d
That is where we are in the UK: suppression of real news, endless (and endlessly dull) recounting of the official versions of “fake news” (mainly “Covid” nonsense, with some “climate change” stuff tacked on, and there is little or no real difference among the main System news outlets: BBC, Sky, ITN etc. Britain is now largely (((occupied))) territory. ZOG.
More than half of Britain's lifeboats are run by independent local communities, without any support from the #wokeisajoke#RNLI. Find one and transfer your support to a proper charity. pic.twitter.com/jatFCeYDxZ
I was going to add something about Brenton Tarrant, but the repression of free speech in the UK is now such that a degree of self-censorship afflicts even me…
Anyone who has visited an NHS hospital in the past 18 months (as I have, several times, as a specially-permitted visitor) must have noticed that hospitals have been largely empty, the few staff almost unoccupied. There are, probably, exceptions to my impression(s), perhaps in a few large cities, but I have seen what I have seen.
When confronted with the total hypocrisy of private jets and 50-vehicle motorcades for oligarchs and imperialists attending a "climate change" conference predicated on demonizing a carbon gas "emergency"… this is how a socialist responds: "Did you expect them to walk?" https://t.co/LYJ1smgpDipic.twitter.com/IYrXr1oyJM
The pseudo-socialists on Twitter are just me-too idiots, whose only aim is to “deplatform” those with whose views and ideas they disapprove. No ideas about society, except that everything would, they imagine, be much better if advanced white societies were flooded even more by the backward and unpleasant from the black/brown areas of the Earth. They are basically “useful idiots” for those pushing the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan.
In fact, there is a need to depopulate, but the devil is in the detail. What is needed now is for the European populations to stay pretty much at their present levels, but for there to be a large-scale diminution of the non-European populations.
They changed the definition of case. They changed the definition of infection. They changed the definition of herd immunity. They changed the definition of vaccine. And they wonder why so many people are suspicious that something odd is going on.
Ecce, the complete unreality of the pseudo-socialist Twitterati. Wales as an independent country? It never has been, unless you count its prehistoric origins: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wales#History.
Wales is small (the same size as New Jersey, at about 8,000 square miles), and has three million people. Its resources traditionally lay in sub-surface minerals and rocks: coal, slate etc, now not hugely valuable or competitive internationally.
The agricultural sector relies on subsidy, much of Welsh agriculture consisting of uneconomic hill farms.
Tourism exists, mainly in some coastal towns but also elsewhere.
An independent Wales would be a very poor little state.
Aaron Bastani’s tweet, above, seems to envisage an independent socialist Wales. It seems to me that Wales is better off as part of the UK. After all, without UK (English) subsidy, Wales would have little money to subsidize its farming sector, the coal mines are merely historical now (and part of the “heritage tourism” trade), the slate mines still exist here and there but are hardly the basis for statehood’s necessary income, and tourism could not bear the financial load of true “statehood”. What else is there? Not much, I think.
In my view, a truly independent and socialist Wales would be as poor as North Korea after a while. An extreme view? Not really. How would the Welsh Government fund hospitals, schools, and so on?
Not that it could not be done. Will is all. If the 3,000,000 people resident in Wales (many of them now English) were to vote for real independence, they could make it work, up to a point. Why not? However, they would have to accept living standards far below even the modest ones now existent.
A good example of the political, or social, or ideological cover the “Covid” “panicdemic”/”scamdemic” gives to political apparatchiki. Had those “Abos” been detained for any other reason, or under any other excuse, the pseudo-socialists, “human rights” bods etc, even the msm talking heads, would have been outraged and up in arms against it. Not this time, because…”Covid”…the magic word that quells all opposition.
James O'Brien caller: 'The tolerance for antivaxxers may fall down when ICU beds run out and they're occupied by the unvaccinated.'@mrjamesobpic.twitter.com/uhzzKEh2mS
System mouthpiece James O’Brien expressing support for “more meaningful measures“, meaning forced “vaccination”, camps for dissidents etc.
O’Brien says that only a “tiny minority” oppose such measures. Not true, but, how strange, the vast majority in England want NO MORE MASS IMMIGRATION, yet when it comes to migration-invasion, msm/System mouthpiece O’Brien seems to prefer the views of the “tiny minority” (the “refugees welcome” dimwits, the Jewish lobby —mostly pro-immigration— etc)…
'When dementia hits me at least they can't take my house away…'
Useless (at his job), irritating, ignorant (but paid a few hundred grand a year anyway…) Jeremy Vine, showing incredible (?) bias, with guests the hugely ignorant scribbler (poses as “journalist”) Yasmin Alibhai-Brown, and Daily Mail scribbler, something (?) Pierce. That is what the msm serve up to the watching populace as a “discussion”, with the presenter, Vine, advocating that the government use “snitches“, fines, prison, “spot checks” of documents etc to repress those who defy “vaccination” with useless fake vaccines.
At least the DDR [East Germany] did not seriously pretend to have “civil rights”…
When the Hungarian Uprising occurred in 1956, those most closely involved with the repression of the population (secret policemen etc) were caught, and some of them suffered the supreme penalty at the hands of the rebels.
Britain was once proud of its civil rights. Even during WW2, when rights were partly suspended, few openly called for the introduction of a complete police state…yet here now in the UK, we see mediocre System msm mouthpieces openly calling for a system of secret informers, denunciation of neighbours and family members, authoritarian police presence on the streets and checking “papers”, and “volunteer co-workers” helping the State to keep the population repressed.
All that, notionally, for suppression of a virus which has (supposedly) killed about ONE in every FOUR THOUSAND people in the world (1 in 1,000 in the UK)…
A little Ostalgie?
Afternoon music
[Mill Colonnade, Karlovy Vary (Carlsbad), Czech Republic, Europe]
I caught a few minutes of Diane Abbott on Newsnight, still defending the migration-invasion. That stupid bitch must have been worth a million votes to the Conservative Party in 2019!
Although there are lots of people in Northern Ireland who are concerned about the future under Boris Johnson, his decision to sack Karen Bradley will be universally welcomed. It is rare to achieve such widespread cross-community consensus on anything in Northern Ireland. pic.twitter.com/ziZmJxW0bv
Karen Bradley is the Conservative Party MP for Staffordshire Moorlands, and has been since the constituency boundaries were changed for the 2010 General Election, making the seat a safe seat for the Conservatives. Her share of the vote increased from 45.2% in 2010 to 58.1% in 2017.
Unlike most MPs, Karen Bradley represents an area not far from where she was born. She went to a comprehensive school and then to Imperial College, where she graduated in Mathematics (B.Sc.).
There is little information about Karen Bradley’s family or parents. Her origins seem modest, at any rate.
Karen Bradley worked in tax for Deloitte and KPMG, for a total of 16 years; she also worked for 3 years as a consultant in the same field, but gave up and rejoined KPMG. I think that we can be sure that Karen Bradley does know about how to calculate tax.
Karen Bradley is married (husband’s occupation unknown to me); they have two children.
Upon election as MP in 2010, Karen Bradley joined the House of Commons Work and Pensions Select Committee (MPs on such committees get more pay). At least she would understand the tax questions.
There is no record that I have seen of her criticizing or even questioning the cruel system of “welfare” (social security) put in place by Iain Dunce Duncan Smith, the Jew “lord” Freud etc after 2010. On the contrary, she has always voted to make the poor (if unemployed, sick or disabled, at least) poorer.
The Germans have a saying: “put a beggar on a horse and he rides it to death”.
Karen Bradley became a Government Whip in 2012, a traditional home for mediocre MPs.
Karen Bradley was appointed junior minister at the Home Office in 2014 and then, in the turmoil following the 2015 General Election and the subsequent election of Theresa May as Conservative Party leader, she was appointed Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport.
It may be that Theresa May wanted to appoint women to senior posts.
MPs, like generals, need luck in their careers. I doubt that many, in 2010, would have predicted that Karen Bradley would go from not even being an MP in early 2010 to being a member of the Cabinet only six years later. She certainly had luck; however, the luck ran out:
“During the cabinet reshuffle in 2018, Bradley was appointed Secretary of State for Northern Ireland after the resignation of James Brokenshire due to ill health. Matt Hancock replaced her as Culture Secretary. In July 2018 she came under criticism in the Northern Ireland Affairs Committee for failing to take action on British government discrimination against former soldiers and police. Andrew Murrison challenged her on her account of what she had done, and she said she would write to him. Sylvia Hermon commented: “I wait and wait for letters.”[12]“
[Wikipedia]
“In September 2018 she was criticised for admitting in an interview for House magazine, a weekly publication for the Houses of Parliament, that she had not understood Northern Irish politics before being appointed Secretary of State for Northern Ireland. “I didn’t understand things like when elections are fought, for example, in Northern Ireland – people who are nationalists don’t vote for unionist parties and vice versa,” she said.“
[Wikipedia]
The newspapers were soon full of views about Karen Bradley, the vast majority very critical, using words such as “shamefully ignorant,”, “a slow learner”, “should resign”, “should not be in job” etc.
Karen Bradley did not even understand that Northern Irish voters mostly vote on sectarian lines! Hopeless…
“Attracting widespread and sustained criticism, Karen Bradley united the political classes in their belief that she was inept, ineffectual, gaffe-prone and completely out of her depth,” said Deirdre Heenan, professor of Social Policy at Ulster University.” [BBC]
“Media appearances by Mrs Bradley became infrequent and brief.” [BBC]
In the end, though, Karen Bradley’s loyalty to Theresa May and the Conservative Party (she has almost always voted with her party) saved her until Theresa May was replaced by Boris Johnson, who sacked her at once:
It is not hard to be Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport. Lazy half-Jew chancer Ed Vaizey blagged it for years. Karen Bradley did the same. It became clear, though, when she was appointed to Northern Ireland, that she had received at least one promotion too many. She was out of her depth in Cabinet. She had to go.
What now for Karen Bradley?
I was unsure as to whether Karen Bradley was enough of a deadhead to make it into the hallowed halls of my Deadhead MPs series. She might have been assessed as merely mediocre. However, her performance at the Northern Ireland Office has sealed her fate and provided her entry ticket to this blog series.
I imagine that we have seen the end of Karen Bradley as a member of the Government, whether under Boris Johnson or anyone else. However, she has a safe seat in the Staffordshire Moorlands, seems to be popular there and so will no doubt continue to be, as a constituency MP, merely mediocre most of the time, rather than a deadhead.
Karen Bradley became almost invisible after she was sacked from Cabinet in 2019. A wise tactic, because it saved her from having her evident unsuitability for office being again underlined.
Having said that, Karen Bradley actually increased her vote share in 2019, to 64.5% (Labour 26.9%).
At the 2024 General Election, Karen Bradley’s vote share fell to 35.4% (Labour 32.6%, Reform 23.2%).
Next time? Hard to say. The Conservative Party is now in the trough of despair, but so is the Labour Party. Reform, though, is booming, and it may well be that, next time around, Reform will take votes from both Lab and Con, and thus put Mrs. Bradley out of a job. Open question.
I suppose that I should write a brief piece about the LibDems, now that they have elected a new leader. Somehow an underwhelming topic. First of all, the new leader.
Background
Jo Swinson MP was born in Scotland in 1980, went to a local state school and then to the LSE, graduating, it seems, aged only 20, and with a degree in management. She then worked briefly for a small enterprise in Yorkshire before becoming marketing manager with public relations duties for a local radio station in Hull, called Viking Radio.
Elected as MP in 2005 [LibDem, East Dunbartonshire], she was PPS to Nick Clegg, then a PUS, then a junior minister, all during the time of the “Con Coalition” of 2010-2015.
Jo Swinson voted for all or almost all of the Con Coalition policies, and has endorsed both zero hours contracts and “flexible working”. I am not a LibDem, but I have to say that Jo Swinson is really rather far from the LibDem traditional stance on such matters. She comes across as almost “libertarian” as far as worker rights are concerned.
The other candidate, Ed Davey, is not far from Jo Swinson, ideologically, though I should say that Davey was the more intelligent candidate of the two, so it makes sense for the LibDems to go for the less-intelligent and less-educated Jo Swinson…Davey was also the more experienced candidate, being about 15 years older and having been in Parliament for longer (since 1997, compared to Swinson’s 2005); Davey was also the only one to have served in the Cabinet.
Both Swinson and Davey lost their seats in 2015 (Davey to a Conservative, Swinson to the SNP), but were re-elected in the same constituencies in 2017. Both are “doing rather well” financially outside politics too: Davey is director or consultant to a number of companies, while Jo Swinson’s husband, Duncan Hames, an accountant (and also a LibDem MP from 2010 until 2015), now works for Transparency International, a well-funded NGO.
The LibDems’ situation and chances
2010 was surely the high point of LibDemmery. 57 MPs (out of 650) and a share in government: the Con Coalition. In 2005, under the egregious Charles Kennedy, the LibDems had won 62 seats out of 646, but were not in government.
The LibDems got 23% of the popular vote in 2010, but only about 9% of the MPs.
I believe that the LibDems could have demanded electoral reform from the Conservatives. They did not. They sold their chance for a few ministerial places, for official cars, red boxes, rank and flummery. In return they (Ed Davey and Jo Swinson among them) voted for every misconceived “Conservative” measure: the appalling regime of hounding of and cruelty to the poor disabled, sick and unemployed; the whole nonsense of “austerity”, which left the UK economy almost alone in advanced states in being mired in recession and/or low growth for years; the near-destruction of the armed services as an active and effective global force. For all that and more, for being doormats for the Conservatives, the LibDems were punished by the electorate.
In 2015, the LibDem vote slumped to 7.9% (8 MPs), then slumped again in 2017, to 7.4% (but, by the vagaries of the British electoral system, the LibDems ended up with 12 MPs).
In the 2019 UK European elections, the LibDems came second. I blogged about them then:
I do not think that I have a lot to add to what I then wrote. My view is that there is and will be no “LibDem surge”, but what there might be is a LibDem gain from the decline of both of the other main System parties, as well as an electoral benefit arising from the Brexit Party surge —if it happens— in the South of England, mainly, where the LibDems are not infrequently in 2nd or close 3rd place.
If the Conservative Party is hit badly in the South, its voters split between Con and BP, the main beneficiary is likely to be not the Brexit Party, and not Labour (in most cases) but the LibDems. In those circumstances (and “Change UK” having died shortly after birth), it is not now impossible to imagine the LibDems again having a bloc of 50 MPs, something that I admit I thought, until very recently, would be impossible. The LibDems may not deserve it, but might in any event get it. In fact, thinking of —inter alia— Boris Johnson, that might just be the epitaph of our present age.
New Lib Dem leader, Jo Swinson, said here that she regretted *some* of the Tory Lib Dem murderously brutal austerity cuts — the bedroom tax for example. So why did she vote for the bedroom tax, ELEVEN times, and how come our MSM NEVER point this out.pic.twitter.com/MT72zqPjKi
We now know that there was the 2019 General Election only 5 months after I wrote the above assessment. At that election, my initial judgment, rather than my later speculation, was vindicated: the LibDem vote increased from 7.4% to 11.55%, but the FPTP system resulted in the LibDems losing 1 MP. That MP was Jo Swinson, who exited political life, having led her party for less than 5 months (144 days).
After the departure of Jo Swinson, Ed Davey was elected leader.
The LibDems had 12 MPs after the 2017 General Election, which reduced to 11 after the 2019 General Election. However, since then the LibDems have had three by-election successes, taking their number to 14.
Update, 3 February 2026
Having seen the blog post get quite a few hits in the past days and weeks, time for an update.
Ed Davey has become notorious for clowning around at fetes, rallies, conferences etc.
Having said that, and despite the LibDems having become near-irrelevant in policy terms, present opinion polling has them on or around 11%-15%, and surviving the coming likely massive cull of System party MPs. The polls seem to indicate that the slide of the Conservative Party (mainly) means that, as “dustbin” alternative, the LibDems might keep about 50-70 MPs, mostly in the southern half of the UK, at the likely GE 2029 or GE 2028, whichever. That might put them into the unaccustomed position of being the third or even second-largest bloc of MPs in the Commons, if Reform UK sweeps the board.
Some months ago I blogged about what I saw as the emerging political vacuum in England and Wales. My overall view now is the same but more so.
The 2015 General Election would have broken the mould of British politics had it been carried out under conditions other than the absurd First Past The Post system, more suited to the UK of the 1920s than that of the early 21st Century. The distribution of votes in Southern England illustrates this well enough, where the Conservative Party got about half the votes but won about 95% of the Westminster seats (a similar ration to that of the SNP in Scotland).
The UKIP insurgents famously won nearly 4 million votes UK-wide (mostly in England), some 12% of the vote, yet won no seat except that of Douglas Carswell, who is really a Conservative and was previously elected as one.
It can be asserted as simple fact that, in almost any given English seat, most of the voters do not get the MP or party that they want and for which they voted. Moreover, even the typical 30%-50% received by the winning candidate often reflects more the candidates that most voters did not want: voters vote tactically in the absence of a true choice being available.
FPTP has distorted British politics, giving the incumbent party in any given seat a great advantage and –far more– giving the main System parties as a whole a like electoral advantage and an anchor against sliding into ruination. All the same, when the forces become unstoppable, that slide does happen. It happened to the Liberal Party during and after the 1920s (replaced by Labour) and it happened to Scottish Labour after 2010. This illustrates it well:
Founded in 1934, the SNP often scored less than 1% of the vote in Scotland and had to wait until 1970 to get a single MP elected. Even in 2010, the SNP only got 19.9% of the Scottish vote and 6 MPs (out of 59). Then the tipping-point was reached and in 2015, its vote swelled to 50% and suddenly the SNP had (a typically-disproportionate FPTP result) 56 MPs (out of 59). Labour in Scotland was ruined and now (2017) is only the third party in the polls there (after the Conservatives!) and has only about 15% voter support.
Moving to Labour overall, we see that this is a party that has been living “off its hump” for a long time. It even managed to jettison almost every remnant of “socialism” in its policies and yet win elections under Tony Blair (via appealing to otherwise Conservative or Liberal Democrat voters in the South and Midlands). Labour, in effect, “sold its patrimony for a mess of pottage”. When one asks oneself “what does Labour stand for?”, nothing coherent comes to mind: a confusion of old history, trade unions, strike banners, post-1945 nationalization, 1960s-1970s managerial technocracy, that old humbug Michael Foot in his donkey jacket at the Cenotaph, then, from the mid-1990s, the mirage of Blairism (New World Order pro-Americanism meets the Israel Lobby meets managerial “socialism” meets Common Purpose careerism).
It is often said that Labour is now split into Corbynists and Blairites. Another fault line (closely following the first) might be said to be the pro-Israel lobby bloc and the generally anti-Zionist bloc (though most in both still feel the need to pay lip-service to the “holocaust” narrative and its faked history, non-existent “gas chambers”, the now-derided “six million” etc).
In fact, Labour is now not even two parties but three:
the remnant of the old trade union-oriented Labour Party, based around traditional and unthinkingly Labour communities, mostly in the North;
the Blairite-Brownite pro-Israel bloc, consisting largely of MPs and their staffs, together with careerists in other parts of the country. These are those who want “to win elections” by promising pie in the sky: socialism to socialists, aspiration to the voters of the suburbs, “diversity” to the ethnic minorities and the rainbow loonies, profits and low taxes to the Jewish Zionist potential donors;
the Corbyn camp, which relates to a partly-imaginary Labour history from the 1930s through to the 1980s: “no pasaran!” Communist (and some syndicalist) propaganda from the Spanish Civil War; an airbrushed “anti-Nazi” and “anti-fascist” Second World War narrative; the conflicts of the 1970s such as that in Chile or those in parts of Central America; the Miners’ Strike of the 1980s (seen mainly through a London lens though). This is largely a bloc based around London, around the half-mad pseudo-socialist local council enclaves that became notorious in the 1980s: Islington, Camden, Haringey, Lambeth. It is the dominant bloc now and is supported by at least half of the ordinary Labour Party members and supporters.
Naturally, there is overlap here and there within that tripartite split. However, what has fallen away is not only consensus among the Labour members and activists, but more, the voters. Most Labour voters now are in that first group and are only voting Labour out of traditional allegiance. When you look at, say, Stoke Central, where the by-election is about to take place, you see that voting Labour, not in 1945 but in 1997, 2001, 2005, 2010, 2015 has not given the people anything. Unemployment high, immigration high, large numbers of ethnic minority voters (Labour’s most reliable pawns now); little hope. Why would people in Stoke Central vote Labour? The answer seems to be that they see little choice (those that will actually vote, being probably a minority of those eligible).
In Stoke Central, the only alternative to Labour is UKIP, which is not the sort of social-national party likely to rise to power. In fact, UKIP is not social-nationalist at all, though some of its supporters are. The fact that UKIP is even being entertained (and may yet win the Stoke Central seat) is mainly a sign of Labour’s decline and not UKIP’s strength.
The industrial proletariat has gone, almost entirely. The trade unions are just a feeble bureaucratic, rainbow-coalition, “anti-racist”, Common Purpose-contaminated joke. The people who are suffering under fake “austerity” (the effect of #NWO/#ZOG globalism) and who belong to the burgeoning “precariat” (unemployed, underemployed, disabled, 50+, zero-hours-exploited, minimum-wage-exploited) are not now Labour voters but non-voters, sometime UKIP voters, potential social-nationalist voters. The Labour MPs are now mainly careerists, pro-Israel drones and “what’s-in-it-for-me?” bastards. Stoke Central MP Tristram Hunt abandoned his seat and constituents because, as he said, “the offer [from the Victoria and Albert Museum] was too good to refuse.” £250,000 a year. That was his price.
When a social nationalist movement of the new type emerges, as it must, it will start to scoop up the poor, or poor and angry and frustrated, masses. Labour will then disappear. Already it seems likely that Labour will only get between 100-200 seats in the 2020 Parliament, whether numbers are reduced from 650 to 600 or not. Labour policies– pro mass immigration, “welcoming” “refugees” (not of course to the MPs’ homes and neighbourhoods but to those of the former Labour voters), pro the EU octopus etc, simply have no appeal to those left behind by a conspiratorial globalism and multiculturalism.
As yet, a suitable party does not exist. When it does exist, Labour, already weakened, will fall to dust.
In the bigger picture, of course, the Cons under Boris-idiot won in 2017, and won bigger in 2019, only to lose to Starmer-Labour in 2024, since which time Reform UK has arisen to prominence and, indeed, dominance. We now await events.
Ian Robert Millard 