Alt-Right, by-elections, Campaign Against AntiSemitism, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, environment, free speech, historical, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Labour Friends of Israel, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 17 February 2024

13 Comments

Morning music

Saturday quiz

Well, an unusual week, in that I was outscored by political journalist John Rentoul, who managed 6/10; I only got 5/10. I nearly guessed the answer to question 1, but could not be sure, and also came close on question 7. As it was, I only knew for sure the answers to questions 2, 3, 6, 8, and 9.

Tweets seen

Exactly so. Labour actually offers nothing (except, possibly, arguably, tighter administration) that is not offered or done by the present “Conservative” misgovernment. Having said that, the voters plainly wish to punish the Government for being so weak and, indeed, hopeless.

It was surprising to see that just over a third of the Kingswood voters who voted, still voted Con, albeit that the turnout was well under 40% (so only about 10% or so of all eligible voters voted Con), but that may indicate that in a general election, the Con vote in that constituency (were it not being abolished) would be nearer to 20% or 25%, on a putative turnout of about 70%. However, that would still be not enough to win (were the seat to still exist at GE 2024).

All speculation, of course…

https://twitter.com/RespectIsVital/status/1758561747596710302

According to the malicious “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [“CAA”] cabal (on its website), “lord” Ian Austin, the notorious Israel-lobby and Jewish-lobby puppet who was once an MP, and who is one of the “Patrons” of the “CAA”, actually wrote to the Director of Public Prosecutions in 2022 demanding that I be prosecuted for expressing my views on this blog.

See https://antisemitism.org/former-barrister-ian-millard-found-guilty-of-five-communications-offences-after-seven-years-of-action-by-caa/.

Regular readers of the blog will know that I was tried last November, found guilty on all 5 counts, and will be sentenced next month. Freedom of expression is almost dead, and a large part of the reason for that is the existence of the Jew-Zionist lobby.

Austin is very odd. He once tweeted that pornography involving bestiality should be decriminalized, a view echoed by the Jewish girl at the centre of the campaign against Dr. David Miller of Bristol University. Those tweets were later deleted. At the same time, Austin thinks that “holocaust” “denial” should be criminalized!

Austin’s quite long Wikipedia entry says nothing at all about his personal life.

Austin, as MP, was also a hard-core expenses cheat. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ian_Austin#Expenses

You can bet that Austin makes sure to “sign on” at the House of Lords every sitting day, in order to get his c.£350 a day taxfree cash “allowance” and other freebies.

I wonder how many other lucrative part-time jobs (in the argot of today, “side-hustles”) Austin has. That housing chairmanship was almost certainly only one of several.

Austin almost personifies the corrupt pro-Israel political system of the UK today, as well as Starmer-Labour.

More music

More tweets

“Tories said they’d lower migration

Then put it on steroids

Tories said control borders

Then lost control Tories say we are sovereign

But won’t leave ECHR

Tories blame Labour

But won’t change New Labour law

Tories promised new economy

Then gave us more of the same

This isn’t hard. People are leaving the Tories because they promised one thing only to do the very opposite.”

https://mattgoodwin.org/p/sunaks-sinking.

Lack of funding is part of that, but I doubt that the tweeter (obviously Indian) would agree that another large part of the problem is the half-million to a million immigrants of various kinds every single year.

Yes, a tiny percentage of the migration influx consists of doctors and nurses, but the other 99.9% are those who will not work in the NHS but will use its services.

Then factor in the disastrous “lockdowns” and/or restricted service throughout 2020, 2021, and 2022.

Then factor in the other recent developments: the strikes in the NHS, and the explosion of part-time working by GPs and the better-paid clinical staff generally, and also the phenomenon of medical students getting trained here in the UK, mainly at UK taxpayers’ expense (despite student loans), then emigrating to countries such as Canada, Australia, New Zealand etc for more money and a better lifestyle. They should have to work in the NHS for 5-10 years after qualification and training.

“Here’s a chart I tweeted this week which went viral on social media. It shows rates of home ownership in Britain by age, from 1960 through to today. Take a look…“

[Home ownership rates by age. Source: Sunday Times]

“Highlighting the fact mass immigration is directly fuelling our housing crisis clashes with the elite’s “luxury beliefs”. Routinely, they demand more and more immigrants, looser and looser borders, to project their liberal beliefs to other elites all the while knowing they and their families will never be the ones to have to compete with immigrants and newcomers for a roof above their heads.”

“As Andrew Neil said in response: “And the Tories wonder why young folks won’t vote for them”. Indeed. At the looming general election just 8% of Zoomers from Generation-Z plan to vote Conservative.

This is why, last weekend, housing secretary Michael Gove went further, touring media in Westminster to warn if young British people and families remain unable to get on the housing ladder ‘they will abandon democracy’.“

Our day in the sun may be nearer than we ourselves, as social nationalists, realize.

Look at recent by-elections. Only a third of voters are even bothering to vote. They despise the System parties and refuse to validate those “elected”, who have no real legitimacy.

By that date (2036), UK society will have either collapsed into civil war or chaos, or be very close to that point.

Only social nationalism can save Britain; and, frankly, even that will be a struggle. Things are very bad and, equally important, getting worse, and rapidly.

“Scholz blocked the candidacy of Ursula von der Leyen for the post of NATO Secretary General, – Welt. According to the publication, there were two reasons for this:

Scholz considers the position of NATO Secretary General too important to give it to a Christian Democrat from Germany (opposition to Scholz’s party).

Scholz considers Ursula von der Leyen’s attitude towards Russia too critical.“

Die Welt is a heavyweight German conservative newspaper. Its business-oriented attitudes make it interesting that, recently, its coverage has mellowed towards Russia. The sanctions on Russia, and the general hostility to Russia from such as Ursula von der Leyen harm, not Russia, but Germany itself (and the rest of the EU).

Ursula von der Leyen always strikes me as —in the American phrase— “nutty”— excessively driven, and even mentally-ill. Another similar specimen is Christine Lagarde. NWO insiders.

It looks like Scholz and other major political players in Germany are waking up to the fact of the inevitable Russian victory in Ukraine, certainly in Eastern Ukraine. Realpolitik.

Unsurprising, given that Milei is a populist. However, this may be shadow boxing.

The UK now has not the power and global reach to defend the islands, certainly not to retake them after an invasion, as happened in 1982.

However, by the same token it may well be that the Argentine government does not today have the ability to launch such an invasion in the first place; I am unsure.

In the unlikely event that Russia starts to be pushed back significantly on the battlefield because of such weapons given to the Kiev regime, the escalation might result in Russia using ever-heavier missiles and bombs, even tactical nuclear weapons. Kiev could be completely flattened

There must be a peace process that leaves Russia with, at minimum, Crimea, the Donetsk region, and the Lugansk region, and at least much of the Azov Sea and Black Sea littoral.

https://twitter.com/simpatico771/status/1758880174374797514

That relates to the Russian victory in the devastated city of Avdeevka (“Avdiivka” in Ukrainian). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avdiivka. Victory was declared by the Russian side only today. The Kiev-regime forces not killed or captured have withdrawn in disarray.

[Avdeevka/Avdiivka before the present war]

War is hell. Avdeevka in that photo looks (i.e. looked, before the war) reasonably decent for a once-Soviet industrial town.

Interesting, if true. A few thoughts come to my mind. Firstly, what conceivable British interest was being served here? None, in my view. As to the alleged MI6/SIS officer, he seems to be a good listener (which must be part of his job) and is evidently trying to be non-committal yet friendly (also part of his job, I presume). Other than that, hard to say much about him. Maybe privately-educated but trying to flatten the accent (like the present Prince of Wales and his brother)? Maybe, maybe not. A suitably “grey” person…

Navalny and his group were playing for high stakes. They lost.

The msm in the EU, UK, USA etc all show the masses a series of pictures (on TV, in the Press) etc; metaphorical pictures; shadows on the wall of the cave, if you like. “Ukraine”, “Navalny”, “Black Lives Matter”, “Covid”, “far right extremism”, “Russia about to attack Western Europe”. Mostly lies, or the truth bent so far out of shape that it becomes a lie.

If that is so, the withdrawal order was just a figleaf to cover what was really an uncontrolled flight by the Ukrainian front-line forces.

Late music

[River Ob at Barnaul, Western Siberia. At that point, the Ob is still 1,200 miles from where it flows into the Arctic Ocean]
Alt-Right, by-elections, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, free speech, historical, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, Paul Golding, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 16 February 2024, with thoughts about the Wellingborough and Kingswood by-election results, and the death of Alexei Navalny

Leave a comment

Morning music

I remember that song. 1967; I was a 10-y-o child living in Mosman, a North Shore suburb of Sydney. Different times (look at the comments appended to that YouTube video).

From the mass media

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-68305050

“Major French magazine L’Express has revealed that its prominent former editor, Philippe Grumbach, was a KGB spy for 35 years.

He counted presidents, actors and literary giants as close friends. He was a legendary figure in journalism who shaped the editorial direction of one of France’s most successful publications. When he died in 2003, Minister of Culture Jean-Jacques Aillagon said Grumbach had been “one of the most memorable and respected figures in French media”.

But he was also “Brok”, the KGB spy.

Extensive proof of Grumbach’s duplicitous life can be found in the so-called Mitrokhin archive.

Born in Paris in 1924 into a Jewish family, Grumbach fled France with his mother and siblings in 1940 – the year Nazi Germany invaded and Marshal Philippe Pétain took power in Vichy with a collaborationist regime.“

[BBC]

The Wellingborough and Kingswood by-elections

At Wellingborough, a convincing win for Labour. I thought that it might go closer than it did. Labour 45.9%, Conservatives 24.6%, Reform UK 13%. All 8 other candidates lost their deposits; the LibDems came closest with 4.7%. A local Independent, Marion Turner-Hawes, scored 3.7% and probably would have beaten the LibDems had she been the only Independent standing. The Greens, as usual, were nowhere (6th) on 3.4%, and Britain First was even more “nowhere” on 1.6%.

The Conservatives were let down partly by the choice of candidate, the girlfriend of unpleasant former MP, Peter Bone. Having said that, the main reason for the electoral upset was that people want a change, even if it is really not much of a change, or the wrong change. They wanted, also, to stamp on the Conservative Party.

The Conservative candidate tried to make “stopping the boats“, i.e. the continuing cross-Channel migration-invasion, the issue. Of course, the fact is that the cross-Channel invasion is only a tenth, if that, of the main invasion— the enormous influx of “students”, “family-members”, “highly-skilled workers” (Indians that can work a computer) as well as supposed “asylum-seekers” etc.

Also, the “Conservative” governments of 2010-2024 have not even seriously tried to “stop the boats”, let alone the main migration-invasion. Not far short of a million a year now.

Talk is cheap…

Empty words at best, lying words at worst (collusion with the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan).

A better candidate, and one not tied up with Peter Bone, might have scored higher, maybe well over 30%, and so lost less embarrassingly.

A real social-national party, if one existed, might have won. Turnout was only 38%; a huge 62% of those eligible to vote did not bother, or showed their contempt for the whole system via abstention.

No need to “analyze” the Britain First vote— pathetic. As for Reform UK, it is going to have to do a lot better than that if it is going to start winning seats. Another pro-Israel scam-party by Nigel Farage.

Overall, the result is another nail in the coffin of the Rishi Sunak government, and the Conservative Party (and Sunak himself, of course).

I should be ready to bet that, if voters aged 65+ (many of whom would have voted early by post) were taken away, the remaining Con Party vote would have been no more than 10%.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wellingborough_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s

Kingswood, north of Bristol and in effect an outer suburb of Bristol, also returned a Labour MP yesterday. Pointlessly, of course, because not only will there be a general election this year but, also, the constituency is being abolished.

The result was Labour 44.9%, Conservatives 34.9%, Reform UK 10.4%, Green 5.8%, LibDems 3.5%, UKIP 0.5%.

Turnout was 37.1%, even lower than at Wellingborough. Almost two-thirds of those eligible could not be bothered to vote, and/or despise the whole circus.

The Labour candidate had the advantage of being of local origin, more or less, combined with not being a Conservative. His unusual personal life (gay, and having converted from Roman Catholicism to Judaism to fit in with his Jewish “civil partner”) seems to have been disregarded by the voters (meaning the 11,176 who voted for him, out of about 80,000; the other ~68,000 were eligible to vote but either did not vote or voted for other candidates).

The Conservative Party candidate came closer than I had expected. His own local origins can probably be thanked for that. The Farage vehicle, Reform UK, came third, but again seems to be —time after time— the “also ran” party…

The Greens saved their deposit and beat the LibDems into 5th place. The rump of UKIP came last, and one has to wonder why candidates for no-hope parties like that even bother.

Yet another nail in Sunak’s political coffin, of course.

Taking away the local aspects of both by-elections, for me the “takeaways” are that this “Conservative” government is toast, that Sunak is toast, and that the Conservative Party is toast. Also, that the LibDems are seen as dull and, except where they have a good tactical chance against a Conservative candidate, unappealing to voters.

More? Well, that Reform UK is not exciting enough people, not yet anyway, to start being a major player. Also, that the Greens only appeal to around 5% of the electorate, if that.

Finally, for me the point is that, in both of these by-elections, only just over a third of people even bothered to vote; without postal voting, that 37%/38% would probably have been nearer to 20%. The voters most interesting to me are those not presently energized to vote.

What do these results say about GE 2024? That Labour must be en route to victory, though a victory not welcomed by all, or even a majority, of the voters. A feeling of dull meaninglessness, perhaps. A hollow victory?

For the Conservative Party, these results must mean that the bulk of their MPs are on the way out. 50 may survive, maybe 100.

Tweets seen

A few days ago. I missed that story.

The time may come when Israel faces thousands of such drones.

I agree with the first bit, but only partly with the second. Many 2019 Con Party voters seem to be switching, in despair, to Reform UK, but that would be only a small minority of the overall electorate. Look at the turnout figures from yesterday. Only a third (just over) of eligible voters even voted. Reform UK, with its limited “conservative nationalism” “cosplay”, its pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby attitude, and its semi-“libertarian” economics, will never inspire even a half of the voters. Maybe 10%, maybe 20%. I doubt that it will go higher.

The fact is that, even at Kingswood, where the result scarcely mattered in itself (a general election this year, and the seat then ceasing to exist), Reform UK only gathered in 13% of the votes, i.e. about 5% of all possible votes. The Wellingborough result was similar: 9.4% of votes cast, i.e. about 3% of all possible votes.

Only a fully-credible social-national party might be able to energise and inspire the British people. That party does not exist.

“Today, the Tories are only holding half the people who voted for them at the last general election, in 2019, and only a little more than one in three of the people who voted for Brexit, in 2016. These are supposed to be the party’s core supporters. But many of them are now abandoning Sunak in droves, running for the hills.

And do you blame them? Seriously? Given some of the other events this week it’s not hard to see why. For a start, Sunak’s failure to control Britain’s borders was reflected in the remarkable finding that just 1.3% of the illegal migrants who entered Britain on the small boats since 2018 have been removed from the country.

And then came the latest data on the dire state of the economy, which confirms Britain is in recession and suffering the longest hit to living standards since records began, in 1955. Contrary to Sunak’s pledge to deliver economic growth, this week we learned that throughout his first year in office Britain’s economy grew by just 0.1%, while GDP per capita —which adjusts for population growth — fell by 0.7%.

This, too, will prompt many voters to ask Sunak some tough questions. Where is the growth you promised? Where is the strong economy? And where is the growth the Treasury, the Office for Budget Responsibility, and countless other experts told us would surely arrive if Britain opened its doors to unprecedented immigration?

The answer is it’s nowhere to be seen, partly because rather than deliver the high-skill, high-wage, highly-selective, and highly productive immigration the Tories have been promising since Brexit they’ve instead delivered low-skill, low-wage, non-selective, and unproductive immigration from outside Europe, which has been shown to be a net fiscal cost rather than a net benefit to Western economies.

...more and more [voters] are turning off and tuning out. Just look at the rates of turnout at the latest by-elections. Labour and Keir Starmer are not setting Britain on fire, far from it; the Tories are staying home.

These voters aren’t idiots. They know they’ve been led down the garden path by a Conservative government and a Conservative prime minister which have routinely overpromised and underdelivered.

These voters want decent economic growth and an economic model which prioritises British people. But Rishi Sunak and the Tories have given them more of the same.

These voters want much lower and manageable rates of immigration. But Rishi Sunak and the Tories keep putting mass migration on steroids. And these voters want strong and secure borders and a government which prioritises the security of the British people. But Rishi Sunak and the Tories have lost control of our borders, largely because they refuse to reform laws and leave conventions which make it impossible to remove illegal migrants and foreign nationals who commit crime, as we saw with the shocking case of Abdul Ezedi.“

[Matt Goodwin, on his Substack blog]

In any case, the UK needs no immigration at all. It needs to educate and train real British people to a far higher level, and then provide suitable employment for them. British people, real British people.

Suitable employment, appropriate and decent pay; decent housing; decent transport; decent medical care; decent social care; also, decent architecture and town planning.

Defying the Kremlin can be dangerous. The story that Navalny “felt unwell after he went for a walk” is obviously unlikely.

The daytime temperature in that region today is about -20C. Cold weather for a stroll, even for a Russian.

As to Navalny himself, I knew nothing of him beyond what was occasionally on TV news or in the newspapers. I was unable to understand why he returned to Russia after he had recovered from having been poisoned in Russia and flown to Germany for treatment.

My conclusion (beyond the apparent fact that Navalny was a braver man than me— and a more foolish one, arguably) is that he had a huge amount of egotism. He probably wildly over-estimated his popularity in Russia (in fact only about 5% supported him), and may have thought that arriving in Moscow on a private jet with a horde of Western reporters on board would probably protect him, especially as thousands of his supporters (mostly Moscow-based) would be awaiting his arrival at Vnukovo (one of the four main airports in the Moscow region: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vnukovo_International_Airport).

The plane was diverted to Sheremetyevo Airport. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sheremetyevo_International_Airport, thus bypassing the expected mass welcome.

I may be wrong, but I think that Navalny may have thought that his return to Russia would be akin to that of Lenin in 1917. However, Lenin was never in any danger of arrest and detention in 1917, and had not only supporters but an armed guard force at his historic speech at the Finlandsky Station in Petrograd. Also, the Tsarist Government had already effectively fallen. There was no-one to arrest him.

Navalny has, by reason of his imprisonment and probable murder, achieved the status of martyr, but had he ever become leader of Russia, might have been as harsh, and probably less effective, than Putin.

I am old enough to remember how the usually-wrong Western msm thought, in the 1980s, that Andropov would be “liberal” (mainly because he was said to like jazz). The same or similar was said in the late 1970s of the African tyrant Robert Mugabe (“well-educated” by Jesuits, and a “democrat” by African standards. So they said…). Indeed, look at how the globalist msm lauded thick-as-two-short-planks Nelson Mandela…

Well, there it is.

One interesting aspect to the news coverage in the UK today is that it has been so extensive. In a way, surprising, when Navalny had no real support base in Russia, and never had a real chance of deposing Putin.

Were I more of a conspiracy theorist than people think I am, I should suspect that the UK TV people are using the Navalny matter to talk less about yesterday’s by-election results.

Also, the Kiev-regime forces are crumbling on the Ukrainian front-line.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexei_Navalny.

More tweets seen

Many, even perhaps I myself, might think that a retaliatory strike by Israel on Gaza, immediately after the October 2023 incursion, meaning in the following few days, would probably fall into the “self-defence” and “proportionate” area (leaving aside the behaviour of the Israeli Jews since 1948), but what has happened since then is a cruel slaughter and devastation worse than the much-criticized Reduction of the Warsaw Ghetto by German forces in 1943. The Germans did evacuate most of the non-combatant Jews before killing or capturing the rest (saboteurs, terrorists, and rebels) and then levelling the area.

According to my use of Electoral Calculus, that would still leave the Con Party with 117 MPs. Maybe. One or two points can make a big difference. For example, if the Con/Lab numbers were 23% and 45% respectively, the Cons would have only 97 MPs.

Also, these polls always over-estimate the Green vote. When and where (except at Brighton Pavilion) did the Greens get anywhere close to 8%? 5% is more usual; or lower.

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

As to “the best Prime Minister“, terrible for Sunak, but hardly a ringing endorsement of Starmer either.

After Guantanamo, Bagram, Kabul, Abu Ghraib etc, the U.S. Government can say nothing about human rights abuses.

Well, anyone can make a “mathematical error”, as when a number of, say, six million becomes one of four million and then, later, one and a half million…anyone could make such a mistake, I suppose…

Adam Smith wrote about “the hidden hand“, but I don’t think he had this “hidden hand” in mind…

Interesting, but Britain First can never be the party Britain needs. Its pro-Jewish lobby, pro-Israel stance…that alone…

…and here is Emily Thornberry living the high life with a pack of Zionists in London, including the former Israeli Ambassador, Regev (centre of photo):

Labour, “the party for working people”??

For me, the main thing is to break the rigged “two main parties” system (scam). So if the Conservative Party is trampled upon and left almost powerless at GE 2024, good, even though that would be at the cost of a Labour Party “elected dictatorship” for up to 5 years. With one large party reduced to almost nothing, the System’s rhythm will be disrupted. No more the idea that “the other lot” will be better. With the Cons deflated, and the LibDems already on the floor, other ideas, social-national ideas, will come through, one way or the other.

Late tweets seen

So the percentage of complete idiots or outright traitors in this country is now “only” 21%. Still far too high.

My thoughts are with him. He may not be quite my sort of person, but he is a martyr for truth. The UK should ditch the one-sided UK/US extradition law.

The Kiev regime may collect money, but on the front-line its soldiers are being gradually defeated, and the UKR ranks are thinning daily.

Late music

[Schloss Hohenschwangau, Bavaria]
Alt-Right, by-elections, Campaign Against AntiSemitism, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, free speech, historical, historical revisionism, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Labour Friends of Israel, MPs, Party Politics, Reminiscences and Musings, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, the Great Reset, Tucker Carlson, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 15 February 2024

29 Comments

Morning music

Talking point

Tweets seen

With every passing day, the Israeli forces become more like a caricature of the German forces in WW2. Not the reality of the Wehrmacht (inc. SS), but precisely the caricature that the international Jewish/Zionist lobby has presented to the world (in film, in books etc) since the early 1940s.

35 years of transnational finance-capitalism…

The UK is going the same way…down.

“Carlson dedicated a separate video to the Moscow metro.

The journalist was struck by the contrast of the capital’s subway with American metro stations filled with homeless people, dirt and graffiti.

According to Carlson, the Moscow metro is clean and orderly, despite the fact that the Kievskaya station, which Tucker reviewed, was built more than half a century ago.

“How is it that Russia has a metro station that people use every day to commute to and from work, and it looks better than anything else in our country?”, noted Carlson.”

When I was first in Moscow, in 1993, I used the Kievskaya metro station daily (though I also had a car and driver at my disposal). I was staying nearby, at the Ukraina Hotel.

[Metro station Kievskaya, Moscow]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kiyevskaya_(Koltsevaya_line)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Metro

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hotel_Ukraina,_Moscow]

The first tweeter, head of the “Holocaust Educational Trust” propaganda org, is a committed Zionist, of course.

Even if the headlines are “true” to some extent (though, as always with “them”, hugely overblown), I think that one has to ask the reason why. The Gaza brutality, ethnic cleansing and quasi-genocide is only part of the reason…

I was just looking at the Betfair Politics website. At Wellingborough, Labour remain even-money favourite; Cons are at around 7/1 from 6/1 yesterday.

At Kingswood (Bristol), both Labour and the Greens are around even money. The LibDems, whom I thought would be the main challenge to any Labour upset, have drifted out to 70/1, having been 2/1 only yesterday (Cons 10/1, Reform UK 85/1).

[Update, same day: the LibDems are now back to 2/1; maybe there was an error on the Betfair site, or more interest in the LibDems— I do not know. The betting now is similar to yesterday’s market: Lab even money, LibDems and Greens 2/1, but Cons are now out to 21/1, and Reform UK to 120/1].

The betting market is an unreliable guide to the result of by-elections, but it looks as though the punters, at least, are saying Wellingborough Lab, but Kingswood either Green or Lab.

I still think that it might be fairly close in Wellingborough, despite the Bone scandals and the unpopularity of the Government, but it is obviously Labour’s contest to lose. Many usual Con voters may vote Labour purely as a protest; many will also abstain in disgusted apathy. At Kingswood, I cannot see the Con candidate having any realistic chance.

If the Cons lose both seats badly, will Sunak resign? Maybe not, but there might be enough discontent in the Conservative Party MP ranks to stiffen the backs of the —usually spineless— Con MPs, and for there to be a leadership challenge.

It is hard to see that any new Conservative Party leader could turn around the fortunes of the Cons so close to a general election but, on the other hand, it might be those MPs’ last despairing throw, hoping against hope that a new figurehead might, if not win GE 2024, at least mitigate the expected losses, saving maybe 50-100 seats; i.e. instead of Con Party ending up with 50-100 seats, they might hope for 100-150 or even more.

https://twitter.com/Sb_60000/status/1758105049530585454

The sad thing about that tweet is that the tweeter seems to think that “Labour” will make a difference once it forms a government, as will probably happen later this year. All major Labour people now are Labour Friends of Israel members, and/or freemasons. Join the dots…

“There appear to have been clear breaches by Deputy Senior District Judge Ikram of the Guide to Judicial Conduct 2023. We have submitted a complaint to the Judicial Conduct Investigations Office (JCIO). A full and proper investigation must follow. We note comments attributed to the JCIO that they do not intend to investigate this matter. That would be a serious dereliction of duty in itself, which we would ask the Judicial Appointments and Conduct Ombudsman to investigate.”

The malicious “CAA” goblins are not content with trying to criminalize social-national thinkers such as me; they are not content with trying to shut down British free speech, e.g. this blog; they are not content with whining and wheedling and demanding at the police and Crown Prosecution Service. They now start to demand that even magistrates and judges be “disciplined” for not handing down sufficiently heavy penalties to those exercizing freedom of expression.

What a horrible tribe of goblins. As a matter of fact, their chief goblin even came to snoop and gloat at my trial (under the absurd Communications Act 2003, s.127) in November 2023.

Britain may not suffer from “AIPAC” directly, but it certainly does suffer from “those packs“…aka “them”…

More from the newspapers

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/burglars-ransack-widows-home-pour-32129229

“A widow has been left heartbroken after burglars poured bleach on her clothes during a burglary on her late husband’s birthday.

Rebecca Martin said her 80-year-old nan, Betty, came home to find her bungalow had been ransacked. When she returned home, the pensioner opened the door and instantly knew her home had been broken into. Rebecca said that not only did the crooks steal money, but they also trashed the place.

She said the thieves also poured bleach over her grandmother’s sofa, clothes, and curtains. Piles of clothes and belongings were scattered around Betty’s home in the Shard End area of Birmingham. Rebecca says every door was broken and the heartless criminals even smashed windows.

The robbery took place last Saturday (February 10), which would have been Betty’s late husband’s birthday. Betty’s family now say she is too terrified to live in her own home. Rebecca shared poignant photos of a teary-eyed Betty in her armchair surrounded by the mess.”

[Daily Mirror]

What a horrible thing to do to an old lady. The Daily Mirror mentions a GoFundMe appeal, but fails to provide a link to it. Here it is: https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-betty-get-her-bunglow-sercure.

Sounds like a good cause.

Late tweets

If I am not mistaken, the music is the “turbofolk” group Zolotoye Koltso (“Golden Ring”), the name of which references the arc of historical towns and monasteries etc around, but some distance from, Moscow: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Ring_of_Russia.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zolotoe_Koltso

I once owned a cassette of their music, given to me by someone or other.

A cultural purge of the Western world is essential.

Late music

[painting by Victor Ostrovsky]

Alt-Right, Brexit, by-elections, Campaign Against AntiSemitism, Conservative Friends of Israel, daily blog, Deadhead MPs, Defence, diary blog, free speech, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, society, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 14 February 2024, including a few thoughts about the upcoming Wellingborough and Kingswood by-elections

9 Comments

Afternoon music

[Ava Gardner in Pandora and the Flying Dutchman https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandora_and_the_Flying_Dutchman]

Talking point

From the newspapers

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/13/three-guilty-of-terror-offence-over-paraglider-images-at-uk-palestine-march

“Three people who displayed images of paragliders at a pro-Palestinian march in central London a week after Hamas militants went on a bloody rampage in Israel have been found guilty of a terror offence.

Heba Alhayek, 29, Pauline Ankunda, 26, and Noimutu Olayinka Taiwo, 27, were each given a 12-month conditional discharge.”

[The Guardian]

The malicious Jew-Zionist cabals such as the so-called “Campaign Against Antisemitism” are fuming, of course. They love to see people charged, convicted and preferably imprisoned because of “offences” supposedly “antisemitic”. The 12-month conditional discharge was manifestly a just as well as merciful sentence, though it is unfortunate that the court saw fit to convict at all.

The whining demands of the various Jewish organizations are now just becoming a bore for almost everyone, including the courts, it seems. The woodentopped police, and the CPS, are still doing what those cabals demand (much of the time), but at least the courts seem both to retain some independence of thought, and to be waking up to the essentially trivial nature of many such “antisemitism”-related cases.

How absurd to charge people with a nominally “terror-related” offence just for wearing a cartoon or drawing on their clothing! UK society has no resilience at all now compared to the 1970s or 1960s, let alone 1950s. Society is now very fragmented, and has little internal strength.

Tweets seen

While it is true that the retail cost of housing, particularly sale/purchase prices, is influenced by a number of causative factors, mass immigration (migration-invasion) into the UK is probably now the main causative factor in making housing absurdly unaffordable; that is especially true of the housing rental market, and especially though not solely in London and the southeast of the UK.

The opposite contention, that (since 1997 alone) an influx of perhaps 15-20 millions (including births to immigrants) has little or no effect, is just ludicrous, totally illogical, totally absurd.

https://twitter.com/DWPscumbags/status/1757731519076950488

“If you can’t stand the heat, get out of the kitchen” [? Harry Truman].

The upcoming Wellingborough and Kingswood by-elections

The Wellingborough by-election tomorrow is a contest among 11 candidates. Five are Independents or joke parties. The others are Con, Lab, LibDem, Green, Reform UK and Britain First (which last I have not included as a joke party out of courtesy, but they are not my idea of a proper social-national party.

The Conservative Party scored 62.2% in 2019, despite having had Peter Bone as the candidate. Ordinarily, this would be a shoo-in for the Con candidate. This time, though, that candidate is Bone’s girlfriend. There is also the fact that the Con Party nationally is falling through the floor in terms of, inter alia, popularity.

Labour last won in Wellingborough, though very narrowly, in 2001. It also came close in 1997. Before that, only in 1966. In 2019, Labour scored 26.5%, a very poor second place.

The LibDems have never achieved 20% in the constituency since they were founded, though the old Liberal Party occasionally reached nearly 25%.

The other parties can be pretty much written off in this contest. I shall be interested to see how Britain First and Reform UK perform.

The bookmakers (Betfair Politics) have Labour on evens. Not sure that is a value bet. The Cons, on 11/1, seem to be a value bet. Reform UK is at 25/1.

The Con candidate, however tainted, is however batting off from a favourable position, given that her personal “partner”, Bone, achieved over 62% last time, in 2019. Her positions politically seem to be quite close to those of Reform UK; has she shot Reform’s fox?

This, as far as I can see, is between the Con Party candidate and Labour (as a kind of protest vote). Reform UK may take away enough of the remaining Con support to help Labour in winning the contest, but I am far from certain. You would think that either Labour or (even) Reform UK would win this, in all the local and national circumstances, but I wonder. It could be close among all three.

One thing is for sure: if the Conservatives lose badly in Wellingborough, it’s “Goodnight Vienna” for them.

See also: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-northamptonshire-68170196.

Kingswood, just north of Bristol, is a constituency due to be abolished; it will not exist at GE 2024. There are 6 candidates: Con, Lab, LibDem, Reform UK, UKIP, Green.

The former Con Party MP, Skidmore, has bailed out (on a not-very-plausible “green” excuse), presumably in order to get a job in the “green” sector somewhere soon. Good riddance, anyway.

It appears, according to a New Statesman report (see below) that the area is —like much of England— in steep socio-economic decline.

I doubt that the Con Party has much chance. Skidmore was, in my view, not much of an MP, and his intellectual pretensions were just that. Well, he has now gone and, bearing in mind that the seat will not even exist in 6-12 months’ time, and that the present government is despised or hated by a great majority of the public, the Con candidate is a sacrificial lamb whose only selling point is his local origin (however, the Lab candidate was also brought up locally, and even attended the same school).

The Labour candidate is the former recent Mayor of Lewisham (S.E. London), though educated locally. The voters may like his local links (though he was actually born in Cork, Ireland), and may or may not be impressed by his having converted religiously from his native Roman Catholicism to Judaism (the religion, it seems, of his gay marriage “partner”). He is pro-migration, too: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Damien_Egan.

Until 2010, Kingswood was fairly firm Labour territory. As in other parts of the UK, the decline in both industry and living standards has led to a fall in the Labour vote, perhaps counter-intuitively. There again, Labour is no longer the party of “working people”, and most of those people know it.

Having said that, people despise this “Con” government, and this by-election is a pure protest opportunity, the seat going up the chimney sometime this year, so Labour must have a very good chance here.

The bookmakers have Lab at even-money, but both the LibDems and Greens are on 2/1, perhaps indicating that many are considering a protest vote for either of those. As for the Cons and Reform UK, 10/1 and 50/1 respectively.

Bookmakers’ odds are a poor way to forecast elections, though.

Kingswood is, if anything, harder to call than Wellingborough except that, at Kingswood, the Con candidate has really no chance at all. For the Cons, their vote-share will be a pure vote on how the public see them. It looks bad for them. They received 56.2% of the vote in 2019. Now? I think that they will probably end up with around 10%.

If I had to guess the result, it would probably be a Labour win, though the LibDems may have a chance.

See also: https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-politics/2024/02/labour-win-kingswood-by-election.

[Update, 27 December 2024: Well, Labour won the 2024 Wellingborough by-election easily— 45.9%, with Peter Bone’s girlfriend, the pretty nice-looking Helen Harrison, on a mere 24.6%, and Reform UK getting 13%; at the June 2024 General Election, Lab retained the seat with 40.3%, a different Con candidate got 27.8%, and Reform UK crept up to 21.5%, a sign of things to come, perhaps.

As for Kingswood, the 2024 by-election was won fairly comfortably by Labour (44.9%), with Cons on 34.9%, and Reform UK on 10.4%, Reform’s candidate being the businessman Rupert Lowe, now Reform UK MP for Great Yarmouth: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rupert_Lowe.

The Kingswood seat was abolished prior to the 2024 General Election. The reworked seat, Bristol North East, was then won by Egan, the former Kingswood MP (45.3%), with the Green in second place (18.7%), the Con on a mere 14.8%, and Reform UK on 12.9% (LibDems 4.7%)].

More tweets seen

“I sat next to a nurse (older) on a flight. I asked her about her experience during the Covid crisis. She said that “anti-vaxxers” had made things tough.

Then she stopped herself and said “of course don’t know if you might be an anti-vaxxer” I said “I wasn’t one, but the Covid vaccine nonsense woke me up”. I told her I knew a lot of injured people from the Covid jabs, and I couldn’t believe these highly novel, barely tested shots were being given to healthy, young people who stood to gain nothing from them, and that I was shocked that they were still being recommended.

She nodded in agreement and said the mRNA vaccines had been particularly bad, indicating she was aware of many people injured and killed by them.

Later in the conversation she told me that her husband had recently died of pancreatic cancer. And her son had been diagnosed with aggressive, metastatic colon cancer.

She did not appear to see a connection between the shots and the cancers. The timing of these tumors could of course, be mere coincidences, but I would have thought the question of a possible connection would be obvious. And given the frank medical nature of our conversation, I believe she would have mentioned a suspicion if she’d had one.

I find the whole encounter disorienting, suggesting a fragmented belief structure that I believe must be common amongst those getting their news from corrupted sources—the smoldering ruins of a collapsed mass formation event.”

Even when I spent time in New York City (1989-1993), and used the subway system, there were plenty of unpleasant and loonie types in the streets and on some of the trains. Not all black, but most were. Blacks are, of course, more susceptible to schizophrenia etc.

I mostly used trains which were considered relatively safe anyway: the No.6 train, Lexington Avenue local https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/6_(New_York_City_Subway_service) and, less often, the Q-train from Manhattan to Brighton Beach in Brooklyn https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BMT_Brighton_Line.

[Brighton Beach, New York: stores on Brighton Beach Avenue, in the shade of the “El” (elevated section of track)]

What goes around comes around…

https://twitter.com/rohantalbot/status/1757442661110186049

At least Cameron is married to an Englishwoman.

https://twitter.com/LailaAlarian/status/1757444567635251315

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/archaeology/scientists-reveal-jewish-history-s-forgotten-turkish-roots-a6992076.html

[The Independent newspaper: Ashkenazi Jews in Jerusalem, c.1885]
https://twitter.com/muhammadshehad2/status/1757358867132948930

Anyone who wants even more mass immigration into the UK, or the rest of Europe, or who condones it, is either terminally stupid or a traitor to the future of the British people and all European people.

More from the newspapers

https://www.mylondon.news/news/zone-1-news/man-jailed-least-31-years-28619624

“A man has been sentenced to life in prison with a minimum term of 31 years for murdering a music manager for a fake designer watch.

Jordell Menzies was jailed for fatally stabbing Emmanuel Odunlami, 32, who was set up by a member of security at an exclusive £1,400-a-table event to celebrate the victim’s birthday in London.”

[My London]

[defendant]

London. Zoo.

https://www.mylondon.news/news/east-london-news/hare-brained-walthamstow-drug-dealer-28621043

“A drug dealer who drove his Audi down the wrong side of the road and crashed into a parked car then left crucial evidence at the scene. Omar Amar, 31, of Forest Road, Walthamstow, fled the smash on Royston Avenue, Southend, just after midnight on January 7 this year, forgetting his Nokia burner phone, a bag of Class A drugs, and some cash.“

[My London]

[defendant]

London. Zoo…

Late tweets

Late music

[painting by Volegov]

Alt-Right, daily blog, diary blog, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Matt Goodwin, Rishi Sunak, society, Starmer, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 13 February 2024

4 Comments

Morning music

Tweets seen

“Omg…@Kevin_Maguire calls @Nohj_85 and @oneadds, “anti-vaxxers” when they literally sustained life-changing heart and vascular damage after HAVING THE VACCINES! Do some research Kevin. Stop being so hateful. Stop pretending that you’re a #BeKind left-winger when you’re just a cold-hearted champagne socialist splashing around in the shallows of old fashioned media. The lack of compassion in this clip makes me sick....”

Kevin Maguire is one of the worst fakes on TV and in the Press. Poses as a radical “socialist”, but in reality is a Blairite system-Labour drone with kneejerk “anti-Tory”-ism. He lives with his wife and family in affluent circumstances. They have a house in Richmond or Wimbledon (I forget), SW London, as well as another house in the South West of England, maybe the expensive part of coastal Devon near Salcombe (again, I cannot recall exactly).

Maguire will back the Labour Party under the likes of Blair, Brown, and Starmer no matter what, and will oppose anything else, no matter what. He favours mass immigration, and opposes anything which does not fit his narrow and rigid world-view. He will always support the Israel lobby in Labour. Not worth reading or listening to. Not an original idea in his head.

As I said, pro-immigration, and without a logical or worthwhile thought in his head.

As a matter of fact, those rigged TV comment slots with Maguire on “one side” and the Daily Mail scribbler Pierce on “the other side” are just ludicrous. The only real disagreement between the two of them is on details and personalities. Both just System drones.

It seems to me that the voters have already decided GE 2024. Their decision is not to vote for the Conservative Party. The mood seems to me to veer from apathy to disappointment to despair to anger and back again to apathy.

…but that discontent is being scooped up and captured by parties which are little more than “controlled opposition”.

Look at Twitter/X; “their” sadistic attitudes are well-exposed on that platform alone.

Reminiscent of dystopian sci-fi films such as Escape from New York and Soylent Green.

More tweets seen

Meanwhile, the Israeli Jews laugh at the suffering their armed forces are inflicting on helpless civilians. Outside the region, it is little different, except that many Jews are whining that Zionism and Israel are being criticized etc. They claim to be fearful, even those that live in the UK or France, though really nothing has happened to them yet.

Afternoon music

[David Pearce, Bird Souk, Cairo]

I myself have been to Egypt a couple of times, though not in the last 25 years. See, e.g. https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/03/07/when-i-was-not-arrested-in-egypt/.

More tweets seen

I did blog, a few months ago, to the effect that there were unexplained aspects to the October attack, such as the apparent total failure of the supposedly very efficient Israeli intelligence and security apparat; such as the lengthy wait between the attack itself and any Israeli military response (especially in view of the small size of the country).

I asked the question whether this was akin to the mendacity of F.D. Roosevelt, who seems to have known about Pearl Harbor before it happened, and withdrew his most powerful ships from Hawaii prior to the actual attack. In that case, the purpose was to get the USA into the Second World War directly.

It still seems unlikely to me that the Israeli leadership allowed the October attack to happen, but stranger things have happened in history. Maybe the Israeli leaders anticipated an attack but thought that it would be less striking, less sanguinary etc. Then Israel could strike at Gaza and maybe drive the population out entirely, later replacing that population by Jewish settlers.

Hard to say at this stage.

What will be the co-ordinates? (only joking)…

Late music

[Victor Ostrovsky, Rendezvous at Dawn]
by-elections, daily blog, David Morgan, Defence, diary blog, environment, free speech, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, MPs, Party Politics, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 12 February 2024

4 Comments

Morning music

[Cordoba, Alcazar]

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13072327/Army-spent-4BILLION-disastrous-procurement-project-delivered-just-44-armoured-cars-promised-580-vehicles-struggle-fire-moving.html

“Army spent £4BILLION on a disastrous procurement project that has delivered just 44 armoured cars out of a promised 580 of the vehicles that struggle to fire while moving.”

[Daily Mail]

What an incredible waste of money. In any case, where would such vehicles be used if they did work? Given to the corrupt shambolic Kiev regime? On exercises in Norfolk, or Salisbury Plain? Not to stop the migration invasion of this country, that’s for sure.

Tweets seen

More from the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13073445/parents-demand-answers-school-coach-trip-returns-France-two-migrant-men-luggage-compartments-Home-Office-refusing-detained.html

“Stunned children return to Hampshire from school trip to France to find two migrants in the luggage compartment of their coach.

Police were called to the incident but no arrests have been made, but a spokesperson said they were ‘possibly illegal immigrants’.

A Hampshire Police spokesperson said: ‘We were called just before 5.15pm on Saturday 10 February to reports that two people, who were possibly illegal immigrants, had been found at Hounsdown School in Totton. Officers have attended. No arrests have been made.“

[Daily Mail]

The continuing migration-invasion.

As for the Hampshire Police, they are content to waste a huge amount of time spying and snooping on my blog at the behest of the Jewish lobby (and have admitted that) but seem incapable of doing, or are unwilling to do, their proper job(s).

Britain in 2024…

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13073469/Englands-green-pleasant-land-goes-red.html

“A host of senior Tories face losing their rural English seats at the next election as the countryside goes red for Labour, a new poll suggests. 

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and former ministers Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg and Thérèse Coffey are among those at risk after a collapse in support for the Conservatives in one of their main heartlands. 

A Survation poll for the Country Land and Business Association (CLA) suggests 51 of the 100 most rural seats in England could vote Labour at the next election. Some 96 returned Tory MPs in 2019.”

[Daily Mail]

The two immediately-upcoming by-elections, though not rural, should be interesting; Kingswood (Bristol) and Wellingborough. This Thursday (15 February 2024).

There is another by-election pending: Rochdale, on 29 February 2024.

See also: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/jan/15/labour-kingswood-byelection-gloucestershire-voters.

More tweets

The Jewish lobby in the UK (and USA, and France etc) is still (though now less loudly) defending the Israeli war crimes, while (in some cases) saying “nothing to do with me...”

Talking point

The Kiev regime will have to surrender, or agree to a Russian peace deal or armistice, before 2026, and probably before 2025.

More tweets

I would go along with that, perhaps in different order.

The Jewish lobby raises its arm, and Starmer scrambles to do whatever “they” want…

Still, it makes the by-election more interesting, now that Labour will be absent.

Late music

[painting by Victor Ostovsky]
Alt-Right, Boris Johnson, Conservative Friends of Israel, daily blog, David Morgan, Defence, diary blog, elections, historical, historical revisionism, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, MPs, Party Politics, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 11 February 2024

18 Comments

Morning music

[Victor Ostrovsky, Speakeasy]

Tweets seen

Bravo. One of the best Twitter/X accounts, and at a young age.

More music

More tweets

“Boris” Johnson, part-Jew (great-grandfather was a Jewish ‘rabbi’ in Lithuania), part-Levantine, of very cosmopolitan origins and upbringing, and who proved incapable of holding any public office competently or decently. Up for hire; will do or say anything for money.

Even I myself, born in 1956, often realize from things seen, or read, or otherwise experienced, that those born, say, after about 1980, live in a different world to me, and that particularly applies to that part of the population which might be described as less-educated (in the real sense, I mean, not in the sense of having been through the mill of 13-18 years of what presently passes for “education”).

The above of course applies even more to most of those born in the last 30 years.

Gove etc

I saw 10 mins of that horrible little bastard Gove on Sky News this morning. Gove’s very prominence highlights so much that is wrong with the UK political system: a pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby doormat, a cocaine abuser, a drunk, an expenses cheat/fraudster. Maybe more. Yet there he sit in Cabinet, today weaselling in favour of the little Indian money-juggler, Sunak. He also praised Nigerian “British” MP, Kemi Badenoch [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kemi_Badenoch].

Born in London, but of Nigerian parentage, and only resident in the UK from age 16, Kemi Badenoch is seen as a possible Conservative Party leader. Maybe. The latest “great non-white hope”, if you like. That might just finish off the Conservative Party, especially if that party starts its post-GE 2024 life with only 50 or so MPs.

More tweets

It will be recalled that, at the conclusion of Anna Karenina, Vronsky decides to redeem himself by going to fight for the Serbs in the Balkans.

“Orban’s adviser confirmed: the EU threatened the Hungarian economy because of Ukraine.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s adviser, Balazs Orbán, confirmed the “Fine Times” writing that the European Union threatened to undermine the Hungarian economy, if it does not lift the veto on European aid to Ukraine.

The American newspaper previously wrote that Brussels will collapse the exchange rate of the Hungarian forint and worsen the situation with jobs, however the EU later denied this, but Balazs Orbán noted that the situation is “serious” and that the heads of state and government of the EU have threatened to do just that. to the Hungarian Prime Minister over the phone.

[Wikipedia]

“If Ukraine disintegrates, Germany could be flooded with another 10 million refugees, warns “Welt am Sonntag”, referring to anonymous security officials and stating that the German government still hopes that this “worst case scenario” will not happen this year.

“If we don’t change our strategy of supporting Ukraine, the worst-case scenario of a mass exodus from Ukraine and the spread of the war to NATO countries will be much more likely. In this case, ten million refugees is a pretty bad assumption,” says the MP of the opposition Christian Democratic Party, Roderick Kiesewetter.

Since the conflict between Kiev and Moscow broke out almost two years ago, 1.1 million Ukrainians have fled to Germany, according to data from the German Ministry of the Interior. The influx of newcomers from other countries, including Syria, Afghanistan and African nations, is not abating.”

[Sprinter/Welt am Sonntag].

At least Ukrainians are European.

If that were to happen, Russia will be able to take Ukraine east of the Dnieper very easily. It might even be able to take all of Ukraine, though it would, arguende, be both kinder and more statesmanlike to take only Eastern Ukraine, the Kiev area, the Black Sea coastal zone (including Odessa), also of course retaining the areas already controlled by Russia and which are inhabited by Russian-speakers (Crimea, Donbass etc). Leave a rump Ukraine centred on Lvov as a Ukrainian state, or at least autonomous territory.

Ukraine, demographically, is already in collapse. 500,000 dead on the battlefield, millions fled to other states, and a birthrate insufficient to maintain the population numbers.

From the newspapers

https://www.dailyecho.co.uk/news/24111860.migrants-found-coach-tottons-hounsdown-school-trip-france

“Several migrants have been found in the luggage hold of a coach full of children at the end of a school trip.”

[Southampton Echo]

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/police-appeal-attack-tube-driver-bromleybybow-b1137969.html

“British Transport police have issued a picture of a man they want to trace after a driver was attacked on a moving train.“

“Detectives have launched an appeal after a tube driver was attacked by a man who broke into his cab at an east London station.

The train was moving when a thug smashed through the driver’s door near Bromley-by-Bow station.

He went on to repeatedly assault the driver in an attack police called “shocking”. The driver managed to stop the train safely despite being assaulted.“

[Evening Standard].

More “diversity”?

More tweets seen

Die Welt is a heavyweight conservative German newspaper, broadly comparable to the Daily Telegraph in the UK. It is not at all “pro-Russian”, so the fact that it foresees a Russian victory by early 2025 is significant.

https://twitter.com/Sprinter00001/status/1756678656565317959

Once Ukraine (Kiev regime) collapses, Zelensky and his cabal will leave for Florida or Israel. They will not stay to face the consequences of their misrule. They all have hundreds of millions of dollars stashed offshore.

The gradual death of Western culture continues. I am restricted, in effect, in what I can say but let’s just take it that I think that that decadence should not exist. Look at the audience of cretins, though. They all applaud. That means that they should not exist, either.

Perhaps the days when the Egyptian Army only won battles in Aida have gone.

Late music

Alt-Right, Boris Johnson, Conservative Friends of Israel, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, Eva Vlaardingerbroek, free speech, historical, Ian Millard, Jewish lobby in UK, Labour Friends of Israel, Party Politics, Reminiscences and Musings, Russia and Russian relations, society, Tucker Carlson, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 10 February 2024, with material about Putin, Tucker Carlson, Ukraine, Palestine, Carmen Smith, Charlotte Owen, and the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

1 Comment

Morning music

[El Escorial, Spain]

Saturday quiz

Well, a convincing win over political journalist John Rentoul this week: he scored an embarrassing 1/10 (though all credit to him for having admitted it). I scored 7/10. I did not know the answers to questions 7, 9, and 10, and guessed (out of two) the answer to question 8.

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13066777/Joe-Biden-DOJ-elderly-man-report-dangerous-MAUREEN-CALLAHAN.html

“It’s no longer up for debate: Joe Biden has got to go.

In a hastily called press conference Thursday night, President Biden was, for the first time, questioned relentlessly by the White House press pool about his age, cognition, and fitness to serve.

The latest national poll by NBC News found that a whopping 76 percent of voters are concerned about Biden’s mental and physical ability to serve.“

[Daily Mail]

Is there any other Democratic Party candidate likely to go the distance? See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Democratic_Party_presidential_candidates.

Looks as though only one likely alternative presently exists, a Jew called Dean Phillips, a member of the House of Representatives: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dean_Phillips.

“Phillips is married and has two daughters from a previous marriage. He is Jewish[43] and was acknowledged by the Minnesota publication The American Jewish World for serving on the board of Temple Israel in Minneapolis.

In 2023, he announced his intent to challenge Biden for the Democratic nomination in the 2024 presidential election.[10]

 …Phillips would…be the first Jewish President of the United States.”

[Wikipedia].

So far, however, Phillips’ campaign has run into the sand: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dean_Phillips#2024_presidential_campaign.

In the primaries held so far, Biden got 100% of the delegates and 83.4% of the popular vote (Phillips got 7% of the popular vote). Phillips is not even on the ballot of several state primaries.

If Biden were to be, as seems almost inevitable, the Democratic candidate, and if he were to be re-elected and then die in office, that would put Kamala Harris into the White House. A black/brown (Indian Tamil/Jamaican) woman married to a Jewish lawyer: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kamala_Harris; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kamala_Harris#Personal_life; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doug_Emhoff.

Incidentally, I see that Emhoff was largely brought up in areas of New Jersey (Matawan and Old Bridge) somewhat known to me from when I lived in New Jersey (near Cheesequake State Park) on and off during the years 1990-1993.

[Garden State Parkway by Old Bridge, New Jersey]
[Washington Road, Sayreville, New Jersey, a few miles from where I sometimes lived in the early 1990s]

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13066065/Pendlebury-guns-equipment-men-Dispatch-Kupiansk-frontline-Ukraine.html

‘We need more guns, more equipment, but, most of all, more men.’ Dispatch from the Kupiansk frontline in Ukraine.”

[Daily Mail]

The msm in the UK, USA etc can no longer conceal the military crisis overwhelming the Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev. The military chief, Zaluzhny, has been replaced, and the ranks of the Kiev-regime forces are being thinned by both battlefield casualties and the unwillingness of both Ukrainian men and foreign volunteers and mercenaries to serve.

The foreigners have mostly been killed, captured, or have returned home, while Ukrainian men in very large numbers are avoiding the draft, either by remaining in foreign countries or by keeping their heads down in Ukraine itself. The Kiev regime employs brutal press-gangs to capture draft-evaders. One has to ask, though, whether people forced to join up under violent duress are going to be of much use in the field.

Strategically, as noted on the blog for 2 years now, Russia cannot lose this conflict, and will not. Tactically, both sides have encountered problems, but in terms of both manpower and arms, Russia now has the edge, very obviously.

I would not rule out a large-scale Russian offensive in 2024, though it may be that Putin will prefer to see what happens politically in the USA first. The US Presidential Election is in November 2024.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13067535/Mother-died-collapsed-coat-E.html

“A mother-of-two died after she was found unconscious under a coat in A&E while she was waiting to see a doctor about a headache.

The 39-year-old went to Queen’s Medical Centre in Nottingham on January 19, and was observed by nurses three times.

Yet when her name was called after seven hours, she didn’t respond and hospital staff thought she had left because of the long wait.”

[Daily Mail]

“Seven hours“? Good grief…

“Our NHS“… Still clapping?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-13066181/How-junior-doctors-earn-Salary-earnings-pay-scales-explained.html

Useful basic information.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/avdiivka-attack-latest-ukraine-russia-b2492747.html

“Russian troops are attacking a town in east Ukraine from all directions, and the situation is increasingly difficult for Ukrainian troops defending the town, its mayor said on Thursday.

Russian forces have taken the initiative on the eastern front in the industrial Donbas region of Ukraine and have been trying to cut supply lines and encircle Ukrainian forces dug in at Avdiivka since October.

“The enemy is pressuring from all directions. They are storming with very numerous forces,” Avdiivka mayor Vitaliy Barabash said in televised comments, describing the situation as “very difficult and hot”.“

[The Independent]

Tweets seen

Ethnic cleansing by the Jewish state.

The simple truth. Without EU, UK, and US arms and ammo, the Kiev regime will fall back, not only from the Donbass front, but fall back to Kiev, and quite likely further, to somewhere between Kiev and Lvov.

Likewise, Ukraine’s economy is on (Western) life-support.

Demographically, the population numbers are in freefall. 500,000 dead on or around the battlefields, huge numbers in foreign countries, and few children being born.

In short, as an independent state (failed state, fake state), Ukraine has no future.

More music

[Victor Ostrovsky, Spy Games]

More tweets

Either Charlotte Owen is related to “Boris” Johnson (the most likely possibility), or he was having some kind of affair with her; there is a third possibility, i.e. that she somehow knows something very seriously discreditable about Johnson.

The last possibility seems unlikely. After all, Johnson is so discredited anyway that it would be hard to think of a concealed fact that would make blackmail or implied blackmail sufficiently threatening.

Still, there it is— an office gopher in her twenties now “elevated” to the House of Lords. Our whole system of government is rotten to the core.

Incidentally, the madness continues…

This is her: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carmen_Smith_(politician).

“Politician“? Of course, we are talking about the Plaid Cymru fake “nationalist” joke-party, but even so…

“Carmen Ria Smith (born c. 1996/97) is a Plaid Cymru political assistant. In February 2024, it was announced Smith would be appointed to the House of Lords.

Smith has a law degree from Bangor University, graduating in 2016.[2] She served as deputy president of NUS Wales.

Smith is the former Chief of Staff of the Plaid Cymru Senedd group. She was later a lobbyist for energy company Bute Energy. [2]

In 2019, Smith stood in the European Parliament election in Wales. She was unsuccessful.

Smith was nominated to the peerage by Plaid Cymru after Dafydd Wigley announced he planned to retire in 2024.[2] This will keep the number of Plaid Cymru life peers as one.”

[Wikipedia]

A member of the Lords at 27, having been an office gopher for 1-2 years, and a lobbyist for a wind-turbine company for another 1-2 years. “Chief of Staff“? The Plaid group in the Senedd (Welsh Assembly) consists of only 12 people!

Carmen Smith was evidently born under a lucky star, and really should buy some lottery tickets. £350+ per day, plus extra monies etc, at age 27. For life, in effect. Incredible.

Ah…

No wonder she is smiling…

Actually, and at the risk of seeming ungentlemanly, the young lady could pass for 40+ instead of 27. More on the story, though: https://nation.cymru/news/plaid-cymru-row-over-house-of-lords-nominations/:

“A row has broken out in Plaid Cymru after an internal election for nominees to the House of Lords saw a lobbyist for a controversial wind power company elevated to first place on the list – even though she was decisively beaten in a members’ vote by former MP Elfyn Llwyd.

Although the voting figures haven’t been disclosed, Nation.Cymru understands that Carmen Smith, 27, who works for Bute Energy, received around 70 votes while Mr Llwyd got about 180 votes. A third candidate – longstanding party member Ann Griffith – secured around 40 votes.

A longstanding Plaid Cymru member contacted Nation.Cymru and said: “This is disgraceful. I don’t know the actual result of the vote but I would have thought that Elfyn was way out in front. The fact that the National Exec has imposed a woman on top of the list was not explained at any time in the introduction to the virtual hustings that I attended last week.”

A senior party source told us: “This all stems from a decision by the NEC to make sure that a woman was given top position, regardless of how many votes were cast. It’s quite farcical that Elfyn Llwyd was way in the lead, yet came second. It’s surely a travesty of democracy. He has a wealth of Parliamentary experience, while Carmen hasn’t even been elected as a councillor.“

[from Nation.Cymru online]

I wonder whether that might not be judicially reviewable. Seems (on the facts as presented) very lacking in transparency, at the very least.

More tweets seen

[retweeted today by political academic Matt Goodwin]. “Liberal” in the American use of the term, of course.

Were there a pro-Israel or Zionist category, it would be closer to 90%…

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/07/18/theyre-coming-to-take-me-away-ha-ha/.

Late tweets

Tell me about it! I am due to be sentenced next month…

Late music

One of the great American symphonies.

Alt-Right, animal welfare, Boris Johnson, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, environment, Eva Vlaardingerbroek, free speech, historical, Jewish lobby in UK, Matt Goodwin, Reminiscences and Musings, Russia and Russian relations, society, Tucker Carlson, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 9 February 2024

10 Comments

Morning music

[bioluminescent fungi: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_bioluminescent_fungi]

A composer new to me: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Howard_Skempton.

Tweets seen

Like so many types associated with the present-day Conservative Party, it is uncertain whether Houchen was (or is) corrupt, or whether he was (or is) simply incompetent and stupid. Maybe a blend of both. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ben_Houchen,_Baron_Houchen_of_High_Leven

I once heard Ben Houchen on the radio. Quite impressive. In fact, more so than most “dirty democratic politicians“, as Hitler termed them. However, I have found in my life that, usually, the most impressive-seeming people are “all hat and no cattle“, in the Texan phrase.

I think that I must pen, sometime, a little monograph, in the manner of Sherlock Holmes, but not about types of cigar ash; about impressive-seeming people and how few of them achieve greatness or even adequacy.

[“Boris” Johnson with other Jews and part-Jews, including the notorious —now deceased— paedophile MP, Greville Janner (at right), distributing chocolate coins to Jewish children after dark]

“Russian President Vladimir Putin, during an interview with American journalist Tucker Carlson , the recording of which was published on the TCN (Tucker Carlson Network) website on February 9, said that Ukraine is an artificially created republic that appeared in 1922 during the formation of the USSR.

“When forming the Soviet Union – this is already 1922 – the Bolsheviks began to form the USSR and created a Soviet Ukraine, which did not exist until now. At the same time, [Joseph] Stalin insisted that these republics that were being formed should be included as autonomous entities,” Putin said.

Russia wants to achieve a settlement in Ukraine through negotiations, the Russian leader said in an interview. He expressed confidence that both countries “sooner or later” will be able to reach an agreement. Putin said Ukraine refused to negotiate with Russia “on instructions from Washington,” adding that the decision was wrong and must now be corrected.

Putin said that Russia has not yet achieved its goals in Ukraine.

The West has already come to an understanding that it is impossible to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia; it will fight for its interests to the end. Vladimir Putin told American journalist Tucker Carlson about this.

Putin: The West fears a strong China more than a strong Russia because there are 150 million people in Russia, and one and a half billion in China, and the Chinese economy is developing by leaps and bounds – more than five percent a year, it was even more. But this is enough for China. Bismarck once said: the main thing is potentials. China’s potential is colossal; it is the first economy in the world today in terms of purchasing power parity and economic volume. They have already overtaken the United States for quite some time, and the pace is growing.

Russia is not interested in a war with Poland, Latvia or another country ; Moscow may consider sending troops in the event of an attack, Putin said. He emphasized that getting involved in a “global war” does not meet common sense.“

All of those points can be found on this blog, in posts published over the past 2+ years.

There has not been such devastation, and deliberate devastation, since the Second World War.

I can think of a suitable cartoon to accompany that, but according to the police and CPS, and (after my recent magistrates’ court conviction) the Bench, that particular cartoon is both “antisemitic” and “grossly offensive” (because it is said to imply that Jews control the Press in the USA, UK etc), so I had better not publish it again…

Ukraine under the Jew Zelensky is a failed state, a fake state, and a gangster state, a brutal, shambolic and corrupt dictatorship.

What about the Jewish lobby fifth column embedded at the heart of government in the USA (and UK)?

I might find it hilarious that the USA is now at least notionally ruled by a demented old fellow who can scarcely remember his own name or what day of the week it is, were it not for the danger that his actions might trigger a nuclear war.

Laugh of the day

Saw a Twitter/X account from a young woman (I think) whose profile starts with “Inspiring writer” (presumably she means “Aspiring writer“). She (?) has a steep hill to climb, I think…

More tweets

“It is literally a prison planet.” Former Blackrock portfolio manager, Ed Dowd, explains why every last remnant of human freedom depends on widespread rejection of CBDC. “Once the central bank digital currency is linked to all your credit cards and bank accounts, then social controls can be implemented. If you’re a dissenter like me, talking about truth, they shut you down.“

“Democracies“? Ha ha…

It was yesterday, but I thought it worthwhile to repost that.

It’s “panicdemic“, and/or “scamdemic“…

“Good man” is debatable. After all, “no-one can rule guiltlessly” [Saint-Just], but Putin is certainly at least as good a man as those opposing him, both here and in Russia itself.

People usually want things to be black-and-white, simple. Not everything is black-and-white. Look at modern history. There were people, some people, in the SS and even, rather later, in the KGB and GRU, who meant well, were relatively honourable, and who might be described in the superficial sense as “good” people, and there were those in the USA and UK, and also in the internal opposition(s) to both National Socialist and Soviet socialist rule, who were rather “bad” people.

If life is a chess game, it is often “three-dimensional chess”.

Wall. Squad. End.

It seems to me —as far as I have read etc— that Israel is now quite centralized on Tel Aviv and its region, though the Jerusalem area has as many or more inhabitants. The economy is centred on that region. The Israeli state can absorb a certain amount of conflict in border areas (Gaza, the Golan Heights and Northern Israel, even the West Bank), so long as the central belt around Tel Aviv is still functioning.

The increasing capabilities of Hezbollah, especially what seems to be their fast-upgraded missile programme, threaten Tel Aviv and the surrounding region. The Israeli ruling circles are therefore probably contemplating a massive attack on southern Lebanon to destroy the Hezbollah infrastructure before missiles of real power rain down on Tel Aviv.

The Israelis are willing to take a hit in terms of international perception of Israel, a public relations hit, and also an economic hit, so long as that Hezbollah infrastructure can be at least badly damaged.

Were Hezbollah or other powers able to heavily damage Tel Aviv itself, the Israeli economy would tank, and the exodus (?) of dual-passport Jews from Israel —30,000+ since October 2023— would become a flood.

[a major interchange in Tel Aviv]
[general view of Tel Aviv]
[Diamond Exchange District, Ramat Gan, a few miles east of Tel Aviv]

Late tweets

https://twitter.com/LukeMathew93/status/1756084058549780843

Late music

Alt-Right, animal welfare, Boris Johnson, daily blog, David Morgan, Defence, diary blog, environment, Eva Vlaardingerbroek, free speech, Ian Millard, immigration, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Neil Oliver, Neil Oliver, rewilding, Russia and Russian relations, society, The Great Replacement, the Great Reset, Tucker Carlson, Uncategorized, wildlife

Diary Blog, 8 February 2024

20 Comments

Morning music

Tweets seen

Rafah, the very place to where the Gazan civilian population was “ordered” (by the Israeli Jews’ army) to flee to as a sanctuary.

Well, I have to say that, for someone the Western msm has been writing off with (invented?) terminal illnesses for at least 3 years, Putin looks remarkably well. Has “our” (((their))) media been lying to us again?

“God mote it be“, not because I think particularly highly of Trump as an individual, or as statesman of sorts, but because he will ensure, as far as possible, that the USA and Russia (etc) do not get into a Third World War that might set back civilization for hundreds or even thousands of years.

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/26/the-tide-is-coming-in-reflections-on-the-possible-end-of-our-present-civilization-and-what-might-follow/.

At the end of the day, the choice will be a poor one, because the US political system is sclerotic and almost incapable of substantial change. That will be so even were Biden and Trump not to be the candidates in the end.

As it is, it looks like being Trump on the one side, a very flawed individual but one with real strengths, as against Biden, a corrupt and possibly perverse individual who —most importantly— is plainly at least semi-demented.

People may say “so what if Biden has dementia? He has support etc“. Well, if that is so, why even elect a President? Just let the Deep State conclaves, and secretive Bohemian Grove circles, and Jew-Zionist cabals, rule the USA without the figurehead…

I think that the American public are looking at the two, and are seeing that (to put it that way) one of them is as good as “off his head”…so game over (?).

…and it now turns out that the untermensch even strolled past (the new) New Scotland Yard a while ago! The police must be hoping that he will just throw himself into the river, and thus save them further embarrassment. Where’s Waldo?

If this trend continues, there will eventually have to be, not only in the USA etc, but in the UK too, a purge that will make the Cultural Revolution, the Yezhovshchina, and others, seem mild.

Hillary Clinton, someone who only became prominent because she was married to Bill Clinton. Thank God she never became U.S. President. We would have had WW3 by now. A semi-educated idiot who is presented as some kind of great mind.

Where is Squeaky Fromme when you need her?

A Chinese commentary with English subtitles, posted on Twitter/X not by me but by the Editor of the Jewish Chronicle (ex-Daily Mail), no less.

In view of my upcoming magistrates’ court sentencing, I had better remain silent on this…

More music

[Blues and Royals, London]

More tweets seen

The SNP is always good for a laugh. As for Scotland’s “Independence” pretensions, what kind of “Scottish nation” has Pakistanis (yes, I know that they must have British passports…) leading two of its three largest political parties (SNP and Scottish Labour)?

Does anyone go there, do that, and be (or pretend to be) “overcome with emotion” unless he is at least “part-“? I am thinking of “Boris” Johnson, whose great-grandfather was a rabbi in Lithuania.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Javier_Milei#Early_life_and_education

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Javier_Milei#Personal_life

Whichever way you look at him, Milei seems to be some kind of lunatic.

Amazing how many —indeed, brainwashed— people really want to believe either that the UK actually benefits from mass immigration (which is such nonsense) or at least can comfortably absorb the present (net) inflow of about 750,000 a year (more in fact, bearing in mind that the incomers are almost all non-white, while emigrants are often British people —real British people— going to Australia, New Zealand and elsewhere).

Late tweets seen

[Nikolai Rerich (Roerich), Guests from Overseas]

Late music

Proposals for a new society…