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Diary Blog, 28 June 2024

36 Comments

Morning music

[Neuschwanstein]

Clacton and Reform UK

The System is now getting very worried about the level of support being shown even for Reform UK, a basically small-c conservative-type party. The anti-Reform UK rhetoric is now close to that displayed in the past against more social-national parties such as the BNP and, further back still, the National Front.

The System thinking must be, “if even Reform UK can be so disruptive, how more so would be a credible and genuinely social-national party?“

That anti-Reform UK propaganda is broadcast as Reform UK reaches heights of popular support few thought that it would or could reach.

Some polls are putting Reform UK as high as 20%, and all are putting it well above 15%, the average now being around 17%.

Meanwhile, support for the Conservative Party has dropped to as low as 18%, and may go even lower. I have just yesterday heard admittedly anecdotal evidence that, in my own local area (in coastal Hampshire, and one of the most heavily-Con in England), lifelong Con voters are planning to vote anywhere other than Con or Labour. Many, perhaps most (?), are switching to Reform UK, and some to the LibDems.

I was just looking at my blog from about 8 or 9 months ago. I thought then that Reform UK would get a nationwide popular vote of at least 15% and, at the outside, 20%. Seems that I was right (so far).

Estimates of the number of MPs Reform UK might have by 5 July 2024, i.e. once the votes are counted, range from 1 or 2 to as many as 22. A few Reform UK optimists are doubling or even tripling that. It seems very open, with less than a week to go.

I doubt whether the Channel 4 undercover silliness will change the minds of many people planning to vote Reform UK, as witness the tweets below:

In any case, Channel 4 News is only seen by a small minority of people. Only about 4.5% of the viewing public even watch Channel 4 overall, so maybe 1% or 2% (?): https://deadline.com/2023/06/channel-4-woes-deepen-ratings-historic-low-1235417804/; https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-12199071/Panic-Channel-4-viewing-figures-plummet-historic-low.html.

I doubt that more than a few hundred of the voters of Clacton will have even seen the “expose”. In any case, the main person shown was merely a volunteer. It may even be that some people will be more inclined to vote for Reform after having seen the Channel 4 piece. You never know.

There is also the point that postal voting has already taken place. Many of the older and/or disabled British voters, as at Clacton, will by now have voted.

Farage seems nailed-on to win at Clacton, as far as I can see. The Conservative Party candidate has not even been seen (by me anyway) on TV or online, while the young African standing as Labour MP has apparently been redeployed to help another Labour candidate, in the West Midlands, and has thus left the field of battle at Clacton.

I can only suppose that Starmer decided that only the Con candidate had any chance of beating Farage, having scored 72.3% in 2019, so scaled back the Labour effort at Clacton to zero for nakedly tactical reasons.

Also, the fact that Labour deliberately chose an African for its candidate at Clacton, of all places, would be likely to prompt a surge in support for Reform UK. Anyway, he’s gone elsewhere, and will probably not be seen at Clacton until the count on Election Night. I still think that he might lose his deposit.

As blogged previously, while I am not a Reform UK supporter, as such, its existence moves the “Overton Window” a bit, at the very least, and will help to break down the “two main parties” scam.

More tweets seen

The public’s view of the mostly System politicians is not favourable. Even Starmer, on the crest of his “popularity by default”, is only viewed favourably by just over a third of voters.

Look at Sunak. Only 19%, the same as the Conservative Party. I begin to wonder whether previously undecided voters will actually start to pile in against the Conservative Party now, or at the last minute, thus reducing the Conservative vote to somewhere below that 19%, maybe as low as 16%. We shall know in 6 days’ time.

I should say “80% that’s broken“, not “everything“. Otherwise, I agree.

As Hitler said, “dirty democratic politicians“…[Mein Kampf].

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/03/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-esther-mcvey-story/.

The African will probably get about 4% of the vote, and lose his deposit.

This is incredible. It does not necessarily mean that the Channel 4 “expose” was a fix, but it certainly raises questions.

How did Channel 4 News come to fasten upon that particular person for its undercover filming?

My view: both main System parties should be eliminated.

Gavin Barwell really is an utterly stupid person, yet there he sits in the House of Lords, getting nearly £400 a day (taxfree) any (sitting) day on which he chooses to turn up for 30 minutes and have his name ticked off… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Barwell.

Yes. If all Con-leaning or anti-Lab-leaning voters were to vote Reform UK, Reform UK could just about win at Dover; even then it might be very close. One thing is for sure— the Con candidate cannot win.

So Giles Watling is still alive… I had seen and heard nothing from the retired actor since the Clacton campaign started. I assumed that he had fallen into his soup and drowned at the Garrick Club.

Watling has nothing in common with most Clacton voters. Hopeless.

The Jew Zelensky thinks that there can be a “peace summit” without Russia’s participation (unless Russia were to effectively surrender). He’s a con-man who has stolen billions.

Talking point

Should make people think.

More tweets seen

I tend to agree, up to a point, with that last tweeter. Yes, the Cons are doomed, but look at what the Labour Party now is! A mixture of Blair-Brown-style fake communitarian rhetoric, “woke” craziness, “Ukraine” (Kiev regime) partisanship, and pro-Israel-ism, combined with pro-Jewish lobby repression of free speech and, in terms of domestic policy, almost indistinguishable in reality from the policies of the Conservative Party.

Incidentally, it is Bicester and Woodstock, a new constituency, not just Woodstock. That may explain the close polling.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bicester_and_Woodstock_(UK_Parliament_constituency).

Even Reform UK has more support among the under-30s in the UK, especially in England, than many suppose. A real social-national party might be able to capture far more hearts and minds.

This really is stunning. If accurate, it may mean a House of Commons with 483 Labour MPs (overall majority 316), 73 LibDems, 27 Reform UK, and only 22 Con Party MPs (SNP 18, Green 4 etc). https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

It would mean the LibDems as official Opposition, and Reform UK with several more MPs (27 in toto) than the rump of the old Conservative Party (22), which would not be the Opposition, not even third party, but a poor fourth. Finished. Washed-up.

I have yet to meet, in the past month or even longer, even one person who expresses an intention to vote Con. There may be some people I meet who intend to vote Con without my knowing it, of course; I meet relatively few people, and rarely talk directly about politics with most of those that I do meet. All the same…

In fact, and by my use of Electoral Calculus, it may be that, were Reform UK to poll at 24%, only 3 points higher than in this latest poll, Reform could edge the LibDems out of second place, which would mean Reform UK as the official Opposition, and Farage as Leader of the Opposition! Were that to happen, I should have to eat my words of a year or two ago (dismissing him as not such an effective politician despite his oratorical and mass media skills).

We shall soon know.

“Brutal” is the word. Whatever one may think of Trump and his overall fitness for office, it is clear that Biden should now go into retirement.

The world has rarely if ever been in such multiform peril. The state with, by far, the greatest military-destructive power on Earth, is a “colossus on legs of straw”, and cannot, at this time, be commanded, even notionally, by someone not in command of his own faculties.

From the newspapers

https://www.bournemouthecho.co.uk/news/24416228.poole-labour-candidate-calls-others-denounce-hate-campaign/

“The Labour parliamentary candidate for Poole, Neil Duncan-Jordan, said he and others have been targeted with ’disgusting and disrespectful’ comments.

He said he had been called a ‘white traitor’ and told that ‘Adolf Hitler had the right idea’.

Mr Duncan-Jordan has called on his counterparts in the election to distance themselves from antisemitism, racism and hate crime following a number of incidents he and his supporters have faced.

Mr Duncan-Jordan said: “In the last few days there have been three separate incidents that have caused me concern. I’ve been called a ‘white traitor’, one of my supporters was spat at and I was told that “Adolf Hitler had the right idea.”

“I think it’s important that all candidates in this election come out clearly and say that antisemitism, racism and fascist views have absolutely no place in modern Britain.

“Spitting at someone because you don’t like their political views is disgusting and disrespectful. We cannot allow this kind of behaviour to become the acceptable norm.”

The candidate has reported the incidents to the police.“

[Bournemouth Echo]

Well, while I would never condone spitting at (or for that matter, throwing milkshakes over) people (as a Labour supporter did to Farage recently), if a candidate wants to knock on people’s doors to engage them in political debate, he must expect some of his “victims” to cut up rough, bearing in mind what the System parties have been doing to this country.

More tweets seen

God knows what, in the course of time, will be the karmic, including group-karmic, consequences of everything that has happened in and around Gaza in the past 9 months, or indeed the past 77 years.

“They” are always the “victims”…

The whole of the System msm is rotten.

Britain 2024

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13579657/sleeping-grandmother-attacked-feral-thugs-scotland-park.html

“A grandmother has told of how she was beaten black and blue by a gang of feral yobs, who stamped on her head as she slept at a beauty spot.“

[Daily Mail].

More from the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13579539/Now-Rishi-Sunaks-leather-jacket-loving-chief-staff-dubbed-Treasury-Travolta-quizzed-gambling-watchdog-bets-election-timing-placed-senior-Tories.html

[Liam Booth-Smith]

“Rishi Sunak‘s chief of staff has been interviewed as a witness by the gambling regulator as part of the row over alleged bets on the timing of the general election, it has emerged.

Liam Booth-Smith is reported to have spoken to the Gambling Commission last week to help the watchdog understand who may have known when polling day would be.

Sources stressed to the BBC that the PM’s top adviser – dubbed the ‘Treasury Travolta’ during Mr Sunak’s time as Chancellor due to his fondness for leather jackets – is not a suspect in the regulator’s investigation and had not placed a bet himself.“

[Daily Mail]

Can you believe it, even today, as the UK goes into a tailspin? The Chief of Staff of the UK Prime Minister— and look at the bastard!

“Liam Booth-Smith (born 1987) is a British political adviser who has served as the Downing Street Chief of Staff since October 2022. He previously served as de facto chief of staff to then-chancellor Rishi Sunak as head of the Joint Economic Unit.

Booth-Smith was born in 1987[2] in Stoke on Trent and was raised by a single mother.[3] He read politics and social policy at Loughborough University. Booth-Smith was appointed as Downing Street Chief of Staff in October 2022 after Rishi Sunak‘s accession as prime minister. He succeeded Mark Fullbrook.

In 2023 the New Statesman named him as the ninth most powerful figure in British Right-Wing Politics.”

[Wikipedia]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liam_Booth-Smith

I know that I often expostulate in this vein, but this country really is ****** on so many levels…

[Update, 16 January 2026: Liam Booth-Smith must have been born under a lucky star— he was elevated to the House of Lords by Sunak, in his 2024 Resignation Honours List, so now gets about £400 a day taxfree just for rolling up, for as brief a time as half an hour, any sitting day, i.e. about 200 per year. About £80,000 a year taxfree, for not necessarily doing anything at all. He also makes a great deal more via his salary, bonuses etc as executive of an AI company. As a John le Carre character called this country, “the pigs in clover society“…]

More tweets

In the 1970s, Britain still had many avenues open to it. Now, it is as if (?) we are painted into a corner, with almost nowhere to turn.

2024-2029…perhaps in the next few years there will, at long last, emerge the popular social-national movement that can sweep all before it.

When I stayed for three weeks with a French couple, in Paris, in 1971 (at age 14), I was taken once by car through an area my host referred to as the “quartier arabe“. Now it seems that much of Paris is the “quartier africaine“…

What about a population of ~70 million (the UK)?

Late music

Alt-Right, animal welfare, Brexit, Campaign Against AntiSemitism, Conservative Friends of Israel, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, environment, Farage, free speech, historical, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 23 June 2024

28 Comments

Morning music

My blog, my freedom of expression

Many readers will be aware that I was put on trial in November 2023 for having supposedly published 5 “grossly offensive” items on this blog; 5 items within 5 pages (5 days’ posts). 5 blog posts out of, at the time, about 1,700. I was sentenced in March 2024.

The background of that is known to some but not all readers. I therefore offer the following blog pages as explanation (obviously, I cannot republish or link to the 5 blog posts which were determined by the Court to have been, or to have contained material, “grossly offensive“, so here are 5 others).

When I was a victim of a malicious Zionist complaint…
The Slide of the English Bar and UK Society Continues and Accelerates
Diary Blog, 15 January 2022, including an outline of the failure of the latest Jew-Zionist attempt to prosecute me
Diary Blog, 16 March 2024, including an account of my recent free speech trial and sentencing
Diary Blog, 17 March 2024, including the aftermath of my sentencing hearing

I should add that, while 5 blog posts were determined, in the magistrates’ court, to have contained “grossly offensive” material (in fact, in my opinion, largely innocuous comments and cartoons), the material in question was tiny in amount, about 2% of each blog post, if that. In fact, only a few sentences allegedly written by me were specifically mentioned in the judgment.

As previously mentioned on the blog, I am perforce far more diplomatic now on the blog than I was a few years ago, but how sad it is that this country that, arguably more than any other bar the USA, championed free speech for so long, should fall victim to this kind of sub-“Stasi“, poundshop KGB-ism, with the Clown Prosecution Service and police falling over themselves to placate the Israel lobby.

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2018/05/30/one-mans-extremism-is-another-mans-struggle-for-liberty-and-justice/

Election thoughts

Labour leader Keir Flip-flop (Starmer) is the personification of the Norman Wisdom character, the clueless teaboy or whatever, who suddenly wins the lottery (or, in those 1950s days, the football pools). Starmer is about to become an “elected” dictator, despite most people despising, disliking or distrusting him.

Look, though, at what the Conservative Party now is. We are told that, if they survive the election, the leading contenders for the leadership position will probably be Kemi Badenoch (Nigerian), Priti Patel (East African Asian, and Israeli agent), James Cleverly (half-caste West Indian/British), and Suella Braverman (Mauritian Indian). All members of Conservative Friends of Israel, too.

Need one even comment?

[Update, 1 December 2024: Erratum— James Cleverly’s father was African, not (as I said, mistakenly) West Indian].

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/22/red-wall-tory-support-boris-johnson-south-yorkshire-labour

We are told, also, that the polls say that 20% of eligible voters have not even decided whether they will vote at all, and are also undecided as to which way they might cast their votes if they do vote. Do we take it that many of those will simply abstain? Will they vote simply as protest? Uncertain.

It could just be that those “undecideds” will vote, will want to vote as protest, and so will mostly vote Reform UK. Were that to happen, it really would put the cat among the pigeons.

The fact is that the Conservatives are in deep trouble anyway, that the mere existence of Reform UK has deepened that existing trouble, and that, even at a nationwide 15%-19% (as per recent polls), Reform UK, while perhaps only getting a few seats, would spell doom for the Conservative Party. Which is why the msm is now going crazy trying to demonize Farage and his latest party.

If Reform UK actually scores above 20%, then game on. If the existing ~18% is boosted by another 5 or 10 points, then UK politics will have received a meteorite hit, and will never be the same again. Were Reform UK to get 28% of the national vote, that might mean 80-90 Commons seats, and Reform UK would be the official Opposition.

That may seem impossible or crazy, and it may not happen, but the exciting thing is that it actually could happen. You cannot compare Reform UK in 2024 to Brexit Party in 2019, or UKIP in 2015.

This time, the Cons are going to go down really badly. More importantly, there is a perception this time that to vote Reform UK is not a mere protest vote, but a protest vote that really could accomplish something concrete— the utter destruction of the Conservative Party for a start.

I do not know whether Reform UK will manage to get beyond its present 15%-19% range, and/or get as high as 28%, but it just might.

Talking point

Tweets seen

Britain has not had anything approaching such a statesman for a very very long time.

Not that I approve of everything Putin has done within Russia itself, and Russian society still does not have an ideology capable of consigning to the past Western finance-capitalism, the mainly Jewish (but also Russian-criminal) “bandit capitalism” of the past 30+ years, and the former harsh Marxist-Leninist ethos, out of which the “bandit capitalism” emerged.

Still, as a transitional but very significant political power-holder, Putin must be supported as far as necessary, as a bulwark against various poisonous and contending elements in the world.

“Fewer“, not “less“!

True all the same.

The policy is working so well as a deterrent that, even in the past couple of days, about 2,000 more migrant-invaders have entered the UK via the English Channel, ferried in by the RNLI and Border Farce.

All the System parties talk about “smuggling gangs”, but the smugglers could, in principle, be dealt with easily enough by special forces undercover. Dealt with. Just dealt with. The necessity is to deter or stop the migrant-invaders themselves, to close down the “small boats” cross-Channel route, and to protect both our borders and the future of our people.

Not a very impressive candidate anyway: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Craig_Williams_(British_politician). 39 years old. His only non-political job was as a director of Cardiff Bus, a municipal bus service company owned by Cardiff Council; Williams was a councillor and on the relevant Council committee at the time. What a boondoggle.

Williams has been an MP since 2015, but lost his previous seat to Labour in 2017 and was then elected for another constituency in 2019. That constituency has now been abolished, and redrawn into the new constituency of  Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr.

On the previous boundaries, the area was quite solidly LibDem until 2010, when the egregious Lembit Opik managed to ruin his political career by making plainly freeloading expenses claims and by playing around with young Romanian pop singers called the Cheeky Girls: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lembit_%C3%96pik.

While one might have expected Williams to continue the run of Conservative Party successes in the now-redrawn seat, the plunging popularity of the party, combined with Williams having tried to make an illicit profit by betting on the election date while obviously having inside information, may make him unelectable. We shall see.

The new constituency is being contested by Con, Lab, LibDem, Green, Plaid Cymru and, perhaps most interestingly, Reform UK.

Obviously, I have no idea how Reform UK will perform, and it may be that the LibDems have the best chance of getting rid of Williams, but if (a big if, as they say), Reform were to take half of the otherwise Con vote, then either Reform or the LibDems might succeed.

On the wider point, had something like this betting scandal occurred in, say, 1994, or 1984, let alone 1974 or 1964, the person implicated would have been expected to step down either as candidate or, later, as MP (if re-elected). The slide in integrity and honour in British politics is palpable. The bastard seems to be intent on riding it out, and hoping to get away with it.

Crowdfunder

A reminder that my modest crowdfunder (to help pay the costs imposed on me after my free speech trial) is still running: https://www.givesendgo.com/GC14J.

Late tweets seen

Ha ha! Anna Soubry, the notorious former “MP for Plymouth and Angostura” (she briefly threatened me online with a libel suit when I first tweeted that humorous description of her, many years ago, the silly creature), talks about Farage being “a gob shite“!

I can well understand why Anna Soubry has no mirrors around her, but she ought to take a good look at herself some time…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Broxtowe_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s.

Ha. Yes, that is what is happening. A million migrant-invaders a year? Putin’s fault. Housing crisis? Putin’s fault. Nothing working properly any more in the UK? Putin’s fault.

If the “occupied” UK TV, radio, and newspapers disappeared tomorrow, the air would be cleaner.

Even 8 years ago, I was saying that “Brexit is more than Brexit“. Now, I say that people voting Reform UK are doing so for reasons far beyond, far far wider, than a limited wish to have Farage and his party get a few MPs.

Apocalyptic. God help anyone under that.

Our animal friends.

At what point will “they” have had enough blood?

Late music

[Troy Caperton, Winter Fenceline]
Alt-Right, animal welfare, Brexit, Conservative Friends of Israel, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, environment, Farage, free speech, Ian Millard, Jewish lobby in UK, Labour Friends of Israel, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, Reminiscences and Musings, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, Stray memories of life at the English Bar, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 22 June 2024

17 Comments

Morning music

Saturday quiz

Well, this week brought only 5/10, same as political journalist John Rentoul. I knew the answers to questions 1, 2, 3, 8, and 10; was a few years out on question 7, could not bring to mind the answer to question 4, and had no idea about questions 5, 6, and 9.

Tweets seen

Alpine Switzerland. A rather wet day.

“I am a market researcher. I spoke to Sunak about Polls at the leadership hustings. I don’t think he believes them and to some extent he is right to do so. But we’ve been out campaigning in Bexhill and Battle and have yet to meet anyone whose said they’ll vote Tory in a 26k majority seat.”

We read newspapers, watch TV commentary, see opinion polls, look at (often biased) Twitter/X comment. All contribute to our belief as to what might happen on Election Day. Beyond that, there is mere personal experience of one’s own local area; anecdotal, subjective.

I myself live in an area of coastal Hampshire known for being traditionally “safe” Conservative. The local MP is someone with some of whose views (eg on the Covid scamdemic/panicdemic) I can agree, but with whom I would not agree on other topics. He is also a very poor constituency MP— lazy, uncaring, and totally useless in fact, as a few people have told me after not having received help or even a polite acknowledgment from him.

In previous general elections, I have seen almost exclusively Conservative Party posters around, and one huge banner on a house in the nearby small town. This time, I think only one Conservative poster, and three or four LibDem ones. Unscientific, but is that a straw in the wind? Hard to say, but interesting all the same.

The incumbent MP has been there since the constituency was created in 1997. He has never scored below 50%, and received well over 60% in both 2017 and 2019. Labour usually come third (second in 2017) here, and the LibDems (usually second-placed, though fourth behind Con, UKIP and Labour in 2015) had their best result in 1997 (27.8%).

In other words, it would take a political earthquake, maybe a political meteorite strike, to displace the Conservative here…and yet…and yet…

I may be reading too much into the presence or otherwise of political posters put up locally, but it occurred to me that the Conservative Party in the constituency has (perhaps) few volunteers now. The average age of Con Party members in this constituency must be around 80 if not 90. Does the presence of a few LibDem posters indicate a local upsurge, or just a single diligent volunteer?

I cannot see the LibDem candidate displacing the Con candidate this time, even if Reform UK do well, but who knows? Con, Lab and LibDem are all standing for election, but so also is a double-barrelled (in both senses, probably) Reform UK fellow, a Green, an Animal Welfare candidate [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Animal_Welfare_Party], and one for the SDP, which I am surprised to see claims 2,000 members nationally [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Democratic_Party_(UK,_1990%E2%80%93present)].

How big the Reform UK vote here will be on 4 July 2024 is uncertain. UKIP scored 16.9% in 2015, though far less prior to that. Since 2015, there has been no broadly “national” party standing, and no social-national party has ever stood here.

If the staff had been Palestinian Arabs, they would have stood no chance. Having said that, Arabs would probably not have been employed anyway, for reasons of security.

Farage and Reform UK to merge with the Cons within 14 days? That sounds ludicrous. If it were to happen, in the 12 days left, it would just be a replay of 2019, when Farage stabbed his own party in the back; with one big difference, though— in 2019, Farage’s back-stab meant that instead of a likely hung Parliament, “Boris”-idiot was able to get an 80-seat Commons majority. In this General Election, the surrounding situation is very different.

Were the predicted merger to occur, and if Farage then urged voters to vote Con in many constituencies, all that would happen would be that Labour would still win overall, but with a majority of maybe 100+ instead of maybe 300. Of course, that would save perhaps 100 or 150 Con Party seats. It would also destroy whatever credibility Farage still seems to have with many people.

After any such merger, I suppose that the idea would be that Sunak would lose the election, resign, disappear from view, and that a leadership election would then anoint Farage as leader of the Con/Reform party.

Not totally impossible, arguably, but very unlikely. Reform UK is on a roll. Brexit Party had all wind taken out of its sails by Farage’s treachery in 2019. The same would happen today. It might even help Labour more than Reform UK fighting on as at present. After all, all the Reform UK candidates are now on the ballot papers.

The only way the predicted merger would work would be if Sunak and Farage were to announce a list of which seats would be “gifted” to Reform UK, but the candidates would still have to remain nominally in place.

That prediction to me sounds like nonsense. After the election might be a different story, were Reform UK to have 5-10 MPs in the Commons, and the Cons 50-100. However, once Reform UK merged with the Cons, and after (if it were to happen) Farage were elected to lead the merged parties, then what? The surviving Con MPs would be not a good match with the new Reform UK MPs; apple and orange. What could they offer the public? Con Party policies but with more emphasis on immigration? Sounds underwhelming.

Never say never, but I cannot see it as likely. If, however, it were to happen, it might yet open the door, on the flank, to real social-national people. “Always look on the bright side of life“.

As to that Gewolb individual’s views on UK interest rates, I do not have the economic background to assess them.

Incidentally, this is Gewolb: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/my-biggest-mistake-i-was-slow-to-start-a-success-1110542.html;

https://www.gewolb.tv/?page_id=30

American merchant banker, UK resident since 1999, now aged 80.

The Conservative Party is dying on its feet right in front of us. I really cannot see Farage wanting to ally himself with a party that, in another metaphor, is sinking below the waves. Not even after the election.

I notice that the Sky News “Chief Political Correspondent”, one Jon Craig, has been wheeled out to write a piece on the Sky News website about how “vile” Farage was to speak the truth about the Ukraine situation, i.e. that NATO has steadily advanced across Eastern Europe since the 1990s, thus destabilizing the NATO-Russia status quo.

Interesting language…”vile“— reminiscent of the language used by “the usual suspects” (((them)))…

The System may be getting or feeling seriously threatened by Reform UK, and is trying to use attack propaganda to weaken Farage’s appeal.

Craig claims that most “Britons” support “Ukraine” (the Kiev regime). I doubt it. Look at the comments section of the Daily Mail.

There is something going on here, with System scribblers, talking heads, and both “Labour” and “Conservative” Friends of Israel MPs all attacking Farage.

I have just heard the news on my car radio. Farage’s comments about the Ukraine situation were prominently displayed. I wonder, though, whether the Kiev regime is as popular with the people as it is with pseudo-“elite” deadheads such as Ben Wallace (former Con MP) and the Labour Friends of Israel drones. I think not.

In any case, few if any will now decide not to vote for Reform UK just because of a few comments about NATO.

From the newspapers

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/22/election-loss-rout-or-wipeout-three-tory-outcomes-predicted-by-the-polls

Interesting Guardian analysis.

More tweets

Using, as always, Electoral Calculus, I make that a House of Commons with 468 Labour MPs —overall majority of 286, Con 67, LibDem 63, SNP 20, Reform UK 6, Plaid 4, Greens 2 (etc). https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

I agree, in principle, with the vast majority of that, about 90%. Only social nationalism will actually “do de job”, though. Reform UK is too finance-capitalistic, too pro-Israel, not quite what I would ever support as a destination (rather than as a means to an end).

Today is the UK msm “hit Farage” day, it seems. “Ukraine”, NHS etc etc. Anything to get the Reform UK vote down. I doubt that it will work.

Our cat friends…

I have blogged once or twice in the past about how, in the mid-1990s, I visited the biological research base at Porton Down, accompanying the then Ukrainian Ambassador. Those posts can be found via the search box on the blog. Here is one, anyway: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2022/03/06/diary-blog-6-march-2022/

Clacton

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/21/nigel-farage-populist-pitch-gains-traction-clacton

Worth reading.

Late tweets seen

Good grief. He is only 5 years older than me; looks like an extra from Lord of the Rings, perhaps (first picture) someone with an incurable affliction or someone cursed by a wizard, or (second picture) a dishonest peasant or itinerant tinker. Still moneygrasping at age 72. Part-Jew. I never liked what I saw of him. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Geldof.

Left to itself, the world’s only Jewish state would collapse into a kind of civil war, but the money and armament provided by the Jewish “communities” both directly and indirectly (via governments) in the USA, UK, France etc keep the whole project going, so far.

Zelensky is a Jewish tyrant, who has suspended elections, banned most political parties, banned trade unions, and arrested or killed political opponents.

Perhaps a general Russian advance.

“Germany is no longer the same” – Orban chastised Berlin for the failure of migration policy.

Before his visit to Berlin, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban criticized modern Germany. He said that the country had even lost its former smell, clearly making fun of its problem with migration, writes The Daily Telegraph. “Germany no longer has the taste it used to have. She doesn’t smell like she used to anymore. This whole Germany is no longer the Germany that our grandparents and parents set as an example for us,” the politician said in an interview before a meeting with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

Orbán also said that Germany was once a country of “order,” “well-organized work” and “hard-working people.” But now, he noted, citing the German newspaper Die Welt, Germany is a “colorful, changed, multicultural world” where migrants are “no longer guests.” “This is a very big change,” summed up the head of the Hungarian government.“

Late thoughts about GE 2024

If reports are to be believed, 20% of voters have either not made up their minds as to how they will vote, or have not decided whether they will vote at all.

The 20% equates to thousands of eligible voters in every constituency.

It is also reported that as many as 175 seats are in very close contest now, more than a quarter of all seats.

I have speculated previously whether there is, or is not, a bloc of “secret Reform UK voters”, people who may not admit to leaning towards Reform UK if asked. I do not know the answer to that, and neither do I know its size if it exists, but if that bloc does exist, and if it mostly votes Reform UK on the day, then all bets are off, because there just might be a political meteorite strike on the 4th of July…

Late music

[painting by Michael and Inessa Garmash]
Alt-Right, Boris Johnson, daily blog, Deadhead MPs, Defence, diary blog, elections, environment, Farage, free speech, historical, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, MPs, Party Politics, Reminiscences and Musings, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 21 June 2024

26 Comments

Afternoon music

[William Sergeant Kendall, Psyche]

North Cornwall

I happened to see a Guardian piece about the General Election as it is playing out in North Cornwall: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/19/field-fork-disillusioned-voters-feeling-pinch-north-cornwall.

I lived in that constituency for a couple of years, 20+ years ago, and in 2019 wrote a blog post about the constituency and about Scott Mann, the most recent MP (and GE 2024 candidate): https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/03/14/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-scott-mann-story/

Tweets seen

I am presuming that that is in Clacton.

Even that averaged poll translates, according to my use of Electoral Calculus, into a House of Commons with 476 Labour MPs (overall majority 302), 62 LibDem, 60 Con, 20 SNP, 6 Reform UK, 4 Plaid, and 2 Green (etc).

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

There are still large numbers of (arguably) “well-meaning” pro-mass-immigration idiots around. They are loud on Twitter/X, and on msm shows such as BBC Question Time. In the country as a whole, while I think that they are a minority, and possibly a smaller minority than was the case 5 years ago, there are still far too many of them.

We have to be clear. The level of immigration into the UK, effectively a migration-invasion, that we have been seeing (~1M a year), is not just a debating issue for the TV, radio, or at university moots; it is an existential danger for UK society. UK society stands in peril of complete collapse within a decade because of this.

It seems that one must repeat and repeat the valid points about pressure on every part of society caused by or made much worse by the invasion, because that pro-immigration minority, most MPs, most TV and radio talking heads, and most newspaper scribblers, are NOT LISTENING.

More tweets seen

The “Ukrainian” (Kiev regime) army just gained another recruit…

The sooner the Zionist cabal in Kiev is overthrown, or crushed in battle, the better for all the people of the region.

Yes, but literally millions of idiots and/or quasi-traitors are either unable to see that, or prefer not to see it. However, the real emergency around immigration is the total picture, not just the ~5% invading across the Channel.

Voters are increasingly dissatisfied with the System parties. A large part of that is not purely ideological but actuated by the ever-lower living standards and conditions of employment, housing and general life-expectation.

As the millions of migrant-invaders flow in, the situation can only intensify, along with the frustration and dissatisfaction of the UK masses, leading eventually to an overthrow of the entire system in this country.

What is so disgusting about the “Boris” Johnson pseudo-“upper crust” “cosplay” is that the bastard is not even really British. Part-Jew (one of his ancestors was an Orthodox Jewish rabbi in Lithuania), and brought up mainly in the USA and Belgium, with a gloss of Englishness via Eton and Oxford (where his nationality was recorded as having been “American”). Cameron-Levita is a more-polished version of the same, really.

The last actually/really British Prime Minister was Gordon Brown (if you leave out the moronic 49-day careerist “Prime Minister”, Liz Truss).

The so-called “expert commentators”— the Tim Montgomeries, the Ayesha Hazarikas, the Beth Rigbys… when have they been right about anything?

I saw a few minutes of Montgomerie on Sky News yesterday, all emotional because of the distress being suffered by people who have been Conservative MPs for years and who are now candidates, and the distress and anxiety suffered by their families now that the Cons look set to be all but wiped out. “These are people“, cried Montgomerie.

Ha ha! Watch me laugh as some at least of those System political swine and profiteers suffer a tiny bit of the anxiety and distress suffered over the past 14+ years by the sick, disabled, poor, homeless, unemployed etc, while those bastards voted time and again to bully and oppress —and repress— the real people suffering in this country. I want the “Conservative” careerists to suffer personally. I want them to have to chase jobs with no result. I want them to worry every day about whether they can feed themselves and their families. I want them to lose their homes and status symbols. I want them to suffer.

I think that a very large proportion of the country is with me on this.

…and “they” are still whining, and writing books, and making Hollywood films about Jews detained in Europe more than 80 years ago.

Mariupol on the Sea of Azov, before the present war the 10th largest city of Ukraine, and which was heavily damaged in the fighting a couple of years ago.

Looks like Russia is making a good start, at the very least, in reconstructing the city.

“The city is largely and traditionally Russian-speaking, while ethnically the population is divided about evenly between Ukrainians and Russians. There is also a significant ethnic Greek minority in the city.” [Wikipedia]. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariupol.

Late music

[Arnold Bocklin, Ruins by the Sea]

Alt-Right, by-elections, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, Farage, free speech, historical, historical revisionism, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Katie Hopkins, Labour Friends of Israel, Matt Goodwin, Party Politics, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, The Great Replacement, the Great Reset, Tommy Robinson, Tommy Robinson, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 19 June 2024

35 Comments

Morning music

[Germany 1945— “We are fighting for the future of our children!“]

Tweets seen

600 in a day. Not counting those who sneak in on the backs of lorries etc. Not including the 3,000+ that entered superficially “legally”, on the same day (as “family members”, “students”, “fiances”, “fiancees”, those on fraudulently-obtained work visas etc, or as asylum seekers approved from outside the UK).

You still see pseudo-liberal idiots saying or tweeting that immigration is not a high priority in the UK’s list of problems to be dealt with. Think again. Immigration on this scale impacts everything, either immediately or later, and for endless years to come.

About a million a year, maybe more, and if some say it is “only” half a million “net”, does that really make much difference? So either 10 million in the next 20 years, or 20 million in the same time-period…

Goodbye Britain as anything other than a dystopian hellhole if that happens, i.e. if a real British Government does not stop it.

How many LibLabCon politicians could attract a crowd a twentieth as large? A crowd composed of ordinary local voters, by the way.

If you look at Twitter/X, as always very very unrepresentative, you will see people lauding the unemployed 25-y-o African “eternal student” who is the Labour Party’s bizarre choice of candidate. Frankly, that useless creature will be lucky to save his deposit; he will certainly not get more than 15% of the vote. This is between Reform UK and the Conservative Party whose candidate is invisible.

As a social-national blogger and thinker, I should prefer there to be a social-national party that I could support, even if a party not led by me. However, there is no such party in the UK at present.

In realistic terms, all that can be done at GE 2024 is to destroy one half of the main System binary, i.e. the Conservative Party, and to move the “Overton Window”, so that there is space into which social-national ideas and, then, a movement, can flow.

The best chance at present is that the “controlled opposition” Reform UK does well enough to destroy the Conservative Party, even if at the cost of a Labour “elected” (by default) dictatorship for a while.

I have a feeling that Israel-puppet Starmer’s plan to enfranchise persons of 16-17 years of age may backfire on him.

Ideologically, I do not always have time for pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby Katie Hopkins, but it has to be admitted that she is something else…Tough does not start to cover it.

I agree with her there.

Exactly. The NWO/ZOG System wants Israel-puppet Starmer as “elected” dictator. He will clamp down even more on (real) free speech (as practised on this blog), he will flood the UK with even more non-Europeans, and he will be more finance-capital friendly even than Blair, Brown, Cameron-Levita etc.

Starmer’s expected enormous Commons majority will enable the installation of a kind of “woke” tyranny. It is then that the British people will have to go beyond the usual kinds of “acceptable” opposition.

More music

More tweets seen

Sunak, saying that he “has been fortunate” in his life…Married, of course, to the richest Indian in India.

Sunak always reminds me of some of the contestants on shows such as The Chase, people that make me think, “you are so ******* ignorant; why are you even on a quiz show in the first place? You could not buy a correct answer“…

Sunak is a bit like that when he tries to show that he has what it takes to be Prime Minister of the UK. He plainly does not have what it takes. The little Indian money-juggler neither looks, nor thinks, nor behaves, nor speaks like a prime minister.

I happened to see a Sky News report this morning. 900 migrant-invaders have already been landed at Dover today, ferried in by the “Border Force” (border farce). All in identical orange lifejackets, all on a very large Border Force vessel, delivering them at a fast rate of knots to our shores.

900 in one single day (so far).

This is a conspiracy, the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan, being carried on in plain sight, right under the noses of the public and the msm. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.

Metaphors…”begging bowl“; how about “dustbin”?

More music

More tweets

The Conservative Party candidate in the famous Smethwick by-election had a poster saying “if you want a n****r for a neighbour, vote Labour“. 60 years on, it turns out that the second part of the sentence should have read “…vote Labour, Conservative, LibDem, or Green“.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smethwick_in_the_1964_general_election

Interesting (even if Matt Goodwin, an academic, apparently needs to brush up on the use of the apostrophe).

Good idea.

Pity those trying to restrain the vandals did not give them the bejesus of a good kicking.

Israel has created ghetto-entities (Gaza, West Bank); cutting off oil via Turkey will ghetto-ize Israel itself.

“I’m lovin’ it!“

According to my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], that would mean a House of Commons with 444 Labour MPs (overall majority 238), LibDems 65, Reform UK 50, Cons 45, SNP 20, Plaid Cymru 4, Greens 2 (etc).

If that were to come to pass, absolutely stunning. It would mean pretty much the end of the Conservative Party, certainly the end of it as a (let alone the) natural or default party of government.

For one thing, most of those wanting selection as Conservative candidates, and MPs, are careerists. Few will be attracted by a party that has only 45 MPs.

Donors are already withdrawing from the Conservative Party. Large donors usually want, at very least, influence in return for their money. A party which has only 45 MPs and is not the governing party, not the official Opposition, but only 4th in the Commons, has little to offer, little to sell.

If Reform UK really did break through to the extent indicated, the “Overton Window” will have been not only moved but blasted aside.

Social nationalism might then really start to take off. Exciting.

Late music

Alt-Right, Campaign Against AntiSemitism, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, environment, Farage, free speech, historical, historical revisionism, Ian Millard, Jewish lobby in UK, Laurence Fox, Liz Truss, Mark Lewis, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized

Diary Blog, 12 June 2024

39 Comments

Morning music

[Wanda Landowska with Tolstoy in 1908 or 1909, possibly at Yasnaya Polyana but more likely at Tolstoy’s house at Kropotkinskaya in central Moscow, which I myself have visited; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wanda_Landowska]

Tweets seen

“CASE UPDATE: Patron Law insist I get a costs order against Mr Cantor before I apply for costs against them. My application for costs against Mr Cantor is delayed because he is seriously unwell. For the record, can I state what absolutely first rate chaps Patron Law’s partners are (Mark Lewis, Benjamin May and Alexander Zivancevic) for putting their former client Mr Cantor through this in his current state of health. This is them.“

(((Sharks))).

More about egregious Israel-based Lewis:

Update re. “Mark Lewis Lawyer”— Questions Are Raised…

Most voters, most TV talking heads and newspaper scribblers etc have not yet caught up with me and a few of the more perceptive msm commentators (such as Tim Stanley) in understanding that, in Stanley’s words, “the [Conservative Party] brand is…just gone“, and that means that only a few habit-voters, mostly the very elderly, will be voting Con at GE 2024 or thereafter.

I notice that, in latest polling, the Conservative Party is down to 18% with one pollster.

That has happened before to the Cons, in 2019, and in relation to the brief rise and fall of Brexit Party, but not 3 weeks before a general election. In that year, I think that the Cons were down to 19% at one point.

On a secondary point, who could have imagined, in the 1980s, that Russian roads, in the provinces at that, would be better in 2024 than any roads in the UK? Shameful.

The people still voting en masse for the Conservative Party will be, as previously noted, lifelong Con habit-voters now aged 75+, who are concentrated mainly in the safest seats of southern England. In those constituencies, the not-poor and the elderly are the majority.

Having said that, my prediction, right or wrong, remains closer to 50 than 100 Con seats after 4 July 2024.

Talking point

More tweets

One has to ask whether the loss of a Commons seat would be sufficient punishment for a political criminal of that sort. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laura_Trott_(politician). Indeed Sevenoaks has been regarded as a safe Con Party seat: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sevenoaks_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

Wipe them out. Stamp on them. Since 1989, at latest, this party has been completely useless and poisonous.

Anyone who uses “Mark Lewis Lawyer” is a complete idiot (or maybe just badly misinformed…).

As already blogged, I do not “blame” Sunak for not remaining at the 1944 commemoration. After all, he is not, in any real way, “British” in the first place, despite having been born here and having attended Winchester and Oxford.

As for Sunak’s poll ratings, hard to see how they could go much lower. He’s on the way out. Everyone knows it; he knows it. Within 3 weeks, give or take a day or two, he will no longer be PM. Within a few months, he will have been all but forgotten, like Liz Truss.

“You might not want to hear this. Many people don’t.

I just spent the last week travelling between London, Helsinki and Tallinn.

I lived in London for many years but it has changed out of all recognition. Tallinn and Helsinki have a safe feel. Homogeneous. No “diversity barriers”. After London, it was quite a shock. You can argue about whether the changes in London are for the better or not but the kids in both Helsinki and Tallinn are skateboarding and drinking milkshakes. They are not carrying around knives and terrorising or stabbing other kids. There is space and clean streets. People are friendly – even to strangers.

London felt like it was crumbling. Closed roads everywhere. A murder minutes from where I was within 6 hours of my arrival. People seemed miserable. I want the UK to do better. To be better. But they need to change things significantly and stop the transformation of the capital city into a third world city. Anyone else agree?“

Almost all people of sense agree. 90% of white (i.e. real British) people agree, and even very many of the non-whites agree. Just a tendentious 10% of the people disagree, but that includes most of the MPs, most of the fake “Lords”, and most of the treacherous msm talking heads and scribblers. Poisonous. Get rid of them, and the UK will start to improve.

Yes. Starmer is a disaster waiting to happen; not waiting as an actor or a barrister does, prior to striding onto the stage or rising up in court, but waiting like a man in a charity-shop raincoat, waiting for a bus in the drizzle of a London winter.

Talking point

More tweets

Laurence Fox is, politically, a sad waste of space. Pro-Israel, basically pro-Conservative but with a few quibbles around flags and monuments and the like.

Reform UK has one main use as far as I am concerned— to help kill off the Conservative Party. A secondary use is to move the “Overton Window” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window].

“The Overton window is the range of policies politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time.[1] It is also known as the window of discourse.” [Wikipedia]

Late music

Alison Chabloz, Alt-Right, animal welfare, Campaign Against AntiSemitism, Conservative Friends of Israel, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, environment, free speech, historical, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Labour Friends of Israel, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Nick Griffin, Nick Griffin, Party Politics, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, The Great Replacement, Tommy Robinson, Tommy Robinson, Uncategorized, wildlife

Diary Blog, 2 June 2024, including Robert Largan’s deliberate dishonesty in the election for the High Peak constituency

12 Comments

Morning music

Robert Largan, the 2024 General Election, and the constituency of High Peak

Largan. A Conservative Friends of Israel puppet. A nasty little man, who used to be an accountant for Marks & Spencer. Also, a dishonest little bastard.

Largan has obviously realized that, as a “Conservative” MP who won his seat narrowly in 2019, with a majority of only 509 votes, he has little chance of beating the Labour candidate this time in the normal way, so has decided to cheat.

Largan is an election cheat. Those fake “Labour” and “Reform UK” posters he has published are an outright attempt to defraud the High Peak electorate.

Despite having been a barrister (in practice or overseas employed practice 1992-2008, and still nominally a barrister until wrongfully and unlawfully disbarred for political reasons in late 2016), I know little about the law pertaining to elections.

I have just looked at the links below: https://www.college.police.uk/app/policing-elections/investigating-electoral-malpractice; and https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/guidance-candidates-and-agents-uk-parliamentary-general-elections-great-britain/campaigning/table-offences; and

“What’s not in the law—

There is nothing in law that requires a party to include their logo on campaign material.

“There is also no requirement in law to specify what colours or branding a party needs to use in their material.“

[https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/voting-and-elections/campaigning-election/campaign-material-and-campaigning-polling-day]

The above, however, does not seem to cover the case of a candidate deceptively using the style and colours of his opponents in order to trick voters directly.

See also https://www.cps.gov.uk/legal-guidance/election-offences

Even if Largan is not actually in breach of electoral law (and I cannot say whether that is so or not), in view of his deliberate and dishonest copying of the colour and style of Labour and Reform UK posters, the voters of High Peak must be made aware of how very dishonest and desperate Largan is (desperate not to have to get a real job again, something he has only had for 5 out of his 38 years).

Send Largan back to counting beans for M&S.

Actually, when you think how likely (in fact, inevitable) it was that Largan’s deception would be discovered (having after all been publicized on Twitter/X by Largan himself!), it does call into question Largan’s commonsense or lack of the same. His judgment too. He is an idiot.

Desperate, yes, so stupid and desperate, maybe not.

Robert Largan—serially dishonest and not even very clever in being so.

Imagine, though, how little confidence Largan must have in the “Conservative” brand to try to camouflage himself on different election posters as Labour, and Reform UK and Green, in other words anything but “Conservative”…and also even printing a fake “newspaper”.

Faux-proletarian scribbler Dan Hodges is one of the least credible of his type. “Poor” scarcely covers his nonsense.

Well, I agree with Hodges on that, at least in terms of the gap between Con and Lab, but then, after all, I did predict on the blog quite some months ago that, contrary to the usual scenario, there would not be a convergence in the polling prior to Election Day. The reason is clear— people have just given up on the “Conservatives”. Labour is disliked but, in the UK’s basically binary system, if people do not vote Con, Lab profit thereby.

Look at how many Con MPs are failing to contest GE 2024, and look at the poor quality of most of those intending to contest it. Robert Largan is but one, and egregious, example of that.

The voters have a choice: Labour, who will probably be both incompetent and repressive, and the “Conservatives”, who have already proven themselves incompetent and repressive. Both parties are as good as controlled by the…”Israel lobby”.

Really? I can think of a number of things of which one could accuse Sunak, but surely not that. Or have I misunderstood the headline?…

Penny Mordaunt got a very high 61.4% vote-share in 2019, and her vote -share has increased every election since she was first elected in 2010, but Portsmouth North has been a “bellwether” seat since 1966, so the chances are that she will lose this time, though she may just be able to buck the trend: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portsmouth_North_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

Seems a good idea.

In the past, there was clear blue water between Con and Lab, at least on some issues, but the Cons cannot now even compete on issues traditionally (if falsely) their own: immigration, defence, law and order, Treasury competence. Etc. They have failed miserably on all of those and more.

That is the core point, surely. I can think of no issue on which the Cons can credibly make a stand, not even on cultural issues such as the trans nonsense, free speech etc. They are, on those topics, so far as bad as Labour, overall.

I suppose that it might be embarrassing to invite the murderous Israeli regime there; akin to inviting one of the African cannibal dictators of the recent past, such as Bokassa, to a food and drink exhibition.

I suppose that Netanyahu is well-guarded, but so far the only Israeli (ex-) PM to be assassinated (Rabin) was hit by Jewish dissidents, not Arab Palestinians.

The label “far right” (like “right and “left“) is meaningless. Policy is key.

The “Tommy Robinson” crowd are sheep, though they cannot see that. What policies does “Tommy” offer? None, except to —somehow— stop the growth of Islamic or Islamist influence in the UK. Gesture politics, and controlled opposition. Meaningless.

“you read it here first“…

Afternoon music

[old waltz “Sorrow“]
[painting by Konstantin Korovin]
[painting by Volegov]

More tweets seen

There were genuine reasons to favour Con over Lab in, say, 1970, 1974, even 1979 and 1983, though I personally have voted only once, aged —just— 18, in October 1974, and it was not for a System party (my chosen candidate came 4th out of 4 with about 600 votes).

Both major System parties have changed out of all recognition since the 1970s, and are really just corporate facades, indeed to a large extent similar corporate facades, hiding the almost identical core ideologies within.

Oh, I believe that evil woman all right. She will stop the cross-Channel boats, or most of them. She will do it by setting up places in France where 90%+ of those applying for asylum will simply have their applications rubberstamped. They will then get ferries to the UK.

At present ~1M unwanted immigrants are coming to the UK every year, whether “legally” or not. That is the problem, not the rubber boat mob as such.

The other aspect of the problem we face is that there are large numbers of complete idiots who naively (or actively maliciously) prefer to believe that the UK can absorb millions of mostly uneducated, mostly parasitic, often hostile non-white immigrants without any effect on our way of life, culture, or public services. Some of the idiots even prefer to believe that the influx is something positive…

Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.

That Osland person, apparently a freelance scribbler, has posted quite a number of other socially and economically-illiterate tweets, such as, today:

Incredibly (or maybe not, in view of Britain’s ever-sliding educational standards), no less than 109,000 Twitter twits “follow” Osland’s Twitter/X account.

There may be a billion or more non-whites in the world who, in principle, might make out a case for UK residence, either on the basis of asylum (under outdated rules) or otherwise. How many houses do Osland and his fellow-idiots think might be required? 500 million? 200 million? (paid for, incidentally, by the British people). That’s before they start to breed, of course. The whole argument these people put forward is a nonsensical one.

Look at it, making one of “their” characteristic gestures…

As to China being “Putin’s tool“, how ridiculous can Zelly get?

Late music

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Diary Blog, 31 May 2024, including General Election news and comment

21 Comments

Morning music

Election news

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13477879/Only-one-four-voters-Tories-poll-Labour.html

“Rishi Sunak has been given a glimmer of hope as a major new poll by Lord Ashcroft suggests that more than half of voters have yet to definitively make up their minds.

With less than five weeks until the General Election, the research shared exclusively with the Daily Mail found only four in ten have ‘definitely decided’ how to vote.

But in a sign of the mountain the Tories still have to climb, the poll gives Labour a 23 point lead. 

Overall, it puts Labour on a 47 per cent vote share, with the Tories on 24 per cent, and Reform UK on 11 per cent.”

Assuming honesty and relative accuracy of the poll, several points stand out for me.

Firstly, that this poll is not at all the “glimmer of hope” for Sunak and the Cons that the report accompanying it is spinning.

42% have “definitely decided” which way they are going to vote. Looking at recent polling elsewhere, that must greatly favour Labour. As for “...leaning towards a party” but “not definitely sure“, that could apply to any of the parties, but if most end up with Labour, then it is possible that Lab could end up, overall, topping 50%, leaving the Cons with a MP cadre in the single figures.

It might also mean, thinking of my previous speculation on the blog, that there are more people than polls suggest willing to vote Reform UK, if only as a protest, or as a method of giving the time-expired Conservative Party a kicking without having to vote Labour. “Secret” Reform UK voters. Do they even exist? We do not know. I think that they may exist, but in what numbers?

Anything up to 31% of eligible voters may not vote, it seems.

One big unanswered question is how many under-40s and especially under-25s will bother to vote, they being heavily pro-Labour.

On the other hand, the over-70s are the only age demographic more likely to vote Con than Lab. If significant numbers either vote Labour (unlikely) or Reform UK (much more likely) or simply abstain (not unlikely) then Sunak and the Cons really are in trouble.

Other takeaways include the fact (if it is a fact) that only 23% think that Sunak etc can do better than others at “running the economy” (Lab 37%; Don’t Know 39%, tellingly). For a Prime Minister with a banking and financial/business background, and who was, not so long ago, Chancellor of the Exchequer, that is very much a thumbs-down.

The voters’ assessments of the characters of Sunak and Starmer are not so very different.

Sunak is assessed by only 8% as being “up to the job“, while only 12% assess him as even being “competent“. That’s damning. (Starmer’s equivalent ratings were 18% and 21%, scarcely a ringing endorsement, but still far better than Sunak).

Ashford’s poll figures, fed into Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html] suggest a result of Labour MPs 513, Cons 71, LibDems 31, SNP 12, Greens 2, Plaid 3, Reform 0, Northern Irish 18.

Very very bad for the Conservative Party, but not quite existentially so..

On that basis, there would still be a considerable Con bloc of 71 MPs, and the Cons would still be the official Opposition, however ineffective.

My own feeling, whether it be right or wrong, is still that the Cons may be reduced to below 50 MPs, and that the LibDems may exceed that by default (tactical voting), thus making the LibDems the Opposition in the Commons.

If that were to occur, the defeat would be existential for the Cons. No “bright young” (mostly idiot) careerists (think Liz Truss, once upon a time…) would want to join, and big donors would not bother to pump money into funding the Cons. A “death spiral”, as people say.

Election date— Thursday 4 July 2024. Less than 5 weeks to go.

Tweets seen

The American government seems to have lost, if not its mind, then any sense of perspective.

If Country A sells or, even worse, gives Country B arms and ammunition, and especially if that is with the express intent that Country B should attack the territory of Country C, then that is pretty close to being an act of war by Country A against Country C.

Stop this mad slide to a quite possible superpower nuclear war.

It is widely mooted that the combat-ready spearhead numbers no more than 30,000, if that. Maybe as low as 20,000. Plus about 5,000 Royal Marines under naval command. Plus 4,000 Gurkhas. Plus Reserves.

If UK society continues to slide, they may be used to control the situation in the “British” cities more than anything else.

More music

More tweets seen

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biranit]

An impressive show. Is it any more than that?

I do not have enough information to guess accurately at the likely outcome of the U.S. Presidential Election, but peace would be better served were Trump to be re-installed at the White House, no matter what his personal deficiencies.

“I publicly disagreed with the IHRA definition of antisemitism by reference to the arguments of Sir Stephen Sedley (on any view a hugely respected jurist) that it protects Israel from legitimate criticism.

That led to people publishing confidential and dangerously defamatory information about me. And lots more people publishing crude and dehumanising abuse of me. And grotesque accusations of antisemitism about me. And 4 years of litigation where a total wing-nut UK Lawyer for Israel tried to bankrupt me. And a trial where witnesses made untrue or wildly exaggerated statements to try to ruin my reputation.

In the end I won, but my experience confirms Lemoine’s argument. It was awful and exhausting and no doubt intended to be so. Ending people’s careers for agreeing with Lemoine’s reasonable point of view is wrong and dangerous.”

[James Wilson]

Stephen Sedley. I remember him. I appeared in front of him as Counsel sometime around 1994 when he was a High Court judge (he was later a Lord Justice of Appeal). It was a matter involving the Angolan secret service. Sedley had had some previous experience in dealing with Angolan matters: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Sedley#Career. He gave me a very courteous hearing before politely refusing my judicial review application…

“Perhaps there isn’t any such thing as the Israel lobby. Perhaps Israel is the only country on the planet without dedicated lobbyists. Perhaps organisations like We Believe in Israel, the Britain Israel Communications and Research Centre, and both the Labour and Conservative Friends of Israel, simply don’t exist.

Perhaps it’s simply untrue to say that people who are critical of Israel online, or supportive of Palestine, are bombarded by hostile replies from pro-Israel accounts.

Or perhaps, there’s a concerted effort by Israel’s advocates to warp and distort the definition of antisemitism to make it impossible to describe their activities. Was Faiza Shaheen wrong to apologise? I can understand why she did it. But nobody should have to apologise for liking a plain statement of fact.“

“Perhaps I imagined the evidence which clearly showed supporters of Israel working together to get information on me.

Perhaps I imagined them publishing confidential and dangerously defamatory information about me.

Perhaps I imagined lots more people publishing crude and dehumanising abuse of me. Perhaps I imagined the accusations of antisemitism about me.

Perhaps I imagined 4 years of litigation and the total wing-nut UK Lawyer for Israel trying to bankrupt me.

Perhaps I imagined the trial where supporters of Israel gave wildly exaggerated evidence to try to ruin my reputation.

Perhaps I imagined the judgment: https://bailii.org/ew/cases/EWHC/KB/2024/821.html.“

[James Wilson].

One of the unreliable witnesses for the losing defendants in that case was Simon Myerson, a barrister and Recorder (p/t judge). Others (all Zionist Jews) were likewise not given much if any credence by the trial judge.

Laura Towler

I happened to see the announcement below.

https://www.patrioticalternative.org.uk/sam_melia_banned_access_children

It turns out that political prisoner Sam Melia is now being prevented from having access to his children. In fact, his wife cannot even tell him about them when she visits him. Disgraceful. These really are the tactics of a police state.

See also: https://www.givesendgo.com/sammelia

Incidentally, if anyone is in a generous mood, my own fundraiser is still running: https://www.givesendgo.com/GC14J.

More tweets

Ha. Horrible Jewish-lobby puppet. Useless too, it seems.

Late tweets seen

That should be Shai “Masot“, not “Mosat“, and certainly not “MOSSAD”. On the other hand…

Does that Israel-puppet get fed exactly what to say by some Israeli agency? Sounds like it.

This whole situation is mad.

If a nuclear war happens, most of us will not live through it. The only hope will be, in that terrible contingency, that at some later point, after the Wagnerian devastation of Europe, a new society can emerge, on a post-Aryan basis, and then create the basis for a later super-race and super-culture: see https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/26/the-tide-is-coming-in-reflections-on-the-possible-end-of-our-present-civilization-and-what-might-follow/.

Late music

[Germany, 1945: “We are fighting for the future of our children!“]

Alt-Right, Brexit, Conservative Friends of Israel, daily blog, Defence, diary blog, elections, free speech, historical, historical revisionism, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, Rishi Sunak, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, Uncategorized, wildlife

Diary Blog, 23 May 2024, including thoughts about Farage and Reform UK

40 Comments

Afternoon music

Talking point

Tweets seen

Not really. One System party soon to be removed, but another (with basically similar ideology on major issues) replacing it.

Only social-nationalism can save what is left of Britain, but there is no social-national party of the slightest importance in existence.

His handlers will be disappointed in him.

Talking point

More tweets

Tim Montgomerie over-estimates the importance of Farage, as does Matt Goodwin (see Goodwin’s blog posts).

Farage had the chance to become a leading political figure in or around 2014-2019. His oratorical and mass media skills are considerable, and he also has at least some organizational skills. As a politician, however, he is nowhere as effective as he is usually painted.

Farage has let down too many people too many times. UKIP’s failure in 2015 was not the fault of Farage but of the rigged FPTP system of the UK. 12% of the votes should have meant about 70 Commons seats (under proportional representational voting) but (under FPTP) did not.

Later, Farage stabbed his own supporters in the back when he withdrew Brexit Party, pretty much, from the 2019 General Election, thus allowing a “Boris”-idiot win.

Now, Farage has decided to ignore the 2024 General Election, in order to concentrate on helping Trump in the USA!

Farage is “controlled opposition”, as were UKIP and Brexit Party; Reform UK is no different.

I have always said that Farage is —despite his admitted skills— not a very good politician. He himself has failed to be elected anywhere under FPTP, though he was repeatedly elected as an MEP, under the European Parliament’s proportional system: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_history_of_Nigel_Farage. He also came close to being elected in 2015 at South Thanet, but was beaten, by only a couple of points, by Craig Mackinlay, the pro-Brexit Con Party candidate.

Farage pulled back from the brink just at the moment when Brexit Party might have broken through the “three main parties” scam-bubble, in 2019, because he wanted to make sure that the Conservative Party won the GE. That is no real leader. Likewise, he is now running away to the USA because Reform UK looks like not getting anywhere very much (though Matt Goodwin seems to think otherwise).

Farage is, of course, not social-national. More a kind of pseudo-nationalist pseudo-“libertarian”. It was the failure to go social-national that —along with a grossly-unfair electoral system— sank UKIP, Brexit Party and, now, Reform UK (as seems likely to happen).

Farage, in my opinion, is now by no means as important politically as Montgomerie and Goodwin apparently believe.

Tim Montgomerie also over-estimates the Conservative Party. He says that, without Farage leading Reform UK, the misnamed Conservative Party will live to fight another day. Montgomerie underestimates, in my view, the contempt and hatred felt by very many for the Con Party now.

Yes, Sunak is finished, but where does that leave the Con Party? Led by some other non-European such as Suella Braverman or Kemi Badenoch? Puppets of the Jewish lobby and Israel.

Without a Conservative Party with any hope of getting into government for years, or ever, Farage is finished politically as well. After GE 2024, “Reform UK”, and certainly Farage, will be a sideshow of a sideshow.

I do not think that the presence or absence of Farage during GE 2024 will much affect Reform UK’s performance; maybe by a few points, and, yes, that will help the Con Party, but not much. A few points, a few seats.

Despite the very uninteresting and unwanted offering from fake Starmer-Labour, the primary wish of most people now is to give the “Conservatives” a massive kicking. Voting Labour will be the way to do that for most voters, voting LibDem in southern English constituencies may be another way, and voting Reform UK as a kind of “FU!” (to the Conservative Party) is yet another way to do that, without having to vote Labour.

Well, we shall know soon, by about the 5th of July.

More tweets

I disagree only as to the idea that Farage is “needed“. He is not needed.

I remember seeing that drunken loonie in Whitehall (in the street) a couple of years ago, on one of my now-rare visits to London.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Bray.

One can only despise Reform UK. Controlled opposition. Pro-Israel. Pro-Jewish lobby. Pro-finance capitalism.

Having said that, and paradoxically, I hope that Reform UK does well at the General Election, thus helping to eliminate the treasonous “Conservative” Party, and helping thereby to collapse the present rigged “2-3 main parties” system as a whole, albeit at the cost of a Starmer-Labour “elected” dictatorship for a while.

Is that a “you know who”? I am, for once, unsure.

Sounds like an idiot either way. Just the sort you would expect might be running the Civil Service these days…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Case.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sem_Moema.

Ha. Just read that profile. A typical “diversity hire” parasite.

Goodwin is, of course, correct here. Look at the “Conservative” dummy listening to him, though. Like a stunned fish.

A million, more or less, into the UK, every year. The “net” 685,000 are almost all non-Europeans. Once you factor in maybe 200,000+ (real) Brits leaving in the hope of a better life in New Zealand, Australia, Canada etc, that means that, more or less, 900,000 more non-whites are entering the UK and staying here, and breeding here, every single year.

What do you think that Britain will be like by 2034? Or 2044?

Is commonsense breaking out in the Berlin Chancellery? Or Realpolitik, which may in effect be the same, in this case.

What goes around comes around…

The US Government, and American society, were not always occupied and ruled by the Jewish/Israel lobby. It happened gradually, mainly after 1956 and Suez. Even in the 1960s, the (((occupation))) was not complete.

I should say that the level of penetration seen today happened largely just after the Ronald Reagan era. George Bush snr openly proclaimed the New World Order (NWO) in early 1990, signalling an end to the Cold War era as such, and also signalling the beginning of the 33-year (1989-2022) largely unchallenged rule of NWO/ZOG (New World Order/Zionist Occupation Government).

That period is now at an end, and we are in the next 33-year cycle (2022-2055), the last one I shall see in my present incarnation.

Leaving the history behind, it is clear that the US Government (i.e. NWO/ZOG) only accepts international law when it is convenient for the USA (actually, Israel, and the Jewish lobby, not the USA as such) to do so. The USA has been poisoned by the bandit state.

It is very strange how the Israeli Jews seem to feel a compulsion to ape, not the Third Reich as such, but their own distorted image of the Third Reich, comprising only the most negative (supposed) parts of those 12 years in greater Germany (1933-1945).

I suppose it all comes from the upbringing and education (brainwashing) most if not all of them receive when young, then continuing throughout their lives.

Bring ihn an den Zug!

I still think that the Con Party will end up with fewer than 50 seats. I originally thought between 50 and 150, but I just wonder what kind of person now thinks seriously of voting Con, as things stand. Labour may well be rubbish, and no doubt will fail dismally in government, but the bar for dismal has been set very low by the past 14 years of nonsense.

The NHS does it a different way, by employing Africans and others with very questionable qualifications and skills.

Late tweets

The Tide is Coming In: Reflections on the Possible End of Our Present Civilization and What Might Follow

Jewish. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antony_Blinken#Early_life_and_education.

Secretive cabals and ruling circles in the West are actively promoting nuclear war with Russia as some kind of acceptable possibility. All that enormous misery, death, and upheaval, which might destroy most life on Earth, all so that an unpleasant Jew-Zionist regime, the brutal, corrupt and shambolic dictatorship in Kiev, can save itself from being justly crushed? Mad, and evil.

Minsk? The map says Gomel.

A Trump win may be the best chance to avoid a major war in or affecting Europe.

Gaza

“According to US intelligence, only 30 to 35% of Hamas fighters were killed.

US intelligence also reports that thousands of people have joined Hamas over the past few months.”

[information seen]

Israel is creating hate that will last generationally. “They” bury their enemies, but are also, in that way, burying acorns…

Late music

Alt-Right, animal welfare, daily blog, diary blog, elections, free speech, Ian Millard, immigration, Jewish lobby in UK, Labour Friends of Israel, Matt Goodwin, MPs, Party Politics, Russia and Russian relations, society, Starmer, The Great Replacement, Uncategorized, wildlife

Diary Blog, 1 May 2024

17 Comments

Morning music

London started to go that way long ago, in the 1980s. Worse now, of course.

Hard to think of any type of person seriously deciding to vote Con at GE 2024, any type of person except some totally unaware and comfortably-off “senior citizen”, probably at least 80 years old, whose ideas about politics and the world come from such a source as the Daily Express.

I despise and distrust present-day Labour, especially under Starmer and his fellow Israel-puppets, but I feel that the necessity now is to stamp on the Conservative Party so hard that it pretty much ceases to exist.

Labour, as likely “elected” (by default) dictatorship, is a looming danger, but will have to be faced. There might even be some kind of race/culture/socio-economic civil war down the line. Not now, though; later.

Kill off one major System party and it will weaken the System as a whole, because that structure relies on a ping-pong between two large parties effectively under similar control but presenting dissimilar facades to the public.

At least the Conservative Party candidate, Susan Hall, seems to live in some version of the real world, whereas Sadiq Khan is evidently living in some anachronistic “New Labour” bubble of total unreality.

I have not lived or worked in the London area for over 20 years, and have not lived in near-Central London for about 26 years, but just take a look at the Evening Standard, or My London. Almost every day there is a machete attack, or a sword rampage (as yesterday), either by (and usually) black/brown drug gangs or similar hooligans, or (as seems to have been the case yesterday) by some home-grown lunatic. As for less sensational everyday stabbings (often homicides), there are several every single day.

The fact is that London is no longer even a zoo, but more like a wild and uncontrolled jungle.

Sadiq Khan seems to be the only possible victor. The latest YouGov poll has Khan on 47%, with Susan Hall on 25%. I suppose that that accounts for his arrogant refusal to engage on that TV show. He probably only attended as a pseudo-democratic fig-leaf.

Admittedly, Susan Hall seems to be a fairly poor candidate, but Khan has proven that he cannot do the job. Despite that, he will undoubtedly get “elected” again. “Democracy”…

Yes, but all that, including the housing crisis, is downstream of the mass immigration or migration invasion crisis, without which there would be no “housing crisis” (etc).

The “refugees welcome” dimwits, the pro-immigration idiots etc, always say that the “solution” is to “build more houses” on whatever is left of our green and pleasant land. Really? When about a million immigrants of every type are entering the UK every year? When, on the basis of present law, literally hundreds of millions might have a “legal right” to claim asylum here?

Most of Britain’s socio-economic problems either stem from mass immigration, or have a very strong element relating to the enormous influx of mostly non-Europeans to our shores.

More tweets

…and who is “the media“, nine times out of ten? “Them”.

“You Know Who”…

LBC, as blogged previously, is owned (via a network of UK and offshore companies) by a Jew; indeed, by a very pro-Israel Jew. I note that most of the significant personnel, including presenters, are now Jewish; the few who are not (Iain Dale, Nick Ferrari) are mostly and generally pro-Israel.

Ecce the “free mass media” we hear so much about…

“What lies behind these numbers?” Er… just maybe…”reality”?

That, as well as the fact that a very large proportion of teenagers in the UK in 2024 are not really British anyway.

Yes…in the USA you may have, in theory, Constitutionally-“guaranteed” “free speech”, but the theory fails when the facts intrude, i.e. Jewish-Zionist employers sacking people for their social or political views, or Israel-connected organizations making malicious complaints to employers, professional regulators etc.

Late music

[stormy skies over the seafront promenade at Odessa]

Crowdfunder

https://www.givesendgo.com/GC14J