The air force and air defense forces of Belarus and the Russian Federation are put on high combat readiness due to the activation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Missile systems "Polonaise" and "Iskander" were brought into position, President of Belarus Lukashenko pic.twitter.com/3ZWzRUdAlA
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) July 3, 2024
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) July 3, 2024
🇻🇳 Footage from a Vietnamese police training to destroy terrorists and rescue hostages in a building pic.twitter.com/RrOcl7ICT6
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) July 3, 2024
Former economic adviser to Israel's chief of staff, Ram Aminah, said: "Israeli society does not understand the extent of Hezbollah's power" because it has a large stockpile of missiles, he added.
Hezbollah is considered one of the five superpowers along with the United States,… pic.twitter.com/udIWpIVVxF
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) July 3, 2024
“Former economic adviser to Israel’s chief of staff, Ram Aminah, said: “Israeli society does not understand the extent of Hezbollah’s power” because it has a large stockpile of missiles, he added. Hezbollah is considered one of the five superpowers along with the United States, China, Russia and Germany.“
Interesting and unexpected. All the same, Hezbollah is not part of the nuclear club: no Trident, no French force de frappe…
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) July 3, 2024
When they are given power…
The Kiev junta refused to compromise with Moscow:
Ukraine is not ready to compromise with Russia and give up any territory in order to end the conflict – Ermak. pic.twitter.com/Fq9IfoRDi9
— Global Info Factory (@GlobalInfoFact) July 3, 2024
“He who lives by the sword shall die by the sword” [Matthew 26:52]
Extraordinary- Sam Coates saying one member of the govt worried he might win, he just wants to lose 😆 Survation's latest poll puts Tories at just 64 seats. But we need to VOTE pic.twitter.com/eWnPFSqny4
Wonder what that idiot-tweeter will say when real social-nationalism arrives…
Have you any idea how shite the UK is to live in? Have you any idea how long you need to wait for a check up, a hospital bed, a dentist etc? Have you seen the slums and filth being created through lack funding? And you want more of the fucking same???
Incidentally, that Britain Elects poll result, if it is right, would mean a House of Commons with 469 Labour MPs (overall majority 288), 75 LibDems, 56 Con MPs, 15 SNP, 9 Reform UK, 3 Green (etc). https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.
Many will settle for a 20k salary so they avoid paying tax
My view is that it would be better to raise the threshold to at least the £20,000 level, but increase the tax burden of VAT (overall). True, that would hit poorer people disproportionately, but at the same time would put the choice into their hands, in fact into the hands of all consumers. Basic purchases, such as food, or basic foodstuffs, could be charged out at a lower rate or rates, or zero-rated.
Government needs tax monies in order to fund the functions of government.
"The British Conservative party will leave Downing Street after 14 years and 5 incompetent prime ministers who have left Britain poorer and weaker. More than at any time in modern history, Britain has lost the respect of the world", @FrancisGhiles 🔗https://t.co/a2FDKtxJ0cpic.twitter.com/4fEYy8suc3
— CIDOB (Barcelona Centre for International Affairs) (@CidobBarcelona) July 3, 2024
FINAL poll of campaign
Labour 36% Reform 20% Conservatives 16% Lib Dems 10% Greens 9% SNP 4%
That poll, by my use of Electoral Calculus, would result in a House of Commons with 454 Labour MPs (overall majority 258), 74 LibDems, 46 Cons, 34 Reform UK, 15 SNP, 4 Green (etc).
That People Polling opinion poll comes very close to my own (I hope, educated) guess about what might be the result of tomorrow’s General Election. Labour as “elected” (by default) dictatorship, LibDems the official but completely toothless Opposition (again only by default), and Reform UK in a good position to capitalize on what will soon be Labour’s total let-down as a government. Oh, and the SNP put back in its box, probably permanently.
As for the Conservative Party, if not totally wiped out on the day, mortally wounded.
I also tend to agree, as I have been blogging recently. “Shy Reform UK voters”, unwilling to share their tendency with pollsters, may add up to something significant, if they vote at all.
That means a House of Commons with 472 Labour MPs (overall majority 294), LibDems 69, Cons 63, SNP 15, Reform 6, Greens 3 (etc).
Once again, LibDems as official Opposition. About half the polls are predicting that the LibDems will get more MPs than the Cons. I imagine that large donors to the Conservative Party will close their pocketbooks soon. A party not in government and not even the main opposition party has little influence.
1700 hrs now. 17 hours before the polls open for real.
BREAKING – final YouGov polling has Reform on 36% in Great Yarmouth, Labour on 29%. The Tories CANNOT win here. If you want to keep Labour out, then voting Reform tomorrow is the only way. pic.twitter.com/MDwe0OsKdW
This is Frank and he has had a coffee stand at the top of the steps at Bethnal Green tube for as long as I can remember.
When the new restaurant/coffee shop next door opened along with another high street outlet opening across the street, Frank suddenly found that his license… pic.twitter.com/3bgeCMvuxP
“This is Frank and he has had a coffee stand at the top of the steps at Bethnal Green tube for as long as I can remember.
When the new restaurant/coffee shop next door opened along with another high street outlet opening across the street, Frank suddenly found that his license from the council had been revoked and he was chucked off his stand. I believe it was to make way for these new shops to take his regular custom. They didn’t need him in the way of gaining maximum profit… so Frank was gone.
Well the locals were having none of it and a petition started demanding his return. How dare they do this to him. How dare these people smash his business and leave him with nothing.
After a lot of pressure the council backed down and Frank had his licence and pitch returned to him but sadly by that time Frank had sold his equipment to feed his family and try to survive. So the good people of Bethnal Green started crowdfunding and here’s the result… Frank back in business on his old pitch with brand new equipment and even a little hut now to shelter him from the rain… Brilliant!!
He is truly the happiest man in East London and it’s wonderful to see. It really does show that if we all stick together, stand up to them and just say no… the little guy can win. If you’re in Bethnal Green come and have a coffee with this lovely man.“
A nice story, and an illustration on a small scale of what society could be.
Not an area I know (have been there a couple of times, 30-40 years ago), but if I am ever there, admittedly highly unlikely, I’ll take that coffee.
“A man has been convicted of strangling his wife while her online boyfriend was on a video link, and throwing her body hidden in a suitcase into a tributary of the River Thames.
Aminan Rahman, 46, was found guilty by a jury at the Old Bailey of murdering Suma Begum, 24, in a flat in east London on the night of 29 April last year.
The killing was witnessed by Begum’s two children, aged four months and two years, and her online boyfriend via a video call from the United Arab Emirates (UAE), where he was living.“
[The Guardian]
Late tweets seen
Nigel Farage and Reform's average vote share in the final polls is now up to 17.3% — from 11% at the start of the campaign & 15% last week. Most polls suggest a strong end to the campaign for Farage & Co … https://t.co/O3wB4eQNON
‘He was the guy who liberalised immigration. He was the guy who lost control of the borders. He’s the guy who put mass migration on steroids.’@GoodwinMJ rips into Boris Johnson, saying his political influence has almost entirely diminished following his time in office. pic.twitter.com/KwVR8b8V9j
BBC Question Time is a show so biased, and serving a System agenda, that it would not have been out of place in the Soviet Union. Look at what happened to Nick Griffin about 14 years ago. A complete and rigged lynching.
There should be a massive purge of the cultural sector generally.
Labour don't have a serious plan to tackle mass uncontrolled migration.
The 1% of green belt will not be enough if they don't tackle mass uncontrolled migration.
Labour want GDP to grow but GDP per capita will drop & make us all poorer.
Tom Harwood is a horrible little bastard. A typical “knows the price of everything and the value of nothing” careerist.
Yes, they will take “just” 1% of the Green Belt…at first. That covers a year or two of the “need” for new “homes”. A couple of years later, with another 1M+ immigrants to house, guess what? Another 1% (or more) of the Green Belt will be “needed”. And so on…
All that will feed money to housebuilding giants and banks and, down the line, to organizations such as GB News, and to talking heads such as Tom Harwood.
As tweeted there, “Labour” has no, or no effective, plan, because (just like the “Conservatives”) they want more immigration. Evil. Treacherous. Coudenhove-Kalergi puppets.
When your smug, long-winded gotcha question in a BBC audience backfires and leaves you holding nothing but your own backside. pic.twitter.com/o1Ocy3z28K
Ha ha! The face of that silly woman (as seen in the clip) was a picture! Veritas omnia vincit…
In 2013, Obama invented the "97% scientific consensus." This was designed to intimidate good scientists into silence, by implying they weren't qualified to discuss climate. https://t.co/GANjbITcAs
“The consumption of material resources using the photovoltaic technology is at least 64 times that of nuclear energy. For the production of the solar-grade silicon for one square meter of panel area it requires 3.5 kg of concentrated hydrochloric acid. The weight of concrete, steel and chemicals used, such as acids/ bases, etchants, elemental gases, dopants, photolithographic chemicals etc. are never included. PV technology is more than 7 times more labor intensive than other energy sources. They never include disposing of the worn out panels, recycling copper wiring etc. after solar farms have reached end of life. So when they tell you solar makes back the energy used to build and maintain them in X amount of time, they are actually lying to you.”
Interesting, nicht wahr, that all these supposed imperative “needs”, such as concreting over the English countryside to provide “homes” (mostly for migrant-invaders), or creating massive solar farms in the countryside or, indeed, creating fake “vaccines” and the “need” for this, that, or the other anti-“pandemic” equipment and services, always seem to mean massive profit for greedy landowners, farmers, giant companies, the mass media organizations etc?
🚨SEAT PROJECTION: Mid Buckinghamshire
Reform GAIN from Conservatives ➡️|🌳
Reform Party candidate Steph Harwood leads the Conservatives by 1.9%!
GE 2024 may be nailed on for Labour, but there is everything still to play for in respect of Reform UK; also, in terms of really wiping out (or not) the totally useless “Conservative” Party. Still 4 days or so to go before the campaign is at an end. About a fifth of eligible voters are still unsure whether to bother voting, and/or where to place their cross.
If Reform UK only gets about 15% or 16% across the board, then that will be underwhelming, though it should sink the Conservative Party. In that event, Reform would probably get only one or two MPs. If, on the other hand, Reform can get about 23%, then it might end up with 50+ MPs, and the map of British politics will have been irrevocably changed.
Talk TV, one of the Murdoch assets, was one of the few msm outlets to report on my free speech trial sentencing hearing. It managed to get the sentence completely wrong, stating that I had been “jailed“!
That interviewee was right. Talk TV/Talk Radio are indeed “clowns“.
The mass media are under (((control))), just as the entire political system is monitored and controlled. Once even a mild-ish small-c conservative party such as Reform UK starts to become popular with the masses, the control starts to become more heavy-handed. It is pretty blatant.
Credit in part to the BBC and Channel 4 for all their sh!t stirring … 🥴🥴 https://t.co/DhLPDNJ6Ld
What other party could do this in the Britain of 2024? Brexit Party did it, on a smaller scale, but Farage stabbed it in the back. This time, he obviously plans to take it to the end (Election Day).
Like the end of the 1934 Nuremberg rally, but without a proper social-national party, movement, ideology, or leader.
Still, if it destroys at least half of the “two main parties” scam, and moves the “Overton Window” a bit (or a lot), I am relatively happy…
Incidentally, if you do not see the (superficial) parallel to 1934 Nuremberg, see the video below [at/from 1hr 30 mins]
The lion has woken up Vote Reform UK 🇬🇧 We are taking our beautiful Country back pic.twitter.com/HuGLYmrHIF
“With the IFS questioning how Labour and the Tories are going to fund their manifesto pledges, the public are similarly sceptical: % who think each party’s promises are…
Most people realize that “democracy” is largely a sham.
In 2015 I met this Palestinian farmer, Abdel-Majeed, on the West Bank. Israeli settlers were attacking him and stealing his land, and I thought the situation was about as bad as it could get.
No, it has gotten much worse. I revisited him last week, during a week-long trip… pic.twitter.com/304a65x7Qj
“In 2015 I met this Palestinian farmer, Abdel-Majeed, on the West Bank. Israeli settlers were attacking him and stealing his land, and I thought the situation was about as bad as it could get. No, it has gotten much worse.
I revisited him last week, during a week-long trip through Israel and the West Bank, and I found that settlers have burned his cars and destroyed his tractor. They have cut down his olive trees and set his sheep shed on fire. They tried to break into his house when his granddaughter was home. Now his wife is arguing that they should give up their home, for fear of being burned alive by settlers.
This is life on the West Bank today. It doesn’t get as much attention as Gaza, but the situation is desperate. And the US is largely AWOL. I know it feels a long way away, but this is central to the Middle East crisis and is one reason I fear the crisis will get worse.
Speaking to the French people’s intensifying concerns about mass immigration, violence & the breakdown of order Marine Le Pen describes this as the ‘ensauvagement’ (savagification) of French society"https://t.co/wPmLXPgVNq
Wow. Marine Le Pen and National Rally win the first round of elections in France with 34% of the vote. Macron falls to third. Enormous result for Le Pen and national populism https://t.co/qwN7zLY6DY
EXCLUSIVE: We’ve gone undercover inside Nigel Farage’s Reform UK campaign in Clacton and found evidence of anti-migrant rhetoric, homophobia and one canvasser making racist and offensive remarks. As @DarshnaSoni reports. pic.twitter.com/VkhVLczjcw
The System is now getting very worried about the level of support being shown even for Reform UK, a basically small-c conservative-type party. The anti-Reform UK rhetoric is now close to that displayed in the past against more social-national parties such as the BNP and, further back still, the National Front.
The System thinking must be, “if even Reform UK can be so disruptive, how more so would be a credible and genuinely social-national party?“
That anti-Reform UK propaganda is broadcast as Reform UK reaches heights of popular support few thought that it would or could reach.
Some polls are putting Reform UK as high as 20%, and all are putting it well above 15%, the average now being around 17%.
Meanwhile, support for the Conservative Party has dropped to as low as 18%, and may go even lower. I have just yesterday heard admittedly anecdotal evidence that, in my own local area (in coastal Hampshire, and one of the most heavily-Con in England), lifelong Con voters are planning to vote anywhere other than Con or Labour. Many, perhaps most (?), are switching to Reform UK, and some to the LibDems.
I was just looking at my blog from about 8 or 9 months ago. I thought then that Reform UK would get a nationwide popular vote of at least 15% and, at the outside, 20%. Seems that I was right (so far).
Estimates of the number of MPs Reform UK might have by 5 July 2024, i.e. once the votes are counted, range from 1 or 2 to as many as 22. A few Reform UK optimists are doubling or even tripling that. It seems very open, with less than a week to go.
I doubt whether the Channel 4 undercover silliness will change the minds of many people planning to vote Reform UK, as witness the tweets below:
I doubt that more than a few hundred of the voters of Clacton will have even seen the “expose”. In any case, the main person shown was merely a volunteer. It may even be that some people will be more inclined to vote for Reform after having seen the Channel 4 piece. You never know.
There is also the point that postal voting has already taken place. Many of the older and/or disabled British voters, as at Clacton, will by now have voted.
Farage seems nailed-on to win at Clacton, as far as I can see. The Conservative Party candidate has not even been seen (by me anyway) on TV or online, while the young African standing as Labour MP has apparently been redeployed to help another Labour candidate, in the West Midlands, and has thus left the field of battle at Clacton.
I can only suppose that Starmer decided that only the Con candidate had any chance of beating Farage, having scored 72.3% in 2019, so scaled back the Labour effort at Clacton to zero for nakedly tactical reasons.
Also, the fact that Labour deliberately chose an African for its candidate at Clacton, of all places, would be likely to prompt a surge in support for Reform UK. Anyway, he’s gone elsewhere, and will probably not be seen at Clacton until the count on Election Night. I still think that he might lose his deposit.
As blogged previously, while I am not a Reform UK supporter, as such, its existence moves the “Overton Window” a bit, at the very least, and will help to break down the “two main parties” scam.
The public’s view of the mostly System politicians is not favourable. Even Starmer, on the crest of his “popularity by default”, is only viewed favourably by just over a third of voters.
Look at Sunak. Only 19%, the same as the Conservative Party. I begin to wonder whether previously undecided voters will actually start to pile in against the Conservative Party now, or at the last minute, thus reducing the Conservative vote to somewhere below that 19%, maybe as low as 16%. We shall know in 6 days’ time.
I’ve interviewed George Galloway who told me he is a fan of the Latin Mass. He calls it “poetry in motion”. George has met and asked the Pope not to ban it.
“I believe in Jesus with all my heart… Jesus genuinely moves me, drives me”. https://t.co/BgYEBgOVpC
Staggering how unrepentant the Tories are. 14yrs. And everything that’s broken is down to them. They reek of corruption, dishonesty and failure. Yet still so smug, so entitled, so nasty and defiant in the face of their glaring unpopularity. They’re due such an electoral slapping.
I should say “80% that’s broken“, not “everything“. Otherwise, I agree.
Tory MP Philip Davies put a £8k bet on himself to lose. This is what we found when we dug into his and his wife Esther McVey’s finances pic.twitter.com/3HyoNfwcHj
The African will probably get about 4% of the vote, and lose his deposit.
BREAKING: is the key character in the Channel4 undercover “expose” in fact an ACTOR who specialises in what he calls “rough voices”?? @reformparty_uk is urgently investigating
You had MPs sacked for Rape, bribery, corruption, tractor porn & a host of unsavoury actions. Rather than the odd candidate or supporter. Dopey! https://t.co/eupilvgSXK
Gavin Barwell really is an utterly stupid person, yet there he sits in the House of Lords, getting nearly £400 a day (taxfree) any (sitting) day on which he chooses to turn up for 30 minutes and have his name ticked off… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Barwell.
Dover & Deal constituency polling update 📊
The Conservatives have 19.5% and cannot win. A vote for the Tories is a vote for Labour.
— Reform UK Dover and Deal (@doveranddeal) June 27, 2024
Yes. If all Con-leaning or anti-Lab-leaning voters were to vote Reform UK, Reform UK could just about win at Dover; even then it might be very close. One thing is for sure— the Con candidate cannot win.
So Giles Watling is still alive… I had seen and heard nothing from the retired actor since the Clacton campaign started. I assumed that he had fallen into his soup and drowned at the Garrick Club.
Watling has nothing in common with most Clacton voters. Hopeless.
These men died in a war that should never have happened. Arrogant Neocons in the Biden White House sacrificed half a million soldiers in a proxy war they hoped would weaken Russia. It didn’t work. Russia now has more international prestige and a stronger military capacity than… https://t.co/5jIcX76Syu
— Robert F. Kennedy Jr (@RobertKennedyJr) June 27, 2024
The Jew Zelensky thinks that there can be a “peace summit” without Russia’s participation (unless Russia were to effectively surrender). He’s a con-man who has stolen billions.
Talking point
Should make people think.
More tweets seen
Convinced whatever they say it's been deliberate. If labour implode off a large majority then the 2030 great reset and one world government is doing its thing.
I tend to agree, up to a point, with that last tweeter. Yes, the Cons are doomed, but look at what the Labour Party now is! A mixture of Blair-Brown-style fake communitarian rhetoric, “woke” craziness, “Ukraine” (Kiev regime) partisanship, and pro-Israel-ism, combined with pro-Jewish lobby repression of free speech and, in terms of domestic policy, almost indistinguishable in reality from the policies of the Conservative Party.
Incidentally, it is Bicester and Woodstock, a new constituency, not just Woodstock. That may explain the close polling.
Even Reform UK has more support among the under-30s in the UK, especially in England, than many suppose. A real social-national party might be able to capture far more hearts and minds.
This really is stunning. If accurate, it may mean a House of Commons with 483 Labour MPs (overall majority 316), 73 LibDems, 27 Reform UK, and only 22 Con Party MPs (SNP 18, Green 4 etc). https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.
It would mean the LibDems as official Opposition, and Reform UK with several more MPs (27 in toto) than the rump of the old Conservative Party (22), which would not be the Opposition, not even third party, but a poor fourth. Finished. Washed-up.
I have yet to meet, in the past month or even longer, even one person who expresses an intention to vote Con. There may be some people I meet who intend to vote Con without my knowing it, of course; I meet relatively few people, and rarely talk directly about politics with most of those that I do meet. All the same…
In fact, and by my use of Electoral Calculus, it may be that, were Reform UK to poll at 24%, only 3 points higher than in this latest poll, Reform could edge the LibDems out of second place, which would mean Reform UK as the official Opposition, and Farage as Leader of the Opposition! Were that to happen, I should have to eat my words of a year or two ago (dismissing him as not such an effective politician despite his oratorical and mass media skills).
“Brutal” is the word. Whatever one may think of Trump and his overall fitness for office, it is clear that Biden should now go into retirement.
The world has rarely if ever been in such multiform peril. The state with, by far, the greatest military-destructive power on Earth, is a “colossus on legs of straw”, and cannot, at this time, be commanded, even notionally, by someone not in command of his own faculties.
“The Labour parliamentary candidate for Poole, Neil Duncan-Jordan, said he and others have been targeted with ’disgusting and disrespectful’ comments.
He said he had been called a ‘white traitor’ and told that ‘Adolf Hitler had the right idea’.
Mr Duncan-Jordan has called on his counterparts in the election to distance themselves from antisemitism, racism and hate crime following a number of incidents he and his supporters have faced.
Mr Duncan-Jordan said: “In the last few days there have been three separate incidents that have caused me concern. I’ve been called a ‘white traitor’, one of my supporters was spat at and I was told that “Adolf Hitler had the right idea.”
“I think it’s important that all candidates in this election come out clearly and say that antisemitism, racism and fascist views have absolutely no place in modern Britain.
“Spitting at someone because you don’t like their political views is disgusting and disrespectful. We cannot allow this kind of behaviour to become the acceptable norm.”
The candidate has reported the incidents to the police.“
[Bournemouth Echo]
Well, while I would never condone spitting at (or for that matter, throwing milkshakes over) people (as a Labour supporter did to Farage recently), if a candidate wants to knock on people’s doors to engage them in political debate, he must expect some of his “victims” to cut up rough, bearing in mind what the System parties have been doing to this country.
God knows what, in the course of time, will be the karmic, including group-karmic, consequences of everything that has happened in and around Gaza in the past 9 months, or indeed the past 77 years.
Spot on. The so called Reform candidate is an actor hired by Channel 4 to try and discredit the Reform Party. Channel 4 should be charged with electoral interference
— lieutenant Colonel Kojak Slaphead The 3rd (@Scarfer13) June 28, 2024
The whole of the System msm is rotten.
A constituency with that kind of history would be a great one to flip to make the message clear that we don't want any more of what these charlatans are selling (or their blatant, in your face, corruption)
“Rishi Sunak‘s chief of staff has been interviewed as a witness by the gambling regulator as part of the row over alleged bets on the timing of the general election, it has emerged.
Liam Booth-Smith is reported to have spoken to the Gambling Commission last week to help the watchdog understand who may have known when polling day would be.
Sources stressed to the BBC that the PM’s top adviser – dubbed the ‘Treasury Travolta’ during Mr Sunak’s time as Chancellor due to his fondness for leather jackets – is not a suspect in the regulator’s investigation and had not placed a bet himself.“
[Daily Mail]
Can you believe it, even today, as the UK goes into a tailspin? The Chief of Staff of the UK Prime Minister— and look at the bastard!
“Liam Booth-Smith (born 1987) is a British political adviser who has served as the Downing Street Chief of Staff since October 2022. He previously served as de facto chief of staff to then-chancellorRishi Sunak as head of the Joint Economic Unit.
I know that I often expostulate in this vein, but this country really is ****** on so many levels…
[Update, 16 January 2026: Liam Booth-Smith must have been born under a lucky star— he was elevated to the House of Lords by Sunak, in his 2024 Resignation Honours List, so now gets about £400 a day taxfree just for rolling up, for as brief a time as half an hour, any sitting day, i.e. about 200 per year. About £80,000 a year taxfree, for not necessarily doing anything at all. He also makes a great deal more via his salary, bonuses etc as executive of an AI company. As a John le Carre character called this country, “the pigs in clover society“…]
More tweets
The National Front turned out to be optimists
— Sally-Anna King – Misinformation reporter (@sallyanna25) June 28, 2024
In the 1970s, Britain still had many avenues open to it. Now, it is as if (?) we are painted into a corner, with almost nowhere to turn.
"Why would we want to conservative any of this?" One Zoomer wrote for me recently on why they are planning to back Reform over the big parties. I've made it open access in case it's of interesthttps://t.co/QgmeqpQirE
Only 21% of Brits think a Labour government will make the economy stronger. I'm telling you now -this will quickly be a very, very unpopular governmenthttps://t.co/8jAhHg8gbr
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 28, 2024
When I stayed for three weeks with a French couple, in Paris, in 1971 (at age 14), I was taken once by car through an area my host referred to as the “quartier arabe“. Now it seems that much of Paris is the “quartier africaine“…
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 28, 2024
🔥“In #Israel we have this big surveillance lab called the occupied territories where there are 2.5 million guinea pigs that shows how to completely monitor and control a population with very few soldiers.” #Harari, Davos 2020#GazaGenocide2024 pic.twitter.com/azQOMB0iTd
Keir Starmer says Labour will "end the culture war". This is not true. Labour will mainstream a divisive identity politics, gender ideology, critical race theory, & maintain mass migration. Subscribers already have the detailhttps://t.co/ohKIsJJDk9
Stand by for Starmer’s fake Labour “elected” dictatorship…
Housing now entering the election debate. Here's the key fact. We build 189,000 homes a year, below 300,000 target. But guess what. We need to build 515,000 just to keep up with the demand from mass immigration. I doubt you'll hear that today.https://t.co/pWTmH3Gnnm
Quite right. All sorts of people (often “you know who”…), such as Jonathan Portes, all terribly clever (in their own minds) will be saying, and have for years been saying, that the importation of a million (more or less) unwanted immigrants every year has little or no effect on housing demand. Hardy ha ha…
That useless and half-crazed ex-MP and Cabinet minister (incredibly), Sajid Javid, said something similar years ago, I think.
The “4 million” there should now be replaced by at least 10 million; soon 15 million and 20 million.
Ha. So the little Indian money-juggler “promises” to halve net migration? (“net” includes the 200,000-300,000, mainly real Brits, who leave every year for Australasia etc).
So “only” half a million blacks and browns etc (or more) will be coming in every year?
Oh…that’s not too bad…oh, no, wait a minute…
Sunak and Starmer get police protection – Nigel Farage has to pay for his own. Increasingly obvious that situation needs to change for the leader of the UK's 3rd most popular political party. @reformparty_uk
I have blogged previously about how, to my mind, Farage’s close protection squad seems not very effective. So far, it has been milkshakes and the like, but that may escalate to serious weapons such as knives. He needs to revamp his security to prevent that. The way the UK is going, nothing can be ruled out.
🚨 NEW: Reform UK candidate Ian Gribbin has now apologised
"I apologise for these old comments and withdraw them unreservedly and the upset that they have caused"
"I myself are upset at the way these comments were taken out of context especially when my mother was the… https://t.co/DSH07tAXPk
That Reform UK candidate was right in his original comments. Britain should never have declared war on the German Reich, and was not under attack at the time. In fact, the first British soldier was killed on 9 December 1939, over 3 months after war was declared, having stepped on a French landmine: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Priday.
In 1940, Germany made a number of peace proposals, both before and after Dunkirk, all of which were ignored. Hitler even ordered a halt to the German infantry and armour advance on Dunkirk, which allowed that very large large evacuation to occur.
Hitler wanted peace and, if possible, collaboration, with the British Empire. He wanted the two empires to rule most of the world together, or in parallel, opposing both Sovietism and Americanism.
Had peace or at least armistice been declared in 1940 or at the time of the flight of Rudolf Hess in 1941, most of the devastation of Western and Central Europe, including in the UK and Germany, would never have happened.
That peace would also have meant no Cold War, no Korean War, probably no Vietnam War (etc), no “Israel” and therefore no Middle East wars (because the Middle East would have been mainly under British and French control). It would have meant far less environmental degradation in Africa and Asia, and far less civil conflict on those continents.
Had such peace “broken out”, Sovietism would not have encroached upon Eastern and Central Europe, as it did after 1945. The whole of Europe and the world would have been in a better place.
Wow an actual patriot who understands history, how awful!
The British Empire might still exist and our race wouldn't be getting institutionally genocided, horrifying!
At least one tweeter who has seen through the propaganda (((lies))).
The mainstream historical consensus is that Hitler did in fact want an alliance with Britain, and viewed German attempts at naval competition with Britain prior to WWI as a key strategic error which he tried to avoid repeating.https://t.co/Co2ZSn7Mxa
That candidate would be correct, Adolf Hitler wanted nothing but peace with the British and the French. His aim was always to go East and destroy Judeo-Bolshevism, once and for all. Without Hitler beating the Soviets to the punch, all of Europe would have been speaking Russian
The above shows opinion polling re. the safe (?) Con seat of Tatton, presently occupied (or rather, formerly occupied, until 2024 Dissolution) by ridiculous deadhead Esther McVey. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Esther_McVey.
It can be seen from the graphic that Esther McVey is pressed closely by the Labour candidate, who is within a point or so of catching her. Also, that the LibDem is on about 12%, and has no chance of actual election.
Were the LibDem-intending voters to vote for Labour, Esther McVey would be turfed out; but will enough of them be sufficiently motivated to do that? Open question.
How does someone with so little intelligence become a Cabinet Minister? Still, look at his predecessors at the DWP, among them Esther McVey and Iain Dunce Duncan Smith…
So the self employed are going to get their state pension for free. That won’t go down very well. Absolutely crackers. https://t.co/3dNS5zrKHi
“Labour”, as I have repeatedly blogged, will indeed “stop the small boats”, and will do it by having some kind of mainland Europe “processing”, i.e. rubberstamping the applications of 90%+ of those wanting to come here. Maybe even 99%.
— Global Info Factory (@GlobalInfoFact) June 11, 2024
Crazy. The link between Jew-Zionism and mental instability is very obvious, and that also applies, very often, to non-Jewish “antifascist” types. See my (I think interesting, and also rather groundbreaking) study about all that: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/07/18/theyre-coming-to-take-me-away-ha-ha/ [constantly updated].
🇮🇱 Israel states that “there are no innocent civilians in Gaza.”
🇺🇳 A UN report last month said that of the 24,686 identified deaths in Gaza, 52% were women and children, 40% were men and 8% were “elderly.” pic.twitter.com/EdIUqUlcqn
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 11, 2024
— Mad Dogs & Englishmen.MBE. 🏴🇬🇧 (@strum_joe) January 18, 2024
Well worth reposting, even 5+ years on.
Of course the rescue of hostages is good news. However, the calculated slaughter of civilians (who don’t choose to be human shields), by the IDF is an utter disgrace and a war crime.
— Fr Ian Maher SCP🇺🇦🏴🇪🇺🐝#RejoinEU (@IanMaher7) June 8, 2024
On 16 January 2016, Fraser announced his engagement to Lynn Tandler, an Israeli Jew,[23] who is a weaver and academic researcher.[24] They were married on 13 February 2016.[2][non-primary source needed] Their son was born in November of the same year.[25]“
“Both my Jewish children have been circumcised. They are being brought up in a bilingual family – where Hebrew is spoken at home, despite my struggling with it. My two year old chats with his grandmother on the phone most days in broken Hebrew. Both are being regularly taken to Israel. The Rabbi of the schul in Golders Green – where my father’s family (all Jewish) were seat-holders – has been extremely welcoming...”
I recall seeing the Australian TV series Skippy the Bush Kangaroo a few times after my family moved to Sydney in 1967 (I was 10 at the time). The show was on TV from early 1968.
TV shows and films such as Skippy may seem like sentimental rubbish to some people, and to some extent they may be, but there are innumerable examples of the intelligence and capabilities of our animal friends. Some such stories become famous, others are either unknown or are known only to the few people directly involved.
Interesting. I have been to Famagusta (now in Turkish-ruled Northern Cyprus), but some years ago, in fact many years ago— January 2000. I did not see the ruins of the Varosha resort, though. That is a mile south of the main town, I think.
When I drove to Famagusta (from Kyrenia), the ruins of its ancient heritage were deserted. My then girlfriend and I were alone there. There were not even any people selling postcards or the like. Even the more modern parts of the town were far from busy. That was 24 years ago, though. Things change, of course. I think that there has been quite a lot of development in some areas.
I rather liked Northern Cyprus. Relaxed and, in 2000 at least, with relatively few tourists, and really none once you left Kyrenia (officially, now, Girne). A little cold at night (in January) but warm-ish during the day, usually, and with numerous interesting ancient sites (which one shared with no other people at all) set amid orange groves. I even had a rather bracing swim off a deserted beach, but it was no colder in the water than it is in the UK in summer, and the sun was shining.
I drove one day from Kyrenia right the way down the Karpas Peninsula [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karpas_Peninsula] to the eastern end. At that point, you are only 60 miles across the Eastern Mediterranean from Latakia in Syria.
“In a straw poll of veterans, Farage’s campaign message seemed to be getting through.
Jason Stewart was in a green beret and a biker jacket studded with medals; after a long career in the Royal Marines, he “thought it was time to get out after I was blown up twice in one day in Afghanistan”.
He offers a version of an argument heard all day. “The two main parties look both the same to me,” he says. “The Tories don’t care about us. And Labour say they will reopen prosecutions of soldiers who served [in the Troubles] so that’s a no-no. Farage and Reform seem like the only option.”
Up the road, meanwhile, opposite McDonald’s, there was an alternative display of army jeeps and vehicles alongside veterans in fatigues. The display was organised by David Bye and his partner, Linda Hazelton, who run a charity delivering homemade pie and mash to needy veterans around the town. Bye had a one-to-one chat with Farage when he visited and claims he was given certain commitments, which will remain between them.
He grew up here; he remembers earning pocket money as a kid running tourist luggage down busy streets to Butlin’s. It’s been a long decline, he says, since the holiday camp went. “I thought I’d seen it all,” he says. “But the other morning I saw a long queue of blokes on bikes waiting for McDonald’s to open. They were collecting takeaways for people who couldn’t be bothered to make breakfast for their kids.
“I don’t know where you start with some of that,” he suggests. “But I think Nigel gets it.
The place holds symbolic relevance to Farage. Exactly a decade ago, under his Ukip brand, a meeting here paved the way for that party’s only Westminster election success, for Douglas Carswell. If you were to define the moment that Brexit became a possibility, and then a reality, you might begin there. Nine hundred people showed up, many of whom had not previously taken any interest in national politics. In the course of their populist pitch, Carswell and Farage quoted liberally from a Times newspaper column the previous week written by Matthew Parris.
Looking back at that column a decade on, you can see in it all the faultlines that were exposed and exploited so cynically by Farage and Brexit, the roots of the crisis that threatens to destroy the Conservative party in this election (a humiliation from which Farage, inevitably, hopes to benefit).
Parris, in his waspish style, on a visit to Clacton in 2014, had declared its irrelevance to modern Conservatism: “This is tracksuit-and-trainers Britain, tattoo-parlour Britain, all-our-yesterdays Britain,” he wrote. He asked his party a question which would now get a very different answer: “Is this where the Conservative party wants to be? [Or] do we need to be with the Britain that can admire immigrants and want them with us, that doesn’t want to spend its days buying scratchcards?”
Parris insisted that he was not “arguing that we should be careless of the needs of struggling people and places such as Clacton. But I am arguing – if I am honest – that we should be careless of their opinions.
Farage could not have scripted a better scene for himself than the spectacle of a Tory prime minister leaving the D-day celebrations early. Tragically, as this week is proving, the forces that made his bleak and divisive message relevant in 2014 have not gone away, and in the weeks to come you suspect that Westminster political parties will still ignore Clacton at their peril.”
[The Guardian].
Not once does the full article mention the fact that the person presently posing as PM is “unelected” (at least, unvalidated by a General Election) and a little Indian money-juggler; but there you are…”The Guardian”…
Interesting, though, all the same. I think that Farage has every chance of being elected at Clacton. The only reason that the Conservative Party candidate Giles Watling (MP since 2017, a long-retired actor, and a member of the Garrick Club, who lives at Frinton, the more expensive part of the constituency) got over 70% of the vote in 2019 is because his political stance is akin to that of UKIP/Brexit Party/Reform UK anyway.
Watling came second, behind ex-Conservative Douglas Carswell (for UKIP) both at the 2014 by-election and the 2015 General Election, and only won in 2017 because Carswell stood down. Having said that, Watling did get 36.7% in 2015, only about 8 points behind Carswell.
While the election at Clacton might yet be close, Farage has every chance now. Labour and other parties are spectators at Clacton. Labour’s best was 25.4% (in 2017, when the Cons got over 60%).
Interestingly, that 2017 Labour candidate, Natasha Osben, is now, in 2024, the Green Party candidate. Starmer is really not very popular even within the Labour —or recently Labour— ranks.
Will Labour voters vote tactically? If so, for Reform UK or for the Conservative Party? My money is on Reform UK.
“Alarmingly for Conservative HQ, many polling experts believe the conditions are ripe for a repeat of 1997, when tactical voting benefited Labour and the Lib Dems and cost the Tories dozens of seats, most notably the toppling of Michael Portillo in Enfield Southgate. This time, Shapps is among the big beasts who could suffer their own polling night infamy.
Tactical efforts came to little at the last election. Hopes among pro-Remain campaigners of an anti-Brexit tactical vote were dashed as Boris Johnson won an 80-strong majority. But conditions have changed. Peter Kellner, the veteran pollster, wrote in the Observer before the 1997 election that while he detected little “positive enthusiasm” for Labour, an electorate with “a burning desire to end 18 years of Tory rule” made for receptive tactical voting conditions. He believes similar ingredients are present today.
While the net effects of tactical voting are hard to calculate, the Liberal Democrats could gain 10-20 extra seats through anti-Conservative tactical voting, according to an analysis by the Electoral Calculus consultancy. Meanwhile, with the added help of Nigel Farage and Reform UK, the tactical dynamic could push Labour closer in another swathe of previously safe Tory seats.“
“Writing in the Observer, Rob Ford, a leading expert on voting intention and trends, says the evidence from polls shows that “an electoral asteroid is streaking through the atmosphere” and is heading for the Tory heartlands. Ford no longer thinks it impossible that the Conservatives could end up with less than 100 seats, so badly is their campaign misfiring and so much trust have they lost over 14 years and the tenures of five prime ministers.
Other polling experts say that such is the geographical spread of the Tory vote, and the brutal nature of the first past the post system, that once their vote drops into the low 20% region, the number of seats could fall into double digits – and could go as low as 20.“
[Observer/Guardian]
I have speculated for quite a while that the Con vote might go low enough nationwide to leave the Cons with as few as 50 MPs. Perhaps I was right (I sometimes am…).
More tweets
Amber Rudd has some front when she says @Nigel_Farage could not deliver. The Uniparty are experts at not delivering on their promises. Remember immigration down to the 10s of thousands, Brexit means Brexit etc? Labour will just manage the decline even worse #bbclaurak
Entitled self-seeking political hog Emily Thornberry, who only became “Labour” in the first place after her highly-paid UN-working father deserted her and her mother, abandoning his wife and daughter, and resulting in their having to relocate to a council house. She is motivated by malice and early spite and/or envy.
Emily Thornberry and her husband (a retired High Court judge) are buy-to-let parasites, incidentally; I believe that I read that they own, or used to own, at least 8 buy-to-let properties. Pro-Israel, too.
[Emily Thornberry and husband with the then Israeli Ambassador to the UK, Mark Regev, at a Zionist banquet in London]
The Conservative Party now deserves to be not only removed from government, and preferably entirely wiped out, but do not imagine that fake “Labour” will be much if at all better. Look at its leaders and major influencers: Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall. All members of Labour Friends of Israel. All self-seeking moneygrubbers too.
David Lammy, that ignorant creature, as well.
That thick creature might be Foreign Secretary soon. Poor Britain…
Another Labour Friends of Israel member.
Lady Nugee aka Emily Thornberry with a property portfolio in excess of £4million who sent her children to a partially selective school and who is a former human rights lawyer speaks for the people.
I can’t stand Emily Thornberry. She’s Champagne Socialist delusional. She got own four properties how wealthy she is. She lives in an Islington townhouse worth roughly £2.9million and owns a £600,000 flat in Guildford. She also bought a property in Clerkenwell for £572,000.
Emily Thornberry slightly reminds me of Mrs Mossberg, a fat, short and jolly Jewish primary school teacher, usually —in my memory— dressed in a long dark-brown mink coat; I knew her circa 1962, when about 5 or 6 years old and a pupil at Caversham Primary School near Reading. Mrs Mossberg, though, was far more pleasant than Emily Thornberry seems to be.
In retrospect, I wonder why Mrs Mossberg ever bothered to be a teacher, which I doubt paid much. She lived not far from my family, a few roads away, in a large detached house. The main reception room, which I saw at least once, seemed enormous to the 5-y-o me, and it had a large grand piano in it. Maybe she just enjoyed teaching.
The last tweeter says that Emily Thornberry owns 4 properties; I thought I read 8 somewhere.
NEW POST. The Tory elite class is completely lost. What the reaction to Nigel Farage and the rise of Reform tells us about our out-of-touch eliteshttps://t.co/pnbLrAmJvy
“Elite“, though, seems the wrong word to describe that bunch of clowns.
This is a superb piece of analysis – the truth is Tory liberalism both social and economic has failed and failed utterly – what none of the Tory pundit class have confronted is the abject failure of their economic model – from Osborne to Hunt it has been a calamity https://t.co/GE7v1VSbNk
This is what this Israeli soldier wrote in a video of himself breaking plates received from the house he occupied in the Gaza Strip. pic.twitter.com/DmnZKK6z28
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 9, 2024
Well, I cannot read Hebrew, and there is no translation, so I have no idea what the untermensch may have written in relation to his vandalism of that family’s house.
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 9, 2024
From what little one hears or reads, some of the chiefs or former chiefs of Israeli Intelligence (MOSSAD, Shin Beth, Aman etc) are also not optimistic about Israel’s long-term or even medium-term survival.
The Tory elite class should spend less time attacking Nigel Farage and more time reflecting on how they created him by wrecking the country. Now open to all 👇👇 https://t.co/NYMHLINPeW
“Conservatives face election wipeout with Labour set to gain a 416 majority that could see Rishi Sunak LOSING his seat and the Tories being left with just 39 MPs, shock Mail on Sunday poll reveals.”
[Daily Mail]
If that turns out to be correct on 4 July 2024, I will have been proven correct, and the “experts” and “specialists” (who have been saying 100-200 Con MPs left post-GE 2024) would be wrong (again)…
Also true, arguably. About the same, I should say.
Clacton is currently polling Reform at 33%, tories on 30% ans labour 25%. Everywhere else, reform are averaging about 17% with either labour or tories on over 30%
The first tweet confirms what I have been blogging re. Clacton. It is between Reform UK (Farage) and the Cons (Giles Watling). Labour has no chance at all, but Labour voters in Clacton can be the kingmakers. Their votes can swing it, either for Reform or for the Cons.
Even if the second tweet is accurate, and it may not be, voters can still give the Cons a mighty and historic kick by voting Reform UK and thus preventing the Conservative Party from thriving, or even surviving.
The very fact that such a grassroots campaign is even necessary shows how sick society has become.
He was so in denial, so dismissive and unprepared for being challenged on the most basic questions on his behaviour the past 4/5 years. Really depressing , and I feel quite sad for him.
Refers to Robert Largan, the Israel-puppet and Jewish-lobby puppet who is desperately trying to keep his Commons seat at High Peak (Derbyshire), with its good pay and better expenses and perks, but he really has no chance. Make him get a real job.
High Peak voters should vote either Reform UK or Labour to get rid of Largan.
Talking point
Late tweets
Nigel Farage's Reform Party SURGES — Tories in CRISIS. 75K clicks in 8 hours. Subscribe to our YouTube for content throughout election https://t.co/MBJSyft5fl
Richard Holden, who strikes me as a rather unpleasant little opportunist, even by the standards of the Westminster monkeyhouse. Conservative Party candidate at Basildon and Billericay. I hope that the voters there vote Reform or Labour. Keep him out.
[“Billericay Dickie”]
I see Aditya has been unlucky and has come across X’s favourite wing-nut Zionist judge Simon Myerson.
He’s the one who got bollocked by the Lord Chancellor for his tweets and was found by a judge to have shared Nazi-style abuse on twitter.
God. Myerson again. When is the Judicial Standards Investigations Office at least going to stop this obsessive from sitting in judgment over others? The Bar Standards Board might like to take a look too.
As data on public understanding of WWII reveal, large parts of UK public live in an imaginary historical world. Check out Chartbook Top Links for provocative takes on our weird world! https://t.co/HTLH1tGmOcpic.twitter.com/BhDdA6M4wr
…and few indeed of the British public are aware of the fact that the declaration of war by Britain on the German Reich in 1939 was not only totally unnecessary but led to immense unnecessary bloodshed and misery, and to negative consequences from which the world is still suffering.
2.) War with Russia on the Horizon
President Macron has been the most vocal person in Europe about sending NATO troops to Ukraine
He is actively sending weapons to Ukraine, and there are unverified reports of French Foreign Legion troops inside of Ukraine currently
Iran threatens Israel if war starts with Hezbollah
🔻 Iranian Foreign Minister Bagheri Qani, in an interview with CNN Turk, warned Israel against war against Lebanon and said what support Iran would provide in the event of a war in the north.
Invaders enter Tesco and fill bags with hundreds of pounds worth of alcohol, security just stand watching, even moving out the way so they can walk out!
Our government have allowed the scum of the world to enter our country.
— Tommy Robinson 🇬🇧 (@TRobinsonNewEra) June 5, 2024
He has a point, albeit a very obvious point, and that is so even if “Robinson” is basically “controlled opposition”.
In the end, civilization is created and maintained by iron necessities. It rests easy on the bones of the vanquished. If chaos and evil prevail, the opposite happens; in that case, culture and civilization and everything decent disappears, untermenschen scrabble around atop the ruins of once-great cities, and tread on the bones of those who were civilized and cultured, but just too tolerant of decadence and evil.
Hi @Tesco why are you selling carrots grown by settlers on stolen Palestinian land? Do you know how many people will start boycotting you if you don’t stop doing this? pic.twitter.com/upZenZClxf
This is a macroscopic view of Normandy's beach sands.
About 4% of it, is magnetic shrapnel that has been broken down over the decades into sand-sized chunks, coming from the fierce fighting on D-Day, 80 years ago #Today.#DDaypic.twitter.com/dBea8USbie
“Former Tory voters in Clacton have been switching to Reform UK over Nigel Farage’s stance on immigration.
GB News ventured up to the coastal constituency to get a feel on the ground ahead of Farage’s launch near Clacton Pier.
Immigration was the main issue raised by residents, with the cost-of-living crisis and net zero also salient issues.
Speaking hours before Farage’s arrival, Andrew Humphries told GB News: “Immigration is a massive thing, especially how it impacts on the rest of society.
“I’ve been waiting for a couple of years now for housing. My family has been here for 40 years and I’ve seen the decline of the town.
“You’ve got to help your own first before you look out for others.”
Humphries, who described himself as typically a non-voter, claimed there is a “good chance” Farage will win and argued the two-party system is broken.
Steve Schaffer, who moved to Clacton in 1957, explained his support for Farage.
“This is only a small country,” he claimed. “We’re struggling. We can’t build enough homes. The schools and hospitals are full. It’s reaching bursting point. We’ve got to stop it or slow it down somehow.”
Despite witnessing a dip immediately after the 2016 referendum, the salience of immigration has soared in recent years.
Immigration and asylum is the third most important issue in the minds of Britons, analysis by YouGov has shown.
Rozerin Altin, who was just 18, added: “I’m the oldest of six girls. I don’t want little boys going into girls’ changing rooms. I care about women’s rights. If you care about that then you should vote for Reform UK.“
[GB News]
Immigration generally should be the first and most important issue. The other important matters —economy, pay, State benefits, housing, NHS, public services, educational standards etc— are all affected, hugely, by the migration invasion.
People (including some “experts” etc) were saying until very recently that polling numbers for Con and Lab would converge, as they always have done. Mechanistic, formulaic thinking.
I have disagreed. I still disagree. For me, the main thing is that almost everyone, barring about (?) 10%-20%, most of whom are elderly lifelong Con voters now in their 80s and 90s, has realized that the Sunak/Liz Truss/Boris-idiot/Theresa May/Cameron-Levita Con governments have run the UK into the ground, and have been actually totally useless.
It has been clear to me for quite some time that, barring those ingrained and very elderly Con loyalists (or lifelong habit-voters), almost no-one is going to vote “Conservative” in the upcoming election. Maybe 20%, maybe 15%, or even as low as 10% nationwide. My guess would be about 18%.
The polls are still moving: the Cons are still descending. Labour has slid somewhat from its (?) 49% high to around 40%. The uninspiring prospect of Israel-puppets Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall etc fails to excite many voters, but I doubt whether Labour’s overall vote will be below, or much below, 40% in the end. I am thinking 40% or 42%.
The polling statistics seem clear: Labour beats Con on almost all topics, from economy and NHS through to “best PM” and even immigration. That means that, where there is a straight fight between a Labour candidate and a Conservative Party one, Lab will usually beat Con.
The joker in the pack is Reform UK. The difference in 2024 as compared to UKIP in 2015 and Brexit Party in 2019 is not really in the policy “offering”; that is all but identical. So is the leadership (Farage, mainly). The difference lies in the context.
In 2015, UKIP failed only because it was cheated by the rigged FPTP voting system. 12%+ of the popular vote, yet no seats won. That, and because the full horror of the mass migration invasion was still not understood, in its effects, by enough people.
In 2019, Farage stabbed Brexit Party in the back to help the Con Party achieve its faked “landslide” (43.6% popular vote, about one point above Labour’s “landslide of 1997).
Today, in 2024, things have moved on. Brexit was deliberately mishandled and has been negative in its consequences for that reason.
The immigration tsunami has brought in, quite literally, millions (more) of unwanted non-Europeans since 2015.
We see the “unelected” little Indian money-juggler, Sunak, throwing taxpayer money at both Israel and “Ukraine” (the brutal and dictatorial Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev).
Another aspect is the extent to which UK society has fallen apart since 2015, and especially since the 2020-2022 “panicdemic” or “scamdemic”.
Potholed and unrepaired roads have become “totemic” of it. NHS failings. The continuing migration invasion, of which the “small boats” crossing the Channel (in reality, ferried across by Royal Navy, RNLI, Border “Farce” etc) comprise only about 5% of all immigration. The slow collapse of law and order. The increasing overall cost of living.
Reform UK is still a bit of a one-trick-pony, both in policy and personnel, but it has at least a chance now of getting a handful of MPs.
More importantly, a high popular vote for Reform UK will hole this rotten misgovernment below the waterline, and that is exactly why many (including former Con voters) will vote for it.
In fact, were Labour supporters and LibDem supporters, in seats where either Labour or LibDems have no chance, to vote tactically for the party best placed to beat the Con candidate, or for Reform UK, the Cons might be left with an MP cadre in the single figures.
Well, not long to go now. Exactly 4 weeks (28 days) from today.
More tweets
In April, Türkiye became the world's largest buyer of gold with 8 tons of the precious metal purchased
In 2008/2009, I wrote and published a restricted-distribution geopolitical study which, inter alia, featured the very important central position of Turkey.
Turkey has various problems, but it also has several strengths. A huge supply of water, firstly. That is very important now. Another asset is the fact that Turkey is a fairly large net food exporting state. That may sound underwhelming, but it means that, if push comes to shove, Turkey can feed itself. A large and efficient military force, too.
Turkey is now moving towards a neutral position, despite its NATO membership.
A family in Gaza during a farewell to the martyrs of the Nusayrat massacre at Al-Aqsa Hospital in the central Gaza Strip. pic.twitter.com/JkoaQt1CQL
Russian President Vladimir Putin: Israel's response to the Hamas attack does not look like war, but rather the wholesale destruction of the population in Gaza. pic.twitter.com/Y5IxOuaL4j
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir:
We need to completely stop humanitarian aid in Gaza.
There are things that we have not done yet, for example, we turned off the gas and said: “there will be no more humanitarian aid.” Let's wait a month or two and then we'll… pic.twitter.com/TJfHM0iPtn
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
Another “Israeli” war criminal.
This night the intensity of bombing of Lebanon by the Israeli Air Force and IDF artillery increased sharply It is alleged that there has been no shelling of Lebanon of such intensity since the beginning of the war in the Gaza Strip, there are dead and many wounded. pic.twitter.com/WKzXmlMzsy
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
A global rights group has accused Israel of using white phosphorus incendiaries to target homes in at least five towns and villages in conflict-ridden southern Lebanon. pic.twitter.com/o9HNe3d0sT
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
The Israeli state can only do what it does because of its “diaspora” support outside Israel— the Zionist influence in the USA, France, UK etc.
Historical note
Aspects of National Socialist Germany
National Socialist Germany. 1933-1945. 6 years of peace, 6 years of war.
More tweets seen
Yes, the Brexit Party briefly polled above the Tories in 2019. But, remember, the Brexit Party did not stand in every seat at the 2019 election. This time around, Reform will hit the Tories harder & wider than anything they experienced in 2019 https://t.co/liUeIhMQHwhttps://t.co/bSd5L5RfbN
Reform UK is an easy way for people who would never vote Labour to send a message and/or a kick to the Conservative Party.
Talking about giving the Conservative Party a kick…see below
“Was this a stitch up to make sure that you got a safe seat?” “No.”
EXCL: @PGMcNamara presses Chairman of the Conservative party Richard Holden as he tells @Channel4News he’s been agreed as the only Tory candidate for Basildon and Billericay. pic.twitter.com/z3WMQl7Je9
— Wokey McWokeface 🌹💙 (@WokeyMcWokefac3) June 6, 2024
Holden has aged hugely since he (allegedly) groped a woman at a party in 2016; I think that the photo in the report was from 2018, so only 6 years ago. He is still only 39. Hard to believe, looking at him as he now is.
Of course, someone acquitted by a jury supposedly leaves court without a stain on his character…
Holden strikes me (I had not even heard of him until yesterday, despite his being Chairman of the Conservative Party— they have had so many in recent years) as a dishonest type. Just my impression of him now that I have seen him in film clips and heard online from him and about him.
“Put a beggar on horseback and he rides it to death” [German proverb]
Some Tory members in Basildon and Billericay are still fighting to block Richard Holden being imposed as the candidate.
This message is being circulate by local activists to send to the local chairman, calling for an emergency general meeting tonight to elect their own… pic.twitter.com/Nf4QVZSEuC
— Aubrey Allegretti (@breeallegretti) June 6, 2024
One way to cheat Holden out of his prize would be for a few civic-minded people to stand for election as “Independent conservative” or similar. That might weaken the kneejerk Con habit-vote, especially if Reform UK does well.
@PGMcNamara Excellent work holding Holden to account.
As a NW Durham constituent, I'd love to tell you what kind of job Richard has done in the past 18 months, but given he's barely been here in that time, it'd be hard to judge… https://t.co/2cEYIeswp5
The sheer gall and dishonesty of bastards such as Holden exemplifies the Sunak Con government and its several predecessors.
[“Billericay Dickie“]
People of Basildon & Billericay #VoteTactically#GTTO If this is how the Tory party treats you now does he deserve your vote?🤔🗳️
Richard Holden's selection in Basildon and Billericay is branded a "slap in the face" for local Tories. Source: BBC News https://t.co/NIiynFfqOf
— Helen 🇪🇺🇺🇦 #FBPE #RejoinEU 🇪🇺 (@heib20) June 6, 2024
More music
[Irish (IRA) volunteers c.1920]
Late tweets
A Palestinian family in the Jabaliya refugee camp cleans up their home , destroyed by the Zionist regime, to make their home livable again. pic.twitter.com/ueRUPiCiVF
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
On the one hand, heartbreaking, but on the other hand heartening. People can be so resilient.
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
Israel and its Western support network may imagine that their crimes are without punishment, but group-karma will eventually take hold of them, whether in the 21stC, 31stC or later.
France.
Marine Le Pen: “I am for a complete end to the use of renewable energy, because what you call clean, renewable energy is actually not clean and non-renewable” pic.twitter.com/q0pUKE0gV2
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
Another video from the training of Chinese PLA soldiers, and again using robotics pic.twitter.com/ZzoYYw8Dsr
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) June 6, 2024
Those animal-looking robots give me the creeps, if truth be known…
“Rishi Sunak has been given a glimmer of hope as a major new poll by Lord Ashcroft suggests that more than half of voters have yet to definitively make up their minds.
With less than five weeks until the General Election, the research shared exclusively with the Daily Mail found only four in ten have ‘definitely decided’ how to vote.
But in a sign of the mountain the Tories still have to climb, the poll gives Labour a 23 point lead.
Overall, it puts Labour on a 47 per cent vote share, with the Tories on 24 per cent, and Reform UK on 11 per cent.”
Assuming honesty and relative accuracy of the poll, several points stand out for me.
Firstly, that this poll is not at all the “glimmer of hope” for Sunak and the Cons that the report accompanying it is spinning.
42% have “definitely decided” which way they are going to vote. Looking at recent polling elsewhere, that must greatly favour Labour. As for “...leaning towards a party” but “not definitely sure“, that could apply to any of the parties, but if most end up with Labour, then it is possible that Lab could end up, overall, topping 50%, leaving the Cons with a MP cadre in the single figures.
It might also mean, thinking of my previous speculation on the blog, that there are more people than polls suggest willing to vote Reform UK, if only as a protest, or as a method of giving the time-expired Conservative Party a kicking without having to vote Labour. “Secret” Reform UK voters. Do they even exist? We do not know. I think that they may exist, but in what numbers?
Anything up to 31% of eligible voters may not vote, it seems.
One big unanswered question is how many under-40s and especially under-25s will bother to vote, they being heavily pro-Labour.
On the other hand, the over-70s are the only age demographic more likely to vote Con than Lab. If significant numbers either vote Labour (unlikely) or Reform UK (much more likely) or simply abstain (not unlikely) then Sunak and the Cons really are in trouble.
Other takeaways include the fact (if it is a fact) that only 23% think that Sunak etc can do better than others at “running the economy” (Lab 37%; Don’t Know 39%, tellingly). For a Prime Minister with a banking and financial/business background, and who was, not so long ago, Chancellor of the Exchequer, that is very much a thumbs-down.
The voters’ assessments of the characters of Sunak and Starmer are not so very different.
Sunak is assessed by only 8% as being “up to the job“, while only 12% assess him as even being “competent“. That’s damning. (Starmer’s equivalent ratings were 18% and 21%, scarcely a ringing endorsement, but still far better than Sunak).
Ashford’s poll figures, fed into Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html] suggest a result of Labour MPs 513, Cons 71, LibDems 31, SNP 12, Greens 2, Plaid 3, Reform 0, Northern Irish 18.
Very very bad for the Conservative Party, but not quite existentially so..
On that basis, there would still be a considerable Con bloc of 71 MPs, and the Cons would still be the official Opposition, however ineffective.
My own feeling, whether it be right or wrong, is still that the Cons may be reduced to below 50 MPs, and that the LibDems may exceed that by default (tactical voting), thus making the LibDems the Opposition in the Commons.
If that were to occur, the defeat would be existential for the Cons. No “bright young” (mostly idiot) careerists (think Liz Truss, once upon a time…) would want to join, and big donors would not bother to pump money into funding the Cons. A “death spiral”, as people say.
Election date— Thursday 4 July 2024. Less than 5 weeks to go.
Tweets seen
National Service
Piers Morgan🗣️ What about the Nations service to our 18yr olds? What they’ve been through. A Gen that lost the best years of their lives. They can’t afford to rent. Can’t afford food. Punitive tuition fees. Probably won’t earn more than their parents… #bbcqtpic.twitter.com/7rVNq31Iod
"There is a growing sense in this country that we are approaching, if not already in, what some have called ‘civilisational moment’ –a time when "we" are starting to lose the very things that make us a "we". Farage has realised this; many other politicians have not" https://t.co/UBS5ZbQKiK
The Tories are the architects of their own demise. By unleashing unprecedented, uncontrolled mass immigration, much of it low-skill and low-wage, they lost the millions of voters they now desperately need https://t.co/9mY88fZaM7
American officials expect that the first attacks on Russian territory using American weapons could begin within a few hours or days , The New York Times (NYT) reported this, citing sources. pic.twitter.com/0Lh3fQnlg3
The American government seems to have lost, if not its mind, then any sense of perspective.
If Country A sells or, even worse, gives Country B arms and ammunition, and especially if that is with the express intent that Country B should attack the territory of Country C, then that is pretty close to being an act of war by Country A against Country C.
Stop this mad slide to a quite possible superpower nuclear war.
The size of the British Army has shrunk BELOW 73,000 for the first time, new figures released today by the MoD reveal
It is widely mooted that the combat-ready spearhead numbers no more than 30,000, if that. Maybe as low as 20,000. Plus about 5,000 Royal Marines under naval command. Plus 4,000 Gurkhas. Plus Reserves.
If UK society continues to slide, they may be used to control the situation in the “British” cities more than anything else.
More music
More tweets seen
The moment the "Burkan" missiles fired by Hezbollah exploded at the 91st Galilee Division headquarters in the Beranit barracks. pic.twitter.com/jQjpVDN7n5
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) May 31, 2024
🔶 Nir Arad, analyst in Israel's Channel 12 studio: Israel is using all its military power in Gaza and is motivated by revenge and frustration in this matter. pic.twitter.com/LPayoCN5uw
All attempts to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia are futile, said Russian Defense Minister Andrey Belousov.
"Sabotage and the use of Western weapons against civilian infrastructure and civilians in Russia are being prepared with the participation of NATO advisers," he… pic.twitter.com/QdNvk64rbH
Eric Trump: "May 30, 2024 may be remembered as the day Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election."
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) May 31, 2024
I do not have enough information to guess accurately at the likely outcome of the U.S. Presidential Election, but peace would be better served were Trump to be re-installed at the White House, no matter what his personal deficiencies.
I publicly disagreed with the IHRA definition of antisemitism by reference to the arguments of Sir Stephen Sedley (on any view a hugely respected jurist) that it protects Israel from legitimate criticism.
That led to people publishing confidential and dangerously defamatory… https://t.co/qHJf5zO5SH
“I publicly disagreed with the IHRA definition of antisemitism by reference to the arguments of Sir Stephen Sedley (on any view a hugely respected jurist) that it protects Israel from legitimate criticism.
That led to people publishing confidential and dangerously defamatory information about me. And lots more people publishing crude and dehumanising abuse of me. And grotesque accusations of antisemitism about me. And 4 years of litigation where a total wing-nut UK Lawyer for Israel tried to bankrupt me.And a trial where witnesses made untrue or wildly exaggerated statements to try to ruin my reputation.
In the end I won, but my experience confirms Lemoine’s argument. It was awful and exhausting and no doubt intended to be so. Ending people’s careers for agreeing with Lemoine’s reasonable point of view is wrong and dangerous.”
[James Wilson]
Stephen Sedley. I remember him. I appeared in front of him as Counsel sometime around 1994 when he was a High Court judge (he was later a Lord Justice of Appeal). It was a matter involving the Angolan secret service. Sedley had had some previous experience in dealing with Angolan matters: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Sedley#Career. He gave me a very courteous hearing before politely refusing my judicial review application…
Perhaps there isn’t any such thing as the Israel lobby. Perhaps Israel is the only country on the planet without dedicated lobbyists. Perhaps organisations like We Believe in Israel, the Britain Israel Communications and Research Centre, and both the Labour and Conservative… https://t.co/b1HajLptTC
“Perhaps there isn’t any such thing as the Israel lobby. Perhaps Israel is the only country on the planet without dedicated lobbyists. Perhaps organisations like We Believe in Israel, the Britain Israel Communications and Research Centre, and both the Labour and Conservative Friends of Israel, simply don’t exist.
Perhaps it’s simply untrue to say that people who are critical of Israel online, or supportive of Palestine, are bombarded by hostile replies from pro-Israel accounts.
Or perhaps, there’s a concerted effort by Israel’s advocates to warp and distort the definition of antisemitism to make it impossible to describe their activities. Was Faiza Shaheen wrong to apologise? I can understand why she did it. But nobody should have to apologise for liking a plain statement of fact.“
Perhaps I imagined the evidence which clearly showed supporters of Israel working together to get information on me.
Perhaps I imagined them publishing confidential and dangerously defamatory information about me.
One of the unreliable witnesses for the losing defendants in that case was Simon Myerson, a barrister and Recorder (p/t judge). Others (all Zionist Jews) were likewise not given much if any credence by the trial judge.
If we are keeping count, I think Myerson has inferred, and then implied publicly, that both you and I were somehow responsible for Dr Newbon’s suicide.
Myerson is also a judge. Is it normal for judges to imply such things publicly? Or is it really weird behaviour?
It’s interesting isn’t it. It worries me going to some jobs and hearing “Last time I had an ambulance out, they were horrible to me”. Obviously, perceptions differ, but being understanding and showing kindness is the very least we can do.
It turns out that political prisoner Sam Melia is now being prevented from having access to his children. In fact, his wife cannot even tell him about them when she visits him. Disgraceful. These really are the tactics of a police state.
— Merv – Lord Merv of the Cinque Ports (@bearz1066) May 31, 2024
Late tweets seen
Donald Trump is already leading in the national polls. He is leading in the key battleground polls. And the latest snap poll suggests he's up among voters who've changed their minds since the trial began. I don't mind being wrong but I suspect this Democrat overreach is going to…
Israeli spy Shai Mosat named Labour’s candidate for North Durham, Luke Akehurst as Israel’s main man inside the @UKLabour Party.@lukeakehurst is also the director of @WeBelieveIsrael.
That should be Shai “Masot“, not “Mosat“, and certainly not “MOSSAD”. On the other hand…
In a further deeply concerning video, Labour's right-wing candidate for North Durham Luke Akehurst – a non-Jewish Zionist – demands senior members of the UK government get "a handle" on British UN diplomats and ensure they are only ever allowed to vote in the interests of Israel. pic.twitter.com/akY4EBF4dE
Does that Israel-puppet get fed exactly what to say by some Israeli agency? Sounds like it.
NATO weapons will be hit in any country from which Russia can be attacked — Medvedev
NATO countries that have authorized strikes with their weapons on Russian territory should be aware that their equipment and experts will be destroyed not only in Ukraine, but also in any place… pic.twitter.com/3LFr6hKsmw
— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) May 31, 2024
Funny how they seem to get an audio call available as soon as the world finds out the truth of their crimes . 🤷♀️ We’re still waiting for the evidence Israel has on the 40 beheaded babies story and the rape accusations, also the story of how the UNRWA workers are Hamas !! Where’s…
The IDF seems able to produce these phone calls on demand. Remember this onehttps://t.co/NFzind4Rh2
— Uncensored 🇬🇧 🇷🇺 🇵🇸 🇾🇪 (@Refusenik19) May 28, 2024
Israeli journalist Gideon Levy: "I don't remember one occupation where the occupier presented himself as the victim." Via @QudsNenpic.twitter.com/nEqfoEhf4Z
— Dr. Mansour Mansour (@DrMansourMansou) May 7, 2024
Exactly. Eternal “victims”, even when they are victimizing others.
Vaccine and martial law, ops sorry lockdown fanatic
A mere caution, for attacking an elderly man in the street.
Natalie Elphicke
This isn't true. All MPs leaving will get nearly £20k as a "winding down payment". Additionally those that fight the GE will get an additional redundancy sum according to their time in parliament. Elphicke has been there 1 term so it would have been be something less than £5K.
Whatever the facts of that, there are facts that are indisputable: Natalie Elphicke could have stood at GE 2024 as Con Party candidate. She received 56.9% of the vote in 2019 under that aegis.
I was puzzled as to why Natalie Elphicke crossed the floor, she after all knowing that a general election had to be called sometime before a date in January 2025. Does she have some better offer from outside Parliament? Seems doubtful to me.
Natalie Elphicke gives me a dual impression: not particularly intelligent, but particularly focussed on her own ambitions.
As a former member of Lincoln’s Inn, I have met several people over the years who were (as was Natalie Elphicke— see the Wikipedia entry) beneficiaries of Hardwicke scholarships. None impressed.
I saw this comment:
“Hardwicke Scholarships aren’t that prestigious. A mere submission of an application is more than enough to win one. They give about 150 away each year, and not many more people apply to each inn for a scholarship, surprisingly enough.” [online commentator].
I think that the real figure is nearer to 100 than 150.
To intrude a personal comment, I recall a young blonde lady barrister who (unsuccessfully, in all cases) opposed me in court a number of times during 2002-2008 when I was in chambers in Exeter (she was in another set, also in Exeter). She was a former Hardwicke scholar, just like Natalie Elphicke. I used to think of her as “Mrs Malaprop”, because her use of English was so poor. Comically so. A pretty poor barrister in terms of both legal knowledge and presentation, in my view, though wearing a sense of self-importance as thick as a suit of armour.
I had better not name that lady, mainly for reasons of propriety (I am too poor now to be worth suing; and there would be no basis for such a suit anyway). I just looked her up online for the first time, and found that she is still in Exeter, and still in the same chambers as she was 20+ years ago, apparently flourishing like the green bay tree.
I note that, having been Called to the Bar in 1994, only a few years after me, Natalie Elphicke decided to leave the Bar and to convert to be a solicitor (something that, at least then, basically meant filling out a few forms).
Natalie Elphicke only worked as a lawyer for a year or two, as a salaried employee of the Inland Revenue (as was; now HMRC) during 1995-1997. She married her now ex-husband, Charlie Elphicke, in 1995. They have two children. She appears to have returned to legal work for a year or two during the years 2011-2013, before helping to found a company which was dissolved 2-3 years later.
After that, her husband’s connections seem to have got her a couple of brief public appointments in the years 2016-2019, as well as the CEO job at the Housing and Finance Institute: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Housing_and_Finance_Institute. This may not be very lucrative, though, looking at the Institute’s funding. Hard to say.
Many will know that, though having displayed (performative?) “loyalty” to her disgraced MP husband, Charlie Elphicke, during his trial, Natalie Elphicke had by then already taken over as MP for Dover in 2019. She separated from him in 2020, and later divorced him, prior to which she sold her story to the Sun “newspaper” for £25,000. https://www.kentonline.co.uk/deal/news/mp-wife-of-naughty-tory-paid-25k-to-tell-all-234749/.
I have to say that I agreed (and still agree) with Natalie Elphicke’s comment at the time of her husband’s unsuccessful appeal (against sentence only— he had been sentenced to 2 years, plus £35,000 costs, and was released after a year) that the 2-year sentence was harsh. He had really done very little: “During his trial the court heard how Elphicke groped one of his accusers, chased her around his house, and sang “I’m a naughty Tory, I’m a naughty Tory.” [Wikipedia].
I should have thought that a suspended sentence would have been enough. From what I read at the time, his three crimes were all just silly, really; almost identical, too, and surely only just coming within the “sex crime” area. Pathetic more than anything, in my opinion.
To my mind, if crimes and criminals can be divided into “bad, sad, or mad“, Charlie Elphicke’s conduct was surely “sad“, with a dash of “mad“, but nothing seriously “bad“.
Having —whether rightly or wrongly, and I think rightly— identified Natalie Elphicke as a “go for the main chance” opportunist, why on Earth did she defect to Labour? Looking at the electoral statistics for Dover, she had a very good chance of being re-elected. Maybe Starmer offered her a peerage (seems unlikely, though), or some quango chair (more likely), or a safe Labour seat (relatively unlikely, surely?).
I admit, Mrs. Elphicke’s motivation is still puzzling to me.
As to Charlie Elphicke, I had little time for him when he was an MP, but I have to say that his fall from status and relative affluence has the elements of a minor Greek tragedy. Apparently, he now lives in a small rented flat somewhere like Earl’s Court, and may (I do not know) be either unemployed or working in some obscure occupation. I can find no record of him still on the Solicitors’ Register, and the same is true of Natalie Elphicke, but as far as I know both are still able to practise; again, I cannot say.
Turns out that the Elphickes bought a house on the Kent coast for about £800,000 in 2012, and were able to sell it only a decade later for over £1.5M. The house almost doubled in value in 10 years. A commentary upon the house-price madness in this country.
More tweets
"In the latest polls, this week, Nigel Farage, Richard Tice, and the Reform Party averaged 11.2%, compared to 11% before Rishi Sunak called the election. There is basically no evidence, yet, that Reform is being squeezed" https://t.co/5t6abIHJtn
There is also no evidence that Reform UK is getting anywhere. Nothing lower than an across-the-board 20% will win any seats; even a few percent more may only win a small handful, maybe 3-5. 11%, 12%, even 15%, is “nowhere” territory in seat-winning terms.
The LibDems and Greens are on a lower nationwide support, yet have seats in the Commons because their vote is concentrated, here and there.
Having said that, I make two points. Firstly, most intending Reform UK voters know perfectly well that RF is not going to win many, if any, seats. Their vote is a protest vote and/or a way of kicking the Sunak government and Conservative Party, by weakening greatly the Con Party vote in almost every constituency, but without voting Labour.
Secondly, as mooted yesterday, there may be a number, perhaps even a large number, of “secret Reform UK voters”, who do not show up in the opinion polls because they say “Don’t Know” or nominate a mainstream party out of embarrassment. Very English, arguably.
"Just before Rishi Sunak called the election Labour averaged 45.5% and the Tories 23.3%. Today? Labour’s averaging 43.8% and the Tories 24.5%. Labour's lead has barely moved at all. There's not much evidence (yet?) disillusioned Tories are returning" https://t.co/5t6abIHJtn
I doubt whether the usual general election convergence will happen this time. People hate and despise the useless Conservative Party governments of the past 14 years, and especially the past 5 years. That includes a huge number of 2019 or previous Con voters.
In fact, I should not be surprised were the Lab-Con gap to widen, though more because the Cons may slide again rather than because Labour increase their percentage.
Keir Starmer has said he is a socialist – do Britons agree, and is it a good thing?
Is a socialist, that's a good thing: 16% Is a socialist, that's a bad thing: 14% Is not a socialist, that's a good thing: 10% It not a socialist, that's a bad thing: 12%https://t.co/8nGGaHkEf6pic.twitter.com/sNgQRLxjCn
Prices have been going up consistently for the past few years but now it seems out of control, regardless of how many #ToryLies we hear. pic.twitter.com/sCBhLtMtrd
— GreensIeeves 🏴 (@Greenfleeves) May 28, 2024
That must be “value” olive oil. The last bottle I bought (extra-virgin olive oil, first cold pressing, but not a single-estate or special one) was nearly £13.
Incredible posting by Simon Myerson (1) @JewishMirelle’s statement can be opinion and defamatory. (2) Myerson is re-publishing a likely defamatory statement. (3) He’s a KC suggesting to someone on twitter that their statement might not be defamatory. (4) He’s the KC who acted for… pic.twitter.com/UQqvBivQR1
“Incredible posting by Simon Myerson (1) @JewishMirelle’s statement can be opinion and defamatory. (2) Myerson is re-publishing a likely defamatory statement. (3) He’s a KC suggesting to someone on twitter that their statement might not be defamatory. (4) He’s the KC who acted for Pete Newbon according the Telegraph. #GroundhogDay“
Myerson again.
Honest opinion is now a defence [Defamation Act 2013, s.3].
I think that I shall quit now, while I am ahead. I have not been in Bar practice for 16 years, and do not, in general, keep up with changes in the law.
Volodin : Zelensky, remaining in power after the expiration of his term, committed a state crime; agreements with him will not have legal force.
He noted that this is contrary to the constitution of Ukraine and is a seizure of power. pic.twitter.com/SZwqpBd6tb
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 29, 2024
General Election news
According to my use of Electoral Calculus, that might result in a House of Commons with 541 Lab MPs, 46 LibDem, 28 Con, 12 SNP, 3 Plaid Cymru, 2 Green, and 18 various Northern Irish.
On those figures, what Disraeli described as “the great Conservative Party, which destroys everything“, would be itself almost destroyed, reduced to a rump of 20 MPs; not even the official Opposition, which would be the LibDems.
Such a result would be a strategic defeat for the SNP too. 12 MPs, down from 56 (out of 59) at the 2015 peak, and 48 at the 2019 GE.
I get the impression that the SNP’s version of fake “nationalism” (blame England/the UK for everything, keep importing non-whites into Scotland, and think it normal to have a Pakistani as First Minister) has well and truly foundered on the rocks of socio-political reality). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_National_Party#House_of_Commons.
Of course, a change in the Labour vote of even one point either way would add several to (or subtract several from) the Conservative total, and even more to or from the Labour total.
More tweets
This morning's YouGov for people under 50 only:
Labour 59% Greens 12% Cons 8% Reform 8% LD 6%
That's the worst result amongst this age group I've see yet. Equal third with Reform.
Video of Ursula Von der Leyen's speech at the democracy summit in Copenhagen, where she promises to “vaccinate” the EU population against “wrong thinking” pic.twitter.com/i5tPb3hPc7
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 29, 2024
A twisted and evil woman.
Ukraine knows that it's all over"
While the UK is preoccupied with the general elections, Kyiv “cannot withstand Putin’s brutal attack,” reports the British The Telegraph. Main points:
▪️Kiev was forced to transfer thousands of soldiers to the northeastern part of the front… pic.twitter.com/tUiK1KTYyw
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 29, 2024
“Ukraine knows that it’s all over” While the UK is preoccupied with the general elections, Kyiv “cannot withstand Putin’s brutal attack,” reports the British The Telegraph. Main points:
Kiev was forced to transfer thousands of soldiers to the northeastern part of the front line to try to slow down the advance of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kharkov region.
The war is reaching a critical point as Western interest in helping Ukraine risks weakening again.
Zelensky seems to understand that time is running out for Ukraine: over the weekend he called on Joe Biden and Xi Jinping to take part in the upcoming “peace summit” in Switzerland.
Zelensky’s team is concerned about the shift of attention in the United States to internal elections: Ukraine is receding into the background.
The harsh reality is that Ukraine risks simply running out of people to fight.“
Exactly.
I have, on the blog, been saying for 2 years that Russia cannot lose this war, and will not lose it.
Trees Are Important – What Makes them Indispensable?https://t.co/eQ12FNzYVj In the quiet majesty of forests, do you grasp why trees guard our world? Fathom their role, where roots intertwine with the essence of life itself. pic.twitter.com/2ZzXsS285e
So far, we have seen the not very exciting Reform UK get recent opinion poll ratings of between 9% and 15%. Not enough to get any seats if spread out evenly across the country.
However, reading the latest reaction to the absurd “National Service” idea floated by Sunak (you can read my own thoughts about that on the blog for yesterday and the previous day), it occurs to me that Reform UK might, just, do better than the polls suggest.
We have seen, in the past, people too ashamed or embarrassed to say to polling staff that they support the Conservative Party; maybe that is true here too, and that a proportion of the “Don’t Know” responders (recently often a plurality of those responding) are really secret Reform UK supporters, or secret nationalist or semi-nationalist supporters, or just secretly angry people.
That may be completely wrong, and we shall only know on 5 July 2024, but I could imagine quite a few people, either on the 4th or, before that, when filling out postal voting forms, thinking, “so **** it!” and voting Reform UK out of anger, frustration, or a wish to hurt the Conservative Party clowns, or the System in general.
Just a thought…
Tweets seen
this is the fact that changed my mind- it's one thing to read what people say, it's something entirely different to look at the numbers. even if you ignore every single report, every single piece of evidence, the whole sordid history of israel, the numbers tell the story https://t.co/6ERkyQUJAH
— Malusdraco on cohost (@malusdraco_art) May 28, 2024
And also:
75 years of Israel illegally occupying Palestine you should NEVER leave out.
This puts everything into Perspective Winston.
Don't be like the rest of the Western world and leave the most important part of the story out.
In the past seven years, 124,227 illegal immigrants entered the UK via the English Channel alone. That’s equivalent to the population of Blackburn. https://t.co/e9ubCU4zbH
That 124,227 is only about 5%, not even, of the whole migrant influx over the past 7 years (at least 3 million). Then add the births to all migrants. Unsustainable, and in fact catastrophic to the future of this country.
‘Look, if you vote for Keir Starmer, there’ll be uncontrolled immigration, increased crime, high taxes, and unrestrained spending. Wouldn’t you rather get all those things from us?’ https://t.co/YIxk2ZU3HF
What the misnamed “Conservatives” have apparently not quite understood is that most Reform UK voters are not voting Reform with the serious idea of winning many —or even any— seats in the Commons. They are voting Reform as a massive howl of protest (cf. the Brexit Referendum) and/or to give the Conservative Party an equally massive kicking.
Israel has turned Rafah into hell on earth, setting a supposed “safe area" of plastic tents aflame and burning many Palestinians alive.
Stop all arms to Israel now! Call on @DanishMFA to stop its vessel Marianne Danica carrying arms to Israel now!https://t.co/DT9UI8Ps15
That Lazarus individual tweeted to another elderly Jew-Zionist woman several years ago that I (and someone else, of whom I had never even heard) should be given strychnine to drink. At the time, I could not be bothered to report it to the police, or even to Twitter, though “those” types mentioned themselves spend much of their time sneaking around and making malicious and contrived complaint to police and others.
There is a web of such “individuals” on Twitter/X, including most if not all of the accounts mentioned above, and mostly connected with the tiny but well-funded so-called “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA”, itself a cabal which constantly “complains”, often using outright lies (as exposed recently when its “CEO”, Gideon Falter, made demonstrably false claims about the Metropolitan Police); the “CAA” also tries to suborn police and Crown Prosecution Service personnel.
Even the Jewish/Zionist lobby has turned against the “CAA” liars recently.
I myself was expelled from Twitter/X in 2018 by reason of a concerted campaign by several of “those” mentioned, with others; I have no interest now in returning to Twitter/X.
The bombardment of Palestinian children and women, as they sheltered in fear and hunger in makeshift tents, will go down in history books as one of the most abominable crimes in human history. #Rafah#Gaza#Palestine
— Mustapha El-Affendi (@moustafaaffendi) May 27, 2024
I think about this clip often, from Dec 2021 when an Israeli tank razed a strawberry field on the border inside Gaza. Imagine the pure brutality & hate, the oppression & helplessness. We have a long long long account to settle with this evil occupier pic.twitter.com/IeHBLUyE9d
Labour will likely win this election bc of a near-total rejection of the Tories, not because of any mass public enthusiasm for Starmer's Labour. The Labour brand actually remains pretty weak, damaged and vulnerable
Not very many people really want “Labour” to rule over them, but the first priority, which people really very much want, is to scrap this “Conservative” misgovernment, and stamp on its remains.
I see that Matt Goodwin’s view is not far from my own.
More music
[Levitan, Vladimirka]
More tweets
Jewan's testimony was heartbreaking, I cried throughout this lastnight. My own daughter not much older and all I could think about is the trauma witnessing her father killed. Her tiny, frail malnourished body. God I hope she is still alive IA ❤
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 28, 2024
💔🇵🇸 Blind Palestinian girl: why is this happening to us? This is Razan, a blind Palestinian girl from the Jebaliya camp in northern Gaza pic.twitter.com/QysJyFy3bC
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 28, 2024
Poor little thing.
The only bright aspect to this horrible brutality is that millions of people are awakening, all over the world.
Jens Stoltenberg, NATO Secretary General :
NATO forces should practically not be present in Ukraine, neither on the ground, nor in the sea, nor in the air, because this would bring the entire alliance into the fire of direct war with Russia. pic.twitter.com/yackWB9kbf
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 28, 2024
Let us hope that idiots in positions of power, whether in Poland, the Baltic states, or France, are listening.
Goodwin’s point is vitiated by his turning a blind eye to the Jew-Zionist influence permeating UK politics. My own attitude is closer to that of the cartoon below:
As a Northern European social-national thinker, I refuse to support either side in the Gaza/Israel/Palestine situation. It is more true to say that while I despise the Israeli side for its brutality and quasi-psychotic sadism yet, by the same token, I cannot support any form of violent Islamism, as such. I oppose the pervasive Jew-Zionist influence in UK politics and society, yet also oppose the migration-invasion of Britain, whether by Islamists, black hordes, or others.
I have, incidentally, not seen Goodwin say anything at all supportive of the suffering millions in Gaza, most of whom after all are women and children. Goodwin, like so many people seen frequently on UK mass media, is supportive, it seems, of Israel, or afraid to seem critical of it and/or Jew-Zionism and/or Zionists.
The zionist entity is breaking up from within.
Northern Israeli settlement severs ties with Tel Aviv, demands army withdrawal: Under constant fire from Hezbollah, settlers in the north accuse their government of failing to protect them.
Ladies and gentlemen, Iain Dale, the new Tory candidate for [insert constituency name here] pic.twitter.com/spLas7jKLl
— • 👉🏻 #JulyToryWipeout 👈🏻 • (@faQTories) May 28, 2024
Israel-lobby msm talking head Iain Dale is standing as a candidate for the “Conservative” Party at GE 2024, but we do not yet know in which constituency. I am presuming one of the ~25 formerly safe or relatively safe ones still available.
Iain Dale selling his soul to the Conservative Party by standing to become a Tory MP in Tunbridge Wells (a Conservative safe seat) – I have a lot of respect for him but after 14 years of chaos, lies and ruin, how can anyone stand by (or for!) this horrific political party?
Ukraine's victory on the battlefield is not possible, thinks German politician Sara Wagenknecht. " The only option in which Ukraine has a chance of winning is the direct intervention of NATO. Then a world war and an open confrontation with Russia on a global level will begin. At… pic.twitter.com/Q2U3CYZxLP
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 28, 2024
“Under the [“National Service”] plan, 18-year-olds will be given a choice between a full-time placement in the Armed Forces for 12 months or spending one weekend a month for a year [doing community work].
The Tories would also encourage employers to consider those who complete the Armed Forces placement during job applications.
However, the Armed Forces option would be selective – with only around 30,000 placements for ‘the brightest and best’.”
[Daily Mail]
So Sunak’s cockeyed “plan” for conscription turns out to be mainly a plan to have untrained 18-y-o young men and, I presume, women doing a kind of forced labour on one weekend per month for a year. Even by Sunak’s standards, this is pretty silly.
For one thing, the time is unbalanced. Leaving aside any Army/Navy leave or liberty days, it means that those choosing and being selected for the military or naval option will spend 365 days serving. The “civilian” option, though, will only take up 24 days.
Guess which option most young people are going to choose?
Even if you take off maybe 125 liberty days or leave days from the 365, that still only reduces to about 240 days on duty, as against 24. Ten times the commitment.
The idea that employers will give the “military/naval option” cadets an easier ride in later civilian job recruitment could not be enforced and relies entirely on goodwill.
In fact, the year of service (in either case) will set back the cadets or National Service litter-pickers for a year, especially the military/naval cadets, except those planning a Service career anyway.
As for the rest, spending one weekend a month picking up litter, helping clean hospitals, or planting trees, might not be a huge commitment of time, but will be seen by most as a kind of slave or serf labour, even if remunerated or compensated at say £150 per weekend (I have seen nothing so far, though, about any remuneration).
I suppose that, if the 30,000 military/naval cadets were offered pay (£15,000 p.a.?) and a gratuity, on completion, of some not-trifling amount (say £12,000 in cash, taxfree), that might spark some interest.
Over 700,000 or so people turn 18 every year in the UK. That means that 670,000+ will be on the monthly “community service” option.
What happens if the litter-pickers (etc) decide not to comply? Do they get taken to court? Fined? Ordered to comply on pain of imprisonment? What if there is mass non-compliance, or organized civil disobedience?
In fact, in view of the fact that the State has not the resources with which to imprison up to 700,000 young people, the most they could be given might be…unpaid work for a few days a month. Oh…
This has not been thought through by Sunak and/or those around him.
Likewise with the military/naval option. To train recruits to a basic level takes maybe 2-4 months (the British Army takes 14 weeks to basic-train standard recruits, the Royal Navy 10 weeks for ratings; officers are basic-trained for longer, 15-30 weeks), and overall training of those National Service cadets is likely to take a total of as long as 6 months (the British Army takes 44 weeks to fully train an officer).
In other words, after training, the cadets will only be available for deployment for 6 months before their time is up and they either leave or join the regular Army or Navy. Any trained to an officer level will only be available for deployment for a few months, or even weeks.
In other words, the increase in manpower might only be 15,000 or so, or is the idea to have both ordinary recruitment and National Service recruitment? Looks as though the end result would be much the same.
Also, who would choose to join as National Service recruit when he/she could join up with (?) better pay and conditions as a regular recruit and/or as an officer-cadet?
Will the National Service cadets or recruits be put into dedicated units, or mixed-in with regular units?
Again, this really has not been thought through.
The people this crazy scheme is apparently supposed to “help”, or change, or just control and monitor the most, those disaffected 18-y-o individuals who are not at or planning to go to university, nor into a structured career or job of some kind, will be the least likely to opt for the military/naval option, so will “choose” the “one weekend per month” option, and probably either fail to attend, or may do it very unwillingly, like a “community payback” penalty imposed by the courts.
What is the point?
Also, if the government has a force of about 670,000 “litter-pickers” (etc) to deploy, how many older (older than 18) people will thereby be deprived of the chance of doing paid or better-paid jobs doing the same or similar work?
Once again, the consequential effects have not been properly thought through.
Tweets seen
"Net migration in this parliament alone added more than 2 million people to Britain's population —enough for nearly 2 cities the size of Birmingham. This is why so many are concerned about the direction of travel"https://t.co/xMALs7SmZe
The most important problem facing both Britain and mainland Europe.
The entire world economy is under threat due to a glut of cheap Chinese exports, said French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire
“We have a problem with an economic model in which China produces more and more cheaper industrial devices, because this could pose a threat not only to…
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 27, 2024
L’homme qui rit (en Chinois)…
As if the pathetic French government is going to be able to do something/anything about this. The biggest weakness of all French governments is that they mistake making a gesture for actually accomplishing something. Macron is a prime example.
In fact, thinking of the French love for demonstrations and marches, most entirely ineffective, the tendency goes wider than just the political leadership.
The IDF press service publishes footage of an Israeli air attack on a Hezbollah facility in Lebanon pic.twitter.com/oOByd4a4Ks
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) May 27, 2024
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 26, 2024
Pity that the British Empire no longer exists. Churchill killed several empires, in effect— the German Reich, the British Empire (which died after using its sting to kill the German Reich), and the other European empires, which all eventually succumbed in direct or indirect consequence of what happened after 1939.
More music
[Central Coast highway, California]
[painting by Victor Ostrovsky]
More tweets seen
🚨NEW: Keir Starmer is attempting to put pro-Israel lobbyist Ruth Smeeth in charge of the Ministry of Defence.
This is what the near future has in store for the UK— a literal Israeli agent as Secretary of State for Defence. Look at ex-MP John Woodcock (now “Lord Walney”), a sex pest and depressive case who is one of the worst Israel/Jewish lobby puppets at Westminster. He is apparently over-excited by the possibility that Israel will have yet another of its main “candidates” at Cabinet level, right in there with the others (Starmer, Yvette Cooper, Rachel Reeves, Liz Kendall, Lisa Nandy etc).
All he wants is power and he'll say anything to get it. Independent Candidate Andrew Feinstein @AF4HSP with a brilliant introduction to the real Keir Starmer. If you let Starmer into Downing Street you'll spend the next five years eating what you ordered. pic.twitter.com/v5Jbs4IntA
All true (about Starmer), but all I myself am interested in, re. the upcoming General Election, directly, is to collapse one of the two main System parties, even at the high cost of allowing the other to become an “elected” dictatorship. Only by unbalancing the “two main parties” system can a social-national alternative arise.
Starmer speech in Lancing near where he grew up in Oxted. A personal speech in which he talks about growing up, his mother’s illness, struggling to make ends meet: A speech in which he tries to explain to voters who he is in order to try to better connect with public pic.twitter.com/PVQzSBXGBZ
Ecce the ****-poor quality of political reportage in the UK. Beth Rigby (the woman with the ludicrous accent or diction on Sky News) thinks that Lancing (West Sussex) is “near” Oxted (Surrey). Near? Well, 65.4 miles by road; as the crow flies, maybe 50 miles.
Steve Baker has, in US parlance, already "checked out"
"Mr Baker … accepted he’s widely expected to lose his 4,500 majority … telling LBC he wasn’t cancelling his holiday plans for the party’s general election campaign"https://t.co/sP6waydW0s
Israel is currently so genocidal that it and its supporters can’t even work out what line of justification to take. It was a mistake! It’s Egypt’s fault! All large crowds are Hamas! Fun fact: did you know that in some cases, killing children is legal? pic.twitter.com/sBvFkcFntc
So the Jewish chief of the Con Party election campaign is being accused of falling down on the job, thus making it even easier for pro-Israel Starmer and his cabal to win said election with a huge majority? I feel a conspiracy theory coming on…
[Addendum, same day: a regular reader of the blog suggests that Isaac Levido is not Jewish. I do not know for sure, despite the name(s) and the look of the said publicist, so am adding this cautionary addendum in the interests of accuracy and fairness].
Having said that, why the voters are turning away from the Con Party is not mainly by reason of poor presentation but by reason of very poor actual government of the country over the past 14 years, and especially the past 5 years.
Late tweets
Left: James Cleverly blames Doctor and Nurse strikes for the rise in NHS waiting lists
Right: Chart from the FT shows the rise of NHS waiting lists since the Conservatives took office in 2010. You see that black arrow on the right? That's when the strikes began pic.twitter.com/U2rqK5aPag
As Schiller put it, “Against stupidity, the Gods themselves struggle in vain“…[Schiller, Die Jungfrau von Orleans].
It is probably pointless to speculate on why those poor people, living on pennies, support the ultra-wealthy little Indian money-juggler. Mental degeneration? Insanity? Congenital mental problems?
Having said that, they are not entirely wrong, inasmuch as the Labour Party under Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall etc will probably be as bad as, and maybe worse than, Sunak and crew as far as social security “welfare” in concerned.
What can it be? The Israeli flag is to replace the Union Jack? Unlikely (too obvious). Sunak has resigned and there will be an immediate leadership election? Just about possible. British troops are being sent to fight on the Ukrainian frontlines? In that case, Goodnight Vienna London; it has been a pleasure…
At time of writing, it is —right now— 2229, so back in a minute or so…
2235. Still waiting. The clowns cannot even get their big announcement out on time.
Under the Conservatives, the State Pension had risen by £3,700 – and is increasing another £900 this year.
So that’s at. A desperate attempt to hold on to at least the former Con Party core vote of pensioners. The full registered electorate of the UK is about 45.5M; persons 65+ total about 11M, so about 27% of the electorate. Also, far more likely, traditionally to vote, either by post or in person.
These are pretty much the only people, or at least by far the biggest bloc, still likely to vote Con at GE 2024.
Whether it will make much difference, hard to say. Many pensioners will wonder a. as to whether Sunak will even be there after 4 July, and b. whether he can be trusted. There again, not all vote on the basis of perceived self-interest.
As a “big announcement”, slightly underwhelming, but I expect it will buy at least some votes. Absolutely desperate though, as a tactic.
“ Mom, I'm afraid to die ,” – The children in the refugee tents in Rafah, around which bombs are falling, are the children whom Israel burned. pic.twitter.com/B91AJnGrgF
— S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y (@Sprinterfactory) May 27, 2024
Ian Robert Millard 