Tweets seen
https://twitter.com/TheBookofSod/status/1805377933160464766
The clip is from a few years ago, but is still relevant. Ellwood must be binned politically.
My own admittedly anecdotal and completely unscientific guess for this area (coastal western Hampshire), is that support for the lazy and useless Conservative Party incumbent has slumped, but that he is so entrenched in this ultra-safe Con heartland that he will survive without too much trouble.
I did see, somewhere or other, one Con Party poster, a while ago, and I have seen one solitary Labour one now; an outlier in a constituency where Labour usually comes in third or even fourth; Labour only managed (a very poor) second once (in 2017, under Corbyn). I have, however, now seen quite a few LibDem posters.
The LibDems usually come second here, and their high point was in 1997, when they still only scored 27.8%.
The only joker in the pack is Reform UK. Their likely vote is unknown in this constituency, but may reach 20%; we shall see.
From the newspapers
“Study identifies 16,825 sites around the world where prioritising conservation would prevent extinction of thousands of unique species.
Protecting just 1.2% of the Earth’s surface for nature would be enough to prevent the extinction of the world’s most threatened species, according to a new study.
Analysis published in the journal Frontiers in Science has found that the targeted expansion of protected areas on land would be enough to prevent the loss of thousands of the mammals, birds, amphibians and plants that are closest to disappearing.
From Argentina to Papua New Guinea, the team of researchers identified 16,825 sites that should be prioritised for conservation in the next five years to prevent imminent extinctions of animals and plants found nowhere else.”
[Guardian]
More tweets
As frequently blogged previously, the connected “Just Stop Oil” and “Extinction Rebellion” groups are sub-terrorists. They set out to create chaos, they set out to intimidate, and deserve a good kicking.
See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/08/16/the-extinction-rebellion-levellers/; https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/09/extinction-rebellion-greta-thunberg-cressida-dick-and-the-madness-of-protesting-crowds/; https://ianrobertmillard.org/2020/09/08/diary-blog-8-september-2020-including-further-assessment-of-extinction-rebellion-as-well-as-of-tim-crosland-and-plan-b-etc/; https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/08/25/diary-blog-25-august-2021-with-more-about-extinction-rebellion/.
Caught…bang to rights.
Thank God for that.
Not very scientific, but telling all the same.
Liz Kendall, Labour Friends of Israel [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liz_Kendall#Defence_and_foreign_policy]. A pathetic and unpleasant woman.
Liz Kendall is like a poor actress trying to portray “genuine emotion” by overdoing the (((typical?))) hand gestures etc. She comes over rather like one of those puppets from 1960s shows like Stingray or Thunderbirds.
Good grief. The more I see of the upcoming fake-Labour “elected” dictatorship, in its germinal form, the more I think that it will have to be overthrown.
Most people in the UK are not pro-“Ukraine” in the sense of being pro-Zelensky and his brutal yet shambolic regime. Many are sorry for the ordinary people there, and their companion animals —indeed, that applies to me too, which is why I hoped for a very swift Russian victory in 2022— but few really support the Kiev regime to the point at which it becomes a UK General Election issue.
I do not think that Reform UK is sliding. In any case, many postal votes have already been cast, often by the middleaged and elderly people who are more likely to vote Reform UK.
Only 8 days now separate us from Election Day. Many people are angry, and almost all want to bin the Sunak-led Conservative Party, or even the Con Party under other management. I still think that many of the “undecided 20%”, if they vote, may decide to back Reform UK. We shall see.
I should not be surprised to see Reform get to 20% in the end. At the present, the election remains to that extent open. The Cons are surely doomed, and Labour, without much merit, looks heavily odds-on not only to win but to win at a level which may turn out to be historic. However, the level of Starmer’s victory is still undecided, as is the extent to which the very uninteresting LibDems will, purely as an electoral side-effect, have their MP numbers boosted. Perhaps by as many as 70 in total, almost certainly by 30-40 in total.
The number of Con MPs after 4th of July may be as few as 40 or as many as 140. My guess has always, in the past months, been closer to 40 than 140.
Whoever wins and whatever the detail, the bottom line is that the incoming Labour government will be trying to install a police state. That will have to be fought.
More music
Look at how free speech, freedom of expression has become largely a thing of the past in the UK. Also, consider how there is a double standard: anyone social-national, or even conservative-national (even someone as basically near-centre-ground as Farage) is under far more scrutiny and restriction than either the hostile Jewish/Zionist Israel-lobby element or the often-connected “antifa” types, let alone the “useful idiots” of the transnational conspiracy, such as the Black Lives Matter nonsense, the Just Stop Oil and Extinction Rebellion pawns etc.
As previously blogged, I have been disappointed in Mercer. I thought that the ex-officer would be a breath of fresh air and integrity at Westminster. In fact, he has been basically useless and, worse than that, rather a freeloader, even somewhat corrupt (in my opinion).
I rather like the humorous and sometimes combative tweets of his wife, but they cannot save him. Time to bid adieu.
She thinks that she is “British”, or at least says so.
For God’s sake, vote her out on 4 July 2024.
Quite. Ecce “democracy”— with enough “lobbying“, box-ticking, and “money from central government“, 50 feet of road in Cheshire can finally be patched up. “Pathetic” is indeed the word. The whole system must be changed, not just thick-as-two-short-planks Esther McVey binned.
See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/03/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-esther-mcvey-story/.
Late music
Ian Robert Millard 