GB News's Sir Philip Davies MP wagered he will not hold his Shipley constituency (6,242 majority.)
Last night he said he “fully expected to lose” the West Yorkshire marginal but insisted he had not done anything illegal. He is married to minister of Common Sense Esther McVey pic.twitter.com/Q4aU9aqbFd
Good grief. The “Conservative” MPs really are “filling their boots” on the way out…
Rishi Sunak banging on about integrity, meanwhile simultaneously CCHQ have changed their handle to Tax Check UK and are posting misinformation………the fucking state of it.#BBCDebatepic.twitter.com/yy7mHPhsTI
— Land of Tope & Dory 🐀 (@lookeyhere4) June 26, 2024
Incredible. In the Christian Weltanschauung we are all “sinners”, it is said, but the Conservative Party is rapidly being exposed as a cabal of corrupt and ethics-free outright criminals and spivs.
Can you imagine a low trick of that sort being pulled in 1956 (the year of my birth), 1974 (when, aged 18, I voted for the first and only time—my candidate came last out of four…), or even 20 years ago? No. It would not, could not, have happened.
It is as if there has been a complete and shameless moral collapse on the part of the Conservative Party’s MPs and staff. Betting on the election date while having inside knowledge, masquerading as a fictional “Tax Check” organization (as above), masquerading as a candidate for any party other than Conservative (the unpleasant little Israel puppet, Robert Largan, at High Peak) etc.
Just unbelievable.
As for Philip Davies, he has, in a sense, every right to bet against himself, especially as he would certainly prefer to be, and make more profit were he to be, re-elected as MP for Shipley. Yes. No argument as far as that is concerned, but it just looks wrong, and so, bearing in mind the status and public position of an MP —as Davies was until the prorogation of Parliament— it is wrong.
“Migrant shipwreck survivor is arrested in Italy amid claims he strangled Iraqi girl, 16, to death in front of her mother on sinking yacht in the Med after watching his wife and daughter drown“
[Daily Mail]
Look at the type of untermenschen coming to mainland Europe, many then travelling on to the UK.
More tweets seen
A heartfelt message from David (Robbie’s husband) to all of Woodfield’s supporters who have sent such kind messages since Robbie’s passing last Thursday 💔https://t.co/4KVJbB9mLypic.twitter.com/4nRCj8Y2au
— Woodfield Animal Sanctuary (@AnimalWoodfield) June 24, 2024
However, we can only do this with your continued support. Thank you to all who have donated, rest assured as always you money will be used to care for the animals that Robbie loved so much https://t.co/4KVJbB8OW0
— Woodfield Animal Sanctuary (@AnimalWoodfield) June 25, 2024
Apropos of nothing, I wonder how many of my regular blog readers know that the Russian word for a railway station of medium to large size is a “voksaal” [воксал], which comes from, yes, “Vauxhall”.
The reason is that Vauxhall was apparently one of the first places to have a functioning steam train, or at least a well-known one, at a time (early 19thC) when Vauxhall was a “pleasure garden”. Possibly. A similar but distinct explanation is that other pleasure gardens, in Poland and Russia, were later referred to as “vauxhalls” and were in the vicinity of railway stations: anyway, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vauxhall_Gardens#Cultural_significance.
I think that a few of my regular readers already knew that, though I admit that I am guessing…
Pathetic, Paul. The legitimate concerns of women on this matter – expressed by women from the Right *and the Left* – are not to be falsely dismissed as a Tory plot.
Paul Mason, would-be Labour MP, becomes ever more pathetic politically. One feels that, given another 10 years, he will be found wandering the streets and swearing randomly.
Russian forces destroyed 12 drone control centers in the zone of responsibility of the Battlegroup West, spokesman for the battlegroup Ivan Birma said:https://t.co/M1SP6gqzAbpic.twitter.com/Rt4oJiVcMp
Russia’s navy is receiving more and more warships and boats year by year, Russian President Vladimir Putin said at a meeting on shipbuilding, citing year-on-year statistics:https://t.co/Pgzc6MjQn5pic.twitter.com/GnTJq5tyZ4
Good sense and Realpolitik breaking out in Berlin?
One INSANE thing about Johannesburg is how low trust it is.
Most people have houses with security guards for their gated community, high walls, electrified wire, CCTV. Nobody parks their car in the open at night Everyone seems to be in fear.
— Lord Miles Official (@real_lord_miles) June 24, 2024
If mass immigration, meaning net surplus immigration, were ended, then there would be no need for such building on the Green Belt. England's green and pleasant land is worth defending.
Enthusiasts for assisted suicide might not like to read this extract from a letter in today’s .@Guardian, fromProf David Albert Jones pic.twitter.com/VilROO32uU
It is coming now to the point at which we might ask, “which event will destroy our present civilization? A collapse in insect life, plant life and then animal and human life? A nuclear war? A “pandemic” (a real one, not one like the “Covid” panicdemic/scamdemic)?“
I live in the UK. 20 years ago if we drove 50 miles in the spring/summer our windscreens would be plastered with insects. Now I can drive 200 miles and there might be a couple. Don’t even need to use windscreen washers. Ask anyone here.
20 years is even less than a flash in historical times yet the number of UK insects has declined by around 75% in this time. It's similar in many other European countries where constant measurement has been taking place using standardized methods. https://t.co/SqsgjW7fFl!
The tide is turning. Reform UK is the first really significant movement of the “Overton Window” in mainstream UK politics. Later, social-nationalism can take hold, once there is a suitable movement as a vehicle for it. Then, a few accounts may be settled.
🇵🇸 Dozens of Palestinians rush towards a humanitarian aid truck in the Gaza Strip due to severe shortages of clean water and food. pic.twitter.com/E44lIruuVr
Their evil is palpable when they feel thwarted. A similar incident happened in London a couple of months ago, with the Metropolitan Police as the immediate targets of the filmed propaganda.
According to my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], that might result in a House of Commons with 441 Labour MPs (overall majority 232), LibDems 82, Cons 55, Reform UK 22, Greens 4, SNP 23 (etc).
Nearly 600,000 AFU troops have been lost and 4 oblasts, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson because Volodymyr Zelenskyy provoked a war, threatening to host nuclear weapons, attacking Donbass, threatening Crimea and insisting Ukraine could join NATO. Biden encouraged this.
— Laurence (Larry) Boorstein (@LarryBoorstein) June 27, 2024
Far right: the belief that British culture and civilisation is worth preserving.
My own admittedly anecdotal and completely unscientific guess for this area (coastal western Hampshire), is that support for the lazy and useless Conservative Party incumbent has slumped, but that he is so entrenched in this ultra-safe Con heartland that he will survive without too much trouble.
I did see, somewhere or other, one Con Party poster, a while ago, and I have seen one solitary Labour one now; an outlier in a constituency where Labour usually comes in third or even fourth; Labour only managed (a very poor) second once (in 2017, under Corbyn). I have, however, now seen quite a few LibDem posters.
The LibDems usually come second here, and their high point was in 1997, when they still only scored 27.8%.
The only joker in the pack is Reform UK. Their likely vote is unknown in this constituency, but may reach 20%; we shall see.
“Study identifies 16,825 sites around the world where prioritising conservation would prevent extinction of thousands of unique species.
Protecting just 1.2% of the Earth’s surface for nature would be enough to prevent the extinction of the world’s most threatened species, according to a new study.
Analysis published in the journal Frontiers in Science has found that the targeted expansion of protected areas on land would be enough to prevent the loss of thousands of the mammals, birds, amphibians and plants that are closest to disappearing.
From Argentina to Papua New Guinea, the team of researchers identified 16,825 sites that should be prioritised for conservation in the next five years to prevent imminent extinctions of animals and plants found nowhere else.”
[Guardian]
More tweets
Hopefully a very long prison sentence. @JustStop_Oil are a domestic terrorist group who should be proscribed.
As frequently blogged previously, the connected “Just Stop Oil” and “Extinction Rebellion” groups are sub-terrorists. They set out to create chaos, they set out to intimidate, and deserve a good kicking.
‘I would not fight for the country anymore’ | Veteran, Les Underwood ashamed as ‘This is not Great Britain anymore’ and wonders what he and his fellow comrades have ‘sacrificed so much for.’#UK#GreatBritain#Veteran#War#Englandpic.twitter.com/RjvmdWMp0g
🚨 EXCL: A Royal Mail postman has been caught writing 'racists' on Reform UK leaflets
A RM spokesman said: "We are aware of the video and are conducting immediate enquiries. It’s our priority to ensure all candidate mail is delivered with the same, high level of service." pic.twitter.com/QzGHrMF7QV
Liz Kendall, Labour Shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions promises to get tough on benefits. But Since becoming an MP in 2010 she's claimed over £2 Million in taxpayer funded expenses on top of her £86K salary. Now those are the kind of benefits that Liz really likes. pic.twitter.com/y3kc21EruR
— Ragged Trousered Philanderer (@RaggedTP) June 11, 2024
Liz Kendall is like a poor actress trying to portray “genuine emotion” by overdoing the (((typical?))) hand gestures etc. She comes over rather like one of those puppets from 1960s shows like Stingray or Thunderbirds.
Good grief. The more I see of the upcoming fake-Labour “elected” dictatorship, in its germinal form, the more I think that it will have to be overthrown.
NEW POST. Is support for Nigel Farage and Reform SLIDING? What the latest polls suggest after Nigel Farage's Ukraine commentshttps://t.co/L58R1GN7Sd
Most people in the UK are not pro-“Ukraine” in the sense of being pro-Zelensky and his brutal yet shambolic regime. Many are sorry for the ordinary people there, and their companion animals —indeed, that applies to me too, which is why I hoped for a very swift Russian victory in 2022— but few really support the Kiev regime to the point at which it becomes a UK General Election issue.
I do not think that Reform UK is sliding. In any case, many postal votes have already been cast, often by the middleaged and elderly people who are more likely to vote Reform UK.
Only 8 days now separate us from Election Day. Many people are angry, and almost all want to bin the Sunak-led Conservative Party, or even the Con Party under other management. I still think that many of the “undecided 20%”, if they vote, may decide to back Reform UK. We shall see.
I should not be surprised to see Reform get to 20% in the end. At the present, the election remains to that extent open. The Cons are surely doomed, and Labour, without much merit, looks heavily odds-on not only to win but to win at a level which may turn out to be historic. However, the level of Starmer’s victory is still undecided, as is the extent to which the very uninteresting LibDems will, purely as an electoral side-effect, have their MP numbers boosted. Perhaps by as many as 70 in total, almost certainly by 30-40 in total.
The number of Con MPs after 4th of July may be as few as 40 or as many as 140. My guess has always, in the past months, been closer to 40 than 140.
Whoever wins and whatever the detail, the bottom line is that the incoming Labour government will be trying to install a police state. That will have to be fought.
More music
[East Berlin, 1970s]
Look at how free speech, freedom of expression has become largely a thing of the past in the UK. Also, consider how there is a double standard: anyone social-national, or even conservative-national (even someone as basically near-centre-ground as Farage) is under far more scrutiny and restriction than either the hostile Jewish/Zionist Israel-lobby element or the often-connected “antifa” types, let alone the “useful idiots” of the transnational conspiracy, such as the Black Lives Matter nonsense, the Just Stop Oil and Extinction Rebellion pawns etc.
We now project that the Liberal Democrats will be forming the official opposition, pushing the Conservatives into third place in terms of seat tally. pic.twitter.com/2IOPjlw6QE
Johnny Mercer voted to cut veterans benefits. Took £85k from a Veterans Charity. Pays his wife £45k a year. Took an extra £30k a year being a Veterans Minister and did nothing except vote against them.
As previously blogged, I have been disappointed in Mercer. I thought that the ex-officer would be a breath of fresh air and integrity at Westminster. In fact, he has been basically useless and, worse than that, rather a freeloader, even somewhat corrupt (in my opinion).
I rather like the humorous and sometimes combative tweets of his wife, but they cannot save him. Time to bid adieu.
Suella Braverman: antisemitism in Britain has made me ‘ashamed to be British’ https://t.co/3UUd86XgTJ
Quite. Ecce “democracy”— with enough “lobbying“, box-ticking, and “money from central government“, 50 feet of road in Cheshire can finally be patched up. “Pathetic” is indeed the word. The whole system must be changed, not just thick-as-two-short-planks Esther McVey binned.
An idealized but not really untruthful view of how parts of England were in the 1950s, or even early 1960s, if you forget the 1930s-style bus in the background.
Incidentally, I was watching a “true crime” documentary about a series of appalling murders carried out by some crazed half-caste in the mid-1980s, the “Stockwell Strangler” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kenneth_Erskine], who, incidentally, is still detained in a mental hospital.
What struck me as much as anything is how smart the uniformed police still looked back then; one forgets. No beards, no stubble, no tattoos, and wearing shirts and ties and neat uniforms. What a contrast to the often untidy-looking rabble they (especially in London?) are today, with their beards and tattoos.
— Boris D'Burger-Zilla (Vote Count Binface) (@dozecat007) June 24, 2024
A parody very close to the truth.
Sometimes, as I navigate along the potholed and badly-patched highways in the area where I live (supposedly one of the most affluent in England), thinking about things, I think that this country is so ****** that only some kind of very radical, indeed revolutionary, change will be able to give it a decent future.
Labour are haemorrhaging votes as they cannot get enough 'activists' out on the stump.
Slightly more than half the number of Labour activists are on the stump in this election compared to the Corbyn campaigns.
Labour is dying at it's roots, Tories at the head.
💬 “If Keir Starmer said, you know, we’re setting up a cross-party commission on the NHS or on AI, and we want people from different parties … I’d love to do that”@jamesrbuk meets @RoryStewartUK, for @theipaper
Tories might complain about Labour's position on gender transition but it was the Tories who mainstreamed woke gender ideology. We need a politics that actually stands up to this nonsense.https://t.co/eRkEYav5SF
#VoteTactically folks. Braverman works more for Likud than her constituents. Fareham and Waterlooville Labour voters, please lend Lib Dems your vote. https://t.co/bUBqTMjTV1
Needless to say, my views on the current migration-invasion are not unalike to those of Suella Braverman, but I do not need some Mauritian Indian bas-class import to tell me what to think. Anyway, she is married to a Jewish Zionist, and supports Israel to the hilt, so nein, danke!
For Ukrainian troops, a difficult situation has developed on the battlefield, said the head of intelligence of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense Kirill Budanov in an interview with The Philadelphia Inquirer. This is how he answered the journalist’s question whether the Ukrainian… pic.twitter.com/82kpTvdTXE
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
“For Ukrainian troops, a difficult situation has developed on the battlefield, said the head of intelligence of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense Kirill Budanov in an interview with The Philadelphia Inquirer. This is how he answered the journalist’s question whether the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to stop the advance of Russian troops.”
Will truth now start to break out in the newsrooms of the Western msm?
The head of Ukrainian intelligence Budanov* admitted that the situation at the front for the Ukrainian troops is difficult. He also stressed that he opposes peace negotiations with Russia pic.twitter.com/Hs1Bskufun
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Russia cannot lose this war and will not lose it.
A big fire in Odessa after a rocket attack – a storage of Western-made rockets was hit pic.twitter.com/1xr6L3Pwj8
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Ukrainian army will have to get used to it – FAB-3000 has arrived at the front Another video of the use of a FAB-3000 devastating bomb with a universal planning and correction module in the village of Lipci in the Kharkiv region appeared on social networks pic.twitter.com/jLjrxkvNCV
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Ukrainian deputies received 20 thousand dollars for voting in support of the mobilization law. This was stated by ex-Minister of Labor of Poland Piotr Kulpa. pic.twitter.com/2QkyZjLb7q
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Kiev-regime “Ukraine” is not even a “failed state”— it is scarcely a state at all.
More than half a million people left Israel forever during the first six months of the war in the Gaza Strip, from October 7 to April, reports the Israeli television channel Channel 12 pic.twitter.com/7K2VLVH7q9
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
Huge numbers of Israeli Jews are dual passport-holders.
“Nigel Farage is on course to win the Clacton seat with a 27 point lead in a devastating blow to the Conservatives.
The Clacton Constituency poll, conducted by JL Partners on behalf of Friderichs Advisory Partners, has Farage polling at 48 per cent while the Tory leader sits back at 21 per cent of the vote share.
Farage is leading in every age group apart from the 18 to 34-year-olds and only one in five 2019 Conservative voters are sticking to the party.“
[GB News]
I presume by “Tory leader“, GB News means “Conservative Party candidate“(?), unless the reference is to Sunak in his Richmond (Yorkshire) constituency.
I predicted previously on the blog that the Labour candidate at Clacton would bomb, maybe even losing his deposit. Let’s see.
Never thought I’d ever say this, but well said, Harry Cole, on gamblegate:
“It looks like the last days of Rome, it’s nicking the candlesticks on the way out. The first instinct the people running your election campaign had as soon as they found out was to fill their boots.” pic.twitter.com/LFC7VrFuXv
Yes, 800 a day crossing the Channel, being ferried most of the way by the bloody “Border Force” farce and others, such as the RNLI, but what about the other invaders, 4,000+ per day, coming in quasi-“legally”?
Starmer-Labour will stop the smaller influx, the “small boats” influx, to a large extent, by simply rubberstamping 90% or more of the applications before they even get here, doing it in France, after which the invaders will simply get onto a ferry in Calais and will be here 2-3 hours later.
Residents of Khan Yunis are returning to life in the ruins of their homes destroyed as a result of the occupation. pic.twitter.com/ycoTGz1bGZ
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 24, 2024
I do not think that I can be accused of being overly pro-Arab, let alone pro-Islamist, and I might be induced to agree that the attack on Israel in October 2023 should not have happened (for the good of all sides), but what Israel has done since then has been utterly abhorrent, and it continues to do the same or similar.
Many readers will be aware that I was put on trial in November 2023 for having supposedly published 5 “grossly offensive” items on this blog; 5 items within 5 pages (5 days’ posts). 5 blog posts out of, at the time, about 1,700. I was sentenced in March 2024.
The background of that is known to some but not all readers. I therefore offer the following blog pages as explanation (obviously, I cannot republish or link to the 5 blog posts which were determined by the Court to have been, or to have contained material, “grossly offensive“, so here are 5 others).
I should add that, while 5 blog posts were determined, in the magistrates’ court, to have contained “grossly offensive” material (in fact, in my opinion, largely innocuous comments and cartoons), the material in question was tiny in amount, about 2% of each blog post, if that. In fact, only a few sentences allegedly written by me were specifically mentioned in the judgment.
As previously mentioned on the blog, I am perforce far more diplomatic now on the blog than I was a few years ago, but how sad it is that this country that, arguably more than any other bar the USA, championed free speech for so long, should fall victim to this kind of sub-“Stasi“, poundshop KGB-ism, with the Clown Prosecution Service and police falling over themselves to placate the Israel lobby.
Labour leader Keir Flip-flop (Starmer) is the personification of the Norman Wisdom character, the clueless teaboy or whatever, who suddenly wins the lottery (or, in those 1950s days, the football pools). Starmer is about to become an “elected” dictator, despite most people despising, disliking or distrusting him.
Look, though, at what the Conservative Party now is. We are told that, if they survive the election, the leading contenders for the leadership position will probably be Kemi Badenoch (Nigerian), Priti Patel (East African Asian, and Israeli agent), James Cleverly (half-caste West Indian/British), and Suella Braverman (Mauritian Indian). All members of Conservative Friends of Israel, too.
Need one even comment?
[Update, 1 December 2024: Erratum— James Cleverly’s father was African, not (as I said, mistakenly) West Indian].
We are told, also, that the polls say that 20% of eligible voters have not even decided whether they will vote at all, and are also undecided as to which way they might cast their votes if they do vote. Do we take it that many of those will simply abstain? Will they vote simply as protest? Uncertain.
It could just be that those “undecideds” will vote, will want to vote as protest, and so will mostly vote Reform UK. Were that to happen, it really would put the cat among the pigeons.
The fact is that the Conservatives are in deep trouble anyway, that the mere existence of Reform UK has deepened that existing trouble, and that, even at a nationwide 15%-19% (as per recent polls), Reform UK, while perhaps only getting a few seats, would spell doom for the Conservative Party. Which is why the msm is now going crazy trying to demonize Farage and his latest party.
If Reform UK actually scores above 20%, then game on. If the existing ~18% is boosted by another 5 or 10 points, then UK politics will have received a meteorite hit, and will never be the same again. Were Reform UK to get 28% of the national vote, that might mean 80-90 Commons seats, and Reform UK would be the official Opposition.
That may seem impossible or crazy, and it may not happen, but the exciting thing is that it actually could happen. You cannot compare Reform UK in 2024 to Brexit Party in 2019, or UKIP in 2015.
This time, the Cons are going to go down really badly. More importantly, there is a perception this time that to vote Reform UK is not a mere protest vote, but a protest vote that really could accomplish something concrete— the utter destruction of the Conservative Party for a start.
I do not know whether Reform UK will manage to get beyond its present 15%-19% range, and/or get as high as 28%, but it just might.
Talking point
Tweets seen
🔥 “I am not your friend, nor a bride, nor a groom. I am President of the Russian Federation, 146 million people, these people have their own interests and I am obliged to protect them” – President Putin, the best President ever. pic.twitter.com/Idx2FVcKZN
— 🇷🇺Russia is not Enemy (@RussiaIsntEnemy) June 22, 2024
Britain has not had anything approaching such a statesman for a very very long time.
Not that I approve of everything Putin has done within Russia itself, and Russian society still does not have an ideology capable of consigning to the past Western finance-capitalism, the mainly Jewish (but also Russian-criminal) “bandit capitalism” of the past 30+ years, and the former harsh Marxist-Leninist ethos, out of which the “bandit capitalism” emerged.
Still, as a transitional but very significant political power-holder, Putin must be supported as far as necessary, as a bulwark against various poisonous and contending elements in the world.
Farage is on a roll and the Tories are bricking it.
Reform could be up to 25% by next week, which would leave the Tories with less seats than the LibDems… pic.twitter.com/XfxTbyLfti
The policy is working so well as a deterrent that, even in the past couple of days, about 2,000 more migrant-invaders have entered the UK via the English Channel, ferried in by the RNLI and Border Farce.
All the System parties talk about “smuggling gangs”, but the smugglers could, in principle, be dealt with easily enough by special forces undercover. Dealt with. Just dealt with. The necessity is to deter or stop the migrant-invaders themselves, to close down the “small boats” cross-Channel route, and to protect both our borders and the future of our people.
#BBCLauraK Laura Kuenssberg failed to mention Craig Williams mate of RISHI SUNAK admitted to Betting 1OO quid on the Date of the Election He is allowing him still to stand as a Candidate HOW SHOCKING pic.twitter.com/KVRqfG6Cna
Not a very impressive candidate anyway: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Craig_Williams_(British_politician). 39 years old. His only non-political job was as a director of Cardiff Bus, a municipal bus service company owned by Cardiff Council; Williams was a councillor and on the relevant Council committee at the time. What a boondoggle.
Williams has been an MP since 2015, but lost his previous seat to Labour in 2017 and was then elected for another constituency in 2019. That constituency has now been abolished, and redrawn into the new constituency of Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr.
On the previous boundaries, the area was quite solidly LibDem until 2010, when the egregious Lembit Opik managed to ruin his political career by making plainly freeloading expenses claims and by playing around with young Romanian pop singers called the Cheeky Girls: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lembit_%C3%96pik.
While one might have expected Williams to continue the run of Conservative Party successes in the now-redrawn seat, the plunging popularity of the party, combined with Williams having tried to make an illicit profit by betting on the election date while obviously having inside information, may make him unelectable. We shall see.
The new constituency is being contested by Con, Lab, LibDem, Green, Plaid Cymru and, perhaps most interestingly, Reform UK.
Obviously, I have no idea how Reform UK will perform, and it may be that the LibDems have the best chance of getting rid of Williams, but if (a big if, as they say), Reform were to take half of the otherwise Con vote, then either Reform or the LibDems might succeed.
On the wider point, had something like this betting scandal occurred in, say, 1994, or 1984, let alone 1974 or 1964, the person implicated would have been expected to step down either as candidate or, later, as MP (if re-elected). The slide in integrity and honour in British politics is palpable. The bastard seems to be intent on riding it out, and hoping to get away with it.
A reminder that my modest crowdfunder (to help pay the costs imposed on me after my free speech trial) is still running: https://www.givesendgo.com/GC14J.
Late tweets seen
#VoteReform, this is a war to save our country, we are being invaded by people who have no documents and we have no idea where they come from and what they believe in. Only Nigel Farage,Lee Anderson,Richard Tice,BenHabib and Suella Braverman are being honest with the 🇬🇧people. pic.twitter.com/HAEi6sQM8w
Ha ha! Anna Soubry, the notorious former “MP for Plymouth and Angostura” (she briefly threatened me online with a libel suit when I first tweeted that humorous description of her, many years ago, the silly creature), talks about Farage being “a gob shite“!
I can well understand why Anna Soubry has no mirrors around her, but she ought to take a good look at herself some time…
Ha. Yes, that is what is happening. A million migrant-invaders a year? Putin’s fault. Housing crisis? Putin’s fault. Nothing working properly any more in the UK? Putin’s fault.
If the “occupied” UK TV, radio, and newspapers disappeared tomorrow, the air would be cleaner.
"For the millions of people who voted for it, Brexit was always about a long-term repositioning of their country –not simply chasing short-term financial gains"https://t.co/4TVdgt1SBz
Even 8 years ago, I was saying that “Brexit is more than Brexit“. Now, I say that people voting Reform UK are doing so for reasons far beyond, far far wider, than a limited wish to have Farage and his party get a few MPs.
Israel launched a massive strike on Hezbollah positions in Lebanon, several Middle Eastern channels reported Allegedly,phosphorus shells are used pic.twitter.com/oOuvBxbovg
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
Our animal friends.
The moment ATACMS missiles of the Ukrainian Armed Forces hit the beach in Sevastopol was caught on video.
The Russian Ministry of Defense promised to take revenge for the attack on civilians. pic.twitter.com/c0UPyWI3ZE
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
🇺🇸 The strike by the Ukrainian armed forces on Sevastopol is nothing more than a gesture of desperation by which Kiev tries to divert attention from its failures on the battlefield , said Scott Ritter pic.twitter.com/NhwJtlxFCM
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
🇷🇺 The Ukrainian attack on Sevastopol represents a ritual crime , said Maria Zakharova.
" The Day of the Holy Trinity was not chosen by chance ," added the spokeswoman of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
The head of Sevastopol clarified that after the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ attack on the city, four people (including two children) died, and not five, as previously reported. The total number of victims increased to 144, of which 82 were hospitalized, – RIA Novosti pic.twitter.com/taICaHmi6K
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
🇩🇪 The Alternative for Germany party wants to create a faction in the European Parliament that will seek normal relations with Russia and fight against the hegemony of the European Union , writes "Spiegel".
▪️AfD needs 23 deputies from seven countries for this, and the party…
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
Ilana Grichevski, an Israeli prisoner released by Hamas, praised the resistance forces:
“I feel betrayed by the government. Not a single minister had time to call and ask how I was doing. Al-Qassam treated us like human beings. This is simply a disgrace for the Netanyahu… pic.twitter.com/GsycYO8zRg
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
🇵🇸 Government press office in the Gaza Strip:
Since the beginning of the war in the Gaza Strip, more than 17 thousand children have been orphaned as a result of the occupation, 3% of whom have lost both parents. pic.twitter.com/vshTjt9aSb
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 23, 2024
Well, this week brought only 5/10, same as political journalist John Rentoul. I knew the answers to questions 1, 2, 3, 8, and 10; was a few years out on question 7, could not bring to mind the answer to question 4, and had no idea about questions 5, 6, and 9.
I am a market researcher. I spoke to Sunak about Polls at the leadership hustings. I don't think he believes them and to some extent he is right to do so. But we've been out campaigning in Bexhill and Battle and have yet to meet anyone whose said they'll vote Tory in a 26k…
— The Good Statistician aka Nigel Jacklin (@TheGoodStatsMan) June 20, 2024
“I am a market researcher. I spoke to Sunak about Polls at the leadership hustings. I don’t think he believes them and to some extent he is right to do so. But we’ve been out campaigning in Bexhill and Battle and have yet to meet anyone whose said they’ll vote Tory in a 26k majority seat.”
We read newspapers, watch TV commentary, see opinion polls, look at (often biased) Twitter/X comment. All contribute to our belief as to what might happen on Election Day. Beyond that, there is mere personal experience of one’s own local area; anecdotal, subjective.
I myself live in an area of coastal Hampshire known for being traditionally “safe” Conservative. The local MP is someone with some of whose views (eg on the Covid scamdemic/panicdemic) I can agree, but with whom I would not agree on other topics. He is also a very poor constituency MP— lazy, uncaring, and totally useless in fact, as a few people have told me after not having received help or even a polite acknowledgment from him.
In previous general elections, I have seen almost exclusively Conservative Party posters around, and one huge banner on a house in the nearby small town. This time, I think only one Conservative poster, and three or four LibDem ones. Unscientific, but is that a straw in the wind? Hard to say, but interesting all the same.
The incumbent MP has been there since the constituency was created in 1997. He has never scored below 50%, and received well over 60% in both 2017 and 2019. Labour usually come third (second in 2017) here, and the LibDems (usually second-placed, though fourth behind Con, UKIP and Labour in 2015) had their best result in 1997 (27.8%).
In other words, it would take a political earthquake, maybe a political meteorite strike, to displace the Conservative here…and yet…and yet…
I may be reading too much into the presence or otherwise of political posters put up locally, but it occurred to me that the Conservative Party in the constituency has (perhaps) few volunteers now. The average age of Con Party members in this constituency must be around 80 if not 90. Does the presence of a few LibDem posters indicate a local upsurge, or just a single diligent volunteer?
How big the Reform UK vote here will be on 4 July 2024 is uncertain. UKIP scored 16.9% in 2015, though far less prior to that. Since 2015, there has been no broadly “national” party standing, and no social-national party has ever stood here.
💥#Breaking Three former Prime Minister's Office employees have been awarded $240,000 for abuse akin to "modern slavery" at the hands of Benjamin & Sara Netanyahu. Jerusalem District Court rules in the case of Chef Joe Korson & household employees Aharon Naor & Yair Itzhaki. pic.twitter.com/itPGXPwxMR
If the staff had been Palestinian Arabs, they would have stood no chance. Having said that, Arabs would probably not have been employed anyway, for reasons of security.
I hope not. That would leave me politically homeless again. A vote for Conservative is a vote for Labour because they’ve shown themselves to be one globalist uniparty. I need a party that i can trust to rid government of WEF influence.
Farage and Reform UK to merge with the Cons within 14 days? That sounds ludicrous. If it were to happen, in the 12 days left, it would just be a replay of 2019, when Farage stabbed his own party in the back; with one big difference, though— in 2019, Farage’s back-stab meant that instead of a likely hung Parliament, “Boris”-idiot was able to get an 80-seat Commons majority. In this General Election, the surrounding situation is very different.
Were the predicted merger to occur, and if Farage then urged voters to vote Con in many constituencies, all that would happen would be that Labour would still win overall, but with a majority of maybe 100+ instead of maybe 300. Of course, that would save perhaps 100 or 150 Con Party seats. It would also destroy whatever credibility Farage still seems to have with many people.
After any such merger, I suppose that the idea would be that Sunak would lose the election, resign, disappear from view, and that a leadership election would then anoint Farage as leader of the Con/Reform party.
Not totally impossible, arguably, but very unlikely. Reform UK is on a roll. Brexit Party had all wind taken out of its sails by Farage’s treachery in 2019. The same would happen today. It might even help Labour more than Reform UK fighting on as at present. After all, all the Reform UK candidates are now on the ballot papers.
The only way the predicted merger would work would be if Sunak and Farage were to announce a list of which seats would be “gifted” to Reform UK, but the candidates would still have to remain nominally in place.
That prediction to me sounds like nonsense. After the election might be a different story, were Reform UK to have 5-10 MPs in the Commons, and the Cons 50-100. However, once Reform UK merged with the Cons, and after (if it were to happen) Farage were elected to lead the merged parties, then what? The surviving Con MPs would be not a good match with the new Reform UK MPs; apple and orange. What could they offer the public? Con Party policies but with more emphasis on immigration? Sounds underwhelming.
Never say never, but I cannot see it as likely. If, however, it were to happen, it might yet open the door, on the flank, to real social-national people. “Always look on the bright side of life“.
As to that Gewolb individual’s views on UK interest rates, I do not have the economic background to assess them.
American merchant banker, UK resident since 1999, now aged 80.
The Conservative Party is dying on its feet right in front of us. I really cannot see Farage wanting to ally himself with a party that, in another metaphor, is sinking below the waves. Not even after the election.
I notice that the Sky News “Chief Political Correspondent”, one Jon Craig, has been wheeled out to write a piece on the Sky News website about how “vile” Farage was to speak the truth about the Ukraine situation, i.e. that NATO has steadily advanced across Eastern Europe since the 1990s, thus destabilizing the NATO-Russia status quo.
Interesting language…”vile“— reminiscent of the language used by “the usual suspects” (((them)))…
The System may be getting or feeling seriously threatened by Reform UK, and is trying to use attack propaganda to weaken Farage’s appeal.
Craig claims that most “Britons” support “Ukraine” (the Kiev regime). I doubt it. Look at the comments section of the Daily Mail.
There is something going on here, with System scribblers, talking heads, and both “Labour” and “Conservative” Friends of Israel MPs all attacking Farage.
I have just heard the news on my car radio. Farage’s comments about the Ukraine situation were prominently displayed. I wonder, though, whether the Kiev regime is as popular with the people as it is with pseudo-“elite” deadheads such as Ben Wallace (former Con MP) and the Labour Friends of Israel drones. I think not.
In any case, few if any will now decide not to vote for Reform UK just because of a few comments about NATO.
Using, as always, Electoral Calculus, I make that a House of Commons with 468 Labour MPs —overall majority of 286, Con 67, LibDem 63, SNP 20, Reform UK 6, Plaid 4, Greens 2 (etc). https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.
If you're from England this hits you on multiple levels. Very well done.
I agree, in principle, with the vast majority of that, about 90%. Only social nationalism will actually “do de job”, though. Reform UK is too finance-capitalistic, too pro-Israel, not quite what I would ever support as a destination (rather than as a means to an end).
Today is the UK msm “hit Farage” day, it seems. “Ukraine”, NHS etc etc. Anything to get the Reform UK vote down. I doubt that it will work.
Your so right, this guy Cleverly is a parasite, hasn’t done anything remotely worthwhile, Cleverly and Sunak have done irreparable damage to this once great country, now its in decline thanks to masses of migrants, many clearly unfit to even be in the U.K.
Even in an election the Tory civil war on immigration continues. Armed Forces Minister slams James Cleverly for lying. Cleverly promised illegals would not be placed in new flats only to change his mind 1 day before election purdah rules started.More lies https://t.co/Lf0y6WFliL
I used to watch Yes Minister and Yes Prine Minister. Very witty and cleverly written. Gone are the days when most households get a daily newspaper. Reform UK is doing extremely well on social media, and they definitely are getting my vote. https://t.co/lUnJu5aCOG
— Concerned Citizen (@BGatesIsaPyscho) June 22, 2024
I have blogged once or twice in the past about how, in the mid-1990s, I visited the biological research base at Porton Down, accompanying the then Ukrainian Ambassador. Those posts can be found via the search box on the blog. Here is one, anyway: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2022/03/06/diary-blog-6-march-2022/
Good grief. He is only 5 years older than me; looks like an extra from Lord of the Rings, perhaps (first picture) someone with an incurable affliction or someone cursed by a wizard, or (second picture) a dishonest peasant or itinerant tinker. Still moneygrasping at age 72. Part-Jew. I never liked what I saw of him. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Geldof.
Kharkiv will remember today for the rocketing of Belgorod. FAB arrives every few minutes on average. pic.twitter.com/MV5CrQTifX
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 22, 2024
Polls from Emerson College and The Hill show Trump leading Biden in key states: Arizona (43-47%), Georgia (41-45%), Michigan (45-46%), Nevada (46, 43-43%), Pennsylvania (45–47%) and Wisconsin (44–47%).
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 22, 2024
Israeli police attack Israeli demonstrators demanding the overthrow of Netanyahu's government. pic.twitter.com/PTvHT4fLj0
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 22, 2024
Left to itself, the world’s only Jewish state would collapse into a kind of civil war, but the money and armament provided by the Jewish “communities” both directly and indirectly (via governments) in the USA, UK, France etc keep the whole project going, so far.
The Ukrainian people are signaling to the world that they need help to get rid of Zelensky. Yesterday, at a football match with Slovakia, Ukrainians carried out a banner with the inscription “Give us back the elections.” pic.twitter.com/IeiTEnuVTx
— Global Info Factory (@GlobalInfoFact) June 22, 2024
Zelensky is a Jewish tyrant, who has suspended elections, banned most political parties, banned trade unions, and arrested or killed political opponents.
A hot summer awaits us in Ukraine "A major military event will take place in August or September." pic.twitter.com/k3qVVqTupW
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 22, 2024
Perhaps a general Russian advance.
“Germany is no longer the same” – Orban chastised Berlin for the failure of migration policy
Before his visit to Berlin, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban criticized modern Germany. He said that the country had even lost its former smell, clearly making fun of its problem… pic.twitter.com/rcBskHWP8C
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 22, 2024
“Germany is no longer the same” – Orban chastised Berlin for the failure of migration policy.
Before his visit to Berlin, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban criticized modern Germany. He said that the country had even lost its former smell, clearly making fun of its problem with migration, writes The Daily Telegraph. “Germany no longer has the taste it used to have. She doesn’t smell like she used to anymore. This whole Germany is no longer the Germany that our grandparents and parents set as an example for us,” the politician said in an interview before a meeting with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
Orbán also said that Germany was once a country of “order,” “well-organized work” and “hard-working people.” But now, he noted, citing the German newspaper Die Welt, Germany is a “colorful, changed, multicultural world” where migrants are “no longer guests.” “This is a very big change,” summed up the head of the Hungarian government.“
Late thoughts about GE 2024
If reports are to be believed, 20% of voters have either not made up their minds as to how they will vote, or have not decided whether they will vote at all.
The 20% equates to thousands of eligible voters in every constituency.
It is also reported that as many as 175 seats are in very close contest now, more than a quarter of all seats.
I have speculated previously whether there is, or is not, a bloc of “secret Reform UK voters”, people who may not admit to leaning towards Reform UK if asked. I do not know the answer to that, and neither do I know its size if it exists, but if that bloc does exist, and if it mostly votes Reform UK on the day, then all bets are off, because there just might be a political meteorite strike on the 4th of July…
Even that averaged poll translates, according to my use of Electoral Calculus, into a House of Commons with 476 Labour MPs (overall majority 302), 62 LibDem, 60 Con, 20 SNP, 6 Reform UK, 4 Plaid, and 2 Green (etc).
One big reason why so many Brits are fed-up, why Nigel Farage is back, is because they know both Left & Right, both Labour & the Tories, are committed to the ongoing failure of mass immigration. My latest in @TheSunhttps://t.co/XFT1hZuj21
There are still large numbers of (arguably) “well-meaning” pro-mass-immigration idiots around. They are loud on Twitter/X, and on msm shows such as BBC Question Time. In the country as a whole, while I think that they are a minority, and possibly a smaller minority than was the case 5 years ago, there are still far too many of them.
We have to be clear. The level of immigration into the UK, effectively a migration-invasion, that we have been seeing (~1M a year), is not just a debating issue for the TV, radio, or at university moots; it is an existential danger for UK society. UK society stands in peril of complete collapse within a decade because of this.
It seems that one must repeat and repeat the valid points about pressure on every part of society caused by or made much worse by the invasion, because that pro-immigration minority, most MPs, most TV and radio talking heads, and most newspaper scribblers, are NOT LISTENING.
More tweets seen
Holy sh*t, Zelensky’s militants just kidnapped a father in broad daylight, leaving his wife and little baby alone in the street..
Yes, but literally millions of idiots and/or quasi-traitors are either unable to see that, or prefer not to see it. However, the real emergency around immigration is the total picture, not just the ~5% invading across the Channel.
Election in Birkenhead set to be closest result in generations
On the doorstep, residents are increasingly saying they will be backing Jo Bird as the candidate who will best represent Birkenhead in parliament. Many are aware that Greens already out score Labour in local… pic.twitter.com/X1a71F3PE2
Voters are increasingly dissatisfied with the System parties. A large part of that is not purely ideological but actuated by the ever-lower living standards and conditions of employment, housing and general life-expectation.
As the millions of migrant-invaders flow in, the situation can only intensify, along with the frustration and dissatisfaction of the UK masses, leading eventually to an overthrow of the entire system in this country.
What is so disgusting about the “Boris” Johnson pseudo-“upper crust” “cosplay” is that the bastard is not even really British. Part-Jew (one of his ancestors was an Orthodox Jewish rabbi in Lithuania), and brought up mainly in the USA and Belgium, with a gloss of Englishness via Eton and Oxford (where his nationality was recorded as having been “American”). Cameron-Levita is a more-polished version of the same, really.
The last actually/really British Prime Minister was Gordon Brown (if you leave out the moronic 49-day careerist “Prime Minister”, Liz Truss).
NEW POST. Something IS happening out there in the country. They laughed at my poll — they're NOT laughing now.https://t.co/qPd1F5CLH9
The so-called “expert commentators”— the Tim Montgomeries, the Ayesha Hazarikas, the Beth Rigbys… when have they been right about anything?
I saw a few minutes of Montgomerie on Sky News yesterday, all emotional because of the distress being suffered by people who have been Conservative MPs for years and who are now candidates, and the distress and anxiety suffered by their families now that the Cons look set to be all but wiped out. “These are people“, cried Montgomerie.
Ha ha! Watch me laugh as some at least of those System political swine and profiteers suffer a tiny bit of the anxiety and distress suffered over the past 14+ years by the sick, disabled, poor, homeless, unemployed etc, while those bastards voted time and again to bully and oppress —and repress— the real people suffering in this country. I want the “Conservative” careerists to suffer personally. I want them to have to chase jobs with no result. I want them to worry every day about whether they can feed themselves and their families. I want them to lose their homes and status symbols. I want them to suffer.
I think that a very large proportion of the country is with me on this.
Here are YOUR PUBLIC SERVICES that 5 Prime Ministers have stolen in the past 14 years
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 21, 2024
Mariupol on the Sea of Azov, before the present war the 10th largest city of Ukraine, and which was heavily damaged in the fighting a couple of years ago.
Looks like Russia is making a good start, at the very least, in reconstructing the city.
Well, this week I return to winning form: 8/10, compared to the 6/10 scored by political journalist John Rentoul. I did not know the answers to questions 7 and 10.
Tweets seen
Reform UK have proposed requiring businesses to pay a higher rate of NI for foreign workers than British ones. Britons would back such a move by 41% to 30%https://t.co/1cDP3MxAF2pic.twitter.com/HOEh8Y1GDe
Cameron-Levita in his usual bubble of total unreality. The idiot who brought us the war on Gaddafi (result— millions of Africans flooding Europe), fake “austerity” (result— misery for millions, as well as lower economic growth than anywhere in the then EU, USA etc), and other misconceived policy choices, most recently the increased support for the brutal and shambolic dictatorship of Zelensky in Kiev.
Not only is it infuriating that a 95 year-old woman would be in jail for her words, not crimes, but the fact that she is speaking truth makes it even more absurd
Who has the 'whip hand' in this interaction? Or in all such interactions? Who does the state support more? Who would the police interject to defend first? Who does the organisation the interviewer represents themselves represent?
The pendulum may start to swing back now that pine martens are being reintroduced in several parts of the country; pine martens prey on grey squirrels but not (much) on red squirrels.
The Tories are unlikely to attract many Reform UK voters given…
– Only 36% would vote Tory if a Reform UK candidate wasn't standing – 61% are voting Reform despite thinking they won't win in their seat – 75% say the Tories and Labour are as bad as each other – 74-76%… pic.twitter.com/P7UpQvMAfJ
Desperate. I had not heard of that MP. Looks a bit of a careerist; tried to become a Police and Crime Commissioner at one point (came third in the election): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robbie_Moore_(MP).
I cannot think that those attempts at confusing the voters (of High Peak and also Keighley) will work. After all, most people vote according to party label, so when the voter is faced with a ballot paper, the “X” is placed by the party more than the candidate’s name.
Biden wanders offstage or walks like a geriatric robot. Yet we are meant to believe he’s carefully navigating us through the nuclear tripwires of the West’s serial wars.
Meanwhile, back in the real world… There are dozens of similar clips of Biden, far more embarrassing than this one. I included this photo and video because it's the most recent example and because the parachute strings work as a visual metaphor for my argument.
Just because Biden's dementia is obvious why do you assume the person is a Trump supporter? Maybe you should ask the DNC why they are running a dementia patient with an approval rating at an all time low? Biden will not win again. I suggest getting behind Jill Stein 👍🏽
— Casa ChiChi 🆓 🦀 #M4A 🚑 (@CasaChichi) June 15, 2024
Clacton
He’s a racist who said he likes to drink white men’s tears and believe Wakanda to be a real place. He’s a clown and Farage will wipe the floor with him.#votereform@reformparty_ukhttps://t.co/CGTXCU53cr
Labour has no chance at Clacton, a famously “left behind” and white British area. To choose an African “eternal student” as candidate is almost insulting to the voters there. Moreover, one whose social media posts make clear his hostility to the real people of the UK.
Despite Labour’s overall “popularity by default” in the nationwide campaign, I should not be surprised if its vote-share at Clacton were to dip below 10%.
The frightening thing is not that such a candidate is standing in Clacton, where Labour has little or no chance; it is that, across the country, similarly-hostile individuals are likely to be elected next month for Labour. God help the poor English people of these islands.
Labour’s candidate for Clacton, standing against @Nigel_Farage, has said:
White man tears are his “favourite drink”.
The people of Clacton surely won’t vote for someone who clearly has a problem with white men? pic.twitter.com/HbRILpgHaN
Not quite what I want to see: too many Con MPs. A couple of unexpected wrinkles too, such as Reform UK with 7 seats, and the SNP with 37, more than twice the number predicted elsewhere.
While the Con Party is toast pretty much whatever happens between now and 4 July, in some respects the General Election is quite open. A substantial minority are either undecided as to for which party they might vote, or are undecided as to whether to bother to vote at all.
That may mean a better than expected Con Party performance, a better than expected Labour (or even LibDem) performance but, most intriguingly, perhaps an even better than expected Reform UK vote, either as a targeted anti-Con vote, as a serious “I am dissatisfied” protest vote, or an angry “F.U., System parties!” vote.
The election is shaping up to be both interesting and important, perhaps even historic.
Our latest MRP shows the Conservatives are in deep trouble in their heartlands. They are set to hold on to just 13 out of 52 seats in the Blue Wall. Across these seats their vote share is down by an average of 23%. pic.twitter.com/Uog1OsAUko
Been a mad few days in the rain and the sun, but our signs are coming together. Thanks so much if you’ve let us put one on your fence. Any problems please do get in touch. I’m sorry they have my face in them. They’ll all be gone in a couple of weeks! pic.twitter.com/bDmOep9qjR
— Rt Hon Johnny Mercer (@JohnnyMercerUK) June 14, 2024
So will you, probably!
As people, from what I have seen online etc, ex-officer Mercer and his lady wife seem like a pleasant couple, but we are talking serious politics here.
Mercer has increased his majority steadily and considerably since first elected in 2015, but the general unpopularity of his party, his poor performance as a minister, and his personal moneygrasping would seem to leave him exposed. Also, Reform UK may well eat into his 2019 vote. Well, we shall soon know.
[Wanda Landowska with Tolstoy in 1908 or 1909, possibly at Yasnaya Polyana but more likely at Tolstoy’s house at Kropotkinskaya in central Moscow, which I myself have visited; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wanda_Landowska]
Tweets seen
CASE UPDATE: Patron Law insist I get a costs order against Mr Cantor before I apply for costs against them.
My application for costs against Mr Cantor is delayed because he is seriously unwell.
For the record, can I state what absolutely first rate chaps Patron Law’s partners… pic.twitter.com/7h1EkUq9pd
“CASE UPDATE: Patron Law insist I get a costs order against Mr Cantor before I apply for costs against them. My application for costs against Mr Cantor is delayed because he is seriously unwell. For the record, can I state what absolutely first rate chaps Patron Law’s partners are (Mark Lewis, Benjamin May and Alexander Zivancevic) for putting their former client Mr Cantor through this in his current state of health. This is them.“
"If the polls remain as they are then on July 5 Nigel Farage, not the Tories, will be able to claim that he is now the main opposition across a large swathe of Labour areas. Reform is already polling ahead of the Tories in parts of the Midlands, the North, and Wales" https://t.co/10FbF9mxSA
Most voters, most TV talking heads and newspaper scribblers etc have not yet caught up with me and a few of the more perceptive msm commentators (such as Tim Stanley) in understanding that, in Stanley’s words, “the [Conservative Party] brand is…just gone“, and that means that only a few habit-voters, mostly the very elderly, will be voting Con at GE 2024 or thereafter.
I notice that, in latest polling, the Conservative Party is down to 18% with one pollster.
That has happened before to the Cons, in 2019, and in relation to the brief rise and fall of Brexit Party, but not 3 weeks before a general election. In that year, I think that the Cons were down to 19% at one point.
Wow. Only 22 days to go & in the very latest polls the Conservatives are averaging just 21% of the vote! https://t.co/10FbF9m032
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 12, 2024
On a secondary point, who could have imagined, in the 1980s, that Russian roads, in the provinces at that, would be better in 2024 than any roads in the UK? Shameful.
I’m staggered that the tories are predicted to get over 100 seats in parliament. Who the hell is still voting for these parasites? #panorama
The people still voting en masse for the Conservative Party will be, as previously noted, lifelong Con habit-voters now aged 75+, who are concentrated mainly in the safest seats of southern England. In those constituencies, the not-poor and the elderly are the majority.
Having said that, my prediction, right or wrong, remains closer to 50 than 100 Con seats after 4 July 2024.
Talking point
More tweets
"Since his D-Day disaster Rishi Sunak’s leadership rating has crashed to the lowest level on record–MINUS 21– not far off what I call Prince Andrew territory"https://t.co/cFBOvIBQd9
It’s the insipid smile that gets me. Trott, not gifted in the grey matter department, essentially laughing at a plan that will withdraw funds from the most vulnerable in British society; people made more vulnerable by Tory policy in the first place. #ToryManifesto#eviltorieshttps://t.co/dI9GoEmyYF
A poll conducted by Public First found that 46% of people agreed that the Tories “deserve to lose every seat” , including 24% of those who voted for the party in 2019https://t.co/JOU7uVCRQd
As already blogged, I do not “blame” Sunak for not remaining at the 1944 commemoration. After all, he is not, in any real way, “British” in the first place, despite having been born here and having attended Winchester and Oxford.
As for Sunak’s poll ratings, hard to see how they could go much lower. He’s on the way out. Everyone knows it; he knows it. Within 3 weeks, give or take a day or two, he will no longer be PM. Within a few months, he will have been all but forgotten, like Liz Truss.
You might not want to hear this.
Many people don’t.
I just spent the last week travelling between London, Helsinki and Tallinn.
I lived in London for many years but it has changed out of all recognition.
“You might not want to hear this. Many people don’t.
I just spent the last week travelling between London, Helsinki and Tallinn.
I lived in London for many years but it has changed out of all recognition. Tallinn and Helsinki have a safe feel. Homogeneous. No “diversity barriers”. After London, it was quite a shock. You can argue about whether the changes in London are for the better or not but the kids in both Helsinki and Tallinn are skateboarding and drinking milkshakes. They are not carrying around knives and terrorising or stabbing other kids. There is space and clean streets. People are friendly – even to strangers.
London felt like it was crumbling. Closed roads everywhere. A murder minutes from where I was within 6 hours of my arrival. People seemed miserable. I want the UK to do better. To be better. But they need to change things significantly and stop the transformation of the capital city into a third world city. Anyone else agree?“
Almost all people of sense agree. 90% of white (i.e. real British) people agree, and even very many of the non-whites agree. Just a tendentious 10% of the people disagree, but that includes most of the MPs, most of the fake “Lords”, and most of the treacherous msm talking heads and scribblers. Poisonous. Get rid of them, and the UK will start to improve.
I simply don’t believe voters are inspired by @Keir_Starmer. What an utterly dismal prospect for our country. Grey in every way.
Yes. Starmer is a disaster waiting to happen; not waiting as an actor or a barrister does, prior to striding onto the stage or rising up in court, but waiting like a man in a charity-shop raincoat, waiting for a bus in the drizzle of a London winter.
Laurence Fox is, politically, a sad waste of space. Pro-Israel, basically pro-Conservative but with a few quibbles around flags and monuments and the like.
Reform UK has one main use as far as I am concerned— to help kill off the Conservative Party. A secondary use is to move the “Overton Window” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window].
“The Overton window is the range of policies politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time.[1] It is also known as the window of discourse.” [Wikipedia]
Keir Starmer says Labour will "end the culture war". This is not true. Labour will mainstream a divisive identity politics, gender ideology, critical race theory, & maintain mass migration. Subscribers already have the detailhttps://t.co/ohKIsJJDk9
Stand by for Starmer’s fake Labour “elected” dictatorship…
Housing now entering the election debate. Here's the key fact. We build 189,000 homes a year, below 300,000 target. But guess what. We need to build 515,000 just to keep up with the demand from mass immigration. I doubt you'll hear that today.https://t.co/pWTmH3Gnnm
Quite right. All sorts of people (often “you know who”…), such as Jonathan Portes, all terribly clever (in their own minds) will be saying, and have for years been saying, that the importation of a million (more or less) unwanted immigrants every year has little or no effect on housing demand. Hardy ha ha…
That useless and half-crazed ex-MP and Cabinet minister (incredibly), Sajid Javid, said something similar years ago, I think.
The “4 million” there should now be replaced by at least 10 million; soon 15 million and 20 million.
Ha. So the little Indian money-juggler “promises” to halve net migration? (“net” includes the 200,000-300,000, mainly real Brits, who leave every year for Australasia etc).
So “only” half a million blacks and browns etc (or more) will be coming in every year?
Oh…that’s not too bad…oh, no, wait a minute…
Sunak and Starmer get police protection – Nigel Farage has to pay for his own. Increasingly obvious that situation needs to change for the leader of the UK's 3rd most popular political party. @reformparty_uk
I have blogged previously about how, to my mind, Farage’s close protection squad seems not very effective. So far, it has been milkshakes and the like, but that may escalate to serious weapons such as knives. He needs to revamp his security to prevent that. The way the UK is going, nothing can be ruled out.
🚨 NEW: Reform UK candidate Ian Gribbin has now apologised
"I apologise for these old comments and withdraw them unreservedly and the upset that they have caused"
"I myself are upset at the way these comments were taken out of context especially when my mother was the… https://t.co/DSH07tAXPk
That Reform UK candidate was right in his original comments. Britain should never have declared war on the German Reich, and was not under attack at the time. In fact, the first British soldier was killed on 9 December 1939, over 3 months after war was declared, having stepped on a French landmine: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Priday.
In 1940, Germany made a number of peace proposals, both before and after Dunkirk, all of which were ignored. Hitler even ordered a halt to the German infantry and armour advance on Dunkirk, which allowed that very large large evacuation to occur.
Hitler wanted peace and, if possible, collaboration, with the British Empire. He wanted the two empires to rule most of the world together, or in parallel, opposing both Sovietism and Americanism.
Had peace or at least armistice been declared in 1940 or at the time of the flight of Rudolf Hess in 1941, most of the devastation of Western and Central Europe, including in the UK and Germany, would never have happened.
That peace would also have meant no Cold War, no Korean War, probably no Vietnam War (etc), no “Israel” and therefore no Middle East wars (because the Middle East would have been mainly under British and French control). It would have meant far less environmental degradation in Africa and Asia, and far less civil conflict on those continents.
Had such peace “broken out”, Sovietism would not have encroached upon Eastern and Central Europe, as it did after 1945. The whole of Europe and the world would have been in a better place.
Wow an actual patriot who understands history, how awful!
The British Empire might still exist and our race wouldn't be getting institutionally genocided, horrifying!
At least one tweeter who has seen through the propaganda (((lies))).
The mainstream historical consensus is that Hitler did in fact want an alliance with Britain, and viewed German attempts at naval competition with Britain prior to WWI as a key strategic error which he tried to avoid repeating.https://t.co/Co2ZSn7Mxa
That candidate would be correct, Adolf Hitler wanted nothing but peace with the British and the French. His aim was always to go East and destroy Judeo-Bolshevism, once and for all. Without Hitler beating the Soviets to the punch, all of Europe would have been speaking Russian
The above shows opinion polling re. the safe (?) Con seat of Tatton, presently occupied (or rather, formerly occupied, until 2024 Dissolution) by ridiculous deadhead Esther McVey. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Esther_McVey.
It can be seen from the graphic that Esther McVey is pressed closely by the Labour candidate, who is within a point or so of catching her. Also, that the LibDem is on about 12%, and has no chance of actual election.
Were the LibDem-intending voters to vote for Labour, Esther McVey would be turfed out; but will enough of them be sufficiently motivated to do that? Open question.
How does someone with so little intelligence become a Cabinet Minister? Still, look at his predecessors at the DWP, among them Esther McVey and Iain Dunce Duncan Smith…
So the self employed are going to get their state pension for free. That won’t go down very well. Absolutely crackers. https://t.co/3dNS5zrKHi
“Labour”, as I have repeatedly blogged, will indeed “stop the small boats”, and will do it by having some kind of mainland Europe “processing”, i.e. rubberstamping the applications of 90%+ of those wanting to come here. Maybe even 99%.
— Global Info Factory (@GlobalInfoFact) June 11, 2024
Crazy. The link between Jew-Zionism and mental instability is very obvious, and that also applies, very often, to non-Jewish “antifascist” types. See my (I think interesting, and also rather groundbreaking) study about all that: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/07/18/theyre-coming-to-take-me-away-ha-ha/ [constantly updated].
🇮🇱 Israel states that “there are no innocent civilians in Gaza.”
🇺🇳 A UN report last month said that of the 24,686 identified deaths in Gaza, 52% were women and children, 40% were men and 8% were “elderly.” pic.twitter.com/EdIUqUlcqn
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 11, 2024
— RussellScotland 🚜🐭 (@RussellScotland) June 4, 2024
“In 2019, Antifa beat me on the head and face, causing a traumatic brain injury as I suffered bleeding on my brain. As I struggled to get away, they threw drinks in my eyes to blind me so I couldn’t get help. I remember their laughter as I was bleeding from my ear and eyes. I was lucky to survive and recover.
Many leftists on social media are celebrating that someone hurled a drink in the face of @Nigel_Farage today as he was campaigning in Clacton, Essex. They’re reveling in the fear that a victim feels when being hit in the eyes with an unknown liquid—in a country that suffers acid attacks. The celebrations are emblematic of a level of political violence that the left tolerates and desires on their political opponents.“
Perpetrators of violent attacks, such as that in Clacton yesterday, must be punished properly. I doubt whether the present minor judiciary has the will to do that.
Very true. If only, though, the British and French had retained control of the Middle East and North Africa after WW2. No crazy demagogues, no “Israel”, no war…
By my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], a similar result: Labour 488 MPs (majority 326), Con 82, LibDems 43, Greens 1, Reform UK 0, Plaid 3, SNP 14 (and Northern Irish 18).
Almost but not quite a Con wipeout.
I myself still think that <50 is a possibility for the Cons. I concede that the many experts and specialists are against me, but my reasons are as previously blogged:
the fact that few 2019 and earlier Con voters now think of the Con Party and Government as anything other than completely useless;
that there are many (or are there?) “secret” Reform UK intending or possible voters; and
that there are many voters who will vote tactically to sink the Cons, even if many of the same voters hate, despise or fear Starmer-Labour.
A point or so fewer for the Cons, a point extra for Labour, a point extra for the LibDems, and a point or so more for Reform UK, and the Con cadre of MPs would reduce to only 30.
This is no exact science.
I asked a young conservative member of Gen-Z why they refuse to vote Tory. Here's what they said https://t.co/AKx0za82uj
“This is a guest post from an anonymous 25-year-old member of Gen-Z. They live in London. They work in Westminster. And they are utterly fed-up with the dire state of the country.
If you believe the polls then the Tory party is about to be completely rejected by my generation, Gen-Z, the members of which were born in the late 1990s and early 2000s.
Remarkably, just 5% of us are planning to vote Tory next month while a staggering 83% are planning to either vote Labour, Lib Dem, Green, or SNP.
But as one of those few right-leaning Zoomers, let me tell you —even that 5% figure is deeply misleading. Why?
Because, as Matt pointed out on Twitter/X, one enormous problem facing the Tories today is not just the remarkably low number of Zoomers who are planning to vote Conservative; it’s that the few Zoomer conservatives who do exist are also utterly fed-up and frustrated with the party and want to see it completely obliterated.
And why do they feel like this, exactly?
Well, consider my own story.
I’m writing this at 3am in the morning and I have less than four hours before I need to get up and start my morning routine for work.
But, once again, the neighbours who live downstairs, below my flat, have decided to have another all-night party. And unlike me, they don’t have to wake up for work.
Because, unlike me, they don’t have to work.
They qualify for social housing; their rent is subsidised by the large and rising amount of council tax I am forced to pay each month —on top of ruinous income taxes, national insurance contributions and student loan repayments.
The majority of the tenants in my housing block are unemployed; I see few of them leaving the house for work in the morning.
My interactions with them are limited to hostile glaring mixed in with the occasional attempted mugging. On the rare occasion I have female company I have to escort my dates to and from the bus stop to stop them being sexually harassed.
What scraps of my salary the State allows me to keep are eaten up immediately by rent. I pay almost half my post-tax income to live on an ex-council estate in Zone 3, London, with the smell of weed continually hanging in the air.
Unless I achieve an income of more than £200,000 it will simply be impossible to secure a mortgage on a house the same size as the one my parents bought in 1989.
My friends work in high-powered finance and legal careers but, like me, struggle on with flatshares well into their late 20s, if not their early 30s.
They are spending the best decade of their life working until midnight seven days a week for the chance to attain the same middle-class lifestyle their parents achieved much earlier in life.
The reward for being wildly successful financially in 2024? To live in a semi-detached house that was built for unskilled professionals in inner London a century ago.
And that’s not all …
If I decide to have children, which you might think ought to be encouraged given the demographic crisis facing Western nations like Britain, I will have to contend with extortionate childcare costs, or deprive my household of a second income.
Renting a three-bedroom flat in a safe part of London will cost in excess of £3,000 a month; my children will have to grow up in far more cramped conditions than I did, most likely having to share a room and perhaps dodging stray bullets.
The only feasible route out of this incredibly depressing situation is to leave the city I grew up in and commute two hours both ways from a town I have no local connection to —where I have no friends or family living nearby.
Even with cheaper housing, I will still have to send my kids to local schools where they will be bombarded with relentless propaganda about how to ‘change their gender’, acknowledge their ‘whiteness’, and apologise for the British Empire.
It is certainly true that previous generations of young people faced more challenging circumstances. I am not (yet) being asked to walk across No Mans Land and into a sea of barbed wire and machine guns.
But it is one thing being asked to suffer for a cause like liberty in Europe, or to grimace through destitution because of seemingly uncontrollable events like the Wall Street Crash. It is quite another to be economically enslaved to the point of infertility to sustain a growing population of resentful dependents.
And I am one of the lucky ones...”
[from the Matt Goodwin blog on Substack].
A long piece to paste on the blog, but worth reading, I think, despite the several obvious gaps in the author’s reasoning.
More tweets
Day 381 since the deadline to sue Lee Anderson expired. Rich poverty-cosplayer Jack Monroe @BootstrapCook lies & harasses those asking for refunds & transparency after taking 100s of 1,000s of donations for 1 year. A decade of lies, fraud & theft – Kickstarter, Teemill, Patreon…
I had a month’s ban for actually having the audacity to criticise a certain religion that, if I mention will probably lead to another ban. So much for free speech.
It's basically a religion for these people mixed with elite status signalling. I don't think they're even reading the evidence, or pondering for example why even Canada has realised the population trap is a disaster. And I'm not entirely sure why they're not in the Lib Dems.
Barwell seems to imagine that, as the (white/Brit) workforce ages, it can simply be replaced by black, brown (etc) imported equivalents. Not so. A high proportion of the imports (and offspring thereof) are parasitic and/or useless, with a smaller proportion actively criminal or terroristic.
Barwell’s thesis (to thus dignify it) seems to be that, as —say— 1M Brits age, retire, or die, the thing to do is to import 10M unwanted non-European immigrants in the hope that 10% of them can replace the 1M Brits who have checked out of the labour market (or life). What about the notional 9M other imports? They may be (and most are) useless, or near-useless, but all need/want/demand housing, food, water, shelter, NHS services, money…
The shortage of personnel in Ukraine may have a domino effect: first, enterprises will reduce production, and then the entire Ukrainian economy will feel the losses, – Bloomberg
“The shortage of personnel has become one of the main problems of business. During the war, wages… pic.twitter.com/vzmvHJCcie
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) June 5, 2024
People living their best life, walking freely, carelessly and not worried about looking over their back constantly in fear that an illegal might pop out from somewhere and attack them. In short, NO multiculturalism. The experiment failed, it doesn’t work. Everyone go back home.
Not sure whether that is Krakow or the rebuilt (post-WW2) old central part of Warsaw. Maybe the latter. I saw both on several trips to Poland in 1988 and 1989, but I should probably not recognize much of the newer areas now, judging by photos I have seen. The changes, esp. in Warsaw, have been immense.
I know it sounds terrible, but can we just please stop sending fucking rescue boats out. Navy patrols (use national service people?) to collect people and send them back to france. Either that or single fema style processing camp until decision made on acceptability… End of.
"Vote Reform, Get Labour" is about to morph into "Vote Reform, Get Rid of the Tories". Which is exactly what millions of people out there want to dohttps://t.co/liUeIhMQHwhttps://t.co/CYSClYh0PT
Exactly what this blog has been saying for quite a while.
The 2024 General Election result, using Electoral Calculus, and based on the latest YouGov polling: Cons with only 55 MPs; LibDems on 63, and they are the official Opposition; Reform UK, significantly, with 3 MPs (presumably including Farage), and Greens on 2. Also important, the SNP with only 14 MPs.
Party
2019 Votes
2019 Seats
Pred Votes
Gains
Losses
Net Change
Tactical Fraction
Pred Seats
CON
44.7%
376
19.0%
0
321
-321
0%
55
LAB
33.0%
197
40.0%
297
3
+294
5%
491
LIB
11.8%
8
10.0%
55
0
+55
5%
63
Reform
2.1%
0
17.0%
3
0
+3
0%
3
Green
2.8%
1
7.0%
1
0
+1
0%
2
SNP
4.0%
48
3.1%
2
36
-34
0%
14
PlaidC
0.5%
2
0.7%
2
0
+2
0%
4
Other
1.1%
0
3.2%
0
0
+0
0%
0
N.Ire
18
0
0
+0
0%
18
The West is prolonging the Ukrainian conflict at any cost – Fico, who is recovering, is sure
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico said he could return to work as early as this month. In addition, in his first public comments after the recent assassination attempt, the politician… pic.twitter.com/wO81Ys7gGC
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 5, 2024
🇭🇺 Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said that his country will not participate in a potential NATO operation against Russia on the soil of Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/SSDkgqrCeQ
— S p r i n t e r F a m i l y (@SprinterFamily) June 5, 2024
The most important messages of Russian President Vladimir Putin from the meeting with world media editors at the International Economic Forum in St. Petersburg:
◻️ Russia does not threaten anyone, especially not the leaders of other countries – that is bad manners.
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) June 5, 2024
Worth reading in full.
The Russian Federation can supply regions of the world with its long-range weapons, from where there will be sensitive strikes on countries that supply weapons to Ukraine – Putin .
Strikes against the Russian Federation with the participation of Western countries mean their… pic.twitter.com/EZNGMIwgah
— Sprinter infofactory (@Sprinter00000) June 5, 2024
Russian President Putin:
Using German weapons to hit targets on Russian territory is a very dangerous step.
Ian Robert Millard 