Tag Archives: Sunak

Diary Blog, 12 October 2023, with a few thoughts about the UK’s prisons crisis

Morning music

Battles past

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12620735/Rapists-spared-jail-prisons-hit-breaking-point-Judges-told-emergency-scheme-release-lower-risk-inmates-announced-ministers-early-week.html

Rapists could be spared jail from next week as prisons reach breaking point, it was reported last night.

Sex offenders and burglars could be let out on bail rather than handed an immediate custodial sentence, according to guidance issued to judges.

The most dangerous criminals will reportedly have to be held in magistrates’ court cells if they are remanded in custody.

Prisons in England and Wales are on the brink of maximum capacity, with 88,016 inmates last Friday – leaving just 650 spaces spare.

The senior presiding judge for England and Wales, Lord Edis, ordered that sentencing hearings will have to be postponed from Monday, The Times reported.”

[Daily Mail].

There has been a sentencing crisis for years. While many crimes of drunken violence, acquisitive crime etc attract, quite often, non-custodial sentences, other crimes, often very minor, not only result in prison time but in very considerable time.

Look at the political realm. Harmless teenage fantasists who have downloaded online material such as the notorious Anarchist’s Cookbook (which was sold openly in London bookshops in the 1970s, and without the State imploding) have been sentenced to terms of 4, 5, even 7 years, incredibly. Anything (political or otherwise) involving illicit possession of a weapon (even a WW2 revolver) has attracted sentencing as severe, or more severe.

Likewise, there have been sentenced to prison people such as Alison Chabloz (sentenced to a number of months for posting “antisemitic” satirical songs and cartoons online), Jez Turner (a year, for having suggested in a brief speech in Whitehall that Jews should be driven out from England as they were under Edward I in the 14th Century), and “Sven Longshanks” (James Allchurch, sentenced to a very harsh 2.5 years for having posted “antisemitic” material on an internet radio station).

The alert reader will have noted the common factor in the immediately-above three Draconian sentences, but what do you expect when 10 Downing Street has the Israeli flag projected onto its facade? Or when Keir Starmer, posing as Labour Party leader, thinks that the Israeli ethnostate has every right to cut off water, food, and electricity (and everything else) from the 2 million inhabitants of Gaza.

As far as non-political crimes are concerned, one often sees newspaper reports these days about various types of criminal sentenced to, say, terms of 4, 5, or 6 years in prison, when a far shorter term of, say, a couple of years would really suffice. Likewise, people are sometimes —in fact, often— sentenced to a year or more in circumstances where, even retaining a custodial element, a few months would be more than enough.

At the present time, the crisis of available space would easily be solved if judges were to work out carefully, as they are supposed to do, the proper sentence in every case, but then, after all that, cut off a percentage, as an emergency administrative-judicial measure. Say 20%, so that a headline sentence of 5 years becomes one of 4 years, or one of 2.5 years becomes one of 2 years. That would scarcely impact anything other than space in prisons and, within a few months, would start to solve the present problem.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-12620691/NANA-AKUA-wrong-criticise-Fiona-Bruce-describing-black-man-black.html

That must be right.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12620901/Captain-Tom-Moores-daughter-admits-pocketing-800-000-three-books-written-veteran-raise-NHS-heros-family-regret-spa-pool-complex.html

Captain Sir Tom Moore‘s daughter has confessed to pocketing £800,000 from books written by the NHS fundraising war veteran.

In a tearful interview, Hannah Ingram-Moore revealed how the family received the money thanks to her father – whose lockdown walks raised £39million for the nation’s health service.

Mrs Ingram-Moore said her father wanted them to keep the profits from his three books: Captain Tom’s Life Lessons, One Hundred Steps and his autobiography Tomorrow Will Be A Good Day.

The family is also adamant that people buying the books were never told their money was going to charity. 

However, the prologue of his autobiography calls this claim into question and suggests the veteran thought his books were just another way for him to raise cash. 

The extract read: ‘Astonishingly at my age, with the offer to write this memoir I have also been given the chance to raise even more money for the charitable foundation now established in my name.’

[Daily Mail].

I was in the minority of sceptics when the old ex-officer (he spent 6 years in uniform during WW2) started his “crusade”. While arguably wrongheaded, one had to respect the grit of the old fellow, yet the whole thing played into the “scamdemic” propaganda of the time, and even the £30M raised probably did little to help the maladministered NHS.

I could see that the daughter and her husband were basically a pair of freeloaders, if not outright frauds, but people so badly (and rightly) want to believe. In something. In anything. You only have to look at the well-known online “grifters” and frauds around. “Jack Monroe”, “Supertanskiii”, “Man Behaving Dadly” etc. There are dozens, probably hundreds, of them. They destroy trust in society, as do some of the family of the late Captain Moore.

Tweets seen

Historical note

[Simon de Montfort, 6th Earl of Leicester, depicted in stained glass at Chartres Cathedral]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_de_Montfort,_6th_Earl_of_Leicester

I think that I may start including a random historical note from Wikipedia etc in all my blog posts. It is quite shocking how few British people know their own history, even in outline.

Admittedly, this is not a new problem. G.K. Chesterton has his Father Brown character complain about it a number of times. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G._K._Chesterton.

More tweets seen

https://twitter.com/SpanishZubair/status/1712331628226224327

[little boy and his dead cat, following Israeli air attack on Gaza]

Were the atrocities not so terrible, it would be funny to see the UK Jewish/Israel lobby all both pushing out (identical) Israeli propaganda and —at the same time— saying, when asked about the quasi-genocidal Israeli Gaza siege, and mass murder of Gazan civilians, “oh, no, that has nothing to do with us; we bear no responsibility” and “we are just opposed to antisemitism, the actions of Israel are nothing to do with our campaigning in the UK...”.

Etc.

Typical.

Incidentally, I have never seen political fraud and con-man Nigel Farage so pumped-up as when parroting the current Israeli propaganda line in the past few days.

More from the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-12620821/invasion-Gaza-Israel-better-way-Colonel-TIM-COLLINS.html

In the wake of the merciless assault by Hamas, Israel seems to be planning the same approach.

All the signs are that its government is preparing to retaliate on a massive scale, mobilising the country’s formidable armed forces against Gaza, which is controlled by Hamas.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has declared: ‘What we will do to our enemies in the coming days will reverberate for generations.’

His defence minister Yoav Gallant has added: ‘We are fighting human animals – and we act accordingly.

Yet just as Iraq turned out to be a calamitous error, fuelling a lasting cycle of violence, so I fear that – however understandable – any attempt by Israel to exact its vengeance with a savage display of military might could be just as disastrous.”

“…a full invasion, such as Israel’s generals are surely discussing today, would be a bloody quagmire. For Jerusalem, it would mean a conveyor belt of tired soldiers fighting day and night, resupplying with food, water and military hardware, rotating and evacuating casualties, for months on end.

It would chew up thousands of troops for little or no benefit, and poison the Arab world, and to a certain extent the international community, against the Jewish state.

Alas, it looks like Israel is set to take precisely this route.

Already the country has launched a barrage of air strikes, causing heavy civilian casualties – unsurprising given that more than two million people are living in a strip the size of the Isle of Wight.” [in fact, smaller than the Isle of Wight— 141 sq. miles as against 148].

This bombardment has been buttressed by a siege designed to weaken the morale of the citizenry by cutting off their water and electricity.

Yet what is the ultimate objective? What does ‘victory’ for Israel even look like?”

[Daily Mail]

An interesting analysis from a British former medium/high-ranking special forces and conventional forces officer with much combat experience; someone who knows what he is talking about. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tim_Collins_(British_Army_officer)

It is worth reading the full article.

[Gaza City, already devastated by Israeli air attack]

It would be even more interesting were Israel to face attack or, even more so, invasion from the directions of Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan, and perhaps even (though even less likely) from Egypt, and if the Palestinian Arabs of the West Bank were also to join in the fight.

The immediately-above scenario is unlikely, true, but the Americans must have some reason to have moved one of their fleets closer to the region.

If such a concerted invasion and uprising were to happen, though, Israel could be destroyed, its population fleeing in panic.

More tweets seen

I face trial late next month on 5 counts of contravening the notorious s.127 of the Communications Act 2003 (recommended for repeal by the Law Commission). Behind that prosecution, a pack of Jew-Zionists.

I cannot write about all that prior to trial, for reasons of potential contempt of court etc, but one aspect of the case is that I am alleged to have claimed that, in the UK, most of the TV and Press is effectively in the hands of Jew-Zionists (as Rupert Murdoch said years ago— and he is 100% pro-Israel…).

What do you think, blog readers?

Margaret Hodge is just another Jew-Zionist liar and hypocrite.

As in the infamous 1990 Kuwait atrocity story: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nayirah_testimony.

In 1992, it was revealed that Nayirah’s last name was Al-Ṣabaḥ (Arabic: نيرة الصباح) and that she was the daughter of Saud Al-Sabah, the Kuwaiti ambassador to the United States. Furthermore, it was revealed that her testimony was organized as part of the Citizens for a Free Kuwait public relations campaign, which was run by the American public relations firm Hill & Knowlton for the Kuwaiti Government. Following this, al-Sabah’s testimony has come to be regarded as a classic example of modern atrocity propaganda.”

[Wikipedia]

[Nayirah al-Sabah, the lying Kuwaiti bitch at the centre of the faked 1990 Kuwait atrocity story]

I was in New York at the time, in 1990. Those lies (blown up hugely by the Jew-Zionist mass media) were quite effective in moulding the TV narratives and the political conversation etc.

Water cut off, food cut off, electricity and gas cut off; all other supplies cut off, and area bombing and rocketing of civilian areas, in a “ghetto” occupied by 2 million inhabitants, 600,000 of whom live in Gaza City.

Of the 2 million Palestinian Arabs in the Gaza Strip, about 1 million are under-18, and most of that million are young children.

If there was ever a war crime amounting to at least quasi-genocide, this surely must be it.

Without water, a person can die after 3 days, and usually no one can survive for more than 5-6 days.” [medical website].

As people often say today, “top trolling“, Putin!

Emily Thornberry, entitled “Labour” hog, with a part-Jew husband and a dozen buy-to-let properties. In fact, the only reason she ever joined Labour was because her well-paid lawyer/journalist/diplomat father abandoned her mother, and the mother had to move to a council property (in Surrey). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emily_Thornberry; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cedric_Thornberry.

She was called to the Bar at Gray’s Inn and practised as a barrister specialising in human rights law from 1985 to 2005 under Michael Mansfield at Tooks Chambers.”

[Wikipedia]

Human rights” expert; you couldn’t make it up…

As I mentioned yesterday, the “human rights” lawyers (often Jewish, though she herself is not) seem to have gone AWOL now that Israel is involved…

[Emily Thornberry, some years ago, with (in centre) Mark Regev, then Israeli Ambassador, at a Zionist dinner in London]

If, as voter, you vote Labour now, you get moneygrubbing tools of Israel such as Emily Thornberry (and Rachel Reeves, and Yvette Cooper, and Keir Starmer). Why bother?

Emily Thornberry, “human rights” lawyer (etc), who thinks it justifiable for Israel to cut off water and food (etc) from 2 million people, almost all of whom (about 96%) are non-combatants, half of whom are under-18, and hundreds of thousands of whom are young or very young children.

I used to wonder what Israeli Intelligence had on Murray to make him the unashamed propagandist for Israel and the Jew-Zionist lobby that he is. Now, I tend to think that he is just deeply psychologically damaged.

As for Julia Hartley-Brewer, I think (am unsure) that she is part-Jewish. She is certainly rather ignorant; I had to correct her on a couple of legal points when I still had a Twitter account (a pack of Jews managed to have me expelled in 2018). Instead of thanking me for schooling her, she tried to obfuscate, and then blocked me.

Murray is right with his “flare” metaphor, though. These events have shown what group really pulls the strings of our “democratic” political parties, and System politicians. With a tiny number of honourable exceptions, all puppets of Israel and the Jew-Zionist lobby. From Sunak to Starmer, and from Emily Thornberry to that fraudulent bastard Nigel Farage.

More tweets

The war in Ukraine continues, but the Kiev regime now has to play second fiddle to the Israeli regime.

The Kiev regime is toast, and Zelensky is already looking like yesterday’s man.

As often seen in the past, Israel getting its “defence” in first…

Syria and Lebanon, and Jordan and Egypt, should all do everything they can to defend themselves.

BREAKING: Israel bombed the international airports of Aleppo and Damascus in Syria, forcing them out of service. Bombing civilian airports in Syria. Massacring entire families in Gaza. Dropping white phosphorus on Lebanon and Gaza. This is the Israel that Western media tells you is a “victim”…”

Well, there you have it…

Macron is completely in the pocket of the Jewish lobby, which is very powerful in France. Paris has even more Jews than London. I blogged about weird Macron nearly 5 years ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/09/on-recent-events-in-france/.

Zelensky is worried because the help of Western allies is weakening The Ukrainian authorities want to get a new series of weapons in order to attack Russian positions after the unsuccessful summer counter-offensive, “ABC” writes. “Ukraine is desperate for more weapons to help its troops take over the positions of Russian units before the ground on the front turns muddy,” the newspaper said. According to the media, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky arrived at the NATO headquarters in Brussels on Wednesday, as Kiev is becoming worried about the weakening of aid from the West, which until recently provided constant support to the Ukrainian armed forces.”

Don’t forget the “out-stations” of Zionism across the world.

Late music

[El Greco, Purification of the Temple]

Diary Blog, 8 October 2023, including a look at the upcoming Tamworth and Mid-Bedfordshire by-elections

Afternoon music

Battles past

Tamworth and Mid-Bedfordshire by-elections 2023

Tamworth constituency has a fairly ancient history (on various different boundaries and names), going back to the 13th Century. Its most famous MP was Sir Robert Peel, who represented the town from 1830-1850 (he was MP for three other places from 1809-1830), and who was Prime Minister 1834-1835 and 1841-1846: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Peel.

The most recent MP, the appropriately-named Chris Pincher, was rather less distinguished, having been finally forced to resign in 2023 after several years of having been accused, then eventually adjudged guilty, of having sexually molested men, including MPs, in bars.

Looking at his Wikipedia entry, it seems that Pincher only became an MP in 2010, at age 41, and had done nothing very interesting prior to that (though Wikipedia is not infallible). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Pincher.

Tamworth, on its present boundaries, was held by Labour from 1997 (when the present seat was brought into being) until 2010; Pincher failed to secure the seat in 2005, but took it in 2010 with a vote-share of 45.8%. Thereafter, his percentage vote increased at every election, peaking in 2019 at 66.3%.

At that 2019 election, Labour Co-op came in second, but poorly, on 23.7%. The other 4 candidates were very much also-rans, only the LibDems retaining their deposit (with 5.3%).

The by-election will be held on 19 October 2023, and has attracted 9 candidates: Conservative, Labour, LibDem, Green, UKIP, Reform (the latest Farage vehicle), Britain First, Monster Raving Loony, and an independent. See https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-66864806 for candidates’ details.

This is probably a Con-Lab 2-horse race, with the LibDems possibly having a slim outsider chance. The Guardian has talked to a few voters: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/sep/30/tamworth-voters-byelection-tories-chris-pincher

The Government is obviously deeply unpopular, and also seen as useless. However, Labour is not much liked either. There may be protest vote possibilities, but the main object may be to send a message to the Government, and I suppose that a vote for Labour is most likely to cause the Government pain, if it results in the by-election ending with a Labour win.

Hard for me to call. I have only once even driven through the town, and that was long ago. Not an area I know. Overall, it seems to me that the LibDems are too marginal here to have much chance, so it is between Con and Lab. To elect the Labour candidate would require a huge swing, but I think that it must be possible, as public feeling now stands.

If Labour can pull it off at Tamworth, the 2024 General Election will look sealed. The over-used word “seismic” comes to mind.

So we turn to Mid-Bedfordshire.

Nadine Dorries had to be almost forced out of the seat she had held since 2005, and which had provided her with a good income; both salary and very inflated expenses. She was lucky to have avoided prosecution. A very stupid, entirely uneducated, but withal cunning woman. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nadine_Dorries.

The by-election, to be held on 19 October 2023, the same day as that at Tamworth, has attracted no less than 13 candidates, mostly minor or crank.

Nadine Dorries scored 59.8% at the 2019 General Election (Labour 21.7%, LibDems 12.6%).

Mid-Bedfordshire has been a Conservative Party seat since the 1920s.

This would normally be a shoo-in for the Conservative Party candidate, but several factors make that less than likely. Anger at the freeloading and fraudulent behaviour of Nadine Dorries. The general anger at the present Government. Perhaps also the fact that the Con candidate is a careerist black: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Festus_Akinbusoye.

The Conservative Party candidate is presently Police and Crime Commissioner for Bedfordshire, only came to the UK at 13 from his native Nigeria, and is a Mormon.

The opinion polls have Con and Lab neck and neck, with the LibDems not far behind. Tactical voting may play the decisive role, but does that mean anti-Con voters voting Labour, or voting LibDem?

Reform, the Farage vehicle, is polling around 7%, as is county council chairman Gareth Mackey, standing as Independent.

Very hard to call, but Labour may just have the edge.

I suppose that the other point is that Sunak may be pressured to stand down as Con Party leader if one contest is lost (or only if both are lost?).

[Update, 22 January 2024: in the end, Labour won both by-elections.

At Tamworth, the Labour candidate won with 45.8% of the vote, Con Party in second with 40.7%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Tamworth_by-election.

In Mid-Bedfordshire, the result was even closer, Labour winning with 34.1% of the vote, Con 31.1%, and the LibDems doing well in third on 23.1%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Mid_Bedfordshire_by-election.

In both by-elections, Reform UK proved underwhelming (4th and 5th placed, respectively).

Sunak did not resign, despite the double loss.].

From the news

Tweets seen

Whatever may be said of Labour or Angela Rayner, that tweet is surely correct. The 2024 General Election is Labour’s to lose. The Conservative Party is just dissolving. I notice that evil sociopath Chris Grayling is now not going to stand for re-election.

Having said that, I see many white-haired and grey-haired people at that Labour show. All System parties are dying, and have few young people supporting them.

Exactly. A million a year coming in, and only a few hundred thousand people (mostly real Brits) leaving (for Australia, New Zealand etc) each year. Result— misery.

Actually, many of the replies to the above tweet show how unthinking the self-describing “Left” pseudo-socialists are. They really think that importing millions of backward persons has no effect on housing provision etc; either that, or they do not care. They really should be regarded and treated as outright traitors.

https://twitter.com/jexmotion/status/1711038210954920007

Read that report. Towards the end:

He must be desperate or in an awful state to go to such pains to try to come into the country that way.

Or not able to enter legitimately, having no right to enter.

Brainwashed.

Late tweets

Well, looking at Downing Street this evening, does anyone now doubt what embedded group is pulling the strings of both the “Conservative” and “Labour” parties?

According to the Turkish sources, due to dwindling stocks of Iron Dome missiles, the Israeli army is not supplying ammunition to some units armed with the complex, with the exception of three batteries in Tel Aviv, one battery in Jerusalem and one battery in Netivot in southern Israel.

The seven batteries do not supply any ammunition or fire, and they only have a limited number of anti-aircraft guided missiles in case Palestinian missiles fly towards critical targets. This explains the fact that launches on Ashkelon, Ashdod and Sderot cause virtually no opposition.”

Late music

Diary Blog, 3 October 2023

Afternoon music

[painting by Aldo Balding]

Battles past

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12585131/Britons-UK-troops-Ukraine-russia-war.html.

Just half of Britons support sending UK troops to the Ukraine to train Kyiv‘s forces, a new poll has revealed, after Grant Shapps‘ push to boost support for war-torn country sparked row. 

The new Defence Secretary recently held talks with army leaders and suggested troops could be sent to Ukraine for the first time to train soldiers.

Rishi Sunak this week rowed back on his defence minister’s comments saying they weren’t for the ‘here and now’ while the suggestion from Mr Shapps sparked a warning from Russia that UK instructors sent to Ukraine would become ‘legitimate targets’ and face ‘destruction’.

[Daily Mail]

I am surprised that even half of the UK population wants to get further entangled in the war on the Kiev-regime side, but there again, the Jewish-influenced or controlled UK msm has been pumping out one-sided propaganda for 18 months now.

I wonder what percentage of the UK public would want the UK to be hit by dozens of hugely-destructive Russian nuclear missiles? Any?

Where do they get these idiots from?

His Wikipedia entry looks impressive on paper; so do a lot of things. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Frost,_Baron_Frost. A comfortably-off careerist hog.

Looking at the pathetic Conservative Party Conference, it is clear that their party has a death wish. The only weapon the “Conservatives” now have is that the Labour Party offers nothing anyone wants. However, it will probably be enough that it is not the Conservative Party, at least in name.

More tweets seen

…and the UK.

In the UK you have innumerable clowns who stand by the letter of the law and say that no cross-Channel migrant-invaders are “illegal”, so long as they utter the magic word “asylum“…

Even the most “moderate” people are now angry at what has in fact been happening for about 70 years but which is now an obvious existential threat, impossible to ignore, to the future of every single British person and their descendants.

The UK is dividing between those (including even quite a few of non-European descent) who wish for this country to remain fundamentally European in all ways, and those who —either maliciously, or ignorantly— do not want that, or who are stupid enough not to care and who do not think it important.

Goebbels was right, most of the time and, on these issues, Suella Braverman is correct too. That does not mean that I want her to hold power, or that I see much difference in the way in which both main System parties are following the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan or agenda.

As for tweeter “Simon Forrest”, his Twitter/”X” tweets reveal a socio-political crank, at least on questions of race and culture.

…and, while the misnamed “Conservative” Party is responsible for most of that, Labour at national level is in essence little different. Look at Rachel Reeves, for one.

Twitter/”X”, and all the usual drones are angry that that Boff person, a socio-political crank, has been expelled from the Conservative party Conference hall for disrupting a speech by shouting loudly, yet here I am, standing alone as I am prosecuted (at the behest of a Jew-Zionist cabal) for posting entirely legitimate comment etc on my own blog

Scarcely a voice has been raised to defend me, neither do I expect it, the way the country is going. I must stand alone, and defend myself alone.

More music

More tweets seen

If the British people were to believe that Braverman’s speech were going to be carried into policy, it might save the Con Party from obliteration in 2024, but I doubt that many will believe the rhetoric, because Sunak and his crew are still allowing (indeed, facilitating) the importation of ever more invaders, and deporting effectively none.

Late tweets

If only the UK could say as much…

A “failed state”, or simply a non-state?

Late music

[Parisienne with German soldier during the Occupation, 1941/1942]

Diary Blog, 2 October 2023

Afternoon music

Battles past

From the newspapers

https://www.theguardian.com/law/2023/oct/01/michael-mansfield-kc-the-two-party-system-is-a-straitjacket.

Worth reading.

Tweets seen

Brilliant, and very true.

The Conservative Party Conference 2023. Hard to believe, for anyone who remembers the same convention in the 1970s, 1980s, even 1990s.

Do they support those areas having high fences around them?…

Out of 5 or 6 polling organizations, the highest Labour mark at present is 47%, the lowest 43%; the highest Con mark is 30%, the lowest 24%. LibDems are in the 9%-13% area.

Those figures could give a Labour Party majority of anywhere between 120 and 322 seats, according to Electoral Calculus: see https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

One usually expects a narrowing of the polls prior to a General Election, and there is still maybe as long as 14 months to go before the 2024 General Election, but there is no sign of Con Party revival so far. In fact, the empty conference hall at Manchester is symbolic of what is happening in the country. Even dyed-in-the-wool Conservative voters are deserting, I believe. They are not going to Labour, most of them, but are either going to protest-vote via Reform Party or the LibDems, or simply abstain.

As for Con Party MPs, many are deserting the sinking ship. There is no unity. Even Suella Braverman’s attempt to capture the populist vote has foundered. Useless former Home Secretary (and Israeli agent of influence) Priti Patel has criticized Suella Braverman, as has the Indian money-juggler himself (Sunak).

At the moment, it looks as if Labour will win a huge victory by default. That might change, but how?

Traitors to Europe’s future dance with enemy invaders. I know what I would do to them.

…and see how many passers-by ignore the degeneracy. Brainwashed. Supine.

There was once a time when being diagnosed with type 1 diabetes was a death sentence. The ancient Egyptians first described the disease more than 3,000 years ago. During the many centuries that followed, parents would helplessly watch as their diabetic children slipped into comas and died.

By the 18th century, doctors discovered that a heavily modified diet could slow the disease. Many children were placed on starvation diets with limited carbs, which helped prolong their lives. However, such treatments were not very effective, and some children even starved to death. Fast forward to 1922, when a group of scientists went to the Toronto General Hospital, where diabetic children were kept in wards, often 50 or more at a time. Most of them were comatose and dying from diabetes. These children were in their deathbeds.

The scientists moved swiftly and proceeded to inject each of them with a new purified extract of insulin that they were able to successfully isolate. As they began to inject the last comatose child, the first one that was injected began to wake up. Soon, all the children in the room began to wake up—one by one!

The scientists responsible for saving the children’s lives were Frederick Banting and Charles Best. They both agreed that it would be unethical to profit from a discovery that could potentially save millions of lives. They sold the insulin patent to the University of Toronto for $1. “Insulin belongs to the world, not me,” said Banting.

Not only talented but also extremely altruistic.

I have to admit that, were I in their position, I might have kept the patent for my lifetime, and used the proceeds for my own humanitarian and conservation projects. They decided otherwise, as did another brilliant person, Tim Berners-Lee, the main force behind the World Wide Web.

HS2 should never have been approved. There were and are so many better uses for funding on that scale, even within the transport sector itself.

If not confronted at sea, they will have to be confronted later on land, in Rome, Berlin, Paris, Brussels, Stockholm, or London.

Basic Income will have to come, sooner or later.

“Ukraine” of the Kiev regime has long been a “failed state”; now it is not really a state at all.


Russia cannot lose this war, strategically.

The same or a similar social crisis as across Eurasia. The Japanese and others (including the UK) need to put in place social programmes to ensure that suitable young women reproduce (while the State reduces, steadily, immigrant infiltration). #Lebensborn.

Ben Wallace, a washed-up one-time Guards officer (whose highest rank was Captain), and who is now politically washed-up as well (he ceases to be an MP soon, before the next General Election in 2024) has nothing to add of value.

If the police, prosecutors, and courts behave like enemies, then they are enemies.

I say the same (“very or fairly bad”) about all of those categories, except the buses and the fire service, where I should have to answer “don’t know“.

Late tweets seen

Slightly simplistic but more true than untrue, in black and white terms.

Bridgen scored 62.8% in North West Leicestershire in 2019. How much of that was “Conservative party” label, and how much personal support is an open question which will be tested next year. He may be lucky, looking at the dwindling support for the Con Party.

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/10/14/diary-blog-14-october-2021/

In any case, the minister’s very silly idea seems to assume that shoplifters are all very obvious in their behaviour. Seems unlikely. Also, are members of the public likely to want to protect the inflated profits of Tesco etc?

Late music

[Jardin des Plantes, Paris rive gauche, in winter]

Diary Blog, 30 September 2023

Afternoon music

Battles past

Saturday quiz

Well, once again a narrow victory for me over political journalist John Rentoul. I scored 7/10 as against his 6/10. I did not know the answers to questions 2, 4, and 10.

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12576995/SUE-REID-Theres-murder-week-farms-South-Africa-year-race-baiting-Marxist-loves-singing-Kill-Boer-set-Vice-President.html.

“They came at breakfast time to murder Theo Bekker, smashing an iron bar stolen from his own farmyard into his skull before slitting his throat so he bled to death.

His four teenage attackers then tied up his wife, Marlinda, and put a plastic bag over her head before she slipped into unconsciousness. Mercifully, she survived.

Twenty-four hours before Mr Bekker’s killing, the nation’s most controversial politician, Julius Malema, had chanted an anthem entitled ‘Kill the Boer’ — a term for white farmers — at a rally of 90,000 followers.

High above the dancing crowd in Johannesburg’s black township of Soweto, Malema was raised on an electric platform like a king.

Sporting his signature red beret, the self-proclaimed ‘freedom fighter’ mimicked the sound of a sub-machine gun — ‘Pah, pah, brrr!’ — as he shouted out his race-baiting song calling for the death of his white countrymen.

This ugly rally marked the 10th anniversary of the founding of Malema’s party, Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF). It declares itself Marxist-Leninist, wants to seize private property without compensation — particularly farms such as Theo Bekker’s — just as Malema’s hero, Robert Mugabe, did in neighbouring Zimbabwe.

In the past 20 years there has been a farm attack every two days and a murder every five days, with whites of Afrikaans or English descent mainly targeted.

Andrew Kenny, a respected South African commentator, said recently: ‘The ANC has been a disaster, especially for ordinary black people whom it has impoverished while making a tiny ANC elite fabulously rich.

‘After apartheid, our electricity provided the world’s cheapest energy; freight trains carried our ore (from the mines) to the ports; there was a good passenger network for workers. The ANC wrecked it with looting, corruption and a plethora of racist policies.’

The result has been economic collapse and mass exodus. A fifth of whites — both Afrikaans and English speakers — have left since the ANC came to power.

Emigration among the entrepreneurial Indian-descended community is high, too.

Meanwhile, the middle class have abandoned the ANC-controlled cities of Johannesburg and Pretoria in the north — now plagued by no-go areas, ransacked shops, gang warfare and other crime fuelled by unemployment.

They have settled in the Western Cape, the only part of South Africa that is run by the moderate Democratic Alliance.

The speed of the country’s descent has been devastating. Today, only 12 per cent of South Africans of working age pay income tax, while a third survive on £15-a-month state handouts.

World Bank analysts say a staggering 42 per cent of the adult population — the majority black — is unemployed.

[Daily Mail]

Several points to be made here.

First, Africa without European input descends inevitably to savagery. South Africa took longer than others to fall from being a fairly civilized country because it still had, in the 1990s, a fairly high proportion of European inhabitants. In 1911 it was 22%, and in 1980 still about 16%. That proportion has now dwindled to about 5%. Also, many of the more senior political and administrative positions are now filled, nominally, by blacks, selected purely on racial grounds.

Secondly, the black man was promised the Earth by the ANC and its stupid and/or uneducated leaders, starting with Mandela. The simpler type of South African black obviously believed that, once black “majority rule” (in reality, rule by a few, in a black semi-dictatorship) occurred, the blacks would all have the high standards of living of South African whites of the 1960s, 1970s or 1980s; houses, swimming pools, cars etc. In fact, for a few blacks, the leading ANC politicians, that did happen, but for the other 99.999% or more it did not.

The frustration of the South African blacks will be visited upon, not the ANC, but the remaining white people.

Thirdly, the lack of forethought etc under ANC rule became clear during the most recent drought, though wetter weather eventually saved Cape Town from disaster. That maladministration will eventually be seen in all sectors.

Finally, see how even the Daily Mail scribbler in the full report, one Sue Reid, still repeats the propaganda half-truths or untruths of the dim pro-ANC “British” msm of the 1980s/1990s: “cruel apartheid regime” etc…

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12576983/GUY-ADAMS-HS2-costs-diversity.html

The madness continues.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12576971/ANDREW-NEILL-Record-drug-alcohol-deaths-obesity-epidemic-horrendous-cancer-waiting-lists-life-expectancy-10-year-low-SNP-Scotland.html

Worth reading.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12575937/Rishi-Sunak-strip-wealthier-pensioners-winter-fuel-payments-trade-keeping-triple-lock-state-pensions.html.

If Indian money-juggler Sunak thinks that he can duck and dive by keeping the State Pension “Triple Lock” but clawing back money by taking away the Winter Fuel Allowance from many, perhaps most, pensioners, he is very mistaken. That would alienate pensioner voters, but without encouraging younger voters to vote Con in 2024.

Tweets seen

15 months ago but evergreen.

Sweden (its ruling circles at least, together with complicit msm and courts etc) thought that the blacks and browns would just become “New Swedes”. They really were that stupid. Now look at the UK. Same nonsense.

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/18/the-swedish-sickness-contaminating-the-rest-of-europe-what-is-it/.

The implementation of the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan (basically, to funnel non-white populations to Europe, in order to create over time a coffee-coloured population to be ruled over by an exploitative stratum, mostly consisting of Jews and part-Jews) is happening in front of our eyes; in plain sight, pretty much.

I wonder whether that horrible social “disintegration” may be what is necessary to awaken the British people to the need for social national radical reform. Germany only chose Hitler when events and circumstances had reduced most of the population to poverty and hopelessness. Only 2.6% voted for the NSDAP in 1928. By 1932 that was 33% and, by 1933, 44%.

Not only can they not create a civilization, many of them cannot even live in one created by others (broadly, the white man) without being completely destructive and useless. Parasites. Useless parasites.

We hear a great deal, mostly from (((the usual suspects))) about how the USA was built on waves on immigration, but that is at best a half-truth. There is considerable evidence that the USA would have been a better country had it not accepted the huge numbers of immigrants arriving after the Civil War (up to the First World War and continuing).

David Davis, one of the few principled System MPs, not that I agree with all of his views. The UK might have been a better country today had the Conservative Party adopted him as leader instead of David Cameron-Levita.

UKRAINIAN President Vladimir Zelensky agreed with the representatives of the United States and Great Britain on a plan for a new offensive by his army, the goal of which will be the seizure of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.

This was announced by the Russian state news agency RIA Novosti, citing a “source close to the competent authorities”. She quoted that source: “For these purposes, a large number of marines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are concentrated in the Mykolaiv region. Their task will be to force the Dnieper River. At the same time, the Kiev special operations forces, which are trained by British instructors, will try to seize the Zaporozhye nuclear plant.”

“We are closely following the actions of the enemy,” the same source emphasized.”

Chernobyl mark 2?

Sweden…

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/18/the-swedish-sickness-contaminating-the-rest-of-europe-what-is-it/.

“Scott Ritter: Kiev listens to the West, and because of that, it can lose a number of cities.

Ukraine is doomed to lose a large part of its territory because it continues to blindly listen to the West in everything, said former US intelligence officer Scott Ritter in an interview with the YouTube channel “Midwestern Marks”.

“Representatives of Ukraine came to Turkey…. A meeting was held there where the conditions for resolving the conflict were agreed upon. Russia offered them excellent conditions… But NATO and the West did not allow them to accept it…

As a result, they have already lost a lot of territory,” Ritter said, adding that Ukraine is also at risk of losing Kharkiv, Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv and Odessa.

Russia has invested more in the Kherson region in one year than Ukraine has invested in 30 years, said the head of the regional government Andrey Aleksejenko, on the occasion of the anniversary of the unification of the new regions with Russia.

“It must be said that the Kherson region has not seen such a scale of construction and repair of roads, schools, hospitals and communal infrastructure since Soviet times,” Aleksejenko said.”

“Heavy rains in October may prevent the Ukrainian army from using Western tanks, writes the “New York Times”. “Heavy rain is expected next month. However, the problem is the mud on the roads because, for example, the 75-ton “Challenger” tank can simply sink,” the newspaper writes.

If these tanks do not “conquer” the territory during the counter-offensive, Western support could weaken… Either because of a lack of political will or a lack of the West’s desire to deliver more weapons to Kiev, the authors emphasize.”

Russia cannot lose the war, strategically.

Late tweets

The Jew Shapps entangling the UK even more in a war which has nothing to do with the British people.

Russia must end up with control of all Ukraine east of the Dnieper, and also control of the Black Sea and Sea of Azov littoral.

Virtue-signalling Swedish System-politicos unable to admit that importation of millions of blacks and browns has been a total and utter disaster for the Swedish people.

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Diary Blog, 31 August 2023

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Battles past

Tweets seen

What idiot thinks that the UK is “at war” (presumably with Russia)? Whoever that was must never be appointed to any position of importance.

Shapps is also a hardcore Zionist Jew, who was at one time head of the youth section of the fanatical Jew-Zionist organization “B’nai Brith”.

Over 4,000 votes. Obviously unscientific, yet still interesting. Even people who (like me) despise the present “Conservative” madadministration often still dislike and distrust fake “Labour”.

In my opinion, despite the present Government being doomed, electorally, it remains an open question as to whether Labour can really secure a huge victory or a smaller victory in 2024, or whether, in the end, a hung Parliament is more likely.

It has become a joke. The former Defence Secretary, Ben Wallace, was thought to be a military expert because he had been an officer in the Scots Guards (highest rank held— Captain). Johnny Mercer MP is likewise thought, for some reason, to be expert, despite also having only reached a Captain’s rank. Then we have neo-Cold War desk-warrior Tobias Ellwood, who also reached Captain, and served 5 years in the Royal Greenjackets, though as a Reserves officer he now holds the rank of Lt.Col in the internet propaganda outfit known as the 77th Brigade.

I have even seen people saying that Penny Mordaunt should have been made Defence Secretary because she was once a Reserves naval sub-lieutenant! (she now holds the purely honorary rank of naval Captain, i.e, equivalent to honorary Army Colonel).

Our system of government is just nonsensical. So are many of those holding office.

More tweets seen

If “Ukraine” (the Kiev regime under the Jew Zelensky) had hundreds of jet fighter aircraft, it would only be a matter of time before Kiev were reduced to rubble. Fighters cannot destroy most missiles, least of all the most powerful strategic ones.

What a society, and the UK is little better.

If the US had planned a counter-offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, then the Ukrainian troops would have achieved much greater success, former senior CIA intelligence agent Tony Shafer told “Judging Freedom”. “We (USA) have effective armored formations designed to penetrate deep into the enemy’s defenses. They have proven themselves well in Iraq. If we were to do this (planning an offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine) then we would never advise them to do what they are doing now,” emphasizes Shafer. Shafer believes that if American advisers consult with Kiev during this conflict, but probably the command of Ukrainian troops does not always listen to their advice and orders. “Either we have the most incompetent commanders and generals on the battlefield, which is possible, or the Ukrainians simply don’t listen to orders,” he emphasizes.

Late tweets

The various transnational conspiracies are all inter-connected: NWO, Zionism/ZOG, WEF, Gates’ activities, the “panicdemic”/”scamdemic”, “Black Lives Matter”, the climate agenda and “net zero”, even “Ukraine” [etc].

Zelensky— not only a corrupt and brutal Jew dictator, but apparently rather stupid. None of his preconditions exist or will exist. On the contrary.

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Diary Blog, 29 August 2023

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Battles past

Tweets seen

[the Jews Weinstein and Epstein, with half-Jew Ghislaine Maxwell; she and Weinstein are now serving long prison sentences in the USA, while Epstein was killed while in U.S. Federal custody, and has now “gone up the chimney”]

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/08/11/the-jew-epstein-and-prince-andrew-the-british-royal-family-has-another-scandal-maybe-its-time-to-just-get-rid-of-them/; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harvey_Weinstein; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeffrey_Epstein; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghislaine_Maxwell.

Soylent Green?

…and about a million so-called “legal” ones as well…

“According to unnamed sources from the Bundeswehr, there are serious problems with the training of Ukrainian soldiers in this country.These problems are mainly related to the poor selection of personnel sent for training. Namely, in the ranks of Ukrainian soldiers who came for training at the German training grounds, you can often see people in their later years of life, practically pensioners. It is not uncommon for German instructors to come into contact with people who have entered their 8th decade of life.”

As blogged previously, the Kiev regime is running out of cannon-fodder. The young mostly want to avoid service, either by emigration (illegal now after age 18), or by other means. The foreign chancers and adventurers and (ex-mobile laundry unit) Brit or American “soldiers” and/or “Soldier of Fortune” types who flocked to Ukraine last year are thin on the ground now that it becomes clear that the front-line is a near death-sentence, especially in the Donetsk, Lugansk, and Kharkov sectors of the front.

The Kiev regime high command has lost about 450,000 soldiers killed, wounded, or captured in the past 18 months, of which about 40,000 may have been lost during the recent/present failed counter-offensive.

Meanwhile, the Kiev regime is having to use press-gangs to “recruit” new soldiers, hauling people off the streets and into military custody.

Yes. Quite. A black woman in Bristol was or is facing charges based on an allegedly fraudulent crowdfunder (crowdfunded for ostensibly “lawsuit” purposes).

Do not know whether that matter is still active or not, but “Jack Monroe’s” anti-Lee Anderson/Martin Daubney crowdfunder was (as far as I could see) almost identical. She crowdfunded, quite obviously took the monies for her own use, then (having failed even to attempt suing the two in question) brazenly claimed to have given all those crowdfunded monies to unnamed foodbanks.

To my mind, it is a 50-50 chance that any Twitter/”X” poster still (apparently) naively supporting “grifter”/fraudster “Jack Monroe” is actually…”Jack Monroe” herself, i.e. a so-called “sock account”.

Yes, “austerity” etc, but also the several decades of mass immigration and now the cross-Channel migration invasion as well. Don’t be stupid enough to imagine that you can import, mostly over about 30 years, 10-15 million persons into the UK (“legal”, “illegal”, and those born to the first two categories) and maintain the civilized society and services which used to exist. Especially when most of the “imports” are —at best— useless people.

From the newspapers

After the Sarah Moulds case, and other recent cases, something even worse:

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/aug/29/two-women-jailed-torturing-killing-pet-parrot-carlisle

Two women jailed for torturing and killing pet parrot in Carlisle.

Tracy Dixon and Nicola Bradley put oven cleaner and paint on friend’s bird and threw it in tumble dryer.

Two women who tortured and killed a friend’s pet parrot during a lengthy drinking session have been jailed by a judge who described their cruelty as “beyond comprehension”.

A court heard that Tracy Dixon, 47, and Nicola Bradley, 35, sprayed Sparky the female African grey parrot with Mr Muscle oven cleaner, daubed it with gloss paint and tried to feed it to a dog. They later threw it in a tumble dryer that was turned on.

Both women blamed the other. Judge Archer, sitting at Carlisle crown court on Tuesday, jailed them for 25 months each and said Dixon and Bradley had “together, sadistically tortured and essentially killed Sparky. It is frankly beyond comprehension how anyone could treat an animal in this way.”

[The Guardian]

Thoughts: first thought is that is good that the courts are, as it seems, finally using fairly new legislation to punish such wicked behaviour.

Second thought: the two women really deserve [reluctantly REDACTED], in my opinion (but the year in prison actually to be served— out of their 2.5-year sentences— will have to do).

Third thought: I am glad that the headline was not “abusers escape jail” or some such (complete with photo of smirking defendants and family/friends outside the court).

Final thought: while, thankfully, a case of such egregious cruelty is relatively rare, drunken sluts of that sort seem to exist in huge numbers in this country, and cruelty to animals is not the only way in which their very existence poisons society.

I may be wrong, but somehow such horrible useless people seem to me to be a phenomenon more often found in the north of England rather than in the south but, as said, I may be mistaken in that.

I should have liked to have seen more detail about the defendants and their background, lifestyle etc, for sociological reasons.

Tracy Dixon and Nicola Bradley, both of Carlisle, Cumbria.

In vino veritas

More detail: https://cumbriacrack.com/2023/08/29/carlisle-women-jailed-for-torturing-and-killing-parrot/

Late tweets seen

That’s only a few miles from Russia’s northwestern border. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pskov

De-industrialization, lower living standards, destruction of the countryside, and the flooding of European cities and town by hordes of non-whites. At some level, this is all being planned and implemented deliberately. The Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan.

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Diary Blog, 27 August 2023

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Battles past

Tweets seen

True, but that does not, or need not, imply that Putin, or any one individual or force (e.g. Kiev-regime intelligence service) is behind all of those events, though of course those thought to have been dismissed could only have been dismissed by Putin.

Not “claims“; it is simply a fact. In fact, the same happened with Gordon Brown (who went on to lose the 2010 General Election), Theresa May (who went on to win the 2017 General Election), “Boris” Johnson (who went on to win the 2019 General Election), and Liz Truss. Now Rishi Sunak. If a Prime Minister resigns, there should have to be an “immediate” (arguende, within 3 months) general election.

In front of those young girls as well. What an example for them.

Strange. Were they afraid that she might have fleas?

The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones.” [Shakespeare, Julius Caesar].

I part company with the Bard at this point; I think that both the good and evil live on.

As for Wagner Group, without Prigozhin and Utkin there is no top leadership so, as an independent “band of brothers”, Wagner Group, the so-called “musicians” or musikanty, has effectively passed into history.


Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson is convinced that it is already too late for the Armed Forces of Ukraine: “Because of the failure on the fronts, the troops may rise up against the head of state Volodymyr Zelensky.

Former adviser to the head of the Pentagon, Douglas McGregor: The current situation of the Ukrainian army can be compared to the situation in which the Wehrmacht found itself in 1944. Then the German army lost its air support. Therefore, although it had good weapons, even tanks that had just come off the assembly line, it could not fight effectively. The same is happening now in Ukraine.

I watched about 15 minutes in total of BBC News and Sky News. Just hard-to-believe propaganda about how Ukraine is supposedly “winning”. Just rubbish.

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[Kennet and Avon]

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A small, almost pathetic demonstration. Young, metropolitan types. 200 at most.

Again, small and unimpressive, and almost identical to the Kiev display. Who is co-ordinating it all? Soros?

Olaf Scholz said that Germany is currently experiencing “unsatisfactory” economic growth. According to Bloomberg, the German Chancellor believes that the problems are related to the country’s dependence on exports.

The agency notes that Scholz refused to allocate funds to fight the crisis due to lack of money and the growing debt of Germany. At the same time, Scholz added that the country has “good prospects” in terms of the economy.

Earlier, the German media noted that in Germany there is a deep economic crisis and this country, as a “locomotive”, is pulling the entire EU to the bottom. Germany’s GDP declined, among other things, due to higher energy prices and spending on Ukraine.

Late tweets

Egypt, Italy, Florida…where else? London? The Jew Zelensky has ripped off hundreds of millions of U.S. dollars.

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Diary Blog, 22 August 2023

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Battles past

Tweets seen

Polly Toynbee represents a certain bloc of voters, though a small one; the “Labour”/LibDem bien-pensants of Blackheath, Hampstead, and Highgate who actually read not only the Guardian but also Observer, who mock the poorer British people concerned about, inter alia, migration-invasion, crime, and houses given to useless migrant-invaders and/or other blacks, browns and feral white hordes while real British people suffer.

That bloc either went to Oxford or Cambridge, or failing that to Durham University or Exeter, and want their children and grandchildren to go there (before joining the BBC, Foreign Office or maybe SIS, or becoming barristers, solicitors or doctors). Oh, and of course profess “liberal” values that are rooted not really in philosophy or ideology, but more in family trust funds, high salaries, and ownership of houses…

For as long as I can remember, Polly Toynbee has been the standard-bearer for that bloc, and wrong most (90%+) of the time.

Anyone who votes “Labour” imagining that it will be better or even much different from the Sunak misgovernment has not been paying attention.

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12432069/Parents-remove-four-year-old-daughter-pre-school-shown-Grandads-Pride-childrens-book-featuring-men-bondage-gear-women-trans-surgery.html

In terms of cultural degeneracy, the UK has now outstripped the Weimar Republic. If and when the UK has a real government, a massive cultural (and other) purge will be unavoidable.

More tweets seen

I have not seen any tweeter or other explain why the one-time Melissa Hadjicostas changed her name to the absurd “Jack Monroe”. God knows why; I don’t.

More from the newspapers

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/general-election-sunak-tories-polls-red-wall-b2396272.html

The Tories are facing electoral oblivion in the red wall as a shock poll reveals they will lose every single seat.

Polling from Electoral Calculus, shared with The Independent, reveals all 42 red wall seats held by the Conservatives are set to return to Labour at the next general election.

The scale of the rebellion against the government appears to in part be driven by the spiralling cost of living, with a separate analysis seen by The Independent showing the crisis is having a devastating impact on Tory-held seats in the red wall.

Almost two-thirds of voters believe the economy to be one of the top three issues facing the country, putting it significantly ahead of health and immigration, YouGov polling shows.

…while the economic figures “underline” the struggle in voters in those areas for the Conservatives, the prospect of the party holding on to power in the general election is already “not likely”.

Nationally, Electoral Calculus predicts a landslide Labour victory, winning around 460 seats, with the Conservatives reduced to just 90 seats.”

[The Independent]

A loss of the 42 “Red Wall” seats (which seems almost inevitable after the total collapse of the Government’s credibility on immigration and health) cannot be prevented even were the economy overall to improve. Any such improvement is unlikely to trickle down (to coin a phrase) to most of the people in those 42 areas.

In theory, the Conservative Party could lose all 42 “Red Wall” seats and still have a Commons majority of 35-40, but in reality the Government’s standing is so damaged across the country that the best that they can hope for, and at present even that seems unlikely.

Not that there is —or will be— much enthusiasm for Labour under Starmer, Reeves, and Yvette Cooper, but there is really no reason why one-time Labour voters who voted Con in 2019 would go out and vote Con in 2024; none at all. Indeed, there is little incentive even for long-term Conservative Party voters to do so. That being so, Labour may well triumph by default.

Late tweets

Almost twice the area of Hyde Park.

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Diary Blog, 14 August 2023

Morning music

[Odeonsplatz: watercolour of a Munich street scene, circa 1913, by Adolf Hitler]

Battles past

From the newspapers

The System and its entourage of “woke” idiots is very fragile. Even a picture of the cover of a book is enough to trigger a panic.

Tweets seen

Unless a nuclear missile lands on Kiev one day.

So the “Conservative” Party has now alienated the” “young” generally (maybe 90% of those under 30), the working families, the unemployed, most voters under 60, both those who support “refugees” incoming and also those who do not want more migrant-invaders, those renting properties because unable to buy, those wanting clean rivers and other environmental improvements, and now those who are sick and/or disabled and who are not already anti-Con.

Many, perhaps most, of those getting disability benefits are over 60, i.e. the only demographic until recently still supporting the Conservative Party.

The trend of things electoral seems to be that the hard core of Conservative Party support for the expected 2024 General Election will be persons over 60 who 1. have no opinion either way about the migration invasion, who 2. are homeowners without any mortgage obligation, who 3. are not short of money, 4. who do not receive any State benefits at all (beyond the State Pension itself), and 5. who do not object to a government (at Cabinet level) largely composed of non-whites.

There is at least a possibility that Sunak will suspend the Triple Lock on State pensions, as he did when Chancellor. As I predicted on the blog at the time, that first decision cut away the bedrock of pensioner electoral support for (and trust in) the Conservative Party; the fall in Con Party fortunes dates from that time a couple of years ago.

I begin to think that Sunak will be lucky to keep even 20% of the popular vote, though I still see Labour as not offering anything much to the British people (and, after all, Starmer’s policies are not, in reality, going to be much different to those of Sunak).

I should think that, despite the fact that the Sunak government is doomed, the next election in terms of seats will be decided by many voters making their decision in the final days of the campaign.

https://www.itv.com/news/2023-08-13/could-disability-benefits-be-the-target-of-treasury-spending-cuts.

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I did not know that he was still around; I recall reading his book, Coup d’Etat, around 1978. Some British Army fellow “borrowed” it, and I was unable to get it back.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Luttwak; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coup_d%27%C3%89tat:_A_Practical_Handbook

It is a notorious fact that armies and states often prepare to fight the last war, the war already fought. In 1939, Poland collapsed within 5 weeks after powerful German forces invaded from the west, indeed from west, north, and south simultaneously on and after 1 September 1939.

The Polish forces were hopelessly outmanouvered and outgunnned. They withdrew to the southeast, only to be outplayed when Soviet forces invaded from the easterly direction on 17 September 1939. Faced with attacks from all sides, the Poles had no choice but to surrender de facto by 6 October 1939, though there never was a formal surrender.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasion_of_Poland.

Notoriously, the Poles, in one famous engagement, made a hopeless cavalry charge against the latest German tanks. The Germans were fighting (as it turned out) the Second World War, whereas the Poles were using the tactics not even of the First World War but of the 19th Century.

Scrolling on to 2023, we see the Polish Army more powerful than it has been for centuries, but its strength lies in armour, and in numbers. Second World War strengths. The Russians may or may not be able to equal that, not without general mobilization, but Russia also has well over 6,000 nuclear weapons of various kinds, mostly missiles. Nuclear missiles (etc) against tanks?

The old Soviet Union also had “suitcase bombs”, capable of destroying city centres to a diameter of perhaps two miles. Does Russia have a similar programme now? I do not know, but would not bet against it.

What is disturbing at present is that, even more than in 1939, the war drums are beating far louder than the plaintive cries for peace.

Not just in Poland and Ukraine, but across the world, especially in the USA and UK, and in the EU.

It is a warning, “a shot across the bow”. The fastest, most advanced Russian missiles, with nuclear warheads, cannot be intercepted at present. Stop fuelling the Kiev regime, stop getting entangled in war with Russia.

Late tweets seen

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[Paris in the early 1940s, and under German occupation]