Category Archives: by-elections

Diary Blog, 22 December 2023

Morning music

Tweets seen

I have to admit that I have always found the idea of secret tunnels quite compelling. The KGB had a specific directorate specializing in tunnelling, though one finds little printed about it.

In the case of the Gaza tunnels, we are told that they extend for more miles overall than the London Underground, which has 250 miles of track, much of which, however, is overground. About 110 miles of the London Underground is actually below ground-level.

On that basis, only a small part, maybe 5-10 miles, or <10%, of the Gaza tunnels have been explored or destroyed by the invading Israeli forces so far. Information is obviously being restricted at present.

It makes me wonder whether similar tunnels do not also penetrate Israeli state territory from Lebanon or elsewhere, tunnels perhaps so far underground that they are undetectable.

Most of them are pretty useless.

Something that I, a one-time resident of the tri-state area (and qualified New York attorney and counsellor-at-law) never imagined I should see.

…and about 20,000 Gazan civilians, about half of whom were under 18, and a quarter of whom were babies, or small or young children.

12 metres, so nearly 40 feet wide. These are, in the context, war crimes.

Let them laugh. “They” will not be laughing in a few years’ time, and not only in Israel/Palestine…

Events are constantly putting Russia in a better position strategically.

When I was several months in Egypt in 1998, I used to really enjoy the flat bread fresh from local bakeries, usually bought from a hole in the wall about a foot or so wide. Still very warm, and with a unique taste not experienced anywhere else in the world. The (Egyptian) Arabic word for it is aysh, implying its importance to life.

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12892891/labour-mp-dawn-butler-mumsnet-met-police-brianna-ghey-murder-trial-verdict.html

Labour MP Dawn Butler has vowed to report online message board Mumsnet to the Metropolitan Police after users on the site and other social media slammed her reaction to the Brianna Ghey murder trial verdict.

[Daily Mail]

This is where we are now in the UK. Anything online that some idiot like Dawn Butler dislikes is now “reported”, either to the police or other bodies. If a prosecution under Communications Act 2003, s.127, occurs —and despite the Law Commission having recommended repeal of that as “bad law”— anything highly critical or satirical is now deemed “offensive”, and in practice as “grossly offensive” (and so unlawful).

It is a Kafka-esque farce which I saw at first-hand as defendant in such a case only last month.

The law in this area gives carte blanche to, especially, the usual malicious and politically-motivated Jew-Zionist whiners, such as the so-called “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA”, with the police and CPS as dupes.

Still, we must always remember that “the stars in their courses fight on the side of the just” [ancient Chinese proverb].

Dawn Butler’s actions give indication of what the likely “elected dictatorship” under Starmer may look like. Repressive.

Still, the only way at present to destabilize the mainly binary Lab/Con system is to knock out one or other main party. That will be the misnamed Conservative Party, which may be largely wiped out next year at the 2024 General Election, but the price for getting rid of the Conservative MPs will be a near-dictatorship under Starmer-Labour.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12891807/Police-allowed-run-facial-recognition-checks-50-million-drivers-new-powers-prepared-ministers.html.

The developing “social dictatorship” trialled (in various respects) during the contrived panicdemic/scamdemic of 2020-2022.

If the authorities really wanted to address persistent (real) crime, they might start by banning anyone not on bona fide holiday, or bona fide recreational travel, from using a caravan or motorhome on the roads etc. You know what I mean…

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12893007/british-army-orders-400-soldiers-recruitment-offices.html

Britain’s rapidly shrinking military has prompted defence chiefs to shift hundreds of troops from the front line and into recruitment offices.

More than 400 soldiers from across the British Army have been ordered by top brass to join the effort to try and get more people to enlist.

It comes as figures from the Labour party revealed the Army has shrunk by more than 3,000 troops in the past 12 months, with 9,438 personnel leaving while only 6,308 joined.

Britain’s part-time reservist force is also shrinking despite recent efforts to grow it. Between October last year and September 2023, 5,580 reservists left and only 3,780 joined. 

The latest recruitment statistics from the Ministry of Defence reveal the total Army strength plummeted from 79,139 to 75,983 during the same period, as recruiters failed to hire fresh new personnel to plug the gaps, leaving key roles unfilled.

[Daily Mail]

So the first move in getting more troops on the front-line is to…take 400 soldiers out of the spearhead forces and sit them in offices?

Lions led by donkeys“, as someone once said.

Why do we actually bother with an Army and Navy now? They seem incapable of stopping the only invasion happening, or likely to happen these days— the migration-invasion.

Occasionally, some political cretin such as Gavin Williamson [https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/05/02/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-gavin-williamson-story/], or Ben Wallace, will “threaten” China or Russia but, as someone else once said, “a general without troops is naked indeed“.

Empty bluster from political nonentities just makes Britain look even weaker than it is, and that is pretty weak.

More tweets

Ha ha! I liked that. It made me laugh. It may even be true.

I think —not quite sure— that that was somewhere in Mid-Bedfordshire constituency during the 2023 by-election.

[Note: the post mentioned, about a young man talking to a by-election crowd about the migration-invasion, has been deleted for some reason].

I looked at lost Doggerland in a blog post of 2020: see https://ianrobertmillard.org/2020/05/19/lost-doggerland-some-historical-changes-and-some-large-scale-projects/.

It may be my least-read blog post, out of over 1,600, but I think that it is certainly worth reading.

Ukrainian “refugees”, among others, are doing that. Most of Ukraine is not really a war zone, only about 10% of it; the far south-east parts, mostly.

See also:

Late music

[Estonian side of the Estonia-Russia border, winter 2023]

Diary Blog, 14 December 2023

Morning music

[“green and pleasant land”— Hampshire]

From the newspapers

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/dec/13/tory-mp-david-davis-recalls-saving-homeless-man-from-attackers.

The Conservative MP David Davis has spoken of how he fought off an attack near parliament as he intervened to help a rough sleeper who was being beaten up.

Davis, a former cabinet minister and leadership contender, said he aggressively stood between the attackers and the homeless man, and dodged two punches.

After “manhandling” the main attacker away, he took the beaten-up man, whose name was Gareth, back to his Westminster flat and let him stay the night on the sofa.

He took Gareth to St Thomas’ hospital the next day, because he was still bleeding.

The incident on Tuesday was first reported by the Evening Standard.

Davis, who trained with the SAS before entering parliament, said it appeared the attackers were “very vicious” and addicted to the drug spice.”

[Daily Mail]

David Davis is one of the very few MPs for whom I have any time (albeit with reservations). Britain might have been in a better place had he, and not David Cameron-Levita-Schlumberger, become leader of the Conservative Party. He has always struck me as basically honest and decent.

Come to think of it, were Davis —even now, aged 74— to stand for the Con Party leadership against Rishi Sunak, he might have a serious chance.

Moreover, Davis is the kind of straight bat that might appeal to many voters, and so at least take the gloss off Labour’s expected triumphal procession to elected dictatorship in 2024. Who knows? He could possibly even do better than that.

Davis’ background from when he was at university (late Sixties and early Seventies) to when he became an MP (1987) is hard to make out from the Wikipedia entry [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Davis_(British_politician)], not least because he seems to have not only worked for Tate & Lyle for 17 years but also to have spent a further 4-5 years in business-related student activity during the same years. Still, his background is basically solid, not a confection of lies and talked-up nothing, unlike the CVs of so many Conservative Party MPs.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12861385/Top-Tory-reported-police-man-wig-trans-row-vows-speaking-womens-rights-says-refuses-deny-reality.html

A top Tory reported to police in a trans row has vowed to continue speaking up for women’s rights and said she refuses to ‘deny reality’.

Rachel Maclean, the Conservative Party‘s deputy chairman for women, found herself embroiled in a storm after sharing an online post about an aspiring Green MP who is transgender.

The post labelled the Green candidate as a ‘man who wears a wig and calls himself a ‘proud lesbian’.

In a social media backlash, Mrs Maclean was accused of transphobia, which she denies, and reported to the police, who saw no reason to get involved.

[Daily Mail]

What does it say about the Green Party, which allows a loonie of that sort to be a Green Party candidate?

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2018/11/15/when-reality-becomes-subjective/.

Britain is, to a large extent, now just mad. “Those whom the Gods wish to destroy, they first make mad“… familiar quotation?

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/dec/14/extra-40000-people-in-england-homeless-this-christmas-says-charity

Homelessness has many causes, but it would be naive to presume that the migration invasion is not one of them, particularly when, over the past 30 years, non-whites and even new immigrants “straight off the (small?) boat” have been prioritized over the needs of the host white British population.

About a million invaders (“legal” and “illegal”) over the past year alone (700,000+ “net”). It is unsustainable, and is breaking apart what is left of our society.

Tweets seen

Eastern Ukraine. Fighting at present is concentrated in a small part of the front. Both sides have had limited tactical successes, but Russian forces are sure to achieve victory in Ukraine, strategically.

Kiev-regime funding is being cut back in the EU and USA; Kiev-regime front-line soldiers are not being replaced; there is a recruitment crisis in Ukraine; the Kiev-regime army is running short on arms and ammunition compared to the Russian forces; also, the Kiev regime itself is now politically unstable.

Then, in 2024, the Russian Army will advance west and north to and along the Dnieper.

Hey diddle diddle, MPs on the fiddle” (again)…

Benton would have been unseated anyway, at the expected 2024 General Election. Prior to his victory in 2019, Blackpool South had been a Labour-held seat since 1997: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blackpool_South_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s.

Benton was formerly a primary school teacher. I suppose that he will have to return to that, and will have to regard his unmerited 4 years as an MP as just having been a good opportunity to rip off as much money as possible.

This is yet another blow to the Conservative Party, re-emphasizing the lack of probity in many of its MPs. Quite a few will, like Benton, be looking for new jobs by 2025.

In my view, Lewis Goodall has missed the point. Recent polling has made plain that the majority, indeed nearly 70%, of those planning on voting for Reform UK have no expectation of Reform UK winning in their own constituencies, or maybe in any constituency. They are going to vote for Reform UK as a “**** you!” snarl to the System, to the way things are going generally in the UK (especially England), and against mass immigration and migration invasion.

I see parallels to the 2016 Brexit Referendum. One man, walking his dog (in Blackpool or nearby, I think), was interviewed in the street at the time. He was asked about the possible negative economic consequences of Brexit, but answered (brilliantly, in a way) “I don’t care about all that. It’s only me and the dog, anyway…“.

The msm journalists did not understand that man’s attitude, thought it a result of stupidity, or “poor education” (because he, presumably, had not acquired some useless Mickey Mouse “degree” from a “university” of which no-one had ever heard).

In fact, that man was saying that he was not “aspirational”, did not care about the inflated supposed value of some other people’s houses, did not have sons and daughters called “Josh” or “Olivia” wanting to take (and being able, financially, to take) unpaid “internships” at the EU Commission or Milan fashion houses etc, that he never travelled by helicopter or private plane, and had no share portfolio.

That man was also saying that he had seen Britain decline in almost every way in the past 40+ years, and had seen it invaded by untold millions of unwanted immigrants.

As I tweeted at the time, “Brexit means more than Brexit“.

People voting Reform UK (and I myself do not “support” Reform UK, partly because it is yet more pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby “controlled opposition”, partly because it is not a social-national party, partly because it supports finance-capitalism) do not expect Reform UK to win many, or even any, Commons seats. They want to say “NO!” to the general state of this country.

[cartoon from the time just after the 2016 Brexit Referendum]

As for the pleas of the Conservative Party that voting Reform UK will not get Reform UK MPs elected but simply allow Labour to win more seats, my judgment is that intending Reform UK voters want the Conservative Party MPs to be voted out, and they want the Con Party to be stamped on hard. Why? Because they feel that they have been both betrayed and let down generally…and they have been.

More tweets seen

I myself have not read that book, but it certainly looks interesting.

Goodwin has some useful things to say about immigration and migration invasion but, on the negative side, seems to be obsessively pro-Israel, pro the Jewish lobby etc. Have I missed something about him?

Diary Blog, 2 December 2023, with thoughts about General Election 2024, Reform UK etc

Afternoon music

Saturday quiz

Well, this week I scraped another narrow victory over political journalist John Rentoul, with 5/10 as compared to his 4/10.

I knew the answers to questions 1, 2, 5, 6, and 10.

Tweets seen

I feel that, with the passing into history of the late Queen, the Monarchy in Britain has ceased to be of any real relevance.

Charles has become a total —and very obvious— mouthpiece for the international conspiracy.

Please refer to previous comment…

That would result, using Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html] in a massive Labour majority of (about) 352: Labour 501 MPs, Conservatives 74, LibDems 35. The only thing keeping the Con Party going would be its history (now trashed anyway), its assets (if any) and its name-recognition among the public.

I notice that it might also mean an undeserved boost to the LibDems, tripling their number of MPs.

Despite that polling, indicating that Reform UK might still win no seats (despite polling nationwide a point higher than the LibDems; more proof that FPTP voting is not working now in the UK), this may not be the end of the show. I think that political academic Matt Goodwin might be right in predicting a surge in support for the rather pathetic latest Farage vehicle (now notionally led by Richard Tice).

If, as Goodwin predicts might happen, Reform UK does surge to, say, 15%, and if the extra 5 points come from Con Party former voters, then the number of Con Party seats reduces to about 30, but Labour would gain, and not Reform UK, which would still be left without any MPs despite, in that scenario, scoring one and a half times the votes of the LibDems, who would end up with about 43 MPs. The voting system is broken.

The reason of course, is that (as with UKIP in 2015) Reform UK has a fairly even level of support nationwide, without the concentrations of votes in some constituencies that the LibDems have.

In fact, to start getting MPs, Reform UK will have to achieve about 18% across the board. If those votes all came from former Con voters, the Con Party vote would have to decline to 14%. In that unlikely (?) scenario, the Conservatives would be left with about 10 MPs and might fairly be said to have been wiped out.

Incidentally, on 18%, Reform UK would still only get about 1 MP.

If Reform UK can take Labour votes as well, a very different picture. Still a huge Labour majority, but the Conservatives left with a rather more respectable 80-90 seats (and LibDems with about 50). Reform UK would still only get one or two MPs, however. Very unjust (not that I have much time for Reform UK, especially after Farage and Tice recently doormatting for Israel and the Jewish lobby).

I take Goodwin’s point though (I should do— after all, I have been making it for years myself): in a situation where both main System parties are determined to do pretty much the opposite of what most voters want, even sheep-like voters start to think how to protest, in the absence of a credible social-national party. Former Con voters may abstain, or may vote (mainly) for Reform UK, maybe LibDem, or other parties; Labour dissenters who dislike Starmer and his Labour Party may protest by (mainly) voting LibDem or Green.

Both main System parties are signed up to the transnational conspiratorial agenda— funnelling blacks and browns into Europe and other formerly almost-entirely white European societies (Australia, New Zealand etc). Also, signed up to the whole globalization project, to the biosecurity pseudo-health state idea, and to the cashless society idea (thus allowing the “central power” to de-bank people, cut off funds etc at will, eventually, e.g. to punish those who say or write the “wrong” things).

At present, GE 2024 is still a year ahead, probably. The only fairly certain fact is that this Government has run out of road, and is hanging on because it cannot think of anything else to do. Indian money-juggler Sunak is as misplaced in his office as were “Boris”-idiot, Theresa May, and David Cameron-Levita; ah, I actually forgot that ridiculous “ho”, Liz Truss. She too.

Sunak will probably decamp to California by 2025 at latest. Remember that nasty little bastard Nick Clegg? He is now living in an affluent suburb near San Francisco.

We are “ruled” by cosmopolitan poseurs of that sort, totally corrupt, and their venality equalled by their incompetence.

More tweets

Yes, but at present there are nearly a million unwanted migrant-invaders coming to live in the UK every year, even after emigrants are taken into account. That makes a continuing and worsening housing situation inevitable.

In a word, yes…

“Ukraine” (Kiev regime)— a failed state, a non-state.

A considerable part of the Ukrainian population might be fairly described as “blockheads” (even before they get drunk).

Please refer to previous comment.

I do not know the politics of Highgate, particularly, so cannot really comment.

Incidentally, that tweeter, John Edwards, a retired fire chief, at one time quite a few years ago would chat to me on Twitter (a pack of Jews had me expelled in 2018), but later had his ear bent to the extent that he tweeted to people that I was “a dreadful fascist“; yet here I am supporting his right to freedom of expression. #MoralHighGround…

Anyone who votes Labour in 2024 expecting any kind of positive change in the UK from that would have to be a total idiot. However, the present Sunak Government is just so hated and despised by almost everyone (my guess, around 85%+) that, in a basically binary electoral/political system, Labour, despite the fact that it offers —realistically— nothing, is almost certain to win big next year.

Britain is now so screwed, and in almost every way, that only a total change to a social-national rulership, combined with a massive cultural and other purge, will save it, if it can be saved.

Hancock should have been tarred and feathered, along with all those in and around government promulgating the absurd “lockdowns” and other “Covid”-related nonsense.

Instead, he is given hundreds of thousands of pounds to eat snails and witchetty grubs in that ridiculous “Jungle” TV show.

My assessment of Hancock from 2019: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/09/09/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-matt-hancock-story/.

Well, dear readers, was I right or wrong?

See also: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/archaeology/scientists-reveal-jewish-history-s-forgotten-turkish-roots-a6992076.html.

“Israeli-born geneticist believes the Turkish villages of Iskenaz, Eskenaz and Ashanaz were part of the original homeland for Ashkenazic Jews.

New research suggests that the majority of the world’s modern Jewish population is descended mainly from people from ancient Turkey, rather than predominantly from elsewhere in the Middle East.

The new research suggests that most of the Jewish population of northern and eastern Europe – normally known as Ashkenazic Jews – are the descendants of Greeks, Iranians and others who colonized what is now northern Turkey more than 2000 years ago and were then converted to Judaism, probably in the first few centuries AD by Jews from Persia. At that stage, the Persian Empire was home to the world’s largest Jewish communities.

According to research carried out by the geneticist, Dr Eran Elhaik of the University of Sheffield, over 90 per cent of Ashkenazic ancestors come from that converted partially Greek-originating ancient community in north-east Turkey.

[The Independent]

In other words, they have no right (based on claims of ancient settlement) to the lands now known as Israel and Palestine.

There should be an institute somewhat similar to SS-Ahnenerbe which could take DNA and other evidence, in order to investigate such theories and claims.

Should not be too difficult. After all, Zelensky has ripped off tens of millions, maybe hundreds of millions, of US dollars, has a $50M villa in Florida, another luxury villa in Italy, probably others as well.

Late music

[painting by M. Lounis]

Diary Blog, 19 November 2023, with brief reminiscence of Charleston, South Carolina, and mint juleps

Morning music

[“At the end stands Victory”]

Peter Hitchens

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/columnists/article-12765795/PETER-HITCHENS-Liberty-fought-tyranny-barely-noticed-court-hearing-week-believe-one-important-cases-time.html.

Liberty fought tyranny in the High Court in London last week, in what I believe is one of the most important court cases of our time. The issues were simple. Is it permissible to disagree publicly with the British Government‘s foreign policy?

If not, how much do you have to disagree with it to be in trouble? And can you then be severely punished without a proper trial?

I have a strong personal interest in this, since I often (in fact, almost always) disagree with British foreign policy. This frequently seems to have been made by bomb-happy teenagers who have never looked at a map, opened a history book or done any proper travel.

These are surely huge issues for any country. Apart from anything else, if foreign policy cannot be criticised, how long before domestic policy is protected in the same way?

[Mail on Sunday/Daily Mail]

Well worth reading.

[cf. my own trial, just now finished (at least at first instance)].

Tweets seen

From over a year ago but nothing has changed since then.

Anyone who thinks that misnamed “Labour” will be somehow better than the equally-misnamed “Conservatives” is self-deluding. Having said that, the “Con Party” does deserve to be stamped on and reduced to a tiny caucus at the 2024 General Election.

Stop the migration-invasion. Remove those not wanted in this country. Eliminate rogue landlords and buy-to-let parasites. Build decent homes for British people.

Bob Stewart was at least well-known. Any replacement will probably attract fewer votes even before the slide in Con Party fortunes is taken into account.

Beckenham has been a fairly safe Conservative seat since its creation in 1950. The Conservatives won easily even at the General Election of 1997, and the scandals around Piers Merchant [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piers_Merchant] did not prevent his successor from winning the seat at the by-election (also in 1997): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beckenham_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_1990s.

That it looks as if Beckenham will go Labour in 2024 is of wider significance, and underlines the almost existential crisis of the Conservative Party.

Another fact of straw-in-the-wind significance is that the likely new MP for Beckenham is one Marina Ahmad, a Bangladeshi who moved to the UK when 6 months old. The Great Replacement?…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marina_Ahmad; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Stewart_(politician)[.

[Update, 13 October 2024: in the end, Marina Ahmad was shoved aside (I think after being labelled “antisemitic”) in favour of one Liam Conlon, the 30-something son of Keir Starmer’s collaborator, former civil servant and would-be queen bee, Sue Gray, who held the position of Chief of Staff at 10, Downing Street from July 2024 until (it seems) her interference and politicking made Starmer demote her and chuck her out of the first circle of power in October 2024. Conlon won the new Beckenham and Penge seat with 49.3% of the vote. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beckenham_and_Penge_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beckenham_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s].

Mint julep

A word about a favourite drink, though one not had by me for some 20 years.

I must descant a little upon the mint julep, as it is… one of the most delightful and insinuating potations that was ever invented, and may be drunk with satisfaction when the thermometer is as low as 70 degrees.

There are many varieties, such as those composed of claret, Madeira, &c., but the ingredients of the real Mint Julep are as follows. I learned how to make them and succeeded pretty well. Put into a tumbler about a dozen sprigs of the tender shoots of mint, upon them put a spoonful of white sugar, and equal proportions of peach and common brandy, so as to fill it up one-third, or perhaps a little less.

Then take rasped or pounded ice, and fill up the tumbler. Epicures rub the lip of the tumbler with a piece of fresh pineapple, and the tumbler itself is very often incrusted outside with stalactites of ice.

As the ice melts, you drink.

I once overheard two ladies talking in the room next to me, and one of them said, “Well, if I have a weakness for any one thing, it is for a mint julep!”–a very amiable weakness, and proving her good sense and good taste. They are, in fact, like the American ladies–irresistible!

[Captain Marryatt— https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frederick_Marryat].

The typical mint julep of today, however, uses quality Bourbon more often than peach brandy and cognac.

Dickens also enjoyed the odd mint julep: https://www.foodhistory.com/foodnotes/leftovers/bev/julep/01/.

[Charles Dickens, Washington Irving, and a giant mint julep]

Reminds me of happy times in Charleston, South Carolina, which I visited a few times in 2001 and 2002.

[Charleston S.C.]
[conservation district, Charleston S.C.]
[The Battery, Charleston S.C.; I stayed nearby]

Late music

Diary Blog, 20 October 2023

Afternoon music

[East Berlin, 1977]
[Germany 1945: “We are fighting for the future of our children!“]

Battles past

Tweets seen

All part of the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan: select non-whites to become MPs, TV presenters, actors in TV shows etc. Many of the political ones are actually outright frauds, like that Festus character. Shaun Bailey is another one, and he now sits in the House of Lords as a fake “lord”, “lording it” over British people.

https://twitter.com/Eyeswideopen69/status/1715200602978877488

See my previous comment.

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“Festus” (in Mid-Bedfordsire) too; he kept his job (and pay) as Police and Crime Commissioner, just in case he failed to get elected. Those “PCCs” are the biggest wastes of space around (arguably). Most of them seem to be both stupid and corrupt.

As for Andrew Cooper (in Tamworth), marginally better, but struck me, reading about him, as pretty stupid.

Thoughts about the by-elections in Tamworth and Mid-Bedfordshire

The results:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Tamworth_by-election#Results

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mid_Bedfordshire_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s

Obviously, “seismic” for the Conservative Party. I have blogged previously about the by-elections, but will say a little more know that the results are in.

This is surely the end of the road for the little Indian money-juggler, Sunak, and his Government. So far, he has said nothing, and is still in the Middle East, having been doormatting for Israel and the Jews for the past few days.

Will Sunak now resign? If not, his party will undoubtedly be wiped out next year. If he does step down now, it may give the Con Party a slight chance of at least limiting the damage. That would depend, though, on finding a replacement at least superficially credible.

In my view, neither of the Labour victories yesterday were really votes for Labour as such; they were votes for Labour as the best way of defeating the candidate of the “Conservative” Party.

In Tamworth, the rather poor Con Party candidate still received 40.7% of the vote (Lab 45.8%). In Mid-Bedfordshire, “Festus”, the Con Party candidate, received 31.8% (Lab 34.1%).

Both were fairly close contests, but their importance lies in the fact that both had been considered pretty solid Con Party seats, despite the poor quality of both MPs elected in 2019 and previously.

At present it looks as though the Con Party may be left with about 50 seats after 2024, unless something huge happens in the meantime.

What else? Well, the LibDems performed very badly, especially at Tamworth, where the LD candidate, an Indian barrister, received a vote of only 1.6%.

As far as broadly “nationalist” candidates and parties are concerned, poor in both contests. The barely-nationalist Reform UK, the latest Farage-ist vehicle, scored 5.4% at Tamworth, and 3.7% in Mid-Beds. Underwhelming, looking at the surrounding circumstances.

Reform UK will not get anywhere because it is not social-national. A less globalist Con Party, really. It may even have been set up as a “safety valve” to prevent a social-national party from emerging.

Rump UKIP, and Britain First, both stood at Tamworth. Both lost their deposits.

Conclusion: people generally, even former Con Party voters, want rid of the present Government. The next General Election, sometime in the next 14 months, may be almost existential for the Con Party. 50 MPs, perhaps. That is now a distinct possibility. Unlikely that Con Party will retain more than 100 MPs, even bearing in mind that by-elections are more likely to produce upsets. The turnout in both seats was about half of what it was in 2019.

I detect no real enthusiasm for Labour, though. These two results were both caused by people voting tactically to remove candidates of a party now almost universally despised (and which has been unwilling to face the electorate, despite having selected 2 new PMs, for 4 years).

The “Conservative” Party MPs are saying that it will all be different at the 2024 General Election. Really? Why? Why should it be? I think, on present evidence, that the result will be much the same as yesterday, though with a slight adjustment in the Con Party favour, by reason of higher turnout and because some may have reservations about creating a Labour “elected dictatorship”.

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[SS-men are sworn-in in Munich]

More tweets

As every day passes, the weight of karmic sin of the Israelis —and those supporting them— increases.

Need one ask why they fight?

He will probably get his comeuppance in the end.

Starmer is just a puppet, a mouthpiece for Israel and the UK/American Jewish lobby.

Late tweets

Incidentally, I happened to notice that some idiot (presumably, some Jew or other, going by the pseudonym @joel_a_t) is claiming that I am back on Twitter/”X” as the account above, @RealBlackIrish. Not so, though RealBlackIrish is certainly usually worth reading.

I myself have not posted on Twitter/”X” since a pack of Jews finally managed (via concerted complaint etc) to get my account removed, in 2018.

https://www.justgiving.com/campaign/veryurgentcrisiappeal

Remarkable overall, especially bearing in mind the Jew-Zionist stranglehold over the American mass media.

(That should read “October 17“, I think).

Late music

Diary Blog, 18 October 2023

Morning music

[unknown artist, c.1800, Death leading Hell’s Army]

Battles past

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12641379/At-200-killed-Israeli-strike-Gaza-hospital-Hamas-claims.html.

Israel has denied it was responsible for the blast at a hospital in Gaza that the Hamas claims killed at least 500 people and has more trapped under rubble

Video from the hospital showed fire engulfing the building and the hospital’s grounds strewn with bodies, many of them young children. Hundreds of people were reportedly seeking shelter at the hospital at the time of the blast, which Hamas has called a ‘horrific massacre’ and a ‘crime of genocide‘.”

More Israeli/Jewish lies.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2023/10/17/israel-hamas-war-live-anger-after-israeli-strike-kills-500-in-hospital

More about the Israeli attack on a hospital. Worth reading not least because Jew-Zionists in the UK, USA etc are still claiming that the Palestinian side was responsible via a “failed rocket” of some sort.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12641173/Man-71-charged-animal-cruelty-video-showed-elderly-dog-walker-kicking-cat-pavement-days-died.html.

Name. Shame. Punish.

Tweets seen

…because the “American mainstream media” is almost all owned and/or controlled and/or heavily influenced by Jews and/or Jewish interests.

Typical Jewish/Israeli hypocrisy. “It’s heartbreaking that we are forced to destroy hospitals full of suffering people“…

No accident. Deliberate targeting of a hospital. A war crime by any standard.

The simulacrum of the human“…

Israel itself was built on lies:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/archaeology/scientists-reveal-jewish-history-s-forgotten-turkish-roots-a6992076.html

  1. Most Israelis are not descended from ancient “Israelites” but from Khazars:
  2. Much of the WW2 “holocaust” narrative, used to give legitimacy to the migration-invasion of Palestine by Jews in the mid/late 1940s, is not true, notably the “gas chambers” fable;
  3. The migration-invasion of Palestine by Jews in the mid/late 1940s was neither necessary nor justified. Jews massacred large numbers of Palestinian Arabs, and buried the bodies in mass graves, afterwards stealing the land, houses, apartments etc of the murdered victims.

The “holocaust” narrative is still, 80 years on, being used as cover for the continuing Israeli/Jewish military and other crimes.

Regev— an Israeli/Jew liar. Never believe anything “they” say.

Speaking of which:

Jew-Zionist loony and troublemaker pretends to fear “a worldwide pogrom“. I suppose that I should not comment.

Same loony seems to think that the inhuman destruction of the hospital in Gaza should not be noted or criticized because it is a so-called “blood libel” (the mediaeval belief that some Jews killed and/or ate European children).

In any case, even if we leave aside the hospital attack and the 500+ killed there, look at what the Israeli Jews are doing generally in Gaza. Massive destruction. Massive attacks on areas full of civilians, about half of which are children, and a quarter of which are young children under 11 or 12 years of age. Also, the cutting off of water supplies, food supplies, gas, electricity, medical supplies etc.

Meanwhile, in the UK, several people individually (including me) are being prosecuted under a law (Communications Act 2003, s.127) which is so open to abuse (mainly from Jewish/Zionist cabals) that the Law Commission has officially recommended its repeal.

I should add, belatedly, that my alleged sins are said to date from 2020 and 2021— nothing to do with the present Israel/Palestine situation.

Of course, both China and Russia are hardly known for human rights, but then look at the USA: Abu Ghraib, Bagram, Guantanamo Bay, the bombing of civilians (admittedly nowhere near the Israeli level. Israel is beyond the pale).

More from the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12642803/Tory-candidate-Tamworth-election-families-food-banks.html

A Tory candidate standing in the forthcoming by-election once suggested that families using food banks should ‘f*** off’ if they could afford TVs and phones.

Andrew Cooper is standing for the Conservatives in Tamworth, Staffordshire, as voters go to the polls tomorrow after previous MP Chris Pincher was forced to quit after a sleaze scandal.

In an insensitive Facebook post in October 2020, Mr Cooper appeared to question whether people needed to use food banks.

“...Mr Cooper told the BBC that there needed to be better incentives to get people into work.”

[Incentives? Higher pay?]

[Daily Mail]

The candidate also cannot spell, it seems (“YOR” for “YOUR“).

Sounds like a fairly moronic individual. Director of an engineering company called GEFCO, formerly owned by Russian interests.

I saw a photo of Andrew Cooper in a local newspaper: https://www.banburyguardian.co.uk/read-this/tamworth-by-election-2023-tory-candidate-andrew-cooper-parents-4375867.

In that report, the photo shows him wearing a blue suit with two military medals (in the Russian fashion, too, i.e. the actual medals, not just the ribbons).

The medals appear to be (the photo is not very clear) the equivalent of “campaign” medals, one for Iraq and one for service of at least 30 days with the NATO force in Kosovo. I am not very well-informed about medals, so I may not be quite right about that.

I blogged briefly recently about tomorrow’s two by-elections: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2023/10/08/diary-blog-8-october-2023-including-a-look-at-the-upcoming-tamworth-and-mid-bedfordshire-by-elections/.

I find the Tamworth by-election hard to call. I think that it must be between Con and Lab. I think that it may be close, but Labour has a pretty good chance here.

What interests me is the question “if both by-elections are lost, will Sunak resign, or at least face calls to resign?”

More tweets

Well, who knows? With a day to go, there seems all to play for, not only for Lab and Con, but for the LibDems too.

At a guess, I too would have looked (pre-2020) at the Cons as the most likely choice by far (Nadine Dorries scored almost 60% in 2019), but people even in very “Conservative” areas are now mightily angry (mixed with apathy in view of the convergence of most Con/Lab policy). Not sure whether those former Con voters will vote Lab, though. I am inclined to think abstention or voting LibDem might be more popular.

The betting markets are often wrong on by-elections. Still, at present the betting exchanges have the Cons odds-on, Labour around 3/1 and LibDems around 5/1.

Sounds plausible, but that LibDem bet at 5/1 could be value.

It would be superb, though unexpected at present, to see that horrible bitch accredited to the UK also expelled (or whatever).

I suppose that Murray is referring to having been arrested on the basis of yet another malicious and lying complaint by the evil bastards of the “Campaign Against Antisemitism”, the same ones who are behind my politically-motivated trial late next month.

Looks like the pathetic Indian money-juggler and doormat for Israel is on the way out.

More about Tamworth

Further research into the Conservative Party candidate seems to confirm my earlier comments about his medals (Iraq and Kosovo): he enlisted in the Staffordshire Regiment, and served for 6 years. His final rank was Lance Corporal: https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrew-cooper-38367816a/?originalSubdomain=uk, and it seems that his specialism was as a sniper.

Cooper himself self-describes as “Progressing from Sniper to Lance Corporal in the Staffordshire Regiment of the British Army. Completing tours such as Iraq, Kenya, Kosovo and Bosnia performing duties including surveillance, target acquisition and official duties in France for Queen Elizabeth II“; and

Experienced, effective and diligent Railway Engineer with a strong track record in the sector following on from a distinguished military career. I specialise in railway maintenance and asset management but also have significant experience of railway engineering projects.”

Cooper having been a railway engineer for 17 years, I should think that he does a lot more good in that field than he might as an MP.

Well, there it is. We shall know the result late tomorrow, or early on Friday.

I think that Labour will win at Tamworth; not so sure about who will win in Mid-Beds. The bookmakers prefer Labour at Tamworth, and the Cons in Mid-Bedfordshire.

More tweets

“FAZ: Russia is using the situation in Israel to discredit the United States and distract attention from Ukraine.

After the Hamas attack, the Russian President, on the one hand, spoke out for Israel’s right to defend itself, on the other hand, he condemned the blockade of Gaza, comparing it to Leningrad, and confirmed his commitment to the two-state principle.

Despite the fact that Russia has good contacts in the region and called for de-escalation of the conflict, Western countries in the UN Security Council rejected Moscow’s proposal. Frankfurter Allgemeine explains this by saying that Russia has intentions to use the new conflict to its advantage. The newspaper points out that the Russian president calls the situation in Israel “a striking example of the failure of US policy in the Middle East” and accuses Washington of not taking the “fundamental interests of the Palestinian people” into account.

In addition, according to the German newspaper, the Kremlin is using the conflict to divert attention from Ukraine. “The prospect that Israel will now receive Western weapons and ammunition that Kyiv might otherwise receive is emboldening the power apparatus and the media” in Russia.

Moscow also benefits from rising oil prices, which fill government finances.

America has been condoning Israeli war crimes for years, recalls Scott Ritter It is not unusual that the Israeli military bombed a hospital in Gaza, killing 500 people.

Such tactics are consistent with the IDF’s “Mowing the Grass” doctrine, which involves disproportionate violence against not only militants, but also civilians, including children, US Marine Corps intelligence officer Scott Ritter said in an interview with the Judging Freedom YouTube channel.

At the same time, he said, Washington is in no hurry to introduce an embargo, stop or at least criticize Tel Aviv, whose army is actually committing war crimes with the help of American weapons. Moreover, the United States has been turning a blind eye to this fact for many years. “We know what Israel is doing. We support what Israel is doing, so any talk in the US about compassion for the Palestinian population is one hundred percent false. We have never sympathized with the Palestinians. We have always supported Israel’s perspective and strategic goals, even if they include the “Cut the Grass” policy,” Ritter emphasized.”

Late music

[
[Tampa Bay; electrical storm]

Diary Blog, 8 October 2023, including a look at the upcoming Tamworth and Mid-Bedfordshire by-elections

Afternoon music

Battles past

Tamworth and Mid-Bedfordshire by-elections 2023

Tamworth constituency has a fairly ancient history (on various different boundaries and names), going back to the 13th Century. Its most famous MP was Sir Robert Peel, who represented the town from 1830-1850 (he was MP for three other places from 1809-1830), and who was Prime Minister 1834-1835 and 1841-1846: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Peel.

The most recent MP, the appropriately-named Chris Pincher, was rather less distinguished, having been finally forced to resign in 2023 after several years of having been accused, then eventually adjudged guilty, of having sexually molested men, including MPs, in bars.

Looking at his Wikipedia entry, it seems that Pincher only became an MP in 2010, at age 41, and had done nothing very interesting prior to that (though Wikipedia is not infallible). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Pincher.

Tamworth, on its present boundaries, was held by Labour from 1997 (when the present seat was brought into being) until 2010; Pincher failed to secure the seat in 2005, but took it in 2010 with a vote-share of 45.8%. Thereafter, his percentage vote increased at every election, peaking in 2019 at 66.3%.

At that 2019 election, Labour Co-op came in second, but poorly, on 23.7%. The other 4 candidates were very much also-rans, only the LibDems retaining their deposit (with 5.3%).

The by-election will be held on 19 October 2023, and has attracted 9 candidates: Conservative, Labour, LibDem, Green, UKIP, Reform (the latest Farage vehicle), Britain First, Monster Raving Loony, and an independent. See https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-66864806 for candidates’ details.

This is probably a Con-Lab 2-horse race, with the LibDems possibly having a slim outsider chance. The Guardian has talked to a few voters: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/sep/30/tamworth-voters-byelection-tories-chris-pincher

The Government is obviously deeply unpopular, and also seen as useless. However, Labour is not much liked either. There may be protest vote possibilities, but the main object may be to send a message to the Government, and I suppose that a vote for Labour is most likely to cause the Government pain, if it results in the by-election ending with a Labour win.

Hard for me to call. I have only once even driven through the town, and that was long ago. Not an area I know. Overall, it seems to me that the LibDems are too marginal here to have much chance, so it is between Con and Lab. To elect the Labour candidate would require a huge swing, but I think that it must be possible, as public feeling now stands.

If Labour can pull it off at Tamworth, the 2024 General Election will look sealed. The over-used word “seismic” comes to mind.

So we turn to Mid-Bedfordshire.

Nadine Dorries had to be almost forced out of the seat she had held since 2005, and which had provided her with a good income; both salary and very inflated expenses. She was lucky to have avoided prosecution. A very stupid, entirely uneducated, but withal cunning woman. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nadine_Dorries.

The by-election, to be held on 19 October 2023, the same day as that at Tamworth, has attracted no less than 13 candidates, mostly minor or crank.

Nadine Dorries scored 59.8% at the 2019 General Election (Labour 21.7%, LibDems 12.6%).

Mid-Bedfordshire has been a Conservative Party seat since the 1920s.

This would normally be a shoo-in for the Conservative Party candidate, but several factors make that less than likely. Anger at the freeloading and fraudulent behaviour of Nadine Dorries. The general anger at the present Government. Perhaps also the fact that the Con candidate is a careerist black: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Festus_Akinbusoye.

The Conservative Party candidate is presently Police and Crime Commissioner for Bedfordshire, only came to the UK at 13 from his native Nigeria, and is a Mormon.

The opinion polls have Con and Lab neck and neck, with the LibDems not far behind. Tactical voting may play the decisive role, but does that mean anti-Con voters voting Labour, or voting LibDem?

Reform, the Farage vehicle, is polling around 7%, as is county council chairman Gareth Mackey, standing as Independent.

Very hard to call, but Labour may just have the edge.

I suppose that the other point is that Sunak may be pressured to stand down as Con Party leader if one contest is lost (or only if both are lost?).

[Update, 22 January 2024: in the end, Labour won both by-elections.

At Tamworth, the Labour candidate won with 45.8% of the vote, Con Party in second with 40.7%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Tamworth_by-election.

In Mid-Bedfordshire, the result was even closer, Labour winning with 34.1% of the vote, Con 31.1%, and the LibDems doing well in third on 23.1%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Mid_Bedfordshire_by-election.

In both by-elections, Reform UK proved underwhelming (4th and 5th placed, respectively).

Sunak did not resign, despite the double loss.].

From the news

Tweets seen

Whatever may be said of Labour or Angela Rayner, that tweet is surely correct. The 2024 General Election is Labour’s to lose. The Conservative Party is just dissolving. I notice that evil sociopath Chris Grayling is now not going to stand for re-election.

Having said that, I see many white-haired and grey-haired people at that Labour show. All System parties are dying, and have few young people supporting them.

Exactly. A million a year coming in, and only a few hundred thousand people (mostly real Brits) leaving (for Australia, New Zealand etc) each year. Result— misery.

Actually, many of the replies to the above tweet show how unthinking the self-describing “Left” pseudo-socialists are. They really think that importing millions of backward persons has no effect on housing provision etc; either that, or they do not care. They really should be regarded and treated as outright traitors.

https://twitter.com/jexmotion/status/1711038210954920007

Read that report. Towards the end:

He must be desperate or in an awful state to go to such pains to try to come into the country that way.

Or not able to enter legitimately, having no right to enter.

Brainwashed.

Late tweets

Well, looking at Downing Street this evening, does anyone now doubt what embedded group is pulling the strings of both the “Conservative” and “Labour” parties?

According to the Turkish sources, due to dwindling stocks of Iron Dome missiles, the Israeli army is not supplying ammunition to some units armed with the complex, with the exception of three batteries in Tel Aviv, one battery in Jerusalem and one battery in Netivot in southern Israel.

The seven batteries do not supply any ammunition or fire, and they only have a limited number of anti-aircraft guided missiles in case Palestinian missiles fly towards critical targets. This explains the fact that launches on Ashkelon, Ashdod and Sderot cause virtually no opposition.”

Late music

Diary Blog, 6 October 2023

Morning music

Battles past

From the newspapers

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24289257/yew-tree-battle-of-hastings-felled-sycamore-gap/

More heartless vandalism.

Tweets seen

From nearly 5 years ago:

Owen Jones also had a few words to say about me on Twitter:

That was Owen Jones joining in the Jew-Zionist-led msm attack on me 7 years ago, immediately after my wrongful and (as it now transpires) unlawful disbarment. He also colluded with depressive sex pest John Woodcock MP (now, and risibly, “Lord Walney”) to get me blocked by people on Twitter.

Woodcock/”Walney” was at one time the Chair of Labour Friends of Israel; Jones is part-Jew (either quarter or half: see my assessment of him above).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Woodcock,_Baron_Walney#Other_work

Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election

Regular readers of the blog will know that I comment rarely on Scottish politics in detail. However, a few words about the by-election.

Obvious points:

Labour won convincingly, its candidate a 35-y-o who resigned from Labour over “antisemitism”, rejoined after Starmer took over, and is a local schoolteacher: https://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/23511246.labour-pick-activist-quit-party-by-election-candidate/; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Shanks_(politician).

The SNP crashed from 44.2% in 2019 to 27.5%. To what extent that reflects hostility to the former MP, to the “nationalist” SNP having a Pakistani leader, to the Sturgeon scandal, and/or to the SNP’s failing record in government, is hard to say. Whether the result also reflects disenchantment with the idea of breaking away from the UK is also hard to say. Maybe a mixture of all of the foregoing.

For me, the fall in Conservative Party support from 15% to 3.9% is significant. The previous lowest point had been in 2005 (8.4%). A straw in the wind re. the 2024 General Election. At present, it looks as if only the safest Conservative seats (in England) will be held next year.

Turnout was only 37.2%, scarcely more than half of that in 2019. People are aware that the electoral system is just a rigged con-trick most of the time.

More tweets seen

According to a poll from King’s College London, one in three British people believe the great replacement is happening. By the standards of liberal discourse, this means one third of the British public are far-right extremists, holding a view that is never represented in mainstream media and censored off most social media. Despite the heavy censorship and vilification of people who hold this view, people see the reality of rapidly changing demographics in their homelands.

Almost half the people polled disagreed. Are they blind, or just stupid?!

This week, the Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson addressed the nation on the “unprecedented” rise in gang-related violence, calling on the military to assist the police in a situation that is increasingly out of control. Kristersson blamed “irresponsible immigration policy” and “failed integration” for this worsening crisis, stating: “Political naivety and cluelessness have brought us to this point. Irresponsible immigration policy and failed integration have brought us to this point.

Exclusion and parallel societies feed the criminal gangs, providing space for them to ruthlessly recruit children and train future killers.”

11 people were shot dead last month alone in Sweden, the second highest ever recorded in a single month.

Sweden’s upsurge in violent crime coincided with a large rise in inward migration in the 2010s. Sexual assault also rose under the previous self-labelled “feminist government”. A report in 2018 found that 8 in 10 ‘stranger’ rapes were carried out by migrants.”

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/18/the-swedish-sickness-contaminating-the-rest-of-europe-what-is-it/.

I wrote that 4 years ago.

More music

More tweets seen

God bless all those standing up for freedom of expression in the Britain of 2023.

The Jew-Zionists coined the word “lawfare” to describe their own abuse of the English (etc) law.

@LozzaFox is restricted on what he can and cannot say on twitter by his bail conditions. The police are using their powers to control what is said on social media. When they release a rapist on bail, are they restricting them from going near anyone else? This is deep state control of free speech, it’s dangerous, it’s unacceptable, and the police need to be reigned in on this before it goes any further.

Alison Chabloz was likewise gagged. I myself am on unconditional bail, and so am restricted only by the need to avoid any perceived contempt of court prior to my expected trial in about 6 weeks’ time.

Try Republika Srpska. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republika_Srpska.

Crazed Jewess demanding that what is left of our society closes down.

https://www.linkedin.com/in/zblsvcohen/?originalSubdomain=uk

https://www.linkedin.com/in/zblsvcohen/details/experience/

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12598479/Critics-mock-Just-Stop-Oil-spokeswoman-eco-clowns-Les-Miserables-ruining-couples-80th-birthday.html

https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/07737274/officers.

Lives in a dwelling valued at between £600,000-£1,000,000. Typical.

More, from 2021: https://www.cheshire-live.co.uk/news/chester-cheshire-news/meet-cheshire-woman-who-arrested-22330769

The readers’ comments to that Daily Mail report show that 98% or 99% oppose the “Just Stop Oil” idiots.

It can only be a matter of time before some of the irrational “Just Stop Oil” and “Extinction Rebellion” zealots turn to direct terrorism, as I predicted a few years ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/08/16/the-extinction-rebellion-levellers/.

We” did not sell out. The Western cabals sold us down the river.

I think that we can be 99% sure what (((interests))) are pulling the strings of “controlled opposition” GB News, while hiding behind a maze of corporate mechanisms.

Understandably, few Ukrainians now want to join, or be compelled to join, the failing Kiev-regime military effort.

RAUS!

Now do the same with the non-Europeans.

More music

Images from history

Late tweets

Translation: “Ukraine’s out.

The Kremlin is establishing “deep and strong” cooperation with countries that are hostile to the West, including China, North Korea, Iran – Foreign Affairs [magazine].

Western analysts believe that portraying Russia as a “rogue state” is a failed strategy, since this makes the Russian Federation a valuable partner for countries that were previously “undecided” on which side to take, and also strengthened relations with former allies.

Ukraine’s $24 billion aid package no longer safe – The Washington Post Due to the chaos caused by the removal of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, the Biden administration is now deciding whether to seek a large sum for Kiev or to implement a smaller, short-term package of measures, according to the Washington Post.

According to the high-ranking official, the new strategy of supporting Ukraine will largely depend on who will become the next speaker and what kind of agreement they will be able to make with him, the article states.

Earlier this week, while announcing a new $5.3 billion aid package to Kiev, EU foreign policy and security chief Josep Borrell said the bloc was unable to compensate Ukraine for the amount of aid the United States had suspended.”

The President of the Russian Federation announced yesterday that the Burevestnik rocket had been successfully tested. This is a nuclear-powered global-range cruise missile. A rocket like no other in the world. Russian scientists and constructors, who started working back in Soviet times, made another step forward.”

Late music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piano_Concerto_No.5(Saint-Sa%C3%ABns)]
[David D. Pearce, The Bird Souk, Cairo]

Diary Blog, 22 July 2023

Morning music

[The Angel of the North]

Battles past

Saturday quiz

Well, this week I scored a convincing victory over political journalist John Rentoul: he scored only 2/10, whereas my score was 8/10. I did not know the answers to questions 5 and 10. I admit that I guessed the answer to question no.1, but that still counts.

Tweets seen

Now, Biden is demented; back then, in 2019, he was just a very obviously unpleasant person. Were he not a politician, notunder public scrutiny, and were he in, say, an Irish-American bar somewhere, one could imagine him viciously assaulting his interlocutor.

The Harry Formerly Known as Prince, and Meghan Mulatta, are a pair of one-trick ponies. They are rapidly becoming yesterday’s news, except as a kind of joke.

So, again, who is hurt by sanctions against Russia? The consumers and taxpayers of western and central Europe. Not Russia or Russians. The gas produced in Russia will still be sold elsewhere in the world, and Russian citizens are, if anything, better off than they were before the sanctions were imposed.

“Western decadence”, or just “Western” madness?

A strange “war”, in which Ukraine (Kiev regime) allows transit of Russian oil exports through its territory (at a price) and, until last week, Russia allowed the Kiev regime to export grain.

Eliminate the users and you also eliminate the dealers, importers, chemists, as well as the social problems resulting from drug abuse.

Is it not the other way around? Whatever. The fact is that there is little clear blue water between the two major System parties, a fact many voters have started to realize.

There is a good chance that, whoever wins the next U.S. Presidential election, the USA will take away Zelensky’s ricebowl.

Take them down!

Late music

[fraternisation francaise…]

Diary Blog, 21 July 2023, including some analysis of yesterday’s by-elections: Uxbridge and South Ruislip, Selby and Ainsty, Somerton and Frome

Morning music

{Palace of Westminster, with Portcullis House to the right]

Battles past

The three by-elections of 20 July 2023

Uxbridge and South Ruislip

The result: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uxbridge_and_South_Ruislip_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

As I predicted on the blog a couple of days ago, this was a “battle of the apathies”. Complete “Conservative” omnishambles meets Labour mediocrity (both on the national and constituency levels).

The successful Conservative candidate drew a veil over both the non-performance of the Rishi Sunak government and the egregiously poor behaviour (and capabilities) of ex-MP “Boris” Johnson; the candidate just kept hitting at the ridiculous Sadiq Khan ULEZ scheme [“Ultra Low Emission Zone”], and saying very little else about anything.

In a sense that concentration on ULEZ shows how meaningless the supposed “democracy” of the UK now is. The ULEZ idea and policy was first mooted by none other than “Boris”-idiot and the Conservative Party in London. Quite apart from that, the new Con Party MP, one Steve Tuckwell [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Tuckwell] will be able to exercise precisely zero influence over the ULEZ scheme and Sadiq Khan.

The Labour Party candidate, Danny Beales, was arguably not a good candidate in the particular constituency, an outer London suburb. Gay, a former councillor in inner-city Camden, and a graduate of the London School of Economics.

That said, the result was close— 495 votes decided it. Both the LibDem voters (526, fifth place), and/or the Green Party voters (893, third place), had they voted tactically, could have prevented the narrow Con Party victory. Neither Greens nor LibDems had a chance of winning, and both lost their deposits, along with the other 13 candidates, all of whom could be described as either “minor” or “joke” candidates.

The actor Laurence Fox, for Reclaim, did well, in a minor way, to come fourth, not far behind the Green. Still, this was really between Con Party (13,965 votes, 45.2%) and Labour (13,470, 43.6%). The other 15 parties and independents only scored 11.2% between them.

It does puzzle me why LibDem voters in particular did not all vote tactically. Some did, plainly, looking at previous election results where the LibDem vote was higher by far (peaking at 20% in 2010, though only 6.3% in 2019), but not enough.

Why did 526 LibDems bother to trot down to vote, knowing that their candidate had no chance? Even if they hated both Con and Lab, and so were unwilling to vote for either, why bother to vote? As someone said of golf, “a good walk spoiled“.

So a Conservative Party win, though scarcely a ringing endorsement.

Turnout was about 2/3 of that in 2019, and indeed the previous elections. I am assuming from that that many former Conservative voters, in what was since creation in 2010 a fairly safe Conservative seat (a new seat on these boundaries), just threw up their hands in disgust at both main System parties, could find no other home for their votes, and so “voted with their feet”— abstained.

Selby and Ainsty

The result: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selby_and_Ainsty_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

The successful Labour candidate is 25, once again (like the Labour candidate at Uxbridge) gay (seems that it is almost compulsory now in the Labour Party), and has only worked for 18 months since leaving university. Interestingly, those 18 months were spent working at the Confederation of British Industry, a more usual place in which to find young Conservatives, surely?

Also, he spent some months in 2019 and 2020 working with Wes Streeting, the “centrist” (Labour Friends of Israel) MP. So it seems that Keir Mather will fit easily into the Keir Starmer Labour Party. Not much else is yet known about him: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keir_Mather.

Why did Mather win what had previously been regarded as a safe Conservative seat? As at Uxbridge, the implication is surely obvious: former Conservative voters were appalled at both major System parties, and so preferred to stay home rather than vote Labour (or elsewhere).

Mather scored 46% of the overall vote, as against 34.3% scored by his Con Party opponent.

Since the creation of the seat in 2010, the Conservative Party had won easily all elections, scoring between 49.4% (2010) and 60.3% (2019). Labour, however, had scored only around 25% of the vote, except in 2017, under Corbyn, when the Labour Party candidate managed over 34%.

The key here, as with Uxbridge, lies in the turnout. The by-election turnout was only 44.8%, whereas in 2019 it was 71.7% (and in previous elections, not dissimilar).

The implication, again, as at Uxbridge, is that former Conservative Party voters, in a formerly safe Conservative area, simply decided not to vote.

There was obviously a degree of tactical voting at Selby; the LibDem vote went down from 8.6% to 3.3%; without tactical voting, the result would have been much closer but not, in my view, different.

Incidentally, the LibDems only managed sixth place, no doubt because many otherwise LibDems voted Labour. The third place went to the Greens, whose candidate was the only one of the minor candidates to save his deposit (5.1%).

I was interested to see that a “Yorkshire Party” candidate, one Mike Jordan, who failed to fill in his nomination papers properly and so was a blank space (not even “Independent”) on the ballot paper, yet managed to score 4.2%. Not bad in the circumstances, and maybe a sign that localism, or at least regionalism, may be resurgent as central government falters and fails.

The Selby contest had other things in common with that at Uxbridge— contempt for the former MP (at Selby, he had stepped down apparently in order to damage Sunak and his party, and after having been passed over for a peerage); the fact that both seats were 2010 creations on their present boundaries; and of course the fact that the public are both despairing and angry at the overall non-performance by Sunak and his Cabinet. Mass immigration, migration invasion, cost of living increases, inflation, crime, NHS defaults etc.

The result was that Labour won at Selby, and very nearly won at Uxbridge, only by default. There is no enthusiasm at all for the Labour Party and its non-policies (basically the same as the Conservative Party policies), but equally there is no enthusiasm (and no respect) for Sunak and his Cabinet of (mainly) non-Brits (Indians, a black or half-caste or two, the odd Jew). These were by-elections. The ruling party is inevitably on the back foot.

Starmer’s strategy seems to be not to rock the boat now that Labour is ahead in the opinion polls. It is hard for Sunak and Con Party to score a hit on Labour’s battleship simply because Labour policy now so closely mirrors that of the Con Party. Almost indistinguishable. If the Conservative Party attacks Labour policy, it is to a large extent criticizing its own policy. In a sense, brilliant… but also dispiriting and pointless.

Somerton and Frome

The result: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somerton_and_Frome_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

The LibDem candidate, Sarah Dyke [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarah_Dyke] won easily, as predicted. I blogged briefly about her a couple of days ago. Her vote-share of 56.4%, as against the Conservative candidate’s 26.2%, mirrors in reverse almost exactly the result at the 2019 General Election.

Third place went to the Greens, with a fairly sizeable vote (10.2%). Reform UK beat Labour and three minor candidates for fourth place, but still lost the deposit, with 3.4%.

In a mostly affluent and bucolic area of this sort, Labour has little chance, and its vote has dropped below 5% in the past, though it scored 17.2% in 2017 (under Corbyn) and 12.9% in 2019. It is clear that, realising that Labour had no chance, former Labour voters voted tactically at the by-election, and that Labour’s 2.6% vote reflected that.

Turnout was, as at the other by-elections yesterday, pathetic— 44.23%. That compares to 75.6% in 2019, and turnouts in previous election which only once dropped below 70%, and which once exceeded 82%.

The LibDems held Somerton and Frome until 2015, so were always going to have a chance in the seat, once the “Con Coalition” of 2010-2015 faded from immediate memory, though the damage from that was still evident in 2019, at which election the LibDems scored only 26.2% (exactly the same as the Conservative Party vote at yesterday’s by-election).

The conclusion is pretty clear: the Conservative voters of 2019 either stayed home yesterday, or switched to the LibDems, Former Labour voters switched to LibDem to hit out at the Sunak misgovernment.

As at the other two by-elections, the contempt many apparently felt for the ex-MP, Warburton, was certainly another important factor, though perhaps not the most important.

Overall conclusion as to the main System parties in the light of the by-elections

The LibDems only have a chance to gain seats in rural/affluent parts of southern or south-western England. I do not see them recovering in any big way elsewhere.

The Conservative Party government is toast, surely. It will have to fall back on its hard core, mostly fairly comfortably-off homeowners aged 70+.

Electoral Calculus is currently predicting only 100 Con seats at the expected 2024 General Election: see https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html.

475 seats for Labour. That is “elected dictatorship”.

I just tried the “user-defined poll” at Electoral Calculus. My guesses resulted in only 61 seats for the Conservative Party.

What about Labour? Well, I detect no real enthusiasm for Labour, which means that there is every chance that the new MP for Selby may only be an MP for about a year, and will then have to find a less well-paid and less interesting (?) job.

More seriously, the only way that Indian money-juggler Rishi Sunak could claw back some electoral support would be to STOP the boats, CUT BACK the main (i.e. “legal”) mass immigration, DEPORT hundreds of thousands, RENATIONALIZE water, rail and possibly the energy utilities, and start to really bat for Britain.

Those 2019 Conservative Party voters might return to the Con fold, but only if they see some action; words are played-out.

Still, none of the three by-election seats are natural Labour territory.

Pretty hard, though, for an Indian whose Cabinet is mainly non-white, or Jewish, and who worked for the predatory Goldman Sachs bankers (and so is a globalist “libertarian” by instinct).

It seems to me a 50-50 chance that the Conservative Party MPs will ditch Sunak before the next general election, but if they do, who on Earth can they try to present to the public as a credible leader?

As for attacking Starmer, the only things that might work would be to use American-style personal attacks, and to focus on his complete mendacity, his broken promises, on his “taking the knee” to the “Black Lives Matter” thugs, and his being completely in the pocket of the Jew-Zionist/Israel lobby (the only thing is— so are the “Conservatives”…).

Conclusion, then— Labour will probably win in 2024 by default, but if some real movement on the above-designated issues were to happen, it might be a different story…

Tweets seen

Biden: “What was that slogan? Bread, land, and peace? No, my fellow-Americans, it was ice-cream and war!“…

At least the sparrows will be eating.

There are really only two realistic possibilities: either she is Johnson’s secret daughter (one of them) or she was being screwed by him. It now turns out that she was only a kind of temp anyway, covering the job usually done by a recent mother. Maternity cover.

Britain is so screwed, it is hard to believe.

As for “Baroness” Chapman, she was an MP for 9 years (2010-2019), and then (having been voted out as MP) was elevated to the Lords on Starmer’s nomination, having previously done sweet FA by way of work in her life except a short time as the constituency manager for ghastly careerist MP Alan Milburn. So she can shut up. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jenny_Chapman.

She is the mother of children, and that (and presumably being a “home-maker”) is a very honourable estate, but it is not the “real life experience” of work in the outer world, as per that clip.

As for Johnny Mercer MP, I have found him a big disappointment as MP, but I think that he can claim a great deal more “life experience” than “Baroness” Chapman, let alone that epicene little creature who is now the MP for Selby and Ainsty.

Many people on Twitter are incredibly ignorant and at the same time very dogmatic. I just saw a tweet saying that the Selby creature is “2-3 years older than Margaret Roberts [i.e. Margaret Thatcher] when she became an MP...”.

In fact, wrong, and on two counts. First, Margaret Roberts was born in 1925, and became an MP in 1959, shortly before her 34th birthday. She had married in 1951, so fought her first successful first election as Margaret Thatcher and not Margaret Roberts as claimed.

See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margaret_Thatcher.

Well, there it is. Effete, epicene little “Labour MP” is going to support Starmer, Rachel Reeves etc in continuing the policy (policies?) laid down by the Con Coalition of David Cameron-Levita, Theresa May, “Boris”-idiot, Liz Truss, and now the Indian money-juggler, Sunak.

Anyone who thinks that Starmer-Labour will be in any way an improvement on the “Conservative” omnishambles of a Government is sadly mistaken; in fact, deluded.

Actually, listening to Keir Mather there, I think that “Lord Charles” would have sounded more credible.

[Lord Charles, with Ray Alan]

To be honest, my first thought on seeing and hearing Keir Mather is that he seemed to be in need of a good kick.