Category Archives: Rishi Sunak

Diary Blog, 19 June 2024

Morning music

[Germany 1945— “We are fighting for the future of our children!“]

Tweets seen

600 in a day. Not counting those who sneak in on the backs of lorries etc. Not including the 3,000+ that entered superficially “legally”, on the same day (as “family members”, “students”, “fiances”, “fiancees”, those on fraudulently-obtained work visas etc, or as asylum seekers approved from outside the UK).

You still see pseudo-liberal idiots saying or tweeting that immigration is not a high priority in the UK’s list of problems to be dealt with. Think again. Immigration on this scale impacts everything, either immediately or later, and for endless years to come.

About a million a year, maybe more, and if some say it is “only” half a million “net”, does that really make much difference? So either 10 million in the next 20 years, or 20 million in the same time-period…

Goodbye Britain as anything other than a dystopian hellhole if that happens, i.e. if a real British Government does not stop it.

How many LibLabCon politicians could attract a crowd a twentieth as large? A crowd composed of ordinary local voters, by the way.

If you look at Twitter/X, as always very very unrepresentative, you will see people lauding the unemployed 25-y-o African “eternal student” who is the Labour Party’s bizarre choice of candidate. Frankly, that useless creature will be lucky to save his deposit; he will certainly not get more than 15% of the vote. This is between Reform UK and the Conservative Party whose candidate is invisible.

As a social-national blogger and thinker, I should prefer there to be a social-national party that I could support, even if a party not led by me. However, there is no such party in the UK at present.

In realistic terms, all that can be done at GE 2024 is to destroy one half of the main System binary, i.e. the Conservative Party, and to move the “Overton Window”, so that there is space into which social-national ideas and, then, a movement, can flow.

The best chance at present is that the “controlled opposition” Reform UK does well enough to destroy the Conservative Party, even if at the cost of a Labour “elected” (by default) dictatorship for a while.

I have a feeling that Israel-puppet Starmer’s plan to enfranchise persons of 16-17 years of age may backfire on him.

Ideologically, I do not always have time for pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby Katie Hopkins, but it has to be admitted that she is something else…Tough does not start to cover it.

I agree with her there.

Exactly. The NWO/ZOG System wants Israel-puppet Starmer as “elected” dictator. He will clamp down even more on (real) free speech (as practised on this blog), he will flood the UK with even more non-Europeans, and he will be more finance-capital friendly even than Blair, Brown, Cameron-Levita etc.

Starmer’s expected enormous Commons majority will enable the installation of a kind of “woke” tyranny. It is then that the British people will have to go beyond the usual kinds of “acceptable” opposition.

More music

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Sunak, saying that he “has been fortunate” in his life…Married, of course, to the richest Indian in India.

Sunak always reminds me of some of the contestants on shows such as The Chase, people that make me think, “you are so ******* ignorant; why are you even on a quiz show in the first place? You could not buy a correct answer“…

Sunak is a bit like that when he tries to show that he has what it takes to be Prime Minister of the UK. He plainly does not have what it takes. The little Indian money-juggler neither looks, nor thinks, nor behaves, nor speaks like a prime minister.

I happened to see a Sky News report this morning. 900 migrant-invaders have already been landed at Dover today, ferried in by the “Border Force” (border farce). All in identical orange lifejackets, all on a very large Border Force vessel, delivering them at a fast rate of knots to our shores.

900 in one single day (so far).

This is a conspiracy, the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan, being carried on in plain sight, right under the noses of the public and the msm. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.

Metaphors…”begging bowl“; how about “dustbin”?

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The Conservative Party candidate in the famous Smethwick by-election had a poster saying “if you want a n****r for a neighbour, vote Labour“. 60 years on, it turns out that the second part of the sentence should have read “…vote Labour, Conservative, LibDem, or Green“.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smethwick_in_the_1964_general_election

Interesting (even if Matt Goodwin, an academic, apparently needs to brush up on the use of the apostrophe).

Good idea.

Pity those trying to restrain the vandals did not give them the bejesus of a good kicking.

Israel has created ghetto-entities (Gaza, West Bank); cutting off oil via Turkey will ghetto-ize Israel itself.

I’m lovin’ it!

According to my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], that would mean a House of Commons with 444 Labour MPs (overall majority 238), LibDems 65, Reform UK 50, Cons 45, SNP 20, Plaid Cymru 4, Greens 2 (etc).

If that were to come to pass, absolutely stunning. It would mean pretty much the end of the Conservative Party, certainly the end of it as a (let alone the) natural or default party of government.

For one thing, most of those wanting selection as Conservative candidates, and MPs, are careerists. Few will be attracted by a party that has only 45 MPs.

Donors are already withdrawing from the Conservative Party. Large donors usually want, at very least, influence in return for their money. A party which has only 45 MPs and is not the governing party, not the official Opposition, but only 4th in the Commons, has little to offer, little to sell.

If Reform UK really did break through to the extent indicated, the “Overton Window” will have been not only moved but blasted aside.

Social nationalism might then really start to take off. Exciting.

Late music

Diary Blog, 13 June 2024

Morning music

[Hitler enters Vienna in 1938, after the Anschluss, and to general acclamation]

Tweets seen

By my use of Electoral Calculus, that might translate to Lab 476 Commons seats (overall majority 302), Con 68 (official Opposition), LibDems 62, SNP 13, Reform UK 4, Plaid Cymru 4, Greens 2 (Northern Ireland 18, Others 3).

What kind of “democracy” is it, though, when a party (Labour) might get 39% of the popular vote, yet get about 72% of the seats in the House of Commons (476 seats)? A strict 39% of seats would be 253 seats.

Another party (Conservatives) might get 19% of the popular vote, meaning, on strict mathematical equivalence, about 124 seats, not the mere 68 conferred by FPTP voting.

As for Reform UK, its present or forecast 17% should confer (under proportional voting) about 111 seats. The forecast under FPTP voting— a mere 4.

There again, the LibDems, with only 10% of the popular vote, are forecast to have 62 seats, almost the same as under a strict proportional allocation (65).

Can such an electoral system even be called “democratic”? Open question.

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/15/has-parliamentary-democracy-as-we-have-known-it-until-now-had-its-day-in-the-uk/.

More music— “Ostalgie”

[East Berlin car park, 1987— mostly Trabants]

The DDR was a strange little country, in which I spent a couple of days in 1988; actually, not quite as small a country as commonly imagined: about 42,000 sq. miles, as against England’s 51,000, but with an overall density of population about a third of England’s (the UK as a whole has about 94,000 sq. miles).

More tweets seen

[“No, wait! I voted Labour“…]

Interesting both in itself and re. the tactical voting point.

Incidentally, my 2019 (but several-times updated) piece about Therese Coffey (from my Deadhead MPs series) has proven popular; thousands of hits to date. https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/09/16/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-therese-coffey-story/.

Britain 2024

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13523065/jailed-junior-jah-murder-shooting-stabbing-brother.html

Two men have been jailed for a total of 67 years for shooting and stabbing to death an 18-year-old in east London.

Awadh Saleh and Rio Burton-Devine, both aged 25 from east London, were found guilty of the murder of Abubakar ‘Junior’ Jah, 18, at the Old Bailey today.

Judge Mark Dennis KC sentenced the pair to 36 years and 31 years respectively for the ‘brutal and cowardly’ attack in 2021.”

[defendant]

What will London be like in 2034 or 2044?

The System parties have no real answers.

Late tweets

By my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], that actually puts the Cons in a marginally better position than other recent polls, by reason of the slip in Labour’s position, but it still means Lab 466 (overall majority 282), Con 70, LibDem 70, Reform UK 4, Greens 2.

Were Labour to recover to 40%, the number of Con MPs would reduce to 51; were Labour to rise to 41%, the number of Con MPs would be a mere 42.

Penny Mordaunt is campaigning not so much for the Conservative Party as for her own political career (in fact, her career full stop, for she has no other). It seems 50-50, at best, that she will be re-elected anyway.

Labour is as dull as ditchwater, as witness its pathetic Manifesto for the General Election, but I do not think that it much matters now. The main aim of 80%+, maybe even 90%, of the electorate is to get rid of the Conservative Party not just for the next 5 years but permanently. Starmer and fake Labour will only fail to sweep all before them —by default— if something so devastating happens to their campaign that it is hard to imagine what.

Late music

[a rainy night in Tunis; I last trod that pavement in 1986]

Diary Blog, 12 June 2024

Morning music

[Wanda Landowska with Tolstoy in 1908 or 1909, possibly at Yasnaya Polyana but more likely at Tolstoy’s house at Kropotkinskaya in central Moscow, which I myself have visited; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wanda_Landowska]

Tweets seen

CASE UPDATE: Patron Law insist I get a costs order against Mr Cantor before I apply for costs against them. My application for costs against Mr Cantor is delayed because he is seriously unwell. For the record, can I state what absolutely first rate chaps Patron Lawโ€™s partners are (Mark Lewis, Benjamin May and Alexander Zivancevic) for putting their former client Mr Cantor through this in his current state of health. This is them.

(((Sharks))).

More about egregious Israel-based Lewis:

Most voters, most TV talking heads and newspaper scribblers etc have not yet caught up with me and a few of the more perceptive msm commentators (such as Tim Stanley) in understanding that, in Stanley’s words, “the [Conservative Party] brand is…just gone“, and that means that only a few habit-voters, mostly the very elderly, will be voting Con at GE 2024 or thereafter.

I notice that, in latest polling, the Conservative Party is down to 18% with one pollster.

That has happened before to the Cons, in 2019, and in relation to the brief rise and fall of Brexit Party, but not 3 weeks before a general election. In that year, I think that the Cons were down to 19% at one point.

On a secondary point, who could have imagined, in the 1980s, that Russian roads, in the provinces at that, would be better in 2024 than any roads in the UK? Shameful.

The people still voting en masse for the Conservative Party will be, as previously noted, lifelong Con habit-voters now aged 75+, who are concentrated mainly in the safest seats of southern England. In those constituencies, the not-poor and the elderly are the majority.

Having said that, my prediction, right or wrong, remains closer to 50 than 100 Con seats after 4 July 2024.

Talking point

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One has to ask whether the loss of a Commons seat would be sufficient punishment for a political criminal of that sort. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laura_Trott_(politician). Indeed Sevenoaks has been regarded as a safe Con Party seat: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sevenoaks_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

Wipe them out. Stamp on them. Since 1989, at latest, this party has been completely useless and poisonous.

Anyone who uses “Mark Lewis Lawyer” is a complete idiot (or maybe just badly misinformed…).

As already blogged, I do not “blame” Sunak for not remaining at the 1944 commemoration. After all, he is not, in any real way, “British” in the first place, despite having been born here and having attended Winchester and Oxford.

As for Sunak’s poll ratings, hard to see how they could go much lower. He’s on the way out. Everyone knows it; he knows it. Within 3 weeks, give or take a day or two, he will no longer be PM. Within a few months, he will have been all but forgotten, like Liz Truss.

You might not want to hear this. Many people donโ€™t.

I just spent the last week travelling between London, Helsinki and Tallinn.

I lived in London for many years but it has changed out of all recognition. Tallinn and Helsinki have a safe feel. Homogeneous. No โ€œdiversity barriersโ€. After London, it was quite a shock. You can argue about whether the changes in London are for the better or not but the kids in both Helsinki and Tallinn are skateboarding and drinking milkshakes. They are not carrying around knives and terrorising or stabbing other kids. There is space and clean streets. People are friendly – even to strangers.

London felt like it was crumbling. Closed roads everywhere. A murder minutes from where I was within 6 hours of my arrival. People seemed miserable. I want the UK to do better. To be better. But they need to change things significantly and stop the transformation of the capital city into a third world city. Anyone else agree?

Almost all people of sense agree. 90% of white (i.e. real British) people agree, and even very many of the non-whites agree. Just a tendentious 10% of the people disagree, but that includes most of the MPs, most of the fake “Lords”, and most of the treacherous msm talking heads and scribblers. Poisonous. Get rid of them, and the UK will start to improve.

Yes. Starmer is a disaster waiting to happen; not waiting as an actor or a barrister does, prior to striding onto the stage or rising up in court, but waiting like a man in a charity-shop raincoat, waiting for a bus in the drizzle of a London winter.

Talking point

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Laurence Fox is, politically, a sad waste of space. Pro-Israel, basically pro-Conservative but with a few quibbles around flags and monuments and the like.

Reform UK has one main use as far as I am concerned— to help kill off the Conservative Party. A secondary use is to move the “Overton Window” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window].

Theย Overton windowย is the range of policies politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time.[1]ย It is also known as theย window of discourse.” [Wikipedia]

Late music

Diary Blog, 11 June 2024

Afternoon music

[Wien— das ist’s!]

Tweets seen

Stand by for Starmer’s fake Labour “elected” dictatorship…

Quite right. All sorts of people (often “you know who”…), such as Jonathan Portes, all terribly clever (in their own minds) will be saying, and have for years been saying, that the importation of a million (more or less) unwanted immigrants every year has little or no effect on housing demand. Hardy ha ha…

That useless and half-crazed ex-MP and Cabinet minister (incredibly), Sajid Javid, said something similar years ago, I think.

The “4 million” there should now be replaced by at least 10 million; soon 15 million and 20 million.

Ha. So the little Indian money-juggler “promises” to halve net migration? (“net” includes the 200,000-300,000, mainly real Brits, who leave every year for Australasia etc).

So “only” half a million blacks and browns etc (or more) will be coming in every year?

Oh…that’s not too bad…oh, no, wait a minute…

I have blogged previously about how, to my mind, Farage’s close protection squad seems not very effective. So far, it has been milkshakes and the like, but that may escalate to serious weapons such as knives. He needs to revamp his security to prevent that. The way the UK is going, nothing can be ruled out.

That Reform UK candidate was right in his original comments. Britain should never have declared war on the German Reich, and was not under attack at the time. In fact, the first British soldier was killed on 9 December 1939, over 3 months after war was declared, having stepped on a French landmine: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Priday.

In 1940, Germany made a number of peace proposals, both before and after Dunkirk, all of which were ignored. Hitler even ordered a halt to the German infantry and armour advance on Dunkirk, which allowed that very large large evacuation to occur.

Hitler wanted peace and, if possible, collaboration, with the British Empire. He wanted the two empires to rule most of the world together, or in parallel, opposing both Sovietism and Americanism.

Had peace or at least armistice been declared in 1940 or at the time of the flight of Rudolf Hess in 1941, most of the devastation of Western and Central Europe, including in the UK and Germany, would never have happened.

That peace would also have meant no Cold War, no Korean War, probably no Vietnam War (etc), no “Israel” and therefore no Middle East wars (because the Middle East would have been mainly under British and French control). It would have meant far less environmental degradation in Africa and Asia, and far less civil conflict on those continents.

Had such peace “broken out”, Sovietism would not have encroached upon Eastern and Central Europe, as it did after 1945. The whole of Europe and the world would have been in a better place.

At least one tweeter who has seen through the propaganda (((lies))).

…and another…

The former G.R.U. officer, and later defector, Rezun, under his nom de plume of Viktor Suvorov, wrote a book about Stalin’s plans to move west in and after 1941. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viktor_Suvorov; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viktor_Suvorov#Works_about_World_War_II.

Tactical voting

The above shows opinion polling re. the safe (?) Con seat of Tatton, presently occupied (or rather, formerly occupied, until 2024 Dissolution) by ridiculous deadhead Esther McVey. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Esther_McVey.

My 2019 assessment of Esther McVey: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/03/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-esther-mcvey-story/.

It can be seen from the graphic that Esther McVey is pressed closely by the Labour candidate, who is within a point or so of catching her. Also, that the LibDem is on about 12%, and has no chance of actual election.

Were the LibDem-intending voters to vote for Labour, Esther McVey would be turfed out; but will enough of them be sufficiently motivated to do that? Open question.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tatton_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

I do think that tactical voting will be a major theme of this 2024 General Election.

Late tweets

Mel Stride. Conservative. Deadhead. He must have nothing at all between his ears. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mel_Stride.

How does someone with so little intelligence become a Cabinet Minister? Still, look at his predecessors at the DWP, among them Esther McVey and Iain Dunce Duncan Smith…

Good grief. I even agree with Jess Phillips today.

Traitors. Simple as.

“Labour”, as I have repeatedly blogged, will indeed “stop the small boats”, and will do it by having some kind of mainland Europe “processing”, i.e. rubberstamping the applications of 90%+ of those wanting to come here. Maybe even 99%.

Crazy. The link between Jew-Zionism and mental instability is very obvious, and that also applies, very often, to non-Jewish “antifascist” types. See my (I think interesting, and also rather groundbreaking) study about all that: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/07/18/theyre-coming-to-take-me-away-ha-ha/ [constantly updated].

Talking point

Late music

Diary Blog, 10 June 2024

Morning music

Tweets seen

We are about to enter the era of the โ€œFar right.โ€ Kids are going to be taught to read rather than imagine they are born in the wrong body. Being white skinned wonโ€™t be a mark of the devil. TV and film will be about plot and casting rather than how many non binary lesbian people of colour and girth you can cram into a drama. We will stop worshipping the sun god and perhaps take some time to get to know the actual one. Victimhood will be frowned upon. Health services will be expected to stop dancing for TikTok and do what they are paid to do. The police will be asked to get off their knees and regain public trust again. Fear will be replaced by hope. Itโ€™s going to be much nicer than the woke period, where men had periods. The homophobic trans crap will be done. Content of character will matter more than colour of skin. Itโ€™s going to be good. And to those of you who donโ€™t like it. Tough. We have had enough.”

For once, I agree with everything Fox has written.

Whatever one may have thought about Sinn Fein and its military wing (the IRA) in the past, at least it was an honest and clear expression of political will. Now, it has become not dissimilar to the other fake Celtic “national” parties such as the SNP and Plaid Cymru, in other words a farrago of “anti-racism”, “anti-sexism”, pro-mass immigration, hostile to any true expression of European culture. Result? Most Irish people have turned against it, and those who are still voting for Sinn Fein are doing so mostly for reasons of misguided nostalgia, it seems.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinn_F%C3%A9in

Again, for once (?) I agree with what Jayda Fransen says here. Farage is indeed a System stooge, but sometimes things have to work out in particular, and sometimes unexpected, ways.

Yes, Farage and Reform UK are not social-national and, yes, the existence of Reform UK is blocking the emergence of anything new that is social-national.

Reform UK is channelling popular discontent into “safe” “Parliamentary road” diversions, but at the same time the existence of Reform UK —and the hoo-ha around it— is moving the “Overton Window”, changing the public’s idea of what might be possible. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window.

Also, it is to be hoped that Reform UK will help to destroy the now useless and hopeless Conservative Party, and thus destabilize the existing rigged System which depends upon the illusion of a basically binary “choice”.

Faragist diversion (UKIP) did destroy the rise of the BNP under Nick Griffin in and after 2005, and especially after 2009.

2024 is not 2015, when UKIP got 12% of the national vote but no seats. Why? Because the governing party, the Conservatives, were still riding fairly high in 2015. This year, the Conservative Party looks all but washed-up.

That may or may not mean that Reform UK gets Commons seats, but it does mean that a large number of Con seats are going to be lost because 10% or 15% of people, maybe even 20%, are going to vote Reform. That does also mean that Labour will thereby benefit, but most voters for Reform UK will be willing to accept that as the price for both destroying the Conservative Party and making a loud protest.

Not far right just conservative

Who believe in family
Strong borders and not thousands of young men from opposing cultures storming our borders
Believe in law and order
Believe in good education

Believe in science
No woke Marxist pedophillia normalising agendas
Who believe individual countries should be the only ones to have a say how they are governed
Who think it’s good to be patriotic
Who believe in western Christian cultures
Who think our military should be rewarded and revered
Who are against regressive damaging socialism
Who are against big brother government
Who are against the tentacles of globalists poisoning everything they touch
Who believe in small government and low tax
And
Who know what the hell a woman is!!


Nothing far right

Just decent and strong

I have previously mooted, on the blog, the idea that there may be a bloc of “secret” Reform UK supporters who will not reveal, even to polling staff, their potential General Election voting intention.

I do not know whether such a bloc exists, or how large it is if it exists, but if it does indeed exist in any but marginal size, it could be a gamechanger.

Reform UK has been polling between 13% and around 17% recently. If the “secret” Reform voters exist and number the equivalent of one-tenth of the known Reform voters, then the Reform vote might be anywhere between 14% and 19%. Add on the possibility of polling errors, and that might result in anything from 12% to 21%. We shall only know for sure on and after 4 July. Three weeks and three days from today.

An intention to vote Reform UK perhaps has not the level of what might be called “socio-political embarrassment” (for people living in a conformist situation) that an intention to vote, say, BNP or National Front used to have, but I think that the constant Matthew Parris-style “oh my goodness, look at those hillbillies!” msm propaganda directed against the “left behind” areas (such as Clacton), and against so-called “racism” etc makes some people both reticent in expressing their anger at what has happened and is happening but, at the same time, more determined to do something about the situation, such as voting in a way not approved by the System puppets, the scribblers, the talking heads etc.

Jewish. Of course. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naomi_Klein. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naomi_Klein#Family.

Remarkable: I even agree with Tim Stanley today. Stars or planets must be in some unusual configuration.

As for that “Conservative” nonentity (apparently one Andrew Browne: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthony_Browne_(politician)), I am not sure that I had even heard of him until today.

Browne has already jumped ship and is not standing for re-election in the redrawn seat [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Cambridgeshire_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s], which seat may well fall to the LibDems if there is enough tactical voting, but has decided to stand in the new and neighbouring seat of St. Neots and Mid-Cambridgeshire [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St_Neots_and_Mid_Cambridgeshire_(UK_Parliament_constituency)].

Browne seems to be saying there that the Conservative Party will do OK in the election because it always did, in elections since 1945. How do people with such limited mentality ever become MPs, well-paid journalists (as he was) etc?

As for his assertion that the present-day Conservative Party embodies “small-c conservative values“, hardy ha ha… Look at what it has done in the past 14 years alone.

Tim Stanley was right to state that “the [Conservative party] brand is…gone” and that no-one even likes the Conservative Party any more. Also, that Starmer is “not socialist” (and, he added, is therefore not the frightening figure the Cons pretend). I tend to think that Starmer is alarming, but not because he is in any way “socialist”. Just that Israel-lobby and Jewish-lobby repression comes naturally to him.

One Catherine McKinnell, hitherto also unknown to me. A prime candidate for the Diane Abbott Clueless Prize for this year. True Labour-style cluelessness.

Here she is: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_McKinnell. MP for Newcastle upon Tyne North, and a vice-Chair of Labour Friends of Israel.

Talking point

Clacton

More tweets seen

As I blogged three days ago, I do not really blame Sunak for not giving a tinker’s cuss about the Normandy Landings commemoration. After all, the bastard is not really British, is only (posing as) Prime Minister until 4 July 2024, about three weeks from now, and is (as I blogged) part of a transilient bloc of cosmopolitan wealthy Indians who are not rooted in the UK, or even in India, and whose natural (temporary) home is in places such as Palo Alto, Silicon Valley, Westchester etc.

The reason is obvious. VAT raises a huge amount of money, and does so from everyone in the country, from the rich, the affluent, the less affluent, and the downright poor. The only way for an individual to avoid paying it is to be gifted the goods or services in question or (in the case of goods) to steal them.

Naturally, the wealthy prefer VAT to income tax, or capital gains tax.

Late tweets

That Chairman of the Conservative Party, Richard Holden, has now blagged himself a “safe” seat at Basildon and Billericay.

[“Billericay Dickie“]

https://www.mattgoodwin.org/p/the-big-tory-lie

While theyโ€™re losing support to Labour and Reform, theyโ€™re also now losing an even larger number of their 2019 voters to something else — apathy.

Many people in Britain are simply giving up on politics, no longer convinced any of the big parties can fix the big problems facing the country. And this is especially true for people who voted Conservative at the last election.

Most of the people who have abandoned the Tories in recent months have not gone to Labour or Reform. Instead, they now say they will not vote at all, do not know who to support, or simply refuse to answer the question from pollsters. And the number who now say this is not small. About one in three of them now say this.

[Matt Goodwin on Substack].

One in three” of those who have stopped intending to vote Conservative during 2024 adds up to about, very roughly, a third of a half, i.e. about 1/6th of the whole electorate that voted in 2019 (67.3% turnout), so —again very roughly— about 1/9th of the whole eligible electorate. Call it just over 10%. Of those who would prefer to vote, maybe 15%.

Very speculative, I admit, but there is no doubt that many are anyway in that “politically homeless” position. Anecdotally, I have heard people say it, and heard them say it of others. It is a widespread phenomenon, no matter what may be the exact numbers.

An “error“? No. Deliberate importation of non-Europeans into Europe, including the UK. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.

The two sides of “Boris” Johnson…

Electoral Calculus may not be infallible, but —by my use of it— those figures give the Cons only 21 seats in the Commons (Lab 538, LibDems 55, Reform 1, Green 1, Plaid Cymru 4, and the SNP a mere 12).

Others calculate a Con bloc of 24 MPs. Whatever.

Effectively the end of the Conservative Party as it now is, if accurate.

As I guessed some time ago, the Cons are really only supported now by “habit-voters”, those who have all their lives turned out to vote Con, no matter what, no matter even how they themselves benefit or not. They are almost all now aged in their 80s and 90s.

Interesting to see all age groups from 18 to (?) 70 starting to look for radical and maybe (soon) social-national alternatives.

Late music

[Chateau Frontenac, Quebec]

Diary Blog, 9 June 2024

Morning music

Tweets seen

Well worth reposting, even 5+ years on.

Giles Anthony Fraser (born 27 November 1964)[3] is an English Anglican priest, journalist and broadcaster who has served as Vicar of St Anne’s Church, Kew, since 2022.[4] He is a regular contributor to Thought for the Day and The Guardian and a panellist on The Moral Maze, as well as an assistant editor of UnHerd.

Fraser was born to a Jewish father and a Christian mother and was circumcised according to Jewish tradition.[5]

Fraser…has lectured on moral leadership for the British Army at the Defence Academy at Shrivenham.

On 16 January 2016, Fraser announced his engagement to Lynn Tandler, an Israeli Jew,[23] who is a weaver and academic researcher.[24] They were married on 13 February 2016.[2][non-primary source needed] Their son was born in November of the same year.[25]

[Wikipedia]. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Giles_Fraser.

Both my Jewish children have been circumcised. They are being brought up in a bilingual family โ€“ where Hebrew is spoken at home, despite my struggling with it. My two year old chats with his grandmother on the phone most days in broken Hebrew. Both are being regularly taken to Israel. The Rabbi of the schul in Golders Green โ€“ where my fatherโ€™s family (all Jewish) were seat-holders โ€“ has been extremely welcoming...”

[Giles Fraser’s blog on UnHerd]. https://unherd.com/2019/07/no-my-marriage-is-not-a-second-holocaust/.

DNA is ingrained. People can change their views, but not their DNA.

The modern “bread and circuses”.

I recall seeing the Australian TV series Skippy the Bush Kangaroo a few times after my family moved to Sydney in 1967 (I was 10 at the time). The show was on TV from early 1968.

TV shows and films such as Skippy may seem like sentimental rubbish to some people, and to some extent they may be, but there are innumerable examples of the intelligence and capabilities of our animal friends. Some such stories become famous, others are either unknown or are known only to the few people directly involved.

Something of the sort will eventually have to come to the UK.

Interesting. I have been to Famagusta (now in Turkish-ruled Northern Cyprus), but some years ago, in fact many years ago— January 2000. I did not see the ruins of the Varosha resort, though. That is a mile south of the main town, I think.

When I drove to Famagusta (from Kyrenia), the ruins of its ancient heritage were deserted. My then girlfriend and I were alone there. There were not even any people selling postcards or the like. Even the more modern parts of the town were far from busy. That was 24 years ago, though. Things change, of course. I think that there has been quite a lot of development in some areas.

I rather liked Northern Cyprus. Relaxed and, in 2000 at least, with relatively few tourists, and really none once you left Kyrenia (officially, now, Girne). A little cold at night (in January) but warm-ish during the day, usually, and with numerous interesting ancient sites (which one shared with no other people at all) set amid orange groves. I even had a rather bracing swim off a deserted beach, but it was no colder in the water than it is in the UK in summer, and the sun was shining.

I drove one day from Kyrenia right the way down the Karpas Peninsula [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karpas_Peninsula] to the eastern end. At that point, you are only 60 miles across the Eastern Mediterranean from Latakia in Syria.

General Election 2024— Clacton

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/08/tories-clacton-voters-nigel-farage-reform

In a straw poll of veterans, Farageโ€™s campaign message seemed to be getting through.

Jason Stewart was in a green beret and a biker jacket studded with medals; after a long career in the Royal Marines, he โ€œthought it was time to get out after I was blown up twice in one day in Afghanistanโ€.

He offers a version of an argument heard all day. โ€œThe two main parties look both the same to me,โ€ he says. โ€œThe Tories donโ€™t care about us. And Labour say they will reopen prosecutions of soldiers who served [in the Troubles] so thatโ€™s a no-no. Farage and Reform seem like the only option.”

Up the road, meanwhile, opposite McDonaldโ€™s, there was an alternative display of army jeeps and vehicles alongside veterans in fatigues. The display was organised by David Bye and his partner, Linda Hazelton, who run a charity delivering homemade pie and mash to needy veterans around the town. Bye had a one-to-one chat with Farage when he visited and claims he was given certain commitments, which will remain between them.

He grew up here; he remembers earning pocket money as a kid running tourist luggage down busy streets to Butlinโ€™s. Itโ€™s been a long decline, he says, since the holiday camp went. โ€œI thought Iโ€™d seen it all,โ€ he says. โ€œBut the other morning I saw a long queue of blokes on bikes waiting for McDonaldโ€™s to open. They were collecting takeaways for people who couldnโ€™t be bothered to make breakfast for their kids.

โ€œI donโ€™t know where you start with some of that,โ€ he suggests. โ€œBut I think Nigel gets it.

The place holds symbolic relevance to Farage. Exactly a decade ago, under his Ukip brand, a meeting here paved the way for that partyโ€™s only Westminster election success, for Douglas Carswell. If you were to define the moment that Brexit became a possibility, and then a reality, you might begin there. Nine hundred people showed up, many of whom had not previously taken any interest in national politics. In the course of their populist pitch, Carswell and Farage quoted liberally from a Times newspaper column the previous week written by Matthew Parris.

Looking back at that column a decade on, you can see in it all the faultlines that were exposed and exploited so cynically by Farage and Brexit, the roots of the crisis that threatens to destroy the Conservative party in this election (a humiliation from which Farage, inevitably, hopes to benefit).

Parris, in his waspish style, on a visit to Clacton in 2014, had declared its irrelevance to modern Conservatism: โ€œThis is tracksuit-and-trainers Britain, tattoo-parlour Britain, all-our-yesterdays Britain,โ€ he wrote. He asked his party a question which would now get a very different answer: โ€œIs this where the Conservative party wants to be? [Or] do we need to be with the Britain that can admire immigrants and want them with us, that doesnโ€™t want to spend its days buying scratchcards?โ€

Parris insisted that he was not โ€œarguing that we should be careless of the needs of struggling people and places such as Clacton. But I am arguing โ€“ if I am honest โ€“ that we should be careless of their opinions.

Farage could not have scripted a better scene for himself than the spectacle of a Tory prime minister leaving the D-day celebrations early. Tragically, as this week is proving, the forces that made his bleak and divisive message relevant in 2014 have not gone away, and in the weeks to come you suspect that Westminster political parties will still ignore Clacton at their peril.”

[The Guardian].

Not once does the full article mention the fact that the person presently posing as PM is “unelected” (at least, unvalidated by a General Election) and a little Indian money-juggler; but there you are…”The Guardian”…

Interesting, though, all the same. I think that Farage has every chance of being elected at Clacton. The only reason that the Conservative Party candidate Giles Watling (MP since 2017, a long-retired actor, and a member of the Garrick Club, who lives at Frinton, the more expensive part of the constituency) got over 70% of the vote in 2019 is because his political stance is akin to that of UKIP/Brexit Party/Reform UK anyway.

Watling came second, behind ex-Conservative Douglas Carswell (for UKIP) both at the 2014 by-election and the 2015 General Election, and only won in 2017 because Carswell stood down. Having said that, Watling did get 36.7% in 2015, only about 8 points behind Carswell.

While the election at Clacton might yet be close, Farage has every chance now. Labour and other parties are spectators at Clacton. Labour’s best was 25.4% (in 2017, when the Cons got over 60%).

Interestingly, that 2017 Labour candidate, Natasha Osben, is now, in 2024, the Green Party candidate. Starmer is really not very popular even within the Labour —or recently Labour— ranks.

Will Labour voters vote tactically? If so, for Reform UK or for the Conservative Party? My money is on Reform UK.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clacton_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2010s

Tactical voting

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/08/i-want-labour-to-come-into-power-so-im-voting-lib-dem-tactical-voting-threatens-blue-wall-tories

Alarmingly for Conservative HQ, many polling experts believe the conditions are ripe for a repeat of 1997, when tactical voting benefited Labour and the Lib Dems and cost the Tories dozens of seats, most notably the toppling of Michael Portillo in Enfield Southgate. This time, Shapps is among the big beasts who could suffer their own polling night infamy.

Tactical efforts came to little at the last election. Hopes among pro-Remain campaigners of an anti-Brexit tactical vote were dashed as Boris Johnson won an 80-strong majority. But conditions have changed. Peter Kellner, the veteran pollster, wrote in the Observer before the 1997 election that while he detected little โ€œpositive enthusiasmโ€ for Labour, an electorate with โ€œa burning desire to end 18 years of Tory ruleโ€ made for receptive tactical voting conditions. He believes similar ingredients are present today.

While the net effects of tactical voting are hard to calculate, the Liberal Democrats could gain 10-20 extra seats through anti-Conservative tactical voting, according to an analysis by the Electoral Calculus consultancy. Meanwhile, with the added help of Nigel Farage and Reform UK, the tactical dynamic could push Labour closer in another swathe of previously safe Tory seats.

[Guardian]

Conservative losses

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/08/from-humiliation-to-annihilation-could-this-election-mean-the-end-of-the-tory-party-as-we-know-it

Writing in the Observer, Rob Ford, a leading expert on voting intention and trends, says the evidence from polls shows that โ€œan electoral asteroid is streaking through the atmosphereโ€ and is heading for the Tory heartlands. Ford no longer thinks it impossible that the Conservatives could end up with less than 100 seats, so badly is their campaign misfiring and so much trust have they lost over 14 years and the tenures of five prime ministers.

Other polling experts say that such is the geographical spread of the Tory vote, and the brutal nature of the first past the post system, that once their vote drops into the low 20% region, the number of seats could fall into double digits โ€“ and could go as low as 20.

[Observer/Guardian]

I have speculated for quite a while that the Con vote might go low enough nationwide to leave the Cons with as few as 50 MPs. Perhaps I was right (I sometimes am…).

More tweets

Quite right.

Entitled self-seeking political hog Emily Thornberry, who only became “Labour” in the first place after her highly-paid UN-working father deserted her and her mother, abandoning his wife and daughter, and resulting in their having to relocate to a council house. She is motivated by malice and early spite and/or envy.

Emily Thornberry and her husband (a retired High Court judge) are buy-to-let parasites, incidentally; I believe that I read that they own, or used to own, at least 8 buy-to-let properties. Pro-Israel, too.

[Emily Thornberry and husband with the then Israeli Ambassador to the UK, Mark Regev, at a Zionist banquet in London]

The Conservative Party now deserves to be not only removed from government, and preferably entirely wiped out, but do not imagine that fake “Labour” will be much if at all better. Look at its leaders and major influencers: Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall. All members of Labour Friends of Israel. All self-seeking moneygrubbers too.

David Lammy, that ignorant creature, as well.

That thick creature might be Foreign Secretary soon. Poor Britain…

Another Labour Friends of Israel member.

Emily Thornberry slightly reminds me of Mrs Mossberg, a fat, short and jolly Jewish primary school teacher, usually —in my memory— dressed in a long dark-brown mink coat; I knew her circa 1962, when about 5 or 6 years old and a pupil at Caversham Primary School near Reading. Mrs Mossberg, though, was far more pleasant than Emily Thornberry seems to be.

In retrospect, I wonder why Mrs Mossberg ever bothered to be a teacher, which I doubt paid much. She lived not far from my family, a few roads away, in a large detached house. The main reception room, which I saw at least once, seemed enormous to the 5-y-o me, and it had a large grand piano in it. Maybe she just enjoyed teaching.

The last tweeter says that Emily Thornberry owns 4 properties; I thought I read 8 somewhere.

Elite“, though, seems the wrong word to describe that bunch of clowns.

Reminiscent of the last recruits of the Volkssturm in 1945…

[Volkssturm, Berlin, 1945; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volkssturm]

In fact, the Volkssturm recruits above look both younger and healthier than those Kiev-regime “volunteers” or pressganged recruits.

[Germany 1945— Volkssturm recruits being taught how to use the Panzerfaust anti-tank weapon; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panzerfaust]

Well, I cannot read Hebrew, and there is no translation, so I have no idea what the untermensch may have written in relation to his vandalism of that family’s house.

From what little one hears or reads, some of the chiefs or former chiefs of Israeli Intelligence (MOSSAD, Shin Beth, Aman etc) are also not optimistic about Israel’s long-term or even medium-term survival.

https://www.mattgoodwin.org/p/the-tory-elite-class-is-completely

GE 2024 latest

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13509231/conservatives-election-wipeout-labour-majority-mail-sunday-poll.html

Conservatives face election wipeout with Labour set to gain a 416 majority that could see Rishi Sunak LOSING his seat and the Tories being left with just 39 MPs, shock Mail on Sunday poll reveals.”

[Daily Mail]

If that turns out to be correct on 4 July 2024, I will have been proven correct, and the “experts” and “specialists” (who have been saying 100-200 Con MPs left post-GE 2024) would be wrong (again)…

Also true, arguably. About the same, I should say.

More tweets seen

The first tweet confirms what I have been blogging re. Clacton. It is between Reform UK (Farage) and the Cons (Giles Watling). Labour has no chance at all, but Labour voters in Clacton can be the kingmakers. Their votes can swing it, either for Reform or for the Cons.

Even if the second tweet is accurate, and it may not be, voters can still give the Cons a mighty and historic kick by voting Reform UK and thus preventing the Conservative Party from thriving, or even surviving.

The very fact that such a grassroots campaign is even necessary shows how sick society has become.

Refers to Robert Largan, the Israel-puppet and Jewish-lobby puppet who is desperately trying to keep his Commons seat at High Peak (Derbyshire), with its good pay and better expenses and perks, but he really has no chance. Make him get a real job.

High Peak voters should vote either Reform UK or Labour to get rid of Largan.

Talking point

Late tweets

Richard Holden, who strikes me as a rather unpleasant little opportunist, even by the standards of the Westminster monkeyhouse. Conservative Party candidate at Basildon and Billericay. I hope that the voters there vote Reform or Labour. Keep him out.

[“Billericay Dickie”]

God. Myerson again. When is the Judicial Standards Investigations Office at least going to stop this obsessive from sitting in judgment over others? The Bar Standards Board might like to take a look too.

…and few indeed of the British public are aware of the fact that the declaration of war by Britain on the German Reich in 1939 was not only totally unnecessary but led to immense unnecessary bloodshed and misery, and to negative consequences from which the world is still suffering.

About Macron: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/09/on-recent-events-in-france/.

Late music

[Victor Ostrovsky, Flight of the Swallow]

Diary Blog, 8 June 2024

Morning music

Saturday quiz

Well, this week is one of those rare ones when political journalist John Rentoul has managed to beat me. He scored, he says, 6.5/10; I scored a modest 4/10, knowing the answers only to questions 2, 6, 8, and 10. I also came close on questions 5 and 9, but a miss is a miss…

Tweets seen

As I blogged yesterday, the events of 1944 (which really are, in 2024, rather overdone anyway, bearing in mind that only people born before about 1936 or 1937, i.e. those now at least 87-88 years old, would personally remember them) naturally mean nothing to Sunak, who after all is not really British and was only born in 1980.

Ha. Looks as though Andrea Jenkyns is going to have to find one of those jobs the Con Party wants the disabled and sick to do, such as stacking shelves. Hard to imagine that she would be qualified for anything else, and her seat is gone, for sure: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leeds_South_West_and_Morley_(UK_Parliament_constituency); the former Morley and Outwood constituency, but with a new added area which is generally anti-Conservative Party: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farnley_and_Wortley_(ward).

I wrote about Andrea Jenkyns on the blog years ago. I was probably too kind about her: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/05/21/the-andrea-jenkyns-story/.

Andrea Jenkyns, with her husband (or ex-husband; it seems unclear), Jack Lopresti [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_Lopresti] are both Con Party MPs, and both are also members of Conservative Friends of Israel. His constituency (also to be fought on new boundaries) may be “safer” than his wife’s or ex-wife’s, but whether safe enough to save Lopresti from also having to stack shelves is an open question: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Filton_and_Bradley_Stoke_(UK_Parliament_constituency). His only real job prior to becoming an MP was in his family’s ice-cream business (he is of Sicilian origin).

Andrea Jenkyns and Jack Lopresti. Both pro-Israel and the UK Jewish lobby? Kick them both into the political gutter, dear voters.

Ha. Engaging vision— Sunak in a chariot, throwing gold coins at the plebs and soldiers lining the roads, and shouting “50 gold sesterces for every man!“, as near the end of the 1964 film, The Fall of the Roman Empire:

More music

[interior, Reichskanzlei, Berlin, 1942; https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reichskanzlei]
[Reichskanzlei, Berlin, 1945]

How long will our present-day Europe last in its present state?

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/26/the-tide-is-coming-in-reflections-on-the-possible-end-of-our-present-civilization-and-what-might-follow/.

More tweets

“Boris” Johnson channelling his inner Yiddish-speaker, it seems. He is of course, partly Jewish.

[“Boris” Johnson at the Wailing Wall, aka Western Wall or “Kotel” in Jerusalem]

I remember when I first heard the word “Schnorrer“. It was just after a Jew who was Director of Public Prosecutions, one Green, had been caught “kerb-crawling” at King’s Cross in 1991: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Green_(barrister).

At that time, I was often to be found, on quiet weekday mornings, in Raoul’s Cafe, Little Venice. One of the several Jews who were also regular patrons was someone called Jerry (I never knew his surname), a former Royal Navy Lt.-Commander (perhaps surprisingly), and one-time scholar of the Jewish house at Clifton College (Bristol)[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clifton_College]; [https://www.thejc.com/family-and-education/clifton-colleges-jewish-family-q7qjk71c].

That “Jerry” person happened to be at the same large cafe table as me that morning and, he somehow knowing that I was at the Bar (very recently Called, I think), started to talk about Green. His words stuck in my mind. Green, said he, “is what we [Jews] call a Schnorrer“, though his brief explanation of the word was even less polite than that of Robert Peston.

Instructive in two senses. First, look at that horrible little “journalist” careerist. Typical. Never give a “journalist” (whether scribbler or TV monkey-on-a-stick) the time of day. They have an agenda, and are enemies subservient to the “usual” lobby.

Secondly, it shows, yet again, that Reform UK is merely “controlled opposition”, and with no loyalty to its own members and candidates. Still, I hope that Reform UK does well enough to help kill off the Conservative Party, as well as moving the “Overton Window” a bit.

Just saw the above tweets, posted on Twitter/X in 2023.

Austin, now unmeritoriously in the House of Lords (thanks to “Boris” Johnson), actually wrote at least one letter to the then Director of Public Prosecutions sometime in recent years, and on behalf of the malicious “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [“CAA”], which letter or letters demanded that I be prosecuted for allegedly having posted “antisemitic” tweets and/or blog comments.

Incidentally, the same Jewish girl student who spearheaded Zionist complaints against the later and wrongfully sacked Dr. David Miller at Bristol University, one Sabrina Miller (no relation), actually defended Austin in relation to the pornography matter, and appeared to be, in a post or posts I saw online, not unsympathetic to his views at the time. She is now a scribbler for the Daily Mail.

Strangely, Austin’s Wikipedia entry seems not to mention his views on the rather unpleasant pornographic matter in question.

“Jack Monroe” (Melissa Hadjicostas) is no more “trans” than I am. A “grifting” cheat, liar, and fraudster, yes.

She is now falling back on previously-deployed (several times; indeed, many times) lies: she is “persecuted“, “having to hide” (“with her son”, who is now about 20 years old and who was mainly taken care of by others in his earlier years) “in safe houses“.

Not forgetting the Press apparently doorstepping her (she’s used that lie several times too) and “stalkers” stalking her in her home area (yawn…another much-trotted-out invention). Oh, and her alleged need for “bodyguards“. Would they be private ones, costing hundreds of pounds per day? Police ones, like some of the royals, and some Cabinet ministers, sometimes have? And does anyone not feeble-minded believe a word of all her nonsense?

“Jack” also claims, yet again, to be under police protection and, yet again, has no idea at all where the last year’s donations from well-meaning but brainless mugs have gone…

Of course she doesn’t…

As for why those utter mugs are still —after years of “Jack” being exposed as a dishonest cheat and fraud— sending her money every month, that is hard to say (beyond simple naivety and/or stupidity). I am not a psychiatrist.

Yes. It has been puzzling to me why the Essex Police, so hot on “racist” teddy bears and “antisemitism”, can find no time to investigate a woman who has ripped off hundreds of thousands of pounds from people, often genuinely poor people, over about 10-12 years. Whether it has anything to do with freemasonry (I think that her father, a former high-ranking fire officer and residential property landlord in Southend, is a freemason, though I am ready to be corrected if that is not so), I have no idea.

The only danger “Jack” is in (excepting possible arrest and/or quite likely civil legal action soon), is that she might be poisoned by the swill she pretends to cook.

As I have blogged in the past, I could imagine “Jack Monroe”, under other circumstances, being a far more serious kind of criminal.

“Jack Monroe” reminds me (her incredible portfolio of lies, and screamingly implausible tales and fantasies, remind me) of the Fawlty Towers episode where, looking at Basil, the psychiatrist says to his wife, “there’s material for an entire conference there“.

Whereas the main System parties have detailed, properly costed, fully or largely worked out policies…most of which are never implemented. Isn’t “democracy” wonderful?…

Late tweets

When “they” have power and others do not…

If that were to occur, it would be absurd. An election for Conservative Party leader could not happen (could it?) until after the General Election. It is uncertain at present even who will or will not retain his/her seat.

In any case, who would want to apply for the job, facing certain defeat in 3.5 weeks’ time? Traditionally, leaders resign after a lost election, so the idea makes no sense.

I suppose that Sunak might resign as Con leader, but retain the Prime Ministership until the General Election on 4 July.

Were Sunak to step down as PM as well, I suppose that the brainless Oliver Dowden might become caretaker Prime Minister. After the inevitable loss of the election, Dowden would then cease to be PM (and, ludicrously, be eligible, as was Liz Truss, for the ex-PM’s ยฃ125,000 or ยฃ150,000 p.a. for life!).

Re Dowden, I saw this: “Dowden is a former officer of theย Conservative Friends of Israel, and has twice chaired the APPG for British Jews. Dowden has said he feels a “cultural affinity” with the Jewish community โ€“ his constituency of Hertsmere has the largest Jewish population outside of London.[18]” [Wikipedia]

Nein danke…

Were Sunak to resign as Con Party leader and/or PM prior to 4 July 2024, the Conservative Party might, quite seriously, be left with only a handful of MPs. I think that, for many voters, it would be the last straw.

As it is, we see people at Cabinet level attacking Sunak, the Prime Minister. Con Party discipline is non-existent now as the Titanic prepares to sink beneath the waves.

Late music

[Levitan, Over Eternal Peace]

Diary Blog, 7 June 2024, including a few more thoughts about Sunak, Reform UK etc

Afternoon music

[painting by Volegov]

Tweets seen

Tim Montgomerie, “Conservative councillors out there on the front door doorstep at the moment, trying to get their campaigns in shape” “And probably the most unpopular prime minister we’ve had in living memory – Liz Truss – is there, two weeks before campaign day, reminding everyone of that dreadful six week period when the conservative party got a reputation for wrecking the economy” “I really have no time for Liz Truss. Anyone with any sense of dignity would have absented themselves from the political” “She should have gone and run a hotel in the Outer Hebrides or something” “You know, to actually still be at the forefront of politics without any real apology for what she did, I really think she’s a disgrace, actually.”

In Soviet times, degraded high-ranking people, such as Malenkov, were made directors of remote hydro-electric stations in Siberia, or some such. In the case of Liz Truss, impossible, because she would be unable to run competently anything at all. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgy_Malenkov#Downfall_and_final_years.

Woollyhead Trussbanger (Kwasi Kwarteng), though, is not seeking re-election. He evidently hopes to be able to live down, in time, his complete failure as one of the shortest-serving, and least-competent Chancellors in history.

I look forward to Israel-puppet and Jewish-lobby puppet Largan being removed as MP on 4 July 2024, after which he can return to Marks & Spencer, counting beans.

Whatever your view about WW2 (for me it was avoidable, on the Western Front at least, in 1939, or in 1940, or even later), it is something that concerns mainly European people: English/British, German, French etc, and that applies even more to the Normandy Landings, aka “D-Day”.

Sunak is a cosmopolitan Indian money-juggler, whose parents came from India via East Africa to the UK in the 1960s, about 15 years before his birth in 1980.

I do not criticize Sunak for not being terribly interested in what was happening in Normandy or France generally in 1944. It is of course alien to him, despite his having been born in Hampshire. I do not even criticize Sunak for being PM of the UK, despite his being hopeless at it. I criticize those who have imported large and growing non-European populations, and those who think it is OK for the UK to have an Indian as Prime Minister.

Sunak is the kind of wealthy cosmopolitan Indian you see now forming, en masse, a kind of detached international class. The same applies to his wife.

I met an Indian girl like that in London once, about 1983, a colleague of one of my brothers. I think she was from Bombay (now “Mumbai”, for some reason).

That girl was about to get married. An arranged marriage, but she had been allowed to set her own parameters: the prospective husband, though Indian (the family had parameters too) had to be Westernized, educated at tertiary level in the West, and living in the UK or USA; and the couple would live in the West, preferably USA, after the wedding.

That girl’s family was wealthy, connected to the former Prime Minister of India, Desai [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morarji_Desai], and organized the wedding, again in or near Bombay. I think that my brother was invited but was unable to attend. The guest list numbered some 2,000 people, which I found incredible, but apparently it was only constraint of time which prevented the celebrations having a guest list numbering 6,000!

The girl married, as requested, a youngish Indian who worked in some professional capacity (maybe architect, I think) in the New York City area.

Those sort of Indians are to be found in place like Palo Alto (California), Silicon Valley (CA), Westchester (NY), the Raleigh-Durham scientific area (NC) etc.

I doubt that Sunak will stay in the UK. California, probably.

I recall a conversation with another such Indian, travelling with his little son in the First Class cabin of a Qatar Airways flight between Doha and London 23 years ago. We exchanged views while standing by the viewing window.

Such Indians are a kind of transilient international community, not British (even if they have a UK passport), not American, not even Indian in terms of having much in common with India itself.

That’s Sunak. He is out of place here, and out of place as Prime Minister.

[Update, two days later:

Damning.]

The whole “a vote for Reform UK is a vote for Labour” thing is a good example of how totally out of touch the main System parties are, and particularly the Conservative Party.

People voting for Farage and/or Reform UK do not care that Labour will benefit from those votes. In fact, many want, not Labour as such, but to kick and kick this Sunak/Liz Truss/Boris-“idiot” government until it expires; voting Reform UK will do that, and will also register a protest, as in the Brexit Referendum.

(A vote for) Brexit meant more than just support for Brexit, and a vote for Reform UK means a very great deal more than support for Farage etc, and greatly more than any hope that Reform UK will actually get any MPs elected (though in fact it now seems that a few Reform candidates may actually break through here and there).

A campaign clip tweeted by the Labour candidate for the High Peak constituency, Jon Pearce [https://www.jon4highpeak.com/] who is apparently local, unlike pro-Israel puppet Robert Largan, the dishonest and carpetbagging Con candidate (who tweeted on behalf of the “you know who” lobby against both me and local satirical singer Alison Chabloz —and others— some years ago).

Robert Largan is one of the (former) MPs who really put the “con” into “Conservative”.

I don’t care whether High Peak voters vote Labour or Reform UK, so long as Largan is booted out.

Late tweets

May victory attend you.

Myerson should be removed from his position as Recorder (p/t judge). Both the Judicial Conduct Investigations Office and the Bar Standards Board should be looking into his conduct.

[Update, 19 August 2024: since I wrote the above about the Jew lawyer Myerson (in fact only 2-3 weeks after the blog was posted) he has been required to resign as Recorder (p/t judge), and so to stop demeaning the office of Recorder as (in my view) he demeans the status of King’s Counsel and barrister].

The reference is to the Zionist defendant, Newbon, having killed himself.

So much for sanctions against Russia. They have mainly damaged the countries whose incompetent governments imposed them. The UK, for one.

Late music

[painting by Volegov]

Diary Blog, 6 June 2024

Morning music

[equestrian statue of Marcus Aurelius]

Tweets seen

He has a point, albeit a very obvious point, and that is so even if “Robinson” is basically “controlled opposition”.

In the end, civilization is created and maintained by iron necessities. It rests easy on the bones of the vanquished. If chaos and evil prevail, the opposite happens; in that case, culture and civilization and everything decent disappears, untermenschen scrabble around atop the ruins of once-great cities, and tread on the bones of those who were civilized and cultured, but just too tolerant of decadence and evil.

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/26/the-tide-is-coming-in-reflections-on-the-possible-end-of-our-present-civilization-and-what-might-follow/

Clacton

https://www.gbnews.com/politics/nigel-farage-immigration-clacton-bursting-point

Former Tory voters in Clacton have been switching to Reform UK over Nigel Farageโ€™s stance on immigration.

GB News ventured up to the coastal constituency to get a feel on the ground ahead of Farageโ€™s launch near Clacton Pier.

Immigration was the main issue raised by residents, with the cost-of-living crisis and net zero also salient issues.

Speaking hours before Farageโ€™s arrival, Andrew Humphries told GB News: โ€œImmigration is a massive thing, especially how it impacts on the rest of society.

โ€œIโ€™ve been waiting for a couple of years now for housing. My family has been here for 40 years and Iโ€™ve seen the decline of the town.

โ€œYouโ€™ve got to help your own first before you look out for others.โ€

Humphries, who described himself as typically a non-voter, claimed there is a โ€œgood chanceโ€ Farage will win and argued the two-party system is broken.

Steve Schaffer, who moved to Clacton in 1957, explained his support for Farage.

โ€œThis is only a small country,โ€ he claimed. โ€œWeโ€™re struggling. We canโ€™t build enough homes. The schools and hospitals are full. Itโ€™s reaching bursting point. Weโ€™ve got to stop it or slow it down somehow.โ€

Despite witnessing a dip immediately after the 2016 referendum, the salience of immigration has soared in recent years.

Immigration and asylum is the third most important issue in the minds of Britons, analysis by YouGov has shown.

Rozerin Altin, who was just 18, added: โ€œIโ€™m the oldest of six girls. I donโ€™t want little boys going into girlsโ€™ changing rooms. I care about womenโ€™s rights. If you care about that then you should vote for Reform UK.

[GB News]

Immigration generally should be the first and most important issue. The other important matters —economy, pay, State benefits, housing, NHS, public services, educational standards etc— are all affected, hugely, by the migration invasion.

GE 2024

People (including some “experts” etc) were saying until very recently that polling numbers for Con and Lab would converge, as they always have done. Mechanistic, formulaic thinking.

I have disagreed. I still disagree. For me, the main thing is that almost everyone, barring about (?) 10%-20%, most of whom are elderly lifelong Con voters now in their 80s and 90s, has realized that the Sunak/Liz Truss/Boris-idiot/Theresa May/Cameron-Levita Con governments have run the UK into the ground, and have been actually totally useless.

It has been clear to me for quite some time that, barring those ingrained and very elderly Con loyalists (or lifelong habit-voters), almost no-one is going to vote “Conservative” in the upcoming election. Maybe 20%, maybe 15%, or even as low as 10% nationwide. My guess would be about 18%.

The polls are still moving: the Cons are still descending. Labour has slid somewhat from its (?) 49% high to around 40%. The uninspiring prospect of Israel-puppets Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall etc fails to excite many voters, but I doubt whether Labour’s overall vote will be below, or much below, 40% in the end. I am thinking 40% or 42%.

The polling statistics seem clear: Labour beats Con on almost all topics, from economy and NHS through to “best PM” and even immigration. That means that, where there is a straight fight between a Labour candidate and a Conservative Party one, Lab will usually beat Con.

The joker in the pack is Reform UK. The difference in 2024 as compared to UKIP in 2015 and Brexit Party in 2019 is not really in the policy “offering”; that is all but identical. So is the leadership (Farage, mainly). The difference lies in the context.

In 2015, UKIP failed only because it was cheated by the rigged FPTP voting system. 12%+ of the popular vote, yet no seats won. That, and because the full horror of the mass migration invasion was still not understood, in its effects, by enough people.

In 2019, Farage stabbed Brexit Party in the back to help the Con Party achieve its faked “landslide” (43.6% popular vote, about one point above Labour’s “landslide of 1997).

Today, in 2024, things have moved on. Brexit was deliberately mishandled and has been negative in its consequences for that reason.

The immigration tsunami has brought in, quite literally, millions (more) of unwanted non-Europeans since 2015.

We see the “unelected” little Indian money-juggler, Sunak, throwing taxpayer money at both Israel and “Ukraine” (the brutal and dictatorial Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev).

Another aspect is the extent to which UK society has fallen apart since 2015, and especially since the 2020-2022 “panicdemic” or “scamdemic”.

Potholed and unrepaired roads have become “totemic” of it. NHS failings. The continuing migration invasion, of which the “small boats” crossing the Channel (in reality, ferried across by Royal Navy, RNLI, Border “Farce” etc) comprise only about 5% of all immigration. The slow collapse of law and order. The increasing overall cost of living.

Reform UK is still a bit of a one-trick-pony, both in policy and personnel, but it has at least a chance now of getting a handful of MPs.

More importantly, a high popular vote for Reform UK will hole this rotten misgovernment below the waterline, and that is exactly why many (including former Con voters) will vote for it.

In fact, were Labour supporters and LibDem supporters, in seats where either Labour or LibDems have no chance, to vote tactically for the party best placed to beat the Con candidate, or for Reform UK, the Cons might be left with an MP cadre in the single figures.

Well, not long to go now. Exactly 4 weeks (28 days) from today.

More tweets

In 2008/2009, I wrote and published a restricted-distribution geopolitical study which, inter alia, featured the very important central position of Turkey.

Turkey has various problems, but it also has several strengths. A huge supply of water, firstly. That is very important now. Another asset is the fact that Turkey is a fairly large net food exporting state. That may sound underwhelming, but it means that, if push comes to shove, Turkey can feed itself. A large and efficient military force, too.

Turkey is now moving towards a neutral position, despite its NATO membership.

Another “Israeli” war criminal.

The Israeli state can only do what it does because of its “diaspora” support outside Israel— the Zionist influence in the USA, France, UK etc.

Historical note

Aspects of National Socialist Germany

National Socialist Germany. 1933-1945. 6 years of peace, 6 years of war.

More tweets seen

Reform UK is an easy way for people who would never vote Labour to send a message and/or a kick to the Conservative Party.

Talking about giving the Conservative Party a kick…see below

Holden has aged hugely since he (allegedly) groped a woman at a party in 2016; I think that the photo in the report was from 2018, so only 6 years ago. He is still only 39. Hard to believe, looking at him as he now is.

Of course, someone acquitted by a jury supposedly leaves court without a stain on his character…

He is supposedly in a relationship of some kind with the political editor of the Sun “newspaper”, one Kate Ferguson: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Holden_(British_politician)#Personal_life.

[Kate Ferguson]

Holden strikes me (I had not even heard of him until yesterday, despite his being Chairman of the Conservative Party— they have had so many in recent years) as a dishonest type. Just my impression of him now that I have seen him in film clips and heard online from him and about him.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Holden_(British_politician)

Put a beggar on horseback and he rides it to death” [German proverb]

One way to cheat Holden out of his prize would be for a few civic-minded people to stand for election as “Independent conservative” or similar. That might weaken the kneejerk Con habit-vote, especially if Reform UK does well.

So far, the Basildon and Billericay constituency has been safely Con, though, since established in 2010: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basildon_and_Billericay_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.

The sheer gall and dishonesty of bastards such as Holden exemplifies the Sunak Con government and its several predecessors.

[“Billericay Dickie“]

More music

[Irish (IRA) volunteers c.1920]

Late tweets

On the one hand, heartbreaking, but on the other hand heartening. People can be so resilient.

Israel and its Western support network may imagine that their crimes are without punishment, but group-karma will eventually take hold of them, whether in the 21stC, 31stC or later.

Those animal-looking robots give me the creeps, if truth be known…

Late music

[Levitan, Vladimirka]

Diary Blog, 5 June 2024

Morning music

Tweets seen

In 2019, Antifa beat me on the head and face, causing a traumatic brain injury as I suffered bleeding on my brain. As I struggled to get away, they threw drinks in my eyes to blind me so I couldn’t get help. I remember their laughter as I was bleeding from my ear and eyes. I was lucky to survive and recover.

Many leftists on social media are celebrating that someone hurled a drink in the face of @Nigel_Farage today as he was campaigning in Clacton, Essex. They’re reveling in the fear that a victim feels when being hit in the eyes with an unknown liquidโ€”in a country that suffers acid attacks. The celebrations are emblematic of a level of political violence that the left tolerates and desires on their political opponents.

Perpetrators of violent attacks, such as that in Clacton yesterday, must be punished properly. I doubt whether the present minor judiciary has the will to do that.

I blogged about these issues several years ago:

Farage has been attacked before, as was Nick Griffin (in 2010, I think).

Very true. If only, though, the British and French had retained control of the Middle East and North Africa after WW2. No crazy demagogues, no “Israel”, no war…

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/03/07/when-i-was-not-arrested-in-egypt/.

[The Corniche, Alexandria]

Manchester, apparently. Here, though, on the Hampshire coast, it is 16C and partly cloudy, partly sunny.

By my use of Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], a similar result: Labour 488 MPs (majority 326), Con 82, LibDems 43, Greens 1, Reform UK 0, Plaid 3, SNP 14 (and Northern Irish 18).

Almost but not quite a Con wipeout.

I myself still think that <50 is a possibility for the Cons. I concede that the many experts and specialists are against me, but my reasons are as previously blogged:

  • the fact that few 2019 and earlier Con voters now think of the Con Party and Government as anything other than completely useless;
  • that there are many (or are there?) “secret” Reform UK intending or possible voters; and
  • that there are many voters who will vote tactically to sink the Cons, even if many of the same voters hate, despise or fear Starmer-Labour.

A point or so fewer for the Cons, a point extra for Labour, a point extra for the LibDems, and a point or so more for Reform UK, and the Con cadre of MPs would reduce to only 30.

This is no exact science.

This is a guest post from an anonymous 25-year-old member of Gen-Z. They live in London. They work in Westminster. And they are utterly fed-up with the dire state of the country.

If you believe the polls then the Tory party is about to be completely rejected by my generation, Gen-Z, the members of which were born in the late 1990s and early 2000s.

Remarkably, just 5% of us are planning to vote Tory next month while a staggering 83% are planning to either vote Labour, Lib Dem, Green, or SNP.

But as one of those few right-leaning Zoomers, let me tell you โ€”even that 5% figure is deeply misleading. Why?

Because, as Matt pointed out on Twitter/X, one enormous problem facing the Tories today is not just the remarkably low number of Zoomers who are planning to vote Conservative; itโ€™s that the few Zoomer conservatives who do exist are also utterly fed-up and frustrated with the party and want to see it completely obliterated.

And why do they feel like this, exactly?

Well, consider my own story.

I’m writing this at 3am in the morning and I have less than four hours before I need to get up and start my morning routine for work.

But, once again, the neighbours who live downstairs, below my flat, have decided to have another all-night party. And unlike me, they donโ€™t have to wake up for work.

Because, unlike me, they donโ€™t have to work.

They qualify for social housing; their rent is subsidised by the large and rising amount of council tax I am forced to pay each month โ€”on top of ruinous income taxes, national insurance contributions and student loan repayments.

The majority of the tenants in my housing block are unemployed; I see few of them leaving the house for work in the morning.

My interactions with them are limited to hostile glaring mixed in with the occasional attempted mugging. On the rare occasion I have female company I have to escort my dates to and from the bus stop to stop them being sexually harassed.

What scraps of my salary the State allows me to keep are eaten up immediately by rent. I pay almost half my post-tax income to live on an ex-council estate in Zone 3, London, with the smell of weed continually hanging in the air.

Unless I achieve an income of more than ยฃ200,000 it will simply be impossible to secure a mortgage on a house the same size as the one my parents bought in 1989.

My friends work in high-powered finance and legal careers but, like me, struggle on with flatshares well into their late 20s, if not their early 30s.

They are spending the best decade of their life working until midnight seven days a week for the chance to attain the same middle-class lifestyle their parents achieved much earlier in life.

The reward for being wildly successful financially in 2024? To live in a semi-detached house that was built for unskilled professionals in inner London a century ago.

And thatโ€™s not all โ€ฆ

If I decide to have children, which you might think ought to be encouraged given the demographic crisis facing Western nations like Britain, I will have to contend with extortionate childcare costs, or deprive my household of a second income.

Renting a three-bedroom flat in a safe part of London will cost in excess of ยฃ3,000 a month; my children will have to grow up in far more cramped conditions than I did, most likely having to share a room and perhaps dodging stray bullets.

The only feasible route out of this incredibly depressing situation is to leave the city I grew up in and commute two hours both ways from a town I have no local connection to โ€”where I have no friends or family living nearby.

Even with cheaper housing, I will still have to send my kids to local schools where they will be bombarded with relentless propaganda about how to โ€˜change their genderโ€™, acknowledge their โ€˜whitenessโ€™, and apologise for the British Empire.

It is certainly true that previous generations of young people faced more challenging circumstances. I am not (yet) being asked to walk across No Mans Land and into a sea of barbed wire and machine guns.

But it is one thing being asked to suffer for a cause like liberty in Europe, or to grimace through destitution because of seemingly uncontrollable events like the Wall Street Crash. It is quite another to be economically enslaved to the point of infertility to sustain a growing population of resentful dependents. 

And I am one of the lucky ones...”

[from the Matt Goodwin blog on Substack].

A long piece to paste on the blog, but worth reading, I think, despite the several obvious gaps in the author’s reasoning.

More tweets

Some mugs are still sending fraudster “Jack Monroe” (Melissa Hadjicostas) money every month via Patreon! Utter utter mugs.

A certainethno-religion…

Barwell is a silly little guy. A joke. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Barwell.

As for Goodwin’s rhetorical questions…https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.

Barwell seems to imagine that, as the (white/Brit) workforce ages, it can simply be replaced by black, brown (etc) imported equivalents. Not so. A high proportion of the imports (and offspring thereof) are parasitic and/or useless, with a smaller proportion actively criminal or terroristic.

Barwell’s thesis (to thus dignify it) seems to be that, as —say— 1M Brits age, retire, or die, the thing to do is to import 10M unwanted non-European immigrants in the hope that 10% of them can replace the 1M Brits who have checked out of the labour market (or life). What about the notional 9M other imports? They may be (and most are) useless, or near-useless, but all need/want/demand housing, food, water, shelter, NHS services, money…

Not sure whether that is Krakow or the rebuilt (post-WW2) old central part of Warsaw. Maybe the latter. I saw both on several trips to Poland in 1988 and 1989, but I should probably not recognize much of the newer areas now, judging by photos I have seen. The changes, esp. in Warsaw, have been immense.

Late tweets

Exactly what this blog has been saying for quite a while.

The 2024 General Election result, using Electoral Calculus, and based on the latest YouGov polling: Cons with only 55 MPs; LibDems on 63, and they are the official Opposition; Reform UK, significantly, with 3 MPs (presumably including Farage), and Greens on 2. Also important, the SNP with only 14 MPs.

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangeTactical
Fraction
Pred Seats
CON44.7%37619.0%0321-3210%55
LAB33.0%19740.0%2973+2945%491
LIB11.8%810.0%550+555%63
Reform2.1%017.0%30+30%3
Green2.8%17.0%10+10%2
SNP4.0%483.1%236-340%14
PlaidC0.5%20.7%20+20%4
Other1.1%03.2%00+00%0
N.Ire 18 00+00%18

Worth reading in full.

Late music

[Berlin, 1945: Marshal Zhukov inspects the ruins of the Reichstag]