Tag Archives: news

Diary Blog, 28 May 2025, including a few thoughts about the SDP in 1981 and Reform UK in 2025

Afternoon music

[Doreen Carwithen, Bishop Rock Concerto; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doreen_Carwithen]
[Bishop Rock Lighthouse, Scilly Isles. I visited the Rock on a small boat once, aged 9 or maybe just 10, in September 1966. The sea-state was a dead calm that day, though. The lighthouse is now automated, like all others in the UK; in 1966, there were still three lighthouse-keepers; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bishop_Rock]

Reform UK in 2025 as against the SDP in 1981

That idiot, Brian Coleman, says in another tweet (by his co-pannelist, Tessa Dunlop), that he “used to be important” and is now “a has-been“. The second point may be so, the first only if you think that having been, long ago, a councillor in the Borough of Barnet (North London) and/or a member of the London Assembly, is “important“.

Wikipedia says effectively nothing about his parentage, background, education, or any work or profession: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_Coleman.

Wikipedia does mention Coleman’s membership of Conservative Friends of Israel, and his numerous instances of intemperate and violent behaviour, for at least one of which he was convicted of assault (though given a remarkably lenient sentence, on the facts: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_Coleman#Conviction_for_assault).

Coleman was also a pretty bad expenses-blodger.

One wonders why the Jeremy Vine Show is interested in the comments of such people. His claim that Farage is and Reform UK is a “sideshow” shows Coleman’s complete lack of political nous. He says that he is old enough to remember the SDP, and how, after riding high in opinion polls, it imploded after less than a year in 1981.

He seems to think that the voters will somehow go back to the “Conservatives”. Really? I doubt it.

Yes, I too recall the SDP [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Democratic_Party_(UK)], I being nearly 5 years older than Coleman. The reasons for its failure were several, but to my mind the main one was that its policies were pretty much the same as those (much of) the Labour Party, the Liberal Party, and even the non-Thatcherite part of the Conservative Party.

Another point is that the SDP (rumps of which struggled on until 1988) was led by people who were the opposite of charismatic.

Leaving aside policy, the key difference between the SDP in 1981 and Reform UK in 2025, 44 years later, is the surrounding socio-political background. While the UK in 1981 was suffering from mass immigration, and on a large scale, the scale of that immigration was still minor compared to that of the past 25 years: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_immigration_to_the_United_Kingdom.

In fact, even that alarming graph does not tell the true or full story. For one thing, the pre-1945 figures would include those white/English/British people born in parts of the British Empire; also those born in various parts of mainland Europe.

Again, the later parts of that graph, showing a steep rise, are yet not entirely showing the true racial/ethnic picture, because huge numbers of blacks, browns, Chinese etc (or half so) are now being born here in the UK to parents either recent immigrants or themselves born here, and those millions are not “foreign born” in that sense.

Not even just migration-invasion; also migration-occupation.

Another point is that living standards, though suffering a blip in the early 1980s recession, were not steadily declining, as is now the case for most people. Also, society had not collapsed in other ways in 1981, or the later 1980s, contrary to what is now the case. The monarchy, armed forces, educational standards, police, courts etc were still broadly as they had been for decades, indeed to a fairly large extent as they had been since late-Victorian times. Look now!

As to Parliament itself, it may have been flawed in 1981, but still worked more or less as it had done for the preceding century. MPs had not become total “grifters” and expenses-blodgers, because that system was not yet in place to the extent it later was.

Also, MPs were mostly either from trade union or teaching/academic backgrounds (Labour) or armed forces/landowning/business backgrounds (Conservative). A different ethos. For most of them, politics was a field they had come into from somewhere else. The present-day MPs are, many of them along the lines of: Oxford/Cambridge PPE or similar degree, political adviser, a bit of fake charity work maybe, maybe a bit of local councillor activity, then MP. Result— rubbish.

In a word, the voters are very angry with the state of everything in this country. They know Farage is a bit of a snake-oil salesman, they know Reform UK MPs are unpolished, inexperienced etc (and have not had the training of many System MPs). The voters, however, are voting in anger against the System parties rather than for Reform as such. They know that Reform is merely the best of a bad bunch. They are voting for change, too, not for specific Reform policies. Indeed, in supporting remigration/repatriation etc, the voters are well ahead of Reform UK, well ahead of Farage, well ahead of Matt Goodwin.

In other words, that Coleman character has completely misread the situation.

Tweets seen

Well, I can agree with Coleman on that point.

Again, similar story as in other recent polls: Reform 368 MPs, Labour 126, LibDems 59, SNP 38, Cons 30: https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

Those and many other criminals need to be put up against a wall.

Here, I part company with Goodwin. After all, M&S has just posted a pre-tax profit of over £300M for the past financial year, and the other big supermarkets are in a similarly-fortunate position. Fewer staff, more self-service etc. Am I really supposed to get upset over those huge organizations losing out on even higher profits?

When it comes to small shopkeepers, it is different. The shoplifting upsurge really is hurting them.

The problem with making “minor” thefts punishable by harsh penalties is that it blurs the distinction between minor and major crimes, as in early 19thC England: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_the_United_Kingdom#Background. The adage was “hanged for a penny, hanged for a pound” (not completely accurate— the threshold triggering the death penalty was in fact, until 1832, not one penny but 12 pence, i.e. one shilling).

Incidentally, shoplifting did attract the death penalty 200 years ago, if the value of the goods stolen was high enough.

Goodwin and Reform seem to be drifting, in recent statements, into a kind of George Osborne, Dunce Duncan Smith dead-end, a position not far from that of the Con Party. Probably a mistake. If Reform starts to look like a copy of the Con Party, it will falter and fail.

Similar, yet again, to all recent polling.

That would place, inter alia, both Moscow and Petersburg within range of heavy missiles fired from Kiev-regime territory. Germany is asking to be devastated yet again. Why? Is the NWO/ZOG infliuence in German politics that strong? Must be…

There comes a time when you need to stop “poking the Bear”, because the Bear will not tolerate it, or you.

The world is not without kind people…

More about Macron

Many readers will have seen my 2019 assessment of Macron, contained within the following now six-years-old blog post:

In that blog post, I go into Macron’s background etc. Now, I have been referred to recent tweets about him:

[“I used to have a flat in Paris and a chateau near Albi, and my children went to school in France after Hill House in London, so I know the French scene from a native perspective. I am also blessed with friends in Switzerland, Italy and Germany, and it has to be said, Brigitte Macron’s frustrations, which have recently been on display as a result of the camera capturing her pushing her husband in his face in Vietnam, have been a source of understanding amongst the political classes for some time. This is neither the time nor the place to delve deeply into the Gay Paree scene, to which only Noel Coward could do justice. My YouTube channel, on the other hand, allows me to penetrate more deeply into the hard partying of Emmanuel Macron and his circle of elite and very handsome gays, including Gabriel Attal, whom he appointed as Prime Minister and who now heads up his (political) party in the National Assembly, and the renowned counter tenor Philippe Jaroussky. If anyone cares to pick up this thread, I’d suggest tuning in to my YouTube channel at 4pm this afternoon.”]

[from Lady Colin Campbell: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lady_Colin_Campbell].

[Macron and (?) friends]

Late tweets seen

Very interesting.

[“Allies of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz have reacted sharply to his words about lifting restrictions on military supplies to Ukraine, writes Politico. ” The chancellor has come under fire from within [his] own ranks for vague statements about whether Germany is ready to provide Ukraine with long-range Taurus missiles that can strike deep into Russian territory ,” the publication said.“]

I should think so. For Germany to supply the Kiev regime with ever-more-powerful weapons might eventually result in Germany again becoming a battlefield, or even a charred and irradiated ruin.

Late music

[Yuryevets, Ivanovo Oblast, Russia, a town on the Volga: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuryevets,_Ivanovo_Oblast]
[The Volga at the town of Yuryevets]

Diary Blog, 22 May 2025

Afternoon music

Lucy Connolly

I agree with Katie Hopkins on this. Worth watching (8 minutes long).

Tweets seen

…because that reflects mass immigration for half a century or more, now completely uncontrolled and, crucially, births to immigrants and to offspring of immigrants.

More accurately, the equivalent of about 10 or 20 or 40 decaying inner-city slum areas…

[“4 things you need to know today:

1/ Labour will tell you immigration is falling but this is almost entirely due to pre-Labour measures

2/ The numbers are still WAY too high —100k higher than when Brits voted for Brexit asking for control. The latest net migration figure, 431,000, is nearly twice the number of new homes that were built in England last year, 218,000. It is also much higher than what Brits want —85% of Brits say they want net migration below 100,000, half of them want it at zero or ‘net negative’, with more people leaving than arriving

3/ Much of the immigration into Britain is still low-skill, low-wage, exactly the kind that is a net cost, not benefit, to our economy. Furthermore, 81% of ALL migration into Britain last year came from outside Europe —what does this mean for our shared culture, identity, values, history and way of life? It’s an important question that nobody in Westminster, excluding Reform, is willing to ask

4/ No matter what Keir Starmer and Labour say, today, Britain’s borders remain completely out of control. After yesterday’s record-breaking day, we are still on track for the highest annual number of small boat crossings in 2025, which have brought terrorists and criminals into our country. Labour’s “plan” is not working; the only thing they are smashing is our national security.”]

Labour’s “solution” (as under the fake Conservatives), is to build and build. First, that cannot be done anyway on a huge scale. Second, all that means is that our formerly, and still to some extent, beautiful England gradually (?) becomes a giant slum housing tens of millions of untermenschen.

…but they never allow the same argument to be used in relation to the removal of Jews in the 1940s from western and central Europe to eastern Europe…

When Jews claim that their forbears were deported to the east in the early 1940s, they also claim that that removal, and making them work in camps etc on arrival, was “genocide” (even though most Jews in the world were unaffected). Now, “their” argument is different…

I once thought that we, the English or British, were, at least arguably, the most obvious hypocrites in the world. Not so…

This country is so screwed now, that one has to think where to start, especially in coming to a “solution”.

Same basic story as from many other recent polls, but Cons really bouncing along the bottom now; 16%. As for Labour, also plumbing the depths on 21%.

If that poll were to be replicated at a general election— Reform 406 MPs, Labour 107, LibDems 56, SNP 41, and Cons…10. Ten MPs…

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

If you can take Kiev and Kharkov, you will not need any such buffer zone.

Diary Blog, 20 May 2025, including a few thoughts on the failure of Lucy Connolly’s appeal on sentence

Afternoon music

[painting by Volegov]

Lucy Connolly

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14730637/Tory-councillors-wife-social-media-rant-migrants-day-Southport-attack-loses-appeal-harsh-sentence.html

The heartbroken husband of Lucy Connolly who was jailed for posting an online rant over the Southport murders has condemned her appeal being dismissed today as ‘shocking and unfair’ – saying his wife is ‘not a right-wing thug’.

Ray Connolly said: ‘My wife Lucy is a good person and not a racist’, adding: ‘Lucy got more time in jail for one tweet than some paedophiles and domestic abusers get.’

Connolly, who is locked up at HMP Drake Hall, Staffordshire, had claimed to the Appeal Court last week that she had no idea what she was admitting to when she pleading guilty to a charge of inciting racial hatred.

In a written judgment, Lord Justice Holroyde, said: ‘There is no arguable basis on which it could be said that the sentence imposed by the judge was manifestly excessive.”

[Daily Mail]

Pity that the husband plays the System/msm game by adopting their language, though.

I had thought that the Court of Appeal would probably cut the sentence, allowing for the release of the appellant not immediately, but within a few weeks.

I admit I was mistaken. I had underestimated the pressure on the Court (however obliquely, so be it) from the evil Labour Friends of Israel government of Starmer-stein, Yvette Cooper, Rachel Reeves etc.

As for the ridiculous dictum of Holroyde L.J., quoted above, what can one say? Imagine a Lord Justice of Appeal thinking that a sentence of over 2.5 years for having posted a brief comment on social media is just about right… Ludicrous.

It is too late now, of course, but I think that Lucy Connolly should not have pleaded guilty in the first place.

Looking at the words she used in her social media comment, and at the construction of the sentences, it certainly would have been arguable that the words used, and in the way they were used, and in the context of where they were posted, did not in fact amount to incitement at all.

I think that Lucy Connolly could certainly have taken her chances before a jury, particularly if most of the jury had been echt-English. Also, even had she been convicted after a jury trial, the hysteria of the summer of 2024 would by then have abated, and the sentence would probably have been far less harsh, in my view.

This case and sentence were surely both nakedly political. The unfortunate lady has been used as a kind of scapegoat and example by Starmer-stein and fake Labour. The aim was wider than merely to discourage “rioters” (protesters) in the long hot summer of 2024; it was to discourage social media and other online dissent generally, and into the future.

Politically, though, Starmer-stein has misread the room (again). The Lucy Connolly case will backfire on him.

Exactly (that last point), but of course Lucy Connolly pleaded guilty at first instance (for whatever reason), and so this appeal has been on sentence alone.

In fact, the Crown case was never tested at trial, because the defendant pleaded guilty.

Exactly. Which is one reason why Lucy Connolly should have pleaded Not Guilty. She might then have had, even had she been convicted, a good arguable appeal point.

I have to say that, if her original solicitor advised a guilty plea on the basis that she had no defence, she was probably badly advised.

More tweets seen

Ha. That is a very topical way of putting it…

No-one now is going to vote Con Party, for several reasons. First of all because it is now led, if such is the bon mot, by a Nigerian woman who has in the past called British workers “idlers“, and who, though born in London (her parents having come to London precisely for that purpose, to get her a British passport), was brought up in the alien surroundings of Nigeria and the USA. She only came back to her place of birth aged 16 or 17.

One might add that she is one more System MP whose CV looks better from a distance than it does close-up [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kemi_Badenoch].

Secondly, the Conservative Party is partly, one might argue mainly, to blame for the terrible state the UK is in, and is going towards. 14 years of Con Party misgovernment. As I predicted, of course, the fake Labour government of Starmer-stein is as bad, or worse (many think worse), but that does not mean that many voters want to turn back the clock to 2010, 2015, 2017, or 2019.

The only people likely to vote Con now are elderly people who have always voted Con and who do not really keep up with events political or societal; those, and/or the affluent and wealthy who think that they would pay less tax under a Con government. Starmer-Labour, though, is almost indistinguishable from the Con Party in that respect.

There is a floor to Con Party support. I myself would estimate that floor as being somewhere around 15% but, having said that, if it were to look that the Cons had very little support and were therefore in perceivedly “wasted vote” territory, then even that floor might fall through.

On the basis of the latest opinion poll, the Commons might consist of 346 Reform members, 145 Labour, 73 LibDem, 39 SNP, and 17 Cons.

Matt Goodwin is therefore not right to say that the Conservative Party is now in 4th place. In terms of likely Commons seats, they are in 5th place; the 2% UK vote of the SNP is concentrated in Scottish seats, i.e. only about an eighth of all UK seats. You see the result predicted: SNP 39, Cons 17. Terminal for the Con Party…

Further to the case of Wilson v. Mendelsohn, Newbon (deceased), and Cantor

More tweets

Late tweets

So what about the Jewish/Zionist “5th column” in countries such as the UK, USA, France etc? Facilitators and defenders of war crimes.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patrick_O%27Flynn.

Late music

[Yevgeny Lushpin, Twilight in the City, depicting an imaginary city scene, but it seems possibly based on one of the canals of St. Petersburg]

Diary Blog, 10 May 2025

Morning music

[Leeds-Liverpool Canal]

Saturday quiz

Well, only 4/10 this week, though that was still enough to beat political journalist John Rentoul, who scored a mere 2/10. I answered questions 2, 6, 7, and 8 correctly, no. 7 being at best an educated guess. In the back of my mind I also knew the answers to questions 4 and 9, but could not exactly recall the names.

Talking point

https://chadcrowley.substack.com/p/the-return-of-the-political-carl

A nation begins to die the moment it forgets who its enemies are, because identity is shaped not only by what we are, but by what we are willing to reject.

Carl Schmitt, the brilliant German jurist and political theorist, warned that all politics begins with distinction—the drawing of a line between friend and enemy, between those with whom we share fate and those who threaten our survival. To erase that line is not an act of progress or enlightenment, but an act of surrender, the first step in the dissolution of any real order.

[Chad Crowley’s blog on Substack]

An interesting blog in general.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_Schmitt

Britain, 2025

https://www.mylondon.news/news/north-london-news/light-fingered-north-london-secretary-31596352

A light-fingered secretary who funnelled away £53,000 while working for a top legal firm has avoided jail after the judge took pity on her abusive upbringing. Aminata Pungi, 36, a serial shoplifter who told a probation officer she could not remember her previous convictions for theft, received an 18-month suspended sentence at Inner London Crown Court on Thursday (May 8).

Facing a three-year starting point, due to her previous convictions and the cross-border nature of the fraud, defence counsel Sahara Fergus-Simms did enough to convince Mr Recorder Campbell that her client should avoid jail, telling the judge about Ms Pungi’s 18-week pregnancy and her difficult upbringing after fleeing war in her native Democratic Republic of Congo.

Ms Fergus-Simms told the court Ms Pungi was fostered by family in the UK, but allegedly suffered abuse at the hands of her aunt and her partner, who fled the UK before he could face a trial. Describing one particularly disturbing incident, Ms Fergus-Simms said Ms Pungi’s aunt attended her school ‘wielding a knife’ while Ms Pungi was told to hide in a cupboard by her PE teacher.

Ms Fergus-Simms also claimed Ms Pungi’s shoplifting started as a way to feed herself without support from her family, but this became ‘a habit that stuck’.

Sparing her prison, Recorder Campbell said: “The greatest punishment you have is you are unable to pursue your dream career in the law.”

Ms Pungi was sentenced to 18 months in prison, suspended for 18 months, with no compensation order. Prosecutors also declined to pursue the money through the Proceeds of Crime Act, as there was no realistic prospect of the cash being recovered.”

[My London]

My first thought is that the defendant really ought to go out and buy a lottery ticket…

My second thought is that Britain is now largely a dustbin full of trash.

I do have a third point. How could the sentencing judge have imagined that the defendant could have had a career in law, had she not now been convicted (again) ? She had a number of previous convictions, for one thing.

Tweets seen

Oh dear…

In fact, Goodwin is partly right, but only partly. The answer to his posed question is “No!” or, at best, “50-50“.

The problem is that, while Goodwin notes the dangers to free speech emanating from “woke” or “politically-correct” directions, and also from Muslim/Islamist directions, he (as usual) omits to mention the direction from which the main danger to free speech in the UK comes— Jewish Zionism.

GB News itself is well and truly (((infiltrated))).

A few of my experiences, over more than a decade, of the troublemaking of that evil pack:

There is no “exodus”. Au contraire.

Migration-invasion. Migration-occupation.

Going beyond what Goodwin says there, if there were a real unblinking review of the social effects (crime, single mothers, abandoned children, “social parasitism” etc) of having a non-white or mixed-race population (not just recent migrants/invaders) in the UK, the British people would be shocked, not least because it would totally contradict the lying propaganda pumped out in schools, newspapers, radio, TV, and by System drones there and in Parliament etc.

See also:

A good cause

https://www.gofundme.com/f/h4th5-help-support-lily

which relates to this story: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14618571/sporty-medical-student-quadruple-amputee-sepsis.html.

Simon Mann

I notice that the famous “contract soldier”, Simon Mann, has died at age 72. Looks like he had a heart attack while pursuing a “keep fit” regime.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025/may/09/simon-mann-mercenary-behind-failed-wonga-coup-dies-aged-72

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp8dn03478qo

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Mann

I read his book, Cry Havoc. Pretty poor.

I believe that he was from a wealthy family based in the New Forest. I read in his book that, either after his return to the UK or just before, his Jewish wife managed to sell his, I think inherited, country house for a very high sum (if memory serves, about £9M), which was a financial lifesaver for him.

Mann made millions from his hazardous activities, and certainly showed grit, especially during his imprisonment in the unpleasant state of Equatorial Guinea. In the end, though, you go out from this world with nothing material, just as you entered it. A fact that Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, Richard Branson, the “Russian” and “Ukrainian” Jew oligarchs, and other mega-wealthy, might like to ponder upon.

[Addendum, 25 May 2025: https://www.advertiserandtimes.co.uk/news/lymington-army-officer-who-took-part-in-failed-equatorial-gu-9417199/]

Late music

Diary Blog, 7 May 2025

Morning music

[Nymphenburg, Bavaria]

Tweets seen

That ghastly little “Conservative” (?) scribbler and talking head, Harwood, really deserves some bad luck to come his way. Pro-Israel, pro-globalist finance-capitalism, in favour of cuts to public services and social security, in favour of unrestricted housing development. A System puppet, retailing “controlled opposition” rubbish.

[“48% of Britons say that immigration is one of the top issues facing the country, the joint-highest level since the election Economy: 52% (-2 from 26-28 Apr) Immigration: 48% (+4) Health: 36% (-1) Crime: 22% (-1) Defence: 20% (-2) Housing: 20% (=) Environment: 15% (-2) Tax: 14% (-1) Europe: 13% (+2) Welfare: 13% (+2).”]

Maybe the British people are at last beginning to wake up.

Defend? Against what? There is a concerted attempt to push for war with Russia, which would be both mad and pointless, Russia having no interest at all in invading central or western parts of Europe.

Ukraine was always part of Russia; as for the Baltic States or pribaltika, while I respect their rights to self-determination and their own cultures, that respect would not outweigh the right of the UK, France, and Germany etc not to get into a nuclear conflict with Russia over that small part of Northern Europe. In fact, the only reason Russia is now overshadowing the three Baltic states is because they have joined NATO. The same is true of Finland.

Present-day Russia is not like the old Soviet Union. It does not have the expansionist drive that came out of Marxist-Leninist ideology. It is also far less efficient in terms of military power (and secret intelligence etc).

European culture and civilization is threatened not by that fantasy “Russian invasion” but by migration-invasion from backward parts of the world, and I see very few and very weak attempts being made even to slow it, let alone stop it.

“Boris” Johnson— part-Jew and pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby, and a Conservative Friends of Israel member; Starmer-stein likewise— pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby, not himself Jewish (as far as is known) but with a Jewish wife, and with children being brought up as if fully-Jewish, Starmer being a member of Labour Friends of Israel.

Join the dots. Both Starmer-stein and “Boris” Johnson were fanatically in favour of the police-state measures brought in under cover of the “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic, both funneled British taxpayers’ monies to “Ukraine” (the mainly Jewish regime in Kiev), and both encouraged and still encourage mass immigration into Britain, while having English/British dissidents and protesters arrested. Both also want to allow (((developers))) to build on what is left of the “green and pleasant land”.

As I say, just join the dots.

Once again, we see where that Harwood bastard is coming from. For him, British politics and society is all about the (((money))). Same goes for GB News generally (and, even worse, the “no-one watches” Talk TV).

Interesting that Harwood and GB News, supposedly small-c “conservative”, now start to defend Starmer-stein, i.e. now that his fake Labour (((government))) is collapsing amid public hatred of it and him.

Tweeter “@benonwine” should consider what percentage of the UK population is now non-European (non-white). About 20%. Not all of that bloc vote, and not all of that bloc who vote, vote Labour, but most do. Question more or less answered.

As to Goodwin’s tweet and YouGov’s polling, according to Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], those numbers would be enough to give Reform about 345 MPs, and a goodly-sized Commons majority (19, but in practical terms about 30 or 40. Other significant parties: 143 Labour MPs, 71 LibDems, SNP 38, Cons 23.

On that basis, the once-great Conservative Party would be reduced to a very small rump of 23 MPs, and would be a very poor fifth party in the Commons, after Reform, Labour, LibDems, and the SNP. It would be the end of the Conservative Party, bar the shouting about the whys and wherefores.

Sending Kemi Badenoch back to Nigeria at once, or at least sacking her (asap), might save some of the present Con Party MPs, but not most, I think. The tipping point may already have been reached. Every time I see the woman on TV, I think, “can anyone really see that as a Prime Minister?“.

Talking point

I missed this when it was published last year; it is very good, very true (both posts):

More tweets seen

Certainly, I have found that to be true. Many who have tried to attack me over the course of my life (I am now 68) have hit hard times, and some (quite a few) have died. Not exactly The Consolation of Philosophy, but rather heartwarming nonetheless…

Someone is about to have a bad day…

Not so sure about that last comment from “@elias_baa”…

Surprising, yet not so surprising. Labour has done rather little for the people of Scotland in the past several decades. The SNP is only supported by, at most, half of the electorate. Reform may be the banner to which anti-SNP voters will flock.

I think I had not previously heard of that one. Rosie Wrighting. 27 years old. Sounds like a total bimbo. Selected/elected as MP aged 26. Had a job with ASOS for what seems to have been months not years. Never done anything else. Studied (Mickey Mouse “degree”?) fashion, we are told…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rosie_Wrighting

This country is so screwed…

Looking at the 2024 result at Kettering [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kettering_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s], I think that Ms. Wrighting will fairly soon be looking for another job.

The present “elected” dictatorship in the UK is evil.

Aux armes, citoyens“…

Late music

[Victor Ostrovsky, Rendezvous]

Diary Blog, 23 April 2025, St. George’s Day

Morning music

Tweets seen

Puppet and mouthpiece of the Jewish/Zionist/Israel lobby, Iain Dale, does not think that the public should be allowed to see or hear the truth on this issue.

The fact is that, proportionate to the population(s), non-whites commit far more crimes than white English/British people.

In fact, even publishing the formal national origins of persons convicted does not and will not tell the whole story, because many of the non-whites committing crimes hold “British” nationality; indeed, many were born here. In quite many cases, those non-whites committing crimes have parents and indeed even grandparents born here, by reason of the mass immigration that has hit Britain in the past 80 years (mostly the past 60 years, indeed the past 30).

I recall how amazed I was, as a belated Bar pupil (trainee barrister) and then junior barrister (early 1990s) to see how high was the proportion of non-whites on trial in the criminal courts of London. That was 33-34 years ago. Imagine now!

If you were to take out the figures relating to “travellers” (Irish tinkers) etc, the proportion of actual English/British defendants would be even smaller, very considerably so,

Of course, as blogged previously, quite a long time ago, LBC is owned by a company itself owned by Jews. Use the searchbox on the blog to discover more.

Security guarantees of the type demanded by Zelensky are practically equivalent to NATO membership anyway, and would be also of the type given by Britain and France to Poland in March 1939. That one made the Second World War almost inevitable. Don’t make the same mistake twice.

Owen Matthews. He wrote an interesting memoir about his mother, Ludmilla, or Lyudmilla, called Stalin’s Children, mainly about his mother’s life in the Soviet Union before she settled in London: https://www.theguardian.com/books/2008/aug/28/guardianfirstbookaward.awardsandprizes2.

Time flies to such an extent that, when I read that book, 14-15 years ago, around 2010 or 2011, I got halfway through before I realized that I had known the author’s mother (though only slightly) in the early 1980s, when I was taking a part-time Russian language course at a language institute near Euston Square in Central London. The language school was part of what is now the University of Westminster. Ludmilla Matthews was one of about 5 teachers I had. I think that her subject was Russian Conversation.

Ludmilla Matthews had something not quite right with one of her feet. She was kind enough to say once that my (in fact quite rudimentary) Russian at the time was “stylish“. I remember her mainly for having talked to me about her reluctant acquaintanceship with a (literally) mad Russian or Russian/Polish girl. That was after said girl had almost kidnapped me by guile, having said that I looked like St. Herman of Alaska (I had a beard at the time), and that she had an icon of St. Herman above her bed at her home in Kensington, and would I like to see it? You get the picture.

Anyway, Owen Matthews, now 53 and a well-known international journalist and writer, must have been about 12 when his mother was my once-a-week teacher: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Owen_Matthews.

I have written once before on the blog about these matters, I think.

Using Electoral Calculus [https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html], that works out at Reform 254 MPs, Labour 183, Conservatives 75, LibDems 71 (Green 4, SNP 35 etc).

Once again, therefore, a minority Reform government, 72 short of an absolute Commons majority, and about 62 short of a working majority.

On those figures, the Cons are perilously close to becoming the 4th-largest party in the Commons, and utterly irrelevant.

There may be some truth in that, but it is the Jewish/Zionist/Israel lobby which has spearheaded the attack on free speech in the UK:

Tellingly, Matt Goodwin has never, not once, put the Jewish/Zionist/Israel lobby, particularly the malicious, small —but well-funded— “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [or “CAA”], in the dock…

Matt Goodwin? Controlled opposition, but useful all the same (moving the Overton Window etc, and maybe unwittingly paving the way for a later social-national movement).

Incidentally, even Jews, those who express criticism of Israel, or Jewish behaviour generally, are targeted: see https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/23/dozens-of-members-of-uk-jewish-body-facing-disciplinary-action-over-criticism-of-israel.

Well-known Jews who have been mercilessly targeted by other Jews include the jazz musician Gilad Atzmon (I think that he is a half-Jew), author Michael Rosen, and the actress Miriam Margolyes. Another anti-Israel Jewess, the journalist Mira Bar-Hillel, too:

“Ms Bar-Hillel, who was born in Jerusalem and served as a folk singer in the IDF, claimed she was the victim of a trolling campaign. “You cannot criticise anything to do with Israel or Jews. You start by criticising Israeli government policy and then you get attacked by Jews,” she said…“I’m prejudiced against Jews who criticise me. Their religion has everything to do with it. I’m reporting something that’s horribly wrong with the policies of Israel and they attack me. In my long career no other group has acted in this way.

“When I’m being attacked I feel I’m being attacked by communal action. That community view is very dangerous. It is intimidation. The best way to respond to these things is to simply ignore them. It starts to be like a gang-bang.”

[Jewish Chronicle: https://www.thejc.com/news/mira-bar-hillel-agents-of-israel-attacked-me-for-criticisms-of-the-government-w16c8rnl]

Or so say two of the most misguided or wrongheaded (at best) “interventionists”, cheerleaders for the military destabilization of the Middle East, North Africa, and former Soviet Union.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hamish_de_Bretton-Gordon

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tobias_Ellwood

The latter is particularly untrustworthy.

Where there is a will, there is a way…

Ocean County. 32-36 years ago, I lived in Middlesex County, very near Monmouth County, near to the Jersey Shore but to the north of where those fires are raging.

“Them”, again…

Late thoughts

This blog punches above its weight. It may only have a relatively small number of regular readers (and far fewer commentators), but it has influenced many many people. It has reached directly about 150 states and territories in the world, and quite possibly all 200 or so indirectly.

I have always taken the view that “one human soul is a big audience“, and that if I can influence one young Alexander, Adolf Hitler, Mahatma Gandhi or, indeed, Moses, then the fact that I do not have a huge audience or a readership of millions becomes irrelevant. As Dietrich Eckart said when nearing the end of his life, “do not mourn me…I shall have influenced history more than any other German“.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dietrich_Eckart

I often see used distinctive phrases I myself have used (first) in the past, whether on the blog or from tweets when I still had a Twitter account (a pack of Jews had me expelled from Twitter in 2018, following a concerted campaign or conspiracy which lasted several years, and which continues).

For example, I think I was the first to use the terms “migration invasion” and “migrant invaders”, since echoed by many politicians and others, including even some Prominente from System parties.

If you put a drop of intense ultramarine dye into a pool, pond or lake, after a while, the water goes blue; all the water. My blog has that kind of influence, despite the fact that most of my blog posts have been read by, at most, only a few thousand people (each), even after several years.

It is because my blog has influence far beyond its actual numbers of readers that the Jew-Zionist lobby has made extensive efforts to shut it down over the past 8-9 years since first publication in late 2016.

Well, so far I am still here, and the blog is still being published near-daily, despite malicious complaints by Jews, despite backstairs attempts to procure prosecutions (by Israel puppets such as ex-MP —now “lord”— Ian Austin), despite repeated police interference, despite my having been put on trial in 2023, despite my having been sentenced in 2024, despite everything.

On the macro level, I see things beginning to move my way.

[“At the end stands Victory!“]

Late music

Diary Blog, 16 April 2025, including thoughts about cruelty to animals in Egypt, about Reform’s chances of having nearly 200 MPs elected, and about the Runcorn and Helsby by-election

Afternoon music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_MacDowell]
[Hamptons coastline, Long Island]

From the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14614247/Dutch-woman-PUNCHES-man-beating-donkey-Egyptian-tourist-site-chases-whip.html

An animal-loving Dutch vigilante who attacked a man she saw beating a donkey in Egypt is now facing a lawsuit.

Astonishing footage shows expat Joke Van der Post punching the animal’s handler before chasing him with a whip as he tries to flee.

In the heartbreaking video – which has since gone viral – the donkey kicks out in agony as it is repeatedly lashed while tethered to a wall on the outskirts of Cairo.

Appalled by the horrific cruelty, the 47-year-old runs at the man before pinning him against a wall and striking him several times shouting, ‘You think you’re f****** normal.’

As the man tries to run away Ms Van der Post, who manages a veterinary practice called the Good Karma Sanctuary, grabs a whip from another donkey handler and chases him off into the distance.

The man filed a police complaint accusing Ms Van der Post of assault and claiming appearing in the viral video has caused him ‘psychological harm’, local media reports.”

[Daily Mail]

Treatment of animals in Egypt is often very bad, and most of the people there are cowardly wastes of space.

It is interesting to note that not only do Europeans run all or almost all of the animal welfare hospitals etc in Egypt, but also most of the efforts devoted to helping the Egyptian children etc born with various handicaps. The locals (I was told when I was there for a few months in the 1990s) regard such accidents or incidents of birth as a curse from God, and so need not be addressed at all. Backward Islamic or quasi-Islamic beliefs.

It is also interesting to note that modern Egypt was run best under the European influence of c.1860-1952 and in particular the years between the First and Second World Wars. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kingdom_of_Egypt.

In Alexandria, that time is known as the International Period. Far more civilized than Alexandria as it now is.

The Egyptian in that Daily Mail report is typical. Willing to hurt a defenceless donkey, but running away when a European woman confronted him. Pity he was not himself whipped.

I could tell of a number of instances when I saw that Egyptian coward/bully mentality. There are exceptions, and some of the Egyptians are better than that, but I think a small minority.

Look at the pathetic Egyptian Army. As the old joke has it, the only time (in the past few thousand years) when the Egyptians won a military victory was in the second act of Aida.

Really, it has to be admitted that Africa generally, and including North Africa , should be under civilized European rule.

[Egypt and Israel/Palestine etc at night, seen from the International Space Station in 2010; Nile Valley, Cairo (the biggest concentration of light), and Alexandria to the Northwest, with Israel/Palestine also prominent to the Northeast]

See also:

Tweets seen

The land of freedom” (supposedly)…

If Sarah Vine (Daily Mail scribbler, and ex-wife of Israel/Jewish lobby puppet Michael Gove) is not Jew or part-Jew, I’ll eat my hat. Still, she apparently owns at least one book by David Irving, so the question remains at least somewhat open.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarah_Vine

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Irving

As for Seldon, as a well-known writer, historian etc, he should know that the USA lost its moral authority long ago, certainly by the time it became a “tail wags dog” state controlled by Israeli and other Jewish and Zionist interests under the two Bush presidents and Clinton, Obama, and Biden. You only have to think of the torture and perversity inflicted at Abu Ghraib, Bagram, Kabul, Guantanamo, and elsewhere.

Many of them will also be adjudged as having deserved to lose their heads, too. Let history judge (?).

Thank God.

Wall. Squad. End.

Wall. Squad. End.

Reform UK, Labour, and the Runcorn and Helsby by-election

The most recent opinion poll about nationwide political sympathies:

Well, that poll (with notional LibDem vote around 12%, and Greens on 10%) would result in a Commons with 198 Lab MPs, 187 Reform, and 156 Con (51 Libdems, 27 SNP, 4 Greens). The only possible government on those numbers would be a Reform/Con arrangement of some sort, having a majority of 17, and a working majority slightly bigger. https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

The polls are variable at present, but all tell the same story— Reform UK either the most popular party or a close second. Bearing in mind that Reform voters are said to be more motivated to actually vote than Lab or Con voters (and that fewer Lab voters vote by post, Con and Reform voters tending —so far— to be older and, by reason of that, less healthy), the real picture could well be even better for Reform.

I see the reality as being that at least a plurality of voters are absolutely sick of what Britain is becoming, and are therefore clutching at the Reform straw even though, in many cases, underwhelmed by both Reform and Farage. The voters who support Reform want to hit out at, and perhaps bury, both Lab and Con.

This should make the Runcorn and Helsby by-election even more interesting. The betting market (which I have found an unreliable guide to by-election results) has Reform as strongly odds-on favourite to win (about 1/3, with Labour around 5/2, and Conservatives around 8/1; there are 15 candidates in all). https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.241434500.

I think and have blogged that Reform will smash it, but I concede that there are a number of factors in play. The constituency has Runcorn town as main voter pool, but even that is over 90% white, so the George Galloway vehicle, Workers’ Party, will probably come in 4th or 5th.

Turnout may or may not be low; if it is, Reform will benefit, probably. I wonder how many former Labour voters will turn out to vote for a nominally “Labour” government that has cheated pensioners, is intent on cheating and bullying the sick, disabled and unemployed, and which is at the same time throwing money at “Ukraine” (the brutal Zionist dictatorship in Kiev) and foreign aid recipients. All that, and while also presiding over ever-worse migration invasion, and the consequent street crime now seen everywhere.

The “experts” are still saying that the by-election will be close between Reform and Labour, but Labour seems less credible with every passing day. No less than 700 migrant-invaders landed on the beaches of England yesterday alone!

The Conservative Party under the Nigerian woman is a busted flush. In any case, in 2024 the Cons only scored 16% in the Runcorn and Helsby constituency.

Any 2024 Conservative Party voters who want to stick it to Labour have no choice but to vote Reform, tactically.

This by-election will be a pure test of the popularity of both Starmer-stein’s fake “Labour” government and of Reform UK. Its importance is huge.

Late tweets seen

[“It is worth remembering at this time that the Tories who are now attacking two-tier Britain and gender gobbledygook are the same party that: -implemented and mainstreamed the Equality Act -commissioned the David Lammy review which set the stage for the Sentencing Council guidelines -commissioned other major reviews that mainstreamed the idea of ‘positive action’ in the workplace that’s now driving anti-white racism -failed to roll back the public sector equality duty and if anything turbo-charged it -promised to “streamline and de-medicalise” the process of getting gender recognition certificates -allowed MPs and ministers from Maria Miller to Gillian Keegan to mainstream gender identity What we need in this country is not more of the same but root and branch REFORM of the entire Blairite legacy —everything from the Equality Act to the Human Rights Act to the European Convention on Human Rights A total reset.”]

I should not like to be in his boots…

Late music

Diary Blog, 10 April 2025, including a few thoughts about the knock-on effects, internationally, of the Trump tariff regime

Morning music

Talking point

Britain has still to make the decision as to whether it wants to be an advanced, European-race, high-IQ, high-tech, environmentally-aware country, or a multikulti black-brown and mixed-race mess, a “Congo-North” if you like, with ever-declining standards, pay, “welfare”, environment and culture.”

[from this blog 5 years ago, 25 June 2020]

Talking point

I told you so…

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025/apr/09/rwanda-scheme-asylum-seeker-claims-processed-uk

Thousands of people left in limbo since plans to deport them to Rwanda were axed will now have their asylum claims processed in the UK, Labour has confirmed.

More than 5,000 asylum seekers were on an initial list drawn up by the previous government to be sent to Rwanda under a deal between the two countries.

One of the first acts of the Labour government was to scrap the Rwanda scheme, resulting in many of the 5,700 people the Kigali administration had agreed to accept having their claims processed in the UK asylum system. Some subsequently received decisions on their claims but it is estimated that thousands have remained in limbo.”

[Guardian]

As predicted on this blog, the Keir Starmer-stein “Labour” (Labour Friends of Israel) misgovernment is “solving” the problem by simply rubberstamping the applications of the migrant invaders.

Even under the fake “Conservatives”, at least 80% of the applications were “processed” leading to acceptance. In other words, over 80% were being allowed to stay, meaning that they then get rights to housing, social security/”welfare” payments, and all other benefits available to the actual British population.

This latest news is, of course, the tip of the iceberg. It is probably correct to say that over 90% of migrant-invaders are now being allowed to stay in the UK, with most of the rest also in effect allowed to stay by reason of not being removed from this country. In fact, the few actually leaving are almost all doing so voluntarily, and there are very few of them.

The next step will be, as I also predicted, “processing” invaders before they even get on those rubber boats. They will then enter the UK superficially “legally”, along with the enormous number of other “legal” migrants (migrant-invaders). Between half a million and one and a half million a year.

Meanwhile, brace yourselves for the impact of vast new waves of “legal” immigration (invasion) from India: see https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/apr/09/we-are-nearly-there-uk-and-india-agree-90-of-free-trade-agreement.

Talking point

[from 2020, during the “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic]

Businessman Simon Dolan is trying to block the government enforcing new restrictions. His lawyer tells the High Court: Deaths are 2-3% of total, considerably lower than the flu. The gov prioritises only suppression of the virus. It has an obligation to weigh all harms...”

[online news report from 2020]

Pity that, at that time, the courts (and the Government, and the news media, especially idiots such as Piers Morgan) were driven by panic and by “me-too” thinking or non-thinking.

As I predicted on the blog, the stupid shutdown of the economy and society because of a virus which was actually killing almost no-one would damage the UK for many years, and so it has transpired.

Tweets seen

[“The Fuhrer as friend of animals“]

Shut up. New York City is a hellhole. Admittedly, I have not been there for 32 years, but I knew it fairly well and am still, nominally, a member of the New York Bar.

Some thoughts around the Trump tariffs etc

Assuming that the tariff wars continue and even escalate, what will result?

To my mind, the basic or overarching result will be that trade between the USA and the worst-hit other states will fall away, fall off, and then become trade among those tariff-hit states. China will deal more with Russia, India, Japan, European (including EU) states etc.

It is said that diplomacy has three main branches: classical or straight diplomacy (diplomats, intergovernmental contacts, military pacts etc), economic “diplomacy” (trade and trading incidents, eg tariffs, sanctions etc), and cultural “diplomacy” (such as that which used to exist between the Soviet Union and the West, via such bodies as the UK Foreign Office-funded G.B.-U.S.S.R. Association, to which I myself belonged in the 1980s).

Already, we can see that Russia is gradually forming a trade axis with a core group (China, North Korea, Iran) and a wider outer group (India, and numerous other states across the world). Now, the American or Trump tariffs will create a different bloc of tariff-hit states trading inter se and interpenetrating that first bloc. A kind of Venn diagram.

I can only assume that those advising Trump have it in mind to rebuild American industry and commerce by choking off the supply of foreign goods and maybe also services entering the United States, thus stimulating domestic production. That might work, though at the cost of driving up prices in many cases. However, there would obviously be consequential effects, in that retaliatory tariffs would hit American industry and commerce. China is leading the way in that regard.

The ultimate effects are still unknown. Of course, economic warfare can result in real warfare, and that has been seen time and again, as with the US-Japan situation prior to 1941.

It is not unlikely that the next major war will be between the USA and China.

More tweets seen

[“One of the UK’s biggest police forces has just temporarily blocked applications from white British candidates in an attempt to “boost diversity”. This is ‘positive discrimination’ or some might say ‘anti-white racism’ that could well be lawful. It will also fuel claims of a two-tier justice system.”]

Many of the ethnic “minority” recruits are later dismissed, often after having committed serious crimes.

“Our wonderful police”?

I do not know why the Hamas organization decided to attack Israel eighteen months ago. I have no idea why they did not wait until they had constructed much deeper and much longer tunnels, perhaps reaching as far as the Tel Aviv area.

Talking point

More tweets

Late music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurt_Atterberg]

Diary Blog, 17 March 2025

Morning music

[German 16th Century, Three Couples in a Circle Dance, c. 1515, pen and brown ink with watercolor on laid paper, Rosenwald Collection]

Talking point

She has a point.

As for Goodwin, I recently flagged the possibility, no more, that he might be on the following trajectory— win a by-election (Runcorn & Helsby?) as a Reform UK candidate, take over from Farage the leadership of Reform (with Farage’s support), and then (once Reform has become the largest party in the Commons after the next general election ) become Prime Minister.

It might just happen.

However, as that tweeter “Serena Brown” notes, either the UK becomes again a homogenous society, or it does not. There would be no point in a Reform UK government if it were unwilling to take the steps necessary.

This is not merely about immigration, and certainly not only about that relatively small part of immigration which comes in via the infamous “small boats”. It is about the non-whites already here, who are breeding much faster than the English/British, who themselves are not even reproducing their own numbers.

When we see Reform, we notice that it is ideologically in hock to the Jew-Zionist lobby, and pathetically adherent to Israel and Israeli interests.

Other tweets seen

I have blogged previously about the bad joke that is Shabana Mahmood as “Lord Chancellor” and Secretary of State for Justice— a Pakistani woman whose total legal experience has been a 12-month Bar pupillage (decades ago), followed by a year as a salaried “gopher” at a firm of solicitors. Use the search box on the blog to find out more.

Starmer-stein is not a Labour prime minister (even of the Tony Blair/Gordon Brown type); he is a Labour Friends of Israel prime minister, and that applies, mutatis mutandis, to virtually his entire Cabinet.

Starmer-stein and his Cabinet should face real resistance from the British people.

Meanwhile, Starmer-stein continues to try to play the “world statesman” and would-be war leader, and looks ever-more pathetic as he makes that attempt.

When simply noting the totally obvious sounds radical…

That influx of non-white doctors has another consequence: by reason of the high pay received by doctors in the UK, any offspring are automatically given a better life-chance than most white English/British children. The knock-on result is that more non-whites are going to be placed into the higher socio-economic groups in the UK, thus further weakening our civilized European culture and society.

Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan; https://www.amazon.com.be/-/nl/Richard-Coudenhove-Kalergi/dp/1913057097.

Exactly. Reform is the last hope of many, but it is also the last chance for the System itself to survive. If Reform is squashed or disappears, we are looking at quite likely civil war, or social war, and the national revolution, down the line. However, if Reform manages to be either the largest or second-largest party after 2028 or 2029, or even in government with a Commons majority, but then fails to take the steps necessary, we shall also be looking at not-unlikely civil/social war.

We must not forget that the Jew-Zionist element is embedded in Reform. One only has to look at the pronouncements of Farage, Tice, and now Goodwin.

Still, at present, Reform UK is the only game in town:

Hopefully, that little bully will be found and prosecuted, but of course his punishment, if any, will be slight, in the present society.

When the law ceases to be respected, or enforced (by reason of weak and/or politicized police, prosecutors, courts), such lawlessness leads, in the end, to the public taking the law into their own hands, and meting out more condign punishment to evildoers.

Not for nothing has “the Bailey” (Central Criminal Court, London) the following inscription on its facade: Punish the evildoer, and protect the children of the poor

I agree, but it may be that Reform has to succeed but then crash and burn before a social-national movement (of any type) can arise.

It will be recalled how warmly Starmer-stein welcomed Farage into the chamber of the House of Commons for the first time.

Russian forces continue to advance on all fronts.

Former MP, member of the House of Lords, Conservative Party member. Quarter-Indian. Scribbles for Daily Telegraph.

Who makes up stupid rules like that anyway? Small-minded people who think that the natural world is not connected with humanity. Glad that those BBC people broke the “rules” laid down.

I often break rules, and feel good about doing so.

…and cretins of that sort (Mark Field, Liz Truss etc) purport to have the right (and ability) to rule over us. Wall. Squad. End.

My question is whether Goodwin himself is going to be the candidate…

If so, the date of the by-election will soon be set, maybe even tomorrow.

The government says it wants to make significant savings on welfare payments to the disabled and help the disabled into work. The point, say all ministers – led Sir Keir Starmer – is not to harm the disabled, but to free them from a life of dependency. That, they claim, is why this is a truly “Labour” reform — and not just brutal cuts engineered by Rachel Reeves because she needs billions in savings so as not to breach arbitrary, self-imposed fiscal rules on the assessment date of 26 March. Is any of this plausible?

The first thing to say is the point of fiscal rules should be to help focus minds in government about how best to share scarce resources between different important resources. They should not set hard deadlines for making decisions with potentially profound consequences for the lives of millions of people.

We’ve already seen an example of the political dangers of trying to rush through changes to personal independence payments (PIP) and the health related elements of universal credit – because one element that was particularly upsetting to Labour MPs has already been dropped, namely a one year freeze on PIP payments.

But as my colleague Anushka Asthana has been exclusively disclosing for the last ten days, this was only one part of the welfare reform package. The other elements were to restrict entitlement to personal independence payments, while cutting the health-related universal credit payments and recycling those UC savings into an increase in the standard rate of UC. You can see in this the simple story and perhaps simplistic story about welfare payments to the disabled that the government believes and is trying to tell.

First, that hundreds of thousands of people receive cash to help with their living and mobility costs, but don’t “deserve” it.

Second, that the structure of UC payments provides too great an incentive to disabled people to sign themselves off work to get the health-related benefits top up.

Starmer will doubtless take comfort from the fact that – according to polling by the Good Growth Foundation – 60% believe the system provides too much support to people who don’t want to work and 39% think that it’s too easy for people to get benefits who don’t need them. But popular belief does not make it true. And before going further into the nitty gritty, it is worth doing a quick economic reality check. It is a fact that the proportion of British people in employment has fallen since Covid and, unlike many other rich economies, has not recovered to 2019 levels. But the proportion of British people who are working remains high by international standards. According to the OECD, in the third quarter of 2023 the UK ranked fifth in the world, with an employment rate of 74.9%, well ahead of the US for example, and behind only Iceland, the Netherlands, Japan and Germany

Even if it is a laudible ambition to encourage more people into work. The UK’s is not an economy whose failure is that too few people are working. The grotesque failure of the British economy is hardly a mystery.

It is that living standards for those in work have barely increased for more than 15 years and too many of those in work receive too little to pay even for food, energy and other essentials.

Pretty much every competitor country whose employment rate has recovered to pre-covid levels has higher productivity and higher wages than the UK. Which might tell you that Britain’s problem is not that its benefit system is skewiff but that it’s the labour market itself that is broken, that remunerated toil in Britain delivers inadequate incentives. And by the way, we don’t have a benefit system in the UK that is remotely generous or lavish by international standards.

Research published only last week by the National Institute for Economic and Social Research showed that we spend less on welfare as a share of GDP than the average for developed nations.

Also when it comes to the so-called replacement rate – what any unemployed person receives as a proportion of earnings from employment – only the unemployed in Australia and the US receive less.

Unemployment payments are significantly higher everywhere else in Europe, for example.

And another thing. As the Joseph Rowntree Foundation has shown, standard universal credit does not cover the costs of basics and essentials, for families or single people. “Ah ha!” you may exclaim, especially if you are the PM or chancellor. Surely this proves that there is a unhealthy incentive in the UC system for any claimant to prove that he or she has “limited capacity for work or work related activity” – to be diagnosed as unfit for work – so that their UC entitlements would go (for a single person) from £400 to £823, a month. But is an extra £106 a week the kind of incentive that would persuade a vulnerable person to permanently shut down their availability for work?

And if it were cut and partly offset by a rise in standard universal credit – which is what Starmer plans – would that persuade the vulnerable person to look for jobs?

That doesn’t feel compelling as an argument – especially in a world where most employers are reluctant to employ disabled people, let alone retain them on their books.

So another concern about the timing of these welfare changes is they come well before the findings of an equally important government review, that by former John Lewis boss Charlie Mayfield about how employers can be helped to retain and hire disabled people. Later this week he will publish his “discovery” document, about why employers struggle to keep in employment those who start to feel unwell, especially those suffering from mental ill-health. However Mayfield is still months away from recommendations.

In other words, it feels cart-before-horse to take cash from the disabled before a new support system is in place for employers to keep on their books those who are struggling.

As for the proposal to increase the threshold for those claiming the PIP, this will have an impact both on new claimants and those in receipt who are subject to review. How many disabled people could see their PIP payments reduced or withdrawn altogether?

Very large numbers indeed, according to the Resolution Foundation if it remains the Treasury’s aim to find net savings of up to £6bn by 2029-30. Louise Murphy of the Foundation estimates that more than 600,000 people, most on low incomes, would lose £675 a month on average.

Obviously this is all still hypothetical. Proper judgement awaits publication of the Liz Kendall’s policy paper tomorrow. But a change in entitlement on that magnitude will generate massive anxieties in those who both receive PIP and may need it in future.

None of this is to argue that any government should ignore the forecast that on current trends the cost of PIP is set to rise by £15bn by 2029 or that large numbers of especially young people are being excluded by disability from the world of work too young. It is to suggest that reforms that could reduce benefit bills in the long run will require large expenditure in the short term on mental health provision, skills, rewiring coaching and job search at the DWP, occupational health support for companies and so on.

A rational approach would see the costs of supporting the disabled rise in the short term. It would be an investment programme, not a cuts programme. With the supposedly all-important fiscal assessment looming, we’ll see if that’s what Starmer , Kendall and Reeves unveil. 2/2

[Robert Peston]

A long comment, but important.

For me, the answer to all this a a “basic income” system, whereby all citizens (note, citizens, not any African or Afghan or similar just off the boat) get some modest amount of income regardless of any factor such as contribution, need, or “deservedness”.

That would also save vast amounts by enabling the shutdown of 95% of the DWP bureaucracy.

Late music

[“Come with me, and I will show you where the Iron Crosses grow“]

Diary Blog, 8 February 2025

Morning music

[Neuschwanstein, 1900]

Saturday quiz

Damn. Political journalist John Rentoul beat me this week, the first time that has happened for months, maybe even years. He scored 7/10, but I scored one less, 6/10. I did not know the answers to questions 1, 3, 6, and 10.

Tweets seen

There is a constant attempt in the msm to downplay immigration as a social and political issue, as if it is some kind of side-issue or non-issue. Far from it. It impacts every other social and political issue, from housing and water supply to policing, law and order, educational standards, transport, pay, State benefits (including pensions)— you name it.

Indeed, the System still tries to pretend that immigration is beneficial, both socially and economically, despite the enormous weight of evidence to the contrary. The level of deception and, on the part of the System drones themselves, self-deception, is almost incredible.

So we in the UK still have “compulsory blacks” in pretty much every TV drama, “soap”, TV ad, panel discussion etc. “Blacks with Everything”, to adapt the name of the well-known play by Arnold Wesker. I wrote about it some 6 years ago on the blog. That despite the fact that actual blacks (Africans, West Indians/Afro-Caribbean) make up “only” about 5% or 6% of the whole UK population.

The propaganda is not aimed, primarily, at persons of my age (68) or indeed those in their 50s, 40s, or even 30s, but at “the young” and, especially, at children whose critical faculties are relatively or completely undeveloped.

The aim of that sort of propaganda is to normalize both the multikulti society and, even more so, inter-racial relationships, resulting in mixed-race children and, ultimately, in an entirely mixed-race society (except at the top level), as provided for by the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan and, at least impliedly, by the Protocols of Zion:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan

A lot of fuss (whichever side you are on) over one runway at one major airport. Meanwhile, the fake “green” agenda has shut down much-needed power stations, damaged the automotive industry, interferes in various ways in the lives of tens of millions of British people, and for what? Really, for what?

In the words of Fleet Street in the past, “you read it here first!”. This blog predicted that Starmer and his cabal, once in government, would [pretend to] “solve” the “small boats” invasion by simply approving, whether in France or elsewhere, the asylum applications of 95% of the invaders. Likewise the problems of accommodating the invaders in the UK.

The migrant-invaders are, increasingly, being given accommodation across the country in council houses, other social housing, and B%B accommodation paid for by local councils (local people, in other words) and by taxpayers generally. They are, thus, less visible than when all concentrated in hotels. They simply become part of “the UK’s housing crisis” almost all of which is, in reality, an immigration crisis.

Few young Ukrainians will volunteer. The press-gangs will then try to force recruitment, as with older age groups.

The Kiev regime is now very obviously faltering. Unless Zelensky scuttles to the USA or Israel, he is doomed.

“Mark Lewis Lawyer” and James Wilson

Refers to Wilson’s successful libel action against Jews called Mendelsohn, Newbon (deceased and, I think, only part-Jew) and Cantor, in which various Jews, including sacked part-time judge Simon Myerson of Leeds, gave evidence which the trial judge did not believe, and/or to which he gave no weight at all.

Lewis should be hauled before the Solicitors’ Regulation Authority and a Disciplinary Tribunal (again).

See also:

“Laughter, the best medicine”

More tweets

Good. Not that there is or was much real “meritocracy” anyway, especially in the UK…

A nice story

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025/feb/08/norfolk-couple-reunited-with-their-dog-stolen-seven-years-ago

“Norfolk couple reunited with their dog stolen seven years ago

Rita and Philip Potter ‘never gave up hope’ after their labrador Daisy was stolen by suspected backyard breeders

[Guardian]

For the Guardian newspaper, “travellers” seems to be the hardest word…(or words, as in “Irish tinkers”)

More tweets

Very true. Apart from which, and despite the flaws adherent to all empires, the British Empire was great and, overall, or on the whole, something positive.

You only have to look at any TV quiz show, such as The Chase, Mastermind, or even University Challenge, to see that most English/British people have no real sense of their own history.

For many, it comes down to a few simple or cartoon views of a mere handful of periods such as Industrial Revolution, Victorian era, Henry VIII/Elizabeth I/Spanish Armada, maybe the English Civil War, and of course WW2 (largely, the Battle of Britain air war) with a few other individuals and events standing out as historical stalagmites, and usually thought of as isolated cameos, akin to the Swiss legend of Wilhelm Tell having to shoot an apple off the head of his son.

Robin Hood, William the Conqueror and the Battle of Hastings, Drake, maybe Waterloo, and Churchill (as indomitable hero leader, not as the warmonger and hopeless strategist who destroyed —thanks to US and Soviet alliances— not only the German Reich, but his own British Empire and those of all other European powers.

No wonder that so many silly people, if asked their views of the current migration-invasion, reply along the lines of “we have always had immigration— Romans, Saxons, Vikings, Normans, Huguenots...” etc, as if the invasion of this country by non-Europeans, in the millions, indeed the tens of millions, is effectively the same!

I have occasionally wondered what motivates idiots such as Socialist Worker Party demonstrators. Time after time (over the past 50+ years— https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialist_Workers_Party_(UK)), the said idiots turn up in the cold rain, wave their placards, shout slogans or insults, and achieve exactly nothing. For half a century. According to Wikipedia, there are about 2,500 paid up members, but the average turnout seems to be about a dozen.

Still, to expect reason from the unreasonable is itself unreasonable.

The SWP was established, like its predecessor orgs, by a Jew called Gluckstein, who took on the protective camouflage of a British-sounding name— “Tony Cliff” [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tony_Cliff].

Quite a few MPs need to be put up against a [REDACTED] and [REDACTED]. As in all repressive societies, readers learn to read between the lines. We in the UK never had to do that in the past, not for the past 200 years, anyway.

Thus proving that about a third of the population are non-European and/or irredeemably stupid and/or outright enemies of the British people and a decent future for them.

If a third of the UK’s inhabitants were to disappear, the remaining two-thirds (if British/European) could have a decent life…

Brutal numbers for Kemi Badenoch in the polls tonight … Net approval: MINUS 15 Brave? MINUS 2 Decisive? MINUS 2 Competent? MINUS 2 Strong leader? MINUS 9 Gets things done? MINUS 10 Stands up for Britain? MINUS 7 Likeable? MINUS 10 Trustworthy? MINUS 13 Says what ppl think? MINUS 17 Looks like a PM? MINUS 22 In touch with ppl? MINUS 19 Shares my views? MINUS 19.”

Carpetbagger Kemi should scuttle back to the USA or Nigeria.

Acc. to my use of Electoral Calculus, that would translate into Labour 300 seats, Cons 119, Reform 113, LibDems 71 (Greens 4, SNP 12 etc). So a Labour minority government propped up by SNP/LibDem/PC votes.

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html

Still, with such a split, a point or two can make all the difference. One point less for Labour, one point more for Reform, and the picture looks very different: Lab 260, Reform 157, Cons 109, LibDems 71. The result would be a weaker Lab minority govt. even more reliant on LibDem (etc) support. Also, Reform rather than Cons as official Opposition.

Only 22% of Brits say they approve of Keir Starmer. Look at this chart. Opinium tonight.”

22%. About the same proportion of all eligible voters that voted Labour last year: in rough terms, 4 out of every 20 eligible to vote. (Cons 3 out of 20, Reform 2 out of every 20, LibDems 2 out of 20, Greens 1 out of 20; “non-voting”—8 out of every 20).

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