I firmly believe the UK is now hurtling toward a major political earthquake. Look at the numbers in the latest polling, compared to the general election last year.
Amid the worst cost-of-living crisis since the Second World War, soaring and uncontrolled immigration,…
[“I firmly believe the UK is now hurtling toward a major political earthquake. Look at the numbers in the latest polling, compared to the general election last year. Amid the worst cost-of-living crisis since the Second World War, soaring and uncontrolled immigration, deteriorating public services, a glaring lack of social integration, and a succession of scandals that have rocked the Labour government, from the rape gangs to Freebiegate, voters are now on the move. Compared to the 2024 general election, Keir Starmer and Labour are down more than 10-points on just 24%. Kemi Badenoch and the Tories are down 2-points on just 22%, showing no sign of recovery. And the Liberal Democrats are up 1-point, averaging just 13.6%. But now look at Reform. As we’ve been predicting and analysing in our newsletter for two years (showing why people are voting Reform and the areas where it is building strength), Reform is now up 11-points to 25%. And that’s not all. As I explain below, Reform is now hitting both the Tories but especially Labour in unique and powerful ways, looking set for a major breakthrough as it inherits the post-Brexit realignment.”]
Yes, but Reform can only be a transitional party, existing in the space between the existing System parties and a social nationalist movement which, as yet, does not exist.
The next big test will be the Runcorn and Helsby by-election. 9 days from today. Those voters could make history. Will they?
'Why on Earth are we even imposing these things on the British people… they aren't even effective at stopping crime.'@GoodwinMJ calls for the abolishment of non-crime hate incidents. pic.twitter.com/lkESRBBp5S
“We” are not imposing anything. It has been imposed on us by the System parties, and mainly at the behest of the Jewish/Zionist/Israel lobby…but don’t expect Goodwin to say anything about that…
I find it odd that UK authorities are throwing people into jail for voicing anti-immigration views on social media while seemingly not doing anything at all about trans extremists holding signs calling for the murder of women.
— Richard Nixon Foundation (@nixonfoundation) April 21, 2025
Labour has confirmed it will meet our demand to release data on migrant crime. But it’s not enough —we want to see ALL data on crime by immigration status and nationality https://t.co/liUeIhMiRYpic.twitter.com/DV1EdcLCs0
[“The Ukrainian authorities simply stole, pumped money out of the territories and took it abroad” According to Vladimir Putin, this is where the Kyiv regime’s desire to cooperate with sponsors came from. He noted that the Kiev regime continues to steal money from the Ukrainian people, we are talking about billion-dollar accounts that are located abroad. And Western weapons supplied to Ukraine constantly end up on the black market.“]
Ukraine's gas storage facilities have almost completely run out of usable gas pic.twitter.com/Gm6YAqJthA
If the Kiev regime does not come to terms shortly, then the war will continue until unconditional surrender, or worse.
US State Department spokeswoman to Fox News: China doubled down on its response instead of rushing to make a deal on tariffs pic.twitter.com/SeBPXs4zEr
„Hi everyone, I’ll be offline for a while due to important medical checkups. The situation is serious, but I’m working on coming back stronger. Thanks for your support and understanding!“ Keep me in your thoughts! pic.twitter.com/hDYDCV1pis
In rough terms, at the 2024 General Election, Reform scored about 2 votes out of every 12 cast. Labour got 4 out of every 12, the Con Party 3 out of every 12. In fact, 8 out of every 20 eligible did not even vote, so Labour was endorsed by only 4 out of 20.
About half of those Labour votes were cast by people who now realize that Starmer-stein lied to them about almost everything. That is why Labour (supported mainly by non-white voters) is now around the same level as Reform UK.
The unfair FPTP electoral system gives the false impression that only a tiny fringe supported Reform at GE 2024; in fact it was over 14%, and the Conservative Party, with all its money and history (and in government until the General Election) only scored 23%.
Opinion | Nigel Farage's bubble could be about to burst
We should all take a deep breath before we accept that Farage will be picking out new curtains in Downing Street after the next general election
Widespread and angry political dissent is not going to go away even if Reform does. Popular discontent will simply find another channel to flow down. Another party, or a new movement of some kind, perhaps a social-national movement which goes beyond being simply a political party.
Man who spent years tracing everything he doesn’t like to “misinformation” & “disinformation” is now upset the state is releasing information on a subject he’d rather we ignorehttps://t.co/Dj8zZv5NvC
What’s wrong with the other 53%? Actually, the “53%” is nearer to 33% or even lower, because at least 20% of the whole population is now non-European and their votes should not be taken into account in such a poll.
A good majority of white (i.e. British) people are now firmly hostile to immigration.
The US is set to propose Europe recognize Crimea as Russian when officials meet in London on April 23 for talks on a peaceful settlement of the conflict in Ukraine, The Washington Post reported, citing sources:https://t.co/zHIIq4el31pic.twitter.com/LOuJDEvtRo
The Kremlin is unaware about the content of US President Donald Trump's plan for a Ukrainian settlement, Dmitry Peskov told the Izvestia newspaper:https://t.co/56xXuux9JKpic.twitter.com/HWDvZnEaMe
Really? If so, the SVR is not doing its job very well…
Late music
[Great Patriotic War memorial, Panfilov Park, Almaty, Kazakhstan. In the Autumn and Winter of 1996, and the Spring of 1997, I lived on Prospekt Lenina, about 10 minutes’ walk from there (I moved to another address later). A striking example of public statuary]
I was just looking yesterday, as I drove through, at the shopping area in the town very close to where I live. An affluent small town in coastal Southern England.
The big chains are mostly still there (Boots, Costa Coffee, Greggs, Holland & Barrett, M&S food hall, Waitrose etc), but the small independent shops have, many of them, closed up and disappeared. Why? Well, as I predicted at the time would happen, the sinister yet farcically-stupid “Covid” “rules”, “laws”, restrictions etc, so unnecessary (and utterly ridiculous), killed off those small businesses (despite furlough payments etc), and the knock-on effects of a poorer population also drove those shops to the wall over the past few years.
Examples? Well, the small barber-shop I once used, run by an old retired merchant seaman and his wife, which also employed a few local ladies, is no more. The old man died (nothing to do with the scamdemic/panicdemic, by the way), and his wife decided that she preferred to shut up shop. However, that was 2-3 years ago. The shop remains empty, as are those on either side (formerly a computer and office supplies place, and a junk shop).
A couple of new barber-shops have opened in the nearby High Street, true, but those are staffed by non-Brits (either Turkish or Kurdish).
I noticed, yesterday, that several small cafes are now closed, as is what had been a Cornish pasty shop. Some independent clothes shops too.
I went to the local Waitrose for the first time in months, mainly because I had £50 in gift tokens, and found that it has further declined since last summer. Not as many customers as there used to be at a similar time of day. Still, I bought 6 or 7 jars of red caviar, so that must have helped them.
More seriously, it is clear that people in the UK have been made much poorer not only because of the “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic and its knock-on effects, but also because pay —not only recently but over the past few decades— has not kept pace with inflation, and particularly inflation in that most basic of needs— shelter, or housing.
Now “Rachel from Accounts” Reeves is sucking money out of the economy, and particularly out of the retail sector. The result will be further economic decline.
A measure of Basic Income must be the way forward.
Angela Rayner has a disabled child. Did she claim benefits to help with his living costs? Does she think he should be denied benefits now? https://t.co/WsSRWZvicq
That reminds me of the hypocritical part-Jew, David Cameron-Levita, who despite inherited tens of millions, went all-out to claim disability benefits and Carer’s Benefit for his sick and disabled child, but later —via Iain Dunce Duncan Smith and the Jew “lord” Freud— took away the same monies from poor people who really needed the cash.
I truly hate Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Angela Rayner, David Lammy, Liz Kendal.
They are the scum of the earth and traitors to the British people.
Well, hello everyone! Yes, it is really me. I am back! As a great number of you had noticed, I have been missing online for almost two months now. I disappeared almost as soon as the trial for the Southport Massacre ended.
[“Where did you go, Charlie? Well, hello everyone! Yes, it is really me. I am back! As a great number of you had noticed, I have been missing online for almost two months now. I disappeared almost as soon as the trial for the Southport Massacre ended. Public opinion and concern has been split as to why I went missing; between those who thought I had a breakdown after covering the massacre, and those who thought I had caved to government pressure to stop reporting upon the cover-up. Neither of these, thanks to the strength of public feeling and the support of my colleagues, is true. What really happened? Three days after the trial ended, my X/Twitter account was hacked. My profile remained intact; live but inactive. Except for one thing…My viral timeline of the Southport massacre had been unpinned and DELETED. This timeline had been collated on the day of Axel Rudakubana’s sentencing, and detailed exactly what had taken place on that dreadful summer’s day in Southport. It exposed how the UK Government had failed time and time again to prevent this monster from moving about with freedom, and what they and other authorities had done to cover-up their incompetence, and the devastating consequences of their political agenda. This timeline had been see by 50 million people within 3 days – and was recognised as one of the most authoritative records of the Southport massacre. But, just as my account was gaining momentum, and I had the platform to explore the depth of the corruption in this case – including the anti-white sentiment of Rudakubana being glossed over by the Establishment and mainstream media – this detailed timeline of evidence was deleted, and I was locked out the account until this morning. (More on this to follow.) I do not know who did this to me, or what caused X to withhold my account from me for almost two months. But there is one thing of which I am certain: Whoever did this did not want the hideous truth about the Southport Massacre in the public domain…“]
Maybe GCHQ, maybe 77 Brigade, maybe some other actor.
While looking into the cover-up in the Axel Rudakubana case, @astor_charlie was hacked and locked out of X for MONTHS. She's finally back today – and here is the shocking truth she uncovered.
Last week, I also joined @LukexDaniel and @Con_Tomlinson over at @CourageMedia___ to discuss some current affairs, including the new OFSTED Chief, the US deportation debacle, and cultural desecration of the Bard by the custodians of his legacy. https://t.co/L5XzWIKQPf
NEW. The British people are not just giving up on the Labour government –they're giving up on everybody. Thoughts on the Spring Statement and the mood out there in the country https://t.co/KRAVNW68RI
That is good, because eventually the people will seize at the most radical alternative potential salvation— social nationalism.
Why are we slashing billions in welfare for British people and pensioners while wasting billions on foreigners who break our laws?https://t.co/KaihWoYU3i
Channel One's war reporter Anna Prokofyeva was killed while performing her professional duty in the Belgorod Region, while cameraman Dmitry Volkov, who accompanied her, was injured, the channel said:https://t.co/OwDJa3GHFlpic.twitter.com/dzuNaZFuGf
At least 37 Palestinians were killed in the Gaza Strip over the past 24 hours, the Qatar-based Al Jazeera television reported citing Gaza’s mass media department:https://t.co/aHBdsMoKVTpic.twitter.com/lkSgVemjZa
That’s a good question. The SRA seems to be very reluctant to confirm anything. My next S-stack piece will be about the SRA’s various irrational decisions. I’m also going to publish some of Lewis’ emails to the SRA. It’s wild stuff!
Lewis will have to scuttle back to Israel if he wants to avoid being sued by his own former (?) clients and/or his own colleagues, I think…
11 days now. You’d think that where there is evidence that lawyers might present a risk to the administration of justice, their regulators might think:
Those tweets from James Wilson, successful claimant in the libel case Wilson v. Mendelsohn, Newbon (deceased), and Cantor, refer to the dishonest and negligent conduct of some (and it seems all, from what Wilson is saying) of the Jewish lawyers instructed by the unsuccessful defendants in the matter (one of whom, a vicious social media troll and Zionist, committed suicide before the case finished).
This must be the death of the Labour Party as anything even notionally “socialist” or even “social-democratic”. It goes way beyond anything done by Blair and Brown, or even Cameron-Levita’s “Conservative” regime during 2010-2015.
Why would anyone, especially anyone English/British, vote Labour-label now?
The by-election at Runcorn and Helsby now takes on an importance few would have expected. It is or was the 16th-“safest” Labour seat. Now, Reform has a good chance of winning it, according to opinion polls, bookmakers etc. I would go further: Reform has at least a pretty good chance of smashing the by-election, and thus humiliating both Lab and Con.
At the 2024 General Election, Labour got over 50% of the vote. We are now in a different political world. Reform came second last year, ahead of the Conservative Party.
The by-election is between Reform and fake Labour. The Cons have no chance, and their former voters, if they want to bin Labour, should vote Reform, even if only tactically. That is, surely, obvious.
I blogged about the by-election in more detail yesterday:
“The European Union is pushing for every household in the 27-nation bloc to have a three-day survival kit ready in case of war or natural disasters.
EU crisis management commissioner Hadja Lahbib said the proposals will be formally presented today as part of a broader ‘preparedness strategy’.
Brussels is hoping to ensure every citizen is equipped for 72 hours of self-sufficiency amid the growing threat of continental conflict breaking out.
EU citizens will be told to stock up on a dozen key items, including matches, ID documents in a waterproof punch, bottled water, energy bars and a flashlight, as part of their ‘resilience’ kit.
European leaders have said the invasion of Ukraine could soon break out into a ‘global’ war.”
[Daily Mail]
So what do the unfortunate people of the EU states and UK do once the 72 hours have passed, and the 3-days’ supplies have run out? Kill themselves? Kill the System politicians? (Hey, now… wait a minute…).
More tweets
The sanctions pressure on Russia has intensified in recent years, though the country’s economy continues to grow, Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin said addressing the State Duma with a report:https://t.co/RVTXaV6ufXpic.twitter.com/2Q8iSBWzAa
Russian forces struck Ukrainian military airfields, an equipment repair plant and UAV assembly workshops over the past day in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/gKvuBNWAchpic.twitter.com/ZYD2klUHm8
— Mark Hazard 🏴 🇬🇧 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 🇺🇳🦖🐉 (@MarkHazard2020) March 26, 2025
There are two ridiculous shibboleths around politico-economic discussion in the msm of the UK. The first is taking seriously the absurd “Office for Budget Responsibility” or “OBR”, which is wrong most of the time. The second is the phrase “the markets”, as in “the markets will not accept this, that, or the other“.
— Betrayed by @ukLabour, #Excluded by @Conservatives (@ChrisPDuck) March 26, 2025
Only 11% of Brits think Rachel Reeves is doing a 'good job'. Only 16% think Labour is managing the economy 'well'. And only 14% feel 'better off' under Labour
While the elite class spits feathers about cuts to foreign aid, the vast majority of Brits support them & think we should cut further. We are sending £13 BILLION overseas while stripping welfare, winter payments and public services from the British people. Makes no sense.
Dmitry Medvedev was briefed on the development of laser weapons.
According to the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council, the Ukrainian armed forces are actively using drones to attack civilian infrastructure in Russia. pic.twitter.com/6PVZuhd8b4
[Philby on a 5-kopeck late-Soviet commemorative postage stamp, and described as “Soviet Razvedchik“, a term which might be translated as “intelligencer”, rather than the grubbier-sounding “spy” (in Russian, “shpion”); “razvedchik” is a more polite or dignified term]
“Secret surveillance of Britain’s notorious double agent, Kim Philby, made public for the first time in archived documents, reveals how keenly the Security Service wanted to confirm or disprove early suspicions of his high-level treachery.
In daily bulletins submitted to MI5 in November 1951, undercover operatives describe how Philby, codenamed Peach, moved about London.
They said he gave “no outward sign of being either nervous or on the alert, but your well trained man should not do so; every movement is natural – again as it should be”
[Guardian]
The whole Philby thing has always been hugely overblown. Philby himself has been over-rated, too. Superficially well-educated, yes, but really a rather dogmatic Marxist-Leninist who, under other formative circumstances, might have been like some of the other basically mediocre professional-level bourgeois Englishmen I have met in my life, and who were not in secret-intelligence work but, variously, Roman Catholic converts, and/or military officers or barristers or other activity.
Philby was certainly no great mind, though he evidently thought himself very clever. Likewise, he was a bit of a plodder ideologically.
I recall that Philby wrote in his supposed memoirs (possibly part-ghosted by KGB helpers), My Silent War, or elsewhere, that “you choose your side and stick with it“, i.e. rather as others do to the Labour or Conservative parties, or to (the contemporary British obsession) football clubs. Unthinking loyalty. Stick-in-the-mud loyalty.
The puffing of Philby as the “masterspy”, or even “spymaster”, suited both sides in the Cold War: the Soviet side getting the gloss of having not only suborned Philby and other “Establishment” Englishmen to the Marxist/Soviet cause, but also having outplayed Western intelligence agencies in the spy game.
As for the British part of the Western side, Philby’s prominence could be presented as an example of why pervasive “security” (and the whole Cold War stance) was necessary. Also, his supposed “brilliance” in a way bolstered the reputation of institutions such as the more expensive English schools (Philby was at Westminster School) and, of course, the supposedly elite universities, in particular Cambridge.
The whole “Cambridge spies” story tends to puff the reputation of SIS and MI5 (despite their having been outplayed) by making their role seem terribly important. One scribbler even penned a well-known book called Philby— The Spy Who Betrayed A Generation, as if the Cambridge Spies were pretty much the centrepiece of British history since the 1930s, rather than an obscure footnote to it.
In the 1930s (when Philby started to work for Soviet organizations), there was (in the first half of the decade) the Great Depression, and the initial triumph of National Socialism in Germany. In the middle of the 1930s to 1939, the Spanish Civil War, while in Britain itself, the economy was recovering and society changing .
Then, in the early/mid 1940s, there was the titanic Second World War (in the Soviet Union, the Great Patriotic War).
In Britain, after 1945, there were the great social changes of the 1950s and 1960s. By that time, the “Cambridge Spies” were mostly not even in the UK. Maclean and Burgess had fled in 1951, and Philby was in journalistic exile in the Middle East. The economic and social changes in the UK were the main events, together with the start of the disastrous migration-invasion of non-whites into the UK, and Britain’s retreat from Empire.
The “Cambridge Spies” were not even footnotes to much of that. Near-irrelevant, despite the obsessions of the Westminster Bubblers and newspaper scribblers.
What damaged Britain in the 1940s through to the 1960s, and then on to today, was not a few spies passing on information to the Soviet Union, but the abandonment of Empire, the importation of blacks and browns in vast numbers, the cultural decadence etc.
You often see Philby and his fellow Cambridge spies described as “upper-class” or even “aristocratic”. In fact, not one was of “aristocratic” background, though all (except Cairncross) were affluent or wealthy. Philby’s own father was from an affluent government-connected family [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St_John_Philby] but a fact generally ignored or covered-up is that Philby’s mother, Dora, was half-Indian, a so-called “chi-chi” (pron. “shi-shi”), which may have subtly affected his loyalties.
General Kalugin, in his memoirs, describes how his superiors had the idea of using Philby, then in Moscow, as a kind of lure for potential agents in the West, by showing that he was respected, had a good life etc. His first meeting with the shambling drunken Philby makes a memorable picture.
Incidentally, Philby never learned to speak or read Russian beyond a rudimentary level, and had English-language books supplied to him via the KGB (presumably via people at the London embassy, and the diplomatic bag).
In the early 1990s, sometime around 1994, I was slightly acquainted with a Russian businessman living in London, and with an office in Regent Street, who had some legal business (I was a barrister at the time). We had lunch at least once at my Inn (of Court), Lincoln’s Inn. I recall that the Spanish waitress was very taken with “Ed” [Edvard] and his rather Scandinavian looks (he was from the Baltic regions) and even asked me later if I might effect an introduction for her (that never happened).
“Ed” was quite open about the fact that, prior to his taking to capitalist business activity, he had been in the KGB, though that would only have been, at a guess, for a relatively few years. He recalled having been at a lecture or two given by Philby in Moscow (he said that that had been at the Lubyanka).
Incidentally, those comments in the Guardian from the MI5 surveillance directorate in 1951 do tend to beg the question; after all, if a surveillance target is acting naturally, then either he is not guilty, or is literally acting (and/or has been trained to act) naturally, so in fact may be guilty. If, though, the target looks nervous, looks for reflections in shop windows etc, does that mean that he is guilty, or is he just a nervous wreck and/or afraid of being thought guilty? Wilderness of mirrors.
Tweets seen
This is getting obscene now. How do you give people greater dignity by removing their ability to wash below the waist and get in and out of the shower. https://t.co/Htcx53yS2A
The sheer hypocrisy of the Labour Friends of Israel “Labour” government is simply unbelievable. Surely Liz Kendall, Rachel Reeves, Torsten Bell, Starmer-stein etc can see that? Or are they so removed from truth and decency that they cannot see it? That might be even more alarming.
A new MP for Runcorn? Bring on Reform, say disillusioned voters | Reform UK | The Guardian https://t.co/EgBKUoNgaE
I should imagine that even Labour-inclined voters will be voting Reform UK (or staying home) at the Runcorn and Helsby by-election, in order to send a message (and/or a kick) to this horrifyingly callous and irredeemably incompetent misgovernment.
As to Conservative Party loyalists in the area, I should say that the Cons have no chance— so vote Reform in order to stick it to fake Labour.
From “tepid bath of managed decline” (really offensive) to blood bath. On top of 30,000 NHS England jobs. We are the party of work, it’s in our name, says Starmer! I don’t think you are. What a disgrace and totally counterproductive in an already struggling economy. https://t.co/HNL1ZdmhUP
“Given that there is a lot of talk about changes to special educational needs provision and reform plans for the NHS, we should worry about what the government might focus on next. Equally alarming, it seems to me, is a belief in Downing Street that reviving the UK demands embracing the wonders of artificial intelligence, which Keir Starmer believes will have an almost magical effect on everything from social work to education, and realise his new dream of “totally rewiring government”. Because this is an administration so lacking in everyday humanity, that is a much more scary prospect than he and his colleagues seem to realise.“
[John Harris in The Guardian]
I should not be surprised to find (if I am still around) that, somewhere down the line, in 5+ years’ time, the members of the present Cabinet will find themselves up against a wall.
A super piece. I simply don't take Kemi Badenoch seriously. She will never be Prime Minister. I rate her 1/10. Keir Starmer, who I rate 3/10, surely can't believe his luck. Even so, tangentially, I increasingly wonder how much longer Starmer is PM? He'll be gone well before 2029.
Russia and the US have a long way to go to resolve the situation in Ukraine, and there is no point in deceiving ourselves about imminent prospects, said Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov pic.twitter.com/SmBOg59npJ
Sumy Oblast or region is in NE Ukraine. Sumy city is NNW of Kharkov; about 150 miles from Kharkov by road but only about 90 miles as the crow flies. About 200 miles east of Kiev.
So Russian forces are in Sumy Oblast now. There seem to be Russian advances in all material parts of the overall front. Kiev-regime forces are falling back.
I don't think people properly understand the extent to which Labour is now the party of the rich. In 1997 the Tories led Labour by 10 points amongst the most affluent AB social class. But Labour led the Tories by 23 points amongst C2s, and 38 points amongst DEs. In 2024 Labour…
Why do many think it impossible that “the lion will lie down with the lamb” in a future age? All things are possible.
Talking point
More tweets
Instead of addressing the root causes of the Ukrainian conflict, Europe is only exacerbating them by increasing military spending and considering the deployment of its troops in Ukraine, Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said:https://t.co/g3iz7sEnq1pic.twitter.com/JlZGOa4D4b
See previous blog posts for more, using the search box.
See also:
If you want the full story about Beth Grossman of Doughty Street, Mark Lewis of Patron Law, and Daniel Berke of 3D Solicitors, here it is:https://t.co/02BP64b6sl
I think it was Daniel Berke’s firm 3D Solicitors who acted for Pete Newbon in relation to Northumbria. Maybe it was them who advised him not to make the agreed apology?
As to why they gave that advice, my theory is that the plan was to sue Michael Rosen and making the apology…
For those who are unaware of the outline of James Wilson’s (now-successful) libel case against three defendants (all Jews; in one case, possibly only a part-Jew), the defendants were advised and/or represented by Jewish solicitors and barristers who seem to have been, all or variously, professionally negligent and/or incompetent.
Mark Lewis and Daniel Berke were the main solicitors for the defendants, Beth Grossman of Doughty Street Chambers was the barrister (possibly the only barrister; I do not know, and only heard of her recently, via Wilson’s Twitter/X account and Substack blog).
Are people reading your Substack blogs?
— Michael Rosen 💙💙🎓🎓 NICE 爷爷 (@MichaelRosenYes) March 21, 2025
I get about 900 views per piece on average. And the daily visits keep going up so far.
I definitely have some very committed readers in the legal field.
I expect they know Mark Lewis professionally and are keen to see his antics finally exposed?
“Lewis’s reputation“? Ha ha! Only ignorant fools think that that is worth more than a plugged nickel. I have blogged many times about him, over many years; he has never once threatened to sue me (no doubt partly by reason of my impecuniosity, but truth as defence –or other defences— may also have much to do with it).
Feel free to republish any of my blog posts. After all, I was a barrister until a pack of Jews procured my wrongful and, it turned out later, actually unlawful disbarment (in 2016): see
Success and failure are never certain. The great Stephen Sedley tells a funny story about when he started as a barrister doing work for North Kensington Law Centre. pic.twitter.com/TC4nydR6P6
Ha. Amusing. As a matter of fact, I myself appeared as Counsel in the High Court several times before Sedley, a High Court judge at the time (early 1990s), notably in a case involving a former member of the Angolan Secret Service.
I doubt that there are many barristers who have never suffered excruciating embarrassment in open court. For example…
“Plans to give staff the right to ignore bosses’ messages outside of working hours are set to be dropped by the government this week.
The proposal to grant workers a ‘right to switch off’ formed a central part of Sir Keir Starmer‘s manifesto vow to establish a ‘new deal for working people’.
But the policy will be scrapped to reduce the impact on businesses that are preparing for tax increases starting next month as a result of Rachel Reeves’s Budget last autumn.
Labour had vowed to copy countries such as Belgium, Ireland, and France which allow workers to avoid emails, texts and phone calls received out of hours, without fear of reprisals.
They wanted to introduce the policy following the surge in home-working to prevent Brits’ homes becoming ’24/7 offices’.
However, on Tuesday ministers will confirm that the policy has been dropped from the Employment Rights Bill when they table a series of amendments.“
[Daily Mail]
So one of the very few Labour pre-General Election 2024 “pledges” that might actually have helped British people has now been scrapped.
Meanwhile, stupid Starmer is throwing billions of taxpayer money at both “Ukraine” (the Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev) and the continuing migration-invasion of the UK.
[“No, wait! I voted Labour in 2024!“]
A “lost” book review or two found
Round about 2010-2011, some Jews, and one in particular, pressured Amazon or its employees to remove my book reviews. At the time, I was a voted-for “top reviewer” (I think, “top 40”, or maybe 50). The Jew (an “IT” worker, whose name and location — now in Ra’anana, Israel— I know) managed to get me barred from reviewing on both Amazon UK and Amazon USA (so much for American “free speech”).
All my reviews, about 700, were removed. Incidentally, 90% of them did not mention Jews, Zionism, or Israel, or indeed the “holocaust” farrago.
However, some were backed-up elsewhere. I have just found some. Here are a couple:
“One picture is worth a thousand words, in the well-worn phrase. For me, one personal account is worth any number of accounts written by people decades later and purporting to be “true stories”. The same goes for histories of a time in which the historian has not lived. This is why history is a moveable feast.
In this book, the author (at time of publication still living prosperously in Switzerland) is a Jewish teenage boy whose parents had emigrated from the Ukraine after the Revolution. His father started a mineral water plant in Berlin. With the coming of Hitler,the NSDAP and the Third Reich, trading and living conditions became gradually more difficult for Jews in the Reich, though most remained.
The book (in an Afterword) gives statistics about Jewish emigration from Germany in the 1930s, which show that in the early and mid 1930s the exodus was in the region of, initially, a few tens of thousands per year, that despite the fact that the Reich government encouraged Jews to emigrate (but required most of their property or gains to be left behind).
The author was, in 1941, in a countryside “camp” (actually, in a normal building) run by a Jewish organization under supervision of the Reich authorities. The “camp” was in fact composed of young Jewish persons who were expected to do a bit of grasscutting, treefelling etc. He was not under guard and in fact wandered around the country observing this and that. Though once arrested, he spent only one night in custody before being sent back to his temporary home.
The author wanted to be a graphic designer and in fact even in 1941 had been enrolled in an art school reserved for Jews in Berlin.
The above facts seem unremarkable, yet one has to remember that, today, most people in the UK, USA etc, if they think about the point at all, would think that either when Hitler took power (1933) or at least when war broke out ((1939) such a person would be hunted down and placed in a real camp; but no! Here we are in 1941 and the author himself,a Jew and, it seems, a Zionist, at that, tells a different and to my mind wholly credible story.
However, the situation of the author became much worse in 1942. His father was arrested, it seems for something to do with black market butter. There were plans afoot for Jews to be deported to the East: Britain and France, among other countries (Switzerland, USA) had been unwilling to accept the bulk of Jewish deportees from the Reich throughout the 1930s and the idea of sending the Jewish population to either Palestine or Madagascar had been blocked by the colonial powers (the British Empire and France). The book tells of how the initial mustering of the Jewish population in Berlin was done without guards, without Gestapo, without SS, by Jewish officials appointed by the Jewish/Zionist authorities.
The author lived for a while as an “exempted” worker in a factory but then decided he had to take the plunge and live illegally. He was helped by his facility in forging passes and letters and by the fact that he did not look particularly Semitic. He even went beyond survival and started to forge documents for an anti-Hitler group which included some well-connected persons who were part-Jews allowed to live relatively unmolested in large villas around the capital and elsewhere.
Finally, in 1943, the author made his bid for freedom, using his non-Jewish looks, forged passes and other documents and a bicycle (Jews were, at least notionally, forbidden to own them) to get to that part of Germany which abuts Switzerland. He escaped across a stream and was, after a couple of days, given not only asylum but a grant on which he might lived while studying.
The author makes no claims to sainthood and indeed few to victimhood, but just tells his own story honestly (I think) and clearly.
Well worth reading.“
[Title of book reviewed now unknown to me]
Another book review
“Anarchism is a very wide church, ranging from the philosophic and spiritual to the downright criminal. The high-minded anarchism comes largely from (Prince) Kropotkin, whose 19th Century opposition to Tsarism resulted in exile in London (he was a Governor of the Bromley Girls’ High School, still a leading fee-paying college) and in several books, of which Fields Factories and Workshops Tomorrow, and Mutual Aid, are the best known (he opposed social Darwinism by preferring social symbiosis, having observed the latter in the animal and plant worlds). The more criminal stream came from almost mindlessly angry bombers like Bakunin. I have to say that while Christie shows elements of both in his psychology, he is nearer to the latter, as he implies in this book.
Christie details his attempt, as a young fool (which I think he would admit!) to kill Franco in 1964, smuggling explosives in his kilt from France. Carry On Up The Caudillo! In the end the efficient Spanish security service obviously had a traitor in the anarchist ranks; Christie was arrested and could have been garrotted under the cruel Spanish death penalty regime of the time. In the end he was sentenced to 12 years and spent about three years in custody. I was interested to see that (comparing his account with those of people in British prisons of the time) he was in fact treated better under the Fascist “regime” (government) than he would have been in the UK. I was also interested to read how he realized in prison that people of a very different political stamp (ex-SS, OAS members etc) were people whom he could like and respect.
What I like about Christie is his honesty. It is palpable. And I think that overall he is a decent person. I liked his distaste for bullfighting. He could not understand how his anarchistic “comrades” in prison enjoyed it. He is blind to obvious racial-cultural differences in the world. His faults? Well, naivety, firstly. Even in the 1970’s, he seems to have believed that the population of the UK were thirsting for a revolutionary change, whereas in fact they all (well, mostly) either voted for stodgy Labourism or for Mrs Thatcher! I used to occasionally read his Black Flag newspaper circa 1976 and must have been one of a very small reading public for him! He seems to have been (and is still in this book) obsessed with the supposed evils of Franco, but ignores a few facts: the Republicans in the Civil War (Communists and Anarchists etc) killed, tortured and raped to a far worse extent than Franco’s Nationalists; after the Civil War ended in 1939, Franco erected a monument to ALL the fallen; Franco released most of the imprisoned enemies after a few years (Christie admits this aspect); Franco managed to keep Spain out of WW2 (though a Fascist, he was half-Jewish and more or less stabbed his benefactor, Hitler, in the back by failing to join with the Axis. And had Christie (even in post-WW2 Red Clydeside) never heard of Stalin and the Soviet labour camps etc?
Christie strikes me as a kind of fairly simple-minded fellow, who in Cromwellian days would have been a Leveller or something similar. Under other circumstances one could even see him as, perhaps, a Jehovah’s Witness or the like.
Incidentally, both Wikipedia, and Christie’s Guardian obit, say that he was sentenced to 20 years in Spain (Wikipedia probably simply copying the newspaper version). I am pretty sure it was 12, not 20. Still, no matter now. Franco released him after about 3 years, after Christie’s mother wrote to Franco requesting clemency.
I occasionally read Christie’s newspaper, Black Flag, among many and various other journals, when I was a 19-y-o living in London in 1976.
Despite Christie’s pitifully-poor level of socio-political understanding, his was a name with which to conjure in 1976. I recall meeting a small group of anarchists, 3 or 4, in a pub in Maidenhead (no less!) that year, and his name was uttered by them with a mixture of awe and slight trepidation (because he was thought to attract the attention of the police).
Ha ha! Julia Hartley-Brewer is a complete idiot politically and, I suspect, generally. An ignorant radio loudmouth.
I always thought Boris Johnson’s am-dram portrayal of “Churchill reborn” ludicrous, and referred to it on the blog as, in the sense of Marx’s famous dictum (from The Eighteenth Brumaire of Louis Napoleon), “First time tragedy, second time farce“, but STARMER?! Ha ha!
Were I to say what I think should happen to Starmer and his cabal, I expect I should have the toytown police and poundland Stasi at my door (again), and that is just too boring, so I shall let my dear readers read between the lines, as happens in every police state.
EXCLUSIVE: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth last week ordered U.S. Cyber Command to stand down from all planning against Russia, including offensive digital actions.https://t.co/fsFQzOt17y
Good news, making a Russia-USA nuclear war less likely.
Talking point
“Owners of capital will stimulate the working class to buy more and more of expensive goods, houses and mechanical products, pushing them to take more and more expensive credits, until their debt becomes unbearable. The unpaid debt will lead to bankruptcy of banks, which will have to be nationalised and the State will have to take the road which will eventually lead to communism.”
[Marx, Capital/Das Kapital]
[Karl Marx memorial, Highgate Cemetery, London]
Talking point
“We will not give up that without which Life is not worth living” [Hitler]
Stray thought
The “Stavka” (Russian High Command) must now not only redouble its present attritional efforts in Eastern Ukraine, presently already achieving a gradual and steady advance, but formulate a plan to break through to, first, Kharkov, then Kiev. Tanks and drones, in huge numbers. 2025 and 2026.
More tweets seen
Wolves are benevolent leaders. Wolves are supportive leaders. Wolves are altruistic leaders.
— Wolf Conservation Center 🐺 (@nywolforg) March 1, 2025
Wolves are remarkable creatures in many ways. If attacked, they kill their badly-wounded comrades so that they cannot fall alive into the hands of cruel enemies.
Certainly puts the posturing of NWO/ZOG puppets such as Macron and Starmer in perspective.
The UK has, officially, about 70,000 men (and women, who are about 10% of the whole) in its army, but only about 5,000-10,000 truly ready to be deployed anywhere where they (may) have to fight. Germany is little better off, if at all. France has, officially, about 118,000 soldiers but only a minority are fighting troops (including the Foreign Legion).
Even if UK, France, Germany were to deploy a total of, say, 50,000 to Ukraine, that would only slow, not stop, Russian advances, would eventually kill most of the troops so deployed, and might lead to an actual war between Russia and western Europe, which Russia could not lose, were it to go nuclear (and with the USA standing back from the fight).
Zelensky damaged himself severely in the eyes of the public. Just a fact. https://t.co/g7wd9WzJh9
Incredible that 47% of the American public still “trust” Zelensky! In the UK? Don’t know, but the TV and Press coverage, (((you-know-who))), is unremittingly pro-Zel, so that is a major factor.
Moscow and Washington have admitted at talks in Riyadh that they cannot think the same on all issues on the global agenda, but both sides are obliged to prevent war, Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Krasnaya Zvezda:https://t.co/IUxtjUEsmapic.twitter.com/jNjFe7kV8e
[“Moscow and Washington have admitted at talks in Riyadh that they cannot think the same on all issues on the global agenda, but both sides are obliged to prevent war, Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with Krasnaya Zvezda: https://vk.cc/cJejhY” — TASS. Note; Krasnaya Zvezda (Red Star) is the journal of the Russian armed forces]
Those tweets are about the negligent and also dishonest conduct of the Israel-based (but also with foothold in London) solicitor, Mark Lewis.
Wilson was the successful claimant in the 2024 libel trial of Wilson v. Mendelsohn, Newbon (deceased), and Cantor. Newbon, an unpleasant social media troll, killed himself during the litigation, while Cantor will probably now lose his family home by reason of the negligence and dishonesty of “Mark Lewis Lawyer”.
I wonder whether Lewis has scuttled away (again) to Israel, no doubt complaining (again) about British “antisemitism”…
I am still seeing a few drunken Westminster Bubblers tweeting about how the only “solution” is for “Ukraine” (Kiev-regime Ukraine) to “be in NATO“.
Utterly asinine. Ukraine cannot join NATO for both formal and Realpolitik reasons.
Formal reasons (under the provisions of the NATO Treaty) include the fact that Ukraine itself claims that part of its territory has been invaded and is under foreign occupation; also, that a war (albeit never formally declared) currently exists between Ukraine and a foreign state. Also, because acceptance of a state into the NATO alliance requires unanimous approval of existing member-states.
The USA will never accept Ukraine into NATO, not so long as Trump is President; neither did Biden green-light the Kiev-regime’s repeated requests. A number of other states will also blackball Ukraine— Hungary for one, probably Italy, possibly Germany; maybe others too.
As to the Realpolitik reasons why Ukraine cannot join NATO, avoidance of war between NATO and Russia is the main one; also, the fact that, to date, Russia is winning the war that already exists.
Late thought
The Heart that battled here The Heart that bled Has conquered Death And made Man’s peace with Heaven [Friedrich Nietzsche..early poem on Easter]
The following short essay from the American online publication National Vanguard was sent to me by a reader of the blog:
“Stalingrad and the Death of the West
SOMETIMES A MOMENTOUS event occurs whose significance is not recognized at the time but only becomes apparent later. So it was with the surrender of the last German defenders of the Stalingrad pocket on Feb. 2, 1943. At the time, every observer understood that it was a fatal turning point in the Second World War — after Stalingrad, a German victory by the force of arms was impossible. All the Soviets and the Allies had to do was to ignore their casualties and grind through to the finish.
But in retrospect, we can see that the defeat at Stalingrad was more than just the defeat of Adolf Hitler and National Socialist Germany: It was the beginning of the end of Western civilization. The 82 years that have passed since then have revealed this. What we are experiencing now — and will continue to experience in the decades ahead — is merely the winding down of a civilization and culture that has lasted 1,000 years. Had Hitler prevailed in the War, he would have revitalized Western civilization and extended its life another two or three hundred years — perhaps even the thousand years that he himself predicted. But Hitler did not prevail, and so the fate of the West was sealed.
One of the first to recognize the true significance of Stalingrad was the French author Louis-Ferdinand Céline, who said:
It’s Stalingrad. How’s that for catharsis! The fall of Stalingrad is the finish of Europe. There was a cataclysm. The core of it all was Stalingrad. There you can say it was finished and well-finished, the White civilization.
We agree with Céline — up to a point. What was “well finished” was not White civilization as a racial phenomenon but only the Western incarnation of White culture.
Adolf Hitler noted in Mein Kampf:
Every defeat can become the father of a subsequent victory, every lost war the cause of a later resurgence, every hardship the fertilization of human energy; and from every oppression the forces for a new spiritual rebirth can come — as long as the blood is kept pure. (Vol. I, Ch. 11, p. 327 Manheim; p. 605 Dalton; S/ 359)
That the West is doomed is beyond question. Yet, as long as there are Aryans of pure blood in the Universe, our culture and civilization can continue. That is what we National Socialists fight for today: not to preserve the rotting corpse of Western civilization but for the new racial rebirth of Aryandom that shall follow it!“
“For further elucidation of the fundamental idea expressed in this short article, see:
An Albanian criminal has been allowed to stay in the UK partly because his son will not eat foreign chicken nuggets. The judge allowed the appeal against deportation under the European Convention on Human Rights.
Labour want you to believe a big “crackdown” on illegal migration —600 arrests!— is underway
Reminder:
There are 1.2 million illegals in the UK. Labour has also decriminalised illegal migration. We have no deterrent. And no serious plan for fixing our broken borders.
Generation Z are much LESS likely than young people in the early 2000s to feel pride in Britain and much MORE likely to think Britain is “racist” (The Times)
This is what happens when our schools, universities, & other public institutions have become deeply politicised pic.twitter.com/L7Lrjuj6De
We in the UK need only about 1% of the existing white (English/British) population, and zero percent of the rest. I do not say, though, that the 99% or more must be removed or eliminated, simply that we do not actually need them.
“A family cat in a quaint Northamptonshire village has been left traumatised after allegedly being targeted in a firework attack by a local parish councillor.
The shocking incident, captured on video, shows the cat being blasted after stepping into a birdhouse rigged with explosives.
The attack is believed to have been carried out by Councillor James Garnor, and is one of at least two such occurrences that took place in the village of Whittlebury.
It has been reported that Mr Garnor used remote-controlled devices to detonate explosives aimed at the animals.
Police were alerted in October 2023 when a local resident filed a complaint about the April 2023 attack.
While Garnor attended a voluntary interview and was shown footage of the April 9 incident, the authorities ultimately decided there was insufficient evidence to press criminal charges. Instead, he was addressed under anti-social behaviour legislation.
Nikki the owner of the attacked cat, Suki, has spoken about the disturbing effect the attack has had on the animal which suffered visible injuries such as singed whiskers.“
[Daily Mail]
[Suki the cat]
Such behaviour is still not appropriately punished in this country.
🛑 Just to be clear, @reformparty_uk will rip up the Chagos deal. Payments will stop immediately. If necessary, a @reformparty_uk government would hammer Mauritius tourism eg by stopping flights from the UK
I happened to see that one of my earliest blog posts, written almost exactly 8 years ago in January 2017, and brief, had a couple of recent hits after all these years. Still worth reading, I think.
In two minds about that. First of all, the farmers may be notionally anti-socialist, but that never stops them from accepting all the subsidies and other freebies they can get, and they are not only ungrateful for getting heavily subsidised in the first place but also constantly demand more.
On the other hand, the farmers are one of the last few bastions of Britishness. Few are black, brown, Jewish, Muslim etc.
The German people should, before all else, demand repeal of all “holocaust” “denial” laws (and similar repressive laws), which criminalize free expression, and inhibit examination of history.
Until that is done, untruth will continue to permeate German history and public life.
Russian forces struck Ukrainian military airfields over the past day in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/mDYM8BdI9xpic.twitter.com/HfNnWY5u2s
By that time (2032) the total non-white population in the UK will be (including those born here) about 40%, certainly not far off that level. By 2050, probably at least 50%.
Take away Zelensky’s ricebowl. Cut off money, arms and ammunition to the Kiev regime. By all means continue with genuine person-to-person humanitarian aid to Ukrainian families, though.
Well, not a good week. I scored only 4/10, but still just beat political journalist John Rentoul, who got a mere 3/10. I knew only the answers to questions 4, 5, 8, and 9. I might also have guessed question 7 but, out of the two or three most likely battles, guessed the wrong one.
JFK rejected Operation Northwoods when it came across his desk and was shot.
A conspiracy theory surrounding JFK’s assassination claims he was killed by Israel which allegedly controls the US ‘Deep State.’
Now, President Donald Trump has promised to release all classified documents relating to JFK’s assassination, which could potentially lead to more shocking revelations about the US government’s activities during the 1960s.“
[Daily Mail]
Plus ca change…
cf. the attacks on New York City and Washington D.C. of 11 September 2001. Iraq was (wrongly, inaccurately) blamed, and that set the scene for the American invasion, thus greatly furthering the agenda of World Zionism and Israel.
“Rachel from Accounts and Customer Relations”— latest
“The number of firms on the brink of collapse has surged under Labour.
Rachel Reeves was last night warned that her tax-raising Budget threatens to push many over the edge following an unprecedented 50 per cent rise in businesses in ‘critical financial distress’.
Separate figures yesterday showed private-sector jobs falling in January at the fastest pace since 2009 – excluding the pandemic – in another blow for the beleaguered Chancellor.“
That refers to the case, and the aftermath of the case, of Wilson v. Mendelsohn, Newbon (deceased) and Cantor, in which it seems that self-promoting Jew-Zionist solicitor Mark Lewis gave advice, and committed acts, both negligent and dishonest (and not for the first time, by any means).
Wes Streeting, and his fellow Labour Friends of Israel members in Starmer’s hapless hopeless Government, are just empty vessels, making much noise. Even their noise, though, strikes me as being of the past, a tired rehash of Blair-Brown-ism mixed with rather a lot of Cameron-Levita/Osborne pseudo-“austerity” nonsense.
Starmer-Labour has nothing at all to offer the British people (as I predicted a year ago).
They are still, also, pushing the obviously false, untrue, mantra, “Diversity is our strength“, which only the very dim and/or totally deluded still believe.
That bombshell poll this week would put Reform on 170-190 seats –more than the Torieshttps://t.co/nNKaiX62eb
Parents in Northamptonshire claim asylum seekers are loitering around the school gates and filming their children on phones. Police say they have talked to asylum seekers about “different cultural expectations” https://t.co/H8q0fpwr1k
The dental lab I work in tried 2 buy scalpel blades from Amazon as we saw they were much cheaper than from a dental supply company. The business was refused the purchase and our manager had to buy them privately to be delivered to his house. How can that be the right way round?
According to Electoral Calculus, that would mean about 303 Labour seats, 138 Reform UK, 91 Con, 71 LibDem. So probably a Lab minority government with LibDem support, but possibly a Labour minority govt. with support from SNP and other minor parties. Labour would have to get a dozen or two dozen votes from somewhere.
Reform UK would be the official Opposition either way, on those figures.
Half neither approve nor disapprove of the “diversity hire” “Conservative” leader, it seems. I suspect that many have never heard of her.
Elon Musk tells an AfD rally in Germany: "I think there is too much focus on past guilt (in Germany), and we need to move beyond that. Children should not feel guilty for the sins of their parents – their great grandparents even" pic.twitter.com/xtFMfAYrIp
[“Wenn die SS und die SA aufmarschiert“— “When the SS and the SA march away“]
Historical compilation
[Women sort gifts and create parcels for troops on the Eastern Front or Ostfront in 1942]
[Zeppelinfeld, 1930s]
[“The Fuhrer as friend of animals“, 1930s]
[Girls welcome Adolf Hitler into Vienna after the Austria-Germany Anschluss of 1938]
[1930s conversation]
[Hitler as Chancellor, early 1930s]
[Hitler with some young people]
[A young supporter greets Hitler]
[Obersalzberg, 1930s— Hitlerjugend, or Hitler Youth, boys hunt for autographs]
[Berlin Olympiad, 1936; acclamation]
[Hitler and Professor Troost plan the reconstruction of Berlin]
[House of German Art, Munich, opened 1938 (arch. Professor Troost)]
[autobahn, Germany, late 1930s]
[building, Nuremberg, 1930s]
[Dietrich-Eckart-Buhne, Berlin, now renamed Waldbuhne (“forest stage”), one of hundreds of new cultural venues constructed in Germany during the six years of peace 1933-1939; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waldb%C3%BChne]
[Reichskanzlei or Reich Chancellery, Berlin, remodelled 1940]
More music
[“From Finland to the Black Sea“]
Tweets seen
Russia is still ready to hold negotiations on the Ukrainian conflict settlement, including with the United States, but the Kiev authorities are against it, Russian President Vladimir Putin said:https://t.co/WrlzQ7WK35pic.twitter.com/zgRVCE8YmF
EU sanctions against Russia can be prolonged only if Ukraine restores Russian gas transit to Central Europe, stops attacks on the TurkStream pipeline, and provides guarantees for continued oil transit, Viktor Orban said in an interview with Kossuth radio:https://t.co/lqZatUhjyipic.twitter.com/qHEWDkOk63
About 450,000 Russian citizens signed contracts for military service with Russia’s Defense Ministry in 2024 and another over 40,000 individuals volunteered to the special military operation area, Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev:https://t.co/SuL3RkwuJTpic.twitter.com/5rMTaAxjS7
With the support of the West Kiev launched an organ trading scheme in Ukraine, human organs taken from the battlefield were sold on the Internet, Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said in a commentary for REN TV:https://t.co/oQ5jXg01cOpic.twitter.com/Jxcs2bt4lU
According to Electoral Calculus, the result of that, replicated in a general election, would be Labour— 179 Commons seats; Reform UK— 170 seats; Conservatives— 165 seats; LibDems 72; Greens, 7.
So a hung Parliament. Any of the top three could try to rule as a very weak minority government. Alternatively, Reform could ally itself in some form with the Conservatives, and get over the line that way. Maybe even a “grand coalition” of the System parties (LibLabCon). In that event, Reform would be the official Opposition, with every chance of later, after a further election, becoming the governing party.
Reform UK is morphing into a System party anyway, but the Overton Window is moving. Reform UK is part of the journey, not the ultimate destination.
Incidentally, were Reform to go from 26% to 27% (and all other parties stay where they are), the result would be Reform UK— 202; Labour 165; Conservatives 147; LibDems 72; Greens 7.
Stagflation fears stalked Britain at the start of 2025 with a closely watched survey showing jobs being slashed at a pace seen in the aftermath of the financial crisis https://t.co/XoLy7PXWlR
Why are we sending £15 billion to other countries around the world while taking winter fuel payments from British pensioners & treating British people in hospital corridors and car parks? Can anybody in power answer me that?
If Reform UK can become largest party in the Commons, they would have no need to “merge” with the Con-servative Party. They could govern as a minority government. If the System parties refuse to play ball, Reform could simply blame those other parties for the inability to govern, then call another general election, with every chance of getting a majority.
If the weakness of governments continues, that might be the opening a social-national movement needs in order to rise up.
Director of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service Sergei Naryshkin:
"Russia remains an extremely influential player in the Middle East. The countries of the Arab world and Turkey understand this, there is no loss of Moscow's position in that region." pic.twitter.com/uTZSIuP8GF
“The rise of ‘woke‘ thought and digital currencies are among the warning signs that Western civilization could be about to collapse, said investor and expert Doug Casey.
Casey’s book ‘Crisis Investing’ topped the New York Times nonfiction chart, focusing on the looming crisis facing Western civilization.
In subsequent books and podcast interviews, the veteran speculator has focused on signs that he sees as warnings, based on his study of historical events such as the fall of Ancient Rome.
The rise of ‘woke‘ thought and digital currencies are among the warning signs that Western civilization could be about to collapse, said investor and expert Doug Casey.
He told DailyMail.com that there are now seven clear signs that he believes show that Western civilization is facing an end.“
[Daily Mail]
Worth looking at.
There is one factor which dominates in the UK, which is the fact that “nothing works properly any more“. I started noting it on the blog years ago, and noticed (after a couple of years) some msm outlets saying the same.
Part of the decline in services and standards is, of course, caused by the migration invasion, meaning both the strain put on all services and facilities by the extra numbers and the nature (i.e. poor quality) of those entering the UK.
Then there is the decline in real education (not meaningless “degree” diplomas handed out like confetti).
The repression on free speech is another major factor.
The box-ticking culture in administration as well, combined with the “Common Purpose” and allied cancers.
When Adolf Hitler and the NSDAP took power, they were initially voted for, in 1932, by 33% of the people, which grew to 44% in 1933, yet the NSDAP vote had been only 2.6% in 1928. Quite an upsurge in only 4-5 years.
The reasons given for the upsurge in support for the NSDAP have been examined by many. The Great Depression in the USA, which spread around the world, was of course key.
The Jewish influence too, but that, after all, had existed for a long time in Germany, and had been especially prevalent after the defeat of 1918. The NSDAP had spoken against it for over a decade without, at first, having gained much traction.
There were other factors as well, but I think that what clinched Hitler’s triumph was the perception that things generally, in all areas, were not working properly.
The same was obviously true in the Russian Empire in 1917, after at least two lost wars, and with the ruling cliques of the Empire mired in corruption and scandal. Russia as a state was not working for the people in any way whatsoever.
Reverting to the UK in 2024, not so dramatic, true, but there has been a slow-motion train crash going on for the past ~25 years. It becomes hard to ignore the fact that the UK, in many ways, is now ceasing to work properly.
Government must, above all else, function.
Deadhead MPs and ministers, repression on free speech, official policies seemingly designed not to work (mass immigration, migration invasion, energy, foreign policy, NHS, social security etc), and the fact that ordinary everyday life becomes a tangled mess by reason of the pointless hoops that have to be jumped through: you name it— NHS appointments, and medical care in general; parking a car; getting through to anyone who can help with any given problem, whether at commercial enterprises, in local government, central government, or wherever.
The UK’s voters are tiring of the existing mess, and may be inclined to clutch at the Reform UK straw, in the short-to-medium term, but later, after 2029, may support a truly radical social-national alternative, which may exist by then.
If not, then “le deluge“… It will then be a matter of taking to the lifeboats.
There emerges an uneasy feeling that our present world system is not going to be around for much longer, the way things are internationally.
“Daria Platonova Dugina — A Theory of Europe: A View of the New Right.
In a world increasingly levelled by homogenisation, Daria Platonova Dugina retrieves the vibrancy of European culture by delving into the intellectual renaissance of the French New Right.
Exploring the pioneering work of figures like Alain de Benoist and Guillaume Faye, Dugina traces their groundbreaking and provocative reimagining of identity, tradition, and belonging, where the spirit of ideas transcends the conventional boundaries of Left and Right.
Through a “Gramscianism from the Right” approach, she analyses how the New Right’s critique of universalist ideologies and its visions of civilisational revival present a cultural counter-hegemony that values rootedness and organic community over the globalist paradigm.
In this unique collection of lectures, essays, and interviews, Dugina highlights the complex intersections of New Right thought with currents like National Bolshevism and Eurasianism, investigating the philosophical and geopolitical frontlines of the fracturing world order.
Dugina takes readers on a far-reaching journey beyond the standard ideological spectrum, inviting a deeper understanding of identity politics in the contemporary age.
Here, philosophy meets praxis, inspiring those searching for alternatives in today’s monotone world to revisit the foundations and peaks of Europe’s intellectual heritage.
Daria ‘Platonova’ Dugina (1992–2022) was a Russian philosopher, political analyst, journalist, and artist. Dugina studied philosophy at Moscow State University and Bordeaux Montaigne University, specialising in Plato and Neoplatonism. The daughter of Alexander Dugin, she was an active member of the International Eurasian Movement and collaborated with the French New Right. Her life was tragically cut short by a car bomb on the night of 20 August 2022.“
Not that I think highly of everything Dugin himself says or writes. His views are sometimes risibly simplistic, even puerile. Certainly not always, but sometimes, especially when it comes down to concrete realities and facts.
More tweets seen
Absolutely not. You do not touch the disabled and we need tourism. This woman is an idiot – completely messed up a stable inheritance, changed the rules to suit her agenda, hammered pensioners and tanked the economy. Get rid of her. https://t.co/XqjlsZoxAB
I rarely if ever repost anything by the above tweeter (the ex-wife of a former Conservative-Party MP), but (with the exception of “stable inheritance“) this has to be right. “Rachel from Accounts and Customer Relations” is a joke, a bad joke, a very unpleasant Labour Friends of Israel joke.
“That AIPAC purchased the seats of about 90% or more of our current congress.
JFK famously wanted them registered as a foreign agent right before he was shot and thus they changed their name and never registered.
Why are we letting a foreign lobby buy off our congress?
That Israel was obviously the state sponsor of Jefrey Epstein, whose handler was Ehud Barak, ex head of Israeli military intelligence, his funding was Les Wexner one of the worlds richest Zionist ‘philanthropists’ and he was accused by ex Mossad assets of being Mossad.
Not to mention the Maxwell connection. (They had blackmail on Clinton, and many, many more.) He who holds the blackmail holds the leash- just ask J. Edgar Hoover.
That Israel is the only nation who has a defacto sanctioned, yet actually secret and unsanctioned nuclear program. A program that they stole from the United States- look into the Apollo affair, NUMEC, the Dimona nuclear facility.
That jews, muslims, and christians lived side by side in peace in Palestine before the Rothschilds purchased the country from Britain during WW1 (see the Balfour declaration) and began their colonial program.
That the groups that founded Israel, Lehi, Irgun, and Hagannah, were declared terrorist organizations by Israel itself because their tactics were so deplorable (bombing British and Palestinian civilians) yet these three ‘paramilitary’ groups rebranded to form the IDF and their leadership became the leadership of Israel for the following thirty plus years.
That Israel is a foreign nation halfway across the world that has no business receiving my tax dollars. Why are we sending them billions of dollars of our tax money while our country burns, is overrun by illegal immigration, etc?
We are told Israel is our ‘greatest ally’ so why would they have had a massive spy network targeting US government agencies leading up to sep 11, 2001 – see the Israeli art students DEA report for copious evidence of Israeli surveillance all across the continental US.
This is an official government report that cites hundreds of incidents of observed Israeli surveillance teams documented by US government agents all across the continental US. And we still have received 0 answers why there were numerous fake Israeli moving companies positioned all across the eastern seaboard leading into September 11, 2001 and we have multiple eye witness reports, as well as hard photographic evidence that they knew the attacks were coming at least a day before they did and that they were positioned at a vantage point to photograph the attack up to a half hour before the first plane hit. Never got any answers- but you can read the official FBI reports about the incident. I’ve broken them down live on X before.
That’s just a small list of some of the best documented reasons why I, as an American, dont want Israel receiving any of my tax dollars. And I didn’t even mention my obvious objections to the collective punishment, mass surveillance, forced starvation, bombing of refugee camps, brutal murdering of women and children that’s been going on in Gaza and the West Bank for years, decades- which you can watch in graphic detail right here on X.
And that’s not to mention that somehow we let congress pass laws outlawing ‘antisemitic’ speech, despite our own first amendment. And we have anti-boycott legislation in multiple states, despite the fact that it’s perfectly legal to boycott American companies… just not Israeli ones.
Every content creator knows the fastest way to get demonetized, banned, and slandered is to be critical of Israel. I figured you would have realized this too after what they did to you and tried to do to X last year.”
[Ian Carroll, replying to a tweet by Elon Musk]
More tweets
🚨BREAKING: Do you support Mel Gibson's plan to expose pedophiles and human traffickers in Hollywood, including revealing the Epstein and Diddy lists?
“Fuming locals have raged at a council planning to build thousands of homes on green belt surrounding one of England’s oldest market towns.
St Albans Council sent its proposal to use land including 800 hectares of green belt to build 15,000 homes by 2041 to Labour’s Planning Inspectorate at the end of 2024.
Homeowners in the area slammed the ‘diabolical’ plan by developers who ‘don’t give a s***’ to destroy the countryside and said the extra homes would put local services under unbearable strain.”
[Daily Mail]
Very sad. Mainly caused by mass immigration. That, and profiteering by both farmers (selling land— look at the report; ONE FIELD sold for £38M!) and housebuilding companies.
As for housebuilders building tracts of housing and then refusing to adhere to agreements guaranteeing services (roads, parks, shops etc), if they do that, their precious “developments” should be blown up by the State, then rewilded; the companies should also be fined, very heavily. The directors should then be put to hard labour.
I used to spend occasional weekends at Sopwell House, which is walking distance from St. Albans. That was back in the early/mid 1990s, 30 years ago (incredible, to me).
Britain is slowly (?) becoming a multikulti slum where nothing works, and from where every English/white person wants to escape, either to the relatively few areas of the country unaffected by the spreading floods of ghastly ugly new housing —and immigration—, or overseas. Somewhere. Anywhere.
Walz: US wants Greenland for national security and to counter Russia HARRY TRUMAN OFFERED 046. FOR THE WORLD'S LARGEST ISLAND – 100 MILLION DOLLARS pic.twitter.com/1da33TPG0C
Africa is currently experiencing more conflict than at any time since 1946 , according to data from Uppsala University and the Norwegian Peace Research Institute in Oslo. In 2024, the institutes recorded 28 state-level conflicts in 16 of Africa’s 54 countries—more than in any… pic.twitter.com/AEKaaAOtzN
Massive protests erupt in the capital Bucharest after the court annulled the results of the first round of the presidential election. pic.twitter.com/fiHZJMhlAb
If Britain had a real government, the police would shoot them down in the street.
Whole thing stinks, from MPs down. In Bradford, ‘when a child "married" her abuser in a traditional Islamic wedding, her social worker attended the ceremony’. Elsewhere, after a young girl was found naked and drugged with seven men, the girl was arrested, for being drunk. Madness https://t.co/pJstiMF8VR
I disagree with Lucas’s analysis which says that the fall of the Syrian government weakens Russia. It weakens Russia in the Middle East, yes— but in the big scheme of things, that makes no difference.
Back to basics. When Stalin was Soviet leader, the Soviet Union had a very small navy, and one which was mainly confined to seas around the Soviet coastline. For Stalin, the geopolitical reality was that the Soviet Union’s power rested on its huge land-based armed forces, and on its huge geographical size, as well as a large population.
With the coming of the atomic age, Stalin’s scientists and spies ensured that the Soviet Union acquired the weapons at first possessed by only the USA and then the UK. At that time, all Soviet atomic and nuclear weapons were land-based, i.e. launched from aircraft themselves based in the Soviet Union and, in a few cases, satellite states.
Khrushchev, in his memoirs, disparages the senior naval officers pushing for a global Soviet naval presence. After Khrushchev’s fall from power, his successors did the opposite, creating a massive navy, which included ships and submarines capable of launching missiles including, eventually, nuclear ones.
That post-1960s global-profile strategy included supporting various factions in Africa, Asia, Latin America; that included the Middle East. Superpower rivalry.
A clear cost-benefit analysis, however, shows that, in the present, post-Soviet era, Russia actually does not need bases in Syria or elsewhere. Its strength lies, as before, in its geographic size, its still-large population and, crucially, its strategic rocket forces. All of those still exist. Moreover, the Russian strategic rocket forces are, it seems, at least as powerful, and as awesome, as those of NATO (i.e. USA); perhaps more so.
If Russia is forced by events to take a smaller part in the events of the Middle East, then all to the good. It can concentrate its forces and attention on the key areas of Russia itself, Ukraine and other areas of the “near-abroad”, and on advancing its most important forces, the strategic rocket and other nuclear forces.
The main thing now is to defeat the Kiev regime, and to install in Ukraine, at least in Eastern Ukraine, along the Black Sea coast, and in Kiev, either direct Russian rule or a pro-Russia Ukrainian government. It may be thought expedient, and historically consonant, to allow an independent Ukrainian government in Western Ukraine, and based on Lvov.
In respect of Central and Western Europe, Russia merely needs to obtain a modus vivendi with those states by encouraging the election or other installation of governments not hostile to Russia. Such governments need not be “pro-Russian”, or under the control of Russia; they need only be independent of the USA and, of course, free from the Jew-Zionist influence now so pervasive throughout the West.
Putin and his supporters and/or successors should be focussing on their nuclear arsenal, together with active measures aimed at helping political parties and individuals in Western and Central Europe that want a civilized rapprochement with the Russian state and people.
Starmer appoints another Israel Lobby implant into his cabinet. Margaret Hodge appointed as Corruption Czar. What a joke appointing someone who had to apologise publicly in the high court for failing for years to stop child abuse on her watch, incl Saville https://t.co/9i5Lc4p46V
— Lord Doran of Westwinds @domhnalld.bskyb.social (@donsue45) December 10, 2024
Naturally, I expected the Labour Friends of Israel government led by “Tel Aviv Keith” to be hopeless and rubbish, but not so obviously so and so quickly.
Talking point
“Tel Aviv Keith” Starmer, former bureaucrat-lawyer; Rachel Reeves, fake “economist” and one-time bank office bod; David Lammy, thick-as-two-short-planks “diversity hire”; Yvette Cooper, expenses cheat fraudster and “refugees welcome” hypocrite. The rest as well…
Do you really expect that lot to be anything other than rubbish?
Now it seems that Rachel Reeves, who could not even control her own personal (and interest-free) House of Commons credit card, is apparently going to “scrutinize every penny” of public spending. i.e. do spending cuts.
Ecce “democracy”— 14 years of misguided “austerity”, so the “Conservatives” are eventually voted out, and in are voted (at least by 4 out of every 20 eligible voters) fake “Labour”. First thing they do (apart from arrest protesters and online commentators)? Impose more spending cuts…
Oh well, “worse is better“, as Lenin said. Maybe there will be a “straw breaks camel’s back” moment. Starmer, Reeves etc will then, I hope, get what’s coming to them.
Well, political parties need funding. That Nick Candy person certainly has money, and knows others with money. Still, his interest in UK politics has been anything but narrow, to date:
“...The Times in March 2021…named Nick as the leader of fundraising for Shaun Bailey’s London mayoral campaign.[78] In June 2020, The Guardian also reported that Candy had donated £100,000 to the Conservative Party in March 2020.[79] In February 2024, Nick was reported by the The Independent to have expressed support for Keir Starmer‘s Labour Party.[80]“
Controlled opposition, of course. Both main System parties are fading (finally) in public estimation, so to prevent something social-national emerging, up pops Reform UK— pro-Israel, pro-Jewish lobby, anti-Welfare State, not (very) “racist” etc…
Still, the Overton Window is moving.
You can send £11 million to Syria or give winter fuel allowances to 36,000 British pensioners. I know which one I’d choose.
Same goes for “Ukraine” (the brutal and shambolic Kiev regime).
[“but I voted Labour to keep the British welfare state functioning, to improve the NHS, and to get this country running properly again, not to waste money on militant Arabs, or to throw money and arms at the Jewish regime in Ukraine!“]
Just provide someone to say this on oath in a court. Perhaps the Ambassador. Then, if we don’t believe him, he can be locked up. https://t.co/6FeYS5ytHH
Jew-Zionist barrister (a “KC”, no less) who, apparently, has never heard of diplomatic immunity. Unless it is some kind of joke the humour of which escapes me.
“My case grinds on. Here’s a thing though: this is Mark Lewis, he’s a solicitor at Patron Law.
One of the most important rules about the conduct of solicitors is that they must not mislead or attempt to mislead the court. I now have clear evidence that suggests Lewis attempted to mislead the court. It is a serious allegation. The sort of allegation that, if true, should end Lewis’ career. The big question is: how are Lewis and his firm going to respond? @MLewisLawyer@Patron_Law.”
[James Wilson].
Actually Wilson is wrong in one respect. That is not “Mark Lewis Lawyer”, as his Twitter account used to be called; that is Lewis as he was about 12 years ago. He is now physically and mentally in a very poor condition, can scarcely walk, and his faculties are not what they may have been a decade or more ago.
Lewis and his fellow Zionist Jews in at least two pro-Israel organizations have been making false and malicious accusations against me for a decade now. I have responded with the truth, on Twitter (until “they” had me expelled in 2018), and on the blog (since late 2016).
The above video clip shows Lewis and his wife, Mandy Blumenthal, after their attempted political stunt (and scam) at the Edinburgh Fringe, in August 2024, failed risibly.
As for the latest information said to be in the hands of James Wilson ending Lewis’s career, that career is already effectively at an end. Many would say that (such as it was) it ended a long time ago.
When Lewis was fined and censured by the Solicitors Disciplinary Tribunal in 2018, his own Counsel asked the panel to be lenient in terms of fining him because his sole assets were his clothes, a private pension worth £70 a week, and a mobility scooter! Even his car, at the time (before his domicile changed from the UK to Israel), was provided to him free of charge by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP), under its Motability scheme.
Actually, Lewis’s Counsel may have (I presume, inadvertently) misled that Tribunal, inasmuch as Lewis had, or so he once claimed, a flat in Eilat, Israel.
Lewis and the pack of Zionist Jews connected with him (eg those in the so-called “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA”) have never sued me for anything I have written about them. They have preferred to make malicious and false complaints about me to the police etc.
Having said that, it is true that my present impecuniosity would make me a pretty poor target for any civil suit; I have even fewer assets than Lewis, if you include his flat in Israel which he seems to have concealed from the Solicitors Disciplinary Tribunal.
Even if they were to sue me and even if they were to succeed at trial (and they have not done so at any time in the past 12 years), their victory would be very very expensive for them. Hundreds of thousands of pounds expensive.
“My allegation is not that Lewis’ clients are vexatious, but that the evidence I have suggests he cannot be trusted not to attempt to mislead the court. If I am right, what does this mean for all the other cases in which Lewis has acted? What if there have been other attempts to mislead the court?“
Lewis has misled the Court and his own clients several, perhaps numerous, times, but so far has got away with it, at least to the extent of not having been struck off the solicitors’ roll. Part of his immunity from punishment has been the protective shield around him, consisting of other Jews, in the Press and other msm, not reporting negative things about Lewis, and indeed puffing him to a ridiculous extent, especially years ago.
More tweets seen
Congratulations @narindertweets ! This is quite possibly the funniest and most humiliating display of your complete absence of intellectually acuity.
To be fair you make a great poster child for the mouth breathers on the left though 👏🏼
Idiots like that Narinder Kaur woman (of whom I think I had not previously heard) are actually paid to spout garbage on “British” TV. Know-nothings, emoting and gushing anti-white and/or racemixing propaganda.
In the past two days, Israel has occupied more than the area of Lebanon in Syria after completely destroying its military capabilities on land and in the air, and has reached the outskirts of the capital, while the conqueror Netanyahu declared his dominance over the region from… pic.twitter.com/Tw6rgHD8iR
The tactics of a police state, which is exactly what the dictatorship of the Jew Zelensky is.
Needless to say (again), few if any in Ukraine “volunteer” to be killed on the Kiev regime’s crumbling front lines. Few even comply with the draft. They have to be abducted, and intimidated by threats of prison or death.
[Ilyushin Il-14 passenger aircraft; introduced into service in 1954]
Vysotsky musings
I happened to find an old Vysotsky CD in the car. Playing it as I drove along, I found myself musing on Vysotsky. I was actually unaware, until I looked more closely at his Wikipedia profile, that he was half-Jew: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimir_Vysotsky#Early_life. Surprising, perhaps, in view of his occasional lampooning of Jewish types and/or accents in some of his songs.
When I got slightly involved with the Soviet and Russian milieu in the late 1970s and then 1980s (though only in and/or from the UK; I never went to the Soviet Union, and first visited Moscow only in 1993), it struck me rather unpleasantly what a decadent society had grown up in that part of the world. In particular, the excessive drinking of some Soviet citizens (mainly men) and also the heavy smoking (especially though not exclusively men). Not everywhere, certainly not everyone, but enough to rot the society from within. That, and corrosive cynicism.
Vysotsky was to some extent the personification of all that. That is not to take away from his great talent as a singer-songwriter, but that sort of unhealthy lifestyle was, in my view, a large part of the reason why the Soviet Union collapsed so completely so unexpectedly, just as its semi-toleration of underhand dealings, criminality, and (largely Jewish) underground business activity in the 1970s and 1980s led, in the post-collapse 1990s, to the glitzy tasteless Russia of the (mostly Jewish) “oligarchs” under Yeltsin and, to a lesser extent Putin, and to the gangsterism rampant in the 1990s (though far less so now).
Andropov was probably a highly unpleasant man, and extremely repressive, as well as possibly half-Jew (it is not certain), but I think that he saw the train coming down the tunnel at Soviet society, and decided to stop it. His unexpected death really sounded the death-knell of Sovietism.
I read a Daily Telegraph piece about “middle class” homeless people (i.e. people who had good jobs, decent houses or flats, and then didn’t). The article waxed eloquent about the pressure on social housing etc, but the words “immigration” and “migration” did not appear; not once.
As Hitler said of many during the Weimar Republic period, “they want not only their daily bread but also their daily illusion“…
BREAKING.
A poll by Findoutnow has shown Reform (24%) ahead of Labour (23%) for the first time ever.
Another interesting thing about this poll is that while @Nigel_Farage & Reform are ahead of Labour they’re also more popular than the Tories among the under-65s … https://t.co/0qKp502tEw
While FPTP voting would still be cheating Reform of nearly half of its potential seats under full proportional voting (156), those figures would give Reform about 95 seats, according to Electoral Calculus (Con 219, Lab 207, LibDem 67, Greens 6, SNP 22 etc). Thus Reform would be the “kingmaker”, though even then the Cons would have to agree with another party to get over the 326 line, or even the ~315 practical line.
In fact, as Goodwin implies, the only factor that keeps the Cons even as high as 26% in the polls is the pensioner vote. That may reduce by 2029; we shall see. A result of Reform 26%, Con 24%, Lab 23% would result in a Commons with Lab 195, Con 174, Reform 149. Still unfair and illogical, but on that showing, Labour would be unable to form a government even with LibDem, SNP and Green support, whereas a Con-Reform coalition could, just about.
If Reform, Con, and Lab all got 25% (others as given), then the result would be Lab 245, Con 188, Reform 93, LibDem 69, SNP 22, Greens 6.
I myself tend to think that Reform’s star is waxing, but the others waning, so a result somewhere in the area(s) above is not unlikely, with 3 or even 4 parties having almost equal success.