Hard questions this week. I only got 4/10, same as political journalist John Rentoul, and I admit that one of those (no.6) was a shot-in-the-dark guess. Apart from no. 6, I knew the answers to questions 2, 5, and 9 (and came close to getting no. 8 as well, but missed).
Tweets seen
You’re an obese alcoholic chickenhawk warmongering lunatic.
You are single-handedly responsible for the deaths of over a million Ukrainians and Russians who would be alive today if you had just allowed peace to be embraced back in April 2022.
Not very polite, but entirely justified. That over-promoted and useless part-Jew sack of whatever has been a poison in British public life for 25 years, and now continues to inject poison via his brainless newspaper scribbling.
No, they did not. Had I been the Iranian decision-maker, I should have used every single missile and drone to attack Israel simultaneously before the Israeli Jews and their tail-wags-dog “ally”, the USA, attacked. I said that on the blog a few times recently. Get the retaliation in first, as the Israelis do. Why wait to be attacked, and have your defensive and offensive capabilities degraded?
As blogged on many previous occasions, Labour is runnning out of road because its whole (original) purpose has gone. Same is true, mutatis mutandis, of the Conservative Party.
This is not democracy.
This is coercive, sectarian politics dressed up as democracy
In fact, the “family voting” scandal (coercive control within Muslim families and clans) at Gorton and Denton was far higher than the 12% figure mentioned (which comes from the volunteer monitors allowed access to polling stations).
Add to that 12% a very considerable figure by reason of the same coercion and control affecting postal voting. I expect that about a fifth of votes, 20%, were postal votes, at least a third from Pakistani Muslim voters, so call it 6%, to err, if at all, on the cautious side.
So about 18% of all votes cast might be tainted, and most of those would have been for the Greens. Take away 18% from the 40.6% officially scored by the Greens, and you get about 23%. That would put Hannah Spencer and the Greens below both Reform and Labour, and mean that Matt Goodwin should have been elected…
Of course, non-whites should not be allowed to vote anyway (or stand for election), but we are where we are.
🚫 All American and Israeli assets and interests in the Middle East have become legitimate targets.
🚫 After this aggression, there are no red lines, and anything is possible, including scenarios that were not previously considered. pic.twitter.com/VWXaTwY1Zs
“Let Starmer be himself“? Does that involve those Ukrainian rent boys?
Again, Reform are falling into the trap of saying "Donald Trump is doing it, so it's good". I think the vast majority of the British people will oppose British troops being put in harms way in this military action. https://t.co/FsxiJAxDSD
Once again, we see Farage’s folly in allowing corrupt Middle Eastern pro-Israel puppets such as Zahawi not only to join Reform UK but also to take senior roles in it. Fatal.
That Ant Middleton person, a former soldier/Marine/SBS operative, is very typical of many: thinks that British interests align with those of the USA and even Israel. No, they do not, not our true interests.
🔴 Benjamin Netanyahu: 1995: “Iran is weeks away from a nuclear bomb” 2006: “Iran is days away from a nuclear bomb” 2012: “Iran is weeks away from a nuclear bomb” 2015: “Iran is days away from a nuclear bomb” 2108: “Iran is weeks away from a nuclear bomb” 2025: “Iran is days… pic.twitter.com/hcfKoUNwi6
The Iranians are in danger of spreading themselves too thin. There is only one worthwhile land target— Israel. Within that territory, three or four main targets— Dimona nuclear site; ben-Gurion Airport; Central Tel Aviv and nearby wealthy suburbs and towns, such as Ra’anana and Herzliya.
Concentration of force. Force focus. Schwerpunkt.
Mark Lewis told the High Court in a witness statement that Eddy Cantor’s house was transferred to him by his mother.
Mark Lewis, aka “Mark Lewis Lawyer”. Jew-Zionist fanatic, and a totally dishonest and also incompetent solicitor. He should have been struck off the solicitors’ roll years ago.
The Starmer project never understood that millions of people want an alternative to a broken economic system and a foreign policy based on mass murder.
If you believed in that, the Starmer project told you to fuck off.
Well, we have fucked off. How do you like them apples
Farage really is a useless bastard. Reform UK is doing fairly well now despite him, not because of him; because people want rid of both Lab and Con, so Reform is in the frame, at present.
Another puppet of Israel and the Jewish lobby.
One of the things we’ve again seen this morning – from both Reform and the Conservatives – is a tactical judgment that to appeal to a segment of right wing opinion, it is necessary to align themselves with Trump basically come what may. And it’s a mistake.
Quite, but then both Farage and Kemi Badenoch, among many others, are puppets of the Jew/Zionist/Israel lobby in the UK, a fifth column, and which is basically a volunteer arm of the Israeli Embassy.
Were Matt Goodwin, who has been on an ideological journey for the past decade, to come out against Israel and the UK Jewish lobby, he could depose Farage, take Reform UK in a more social-national direction, win by-elections more often, and Reform might then really start to take position as an alternative government.
Israeli media reporting Israel attempted to assassinate Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei and president Pezeshkian in the strikes. https://t.co/FbxTZykuL7
Israel is warned by the bases in the region when missiles are fired. First, iran must destroy the radars in those bases with cheap and old missiles. Second, overwhelm the israeli defense system with drones and cheap missiles. Third, attacks israel with high-end missiles.
…and don’t forget the alleged harvesting of the bodily organs and blood of dead and dying Palestinian Arabs. Corbyn was talking about that just recently, and tweeting about it all.
The behaviour of at least many of the [Israeli] Jews in Gaza (and elsewhere) has been appalling.
More tweets
he has had 18 months to show us the real who is There have been several instances where he should of already resigned for Mandelson scandal should of been automatic resignation with dignity He chose arrogance and deep contempt for British public So any empathy for him is gone
Oh, yes, because it is all about “Keir”, isn’t it? Not about the poor suffering British people, living in a country fast-sliding towards multikulti dystopia…
Starmer-stein really is becoming a parody of himself.
“Keir”, aka “Tel Aviv Keith”.
Ostalgie-Musik
[entrance to the gated and guarded suburb of Wandlitz, DDR (East Germany), near Berlin, also known as “Volvograd” and “Bonzograd”, where most of the East German leadership lived prior to German reunification in the early 1990s]
Firing one missile at Israel every 10-15 mins may not do much damage, but it's enough to keep the whole country in shelters. And when one DOES get through, those ballistic missiles can destroy a residential building and damage a whole block.
It's a big mess. Trump's laundry list of war aims (nuclear, ballistic missiles, proxies, the regime itself) create a muddled picture with conflicting aims. What does victory look like? It's not clear.
War is hell, of course, and should only be undertaken when there is no other acceptable alternative. Remember Sun-Tzu: “to win without war; this is the supreme excellence.”
A good day to bury Josh Simons. The cynicism of Starmer. “OK, the bombing’s started. People are dying. Tell Josh it’s moving time”. https://t.co/9KUmcCd4Sr
…and that graphic shows the positionas it was 5 years ago. What is the position now? What will it be in 2031? Or 2036?
This is the real census because it asked what do you self identify as English, Scottish, Welsh, northern Irish, British only and foreign pic.twitter.com/zmZkm1Rqpp
She is right. The whole thing just does not stack up. My second thought was the analogy with Pearl Harbor (my first having been astonishment that the Palestinian Arabs could have both planned such an attack and also kept the plans secret).
An astonishing statistic from Oxford’s Dr Patrick Nash:
Up to 50% of the Muslim community in Gorton & Denton practice cousin marriage, which is “a good predictor of higher rates of electoral fraud allegations”
Production-line birthing of cretins and semi-cretins. Non-European too. Just what the UK needs…oh, no, wait…
SPOTLIGHT ON GORTON AND DENTON:
On polling day, three men stood directly at the entrance to a polling station beside a car covered in Green Party insignia and fitted with loud hailers, claiming they were “going leafleting”.
[“SPOTLIGHT ON GORTON AND DENTON: On polling day, three men stood directly at the entrance to a polling station beside a car covered in Green Party insignia and fitted with loud hailers, claiming they were “going leafleting”. The @ManCityCouncil Returning Officer was informed at the time and declined to act. Polling stations must be neutral places. Voters must be able to enter and leave freely, without pressure, obstruction or intimidation.“]
God. Look at the useless creatures . Is that Britain’s future? I hope not, but it might be if we do not act.
Keir Starmer’s approval rating has tonight dropped to MINUS 49
His lowest ever
And lower than any rating for Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak
Yes, according to Opinium's latest poll released today (Feb 28, 2026) after the Gorton & Denton by-election, Keir Starmer's net approval rating is -49 (15% approve, 64% disapprove).
It's his lowest ever in their tracking.
For context, Opinium's worst for Boris Johnson was…
On Thursday Keir Starmer wasn't told to it was time to go by the "Tory press", or his political opponents. He was told by the voters. By vowing to "fight on" he is picking a fight with the British people. And it's one he cannot win > Mail on Sunday > https://t.co/Pc0uvpJCTk
Israel says it has confirmation that Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed during strikes on the Islamic Republic, according to an Israeli official quoted by the Kan state broadcaster:https://t.co/AbyQjgXbZJpic.twitter.com/TCxmMBY3mw
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Esmail Baghaei said that the strike by the United States and Israel killed up to 160 schoolgirls in the southern city of Minab.
[Israeli] Jews killing little children at a school. If anyone mentions it in future, dead-eyed Jewish women sitting in North London or Brighton will start furiously tweeting about how to say so is a “blood-libel“.
At least the Israelis will be unable to harvest their organs this time…
About 200 Israeli fighter jets simultaneously took part in the attack on Iran, marking the largest combat operation in the history of the Israeli Air Force, the Israel Defense Forces press service reported:https://t.co/mcI1HH1sjbpic.twitter.com/ksXtpl9mF5
Ships are reportedly receiving messages from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps about the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reports, citing an unnamed representative of the EU’s Aspides naval mission:https://t.co/ZkSW5l9F52pic.twitter.com/Nlz6Y7gbnq
Dry cold air, a frozen pond, skates, winter sun, and a pretty girl. Life could be worse…
Gorton and Denton by-election result
Well, there it is. It seems that a considerable proportion of the Green votes may have been tainted by coercive “family voting” by Pakistanis (12% at polling stations, and an unknown number via postal voting), but even that might not have changed the result.
Social media is already alive with idiotic white “me-too” type anti-Reform tweeters etc, all saying what a humiliation this has been for Reform and for Matt Goodwin personally. Really? Reform doubled its percentage share of the vote since 2024, less than 2 years ago. True, the Greens tripled their 2024 vote, but Labour halved their share.
The real story here is that the traditional “mainstream” parties have all been rejected by the voters, both white and non-white.
Labour lost a seat, and in an area, which has been a Labour stronghold throughout living memory. Labour’s vote-share fell from 50.8% in 2024 to exactly half of that, 25.4%, at the by-election.
The Conservative Party scored 7.9% in 2024, but now only 1.9%.
The LibDems scored 3.8% in 2024, but only 1.8% this time.
Contrary to what the pseudo-“Green” supporters on social media are saying, the big loser at Gorton and Denton was not Reform but the Labour Party.
Gorton and Denton was only 440th on the Reform UK target list, and/but was considered a very safe Labour seat.
Fairly disastrous for Labour. If Labour cannot win, or even come second, in a place like that, where can it win?
As for Reform, well…had it been social-national, rather than “libertarian” fake “conservative”-nationalist (if “nationalist” at all), if it were not so pro-finance capitalist, not so very pro-Jew, pro-Israel, not so hostile (Tice and Farage) to employed persons and to people cheated out of property-ownership (and so having to rent from the likes of Tice), it might have won handsomely in this by-election.
The new Green Party MP, Hannah Spencer, looks to me like both a fake and a freak.
I think that head-counting “democracy” of this sort really is washed-up in the UK. It just does not work in a so-called “multicultural society”.
As for Starmer-stein, and as blogged previously, I doubt he will resign. He likes the status and money and the rest too much. He loves to parade, albeit comically, on the world stage, and play the “world statesman”, however implausibly. He will cling on until people stamp on his fingers.
The other big loser out of the by-election might be the pathetic Corbyn/Sultana “Your Party”, which did not contest the seat, but has now been totally overshadowed and made irrelevant by the Green triumph.
More about the Jew Epstein, Ghislaine Maxwell, Andrew Windsor etc
Well, I have just watched a Netflix documentary (4 or 5 hour-long episodes) about the case of the Jew Epstein etc. It ends with the indictment of the half-Jewish Ghislaine Maxwell, after the supposed suicide of Epstein, so misses out her conviction and sentence, and the fall of “The Andrew Formerly Known As Prince”.
Fairly good as a documentary, and it kept the interest, but it completely failed to investigate the Israeli intelligence and espionage connections. Not one word…
No mention of MOSSAD, Aman, the Trilateral Commission, or the Council on Foreign Relations.
In fact, despite almost all the main characters on the “guilty” and/or allegedly guilty side (Epstein, Maxwell, Dershowitz, many many others) having been Jews or (in Ghislaine Maxwell’s case) half-Jews, the word “Jew” was, I think, not uttered even once. Of course, not all of the alleged abusers were Jews (Andrew Windsor, Bill Clinton etc) but many were, and most if not all of those connected in other ways to Epstein were Jews, even those who were not American (e.g. “lord” Mandelson).
Still, it was good to reflect, while watching the high life of Epstein, on the fact that the Jew has gone up the chimney, and that Ghislaine Maxwell remains in a U.S. prison, albeit now in a “Club Fed” soft one, and may remain there for much of the rest of her life.
In the unlikely event of those figures being the outcome of a general election, the House of Commons would consist of about 467 Reform UK MPs (massive massive majority), Greens 82 (official Opposition but very weak), 40 SNP, 27 LibDems, and 12 Lab. Oh, and zero Cons…
It is quite funny to see the usual Labour/Green idiots getting it wrong again. Yes, Reform failed to win the Gorton and Denton by-election, but Greens standing elsewhere will mostly benefit Reform by knocking out Labour without themselves being able to win.
If I'd just been beaten by the Monster Raving Looney Party I'd be keeping my counsel today… https://t.co/EXsVVA2oSs
Starmer sounded rattled as spoke on camera, but repeats his “I’ll fight on for as long as I’ve got breath in my body” line. Says Lab only party that can fight extremes on left & right, but result wholesale rejection of his govt as Lab pushed into 3rd. Extremely difficult for him https://t.co/yZOPKSDmP0
As I said today and previously, Starmer will only give up his position and privileges when people start to stamp on his fingers to make him let go…
Starmer-stein is becoming totally pathetic.
Can I make a plea to Labour MPs. Please, no more tweets about rolling up sleeves, or focusing on getting on with the job, or being true to your values, or returning to fundamentals, or any of the other vacuous abstractions. Say something concrete and practical, or say nothing.
Keir Starmer called for unity in Gorton and Denton, and he got his wish. Black, White. Rich, Poor. Old, Young. Liberal, Conservative. They spoke with one voice. They hate him, and they want him gone > Daily Mail > https://t.co/M6AESj5Hzm
That is dire, even by the standards of Starmer-stein, a no-ideas, box-ticking, bureaucrat-lawyer. Glib but utterly meaningless phrases: “Our communities“, “laser focused” etc. He did make a couple of good points (about minimum wage and the rights of renters) but this government is 95%+ a farrago of soundbites that mean absolutely nothing. Just a pack of jokers, as were the “Conservative” governments of 2010-2024.
This is the problem with the whole "fight..breath in my body…fight some more…" line. You can only really do it once. And he played that card two weeks ago. Now it can just been seen for what it is. Empty rhetoric. https://t.co/l5RdKphG7d
Keir Starmer's message to his party and his country is he is not going to change anything, and will just carry on as if nothing has happened. Good luck with that. https://t.co/rI2onzUiI4
Starmer even ticked the “support Ukraine” box, which is an incredible waste of money, and a potential trigger for a war which would leave the UK a charred and radioactive wasteland.
Those Labour MPs rushing out their new strategy proposals need to just stop. There's no point even beginning to map a new strategy for Labour until Starmer has gone. He's such a distorting prism. Everyone, everywhere hates him. It may not be fair, but it's the political reality.
What is “not fair” about hating Starmer-stein? He poses on the world stage while the country slides into dystopia, he makes lying noises about “smashing the gangs” while migrant-invaders flood into the UK, he has virtually prevented poor British people from getting homes (whether private or social) while placing migrant-invaders (many criminal) into council and housing association houses and flats, and throws money away on support for Israel and “Ukraine” (Kiev regime), while the standard of living of 90% of the UK population is plummeting. Oh, and after the 2024 migrant-hotels and sex crime protests, he interfered with the judicial protests and demanded that protesters be imprisoned, and even held in custody until trial months or years later; some died.
Starmer is evil, and if he merely loses his unmerited status as Prime Minister, a position which he has proven he cannot fulfil properly, he will be lucky indeed.
It wasn't. We were told Reform were in with a chance of winning the seat. They didn't even come close. They will continue to be major disruptors, and a serious political force. But there is now no prospect of them winning an election outright. They have hit their ceiling. https://t.co/4t7EGhtMw1
Ha. Hodges was tweeting only yesterday that he could not see Labour losing the by-election! That aged well! (about 12 hours).
So, according to Hodges, Reform did not come close to winning? Well, they came second, and though their vote was below 29%, that is after all nearly a third of the votes cast, and in a constituency where about a third of the voters are not even (really) English/British (yes, they probably do have British, as well as Pakistani, passports).
It may be that the Reform UK “ceiling” is around 35%, or even the Gorton and Denton figure of 28.7%, but even the latter would ensure that Reform would win a plurality of Commons seats, and perhaps a majority, unless Labour can exceed that figure, and there is no sign of that, at present.
As for the Greens, they can only win seats where there are either huge numbers of freaks, brainless young know-nothings and “wokes” (such as Brighton Pavilion), or seats where there are huge numbers of Muslim voters with no other likely options (as at Gorton and Denton). The Greens may be able to get 20, 50, even 75 seats at a general election, if Labour continues to be hated and despised, but probably no more.
At present, Reform, underwhelming as it is, is stll likely to win a plurality of seats at the next general election.
I think Westminster Bubblers such as Hodges find it hard to understand that both Lab and Con have had their day, and for the same reason— their natural support-bases are eroding, and fast.
This election was a victory for sectarian voting and cheating.
Matt Goodwin was a great candidate for us.
Roll on the elections on May 7th.
It will be goodbye Starmer and goodbye to the Tory party.
“I tried to speak to a number of members of the South Asian community. Women turned to me and said, ‘No, my husband deals with that,’” says Sam Coates of Sky News. pic.twitter.com/Zx2jMyqv89
If you turn large parts of your country into an Indo-Pak ghetto, that is what you get…
On the wider question of Reform v. Green, just look at all the opinion polling from the past year. Reform 25%-35%, Greens 10%-18%. The many anti-Reform (anti-national) tweeters etc cannot seem to grasp that, in 90% of the constituencies, all they will do at the next general election is weaken the Labour vote and so allow Reform to win.
The Greens winning the by-election is actually a massive win for our side, I don’t understand why so many people are moaning.
It just proves we were right about all of this, and that democracy cannot work in a society that isn’t homogenous.
Within about 15 years, the various ethnic factions within the UK will not be voting, they will be arming.
The British police arrested a man on suspicion of desecrating a statue of Churchill in Parliament Square in London and writing the inscription on it: "Zionist war criminal". pic.twitter.com/br5rmcMRck
Of course you’d say he was a national hero. He stupidly got us to fight for the wrong side in the war, which only benefitted YOU. https://t.co/5dLljkMBAh
The Ukrainian army attacked a car service center in the Seymsky district of Kursk with a UAV, killing one person and injuring three others, Governor Alexander Khinshtein said:https://t.co/qEo1DfzZ8Dpic.twitter.com/fu6ev5K4r0
[“A pharmacy manager in Bradford has been jailed for sexually abusing a child who had also been r-ped by another man.
Shahzad Hussain, 27, contacted the girl on Snapchat, lied about his age and groomed her in 2022. He was found guilty following a trial of six offences relating to sexual activity with a child. Last month, Ahmer Hamid, 29, was jailed for nine years after being found guilty of driving the same girl to a secluded location and r-ping her in a separate incident in 2022. Defence said Hussain, “was a man of previous good character” and “he’s paid the ultimate price” [of losing his job] due to a “weekend of terrible behaviour”. Hussain was jailed for just seven years. He was ordered an SHPO curbing internet use for 15 years and on sex offenders register for life. Sickening.“]
Wall. Squad. End.
He will be out in about 4.5 years but, when Britain has a real British government, will be tracked down and eliminated with the rest.
A piece of paper doesn’t stop their rapey impulses. Every legal and illegal from Afghanistan needs to be deported NOW.
The vituperative and fanatical Jew-Zionist barrister, Simon Myerson, of Leeds [@scynic1], who was sacked a couple of years ago as a part-time judge (Recorder) for being unable or unwilling to stop intimidating and insulting people on social media, actually set up a “charity” to import more Afghans (to the UK, not Israel, needless to add).
Every. Single. Time.
Incidentally, tweeter Sophie Meaden, as a law student, will be aware that one requirement of the existence of a charity under English law is that it should have “public benefit”. What possible public benefit can there be in importing the racially/culturally inferior into this country?
Psychologically, a win for Goodwin would have been better for Reform, but the swing at Gorton and Denton might indicate that Reform can easily get an overall majority at the next general election, pushing both Labour and Conservative, let alone the fake “Green” freaks into double-digit or even single-digit territory.
The result at Gorton and Denton also tends to destroy any remaining faith of white English/British people in the supposedly “democratic” electoral system (large ethnic minority bloc-voting, coercive “family voting” by Paki-stani Muslims, electoral fraud of various kinds), and that disenchantment may eventually fuel a proper national uprising.
'We are seeing increasing evidence that voters are willing to vote for parties other than the conventional, traditional parties of British politics'
Election expert Sir John Curtice spoke to #BBCBreakfast after the Green Party won the Gorton and Denton by-election, with Reform… pic.twitter.com/JRfdvk453d
British voters have been pushed to and beyond the limit by the dual incompetence and malice of the Labour and Conservative parties, the main System parties.
Of course, the Greens only triumphed at the by-election by a shameless pandering to the ethnic minorities, especially Pakistani Muslims. That minority voted, one can fairly accurately guess, in numbers around 12,000 of the 37,000 voters who voted. Seems that rather more than half of the Muslim element, maybe even three-quarters, voted Green (the rest voted Labour).
The Greens got just under 15,000 votes altogether, so between ~6,000 and ~9,000+ of the Greens’ votes were Muslim votes. Without those votes, the Greens would have come a poor third with as few as ~6,000 votes.
I note that none of the msm scribblers and talking heads are willing to engage with the realities; all talk or scribble is about parties as though policies and personalities are the only things that matter. Race and culture of the voters is only mentioned, if at all, in passing, yet the Green triumph was mainly an ethnic non-English/British win over the real British in that area, and because the stupid whites —disenchanted with fake Labour, so be it— who voted Green allied themselves with the Muslim Pakistanis. I can only assume that those white Green voters wanted something socialist or at least social, and neither Labour nor Reform suited them.
'We are seeing increasing evidence that voters are willing to vote for parties other than the conventional, traditional parties of British politics'
Election expert Sir John Curtice spoke to #BBCBreakfast after the Green Party won the Gorton and Denton by-election, with Reform… pic.twitter.com/JRfdvk453d
For all the talk of ‘family voting’ I think the reason polls failed to predict scale of the Green party’s win was that Muslim families in the constituency were often *split* – with older family members voting Labour, and younger ones going Green.
Hard to assess, but seems plausible, looking at the fact that the Labour vote “only” halved, rather than collapsing completely. After all, few white (i.e. English/British) people are now going to vote Labour, wherever they may live.
Turnout at the by-election was slightly below 50% (47.62%), and there are about 80,000 voters of which just under 37,000 voted. Muslims etc (non-whites) who voted probably numbered somewhere between 12,000 and 20,000. It can be seen that, without the non-white (almost all Pakistani Muslim) voters, both the Greens and Labour would have scored around 5,000 votes, maybe fewer than 5,000, and Matt Goodwin/Reform would have won easily.
In parts of England and Wales where the ethnic minorities are “only” 5%, 10%, or even 20%, Reform is still very much on track for an historic overall victory. The upcoming May local elections will be interesting to see.
Having said that, probably around 25,000-30,000+ white voters voted at that by-election. Fewer than 11,000 voted Reform. At least 14,000, maybe more, voted Labour or Green. I suspect that the old and very old voted in the mindless tribal-Labour way one sees in the North of England; the young or very young, e.g. students and dropouts, where they voted at all, may have voted Green.
Reform’s weakness, as often blogged, is that it is not social-national. Its ceiling may not be (as Dan Hodges thinks) 28%, but it may be around 35%. All the same, either figure might yet put Reform into government.
Does Hodges understand just how atypical Gorton and Denton is? The Greens might manage 50 seats at a general election; I doubt more. There are huge areas of “Middle England” where both Labour and Conservatives are almost swear-words now. Those areas are going to go Reform almost en bloc as things stand.
Foreigners should not be standing or voting in British elections. I'll keep it simple for you – British people are white. No ancestry – no vote.
Hodges just wilfully fails to understand that, when you import millions of Pakistanis, Bangladeshis, blacks etc, you become, in proportion, a country with traits like Pakistan, Bangladesh, India, African countries etc.
> So over there we have individualistic whites voting for abstract principles.
Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency Rafael Grossi said he had discussed the Iranian dossier with Christopher Yeaw, the assistant secretary for the Bureau of Arms Control and Nonproliferation at the US Department of State:https://t.co/3nMC4Drmropic.twitter.com/YKgKe9DqPZ
I see on TV news that there are hopes for an agreement between Iran and the USA re. nuclear enrichment etc. It occurs to me that those subtle Iranians might have a strategy— agree to pause uranium enrichment and nuclear weapons research, but at the same time to step up, hugely, their conventional missile production (I read that they presently produce about 100 missiles per month, many hypersonic).
If they can produce 200 a month for 3-4 years, they will have in readiness up to 10,000 missiles, maybe 15,000 if you include their present stock, missiles many of which will be impossible to intercept; by about 2029 or 2030. The missiles will be buried below mountains, ever-deeper, and almost impossible to destroy pre-launch. On that basis, Israel is doomed.
On the other hand, maybe the USA is about to attack, doing Israel’s bidding yet again…
We may be on the verge of a new campaign against Iran – Israeli Broadcasting Authority pic.twitter.com/6qzprkdjMD
1. Israel has gambled their world reputation on the chance to dominate the Mideast by force. 2. Iran is the last barrier to “primary nation” and “hegemony” status 3. America being massively weakened in the conflict is the desired outcome. 4. The West is slated for demolition as… https://t.co/N9JiJD216J
Oh, look the IDF’s number one donor, Larry Ellison, just bought CNN. Along with earlier purchases of CBS and TikTok. Let me guess, you’re offended by me noticing that. It’s not wrong for him to buy half of American media for Israel, it’s wrong of me to notice.
[“The Mossad made sure all jews were warned before their terror attack on the American people at 911. But they were not only warned not to enter the Twin Towers. One of my bosses (jewish) at Credit Suisse First Boston showed me his boarding pass to one of the hijacked planes. He told me had was warned not to go on the plane. He told me he kept the boarding pass in his wallet ever since. At the time I thought it was a Cohencidence. Not any more. We need to end Pax Judaica and the terror state of Israel“]
A few more thoughts about the Gorton and Denton by-election
The opinion polls suggest that the contest will be between Reform UK and the Green Party. A few commentators are still saying that Labour might have a residual chance. It seems to me that this by-election is different than most —not all— previous ones, in that there is likely to be a split on racial-cultural lines.
Reports suggest that the Muslim, mainly Pakistani, element of the electorate will vote en bloc, and for the Green Party. They have been turned off Labour by reason of the fact that the present government consists almost entirely of Labour Friends of Israel members. The voters will have noticed Starmer-stein’s slavishly pro-Israel policies, and his many pro-Jewish gestures.
The Green Party is now led by a Jew, but one who is supposedly anti-Zionist and not favourable to the Israeli state. The Greens also favour a near-“open borders” immigration policy.
However, Muslims are less than a third of the entire electorate in that constituency. About 30%. Persons identifying as “Christian”, presumably mostly white British, with some of Irish or other origins, are over 40% of the electorate. Apparently, some 27% do not identify by reference to religion; I am guessing that almost all of those are white English/British too. In other words, it may be that about 68% of the electorate is white English/British or at least European.
So assuming that most of the Muslims are going to vote Green, that still leaves nearly 70% of voters who may also vote Green, but are more likely to back Reform, or go elsewhere (or not bother to vote).
My guess at this stage is that rather few English/British (etc) voters will vote Labour. Only a few per cent of that group, probably; maybe 10% or, at outside, 15%.
So if it is true that Labour has lost most of the Muslim/Pakistani votes, and also most of its former English/British voter support (after Labour’s disastrous first 18 months in office), one has to conclude that Labour is very much on the back foot, despite the fact that, at GE 2024, Labour hoovered up over half the votes: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gorton_and_Denton#Elections_in_the_2020s.
The Conservative and LibDem candidates have no chance in this constituency. A few minor parties are standing, including George Galloway’s Workers’ Party. One can never entirely write off Galloway, but if he stands (or another, on his behalf), that will hit the Green and Labour votes, but not (at all) that of Reform UK.
In the circumstances, it seems to me that Matt Goodwin and Reform have every chance, but it might yet be closer than many think between Reform and the Greens.
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Trump is considering a range of military scenarios against Iran proposed by the Pentagon, including raids and special forces operations, but remains open to diplomatic solutions and negotiations with Tehran, The New York Times reported:https://t.co/feLwB4naQwpic.twitter.com/SxhNSVZsWU
[“Bus Driver Loses Unfair Dismissal Case After Stopping Thief
Last updated 11 minutes ago
On June 25, 2024, 62-year-old driver Mark Hehir pursued the thief on foot from his route 206 bus in north-west London, leaving the vehicle unattended briefly. When the man returned and swung first, Hehir punched back once, an action police called proportionate, but Metroline fired him for breaching safety protocols on assault, vehicle safety, and company reputation. An employment tribunal upheld the dismissal as fair last week, even as MPs and a petition with over 9,000 signatures demand his reinstatement amid public outrage.
This story is a summary of posts on X and may evolve over time. Grok can make mistakes, verify its outputs.“]
– Border force interception: £2,750 – Three months in a hotel: £13,500 – Murder investigation and prosecution: £600,000 – Court proceedings and legal defence: £100,000 – Cost of 29y imprisonment: £1,572,786
Whereas a wall, a squad, and an end would have taken care of the matter for the cost of about 20 rounds of 7.62, plus a Guinness and a bag of chips for each member of the squad.
This is Emma. She spends her days helping people from Gorton and Denton who have fallen into drug and alcohol addiction. I won’t go into details but this work is very close to my heart. People like Emma are the real heroes. She’s voting Reform 👍 pic.twitter.com/q13oII7Kyq
In 2025, Ukrainian armed formations launched more than 130,000 munitions on Russian civilian facilities, an increase of over 40,000 from 2024, Russian Foreign Ministry Ambassador at Large on Kiev’s War Crimes Rodion Miroshnik said at a briefing:https://t.co/VOppBBmVIzpic.twitter.com/wsbSry0j7b
Britain needs a real Border Force, not the present Border Farce which actually ferries migrant invaders into the UK!
Of course, the old East German force called the Grenzpolizei (Border Police) had a dual role, as much aimed at keeping the working-age population of the DDR in as keeping smugglers, spies etc out…
I have to say that the Grenzpolizei, on the couple of occasions when I encountered them, were both amiable and alarmingly efficient, for example when I and my driver were processed through a small crossing-point (we were the only car, in fact the only vehicle travelling West, in an hour spent there). They (politely, efficiently) emptied the contents of the car (a Volvo estate or station-wagon), then partially dismantled the car, taking out, entirely, various parts, including the seats (they did put it all together again later).
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The boats could be stopped anytime. If they are not being stopped, it's deliberate, imho, but why?
Yet the hook-nosed, little pipsqueak will still be trilling on about diversity being 'our' strength. It's certainly a strength for child rapists in modern Britain that's for sure.
While many who are hostile to Reform will be crowing because Plaid Cymru won that by-election, in big-picture terms the second place for Reform is far more significant.
Plaid only does well in a few places in Wales, and makes no pretence of being a UK-wide party. It has 4 MPs at Westminster (out of 32 Welsh seats), 2 peers (out of 828), and 14 Senedd members (out of 60).
Reform has just captured 36% of the votes at the Caerphilly by-election, more than impressive from a standing start and for a party basically perceived as English.
The main System parties have been trashed by the voters who bothered to vote (turnout was just over 50%): Labour, the previous holders of the seat, fell from 45.9% to a mere 11%. The Conservative party fell far too, from 17.3% to a mere 2%. Reform’s 35% this time can be compared to its previous result (2.2%, though some sources say 1.7%; no matter).
This has huge implications for both local and Westminster elections in England, of course.
Reform has achieved this level of support not because people love it, its policies, or its leader, Farage, but because people now hate and despise both main System parties. The SNP suddenly became pre-eminent in Scotland in 2015 not because many Scots loved or much-supported it, but because the Labour and other parties’ votes collapsed.
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Starmer talking to the men while the women stand in the corner.
— Shrodingers Borderline Normal (@JeremyCordite) October 23, 2025
Think about it. Labour support overall is running at about 15%-25%, say 20% or thereabouts. Britain is now 20% non-white; Muslims are about 8% or maybe 10% of the population. Until recently, almost all voted Labour. Hardly any white English voters, in particular, now intend to vote Labour.
And again. What does this mean. Who is it for. Why does he keep doing this. It's 2025. How can he not grasp how to properly use social media. https://t.co/GTLaUkDhZO
Agreed but think it's somewhat dangerous to think a regional election is massively impactful to nation elections. Plaid Cymru won't have candidates in the nation outside of Wales and that's where the prize is.
That said, the result is a big win for PC but isn't the massive loss…
[“Agreed but think it’s somewhat dangerous to think a regional election is massively impactful to nation elections. Plaid Cymru won’t have candidates in the nation outside of Wales and that’s where the prize is. That said, the result is a big win for PC but isn’t the massive loss for Reform. 37% where they have never stood a Parliamentary candidate before is a good show. Long way to go in this story yet and Labour, and Tories, will not be happy as the narrative is they are a busted flush and the electorate will vote for anyone other than them.”]
Dan Hodges trying to spin the Caerphilly result as not terribly good for Reform UK, despite their vote having increased from around 2% to 36%! Look at Labour— 11%. Or Conservative Party— 2%.
Another way to look on the Caerphilly result might be to say that, if Reform can get a 36% result in a core part of Wales, what will it be getting in much of England.
Also, this is the context of last night's result. As I've been saying, there are now clear signs Reform's support is starting to plateau.
I have no quarrel with that, but Dan Hodges is trying to stem the tide with words.
It may well be that Reform cannot get more, overall, than 35% or even a few points below that (in that poll, 29%). What Hodges does not seem to want to say, though, is that a party which gets even 29% in a general election can very easily still be the party that gets a plurality of votes and a plurality of Commons seats, maybe even a majority of seats.
On the figures above, Reform would still get about 370 Commons seats, and a solid majority. Labour might get 89 seats, the LibDems 69, the SNP 45, Cons about 21, and Greens 18.
Conservative Party would be only the fifth-largest party in the Commons.
Caerphilly was a disaster for Keir Starmer. But he's toast anyway. The real significance is the emergence of major anti-Reform tactical voting. We'll get lots of cheerleading from Nigel Farage and his supporters. But they lost by a pretty comfortable margin.
Yes, but the idea that voters who dislike Reform will vote tactically on a big enough scale to stop the Reform deluge is very doubtful. Dent the juggernaut, yes, stop it, no. Some of the results might be unpredictable.
If Hodges says that Caerphilly was bad for Farage and Reform, how much worse was it for Starmer and Labour, or Badenoch and the Con Party?
Israeli doctors have been proven to have no ethics. Example? When the corrupt Nigerian former government minister, Dikko, was kidnapped in London in 1984, it turned out that the Israelis had made a deal with the anti-Dikko Nigerian government to kidnap him and fly him to Nigeria. MOSSAD was tasked with the operation.
Dikko was to be sedated by a leading Israeli anaesthetist recruited by MOSSAD pro hac vice. In the end, Dikko was lucky; the Israelis less lucky: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dikko_affair (and note that that Wikipedia page is one of the many vandalized by Jews connected with the so-called “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA”. All reference to MOSSAD, and almost all reference to Israel, has been expunged by the Zionist Jew vandals).
A caribou mother cradles her newborn protectively in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.
This has been their territory since the late Pleistocene, but today the Trump Administration announced plans to auction off these treasured lands to oil and gas leasing.
[“A caribou mother cradles her newborn protectively in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. This has been their territory since the late Pleistocene, but today the Trump Administration announced plans to auction off these treasured lands to oil and gas leasing. This means the entire 1.56 million-acre coastal plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge will be opened to: airstrips, roads, thumper trucks, drilling rigs, noise, pollution and pipelines — destruction of one of the last refuges for wildlife on Earth.“]
So without tactical anti-Reform voting, an overall 25% vote for Reform UK would give Reform 200+ votes, maybe 250. With tactical voting, Reform might get “only” 150-200…
The System drones are getting desperate. Even 150 MPs is massive for a party which presently has half a dozen. Also, from where does the “25%” come? Reform is currently far higher in the polls and was, recently, as high as 36%.
The fact is that the “Overton Window” is moving fast now. The Lab and Con System parties are dying. Reform, though underwhelming, is a symptom of the (mainly) white, mainly English voters losing patience.
If Reform forms a government but then fails to do “the necessary”, real social nationalism can take the reins, with the support of enough people to take power. The NSDAP in Germany had only 2.6% of the national vote in 1928, but by 1932 had 33%, and Hitler was able to take over the rulership of the country.
How much longer is this cascade of deceit, incompetence and impotence going to continue for. It's simply not politically sustainable. https://t.co/flkRUPzjom
"The Director of Public Prosecutions has directly contradicted Sir Keir Starmer's account of the collapse of the China spy trial". Some of us have been saying Starmer's been lying since day one. And we've been pilloried for it. https://t.co/Rp7LGBeN8A
Starmer-stein’s Labour Friends of Israel regime is in trouble…
If fake Labour can lose about three-quarters (in fact, more than 3/4) of their previous vote in formerly rock-solid Caerphilly, in South Wales, where Labour votes were once said to be “weighed not counted“, the fall in support in most parts of England must surely be as much or more, arguende. If so, then the number of Labour MPs in or after 2029 would surely be somewhere around 75.
Likewise, but even more striking, the Con vote in Caerphilly was around one-eighth of its previous level. Were that to happen in England and at a general election, the number of Con MPs would be around 15.
Late tweets
Leading the BBC's 6 o'clock news. Shame they're not big enough to credit the Sun though. Lots of reportage about how this "emerged" tonight, as if it came drifting out of the sky rather than the hard work of our journalists… https://t.co/loQgdDKUJ1
Labour are failing at the very basics of government; to make citizens feel both safe and also hopeful for the future (ie the confidence that things generally will improve). That is a bad mix.
France will be ready to deploy its troops to Ukraine in 2026 to ensure security guarantees, if need be, French Land Forces Commander General Pierre Schill said:https://t.co/724UHOwudLpic.twitter.com/oKr8TyhOke
What a pity. I like France, and enjoyed my 4 years living in Finistere (and commuting every couple of weeks to the UK). I should be sorry to see France, including Finistere (which has a major submarine base on the Crozon Peninsula) all but annihilated by nuclear attack.
"My friend"? The globalist photo op while Britain freezes and crumbles.
"Standing with Ukraine" means standing on the necks of British taxpayers to fund Zelenskyy's endless war machine. Starmer prioritizes Kyiv over Kent, pouring billions into a foreign conflict while his own…
Starmer-stein? Only about 10% of white English/British people now vote Labour. Politically, both Starmer and Labour are washed up, together with the Conservative Party.
Man in Caerphilly quotes Adolf Hitler and says Reform UK are not racist enough for him pic.twitter.com/5DVM1z2FKk
[“Forbury Lion”, Forbury Gardens, Reading. I used to play around there sometimes when I could hardly walk, as a very young child, c.1957. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forbury_Gardens]
Talking point
The Conservative Party Conference a couple of years ago. Sparsely attended. Indeed, many were probably journalists. I expect that the 2024 one was even less-well-attended. Are they even bothering to hold one this year? Apparently so— 5-8 October 2025, at the Midland Hotel, Manchester. I wonder how many will attend? I suspect, few. It will be hard for them to disguise the total irrelevance of the Conservative Party in 2025.
Unusually, political journalist John Rentoul beat me this week, scoring 6/10 as against my 5/10. I knew the answers to questions 1, 5, 6, 7, and 9. I should also have guessed the answers to 8 and 10, but did not.
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Starmer’s digital ID plan is a “dead cat” play – and it won’t stop the boats https://t.co/uPRLW2Ep4R
“Consistently, reliable pollsters find large majorities want what the ruling class refuse to give them. Lower immigration. Control over their borders. A country they recognise.”https://t.co/IqRW41kKV5
“Keir Starmer’s own approval rating has crashed to MINUS 42, making him about as popular in this country as Meghan Markle, and not far off Prince Andrew.”https://t.co/lb9O3B6vYX
Rachel Reeves must live in some world of utter multikulti delusion. She equates the rights of British young people (of the past) with the wishes of black/brown/other migrant invaders (of today).
Secondly, no-one opposes anyone merely taking a holiday, or even maybe a short-term working holiday, in the UK, but that is not to be equated with those who wish to settle in the UK (whether working or not).
Thirdly, when did British young people ever work, in any but tiny numbers and/or during holidays etc (such as grape-picking in France), overseas?
This is where Labour (and the other System parties) are now— in a world of unreality.
Get rid of them.
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Like having Ed Balls, husband of the Home Secretary acting as a journalist on Good Morning Britain.
Everyone who doesn’t see where we are, needs to step back and see the shape of it.
Russian servicemen have liberated Derilovo and Mayskoye in the Donetsk People’s Republic, as well as Stepovoye in the Dnepropetrovsk Region, the Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/WKiUAVb9zTpic.twitter.com/q8ucuCTTh7
Yet more attritional gains, but Russia needs a breakthrough, a gamechanging breakthrough.
Zelensky announces:
The Israeli "Patriot" system is operational in Ukraine, and soon Kyiv will receive two additional systems from the United States. pic.twitter.com/6u5g8Rq5gP
Ecce the contemporary type of political journalist. Dan Hodges thinks that the above poll is bad for Farage and Reform. What I see there is that 44% of people polled support an end to grants of indefinite leave to remain, and 13% are unsure, so might also support that. 57% in all. Even deportation of some of those with existing ILR is supported by 29% and at least not opposed by 13%. 42% in all.
If Reform can top 30% in a general election, with all other parties below that level, and especially if the System parties each poll below 25%, then political earthquake will result, even if Reform does not get a Commons majority. In fact, if Reform only gets a plurality of Commons seats, and so is weak in government, that in itself will stimulate a popular demand for social national revolution.
Lenin did not have anything like a majority (had there been any election) in 1917. The NSDAP in 1932 got 33.7% in the first election and 33.1% in the second. Lesson: carry a third of the people with you, against a disunited front of opponents, and you can take over.
Keir Starmer has made himself clear on the eve of Labour conference. If you want to end mass uncontrolled immigration, fix the borders, oppose two-tier policies, protect free speech, and slash taxes, which millions of Brits want, then he considers you “the enemy”
“The spread of ominous, Orwellian things such as ‘non-crime hate incidents’ and a new definition of ‘Islamophobia’, which are being used to try and control, if not shut down, free speech and debate.”https://t.co/BuBmzlGHoF
Goodwin and Toby Young must, if they want to seem credible, place the major part of the blame for repression of free speech in the UK (and EU) squarely where it belongs— upon the Jew-Zionist/Israel lobby embedded in government, business, the mass media, and the legal system.
Not just TV news reports, but reports leading the TV news.
This seems to me like overkill, really. After all, terrible as the crash was, killing 16 people, it was 2 days ago, no-one is still trapped or requiring rescue, plenty of major news is happening elsewhere and, in the end, this did not even happen in the UK. A straightforward crash incident, which happened in seconds, or a few minutes, which was a one-off incident, and the causes of which will no doubt be investigated (very likely a cable problem, possibly metal fatigue, and insufficient maintenance). Yet the BBC and Sky News still have reporters on the scene. Why? Enough.
Whatever the exact rights and wrongs of Angela Rayner’s (latest) property purchase, the background to the matter was the “fill your boots” mentality with which this Labour Friends of Israel misgovernment is suffused.
It became known a year ago that Angela Rayner had accepted gifts of clothes, I think also cash donations, and free trips to noisy vulgar clubs in Ibiza, the appalling nightclub, drink, and drugs island. Not that she was alone in accepting “freebies”. Her boss, Starmer-stein, had accepted clothes for himself and his Jewish wife, and even free eye-glasses!
Angela Rayner also postponed, on rather spurious grounds, some of the previously-scheduled 2025 UK local elections, which postponements—whatever the reasons for postponement— looked bad at a time when Labour was already losing ground greatly to Reform UK.
The postponed local elections will now not take place until May 2026. Both Labour and Conservative parties must be dreading them.
That whole “fill your boots” or “make hay while the sun is shining” mentality, which pervades Starmer’s Labour Friends of Israel cabal, was also a major factor putting paid to the Conservative Party’s electoral chances in 2024, after years of crony-corruption under (mainly) “Boris”-idiot, Liz Truss (briefly, in her 49 days as PM), and the little Indian money-juggler, Sunak.
So what now for Angela Rayner? She had been puffed as the successor to Starmer. Perhaps, though that seems far less likely now, bearing in mind the public perception of her. Some may think her a greedy, moneygrasping, “typical MP”; others say “it was not her fault, because she failed to take obvious steps to avoid the situation which arose“. Well, so not dishonest, simply careless and/or clueless? Not a very good impression either way.
In any case, Labour is now facing a really major challenge from Reform UK, which is really just the public’s proxy method for “getting rid of both Lab and Con“. The idea that Angela Rayner might be the next Prime Minister always seemed to me unlikely to happen, and now seems a very remote possibility indeed.
As to Rayner herself, the resignation will hit her rather hard financially. Loss of her Government position means that her salary is halved, she now being left with “only” the (just under) £94,000 p.a. MP salary (and attendant expenses). She now also loses whatever access she may have had to the country houses used on weekends by Government ministers. There are smaller hits as well, such as loss of the government cars and drivers that ferry ministers around.
Wider political fallout? Well, just another hit that Starmer could have done without. The Reform annual conference is taking place now, and Angela Rayner may be good ammunition for Farage. Also, the news will mute any criticism of Reform people for whatever they may say during the conference.
In any case, people are intending to vote Reform to stamp on Lab and Con, so anything negative in the msm about Farage and Reform will not, I think, have much effect, because people already know that Farage and especially his cohorts are not the best and brightest. That makes little difference to how people are intending to vote.
“Huge tracts of precious riverside habitats for water voles and other wildlife in England are being lost as they are not covered by post-Brexit farming rules, campaigners warn.
New analysis by the Wildlife Trusts found more than 400square km of riverside habitat in England may have been lost since the UK left the EU in 2020.
Under the common agricultural policy (CAP), which subsidised farming when the UK was in the bloc, farmers had to keep a 2-metre buffer between their fields and the rivers. But with the UK’s exit from the CAP, farmers may try to increase their income by ploughing to the edge of their field – an area that, at present, is unprofitable for them.
As well as being a critical habitat for wildlife, waterway banks are home to plants that filter pollution from the water.“
[Guardian]
As regular readers of the blog know, I am not very pleased about the farming lobby. Not all farmers are greedy, moneygrasping, environmentally-destructive nuisances, but many are.
I remember that on TV from the early 1960s, when I was about 5 or 6 years old.
For me, the point is not that Nadine Dorries is an idiotic woman, an expenses-blodger and outright fraud, or that “Boris”-idiot and Liz Truss are nominally (and only nominally) better-educated versions of the same brainless type, but that the whole political system we now have in the UK promotes such cretins, selects them as candidates etc.
Labour's re-election chances blown out of the water by a triple resignation?
My view is that the Reform candidates are relatively unpolished, most of them, so the relative absence of the bright lights of msm publicity and exposure might actually help Reform. That may sound cynical, but the old System parties are just waiting for Farage’s candidates to slip on banana skins.
As the Conservatives accuse Angela Rayner of hypocrisy, in this week’s episode both @George_Osborne and I predict that the Deputy Prime Minister will likely survive this storm.. https://t.co/0gygL33fBh
So former fraudulent expenses-cheat and puppet of the Jewish/Israel lobby, Ed Balls (husband of similar Yvette Cooper; they are both members of Labour Friends of Israel) has his latest rubbish political prediction blown out of the water only one day after he made it! An idiotic person, despite the quite academic CV; hugely over-promoted.
A dangerous Bolshevik from a family of dangerous Bolsheviks. Net-zero is merely the contemporary iteration of Bolshevism, within which the state machine has total control over the production and distribution of all energy, and, through that, the entire economy. https://t.co/J0VCgFPQwV
Yvette Cooper should leave the Home Office. She has been utterly incompetent. The small boats crisis, the use of asylum hotels, the resistance to a rape gang inquiry, the chaos, it all got worse under her watch.
Her incompetence is now going to be transferred to the Foreign Office.
Yvette Cooper reshuffled after migrant crisis chaos and small boat blunders
Yvette Cooper was moved by Sir Keir Starmer today, Cooper took a new role as Foreign Secretary after the Government faced intense criticism over immigration, asylum and policing.https://t.co/9QG01C0HmZ
Good grief. Lammy is a total ignoramus. As Foreign Secretary (and in every other role, including that of MP) he has been a bad joke. Now his head is on the stick of “Deputy Prime Minister”. Britain has become a joke country.
In any case, that (((Zeffman))) character is wrong. The new “Lord Chancellor” is ignorant black, David Lammy, who takes over from equally ignorant Shabana Mahmood. Both of them together were only at the practising Bar for a very short time. Not really qualified for the office.
Moscow considers the UK's use of the proceeds from frozen Russian assets to purchase military equipment for the Ukrainian armed forces to be an illegal act, the Russian embassy in London said in a statement:https://t.co/UJ6Ovqkymjpic.twitter.com/CAZdUtmTQY
Insufficient range to reach Moscow or Petersburg, but enough to reach Minsk.
@doctor_rahmeh I'm sorry you are being persecuted; zionists also persecute other people, e.g. Ian Millard:
"Regular readers of the blog will know of my own past battles with the Jew-Zionist lobby in the UK, which have been taking place for over a decade"https://t.co/5UeTvQ8Rcphttps://t.co/z79GM1p64s
[Bishop Rock Lighthouse, Scilly Isles. I visited the Rock on a small boat once, aged 9 or maybe just 10, in September 1966. The sea-state was a dead calm that day, though. The lighthouse is now automated, like all others in the UK; in 1966, there were still three lighthouse-keepers; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bishop_Rock]
That idiot, Brian Coleman, says in another tweet (by his co-pannelist, Tessa Dunlop), that he “used to be important” and is now “a has-been“. The second point may be so, the first only if you think that having been, long ago, a councillor in the Borough of Barnet (North London) and/or a member of the London Assembly, is “important“.
Wikipedia does mention Coleman’s membership of Conservative Friends of Israel, and his numerous instances of intemperate and violent behaviour, for at least one of which he was convicted of assault (though given a remarkably lenient sentence, on the facts: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_Coleman#Conviction_for_assault).
Coleman was also a pretty bad expenses-blodger.
One wonders why the Jeremy Vine Show is interested in the comments of such people. His claim that Farage is and Reform UK is a “sideshow” shows Coleman’s complete lack of political nous. He says that he is old enough to remember the SDP, and how, after riding high in opinion polls, it imploded after less than a year in 1981.
He seems to think that the voters will somehow go back to the “Conservatives”. Really? I doubt it.
Yes, I too recall the SDP [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Democratic_Party_(UK)], I being nearly 5 years older than Coleman. The reasons for its failure were several, but to my mind the main one was that its policies were pretty much the same as those (much of) the Labour Party, the Liberal Party, and even the non-Thatcherite part of the Conservative Party.
Another point is that the SDP (rumps of which struggled on until 1988) was led by people who were the opposite of charismatic.
Leaving aside policy, the key difference between the SDP in 1981 and Reform UK in 2025, 44 years later, is the surrounding socio-political background. While the UK in 1981 was suffering from mass immigration, and on a large scale, the scale of that immigration was still minor compared to that of the past 25 years: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_immigration_to_the_United_Kingdom.
In fact, even that alarming graph does not tell the true or full story. For one thing, the pre-1945 figures would include those white/English/British people born in parts of the British Empire; also those born in various parts of mainland Europe.
Again, the later parts of that graph, showing a steep rise, are yet not entirely showing the true racial/ethnic picture, because huge numbers of blacks, browns, Chinese etc (or half so) are now being born here in the UK to parents either recent immigrants or themselves born here, and those millions are not “foreign born” in that sense.
Not even just migration-invasion; also migration-occupation.
Another point is that living standards, though suffering a blip in the early 1980s recession, were not steadily declining, as is now the case for most people. Also, society had not collapsed in other ways in 1981, or the later 1980s, contrary to what is now the case. The monarchy, armed forces, educational standards, police, courts etc were still broadly as they had been for decades, indeed to a fairly large extent as they had been since late-Victorian times. Look now!
As to Parliament itself, it may have been flawed in 1981, but still worked more or less as it had done for the preceding century. MPs had not become total “grifters” and expenses-blodgers, because that system was not yet in place to the extent it later was.
Also, MPs were mostly either from trade union or teaching/academic backgrounds (Labour) or armed forces/landowning/business backgrounds (Conservative). A different ethos. For most of them, politics was a field they had come into from somewhere else. The present-day MPs are, many of them along the lines of: Oxford/Cambridge PPE or similar degree, political adviser, a bit of fake charity work maybe, maybe a bit of local councillor activity, then MP. Result— rubbish.
In a word, the voters are very angry with the state of everything in this country. They know Farage is a bit of a snake-oil salesman, they know Reform UK MPs are unpolished, inexperienced etc (and have not had the training of many System MPs). The voters, however, are voting in anger against the System parties rather than for Reform as such. They know that Reform is merely the best of a bad bunch. They are voting for change, too, not for specific Reform policies. Indeed, in supporting remigration/repatriation etc, the voters are well ahead of Reform UK, well ahead of Farage, well ahead of Matt Goodwin.
In other words, that Coleman character has completely misread the situation.
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Off to Westminster to do an interview with the always reliable @simonharrisitv on the 25th Anniversary of the first election of the London Assembly . Londoners are aware of the Mayor but would anyone notice if the Assembly was abolished ? What has it achieved in 25years?
We are living at a fascinating time. "It says something", notes Novara Media, "when Nigel Farage is outflanking Labour from the economic left" (on child benefit cap).
Here, I part company with Goodwin. After all, M&S has just posted a pre-tax profit of over £300M for the past financial year, and the other big supermarkets are in a similarly-fortunate position. Fewer staff, more self-service etc. Am I really supposed to get upset over those huge organizations losing out on even higher profits?
When it comes to small shopkeepers, it is different. The shoplifting upsurge really is hurting them.
The problem with making “minor” thefts punishable by harsh penalties is that it blurs the distinction between minor and major crimes, as in early 19thC England: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_the_United_Kingdom#Background. The adage was “hanged for a penny, hanged for a pound” (not completely accurate— the threshold triggering the death penalty was in fact, until 1832, not one penny but 12 pence, i.e. one shilling).
Incidentally, shoplifting did attract the death penalty 200 years ago, if the value of the goods stolen was high enough.
NEW POST. Nigel Farage has grasped the new winning formula in politics. He is appealing to the Alarm Clock Class in this country, the workers who keep Britain moving, by speaking to their populist left positions on the economy and their strong right-wing views on culture. This is…
Goodwin and Reform seem to be drifting, in recent statements, into a kind of George Osborne, Dunce Duncan Smith dead-end, a position not far from that of the Con Party. Probably a mistake. If Reform starts to look like a copy of the Con Party, it will falter and fail.
Russian troops liberated two communities in the Sumy Region and the Donetsk People’s Republic over the past 24 hours in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/a1TATh2xWbpic.twitter.com/R1gosQyyfP
Germany plans to allocate funding to support Ukraine's defense industry in the independent development and serial production of cruise missiles with a range of up to 2,500 kilometers
Bild reports this on the eve of today's meeting between German Chancellor Merz and Zelensky in… pic.twitter.com/PxP5uFWdge
— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 28, 2025
That would place, inter alia, both Moscow and Petersburg within range of heavy missiles fired from Kiev-regime territory. Germany is asking to be devastated yet again. Why? Is the NWO/ZOG infliuence in German politics that strong? Must be…
There comes a time when you need to stop “poking the Bear”, because the Bear will not tolerate it, or you.
The world is not without kind people…
More about Macron
Many readers will have seen my 2019 assessment of Macron, contained within the following now six-years-old blog post:
In that blog post, I go into Macron’s background etc. Now, I have been referred to recent tweets about him:
I used to have a flat in Paris and a chateau near Albi, and my children went to school in France after Hill House in London, so I know the French scene from a native perspective. I am also blessed with friends in Switzerland, Italy and Germany, and it has to be said, Brigitte…
[“I used to have a flat in Paris and a chateau near Albi, and my children went to school in France after Hill House in London, so I know the French scene from a native perspective. I am also blessed with friends in Switzerland, Italy and Germany, and it has to be said, Brigitte Macron’s frustrations, which have recently been on display as a result of the camera capturing her pushing her husband in his face in Vietnam, have been a source of understanding amongst the political classes for some time. This is neither the time nor the place to delve deeply into the Gay Paree scene, to which only Noel Coward could do justice. My YouTube channel, on the other hand, allows me to penetrate more deeply into the hard partying of Emmanuel Macron and his circle of elite and very handsome gays, including Gabriel Attal, whom he appointed as Prime Minister and who now heads up his (political) party in the National Assembly, and the renowned counter tenor Philippe Jaroussky. If anyone cares to pick up this thread, I’d suggest tuning in to my YouTube channel at 4pm this afternoon.”]
Allies of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz have reacted sharply to his words about lifting restrictions on military supplies to Ukraine, writes Politico.
" The chancellor has come under fire from within her own ranks for vague statements about whether Germany is ready to… pic.twitter.com/s2ugFQrkBi
— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 28, 2025
[“Allies of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz have reacted sharply to his words about lifting restrictions on military supplies to Ukraine, writes Politico. ” The chancellor has come under fire from within [his] own ranks for vague statements about whether Germany is ready to provide Ukraine with long-range Taurus missiles that can strike deep into Russian territory ,” the publication said.“]
I should think so. For Germany to supply the Kiev regime with ever-more-powerful weapons might eventually result in Germany again becoming a battlefield, or even a charred and irradiated ruin.
I agree with Katie Hopkins on this. Worth watching (8 minutes long).
Tweets seen
You should see some of the cities pal… walking through my local shopping mall the other day and I was probably one of 8 white English… the other ‘hundreds’ of people were all African / Indian / Pakistani.
…because that reflects mass immigration for half a century or more, now completely uncontrolled and, crucially, births to immigrants and to offspring of immigrants.
BREAKING. Net migration last year was 431,000 —down on recent years but still 100,000 higher than when people voted for Brexit
1/ Labour will tell you immigration is falling but this is almost entirely due to pre-Labour measures
2/ The numbers are still WAY too high —100k higher than when Brits voted for Brexit asking for control. The latest net migration figure, 431,000, is nearly twice the number of new homes that were built in England last year, 218,000. It is also much higher than what Brits want —85% of Brits say they want net migration below 100,000, half of them want it at zero or ‘net negative’, with more people leaving than arriving
3/ Much of the immigration into Britain is still low-skill, low-wage, exactly the kind that is a net cost, not benefit, to our economy. Furthermore, 81% of ALL migration into Britain last year came from outside Europe —what does this mean for our shared culture, identity, values, history and way of life? It’s an important question that nobody in Westminster, excluding Reform, is willing to ask
4/ No matter what Keir Starmer and Labour say, today, Britain’s borders remain completely out of control. After yesterday’s record-breaking day, we are still on track for the highest annual number of small boat crossings in 2025, which have brought terrorists and criminals into our country. Labour’s “plan” is not working; the only thing they are smashing is our national security.”]
Net migration last year was 431,000
In the same year, we built 218,000 homes in England
Labour’s “solution” (as under the fake Conservatives), is to build and build. First, that cannot be done anyway on a huge scale. Second, all that means is that our formerly, and still to some extent, beautiful England gradually (?) becomes a giant slum housing tens of millions of untermenschen.
Miroshnik: Despite renewed negotiations, Ukraine does not stop attacking
▪️Ukraine is trying to please various masters and continues attacks on Russian territory, despite renewed Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Istanbul, said the Russian Foreign Ministry's special envoy for… pic.twitter.com/730zGoFWle
— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 22, 2025
The Russian Armed Forces destroyed the position of a Patriot SAM system near Ordzhonikidze in the Dnepropetrovsk Region with an Iskander-M missile, the Defense Ministry reported: https://t.co/MBLaL72luspic.twitter.com/4mKlbEHk81
Russian troops struck a Ukrainian military airfield and an army training camp over the past day in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/tWZ7RGuPLQpic.twitter.com/hdTetjfwVK
Israeli MP Simcha Rothman defends mass displacement of Gazans in an interview with Channel 4 News International Editor Lindsay Hilsum. pic.twitter.com/83gvar7R48
…but they never allow the same argument to be used in relation to the removal of Jews in the 1940s from western and central Europe to eastern Europe…
When Jews claim that their forbears were deported to the east in the early 1940s, they also claim that that removal, and making them work in camps etc on arrival, was “genocide” (even though most Jews in the world were unaffected). Now, “their” argument is different…
I once thought that we, the English or British, were, at least arguably, the most obvious hypocrites in the world. Not so…
Russian troops liberated the community of Novaya Poltavka in the Donetsk region over the past day in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported: https://t.co/EmzLoDzcH5pic.twitter.com/ACihAjusMU
A decision has been made to establish a security buffer zone along the Russia-Ukraine border, Russian troops are currently engaged in implementing this initiative, Putin announced: https://t.co/JYO9G8EAPqpic.twitter.com/qLD7raOJDL
Well, the by-election is to be held the day after tomorrow, Thursday 1 May 2025. The chance for the voters of that area to make British political history. At present, Reform and Labour are neck-and-neck, according to the opinion polls. I have already blogged that I think that Reform can smash it, but that depends on all Reform-leaning voters getting out and voting, if they have not already done so by postal ballot. As for 2024 General Election Con voters, the Conservative Party candidate has no chance at all at the by-election (and got only 16% last year); so to stick it to Labour, vote Reform.
Any 2024 Labour voters wanting to send a message to Starmer-stein can either vote Reform (or, failing that, at least for some other party that is standing a candidate) or simply abstain.
If Reform can win the by-election, then both Labour and Con are doomed; if Labour manage to hang on, that too says that Labour is doomed, because Runcorn and Helsby was the 16th most-Labour seat as recently as July last year. A mere Labour win, unconvincing, would say that most of the country hates Starmer-stein and his fake Labour-label.
Tweets seen
Before we begin please like ❤️, repost ♻️ and bookmark 📘 this thread so others can see this too!
It's so important we support our Armed Forces Personnel 🇬🇧
I agree with tweeter “@CambrayXX”. Who are the Labour Party supporters in these polls? I think that the answer is that the UK is now about 20% non-white. Labour Party support is running at about 25%. Most blacks and browns (and other non-Brits) vote Labour.
By my reckoning, and using Electoral Calculus, those figures would give Reform 271 MPs, Labour 176, LibDems 69, Cons 68. Enough of the surviving Con MPs would defect to Reform, or make an accommodation, to give Reform a working majority.
Hard to understand why any white English/Welsh/Scottish person would vote Labour-label now. The policies are indistinguishable from those pursued by “Conservatives” David Cameron-Levita and George Osborne from 2010-2015.
I think that, especially in the North of England, there are still people around who support Labour in the same manner as they do their local football team— unthinkingly, and because their grandparents did; and maybe they have not noticed that Starmer-stein’s Labour-label of 2025 is just not the same party Labour was in 1975, or 1965, or 1945. It has become a different party with a similar label.
The same or similar is true of many unthinking “Conservative” voters in the more southerly parts of the UK.
Karen Shore, the Labour candidate in the Runcorn & Helsby by-election, has the door slammed in her face while canvassing
The other main candidates are: Sean Houlston (Conservative) Paul Duffy (Lib Dem) Chris Copeman (Green) Sarah Pochin (Reform) pic.twitter.com/QY92ASJzQU
Who would vote for that Labour-label drone? Dishonest and useless. A local council “grifter”.
Seems that the Labour brand, so to speak, is being trashed not mainly by the drunken behaviour of thuggish ex-MP, Mike Amesbury, but more by Starmer-stein and his rabble of a fake Labour Cabinet. That woman in the doorway is going to vote not for Reform but for the Greens, as she finally said.
'The government would urge the organisers of Glastonbury Festival to think very carefully about who is invited to perform there this year'
Security Minister Dan Jarvis responds to calls for rap trio Kneecap to be banned after a member said ‘kill your local MP’ at a gig in 2023 pic.twitter.com/hLsIWaK6B2
What a disappointment Dan Jarvis has been. I had thought that, as an ex-officer, and with a varied life-background, he would be better as an MP than he has been. Seems to be very pro the Jewish/Israel lobby, for one thing.
Actually, ex-officers usually are disappointing, not infrequently useless, both as MPs and, especially, as ministers (cf. Johnny Mercer, Iain Dunce Duncan Smith, Ben Wallace etc).
The real question is: Why the hell are these devils still in our country?
[“Two 13 year old girls were plied with alcohol and raped by three Syrian men outside a school in the west of Norway. The men posted the rapes to Snapchat before they left the girls to suffocate on their own vomit (luckily no lives were lost). One of the rapist says his life is difficult now because everyone calls him a rapist….”]
Wall. Squad. End.
The Vikings regarded rape as a far worse crime than murder, and punished it accordingly.
Exactly. The western world is ruled by demonic subhumans who revel in bringing destruction and evil to us. It excites them.
After all these years of seeing what they do, what angers me the most is when people call the govt “stupid”… like the accidentally repeatedly bolster…
A group of people, including Georgian mercenaries from Ukraine, plotted to change Georgia’s government by force in 2024, the country’s State Security Service said in its 2024 report:https://t.co/lPa2ctB8kXpic.twitter.com/IqcaZtaTfx
🚨BREAKING — Declassified managed to locate and question the head of Britain's military, Admiral Tony Radakin, about the intelligence his military is sharing with Israel. pic.twitter.com/pr6s588whc
The reporter was notably scruffy and impudent, but his questions were very relevant. Britain has paid out for over 500 surveillance flights in order to help the military efforts and war crimes of the Israeli Jews. That is, apart from anything else, money we need here.
We asked voters in this week's local elections to describe the four largest parties in England in a word – can you guess which is which? pic.twitter.com/HPnnhhCjM8
Three useless pointless System parties, and Reform UK, which is semi-System (at the top) but not perceived by people as being as weak and useless as the others. Hitler and Lenin made sure that their parties projected strength. Amid weak large parties, a coherent and disciplined small party can achieve victory. Reform is not that, but might pave the way.
This is not a joke.
When Labour’s candidate in Runcorn & Helsby said they planned to close the Daresbury Hotel – which houses illegal migrants at the taxpayers expense – I thought ‘ah, perhaps they are finally starting to see how appallingly unfair it is on local residents’.… pic.twitter.com/6B2DAOZZel
That slug wants to put migrant-invaders into council and private rentals, when British people should have those.
Reform can't lose if they get 35% and Labour 36% in this by-election its curtains for Labour at the next election as Runcorn is an alleged Labour safe seat, if Reform wins its the ultimate upset for Labour Now, as it proves to All Labour MPs they are vulnerable, either way its an…
This smacks of desperation. Even your leader isn't bothered to visit Runcorn for first bi election🤷♂️says it all. When will you wake up and realise you have failed the British taxpayer and pensioners since day 1.
🇺🇸 The United States will abandon its mediation functions if there is no progress in resolving the conflict in Ukraine , the State Department announced. pic.twitter.com/oX04CskPLT
“Tim Montgomerie’s leap from the Tory ship to Reform UK? Now this is a statement. Thirty-three years of loyalty to the Conservatives, yet even he’s had enough of the dithering, U-turns, and wet centrism. Reform UK is becoming the island for those sick of the Westminster circus, a home for patriots tired of compromise and careerists. The Tories should be terrified—if stalwarts like Montgomerie are walking away, what does that say about the state of the party? Reform UK isn’t just nibbling at the edges anymore; it’s carving out a proper movement for common-sense politics and sovereignty. Watch this space, lads. The political realignment is only just beginning.”
Naturally, for anyone social-national, Reform UK is only a step forward, rather than any giant leap. Many of its expressed policies are wrong, and many of its candidates non-European. It is also pro-Israel etc.
Reform, however, may help to kill off the System parties over the next few years.
As for Tim Montgomerie, I have of course never had any time for him. He supported the fake “compassionate Conservatism” of David Cameron-Levita and George Osborne (both part-Jew) and the cruelties inflicted on so many by their policies, and by “welfare” (social security) “reformers” Iain Dunce Duncan Smith, the Jew “Lord” Freud etc.
Still, Montgomerie’s defection is an interesting commentary on the possible upcoming demise of the Conservative Party.
Reform UK is polling at around 20%. It has been there before, just about, but fell back to score only 14.29% at GE 2024. In my opinion, though, the fact that Reform UK was able to have 5 MPs elected (in contradistinction to other small parties of the past half-century and more) is more important than appears superficially.
To look at Reform UK’s underwhelming (in themselves and in terms of numbers) 5 MPs and say (as many Labour Party partisans, pro-EU drones etc, have done, expressly) “ha ha! You lost!“, totally misses the point.
For any small political party, under the UK electoral system, to get even one MP elected is huge; to get 5 elected at once is, well, massive.
That especially applies once one realizes that it was only the FPTP voting system, which since the 1960s has gradually ceased to reflect the real levels of political opinion in the country, which prevented Reform UK having about 93 MPs (14.29% of 650).
Under a (full) proportional representation system, Reform UK would have been awarded 93 MPs, the LibDems 79, the Conservative Party 154, and Labour 219, on the voting numbers at GE 2024.
In reality, were the voting system proportional, many more voters might have voted for Reform UK anyway, because not put off doing so by the perception that not voting Lab, Con, or LibDem is “a wasted vote”.
As can be seen from the graphic above, the present system of voting in England (particularly) is skewed against the smaller parties. Not Reform UK alone; the Green Party, under a fully-proportionate system, would have been awarded, at GE 2024, 42 MPs (6.39% of 650) instead of the 3 who were actually elected. Even George Galloway’s Workers’ Party would have 5 seats.
Some proportional-voting systems have a “threshold”, 1%, 5% etc, below which a party gets no seats.
We now have a Labour government which was voted for by a third (33.7%) of the actually-voting electorate, and by a mere 20% of the eligible electorate. It has only marginal legitimacy.
Having said all that, we are where we are. At present, the main two System parties still stand opposed to reform of the electoral process.
The SNP was founded in 1934, but only had its first MP elected in 1945, in a by-election, and he lost his seat only 3 months later. The next SNP MP won her seat in another by-election, in 1967, but lost it in 1970, though another SNP candidate won in another seat. At that time, there were 71 MPs holding Scottish constituencies.
The SNP did well in 1974, getting 11 MPs at one of the two general elections, but fell back to 2 in 1979. Throughout the 1980s, 1990s, and 2000s, the SNP increased its support but even in 2010 had only 6 MPs out of the 59 then available in Scotland.
Then, in 2015, the SNP had its electoral miracle, based on a “Conservative” Party government at Westminster supported by relatively few Scottish voters, and on a Labour Party which had been supreme in Scotland since 1945, increasingly so since 1964 and then in the early 21stC, but which was perceived as being useless (particularly so in the Blair/Brown years (when Labour was in power at Westminster) and thereafter, when Scottish Labour was headed by the egregiously poor Jim Murphy [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Murphy]. Murphy had been an unsuccessful university student for 11 years, and never did graduate, but became a Labour MP at the relatively early age of 29.
In 2015, Scottish Labour lost 41 of its 41 Westminster seats, while the SNP held or gained 56 (out of 59).
How does that relate to Reform UK in 2024 and perhaps 2029?
We have seen how the SNP took over a decade to get 1 MP, and 40 years to get a cadre of MPs, and how the SNP only surged to power 81 years after its foundation.
Reform UK, dating from only 2021, is however the same, in effect, as its previous persona as Brexit Party, founded in 2018, and a lineal descendant from UKIP (though that still exists as a small rump), founded in 1993.
Reform UK is now aiming to do in England, as well as in the UK as a whole, what the SNP did in Scotland in 2015, i.e. catch the wave of popular support. For Farage, Tice etc, there has to be that FPTP tipping point, the point at which the illogical, unfair etc FPTP system, instead of impeding Reform, starts to work in its favour.
Reform’s slightly underwhelming result at GE 2024 was purely the result of its support (and votes) being spread so thinly. Reform had considerably more actual votes than the LibDems, but few concentrations of votes. Where the concentration was dense enough, Reform got MPs.
The msm commentators, and the Labour and Conservative Party partisans, have not fully taken on board why Labour won so many MPs, and so won the election.
Labour won because the Conservative Party lost. Trite, yes, but the point is that —as can be seen from the percentage voting for Labour, only 33.7%— rather few people actually voted Labour, and most of those who did, did so in a wholly negative way, i.e. because in this or that particular constituency, the fight was perceived as being only between Lab and Con, or Lab and SNP in Scotland, and people desperately wanted rid of 14 years of “Conservative” misgovernment.
What, then happens when Labour, Starmer-Labour, Labour Friends of Israel Labour, is hated and despised as much as the Conservative Party was 5 months ago? Well, actually, that has already happened, but of course Labour is going nowhere, insulated from dissent, protest, and even riot by its very large majority (presently 156: see https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/government-majority).
It has taken Starmer only 5 months to put Labour down where the Cons were, in popular estimation, after many years, arguably 14 years.
If the voting patterns of several years continue, i.e. people voting against rather than for candidates and parties, then I think it entirely possible that, in voting against Labour, Reform might be the receptacle for those “anti” votes, more than the Conservative Party. In fact, I can see at least the possibility that both Lab and Con will slump, Lab to maybe 200 seats, and Con to somewhere below 100. If that were to happen, there would be about 350 seats going to others, in England maybe 250. Reform could be the main beneficiary of that.
It may be speculative to suggest that the next general election could see Reform UK as the party with the most Commons seats, but it is now not impossible.
How many seats could Reform get? I do not know. Anywhere from 50 to 200, if they continue to gather support. Reform came second in 98 seats at GE 2024; on the other hand, UKIP came second in 120 seats in 2015.
The only gamechanger I could see for the Cons would be if “Boris” Johnson were to come back into direct politics, take one of the few “safe” Con seats left, depose the Nigerian woman, Kemi Badenoch, then appeal to the public, “cosplaying” his favourite role as an am-dram Winston Churchill.
As regular readers know, I myself despise Johnson, and hold him in utter contempt. However, many voters do not. Stupid, maybe, but we must look at the realities. In fact, Johnson is not terribly popular with the voters; just more popular than Kemi Badenoch ever will be.
I have often wondered why Johnson was not granted a life peerage. He could have had one, had he wished. There is only one answer— he wanted to keep his options open. Were he to return as Con leader, he could not do worse than Sunak (or Badenoch) electorally, in my view. A “Boris” general election might steal much of Reform’s thunder. The Cons might even become the largest party again. Hateful to me (as is Starmer-Labour) but it might just happen.
At GE 2024, parties and individuals other than LibLabCon got a record 30.4%. That means that, already, if taken with the 40.2% of eligible voters who did not vote, 70.6% of people did not vote for the so-called “three main parties”.
In the early 1980s (when I took A Levels, studying for a few months alone in order to be able to get onto a law degree course, having dropped out of school a decade before, at age 16, in 1973), about 8% of candidates were awarded a Grade A. By 2009, that had grown to nearly 27%, despite the increase in the number of candidates.
In 2009, the concerns about grade inflation resulted in a new category being established, the A*. Look at the statistics. From 2009, about 8% were getting A* grades, but the ordinary A grades were, from 2009, running at around 18% or more. B and C grades were inflating even more.
As with the currency, grade inflation simply means that, in the end, the piece of paper becomes almost worthless.
Israeli war crimes— Genocide in Gaza
“My name is Amos Goldberg. I am an Israeli Professor of Holocaust Studies. For nearly 30 years I have researched and taught the Holocaust, genocide and state violence.
And I want to tell whoever is willing to listen that what’s happening now in Gaza is a genocide.
““My name is Amos Goldberg. I am an Israeli Professor of Holocaust Studies. For nearly 30 years I have researched and taught the Holocaust, genocide and state violence. And I want to tell whoever is willing to listen that what’s happening now in Gaza is a genocide. A year ago when October 7th happened, like all Israelis I was in shock. It was a war crime and a crime against humanity. 1200 people – more than 800 of them civilians – were killed in one day. Children and the elderly were among those taken hostage. Communities were destroyed. It was outrageous, traumatizing, personal. Like most Israelis, I know people who were killed, who lost loved ones or whose loved ones were taken hostage. But immediately afterwards came Israel’s response and within weeks thousands of civilians were killed in Gaza. It took me some time to digest what was unfolding before my eyes. It was agonizing to confront that reality. I was reluctant to call it a genocide. But if you read Raphael Lemkin – the Jewish-Polish legal scholar who coined the term ‘genocide’ and was the major driving force behind the 1948 United Nations Genocide Convention – what is happening in Gaza now is exactly what he had in mind when he spoke about genocide. It does not need to look like the Holocaust to be a genocide. Each genocide looks different and not all involve killing of millions or the entire group. The United Nations Genocide Convention explicitly asserts that genocide is the act of deliberately destroying a group in whole or in part. Those are the words. But there does need to be a clear intent. And indeed, there are clear indications of intent to destroy Gaza: Israel’s leaders – including the prime minister and the minister of defence – and many high-ranking military officers, media personalities, rabbis, as well as ordinary soldiers were very open about what they wanted to achieve. There were countless documented incitements to turn the whole of Gaza into rubble and claims that there are no innocent people living there. A radical atmosphere of dehumanization of the Palestinians prevails in Israeli society to an extent that I can’t remember in my 58 years of living here. Now that vision has been enacted. Tens of thousands of innocent children, women and men have been killed. Over a hundred thousand were wounded. There is a near total destruction of infrastructure, intentional starvation and blocking of humanitarian aid. There are mass graves and reliable testimony of summary executions. Children that were shot by snipers. All the universities and almost all hospitals are gone. Almost all the population is displaced. There have been numerous bombings of civilians in so-called ‘safe zones’. Gaza does not exist anymore. It is completely destroyed. Thus, the outcome fits perfectly with the stated intentions of Israel’s leadership. Lemkin – that scholar who coined the term ‘genocide’ – described two phases of a genocide. The first is the destruction of the annihilated group and the second is what he called ‘imposition of the national pattern’ of the perpetrator. We are now witnessing the second phase as Israel prepares ethnically cleansed areas for Israeli settlements. And therefore, I have come to the conclusion that this is exactly what a genocide looks like. We don’t teach about genocides in order to realize it retrospectively. We teach about it in order to prevent it and to stop it. But like in every other case of genocide in history right now we have mass denial. Both here in Israel and around the world. But reality cannot be denied. So yes, it is a genocide. And once you come to this conclusion you cannot remain silent.” – Statement to Led By Donkeys, December 2024 – Photo: Parliament Square, London, 8.40am, 4th December 2024.“
Powerful.
That statement certainly puts the UK and US-based Jew-Zionist “human rights” lawyers in their place, the ones constantly tweeting about how what has been happening in Gaza is supposedly not a genocide because… [how many angels can dance on the head of a pin?].
More tweets seen
🚨 NEW: Keir Starmer BLASTS Kemi Badenoch for being the ‘cheerleader’ of mass migration
'She was the cheerleader, she was the one urging on the removal of the caps for work visas… she championed it, she advocated it, record number of immigration!’ pic.twitter.com/JfOa2d8HCr
What really matters politically, though, is not the Westminster Bubble blame-game but what is actually happening on the streets. A million or more invaders every year (last year 1.2M) (yes, one or two hundred thousand leave, as do about a hundred thousand disenchanted Brits), and a steep slide in terms of public services, a decent society, crime, incomes, housing provision, and much else.
If things go on as they now are, there will be either a quietly-British form of social-national revolution somewhere or somewhen down the line, or (and/or) a kind of civil war mixed with a social war and a race war. A confused mixed picture, though, not a sharply-delineated and two-sided one.
In contemporary Britain, the truth is “inflammatory“…
I argued, in my long-ago talk at the London Forum in 2017, that people charged with such essentially political offences should never plead guilty.
Pleading guilty is understandable in ordinary criminal cases, in that it reduces the sentence where the evidence is overwhelming, but I consider it the duty of social-national and other nationalist defendants to plead not guilty. To plead guilty is to validate the prosecution. Also, in a jury case especially, you never know your luck.
I followed my own advice in my 2023 free speech trial.
Yes, I was still convicted, after a process that started, from my point of view, in February or March 2023, and ended with my sentencing hearing on 14 March 2024, but my “9-month community order” (probation, by any other word) ends in about a week, technically, and in reality finished in mid-September 2024; my “community order” sentence of “15 rehabilitation days” turned out to be half a dozen or so meetings ranging in duration from about 30 minutes to a couple of hours each.
Would I have been handed down a more lenient sentence had I pleaded guilty? I doubt it.
People at the Spectator Awards used to laugh at @Nigel_Farage. Last night, I sat in the room as he warned them Reform will cause an earthquake at the next election. There was total silence because everybody knows it could happen.
It does not even much matter that Reform UK would probably be poor at governing. The main thing is to smash the “two main parties” scam, and—to intrude a metaphor from the world of chess— to open up the board.
Happened to catch 10 mins of a TV jaunt around the Caribbean, presented by Clive Myrie. Needless to say, the black TV presenter focussed, when in Jamaica and Barbados, mainly on slavery, “reparations” for slavery, and on “racism” etc.
There was an amusing moment when Myrie met relatives in what I took to be their not unpleasant large villa, set amid a profusion of flowering plants. One of them mentioned how Myrie’s father had, after having moved to the UK, encountered “racism, not like you today“, but Myrie demurred. He obviously has that chip on the shoulder, despite being paid hundreds of thousands a year by the BBC and (as, co-incidentally, I just saw in the Guardian) large extra amounts moonlighting as well: https://www.theguardian.com/media/2024/dec/04/clive-myrie-apologises-for-failing-to-declare-at-least-145000-in-outside-earnings-bbc.
Ian Robert Millard 