Chesham and Amersham by-election
I recently included an appreciation of the upcoming by-election at Chesham and Amersham in my daily blog: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2021/06/06/diary-blog-6-june-2021-including-the-upcoming-by-elections-chesham-and-amersham-and-batley-and-spen/.
The by-election is being held tomorrow. I thought to add my last-minute thoughts.
As I blogged previously, I see no prospect of any upset to the expected Conservative victory in that constituency. Even in 1997, the Conservative Party vote topped 50%, and has exceeded 63%. 55.4% in 2019.
Incumbency is usually helpful to a candidate, so it is an open question as to whether the new Conservative candidate will get a very high vote-share in what is, after all, a by-election.
It may be that there will be a protest vote favouring the LibDems, but I doubt that it will be anything like enough to dislodge the Conservatives. The LibDem vote in 2019 was 26.3%.
The main interest is in seeing whether Labour will lose its deposit. I think that quite likely. The Labour vote in 2019 was 12.9%: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chesham_and_Amersham_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s.
The Green Party scored 5.5% in 2019, and it may be that that will increase at the expense of Labour. At any rate, it is hard to see many people bothering to vote Labour after Starmer’s lacklustre and indifferent attitude at Prime Minister’s Questions today.
Tweets seen
https://twitter.com/peterwalker99/status/1405123040619421697?s=20
Well, you would think so, were you not aware how (to coin a phrase) “totally fucking hopeless” the Crown Prosecution Service is. The CPS is run by the Director of Public Prosecutions. Starmer was DPP. His predecessor was Alison Saunders. Both “totally fucking hopeless”, of course.
Time after time, since it started but especially in the past decade, the CPS has proven itself all but useless, stuffed as it is with mediocre (or worse) Common Purpose types.
For example, the CPS recently tried to pursue a case against persecuted singer-songwriter Alison Chabloz, based on a provision under the Public Order Act 1986. Such a prosecution requires the assent of the Attorney-General. When the matter came before the Westminster Magistrates’ Court on first appearance not long ago, it transpired that not only had the CPS not received the said assent, but that the CPS had not even requested it, being unaware of the necessity!
Alison Chabloz is now being prosecuted on the same alleged facts, but under anotherAct with a far less severe maximum penalty on conviction (her trial is set down for one day on 1 September 2021).
On the above premises, why would Starmer be any good in his present role? He’s only there because the Jewish lobby wanted Corbyn binned. Who better to “regain the confidence of Jewish people” (which the msm, quelle surprise, thinks is all-important) than someone who is completely in the pocket of that Jewish lobby, and who is married to a Jewish woman lawyer, their children being brought up as if fully-Jewish (celebrating all the Jewish supremacist holidays etc)?
Starmer is about 5 years too late. If he thinks that bringing up the Jo Cox stuff now will help Labour either at Chesham and Amersham, or at Batley and Spen, he is very much mistaken, in my view.
I was looking at tweets by such as political journalist John Rentoul. For people like that, Prime Minister’s Questions is meat and drink, but for most people, PMQs is scarcely even noticed. System Clown A scores point off System Clown B.
As to little Matt Hancock, I blogged about him nearly two years ago: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/09/09/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-matt-hancock-story/.
Other tweets seen
The real purpose of the facemask nonsense is quite other…
Late tweets seen
Another cliche “mad psychiatrist”. A complete mask zealot too. It is more than worrying that idiots of this sort exercise influence in the UK. I feel sorry for her children though.
I am no medic but, looking at her tweets, she gives the impression of being rather unbalanced. Says that she works and has worked (at her campaigning organization) 80 hours per week, without days off. Since 2018. As a psychiatrist, she should know that that sort of schedule has deleterious mental health results.
True, the shouting mob scene was not very nice, but in the UK, opinion that does not fit the System narrative (pro-lockdown, pro-facemask nonsense, pro “Black Lives Matter” nonsense, pro-migration invasion etc) is now suppressed, and people are repressed if they voice dissident views on social media or even in blogs. On those premises, shouting crowds may, before long, be the least of the forms of resistance.
The mainstream media are now more or less the megaphones of the System. Those who work for msm outlets are more or less System propagandists.
Just one incident in the UK’s slow (?) descent into multikulti barbarism.
Well, though I do not disagree with everything he has said, Swayne is a complete waste of space as an MP.
https://twitter.com/AQuantumCat1/status/1405097581701734403?s=20
Voting could change everything, if there were a real and credible alternative party for which to vote. There is no alternative party, just 2.5 System parties all under the same secret flag.
Late music
Update, 15 June 2022
Well, I was fairly and squarely wrong as far as the Chesham and Amersham headline result was concerned: the LibDems beat the “Conservatives” by a country mile.
On the other hand, I was right to see signposted another way-station on Labour’s slide to fringe irrelevance. I thought that Labour might get a vote as low as 4%; in the event it was 1.6%.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Chesham_and_Amersham_by-election#Results
Ian Robert Millard 