Wow. A GB News Freedom of Information request has found UK police are spending £10.2 million on “diversity jobs” and training. Scrap it all and use the money to hire 300 more police officers instead https://t.co/JEaGkFL1CP
The fish rots from the head. It seems to be the senior and chief police officers who are the most brainwashed, no doubt by reason of having had to jump through so many hoops to get where they are.
A Pakistani drug dealer, Muhammad Asif, who committed 21 drug offences has been allowed to STAY in the UK so he can talk to his son about Islam & Pakistani culture. He used the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR).
Why can’t he talk to his son about Islam while both of them are (permanently) in Pakistan? Was the mother English? If so, Rassenschande. Anyway, whatever…
Best idea for the main nuisance— wall, squad, end.
"The vast majority of people in this country, some 85%, now want to see the overall rate of net migration into Britain slashed below 100,000 a year, while almost half the country want net migration reduced to zero or less than zero."https://t.co/EBrprAQ8VJ
…and then start to carefully craft an ethnostate. In the words of The Six Million Dollar Man TV show of the 1970s, “we can do it; we have the technology.”
"Last year, 81 per cent of all immigration into Britain came from outside Europe —typically from India, Pakistan, Nigeria, and China."https://t.co/EbIco4Fyeb
Most immigrants to the UK originate in the most backward parts of the world. How can you build a more advanced state with backward people? Clue…you can’t. You cannot even maintain the level of the present society, as can be seen all around us.
While I should hate to see Germany destroyed or very badly damaged, Russia cannot and will not lose this war.
Thought
The representatives of the Jewish state of Israel, as well as many Jew-Zionists in the UK and elsewhere, are whining that they are (once again) “victims” because the UN predicted that 48,000 Palestinian babies would die within days by reason of the Israelis cutting off food, water, medicines etc. The Israeli/Jewish plea seems to be “we are not killing 48,000 babies, but only (?) 4,800 or 480...”
Do they really think that such a plea is either credible or plausible? Even if the true figure were 1% of the original, i.e. 480 rather than 48,000, would that be acceptable to the non-Jewish world? I think not.
Even when they are destroying cities full of people, “they” are always the victims (in their own collective mind).
It is just like the Jewish/Israeli claim that what Israel has done in Gaza over the past 18 months is not “genocide”, according to various carefully-delineated intricate legalistic web-tracery, or Talmudic argument. The rest of the world just looks at the enormity of the Israeli brutality and sadism and thinks “what they have done speaks for itself, whether or not it be labelled ‘genocide’.”
Now we see that Israel is preparing concentration camps for deported Palestinian Arabs, but has labelled them “humanitarian zones“.
— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 29, 2025
Britain officially acknowledges cyber war against Russia
Defence Secretary John Healey has announced the creation of a new cyber command that will coordinate attacks against Russia and China.
– The Times admits: during the start of the Cold War, Western intelligence services… pic.twitter.com/BAyZXcRNgR
— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 29, 2025
The cabals presently in power in the UK are intent on conflict with the one country that can save us, the British, from steep decline in all areas— economy, energy supply, world presence, social decadence etc.
[Bishop Rock Lighthouse, Scilly Isles. I visited the Rock on a small boat once, aged 9 or maybe just 10, in September 1966. The sea-state was a dead calm that day, though. The lighthouse is now automated, like all others in the UK; in 1966, there were still three lighthouse-keepers; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bishop_Rock]
That idiot, Brian Coleman, says in another tweet (by his co-pannelist, Tessa Dunlop), that he “used to be important” and is now “a has-been“. The second point may be so, the first only if you think that having been, long ago, a councillor in the Borough of Barnet (North London) and/or a member of the London Assembly, is “important“.
Wikipedia does mention Coleman’s membership of Conservative Friends of Israel, and his numerous instances of intemperate and violent behaviour, for at least one of which he was convicted of assault (though given a remarkably lenient sentence, on the facts: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_Coleman#Conviction_for_assault).
Coleman was also a pretty bad expenses-blodger.
One wonders why the Jeremy Vine Show is interested in the comments of such people. His claim that Farage is and Reform UK is a “sideshow” shows Coleman’s complete lack of political nous. He says that he is old enough to remember the SDP, and how, after riding high in opinion polls, it imploded after less than a year in 1981.
He seems to think that the voters will somehow go back to the “Conservatives”. Really? I doubt it.
Yes, I too recall the SDP [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Democratic_Party_(UK)], I being nearly 5 years older than Coleman. The reasons for its failure were several, but to my mind the main one was that its policies were pretty much the same as those (much of) the Labour Party, the Liberal Party, and even the non-Thatcherite part of the Conservative Party.
Another point is that the SDP (rumps of which struggled on until 1988) was led by people who were the opposite of charismatic.
Leaving aside policy, the key difference between the SDP in 1981 and Reform UK in 2025, 44 years later, is the surrounding socio-political background. While the UK in 1981 was suffering from mass immigration, and on a large scale, the scale of that immigration was still minor compared to that of the past 25 years: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_immigration_to_the_United_Kingdom.
In fact, even that alarming graph does not tell the true or full story. For one thing, the pre-1945 figures would include those white/English/British people born in parts of the British Empire; also those born in various parts of mainland Europe.
Again, the later parts of that graph, showing a steep rise, are yet not entirely showing the true racial/ethnic picture, because huge numbers of blacks, browns, Chinese etc (or half so) are now being born here in the UK to parents either recent immigrants or themselves born here, and those millions are not “foreign born” in that sense.
Not even just migration-invasion; also migration-occupation.
Another point is that living standards, though suffering a blip in the early 1980s recession, were not steadily declining, as is now the case for most people. Also, society had not collapsed in other ways in 1981, or the later 1980s, contrary to what is now the case. The monarchy, armed forces, educational standards, police, courts etc were still broadly as they had been for decades, indeed to a fairly large extent as they had been since late-Victorian times. Look now!
As to Parliament itself, it may have been flawed in 1981, but still worked more or less as it had done for the preceding century. MPs had not become total “grifters” and expenses-blodgers, because that system was not yet in place to the extent it later was.
Also, MPs were mostly either from trade union or teaching/academic backgrounds (Labour) or armed forces/landowning/business backgrounds (Conservative). A different ethos. For most of them, politics was a field they had come into from somewhere else. The present-day MPs are, many of them along the lines of: Oxford/Cambridge PPE or similar degree, political adviser, a bit of fake charity work maybe, maybe a bit of local councillor activity, then MP. Result— rubbish.
In a word, the voters are very angry with the state of everything in this country. They know Farage is a bit of a snake-oil salesman, they know Reform UK MPs are unpolished, inexperienced etc (and have not had the training of many System MPs). The voters, however, are voting in anger against the System parties rather than for Reform as such. They know that Reform is merely the best of a bad bunch. They are voting for change, too, not for specific Reform policies. Indeed, in supporting remigration/repatriation etc, the voters are well ahead of Reform UK, well ahead of Farage, well ahead of Matt Goodwin.
In other words, that Coleman character has completely misread the situation.
Tweets seen
Off to Westminster to do an interview with the always reliable @simonharrisitv on the 25th Anniversary of the first election of the London Assembly . Londoners are aware of the Mayor but would anyone notice if the Assembly was abolished ? What has it achieved in 25years?
We are living at a fascinating time. "It says something", notes Novara Media, "when Nigel Farage is outflanking Labour from the economic left" (on child benefit cap).
Here, I part company with Goodwin. After all, M&S has just posted a pre-tax profit of over £300M for the past financial year, and the other big supermarkets are in a similarly-fortunate position. Fewer staff, more self-service etc. Am I really supposed to get upset over those huge organizations losing out on even higher profits?
When it comes to small shopkeepers, it is different. The shoplifting upsurge really is hurting them.
The problem with making “minor” thefts punishable by harsh penalties is that it blurs the distinction between minor and major crimes, as in early 19thC England: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_the_United_Kingdom#Background. The adage was “hanged for a penny, hanged for a pound” (not completely accurate— the threshold triggering the death penalty was in fact, until 1832, not one penny but 12 pence, i.e. one shilling).
Incidentally, shoplifting did attract the death penalty 200 years ago, if the value of the goods stolen was high enough.
NEW POST. Nigel Farage has grasped the new winning formula in politics. He is appealing to the Alarm Clock Class in this country, the workers who keep Britain moving, by speaking to their populist left positions on the economy and their strong right-wing views on culture. This is…
Goodwin and Reform seem to be drifting, in recent statements, into a kind of George Osborne, Dunce Duncan Smith dead-end, a position not far from that of the Con Party. Probably a mistake. If Reform starts to look like a copy of the Con Party, it will falter and fail.
Russian troops liberated two communities in the Sumy Region and the Donetsk People’s Republic over the past 24 hours in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/a1TATh2xWbpic.twitter.com/R1gosQyyfP
Germany plans to allocate funding to support Ukraine's defense industry in the independent development and serial production of cruise missiles with a range of up to 2,500 kilometers
Bild reports this on the eve of today's meeting between German Chancellor Merz and Zelensky in… pic.twitter.com/PxP5uFWdge
— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 28, 2025
That would place, inter alia, both Moscow and Petersburg within range of heavy missiles fired from Kiev-regime territory. Germany is asking to be devastated yet again. Why? Is the NWO/ZOG infliuence in German politics that strong? Must be…
There comes a time when you need to stop “poking the Bear”, because the Bear will not tolerate it, or you.
The world is not without kind people…
More about Macron
Many readers will have seen my 2019 assessment of Macron, contained within the following now six-years-old blog post:
In that blog post, I go into Macron’s background etc. Now, I have been referred to recent tweets about him:
I used to have a flat in Paris and a chateau near Albi, and my children went to school in France after Hill House in London, so I know the French scene from a native perspective. I am also blessed with friends in Switzerland, Italy and Germany, and it has to be said, Brigitte…
[“I used to have a flat in Paris and a chateau near Albi, and my children went to school in France after Hill House in London, so I know the French scene from a native perspective. I am also blessed with friends in Switzerland, Italy and Germany, and it has to be said, Brigitte Macron’s frustrations, which have recently been on display as a result of the camera capturing her pushing her husband in his face in Vietnam, have been a source of understanding amongst the political classes for some time. This is neither the time nor the place to delve deeply into the Gay Paree scene, to which only Noel Coward could do justice. My YouTube channel, on the other hand, allows me to penetrate more deeply into the hard partying of Emmanuel Macron and his circle of elite and very handsome gays, including Gabriel Attal, whom he appointed as Prime Minister and who now heads up his (political) party in the National Assembly, and the renowned counter tenor Philippe Jaroussky. If anyone cares to pick up this thread, I’d suggest tuning in to my YouTube channel at 4pm this afternoon.”]
Allies of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz have reacted sharply to his words about lifting restrictions on military supplies to Ukraine, writes Politico.
" The chancellor has come under fire from within her own ranks for vague statements about whether Germany is ready to… pic.twitter.com/s2ugFQrkBi
— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 28, 2025
[“Allies of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz have reacted sharply to his words about lifting restrictions on military supplies to Ukraine, writes Politico. ” The chancellor has come under fire from within [his] own ranks for vague statements about whether Germany is ready to provide Ukraine with long-range Taurus missiles that can strike deep into Russian territory ,” the publication said.“]
I should think so. For Germany to supply the Kiev regime with ever-more-powerful weapons might eventually result in Germany again becoming a battlefield, or even a charred and irradiated ruin.
I have been puzzling for some time regarding the ideology, if any, of GB News. Pseudo-nationalist, obviously largely “controlled opposition”, willing to help move the “Overton Window” re immigration, the failed “multicultural society”, immigration and migration invasion etc, yet painfully pro-Jewish lobby and pro-Israel.
GB News even allows the mendacious “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA” Jew-Zionists to spout their lies unopposed, as does the “does anyone actually watch?” Talk TV (now online only). Why? (especially since “Slitherman”, the chief spokesperson for the “CAA”, was exposed several years ago, in open court, as a serial online troll and harasser of others, mainly women).
So I was interested to see the following tweet from Matt Goodwin, former academic, who is now more or less a Reform UK propagandist and, more recently, also a GB News presenter and commentator:
“The truth is that disinformation is information those in power don’t agree with and misinformation is information they don’t want you to read”https://t.co/ZnrLXv3QsV
That person, Paul Marshall, is not only extremely wealthy (apparently, £875M as of last year, so probably far more by now), but also the mainstay of GB News.
In the financial year 2022-2023, GB News reported a loss of no less than £42M, and would certainly have disappeared had not Paul Marshall invested £41M at that point.
It is impossible to say for sure, on facts known, whether that personal connection has influenced the editorial line of GB News; I should say, though, that it is more likely than not.
Britain’s borders have become such a joke that taxpayers are now having to pay for a German Shepherd dog that crossed the English Channel in a small boat.
A similar picture to all other recent opinion polls, though the Cons here are higher (the last opinion poll, from a different polling org, had them on only 16%).
On that basis, the Cons would be 4th-largest party in the Commons. Other recent predictions have had them as 5th-largest. Amazing, for a party which, only a year or two ago, was still at times spoken of as “the natural party of government” in the UK.
Elder sister saw a forklift coming from a distance, she opened her arms in front of younger brothers and sisters 🫡pic.twitter.com/7I7CCAaAz0
— Interesting things (@awkwardgoogle) May 20, 2025
The first direct observation of gravitational waves captured the merging of two black holes which emitted 36 septillion yottawatts of power (3.6×10⁴⁹ watts), greater than the combined power of all light radiated by all the stars in the observable universe.
Fact is, I was right, when halfwit Nelson Mandela took over in South Africa: I said then that South Africa would go the way of the rest of black-ruled sub-Saharan Africa (corrupt, violent, shambolic), but that SA would take longer to fall into the swamp because the proportion of whites in the population was far higher than had been the case in any other African country. At one time, it was as high as 22%; at present somewhere around 5%, probably:
“Statistics South Africa asks people to describe themselves in the census in terms of five racial population groups.[167] The 2022 census figures for these groups were: Black African at 81%, Coloured at 8.2%, White at 7.3%, Indian or Asian at 2.7%, and Other/Unspecified at 0.5%.[9] The first census in 1911 showed that whites made up 22% of the population; this had declined to 16% by 1980.”
Proportion of whites in SA population: 7.3% in 2022. Now? Maybe 5%, maybe still 6%, but declining, as Europeans find living in a black-ruled (though not run) country impossible.
At last, someone in the White House with the stones to say what everyone’s thinking. Trump lobs a truth grenade at the South African president and the usual vermin squeal.
I don’t think Lucy Connolly should be in prison. I don’t think we should have ‘non-crime hate incidents’. I don’t think Labour should expand ‘Islamophobia’ to shut down debate. And I don’t think our politicians should be eroding free speech at every turnpic.twitter.com/8tTMKBdVfF
Yes, Goodwin— with you on all that, but don’t forget to mention that the Jew/Zionist/Israel lobby is the major anti-free-speech bloc in the UK, and works 24/7 to repress free speech and freedom of expression.
(Ha, some hope, looking at GB News and its ownership. Goodwin knows which side his bread is buttered on…).
74% of Brits say "Britain's best years are behind us"
A damning indictment of the policies that have been imposed on us over the last 30 years
I suppose I am wavering between dark red and light blue on that poll.
If Britain can find its way to real social nationalism, we could even go to dark blue, but at present, the dark red is certainly more likely.
Brussels is starting to acknowledge that it made a mistake by appointing Kaja Kallas as the EU foreign policy chief, the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) said in a statement obtained by TASS:https://t.co/QlmctKqBd0pic.twitter.com/f8saWaHejT
“Those of us who think the extreme policy of mass immigration is undermining our economy, culture, rule of law, and society are now winning the argument in this country”https://t.co/kOwTtpFtTs
Agree 💯 What you have to grasp is that most “experts” are not really interested in truth or empirical reality. They are only interested in bending evidence (surveys, polls, etc) around their pro-immigration/socially liberal priors. Trust me. I worked alongside it for 20 yrs. https://t.co/784pyT5oHo
Anything from any Indians, Pakistanis, or other non-whites on this issue can be disregarded as biased and/or with an agenda.
44% of Britons now say Reform UK counts as a 'main party', up from 29% in January
Labour: 89% say is a main party (-1 from 16-17 Jan) Conservatives: 84% (-4) Lib Dems: 47% (+3) Reform UK: 44% (+15) SNP: 25% (+1) Greens: 13% (+4) pic.twitter.com/gbnD0jfV4j
In effect, though, the UKIP of 2014 is still around, having passed through two further incarnations— Brexit Party and now Reform UK.
As to the LibDems, their facade is still standing, thanks to the LibDems being the default non-Lab/non-Con alternative-choice or dustbin party, but as a party putting forward real ideas, they are almost a nullity.
Reform UK are the party Britons are most likely to say is best able to handle immigration, though 31% say no party could handle the issue well
In the end, only a real social-national party can deal with the problem. Reform, for me, is just an underwhelming way-station.
With No 10 dismissing speculation that the government would reverse course on Winter Fuel Payments, our poll shows 47% of Britons continue to support restricting WFPs to only those on pension credit or means-tested benefits
That polling may be accurate but, if it is, leaves out the important voting effects. Hardly anyone of or above State Pension age supports the “confiscation” of universal Winter Fuel Payment; very few aged 55+ support the “confiscation”. Most of those supporting Starmer-stein and Rachel Reeves in this will be under 40, perhaps even under 30.
The WFP “confiscation” will have electoral repercussions right through the present Parliament and on to the next general election. One of several factors which have already sunk fake Labour.
Disgusting betrayal
— Cathy Morgan (AFH) I exist 🌸 (@CathyMo41926708) May 13, 2025
Starmer expects the public to believe that he has suddenly discarded his core beliefs and now embraces the kind of thinking he has called "Far Right" on so many occasions. His decision to present as the second coming of Enoch Powell will make him even more unpopular on both sides
Were I to publish on the blog what I think should be done with evil “immigrants welcome” (“invaders welcome”) expenses cheat Yvette Cooper, I should probably have to endure the nuisance and boredom of the UK’s poundshop Stasi police at my door (yet again)…
[Yvette Cooper welcoming the invaders trashing our country. In non-legalistic lay terms, meaning in simple language, this is treason]
Like most of Starmer-stein’s Cabinet, Yvette Cooper is a member of Labour Friends of Israel.
Moscow is the future! This is the world’s first year-round modern electric water transportation 🛥️ Moscow’s public transport system is out of this world, I’ve never seen anything like it. pic.twitter.com/soUhCrLA6Q
— Sasha Meets Russia (@sashameetsrus) May 13, 2025
Moscow must be (?) becoming more convenient than I remember…
Last time I was there was 18 years ago, in 2007.
Well, @YouTube has deleted yet another account @RussianRoad_, they had interesting videos about foreigners that moved to Russia, who told their personal stories about life here. How does this violate any terms? Enough with the Russophobic censorship!
— Sasha Meets Russia (@sashameetsrus) May 12, 2025
As frequently noted on the blog, though, immigration on such a huge scale impacts all other issues— housing, NHS, crime, tax, economy, environment, water supply, State pensions and other benefits etc.
The next general election may not be until 2029, so much ground to cover before then, but those numbers would result in a House of Commons with 310 Reform MPs (on the cusp of a working majority), 169 Lab, 72 LibDem, 36 SNP, 33 Cons (etc).
The Conservative Party, as in another poll yesterday, relegated to a pretty poor 5th place in the Commons. Among the 94 Con MPs likely to be ejected would be Mel Stride, James Cleverly, Suella Braverman, Jeremy Hunt, David Davis, Jesse Norman, Robert Jenrick, Rishi Sunak and, last but not least, Kemi Badenoch.
Local councillor reported to POLICE by Labour colleague after expressing concern for 'unfair' Afghan refugee scheme: 'Residents should get the same support!'https://t.co/BnlYI6J8P8
I was last there in 1974, I think, aged maybe 17. Having dropped out of school [https://rbcs.org.uk/], I worked for a while as temp dogsbody for an agency that sent me to various places short of workers. The one in Bracknell was at the Waitrose warehouse (next to Waitrose HQ). I was there for a couple of weeks. I used to go there daily from Caversham Heights (north-west of Reading) on my 75 cc Italian scooter (absolute top speed 60 mph, normal top speed 50).
I remember the brief experience mainly because, one fine day, two Thames Valley Police detectives from Reading wanted to interview me in the office. They did so, and fingerprinted me. Apparently, the other agency workers, who all arrived and departed by minibus, had already been interviewed. I was told that quite a lot of Waitrose canned products had gone missing.
Well, it turned out that all the agency workers except me had been “having it away” with Waitrose’s stuff. I was cleared almost immediately, I think mainly by the absence of fingerprint evidence against me, but all the others were, I was told, charged with theft. I had had no idea that they were “having it away” with tins of salmon or whatever. Naive me.
Not that I was necessarily more honest than the others (who were all much older than me, in their thirties or forties); I just had no use for whatever Waitrose products they had apparently been stealing.
Bracknell was very different then, I think, and smaller; the same is true of my old school at Sonning, looking now at its website. Pretty much only the original old house (Holme Park house) is the same; a whole large complex is now around it. New facilities, new buildings, even a new road system:
[Reading Blue Coat School, Sonning, Berkshire]
More tweets seen
And we're now entering the period of the year where we can expect small boat arrivals to spiral. https://t.co/SG8n6cJfTr
Hard-hitting critique of Starmer-stein. In my view, though, not hard-hitting enough.
Starmer-stein is of course, and in ordinary language, a traitor.
Russian troops liberated the community of Mirolyubovka in the Donetsk region over the past day in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/PmzCTVggumpic.twitter.com/0lTkYlRJma
Comforting, in a way, that only 20% of the population is irredeemably stupid (or malicious?).
Zelensky's entourage sees captured civilians from Russia’s Kursk Region as "a valuable bargaining chip," Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service said in a statement obtained by TASS:https://t.co/rP4VRGTYKLpic.twitter.com/9fXoF7xVw8
The government of “Ukraine” (the Kiev-regime fake state) is a brutal and corrupt dictatorship, ruled mainly by Jew-Zionists.
Macron: We gave Ukraine everything we could
"France cannot deliver more weapons to Ukraine and thus deprive its own army. It has already given everything it could, and has tripled production. Our army is not prepared for a long, high-intensity conflict," Macron said, adding… pic.twitter.com/jLxXM8YNvT
— Sprinter Observer (@SprinterObserve) May 13, 2025
Late music
[The Banksters, controversial mural in East London, later censored (painted over by order) after complaints from Jewish organizations that it was “antisemitic”]
I read a couple of pieces in the online-only Independent newspaper and its connected Indy100 site. Semi-literate, semi-educated. Examples? In the Independent, in an interview with the ex-MP, Mike Amesbury, Amesbury described the three days he recently spent in prison as “…surreal…like an out-of-body experience“, which the Independent‘s scribbler, one Ellie Crabbe, wrote down as “an outer body experience“. No sub-editor (if they even have any) corrected Ms. Crabbe’s egregious mistake. Appalling ignorance. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/reform-labour-amesbury-runcorn-chancellor-b2745519.html.
Meanwhile, in the Indy100, one Harriet Brewis, described as “ the Chief Reporter at indy100, covering everything from scientific discoveries to online trends. She previously worked on the Evening Standard’s news desk, heading up the coronavirus blog throughout 2020 and writing the website’s leading stories“, writes that a lake in California has returned after long absence, the water having been extracted by “the greed of colonialists“! Ha ha… Is this an English news outlet, or a Cuban one?
The water extraction was in the USA of the late 19thC, as the article does say, so “colonialists” is a bit anachronistic, arguably, and not really accurate anyway, however bad the treatment of the local Indians/Native Americans may have been.
I might add that that report was published somewhere else a year or two ago. I recall reading it, or some version of it.
“Former chancellor Jeremy Hunt has said the Conservatives cannot rule out becoming extinct because of a “massive earthquake” in politics that is seeing the fracturing of the old two-party system.
Senior Conservatives are increasingly alarmed about polls that show support for the party plummeting, while Reform UK is soaring.
Some Conservative party sources said there appeared to be “very little dynamism” within Conservative Campaign Headquarters about trying to turn the party’s electoral fortunes around, while many local activists and some agents have already made the leap to supporting Reform.
On Wednesday morning, a YouGov Westminster voting intention poll put Reform on 29%, Labour on 22%, the Conservatives on 17%, the Liberal Democrats 16%, and the Greens 10% – suggesting the Tories are now flirting with fourth place in popularity.“
[Guardian]
In fact, the Conservative Party may well soon be in fifth place in terms of numbers of Commons seats (after Reform, Labour, LibDems, and the SNP).
“The government’s planned disability benefit cuts will hit 700,000 families who are already in poverty, according to internal Department for Work and Pensions forecasts obtained by the Guardian.
The figures, sourced under the Freedom of Information Act, are in addition to the projected 250,000 people who will be newly driven below the poverty line by the cuts, as set out by the government’s impact assessment in March.
Disability rights campaigners called the new disclosure “truly shocking” and said the changes would push people even further away from having the means to find work.
The DWP estimates that 3.2 million families across Great Britain will lose out under the plans in 2029/2030, about three years after the cuts are due to take effect. Of those, 700,000 will be families already categorised as being in relative poverty, when taking housing costs into account.“
[Guardian]
So that is some of the human and social cost of the policies of Starmer-stein, Rachel Reeves, and Liz Kendall (all members, incidentally, of Labour Friends of Israel). What, however of the political cost to Labour?
We see Labour already languishing in the opinion polls below 25%, in some at only 22%. I have already blogged about the fact that the UK population now has about 20% of its population non-white, and that those voters (those eligible and actually voting) probably now provide the vast bulk of Labour votes.
Since Starmer-stein lied his way to the office of Prime Minister in July 2024, his misgovernment has alienated the “average white families”, those above State Pension age, those approaching State Pension age, almost all British workers at or below average incomes, anyone concerned about the racial and cultural degradation of the country, anyone concerned about developers trashing the green countryside, and anyone at all concerned about the migration-invasion of between half a million and a million immigrants and/or invaders every single year.
Now, in addition to the above, Starmer-stein’s regime is about to hit not only the various types of disabled person, but also their families and others. The biggest hit will come in 2028 and 2029, just when the next general election is probably going to be held.
[“But I voted Labour last time! Never again!“]
The result of all of that is that Labour will quite likely have (a trend forecast on the blog quite a while ago, a few years ago) votes mainly from (some of) the “blacks and browns”, and (some of) the public service workers, including (some of) the NHS workforce. Even the 18-24 demographic generally is turning away from Labour.
The electoral result may be that Labour can only score 22%, maybe only 20%, at the next general election. The Conservative Party, on present showing, may not even achieve that. The LibDems are the default “alternative” or “dustbin party”, so will pick up votes from both, but mainly from disaffected Con voters; perhaps 15% or so overall. Greens and several others will take (combined) about 10%-15% of votes. That leaves maybe 30% of the whole available for Reform.
Nature abhors a vacuum. If Reform gets to 30%, with Con and Lab both in the 20%-25% range, the earthquake will have happened. Reform will be in government with a 30 or even 50-seat majority, Labour may have fewer than 140 MPs, and the Con Party may slump to as few as 25.
Once the main System parties are displaced, the only real alternative to Reform, after 2029, will be real social nationalism.
So less money for the Treasury (which means it will have to be found from elsewhere), and more unwanted immigrants coming to the UK (and don’t believe the nonsense about “short-term working” etc…).
The Starmer-stein and Rachel Reeves fake “Labour” government is a disaster in every way.
Palestinian children being arrested for walking on a Jewish only street in the West Bank. pic.twitter.com/8Tjm8CrFCb
Germany’s spy agency has just walked back on describing the Alternative for Germany as “extremist”. I wrote about how dodgy that decision was here https://t.co/n9g3CNTsl5
Oh yeah. Loads of people try to liken their fellow citizens to extremists on behalf of the state only to trip and fall into a personality transplant a few years later. Happens all the time. We should definitely trust everything he says.
The above nonsense is only part of huge wastage. The “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic “Test and Trace” programme alone was 4x worse. About £38 billion. I favour government spending, in principle, but the devil is in the detail. The kind of idiots who get into System politics in the UK are simply not capable of running anything properly, or of making the right decisions.
They’ve already gone after the elderly, the disabled…. I wonder who’s lives they’ll improve next 🤔
Mason has been examined previously on the blog. A System asset of some kind or other, but one who, for whatever reason, likes to be thought of as radical or even revolutionary. He always supports police-state measures; he did it during the “Covid” scamdemic/panicdemic, he did so when the BNP was rising up, he even did so when UKIP looked like becoming a major party. He certainly did so in relation to Greece, when the popular Golden Dawn social-national party was repressed by the fake “Left” or “socialist” party, Syriza, when the latter was in power. Syriza quickly sold out to international banking and the EU. The Golden Dawn people, many of them, still sit in prison.
NEW POST. A political revolution is now underway. A note on the latest bombshell polling from the UK including maps, charts, the latest data and more https://t.co/gnu13GouWK
Electoral Calculus suggests that those numbers would result in a Commons in which Reform would have 421 seats out of 650. Labour would have 92, the LibDems 56, the SNP 43, and the Cons only 8. Eight MPs… Surely terminal for the Conservative Party. https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.
Unbelievable. UK police admit they don’t know if “non-crime hate incidents” tackle crime. Police “carry out no analysis of data” & “have little idea as to their effectiveness in preventing hate crime”. I wrote about why we should ban them herehttps://t.co/6t9hdVkxmj
The UK police have turned from their traditional role(s) to becoming a kind of “poundshop Stasi“, the role of which is to enforce socio-ideological conformity among the masses of the UK population, and to repress manifestations of ethno-national dissidence.
The Labour Party is more interested in helping illegal migrants who break our laws than the hardworking British majority who uphold our laws. My latest op-ed in @TheSun todayhttps://t.co/Y3ZteQvIu6
The Saudis and other Gulf Arabs have nothing— no reality as “states” or peoples, no integrity, not even their traditional religion. Living on borrowed time.
25 Reasons to Be Proud: The Nuclear Icebreaker Arktika Is a Force Leading the Country pic.twitter.com/LH3sK9Jt2B
EU countries consider stripping Hungary of voting rights "as Prime Minister Viktor Orban continues to try to block aid to Ukraine" – The Guardian pic.twitter.com/ozmtWj2edE
As it now is, the EU is anti-European. also, A kind of NWO/ZOG dictatorship, in effect. The European states should leave both the EU and NATO.
Warsaw cannot provide benefits to Ukrainian refugees forever , said Polish presidential candidate Rafal Trzaskowski, calling for a reduction in aid for Ukrainians. pic.twitter.com/laEOOfrOFI
Klaus Schwab resigns as chairman of the World Economic Forum. The founder of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Klaus Schwab, has resigned from the organization's board of directors, although he had previously stated that he would step down from his position gradually.… pic.twitter.com/H5o3uSwB04
— The Donkey Sanctuary (@DonkeySanctuary) April 21, 2025
My grandfather signed the fuselage. 209 went back over enemy lines later at huge risk to themselves to drop a wreath. He was a foe – arguably a psychopath – but they respected him and accorded him all the honours. pic.twitter.com/IcRpFOaKmP
He was given a piece of the Red Baron’s propeller which he had made into a box. He gave it to my father when he was an RAF fighterpilot too in WW2 to keep him safe. It went everywhere with him and through various iterations afterwards holding cufflinks and balls of string. ❤️😁 pic.twitter.com/oypFkv97IE
My grandfather survived the Red Baron, went through a second war and retired a knighted Air Vice Marshal. He sadly died in a terrible civilian accident on a yacht in his 50s, propellers were involved. Perhaps Richthofen had him marked after all. pic.twitter.com/PSvJxpz3NQ
Fate, or Schicksal. We all are in the dispensations of Fate.
Russia welcomes US statements that Ukraine’s potential NATO membership is off the table, Russian Presidential Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Monday:https://t.co/FPg6lPjHxspic.twitter.com/9kKQodH4JU
As I blogged long ago, at least 2 years ago, the strategic balance was always in Russia’s favour, and Russia could not and would not lose this war. Now, events on the macro scale have ensured that that will be the case.
'That is very dangerous territory for the government to undermine the law'
Andrew Doyle discusses reports of a Cabinet level plot to undermine the Supreme Court's ruling on the definition of a woman. pic.twitter.com/bPJEESRkto
Parents were told – by people they thought were experts – that dire consequences would ensue if their children were not given access to puberty blockers.
Stonewall told managers and employees that “transwomen” were entitled to enter women’s single-sex spaces and sports. It…
[“Parents were told – by people they thought were experts – that dire consequences would ensue if their children were not given access to puberty blockers. Stonewall told managers and employees that “transwomen” were entitled to enter women’s single-sex spaces and sports. It encouraged public and private sector organizations to “go beyond the law” in the hope that this would make gender self-ID the de facto – and eventually de jure – reality. Civil servants and officials around the country have promoted the message that trans-identifying people should be treated in accordance with their “gender identity”. Worst of all, children have been encouraged to believe it’s possible to change sex, and that they will be accepted for all purposes as the opposite sex. All these lies and misrepresentations have caused immense damage. Some of the protests have been repulsive and inexcusable. But the angry, distraught trans-identifying people we are hearing from were lied to by thousands of people who should have known better. When you’ve been living a lie, the truth is very painful. The civil unrest – and political troublemaking – we’ve seen is dangerous. @Keir_Starmer must make a statement welcoming the Supreme Court ruling and strongly affirming his party’s commitment to the rule of law.“]
All of this was entirely predictable as members of our community know. Labour’s plan was simply never going to work. All we are seeing is the effect of what I pointed out before they even came to power 👇👇👇https://t.co/UnqGg0fdl7
Kiev initially rejected Russia's proposal for an Easter truce, but later reversed its stance following apparent external influence, President Vladimir Putin told reporters:https://t.co/9R2gipoZhdpic.twitter.com/CPrwKWT0bz
It is more important to win hearts and minds than to “win” a nuclear arms race. Or any arms race.
Almost all drones in the US are made in China China controls 90 percent of all the world's drone parts, leaving American manufacturers reliant solely on Chinese supply chains, Forbes writes. Washington cannot afford to cut Beijing off from that supply chain, because it will… pic.twitter.com/RI3xIe89b9
[“Almost all drones in the US are made in China China controls 90 percent of all the world’s drone parts, leaving American manufacturers reliant solely on Chinese supply chains, Forbes writes. Washington cannot afford to cut Beijing off from that supply chain, because it will simply “collapse its own drone industry,” the American newspaper adds.”]
In Odessa, almost all of the approximately three dozen kamikaze drones reached their targets
On social networks, Odessans note that the sound of the drones was different from the standard sound accompanying the flight of the Geranium-2 UAV.
[“In Odessa, almost all of the approximately three dozen kamikaze drones reached their targets On social networks, Odessans note that the sound of the drones was different from the standard sound accompanying the flight of the Geranium-2 UAV. A significant portion of the strikes hit the Storm Research Institute, an enterprise actively involved in the supply chain to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.“]
That's mental. I've actually met a Lesbian couple who live together in Kukës, Albania. As far as I know, they've never been persecuted, even though the city of Kukës is more conservative than Tiranë or Durrës. They might have issues in the more traditional rural areas, but the…
Argentine President Javier Milei believes that Russia, the United States and China will establish distinct zones of influence under the emerging new world order:https://t.co/ckfGtcpjxhpic.twitter.com/0ErrVUiXGP
At least one civilian was killed and nine more were wounded following a massive Ukrainian UAV attack on Russia’s borderline city of Kursk in the early hours, the regional operational headquarters reported:https://t.co/9KgNG2oC2Ppic.twitter.com/Qi2hXz11WB
Russia continues to fully comply with the moratorium on attacks on energy facilities, something that cannot be said for Ukraine, Russian Foreign Intelligence Service Director Sergey Naryshkin said:https://t.co/STbXHTZLBApic.twitter.com/WnDBOSLu5K
“A woman smeared faeces on milk bottles and the walls of a nursery and climbed in clinical waste bins for “comfort”, a court heard. Abbi Taylor must have ‘horrified parents’, said a judge at Newcastle Crown Court.
The 46-year-old, from Newmarket Walk, South Shields, South Tyneside, who the court heard identifies and was referred to by all in court as a woman, has pleaded guilty to three counts of dumping bags of toxic materials – nappies containing human waste – at nurseries in the local area.”
[Daily Mirror]
So not a woman at all, but a crazed “trans person”…
There are quite a number of issues which this country really has to address as a matter of urgency. The “trans” nonsense is but one of them.
If Britain continues to fail to address the urgent problems within society, if it continues to facilitate craziness, then the country will go down in blood and fire eventually.
More than 700 illegal migrants are thought to have crossed into Britain today —taking the total to nearly 9,000 since January 1st. This is total chaos. The British people deserve so much better than this. https://t.co/IoJpXj3qvu
Jesus H. Christ! 700 of the bastards! So up to 700 (more) dwelling units now required, 700 loads of medical/dental services, 700 more loads of money given to them every week. Etc.
Voters of Runcorn! It is time for you to make history at the upcoming by-election.
Why do we call Israel an occupier?
🇵🇸 This historic video has just been released showing US President Harry Truman (1945-1953) standing next to a map with the name of the State of Palestine. pic.twitter.com/iHgcCxFy3z
Russian forces struck Ukrainian army personnel and foreign mercenaries in 137 areas over the past day in the special military operation in Ukraine, Russia’s Defense Ministry reported:https://t.co/23cgsJMC84pic.twitter.com/qZmSxEmcDw
[Olympic skating rink, Medeo, near Almaty, Kazakhstan. I myself skated there once, in 1996; I was living at the time about 10 miles away (Prospekt Lenina, Almaty)]
The persecuted satirical singer-songwriter, Alison Chabloz, faces trial under the notorious bad law of the Communications Act 2003, s.127 on 30-31 March 2021 (next Tuesday and Wednesday).
Alison Chabloz welcomes attendance by supporters (Westminster Mags, Marylebone Road, London; nearest Underground–Edgware Road; trial starts at 10.30, but anyone can enter at any time).
The number of Scottish MPs at Westminster varied, in those years, from 72 to (the present position) 59.
The SNP had no more than half a dozen MPs until 2015 (except for the mid/late 1970s, when it had 11). In 2015, the SNP won 56 out of 59 Commons seats (that fell to 35 in 2017, but rose again to 48 in 2019).
[2015 General Election: a map of the results, showing each constituency as a hexagon of equal size, with the black lines showing separations in regions]
[similar map for the 2017 General Election]
[similar map for the 2019 General Election; and note the erosion of Labour support in England]
The SNP is of course a System party itself: pro-Jewish lobby, pro-Israel, pro-immigration, pro-finance capitalism. Domestically, in policy terms, it is mostly somewhere around where Labour was in the mid 1970s.
For me, the interesting speculation is as to whether, should support for the “three main” System parties collapse in England, a new social national party might not do what the SNP did in Scotland. Despite the absence of any credible nationalist (let alone social-national) party in England, it might be possible, in an extreme situation. The considerable though brief success or near-success of the weak conservative nationalist parties, UKIP and Brexit Party, has shown what might still be possible.
Much of what has happened and is still happening in the UK (and the EU states, and Australia/New Zealand) in the past year or so has been a mass psychological experiment, on a huge scale. Social conditioning. Part of the “Great Reset”…
A perfect example of the crap British TV is. True Brits (that means White people!) are almost always shown as dimwitted, rude, coarse, racist (of course!) whereas coloured people are always polite, funny, clever, law-abiding characters. A bit one-sided, don't you think? https://t.co/b8natorjfi
Ironically, Peter Hitchens very good "A Brief History of Crime" from around the same time, is the best critique of this claim. Goes through a long analysis of police numbers to show we were at historic highs for officer numbers, especially considering the tasks they no longer do
I’m sure the present combination of police overreach, harsh anti-civil liberties legislation and growing political intolerance will work out fine. https://t.co/7Rvszi0qF1
At first blush, it may seem strange that I am focussing today on Andrea Jenkyns MP [Con, Morley and Outwood], in that she wants to leave the EU, is an animal-lover and a vegetarian. I support, in essence, all three positions. Also, she has chronic medical conditions, and I always feel sorry for people suffering in that way. However, “there is no religion higher than Truth” and so on, so I am writing about her, though —after thought– I have decided not to include her in my blog category “Deadhead MPs: An Occasional Series”. That decision may reflect mercy more than justice, but so far she falls just the right side of the line.
“Jenkyns was born in Beverley, Humberside. After leaving school at 16, Jenkyns secured employment at Greggs bakery as her first job.[4] When 18, Jenkyns’ father sent her photo off to a beauty pageant and she got into the final for Miss UK.[5] Over the subsequent years Jenkyns changed employment a number of times, performing a number of different roles at different businesses. Her employment history has included being a secondary school music teacher and an executive with a management training company.” [Wikipedia]
What does that show? Not necessarily that she is unacademic or unintelligent. There are reasons, or were, why people drop out of school early (I believe that it is now more or less mandatory for them to stay until 18). In her thirties she did study for a degree (for what it may be worth these days): International Relations and Politics. Her Wikipedia entry does not say that she was awarded the degree or finished the course at the University of Lincoln. It seems that she may have finished the degree over time at the Open University. She was also awarded a diploma in Economics from the Open University, but only when in her forties (she will be 45 in June 2019).
Andrea Jenkyns is a singer and songwriter, who even had a musical hit in South Central Asia at one time.
I started this study thinking that I would find Andrea Jenkyns rather mediocre and even one of my “deadhead MPs”, but find that I slightly warm to her. She is evidently genuinely interested in animal welfare, and got into politics, it seems, from a recognition that the NHS needed to improve its standards, particularly hygiene standards in hospitals, her own father having perished from having developed MRSA.
Sadly, like so many MPs, Andrea Jenkyns seems to think that proper preparation is unnecessary. Not so. Lack of preparation can make you look rather silly.
"I don't fear the WTO!" insists Andrea Jenkyns, mere seconds after being exposed to the apparent kryptonite of simple questions and demonstrating that her pitiful knowledge of the subject barely goes beyond the acronym itself.
Her husband, Giacomo “Jack” Lopresti MP, a former Army reservist, would be able to tell her about the military acronym “the 5 Ps” (PPPPP) (“Proper Preparation Prevents Poor Performance”); the less polite version has 6 Ps.
Nearly three years of Brexit and ERG ‘star’ Andrea Jenkyns still hasn’t done her basic homework. The arrogance of these people is staggering https://t.co/rYlN4yoffm
Andrea Jenkyns is absurd. Nothing going on there at all. Nothing. I think we should all start demanding *a lot* more from our MPs. https://t.co/SeYPeUSv6Y
As mentioned above, I myself strongly favour Leave/Brexit, but the performance of dunce-like Conservative Leave MPs (some of them) makes me fume: Iain Dunce Duncan Smith is another such.
On the even more negative side, it seems that Andrea Jenkyns is a member (like 80% of Con Party MPs) of Conservative Friends of Israel. Her husband, Jack Lopresti, is another one.
As to her future, her constituency is a Con-Lab marginal created in 2010 and held until 2015 by Labour big-hitter and Bilderberger, Ed Balls. Morley and Outwood has had Con and Lab (Labour and Cooperative) within a couple of points of each other in 2010 and 2015, but in 2017 Andrea Jenkyns won with a bigger margin (50.7% as against 46.7% voting Labour). The third-placed (and only other in 2017), the LibDems, scored worse in 2017 than they had in 2015 (2.6% from 3%). This is a trend seen across the country.
UKIP scored 16.5% in 2015, but did not stand in 2017. There is every prospect that, if Brexit Party stands any time soon, that it could outdo UKIP’s 2015 result. It is doubtful that Brexit Party could win, but a vote amounting even to 10%, let alone 16.5% or more, would be enough to destroy the Conservative majority.
There is every reason to think that, unless Brexit Party lets her off the hook by not standing a candidate at the next general election, Andrea Jenkyns will have to add “MP” to her other and previous short-lived employments.
Reading the above again, and again watching Andrea Jenkyns squirm in that Daily Politics clip, I think that I probably was too kind in not including her as a “deadhead MP”. Still, there it is.
Andrea Jenkyns has been given an unexpected gift from the Gods inasmuch as Brexit Party is now not standing against her in the 2019 General Election. That may help her to hang on.
Update, 21 December 2019
The gods again smiled on Andrea Jenkyns: Brexit Party did not field a candidate, Labour’s vote collapsed from 46% of the total to 35%, and so Andrea Jenkyns was re-elected with a increased majority and no less than 56.4% of the total vote.
Andrea Jenkyns, with her husband (or ex-husband; it seems unclear), Jack Lopresti [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_Lopresti] are both Con Party MPs, and both are also members of Conservative Friends of Israel. His constituency (also to be fought on new boundaries) may be “safer” than his wife’s or ex-wife’s, but whether safe enough to save Lopresti from also having to stack shelves is an open question: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Filton_and_Bradley_Stoke_(UK_Parliament_constituency). His only real job prior to becoming an MP was in his family’s ice-cream business (he is of Sicilian origin).
Andrea Jenkyns and Jack Lopresti. Both pro-Israel and the UK Jewish lobby. Kick them both into the political gutter, dear voters.”
Labour 44%, Con 23%, Reform UK 20.4%. Even had all the Reform voters voted for her, Andrea Jenkyns would still have lost. Looks like she has had her 9 years of high pay, good expenses, and other perks. She will probably end up stacking shelves.
The political realities and tendencies of 2025, Reform UK, and Eastern England being as they are, there is every chance that Andrea Jenkyns will win election to that post.
Update, 2 May 2025
Well, there it is. Once again, Andrea Jenkyns, former Greggs employee (etc) has been saved from stacking shelves at Lidl by electoral success. She is now the Mayor of Greater Lincolnshire, a name reminiscent of the inventions of P.G. Wodehouse.
Incidentally, Jack Lopresti, Andrea Jenkyns’ ex-husband, is now sitting at a desk in Kiev doing some kind of military-connected work for the Kiev regime:
“A Tory MP who lost his Westminster seat in the general election last year is now serving in the Ukrainian military.
Jack Lopresti was the MP for Filton and Bradley Stoke, in South Gloucestershire, until Labour’s Claire Hazelgrove secured victory in 2024.
Mr Lopresti, 55, said on social media he was now volunteering for the International Legion of Ukraine, Defence Intelligence.
“It’s a huge honour and an immense privilege for me to serve in the Ukrainian military and be able to help the gallant and amazing Ukrainian people in any way I can,” he said.
Mr Lopresti previously served in the UK Army Reserve as a corporal, and said he was focusing on charity work in the country, supporting veterans, foreign relations and diplomacy and weapons procurement – as well as military duties.“
First of all, semblance. The msm have been attacking Labour and especially Corbyn-Labour ever since his election as Labour leader. Corbyn himself is said to be “a friend of terrorists” (from the IRA to HAMAS and Black September), a paid tool of Iran, as well as (not very crypto-) Communist and “anti-Semite”. In fact, the attacks on Corbyn have come, ultimately, from only one source, the UK Jewish-Zionist lobby. You see it on Twitter. Pretty much all of the Zionist Jews on Twitter say the same things or raise a little storm at the same time. Like a shoal of fish.
The Jewish-Zionist lobby controls the anti-Corbyn MPs in Labour. Slowly, they are being removed or are resigning. John Woodcock has resigned from Labour (though not as MP! He wants to keep getting his pay and very inflated expenses for as long as possible!); Michael Dugher resigned as MP too (and was found a suitably-lucrative job outside politics…); Simon Danczuk (like Woodcock) was mired in sex scandal –apart from anything else– and tried to get re-elected as Independent, only to be humiliated; Luciana Berger tried to get a better-paid job as Mayor of Liverpool, but failed. Others are jumping ship or being shunted toward deselection.
So there we have the semblance: the manufactured storms in the msm about “anti-Semitism” and the other stormlets re. Corbyn as IRA collaborator in the 1970s or 1980s. These mean something to an older generation, perhaps, and of course the “anti-Semite” label means something to the approximately quarter of a million Jews in the UK (hardly any of whom vote Labour now anyway).
However, the anti-Corbyn propaganda is not reaching most people under 40 and, still less, those under 30. They are mostly not much interested by the fact that Jews and/or pro-Israel persons hate Corbyn; as for the “Corbyn was pro-IRA” stuff, even if there is some truth in it, that was mostly about 40 years ago, before they were even born. The under 40s are likely to vote on the basis of reality, meaning their reality.
What do I mean by “reality”? One person’s reality is another person’s “unimportant detail” or “cloud cuckoo land”. That is what most of the msm and the “Remain” whiners failed to understand about the pro-Brexit Leave vote in the EU Referendum: for an affluent family in London or the Home Counties, what mattered was (the perception) that the UK’s economy might be depressed by Brexit, that their daughter might be prevented from taking up that unpaid intern position at a Milan fashion house, that their son might not be able to get a lucrative job as a lawyer or accountant with a transnational enterprise in Brussels, Berlin or wherever; that their holiday home in Provence might lose value; that they might not get cheap Eastern European labour to help in the house or garden; that it might take longer to drive off the ferry during holidays etc.
On the other side, a man in the North of England was asked during the Referendum campaign whether he was worried that UK GDP might suffer if the UK exited the EU. His reply: “not really, it’s only me and the dog anyway…”! Easy to scoff, but that was his reality and arguably as “real” as the paper figures for economic performance are to the staff of the BBC Radio 4 Today Programme. What matters to the soldier in the battle? That the battle was won (or lost), or that he lost his life?
Reality for huge numbers of people (potential voters) in the UK means incredibly expensive and often now basically unaffordable housing (whether rented or bought), expensive and overcrowded transport and roads, an NHS which has declined perceptibly for many years, poor pay, fewer real civil rights, a largely-destroyed social security system, a continuing migration-invasion (though perception re. that is blunted because of the huge, pervasive race-mixing propaganda everywhere, eg in TV ads).
Now when those voters vote, most are going to vote on the basis of that reality, not on the basis that Jews (who are in any case not much liked or trusted, on the whole, by most British people) dislike Corbyn or his supporters, or because Corbyn’s connections with the IRA in the 1970s were very doubtful.
The above musings explain why I think that Labour’s vote is likely to be higher than most commentators in the msm expect. In their reality, what matters is whether Labour is “anti-Semitic”, or anti-EU, or anti the (supposedly) free market, or whether “the economy” might be damaged by Brexit or by a Labour government. Those commentators inevitably think as conditioned by their own circumstances and peer group. They make £100,000 or even (in some cases) £500,000+ a year, and certainly not less than £50,000, whereas the “average” (not median) salary in the UK is only around £28,000 and many many people (either employed or not) are actually surviving on as little as half of that.
The msm commentators own their own homes, often outright; they do not have to spend a third or even half their income on rent; au contraire! Many are actually buy to let parasites themselves! They do not have to live in shared houses, or on decaying council estates.
I am willing to accept that about 25% of the voters will vote Conservative at the next general election whatever the defaults of the governments since 2010, either out of self-interest or because of an ingrained dislike of Labour (or because they see a photo of Diane Abbott on Election Day!). That percentage might even be 35%. The other 65% to 75% is in the hazard. Everything depends, in the crazy UK First Past The Post electoral system, on what happens in the 50-150 more marginal constituencies. In our electoral system, a party needs a concentration of support, a Schwerpunkt. Thus it is that the Green Party, which has about 2% support, has an MP (in Brighton…) yet UKIP, which had a nearly 12% overall vote in 2015, has no MPs.
Though no psephologist, I should say that Labour has every chance of becoming the largest party in the House of Commons after the next general election, even if falling short of a majority. Because voters will vote on their reality, not on newspaper semblance.
Final thoughts
Thinking about blocs of support, Labour has, in broad brush terms, the under-40s, maybe even the under-50s; also the ethnic minorities (except Jews); also almost anyone earning the average salary or less. I cannot see the Conservative Party winning a Commons majority.
Update, 11 December 2020
Looking at the above article more than two years after it was written, my conclusion was wrong even though my reasoning was correct. Ironic.
I underestimated the suggestive power of the mass media and overestimated the common sense of the average voter.
Having said that, only a small number of 2017 Labour Party voters moved to be Conservative Party voters in 2019. The Conservatives increased their vote over that of 2017 by only about 1 point, but Labour’s vote declined by 8 points, and nearly half of that was 2017 Labour voters refusing to vote at all in 2019.
Ian Robert Millard 