Tag Archives: General Election

Diary Blog, 3 October 2025

Afternoon music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Blezard]
[view of Caer Caradoc, the Lawley, and the Wrekin, in Shropshire]

Tweets seen

[“Starmergeddon is not a popular policy. As more and more voters realise the consequences of open borders, mass immigration, net zero, high taxes, #TwoTierPolicing , Britcard, over-stretched and declining public services and a govt in complete denial of their culpability, the inevitable result will be a drift to Reform UK. Given msm is entirely anti-Reform UK, reaching beyond 35% ‘natural’ support is tricky. Only people with access to http://x.com/ have any chance of hearing the truth even if they don’t want to hear it. God save us from the evil globalists and their puppets.“]

Reform UK may not get beyond 35% in a general election, but that is irrelevant in big-picture terms, so long as Con and Lab are both below 25%; at present both are at or below 20%. In fact, even were Reform to score only 25%, with Con and Lab around 20%, Reform would still easily capture a plurality of Commons seats, though without a majority.

Wall. Squad. End.

Starmer-stein, and his Labour Friends of Israel cabal, masquerading as a legitimate government.

Worth reminding people also that the Chief Rabbi of the UK , Mirvis, was born in South Africa, lived most of his life in Israel, later lived in Ireland, and only then arrived in this country. This is not, in any sense, his country.

The Jewish embedded establishment, and other Jew-Zionists, are using the recent Manchester incident as a peg on which to hang policies such as destruction of free speech generally, repression of the long-standing rights of assembly and protest, and repression of any online or offline expression deemed “anti-Semitic”. Also, of course repression of any street protests against the appalling behaviour of Israeli Jews in Israel, the West Bank, and Gaza.

Hundreds of thousands of Gazan civilians, mostly women and children killed by Israeli Jews. Children and others killed or maimed as part of sadistic sniper games played by Israeli Jew snipers, deliberate starvation of a massive population. Etc.

Late tweets seen

[“Total mobilization The Kiev regime has turned Ukraine into a concentration camp. Round-the-clock rounds to capture potential recruits continue. Meanwhile, attacks on TCC employees are becoming more frequent. While previously limited to setting cars on fire, now even the “military commissars” themselves are facing threats to their lives and health. Yesterday, in Kryvyi Rih, a potential recruit attacked TCC employees with a knife and cut them. Similar incidents are becoming more frequent.“]

Unsurprising. Of course people try to flee, hide, in extremis fight back, rather than join the shambolic corrupt “army” of the Kiev regime. To be sent to the front-lines is not far off a death sentence now.

[“Assassination attempt on Bashar al-Assad fails A few days before the military delegation of the new Syrian regime arrived in Moscow, Assad was poisoned Assad was discharged from a hospital on the outskirts of Moscow early on Tuesday, September 30, and his condition was described as currently stable A source told the Observatory that access to Assad during his hospitalization was strictly limited, with only his brother Maher al-Assad and former Secretary-General for Presidential Affairs, Mansour Azam, being allowed to visit him.“]

Presumably treated at the “Kremlin Clinic” (in fact, located on the outskirts of Moscow), where, in the old Soviet rhyme:

“Полы паркетные – врачи анкетные” (“poli parketniye, vrachi anketnyie”), i.e. where “the floors are parquet, and the doctors are vetted“.

❝ Полы паркетные, врачи анкетные ❞

[🙊 Советские пословицы и поговорки🔗 https://citaty.info/quote/515162: в советское время предназначавшейся для лечения исключительно работников высшего партийного и советского аппарата. Главным критерием при отборе медперсонала для работы в этих комфортабельных больницах служил не высокий профессиональный уровень, а анкетные данные, как тогда говорили, “чистая анкета”.]

If the opinion poll predictions of a post GE 2029 Conservative Party having maybe only 30 MPs, or even as few as 7, are correct, then the leadership election which is all but inevitable will in reality be equivalent to several bald men and women fighting over a comb.

Late music

Diary Blog, 16 September 2025, including thoughts about the pensioner voting bloc, Israel, and Gaza

Morning music

Tweets seen

Works out as Reform UK 365 MPs, Labour 110, LibDems 69, SNP 36, Cons 35, Greens 7 (etc).

Look at the news in the above two tweets. Both show how very badly the UK is being run.

I think that that poster is already out of date. Maybe by 2050 rather than 2066.

Been there, said that (on the blog, a few days ago)…

What goes around comes around“.

“Their” time will come. Israel is doomed. Those who have facilitated the Jew-Zionist-Israel brutality amounting to genocide will be punished, wherever they may be.

Whether it be labelled “genocide” or not, the behaviour of the Israeli Jews in Gaza (and, by extension, the behaviour of those that support the same from countries such as the UK) has been appalling, particularly over the past nearly 2 years.

As (for the past 2 years) a State Pension recipient myself (albeit that mine is cut back severely because of years spent overseas), I appreciate the Triple Lock…

The lady tweeter there, one Fiona-Natasha Syms, who thinks that State Pension increases —at least— should be reduced is the ex-wife of a former Conservative Party MP who lost his seat in 2024. She was once employed by her then husband via his MP expenses.

The said lady appears to have a house in the country as well as one in London, and heads (if that is the word, i.e. if assuming that there exist actual supporters) an organization (which may exist only in her own head) called “Moderates” or “#Moderates”, the policy of which seems to be some odd conflation of pro-immigration madness and David Cameron-Levita supposed “competence” and “compassion” (I have to say I did not see much of that as Cameron demonized the British sick, disabled and unemployed, and blamed them for the UK’s financial problems).

If the lady tweeter in question thinks that removing the Triple Lock is a vote-winner, she is very much mistaken. Sunak’s one-year removal of it probably put paid to his chances of success in 2024; now, Kemi Carpetbagger seems to be wavering, but she is washed-up anyway.

The first political party in government to remove the Triple Lock will lose the pensioner vote, or 90%+ of it, at once and forever. The bloc of those over 55 years of age (so pensioners plus those within about a decade of becoming pensioners) comprises at least 40% of all voters, and over 50% in quite a few marginal seats.

That, also is a voting bloc which, by and large, does vote, whereas younger voters, esp. twenty-somethings, tend not to bother. The 40% and 50% figures just given are therefore, and on the ground, more like 50% and 60%. Any party or made-up party (such as that lady’s “Moderates”) ignores the realities at its peril.

The lady tweeter and her imaginary “Moderates” prefer to imagine throwing money at largely-parasitic non-European immigrants, or at the equally-parasitic Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev, rather than on supporting the lives of the older Brit population. I call thatmadness“.

More tweets

In any case, a flight would have no more than a couple of hundred passengers. 1,000-2,000 migrant-invaders are coming in, illegally, every single day. Another (?)5,000+ are entering “legally”. Then we have births to non-Europeans resident here, and births to white women impregnated by non-whites. Terminal, unless stopped.

Evening tweets

Whatever happens in the short-term, Israel is doomed.

See also:

Plaid Cymru, though useless, is a default vote. Reform may be seen as an “English” party, but I do not know if that matters. After all, a fairly high proportion of the inhabitants of Wales are English anyway. About 11%.

Reform’s finance-capitalist bias may also deter potential Welsh voters.

Still, Reform and Plaid are effectively on the same level of support now; Reform may even be ahead, bearing margin of error in polling.

Labour 14%…at one time, and not so long ago, Labour was the only game in town (in Wales). That was then. There were still coal mines, steelworks etc widespread in South Wales even 40-50 years ago. Now— nothing very much.

As for the Conservative Party, never very strong in Wales, not for the past 80+ years, they are just finished now.

I saw that you can get about 5/1 on Betfair Politics about Kemi Badenoch being replaced in 2025. I think that is a value bet. The odds about her being replaced in 2026 are odds-on, just below even money. She is toast, but the question is when.

On the face of it, remarkable for Reform, but this is really a “nein danke!” for both Lab and Con.

A sinister tribe.

A very sinister tribe.

Jesus H. Christ! What a total crazie!

If this is what (fake) “democracy” provides by way of MPs, then give me (social-national) dictatorship every time…

Incidentally, this seems to be her: Llinos Medi, a previously unemployed divorced mother of two, before that an egg-seller, teaching assistant and care worker. Completely uneducated. Says that her priorities are “the economy, health and wellbeing of the citizens of North Wales.” [Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Llinos_Medi] (and so she proposes importing thousands if not millions of Afghans…).

I would have said that the woman is just a crazy bad joke, but such people are actually dangerous in their positions, and their influence via mainstream platforms.

Fortunately, she will be chucked out at the next general election.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ynys_M%C3%B4n_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s

[“In the last 10 days, I’ve spoken to people in Birmingham, Eastleigh, Bognor Regis, Bexley, Wearside, Southend, & Halifax. I am telling you Westminster has no idea what’s coming. The hardworking, tax-paying, law-abiding, forgotten majority has had enough of what is happening to their country. I’ve never felt energy like this. It’s bigger than Brexit.“]

I think so. The point being that it is not even a matter of how incomplete or arguably flawed are the policies (or personalities) of Reform UK. This is the less-violent (so far) Brit equivalent of burning down parliaments and palaces, or setting up guillotines at Westminster. It is a movement against the old parties more than one that is pro-Reform, let alone pro-Farage as a kind of underwhelming “Fuhrer”-second-time-around.

Late music

Diary Blog, 2 September 2025

Afternoon music

[me in London in 1992, in the wig and gown (robes) of a junior barrister]

Tweets seen

Another Israeli war crime.

Well, I have to say that Putin certainly does not look as if he is about to “snuff it”, as the UK msm has been saying for years…

https://twitter.com/SprinterExpres0/status/1962823915136323808

[“I am reading that Graham Linehan has been arrested by armed police at Heathrow because of 3 Twitter/X posts regarding trans and has been banned from posting. If true, this is OUTRAGEOUS and makes a total mockery of Keir Starmer’s claim to @JDVance there is “no problem with free speech” in the UK.”]

Britain in 2025.

As a matter of fact, years ago I supported (on the blog) that Linehan person, after he was chucked off Twitter (he was later reinstated), despite the fact that he had crowed mightily when I was expelled from Twitter at the instigation of a pack of Jews in 2018.

Still, I have never had a problem with seizing and retaining the “moral high ground”…

#MoralHighGround

See also:

Similar to many other recent polls. Reform more than simply “well ahead”; really the only contender at present. Labour abandoned by senior citizens/pensioners, and most white English/British voters generally, and even by “the young” (16-24 age group), who are switching to Green or the LibDems.

Labour is now really just the party of a small tranche of virtue-signalling English/British idiots, some of the better-paid public service workers, and some of the ethnic minorities, mainly the blacks and Pakistanis etc, though Starmer-stein’s Israel puppetry or serfdom has turned off even many of those.

As for the Conservative Party, its voter base is now almost exclusively those better-off pensioners who do not really keep up with events, and have voted Conservative all their lives. Habit voters.

It is not impossible to imagine a Con Party national vote of around 15% at the next general election, which would leave the Cons with as few as a couple of dozen MPs.

Well, the French Army (l’armee de terre) has, including all reserves, a strength of 150,000, so if casualties evacuated are to be 50,000, the dead and wounded together might be around (?) 75,000, i.e. half the strength of the entire land army.

Is Macron really intending to get involved in a war with Russia? Does he really think that he can re-introduce conscription in France? If so, how long does he think that he has to get untrained youths battle-ready from scratch?

Actually, if France gets involved in a war with Russia, 50,000 hospital beds will be far from enough— Paris has over 2M people, and might be subjected to attack by nuclear missiles, as might the major strategic military and naval facilities, such as the submarine base at Crozon in Brittany.

A second French Revolution might happen if Macron is doing more than rattling his sabre.

Surreal. Waving to non-existent crowds.

Late tweets seen

[“Egyptian general stated the high accuracy of Iranian missiles.

According to him, Iran has developed a model that ensures extremely precise missile strikes on targets.

What is officially announced is much less than what actually happened.

He noted that the level of concealment by Israel of the damage from Iranian strikes far exceeds our expectations.

The scale of this defeat is enormous: the failure of air defense systems such as THAAD, Arrow, “David’s Sling”, Patriot, “Hetz” and “Iron Dome”.]

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurt_Atterberg]

Diary Blog, 23 August 2025

Afternoon music

Saturday quiz

Well, this week brings another victory over political journalist John Rentoul, who scored 4/10. I scored 7/10. I did not know the answers to questions 1, 6, and 9.

Tweets seen

[“The reason Substacks and new media are thriving is because millions of people are utterly sick of the same liberal centrist dross being served up and shoved down our throats —from the BBC to much of the MSM—and then presented as some kind of “insight” when, in reality, it reflects the worldview of a 5-10% elite minority who still think we are living in 1997 and have failed to see that, actually, people don’t want liberalism on steroids. This elite minority is filled with people who went to the same schools, the same universities, who all basically think the same, live in the same postcodes, and are so obsessed with conforming to the Groupthink or their own social status that they never come close to representing or understanding the wider country. The only thing they want to do is maintain a dismal status-quo that was largely built by this elite class to serve the interests of this elite class. You can criticise me, that’s fine, but this is also why we are now one of the largest independent politics newsletters in the West (http://mattgoodwin.org), and why many others are also emerging, because people see through the Blob and they’ve had enough of it. Because they are the ones having to live with the reality of what this elite class has done to the country —an elite class that now also has the gall to say “yes we get your concerns but don’t be too annoyed/we don’t like your tone”. Do you see how utterly deluded large parts to legacy media now look to everybody else? Look for example at the stuff your own paper has been pushing on immigration. It is so obviously biased and disconnected from the mounting pile of evidence that it is embarrassing to read and, even worse, the reason you won’t change your tune is because you view the truth as “low status” and everybody can see it. Do you have one columnist, a single columnist, who genuinely reflects the mood of the average voter right now? Nope. Hence why the Tories are collapsing. Hence why legacy media is haemorrhaging viewers and listeners. Hence why liberal centrists (sorry, “conservatives”) are sitting around, scratching their heads, wondering why nobody is interested in them anymore. Still, the failures of MSM are what is driving the success of new media and the realignment of politics so keep doing what you’re doing …“]

Finkelstein, a Jew-Zionist who has “done rather well” for himself while the UK has gradually been sliding into the mire over the past decades.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Finkelstein

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_Leadership_Council

We are the “Noticers”…

Good, but not enough.

The “rubber boat” invaders are only 5% of the overall problem; indeed, if births to non-Europeans are taken into account, even less.

I think that the British people have largely made up their collective mind: Farage and Reform are slightly underwhelming, but are the only game in town to vote for in order to hit out at the System parties that have done so much damage. Everyone now knows that, at every by-election, and every local election, from now until the next general election, and then at that general election, the way to stamp on both Lab and Con is to vote Reform.

The Reform vote at the next general election will probably be between 30% and 45%, and even the 30% level will be enough to sink Starmer-stein and his Labour Friends of Israel regime.

“Labour” ceased to be “the party of the working man” a long long time ago, and certainly no later than 1997.

Travelogue by train

Animal magic

More tweets seen

An utter cretin.

I shall be interested and amused to see the progress, if any, of the new party being set up by Corbyn and the comedic-named Zara Sultana. I am told that about a quarter of Labour members will join, defecting from Starmer-Labour. A quarter of members, maybe, but I apprehend that only about a tenth of Labour voters, if that, will defect at the next general election. At present, official Labour is registering about 20%-28% in the opinion polls. That seems to put Corbyn-Labour on maybe 2% or 3%. I doubt that Corbyn’s new party will attract more than 10% of the entire election vote; maybe 5%. Even 10% may not result in more than one or two MPs. Corbyn himself, and maybe Ms. Sultana, in both of whose constituencies the vote may be more concentrated.

[“If you are not from the UK then you should know there are currently dozens of protests happening right now across the country against illegal migration, broken borders, the sexual assault of our children, and the fact our own government is using our own money to outbid our own people in our own housing market by bankrolling private firms to put illegal migrants into the heart of our communities with more favourable rental contracts, all while giving us a bill of £7 BILLION a year and calling us “far right” if we say anything about it.”]

Impressive, but no more so than the one that stood in the garden of my parents’ house at Reigate Hill, Surrey, circa 1980. The house itself was called Sequoiah (the Native American name for giant redwood). I think that tree was about 100 years old at the time.

Late music

[Victor Ostrovsky, Distraction]

Diary Blog, 7 August 2025

Morning music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Rutter]

Talking point

There is now effectively nothing left of the original, or even original post-WW2 (1945-1989), Labour Party.

Tweets seen

The irrelevance of the Conservative Party is plainly seen there. Despite Starmer-stein having a disapproval rating of 60%, and Kemi Badenoch having one of “only” 35%, when it comes to positive approval, the two are both down in the trough of public esteem: Starmer 23%, Kemi Badenoch 24%. Indeed, fewer people actively disapprove of Kemi Badenoch (35%) than disapprove of Farage (41%), but when it comes to positive approval, Farage, on 37%, easily outpaces Kemi Badenoch’s 24%.

41% of people are unsure as to whether they approve or disapprove of Kemi Badenoch, a sure sign that she has made little impression on the public (and it can be seen that what impression she has made is mostly not favourable). By contrast, only 22% of the public are “unsure” about Farage— people either approve or disapprove of him, in almost equal numbers.

People are even more sure about Starmer. Only 17% are “unsure” about him, but 60% disapprove of him.

Quite simple. 14 years of total maladministration and misgovernment finished the Conservative Party with most of the electorate, though 3 out of every 12 voters who voted (3 out of every 20 eligible) still voted Con in 2024 (Labour had 4 out of 20 or 4 out of 12). Most of those Con voters were over 60 years of age, many over 80. They have mostly now gone to Reform UK, and many are expiring daily by reason of old age etc. The next general election may not be until 2029; how many habitual Con voters will have expired by then?

The young (anyone under 30, indeed the vast majority under 40) will not be voting Con. Most of the ethnic minority (rapidly becoming majority) voters prefer Labour or other parties. So who is left?

Once again, the “snake in the grass” here is the Jewish-Zionist/Israel lobby in the UK, which has most of the politicians of the two main System parties (and Reform, too, it seems) in its pocket. The (((lobby))) wants many many organizations banned or prosecuted; it wants many individuals prosecuted, too (they have already tried it with me: see below:

Strange that that former Conservative Party tweeter, Fiona-Natasha Syms (her ex-husband was Conservative Party MP for Poole until 2024; he lost by a mere 18 votes; and she worked for him, paid generously out of her ex-husband’s MP expenses) thinks that (of all people) Yvette Cooper is to be admired. Nein danke! Yvette Cooper is a would-be dictator, very dishonest, a moneygrubber and expenses cheat (as was her husband, Ed Balls), and a “refugees welcome” dimwit to boot! Also, like all of Starmer-stein’s Cabinet —except a few servile Muslims— a member of Labour Friends of Israel.

Short-sighted Con voters in some parts of England have, in the past couple of decades, shown themselves willing, in my view very wrongly, to vote for non-Europeans such as Kemi Badenoch as their constituency MP, so long as the right party label is affixed. Putting promises of low taxation etc above racial or national pride. That has led to the brainless Conservatives imagining that the country as a whole will vote, in effect, for a party led by a non-white MP. Very misguided. Look at Sunak.

True, that was not the only factor that sank the Conservatives at GE2024, but it was one important factor. Sunak was, in that sense, more “electable” than Kemi Badenoch. After all, people look at Indians en masse and see business, at least some organizational skills and, in Sunak’s case, a UK upbringing. Added to that, the vast wealth of his wife’s family and so his own wealth, meaning that, whether rightly or wrongly, he is at least perceived to be “in it” not for personal money reasons. Compare that to Kemi Badenoch, a loudmouth careerist carpetbagger.

Most Brits, not unfairly, look at Nigeria and see chaotic maladministration, corruption even worse than that of India, and nothing at all to admire. Kemi Badenoch was not even brought up in the UK. Her parents made sure that she was born in London, so that (under the law as it then was, in 1980) she could later claim a British passport, but she was only in the UK for a few days before being returned to Nigeria. She lived there and in the USA until at least age 16.

For those who say that Kemi Badenoch is scarcely a typical Nigerian, well, yes. As F. Scott Fitzgerald said, in effect (not an exact quotation), “the rich are different from you and me; they have more money“.

Yes, Kemi Badenoch is not a typical Nigerian. I have known a few like her, such as the Nigerian princess with whom I was acquainted in the mid/late 1980s, and whose (much older) husband was a Federal High Court judge in Nigeria. However, the basic model is still there, not far under the surface. (if anyone is interested, that Nigerian princess was shot dead in her luxury apartment in Lagos , nearly 30 years ago; Lagos is a rather dangerous place).

I just cannot believe that the British public will vote for a Prime Minister who is a Nigerian woman. The very idea, at least to me, is utterly farcical.

When you add to that her abrasive personality etc, you see how disastrous Kemi Badenoch is for the Conservative Party, which looks increasingly irrelevant.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kemi_Badenoch

No, don’t resign. Stay in place, dragging down your double salary (MP + ministerial) plus expenses, and making money out of being an exploitative private landlady. That will help to sink Starmer-stein’s Labour Friends of Israel government even faster.

Anyone who has had to deal with the chaotic crazy mess called “HMRC” will be familiar with the term “Kafka-esque“. I am glad to say that my interaction with them ceased some 13-14 years ago (in relation to matters now 20-40 years in the past). I found it hard to believe, at the time, that such chaotic maladministration could exist in this country.

[incidentally…internet definitions of “Kafka-esque“:

extremely unpleasant, frightening, and confusing, and similar to situations described in the novels of Franz Kafka: He is caught up in a Kafkaesque bureaucratic nightmare. The urban landscape is invested with a nightmarish, Kafkaesque bleakness.”

and/or

Synonyms of Kafkaesque:

  • surreal.
  • unusual.
  • irrational.
  • illogical.
  • strange.
  • unreasonable.
  • weird.
  • misleading.

From what I read in newspapers, HMRC has not improved much, if at all, since they decided to engage in dialogue with me 13-18 years ago.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HM_Revenue_and_Customs#Controversies

In fact, HMRC reminded me slightly of the 1950 comic novel, The Way Backwards.

Translates to about 414 Reform UK MPs, 94 Labour, 54 LibDems, 37 SNP, Cons 21.

That would be a Commons majority greater than that of Starmer in 2024, and almost as great as that of Blair in 1997. Prior to that, very large majorities were achieved in the early 1930s, in the 1920s, and by Earl Grey’s government of 1832. All times of sweeping change.

Of course, 32% of the popular vote is not huge in historical terms, but is about what Starmer-Labour gathered-in in 2024. It hardly matters that your vote is “only” 32% if your main opponents are getting 20% and 16%.

War is hell, even when unavoidable. May victory attend the forces of Russia in Eastern Ukraine, and be the forerunner of genuine peace.

More music

[river Severn]

More tweets

[“Former heads of the army, police, Shin Bet, Mossad, and Israeli military intelligence issued a joint statement calling for an immediate end to the war in Gaza. They emphasized that this conflict is no longer just and poses a threat to the very identity of Israel, its values, and its international image.“]

I wonder whether the fanatically pro-Israel Jew-Zionists of the UK (etc), such as those malicious abusers of the English legal system, the so-called “Campaign Against Antisemitism” [“CAA”], are listening?

Incidentally, I see that lying perjurer Gideon Falter, the head or figurehead of the “Campaign Against Antisemitism”, was allowed to publish a fairly long opinion piece in the Daily Telegraph. The horrible little bastard had the sheer gall to write about the small number of Israeli hostages held by Hamas in Gaza that they now look like Jews starved in German camps at the end of the Second World War.

That at a time when an Arab Palestinian population in the many hundreds of thousands, including huge numbers of civilians (many of them children), is being deliberately starved to death in Gaza by the (Israeli) Jews, a para-military campaign backed to the hilt by (non-Israeli) Jews such as Falter.

As a matter of fact, I should not be surprised if Falter, effectively an agent of influence of a foreign power, Israel, is not an Israeli passport-holder himself, perhaps a dual Israel/UK passport-holder (maybe even a triple passport-holder (Israel/UK/Austria).

I accept that the hostages in Gaza should be released, but the Palestinians have been pushed to the genocidal brink, and have few chips to play.

Israel should also release its own prisoners, of course. Some of them have also been brutalized and starved.

I once stayed overnight at Mappin’s hotel, a Victorian castle hotel at Tintagel, North Cornwall, the one-time seat of King Arthur. In late 2001; December 2001. It was not really run properly as “an hotel” should be; I believe that, since then, it has been taken in hand by Mappin, the heir to a very considerable fortune (think Mappin & Webb, the jewellers). I just read today that he bought it in 1999.

When I was there, it was hugely atmospheric, like a decayed private castle, an effect emphasized by the fact that my wife and I were the only guests, and the staff, in the evening at least, consisted of a not terribly welcoming middleaged Englishman and his (possibly Austrian) wife. I recall that our rather cold room (I think it may have had a four-poster, and an ancient bar fire set into the wall) cost £200 a night, quite expensive in the money of 24 years ago. Akin maybe to £400+ today.

I well recall, after eating informally at a local pub in the nearby village (no restaurant open then at the Castle), being seated before a Hollywood-film-scale blazing fire in the Great Hall, and being served a double or triple Irish whiskey, the absence of other guests making it seem as if we were in our own home (or castle).

In the morning, a very pleasant and very rickety old retainer-woman served breakfast in a long gallery, her tiny grandchild hanging onto her skirts, as the Cornish winter waves crashed onto the rocks below, as in Rebecca.

Memorable.

I blogged, years ago, about our stay. The Castle once played host to many of the rich and famous, especially in the years before the First World War. Composers such as Arnold Bax, and Elgar (who wrote much of his Second Symphony in the very room in which we were staying): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Symphony_No._2_(Elgar)#Extra-musical_considerations.

I expect it is very different today.

Ah. Just saw their website. Very different today, and much-modernized: https://camelotcastle.com/rooms/.

Good to see that Mappin is awake to at least part of the problem in the UK, but he is so very careful to push the “peaceful” protest idea— writing to MPs, becoming a candidate in elections etc. Yes but no but…

That pro-migration invasion crazie, shouting wildly, is one Jonathan Lis, a Jewish msm scribbler and “political commentator” (apparently): https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/nov/22/jewish-voting-labour-antisemitism-progressive-government

Typical.

I wonder whether the Israelis would allow echt-British/English people to go to Israel, scribble for newspapers, and go onto Israeli TV angrily urging more and more (non-Jewish) migration to Israel. The very idea is, of course, ludicrous, and would be even were those non-Jews born in Israel, which would be almost impossible anyway.

Late tweets seen

So says great foreign policy and grand strategy “expert” Ben Wallace, a half-pay retired captain (his highest rank in the Army).

On 23 February 2022, Wallace was filmed saying that the Scots Guards “kicked the backside” of Nicholas I of Russia during the Crimean War, and could do so again. Russia invaded Ukraine the following day.[58]“]

[Wikipedia]

An idiot.

What does “Field Marshal” Wallace think that Britain, which scarcely has an army now anyway, or air force, or navy, can bring to the table? He seems to think that Britain can almost impose a Pax Britannica. That last bottle must have been a good one.

She has now either resigned or been pushed out: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14980971/Labour-homelessness-minister-resigns.html

https://twitter.com/MosabAbuToha/status/1953248650643075399

“Ukraine” (Kiev regime) “fighting until it wins the war” is now impossible. It always was, even if “victory” means merely taking over the oblasti of Crimea, Lugansk, and Donetsk (rather than any capture of the territory of pre-2014 Russia or destruction of the Russian armies in the field).

Reality has now been accepted by the vast majority of Ukrainians, and I expect that a majority would now accept Russian rule over all Ukraine east of the Dnieper.

Late music

[Levitan, Evening Bells]

Diary Blog, 22 July 2025

Morning music

Talking point

Farage is, of course, correct. This blog has been warning about it for the past 8-9 years (since 2016/2017), and in exactly the same terms.

Societal collapse is not usually immediate, but may take decades, or even hundreds of years (as in “the Fall of the Roman Empire”). It does not necessarily look dramatic, especially in the early stages.

Tweets seen

It would be very good to see freeloading and thick-as-two-short-planks “diversity hire”, Lammy, indicted and on trial.

Imagine what might happen if a couple of atomic “suitcase bombs” were to explode in the USA, say one in New York City and another in Washington D.C….

The Jewish lobby in countries such as the UK is “standing with Israel”, and so is complicit in the crimes of Israeli Jews. Organizations such as the evil/malicious “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA”, operating anonymously out of post office boxes etc, are semi-clandestine offshoots of the Israeli Embassy, and abuse the English legal system, including the criminal justice system, in a kind of politically-motivated “lawfare”.

In the UK, we harbour a “fifth column”, which should be rooted out.

…about which the Jew-Zionist lobby is either silent, or actually blames the child (and other) victims, and while continuing to whine endlessly about what the Germans are alleged to have done to Jews sometime around 1944, over 80 years ago…

More tweets

Notional result at election— Reform 304 MP (22 short of bare majority), Labour 171, LibDems 71, Cons 44, SNP 26 (etc).

The important thing is that, as in all opinion polls for almost the past year, Reform still leads Labour. Also, the decline of the Con Party continues. It is bumping along the bottom of its core support now. Most are very elderly people, and many of them will not even survive to see the next general election, still anything up to 4 years away. I feel that the Con Party is finished. It has lost relevance, and really much of its default credibility.

More music

[A Rainy Day at Lower Regent Street, by Tushar Sabale]

Quite atmospheric.

The Foreign Office once had a kind of down-at-heel outstation in Lower Regent Street, a building called Charles House. Further down the street, out of view of that painting (behind where the artist must have stood), and on the other side of the street, a building so unmemorable that few will have noticed its departure. I do not think that it even had “Foreign and Commonwealth Office” on the outside, just “Charles House”.

I see now that, the outside obviously having been cleaned of a century of grime, it is currently, or was recently, being offered for commercial rental: https://www.gryphonpropertypartners.com/property-details/charles-house-5-11-regent-street-sw1/154.html

[Charles House, 5-11 Lower Regent Street, SW1; photograph c.2025 (?)]

Just found it on Rightmove. Lease offered by something called Levy Properties or similar. Wouldn’t you know?…

The interior seen on Rightmove now looks very bright and open-plan, quite different to what it was in 1978 or 1979, when I had to go there once (some bureaucratic nonsense about my passport, which was being held by them).

The building was then very dark and gloomy, there were few if any people about, and the visitor (I was the only one, it seemed) was, and had to be, closely escorted by an unsmiling old dragon dressed in a dark-blue uniform, a bit like the female prison guards sometimes seen in old British films. The few windows were draped in thick and filthy net curtains (to deter both snoopers and bomb fragments; this was still IRA-terrorism days).

The dragon took me to the room in question, and waited for me outside, later escorting me back to the very unwelcoming front desk, and making sure I left.

More tweets seen

A reshuffle of the pack….and all the cards are jokers.

What rudery! After all, Cleverly has a degree in Hospitality Management Studies from Ealing College of Higher Education, no less! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Cleverly.

So the msm should stop saying that Russia is a threat to Europe.

[“NEW POST. Here are four things that just happened in Britain. A 24-year-old father was brutally stabbed to death in an affluent part of London after a man tried to steal his watch. An Albanian with 50 criminal convictions was allowed to stay in the country after a judge ruled his crimes were “not extreme enough”. A pensioner who said he “just wanted to go home” was beaten to death in Islington by three teenage girls who filmed the brutal assault on their phone for entertainment. And an asylum-seeker from Syria, Mohammed Wahid Mohammed, who was working illegally in Britain, repeatedly raped a 12-year-old girl in Birmingham. What do all these shocking, hideous, and truly awful cases have in common? They are all utterly depressing symbols of Lawless Britain —a chaotic, dark, degraded society that looks more like the fictional city Gotham than a modern, civilised nation. A place where the hardworking, law-abiding majority have completely had enough and which could easily decide the outcome of the next general election Welcome Lawless Britain“]

Goodwin may be right. It is getting to the point where whatever Farage and Reform do, what they fail to do, whatever deficiencies they display, people are just going to say, in effect, “the old parties have failed; time for something or someone else.”

Salus populi suprema lex esto [Cicero].

[“The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump increasingly views Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as a “madman” who undermines Washington’s diplomatic efforts in the Middle East, reported “Axios”.

Despite the ceasefire, American officials have become significantly more disturbed by Netanyahu’s behavior and policies, “Axios” reported on Sunday, citing sources familiar with the situation. “Bibi behaved like a madman. He constantly bombs everything,” the newspaper quoted White House officials as saying.“]

I should imagine that the Israeli intelligence services find a fertile field for agent-recruitment in Iran, in view of the existing political tensions there. The big deterrent, for the potential agents, is of course what happens to them if they are caught.

France, more than any other country, is the preserver of traditional European culture (though UNESCO’s remit is of course wider than that).

If I were a rich man“…

Just don’t come here…

(applies also to Arabs and others…).

[“In Saudi Arabia, illegal migrants are imprisoned, fined & deported with no legal process In Qatar, they are detained & deported without appeal In Australia, they are detained offshore with no chance of settling In Britain? We put them up in luxury hotels with welfare and swimming pools then wonder why they keep coming.”]

Late music

Diary Blog, 9 March 2025, including thoughts about Reform UK— where from here?

Afternoon music

[painting by Konstantin Razumov]

Thoughts about Reform UK— where does it go from here?

Reform UK peaked (at least so far) recently at about 28% in the opinion polls; the latest shows Reform around 25%. Not bad, all the same, when the Cons are around 21% and Labour between 25% and 28%. What now, though?

We have been here, more or less, before, with Brexit Party. That deflated for various reasons, not least because voters saw it, not wrongly, as a kind of (real?) Conservative Party. Arguable either way. Farage then stabbed his party in the back so that “Boris”-idiot’s Con Party could “win” the 2019 General Election.

This time around, I think that Farage at least, and maybe the other 4 Reform MPs, want to succeed. After all, they have every chance now that the fake Labour (Friends of Israel) Government is proving even less popular than it was when elected (by the votes of only 4 out of every 20 eligible voters, and out of every 12 actual voters).

At present, we do not have a Labour government, but a Labour Friends of Israel government.

The Conservative Party, equally fake, is still only around 21% in the polls, and few see it as having much chance under the Nigerian woman.

Reform has now hit a reef. Rupert Lowe has been binned, and so will stay on as only an independent MP, unless he either re-enters Reform, defects to the Con Party, or steps down (thus precipitating a by-election).

Reform is a System party in embryonic or fledgling form. Not social-national. However, it has (still) the potential to raise awareness among the people, to shift the “Overton Window”, thus facilitating social national organizations, including political parties, to rise up.

The System would like to revert to the old tweedledum/tweedledee Lab/Con binary (with LibDems as the “alternative” System “dustbin” in the middle). Failing that, to turn Reform into a kind of deeper blue Con Party.

Which way will Reform go?

It has to go for more social-national policies. I see that Matt Goodwin, arguably Reform’s best propagandist (though he may or may not be a member) is now saying that the State should not support the unemployed, sick, disabled etc (so much). This is a rehash of not only the failed and nasty policies of Dunce Duncan Smith, the Jew “lord” Freud etc (2010-2015) but also those being put forward by both Con and Lab at present. Beggar the pensioners, the sick, the disabled, the unemployed, so that money can be thrown at the Jew-Zionist regime in Kiev, or wasted on more useless “defence” spending, or wasted aiding the Jew-Zionist regime in “Israel”/Occupied Palestine.

Reform UK needs to go outside its comfort zone of discontented former Con voters. 8 out of every 20 eligible voters did not vote. Go for their votes.

At present, Reform seems to have a ceiling of 30% support. It needs to nail down some of the truly disenchanted votes. If it can reach 30%, then stretch to 35% by the time of the next general election, it can change British politics forever, and then, if it fades, usher in a truly social-national movement.

Also, the present disunity repels voters. In unity is strength.

If it can weather the storms, Reform can form the next government, but it needs to present an attractive and, above all, powerful image. If it cannot, then the whole thing may just fall to pieces.

Whatever happens with Reform, though, social nationalism is starting to get moving, under the surface of events.

Tweets seen

[“New. Freedom of Information requests reveal 10,500 foreign prisoners are costing UK taxpayers more than £1.3 million a day -Ministry of Justice/Telegraph.”]

So about 9%-10% of prisoners in UK prisons are foreign.

Further to that, if you took out all non-white and non-Brit prisoners, inc. those born here, the prisons would not even be half-full. Fact. That despite the fact that non-whites are still a minority (about 20%) of the whole UK population.

I have not been a barrister for a number of years, but even 30 years ago, the proportion of non-whites in UK prisons (and defendants in English courts) was huge.

[me as barrister in London, circa 1992]

[“There are no words to describe how disturbing UK policing has become: ‘If we protest for Palestine, Sudan, Congo we can’t stay. If we protest for Israel we can stay?’ ‘Yes’ Just what instructions and from whom, are being given to British police.“]

[Cressida Dick, when Commissioner of Metropolitan Police, in “cocktail party” conversation with Gideon Falter of the malicious ‘Campaign Against Antisemitism’ fake charity (pressure group) at a Jewish police event held at Scotland Yard]

The police are under constant pressure from the Jew-Zionist lobby and/or Israel lobby, of which the “CAA” is but a minor part.

This is a Labour Friends of Israel government, not a Labour government. Note how fake “Labour” is saying more or less the same as “Conservative” parrots such as Chris Philp, and even Reform UK publicist (by any other name), Matt Goodwin.

There is a general push, again, towards finance-capitalist police-state dystopia in the UK, towards lower living standards, lower pay, lower State benefits and pensions, and towards the replacement of British people by the blacks, browns, and others. Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan.

Note the biased and tendentious pro-spending cuts attitude of Laura Kuenssberg, who is paid hundreds of thousands of pounds per year (£325,000 in 2023-24; presumably more now). She seems seriously angered that some people are getting £100 per week in disability payments… That’s what she spends on lunch in a single day (except that that money probably comes from her BBC expense account anyway.

Laura Kuenssberg is of partly-Jewish and partly-German origins, incidentally.

[“The liberation of the Lebedevka settlement in the Kursk Region brings the Russian army close to Sudzha, with slightly over 10 km remaining to it, a source in the Russian security agencies told TASS: https://vk.cc/cJvzZk“— TASS]

[“Russia’s armed forces have liberated Konstantinopol in the Donetsk People’s Republic, the Russian Defense Ministry said: https://vk.cc/cJvNEb“— TASS]

[“You have a moral duty to care for them. Most cannot save any more than they are already in a biting cost of living crisis. This isn’t the way to help them back in to work, they will sink. Labour MPs insist on ‘moral duty’ to get long-term sick into work.“]

For once, I agree with her.

Once again, the Starmer-Labour, or Labour Friends of Israel, government is shown to have no ideals and actually no ideas at all. This latest nasty nonsense is just taken wholesale from theCameron-Levita, dunce Duncan Smith, Osborne, “lord” Freud playbook of 2010-2015.

Lewis has never sued me, either, and I have blogged about him a number of times. Admittedly, I have no money anyway, but my main defence is truth itself…

Late music

Diary Blog, 24 November 2024, including thoughts about what makes political parties “credible” and “serious”

Afternoon music

[Fontanka, St. Petersburg]

Tweets seen

Kiev-regime Ukraine is not a civilized state. Indeed, it is not really a state at all. Were it not propped up by EU, US, UK aid, it would collapse. It will eventually collapse. Russia cannot lose this war and will not lose this war.

What makes politicians and parties “credible” and “serious”?

In fact, at time of writing, that petition has over 600,000 signatures, and is obviously going to end up in the millions. I doubt that its existence, even if 6,000,000 sign, will change anything, though. Keir Starmer and his Labour Friends of Israel misgovernment will hang on, in order to retain power, to retain status, and to quite deliberately further ruin this country.

Interesting how people perceive political parties and their MPs, though.

For example, Rachel Reeves was touted as a real heavyweight, a serious economist etc. Now, it turns out that she was not working as an economist prior to becoming an MP, but was, as the detractors say, more or less “Rachel from Accounts“, a kind of office bod, and a retail banking mortgage adviser who sold retail products to members of the public and engaged in customer relations.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14116675/Rachel-Reevecustomer-relations-Halifax-CV.html.

The CVs of many MPs, not only Labour ones, are faked to the point of utter dishonesty; that of Iain Dunce Duncan Smith, for one. Even the bastard’s surname is a fake (it is not “Duncan Smith” but simply “Smith”).

As to the parties themselves, the public are fooled into thinking that the Labour Party and Conservative parties are somehow “serious” or “credible” because they have been around for a long time and have, respectively, 402 and 121 MPs. Even the LibDems, who have 72.

Reform UK is not regarded, even now, as credible or serious, partly because it is fairly new, because it is a vehicle owned (literally) by Nigel Farage, and because it has only 5 MPs

The reality is that the make-up of the present Parliament is by reason of a voting system that is more than simply flawed; it simply bears no relationship to the real and expressed opinions and preferences of the electorate.

The present “elected” Labour Party quasi-dictatorship of Jewish-lobby/Israel lobby puppet Starmer was voted for by 4 out of 20 eligible voters (4 out of 12 actual voters), and has 402 MPs. 3 out of 20 (3 out of 12) voted Conservative Party, which has 121 MPs. 2 out of 20 (2 out of 12) voted LibDem; 72 MPs.

Then we have Reform UK, also voted for by 2 out of 20 (2 out of 12) voters. Indeed, Reform UK gathered in half a million more votes than did the LibDems. Only 5 MPs! Unfair, and actually illogical. In fact, the proportion of votes going to the LibDems was 12.22%, to Reform UK 14.29%.

More significantly, Labour’s total vote was, roughly, 9.7M, the Conservatives’ was 6.8M, Reform UK got 4M, and the LibDems 3.5M. Reform UK was not so far behind the Conservative Party, and within sight of the Labour Party, which got nearly 2.5x the Reform UK vote.

I do not think it impossible that a head of steam (of discontent) will build from now until 2029, and that Labour will then suffer a crushing electoral defeat. The “Conservatives”, presumably under their new Nigerian woman leader, are unlikely, in my opinion, to get far beyond where they now are. The LibDems are just a “dustbin” party for the votes of those not wishing to vote Lab or Con. The remaining straw at which the voters might clutch is Reform. I could see Reform winning 50-100 seats next time, maybe more, in those seats where 3 or 4 parties will be in serious contention, each of the contending parties getting 20%-30%.

In those circumstances, yes, Reform might emerge as either the third or the second party in the Commons. First place? Unlikely, but never say never.

Caveat: Reform is morphing slowly into a new System party, as witness Farage’s recent statements, both pro-Israel and not particularly anti-Islam; also, with numerous non-white candidates. Only real social nationalism can save this country, but there is no party of that kind, unfortunately.

Incidentally, that “Call a General Election Now” petition has, in the time it took me to write the above lines, gone well above 700,000, and is running at about 2,000 signatures per minute. Admittedly, 700,000 people is only about 1% of the whole UK population, and about 2% of the GE 2024 turnout. On the other hand, if the petition numbers reach 7M, or 14M, are Labour partisans still going to be saying that it is meaningless? In terms of public relations, that does not wash.

“Seriousness” and “credibility” of political parties rests on a number of connected factors: ideology, professed policies, leader, other prominent members and/or MPs, history (if any), funding and publicity, msm comment, Press comment, online comment, number of people voting for the party.

“Call a General Election Now” (II)

I notice that the petition now has 1.2M signatures, and still increasing by about 2,000 per minute as I write. If, as expected, the signatories are ignored by the Government (save for a perfunctory brief and no-vote debate in the Commons), then Labour’s slide will certainly continue.

More tweets seen

Once again, U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham, the hard-core Israel and Jewish-lobby supporter and mouthpiece.

New World Order (NWO), Israel, Zionism and “Ukraine” (Kiev regime) under the Jew Zelensky are all closely connected.

<4 hours later, as I write, and the petition is now at about 1.3M. It may reach 2M, it may reach 3M, or 20M. I cannot say.

Does Lebanon have no air force to counter the Israeli attacks?

Ah. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lebanese_Air_Force.

Seems that the answer is “no”…

Late music

[Morna Rhys, Full Moon, Cornwall; https://nortonwaygallery.com/artist/morna-rhys/]

Diary Blog, 10 July 2024, with thoughts about the misnamed Labour “landslide”, and where the votes really went

Afternoon music

[painting by Vicente Romero Redondo]

Tweets seen

Typical Twitter-twit. Yes, the LibDems, as longstanding “dustbin-for-votes” party, got 72 MPs at the General Election. Their vote-share was 12.2% (3,519,199 votes).

By reason of the incredibly undemocratic and illogical UK voting system, Reform UK only got 5 MPs, despite having received a vote-share of 14.3% (4,117,221 votes), well ahead of the LibDems.

Needless to say, tendentious creatures such as tweeter “@Jo_WhiteheadUK” are actually secretly or not so secretly pleased that the electoral system is biased against even mildly-national parties such as Reform UK.

The absurdity of the electoral system is surely now obvious to all. The Conservative Party got a vote-share of 23.7% (6,827,311 votes), just over 1.6 times the vote received by Reform UK, yet now has 121 MPs!

Labour is even more unfairly favoured: <33.7% of the popular vote (9,704,655 individual votes); only just over 2.3 times the Reform UK vote, yet it now has 411 MPs.

Sinn Fein got only 210,891 votes (0.73%) yet has 7 MPs, because its vote is concentrated in a small number of Northern Irish seats. Absurd.

This is not really “democracy”, however defined. A caricature of democracy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_Kingdom_general_election#Full_results

See also https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/01/15/has-parliamentary-democracy-as-we-have-known-it-until-now-had-its-day-in-the-uk/.

Talking point

There may come a time when the British people demand proper representation.

Late tweets seen

Two things. Firstly, Labour, at the highest level, is signed up to the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan, just as are the “Conservatives”— they want to import non-Europeans into all European countries. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalergi_Plan.

Secondly, Labour, like their supposed “opponents” in the Westminster monkeyhouse, talk about “criminal gangs” as if they are the problem. No, they are but a symptom. By all means eliminate those criminals (the System politicians will not even do that, in reality), but the migration-invasion will not be stopped, or even much reduced, by those methods.

It is clear that Labour intends to “legalize” both those illegals already here and most of those planning to invade our shores.

Late thoughts

In Britain’s fantasy politics, centred around House of Commons seats, Labour “won” GE 2024 by a landslide, the Conservative Party lost hugely, the LibDems did terribly well and had a kind of resurgence, and Reform UK performed underwhelmingly and got the few (5) MPs that they deserved (or not, according to many Twitter-twits).

In Britain’s real political landscape, away from the Westminster Bubble and the TV studios, things look rather different.

Take 20 UK potential voters, 20 people eligible to vote.

Out of that 20, at least 8 did not bother to vote at all. Those 8 people are completely disenchanted with the whole political system.

Of the remaining 12 voters, i.e. those that actually voted, 2 (in statistical terms, 1.72) voted for Reform UK, 3 (2.84) voted Conservative, and 4 (4.04) voted Labour. Another 1 or 2 (1.47) voted LibDem and maybe 1 (0.76) voted Green.

That is how, out of every 12 voters that voted, and out of every 20 eligible, people voted.

It can be seen that Labour does not really have the massive mandate to which it pretends. For every 4 people presently voting for Labour, another 3 are voting Conservative, 2 are voting Reform UK, 1 or 2 are voting LibDem, and 1 voting Green.

It is the view of the System msm that the above does not matter. Labour has 411 MPs and a huge majority in the Commons, and that’s that.

Not quite. Public opinion can be ignored by those holding power, but only up to a point. I have seen at close quarters some entrenched political systems change, indeed collapse, when public opinion and mood reached a certain tipping-point.

What happens in 2027, 2028, or 2029, after Labour fails dismally, as I think it will (and must, if it is going to allow a million non-Europeans into the UK every year)? The people will not turn back to the Conservative Party, whichever faction rules that rump of a party. The LibDems are just a tactical-vote and dustbin-vote party. Reform UK may or may not rise further.

Ultimately, I think it entirely possible that a social-national alternative not presently in existence may arise. That may or may not be a “party” in the Parliamentary sense.

One thing is for sure— the will and welfare of the people cannot be trifled with indefinitely. Salus populi suprema lex

[“the welfare of the people is the highest law“— Cicero].

Late music

[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arnold_Bax]

Diary Blog, 28 June 2024

Morning music

[Neuschwanstein]

Clacton and Reform UK

The System is now getting very worried about the level of support being shown even for Reform UK, a basically small-c conservative-type party. The anti-Reform UK rhetoric is now close to that displayed in the past against more social-national parties such as the BNP and, further back still, the National Front.

The System thinking must be, “if even Reform UK can be so disruptive, how more so would be a credible and genuinely social-national party?

That anti-Reform UK propaganda is broadcast as Reform UK reaches heights of popular support few thought that it would or could reach.

Some polls are putting Reform UK as high as 20%, and all are putting it well above 15%, the average now being around 17%.

Meanwhile, support for the Conservative Party has dropped to as low as 18%, and may go even lower. I have just yesterday heard admittedly anecdotal evidence that, in my own local area (in coastal Hampshire, and one of the most heavily-Con in England), lifelong Con voters are planning to vote anywhere other than Con or Labour. Many, perhaps most (?), are switching to Reform UK, and some to the LibDems.

I was just looking at my blog from about 8 or 9 months ago. I thought then that Reform UK would get a nationwide popular vote of at least 15% and, at the outside, 20%. Seems that I was right (so far).

Estimates of the number of MPs Reform UK might have by 5 July 2024, i.e. once the votes are counted, range from 1 or 2 to as many as 22. A few Reform UK optimists are doubling or even tripling that. It seems very open, with less than a week to go.

I doubt whether the Channel 4 undercover silliness will change the minds of many people planning to vote Reform UK, as witness the tweets below:

In any case, Channel 4 News is only seen by a small minority of people. Only about 4.5% of the viewing public even watch Channel 4 overall, so maybe 1% or 2% (?): https://deadline.com/2023/06/channel-4-woes-deepen-ratings-historic-low-1235417804/; https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-12199071/Panic-Channel-4-viewing-figures-plummet-historic-low.html.

I doubt that more than a few hundred of the voters of Clacton will have even seen the “expose”. In any case, the main person shown was merely a volunteer. It may even be that some people will be more inclined to vote for Reform after having seen the Channel 4 piece. You never know.

There is also the point that postal voting has already taken place. Many of the older and/or disabled British voters, as at Clacton, will by now have voted.

Farage seems nailed-on to win at Clacton, as far as I can see. The Conservative Party candidate has not even been seen (by me anyway) on TV or online, while the young African standing as Labour MP has apparently been redeployed to help another Labour candidate, in the West Midlands, and has thus left the field of battle at Clacton.

I can only suppose that Starmer decided that only the Con candidate had any chance of beating Farage, having scored 72.3% in 2019, so scaled back the Labour effort at Clacton to zero for nakedly tactical reasons.

Also, the fact that Labour deliberately chose an African for its candidate at Clacton, of all places, would be likely to prompt a surge in support for Reform UK. Anyway, he’s gone elsewhere, and will probably not be seen at Clacton until the count on Election Night. I still think that he might lose his deposit.

As blogged previously, while I am not a Reform UK supporter, as such, its existence moves the “Overton Window” a bit, at the very least, and will help to break down the “two main parties” scam.

More tweets seen

The public’s view of the mostly System politicians is not favourable. Even Starmer, on the crest of his “popularity by default”, is only viewed favourably by just over a third of voters.

Look at Sunak. Only 19%, the same as the Conservative Party. I begin to wonder whether previously undecided voters will actually start to pile in against the Conservative Party now, or at the last minute, thus reducing the Conservative vote to somewhere below that 19%, maybe as low as 16%. We shall know in 6 days’ time.

I should say “80% that’s broken“, not “everything“. Otherwise, I agree.

As Hitler said, “dirty democratic politicians“…[Mein Kampf].

See also: https://ianrobertmillard.org/2019/10/03/deadhead-mps-an-occasional-series-the-esther-mcvey-story/.

The African will probably get about 4% of the vote, and lose his deposit.

This is incredible. It does not necessarily mean that the Channel 4 “expose” was a fix, but it certainly raises questions.

How did Channel 4 News come to fasten upon that particular person for its undercover filming?

My view: both main System parties should be eliminated.

Gavin Barwell really is an utterly stupid person, yet there he sits in the House of Lords, getting nearly £400 a day (taxfree) any (sitting) day on which he chooses to turn up for 30 minutes and have his name ticked off… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Barwell.

Yes. If all Con-leaning or anti-Lab-leaning voters were to vote Reform UK, Reform UK could just about win at Dover; even then it might be very close. One thing is for sure— the Con candidate cannot win.

So Giles Watling is still alive… I had seen and heard nothing from the retired actor since the Clacton campaign started. I assumed that he had fallen into his soup and drowned at the Garrick Club.

Watling has nothing in common with most Clacton voters. Hopeless.

The Jew Zelensky thinks that there can be a “peace summit” without Russia’s participation (unless Russia were to effectively surrender). He’s a con-man who has stolen billions.

Talking point

Should make people think.

More tweets seen

I tend to agree, up to a point, with that last tweeter. Yes, the Cons are doomed, but look at what the Labour Party now is! A mixture of Blair-Brown-style fake communitarian rhetoric, “woke” craziness, “Ukraine” (Kiev regime) partisanship, and pro-Israel-ism, combined with pro-Jewish lobby repression of free speech and, in terms of domestic policy, almost indistinguishable in reality from the policies of the Conservative Party.

Incidentally, it is Bicester and Woodstock, a new constituency, not just Woodstock. That may explain the close polling.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bicester_and_Woodstock_(UK_Parliament_constituency).

Even Reform UK has more support among the under-30s in the UK, especially in England, than many suppose. A real social-national party might be able to capture far more hearts and minds.

This really is stunning. If accurate, it may mean a House of Commons with 483 Labour MPs (overall majority 316), 73 LibDems, 27 Reform UK, and only 22 Con Party MPs (SNP 18, Green 4 etc). https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html.

It would mean the LibDems as official Opposition, and Reform UK with several more MPs (27 in toto) than the rump of the old Conservative Party (22), which would not be the Opposition, not even third party, but a poor fourth. Finished. Washed-up.

I have yet to meet, in the past month or even longer, even one person who expresses an intention to vote Con. There may be some people I meet who intend to vote Con without my knowing it, of course; I meet relatively few people, and rarely talk directly about politics with most of those that I do meet. All the same…

In fact, and by my use of Electoral Calculus, it may be that, were Reform UK to poll at 24%, only 3 points higher than in this latest poll, Reform could edge the LibDems out of second place, which would mean Reform UK as the official Opposition, and Farage as Leader of the Opposition! Were that to happen, I should have to eat my words of a year or two ago (dismissing him as not such an effective politician despite his oratorical and mass media skills).

We shall soon know.

Brutal” is the word. Whatever one may think of Trump and his overall fitness for office, it is clear that Biden should now go into retirement.

The world has rarely if ever been in such multiform peril. The state with, by far, the greatest military-destructive power on Earth, is a “colossus on legs of straw”, and cannot, at this time, be commanded, even notionally, by someone not in command of his own faculties.

From the newspapers

https://www.bournemouthecho.co.uk/news/24416228.poole-labour-candidate-calls-others-denounce-hate-campaign/

The Labour parliamentary candidate for Poole, Neil Duncan-Jordan, said he and others have been targeted with ’disgusting and disrespectful’ comments.

He said he had been called a ‘white traitor’ and told that ‘Adolf Hitler had the right idea’.

Mr Duncan-Jordan has called on his counterparts in the election to distance themselves from antisemitism, racism and hate crime following a number of incidents he and his supporters have faced.

Mr Duncan-Jordan said: “In the last few days there have been three separate incidents that have caused me concern. I’ve been called a ‘white traitor’, one of my supporters was spat at and I was told that “Adolf Hitler had the right idea.”

“I think it’s important that all candidates in this election come out clearly and say that antisemitism, racism and fascist views have absolutely no place in modern Britain.

Spitting at someone because you don’t like their political views is disgusting and disrespectful. We cannot allow this kind of behaviour to become the acceptable norm.”

The candidate has reported the incidents to the police.

[Bournemouth Echo]

Well, while I would never condone spitting at (or for that matter, throwing milkshakes over) people (as a Labour supporter did to Farage recently), if a candidate wants to knock on people’s doors to engage them in political debate, he must expect some of his “victims” to cut up rough, bearing in mind what the System parties have been doing to this country.

More tweets seen

God knows what, in the course of time, will be the karmic, including group-karmic, consequences of everything that has happened in and around Gaza in the past 9 months, or indeed the past 77 years.

“They” are always the “victims”…

The whole of the System msm is rotten.

Britain 2024

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13579657/sleeping-grandmother-attacked-feral-thugs-scotland-park.html

A grandmother has told of how she was beaten black and blue by a gang of feral yobs, who stamped on her head as she slept at a beauty spot.

[Daily Mail].

More from the newspapers

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13579539/Now-Rishi-Sunaks-leather-jacket-loving-chief-staff-dubbed-Treasury-Travolta-quizzed-gambling-watchdog-bets-election-timing-placed-senior-Tories.html

[Liam Booth-Smith]

Rishi Sunak‘s chief of staff has been interviewed as a witness by the gambling regulator as part of the row over alleged bets on the timing of the general election, it has emerged.

Liam Booth-Smith is reported to have spoken to the Gambling Commission last week to help the watchdog understand who may have known when polling day would be.

Sources stressed to the BBC that the PM’s top adviser – dubbed the ‘Treasury Travolta’ during Mr Sunak’s time as Chancellor due to his fondness for leather jackets – is not a suspect in the regulator’s investigation and had not placed a bet himself.

[Daily Mail]

Can you believe it, even today, as the UK goes into a tailspin? The Chief of Staff of the UK Prime Minister— and look at the bastard!

Liam Booth-Smith (born 1987) is a British political adviser who has served as the Downing Street Chief of Staff since October 2022. He previously served as de facto chief of staff to then-chancellor Rishi Sunak as head of the Joint Economic Unit.

Booth-Smith was born in 1987[2] in Stoke on Trent and was raised by a single mother.[3] He read politics and social policy at Loughborough University. Booth-Smith was appointed as Downing Street Chief of Staff in October 2022 after Rishi Sunak‘s accession as prime minister. He succeeded Mark Fullbrook.

In 2023 the New Statesman named him as the ninth most powerful figure in British Right-Wing Politics.”

[Wikipedia]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liam_Booth-Smith

I know that I often expostulate in this vein, but this country really is ****** on so many levels…

More tweets

In the 1970s, Britain still had many avenues open to it. Now, it is as if (?) we are painted into a corner, with almost nowhere to turn.

2024-2029…perhaps in the next few years there will, at long last, emerge the popular social-national movement that can sweep all before it.

When I stayed for three weeks with a French couple, in Paris, in 1971 (at age 14), I was taken once by car through an area my host referred to as the “quartier arabe“. Now it seems that much of Paris is the “quartier africaine“…

What about a population of ~70 million (the UK)?

Late music