Morning music
Britain needs a real Border Force, not the present Border Farce which actually ferries migrant invaders into the UK!
Of course, the old East German force called the Grenzpolizei (Border Police) had a dual role, as much aimed at keeping the working-age population of the DDR in as keeping smugglers, spies etc out…
I have to say that the Grenzpolizei, on the couple of occasions when I encountered them, were both amiable and alarmingly efficient, for example when I and my driver were processed through a small crossing-point (we were the only car, in fact the only vehicle travelling West, in an hour spent there). They (politely, efficiently) emptied the contents of the car (a Volvo estate or station-wagon), then partially dismantled the car, taking out, entirely, various parts, including the seats (they did put it all together again later).
Tweets seen
Google “Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan”…
While many who are hostile to Reform will be crowing because Plaid Cymru won that by-election, in big-picture terms the second place for Reform is far more significant.
Plaid only does well in a few places in Wales, and makes no pretence of being a UK-wide party. It has 4 MPs at Westminster (out of 32 Welsh seats), 2 peers (out of 828), and 14 Senedd members (out of 60).
Reform has just captured 36% of the votes at the Caerphilly by-election, more than impressive from a standing start and for a party basically perceived as English.
The main System parties have been trashed by the voters who bothered to vote (turnout was just over 50%): Labour, the previous holders of the seat, fell from 45.9% to a mere 11%. The Conservative party fell far too, from 17.3% to a mere 2%. Reform’s 35% this time can be compared to its previous result (2.2%, though some sources say 1.7%; no matter).
This has huge implications for both local and Westminster elections in England, of course.
Reform has achieved this level of support not because people love it, its policies, or its leader, Farage, but because people now hate and despise both main System parties. The SNP suddenly became pre-eminent in Scotland in 2015 not because many Scots loved or much-supported it, but because the Labour and other parties’ votes collapsed.
More tweets seen
Think about it. Labour support overall is running at about 15%-25%, say 20% or thereabouts. Britain is now 20% non-white; Muslims are about 8% or maybe 10% of the population. Until recently, almost all voted Labour. Hardly any white English voters, in particular, now intend to vote Labour.
[“Agreed but think it’s somewhat dangerous to think a regional election is massively impactful to nation elections. Plaid Cymru won’t have candidates in the nation outside of Wales and that’s where the prize is. That said, the result is a big win for PC but isn’t the massive loss for Reform. 37% where they have never stood a Parliamentary candidate before is a good show. Long way to go in this story yet and Labour, and Tories, will not be happy as the narrative is they are a busted flush and the electorate will vote for anyone other than them.”]
Dan Hodges trying to spin the Caerphilly result as not terribly good for Reform UK, despite their vote having increased from around 2% to 36%! Look at Labour— 11%. Or Conservative Party— 2%.
Another way to look on the Caerphilly result might be to say that, if Reform can get a 36% result in a core part of Wales, what will it be getting in much of England.
I have no quarrel with that, but Dan Hodges is trying to stem the tide with words.
It may well be that Reform cannot get more, overall, than 35% or even a few points below that (in that poll, 29%). What Hodges does not seem to want to say, though, is that a party which gets even 29% in a general election can very easily still be the party that gets a plurality of votes and a plurality of Commons seats, maybe even a majority of seats.
On the figures above, Reform would still get about 370 Commons seats, and a solid majority. Labour might get 89 seats, the LibDems 69, the SNP 45, Cons about 21, and Greens 18.
Conservative Party would be only the fifth-largest party in the Commons.
Yes, but the idea that voters who dislike Reform will vote tactically on a big enough scale to stop the Reform deluge is very doubtful. Dent the juggernaut, yes, stop it, no. Some of the results might be unpredictable.
If Hodges says that Caerphilly was bad for Farage and Reform, how much worse was it for Starmer and Labour, or Badenoch and the Con Party?
As previously blogged, neither side should be directly targeting civilians.
A horrible tribe, wherever they are in the world.
Israeli doctors have been proven to have no ethics. Example? When the corrupt Nigerian former government minister, Dikko, was kidnapped in London in 1984, it turned out that the Israelis had made a deal with the anti-Dikko Nigerian government to kidnap him and fly him to Nigeria. MOSSAD was tasked with the operation.
Dikko was to be sedated by a leading Israeli anaesthetist recruited by MOSSAD pro hac vice. In the end, Dikko was lucky; the Israelis less lucky: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dikko_affair (and note that that Wikipedia page is one of the many vandalized by Jews connected with the so-called “Campaign Against Antisemitism” or “CAA”. All reference to MOSSAD, and almost all reference to Israel, has been expunged by the Zionist Jew vandals).
[“A caribou mother cradles her newborn protectively in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. This has been their territory since the late Pleistocene, but today the Trump Administration announced plans to auction off these treasured lands to oil and gas leasing. This means the entire 1.56 million-acre coastal plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge will be opened to: airstrips, roads, thumper trucks, drilling rigs, noise, pollution and pipelines — destruction of one of the last refuges for wildlife on Earth.“]
Were I in government, or indeed the government, he would be “shot while trying to escape“. Job done.
How about tackling the problem of Israeli “proxies”, and the Israeli “Fifth Column” in the UK?
Peter Kellner is the YouGov pollster.
So without tactical anti-Reform voting, an overall 25% vote for Reform UK would give Reform 200+ votes, maybe 250. With tactical voting, Reform might get “only” 150-200…
The System drones are getting desperate. Even 150 MPs is massive for a party which presently has half a dozen. Also, from where does the “25%” come? Reform is currently far higher in the polls and was, recently, as high as 36%.
The fact is that the “Overton Window” is moving fast now. The Lab and Con System parties are dying. Reform, though underwhelming, is a symptom of the (mainly) white, mainly English voters losing patience.
If Reform forms a government but then fails to do “the necessary”, real social nationalism can take the reins, with the support of enough people to take power. The NSDAP in Germany had only 2.6% of the national vote in 1928, but by 1932 had 33%, and Hitler was able to take over the rulership of the country.
Starmer-stein’s Labour Friends of Israel regime is in trouble…
If fake Labour can lose about three-quarters (in fact, more than 3/4) of their previous vote in formerly rock-solid Caerphilly, in South Wales, where Labour votes were once said to be “weighed not counted“, the fall in support in most parts of England must surely be as much or more, arguende. If so, then the number of Labour MPs in or after 2029 would surely be somewhere around 75.
Likewise, but even more striking, the Con vote in Caerphilly was around one-eighth of its previous level. Were that to happen in England and at a general election, the number of Con MPs would be around 15.
Late tweets
What a pity. I like France, and enjoyed my 4 years living in Finistere (and commuting every couple of weeks to the UK). I should be sorry to see France, including Finistere (which has a major submarine base on the Crozon Peninsula) all but annihilated by nuclear attack.
Zelensky will be eliminated, sooner or later.
Starmer-stein? Only about 10% of white English/British people now vote Labour. Politically, both Starmer and Labour are washed up, together with the Conservative Party.
Bravo! Quite right. Reform, for me, exists to destroy the old System parties. Once that is done, stand aside for social-national upsurge.
Late music
Ian Robert Millard 